1
00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:02,520
Speaker 1: This episode is presented by Yahoo Fantasy.

2
00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:07,080
Speaker 2: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.

3
00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:10,559
Speaker 3: At five dollars.

4
00:00:10,560 --> 00:00:11,560
Speaker 4: This is a rattle up.

5
00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:13,520
Speaker 3: The table.

6
00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:19,960
Speaker 2: You're saying that humans need fantasy to.

7
00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:21,040
Speaker 5: Make my bearable.

8
00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:24,320
Speaker 2: Humans need fantasy to be.

9
00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:34,000
Speaker 4: My goodness, nice, prone, best, relentless, refusing to give up.

10
00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:39,880
Speaker 2: All right, hit that horn, very bless sot on everybody.

11
00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:42,520
Speaker 2: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast.

12
00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:47,159
Speaker 1: From the Action Network of Fantasy Labs, presented by Yahoo Fantasy.

13
00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:51,080
Speaker 1: I am your host, Chris Raybon, and today we are live.

14
00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:57,400
Speaker 1: We're gonna discuss some NFL season long crops, and as

15
00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:00,440
Speaker 1: always I am joined by one of the most accurate

16
00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:03,720
Speaker 1: rankers in the past decade plus. Who better to do

17
00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:08,160
Speaker 1: it with? The odds maker, Sean Turner. Sean, what's going on?

18
00:01:08,920 --> 00:01:11,480
Speaker 4: What's up? I feel like this concludes our you know,

19
00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:15,160
Speaker 4: our off season. We're finally giving out our props. A

20
00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:16,960
Speaker 4: lot of the props I'm giving up are guys that

21
00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:20,559
Speaker 4: you know we've been talking about for months now, starting

22
00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:21,880
Speaker 4: to transition to week one.

23
00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,080
Speaker 2: But how you doing? Oh, I'm feeling good.

24
00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:28,040
Speaker 1: We got practice squads, we got we got rosters. Man,

25
00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:31,399
Speaker 1: I can really walk into these projections. I'll have some,

26
00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:34,080
Speaker 1: we'll have props on We'll have three props on the show.

27
00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:36,759
Speaker 1: I'll have some more after, so be sure to check

28
00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:39,280
Speaker 1: for that. But we also got another special guest with

29
00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:43,880
Speaker 1: us today. The doctor is in, doctor Nick Giffen. Nick,

30
00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,920
Speaker 1: glad to have you on the show. What's going on, brother, dude.

31
00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:51,280
Speaker 5: Just like Shana sand I mean, we're transitioning to actually

32
00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:55,480
Speaker 5: giving out picks and props on NFL regular season football.

33
00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:56,160
Speaker 3: It's exciting.

34
00:01:56,640 --> 00:02:00,800
Speaker 5: Also, we got a big new Luck rankings update coming

35
00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:04,120
Speaker 5: in the coming days, so I'll be using some of

36
00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:07,320
Speaker 5: that stuff to gauge some of my props that I'm

37
00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:08,440
Speaker 5: giving out here on this show.

38
00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:10,320
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, all right, we're gonna get right into it.

39
00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:12,839
Speaker 1: Just remind you the Ultimate twenty twenty five Fantasy Draft

40
00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:14,960
Speaker 1: Kit is here. If you're drafting this weekend, Kerner and

41
00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:17,639
Speaker 1: I got you covered, rankings, tears, chee cheats, and more

42
00:02:17,919 --> 00:02:21,400
Speaker 1: to help you crush your fantasy weeks in twenty twenty five.

43
00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:26,440
Speaker 1: It's over at Fantasy Labs NFL. New subscribers and use

44
00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:29,240
Speaker 1: code flex twenty for twenty dollars off at Fantasy labs

45
00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:32,040
Speaker 1: dot com slash flex. That's twenty dollars off with code

46
00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:36,560
Speaker 1: fl e x two zero at Fantasy Labs dot com

47
00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:41,280
Speaker 1: slash flex. All right, for today's show, we're gonna have

48
00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:45,720
Speaker 1: some NFL season long props and then, as I mentioned,

49
00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:46,280
Speaker 1: we're coming at you.

50
00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:47,840
Speaker 2: I'm so hopefully you get the best numbers.

51
00:02:47,840 --> 00:02:52,680
Speaker 1: But the absolute best way to get the best numbers,

52
00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:56,080
Speaker 1: the best bets all season long, you gotta be an

53
00:02:56,080 --> 00:02:59,480
Speaker 1: Actra pro subscriber. Have your notifications turned on. That way

54
00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:02,640
Speaker 1: is soon is we track these props, you will get

55
00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:06,720
Speaker 1: a notification and that will be important tonight because after

56
00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:11,639
Speaker 1: the show today we'll be dropping additional props. At least

57
00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:15,480
Speaker 1: I'll have fogs more props at our handles in the app,

58
00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:19,240
Speaker 1: at my handle in the app at Chris Raybond, So

59
00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:21,640
Speaker 1: be sure to check that out. Do it about an

60
00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:23,320
Speaker 1: hour after the show. So make sure you download the

61
00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:27,080
Speaker 1: app if you don't have it already. Turner, Nick, we'll

62
00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:29,520
Speaker 1: see if they drop or dropping some goodness too. They

63
00:03:29,560 --> 00:03:34,720
Speaker 1: always are two of the highest ROI betters that I've

64
00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:39,520
Speaker 1: ever witnessed, you know, So make sure that you go

65
00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:43,440
Speaker 1: and download the Action app using link of the episode

66
00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:44,600
Speaker 1: description the.

