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Speaker 1: terms and responsible gaming resources all right. Instant reaction on
Speaker 1: the Texans thrashing the Cleveland Browns. I had said I
Speaker 1: picked Houston to win. I said Joe Flacco had become
Speaker 1: a better story than he was a quarterback. He had
Speaker 1: eight picks and five games before today. Now he's got
Speaker 1: ten picks and six starts. Flacco was a really good
Speaker 1: story for a dysfunctional organization, stepping in on their fourth
Speaker 1: quarterback Stefanski doing a marvelous job. But he's not a
Speaker 1: great quarterback at this point. He always threw a lot
Speaker 1: of picks. He was generally very good in the wildcard round.
Speaker 1: Big strong guy, big arm. But I don't think anybody
Speaker 1: ever thought he was, you know, a great quarterback. You know,
Speaker 1: he was a notch below the big Bends and the
Speaker 1: Brady's and the Mannings. You know, his content temporaries, but
Speaker 1: the obvious story today is c J. Stroud. And it's
Speaker 1: interesting about c J. Stroud. So when he came out,
Speaker 1: I tend to lean on my scouts and my sources,
Speaker 1: and so one of my guys that I don't consider
Speaker 1: him a source, he's just a friend. Lance Zerline works
Speaker 1: at NFL dot com and he's a scout, and he
Speaker 1: had said c J. Stroud's comp is Jared Goff. And
Speaker 1: I always felt with Jared Goff, he's really really good.
Speaker 1: I think he's a top ten twelve quarterback, but he's
Speaker 1: not good enough to overcome nonsense. And so I thought
Speaker 1: it was a good comp. I thought c J. Stroud
Speaker 1: had some Jared Goff abilities but wasn't good enough to
Speaker 1: overcome nonsense. Well, what's really interesting about that comp? So
Speaker 1: Jared goff first year was a mess with the Rams,
Speaker 1: but in his second year when they got him a
Speaker 1: left tackle, Andrew Whitworth and Sean McVay, twenty eight touchdowns,
Speaker 1: seven picks and a sixty two percent completion percentage. CJ.
Speaker 1: Stroud's first year numbers twenty three touchdowns, five picks, sixty
Speaker 1: four percent completion percentage. Difference is c J. Stroud inherited
Speaker 1: a great left tackle as a rookie, and he also
Speaker 1: inherited a really good coach and Demiko Ryans, so Goff
Speaker 1: was a mess until he got the right coach and
Speaker 1: the right protection left tackle. So c J. Stroud didn't
Speaker 1: have to go through that year. But their numbers are
Speaker 1: very similar. The first time Jared Goff had like legitimate
Speaker 1: protection and a good coach, he put up similar numbers.
Speaker 1: And so I think CJ's been terrific, obviously better than
Speaker 1: most would predict. But I think what's important as I
Speaker 1: watch c J. Stroud, Obviously, if you get the coach
Speaker 1: and the quarterback right, you know you're not gonna lose
Speaker 1: that many games in the NFL, even if you don't
Speaker 1: love the coach. If you love the quarterback and you
Speaker 1: like the coach, you're gonna be a playoff team most
Speaker 1: of the time. But what c J. Stroud or guys
Speaker 1: like Andrew Luck create is clarity. You're gonna argue for
Speaker 1: Justin Fields. Watching CJ. Shroud Justin Fields in his third
Speaker 1: year and c J. Stroud, Daniel Jones, you know these
Speaker 1: people that argue for their like second tier quarterbacks. It's like,
Speaker 1: I don't want to hear about drops. You know who
Speaker 1: had the second most drops in the NFL. C J.
Speaker 1: Stroud Number one was Patrick Mahomes. Everybody has receivers that
Speaker 1: drop the ball. Is that when you get a c J. Stroud,
Speaker 1: it creates clarity for all these fan bases and gms
Speaker 1: to go, well, this guy can win with an imperfect roster. Now,
Speaker 1: I do think Houston, and I said this during the offseason.
