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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go from.

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Speaker 2: Growing out spect we're saying it's a cash toto.

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Speaker 1: That's all. We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 1: they go to win. That's incredible. Big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 1: I like to make money. All right, This is the

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Speaker 1: ultimate kabai if you want to pull.

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Speaker 3: And we are under way.

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Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented

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Speaker 1: by FanDuel. I'm your host, Chris Raybon, and this is

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Speaker 1: our a f C season betting preview, Part two. In

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Speaker 1: this episode, we're gonna preview the a FC North and

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Speaker 1: the a f C West, so uh, stay tuned for

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Speaker 1: that if you haven't checked out Part one, that's up

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Speaker 1: right now. We got the AFC South and the AFC

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Speaker 1: East previewed in that one. And here to help me

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Speaker 1: break down all of these teams and outlooks for twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty three, the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation stucky stuck,

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Speaker 1: what's going on? What's up?

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Speaker 2: Brother? Excited to chat some NFL once again. The season

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Speaker 2: will be here before we know it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Sarin, I think this AFC North is particularly a

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Speaker 1: challenging one to kind of handicap because I think all

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Speaker 1: four teams in one world or another could finish with

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Speaker 1: a winning record, but you know, being that they have

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Speaker 1: to play each other, little less likely. But let's start

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Speaker 1: with the Cincinnati Bengals. The win total at FanDuel is

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Speaker 1: eleven and a half. It's juice to the under at

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Speaker 1: minus one forty four. We know that double digit win

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Speaker 1: totals have only hit about forty four percent of the

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Speaker 1: time since two thousand and two. This Bengal team does

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Speaker 1: expect to get cornerback should obey a Woojia back by

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Speaker 1: week one. The defense looks solid with you know, Hendrickson

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Speaker 1: and Hubbard Reeder on the line, like the linebackers, so

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Speaker 1: you know, it really just comes down and obviously we

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Speaker 1: like the offense. So I guess it comes down to,

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Speaker 1: you know, Burrow's health and just this schedule in general.

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Speaker 1: Where do you see the Bengals kind of ending up?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I might end up dabbling on the under here,

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Speaker 3: I chow.

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Speaker 2: Let's what's the Let me double check what my projection is.

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Speaker 2: They eleven and a half. You can get under eleven

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Speaker 2: and a half out there. I project ten and a

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Speaker 2: half wins for the Bengals, I do have. You know,

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Speaker 2: obviously there's some concern about Burrow and his calf, which

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Speaker 2: would have you know.

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Speaker 3: It's not like a season.

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Speaker 2: This season isn't in doubt, but Week one is, and

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Speaker 2: then maybe early on in the season because this has

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Speaker 2: happened before with Burrow, right like train camp issues and

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Speaker 2: he hasn't had a normal preseason and reps, and then

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Speaker 2: you know, there was kind of that happened last year.

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Speaker 2: There was some struggles early on after the appened dectomy.

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Speaker 2: So that could really benefit the Browns and the division

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Speaker 2: race because the Browns host the Bengals in Week one.

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Speaker 2: You know, there's because of their expensive pieces on offense,

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Speaker 2: there are some questions on this team, you know, mainly

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Speaker 2: on the back end at safety. They lose their two

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Speaker 2: main stays there and so we could see a drop

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Speaker 2: off in efficiency across the board on defense, running back,

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Speaker 2: tight end. I'm not a giant Orlando Brown junior guy,

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Speaker 2: but you know, if the offensive line stays healthy as

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Speaker 2: it did all the way up until the end of

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Speaker 2: last season, it was definitely improved after a disastrous season.

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Speaker 3: In twenty twenty one. The one thing that I'll note

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Speaker 3: with the Bengals.

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Speaker 2: Obviously, Burrow's elite and he's gonna keep you who He's

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Speaker 2: probably gonna bring the Bengals to the playoffs as long

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Speaker 2: as the team stays healthy most seasons, and they're a

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Speaker 2: real contender. But they've had everything go right in this

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Speaker 2: division over the past two years, right like you look

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Speaker 2: at you know, obviously they had the offensive line injuries late,

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Speaker 2: but even the path to the Super Bowl last year.

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Speaker 2: But more specifically in the division, the Ravens have been

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Speaker 2: had had horrendous injury luck over the past two years.

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Speaker 2: The Browns obviously haven't had great injury luck either, and

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Speaker 2: they had the whole Deshaun Watson situation. So you know,

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Speaker 2: really everything's worked out for the Bengals, who I think

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Speaker 2: have been like around top ten adjusted games lost and

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Speaker 2: both offensive defense the past two years. So they've been

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Speaker 2: lucky in that department and the other contenders have been unlucky.

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Speaker 2: So it wouldn't shock me to see that trend reverse

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Speaker 2: itself this year. And there are a couple areas of

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Speaker 2: question on the roster that I do have, but obviously, yeah,

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Speaker 2: the offense is always going to be elite when you

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Speaker 2: have Higgins, Chase burrow in an improved offensive line, great

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Speaker 2: defensive coordinator that they were able to hang onto, which

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Speaker 2: I was pretty surprised by. Good defensive front, you know,

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Speaker 2: your reliable linebackers, but the safeties, you know, that could

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Speaker 2: ripple throughout the entire defense. And we'll see how that

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Speaker 2: pans out. So I do see a little value in

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Speaker 2: the under since I project ten and a half, so

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Speaker 2: might end up dabbling there. And I think that there's

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Speaker 2: some opportunity for the other teams in the division, which

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Speaker 2: we will talk about shortly.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the Spangled team, you know, the roster up and

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Speaker 1: down with good I mean, the safety situation is a concern,

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Speaker 1: obviously losing baits, but you know, just statistically speaking, safeties

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Speaker 1: aren't quite as important, quite as premium as some of

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Speaker 1: the other positions on a defense. I still like and Romo.

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Speaker 1: I still like that defensive front, So I think they'll

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Speaker 1: be able to weather it, especially if a Woozier, you know,

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Speaker 1: is close to what he was last year, which is

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Speaker 1: obviously no guarantee, so that's that's big. But assuming he's anywhere,

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Speaker 1: you know, in that quarterback one conversation, again, I think

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Speaker 1: you're still gonna have a pretty good defense. So you know,

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Speaker 1: this Bengal team still one of the best, still in

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Speaker 1: that top tier in the AFC with Buffalo and and

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs, but it's such a gauntlet, Like first of

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Speaker 1: all those three teams. You know, you you play those

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Speaker 1: three teams in like a round robin tournament one hundred times,

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Speaker 1: it's probably gonna be pretty split between those three. The

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Speaker 1: home is probably with a little bit of an edge,

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Speaker 1: but you know, it's it's tough to pick between those

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Speaker 1: two teams. Buffalo is who since he plays at home.

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Speaker 1: They go to San Francisco, they go at Kansas City,

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Speaker 1: at Jacksonville, at Tennessee the AFC North. So, especially with

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Speaker 1: Burrow not coming into the year one hundred percent, I

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Speaker 1: would lean under as well. I do think this is

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Speaker 1: the best team in the division. But I see a

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Speaker 1: lot of opportunities for all these teams in the AFC

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Speaker 1: to kind of be pulled closer together, especially in the

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Speaker 1: AFC North, just because of facing each other. You know,

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Speaker 1: like I don't think, you know, playing Pittsburgh twice is

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Speaker 1: two wins. I don't think playing Cleveland twice is two wins.

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Speaker 1: Maybe you know, they could they could easily lose one

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Speaker 1: to two games in all three of the division matchups.

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Speaker 1: Uh and yeah, I just I think eleven and a

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Speaker 1: half is pretty aggressive for the Bengals. I would have

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Speaker 1: it closer to you know, the win total closer to

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Speaker 1: ten half as well. So yeah, I'm gonna lock it.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna I'm gonna I'm actually gonna bet it.

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Speaker 2: I've I've convinced myself and you've helped me convince myself

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Speaker 2: as well. So yeah, I'm gonna bet the Bengals under

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Speaker 2: eleven and a half. You know, the interesting thing about

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Speaker 2: this division is these teams are in the a f C,

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Speaker 2: but their schedule strength of schedule ranks are pretty low.

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Speaker 2: They're not really high because of the divisions that they draw.

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Speaker 2: You know, you get the AFC South and the NFC West.

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Speaker 2: But the Bengals have a first place schedule, so they

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Speaker 2: have the toughest schedule. I have them at the tenth

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Speaker 2: toughest schedule in the league, and then you know, I

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Speaker 2: have the Ravens fourteenth, the Browns nineteenth, and the Steelers eighteenth.

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Speaker 2: So the Bengals definitely have the toughest road. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they host the Bills, who you know they're going to

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Speaker 2: be just salivating for revenge. They have to go to

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Speaker 2: Sant fran you know, they go to Kansas City late

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Speaker 2: in the season, so that first place schedule also could

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Speaker 2: cost them another winner too. So yeah, it looks to

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Speaker 2: me more like a ten eleven win team max than

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Speaker 2: you know, twelve or thirteen.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the eleven and a half is you know, is aggressive.

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Speaker 1: And don't get me wrong, could this Bengal team go

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Speaker 1: fifteen to two, Absolutely, they have the talent to do it,

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Speaker 1: but you know, we know that's more that's less likely

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Speaker 1: than not, especially when we look at the history of

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Speaker 1: these teams that enter the season with these larger wind tow.