67
00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:46,720
Speaker 2: Download and I should immediately. All right, let's get started.

68
00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:54,040
Speaker 2: Don Turner NFL, Right, what props be going with number one?

69
00:03:54,160 --> 00:03:58,000
Speaker 4: Let's do it. I'm gonna go with our boy, Cooper Cup.

70
00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:02,080
Speaker 4: Under seven hundred and a half receiving yards. You can

71
00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:06,320
Speaker 4: get that at minus one fourteen over at FanDuel. But Chris,

72
00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:09,040
Speaker 4: the first question you asked me about Cooper Cup a

73
00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:12,240
Speaker 4: few months ago was how many tide pods deep is

74
00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:15,000
Speaker 4: Cooper Cup? And I think your answer was indefinite, right,

75
00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:18,320
Speaker 4: like you didn't even have a number, just too many deep.

76
00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:21,919
Speaker 4: I agree, because you know, he was starting to show

77
00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:24,880
Speaker 4: some serious signs of decline in his age thirty one

78
00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:28,280
Speaker 4: season last year with the Rams, and they just moved

79
00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:32,000
Speaker 4: on from him Cold Turkey. They basically cut him. Now

80
00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:35,679
Speaker 4: he's with Seattle, but you know, he was bottom fifth

81
00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:39,719
Speaker 4: percentile and man end press success rate according to reception perception,

82
00:04:40,880 --> 00:04:44,880
Speaker 4: just really gruesome metrics there. He's really become more of

83
00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:46,839
Speaker 4: just a slot only type of receiver, and that could

84
00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:48,800
Speaker 4: be an issue in Seattle because they're going to be

85
00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:53,200
Speaker 4: running a ton of heavy personnel two wide receiver sets.

86
00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:56,560
Speaker 4: They kept four tight ends and two fullbacks, so I

87
00:04:56,560 --> 00:04:58,919
Speaker 4: think this is going to be a very run heavy

88
00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:02,560
Speaker 4: team with two wide receiver sets, and I think, you know,

89
00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:06,960
Speaker 4: fifth round rookie Tory Horton is going to push Cooper

90
00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:10,039
Speaker 4: Cup from the get go for snaps. So you know,

91
00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:13,200
Speaker 4: I don't think Cup's going to be running seventy eighty

92
00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:17,280
Speaker 4: percent snaps towards you know, the end of the season.

93
00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:20,120
Speaker 4: So I think there's some downside there. But you know,

94
00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:22,200
Speaker 4: Seattle is going to be a very run heavy team,

95
00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:24,840
Speaker 4: and I think they're going to be really efficient with

96
00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:28,680
Speaker 4: Kenneth Walker and Zach Charboney, So that's going to take

97
00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:31,719
Speaker 4: away from some of the passing offense. And this defense

98
00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:34,680
Speaker 4: could be elite, which will just even further, you know,

99
00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,440
Speaker 4: the run heaviness of this offense. So I just think

100
00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:40,960
Speaker 4: there's a ton of downside here with Cupp in this

101
00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:45,360
Speaker 4: environment heading into his age thirty two season, where we're

102
00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:48,760
Speaker 4: already seeing some pretty sharp decline. So give me Cooper

103
00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:52,279
Speaker 4: Cup under seven hundred and a half receiving yards.

104
00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:57,520
Speaker 1: Oh man, Yeah, Cooper Cup tiede Pod Bleach all that

105
00:05:57,560 --> 00:06:03,599
Speaker 1: he's done. I mean, I don't for y'all out there,

106
00:06:04,080 --> 00:06:06,800
Speaker 1: I don't know if I've ever seen Kerner have this

107
00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:07,799
Speaker 1: many bullet points.

108
00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:11,279
Speaker 2: I'm looking at the show out wine. It looks like

109
00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:12,800
Speaker 2: the take commandments.

110
00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:15,200
Speaker 4: Or would disagree.

111
00:06:16,880 --> 00:06:19,960
Speaker 1: I mean, hey, yeah, you you convict that you have

112
00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:23,360
Speaker 1: if you're playing it for conviction, and I dig it.

113
00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:26,240
Speaker 1: So uh yeah, Cooper Cup is a fame for me

114
00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:29,360
Speaker 1: as well. I'll go up next and then Nick, I'll

115
00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:32,039
Speaker 1: let you close us out with prop number one. So

116
00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:35,840
Speaker 1: mine is going to be Brice Hall under five and

117
00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:40,560
Speaker 1: a half rushing touchdowns minus won fifty at DraftKings. He's

118
00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:45,120
Speaker 1: got a career high of five and he played at

119
00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:48,160
Speaker 1: sixteen and seventeen games the last two years after an

120
00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:52,400
Speaker 1: abbreviated rookie year. Now he's looking at a situation where

121
00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,960
Speaker 1: he might be pressed or even surpassed for carries by

122
00:06:56,600 --> 00:07:00,600
Speaker 1: Braylen Allen behind him. We've seen Tanner Engstring kind of play,

123
00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:04,039
Speaker 1: you know, do that with DeAndre Swift was moving work

124
00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:07,120
Speaker 1: and kind of entered into more of a committee as well.

125
00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:10,800
Speaker 1: So there is precedent here and Allen could see more

126
00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:14,200
Speaker 1: goal line work justin fields as well. So you know,

127
00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:16,160
Speaker 1: this is not going to be easy for Brestaw to

128
00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:19,200
Speaker 1: get over his career high because even though the Jets

129
00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:21,600
Speaker 1: are going to be what I would suspect to be

130
00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:24,480
Speaker 1: a run heavier team this year than they were with Rogers.

