1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,400 Speaker 1: What's going on everybody? Scotbog'men here for Betting Pros to 2 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:05,720 Speaker 1: give you my favorite picks and props for Week ten 3 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:09,000 Speaker 1: of the college football season. Before we dive in on 4 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:12,240 Speaker 1: the recap from Week nine and get to the week 5 00:00:12,360 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 1: ten picks and props, Remind you, guys, if you're looking 6 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: to up your game at sports betting, join our exclusive 7 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:21,920 Speaker 1: sports betting discord community at bettingpro dot com slash chat. 8 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: Not only can you connect with expert handicappers who provide 9 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: free picks for the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, player props, 10 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: live betting, and more, but now you can also participate 11 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 1: in our weekly community picks, cast your vote, see how 12 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 1: your picks stack up against the experts, and track your success. 13 00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 1: You can do that all today at bettingpros dot com 14 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 1: slash chat. All right, let's take a look back at 15 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: Week nine. Pretty solid week. We didn't get our main bet, 16 00:00:50,360 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 1: our hard rock bet of the week. Alabama did not 17 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:58,000 Speaker 1: look good against South Carolina on the road. I didn't 18 00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 1: cover eleven, they didn't hold. They didn't hold South Carolina 19 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: to under sixteen and a half either. But the only 20 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:08,319 Speaker 1: other bet I missed last week was the over in 21 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Baylor game because Baylor didn't score for the 22 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: first quarter and a half of that game. Everything else 23 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: we got all miss plus five and a half. They 24 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:18,839 Speaker 1: won straight up against Oklahoma byu plus two and a half. 25 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,920 Speaker 1: They also won straight up against Iowa State forty one 26 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 1: to twenty seven. Cincinnati did cover the three and a half. 27 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 1: They won forty one to twenty over Baylor. Auburn and 28 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:31,320 Speaker 1: Arkansas barely got the over, but we got it thirty 29 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 1: three to twenty four, and it was fifty six and 30 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 1: a half, so just a half point over, but a wins. 31 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: A win Toledo at Washington under forty six and a half. 32 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: We crushed that one twenty eight to seven, and Tennessee 33 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: team total over thirty one and a half at Kentucky 34 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:46,560 Speaker 1: that one was over at halftime. They won fifty six 35 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: thirty four, so six and three on the week, making 36 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 1: me forty five and forty three for the season. Not 37 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 1: too bad. We'll take over five hundred. Also over five 38 00:01:56,520 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: hundred on the props four and three last week. Bring 39 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: us this season forty six and forty four. We did 40 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 1: get the Haines King touchdown, as we just always do 41 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 1: Chris Bell did not get one. We didn't get Luke 42 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:10,639 Speaker 1: Altmeyer over two hundred and twenty nine and a half 43 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: against Washington. He had one hundred ninety nine. We got 44 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 1: Joey Aguilar over one and a half passing touchdowns against 45 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 1: Kentucky he had three. Same thing with Ty Simpson. That 46 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:20,079 Speaker 1: was the only thing in the Bama game. I got 47 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:22,919 Speaker 1: over one and a half passing touchdowns he had two. 48 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:26,359 Speaker 1: BYU running back LG. Martin had five rushes for fifteen 49 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 1: yards and a score. He got hurt, so I actually 50 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: did get my money back on that bet, but he 51 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 1: did get injured in that game, so we didn't clear it. 52 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:37,960 Speaker 1: And the Michigan State wide receiver Nick marsh Over I 53 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:40,280 Speaker 1: think it was four and a half receptions he had six. 54 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 1: I also had fifty nine and a half yards. He 55 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:44,639 Speaker 1: had seventy five. So either way, you bet that one. 56 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 1: I had that one. So let's move to the picks 57 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 1: four Week ten. The first one we're gonna go with 58 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,680 Speaker 1: Penn State. Ohio State over nine and a half points 59 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 1: in the first quarter. Both of these teams are coming 60 00:02:57,600 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: off of bye week, gives you more time to script 61 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 1: up these plays. Ohio State's Julian sand has been excellent. 