Speaker 1: I thought they had a great summer. I thought they
Speaker 1: had a great draft. So CJ. This may have been
Speaker 1: a messy organization. But Nick Casario from New England sharp
Speaker 1: guy Demiko. I was told two years before he became
Speaker 1: a head coach he's gonna be He was only at
Speaker 1: San Francisco for three or four years. They moved him
Speaker 1: from controller to position coach coordinator boomies out. But I
Speaker 1: think CJ ensures if Demko Ryan stays that they're going
Speaker 1: to be interesting for a decade plus, and that's all
Speaker 1: you can hope for super Bowls. Who knows, Jared Goff
Speaker 1: got to one may never get to another. Who knows
Speaker 1: a lot of that is circum stance. It's your team healthy,
Speaker 1: who are you facing? Are you at home? You know?
Speaker 1: Now Houston has to go on the road, and the
Speaker 1: quality of play and the quality of quarterback should go up.
Speaker 1: But Stroud is a terrific player. And I was counting
Speaker 1: this morning. You know, only about half the league has
Speaker 1: a franchise quarterback. Now, I think Kaylen Williams will come
Speaker 1: in and Drake may feel like both those guys could hit.
Speaker 1: Could but right now, and I didn't count. I don't
Speaker 1: know if I counted Baker Mayfield. I did count Tua,
Speaker 1: I did count Derek Carr, I did count Kirk Cousins
Speaker 1: off an injury. I think I counted Baker Mayfield too.
Speaker 1: I only have seventeen NFL teams out of thirty two
Speaker 1: that have franchise quarterbacks, people that they could lean on
Speaker 1: and say, this is our guy. I don't believe I
Speaker 1: counted Gino Smith. I didn't. I think Seattle want upgrade.
Speaker 1: But I mean, before C. J. Stroud hit and Jordan
Speaker 1: Love hit, you know you're looking at like half the league.
Speaker 1: Now it's slightly above half the league has a franchise quarterback.
Speaker 1: So it's hard, you know, it's I just don't think fans.
Speaker 1: I think you mostly get it, but it is nobody
Speaker 1: I knew two scouts that really like c J. Stroud
Speaker 1: and I have texted him throughout the course of the
Speaker 1: year and they're like, he was this good. We didn't
Speaker 1: see this, and so what you have to do with
Speaker 1: quarnerback play, you know, you cross your fingers, you look
Speaker 1: at traits and the thing that jumps out. With c J. Stroud,
Speaker 1: he didn't have a lot of juice athletically. He doesn't
Speaker 1: run around a lot, but he is effortlessly and unmistakably accurate.
Speaker 1: He just throws a beautiful, accurate ball. He doesn't miss
Speaker 1: very often. He missed on one deep ball today, but
Speaker 1: the receiver stopped running, so I don't necessarily blame that
Speaker 1: entirely on him. But he's just kind of a quiet,
Speaker 1: confident kid. He can throw setting his feet. When he
Speaker 1: missed a throw and didn't miss it throw. He had
Speaker 1: an incompletion near the goal line in the first quarter.
Speaker 1: He was first quarter and it was just it's a
Speaker 1: nondescript play that won't get discussed. But he rolled out
Speaker 1: to the right and of the goal line and the
Speaker 1: ball was batted down. But running to his right, he
Speaker 1: threw a ball low nobody could get it. As they
Speaker 1: always say in the NFL near the goal line, throw
Speaker 1: it low at the end of the end zone, in
Speaker 1: the back of the end zone, keep it high so
Speaker 1: it doesn't get intercepted. But his ability to move quickly,
Speaker 1: roll and throw it in this little football sized space.
Speaker 1: Now it was knocked away by a Cleveland corner, but
Speaker 1: it was literally a perfect throw in this small little
Speaker 1: area that you don't direct many passes in down in
Speaker 1: the dirt, and that's a play that it doesn't end
Speaker 1: up in the box score. It's an incompletion. Nobody cares
Speaker 1: about it, nobody discusses it. But he makes it look
Speaker 1: so easy on screens, drag routes, the stuff that should
Speaker 1: be easy for him. It's like Mahomes, it's just layup
Speaker 1: drill time. So it's exciting for Houston. They got a
Speaker 1: great baseball franchise and now they've got a star quarterback.
Speaker 1: And you know, he's obviously right now playing as a
Speaker 1: top ten quarterback. But you know, and you know, I
Speaker 1: like Kyler Murray much more than most people. I like
Speaker 1: Jared Goff much more than most people. But and Trevor
Speaker 1: Lawrence regressed this year. Maybe I've been too high on him.
Speaker 1: I've always thought of him as a top seven quarterback.