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Speaker 1: So another team that you know, and I know you're

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Speaker 1: gonna have a lot to say on this team is

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Speaker 1: the Baltimore Ravens. Your your squad. They were at eight

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Speaker 1: and a half at one point in the offseason and

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Speaker 1: their win totals up to ten and a half now

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Speaker 1: at FanDuel slightly juiced to the under at minus one twenty,

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Speaker 1: but the win total has jumped obviously. You know, you

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Speaker 1: got Lamar back, you got you know, a new offensive coordinator,

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Speaker 1: Todd Munktt taken over for Greg Roman. But there are

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Speaker 1: a lot of question marks. I mean, cornerback is a concern.

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Speaker 1: Marlin Humphrey's injury doesn't help there is you know, how

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Speaker 1: long is that offense gonna take to gel with this

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Speaker 1: new offensive coordinator. You know they've had Roman for Lamar's

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Speaker 1: entire tenure. So what are you seeing from this raven

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Speaker 1: team in this division for this year? With that ten

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Speaker 1: and a half win total.

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Speaker 3: I'm really mad I didn't hit that number on the

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Speaker 3: Ravens earlier.

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Speaker 2: I project as of right now ten point six for

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Speaker 2: the Ravens, So I'm high on this team now. I

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Speaker 2: don't see any value in the wind total, but I

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Speaker 2: certainly did before. But there are some questions. Edge rush

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Speaker 2: is also certainly a question. I'm a huge fan of

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Speaker 2: my defensive coordinator McDonald, what he did last year. I

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Speaker 2: think he's a star defensive coordinator for years to come.

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Speaker 2: So schematically, they're going to be really sound and they're

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Speaker 2: going to be able to confuse quarterbacks other ways. I mean,

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Speaker 2: look no further than what Joe Burrow did against the

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Speaker 2: Ravens last year. Nothing, I mean in three games. I

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Speaker 2: don't think he eclipsed two fifty in any of those games.

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Speaker 2: But the Humphrey injury.

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Speaker 3: That's massive.

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Speaker 2: He's the one player outside of Lamar Jackson that they

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Speaker 2: cannot afford to lose. He is that important to everything

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Speaker 2: they really want to do. There's only so much that

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Speaker 2: McDonald can scheme up without one of the top cornerbacks

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Speaker 2: in the league, especially when you don't have, you know,

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Speaker 2: a dominant edge rush. Now, the defense was night and

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Speaker 2: day better the second half of the season. After they

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Speaker 2: traded for Rokwan Smith. They moved Kyle Hamilton around. You know,

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Speaker 2: they did get rock Ya sin who I think can

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Speaker 2: be a pretty good fit here, but without Humphrey, you know,

200
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Speaker 2: there's also you know, another question, there's a question at

201
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Speaker 2: one of the other safety spots, like you lost Chuck Clark.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, there's definitely some questions on this defense, although

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Speaker 2: I still think it'll be solid assuming that Humphrey just

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Speaker 2: comes back and is healthy. Right, Like, missing to the

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Speaker 2: first two games isn't the end of the world. The

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Speaker 2: problem is, you know, they they should get by Houston

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Speaker 2: and the opener at home, but they go to Sincy

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Speaker 2: week two, which is just a brutal blow and brutal

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Speaker 2: timing wise to not have Humphrey for that game. Which

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Speaker 2: could ultimately, you know, end up costing them the division

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Speaker 2: so as well as they did Borrow last year. Not

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Speaker 2: having Humphrey in Sincy is going to sting. But the

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Speaker 2: main reason why I'm so optimistic on this team, and

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Speaker 2: they've really been bit by the injury above the past

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Speaker 2: two seasons, and here we go again with Humphrey. But

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Speaker 2: hopefully you get.

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Speaker 1: Rocketson's week to week. So it's yeah, I mean that,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know exactly what the status would

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Speaker 1: be for that since the game, but yeah, things could

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Speaker 1: get really bad if he's out as well.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you would hope that they get some better injury locked.

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Speaker 2: Not off to a good start this season, but I'm

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Speaker 2: extremely high on the offense in the regular season. I

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Speaker 2: love Todd Monkin. I think he's gonna do wonders for

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Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson and this offense, which you know you now

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Speaker 2: have Ronnie Stanley should be one hundred percent healthy and.

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Speaker 3: Out left tackle. That's huge.

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Speaker 2: You added Odell Beckham, you drafted Jay Flowers, who I

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Speaker 2: also love. You have a great tight end room, You

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Speaker 2: have Bateman Dobbins back healthy, who looked great at the

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Speaker 2: end of last year, and this offense just needed a change,

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Speaker 2: It needed a complete point eighty and that's what they're

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Speaker 2: going to get with Mounkin. And I think Lamar is

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Speaker 2: going to have a huge year and there's going to

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Speaker 2: be the element of surprise for opposing defenses, similar to

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Speaker 2: what we saw when Greg Roman implemented his offense for

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Speaker 2: the first time with Lamar Jackson and then it kind of,

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Speaker 2: you know, got stay oe. The league adjusted and now

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Speaker 2: this is John Harball countering back. So I think Lamar

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Speaker 2: Jackson is going to have a huge year. And with

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Speaker 2: these injuries at corner, you know, with Humphrey, the questions

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Speaker 2: off the edge, maybe the defense takes a step back

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Speaker 2: from what we saw at the second half of last season.

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Speaker 2: What does that mean more shoot outs for this offense,

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Speaker 2: which I think is going to be a very very

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Speaker 2: pleasant surprise, which is one of the reasons why I like,

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Speaker 2: you know, so I did like the Ravens win total.

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Speaker 3: Over I don't.

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Speaker 2: I can't get there on a future. The AFC is

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Speaker 2: just so loaded and by the time the playoffs come around,

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Speaker 2: we're gonna have a lot of tape on what this

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Speaker 2: offense looks like. But for the regular season, I think

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Speaker 2: Jackson's gonna have a huge year, So I like taking

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Speaker 2: a little flyer on him to win MVP. You have

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Speaker 2: the we're gonna talk about the Chiefs, but you know,

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs are always gonna be there. Maomes is always

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Speaker 2: going to be there. Everyone knows it already, Like you know,

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Speaker 2: it's kind of one of those things like becoming like Lebron,

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Speaker 2: but that offense has more questions than.

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Speaker 3: It has in recent seasons.

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Speaker 2: Mahomes is still going to be Mahomes, but you know

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Speaker 2: what I mean, like some of the fatigue there with

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Speaker 2: everyone knows what Mahomes does so and then you have

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Speaker 2: this Burrow calf injury. So I think Lamar Jackson is

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Speaker 2: as good a shot as anyone if this offense hits

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Speaker 2: like I think it can, and these potential defensive injuries

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Speaker 2: could actually end up helping him statistically and improving his

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Speaker 2: chances even more. So, Yeah, I'm gonna take a shot

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Speaker 2: on Lamar MVP, improved receiver Group Dobbins back, you know,

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Speaker 2: your star left tackle fully healthy now, and just a

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Speaker 2: rock star offensive coordinator who's going to jump start this offense.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm taking a shot there.

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Speaker 1: Any thoughts, Yeah, I like these, so I'm probably gonna

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Speaker 1: have some lamar too. I have some hurts in some fields.

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Speaker 1: I do like these kind of this has a year

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Speaker 1: for one of these mobile, scramping quarterbacks to win it.

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Speaker 1: You know, Mahomes, he had the league in passing yards

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Speaker 1: last year. That's not gonna happen every year, especially you know,

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Speaker 1: no Tyreek Hill. You know, some years he's going to

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Speaker 1: be really good and just not have that greaty years

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Speaker 1: he had last year. And that's when some of these

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Speaker 1: other vps I think in capitalized. So I don't mind it.

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Speaker 1: So you don't think there's gonna be any just kind

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Speaker 1: of growing pains with the offense. You think it can

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Speaker 1: hit the ground running, because that was kind of my

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Speaker 1: only concern with the offense, just kind of going to

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Speaker 1: a new scheme. You know, I did hear this is

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Speaker 1: having some some struggles in camp with that. But you

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Speaker 1: think it's gonna hit the ground There.

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Speaker 2: Could be I'm you know, I really trust Monkin to

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Speaker 2: get it figured out. And you do get Houston in

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Speaker 2: week one at home to kind of yea work out

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Speaker 2: some of the kinks, and then you also have you know,

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Speaker 2: while there might be some rust, you also have the

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Speaker 2: element of surprise of you know, other teams aren't really

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Speaker 2: gonna have any idea what the Ravens are going to

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Speaker 2: throw out there. Monkin is very innovative, he is very flexible,

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Speaker 2: and you know it was it's the offense is gonna

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Speaker 2: look unlike anything the Ravens have done in recent seasons

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Speaker 2: and maybe unlike anyone.

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Speaker 3: Else is doing the NFL.

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Speaker 2: And therefore, just like in twenty nineteen when you know

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Speaker 2: the Ravens zigged with that rushing offense that just hit

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Speaker 2: when Lamar won MVP, you could see a similar case

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Speaker 2: here with just that unfamiliarity actually benefits the Ravens a ton,

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Speaker 2: and specifically Lamar Jackson. So it is a small concern

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Speaker 2: with maybe some rust early on, but if you think

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Speaker 2: about it that now that with the potential corner injuries

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Speaker 2: and definitely not having Humphrey for that game at Cincy,

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Speaker 2: like since he's going to score that Lamar is the

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Speaker 2: Ravens are gonna have to put up points and that

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Speaker 2: could turn into a shootout there and you have Houston

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Speaker 2: to start at home and then the Colts at home.

