1 00:00:01,840 --> 00:00:07,600 Speaker 1: Welcome to Brainstuff, a production of iHeartRadio, Hey brain Stuff, 2 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: Lauren Vogelbaum Here nine to eleven was an inside job. 3 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 1: The moon landing was faked. These are just a couple 4 00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 1: of the most well known conspiracy theories out there. But 5 00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: why do some people believe these things and others don't? 6 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 1: From research from a few years back, it appears that 7 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: the answer lies within the brains of the theorists themselves, 8 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:35,520 Speaker 1: which affects how they see the world. The research article 9 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 1: we're talking about was published in twenty seventeen in the 10 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 1: European Journal of Social Psychology. In it, the researchers defined 11 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 1: conspiracy theory belief as the assumption that a group of 12 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 1: people colludes together in secret to attain evil goals. They 13 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 1: wanted to test whether belief in conspiracy theories was linked 14 00:00:55,920 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 1: to a phenomenon known as illusory pattern perception, that is, 15 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 1: seeing patterns where none really exist. First, they asked two 16 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:09,200 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty four subjects to rate the strength of 17 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 1: their belief in both fictitious and well known conspiracy theories 18 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:16,280 Speaker 1: on a scale of one to nine. Their belief in 19 00:01:16,360 --> 00:01:21,399 Speaker 1: supernatural phenomena like the horoscopes and telepathy was also ranked. Then, 20 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: the subjects participated in five different studies. In the first, 21 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:28,520 Speaker 1: they were asked if they saw any patterns and a 22 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:32,320 Speaker 1: series of random coin tosses. In the second study, they 23 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:34,839 Speaker 1: were asked to guess what the next coin toss would 24 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 1: be after a series of random tosses. Some were instructed 25 00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:42,520 Speaker 1: to look for patterns and others weren't. The study authors 26 00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 1: wrote in their article, perceiving patterns in randomly generated coin 27 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 1: toss outcomes was significantly correlated with both measures of conspiracy 28 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: beliefs and with supernatural beliefs. These findings are the first 29 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: to directly suggest a relationship between belief in conspiracy theories 30 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 1: and patterns perception, and conceptually replicate this relationship for supernatural beliefs. Then, 31 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 1: a third study found a link between irrational beliefs and 32 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:14,960 Speaker 1: perception of patterns in chaotic paintings such as those by 33 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 1: Jackson Pollock, a known for his paint splatter art. In 34 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 1: other words, people with greater belief in conspiracy theories and 35 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 1: the supernatural saw more patterns in the art even though 36 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 1: there weren't any. The fourth study had the participants read 37 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:35,400 Speaker 1: a blog that was either conspiracist, skeptic, or paranormal in 38 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 1: subject matter. The results showed that agreement with the conspiracist 39 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 1: or paranormal blogs predicted pattern perception, and the fifth study 40 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:50,240 Speaker 1: manipulated an Internet article about the National Security Administration so 41 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,760 Speaker 1: that there were two versions, one pro conspiracy and the 42 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:58,520 Speaker 1: other anti conspiracy. Those who read the pro conspiracy version 43 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:01,520 Speaker 1: were more likely to see patterns in the world events 44 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:06,239 Speaker 1: described in the article. The fourth and fifth studies showed 45 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 1: how external influences affected people's perceptions. The authors wrote, taken together, 46 00:03:12,680 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 1: these findings support the assumption that illusory pattern perception is 47 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:21,239 Speaker 1: a basic cognitive aspect of the conspiracy and supernatural beliefs 48 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 1: under investigation here and now. Regular old pattern perception is 49 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:31,080 Speaker 1: important for human behavior because it helps us understand the 50 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 1: world by figuring out relationships, like a drinking water helps 51 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:38,080 Speaker 1: with thirst, and being mean to someone will earn an 52 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: unfriendly reaction. If we couldn't see any patterns, we'd be 53 