Speaker 1: I like Herbert think he's a top five or six guy. Again,
Speaker 1: he has to get a legitimate coach, But I think
Speaker 1: you can say with some confidence c J. Stroud, his
Speaker 1: ability to sit in the pocket, throw accurately, his size,
Speaker 1: his mechanics, he looks like a top ten guy. Maybe
Speaker 1: near the bottom of it, but it looks like a
Speaker 1: top ten guy. I don't think that's being hyperbolic or
Speaker 1: overstated anything. He's just a big, tall, accurate, easy thrower.
Speaker 1: He's got a good, solid body. It's fun. This stuff
Speaker 1: is fun on Don't you stop worrying about being right
Speaker 1: and concentrate more in getting it right. Sports is a
Speaker 1: lot of fun. I love making predictions. I thought the
Speaker 1: Jared Goff comp was reasonable, but left tackle coach, they're
Speaker 1: hitting a couple of draft picks at wide receiver text
Speaker 1: under a fun team, it's not easy to get in
Speaker 1: over forty points in a playoff game. Meanwhile, for Cleveland,
Speaker 1: they're a bit of a mess. I don't even want
Speaker 1: to talk about Cleveland. I mean, I like their coach
Speaker 1: and I like their GM, but the Deshaun Watson situation,
Speaker 1: you know I'm sitting there, you know, who I was
Speaker 1: already thinking about watching this game. Beyond the Texans was
Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers. So just in the AFC, now you
Speaker 1: have c J. Stroud, Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, Mahomes, Josh Allen,
Speaker 1: Justin Herbert, with legitimate coach Trevor Lawrence, and Pittsburgh sitting
Speaker 1: there with Kenny Pickett trying to convince themselves. Yeah that's
Speaker 1: the guy, Kenny Pickett. Mason Rudolph looked better than Kenny Pickett.
Speaker 1: So again that goes into the Daniel Jones justin fields
Speaker 1: you're trying to convince yourself stuff. That's just not true
Speaker 1: for c J. Stroud to be this confident, this accurate,
Speaker 1: and this effortless. Look at your quarterback, what year is
Speaker 1: he in? And it's not like the Texans. I mean
Speaker 1: a year ago we were laughing at him. They were
Speaker 1: the most dysfunctional organization in sports. Now they hit on
Speaker 1: some right people upstairs, sidelines quarterback, But I mean c J. Stroud,
Speaker 1: look around. If you're the Steelers, that's another quarterback in
Speaker 1: the AFC. Big Ben retires and it's like there was
Speaker 1: a long stretch between Bradshaw and big Ben a lot
Speaker 1: of years without super and when I look at c. J. Stroud,
Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, that's just another really good quarterback. Teams
Speaker 1: like the Steelers have to get through. And the other
Speaker 1: thing that's encouraging is so with c. J. Stroud and
Speaker 1: Jordan Love both hitting this year, Jordan Love later in
Speaker 1: the season, we have two more franchise quarterbacks. And you
Speaker 1: know what, and I know it, nothing is worse than
Speaker 1: watching football in the NFL or college with bad quarterback play.
Speaker 1: So it looks like we got two more young franchise
Speaker 1: quarterbacks not even in their prime yet Jordan Loved, c J.
Speaker 1: Stroud probably a year away from their prime going into it.
Speaker 1: It's pretty cool. Well instant reaction on the Chiefs drubbing
Speaker 1: of the Miami Dolphins. I thought Miami would give a
Speaker 1: much better effort. It was really kind of wave the
Speaker 1: white flag early in the third quarter. And you know,
Speaker 1: I can't really blame their defense because they're missing six starters.
Speaker 1: But so let me get this straight. On two, he's small,
Speaker 1: doesn't have a great arm up the sideline, not athletic,
Speaker 1: has some injuries and now can only play in ideal conditions.
Speaker 1: So he has to have home games throughout the playoffs
Speaker 1: to be formidable. So I mean doesn't mean you're going
Speaker 1: to get rid of him, but I think you have
Speaker 1: to look to the future and understand what he is.
Speaker 1: I mean, his record in December and January is not good.
Speaker 1: His record in September and October is good, and that's okay.
Speaker 1: You know, he is a quarterback that's more than capable.
