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Speaker 1: terms and responsible gaming resources all right. Instant reaction on

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Speaker 1: the Texans thrashing the Cleveland Browns. I had said I

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Speaker 1: picked Houston to win. I said Joe Flacco had become

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Speaker 1: a better story than he was a quarterback. He had

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Speaker 1: eight picks and five games before today. Now he's got

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Speaker 1: ten picks and six starts. Flacco was a really good

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Speaker 1: story for a dysfunctional organization, stepping in on their fourth

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Speaker 1: quarterback Stefanski doing a marvelous job. But he's not a

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Speaker 1: great quarterback at this point. He always threw a lot

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Speaker 1: of picks. He was generally very good in the wildcard round.

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Speaker 1: Big strong guy, big arm. But I don't think anybody

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Speaker 1: ever thought he was, you know, a great quarterback. You know,

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Speaker 1: he was a notch below the big Bends and the

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Speaker 1: Brady's and the Mannings. You know, his content temporaries, but

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Speaker 1: the obvious story today is c J. Stroud. And it's

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Speaker 1: interesting about c J. Stroud. So when he came out,

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Speaker 1: I tend to lean on my scouts and my sources,

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Speaker 1: and so one of my guys that I don't consider

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Speaker 1: him a source, he's just a friend. Lance Zerline works

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Speaker 1: at NFL dot com and he's a scout, and he

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Speaker 1: had said c J. Stroud's comp is Jared Goff. And

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Speaker 1: I always felt with Jared Goff, he's really really good.

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Speaker 1: I think he's a top ten twelve quarterback, but he's

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Speaker 1: not good enough to overcome nonsense. And so I thought

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Speaker 1: it was a good comp. I thought c J. Stroud

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Speaker 1: had some Jared Goff abilities but wasn't good enough to

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Speaker 1: overcome nonsense. Well, what's really interesting about that comp? So

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Speaker 1: Jared goff first year was a mess with the Rams,

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Speaker 1: but in his second year when they got him a

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Speaker 1: left tackle, Andrew Whitworth and Sean McVay, twenty eight touchdowns,

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Speaker 1: seven picks and a sixty two percent completion percentage. CJ.

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Speaker 1: Stroud's first year numbers twenty three touchdowns, five picks, sixty

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Speaker 1: four percent completion percentage. Difference is c J. Stroud inherited

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Speaker 1: a great left tackle as a rookie, and he also

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Speaker 1: inherited a really good coach and Demiko Ryans, so Goff

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Speaker 1: was a mess until he got the right coach and

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Speaker 1: the right protection left tackle. So c J. Stroud didn't

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Speaker 1: have to go through that year. But their numbers are

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Speaker 1: very similar. The first time Jared Goff had like legitimate

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Speaker 1: protection and a good coach, he put up similar numbers.

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Speaker 1: And so I think CJ's been terrific, obviously better than

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Speaker 1: most would predict. But I think what's important as I

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Speaker 1: watch c J. Stroud, Obviously, if you get the coach

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Speaker 1: and the quarterback right, you know you're not gonna lose

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Speaker 1: that many games in the NFL, even if you don't

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Speaker 1: love the coach. If you love the quarterback and you

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Speaker 1: like the coach, you're gonna be a playoff team most

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Speaker 1: of the time. But what c J. Stroud or guys

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Speaker 1: like Andrew Luck create is clarity. You're gonna argue for

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Speaker 1: Justin Fields. Watching CJ. Shroud Justin Fields in his third

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Speaker 1: year and c J. Stroud, Daniel Jones, you know these

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Speaker 1: people that argue for their like second tier quarterbacks. It's like,

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Speaker 1: I don't want to hear about drops. You know who

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Speaker 1: had the second most drops in the NFL. C J.

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Speaker 1: Stroud Number one was Patrick Mahomes. Everybody has receivers that

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Speaker 1: drop the ball. Is that when you get a c J. Stroud,

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Speaker 1: it creates clarity for all these fan bases and gms

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Speaker 1: to go, well, this guy can win with an imperfect roster. Now,

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Speaker 1: I do think Houston, and I said this during the offseason.