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Speaker 3: So like, I think it's a.

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Speaker 2: Decent opportunity for the offense to get some valuables and

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Speaker 2: get comfortable before heading into the stretch run.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think, because that was my main concern. But

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Speaker 1: I do, like, you know, I think their receiving corps

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Speaker 1: is the best they've had. You know, with Obj, we'll

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Speaker 1: see if he can stay healthy. I like safe Flowers

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Speaker 1: and Bateman's coming back, Andrews likely at side end. Uh,

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Speaker 1: they may you know, they're not. They're gonna get away

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Speaker 1: from some of those Roman principles, so you know, maybe

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Speaker 1: even see you know, the running backs a little more

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Speaker 1: involved in the pass game. We know they're not gonna

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Speaker 1: use the fall back as much, so they're trying recard

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Speaker 1: out of other spots to try to keep them, you know, useful.

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Speaker 1: But I think ultimately, yeah, the offense should be better.

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Speaker 1: Cornerback big concern because you know, just playing Cincy, you

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Speaker 1: know you're gonna need three good corners. Pittsburgh's receivers, I

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Speaker 1: think are gonna be pretty good this year. You play

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Speaker 1: Miami weight in the year, so you're gonna you're gonna

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Speaker 1: need that cornerback depth. So I think that's the biggest

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Speaker 1: So we saw that a couple of years ago, But overall,

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Speaker 1: I think I still wouldn't go over like a media.

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Speaker 1: I don't really like many median kind of especially positive

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Speaker 1: bets in the AFC because it's going to be so tough.

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Speaker 1: But I think, you know, looking at Baltimore versus Sincy,

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Speaker 1: I would rather take Baltimore to win the AFC North

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Speaker 1: that plus two ten than since he at plus one

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Speaker 1: point fifty. I think Baltimore is right there with since

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Speaker 1: he just those does depth concerns at at corner. You know,

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Speaker 1: the floor is lower, I think, but you know, especially

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Speaker 1: with Burrow hurt and especially if they could kind of

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Speaker 1: figure out how to get a win in that Week

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Speaker 1: two game, I think Baltimore is a good spot. But overall, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I like balt I think Baltimore is a lot closer

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Speaker 1: to the top tier than to that second tier of

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Speaker 1: just like everybody kind of mixed in. So I do

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Speaker 1: like the Ravens all right, great, full.

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Speaker 2: At full strength, just as of right now, I only

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Speaker 2: have the Ravens about a half point below.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they're right there, They're right there, all right. Stuck.

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Speaker 1: We're doing these episodes because the NFL season's almost here,

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356
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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Cleveland Browns stuck. I know you

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Speaker 1: were highing them coming into the off season, and I'm

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Speaker 1: a little out of loss. I don't love what I've

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Speaker 1: heard at a camp about the offense. And you know

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Speaker 1: last year, Watson, you know, throwing to Cooper twelve point

381
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Speaker 1: three yards per target, throwing to people's jones. He was

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Speaker 1: pretty good as well in the Djoku Chubb all the

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Speaker 1: guys that are going to be back, Watson was pretty

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Speaker 1: good throwing to. And then really the guys he struggled

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Speaker 1: with were a lot of the wide receivers further down

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Speaker 1: the depth chart, uh, you know, backup tight ends, running backs,

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Speaker 1: things like that. So I thought Watson would be better

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Speaker 1: just based on that, but really haven't heard of much

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Speaker 1: improve in camp. But I like the offensive line. I

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00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:05,080
Speaker 1: like the defense with Jim Schwartz and some of the

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Speaker 1: additions they've made on that side of the ball. So

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Speaker 1: where are you on this Browns team?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, very very intriguing team for a multitude of reasons,

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Speaker 2: and the most the latest intrigue is around the kicker.

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Speaker 2: I mean, by the way, they were still very unlucky

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Speaker 2: last year. I think they're I think Kay York cost

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Speaker 2: him a couple of games, and he's on Instagram during

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Speaker 2: at halftime, and because he made a kick in the

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Speaker 2: preseason the lead.

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Speaker 3: Of that post, I think they gotta cut him like

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Speaker 3: they he has he's shot.

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Speaker 1: So I don't know the way, the way. I don't

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Speaker 1: know who they replaced him with. I mean, I guess,

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Speaker 1: I guess there are a few guys. But yeah, the kickers,

405
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Speaker 1: the teams that were bad kicker situations could really get

406
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Speaker 1: screwed this year, like Dallas is another one. It's just

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Speaker 1: not a lot of kickers out there that you rely on.

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Speaker 1: But sorry, go ahead the.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but I so they've been They were extremely unlucky

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Speaker 2: last year due to you know, injuries to their due

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Speaker 2: to the last couple of years. Dude, it gets finally

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Speaker 2: some breaks. But I I I like them to win

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Speaker 2: the division. I don't have them that far off from

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Speaker 2: the I have them about a point and power ratings

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Speaker 2: lower than the Ravens point a half than the Bengals.

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Speaker 2: But when you take into account their schedule, which is

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Speaker 2: easier it's the last play schedule than the Bengals and Ravens,

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Speaker 2: I project the Ravens like ten and a half bank

419
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Speaker 2: the Bengals ten and a half, the Browns ten point two.

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Speaker 3: So I have them all right in that range, and

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Speaker 3: I am getting a.

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Speaker 2: Very juicy number on this Cleveland team with the upside

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Speaker 2: of Watson. I agree, I don't like some of the

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Speaker 2: things I've heard. I'm just hoping that with more reps,

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Speaker 2: with this good offensive line, good running game, coaching staff

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Speaker 2: that I like, that he's going to get better. And

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Speaker 2: I'm kind of investing in that upside rather than going

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Speaker 2: with the win total over because if Watson just doesn't

429
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Speaker 2: have it anymore, then not only are they not winning

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Speaker 2: the division, They're not going over their win total in

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00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:29,639
Speaker 2: this division and conference. So I much rather take a

432
00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:32,639
Speaker 2: shot on the division. And then, as we mentioned before,

433
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 2: the Ravens they have, they play the Bengals Week two

434
00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 2: without Humphrey. The Browns play the Bengals Week one with

435
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:47,680
Speaker 2: Burrows calf and like maybe his first action in a

436
00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:50,720
Speaker 2: while not work. So like that game at home, they

437
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:54,040
Speaker 2: could steal that game against the Bengals, and those two

438
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 2: games could be huge for the division.

439
00:24:58,640 --> 00:24:59,520
Speaker 3: I really like the schedule.

440
00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:02,800
Speaker 2: Bengals have a much tougher schedule, and you know, so

441
00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:04,920
Speaker 2: I'm buying the upside of Watson on the offensive side

442
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:06,560
Speaker 2: of the ball. If he can just get back to

443
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,320
Speaker 2: you know, an above average quarterback doesn't have to be

444
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:15,440
Speaker 2: a superstar. This offense will be really good. And the defense,

445
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 2: I love what they did in the offseason. They needed

446
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:25,440
Speaker 2: to address the defensive front in a major way, and

447
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:29,600
Speaker 2: they did that in spades. I love all the additions there.

448
00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:37,440
Speaker 2: I love the additions at safety and simply changing defensive

449
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:41,399
Speaker 2: coordinators and bringing in Jim Schwartz is going to do

450
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,240
Speaker 2: wonders for this defense. So the biggest problem with this

451
00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:46,440
Speaker 2: defense last year they couldn't stop the run. They needed

452
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:49,840
Speaker 2: to get bulk up front, which they did. Loved all

453
00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:53,879
Speaker 2: the additions there, and they had so many blown assignments.

454
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 2: It was and you would hear quotes in the locker

455
00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:58,440
Speaker 2: room like, we don't know what the scheme, like, we

456
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:00,440
Speaker 2: were so confused with the scheme, and you would just

457
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:05,600
Speaker 2: see blown assignments from the safeties and then coverage. And Schwartz,

458
00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:09,440
Speaker 2: who really his scheam really needs a strong defensive line

459
00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:11,520
Speaker 2: and a really strong edge rusher.

460
00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:12,360
Speaker 3: Which he has here.

461
00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:16,720
Speaker 2: He's gonna at least come in and have a plan

462
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 2: and be able to instill some discipline. And it's really

463
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:22,840
Speaker 2: easy to go from to fix some of the things

464
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:24,960
Speaker 2: because it's just the most basic ship that the Browns

465
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 2: couldn't do last year. So I think that this could

466
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:32,320
Speaker 2: be one of, if not the most improved defense in

467
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:36,440
Speaker 2: the NFL, you know, you have. I like their cornerback group.