Speaker 1: I mean, he made a Pro Bowl over Josh Allen. Now,
Speaker 1: I think the Pro Bowl's nonsense. I think awards, Oscars, Emmys,
Speaker 1: I think a lot of it's nonsense. Plaques don't make
Speaker 1: the player. Everybody knows that. But you know, I mean
Speaker 1: I think you look at too, and it's like, what
Speaker 1: one skill does he have over Josh Allen? Really, So
Speaker 1: you just have to know going forward there's limitations to
Speaker 1: what he can do, especially late in the season. And
Speaker 1: Miami to a large degree. Again, I thought they'd play
Speaker 1: much better tonight. I thought it would be lower scoring.
Speaker 1: I thought the Chiefs offense was highly functional, and I'll
Speaker 1: get to that in a second. But considering the conditions
Speaker 1: highly functional tonight, especially after you know, a couple of
Speaker 1: rocky drives to start players getting used to the cold,
Speaker 1: then I thought, second half second corner. Pretty good. But
Speaker 1: you know, I think Miami was when I said they
Speaker 1: were all season. They're fun. I like watching them, I
Speaker 1: like their coach, I like Tyreek Hill. Two is fine.
Speaker 1: They're a convertible sports car. They're just not built for
Speaker 1: December and January. You know, they're just not built for
Speaker 1: this type of weather. So quarterbacks, none of them love
Speaker 1: playing in this weather. Brady liked cold weather because he
Speaker 1: said when it was slippery, defensive lineman couldn't get a
Speaker 1: pass rush. Most quarterbacks don't love it. But I mean
Speaker 1: the difference between the great ones and guys you don't
Speaker 1: give an extension to are can you overcome? Can you
Speaker 1: play in bad elements? Can you play hurt? Can you
Speaker 1: play against the great pass rush? Can you play when
Speaker 1: your left tackle is a swinging door? So I think
Speaker 1: two is just a quarterback that when everything's lined up perfectly,
Speaker 1: he can play. But you saw c J. Stroud earlier today, bigger, stronger,
Speaker 1: better arm. Now again, weather's different, but you look at
Speaker 1: c J. Stroud, there's nothing you're really missing there. Big arm, sideline,
Speaker 1: seize the field, get get rid of it, can throw
Speaker 1: on the move, can move a little. There's just nothing
Speaker 1: you don't like, and with two there's not a lot
Speaker 1: I love. He is a warm weather quarterback. When things
Speaker 1: are ideal, he can put up some good numbers with
Speaker 1: a world class receiving corps and Mike McDaniel, who's a
Speaker 1: really smart offensive coach. But things have to be right.
Speaker 1: You know. It's interesting when I was watching to teams
Speaker 1: will tell you what they think of their players by
Speaker 1: the play calling, and so Mike McDaniel's play calling was
Speaker 1: super conservative in the second half. Well, that's telling you
Speaker 1: he doesn't trust him. So you know, you can tell
Speaker 1: when you watch Mahomes and c. J. Stroud their coaches
Speaker 1: trust him. They trust them cognitively, they trust them physically,
Speaker 1: they trust them, you know, in crisis situations, high leverage situations.
Speaker 1: I'm watching Mike McDaniel's play calling. He didn't want to
Speaker 1: in a throw. He didn't want him to sit in
Speaker 1: the pocket his bubble screens. So that's a tell in poker,
Speaker 1: that's a tell, you know. In terms of Kansas City.
Speaker 1: You know, we've said that Kansas City's receiving core Rashi
Speaker 1: Rice has developed into a really solid one. He's not
Speaker 1: a profound or a dynamic one. But he's a strong, thick,
Speaker 1: hard to bring down receiver. He is their one. Travis
Speaker 1: Kelcey's their one tight end. After that, you know, it's
Speaker 1: a bunch of middling guys. So I don't think it
Speaker 1: feels like a super Bowl team. I think they would
Speaker 1: really struggle to go into Baltimore, play San Francisco and win.
Speaker 1: But smart people, over time figure stuff out. And you know,
Speaker 1: Kansas City's got some of the smartest people in the NFL, scouts,
Speaker 1: GM coach, quarterback in the LAGU. It's a really bright
Speaker 1: football operation and they have figured out a way to
Speaker 1: make that offense mostly work. I thought the second half,
Speaker 1: second quarter, second half of the second quarter, and second half,
Speaker 1: considering the conditions, I thought the Chiefs looked great. Ran
Speaker 1: the ball, passed it effectively. I mean, you're throwing a
Speaker 1: rock around in that weather, but I thought it was
Speaker 1: pretty impressive. This is the best defense Mahomes has played with.
Speaker 1: They get a good pass rush. So you know, smart
Speaker 1: people over time figure out how to make businesses more
Speaker 1: functional and operate them at a higher level. So I
Speaker 1: always trust the Baltimore's and the San Francisco's and the
Speaker 1: Kansas City's. They've just got bright people everywhere, and I
Speaker 1: thought the Chiefs looked pretty impressive considering the conditions. I
Speaker 1: looked at the Chiefs to night and I thought, wow,
Speaker 1: that is a much better offensive output functionality than I
Speaker 1: would have guessed for the weather. Miami just and again,
Speaker 1: it's not like Miami made the playoffs. I had predicted
Speaker 1: Buffalo and win the division, Miami would be a wildcard team.
Speaker 1: And then over the course of the year, I said
Speaker 1: I liked them, but they'll have to play at home.
Speaker 1: I just didn't really. I just got fun, fake flashy,
Speaker 1: you know. I kept calling them the fake Gucci bag.
Speaker 1: You know, it looks right, it looks real, but in
Speaker 1: closer inspection it's not. It's a fraud. I think that's
Speaker 1: who Miami is. They beat one team winning team this year.
Speaker 1: I believe the Dallas Cowboys, a team that fumbled on
Speaker 1: a goal line handoffer would have gone up fourteen to three,
Speaker 1: and a team Dallas that doesn't play particularly well against
Speaker 1: winning teams on the road. So I think if you
Speaker 1: look back at the season for Miami, it's an offensive
Speaker 1: leaning franchise. Injuries attrition absolutely hurt them on the defensive side.
Speaker 1: That's not an excuse. That's a reason they had six
Speaker 1: starters out. There's nothing they can do. But it wasn't
Speaker 1: much of an effort offensively tonight. If I'm a Dolphin fan,
Speaker 1: I'm worried about the offense. I mean, look at the
Speaker 1: calling for Tua. They look terrified to have him throw
Speaker 1: with Hyreek, Jaylen Waddle, Wilson so and if you look
Speaker 1: at Kansas City, Baltimore, Kansas City, Buffalo, I like Houston.
Speaker 1: I think their season ends next week. Baltimore, Buffalo, Kansas
Speaker 1: City pretty well run teams the last half decade, you know,
Speaker 1: I mean, well even longer than that. But we're not surprised, right,
Speaker 1: all these games, all the weather, all the injuries, Bills,
Speaker 1: Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City and Lamar Jackson and
Speaker 1: the Ravens looked like the top three teams and a
Speaker 1: really fun surprising story. C J. Stroud, you know, three predictable,
Speaker 1: one surprise. And so tomorrow, you know, we go into
Speaker 1: the NFC games, and again I think Dallas beats Green
Speaker 1: Bay a lot of scoring. I think the Rams slip
Speaker 1: past Detroit. I think we'll see some scoring. And then
Speaker 1: on Monday, I do think we're going to see Philadelphia
Speaker 1: beating the Bucks. I know what you're saying, Colin. You
Speaker 1: already have the Bills beating the Steelers. Yeah, I know,
Speaker 1: I do. Yes, Yes, I know I do. I'm fully
Speaker 1: aware of that. I mean, you could take the ten points,
Speaker 1: but yeah, I'm gonna go with Josh Allen over Mason Rudolph.
Speaker 1: So on interesting Saturday, one semi surprise. Certainly, the outcome
Speaker 1: in Houston was a surprise and a surprising lack of
Speaker 1: effort by the Miami Dolphins. It's not like you cut Tua.
Speaker 1: You're not going to cut him. You know, he's an
Speaker 1: effective quarterback. You just have to take a deep breath
Speaker 1: and the expectations have to be more realistic. I think
Speaker 1: the people in the building have realistic expectations on Tua.
Speaker 1: I'm not sure all the fans do or the Miami
Speaker 1: media does, but I think Mike McDaniel and the guys
Speaker 1: upstairs in Miami they kind of know what they have.
Speaker 1: You can tell from the play calling, the play designed tonight.
Speaker 1: They kind of know what they have. The volume