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Speaker 1: I thought they had a great summer. I thought they

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Speaker 1: had a great draft. So CJ. This may have been

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Speaker 1: a messy organization. But Nick Casario from New England sharp

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Speaker 1: guy Demiko. I was told two years before he became

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Speaker 1: a head coach he's gonna be He was only at

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Speaker 1: San Francisco for three or four years. They moved him

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Speaker 1: from controller to position coach coordinator boomies out. But I

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Speaker 1: think CJ ensures if Demko Ryan stays that they're going

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Speaker 1: to be interesting for a decade plus, and that's all

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Speaker 1: you can hope for super Bowls. Who knows, Jared Goff

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Speaker 1: got to one may never get to another. Who knows

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Speaker 1: a lot of that is circum stance. It's your team healthy,

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Speaker 1: who are you facing? Are you at home? You know?

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Speaker 1: Now Houston has to go on the road, and the

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Speaker 1: quality of play and the quality of quarterback should go up.

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Speaker 1: But Stroud is a terrific player. And I was counting

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Speaker 1: this morning. You know, only about half the league has

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Speaker 1: a franchise quarterback. Now, I think Kaylen Williams will come

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Speaker 1: in and Drake may feel like both those guys could hit.

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Speaker 1: Could but right now, and I didn't count. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if I counted Baker Mayfield. I did count Tua,

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Speaker 1: I did count Derek Carr, I did count Kirk Cousins

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Speaker 1: off an injury. I think I counted Baker Mayfield too.

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Speaker 1: I only have seventeen NFL teams out of thirty two

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Speaker 1: that have franchise quarterbacks, people that they could lean on

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Speaker 1: and say, this is our guy. I don't believe I

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Speaker 1: counted Gino Smith. I didn't. I think Seattle want upgrade.

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Speaker 1: But I mean, before C. J. Stroud hit and Jordan

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Speaker 1: Love hit, you know you're looking at like half the league.

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Speaker 1: Now it's slightly above half the league has a franchise quarterback.

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Speaker 1: So it's hard, you know, it's I just don't think fans.

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Speaker 1: I think you mostly get it, but it is nobody

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Speaker 1: I knew two scouts that really like c J. Stroud

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Speaker 1: and I have texted him throughout the course of the

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Speaker 1: year and they're like, he was this good. We didn't

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Speaker 1: see this, and so what you have to do with

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Speaker 1: quarnerback play, you know, you cross your fingers, you look

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Speaker 1: at traits and the thing that jumps out. With c J. Stroud,

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Speaker 1: he didn't have a lot of juice athletically. He doesn't

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Speaker 1: run around a lot, but he is effortlessly and unmistakably accurate.

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Speaker 1: He just throws a beautiful, accurate ball. He doesn't miss

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Speaker 1: very often. He missed on one deep ball today, but

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Speaker 1: the receiver stopped running, so I don't necessarily blame that

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Speaker 1: entirely on him. But he's just kind of a quiet,

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Speaker 1: confident kid. He can throw setting his feet. When he

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Speaker 1: missed a throw and didn't miss it throw. He had

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Speaker 1: an incompletion near the goal line in the first quarter.

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Speaker 1: He was first quarter and it was just it's a

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Speaker 1: nondescript play that won't get discussed. But he rolled out

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Speaker 1: to the right and of the goal line and the

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Speaker 1: ball was batted down. But running to his right, he

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Speaker 1: threw a ball low nobody could get it. As they

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Speaker 1: always say in the NFL near the goal line, throw

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Speaker 1: it low at the end of the end zone, in

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Speaker 1: the back of the end zone, keep it high so

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Speaker 1: it doesn't get intercepted. But his ability to move quickly,

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Speaker 1: roll and throw it in this little football sized space.

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Speaker 1: Now it was knocked away by a Cleveland corner, but

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Speaker 1: it was literally a perfect throw in this small little

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Speaker 1: area that you don't direct many passes in down in

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Speaker 1: the dirt, and that's a play that it doesn't end

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Speaker 1: up in the box score. It's an incompletion. Nobody cares

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Speaker 1: about it, nobody discusses it. But he makes it look

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Speaker 1: so easy on screens, drag routes, the stuff that should

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Speaker 1: be easy for him. It's like Mahomes, it's just layup

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Speaker 1: drill time. So it's exciting for Houston. They got a

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Speaker 1: great baseball franchise and now they've got a star quarterback.

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Speaker 1: And you know, he's obviously right now playing as a

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Speaker 1: top ten quarterback. But you know, and you know, I

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Speaker 1: like Kyler Murray much more than most people. I like

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Speaker 1: Jared Goff much more than most people. But and Trevor

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Speaker 1: Lawrence regressed this year. Maybe I've been too high on him.