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 1: doomed to make the same mistakes over and over. It's 54 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 1: when we see patterns where they aren't that we may 55 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 1: get into trouble. Before the article this episode is based 56 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: on how stuff works. Spoke with a local expert of 57 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 1: sorts our coworker Ben Bollen, who's a co host of 58 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 1: the podcast Stuff They Don't Want You To Know, a 59 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: show that delves into fringe theories, conspiracy theories, and very real, 60 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 1: very proven conspiracies. He said, the really fascinating thing about 61 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: illusory pattern perception is that it can affect much more 62 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 1: than conspiracy theories. This is sort of the same thing 63 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:20,719 Speaker 1: responsible for a lot of superstitions of the span of 64 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 1: human history. That's why we get those beliefs of good 65 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 1: or bad luck, because we constructed a pattern based on 66 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 1: the evidence available at the time. And now one might 67 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:37,599 Speaker 1: think that the availability nowadays of accurate and scientific information 68 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:42,359 Speaker 1: would negate belief in conspiracy theories, but just the opposite 69 00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 1: has happened. According to Bolin, his own show got a 70 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:48,600 Speaker 1: ton of hate mail after an episode disproving the notion 71 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 1: of a flat earth. He explained that confirmation bias leads 72 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:56,280 Speaker 1: some people to believe what they want to believe and 73 00:04:56,360 --> 00:04:59,839 Speaker 1: totally shut out evidence to the contrary, no matter how legitimate. 74 00:05:00,800 --> 00:05:05,039 Speaker 1: He said, Now, with confirmation bias functioning in tandem with 75 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 1: this illusory pattern perception, people are not finding all the 76 00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: information that's accurate. They're finding all the information whatsoever that 77 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:16,680 Speaker 1: would fit into their view of this pattern. So more 78 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:20,640 Speaker 1: information has actually accelerated the problem more than mitigating it. 79 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 1: This is reinforced by the feeling of accomplishment that often 80 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:31,279 Speaker 1: accompanies belief in unproven theories. People think that they're doing 81 00:05:31,320 --> 00:05:36,159 Speaker 1: a noble thing by exposing such theories. Bolland said, they 82 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:39,920 Speaker 1: feel a moral imperative to unearth the truth and spread 83 00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:45,040 Speaker 1: it to the masses. But finally, he warns, not all 84 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:48,600 Speaker 1: conspiracy theories turn out to be incorrect. Some have at 85 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 1: least a grain of truth, and some are even bigger 86 00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:55,680 Speaker 1: than we imagine a take, for example, the Watergate scandal, 87 00:05:56,520 --> 00:06:00,359 Speaker 1: or how it turned out that banking giant HSBC was 88 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 1: routinely laundering money for drug traffickers. I've guessed on stuff 89 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 1: they don't want, you know know, a couple of times 90 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 1: myself to talk about how diamond cartels set the price 91 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 1: of these not actually rare stones, among other things. That's 92 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 1: one that the hides and planes sight using marketing campaigns 93 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 1: to convince consumers of diamond's value. But back in twenty sixteen, 94 00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:27,800 Speaker 1: a physicist calculated the number of people who would need 95 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 1: to be part of some of the alleged secret conspiracies 96 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 1: like the moon landing and how long they could keep 97 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:38,600 Speaker 1: it together without it blowing open. He reported that for 98 00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 1: the moon landing to have been a hoax, four hundred 99 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:46,160 Speaker 1: and ten thousand people would have been involved, and statistically 100 00:06:46,360 --> 00:06:47,919 Speaker 1: they wouldn't have been able to keep a lid on 101 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:55,520 Speaker 1: it for more than three years and eight months. Today's 102 00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:59,239 Speaker 1: episode is based on the article Yes, conspiracy theorists, brains 103 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 1: really are different on how stuffworks dot Com, written by 104 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 1: Aliah Hoyt. Brain Stuff is production of iHeartRadio in partnership 105 00:07:05,440 --> 00:07:07,919 Speaker 1: with HowStuffWorks dot Com and is produced by Tyler Klang. 106 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:11,680 Speaker 1: Four more podcasts from my heart Radio, visit the iHeartRadio app, 107 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows