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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast, but this one is

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Speaker 1: good good, all right. Here we go there growing in Joe.

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Speaker 1: We're saying it's a cash toto.

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Speaker 2: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 2: go to winning. O.

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Speaker 3: God, that's incredible, big banks banks.

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Speaker 1: I like to make money.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 3: This is the ultimate kaba you want to pus.

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Speaker 1: And we are under way.

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Speaker 4: Hello and welcome to another Sunday night episode of the

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Speaker 4: Action Network podcast. Merry Christmas, y'all. It is December twenty sixth,

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Speaker 4: twenty seventh. When you are listening. I'm your host, Brandon

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Speaker 4: Anderson here with Raheem Palmer, wrapping up a Christmas weekend

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Speaker 4: of NFL Action Week sixteen. We are near the end,

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Speaker 4: and thank god. This is a mess right now with

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Speaker 4: all these COVID teams and guys missing games for injuries

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Speaker 4: and everything else. Weird weekend of games, but you know,

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Speaker 4: it's football, It's the holidays.

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Speaker 3: It can't complain. Rahim, how is it? Christmas?

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Speaker 1: It was good.

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Speaker 2: I'm happy Christmas, Happy Hanukkah, happy Kwanza. We got it

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Speaker 2: all inclusive. I got some gifts that I really like.

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Speaker 1: I enjoyed it.

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Speaker 2: I made a little money bet NBA made a little

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Speaker 2: money bet NFL. We'll talk about that here on the podcast,

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Speaker 2: so let's just get into it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. I enjoyed the games. I gotta say though.

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Speaker 4: I'm home in North Dakota with my family, so my

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Speaker 4: setup usually is a Red Zone on the main screen

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Speaker 4: and then I got a couple other games on the side,

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Speaker 4: whichever the good one is. So we got DirecTV here,

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Speaker 4: so I'm on the DirecTV Red Zone Whereheim. I know

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Speaker 4: you're not really a Red Zone watcher usually, but Red

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Speaker 4: Zone on DirecTV is horrendous. The dude on there, Andrew Siciliano,

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Speaker 4: It's like he's reporting the weather from city to city.

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Speaker 4: It's like, Oh, we're going to this game over here

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Speaker 4: and all that that's a touchdown out back to this.

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Speaker 4: Like I miss Scott Hansen. I needed him back in

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Speaker 4: my life for Christmas.

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Speaker 1: Watch the Red Zone.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna be honest with you, I think Red Zone

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Speaker 2: is falling off. And the reason why I say that

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Speaker 2: is because I feel like Red Zone they pick one

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Speaker 2: or two games and they show all at all, So

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Speaker 2: there will be other games that will like they literally

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Speaker 2: won't show a score for like three different scores. So

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Speaker 2: it's just like I think that's that's the one thing

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Speaker 2: I don't like about red Zone. And if you have

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Speaker 2: Direct TV or you have Sunday Ticket, pretty much you

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Speaker 2: can put the screen up and you can watch every

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Speaker 2: game and then have red Zone on one time. You

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Speaker 2: gotta have all of those screens.

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Speaker 4: That's true. I only got the one screen at my parents' house.

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Speaker 4: So part part of the gig for holiday weekend here.

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Speaker 4: But Christmas can't complain. By the way, we are recording

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Speaker 4: a bit early Sunday night, so we will not talk

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Speaker 4: about Sunday Night football that is happening as we are recording.

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Speaker 4: We will get to Monday night football. We'll get to

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Speaker 4: our week seventeen hot read. Of course odds there from BEMGM,

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Speaker 4: the official odds provider of the Action Network podcast. And

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Speaker 4: we're gonna start out with those two Christmas games. I

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Speaker 4: thought they were the best two of the weekend. The

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Speaker 4: back on Saturday. What Christmas first game Cleveland in green Bay. Yeah, again,

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Speaker 4: the Green Bay felt like they dominated most the way

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Speaker 4: they should have had it. They left their foot off

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Speaker 4: the gas pedal late. It really feels like Cleveland could

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Speaker 4: have had this game. But Baker Mayfield through his fourth

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Speaker 4: interception of the game in the final drive. Green Bay

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Speaker 4: holds on to win twenty four to twenty two. Cleveland

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Speaker 4: did get the cover, but another close win for the Packers.

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Speaker 4: They stay underbeaten at home. What did you make of

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Speaker 4: Packers Browns?

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Speaker 2: I think we might have taken two different things from

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Speaker 2: this game, because when I watched this game, I felt

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Speaker 2: like the Browns actually dominate. I had yeah, like, I mean, look,

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Speaker 2: opening drive, they score touchdown and then missed the extra point.

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Speaker 1: To me, that was a microcosm of the game.

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Speaker 2: Look, they ran the ball down their throats like it

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Speaker 2: was like nineteen to fifty. The Browns hit eight point

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Speaker 2: eight yards per rush, six point two yards per played,

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Speaker 2: four hundred and eight yards, two hundred and nineteen rushing yards.

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Speaker 2: Nick Chubb got whatever he wanted. It basically came down

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Speaker 2: to turnos and Baker Mayfield, which is something that I've

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Speaker 2: been saying for the past four or five weeks. He's

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Speaker 2: almost unbeedable because he's given the ball away, he's missing throws,

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Speaker 2: and then obviously you have the Lambeau effect. The Packers

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Speaker 2: have the greatest home foot advantage in the NFL, and

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Speaker 2: a lot of that has to do with these questionable

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Speaker 2: calls that just aren't being caught against the package.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so let's talk about that for a second, because

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Speaker 4: I saw your tweet about that.

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Speaker 3: What did the number come out to?

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Speaker 4: Is it something like four and a half points for

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Speaker 4: Green Bead that they're getting home field advantage?

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Speaker 1: Yep?

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Speaker 3: Well what's the time for him on that? How far

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Speaker 3: back I.

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Speaker 2: Did the last ten seasons except for teams that had

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Speaker 2: a new stadium.

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Speaker 1: Okay, don't want to do it like all time because

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Speaker 1: it's just.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so four and a half that's huge because a

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Speaker 4: typical home field advantage we're at two and a half

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Speaker 4: these days, right, that's about the typical.

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Speaker 2: No, I mean I think we're far less than it.

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Speaker 2: We're looking at pretty much like home foo advantage is

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Speaker 2: almost nothing.

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Speaker 1: At this point. But collectively, if you took all the

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Speaker 1: stadiums I have it almost nothing, almost a half a point.

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Speaker 4: So especially then if Green Bay is four and a

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Speaker 4: half compared to a half point, that's better than a

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Speaker 4: field goal that the Packers are getting every time they

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Speaker 4: play at home. So we've got as better as we

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Speaker 4: have got the factor that in on our copy.

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Speaker 3: I mean, look, the Packers win.

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Speaker 4: By two, they win by home field advantage, and you know,

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Speaker 4: there were a bunch of calls that went their way

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Speaker 4: like they always do that. The refs just are not

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Speaker 4: really willing to call some of those close the past interferences,

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Speaker 4: some of those on green Bay unless.

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Speaker 2: They're playing Brady and it's the NFC Championship game, like

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Speaker 2: that's really what it comes down to and really has

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Speaker 2: to be factor. Then if you're making a bet against

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Speaker 2: green Bay at home in the playoffs, they're not playing

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Speaker 2: Brady and the Golden Boy is going against Aaron Rodgers,

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Speaker 2: then you're in a tough position bait in this team.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so you're right that the Browns. I actually have

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Speaker 4: given the Browns more credit, I guess more. What I

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Speaker 4: meant when I said the Packers are in control is

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Speaker 4: twenty four to twelve. You know, right after the half

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Speaker 4: at twenty four to twelve, with Baker Mayfield on the

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Speaker 4: road in green Bay, that's just game over to me.

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Speaker 4: Like at that point, I'm assuming no matter what I've seen,

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Speaker 4: I know they've been running the ball well, but Baker

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Speaker 4: on the road in green Bay down twelve, I don't

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Speaker 4: see it happening. Not it almost did, but that's kind

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Speaker 4: of what I meant by being in control.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, the eight point eight yards of carry Chubb

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Speaker 3: at seventeen rushes one hundred and twenty six yards. I

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Speaker 3: saw this.

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Speaker 4: So each each series in a football game, a series

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Speaker 4: is anytime you start on a new first down. So

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Speaker 4: the Browns had thirty three series in this game. Sixteen

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Speaker 4: times they started a series.

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Speaker 3: With a rush.

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Speaker 4: Their success rate on series where they started with the

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Speaker 4: run on first down one one hundred percent. Every single

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Speaker 4: drive they started or every single series they started with

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Speaker 4: the run one hundred percent success rate, meaning success is

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Speaker 4: you're picking up the first down, you're moving the ball

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Speaker 4: for to be in a position passing obviously, nowhere near that.

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Speaker 4: One hundred percent is pretty good. You can't do better

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Speaker 4: than that. And then we get the ball down near

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Speaker 4: the end, the Browns are like almost near midfield. They're

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Speaker 4: dashing the Packers run defense, which I haven't stopped them

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Speaker 4: all game. Just don't let Baker throw anything but Baker

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Speaker 4: throwing hand the ball off three four more times. Get

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Speaker 4: in the field goal range. You're down too. I know

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Speaker 4: their kicker is missing kicks two, but yeah, this is

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Speaker 4: the rare, rare game where you have to run stop

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Speaker 4: passing the ball. It's not working. Baker at five sacks,

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Speaker 4: four interceptions, he should have more. And it just the

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Speaker 4: Browns defense and run game did everything right in this game.

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Speaker 4: And Baker was the MVP for the Packers here.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, without a doubt. Look, I was on the

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Speaker 2: Browns plus seven and a half and we were lucky

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Speaker 2: to get there. But look, Kevin Stefanski, I leve them.

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Speaker 2: He won an IVY League championship at pin back in

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Speaker 2: two thousand and eight right before I got there, So

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Speaker 2: I'm always going to champion this guy. But I wanted

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Speaker 2: to snatch it pen degree for the game plan that

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Speaker 2: he put together here. You mentioned all the rushing success

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Speaker 2: rate stats on first down, but they had a sixty

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Speaker 2: success rate running the ball in general, forty eight percent

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Speaker 2: of their run plays gained them a first down, and

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Speaker 2: then on early downs they had a sixty four success rate.

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Speaker 2: So it just was very frustrating to see the Browns

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Speaker 2: just not take the air out of the football. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: you got Aaron Rodgers on the other side of the field.

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Speaker 2: DeVante Adams is absolutely unstoppable, except for the two drops

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Speaker 2: that he had at the end, which was just absolutely

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Speaker 2: shocking because.

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Speaker 3: Camp believe he dropped that one and just put the

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Speaker 3: game away.

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Speaker 2: And that gave the Browns life. But you got a

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Speaker 2: dominant run game. Baker struggling and he's he hasn't. This

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Speaker 2: is not a new thing. Take the air out out

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Speaker 2: of the ball and run the ball, and I think

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Speaker 2: this is a totally different game. The Browns probably should

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Speaker 2: have won that game. But I think there's a lot

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Speaker 2: to be concerned with when it comes to the Packers

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Speaker 2: going forward. I know Kenny Clark us back for this game,

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Speaker 2: and you can't stop the run in the playoffs, you

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Speaker 2: could really set yourself up to be a bad position.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, that's that was what I left thinking about this

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Speaker 4: game is, Man, if the Packers can't get off the

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Speaker 4: field against these Browns or against the Ravens last week,

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Speaker 4: like we're in trouble. Because these are borderline playoff teams

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Speaker 4: at best, and there are a lot tougher opponents to

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Speaker 4: come in the playoffs. It looks like, you know, the

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Speaker 4: win here is the most important takeaway because Green Bay

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Speaker 4: is an excellent position now to get the one seed.

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Speaker 4: Then you get the bye week, which we always say

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Speaker 4: is huge, and you get a couple of home games

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Speaker 4: but man so at twenty four to twelve. After they

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Speaker 4: took that lead, they did not score again the rest

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Speaker 4: of the game. They had two more first downs the

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Speaker 4: entire game. One was on the penalty when they jumped

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Speaker 4: off side to clinch the game. Fourteen plays thirty six

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Speaker 4: yards basically the entire second half after that opening drive.

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Speaker 4: So Roger, they did that last week too. Rodgers could

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Speaker 4: not get the offense getting some first downs. They're not

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Speaker 4: running the ball there, They're they're they're missing opportunities and

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Speaker 4: their defense is.

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Speaker 3: Not getting off the field.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, it was a big missed opportunity for Cleveland.

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Speaker 4: Credit to Green Bay for getting these wins. But yeah,

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Speaker 4: you and I are both in the same spot. We're

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Speaker 4: not feeling great about the Packers going forward.

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Speaker 3: You let a real opponent.

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Speaker 4: That's not the Browns or Baker or Tyler hunt Lee,

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Speaker 4: you let them stay in these games, they're gonna beat you,

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Speaker 4: and all it takes is once in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, without a doubt. And I mean I got

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Speaker 1: criticized o the day for saying it.

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Speaker 2: I believe the forty niners can beat the Packers, but

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Speaker 2: they're a team that can run the book like this

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Speaker 2: is They've struggled with that outside zone read for much

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Speaker 2: of the last three seasons, and I think that's something

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Speaker 2: that could come back and invite them. Obviously, they do

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Speaker 2: have the home foot of vantage, so they are the favorite,

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Speaker 2: but you really do have to be concerned for his team,

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Speaker 2: especially with Aaron Rodgers.

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Speaker 1: He has his toe injury.

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Speaker 4: So yep, all right, Well, another big team in the

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Speaker 4: NFC to be concerned with played Saturday night, Christmas Day,

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Speaker 4: the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals on a three game losing

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Speaker 4: streak now losing at home to the Indianapolis Colts.

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Speaker 3: So we gave this one out.

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Speaker 4: I gave you Colts plus four a week ago on

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Speaker 4: the look ahead. And then suddenly the Colts are picking

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Speaker 4: up offensive line injuries. Twent Nelson is out, Brian Kelly

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Speaker 4: is out, the right guard is out halfway through the

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Speaker 4: first half, the left tackle is out, Jack Doyle, they're

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Speaker 4: blocking tight end goes out.

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Speaker 3: We got nothing left?

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Speaker 4: Like the Colts are literally down the six offensive linemen

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Speaker 4: and one tight end for the entire second half of

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Speaker 4: the game on the road in Arizona against the team

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Speaker 4: that thinks that they're a one seed possibly and this

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Speaker 4: to me is just an inexplicable loss for the Cardinals.

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Speaker 3: Colts win twenty two to sixteen. Coaching disaster.

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Speaker 4: I'll get back to that in a little bit, but

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Speaker 4: Colts are really on a roll here. Plus three is

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Speaker 4: where this one close. They get the win plus one

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Speaker 4: to forty to the money line on the win outright, Yeah,

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Speaker 4: big win for Indianapolis. Do you take more for this

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Speaker 4: game for the Colts or do you take more against

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Speaker 4: the eric Cardinals.

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Speaker 2: Here, Look, they just made a critical mistake. They based

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Speaker 2: just didn't play clean football. When you look at the

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Speaker 2: match up Arizona, they missed a couple of field goals.

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Speaker 2: Do you had this this safety? It's like if you

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Speaker 2: take away that, like, this is pretty much a tie game.

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Speaker 2: So this is this is just a tough situation because

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Speaker 2: you have the coach, they're missing Darius Leonard, they're.

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Speaker 1: Just banged up when all of it's line.

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Speaker 2: But it's just this Arizona Cardinals offense really just didn't

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Speaker 2: get a lot going.

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Speaker 3: So it's a rough spot.

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Speaker 4: So we've talked a lot about Cliff Kingsbury on this podcast.

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Speaker 4: We dumped on them a lot in preseason. We get

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Speaker 4: saying his praise as the Cardinals went to ten and two.

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Speaker 4: I'm back to dumping on them. This was a disaster

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Speaker 4: game for Kingsbury. So we know Arizona missed two field goals,

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Speaker 4: they miss an excer point, and so they don't really

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Speaker 4: trust the kicking game. But Matt Prater, good kicker. You

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Speaker 4: know you have a bad game, you hit the upright,

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Speaker 4: whatever life goes on. So we know this by now.

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Speaker 4: The Cardinals are down nine. Their drive with the ball

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Speaker 4: six six minutes, five minutes, leapt it gets to about

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Speaker 4: the two minute warning.

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Speaker 3: You kick the field goal there.

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Speaker 1: You need a field.

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Speaker 3: Goal and a touchdown. You gotta kick the field goal.

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Speaker 4: Willle o'clock is stop, get your kicker on, get them

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Speaker 4: set up, no rushing around. You're at like the thirty whatever,

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Speaker 4: kick the field goal. You're gonna need the onside. You

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Speaker 4: gotta need a second score. Instead, they keep driving. They

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Speaker 4: keep driving, all right, So now you're committed. You have

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Speaker 4: to get the touchdown. Now they get down inside.

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Speaker 3: The ten, it's third and goal and we're under a

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Speaker 3: minute now down nine, and they bring the kicker on

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Speaker 3: on third and goal. What we're afraid of not running

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Speaker 3: a three second play for another chance of a touchdown here, Like,

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Speaker 3: what are we kicking on third and goal for? They

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Speaker 3: make the field goal hooray and then don't recover the

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Speaker 3: onside kick and that's it is disastrous coaching.

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Speaker 1: You.

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Speaker 2: The thing that was frustrating for me about that is

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Speaker 2: that actually felt like they probably should have kicked the

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Speaker 2: field goal earlier.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, minute warning. Yeah.

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Speaker 4: Either either you do it as soon as you get

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Speaker 4: in range and then leave yourself time for the touchdown,

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Speaker 4: or if you don't, you got to get the touchdown

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Speaker 4: now you can be kicking on third down right near

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Speaker 4: the end. Earlier in the game, Kingsbury used a challenge

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Speaker 4: pretty early on a play where if he was right,

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Speaker 4: it would have got the Colts to have third and

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Speaker 4: seventeen instead of third and ten. It's just not a

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Speaker 4: good challenge. Like when you're challenging a play, you have

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Speaker 4: to hope that you're going to get it right, but

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Speaker 4: you also have to consider what's the upside? What are

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Speaker 4: we getting out of this. The Colts later challenged a

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Speaker 4: play or try to challenge where they thought there was

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Speaker 4: a fumble that they could return for a touchdown.

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Speaker 3: That's upside.

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Speaker 4: You get a touchdown out of it if you're right

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Speaker 4: upside is not third and seventeen versus third and ten.

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Speaker 4: They challenged it, they lost it as a pretty obvious

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Speaker 4: challenge that wasn't going to win. And then two other

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Speaker 4: times there were spots where you'd need to challenge, but

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Speaker 4: then they couldn't because they'd already blown the challenge early.

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Speaker 4: And so that was a big error for Kingsbury to

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Speaker 4: look this team. I tried to trust them right coming

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Speaker 4: into this three game losing streak. I was already to say, Okay,

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Speaker 4: maybe I just was wrong. Maybe the Cardinals are actually good.

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Speaker 4: The defense is playing well. Kyler Murray MVP candidate. I

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Speaker 4: put a unit on him just in case he made

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Speaker 4: a run. Not happening. Kyler is not an MVP candidate.

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Speaker 4: The defense is looking awful right now. They can't get

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Speaker 4: off the field. They've been really bad since Jji A.

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Speaker 4: Lott left and Arizona's reeling. They did clinch a playoff

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Speaker 4: spot thanks to the Rams beating the Vikings today, so

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Speaker 4: they're in. But I'm not feeling great about them. And

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Speaker 4: this was just this is a game you can't lose

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Speaker 4: when you have the Colts with no offensive line on

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Speaker 4: the road, and really they mostly took care of Jonathan

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Speaker 4: Taylor after the very first carry of the game, and

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Speaker 4: Darius Leonard out is big against Kyler Murray.

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Speaker 3: You have to win this game in your Arizona Oh.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, without a doubt.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I know they did take care of Jonathan

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Speaker 2: Taylor afterwards, but I think the run defense is still

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Speaker 2: a concern for this team. And you're gonna have to

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Speaker 2: go up against Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon, You're gonna

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Speaker 2: have to go up against Ezekiel Ellie and Tony Pollot.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna have to go out up against the San

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Speaker 2: Francisco forty nine ers in that run defense. The only

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Speaker 2: run offense you're gonna have to go up against the

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Speaker 2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The only team that really can't run

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Speaker 2: the ball that's in like in the playoff picture is

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Speaker 2: probably the Rams. So look, this offense is falling off

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Speaker 2: a cliff. Obviously, DeAndre Hopkins is out. We know about

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Speaker 2: all the stats with Cliff Kingsbury. After week eight and

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Speaker 2: later he's eight and eighteen. So this guy gets figured

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Speaker 2: out and he can't make adjustments. And that's going all

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Speaker 2: the way back to Texas Tech. If you look at

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Speaker 2: his numbers, he went two and four after Week eight

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Speaker 2: every single year, and.

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Speaker 1: One year he went one in five.

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Speaker 2: So this game was like one of the more frustrated

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Speaker 2: games for me because obviously, look this number.

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Speaker 1: A lot of the Sharks were.

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Speaker 2: All over Arizona laying a one and a half, this

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Speaker 2: number closed three, three and a half.

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Speaker 1: You got, It's just more this.

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Speaker 2: Is one of the weirdest years in the NFL, and

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Speaker 2: that this is one of the first years in which

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Speaker 2: the well, the opening line has been more efficient than

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Speaker 2: the closing line. And this is one of those games

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Speaker 2: to where for whatever reason, it's just not going the

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Speaker 2: way that we typically see in NFL markets.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, frustrating for me too. I mentioned I had the

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Speaker 4: Colts plus four and the look Ahead. I bought out

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Speaker 4: on Saturday because the Colts had no offensive line. Like,

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Speaker 4: the whole point is that I thought they were gonna

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Speaker 4: run all over Arizona. They didn't really, so it was

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Speaker 4: the right decision to buy out, but ended up buying

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Speaker 4: out of the winning position. I still had a little

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Speaker 4: money line action, so I came out all right, but

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Speaker 4: frustrating to keep getting closing line value and not coming through.

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Speaker 4: By the way Carson Wentz, we've dumped a lot on

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Speaker 4: Carson this season. My guy threw an elite touchdown pass

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Speaker 4: on that game winning drive at the end, rolling left

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Speaker 4: across his body, four defenders, and he's throwing into a

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Speaker 4: pocket to some dude named Desmond Padden who I've never

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Speaker 4: heard of before. Wentz was throwing to Desmond Patten, Ashton Doolan,

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Speaker 4: Kylan Granson. These are real Colts players that cop passes.

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Speaker 3: In this game.

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Speaker 4: Once Once was the MVP quarterback in this game. He

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Speaker 4: made those big plays late to keep them going.

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Speaker 3: Let me ask you this.

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Speaker 4: So a few years ago, the Cardinals had drafted Josh

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Speaker 4: Rosen in the first round and got to the end

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Speaker 4: of the season and they knew Rosen was not their guy.

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Speaker 4: Caler Murray was available, and they made the ballsy move

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Speaker 4: and clearly the right move to take a quarterback first

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Speaker 4: round two years in a row and switch out. As

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Speaker 4: recently as two weeks ago, Cliff Kingsbury was Coach of

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Speaker 4: the Year favorite. I think the Arizona Cardinals should fire

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Speaker 4: Cliff Kingsbury and bring in a real coach that can

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Speaker 4: give this team where they need to go in the offseason.

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Speaker 3: What do you think?

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Speaker 1: Oh? Yeah, I think I totally agree with that.

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Speaker 2: Matt Mitchell has been saying this for years, and I

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Speaker 2: think the proof was in the putting, So I do think.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look, we came into this year thinking.

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Speaker 2: That the Arizona Cardinals would probably finished last in the division,

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Speaker 2: and a lot of that was due to Cliff Kingsbury.

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Speaker 2: And obviously they shot it. But I think they need

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Speaker 2: to do what they have to do. But if they

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Speaker 2: get into the player, it's probably not gonna happen.

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Speaker 3: Not feeling great about them.

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Speaker 4: Let's go to Sunday, the big rematch between New England

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Speaker 4: and Buffalo. We didn't really get this game, the real

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Speaker 4: one the first time. We were in a tornado the

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Speaker 4: first time basically, and didn't really get to see what

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Speaker 4: these teams had. New England opened around two and a

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Speaker 4: half three point favorites, this close close to a pickup.

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Speaker 4: New England was about minus one Bill's even on the

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Speaker 4: money line, and I thought Buffalo relatively dominated this game.

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Speaker 4: They showed they were a much better team four hunder

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Speaker 4: and twenty eight yards of offense to only two hundred

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Speaker 4: and eighty.

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Speaker 3: Eight for the Patriots.

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Speaker 4: Basically, to me, what happened is both defenses showed up

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Speaker 4: and it came down to the quarterback play and presumed

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Speaker 4: rookie of the year Mac Jones was not ready for

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Speaker 4: the job. Josh Allen was ready. Josh Allen had I

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Speaker 4: thought his game of the season Bill's win thirty three

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Speaker 4: to twenty one. Buffalo now controls its destiny in the

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Speaker 4: AFC East. They only have the Falcons and the Jets left,

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Speaker 4: so went out and their division champs. Big win for Buffalo.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, absolutely hughes win for Buffalo, and I actually

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Speaker 2: regret because I think we spoke about it on the

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Speaker 2: podcast right after the Monday night football game where we

440
00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:11,360
Speaker 2: felt like Buffalo was the better team, and for some reason,

441
00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:13,760
Speaker 2: I came back to the fact that the Patriots had

442
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:16,960
Speaker 2: such a dominant effort on the ground, and I thought

443
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:18,760
Speaker 2: that would matter. And really what it came down to,

444
00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:21,600
Speaker 2: like you said, was Josh Allen put the plays together.

445
00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:24,919
Speaker 2: I hadn't really been trusting Josh Allen this year, but

446
00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:26,919
Speaker 2: he did what he had to do.

447
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:28,400
Speaker 1: I looked, he quited thirty.

448
00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:30,439
Speaker 2: Or forty seven passes, three hundred and fourteen yards and

449
00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:31,920
Speaker 2: three touchdowns.

450
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:34,679
Speaker 1: The big time players show up in big time moments,

451
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:35,360
Speaker 1: and that's what he did.

452
00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:38,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, that also twelve rushes for sixty four yards. We

453
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:41,320
Speaker 4: talked about that on our preview. I thought Allen would

454
00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:42,840
Speaker 4: have run more of this game, and those are some

455
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:44,760
Speaker 4: designed runs and some scrambles.

456
00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:46,879
Speaker 3: On the clinching touchdown.

457
00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:49,120
Speaker 4: Lay it was a pass, but it was a rollout

458
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,879
Speaker 4: bootleg where he kind of flipped the ball because they

459
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:53,760
Speaker 4: collapsed on him as a runner and left this guy

460
00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:57,400
Speaker 4: wide open for an easy touchdown snag. I think Allen's

461
00:20:57,400 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 4: decision making and his legs, his ability as a runner

462
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:03,040
Speaker 4: was the difference in this game, and it really came

463
00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:04,720
Speaker 4: through as a threat. New England just didn't have a

464
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:07,240
Speaker 4: way to stop Allen this game. When he was up

465
00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:09,320
Speaker 4: near the top of the MVP board, all s he's along.

466
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,600
Speaker 4: He's not anymore. He's not gonna win it, not this year,

467
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:15,360
Speaker 4: this game. This is the MVP Josh Allen that might

468
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:17,280
Speaker 4: win it some year in the future. He plays like this,

469
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:21,679
Speaker 4: there's a monster performance by him. Mac Jones fourteen of

470
00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 4: thirty two, one hundred and forty five yards two interceptions.

471
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,199
Speaker 4: Looked like a rookie playing a top defense in a

472
00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:31,520
Speaker 4: huge game. You know, that's not really a critique. They're

473
00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:34,280
Speaker 4: a rookie. This is what's supposed to happen. So, yeah,

474
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:35,400
Speaker 4: Damien Harris was big.

475
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:35,840
Speaker 3: You were right.

476
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:37,800
Speaker 4: New England ran the ball well, had one hundred and

477
00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:40,439
Speaker 4: three yards and three touchdowns, kind of kept the minute.

478
00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:45,040
Speaker 4: But this was a game where Buffalo. The score line

479
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:48,520
Speaker 4: never really had Buffalo totally in control. But it felt

480
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 4: like Buffalo was comfortable most of the way.

481
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:53,680
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, without a doubt, Like I mean up until

482
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:57,280
Speaker 2: the end where it's just like Buffalo and Josh Allen,

483
00:21:57,320 --> 00:22:00,720
Speaker 2: they needed the first fourth down conversion to to pretty

484
00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:02,840
Speaker 2: much put this out of range.

485
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:05,600
Speaker 1: It just it didn't feel like Buffalo was going to

486
00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:06,760
Speaker 1: lose this game. Now.

487
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:09,439
Speaker 2: I felt like the Patriots made a valley effort in

488
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:12,480
Speaker 2: the end, but like Buffalo was in control.

489
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:14,880
Speaker 4: So you know what I loved about this game too,

490
00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:18,480
Speaker 4: I loved we talked of this a lot, aggressive coaching,

491
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:21,800
Speaker 4: and finally Bill Belichick was aggressive coaching this one too.

492
00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:25,240
Speaker 4: Do you know that there were ten fourth down attempts

493
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:28,080
Speaker 4: in this game? These coaches were going for it. They

494
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 4: knew every point matters, every possession matters, and the Bills

495
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:35,040
Speaker 4: were three or four and fourth down. The Patriots are

496
00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:37,640
Speaker 4: five of six on fourth down, so we're eight out

497
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:40,760
Speaker 4: of ten combined on fourth down, just moving the chains.

498
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:44,159
Speaker 4: In this game, there were nine drives of nine or

499
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:47,320
Speaker 4: more plays and these are by DVA, the top two

500
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:50,119
Speaker 4: defenses the entire football, and the defenses can't go out

501
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:54,040
Speaker 4: the field because they're just using four downs and just

502
00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:58,040
Speaker 4: just keeping the ball moving. The entire second half was

503
00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:01,200
Speaker 4: all nine plus play drive and tell the Neil down

504
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:04,200
Speaker 4: at the end. So that to me does not say

505
00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:07,560
Speaker 4: the defenses weren't good enough. No, the defenses were good here.

506
00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:11,000
Speaker 4: That's just that's good coaching, and that's knowing this is

507
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:13,080
Speaker 4: our super Bowl. The regular season, this is it, this

508
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 4: is the division, this is everything. We got to get

509
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:18,720
Speaker 4: this win. We're taking every advantage we can. That's why

510
00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:21,560
Speaker 4: we got the fourth down opportunities. So we got more

511
00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 4: Allen running, and I appreciate it. You know, teen Sean

512
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:29,000
Speaker 4: McDermott and Bill Belichick, I just you know, the older

513
00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:30,840
Speaker 4: I get. I just want to see some good football.

514
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:32,680
Speaker 4: I want to see the coaches do things right and

515
00:23:32,760 --> 00:23:35,120
Speaker 4: play play the right way. I thought we got two

516
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 4: good teams playing a good playoff game, and I thought

517
00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:39,040
Speaker 4: the better team won today.

518
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:40,200
Speaker 3: Josh Allen was the hero.

519
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:41,679
Speaker 1: Does stats show at all?

520
00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 2: Obviously, Buffalo one yard is four hundred and twenty eight

521
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:46,440
Speaker 2: to two hundred and eighty eight yards per play, five

522
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:50,400
Speaker 2: point seven to four point eight third downs fifty ten percent.

523
00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:54,480
Speaker 2: Buffalo's clearly the better team. And this is the quarterbacks League,

524
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,439
Speaker 2: So mag Jones is going to have to learn and

525
00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 2: grow and he's gonna have to have to learn how

526
00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 2: to put the team on the back in these type

527
00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 2: the games.

528
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:03,280
Speaker 4: You know, it's a tough spot for New England too,

529
00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:07,640
Speaker 4: because losing this game probably means they don't win the division,

530
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:10,680
Speaker 4: which now means you've got your rookie quarterback who's been

531
00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:13,440
Speaker 4: very good as a rookie but still has this game

532
00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:15,560
Speaker 4: in him. Now he's got to go on the road

533
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 4: in the playoffs because you're not a division winner, and

534
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,080
Speaker 4: you got to go on the road to you know,

535
00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:23,320
Speaker 4: not necessarily the hardest opponent, depending on how this goes,

536
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,520
Speaker 4: could be Kansas City, might be like Tennessee or Cincinnati,

537
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:27,360
Speaker 4: someone like that.

538
00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:29,159
Speaker 3: But you don't want to go on the road in

539
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:29,680
Speaker 3: the playoffs.

540
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:32,880
Speaker 4: That's New England's bread and butter for two decades has

541
00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:34,920
Speaker 4: been get the one of the two seed, get the

542
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:36,800
Speaker 4: buye a week and just sit a week out and

543
00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:39,000
Speaker 4: get the home game. Suddenly in the AFC title game

544
00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:42,040
Speaker 4: they didn't get. They didn't get that now, so that

545
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:44,200
Speaker 4: New Land's not even necessarily in the playoffs. They played

546
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:48,119
Speaker 4: Jacksonville next week, but the AFC is pretty congested. Final

547
00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 4: week of the season. New England at Miami that could

548
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 4: end up basically a playoff game. And again that one's

549
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,080
Speaker 4: on the road too, So New England.

550
00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 1: We all know New England has struggled on the road

551
00:24:58,240 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 1: in Miami.

552
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, they sure have. So we'll see about that. They're

553
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:04,359
Speaker 4: they're not a lock to get at this point. Also

554
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:06,840
Speaker 4: not a lock to get at this point is the

555
00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 4: Los Angeles Chargers.

556
00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 3: That is our stink of the week. Smelly, smelly, smelly.

557
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:16,879
Speaker 1: It's the smell. It's quite pungent. Dude, plug your nose,

558
00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:18,639
Speaker 1: it's stinks.

559
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:21,800
Speaker 3: This is your stink of the week.

560
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:28,480
Speaker 4: Los Angeles Chargers head to Houston for the freebie. Look,

561
00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 4: this is not just the Texans, this is the Texans

562
00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:32,359
Speaker 4: practice squad.

563
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 3: They got nobody left on this team. They're COVID ravaged

564
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:40,280
Speaker 3: of this team. They're missing eight defensive starters, four or

565
00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:43,920
Speaker 3: five offensive linemen. Brandon Cooks, who's basically the only good

566
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:47,480
Speaker 3: player on offense, they're all out. The Chargers go from

567
00:25:47,520 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 3: eight and a half point favorites to thirteen point favorites

568
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:53,640
Speaker 3: by kickoff. So again, you're feeling great if you got

569
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 3: your early Chargers ticket. You're sitting on easy money here.

570
00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 4: And the Texans came out and really dominated the game

571
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,720
Speaker 4: for the most part. Texans forty one twenty nine big

572
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:07,040
Speaker 4: when plus four fifty money line where this one closed,

573
00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 4: plus thirteen on the cover. Texans almost hit the over

574
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,280
Speaker 4: on their own as the underdog. And this is just

575
00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 4: an absolute disastrous performance for the Chargers here.

576
00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it was absolutely horrible.

577
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:19,840
Speaker 2: I mean, you saw Davis Mills went out there and

578
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:21,000
Speaker 2: had the game of his career.

579
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:22,440
Speaker 1: It was almost shocking.

580
00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:24,679
Speaker 2: And you know, even when the Chargers were trying to

581
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 2: make it a game, it felt like they weren't gonna

582
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:30,200
Speaker 2: be able to stop Davis Mills. I mean, twenty one

583
00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:33,359
Speaker 2: of twenty seven fifty four yards, nine point four yards

584
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:37,880
Speaker 2: per completion, two touchdowns, just an absolute dominant performance from

585
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 2: Davis Mills.

586
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 1: So you got to give him the credit.

587
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:42,639
Speaker 2: And then obviously, you know his Chargers defense has struggled

588
00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:46,080
Speaker 2: to consistently stop teams, but it's a little disappointing when

589
00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:48,480
Speaker 2: you come off the Thursday night game in which you've blown,

590
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:49,560
Speaker 2: you already blew a.

591
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:52,880
Speaker 1: Game to the Chiefs, and you still can't get it done.

592
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:56,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's exactly the Thursday night game, their last game.

593
00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:58,040
Speaker 4: They should have had that one. They should have been

594
00:26:58,040 --> 00:27:01,120
Speaker 4: at the Chiefs, and now you're con for a top

595
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:02,680
Speaker 4: seed in the AFC and a home game.

596
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:05,879
Speaker 3: Instead you blow that one. You come out and just

597
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:06,320
Speaker 3: lay an.

598
00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:09,159
Speaker 4: Egg and if you can't get off the field against

599
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:10,600
Speaker 4: Davis Mills.

600
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:12,560
Speaker 3: Rex Burkhead. Rex Burkhead has.

601
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:14,520
Speaker 4: A career game one hundred and forty nine yards rushing

602
00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:18,720
Speaker 4: two touchdowns. Davis Mills is nine point four yards per attempt.

603
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:22,920
Speaker 4: Houston the entire season had not scored twenty four points

604
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 4: any game against anyone but Jacksonville. They scored twenty four

605
00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:30,040
Speaker 4: in the fourth quarter against the Chargers to put them away.