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Speaker 1: I've always thought of him as a top seven quarterback.

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Speaker 1: I like Herbert think he's a top five or six guy. Again,

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Speaker 1: he has to get a legitimate coach, But I think

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Speaker 1: you can say with some confidence c J. Stroud, his

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Speaker 1: ability to sit in the pocket, throw accurately, his size,

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Speaker 1: his mechanics, he looks like a top ten guy. Maybe

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Speaker 1: near the bottom of it, but it looks like a

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Speaker 1: top ten guy. I don't think that's being hyperbolic or

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Speaker 1: overstated anything. He's just a big, tall, accurate, easy thrower.

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Speaker 1: He's got a good, solid body. It's fun. This stuff

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Speaker 1: is fun on Don't you stop worrying about being right

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Speaker 1: and concentrate more in getting it right. Sports is a

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Speaker 1: lot of fun. I love making predictions. I thought the

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Speaker 1: Jared Goff comp was reasonable, but left tackle coach, they're

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Speaker 1: hitting a couple of draft picks at wide receiver text

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Speaker 1: under a fun team, it's not easy to get in

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Speaker 1: over forty points in a playoff game. Meanwhile, for Cleveland,

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Speaker 1: they're a bit of a mess. I don't even want

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Speaker 1: to talk about Cleveland. I mean, I like their coach

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Speaker 1: and I like their GM, but the Deshaun Watson situation,

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Speaker 1: you know I'm sitting there, you know, who I was

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Speaker 1: already thinking about watching this game. Beyond the Texans was

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Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers. So just in the AFC, now you

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Speaker 1: have c J. Stroud, Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, Mahomes, Josh Allen,

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Speaker 1: Justin Herbert, with legitimate coach Trevor Lawrence, and Pittsburgh sitting

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Speaker 1: there with Kenny Pickett trying to convince themselves. Yeah that's

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Speaker 1: the guy, Kenny Pickett. Mason Rudolph looked better than Kenny Pickett.

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Speaker 1: So again that goes into the Daniel Jones justin fields

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Speaker 1: you're trying to convince yourself stuff. That's just not true

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Speaker 1: for c J. Stroud to be this confident, this accurate,

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Speaker 1: and this effortless. Look at your quarterback, what year is

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Speaker 1: he in? And it's not like the Texans. I mean

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Speaker 1: a year ago we were laughing at him. They were

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Speaker 1: the most dysfunctional organization in sports. Now they hit on

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Speaker 1: some right people upstairs, sidelines quarterback, But I mean c J. Stroud,

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Speaker 1: look around. If you're the Steelers, that's another quarterback in

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Speaker 1: the AFC. Big Ben retires and it's like there was

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Speaker 1: a long stretch between Bradshaw and big Ben a lot

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Speaker 1: of years without super and when I look at c. J. Stroud,

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Speaker 1: I'm like, oh, that's just another really good quarterback. Teams

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Speaker 1: like the Steelers have to get through. And the other

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Speaker 1: thing that's encouraging is so with c. J. Stroud and

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love both hitting this year, Jordan Love later in

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Speaker 1: the season, we have two more franchise quarterbacks. And you

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Speaker 1: know what, and I know it, nothing is worse than

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Speaker 1: watching football in the NFL or college with bad quarterback play.

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Speaker 1: So it looks like we got two more young franchise

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks not even in their prime yet Jordan Loved, c J.

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Speaker 1: Stroud probably a year away from their prime going into it.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty cool. Well instant reaction on the Chiefs drubbing

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Speaker 1: of the Miami Dolphins. I thought Miami would give a

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Speaker 1: much better effort. It was really kind of wave the

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Speaker 1: white flag early in the third quarter. And you know,

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Speaker 1: I can't really blame their defense because they're missing six starters.

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Speaker 1: But so let me get this straight. On two, he's small,

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Speaker 1: doesn't have a great arm up the sideline, not athletic,

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Speaker 1: has some injuries and now can only play in ideal conditions.

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Speaker 1: So he has to have home games throughout the playoffs

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Speaker 1: to be formidable. So I mean doesn't mean you're going

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Speaker 1: to get rid of him, but I think you have

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Speaker 1: to look to the future and understand what he is.

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Speaker 1: I mean, his record in December and January is not good.

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Speaker 1: His record in September and October is good, and that's okay.

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Speaker 1: You know, he is a quarterback that's more than capable.