131
00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:29,480
Speaker 1: It's still gonna be hard for Halt perhaps to you know,

132
00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:33,240
Speaker 1: hit his same volume numbers again, you expected to miss

133
00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:35,640
Speaker 1: two to three games, not just the one he missed

134
00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,200
Speaker 1: over the past two years. And you could have two

135
00:07:38,480 --> 00:07:42,240
Speaker 1: guys in his quarterback and his backup or maybe you

136
00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:45,000
Speaker 1: know the guy he's you know, gets jumped by in

137
00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:48,480
Speaker 1: Braylen Allen seeing more goal on work. So fading Breese

138
00:07:48,520 --> 00:07:51,640
Speaker 1: Hall on the touchdown numbers under five and a half

139
00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:58,040
Speaker 1: Russian scores for me for bree Nick, given you you

140
00:07:58,120 --> 00:08:01,600
Speaker 1: were killing it on this pod last year, he had

141
00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:02,880
Speaker 1: some some really nice hits.

142
00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:05,800
Speaker 2: So where are you going for twenty twenty five pro

143
00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:06,480
Speaker 2: number one?

144
00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:07,119
Speaker 3: Yeah?

145
00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:13,640
Speaker 5: Well, last year, you know I gave Baker most interceptions

146
00:08:13,920 --> 00:08:15,600
Speaker 5: he dead heated for that one. Two years ago I

147
00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:18,240
Speaker 5: gave twenty two to one most passing yards.

148
00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:19,400
Speaker 3: He led the league there.

149
00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:21,680
Speaker 5: So I'll give my long shot in the next pick.

150
00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:23,960
Speaker 5: But for this one, I'm actually gonna go to a

151
00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:24,680
Speaker 5: team prop.

152
00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:26,160
Speaker 3: It's a little scary.

153
00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:29,920
Speaker 5: Taken an over, but I'm gonna take the Arizona Cardinals

154
00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:34,000
Speaker 5: over four hundred and a half points. On the season.

155
00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:36,480
Speaker 5: I think there is a like a three ninety seven,

156
00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:38,080
Speaker 5: but it's juiced up a little, So I prefer the

157
00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:39,920
Speaker 5: over four hundred and a half at minus one ten.

158
00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:45,520
Speaker 5: But this Arizona Cardinals offense is the same offense as

159
00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:49,480
Speaker 5: last year. I mean literally every starter is back, and

160
00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:52,960
Speaker 5: they scored four hundred points last year, and they should

161
00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:55,520
Speaker 5: have scored round four hundred and twenty and a half

162
00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:58,840
Speaker 5: by our expected score, So there's room for positive regression.

163
00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:01,720
Speaker 5: And this was our new improved expected scores, which is

164
00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:05,240
Speaker 5: part of our Luck rankings update. So you know, when

165
00:09:05,280 --> 00:09:08,439
Speaker 5: you've got the number four offensive line in terms of

166
00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,440
Speaker 5: pass block grade, the top half offensive line and run

167
00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:14,960
Speaker 5: block and all your key offensive pieces, Marvin Harrison Junior,

168
00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:18,920
Speaker 5: all your wide receivers, Michael Wilson's A Jones, Trey McBride

169
00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:22,160
Speaker 5: at tight end, James Connor back at running back. Right, like,

170
00:09:22,240 --> 00:09:26,240
Speaker 5: the whole team is intact. And so when we look

171
00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:28,640
Speaker 5: at that and we already say, okay, this team should

172
00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:30,000
Speaker 5: have scored around four hundred.

173
00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:32,000
Speaker 3: And twenty points last year, and now we.

174
00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:35,960
Speaker 5: See a schedule upgrade for this offense, I really like

175
00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:38,240
Speaker 5: this over as long as Kyler stays healthy. In the

176
00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:42,600
Speaker 5: schedule upgrade, they're facing overall easier defenses. Last year, the

177
00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:46,840
Speaker 5: defenses they faced gave up a combined more than seven

178
00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:50,800
Speaker 5: thousand expected points. This year, those the defenses the will

179
00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:55,920
Speaker 5: be facing, gave up around six and forty combined points

180
00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:58,120
Speaker 5: last year. Now you could say, okay, well what about

181
00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:01,200
Speaker 5: those defenses this year? Well, those defense this year also

182
00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:06,160
Speaker 5: on average, our net negative spenders on defense spending around

183
00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,280
Speaker 5: seven million dollars less on defense when you look at

184
00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:14,080
Speaker 5: free agency and draft capital spend, including six games against

185
00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:18,000
Speaker 5: teams that have spent nine million dollars less UH and

186
00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:22,720
Speaker 5: nine games against net negative defensive spending teams. So again,

187
00:10:22,960 --> 00:10:26,440
Speaker 5: as long as Kyler Murray stays healthy, I strongly believe

188
00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:28,240
Speaker 5: this clears the biggest.

189
00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:29,120
Speaker 3: Question is does he stay healthy?

190
00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,760
Speaker 5: Well, he has in three of his NFL seasons, and

191
00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:35,240
Speaker 5: I know you know that means three seasons he hasn't.

192
00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:37,360
Speaker 5: But really it was one injury from twenty twenty two

193
00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:40,560
Speaker 5: to twenty twenty three that carried over that compromised two

194
00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:43,920
Speaker 5: seasons in one. So I think there's a very good

195
00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:47,240
Speaker 5: chance that Kyler Murray plays all seventeen games, And even

196
00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:50,880
Speaker 5: if he doesn't, Kobe Brissette is definitely an upgrade in

197
00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:54,800
Speaker 5: the backup quarterback department, but hopefully they won't need him here.

198
00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:56,400
Speaker 5: So I'm going to go over four hundred and a

199
00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:58,400
Speaker 5: half total points for the Arizona Cardinals.

200
00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:02,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, Kyer was coming off an injury.

201
00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:04,959
Speaker 1: Now now he's another year removed, and he has said

202
00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:07,480
Speaker 1: that he wants to run more, which I mean, I

203
00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:10,000
Speaker 1: guess could be a double edged sword because it probably

204
00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:11,760
Speaker 1: increases the injury risk. But I think that's when the

205
00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:13,719
Speaker 1: Cardinals offense, it's truly at its best.

206
00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:14,319
Speaker 2: Kyle is a.

207
00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:18,439
Speaker 1: Special runner as a quarterback and some very very good

208
00:11:18,440 --> 00:11:21,240
Speaker 1: efficiency numbers doing that, So I think that'll open things up.

209
00:11:22,040 --> 00:11:24,280
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to prop number two.

210
00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:28,320
Speaker 1: Sean, I'm already jealous of yours, so it's not everybody

211
00:11:28,360 --> 00:11:28,760
Speaker 1: about it.

212
00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:33,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Javonte Williams under five hundred

213
00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:36,920
Speaker 4: and a half rushing yards. Although good looks Raybaond. It

214
00:11:36,960 --> 00:11:39,960
Speaker 4: looks like, you know, Caesars is offering five twenty five

215
00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:43,480
Speaker 4: and a half, so you know, a lot of odds there,

216
00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:45,520
Speaker 4: But I mean, I don't even know if we're gonna

217
00:11:45,520 --> 00:11:49,000
Speaker 4: need those twenty five yards, right, But you know, Javante

218
00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:52,240
Speaker 4: should be the Cowboys starting running back in week one,

219
00:11:52,320 --> 00:11:54,320
Speaker 4: which is why we're getting this prop. I think they're

220
00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:56,440
Speaker 4: just offering a prop for every starting running back. So

221
00:11:56,480 --> 00:12:00,120
Speaker 4: that's good news for us there, But beyond that, I

222
00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:02,280
Speaker 4: don't know if he's going to you know, keep this job,

223
00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:04,840
Speaker 4: even though the depth behind him is kind of shaky.

224
00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:09,000
Speaker 4: You know, he has Miles Sanders backing him up. I'm

225
00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:12,280
Speaker 4: pretty high on you know, fifth round rookie Jayden Blue.

226
00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:15,319
Speaker 4: I think he could really push Javonte, you know, as

227
00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:17,400
Speaker 4: soon as week one, so I think he's going to

228
00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:21,599
Speaker 4: have some competition for touches. But Javonte, he really struggled

229
00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:23,520
Speaker 4: in Denver last year and that was one of the

230
00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:25,840
Speaker 4: better O lines in the league. So, you know, going

231
00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:28,000
Speaker 4: to Dallas, it's a it's a downgrade in terms of

232
00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:31,040
Speaker 4: offensive line. I think they're probably going to be more

233
00:12:31,080 --> 00:12:33,840
Speaker 4: pass heavy than they want this year, especially you know,

234
00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:36,960
Speaker 4: if Micah Parsons hold out, spills into the season or

235
00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:40,079
Speaker 4: they lose him, you know, the defense could allow more

236
00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:42,719
Speaker 4: pass heavy game scripts. So just a lot to not

237
00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:45,360
Speaker 4: like about Javonte. If anything, he could be more of

238
00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:48,000
Speaker 4: the pass catching back in this backfield. I think that

239
00:12:48,040 --> 00:12:49,600
Speaker 4: could end up being his sweet spot.

240
00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:51,079
Speaker 2: But I think, you.

241
00:12:51,040 --> 00:12:53,880
Speaker 4: Know, five hundred five to twenty five, whatever number you

242
00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:55,800
Speaker 4: can get. I think it's way too high for Javonte.

243
00:12:55,920 --> 00:12:59,360
Speaker 4: His floor is in the basement. I think there was

244
00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:01,640
Speaker 4: like a hand full of games last year, right, he

245
00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:04,880
Speaker 4: had like ten plus carries with less than twenty yards.

246
00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:08,360
Speaker 4: Just extremely inefficient. He has been inefficient ever since his

247
00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:11,839
Speaker 4: twenty twenty two acl tair. You know, I was pretty

248
00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:13,360
Speaker 4: high on him then, but just he hasn't been the

249
00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:16,240
Speaker 4: same since. So I'm gonna gout to Javonte Williams fade

250
00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:19,560
Speaker 4: under five hundred or five hundred and twenty five and

251
00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:20,679
Speaker 4: a half rushing yards here.

252
00:13:21,840 --> 00:13:22,120
Speaker 2: Yeah.

253
00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:25,880
Speaker 1: He started the season eight for twenty three, eleven for seventeen,

254
00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:28,480
Speaker 1: five for twelve. That was his first three games. Then

255
00:13:28,480 --> 00:13:30,920
Speaker 1: he had another a four game stretch where he had

256
00:13:30,960 --> 00:13:33,439
Speaker 1: one carry for one yard. Then he had a decent

257
00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:36,080
Speaker 1: nine for fifty nine, but then eight for negative two

258
00:13:36,520 --> 00:13:39,840
Speaker 1: and four for one all in a four game spin.

259
00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:41,600
Speaker 2: He had three games.

260
00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:46,640
Speaker 1: With one or fewer yards on a combined fourteen carries.

261
00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:48,520
Speaker 2: So yeah, he's and he.