468
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 2: I like the upgrades at safety, you know, even bringing

469
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 2: him a Cloud who knows the system very well and

470
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:45,480
Speaker 2: won't make those mistakes. I think it's huge. And just

471
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:48,240
Speaker 2: all that bulk up front, I think is massive. So

472
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,400
Speaker 2: I think the defense is going to be significantly improved

473
00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:57,760
Speaker 2: as long as they can find a fucking kicker and Watson,

474
00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:01,520
Speaker 2: you know, in form, I think there's a ton of

475
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:05,879
Speaker 2: value on the Browns to win this division at a

476
00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:11,480
Speaker 2: very juicy price, especially considering that I project all three

477
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:13,680
Speaker 2: of these teams right around you know, ten and a

478
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:15,920
Speaker 2: half wins, Browns just slightly below.

479
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:20,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the Browns, you know that. And to

480
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:23,920
Speaker 1: your point about Schwartz and the defense, the last two

481
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:27,480
Speaker 1: stops you know, in year one, top four defense in

482
00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:31,880
Speaker 1: DVOA in year one with Schwartz, so not necessarily a defense,

483
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,400
Speaker 1: you know, and a guy who's gonna take a long

484
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:36,320
Speaker 1: time to kind of correct some of these things. And

485
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:40,200
Speaker 1: like you said, they have the personnel. Garrett Zadarius Smith,

486
00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 1: excuse me, Dalvin Tomlinson. They got Shelby Harris, Uncle Ronquo,

487
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 1: just a lot of good players on that front ward

488
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:53,600
Speaker 1: Newsom Emerson, Thornhill at safety. Now McLeod, you mentioned love

489
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,160
Speaker 1: the defense. The O line still has Will's but Totio

490
00:27:56,800 --> 00:28:00,440
Speaker 1: Conquin at right tackle teller a good good, just good

491
00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:04,520
Speaker 1: group good players really everywhere on the rosters. So yeah,

492
00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:07,880
Speaker 1: I don't mind taking a shot that Watson figures it out.

493
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:10,280
Speaker 1: And even if he doesn't get back to Old, the

494
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:13,680
Speaker 1: Deshaun of Old, the roster rounder is still strong enough

495
00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:16,479
Speaker 1: for this team to be in that conversation as long

496
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:20,760
Speaker 1: as he doesn't just completely ship the bed. So yeah,

497
00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:23,600
Speaker 1: I still still wouldn't go with like a median like

498
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:25,560
Speaker 1: I still don't love the you know, over nine and

499
00:28:25,600 --> 00:28:28,440
Speaker 1: a half, just because again, these ASC teams are just

500
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,440
Speaker 1: two bunch together. I think you want more value on

501
00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:34,080
Speaker 1: these teams. And the Browns being you know, third place

502
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:37,360
Speaker 1: in that division in terms of the odds, I think

503
00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:40,440
Speaker 1: is a nice nice way to invest. And then we

504
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:45,720
Speaker 1: have the Pittsburgh Steelers. Sorry, but let me just.

505
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 2: Ask you about one of the other I think issues

506
00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:52,400
Speaker 2: with this offense. The Browns offense that they addressed on paper,

507
00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:59,800
Speaker 2: is they needed like a more speed and a deep threat.

508
00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:07,400
Speaker 2: Yeah for this offense because my guy Anthony Schwartz, because

509
00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:11,960
Speaker 2: he left the NFL for a track career, yet wasn't

510
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 2: the still dropping balls. Yeah, I saw that, uh the preseason.

511
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:21,880
Speaker 2: But they so they brought in Elijah Moore, who could

512
00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 2: solve that issue. Are you high on him here? What

513
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:26,080
Speaker 2: are your thoughts on him?

514
00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:29,400
Speaker 1: So he's kind of a wildcut. I liked what I

515
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:31,480
Speaker 1: saw briefly in the preseason with him. I think they're

516
00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:33,240
Speaker 1: gonna use him a little more like a like a

517
00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 1: gadget guy and something's almost like a Rondeo Moore in

518
00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:41,600
Speaker 1: in Arizona type player, which that could benefit them. Also, Tillman,

519
00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 1: I think he could be very good and let's you know,

520
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:48,720
Speaker 1: let's get DPJ his credit. Uh, you know, obviously probably

521
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:51,160
Speaker 1: not a long term guy that they figured would would

522
00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:53,280
Speaker 1: be their starter, but you know, he's played well, could

523
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,959
Speaker 1: still be as sending. So there's a lot to like here.

524
00:29:56,040 --> 00:29:58,239
Speaker 1: Really comes down to Watson. But yeah, four to one

525
00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:00,320
Speaker 1: to win the division, I think that's kind of the

526
00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 1: way you want to invest because like, yeah, the win total,

527
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,600
Speaker 1: I mean that this could be like on paper, this

528
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:10,719
Speaker 1: is a nine to ten win team, but they might

529
00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:12,360
Speaker 1: not win nine to ten games just because of how

530
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:14,160
Speaker 1: tough the division is. But at the same time, they

531
00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:17,320
Speaker 1: could win the division because everyone kind of just kind

532
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:20,000
Speaker 1: of gets stuck together. So yeah, I think the way

533
00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:22,960
Speaker 1: to invest longer shots. And then we have Pittsburgh here.

534
00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:26,080
Speaker 1: Eight and a half is the win total minus one

535
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:30,240
Speaker 1: fifty to the over Tom win eleven and five over

536
00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:33,880
Speaker 1: the win totals and his tenure as the head coach

537
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:35,840
Speaker 1: of the Steelers three and ozero over the last three

538
00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:40,360
Speaker 1: years towards the over The question for Pittsburgh I think

539
00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 1: is how much of a step forward, if any I

540
00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 1: think they're gonna take a step forward, does this offense

541
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:48,320
Speaker 1: take in year two with Kenny Picket, Because they were

542
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:51,960
Speaker 1: surprisingly eighteenth in DVA and eighteenth in past DVOA last year,

543
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:53,760
Speaker 1: which was higher than I would have thought. Would pick

544
00:30:53,760 --> 00:30:57,120
Speaker 1: it essentially not throwing touchdowns. So what do you think

545
00:30:57,160 --> 00:30:59,680
Speaker 1: about Pittsburgh this year? I think cornerback on defense is

546
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:01,720
Speaker 1: gonna be concern, but overall, what do you think?

547
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:05,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I they were, and they were.

548
00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,320
Speaker 2: Their offense down the stretch was even better than that

549
00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 2: in the second half of the season. But I'm still

550
00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:17,440
Speaker 2: not a picket guy. I can be convinced. I need

551
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:19,560
Speaker 2: to see it more and dig into it, but I'm

552
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:23,200
Speaker 2: just not there yet. Certainly not a Matt Canada guy.

553
00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:24,239
Speaker 1: Uh.

554
00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:30,160
Speaker 2: The offensive line is improved a bit. Still some questions

555
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:35,080
Speaker 2: there for sure. You know, maybe you can get Roderick

556
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:38,240
Speaker 2: Jones to step up as a rookie. That would be

557
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:42,800
Speaker 2: huge if he can fill in at left tackle. But

558
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 2: the group overall I think is getting better. Not the

559
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:49,480
Speaker 2: Alan Robinson signing.

560
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 1: Man. I like Kevin Austin. I think we Austin ends

561
00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:53,520
Speaker 1: up winning winning a job.

562
00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:57,240
Speaker 3: Oh, I could see that. I was a big Austin

563
00:31:57,280 --> 00:31:57,959
Speaker 3: fan in college.

564
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:04,720
Speaker 2: The you know, the defense, they they swapped linebackers, which

565
00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:10,120
Speaker 2: is very interesting swap. But I got some veteran, reliable

566
00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:10,640
Speaker 2: guys there.

567
00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 3: But you're you're right.

568
00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 2: The the secondary outside of Fitzpatrick is definitely a concern.

569
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:24,520
Speaker 2: You know, Peterson is way past his prime. You're gonna

570
00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:27,640
Speaker 2: need a rookie importer to really shine.

571
00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:28,600
Speaker 3: Whilst is just.

572
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:35,360
Speaker 2: So yeah, the past defense, especially in the AFC, is

573
00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:40,640
Speaker 2: certainly a concerned. I'm also just as of right now,

574
00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:43,000
Speaker 2: I'm not a picket guy, and I don't I hate

575
00:32:43,040 --> 00:32:47,160
Speaker 2: the their coordinator. So I can't get in on any

576
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:51,959
Speaker 2: of the upside of the Steelers mainly, I mean, especially

577
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:55,360
Speaker 2: in this division and in this conference. I have a

578
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:57,120
Speaker 2: lot of respect for tomlin.

579
00:32:58,920 --> 00:32:59,720
Speaker 3: Watt and this.

580
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:03,280
Speaker 2: I project them. I think the wind total is like

581
00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:06,520
Speaker 2: sitting at like eight eight adjusted with for juice, I

582
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:11,160
Speaker 2: project them at eight seven. So I have nothing on

583
00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:14,120
Speaker 2: the Steelers. I was happy that I was at eight

584
00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:17,880
Speaker 2: seven and not eight one, so that you know, seven nine,

585
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:19,960
Speaker 2: eight one, So I would have to bet the under

586
00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:21,440
Speaker 2: and then watch Tom and find a way to go

587
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:27,400
Speaker 2: nine and eight again. So they do have a pretty

588
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:32,600
Speaker 2: easy schedule for an AFC North team. I just can't

589
00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:37,560
Speaker 2: get there yet in this gauntlet of a division. It

590
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,400
Speaker 2: kind of sucks for Steelers fans. I mean, maybe they're

591
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:42,680
Speaker 2: gonna be better than I I anticipate, but I think

592
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 2: that they're getting better. It's just that this is the

593
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:49,960
Speaker 2: best division in football, and I think they're clearly the

594
00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:52,160
Speaker 2: fourth best team. And I can't get there on the

595
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:55,120
Speaker 2: upside just because I'm lower on Picket and this play calling.

596
00:33:55,280 --> 00:33:55,760
Speaker 3: Maybe you're not.

597
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,360
Speaker 2: And if you're not, if you really like Picket, I

598
00:33:57,400 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 2: could see a case for maybe take a flyer on

599
00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:03,480
Speaker 2: the Steelers. I'm just not there yet, So nothing for

600
00:34:03,600 --> 00:34:04,400
Speaker 2: me on the Steelers.

601
00:34:05,320 --> 00:34:07,640
Speaker 1: I think the thing with me with Pittsburgh is I'm

602
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:11,000
Speaker 1: not sold on Picket yet. But I do like the

603
00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:13,759
Speaker 1: pieces he's surrounded with and the fact that they were

604
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:17,520
Speaker 1: eighteenth last year. You know, there is some upside here,

605
00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 1: you know, if he takes a step forward. Same thing

606
00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:23,360
Speaker 1: even with the corner situation. You know, Peterson passed his

607
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:26,520
Speaker 1: prime in age, but what was one of the best

608
00:34:26,560 --> 00:34:29,359
Speaker 1: corners in the league last year, So he'll be thirty three?

609
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:31,640
Speaker 1: Can he can he run that back? If Porter's really

610
00:34:31,680 --> 00:34:32,400
Speaker 1: good as a rookie.

611
00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:33,440
Speaker 3: So there's there's a.

612
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:34,440
Speaker 1: Lot of upside here.

613
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 3: You know.

614
00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:38,880
Speaker 1: I don't hate, you know, plus four to seventy for

615
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:41,160
Speaker 1: the division because I don't think any of these teams

616
00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:44,920
Speaker 1: are too far apart. Now. I don't love Canada as

617
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:48,080
Speaker 1: a play caller, but just looking at this team, looking

618
00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:50,360
Speaker 1: at the schedule and looking at you know, it's just

619
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:54,000
Speaker 1: just a gauntlet. It would have surprised me if Pittsburgh

620
00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:56,600
Speaker 1: was number one. Wouldn't surprise me if Pittsburgh made the playoffs,

621
00:34:57,320 --> 00:34:59,239
Speaker 1: and it wouldn't surprise me they went over their win

622
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,040
Speaker 1: told even though it's not really much value there. So

623
00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:05,240
Speaker 1: not low on Pittsburgh. I'm I'm higher than the market,

624
00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:09,120
Speaker 1: but it is tough, you know, to find something like

625
00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:13,000
Speaker 1: substantial to really do with them futures wise, because yeah,

626
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:16,680
Speaker 1: plus four to seventy on the division long shot, but still,

627
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:18,400
Speaker 1: like you said, they are the fourth best team that

628
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:20,720
Speaker 1: we saw on paper, So I do think there's some upside.

629
00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:22,200
Speaker 1: Probably a team we want to bet up. We're gonna

630
00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:24,440
Speaker 1: be betting on again throughout the year. Tom Win is

631
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:27,640
Speaker 1: forty two thirty nine straight up as an underdog, so

632
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:29,280
Speaker 1: you know they're gonna win some games you don't expect

633
00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:32,400
Speaker 1: them to win. So it's probably gonna like mess up

634
00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:37,239
Speaker 1: teams like the Browns, Bengals AND's Ravens in terms of

635
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,480
Speaker 1: their win totals, which is why I wouldn't go over them,

636
00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:42,080
Speaker 1: because Pittsburgh probably gonna steal a couple of wins in

637
00:35:42,160 --> 00:35:45,440
Speaker 1: which those teams are favored. So I do expect Pittsburgh

638
00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:48,120
Speaker 1: to find to find its way to nine wins again,

639
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:51,960
Speaker 1: but you know, not too much I can do with them.

640
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:56,520
Speaker 1: The new NFL season almost here, so your old habit

641
00:35:56,640 --> 00:36:00,640
Speaker 1: of never missing a snap on Sunday is back and

642
00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:02,480
Speaker 1: I want to tell you about another habit I'm getting

643
00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:06,200
Speaker 1: into Caldera Lab Skin regimen. It's simple and it takes

644
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:08,319
Speaker 1: just one minute in the morning and one at night.

645
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:10,600
Speaker 1: You're already in the habit of brushing your teeth, so

646
00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:13,239
Speaker 1: why not add another habit right after to take your

647
00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:17,160
Speaker 1: skincare up a notch With Caldero Labs. The three steps

648
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:19,960
Speaker 1: are simple. You've got the clean slate number one, which

649
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Speaker 1: All right, stuck, Let's go to the ASC West, who

664
00:37:12,400 --> 00:37:15,919
Speaker 1: got the Chiefs eleven and a half, Andy Reid nine

665
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:19,400
Speaker 1: and one to the over With the Chiefs since twenty eighteen,

666
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:22,000
Speaker 1: they're twenty six and four straight up in the division.

667
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:25,120
Speaker 1: So I don't know, where are you with this team? Because,

668
00:37:25,120 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 1: I you know, on fields, I think they're going to

669
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 1: be pretty similar to last year. But you know, if

670
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:32,279
Speaker 1: they if they're only going to lose one probably one

671
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:34,759
Speaker 1: game in the division, which seems to be what they do,

672
00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:38,919
Speaker 1: I don't know if I see another you know, five

673
00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:42,160
Speaker 1: losses on the schedule outside of that. So where are

674
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:42,839
Speaker 1: you with this team?

675
00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:45,879
Speaker 3: When is the last time the Broncos beat with the Chiefs?

676
00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:50,920
Speaker 1: What is it like fifteen straight now? I know it's

677
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:54,720
Speaker 1: been way too long. Last time the Broncos.

678
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:58,879
Speaker 2: Beat the Chiefs is twenty fifteen and the division yep, yeah,

679
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:06,040
Speaker 2: could hit a ten year stretch. Yeah, I mean, what

680
00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:10,840
Speaker 2: is there really to say with the Chiefs? It's Andy Reid,

681
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:16,680
Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce. They I mean, look, the wind

682
00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:20,800
Speaker 2: total is sitting at eleven point eight adjusted I project

683
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:24,400
Speaker 2: them numbers wise at eleven two, you're always going to

684
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:25,040
Speaker 2: pay a little bit.

685
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:25,600
Speaker 3: Of a premium.

686
00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:30,880
Speaker 2: I've noticed compared to my projections for the Chiefs. There's

687
00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:39,400
Speaker 2: certainly some questions on this offense outside of Mahomes, you know, receiver.

688
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:44,320
Speaker 2: We'll see how it pans out. Some questions maybe on

689
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:49,160
Speaker 2: the offensive line. They've done a really good job drafting

690
00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:52,680
Speaker 2: and you know, plugging and playing on the defensive side

691
00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:57,279
Speaker 2: of the ball to kind of adjust for you know,

692
00:38:57,560 --> 00:39:01,320
Speaker 2: the high the player that demand a ton of money

693
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:04,440
Speaker 2: on the offensive side of the ball. You know, so

694
00:39:04,520 --> 00:39:07,239
Speaker 2: the defense won't be serviceable. But it's Mahomes, like what,

695
00:39:07,560 --> 00:39:10,320
Speaker 2: He's gonna win a ton of games. They kind of

696
00:39:10,360 --> 00:39:13,920
Speaker 2: flashes like a regression candidate. They were really good in

697
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:17,560
Speaker 2: one possession games. They were really healthy. But it's like

698
00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:19,319
Speaker 2: Mahomes is the ball at the end, He's gonna win

699
00:39:19,360 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 2: the game.

700
00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:22,640
Speaker 3: I lean the under, but.

701
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:28,239
Speaker 2: Probably just numbers wise, I'm not betting it. What else

702
00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:30,640
Speaker 2: is there more to say? As long as he stays healthy,

703
00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:34,320
Speaker 2: the Chiefs are gonna be in the playoffs and someone's

704
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:35,160
Speaker 2: gonna have to take him out.

705
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:38,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I would lean over if if you

706
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:41,200
Speaker 1: know like again, like if you say, okay, they probably

707
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:45,360
Speaker 1: lose one game in the division their home schedule Detroit, Chicago,

708
00:39:46,440 --> 00:39:49,920
Speaker 1: the Dolphins in London, Philly, Buffalo, since they are the

709
00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:51,920
Speaker 1: three toughest games, but they're all at home, so they

710
00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:55,279
Speaker 1: got their you know, the three kind of top tier

711
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:57,879
Speaker 1: NFL teams that they play on their schedule at home.

712
00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:01,920
Speaker 1: And then Rode Jacksonville, Jets, Minnesota, Green Bay, New England

713
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:05,160
Speaker 1: like not not nothing daunting. I just don't know if

714
00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:09,879
Speaker 1: I see six losses on the schedule, so I would

715
00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:13,279
Speaker 1: actually lean over. Yeah, I expected read to get to

716
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:17,080
Speaker 1: ten and one. With Case mcduffy the corner, I like,

717
00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:19,960
Speaker 1: I like, you know, his his his rookie year. Think

718
00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:23,040
Speaker 1: he'll be uh should be even better in year two.

719
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:26,280
Speaker 1: Usually corners take a year or so, still like Snead.

720
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 1: So yeah, I think the defense. I like that they're getting,

721
00:40:28,760 --> 00:40:30,799
Speaker 1: you know, kind of committed to just get more speed

722
00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:32,400
Speaker 1: on that defense, even if it wasn't gonna be a

723
00:40:32,680 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 1: great defense. So yeah, I like the defense. The one

724
00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:39,239
Speaker 1: thing I think, you know, Mahomes second in the league

725
00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:42,400
Speaker 1: in yards after catch per completion last year. That's pretty

726
00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:46,359
Speaker 1: like crazy considering you know, Tyreek was gone, So maybe

727
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,920
Speaker 1: not as crazy of a season this year for Mahomes

728
00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:52,759
Speaker 1: numbers wise, but chief should be right there. I don't

729
00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:56,560
Speaker 1: like you said not much, not much to say with

730
00:40:56,719 --> 00:40:59,680
Speaker 1: Kansas City, but I do want to talk about l

731
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:02,880
Speaker 1: A a little bit because I kind of like this

732
00:41:03,040 --> 00:41:05,080
Speaker 1: Kevin Morrison and I just thought Justin Herbert did not

733
00:41:05,160 --> 00:41:07,360
Speaker 1: go downfield enough. I thought they just had no idea

734
00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:10,000
Speaker 1: when and how to run the ball at times to

735
00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:13,320
Speaker 1: kind of maximize their odds of winning games. So the

736
00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:16,200
Speaker 1: win totals nine and a half, but you know they

737
00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:18,640
Speaker 1: can go forward wide now. I think Herbert's a good

738
00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 1: bet to lead the league in yardage in past the yardage.

739
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:24,840
Speaker 1: But overall, what do you think the Chargers are gonna

740
00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:25,920
Speaker 1: do this year?

741
00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:27,239
Speaker 3: Yeah?

742
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:31,400
Speaker 2: I project nine point nine. You know, the win totals

743
00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:35,239
Speaker 2: over nine and a half, so slight lean to the over.

744
00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:36,960
Speaker 3: I like this team.

745
00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:40,960
Speaker 2: I think the best coordinator, the two best coordinator changes

746
00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:43,920
Speaker 2: of the offseason with the Browns on the defensive side

747
00:41:43,920 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 2: of the ball, just just fixing all the issues there

748
00:41:46,719 --> 00:41:52,520
Speaker 2: that we talked about earlier, and then similar getting anybody

749
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:59,360
Speaker 2: in over Lombardi who just inexplicable play calling, not unleashing

750
00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:01,960
Speaker 2: Herbert and yeah, not knowing when to run the ball.

751
00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:05,360
Speaker 2: As you said in fairness, they'd had a ton of

752
00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:11,200
Speaker 2: horrible injury luck, which you would hope turns around, you know, Slater,

753
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:14,040
Speaker 2: which is just a huge loss. Even Lindsley at centered

754
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:16,520
Speaker 2: we missed time and then the receivers. Herbert was hurt,

755
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:21,040
Speaker 2: but that doesn't excuse the play calling before all his

756
00:42:21,160 --> 00:42:25,239
Speaker 2: injuries and throughout Lombardi's tenure. And I really really like

757
00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:30,120
Speaker 2: Kellen Moore and think he will be provide a huge

758
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:34,480
Speaker 2: boost to Herbert and this offense. I also really like

759
00:42:35,160 --> 00:42:39,600
Speaker 2: their the receiver they drafted out of Quentin Johnson out

760
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:42,560
Speaker 2: of TCU. I think that he can, you know, kind

761
00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:47,160
Speaker 2: of help provide a deep threaten which they need more of,

762
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:49,759
Speaker 2: and take the top off defenses, open up things more

763
00:42:49,840 --> 00:42:54,480
Speaker 2: for Williams and Allen. So yeah, and then with Slater back,

764
00:42:54,640 --> 00:42:59,560
Speaker 2: the offensive line should be better. Herbert's now healthy, so

765
00:42:59,719 --> 00:43:07,000
Speaker 2: this offense could be really special. The defense is very

766
00:43:07,120 --> 00:43:10,200
Speaker 2: top heavy and there's and this is kind of what

767
00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:12,400
Speaker 2: the offense, so there's not a lot of depth. So

768
00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:16,319
Speaker 2: the Chargers, you hope, you really hope that they're due

769
00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:22,439
Speaker 2: for some positive injury regression because if not, then things

770
00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:27,080
Speaker 2: get dire very quickly. But I like this Chargers team

771
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:34,200
Speaker 2: considering too, considering, I should say, I'm considering betting.

772
00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:35,880
Speaker 3: Them to make the playoffs. I think this is a

773
00:43:35,920 --> 00:43:36,560
Speaker 3: playoff team.

774
00:43:38,080 --> 00:43:41,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's I think. I think betting on that. I

775
00:43:41,280 --> 00:43:43,160
Speaker 1: might even look at, you know, their points and bet

776
00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:45,560
Speaker 1: they're over on their points scored. I think, like you said,

777
00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:48,200
Speaker 1: the defense especially is top heavy. I don't I don't

778
00:43:48,280 --> 00:43:49,960
Speaker 1: mind the depth on offense because you know they are

779
00:43:50,040 --> 00:43:52,640
Speaker 1: getting you know, the line should be healthier. You did

780
00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:55,640
Speaker 1: get guys some experience last year. You could go four

781
00:43:55,680 --> 00:43:58,279
Speaker 1: deep at wide receiver, Palmer's there, you can go you know,

782
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:03,440
Speaker 1: tight end, you get every got Parham running back situation

783
00:44:03,520 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 1: behind ecull see you, I thought Kellby was pretty good

784
00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:06,000
Speaker 1: last year.

785
00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:09,880
Speaker 2: But maybe if you lose or if you lose obviously,

786
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:12,320
Speaker 2: if you lose Herbert, you're down to easton stick.

787
00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:15,040
Speaker 1: Yeah that's yeah.

788
00:44:15,560 --> 00:44:17,760
Speaker 2: Also, if you lose one of your two key offensive linemen,

789
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:23,239
Speaker 2: it's it's it's pretty dire there too. But yeah, I

790
00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:25,960
Speaker 2: do like a lot of the pieces they have on

791
00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:31,280
Speaker 2: on on the outside. Defensive depth is much more concern.

792
00:44:31,560 --> 00:44:34,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely so. I do think they'll score a lot

793
00:44:34,120 --> 00:44:36,200
Speaker 1: of points may end up in some shootouts if the

794
00:44:36,719 --> 00:44:40,359
Speaker 1: you know, injuries go against them on defense. But yeah,

795
00:44:40,560 --> 00:44:44,400
Speaker 1: this team I think just going to you know, because Stanley,

796
00:44:44,520 --> 00:44:47,600
Speaker 1: you know, he said, hey, like we didn't throw downfield enough. Uh,

797
00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:49,360
Speaker 1: just kind of getting back to that. I think the

798
00:44:49,400 --> 00:44:51,640
Speaker 1: scheme team could be very dangerous and they have enough

799
00:44:51,719 --> 00:44:54,960
Speaker 1: on defense. They're gonna give up, you know, runs, They're

800
00:44:54,960 --> 00:44:56,560
Speaker 1: gonna give up run play. That's just a scheme. But

801
00:44:56,800 --> 00:44:58,560
Speaker 1: they were tenth in past d v A A on

802
00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:01,520
Speaker 1: defense last year, So we'll see if jac Jackson can

803
00:45:01,600 --> 00:45:04,719
Speaker 1: rebound after a disastrous year. But overall, I think the

804
00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:08,360
Speaker 1: arrows pointing out they just got to not charger and

805
00:45:08,640 --> 00:45:11,080
Speaker 1: maybe you know, just putting up a ton of points

806
00:45:11,120 --> 00:45:12,840
Speaker 1: on the board would just be the way to go

807
00:45:12,960 --> 00:45:17,759
Speaker 1: for them. Denver, Denver is I think a lot of

808
00:45:17,800 --> 00:45:20,320
Speaker 1: people just don't don't really know what to make a

809
00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:24,560
Speaker 1: Denver their windows right. Smack Davin at five hundred and

810
00:45:24,640 --> 00:45:27,160
Speaker 1: eight and a half. Sean Payton is nine to four

811
00:45:27,239 --> 00:45:30,760
Speaker 1: and two to the over. This team did underperform according

812
00:45:30,800 --> 00:45:34,160
Speaker 1: to their Pythagora wins by one point three. There are

813
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:36,520
Speaker 1: more like a six point three win team last year

814
00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:41,279
Speaker 1: the defense was top ten, So what do you what

815
00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:43,840
Speaker 1: do you think is gonna happen with Russ and this

816
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:46,800
Speaker 1: offense this year already kind of got hit by the

817
00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:49,759
Speaker 1: injury bud, but the one should be better. What do

818
00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:51,280
Speaker 1: you see in your one under Peyton?

819
00:45:52,760 --> 00:45:57,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean obviously Sean Payton is an upgrade head coach.

820
00:45:58,400 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 2: And the Broncos paper were unlucky last year, right with

821
00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:07,399
Speaker 2: injuries on both sides of the ball, and the injuries.

822
00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:08,840
Speaker 3: Of receiver were insane.

823
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:16,120
Speaker 2: They were pretty unlucky in close games. But I project

824
00:46:16,160 --> 00:46:18,279
Speaker 2: seven and a half wins. We like the Chargers, we

825
00:46:18,440 --> 00:46:21,160
Speaker 2: like the Cheese. It's a brutal schedule, and this basically

826
00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:24,640
Speaker 2: comes down to I think Russ is cooked.

827
00:46:26,000 --> 00:46:26,840
Speaker 3: And that's it.

828
00:46:27,120 --> 00:46:31,000
Speaker 2: That's basically what this comes down to for me. Mathematically,

829
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:33,520
Speaker 2: I show a ton of value in the under, and

830
00:46:34,840 --> 00:46:39,160
Speaker 2: I am not afraid of a Russ's resurgence. He just

831
00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:43,600
Speaker 2: can't do what may used to make him great anymore,

832
00:46:44,480 --> 00:46:51,160
Speaker 2: and I'll make him prove me wrong. So I like

833
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:52,399
Speaker 2: the under eight and a half.

834
00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:56,200
Speaker 1: Our boy, Joe Lombardi went over, you know, from from

835
00:46:56,200 --> 00:46:59,520
Speaker 1: the Charges to the Broncos. So I mean, you know,

836
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:02,919
Speaker 1: I could see Peyton and this team losing a few games,

837
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:05,239
Speaker 1: well he kind of figures everything out and realizes just

838
00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:08,080
Speaker 1: what he's in for. So yeah, I would win under

839
00:47:08,120 --> 00:47:11,640
Speaker 1: as well. I haven't seen anything from Russ that's too promising,

840
00:47:12,680 --> 00:47:16,480
Speaker 1: you know. I think as a fantasy pick, maybe a

841
00:47:16,520 --> 00:47:19,279
Speaker 1: little better, can run a little bit, but I don't know.

842
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:20,960
Speaker 1: I don't know how much he's gonna want to do.

843
00:47:21,080 --> 00:47:24,520
Speaker 1: That obviously helps him, but he's older now. And then

844
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:28,160
Speaker 1: you know lost Tim Patrick, who best blocking receiver, so

845
00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:30,640
Speaker 1: you know, not a not a small blow. We'll see

846
00:47:30,640 --> 00:47:33,479
Speaker 1: if Marvin Vims can step up give him some speed

847
00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:35,360
Speaker 1: because this offense would also lack a lot of speed

848
00:47:36,719 --> 00:47:39,319
Speaker 1: in my opinion if he's not being used a lot.

849
00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:42,680
Speaker 1: I know Javonte will be back, but yeah, not not

850
00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:45,360
Speaker 1: feeling great about the Broncos. We love their defense, but

851
00:47:45,520 --> 00:47:49,120
Speaker 1: not feeling great about them overall. And then we have

852
00:47:49,280 --> 00:47:52,600
Speaker 1: the Raiders. They're expected to be the last place team

853
00:47:52,640 --> 00:47:54,759
Speaker 1: in the AFC West. Six and a half is the

854
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:57,200
Speaker 1: win total at FanDuel. The under minus one thirty eight.

855
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:01,440
Speaker 1: This team actually did underachieved last year there. You know,

856
00:48:01,560 --> 00:48:05,959
Speaker 1: they did have seven point nine Pythagorn wins, so about

857
00:48:05,960 --> 00:48:08,480
Speaker 1: an eight one team, But I just I don't know.

858
00:48:08,520 --> 00:48:10,279
Speaker 1: I like what they did on defense. They were second

859
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:12,480
Speaker 1: to last, and Dvoa I don't feel like any of

860
00:48:12,520 --> 00:48:14,880
Speaker 1: the additions where he moved to needle, including Marcus Peters,

861
00:48:14,920 --> 00:48:17,000
Speaker 1: who's you know, he has his age thirty years so

862
00:48:17,560 --> 00:48:20,160
Speaker 1: gotta be careful with him. But I just don't think

863
00:48:20,160 --> 00:48:22,400
Speaker 1: the defense did enough. And you know, Jimmy g can

864
00:48:22,440 --> 00:48:26,000
Speaker 1: you stay healthy? Probably not, So I'm pretty low in

865
00:48:26,040 --> 00:48:27,040
Speaker 1: this Raider team, what about you?

866
00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:31,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, And by the way, the Broncos would be much

867
00:48:31,600 --> 00:48:36,000
Speaker 2: more in much better shape today if they just kept

868
00:48:36,040 --> 00:48:41,600
Speaker 2: Drew Lock and didn't didn't trade away Lock, two first

869
00:48:41,680 --> 00:48:44,439
Speaker 2: round picks, two second round picks, a fifth round pick,

870
00:48:45,000 --> 00:48:46,440
Speaker 2: Shelby Harris Noah.

871
00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:53,120
Speaker 3: Fan because right now you basically have the equivalent of

872
00:48:53,239 --> 00:48:56,080
Speaker 3: what you'd get with Lock at quarterback minus all those.

873
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:59,640
Speaker 1: Picks, and you give up a pick for Peyton too.

874
00:49:00,520 --> 00:49:04,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I should have just kept Drew Lock season and

875
00:49:04,480 --> 00:49:07,840
Speaker 2: we could have tweeted out there him, I could have

876
00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:08,680
Speaker 2: tweeted out him.

877
00:49:08,560 --> 00:49:10,120
Speaker 3: Wrapping on the bench all the time.

878
00:49:12,160 --> 00:49:15,680
Speaker 2: So yeah, the the Raiders, I don't like they're getting

879
00:49:15,680 --> 00:49:16,759
Speaker 2: a brand new secondary.

880
00:49:16,920 --> 00:49:18,320
Speaker 3: I don't know what they're.

881
00:49:19,760 --> 00:49:22,600
Speaker 2: If it's gonna do anything not well by any of

882
00:49:22,680 --> 00:49:27,640
Speaker 2: the additions. It just uh kind of wipes some ship

883
00:49:27,719 --> 00:49:32,360
Speaker 2: away and then threw some more ship back down is

884
00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:36,719
Speaker 2: basically how I see it. Maybe Chandler Jones can find

885
00:49:36,760 --> 00:49:38,880
Speaker 2: his form again and the past rush can be okay,

886
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:40,440
Speaker 2: but the defense is.

887
00:49:40,480 --> 00:49:41,239
Speaker 3: Not gonna be great.

888
00:49:41,520 --> 00:49:44,000
Speaker 2: The hope is that Jimmy G knows the system obviously

889
00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:51,440
Speaker 2: and the offense can operate more efficiently, but still have

890
00:49:51,560 --> 00:49:53,560
Speaker 2: questions about the offensive line. And Jimmy G's like he's

891
00:49:53,560 --> 00:49:56,799
Speaker 2: gonna be a he'sus serviceable winning, not gonna lose your

892
00:49:56,840 --> 00:50:00,360
Speaker 2: games average quarterback, but needs like a good defense and

893
00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:03,920
Speaker 2: good structure, and he's not going to go out and

894
00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:08,759
Speaker 2: win games on his own, especially in this division and

895
00:50:08,840 --> 00:50:12,920
Speaker 2: in this conference. So I mean they are a positive

896
00:50:12,920 --> 00:50:16,640
Speaker 2: regression candidate. The schedule is really tough, but they lost

897
00:50:16,640 --> 00:50:19,400
Speaker 2: a ton of you know, one possession games blown. They

898
00:50:19,440 --> 00:50:22,800
Speaker 2: blue leads all over the place. But win total is what,

899
00:50:24,000 --> 00:50:26,000
Speaker 2: there's six and a half. It's like six point three,

900
00:50:26,040 --> 00:50:28,600
Speaker 2: six point four. I kind of produced. I project like

901
00:50:28,640 --> 00:50:29,520
Speaker 2: six seven, six'.

902
00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:30,400
Speaker 3: Eight so like.

903
00:50:31,960 --> 00:50:35,120
Speaker 2: IF i had to, better IF i put a gun

904
00:50:35,160 --> 00:50:37,240
Speaker 2: to my, Head i'd bet the over but no. Interest

905
00:50:38,600 --> 00:50:42,279
Speaker 2: it looks to me just like a six seven sub

906
00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:45,480
Speaker 2: six to seven win teams below, average.

907
00:50:47,120 --> 00:50:48,040
Speaker 3: And that's about.

908
00:50:48,080 --> 00:50:51,520
Speaker 1: It, YEAH i think it's you, know IF i had

909
00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:53,959
Speaker 1: a better read on exactly how HOW i Thought denver

910
00:50:54,160 --> 00:50:56,080
Speaker 1: was going to, DO i think it would be easier

911
00:50:56,280 --> 00:50:58,280
Speaker 1: with The raiders because you know those two games Against,

912
00:50:58,320 --> 00:51:00,279
Speaker 1: DENVER i think they won both last year, year and

913
00:51:00,920 --> 00:51:04,000
Speaker 1: you know that's probably gonna factor into exactly where they

914
00:51:04,080 --> 00:51:07,000
Speaker 1: end up win total. Wise but uh, yeah really not

915
00:51:07,239 --> 00:51:09,320
Speaker 1: really not into their. DEFENSE i think a lot of lateral.

916
00:51:09,400 --> 00:51:11,400
Speaker 1: Moves you, know maybe you, Know hobbs going back to

917
00:51:11,480 --> 00:51:13,919
Speaker 1: the slot should. Help he was not as good last

918
00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:18,600
Speaker 1: year playing more on the. Outside but you, Know, CROSS

919
00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:21,440
Speaker 1: i Think Chander jones probably just cooked at this. Point you,

920
00:51:21,520 --> 00:51:23,160
Speaker 1: know it's been a couple of years. Now he has

921
00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:25,879
Speaker 1: has not gotten back to that level of a pass

922
00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:28,600
Speaker 1: rusher that he was early in his, Career so not

923
00:51:28,760 --> 00:51:32,120
Speaker 1: really expected much from. Him so, Yeah i'd actually wean

924
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:33,800
Speaker 1: under on The. RAIDERS i JUST i don't THINK i

925
00:51:33,960 --> 00:51:36,359
Speaker 1: don't LIKE i don't like the vibes with This raider.

926
00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:39,600
Speaker 1: Team but if they they they sweep The broncos, again

927
00:51:39,880 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 1: they'll probably go over so. Nothing Nothing i'm really doing

928
00:51:42,680 --> 00:51:47,160
Speaker 1: here with This raider. Team, uh all, right that is going.

929
00:51:47,000 --> 00:51:50,480
Speaker 2: TO i want to ASK i want to ask you

930
00:51:50,560 --> 00:51:53,719
Speaker 2: one question before you recap and sign a. Show It's

931
00:51:53,800 --> 00:51:55,239
Speaker 2: i'm gonna put you on the, spot so you might

932
00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:57,000
Speaker 2: have to think about it for a. Second BUT i

933
00:51:57,320 --> 00:52:00,799
Speaker 2: wrote down my answer as you were talking right. NOW

934
00:52:00,840 --> 00:52:03,319
Speaker 2: i won't hold you till you can change it by

935
00:52:03,560 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 2: week one if you want, to And i'll ask you

936
00:52:05,239 --> 00:52:08,520
Speaker 2: again as of right, now BECAUSE i was trying to

937
00:52:08,560 --> 00:52:12,520
Speaker 2: do this exercise the other. Week and, oh by the,

938
00:52:12,520 --> 00:52:14,200
Speaker 2: WAY i also FORGOT i also wrote down. HERE i

939
00:52:14,200 --> 00:52:16,400
Speaker 2: forgot to tell you we were talking about ugly dogs

940
00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:18,799
Speaker 2: in our week six pack That i'm thinking.

941
00:52:18,840 --> 00:52:22,560
Speaker 3: OF i already know. That don't tell me. THAT i

942
00:52:22,600 --> 00:52:24,319
Speaker 3: can already see you taking The texans week.

943
00:52:24,360 --> 00:52:27,040
Speaker 1: ONE i already already have half a unit On i've

944
00:52:27,040 --> 00:52:29,400
Speaker 1: Had i've had a half of you now in them all. Summer, so,

945
00:52:29,880 --> 00:52:35,040
Speaker 1: yeah you do well and in week ONE i think

946
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:36,279
Speaker 1: historically but, yeah that's too.

947
00:52:36,280 --> 00:52:38,000
Speaker 3: Many, yeah and against rookie, quarterbacks but.

948
00:52:39,760 --> 00:52:43,080
Speaker 1: Uh the name right?

949
00:52:43,200 --> 00:52:48,560
Speaker 2: Now who you think the SEVEN afc playoff teams will?

950
00:52:48,600 --> 00:52:48,640
Speaker 3: Be?

951
00:52:50,719 --> 00:52:56,279
Speaker 1: Yeah this is. Tough, Okay so so. Hard we're gonna Go, Buffalo, Cincinnati,

952
00:52:56,640 --> 00:53:05,000
Speaker 1: Baltimore tennessee At Kansas. City that's, five, Right, yeah so

953
00:53:05,560 --> 00:53:09,120
Speaker 1: so that's. Five chargers would be my, sixth and then

954
00:53:11,080 --> 00:53:13,080
Speaker 1: with my, seventh that's when it really gets. Tough it's

955
00:53:13,080 --> 00:53:18,840
Speaker 1: probably it's between The, Browns, jets And. Dolphins for me And,

956
00:53:18,960 --> 00:53:26,160
Speaker 1: STEELERS i would go probably Lean. JETS i hate leaving

957
00:53:26,160 --> 00:53:29,160
Speaker 1: out The browns, though BUT i probably Lean. JETS i

958
00:53:29,239 --> 00:53:30,600
Speaker 1: know you're higher on the Brown So i'm guessing you

959
00:53:30,680 --> 00:53:31,200
Speaker 1: Got browns Over.

960
00:53:31,320 --> 00:53:34,960
Speaker 2: Jets, yeah if you have the same, six and THEN

961
00:53:35,239 --> 00:53:37,520
Speaker 2: i Have browns Over. Jets so kind of on the

962
00:53:38,200 --> 00:53:39,920
Speaker 2: same page. There but it's you could see it go

963
00:53:39,960 --> 00:53:40,640
Speaker 2: in many different.

964
00:53:40,680 --> 00:53:41,160
Speaker 3: Ways and.

965
00:53:43,040 --> 00:53:44,840
Speaker 2: When you when you try to do that, exercise you

966
00:53:44,920 --> 00:53:49,279
Speaker 2: see how loaded THE afc really. Is and then in THE,

967
00:53:49,400 --> 00:53:51,440
Speaker 2: nfc you're trying to find teams to get in little. Place,

968
00:53:51,560 --> 00:53:53,359
Speaker 2: yeah you're trying to kick teams.

969
00:53:53,040 --> 00:53:53,440
Speaker 1: Out.

970
00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:56,600
Speaker 3: But you want to you want to do a quick.

971
00:53:56,640 --> 00:53:58,200
Speaker 3: Recap yeah, yeah.

972
00:53:58,239 --> 00:54:04,640
Speaker 1: Yeah so for THE Afc, north we are both waning

973
00:54:04,760 --> 00:54:09,120
Speaker 1: under On, Cincinnati stuck Likes Lamar jackson to win THE

974
00:54:09,239 --> 00:54:13,920
Speaker 1: mvp for The ravens at sixteen to. One He stuck

975
00:54:14,120 --> 00:54:19,160
Speaker 1: likes The browns to win the division at plus four.

976
00:54:19,280 --> 00:54:21,120
Speaker 1: HUNDRED i can get behind that as. WELL i think

977
00:54:21,160 --> 00:54:23,239
Speaker 1: The browns are a team you want to go upside bets.

978
00:54:23,280 --> 00:54:27,520
Speaker 1: With and then The STEELERS i ween over and don't

979
00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:32,000
Speaker 1: mind a division long shot on them. Either in THE Afc,

980
00:54:32,160 --> 00:54:36,959
Speaker 1: WEST i like The chiefs Over, stucks weening under Both

981
00:54:37,000 --> 00:54:39,600
Speaker 1: wan and over on The. CHARGERS i think they're probably

982
00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:42,520
Speaker 1: going to make the. Playoffs both under on The. BRONCOS

983
00:54:42,680 --> 00:54:46,120
Speaker 1: i think it's just not gonna go too well For Russell,

984
00:54:46,120 --> 00:54:50,200
Speaker 1: wilson especially playing The chiefs charges twice and TOUGH, afc

985
00:54:51,120 --> 00:54:55,200
Speaker 1: and then don't love The Raiders stucks a little over

986
00:54:55,280 --> 00:54:58,839
Speaker 1: on their win total. PROJECTION i would go under. THOUGH

987
00:54:58,880 --> 00:55:01,000
Speaker 1: i just not really liking what they did on defense

988
00:55:01,120 --> 00:55:04,000
Speaker 1: and don't Trust jimmy g to stay. Healthy so that's

989
00:55:04,000 --> 00:55:06,040
Speaker 1: what we got for THE As north and THE Afc.

990
00:55:06,160 --> 00:55:10,359
Speaker 1: West we'll have THE nfc OUR nfc episodes up coming

991
00:55:10,440 --> 00:55:13,760
Speaker 1: next and of course we already have OUR Afc SOUTH

992
00:55:13,880 --> 00:55:16,600
Speaker 1: Afc east, episode so check that out right here on this.

993
00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:21,120
Speaker 1: Channel if you, haven't you can find us ON. X

994
00:55:21,280 --> 00:55:23,839
Speaker 1: stucky is At stucky. Two i'm At Chris Raybond we're

995
00:55:23,840 --> 00:55:27,279
Speaker 1: at those same handles on the, free award Winning Action network. App,

996
00:55:27,880 --> 00:55:30,840
Speaker 1: also if you haven't listened to our very special podcast

997
00:55:30,920 --> 00:55:34,279
Speaker 1: Interview monday with legendary Gambler Billy, walters be sure to

998
00:55:34,360 --> 00:55:36,520
Speaker 1: get it down a listen as, well and until next,

999
00:55:36,560 --> 00:55:54,840
Speaker 1: time let's get it dish. Money Action network reminds you

1000
00:55:55,320 --> 00:55:58,919
Speaker 1: please gamble. Responsibly if you or someone you care about

1001
00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:02,240
Speaker 1: has a gambling, problem help is available twenty four seven

1002
00:56:02,440 --> 00:56:03,800
Speaker 1: at one eight Hundred gambler