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Speaker 1: I mean, he made a Pro Bowl over Josh Allen. Now,

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Speaker 1: I think the Pro Bowl's nonsense. I think awards, Oscars, Emmys,

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of it's nonsense. Plaques don't make

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Speaker 1: the player. Everybody knows that. But you know, I mean

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Speaker 1: I think you look at too, and it's like, what

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Speaker 1: one skill does he have over Josh Allen? Really, So

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Speaker 1: you just have to know going forward there's limitations to

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Speaker 1: what he can do, especially late in the season. And

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Speaker 1: Miami to a large degree. Again, I thought they'd play

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Speaker 1: much better tonight. I thought it would be lower scoring.

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Speaker 1: I thought the Chiefs offense was highly functional, and I'll

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Speaker 1: get to that in a second. But considering the conditions

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Speaker 1: highly functional tonight, especially after you know, a couple of

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Speaker 1: rocky drives to start players getting used to the cold,

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Speaker 1: then I thought, second half second corner. Pretty good. But

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Speaker 1: you know, I think Miami was when I said they

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Speaker 1: were all season. They're fun. I like watching them, I

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Speaker 1: like their coach, I like Tyreek Hill. Two is fine.

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Speaker 1: They're a convertible sports car. They're just not built for

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Speaker 1: December and January. You know, they're just not built for

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Speaker 1: this type of weather. So quarterbacks, none of them love

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Speaker 1: playing in this weather. Brady liked cold weather because he

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Speaker 1: said when it was slippery, defensive lineman couldn't get a

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Speaker 1: pass rush. Most quarterbacks don't love it. But I mean

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Speaker 1: the difference between the great ones and guys you don't

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Speaker 1: give an extension to are can you overcome? Can you

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Speaker 1: play in bad elements? Can you play hurt? Can you

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Speaker 1: play against the great pass rush? Can you play when

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Speaker 1: your left tackle is a swinging door? So I think

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Speaker 1: two is just a quarterback that when everything's lined up perfectly,

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Speaker 1: he can play. But you saw c J. Stroud earlier today, bigger, stronger,

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Speaker 1: better arm. Now again, weather's different, but you look at

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Speaker 1: c J. Stroud, there's nothing you're really missing there. Big arm, sideline,

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Speaker 1: seize the field, get get rid of it, can throw

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Speaker 1: on the move, can move a little. There's just nothing

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Speaker 1: you don't like, and with two there's not a lot

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Speaker 1: I love. He is a warm weather quarterback. When things

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Speaker 1: are ideal, he can put up some good numbers with

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Speaker 1: a world class receiving corps and Mike McDaniel, who's a

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Speaker 1: really smart offensive coach. But things have to be right.

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Speaker 1: You know. It's interesting when I was watching to teams

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Speaker 1: will tell you what they think of their players by

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Speaker 1: the play calling, and so Mike McDaniel's play calling was

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Speaker 1: super conservative in the second half. Well, that's telling you

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Speaker 1: he doesn't trust him. So you know, you can tell

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Speaker 1: when you watch Mahomes and c. J. Stroud their coaches

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Speaker 1: trust him. They trust them cognitively, they trust them physically,

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Speaker 1: they trust them, you know, in crisis situations, high leverage situations.

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Speaker 1: I'm watching Mike McDaniel's play calling. He didn't want to

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Speaker 1: in a throw. He didn't want him to sit in

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Speaker 1: the pocket his bubble screens. So that's a tell in poker,

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Speaker 1: that's a tell, you know. In terms of Kansas City.

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Speaker 1: You know, we've said that Kansas City's receiving core Rashi

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Speaker 1: Rice has developed into a really solid one. He's not

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Speaker 1: a profound or a dynamic one. But he's a strong, thick,

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Speaker 1: hard to bring down receiver. He is their one. Travis

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Speaker 1: Kelcey's their one tight end. After that, you know, it's

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Speaker 1: a bunch of middling guys. So I don't think it

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Speaker 1: feels like a super Bowl team. I think they would

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Speaker 1: really struggle to go into Baltimore, play San Francisco and win.

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Speaker 1: But smart people, over time figure stuff out. And you know,

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Speaker 1: Kansas City's got some of the smartest people in the NFL, scouts,

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Speaker 1: GM coach, quarterback in the LAGU. It's a really bright

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Speaker 1: football operation and they have figured out a way to

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Speaker 1: make that offense mostly work. I thought the second half,

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Speaker 1: second quarter, second half of the second quarter, and second half,

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Speaker 1: considering the conditions, I thought the Chiefs looked great. Ran

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Speaker 1: the ball, passed it effectively. I mean, you're throwing a

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Speaker 1: rock around in that weather, but I thought it was

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Speaker 1: pretty impressive. This is the best defense Mahomes has played with.

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Speaker 1: They get a good pass rush. So you know, smart

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Speaker 1: people over time figure out how to make businesses more

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Speaker 1: functional and operate them at a higher level. So I

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Speaker 1: always trust the Baltimore's and the San Francisco's and the

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Speaker 1: Kansas City's. They've just got bright people everywhere, and I

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Speaker 1: thought the Chiefs looked pretty impressive considering the conditions. I

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Speaker 1: looked at the Chiefs to night and I thought, wow,

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Speaker 1: that is a much better offensive output functionality than I

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Speaker 1: would have guessed for the weather. Miami just and again,

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Speaker 1: it's not like Miami made the playoffs. I had predicted

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Speaker 1: Buffalo and win the division, Miami would be a wildcard team.

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Speaker 1: And then over the course of the year, I said

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Speaker 1: I liked them, but they'll have to play at home.

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Speaker 1: I just didn't really. I just got fun, fake flashy,

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Speaker 1: you know. I kept calling them the fake Gucci bag.

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Speaker 1: You know, it looks right, it looks real, but in

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Speaker 1: closer inspection it's not. It's a fraud. I think that's

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Speaker 1: who Miami is. They beat one team winning team this year.

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Speaker 1: I believe the Dallas Cowboys, a team that fumbled on

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Speaker 1: a goal line handoffer would have gone up fourteen to three,

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Speaker 1: and a team Dallas that doesn't play particularly well against

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Speaker 1: winning teams on the road. So I think if you

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Speaker 1: look back at the season for Miami, it's an offensive

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Speaker 1: leaning franchise. Injuries attrition absolutely hurt them on the defensive side.

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Speaker 1: That's not an excuse. That's a reason they had six

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Speaker 1: starters out. There's nothing they can do. But it wasn't

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Speaker 1: much of an effort offensively tonight. If I'm a Dolphin fan,

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Speaker 1: I'm worried about the offense. I mean, look at the

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Speaker 1: calling for Tua. They look terrified to have him throw

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Speaker 1: with Hyreek, Jaylen Waddle, Wilson so and if you look

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Speaker 1: at Kansas City, Baltimore, Kansas City, Buffalo, I like Houston.

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Speaker 1: I think their season ends next week. Baltimore, Buffalo, Kansas

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Speaker 1: City pretty well run teams the last half decade, you know,

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Speaker 1: I mean, well even longer than that. But we're not surprised, right,

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Speaker 1: all these games, all the weather, all the injuries, Bills,

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City and Lamar Jackson and

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Speaker 1: the Ravens looked like the top three teams and a

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Speaker 1: really fun surprising story. C J. Stroud, you know, three predictable,

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Speaker 1: one surprise. And so tomorrow, you know, we go into

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Speaker 1: the NFC games, and again I think Dallas beats Green

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Speaker 1: Bay a lot of scoring. I think the Rams slip

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Speaker 1: past Detroit. I think we'll see some scoring. And then

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Speaker 1: on Monday, I do think we're going to see Philadelphia

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Speaker 1: beating the Bucks. I know what you're saying, Colin. You

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Speaker 1: already have the Bills beating the Steelers. Yeah, I know,

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Speaker 1: I do. Yes, Yes, I know I do. I'm fully

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Speaker 1: aware of that. I mean, you could take the ten points,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, I'm gonna go with Josh Allen over Mason Rudolph.

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Speaker 1: So on interesting Saturday, one semi surprise. Certainly, the outcome

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Speaker 1: in Houston was a surprise and a surprising lack of

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Speaker 1: effort by the Miami Dolphins. It's not like you cut Tua.

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Speaker 1: You're not going to cut him. You know, he's an

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Speaker 1: effective quarterback. You just have to take a deep breath

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Speaker 1: and the expectations have to be more realistic. I think

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Speaker 1: the people in the building have realistic expectations on Tua.

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure all the fans do or the Miami

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Speaker 1: media does, but I think Mike McDaniel and the guys

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Speaker 1: upstairs in Miami they kind of know what they have.

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Speaker 1: You can tell from the play calling, the play designed tonight.

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Speaker 1: They kind of know what they have. The volume