62 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: You know, he's at the top of a lot of 63 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:09,639 Speaker 1: Heisman boards right now. I think Ohio State can probably 64 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 1: do this themselves. Penn State's defense or Penn State's defense 65 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: is going to be okay, but their offense is real rough. 66 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 1: They may be setting up a lot of short fields. 67 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 1: They also have a very good coordinator, Nanny Colt Nicky, 68 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 1: and I believe that he will be able to scheme 69 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 1: something up to at least get them in field goal range. 70 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 1: So I think a touchdown for Ohio State and a 71 00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 1: field goal for Penn State is an easy ask. And 72 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:34,239 Speaker 1: if Penn State just cannot move the ball at all, 73 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:37,000 Speaker 1: Ohio State's going to get the ball again. With a 74 00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:39,080 Speaker 1: couple weeks to script up these plays. There's probably two 75 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:42,200 Speaker 1: or three scripted drives for them this week. So I 76 00:03:42,280 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 1: really do like this over in the first quarter of 77 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 1: nine and a half, so it's just a low total there. 78 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 1: We're going to go over for the full game. In 79 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 1: North Texas, Navy over sixty five and a half. And 80 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:55,800 Speaker 1: I know a lot of people remember the Navy or 81 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 1: excuse me, the Army in North Texas game that was 82 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 1: fourteen to three last year. But they've played Army this 83 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 1: year too and it was forty five to thirty eight. 84 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 1: So this is These are two top twenty scoring offenses 85 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 1: and they match up well against the opposing defense. Navy 86 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 1: has been awful at stopping the pass, hundred and seventeenth 87 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:19,360 Speaker 1: in the country, and North Texas crushes with the pass. 88 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 1: They're more balanced this year, but we saw a mess 89 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: to maker throw for six hundred and sixty yards last week. 90 00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 1: Now that was against Charlotte. Navy's way better than Charlotte. 91 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 1: But I think that they can score some points. Also, 92 00:04:30,440 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 1: North Texas cannot stop the run. That's why they lost, 93 00:04:33,960 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 1: or that's why they gave up so many points to Army. 94 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: They gave up a ton of points to Army and 95 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 1: it was three hundred and sixty seven rushing yards I 96 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:43,040 Speaker 1: believe for Army in that game. And this is the 97 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:46,839 Speaker 1: number one rushing offense in the country Navy. So I 98 00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 1: think Navy's gonna put up some points. I think North 99 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 1: Texas is gonna put up some points. And this total 100 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 1: has dropped. I believe it started out at sixty seven 101 00:04:54,279 --> 00:04:56,239 Speaker 1: and a half. It's now sixty five and a half. 102 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,039 Speaker 1: So just wait until Saturday. Morning and see if it 103 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: keeps on dropping. I think it will. I'm taking the over. 104 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 1: The public is very much on the under in that 105 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 1: game because that is a lot of points, but I 106 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:09,520 Speaker 1: think this one covers. Look, we're gonna bash South Carolina again, 107 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 1: and I understand if you don't want to be on 108 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:14,039 Speaker 1: this one because South Carolina bit me last week. But 109 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 1: I think the way that they lost that game against 110 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 1: Alabama at home, the whole stadium is ready to rush 111 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:26,920 Speaker 1: the field and then Lenora's Sellers fumbles on their own side. 112 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:30,480 Speaker 1: Alabama picks it up, scores a touchdown, goes up, and 113 00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: then they end the game on another sack from Lenora Sellers. 114 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 1: I mean, they had some really good drives against Alabama, 115 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:39,200 Speaker 1: but I think when you play your absolute best football 116 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 1: of the year and you still cannot win, I think 117 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 1: that's going to take the sales out of this offense here, 118 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:49,360 Speaker 1: and the offense that has been struggling anyway. They're below 119 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:53,039 Speaker 1: one hundredth and everything statistical. They're below one hundred in 120 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:56,440 Speaker 1: everything except for passing grade. In terms of PFF grades 121 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:58,720 Speaker 1: and things like that. This offense is just not good. 122 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:02,559 Speaker 1: All mess ole miss and Lane Kiffen has never missed 123 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:05,839 Speaker 1: a game that they want to run the score up on. 124 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 1: I understand that a lot of people are sniffing around 125 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:10,960 Speaker 1: Lane Kiffin right now for open head coaching jobs. I 126 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:13,799 Speaker 1: don't know why he would move. I think you should stick. 127 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:16,560 Speaker 1: You know, he's got a good thing going to Ole 128 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: miss and I think they can go over the top 129 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 1: here and just smoke South Carolina, a team that has 130 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 1: probably you know, looking ahead to next year more than anything. 131 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:29,479 Speaker 1: Iowa State in Arizona State, We're gonna take the under 132 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:30,880 Speaker 1: forty eight and a half in this game. We're also 133 00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: gonna take the ASU under twenty and a half in 134 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:38,760 Speaker 1: that one. Look this game. Arizona State is a mess 135 00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:44,760 Speaker 1: right now. Brown is out, Levitt is out, Tyson is doubtful. 136 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:49,280 Speaker 1: Your three best playmakers on offense are all down. The 137 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 1: one game Jeff Simms started was a rough one against 138 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 1: you know, on the road to Utah, but they only 139 00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:58,680 Speaker 1: scored ten points. He has been not great this season. 140 00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: I mean, I respect him for saying it. Arizona State 141 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:04,360 Speaker 1: not going after another job, you know, good dude and everything, 142 00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 1: But I do not think that they are going to 143 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 1: be in this game with Iowa State. And I'm obviously 144 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 1: you guys have heard me. I'm not the biggest Iowa 145 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 1: State fan for this year, but I do think that 146 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 1: they are going to smoke Arizona State because I just 147 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 1: don't think that there's going to be a lot of 148 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 1: scoring from the Devils in this game on the road. 149 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 1: So yeah, give me the under forty eight and a half. 150 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 1: I just think this one gets ugly in Iowa State's favor. 151 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:28,600 Speaker 1: We're going to lay the points for Georgia minus seven 152 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 1: and a half versus Florida and the cocktail party here. 153 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 1: Georgia has won this game by fourteen or more points 154 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 1: four straight years. Florida is a decent team, and we 155 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 1: remember last year Florida was winning this game kind of 156 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 1: going away before Lagway got hurt, but they just had 157 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 1: nothing else on offense. This is not the same team 158 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 1: from last year, and I just think that this Georgia 159 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 1: team is a little too dominant. I think if you're 160 00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 1: giving me under double digits to take Georgia in this 161 00:07:56,960 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 1: game against Florida, I get the dead cap bounce, and 162 00:08:00,480 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 1: I've been wrong on that. I've been right on it before, 163 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:06,800 Speaker 1: so I have ignored it, and one I've ignored it 164 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 1: and lost. I just don't think it matters so much 165 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 1: in this game. Right. This is a neutral psych game, 166 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:16,880 Speaker 1: so there's no like home field advantage for Florida here. 167 00:08:18,080 --> 00:08:22,680 Speaker 1: Georgia travels well, very strong team Gunnerstockton wants to win 168 00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:26,120 Speaker 1: this game for his grandfather who passed away after a 169 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: Florida loss. As a huge Georgia fan in the parking lot. 170 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 1: I just read that like ten minutes before jumping on here. 171 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 1: There's a lot of motivation for Georgia to win this game. 172 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 1: They could be looking ahead next week to Texas, but 173 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:40,480 Speaker 1: Texas is not good enough to look at ahead two 174 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 1: right now. So yeah, I think George is gonna win 175 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 1: this game kind of going away. So if you're gonna 176 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:47,560 Speaker 1: give me less than ten points, I'm taking it and 177 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 1: laying them with the dogs. Let's go to Arizona minus 178 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 1: three and a half at Colorado. Colorado is a complete 179 00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:56,360 Speaker 1: and utter disaster right now. This is a one hundred 180 00:08:56,360 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 1: percent vibes game. Right Colorado was destroy in their last game. 181 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:05,240 Speaker 1: They look bad, they look uninterested. I think Dion might 182 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:08,720 Speaker 1: get out of here, and I don't you know, I 183 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:11,600 Speaker 1: know a lot of people with Dion are I rolly 184 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:16,200 Speaker 1: about him, But he's a great recruiter. The x's and o's. 185 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:18,440 Speaker 1: Maybe you're not the best from him, but he has 186 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 1: done a really good job at Colorado. But his health 187 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 1: is not great. I just don't think he needs this 188 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:26,319 Speaker 1: stress in this job, so I think he's going to 189 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,920 Speaker 1: be out pretty quick here. And I think we're seeing 190 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:31,120 Speaker 1: that in this performance for Colorado at the end of 191 00:09:31,160 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 1: the year. And I think this one is going to 192 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:35,840 Speaker 1: be bad. I think Arizona's gonna win at Colorado. And 193 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,080 Speaker 1: this is you guys have heard me say it. This 194 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 1: is not my favorite Arizona team that I've ever seen, 195 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 1: so I don't think they're very good, but I do 196 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:45,079 Speaker 1: think they're a lot better than Colorado is right now. 197 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:47,680 Speaker 1: So give me the Wildcats on the road and lay 198 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 1: the points. The last one might be one of my 199 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:52,880 Speaker 1: favorite bets. It's my second favorite bet for this week. 200 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:54,599 Speaker 1: We'll get to my favorite when we get to the 201 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 1: hard rock bet of the week at the end here, 202 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:58,960 Speaker 1: but Washington State minus three and a half at Oregon 203 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:03,319 Speaker 1: State in the rain. We have seen the last three 204 00:10:03,360 --> 00:10:08,080 Speaker 1: weeks of Washington State play some unbelievable football. They almost 205 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:10,960 Speaker 1: beat Old Miss at Old Miss a couple weeks ago. 206 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:14,240 Speaker 1: So I just think Washington State is playing really really 207 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 1: good football. Oregon State does not play good football this 208 00:10:17,559 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 1: entire season. This is on the road, I don't really care. 209 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 1: Washington State is traveled well. I think they win this 210 00:10:24,880 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 1: game going away. I just think they're a much better 211 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 1: team than the current state of Oregon State. Let me 212 00:10:30,200 --> 00:10:32,120 Speaker 1: remind you guys before we get to the props. 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Getting too the week ten props here, 222 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:08,280 Speaker 1: I got three touchdown calls for you. I'm gonna ignore 223 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 1: that old Haines King one. You know that is still 224 00:11:12,400 --> 00:11:14,160 Speaker 1: a very good bet. You can add it with whatever 225 00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:16,120 Speaker 1: you want. N Z State, it's a tough place. To play, 226 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:18,080 Speaker 1: but Hayes King has scored a touchdown every week. Just 227 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 1: the juice is getting ridiculously bad on it. So I 228 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:24,079 Speaker 1: think it's like minus one eighty five or minus two 229 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:26,600 Speaker 1: twenty or somewhere in that range. It was real bad 230 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:28,280 Speaker 1: when I looked at it. So we're gonna skip that one. 231 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:30,679 Speaker 1: We're gonna go two quarterback ones here in a running 232 00:11:30,679 --> 00:11:33,840 Speaker 1: back one. Kansas State quarterback Avery Johnson versus Texas Tech. 233 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 1: I just really like the way that Kansas State has 234 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:38,959 Speaker 1: been playing the defense, in particular at four takeaways last 235 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:41,560 Speaker 1: week against Kansas. I don't know if they're gonna do 236 00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:43,800 Speaker 1: that against Baron Morton, but we know Baron Morton is 237 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:46,960 Speaker 1: playing at less than one hundred percent, So I think 238 00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:48,640 Speaker 1: that they can get some turnovers in this game, and 239 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:51,199 Speaker 1: every Johnson's gonna be able to score a little bit. 240 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:56,280 Speaker 1: John Mattier, the Oklahoma quarterback against Tennessee. Look, I love 241 00:11:56,320 --> 00:11:58,440 Speaker 1: the over in this game. Now we'll get to that 242 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:01,800 Speaker 1: in a minute here, but I think Oklahoma and Tennessee 243 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:03,800 Speaker 1: are both going to score decent amount of points here. 244 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:07,280 Speaker 1: Tennessee typically like they did last week, they can score 245 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 1: on anybody. I don't know if they can stop anybody. 246 00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:11,960 Speaker 1: Kentucky put up points against him last week and had 247 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:14,560 Speaker 1: some massive plays, so I do think John Metier won 248 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 1: in for a touchdown this week. And on the flip 249 00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 1: side in that game, let's go with Tennessee running back 250 00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 1: to Sean Bishop. He scores a touchdown basically every game. 251 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:24,800 Speaker 1: I think, you know, Oklahoma's defense has been really good. 252 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:27,679 Speaker 1: But we spoke about this last week and we were 253 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:33,440 Speaker 1: right on that over Oklahoma had not played any really 254 00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:35,960 Speaker 1: good offenses until they played Ole Miss last week. And 255 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:38,960 Speaker 1: Tennessee is a better offense than all Miss. Not a 256 00:12:38,960 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 1: better team, but they are a better offense for sure, 257 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:45,160 Speaker 1: So I think Tennessee's gonna be able to score. They 258 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:47,960 Speaker 1: can't stop anybody. I think Oklahoma. You know, they've had 259 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:49,839 Speaker 1: twenty six points two weeks in a row, which for 260 00:12:49,880 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 1: them is really good, especially with the way that John 261 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 1: Metier is playing. He's not playing his best football, but 262 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 1: still good enough to put points up. So I think 263 00:12:57,160 --> 00:12:59,320 Speaker 1: all three of those guys are scoring touchdowns this week. 264 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:03,640 Speaker 1: The yardage props and such, we're gonna go over one 265 00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:06,920 Speaker 1: and a half passing touchdowns at Nebraska. For USC quarterback 266 00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:09,559 Speaker 1: Jade and Mayeva, he's hit this in four straight games. 267 00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:14,600 Speaker 1: And a big thing in this game is that we 268 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:19,120 Speaker 1: know Matt rules career record against ranked teams is bad. 269 00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:21,679 Speaker 1: I believe it's twenty three and or two to win 270 00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 1: twenty three something like that. The thing for Maiava in 271 00:13:25,559 --> 00:13:27,320 Speaker 1: this game of why I would take us even on 272 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:30,320 Speaker 1: the road in a tough environment at Nebraska is that 273 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:32,800 Speaker 1: they do not put any pressure on the quarterback. And 274 00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:36,960 Speaker 1: when you go and look at the statistics for being 275 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:43,160 Speaker 1: kept clean, Jade Mayeva is top ten in completion percentage, yardage, touchdowns, 276 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:47,680 Speaker 1: big time throw. He's just so good in a clean pocket. 277 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:51,200 Speaker 1: Nebraska has been putting no pressure on quarterbacks here, so 278 00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:53,480 Speaker 1: I think that is going to continue to be a trend. 279 00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:55,720 Speaker 1: I think us he's going to win this game. I 280 00:13:55,720 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 1: think it'll be a tight one, might win by a 281 00:13:57,360 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 1: field goal, but I think Mayo's gonna put some points 282 00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 1: on the board and throw for more than one and 283 00:14:02,240 --> 00:14:05,400 Speaker 1: a half touchdowns. We're gonna go with Minnesota quarterback Drake 284 00:14:05,520 --> 00:14:09,160 Speaker 1: lindsay over a two hundred eight and a half passing 285 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: yards versus Michigan State. Michigan State has been really bad 286 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 1: against the pass this year, eighty eighth in the past 287 00:14:15,640 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 1: against Path statistically one hundred and twelfth in grade. Drake 288 00:14:19,720 --> 00:14:22,640 Speaker 1: Lindsay hasn't been great over the recent weeks, but they've 289 00:14:22,640 --> 00:14:26,440 Speaker 1: had some really tough matchups recently, and I think that 290 00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:30,400 Speaker 1: this one is kind of a softy against Michigan State. 291 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:32,480 Speaker 1: I think they're going to be able to pass the ball. 292 00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:35,560 Speaker 1: Darius Taylor, that's stud running back, is questionable in this game. 293 00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 1: He's already been hurt a few times this season, have 294 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 1: missed a couple games, so I think we might have 295 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 1: him miss again and they're going to depend on Drake Lindsay. 296 00:14:43,120 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 1: And when Drake Lindsay gets going, he can't throw the ball. 297 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 1: I think he's going to be fine in this game. 298 00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 1: We mentioned Baron Morton being banged up, but also the 299 00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 1: backup quarterback Will Hammond tore his ACL, so they just 300 00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:59,080 Speaker 1: are out of options here at Texas Tech. So Baron 301 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 1: Morton's going to start. He's listed as probably he's going 302 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:03,920 Speaker 1: to play. I don't think he's one hundred percent. I 303 00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 1: think he's going to try to get rid of that 304 00:15:05,280 --> 00:15:08,360 Speaker 1: ball before taking some hits in this game, and I 305 00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 1: think it's going to lead to a pick. So we're 306 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 1: going to go over half an interception for Baron Morton. 307 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:16,160 Speaker 1: Going two running backs here, I have two running backs 308 00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 1: and one wide receiver prop for you. Arizona running back 309 00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:24,440 Speaker 1: Kedrick Riscano over fifteen and a half rush yards At Colorado, 310 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 1: Maddy was their startup, but Rascano has been He's been 311 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 1: doing the work in the backfield recently. Got hurt. Earlier 312 00:15:31,960 --> 00:15:34,880 Speaker 1: this year, Matty had some good games, but since he's 313 00:15:34,920 --> 00:15:37,720 Speaker 1: come back the last two games, Riscano has led in carries. 314 00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:40,479 Speaker 1: So we're going to think that continues against a Colorado 315 00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 1: team that I believe had nineteen players listed on the 316 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,800 Speaker 1: injury report. I believe it was six for Arizona. It 317 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 1: was under ten. I know that, and thirteen of those 318 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:54,080 Speaker 1: guys were questionable, doubtful, or out for Colorado. I just 319 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 1: think the effort has gone out of the air for 320 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:58,880 Speaker 1: the Buffs for the rest of the season, and then 321 00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:01,280 Speaker 1: we are going to move move over to Washington State. 322 00:16:01,320 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 1: They're running back Kirby Voorhees. We talked about this game 323 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:06,320 Speaker 1: against Oregon State. We're gonna go over fifty two and 324 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 1: a half rushing yards for him. They've played some tough 325 00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 1: run defenses recently, but Oregon state is in the eighties 326 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:16,040 Speaker 1: and stats and grades against the run where he's just 327 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:19,800 Speaker 1: getting a lot of carries recently, so I think he's 328 00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:21,760 Speaker 1: going to go well over this fifty two and a half. 329 00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 1: I think that number is way too low, and we're 330 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:27,280 Speaker 1: gonna end props with Mississippi state wide receiver Brendan Thompson 331 00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: over sixty four and a half receiving yards at Arkansas. 332 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:34,680 Speaker 1: Love Arkansas overs. This one was a little high for 333 00:16:34,800 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 1: my tastes this week, but that's why we love the props. 334 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 1: I mean, Brendan Thompson twenty three targets, thirteen catches, two 335 00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty one yards in the last two games, 336 00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:47,720 Speaker 1: and that's against Texas and Florida, much stronger defenses than 337 00:16:47,840 --> 00:16:50,520 Speaker 1: Arkansas has. So I think Brendan Thompson is going to 338 00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:54,040 Speaker 1: have another very strong game here against Arkansas. I think 339 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 1: both offenses are going to be strong there. All right, 340 00:16:57,040 --> 00:17:00,800 Speaker 1: let's move to the hard rock bet of the week, 341 00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:03,160 Speaker 1: and I mentioned it before, I tease it a little bit. 342 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 1: It's gonna be the Tennessee Oklahoma over fifty five and 343 00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:10,000 Speaker 1: a half. I absolutely love this bet. I think Tennessee 344 00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 1: is gonna be able to score on anyone they play 345 00:17:12,320 --> 00:17:16,680 Speaker 1: this season, Oklahoma's defense has been strong statistically and in grades, 346 00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:20,160 Speaker 1: we mentioned the weaknesses of not the teams they played. 347 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:22,960 Speaker 1: They played some really strong defensive teams, which is why 348 00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 1: their offensive numbers look worse. Right, So it's kind of 349 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:28,359 Speaker 1: a half and half. We're giving them more credit on 350 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:32,560 Speaker 1: the offense less credit on defense. But I think just 351 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:36,040 Speaker 1: from the schedule that they played, their defense is very strong. 352 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:39,199 Speaker 1: It's probably top ten in the country. I don't know 353 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:42,240 Speaker 1: that anybody is really stopping Tennessee with the way they've 354 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:46,080 Speaker 1: been playing. Joey Aguilar has been an absolutely perfect fit 355 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:50,760 Speaker 1: for this Tennessee offense since Nico Iamaliava left. So I 356 00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:54,200 Speaker 1: just think that Tennessee scores on anybody. Kentucky did a 357 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:57,920 Speaker 1: great job holding Texas the week before, and Tennessee went 358 00:17:57,960 --> 00:18:00,560 Speaker 1: in there and ran roughshot over them fifty six point points, right. 359 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:02,240 Speaker 1: I think Tennessee is going to do that at home 360 00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 1: against Oklahoma. I think Oklahoma is going to be able 361 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:08,240 Speaker 1: to move the ball because Tennessee's defense has been rough. 362 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:11,480 Speaker 1: Remember the Tennessee Georgia game in Tennessee forty four forty 363 00:18:11,520 --> 00:18:14,720 Speaker 1: one into overtime. So I just see a lot of 364 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,639 Speaker 1: points being scored in this game, and I think that 365 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 1: is going to hit easily. So let me remind you 366 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:25,440 Speaker 1: guys about hard rock Bet. This is our last show 367 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:27,639 Speaker 1: of the week before Sunday, so if you're looking for 368 00:18:27,720 --> 00:18:30,240 Speaker 1: more insights on week nine, you can check out hard 369 00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:33,399 Speaker 1: Rock Bets stat Hub right there in the app. Dallas 370 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:36,359 Speaker 1: has won fourteen in a row as favorites following a loss. 371 00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:39,960 Speaker 1: Indianapolis is on a twelve game winning streak against the AFC. 372 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:43,800 Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs has scored a touchdown in twelve straight games 373 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:47,280 Speaker 1: against the NFC. You can see all of these and more. 374 00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:50,600 Speaker 1: They're all just one tap away on hard rock Bet 375 00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:55,160 Speaker 1: on the stats hub right there in the app. Check 376 00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:57,399 Speaker 1: it out. And if you still haven't placed your first 377 00:18:57,440 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 1: bet on hard rock Bet, it's not too late. You 378 00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,520 Speaker 1: can play asia first five dollars bet and if it wins, 379 00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:05,359 Speaker 1: you'll score one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets 380 00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:08,520 Speaker 1: on top of your payout. Download the hard rock Bet 381 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 1: app and make your first deposit today. 382 00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:14,040 Speaker 2: Payable and bonus bets and not a cash offer offered 383 00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 2: by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida offered by 384 00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:18,480 Speaker 2: the Seminole Hard Rock Digital LLC and other states. Must 385 00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 2: be twenty one and physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 386 00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:24,280 Speaker 2: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 387 00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:27,000 Speaker 2: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight 388 00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:29,480 Speaker 2: eight eight Admit it In Indiana. If you are something 389 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:31,360 Speaker 2: you know as a gambling problem and wants help, call 390 00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 2: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 391 00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:37,879 Speaker 2: one hundred. Gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 392 00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:41,160 Speaker 1: All right, let's review before we take off here. Week 393 00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:44,760 Speaker 1: ten picks Penn State, Ohio State first quarter over nine 394 00:19:44,800 --> 00:19:48,040 Speaker 1: and a half, North Texas Navy over sixty five and 395 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,920 Speaker 1: a half, All miss minus twelve and a half versus 396 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:54,960 Speaker 1: South Carolina, Tennessee, Oklahoma over fifty five and a half, 397 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:58,080 Speaker 1: Iowa State, Arizona State under forty eight and a half 398 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:01,159 Speaker 1: plus Arizona State on you're twenty and a half in 399 00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:03,920 Speaker 1: that game. The team total Georgia minus seven and a 400 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:06,359 Speaker 1: half vers Florida Arizona minus three and a half. At 401 00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:09,639 Speaker 1: Colorado Washington State minus three and a half at Oregon State. 402 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:13,879 Speaker 1: For the picks the props, We're going three touchdowns. Avery 403 00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:17,400 Speaker 1: Johnson against Texas Tech, John Matteria against Tennessee, Deshaun Bishop 404 00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:22,199 Speaker 1: Firsus Oklahoma. Our yardage in touchdown props. Maieva over one 405 00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:24,680 Speaker 1: and a half passing Drake Lindsay over two hundred and 406 00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:27,440 Speaker 1: eight and a half passing yards, Baron Morton over half 407 00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:31,760 Speaker 1: a pick, Kedrick Crascano over fifty and a half rushing yards, 408 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:34,760 Speaker 1: Kirby Vore He's over fifty two and a half rushing yards, 409 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,920 Speaker 1: and Missisippi state wide receiver Brendan Thompson over sixty four 410 00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:42,080 Speaker 1: and a half receiving yards at Arkansas. That is everything. 411 00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:44,240 Speaker 1: Good luck on your bets this week and I will 412 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,040 Speaker 1: see you next week. Take it easy, everybody. 413 00:20:46,520 --> 00:20:49,119 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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