262
00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:51,280
Speaker 1: Closed it out with six for fifty four for twenty four,

263
00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:52,920
Speaker 1: zero for zero, five for twenty eight.

264
00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:56,200
Speaker 2: So yeah, it's it was all year it was just

265
00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:57,559
Speaker 2: that that same kind of thing.

266
00:13:57,600 --> 00:14:02,079
Speaker 1: And this is the team that gave us Dalvin Cook

267
00:14:02,679 --> 00:14:04,640
Speaker 1: last year practice god call up. This is the team

268
00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:06,720
Speaker 1: that gave us a zeke E Elliott last year. So

269
00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:10,760
Speaker 1: it's actually good that they are starting him. That means

270
00:14:10,800 --> 00:14:14,480
Speaker 1: he's gonna do terribly all Right, I'm gonna go with

271
00:14:14,640 --> 00:14:18,440
Speaker 1: a guy that actually, well, I like watching him play,

272
00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:20,680
Speaker 1: but I do think that we have to kind of

273
00:14:20,680 --> 00:14:22,200
Speaker 1: temper our expectations this year.

274
00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:22,960
Speaker 2: That's Baker Mayfield.

275
00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:27,120
Speaker 1: I'm going under thirty and a half passing touchdowns at Fandy.

276
00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:29,000
Speaker 1: You can get it at minus one fifty eight. I

277
00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:32,240
Speaker 1: like it at under twenty nine and a half as well,

278
00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:35,480
Speaker 1: if that's what your sports book is offering. But Baker

279
00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:37,440
Speaker 1: Mayv has been under this number every year of his

280
00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:41,160
Speaker 1: career until last year, and remember that was with Leen

281
00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:45,120
Speaker 1: Cohen who's now in Jacksonville. He had a career high

282
00:14:45,280 --> 00:14:48,360
Speaker 1: twenty eight touchdown passes the year before in his first

283
00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:52,480
Speaker 1: year with Tampa Bay, but he played seventeen games, and

284
00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:56,080
Speaker 1: that could be a more realistic outcome for him, given

285
00:14:56,120 --> 00:15:01,120
Speaker 1: that Chris Godwin not fully healthy, Mike Evans on the

286
00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:04,800
Speaker 1: wrong side of thirty love Abuka but you're also talking

287
00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:07,120
Speaker 1: about McMillan, a guy who scored a ton of touchdowns

288
00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:09,600
Speaker 1: last year. You know he's gonna miss it looks like

289
00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,080
Speaker 1: half the season, and we am called him just schemed up.

290
00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:15,920
Speaker 1: I thought a lot of plays that resulted in touchdowns,

291
00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:19,080
Speaker 1: like an inordinate amount, I would say, so, And that's all,

292
00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:22,760
Speaker 1: you know, without just factoring in that Mayfield could miss

293
00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:25,800
Speaker 1: a game or two. Quarterbacks generally miss about one game.

294
00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:29,280
Speaker 1: But Mayfield has been playing, you know, pretty consistently over

295
00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:31,440
Speaker 1: the last two years. So I just don't think this

296
00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:33,600
Speaker 1: is another one of those years where he hits career highs.

297
00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:36,600
Speaker 1: I don't think he's a great integrate spot in fantasy.

298
00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:39,600
Speaker 1: In no man's land there as a QB seven either,

299
00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:44,040
Speaker 1: So fading Mayfield and his passing touchdowns going under thirty

300
00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:46,880
Speaker 1: and a half at fan duel. Remember his career high

301
00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:49,080
Speaker 1: as twenty eight outside of last year, So I don't

302
00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:51,720
Speaker 1: mind under twenty nine and a half or even twenty

303
00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:52,880
Speaker 1: eight and a half if.

304
00:15:52,920 --> 00:15:55,840
Speaker 2: If it's if it's a little bit juice to the

305
00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:59,400
Speaker 2: plus side. So tradon Baker, Nick, you're up where you're going.

306
00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,320
Speaker 5: I love that you're on that Baker fade right, because

307
00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:05,560
Speaker 5: I was on his interceptions last year and honestly, that

308
00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:08,960
Speaker 5: kind of like is league leading interceptions again this year.

309
00:16:09,240 --> 00:16:11,600
Speaker 5: You know, you said he quarterbacks missed about one game

310
00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:14,760
Speaker 5: of Baker's not really an injury prone quarterback, So I'm

311
00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:19,760
Speaker 5: going to a different, not super injury prone quarterback. And

312
00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:21,960
Speaker 5: sew might disagree with this a little bit, but I

313
00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:24,800
Speaker 5: think I can get him there, and that's Sam Darnold

314
00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:27,520
Speaker 5: to lead the league in interceptions at ten to one.

315
00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:30,840
Speaker 5: So I'm gonna address the passing volume first, because I

316
00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:33,160
Speaker 5: know Sean talked about this being a run heavy offense,

317
00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:38,640
Speaker 5: and they will be. But Minnesota last year was by

318
00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:41,480
Speaker 5: far the number one team in terms of plays with

319
00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:45,120
Speaker 5: the lead, and by far the number one team in

320
00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:49,560
Speaker 5: terms of fewest plays while trailing. And if you go

321
00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:52,360
Speaker 5: from weeks one to seventeen, right leaving out Week eighteen,

322
00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:55,480
Speaker 5: Minnesota led in all sixteen of.

323
00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:58,480
Speaker 3: Those games that they played. You know, they didn't play

324
00:16:58,520 --> 00:16:59,120
Speaker 3: on their bye week.