606
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 4: Picksakes by Herbert. Not good enough, It's not good enough.

607
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,240
Speaker 4: The Chargers have got to win games like this. It

608
00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:40,600
Speaker 4: still feels too much like the same old Chargers. They

609
00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:43,359
Speaker 4: fall to eight and seven now, so they are tied

610
00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:46,680
Speaker 4: with the Ravens and the Raiders for the final playoff

611
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,840
Speaker 4: spot in the AFC possibly Miami if the Dolphins win

612
00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:53,480
Speaker 4: on Monday Night. This is a damaging loss. The Chargers

613
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 4: took out to play the Broncos in at Vegas, and

614
00:27:56,600 --> 00:27:59,560
Speaker 4: that game at Vegas in the final week, that's another

615
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:00,240
Speaker 4: one where that.

616
00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:02,000
Speaker 3: Could be at the facto playoff game.

617
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:05,840
Speaker 4: We've got some very tight AFC races coming up, and

618
00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:08,360
Speaker 4: the Chargers were in a great spot and they're not anymore.

619
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:09,919
Speaker 3: This was a freeview that they gave a lot.

620
00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,560
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, without a doubt. I actually have my own

621
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:14,040
Speaker 1: stake of the week this week.

622
00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:16,919
Speaker 2: For those of you who didn't watch the Las Vegas

623
00:28:17,000 --> 00:28:20,639
Speaker 2: Raiders take on the Denver Broncos. The Raiders got it

624
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 2: done in the end, but when you're watching the game,

625
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 2: the Raiders were half a point underdog, you might have

626
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,879
Speaker 2: been able to get them plus one as I did.

627
00:28:29,320 --> 00:28:32,960
Speaker 2: The Raiders are up seven to three. The Broncos punt

628
00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:35,560
Speaker 2: the ball. The Raiders are at their own thirty three.

629
00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 2: It looks like they're about to drive, and actually they're

630
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:41,800
Speaker 2: at their own own forty and second and three. Josh

631
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 2: Jacobs catches the screen pass he has daylight in front

632
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:45,800
Speaker 2: of him.

633
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:49,000
Speaker 1: Instead, he fumbles it. Broncos pick it up.

634
00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:52,520
Speaker 2: There's two minutes left on the clock, down seven to three,

635
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:55,720
Speaker 2: and the Broncos they get held to a field goal.

636
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,160
Speaker 1: So they get held to a field goal. There's twenty

637
00:28:58,160 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 1: seconds left.

638
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 2: If you have the Raiders, you're sitting pretty knowing that

639
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,800
Speaker 2: you're up a point, and you're getting a half a point,

640
00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 2: you're getting a point.

641
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:08,720
Speaker 1: It's twenty seconds left. Ninety nine percent of the.

642
00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 2: Time, a team that just turned the ball over, they're

643
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:13,360
Speaker 2: more than likely just going to run the clock out,

644
00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:15,280
Speaker 2: take a knee, and go to the halftime with the league.

645
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:19,000
Speaker 2: The Raiders don't do that. What the Raiders do They

646
00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:22,880
Speaker 2: try to throw a screen pass. Bradley Chubb jumps up,

647
00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:25,520
Speaker 2: tips it, intercepts it, takes it down.

648
00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:25,840
Speaker 1: To the one.

649
00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 2: Broncos running in with Javonte Williams. Broncos win the first half.

650
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 2: They're of thirteen to seven and a game in which

651
00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 2: the Raiders absolutely dominated as a whole. The only reason

652
00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:39,960
Speaker 2: why the Broncos were in the game is because of

653
00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:43,960
Speaker 2: three Raiders turnovers. This is the game that Drew Lock.

654
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,280
Speaker 2: He just couldn't get it done. Fifteen of twenty two,

655
00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty three yards. Raiders out gained them

656
00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:53,760
Speaker 2: three forty two to one. Fifty eight yards would play

657
00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 2: five point one to four point zero. It's just a

658
00:29:56,280 --> 00:30:00,440
Speaker 2: total domination. But as you know, turnovers will the other

659
00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:02,760
Speaker 2: team in the game. Where the Raiders were able to

660
00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:04,600
Speaker 2: clean up the turn over the second half eventually got

661
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:04,920
Speaker 2: it done.

662
00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:07,200
Speaker 1: But if you were in that first half, it's probably

663
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 1: the bad beat.

664
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:12,120
Speaker 4: That's a brutal first half beat. Raiders end up winning

665
00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:16,440
Speaker 4: seventeen to thirteen. Broncos under twelve and three now on

666
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 4: the season, just doesn't matter how low they set that line.

667
00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:22,840
Speaker 4: They just keep on going under. Denver ran sixteen times

668
00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 4: for eighteen yards. Just nothing going in this game. The

669
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:28,360
Speaker 4: Raiders have been terrible for like half of the season

670
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 4: now and they just crushed the Broncos here maybe maybe

671
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:35,640
Speaker 4: the most weird, unpredictable team in a season filled with them.

672
00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:38,120
Speaker 4: Denver I think was one of ten on third down.

673
00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:41,920
Speaker 4: Drew Lock, just get him out of here, Like, how

674
00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:44,840
Speaker 4: did this guy compete with Teddy Bridgewater first spot in

675
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:48,920
Speaker 4: the preseason Drew Lock is horrendous, And yet the Broncos

676
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:50,880
Speaker 4: are still in the playoff mix and they got to

677
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:52,800
Speaker 4: probably rely unlock these next couple of weeks.

678
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 3: If Petty's not ready to go.

679
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it's it's totally tragic, But I'm gonna

680
00:30:57,240 --> 00:30:59,680
Speaker 2: be honest with you. I think their season is it's

681
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 2: headed towards the end. I think they're gonna be one

682
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:03,960
Speaker 2: of those teams that next year they're gonna be looking

683
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 2: to see if they can get Aaron Rodgers, because I

684
00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 2: do believe Aaron Rodgers is talking about becoming.

685
00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:10,160
Speaker 1: A free agent at the end of this season. I

686
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:11,280
Speaker 1: know that's what they agreed upon.

687
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 2: They're gonna be one of those teams that think looking

688
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:15,640
Speaker 2: at getting Russell Wilson because we all know he probably

689
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:18,960
Speaker 2: wants out of Seattle. And then obviously Deshaun Watson is

690
00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 2: still out there. So they're gonna be a team that's

691
00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 2: looking for a quarterback, and I think they're a quarterback away.

692
00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:25,480
Speaker 2: They got a solid defense, they got a lot of weapons,

693
00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:29,320
Speaker 2: but this just isn't their year when you lose Bridgewater,

694
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:33,520
Speaker 2: who's just consistent a lot. He played a clean game today,

695
00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:35,400
Speaker 2: but as a whole, he's just not a guy that

696
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:36,000
Speaker 2: you could depend on.

697
00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 1: He's a backup in this league.

698
00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, he's not the guy. Vic Beanjill not the guy either.

699
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:42,760
Speaker 4: They're gonna have a new quarterback and a new coach

700
00:31:42,800 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 4: next year, so we'll see where Denver goes. They're still

701
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:49,560
Speaker 4: in the mix. They're still playing some playoff games down

702
00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:52,240
Speaker 4: the stretch here, so they'll have a shot. AFC is

703
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 4: going to just be a wild arrive these last.

704
00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:54,240
Speaker 3: Couple of weeks.

705
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 4: We still got about ten teams kind of fighting for

706
00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 4: the same few positions.

707
00:31:58,040 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 3: There.

708
00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:01,200
Speaker 4: Let's hit the rest of his action and wrap up

709
00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:05,880
Speaker 4: Week sixteen. The Bengals demolished the Ravens for a second

710
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:08,800
Speaker 4: time this season, basically a repeat of the first game

711
00:32:08,960 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 4: forty one seventeen last time forty one twenty one. Today,

712
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 4: Cincinnati nearly hit raheems over. He gave Ale that one

713
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:17,880
Speaker 4: out to you, nearly hit it on their own with

714
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:20,960
Speaker 4: their forty one points. Josh Johnson end up starting for

715
00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:24,480
Speaker 4: Baltimore with Lamar Jackson and Tyler Hunley out last second,

716
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 4: but really Baltimore's defense took the day off with those

717
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:33,520
Speaker 4: quarterbacks too. Joe Burrow four touchdowns, five hundred twenty five yards.

718
00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:36,800
Speaker 4: That is the fourth most passing yards in NFL history.

719
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:41,239
Speaker 4: Joe Burrow finished the season with nine hundred forty one

720
00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:44,480
Speaker 4: yards against Baltimore. That's more by any player against a

721
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 4: single opponent in NFL history. The only seven guys in

722
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,240
Speaker 4: history had even had eight hundred yards against one opponent.

723
00:32:50,520 --> 00:32:52,760
Speaker 4: Burrow had nine hundred and forty one on the season.

724
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:55,120
Speaker 4: So if you're Baltimore, you better hope you don't sneak

725
00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 4: into the playoffs and get a third game with Cincinnati.

726
00:32:57,280 --> 00:33:00,880
Speaker 4: It's not looking good for you. The Vikings hung close

727
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:04,080
Speaker 4: with the Rams well game on the scoreboard, but never

728
00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:06,680
Speaker 4: really felt in it, and a punt return touchdown was

729
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:10,400
Speaker 4: the backbreaker. LA wins thirty to twenty three. First time

730
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:13,280
Speaker 4: all season Minnesota did not lead by at least six,

731
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,840
Speaker 4: actually didn't lead at all this game, but they did

732
00:33:15,840 --> 00:33:18,080
Speaker 4: get it back to a one score game. Gotta keep tradition.

733
00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:21,960
Speaker 4: Fourteen to fifteen on the season now, Rams cover and

734
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 4: the game did go over late, and the Rams win

735
00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:28,040
Speaker 4: did clinch the playoffs for both the Rams and the Cardinals.

736
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:31,800
Speaker 4: The Lions stupidly kicked a field goal down seven with

737
00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:33,960
Speaker 4: two and a half minutes left because why not, and

738
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:38,560
Speaker 4: Atlanta beats another bad team twenty to sixteen. Atlanta ran

739
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:41,880
Speaker 4: forty five plays in under twenty two minutes of possession

740
00:33:42,320 --> 00:33:44,880
Speaker 4: and beat the Lions anyway. There's seven to two now

741
00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:48,720
Speaker 4: against teams outside the playoffs. All seven wins by a

742
00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 4: one score. And if you got this one early when

743
00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:53,400
Speaker 4: we gave it out on the hot read, you actually

744
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 4: got a Falcons cover, even though the line moved late

745
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 4: once Jared Goff went out and Lions covered the closing line.

746
00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:01,920
Speaker 4: The Bears usually knocked the Seahawks out of the playoffs

747
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:03,440
Speaker 4: in a Seattle snowstorm.

748
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:06,200
Speaker 3: Nick Foles came back to.

749
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 4: Lead an eighty yard touchdown drive in the final minutes

750
00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:11,239
Speaker 4: and the Bears went for two. Got Matt Nagy a

751
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:14,320
Speaker 4: Christmas present in what could be his going away gift

752
00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:17,640
Speaker 4: as well. Chicago wins twenty five to twenty four, and

753
00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:20,640
Speaker 4: that late touchdown hit the over and the Bears get

754
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:23,919
Speaker 4: plus to forty on the money line. Cam Newton lost

755
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:27,360
Speaker 4: his thirteenth consecutive start for the Panthers, but the Fans

756
00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:31,160
Speaker 4: decide to boot Sam Darnold instat Carolina loses thirty two

757
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:33,879
Speaker 4: to six. Tampa Bay clinches a division for the first

758
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 4: time since two thousand and seven and hit the under

759
00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:39,960
Speaker 4: thinks to their defense. The Chiefs also clinched their division.

760
00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:43,160
Speaker 4: Six straight divisions for the Chiefs thirty six to ten

761
00:34:43,600 --> 00:34:46,680
Speaker 4: over the Steelers. That just went over thanks to a

762
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:49,880
Speaker 4: little bit of late scoring by Pittsburgh after pretty lifeless

763
00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:52,800
Speaker 4: first three quarters of the game. Down five with twelve

764
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:56,759
Speaker 4: seconds left, the Jacksonville Jaguars rushed to the line and

765
00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,239
Speaker 4: spike the ball on third and goal at the one,

766
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,239
Speaker 4: just giving a play away because the why not.

767
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:02,920
Speaker 3: We're the Jaguars, we do what we do.

768
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:06,239
Speaker 4: Then they snapped it with multiple men in motion, no

769
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:08,440
Speaker 4: idea what they're doing, and threw away the final two

770
00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:11,279
Speaker 4: plays the game, losing twenty six to twenty one to

771
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:14,680
Speaker 4: the Jets. Maybe it wasn't all urban Meyer's fault after all.

772
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:18,360
Speaker 4: In Jacksonville and Jake fromm and Mike Glennon threw forty

773
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:21,400
Speaker 4: four times for one hundred and eight yards for the Giants,

774
00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:24,839
Speaker 4: a whopping two point seven yards per attempt. New York

775
00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:27,560
Speaker 4: had one hundred and ninety yards offense. Eagles crushed the

776
00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:30,560
Speaker 4: GM in But good news Giants fans. New York announced

777
00:35:30,560 --> 00:35:33,520
Speaker 4: they're bringing back Joe Judge and Daniel Jones next season.

778
00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:36,479
Speaker 4: Merry Christmas to you. All right, let's hear a quick

779
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:39,520
Speaker 4: word from our sponsor and get to Monday Night Football.

780
00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:45,640
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781
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786
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789
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798
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799
00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:49,799
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800
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801
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802
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803
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804
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805
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806
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808
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809
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:15,839
Speaker 5: so much for listening. Let's get back to the.

810
00:37:15,760 --> 00:37:21,440
Speaker 3: Show all right. Monday Night. It is weirdly an important game.

811
00:37:21,400 --> 00:37:24,200
Speaker 4: That will affect both playoff races on the fringe of

812
00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 4: the Wildcarter Race. I don't really know what they're thinking

813
00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:29,239
Speaker 4: of putting this one on our schedule on Monday night

814
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:32,480
Speaker 4: for Christmas weekend. But here we are the Miami Dolphins

815
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:35,600
Speaker 4: visiting New Orleans to take on the Saints. But not

816
00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:39,800
Speaker 4: just any Saints. No Jamis Winston, he's hurt. No Trevor Sammon,

817
00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:43,120
Speaker 4: No Taysom Hill. They're both in COVID protocol Notre Dame

818
00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:45,880
Speaker 4: z Own. Ian Book will make his NFL debut. He

819
00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:48,040
Speaker 4: has never thrown a pass in a game before in

820
00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:51,200
Speaker 4: the regular season. He'll start at home for New Orleans.

821
00:37:51,520 --> 00:37:53,920
Speaker 4: They are now two and a half point underdogs to

822
00:37:54,040 --> 00:37:58,880
Speaker 4: the Dolphins, with a total at thirty seven point five points.

823
00:37:59,080 --> 00:38:00,680
Speaker 3: Will you be watching the one for him?

824
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:04,200
Speaker 2: Look, I'll be watching it just because the run that

825
00:38:04,280 --> 00:38:06,840
Speaker 2: Miami is on, you kind of gotta respect it. Look,

826
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:09,560
Speaker 2: the Saints are one of the most inconsistent teams in

827
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:12,680
Speaker 2: the NFL. They have wins over the Buccaneers twice, the Packers,

828
00:38:12,719 --> 00:38:16,200
Speaker 2: the Patriots. They've lost us to the Falcons, Panthers, Giants.

829
00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:18,960
Speaker 2: They're just an up and down team and you just

830
00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:21,640
Speaker 2: never know when this team is actually going to show up.

831
00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:25,000
Speaker 2: I'm betting it it won't be this week. Obviously, Taysom

832
00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:26,920
Speaker 2: Hill is out. You got Ian Book in the lineup,

833
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:30,440
Speaker 2: and the Doveins gonna have all their weapons back. They

834
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:35,360
Speaker 2: got Jailing Wado to return with Devonte Parker and Mike Jasaki.

835
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:37,600
Speaker 2: This is another spot where I feel like they're gonna

836
00:38:37,600 --> 00:38:41,640
Speaker 2: be successful offensively. I think they win this game. Brian

837
00:38:41,680 --> 00:38:44,719
Speaker 2: Flores has put together a solid defensive package. I like

838
00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:47,880
Speaker 2: them in this spot plus three that was previously in

839
00:38:47,880 --> 00:38:51,040
Speaker 2: the market and the way closing line value has been

840
00:38:51,040 --> 00:38:53,719
Speaker 2: going for us this season, it hasn't been great, but

841
00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:56,359
Speaker 2: I think I'll pick them. I like them to win

842
00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:58,319
Speaker 2: this game. We actually they're minus three now. It's tough

843
00:38:58,320 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 2: to lay it at this spot.

844
00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:03,040
Speaker 4: That's right where I'm at before the quarterback news. That's

845
00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:04,960
Speaker 4: why the line shifted so much. You know, we got

846
00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:06,759
Speaker 4: a quarterback making his debut here.

847
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:10,200
Speaker 3: Let's be honest, though, is ian Book really worse than

848
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 3: Trevor Samian or Taysom Mill.

849
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 4: We got a tight end playing quarterback for this team normally,

850
00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:16,759
Speaker 4: so I think ian Book will be all right. I

851
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:19,200
Speaker 4: don't care. I like the Dolphins a lot here.

852
00:39:19,280 --> 00:39:20,000
Speaker 3: I love them.

853
00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:21,759
Speaker 4: This was my favorite bet of the week before the

854
00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:24,239
Speaker 4: line moved. Mini plus three was my top player of

855
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:26,880
Speaker 4: the week. I was devastated to not get it because

856
00:39:27,120 --> 00:39:28,359
Speaker 4: I'm done betting early.

857
00:39:28,440 --> 00:39:29,319
Speaker 3: No more betting early.

858
00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:31,920
Speaker 4: COVID has messing everything up, so I missed the spot

859
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:34,279
Speaker 4: this time to get the value. I'm with you, though,

860
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:37,600
Speaker 4: I still like Miami here. He's a few numbers last

861
00:39:37,600 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 4: six weeks on EPI expeck points added. Saints offense thirty

862
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:44,640
Speaker 4: first in the NFL over the last six weeks, and

863
00:39:44,680 --> 00:39:46,919
Speaker 4: I was with the quarterback that's played. By the way,

864
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:49,279
Speaker 4: they're barely ahead of the Giants for dead last in

865
00:39:49,280 --> 00:39:52,480
Speaker 4: the NFL during those same six weeks. Guess who's the

866
00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:57,520
Speaker 4: number one defense by EPA yep, Miami Dolphins, number one defense,

867
00:39:57,880 --> 00:40:01,400
Speaker 4: number one pass defense by far. Dolphins run defense a

868
00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 4: little vulnerable during that time, bottom ten, and that's what

869
00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:05,239
Speaker 4: the Saints like to do.

870
00:40:05,280 --> 00:40:06,000
Speaker 3: They like to run.

871
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:08,960
Speaker 4: But they've also been bottom ten rushing attack with the

872
00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:12,120
Speaker 4: ball during that time. So it's not just the quarterback

873
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:15,200
Speaker 4: missing here. The other big misses are the two tackles

874
00:40:15,200 --> 00:40:19,040
Speaker 4: for the Saints. Tron Armstead is questionable at left tackle,

875
00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:22,080
Speaker 4: Ryan Ramsay is out in COVID protocol at right tackle.

876
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:24,839
Speaker 4: The strength of this team is its defense and its

877
00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:27,759
Speaker 4: offensive line, and us in the book ends there. So

878
00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:30,640
Speaker 4: here's what we got now. A quarterback who's never played.

879
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:35,120
Speaker 4: It's Monday night, Christmas weekend on prime time, and you

880
00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 4: got no blocking on either side against oh right, Brian

881
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:43,440
Speaker 4: Flores's defense who blitzes every chance they breathe and for

882
00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:46,319
Speaker 4: Ian Book, this is a rough spot for my guy.

883
00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:49,120
Speaker 4: He's going to be under pressure all game long in

884
00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:52,120
Speaker 4: this one. You don't have any receivers in New Orleans.

885
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:54,200
Speaker 4: You don't really have much of anything on offensive then,

886
00:40:54,239 --> 00:40:56,600
Speaker 4: Alvin Kamara, I just don't know how no one's going

887
00:40:56,640 --> 00:40:57,239
Speaker 4: to score here.

888
00:40:57,680 --> 00:40:59,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm thinking the same thing.

889
00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 2: I mean in this situation, it's just look, I mean,

890
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:04,120
Speaker 2: like I said before, the new one of the Saints,

891
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:05,359
Speaker 2: you're just an up and down team.

892
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:07,160
Speaker 1: You never really know when they're going to show up.

893
00:41:07,160 --> 00:41:09,399
Speaker 2: They only scored nine points last week against the Tampa

894
00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:14,080
Speaker 2: Bay Buccaneers, and it just so happens that the Buccaneers

895
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:16,520
Speaker 2: are a team who's numbered that they had, they've been

896
00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:18,240
Speaker 2: able to put pressure on Tom Brady.

897
00:41:18,600 --> 00:41:21,239
Speaker 1: But I really like Miami and this spot.

898
00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:23,080
Speaker 2: I just don't know how you can go about laying

899
00:41:23,520 --> 00:41:26,719
Speaker 2: the three in this spot. It's just look, if a

900
00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:30,200
Speaker 2: game opens three and you're laying three, you're not gonna

901
00:41:30,200 --> 00:41:33,200
Speaker 2: win too much long term. So I do think it's

902
00:41:33,239 --> 00:41:35,800
Speaker 2: tough to do that. But if you got to play anything,

903
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:37,040
Speaker 2: that's what you that's what you gotta play.

904
00:41:37,200 --> 00:41:38,680
Speaker 4: Well, let me let me try to sell you on

905
00:41:38,719 --> 00:41:40,719
Speaker 4: a total here you know that you're normally more of

906
00:41:40,760 --> 00:41:42,520
Speaker 4: a totals guy than me. But here's a trend I

907
00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:44,640
Speaker 4: noticed in our action lab. So the total is at

908
00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:48,120
Speaker 4: thirty seven and a half. I love the under with

909
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:51,040
Speaker 4: Taysom Hill. Kaysom Hill unders are six in the one

910
00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:53,839
Speaker 4: in a lifetime when he starts because they're running the ball,

911
00:41:53,880 --> 00:41:56,319
Speaker 4: they're two in the Clock's not happening now, no Taysom Hill.

912
00:41:56,360 --> 00:41:57,799
Speaker 3: So I was like, great, the unders.

913
00:41:57,520 --> 00:42:00,719
Speaker 4: Out, except the in our action labs two thousand and

914
00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:04,719
Speaker 4: three primetime games where the total is between thirty seven

915
00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:07,400
Speaker 4: and forty, that's a very low number. So they're set

916
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:09,800
Speaker 4: in the total low knowing we're not getting much scoring

917
00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:13,279
Speaker 4: even when it's that low. Primetime games, the under is

918
00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:16,359
Speaker 4: sixty thirty nine and three since two thousand and three,

919
00:42:16,480 --> 00:42:19,120
Speaker 4: so sixty one percent of time hitting the under. I

920
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:21,440
Speaker 4: like the under here because it's not just that the

921
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:25,120
Speaker 4: Saints might struggle scoring. I'm not that much afraid of

922
00:42:25,160 --> 00:42:27,319
Speaker 4: the Dolphins offense. The Saints defense has.

923
00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:27,719
Speaker 3: Been very good.

924
00:42:27,719 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 4: They just shut out Tom Brady a week ago. We

925
00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:33,800
Speaker 4: saw that the Saints have been number four DVA defense

926
00:42:33,800 --> 00:42:36,120
Speaker 4: on the season, number one against the run, number six

927
00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:39,319
Speaker 4: against the pass. So I like the under, and if

928
00:42:39,320 --> 00:42:41,879
Speaker 4: you're hoping for the Saints to win, I think that's

929
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:44,680
Speaker 4: the formula something like we saw last week, just no

930
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:46,640
Speaker 4: scoring and you hope that you eke out like a

931
00:42:46,680 --> 00:42:49,319
Speaker 4: twelve to nine win or something weird like that. But

932
00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:50,959
Speaker 4: I like the under here. What do you think about

933
00:42:50,960 --> 00:42:51,359
Speaker 4: the under?

934
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:55,440
Speaker 1: I struggle with it just because the number is so low.

935
00:42:56,080 --> 00:42:59,640
Speaker 2: Look, we're looking at an under of thirty seven and

936
00:42:59,719 --> 00:43:03,200
Speaker 2: today NFL the way they're calling rough in the past

937
00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:06,600
Speaker 2: of pendies or pass it appearance. I can't go under

938
00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:10,280
Speaker 2: on a total that's that low. I wish you the best,

939
00:43:10,440 --> 00:43:11,360
Speaker 2: that's all I'm gonna say.

940
00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:13,239
Speaker 3: All right, well, I will take it.

941
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:15,440
Speaker 4: By the way, if you do like the Saints here,

942
00:43:15,960 --> 00:43:18,399
Speaker 4: I think your angle is not just a Saints cover

943
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:21,239
Speaker 4: or money line. If you like New Orleans here to win,

944
00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:23,160
Speaker 4: I think you play them to make the playoffs.

945
00:43:23,680 --> 00:43:26,880
Speaker 3: New Orleans still plays. I think they got.

946
00:43:26,719 --> 00:43:31,280
Speaker 4: Carolina and Atlanta after this one pretty soft schedule. Atlanta

947
00:43:31,320 --> 00:43:33,759
Speaker 4: is in the mix here, but not really. They're a

948
00:43:33,800 --> 00:43:36,719
Speaker 4: dead last in dbway. If the Saints get this win,

949
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:39,239
Speaker 4: these teams are both seven and seven. You want to

950
00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:40,960
Speaker 4: be someone to seven in the NFC, not the AFC.

951
00:43:41,239 --> 00:43:43,920
Speaker 4: Miami's still got a tough road ahead. Miami's got to

952
00:43:43,920 --> 00:43:46,880
Speaker 4: play this game then at Tennessee and then New England,

953
00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:49,719
Speaker 4: so they're in trouble. If the Saints get this win

954
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:53,239
Speaker 4: without a quarterback, we're you're home against the Panthers, you

955
00:43:53,280 --> 00:43:55,879
Speaker 4: go to Atlanta. The Saints might be a playoff team

956
00:43:55,920 --> 00:43:57,880
Speaker 4: and they get the win here. So I'm not on

957
00:43:57,920 --> 00:44:00,080
Speaker 4: it because I like the Dolphins. But if you do,

958
00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 4: like New Orleans, I like playing them to make the playoffs.

959
00:44:03,360 --> 00:44:06,000
Speaker 4: I'll take the under. I'll take the Dolphins. I still

960
00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:07,640
Speaker 4: like the spot here for them.

961
00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:09,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not bad. I'm not mad at that at all.

962
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:12,439
Speaker 4: All right, let's hit our Week seventeen Hot Raid before

963
00:44:12,480 --> 00:44:13,200
Speaker 4: we get out of here.

964
00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:18,160
Speaker 1: Hot Rock, ice Rights, ice cream.

965
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:22,760
Speaker 4: And of course it's a word of caution, be careful

966
00:44:22,760 --> 00:44:25,400
Speaker 4: with your hot reads. Don't be putting too many units

967
00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:27,759
Speaker 4: out here on these lines. Early we're seeing these last

968
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:30,760
Speaker 4: couple of weeks, all the COVID news guys coming and going.

969
00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:33,560
Speaker 4: I know I will be playing pretty cautiously. I'll probably

970
00:44:33,560 --> 00:44:36,040
Speaker 4: do half units on these, but there's still.

971
00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:36,720
Speaker 3: Some value early.

972
00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:39,600
Speaker 4: So we've got a couple of picks here, what's your

973
00:44:39,600 --> 00:44:40,920
Speaker 4: first hot rad for next week.

974
00:44:41,040 --> 00:44:44,880
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with the Las Vegas Raiders. It's ugly.

975
00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:48,520
Speaker 2: They're getting plus none. Look, this coach team really hasn't

976
00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:50,759
Speaker 2: impressed me too much. I just think this is way

977
00:44:50,800 --> 00:44:53,600
Speaker 2: too many points. I think this should be around seven

978
00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:56,440
Speaker 2: and a half. So what non, I'm rolling with it.

979
00:44:56,680 --> 00:44:57,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a high line.

980
00:44:57,920 --> 00:45:00,680
Speaker 4: The Colts have been very good, but you know, it's

981
00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:04,120
Speaker 4: hard to get much hard to get much more value

982
00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:05,880
Speaker 4: than the Colts are right now. Like we know that

983
00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:09,239
Speaker 4: their teams get over and play down these lines. And yeah,

984
00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:12,480
Speaker 4: it's a playoff possible game here. The Colts are not

985
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:15,160
Speaker 4: necessarily in yet, they could still win the division. They

986
00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:17,680
Speaker 4: can miss entirely. And the Raiders are in the mix.

987
00:45:17,800 --> 00:45:19,800
Speaker 4: You know, the Raiders have been very unpredictable, so I

988
00:45:19,840 --> 00:45:22,720
Speaker 4: don't hate that one. I'm going back to the well

989
00:45:23,040 --> 00:45:26,239
Speaker 4: with like my seven hundredth time this season, I'm taking

990
00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:29,879
Speaker 4: the Pittsburgh Steelers in an underdog spot. It's Monday Night

991
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:33,920
Speaker 4: next week, Browns at Steelers. Steelers I think should be

992
00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:36,880
Speaker 4: favored here. They were favored coming into the day and

993
00:45:36,920 --> 00:45:40,120
Speaker 4: then they were absolutely terrible against the Chiefs. That didn't

994
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:42,960
Speaker 4: surprise me. The Steelers are not going to beat the

995
00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:45,879
Speaker 4: Chiefs in Kansas City. Kansasay is a way better team.

996
00:45:45,920 --> 00:45:49,080
Speaker 4: It's a bad spot, but Pittsburgh they just lay an egg.

997
00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:52,600
Speaker 4: Sometimes it wasn't their day. Now it's a home underdog spot.

998
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:54,799
Speaker 4: They went from minus one this morning to plus three

999
00:45:54,840 --> 00:45:58,600
Speaker 4: now at home. Mike Tomlin against the spread as an

1000
00:45:58,640 --> 00:46:01,799
Speaker 4: underdog after week five thirty five thirteen and a one

1001
00:46:01,920 --> 00:46:05,120
Speaker 4: against the spread. We keep saying that because it keeps hitting.

1002
00:46:05,640 --> 00:46:08,360
Speaker 4: And if you add in a home game home underdog

1003
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:11,640
Speaker 4: week five or forward twelve, two and a one against

1004
00:46:11,680 --> 00:46:14,760
Speaker 4: the spread for Mike Tomlin, this is a great spot.

1005
00:46:15,120 --> 00:46:16,080
Speaker 3: Cleveland's not good.

1006
00:46:16,239 --> 00:46:18,440
Speaker 4: Like Cleveland ran the ball, they should be able to

1007
00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:22,080
Speaker 4: run a lot on Pittsburgh. It's scary, but Pittsburgh finds

1008
00:46:22,080 --> 00:46:25,319
Speaker 4: a way in these home underdog spots. Kevin Stefanski is

1009
00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:28,400
Speaker 4: one in nine against the spread in the division. I

1010
00:46:28,480 --> 00:46:30,040
Speaker 4: have to take the trends. I have to take the

1011
00:46:30,080 --> 00:46:31,479
Speaker 4: Pittsburgh underdog spot here.

1012
00:46:32,000 --> 00:46:34,279
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I'm not mad at that at all. Like,

1013
00:46:34,360 --> 00:46:35,319
Speaker 1: I mean, it's tough.

1014
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:37,440
Speaker 2: I don't know, because they've been just getting outscored so

1015
00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:40,160
Speaker 2: much in the first half of these games. I don't

1016
00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:43,000
Speaker 2: really like either one of these teams, but you got

1017
00:46:43,040 --> 00:46:45,880
Speaker 2: an underdog. I can't be mad at that. My second pick,

1018
00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:48,520
Speaker 2: this is as square as it gets, but I'm taking

1019
00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:52,319
Speaker 2: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus thirteen against the New York Jets.

1020
00:46:52,360 --> 00:46:54,640
Speaker 1: This New York Jets team can't stop a nose blee.

1021
00:46:54,840 --> 00:46:57,719
Speaker 2: It probably should have lost to the Jaguars today dead

1022
00:46:57,800 --> 00:47:00,799
Speaker 2: last EPA for play on defense. This is not a

1023
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:04,720
Speaker 2: team that you want to back, really under any circumstances.

1024
00:47:04,920 --> 00:47:09,000
Speaker 2: So we're taking the Buccaneers before this goes to fourteen

1025
00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:09,480
Speaker 2: and a half.

1026
00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:10,479
Speaker 3: I see that one.

1027
00:47:11,320 --> 00:47:13,920
Speaker 4: I would love to For my second pick, I'd love

1028
00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:17,239
Speaker 4: to take the Eagles here at Washington. However, again we're

1029
00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:19,759
Speaker 4: recording this during the Washington game, so we don't really

1030
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:22,440
Speaker 4: know where that Lion's gonna set up, bill AFFI just

1031
00:47:22,440 --> 00:47:26,560
Speaker 4: played Washington on that weird short midweek game, dominated like

1032
00:47:26,640 --> 00:47:29,200
Speaker 4: more than double them yardage. I know Washington was missing

1033
00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:30,920
Speaker 4: a lot of guys, but I think it was a

1034
00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:32,200
Speaker 4: lot there. If you get that one at the field

1035
00:47:32,200 --> 00:47:34,600
Speaker 4: goal or less on the road. But since we don't

1036
00:47:34,640 --> 00:47:37,399
Speaker 4: know that one yet, I'll ugly it up with you

1037
00:47:37,560 --> 00:47:41,320
Speaker 4: and I'm going to take the Detroit Lions plus nine

1038
00:47:41,440 --> 00:47:44,759
Speaker 4: in Seattle. What are we do in giving Seattle nine

1039
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:47,479
Speaker 4: points at home? Come on, the Seahawks season is over.

1040
00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:50,840
Speaker 4: They're five and ten. Look at the last seven games

1041
00:47:50,880 --> 00:47:53,840
Speaker 4: of the season so far, last seven games, Seattle is

1042
00:47:53,880 --> 00:47:56,560
Speaker 4: two and five. They just lost at home to Matt

1043
00:47:56,640 --> 00:47:59,880
Speaker 4: Nagy and Nick Foles. They lost at home to that

1044
00:48:00,600 --> 00:48:03,839
Speaker 4: The Lions during those same seven games have either one

1045
00:48:04,080 --> 00:48:06,200
Speaker 4: or tied or lost by one store and all but

1046
00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:09,040
Speaker 4: one of them. The Lions are hanging around. They're not

1047
00:48:09,080 --> 00:48:12,920
Speaker 4: getting blown out. They're showing up and biting kneecaps, and

1048
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:15,080
Speaker 4: I think the Seahawks kneecaps are ready for biting this.

1049
00:48:15,200 --> 00:48:18,000
Speaker 4: So I'll take the Lions plus nine. I can't believe

1050
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:19,920
Speaker 4: we're getting so many points for Seattle here and this

1051
00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:20,720
Speaker 4: team is done.

1052
00:48:20,880 --> 00:48:21,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, this team is done.

1053
00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:24,520
Speaker 2: I'm surprised they actually had to shut Russell Wilson down

1054
00:48:24,560 --> 00:48:27,360
Speaker 2: at this point. Truly shocking because they don't really have

1055
00:48:27,400 --> 00:48:28,200
Speaker 2: anything to play for.

1056
00:48:28,680 --> 00:48:29,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you on that.

1057
00:48:29,680 --> 00:48:33,280
Speaker 4: One might be Russell Wilson's last home game ever in Seattle,

1058
00:48:33,400 --> 00:48:36,319
Speaker 4: depending on how this offseason goes. So that does make

1059
00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:39,160
Speaker 4: me a little hesitant, But then again, weird things happen

1060
00:48:39,239 --> 00:48:40,919
Speaker 4: Seattle home games, so we'll see what.

1061
00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:41,399
Speaker 3: We get there.

1062
00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:43,279
Speaker 4: That is going to wrap it up today at the

1063
00:48:43,280 --> 00:48:46,719
Speaker 4: Action Network Podcast, Don't Forget if you haven't done so yet,

1064
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:50,040
Speaker 4: to please rate and review the podcast. Not just an Apple,

1065
00:48:50,160 --> 00:48:52,759
Speaker 4: Spotify too. Spotify is now along that we can use

1066
00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:55,960
Speaker 4: your five stars there. Tucking rape On are back Wednesday

1067
00:48:55,960 --> 00:48:58,840
Speaker 4: with their NFL six pack betting guide. Raheem and I

1068
00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:00,759
Speaker 4: will run through the slate and look ahead ahead of

1069
00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:04,239
Speaker 4: New Year's weekend. Two weeks left of NFL football. We're

1070
00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:07,360
Speaker 4: getting close to playoffs here for Heim Palmer. I'm Brandon

1071
00:49:07,360 --> 00:49:09,799
Speaker 4: Anderson and this has been the Action Network Podcast.

1072
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:11,960
Speaker 3: We're on to week seventeen.