325
00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:03,160
Speaker 5: But so I think Seattle is going to be trailing

326
00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:05,520
Speaker 5: more than Minnesota did. Now there's still gonna be a

327
00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:09,120
Speaker 5: good team, a playoff contending team. I don't necessarily think

328
00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:12,760
Speaker 5: there'll be a team that's like clinched everything by week seventeen.

329
00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:15,320
Speaker 5: So I think Sam Donald may have to play all

330
00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:18,320
Speaker 5: seventeen games this year, just like part of my reason

331
00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:20,920
Speaker 5: for taking Baker last year had to play all seventeen

332
00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:22,679
Speaker 5: games because they weren't going to be a team that

333
00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:26,199
Speaker 5: was going to be like super eliminated early or you know,

334
00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:29,960
Speaker 5: fourteen and zero through fourteen weeks something like that. So

335
00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:32,560
Speaker 5: I think it's a spot where you're getting Donald playing

336
00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:33,479
Speaker 5: the whole season.

337
00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:37,080
Speaker 3: And now let's talk about those pass run splits.

338
00:17:37,119 --> 00:17:40,320
Speaker 5: Well, the Saints, which of course is that Clint Kubiak offense,

339
00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:42,760
Speaker 5: they actually passed at a higher rate when trailing than

340
00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:47,280
Speaker 5: Minnesota did for you know, last year where Sam Donald was.

341
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:52,919
Speaker 5: So potentially, if you know, if Sam Donald's offense is

342
00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:55,560
Speaker 5: trailing more than last year, he could still be throwing

343
00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:59,639
Speaker 5: near as much, maybe not quite as much, but potentially

344
00:17:59,680 --> 00:18:03,119
Speaker 5: near as much. So. And also the Saints played a

345
00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:06,879
Speaker 5: lot faster when trailing than Minnesota did last year, so

346
00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:10,040
Speaker 5: again potential volume increase just from pace as well. So

347
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,760
Speaker 5: I think the passing volume could still be relatively close

348
00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:14,520
Speaker 5: for Sam Darnald.

349
00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:16,120
Speaker 3: Now let's talk about the interceptions.

350
00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:20,520
Speaker 5: Well, he had one four turnover worthy plays last year

351
00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:23,639
Speaker 5: that tied for the most with Baker Mayfield and Kirk Cousins,

352
00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:27,080
Speaker 5: but he was the only one of that trio to

353
00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:30,200
Speaker 5: have twelve interceptions while the other two had sixteen. So

354
00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:34,480
Speaker 5: Sam Darnold was actually very lucky in terms of interception

355
00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,760
Speaker 5: rate versus expected when it comes to things like turnover

356
00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:42,120
Speaker 5: worthy plays or bad balls thrown. And he likely also

357
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,520
Speaker 5: gets an offensive line downgrade. Minnesota was sixteenth and pass

358
00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:48,080
Speaker 5: blocking last year. Seattle is twenty fifth. All they did

359
00:18:48,240 --> 00:18:52,280
Speaker 5: add first round left guard Grays Abeles, so remains to

360
00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:54,639
Speaker 5: be seen how much that helps, but the rest of

361
00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:58,520
Speaker 5: the offensive line there for Seattle was definitely worse than Minnesota,

362
00:18:58,600 --> 00:19:00,440
Speaker 5: so it could be a little more pressure on Sam

363
00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:01,560
Speaker 5: Donald as well this year.

364
00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:05,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, Sam Donald behind a shaky oh one. Uh, that's

365
00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:07,439
Speaker 2: all you had to say. You slold me.

366
00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:12,080
Speaker 1: All right, Let's take a quick break from the season

367
00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:15,640
Speaker 1: long props and do a segment presented by Yahoo Fantasy

368
00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:19,240
Speaker 1: that we are calling what makes You Number One?

369
00:19:19,680 --> 00:19:21,360
Speaker 2: And Sean Kerner, We're just.

370
00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:23,600
Speaker 1: Going to get a piece of advice from you here.

371
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:25,800
Speaker 1: This is a question I know you get all the time,

372
00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:29,720
Speaker 1: so we might as well tackle it. What Fantasy draft

373
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:33,040
Speaker 1: slot do you prefer in twenty twenty five?

374
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:35,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, So, first, I think you can win from any

375
00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:37,640
Speaker 4: draft slot, and a lot of times I like being

376
00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:40,760
Speaker 4: in the middle because you consistently have twelve picks from

377
00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:43,040
Speaker 4: your pick in the next one, so you don't have

378
00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:45,320
Speaker 4: to reach as much. But this year, I kind of

379
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,640
Speaker 4: like the end of the draft, so like picks eight

380
00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:50,679
Speaker 4: through twelve. It's a lot of the receivers you and

381
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,679
Speaker 4: I are both high on, like you know, Brian Thomas, Junior, Puka,

382
00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:56,520
Speaker 4: and Akua Amanra. So you can get one of those

383
00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:58,200
Speaker 4: guys or even two of them, you know, if they

384
00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,880
Speaker 4: follow you in round two or you know, pair them

385
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:05,040
Speaker 4: with Derrick Henry Ashton gent type and then in round three.

386
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:07,520
Speaker 4: I love having George Kittle fall to me. So usually

387
00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:10,040
Speaker 4: my favorite draft happens to be sort of in that

388
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:12,680
Speaker 4: eight to twelve range. But again, I think you can

389
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:16,240
Speaker 4: win from any slot, so it's just a matter of preference,

390
00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:17,600
Speaker 4: but I prefer the end this year.

391
00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:18,600
Speaker 2: There you have it.

392
00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:22,680
Speaker 1: That is our what makes You Number one segment presented

393
00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,480
Speaker 1: by Y'allhoo Fantasy and as a reminder of this episode

394
00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:29,120
Speaker 1: of the Fantasy Fox podcast is presented by Yahoop Fantasy

395
00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:33,520
Speaker 1: and the NFL season. It's just around the corner. Fantasy

396
00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:38,040
Speaker 1: football is taking over everybody's research and drafting, putting together

397
00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:41,920
Speaker 1: their squads. And if you have not joined a league yet,

398
00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:45,959
Speaker 1: now is the time. It's all happening over on y'ah

399
00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:49,639
Speaker 1: who Fantasy. That's where Sean and I are playing this year.

400
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:50,479
Speaker 2: And you should too.

401
00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:54,879
Speaker 1: So whether you a first timer or a veteran making

402
00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:58,240
Speaker 1: your one minute week, it's time to tap in. The

403
00:20:58,320 --> 00:21:01,920
Speaker 1: season starts September four, so now is a great time

404
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:05,679
Speaker 1: to start playing Yahoo Fantasy Football and they offer a

405
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:07,119
Speaker 1: lot of fun ways to compete.

406
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:08,400
Speaker 2: If you want more ways.

407
00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:10,680
Speaker 1: To play, you can try the new Yahoo Fantasy Gigotine

408
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:14,639
Speaker 1: Leagues mode, where the lowest quarantine each week gets chopped.

409
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,200
Speaker 1: If you want to play instantly with friends, you could

410
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 1: try the new Draft with Friends mode. If you prefer

411
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:23,239
Speaker 1: the classics, then you can get your crew together and

412
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:25,959
Speaker 1: go head to head in a private league. And if

413
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 1: you're looking for a new crew to join, try a

414
00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 1: public league, the easiest way to play and make new friends.

415
00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:35,280
Speaker 1: It's all possible with Yahoo Fantasy. Get started and play

416
00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:40,240
Speaker 1: now at Yahoo Fantasy dot com. Slash Flex it's Yahoo

417
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:46,920
Speaker 1: Fantasy dot Com slash flex all right, Kerner prop number three,

418
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:49,840
Speaker 1: and you're starting to make a little name for yourself

419
00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:52,280
Speaker 1: in the game here with these these sackprops. I know

420
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:55,480
Speaker 1: during the regular season you tend to you have your

421
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 1: sack model and you tend to crush these, So it looks.

422
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 2: Like you got a sack season long prop for us. Yeah.

423
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:06,760
Speaker 4: So last year I gave out Aiden Hutchinson to lead

424
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:09,440
Speaker 4: the league in sacks. I think it was fourteen to one,

425
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:11,760
Speaker 4: and you know, after a couple few games he was

426
00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:15,800
Speaker 4: the clear favorite, but he broke his legs. So I'm

427
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:17,679
Speaker 4: gonna go with the guy that you know I'm going

428
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 4: to attack in that way this year, and it's Jared

429
00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:24,720
Speaker 4: Verse of the Rams. So over looks like his prop

430
00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 4: went up to eight point twenty five at FanDuel. He's

431
00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:30,840
Speaker 4: seven and a half sacks at Caesars. I like him both.

432
00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:32,760
Speaker 4: I think he's getting more than eight and a half

433
00:22:32,800 --> 00:22:35,680
Speaker 4: sacks this year, and you could take him to lead

434
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:38,919
Speaker 4: the league in sacks at seventeen to one over at

435
00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:42,320
Speaker 4: DraftKings love that one as well. But you know, versus

436
00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 4: coming off an incredible rookie season at least in terms

437
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:49,879
Speaker 4: of generating pressure. You know, he had seventy six pressures

438
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:53,399
Speaker 4: last year, which is the fourth highest in the league,

439
00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:57,720
Speaker 4: second most by any rookie since twenty eighteen. Nick Bosa

440
00:22:57,760 --> 00:23:00,680
Speaker 4: had the most, with eighty one in his season back

441
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:05,280
Speaker 4: in twenty nineteen. However, Versus just extremely unlucky in terms

442
00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 4: of converting those pressures to sacks. He only had four

443
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:11,199
Speaker 4: and a half sacks. He's the only person in the

444
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:14,959
Speaker 4: top five in pressure that didn't have at least twelve sacks.

445
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,720
Speaker 4: That's sort of the company he was in last year.

446
00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 4: And you know, based on my expected sax model, he

447
00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:23,919
Speaker 4: should have had closer to ten and a half and

448
00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:25,560
Speaker 4: that was just as a rookie. So I think we're

449
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:29,120
Speaker 4: getting a ton of value here with any sack prop

450
00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:32,560
Speaker 4: you know, under eight and a half here, And you know,

451
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:35,880
Speaker 4: this is another one where I think at seventeen to one,

452
00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:38,399
Speaker 4: he offers so much upside in this market. I'm taking

453
00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:40,680
Speaker 4: that as well. To lead the league in sacks, I

454
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:43,679
Speaker 4: think he's due for a ton of positive aggression in

455
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:45,760
Speaker 4: sex and who knows, he could be better near two

456
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:48,359
Speaker 4: and even lead the league in pressure rates. So I

457
00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:50,560
Speaker 4: think it's going to all come together for verse here

458
00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:51,040
Speaker 4: and near two.

459
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, just hopefully for Nick's sake he lays off Sam

460
00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:59,400
Speaker 1: darn darn contruc some go some picks. But yeah, outside

461
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:02,360
Speaker 1: of that, yeah, nah, I think you know, versus impressive

462
00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:04,639
Speaker 1: last year, and I agree, I think you have to

463
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 1: look at that that pressure rate. That's going to be

464
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 1: more predictive going forward. So well, all right, I'm going

465
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:16,639
Speaker 1: to go with another fade. Have a running back davon

466
00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:20,520
Speaker 1: Ah Chan under seven and a half rushing scores. You

467
00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:22,520
Speaker 1: can get that minus one forty five at bet three

468
00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:26,480
Speaker 1: sixty five and Hn had six last season. He played

469
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:32,240
Speaker 1: pretty much the entire year, but this year it's possible

470
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:32,560
Speaker 1: that he.

471
00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:34,600
Speaker 2: Loses his goal line road to Ali Gordon.

472
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 1: We heard Tyreek kind of call out that you know,

473
00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:41,040
Speaker 1: a Chan has been struggling down by the goal line,

474
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:44,560
Speaker 1: and in the past we have seen Mike McDaniel go

475
00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 1: with other guys near the goal line. Remember Mostert was

476
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:50,080
Speaker 1: big on the goal line a couple of years ago,

477
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:53,479
Speaker 1: but he kind of he was washed last year. So still,

478
00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:57,120
Speaker 1: I also don't like this preseason calf injury. I know

479
00:24:57,560 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 1: Chan is going to be ready to go, and he

480
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 1: has to be for this proper to have action, but

481
00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:03,320
Speaker 1: I think it could winger and it could always kind

482
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:08,000
Speaker 1: of get reaggravated. And I'm just not loving this offensive line.

483
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:11,679
Speaker 1: You lost your best lineman in Toront Armstead, and I

484
00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:13,800
Speaker 1: just think this this Dolphins team is probably gonna be

485
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:19,159
Speaker 1: more negative game scripts than the market is expecting. So

486
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 1: I do think a Han can still put together, if healthy,

487
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,040
Speaker 1: a pretty good fantasy season, But I think some of

488
00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:28,160
Speaker 1: those touchdowns may end up coming in the passing game.

489
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:28,959
Speaker 2: We saw that last year.

490
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 1: Now you have no John of Smith, although we do

491
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:34,320
Speaker 1: have Greg Dosich now in Miami, so maybe maybe he's

492
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:36,919
Speaker 1: just the vulture of all touchdowns. But either way, I

493
00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:40,399
Speaker 1: think seven and a half one of the higher touchdown

494
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:43,320
Speaker 1: props among running backs. I just do not think that

495
00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:46,880
Speaker 1: should be the case for Devon a Champ. All right,

496
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. So we had just a recap.

497
00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:55,040
Speaker 1: Colonel went Cooper Cup under seven hundred and a half

498
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 1: receiving yards, and then he went with Davonte Williams under

499
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:02,600
Speaker 1: five hundred and a half rushing yards and close it

500
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,840
Speaker 1: out with Jared Verse over seven point seven five sacks,

501
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 1: likes eight and a quarter over as well. The doctor

502
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:15,119
Speaker 1: Nick Giffen gave us Cardinals over four hundred and a

503
00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:21,360
Speaker 1: half points and Sammy Darnold most interceptions at ten to one.

504
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:25,600
Speaker 1: And I'm rolling with Brisol under five and a half

505
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:29,959
Speaker 1: Russian scores, Baker Mayfield under thirty and a half passing

506
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:32,880
Speaker 1: scores like twenty nine and a half as well, and

507
00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 1: finally eight Chan under seven and a half rushing touchdowns.

508
00:26:37,840 --> 00:26:39,080
Speaker 2: Before we get.

509
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:41,119
Speaker 1: Out of here, just want to let everybody know we

510
00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:43,560
Speaker 1: have a few more of these season long props. We're

511
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:46,960
Speaker 1: gonna put in the Action Network app about an hour

512
00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:49,879
Speaker 1: maybe a little more give or take. So if you

513
00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 1: don't have the app, if you don't have notification turned on,

514
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:56,440
Speaker 1: make sure you go and download that and you can

515
00:26:56,480 --> 00:27:00,920
Speaker 1: follow all of us and you will profit.

516
00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:03,840
Speaker 2: That's what that's what happens. That's what we do here.

517
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 1: So if you're not an Action Pro subscriber, go to

518
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:09,760
Speaker 1: actionnetwork dot com slash Pro. You can get twenty dollars

519
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:12,160
Speaker 1: off the annual price with the promo code Pod twenty.

520
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:16,680
Speaker 1: That's Pod two zero and that's Actionnetwork dot Com slash

521
00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:20,959
Speaker 1: Pro with promo code Pod twenty to get twenty dollars

522
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:25,760
Speaker 1: off one year of Action Pro. So yeah, we're dropping

523
00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:29,679
Speaker 1: additional props I'll have I'll have a bunch in the

524
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:34,040
Speaker 1: Action app. So again down the app, turn on the notifications,

525
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:37,280
Speaker 1: and you will get the notification when any of us

526
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:42,200
Speaker 1: that you follow posts. I am at Chris Raybon, Kerner's

527
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:45,400
Speaker 1: at the Underscore odds Maker. Nick is at roto dot.

528
00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:48,440
Speaker 1: You can find us that x on those same handles

529
00:27:48,800 --> 00:27:53,920
Speaker 1: as the free award winning Action Network app Happy twenty

530
00:27:54,119 --> 00:28:06,360
Speaker 1: twenty five NFL season Let's Get This Money. Action Network

531
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:10,520
Speaker 1: reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you

532
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:13,760
Speaker 1: care about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty

533
00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 1: four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler