WEBVTT - Jim Cramer on the Retail Trading Revolution

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Allaway.

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<v Speaker 2>Tracy, something I think about the market these days is

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<v Speaker 2>that in the media there is this incredible drumbeat of

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<v Speaker 2>experts and ads that support the media, et cetera. All

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<v Speaker 2>these experts that they say, don't try to beat the

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<v Speaker 2>market index, index index, and actually induxing is great because

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<v Speaker 2>like it's cheap and indexes of performed incredible returns. And

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<v Speaker 2>now though for the last several years, it's like the

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<v Speaker 2>public is becoming unshackled and doing the exact opposite of everything.

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<v Speaker 2>And we see the most extreme form of you know,

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<v Speaker 2>day trading and trading on Robin Hood individual named zero

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<v Speaker 2>da memestocks options. It's like the public has revolted against

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<v Speaker 2>this message that it's been inundated with for years.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, you know what I think is really interesting is

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<v Speaker 3>not only is retail sort of going out on its own,

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<v Speaker 3>but Wall Street and the institutional investors are kind of

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<v Speaker 3>copying what retail does, right, because retail was the first

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<v Speaker 3>into something like zero day or one day options, and

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<v Speaker 3>then it became institutionalized and you saw that big professional

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<v Speaker 3>volume follow on. So it feels like retail is a

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<v Speaker 3>really important part of the market now. And rather than

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<v Speaker 3>retail trying to do what the experts do, it's kind

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<v Speaker 3>of the experts trying to catch up. Yeah, catch up with.

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<v Speaker 2>Retail, understand what retail is doing. And again, like I

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<v Speaker 2>love an index fund, and I don't like having you're.

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<v Speaker 3>An EMH guy. I'm just gonna remind.

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<v Speaker 2>You i'd like an EMH guy. Yeah, I love it,

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<v Speaker 2>But like I do feel like there's this huge tension

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<v Speaker 2>and it only feels like it's accelerating because now there's

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<v Speaker 2>more and more things to bet on, and there's crypto

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<v Speaker 2>and pretty soon on your robin Hood app you're gonna

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<v Speaker 2>be able to like bet on a prediction market on

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<v Speaker 2>what the that is going to do. So we live

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<v Speaker 2>in this world of trading against what all then is

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<v Speaker 2>like myself sometimes.

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<v Speaker 3>The four pros.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well, anyway, we really do have the perfect guest,

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<v Speaker 2>someone I've wanted to speak to literally for years, someone

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<v Speaker 2>who has long been preaching in public that the individual

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<v Speaker 2>can pick stocks, that picking stocks is a good thing,

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<v Speaker 2>that you don't have to accept the idea of just

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<v Speaker 2>being boring and being average and getting the average return.

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<v Speaker 2>We are going to be speaking with Jim Kramer. He

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<v Speaker 2>is the host of Mad Money on some network called CNBC,

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<v Speaker 2>never heard of it, and he is the author of

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<v Speaker 2>a new book, How to Make Money in Any Market.

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<v Speaker 2>So Jim thrilled to have you on the Outlaws.

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<v Speaker 4>First of all, that intro of what you're talking about

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<v Speaker 4>justice is the fundament of what I'm talking about. But

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<v Speaker 4>I want to spend a second talking about the person

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<v Speaker 4>to my life, Joe, Joe, my wife, my wife, my wife,

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<v Speaker 4>the book, door Bookstor And she goes, Okay, you got

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<v Speaker 4>today's show, and you got Joe, and Joe is some

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<v Speaker 4>one who's gonna get it going for you and wake

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<v Speaker 4>up and he's going to probably know the book and

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<v Speaker 4>he's going to know your stuff. And Tracy, I tell you,

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<v Speaker 4>when you do these things are pretty soulless. So when

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<v Speaker 4>you get something like you guys, I mean, I just laugh.

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<v Speaker 4>And you know, my dad sold corrugated. That was his

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<v Speaker 4>job when I was a HEADGS front manager. I just

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<v Speaker 4>went exclusively with him. Let me reference to the last

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<v Speaker 4>week's show. But I do want to talk about totally

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<v Speaker 4>much really about what you're talking about. I wrote this book.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I just say the first line of the book

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<v Speaker 2>is congratulations, you've just bought the most radical book about

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<v Speaker 2>investing ever in classic creamer models.

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<v Speaker 4>Sure, because understands. But it's true that everyone's been taught

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<v Speaker 4>these days you can't pick stocks and you just have

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<v Speaker 4>to be in the next one. Thank you word Buffett

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<v Speaker 4>for that too, although his stock was the one you

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<v Speaker 4>should have picked. And what bothers me is people are

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<v Speaker 4>going to do it. And you talked about zero day

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<v Speaker 4>and he's like that they're going to do it. If

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<v Speaker 4>they're going to do it, why not help them. I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>one of the premises of the book is is that

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<v Speaker 4>I know that people want to speculate. So look, I say,

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<v Speaker 4>own an index fund for half your money. You got

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<v Speaker 4>to be saving constantly, and then take five slots. Try

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<v Speaker 4>to find four really good stocks and a speculator. One

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<v Speaker 4>you want to go to the nuclear power, you want

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<v Speaker 4>to go through blue energy for hydrogen fuel cells. I'm

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<v Speaker 4>not going to stop you, provided that you try to

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<v Speaker 4>find the next fang. And I'm fortunate enough to create

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<v Speaker 4>a fang because it was just something that seemed funny.

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<v Speaker 4>But you know, I do that too. But what I'm

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<v Speaker 4>trying to do is accept the fact people want to

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<v Speaker 4>do this, do it right, and if they do it right,

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<v Speaker 4>maybe they do it long term owned stocks. Like I

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<v Speaker 4>use the term compounding. How do you compound if you're

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<v Speaker 4>a day trader. You can't. You can't. So I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>I look at this show, and this show is about

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<v Speaker 4>trends and about long term trends. Like I find that

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<v Speaker 4>most things that I read about are about trading, and

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<v Speaker 4>you can't beat the machines trading, but you can beat

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<v Speaker 4>them if you compound long term in really good stocks.

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<v Speaker 4>And I mentioned it's crazy, but I went over one

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<v Speaker 4>hundred years. There was a study about over one hundred

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<v Speaker 4>years and if you held vulcan materials rocks, you made

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<v Speaker 4>a fortune. I don't really emphasize it. But if you

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<v Speaker 4>held Philip Morrise, she made the most money and he's stuck.

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<v Speaker 4>Philip Moore. Oh yeah. They have a whole episode on

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<v Speaker 4>Danny de Vich. You broke that company up as one

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<v Speaker 4>of the greatest breakups ever. But I don't like this talk.

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<v Speaker 4>But I lost my father in law that cancer from smoking.

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<v Speaker 4>Wanted a cigarette on his death. But you know that

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<v Speaker 4>kind of nonsense. So I feel like that long term

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<v Speaker 4>is good provided you do it right. And I let

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<v Speaker 4>people pick stocks because they want to. And by the way,

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<v Speaker 4>there have been six hundred thousand millionaires created by individual

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<v Speaker 4>stocks in the last year, and I want the people

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<v Speaker 4>who read it to be the next ones.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's fair to say, whatever you think about

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<v Speaker 3>overall performance and the efficient market hypothesis, just putting your

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<v Speaker 3>money in the s and P five hundred is kind

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<v Speaker 3>of boring, right.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, that's it. You see, people they want something, they're jonesing.

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<v Speaker 4>I have to keep them from jonesing on the wrong

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<v Speaker 4>thing because I don't even want jonesy. I actually want investing.

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<v Speaker 4>I was the one to show the other day that

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<v Speaker 4>guy said, why do you encourage day traders? I was

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<v Speaker 4>a hedge fund manager for many, many years, and when

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<v Speaker 4>I quit, I said, you know what, I have got

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<v Speaker 4>to change this because people keep thinking they can come

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<v Speaker 4>in standing start and buy Micron and you don't know

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<v Speaker 4>anything about Micron. Do a standing start. Why not pick

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<v Speaker 4>a great stock that's down because and it's got a

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<v Speaker 4>good yield and you can own it for a long time.

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<v Speaker 4>You see the big secular trend and if I can

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<v Speaker 4>do that and get people to stop day trading. That's

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<v Speaker 4>the win they can't do. You guys think that they

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<v Speaker 4>can win day trading at home. No, No, it's correctly Okay,

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<v Speaker 4>they can't.

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<v Speaker 2>Look so your argument they can't win day trading, but

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<v Speaker 2>they can win picking stocks and holding.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah. Well, I think that things have changed from when

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<v Speaker 4>I got in the business. I used to go to

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<v Speaker 4>the New York Commercial Library and read microfiche that was

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<v Speaker 4>a couple of months old. Couldn't get any reports. It

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<v Speaker 4>wasn't available. Now everything's available, and I do recommend look

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<v Speaker 4>chat GPT perplexity. You can find out more than you get.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean I was watched within five minutes. They have everything. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>I just think that if someone wants to do it right,

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<v Speaker 4>they can do it right. They got four slots away

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<v Speaker 4>from the speculative. I show that one or two if

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<v Speaker 4>they hit, can make up for all the losses. I

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<v Speaker 4>accept the fact that they're going to have losses because

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<v Speaker 4>nobody's that good. But in every kind of schematic I did,

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<v Speaker 4>the index fund didn't do as well, and yet we

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<v Speaker 4>revere the index fund good. We get one really good. Well,

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<v Speaker 4>you have seven good ones in four ninety three bad. Well,

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<v Speaker 4>that's what you and that's not my style.

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<v Speaker 3>It is true. I am kind of partial to the

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<v Speaker 3>argument that because so much of the debate and the

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<v Speaker 3>story is online now that the guy who's like day

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<v Speaker 3>trading from his basement probably has a very good finger

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<v Speaker 3>on the pulse of the market and possibly better than

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<v Speaker 3>some of the professionals.

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<v Speaker 4>Stundus, then you're you're more revusrat that I am. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>I think you saw it during the memes stock era. Yeah, exactly.

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<v Speaker 3>Is it weird to go from a professional hedge fund guy,

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<v Speaker 3>a legit hedge fund guy, to the sort of poster

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<v Speaker 3>boy for retail day traders.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, but I was hedge fund manager. Everything was to

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<v Speaker 4>try to figure out the patterns and now the machines

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<v Speaker 4>do because that was pre machine and now I'm kind

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<v Speaker 4>of a spokesman for the individual investor who is completely

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<v Speaker 4>not the professional. And that's because the show may have

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<v Speaker 4>Money's pron for twenty years. It's a six o'clock show,

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<v Speaker 4>and what happens it's all about what the individual's trying

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<v Speaker 4>to do and what I'm trying to explain. Let's give

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<v Speaker 4>you example tonight, give you a little preview. I'm gonna

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<v Speaker 4>talk about the multiple and why I went talk about

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<v Speaker 4>the multiple because that's the secret sauce. And yet people

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<v Speaker 4>don't understand I'm and I invoke my mom in the book.

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<v Speaker 4>My mom is a person who you meant we were

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<v Speaker 4>talking about injured knew it. My mom is someone who

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<v Speaker 4>says Pepsi's was at one hundred and forty right now

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<v Speaker 4>Coca Cola is sixty seven. I've got to buy coke.

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<v Speaker 4>It should never be as cheap as pepsi. Coke should

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<v Speaker 4>be double And like I would say, Mom, no, that

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<v Speaker 4>has artifice. Is the price sar which is Jimmy, listen

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<v Speaker 4>to me. It's ridiculous to Pepsi's a one forty period,

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<v Speaker 4>end of story. And she didn't know that it was

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<v Speaker 4>a ratio. And she would call in at nine point

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<v Speaker 4>thirty when I was a goldman and buy I want

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<v Speaker 4>to buy three shares of Giant Food. And that was

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<v Speaker 4>not the why I was a goldman, just not to

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<v Speaker 4>do the three Sure, But I am incredibly cognizant in

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<v Speaker 4>the book that people don't know how to read a baluantie.

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<v Speaker 4>So I actually take the risk of twenty pages about

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<v Speaker 4>how to read a balance sheet. I take it now

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<v Speaker 4>when I did the book, they were like, whoa hey,

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<v Speaker 4>and I said, no, no, I got to go there.

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<v Speaker 4>If I'm telling people to own individual stocks, I have

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<v Speaker 4>to help them with chat GPT and how to analyze

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<v Speaker 4>balance sheet and how to actually go line by line,

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<v Speaker 4>because I don't want to be irresponsible and say what

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<v Speaker 4>you ought to do is say, you know what, Coca

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<v Speaker 4>cola is pretty good here You've got to understand why.

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<v Speaker 4>And that's a big part of the book.

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<v Speaker 2>You mentioned a Memestucks as someone who has spent a

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<v Speaker 2>career advocating this for this idea that the individual can

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<v Speaker 2>trade like now in twenty twenty five, Like, what do

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<v Speaker 2>you think about that specific time? I mean, arguably it's

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<v Speaker 2>like multiplied since then, But have you ever do you

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<v Speaker 2>ever stop and think like, do you ever think this

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<v Speaker 2>has gotten out of hand? Do you ever think this

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<v Speaker 2>is a monster that has gone beyond where it's like?

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<v Speaker 2>Do you ever have misgivings about the degree of public participation?

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<v Speaker 4>I had a moment where I had had some serious

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<v Speaker 4>back surgery, so I was out heavily medicated for three days,

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<v Speaker 4>and when I started this game during GameStop may Well,

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<v Speaker 4>GameStop was about one hundred but when I started, and when

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<v Speaker 4>I came to basically and stopped using the whatever kind

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<v Speaker 4>of heroin that they give you these days. It was

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<v Speaker 4>a Thursday and GameStop had quadrupled. I had a Catherine.

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<v Speaker 3>Did you think you were hallucinating?

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<v Speaker 4>Well? I had, yes, yes, I thought that maybe something

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<v Speaker 4>in the midnight guy slipped something. But I had Catherine

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<v Speaker 4>me and I couldn't reach the TV. It must drive

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<v Speaker 4>me crazy. I finally just pulled the Catherine out, which

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<v Speaker 4>is really not a good experience. You really like to

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<v Speaker 4>be more of a pro. And I called in to

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<v Speaker 4>Karl and David, Carl Continua and David Paper and said,

0:11:00.040 --> 0:11:03.840
<v Speaker 4>it's just ridiculous. Everybody has to sell. After that, it

0:11:04.040 --> 0:11:07.800
<v Speaker 4>was twenty four to seven Bodyguard because I destroyed the

0:11:07.880 --> 0:11:11.120
<v Speaker 4>chain letter. Game Stop shouldn't have been a four hundred.

0:11:11.120 --> 0:11:12.800
<v Speaker 4>We all know that it is an industry that game

0:11:12.840 --> 0:11:16.160
<v Speaker 4>Stop is still fighting, and they've got you know, they've

0:11:16.240 --> 0:11:18.120
<v Speaker 4>raised a lot of money by doing that at the

0:11:18.160 --> 0:11:19.120
<v Speaker 4>money sales, the.

0:11:19.120 --> 0:11:20.400
<v Speaker 2>Death threats and stuff like that.

0:11:20.640 --> 0:11:22.280
<v Speaker 4>Oh, I've had a lot of debt, right, I'm sure

0:11:22.280 --> 0:11:23.400
<v Speaker 4>I was supposed to.

0:11:23.800 --> 0:11:26.200
<v Speaker 2>Maybe over maybe we'll talk a little bit about both

0:11:26.240 --> 0:11:28.079
<v Speaker 2>of us need to learn a little bit more about

0:11:28.120 --> 0:11:29.319
<v Speaker 2>how to handle public.

0:11:29.960 --> 0:11:34.679
<v Speaker 4>But yeah, well you've always been you've been straight, and

0:11:34.720 --> 0:11:38.640
<v Speaker 4>we know that you're fearless. And fearless means when you're

0:11:38.679 --> 0:11:41.240
<v Speaker 4>with your guards, they say, listen, you gotta stop being fuels.

0:11:41.240 --> 0:11:43.760
<v Speaker 4>So I owned a restaurant. Yeah, and one of the

0:11:43.760 --> 0:11:45.520
<v Speaker 4>guards said, look, here's what we're going to do. First,

0:11:45.880 --> 0:11:48.400
<v Speaker 4>you're never going to your own restaurant. That's the most VISI.

0:11:48.520 --> 0:11:50.720
<v Speaker 4>I said, I own the restaurant. I like to go

0:11:50.760 --> 0:11:52.960
<v Speaker 4>in Tuesdays and Wednesday. Said okay, you got to vary

0:11:53.040 --> 0:11:55.120
<v Speaker 4>the day and you got to go and no time

0:11:55.200 --> 0:11:57.760
<v Speaker 4>after after seven. I said, well, it doesn't open until seven.

0:11:58.160 --> 0:12:01.120
<v Speaker 4>We have to be a little more cogniz especially in

0:12:01.120 --> 0:12:03.160
<v Speaker 4>this year, this horrible ear that we're seeing.

0:12:03.360 --> 0:12:05.680
<v Speaker 3>Joe, do you still dream of owning a restaurant? Didn't

0:12:05.679 --> 0:12:06.319
<v Speaker 3>you talk about.

0:12:06.160 --> 0:12:10.360
<v Speaker 4>Doing Okay, I gotta tell you. If you can have

0:12:10.520 --> 0:12:14.120
<v Speaker 4>a mixture of alcohol, yeah, you know, you can make money.

0:12:14.280 --> 0:12:14.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:12:14.760 --> 0:12:15.959
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, we made money.

0:12:15.760 --> 0:12:16.480
<v Speaker 3>Just on the alcohol.

0:12:16.600 --> 0:12:19.240
<v Speaker 2>You also a business, which we should.

0:12:18.800 --> 0:12:21.240
<v Speaker 4>That's why we had to switch because we saw the

0:12:21.280 --> 0:12:24.960
<v Speaker 4>people buying mescal like man, so we pivoted. Wow, you

0:12:25.000 --> 0:12:30.800
<v Speaker 4>really fought well. Of course, you. You're knowed, the knowledgeable chase.

0:12:31.000 --> 0:12:33.560
<v Speaker 4>I've not worked with you, I've listened to you, and

0:12:33.600 --> 0:12:36.839
<v Speaker 4>you're completely enjoyable and terrific. And this is a show.

0:12:36.960 --> 0:12:40.360
<v Speaker 4>I was telling Joe beforehand, what a cool thing. We

0:12:40.400 --> 0:12:43.720
<v Speaker 4>haven't taken seven commercials yet. Do you realize that we.

0:12:43.720 --> 0:12:45.400
<v Speaker 3>Might have once listened be published?

0:13:02.720 --> 0:13:02.920
<v Speaker 2>Wait?

0:13:02.960 --> 0:13:04.360
<v Speaker 3>Okay, sirious question.

0:13:04.679 --> 0:13:06.680
<v Speaker 4>We've been serious the whole way, right, haven't we?

0:13:06.840 --> 0:13:11.720
<v Speaker 3>Sure you touched on the information? The plethora of information

0:13:11.840 --> 0:13:15.360
<v Speaker 3>sort of leveling the field for professionals and retail. And

0:13:15.400 --> 0:13:18.680
<v Speaker 3>then earlier this week we had Trump suggesting that public

0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:23.280
<v Speaker 3>companies should report every six months instead of quarterly. Oh

0:13:23.320 --> 0:13:25.360
<v Speaker 3>what would that do for the retail investor? And there

0:13:25.440 --> 0:13:28.640
<v Speaker 3>is also this trend towards more private markets, more companies

0:13:28.640 --> 0:13:31.439
<v Speaker 3>that are not ipoing, less information available.

0:13:31.480 --> 0:13:33.679
<v Speaker 4>Well, this has been a great soul searching moment because

0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:38.360
<v Speaker 4>having run a public company the street the quarterly follows

0:13:38.400 --> 0:13:40.800
<v Speaker 4>cost this a fortune. We didn't have that much. It

0:13:40.840 --> 0:13:43.640
<v Speaker 4>was like our whole profit went to the auditors and

0:13:43.679 --> 0:13:45.640
<v Speaker 4>they were real paying the butte because we didn't know

0:13:45.840 --> 0:13:47.600
<v Speaker 4>how to do it. And the CFO at a huddle,

0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:50.600
<v Speaker 4>we lose that person for twenty days. But as an investor,

0:13:50.679 --> 0:13:53.199
<v Speaker 4>I want all the information possible. So I kind of

0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:55.920
<v Speaker 4>feel like, look, you can give us two reports, but

0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:58.120
<v Speaker 4>you've got to give us support that would make us

0:13:58.559 --> 0:14:02.480
<v Speaker 4>in the non secit make us understand why we should

0:14:02.520 --> 0:14:05.319
<v Speaker 4>be paying X for you. Again, the price Durnings motable,

0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:07.480
<v Speaker 4>because that's that's what people need to be able to

0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:10.160
<v Speaker 4>make decisions. This was a harder one than I thought

0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:13.520
<v Speaker 4>because the president really does speak to a lot of

0:14:13.559 --> 0:14:16.120
<v Speaker 4>CEOs and this is what they talk about.

0:14:16.160 --> 0:14:17.680
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I'm sure they complain about it.

0:14:17.720 --> 0:14:20.400
<v Speaker 4>Oh yeah, because look, one of the things that I

0:14:20.880 --> 0:14:24.200
<v Speaker 4>hated about the being a public company is the conference call.

0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:26.520
<v Speaker 4>What are we going to say? Do we do well?

0:14:26.640 --> 0:14:29.240
<v Speaker 4>What are you going to predict? Are the Martins going up? Martin?

0:14:29.240 --> 0:14:31.480
<v Speaker 4>I mean, and I just we can't give a forecast. No,

0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:33.080
<v Speaker 4>if we don't do forecast, then they won't like us.

0:14:33.400 --> 0:14:35.240
<v Speaker 4>But if we do the forecast, we'll miss the forecast.

0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:39.600
<v Speaker 4>And these kind of silly discussions, they're really silly, and

0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:42.160
<v Speaker 4>I think that they I think they're a shame because

0:14:42.160 --> 0:14:43.800
<v Speaker 4>they suld take a lot of time and they're very

0:14:44.080 --> 0:14:44.800
<v Speaker 4>very misleading.

0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:48.160
<v Speaker 2>You said there's something in your book speaking you read.

0:14:48.040 --> 0:14:50.800
<v Speaker 4>The damn book. Good about it. I read a good

0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:53.680
<v Speaker 4>one reason my wife. My wife said, I bet you

0:14:53.800 --> 0:14:55.000
<v Speaker 4>read it. I bet you read it.

0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:57.640
<v Speaker 2>This is something I wondered about in April when the

0:14:57.680 --> 0:14:59.600
<v Speaker 2>stock market plunged after Liberation.

0:15:00.120 --> 0:15:01.160
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, even they came back.

0:15:01.280 --> 0:15:04.440
<v Speaker 2>But you talked about the fact that like politicians by

0:15:04.520 --> 0:15:08.000
<v Speaker 2>and large, actually Trump is a little different than most politicians,

0:15:08.120 --> 0:15:11.120
<v Speaker 2>but they don't typically run on the stock market, and

0:15:11.160 --> 0:15:14.480
<v Speaker 2>they also like don't run about like the shareholder as

0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:18.080
<v Speaker 2>a class of society that deserves to be represented, right,

0:15:18.200 --> 0:15:19.920
<v Speaker 2>as you mentioned in your book, like Joe Biden was

0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:21.320
<v Speaker 2>sort of proud of the fact that he didn't have

0:15:21.400 --> 0:15:24.520
<v Speaker 2>much money. You never really hear, well, what about the

0:15:24.560 --> 0:15:27.720
<v Speaker 2>shareholder class? Okay, as an individual? And I'm curious why

0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:30.240
<v Speaker 2>you think that, especially now that so many people are

0:15:30.240 --> 0:15:32.800
<v Speaker 2>into stocks. It's so much part of pop culture, et cetera.

0:15:33.200 --> 0:15:36.080
<v Speaker 2>Why don't people talk about the shareholder class.

0:15:36.440 --> 0:15:38.760
<v Speaker 4>I saw Decresso on the floor yesterday, and you know,

0:15:38.800 --> 0:15:41.080
<v Speaker 4>I used to go around the country with him talking

0:15:41.120 --> 0:15:44.720
<v Speaker 4>about the shareholder class and ownership. We just talked about ownership.

0:15:44.720 --> 0:15:46.600
<v Speaker 4>That was kind of pre the idea that everything had

0:15:46.600 --> 0:15:48.680
<v Speaker 4>to be traded. When I was a goldman we talked

0:15:48.720 --> 0:15:52.160
<v Speaker 4>about ownership, and ownership means compounding, and compounding is a

0:15:52.200 --> 0:15:54.880
<v Speaker 4>very boring word, but it is what makes you the

0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:58.680
<v Speaker 4>biggest money. And I think we have to encourage ownership now.

0:15:58.720 --> 0:16:01.160
<v Speaker 4>In terms of President Trump, I was at judge on

0:16:01.200 --> 0:16:03.520
<v Speaker 4>The Apprentice for a very long time, and before that

0:16:03.600 --> 0:16:06.160
<v Speaker 4>he had been on Mad Money multiple times, and he

0:16:06.240 --> 0:16:09.200
<v Speaker 4>always said, look, I don't do stocks. Give me some stocks.

0:16:09.480 --> 0:16:12.560
<v Speaker 4>I want on some stocks. And that's a totally fraud situation.

0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:15.120
<v Speaker 4>You don't want to offer him, you know, alcola. So

0:16:15.200 --> 0:16:18.760
<v Speaker 4>I always just said listening utilities, and he said, good, good,

0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:21.840
<v Speaker 4>this is what I wanted you because utilities. Frankly, you're

0:16:21.880 --> 0:16:24.360
<v Speaker 4>not blowing your head off with ae with marcollucture power.

0:16:24.680 --> 0:16:28.480
<v Speaker 4>But he didn't pride himself in not knowing stocks. He

0:16:28.520 --> 0:16:31.920
<v Speaker 4>wished he had more time to learn stocks. I think

0:16:31.960 --> 0:16:35.080
<v Speaker 4>that he this time around when I spoke to him,

0:16:35.280 --> 0:16:38.320
<v Speaker 4>he's not really into the stock market as a barometer

0:16:38.560 --> 0:16:40.920
<v Speaker 4>of his success anymore. In the old days, when I

0:16:40.960 --> 0:16:43.440
<v Speaker 4>spoke to him as president first go around, he thought

0:16:43.440 --> 0:16:45.800
<v Speaker 4>that the tal you liked the down when the Esva

0:16:45.880 --> 0:16:49.200
<v Speaker 4>the Dal determined it was the great if he didn't

0:16:49.200 --> 0:16:50.920
<v Speaker 4>be if the dal didn't go up, then he wasn't

0:16:50.920 --> 0:16:53.080
<v Speaker 4>a good president. So it was the great determinant. And

0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:56.240
<v Speaker 4>I always tell him, please don't do that. It's too hard.

0:16:56.280 --> 0:17:00.360
<v Speaker 4>You're not really one for one with it. Like yes,

0:17:00.400 --> 0:17:03.160
<v Speaker 4>he liked that. It was like the Nielsen's and I

0:17:03.240 --> 0:17:05.160
<v Speaker 4>have to tell you that doing the Prendice was quite

0:17:05.359 --> 0:17:06.120
<v Speaker 4>quite enjoyable.

0:17:06.680 --> 0:17:08.919
<v Speaker 3>Wait tell us stories. I want to hear the behind

0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:09.719
<v Speaker 3>the scenes gossip.

0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:12.760
<v Speaker 4>Well, I mean, what would happen is is that you

0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:15.600
<v Speaker 4>had to monitor tasks. I'm not going to mention they

0:17:15.640 --> 0:17:18.480
<v Speaker 4>would have a task. I'm not going to mention individual

0:17:18.600 --> 0:17:21.000
<v Speaker 4>names because I've had a non disclosure, but i will

0:17:21.000 --> 0:17:23.840
<v Speaker 4>tell you there's some people who do the task and

0:17:23.880 --> 0:17:26.199
<v Speaker 4>some people who want you to do the task like me.

0:17:26.640 --> 0:17:28.399
<v Speaker 4>And I was like, no, I'm just a judge. But

0:17:28.760 --> 0:17:31.199
<v Speaker 4>we would go through it and I would have to

0:17:31.320 --> 0:17:34.080
<v Speaker 4>out the person who did nothing or out the person

0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:36.320
<v Speaker 4>who said they were doing something. And you know, maybe

0:17:36.359 --> 0:17:38.639
<v Speaker 4>the two people were doing it and one was doing

0:17:38.680 --> 0:17:41.640
<v Speaker 4>nothing or didn't show. There were some of those instances,

0:17:42.000 --> 0:17:47.960
<v Speaker 4>but in the end they used my verdict, I'd say

0:17:48.040 --> 0:17:50.560
<v Speaker 4>maybe half the time. And I wish they'd used it

0:17:50.600 --> 0:17:52.280
<v Speaker 4>more because I spent a used amount of time looking

0:17:52.320 --> 0:17:55.680
<v Speaker 4>at it. But the president had a he had views,

0:17:55.720 --> 0:18:00.560
<v Speaker 4>he had strong views, and they views did conflict with mine. Often.

0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:04.960
<v Speaker 3>Here's a question. It's sort of a media naval gazing question,

0:18:05.240 --> 0:18:07.879
<v Speaker 3>but also a serious one. So you've been doing the

0:18:07.880 --> 0:18:11.960
<v Speaker 3>show for twenty years, which is phenomenal. I heard also

0:18:12.000 --> 0:18:13.920
<v Speaker 3>that you get up at three am every day to

0:18:13.960 --> 0:18:15.640
<v Speaker 3>go to the gym and then do the show, which

0:18:15.680 --> 0:18:18.800
<v Speaker 3>is well three fifteen, three fifteen or the extra fifteen minutes.

0:18:19.000 --> 0:18:21.240
<v Speaker 4>I always, because I'm a competitive guy, I always said

0:18:21.320 --> 0:18:23.880
<v Speaker 4>I get up earliest so that I beat everybody else.

0:18:23.920 --> 0:18:25.320
<v Speaker 4>But that's losing its charm.

0:18:25.359 --> 0:18:28.800
<v Speaker 3>Frankly, how do you benchmark your own performances?

0:18:29.280 --> 0:18:32.119
<v Speaker 4>How do I bench because I know I doing two

0:18:32.240 --> 0:18:34.639
<v Speaker 4>fifty initially, I'm sorry? How do I bench bark my

0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:35.320
<v Speaker 4>own performance?

0:18:35.680 --> 0:18:38.520
<v Speaker 3>Your own performance when it comes to stockpicking? Because frankly,

0:18:38.840 --> 0:18:42.280
<v Speaker 3>like twenty years of content, multiple stock picks, I don't

0:18:42.280 --> 0:18:44.200
<v Speaker 3>even know how you keep track of all of them,

0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:47.240
<v Speaker 3>Like I can't remember the episodes we did two weeks ago.

0:18:47.640 --> 0:18:49.560
<v Speaker 4>Well, okay, I mean I have a charitable chest, so

0:18:49.560 --> 0:18:52.040
<v Speaker 4>you can look at it. You can't really compound if

0:18:52.080 --> 0:18:53.600
<v Speaker 4>you sell, you have to give the profits a way

0:18:53.600 --> 0:18:56.000
<v Speaker 4>in the difference of given way. But it's all pretty public.

0:18:56.040 --> 0:18:59.640
<v Speaker 4>But I would gauge me by what I talk about endlessly.

0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:03.359
<v Speaker 4>And now this is not people think that's anecdotal for

0:19:03.440 --> 0:19:06.960
<v Speaker 4>twenty years. It's empirical. If you talk about Apple thirty

0:19:06.960 --> 0:19:10.200
<v Speaker 4>two times a week and you talk about Newcore one

0:19:10.320 --> 0:19:13.680
<v Speaker 4>time a week, and you're graded equally Apple and Newcore,

0:19:13.840 --> 0:19:19.480
<v Speaker 4>that's farcical. I was with Tim coleclass Friday in Howardsburg, Kentucky,

0:19:19.560 --> 0:19:22.080
<v Speaker 4>and he introduced me to someone as Jim owned don't

0:19:22.080 --> 0:19:24.760
<v Speaker 4>trade Apple Cramer, and that's how I feel. And the

0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:27.880
<v Speaker 4>best one I've ever had was Jensen Jensen Wong. When

0:19:27.880 --> 0:19:29.840
<v Speaker 4>the stock was too I said, we're done trading it,

0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:32.960
<v Speaker 4>please stop trading it. And then I renamed my dog.

0:19:34.000 --> 0:19:36.960
<v Speaker 4>He was Everest and I named him in Vidia. And

0:19:37.040 --> 0:19:38.600
<v Speaker 4>I go all over the country and I.

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:40.399
<v Speaker 3>See confused was the dog?

0:19:40.640 --> 0:19:43.040
<v Speaker 4>The dog? Dog was an idiot. I had state I

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:44.959
<v Speaker 4>always had to have steak in your hand with that idiot.

0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:48.280
<v Speaker 4>He was a half pitball, half who knows what. But

0:19:48.520 --> 0:19:51.399
<v Speaker 4>I do think that when you look at the number

0:19:51.400 --> 0:19:56.040
<v Speaker 4>of India millionaires, that also is empirical, not anecdotal. Now,

0:19:56.080 --> 0:19:59.119
<v Speaker 4>there are people who want to say, Jim, I really

0:19:59.160 --> 0:20:01.439
<v Speaker 4>do want to measure what you said about Blue Energy

0:20:01.520 --> 0:20:03.160
<v Speaker 4>last night and the verse what you say about Apple,

0:20:03.200 --> 0:20:05.360
<v Speaker 4>and you know what I say, knock yourself out. I mean,

0:20:05.600 --> 0:20:07.520
<v Speaker 4>if it was really wrong, I would have been canceled.

0:20:07.720 --> 0:20:10.960
<v Speaker 4>I mean, I'm like twenty years. Means either that I've

0:20:11.000 --> 0:20:14.760
<v Speaker 4>fooled the whole damn world every night, or maybe people

0:20:14.920 --> 0:20:17.960
<v Speaker 4>like it and then they learn, maybe they learn.

0:20:18.760 --> 0:20:21.960
<v Speaker 2>You mentioned you get up at three fifteen. I used

0:20:22.000 --> 0:20:23.760
<v Speaker 2>to get up at four am every day and people

0:20:23.800 --> 0:20:25.439
<v Speaker 2>still think I do. So they think I have this

0:20:25.480 --> 0:20:27.760
<v Speaker 2>crazy work. I think I've been sleeping in a long time. No,

0:20:27.800 --> 0:20:30.400
<v Speaker 2>but but you know a lot and the only way

0:20:30.440 --> 0:20:32.239
<v Speaker 2>to know a lot is to read a lot and

0:20:32.280 --> 0:20:35.080
<v Speaker 2>to work a lot. Can you give us like a

0:20:35.200 --> 0:20:37.960
<v Speaker 2>day like okay, you wake up at three fifteen? Yeah,

0:20:38.480 --> 0:20:40.960
<v Speaker 2>like you read and work like crazy. Give us a

0:20:40.960 --> 0:20:43.200
<v Speaker 2>little crup that goes into your show.

0:20:43.440 --> 0:20:46.200
<v Speaker 4>Here while I start with the Ft. Okay, because the

0:20:46.359 --> 0:20:49.160
<v Speaker 4>Ft has one breaking news story every day, just one,

0:20:49.480 --> 0:20:50.959
<v Speaker 4>but it's great and today was the end.

0:20:51.000 --> 0:20:53.919
<v Speaker 2>What time do you read it? You're up at three fifteen.

0:20:54.119 --> 0:20:55.360
<v Speaker 4>I do have to I mean I have a four

0:20:55.359 --> 0:20:57.919
<v Speaker 4>o'clock workout. Okay, that's an hour and a half. So

0:20:58.320 --> 0:21:00.640
<v Speaker 4>I have a tight schedule for the first forty five.

0:21:00.680 --> 0:21:03.840
<v Speaker 4>I look at the future, CBC dot Com, Bloomberg, New

0:21:03.880 --> 0:21:06.239
<v Speaker 4>York Times, Wall Street Journal. I spend a little more

0:21:06.240 --> 0:21:07.560
<v Speaker 4>time on the Wall Street jour in the State because

0:21:07.560 --> 0:21:09.520
<v Speaker 4>I feel like that they're a little more in tune

0:21:09.560 --> 0:21:12.280
<v Speaker 4>with what the market's doing. And then I go and

0:21:12.320 --> 0:21:14.359
<v Speaker 4>I start looking at my email, and the email is

0:21:14.400 --> 0:21:16.000
<v Speaker 4>just a series of PDFs.

0:21:16.040 --> 0:21:17.400
<v Speaker 3>How many emails do you get a day?

0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:18.840
<v Speaker 4>Seven hundred?

0:21:19.200 --> 0:21:19.480
<v Speaker 3>Wow?

0:21:20.040 --> 0:21:22.000
<v Speaker 4>I look through the pdf Yeah, and I.

0:21:21.920 --> 0:21:23.760
<v Speaker 2>Look, you read all the sellside research.

0:21:24.040 --> 0:21:27.040
<v Speaker 4>I read everything I think is relevant, and I'm looking

0:21:27.080 --> 0:21:29.760
<v Speaker 4>for something to say. I have a memo that comes

0:21:29.760 --> 0:21:31.840
<v Speaker 4>out ten things I'm looking at. I have to have

0:21:31.920 --> 0:21:34.560
<v Speaker 4>that in seven to thirty. So that's my overlord. And

0:21:34.600 --> 0:21:36.959
<v Speaker 4>then after that I have to do Squawk on the Street.

0:21:37.160 --> 0:21:38.920
<v Speaker 4>And then I start again and I start writing the show.

0:21:38.960 --> 0:21:41.880
<v Speaker 4>And I've been writing the show with my sister's kid

0:21:42.160 --> 0:21:44.560
<v Speaker 4>since he was in high school. He's now with me

0:21:44.600 --> 0:21:47.880
<v Speaker 4>for twenty years. Stuff. Mason, he's a genius and he's

0:21:49.359 --> 0:21:52.280
<v Speaker 4>I mean, the guy can just I think he has

0:21:52.320 --> 0:21:55.719
<v Speaker 4>two PCs going all at once, and he's remarkable and

0:21:55.760 --> 0:21:58.159
<v Speaker 4>we have a really good time doing mad money.

0:21:58.400 --> 0:21:59.640
<v Speaker 2>Wait what time is this hour?

0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:02.520
<v Speaker 4>Oh, this is beginning. This is beginning at ten oh five.

0:22:02.880 --> 0:22:05.040
<v Speaker 2>And when are you reading like all the conference calls

0:22:05.040 --> 0:22:07.920
<v Speaker 2>and earnings, because you really one of the things, you know,

0:22:08.640 --> 0:22:10.600
<v Speaker 2>details of the calls and earth During the.

0:22:10.600 --> 0:22:12.680
<v Speaker 4>Day, I spend a huge amount of time. I mean,

0:22:12.680 --> 0:22:15.440
<v Speaker 4>for instance, I'm in the house on moment here because

0:22:15.440 --> 0:22:16.520
<v Speaker 4>the only thing I read I had to read this

0:22:16.560 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 4>poet was Channel Mills, and I will read more of

0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:22.359
<v Speaker 4>that because they talked about how the consumer is hurting,

0:22:23.200 --> 0:22:26.160
<v Speaker 4>and you know, if you're hurting maybe because Blue Buffalo

0:22:26.359 --> 0:22:28.679
<v Speaker 4>it actually was plus six. But if you look at

0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:31.680
<v Speaker 4>some of the brands, proprietary brands, they can be knocked off.

0:22:31.680 --> 0:22:34.280
<v Speaker 4>It's not like when Costco couldnt knock off Coca Cola.

0:22:34.320 --> 0:22:38.040
<v Speaker 4>There's stuff more fungible, there's more elastic. But I spend

0:22:38.320 --> 0:22:40.240
<v Speaker 4>you know, I'm a couple hours a day on.

0:22:39.960 --> 0:22:43.439
<v Speaker 2>The and then after hours earning. Okay, so then like

0:22:43.520 --> 0:22:46.400
<v Speaker 2>Apple reports earnings and then you do the work. Talk

0:22:46.440 --> 0:22:46.639
<v Speaker 2>to you.

0:22:47.080 --> 0:22:49.920
<v Speaker 4>I have a great marriage. I put that out first

0:22:50.119 --> 0:22:52.879
<v Speaker 4>because I wreck it every day. I finished the show

0:22:53.280 --> 0:22:56.879
<v Speaker 4>at quarter six, it's taped lib tape. I come home,

0:22:57.119 --> 0:22:58.719
<v Speaker 4>I have a bite t eat. I mean I had

0:22:58.720 --> 0:23:02.080
<v Speaker 4>to go out to dinner ten and then I say

0:23:02.080 --> 0:23:03.560
<v Speaker 4>good night to my wife.

0:23:03.560 --> 0:23:04.680
<v Speaker 3>Wait, what time do you go to bed?

0:23:05.040 --> 0:23:07.120
<v Speaker 4>I go to bed at eleven. She goes to bed

0:23:07.160 --> 0:23:09.359
<v Speaker 4>at like a normal time. So that's when I really

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:13.400
<v Speaker 4>wreck the marriage. That's not the plant. I don't set

0:23:13.440 --> 0:23:17.159
<v Speaker 4>out to do that. Did that previously bad strategy, But

0:23:17.280 --> 0:23:19.239
<v Speaker 4>I just find that I have to do that. And

0:23:19.280 --> 0:23:23.000
<v Speaker 4>that's like during when you have that rush now earning

0:23:23.040 --> 0:23:25.600
<v Speaker 4>season no longer is the season because.

0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:27.639
<v Speaker 3>Companies feels like it goes on forever.

0:23:27.400 --> 0:23:29.840
<v Speaker 4>Doesn't it. It's kind of perma. But when we have

0:23:29.920 --> 0:23:32.399
<v Speaker 4>that week where JP Morgan starts in Wells, does it?

0:23:32.600 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 4>That weekend is just miserable. Fortunately, during the summer a garden.

0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:37.959
<v Speaker 4>My weekends are just filled with this one.

0:23:38.040 --> 0:23:41.040
<v Speaker 3>I love gardening. We should talk ardening. Are you vegetable

0:23:41.119 --> 0:23:43.840
<v Speaker 3>or a gardener? Decorative flower gardener?

0:23:43.960 --> 0:23:44.280
<v Speaker 4>You should.

0:23:45.320 --> 0:23:47.359
<v Speaker 3>I used to have a vegetable patch actually, but then

0:23:47.400 --> 0:23:49.280
<v Speaker 3>I moved to a new place. I need to restart one.

0:23:49.800 --> 0:23:51.320
<v Speaker 3>How do you choose your sound effects?

0:23:52.200 --> 0:23:55.840
<v Speaker 4>Oh okay, hey, I had a radio show. This show

0:23:56.560 --> 0:24:00.000
<v Speaker 4>and you know where that radio show pure the greatest

0:24:00.080 --> 0:24:04.440
<v Speaker 4>radio network in the world, Bloombergh and the Mayor run

0:24:04.680 --> 0:24:06.760
<v Speaker 4>ran twice a day because he thought it was it

0:24:06.840 --> 0:24:08.159
<v Speaker 4>was a lot of it was educational.

0:24:08.320 --> 0:24:10.560
<v Speaker 3>Mike loves the radio, Oh he really does.

0:24:10.680 --> 0:24:12.639
<v Speaker 4>He was my biggest you know, look, I think if

0:24:12.680 --> 0:24:14.679
<v Speaker 4>I say he was my biggest backer, that sounds like

0:24:14.680 --> 0:24:17.760
<v Speaker 4>a joker. But he loved what I did. And the

0:24:17.800 --> 0:24:21.320
<v Speaker 4>sound effects got people going, and it was drive time

0:24:21.640 --> 0:24:26.160
<v Speaker 4>and he was so supportive, and I love him. I mean, look,

0:24:26.200 --> 0:24:29.800
<v Speaker 4>once you leave, he's not as supportive. But what can

0:24:29.880 --> 0:24:32.119
<v Speaker 4>I say? I mean, this is Bloomberg and you.

0:24:32.119 --> 0:24:34.360
<v Speaker 3>Should try to reintroduce sound effects.

0:24:34.320 --> 0:24:38.359
<v Speaker 4>Radio may because he wanted people to listen. You know,

0:24:38.480 --> 0:24:44.000
<v Speaker 4>bull bear, she sounds imagine incorrect. A buzzer, but a

0:24:44.040 --> 0:24:47.359
<v Speaker 4>guillotine for they had to cut their numbers and that

0:24:47.440 --> 0:24:47.920
<v Speaker 4>kind of thing.

0:24:47.960 --> 0:24:50.840
<v Speaker 3>We only have one, which is the Monopsony Clackson, which

0:24:50.880 --> 0:24:56.480
<v Speaker 3>isn't exactly that producer insert the.

0:24:59.480 --> 0:25:01.359
<v Speaker 2>Very proud, a proud fellow a lot.

0:25:03.000 --> 0:25:05.879
<v Speaker 4>Great to be substantive and great to be able to

0:25:05.880 --> 0:25:09.240
<v Speaker 4>explain and educate. And no one said education doesn't work

0:25:09.240 --> 0:25:09.840
<v Speaker 4>for the numbers.

0:25:10.160 --> 0:25:12.399
<v Speaker 3>Do you actually do you think of yourself more as

0:25:12.440 --> 0:25:14.280
<v Speaker 3>an educator versus as a stock picker.

0:25:14.640 --> 0:25:19.040
<v Speaker 4>Yes, this is really like let's say, last night's show,

0:25:19.440 --> 0:25:23.399
<v Speaker 4>I tried to explain that what matters today with the

0:25:23.440 --> 0:25:27.280
<v Speaker 4>FED is what way will the curve change? Will start

0:25:27.320 --> 0:25:29.560
<v Speaker 4>going up on the long end or down? Long and

0:25:29.880 --> 0:25:32.639
<v Speaker 4>down is the big win. Long end up is what

0:25:32.720 --> 0:25:35.360
<v Speaker 4>happened last year. We had the starter step and then

0:25:35.359 --> 0:25:38.920
<v Speaker 4>we had the December crash when Pal just said, listen,

0:25:38.920 --> 0:25:41.439
<v Speaker 4>we're done. That's going to be the judge. But I

0:25:41.600 --> 0:25:44.440
<v Speaker 4>had to use all sorts of analogies because the curve

0:25:44.560 --> 0:25:46.919
<v Speaker 4>you can't ever mention the curve like the every Sydney

0:25:46.920 --> 0:25:50.720
<v Speaker 4>Homer the curve you can't ever inside the curve by

0:25:50.800 --> 0:25:51.320
<v Speaker 4>Sydney Homer.

0:25:51.840 --> 0:25:57.639
<v Speaker 2>A lot of it's tracy.

0:25:58.280 --> 0:26:02.000
<v Speaker 4>I have also most of debates book about it.

0:26:02.600 --> 0:26:05.400
<v Speaker 3>Most of it is charts. That's what people don't understand.

0:26:05.560 --> 0:26:07.080
<v Speaker 3>It goes by really fast.

0:26:06.800 --> 0:26:10.680
<v Speaker 4>It's all. But I listened to you kind of yeah,

0:26:10.720 --> 0:26:14.720
<v Speaker 4>you're a hitter the shows. It's okay to say I

0:26:14.800 --> 0:26:15.960
<v Speaker 4>like this, sh yeah, No.

0:26:16.000 --> 0:26:18.800
<v Speaker 2>We're going to use this on scissle reels of promotion

0:26:19.680 --> 0:26:20.360
<v Speaker 2>for years to.

0:26:20.560 --> 0:26:22.919
<v Speaker 4>I see these people that I've worked with here you know,

0:26:23.920 --> 0:26:27.040
<v Speaker 4>Will Donna and these are the queen of the crop.

0:26:27.119 --> 0:26:28.960
<v Speaker 4>And you know I was at the street everybody who

0:26:29.040 --> 0:26:31.880
<v Speaker 4>was good. I actually encouraged them to come here because

0:26:32.200 --> 0:26:34.439
<v Speaker 4>they start to start the street and the idea is

0:26:34.480 --> 0:26:37.200
<v Speaker 4>top and you want to go to a place where

0:26:37.200 --> 0:26:39.880
<v Speaker 4>people can be thoughtful. And look, I'm not saying this

0:26:40.200 --> 0:26:43.040
<v Speaker 4>to suck up. I'm saying I worked here and that's

0:26:43.080 --> 0:26:44.439
<v Speaker 4>what the essence was.

0:26:45.160 --> 0:26:47.680
<v Speaker 2>Man Garde Street, Alum, have come through.

0:26:47.760 --> 0:26:48.040
<v Speaker 4>Okay.

0:26:48.440 --> 0:26:50.159
<v Speaker 2>I was gonna like say, you know, when we were

0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:52.359
<v Speaker 2>going over what we wanted to talk about, and I

0:26:52.359 --> 0:26:53.760
<v Speaker 2>was gonna bring this up, and then you're like, no,

0:26:53.880 --> 0:26:55.800
<v Speaker 2>I don't bring up what we're going to talk about.

0:26:55.840 --> 0:27:01.920
<v Speaker 2>A complete uh surprise. Were you in college age spartacist

0:27:02.119 --> 0:27:06.520
<v Speaker 2>or Trotsky? I like, tell us about you mentioned it once,

0:27:06.560 --> 0:27:09.840
<v Speaker 2>I think in a video, but then the video. You've

0:27:09.880 --> 0:27:13.080
<v Speaker 2>also tweeted about your uncle Vlaud about one hundred times,

0:27:13.440 --> 0:27:16.480
<v Speaker 2>with whom you do para passing resemblance. Give us what's

0:27:16.520 --> 0:27:16.880
<v Speaker 2>the real.

0:27:16.960 --> 0:27:19.919
<v Speaker 4>Ill used to be stopped by as uncle Lad all

0:27:19.960 --> 0:27:26.120
<v Speaker 4>the time. Yeah, Okay, mine was spartacist because I believe that, yes,

0:27:26.200 --> 0:27:30.520
<v Speaker 4>the Workers United should never be defeated because we're about

0:27:30.560 --> 0:27:34.280
<v Speaker 4>the workers owning the means of production, so therefore we

0:27:34.320 --> 0:27:39.320
<v Speaker 4>should own the company. Yeah, and now Trotsky obviously gravely

0:27:39.359 --> 0:27:42.440
<v Speaker 4>misunderstood including the ice pick. The ice pick very bad, Yeah,

0:27:44.760 --> 0:27:47.520
<v Speaker 4>suboptimal day the ice pick. But I just think that

0:27:47.520 --> 0:27:50.200
<v Speaker 4>that made a lot of sense, and I went that.

0:27:50.119 --> 0:27:51.280
<v Speaker 2>Way when you're at Harvard.

0:27:51.400 --> 0:27:54.560
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, okay, we had pretty pretty big following, and there

0:27:54.560 --> 0:27:57.120
<v Speaker 4>were not that many Leninists. I mean, you know, Trotsky

0:27:57.160 --> 0:27:59.399
<v Speaker 4>was a pretty good writer. Yeah, and Lenin was He

0:27:59.440 --> 0:28:01.520
<v Speaker 4>wrote what is to be Done? His version number two,

0:28:01.520 --> 0:28:03.480
<v Speaker 4>what is to be Done, and that that's a good read.

0:28:03.720 --> 0:28:07.080
<v Speaker 4>But Trotsky really was a very thoughtful guy and also

0:28:07.080 --> 0:28:11.120
<v Speaker 4>a great army general. And people forget that the train

0:28:11.520 --> 0:28:15.160
<v Speaker 4>the train man only the money train, the Armedian money

0:28:15.200 --> 0:28:17.720
<v Speaker 4>train in shield, and that train really worked.

0:28:17.880 --> 0:28:18.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:28:18.200 --> 0:28:20.320
<v Speaker 4>Well, I guess the fugitive train crash was a good

0:28:20.320 --> 0:28:22.639
<v Speaker 4>train cash. I like Union Pacific.

0:28:22.240 --> 0:28:27.280
<v Speaker 3>Here way, I like seeing you.

0:28:28.280 --> 0:28:31.280
<v Speaker 4>Well, I just wanted to help it. I was a laborer,

0:28:31.320 --> 0:28:32.960
<v Speaker 4>I thought, because you've also.

0:28:32.840 --> 0:28:34.840
<v Speaker 2>Talked about you once, little wildcats.

0:28:34.920 --> 0:28:37.840
<v Speaker 4>I ran a Wildcats strike at the Phillies where I

0:28:37.880 --> 0:28:40.120
<v Speaker 4>felt that we should have look, we're doing all the

0:28:40.120 --> 0:28:42.160
<v Speaker 4>work here. I talked to these guys. We're doing all

0:28:42.160 --> 0:28:45.520
<v Speaker 4>the work here and yet everyone else the overlords. By

0:28:45.520 --> 0:28:47.280
<v Speaker 4>the way, can I just tell you you had to

0:28:47.280 --> 0:28:49.800
<v Speaker 4>do a kickback when you're selling ice cream, Hey, ice

0:28:49.840 --> 0:28:51.960
<v Speaker 4>cream and all the chocolate. One third of your money

0:28:51.960 --> 0:28:54.280
<v Speaker 4>went back to the guy. So you didn't get strawberry

0:28:54.320 --> 0:28:56.960
<v Speaker 4>ice cream because you can't sell strawberry. Nobody wants strawberry.

0:28:57.080 --> 0:28:58.920
<v Speaker 4>That was the big threat. Hey, listen, shut up, Kramer.

0:28:58.960 --> 0:29:02.080
<v Speaker 4>You're gonna get strawberry. But I had a seventh level

0:29:02.240 --> 0:29:04.920
<v Speaker 4>concession that I paid everybody. I paid everybody not to

0:29:04.960 --> 0:29:07.280
<v Speaker 4>come up to seventh level. So I owned it. But

0:29:07.360 --> 0:29:10.440
<v Speaker 4>we had Steve Carlton then a long time ago, probably no,

0:29:10.520 --> 0:29:12.680
<v Speaker 4>but he used to pitch games in an hour and

0:29:12.720 --> 0:29:15.240
<v Speaker 4>a half. I was always long a huge amount of

0:29:15.240 --> 0:29:17.960
<v Speaker 4>ice cream in July. It was just dreadful. But so

0:29:18.000 --> 0:29:21.080
<v Speaker 4>I let the wildcat strike and it was very good.

0:29:21.080 --> 0:29:24.400
<v Speaker 4>They called me in and they said you're fine. I said,

0:29:24.400 --> 0:29:26.560
<v Speaker 4>well you can't do that. Well, you're not going to

0:29:26.600 --> 0:29:28.640
<v Speaker 4>get any ice cream tonight. You can come while you

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:30.280
<v Speaker 4>went to this, but you're not getting ice cream. And

0:29:30.280 --> 0:29:32.120
<v Speaker 4>that was it, and that was bad.

0:29:32.200 --> 0:29:33.680
<v Speaker 2>So when did you see the light though?

0:29:33.760 --> 0:29:37.800
<v Speaker 4>From Okay, actually a really great question. The light was

0:29:37.840 --> 0:29:42.960
<v Speaker 4>when I helped I helped strike J. P. Stevens. JP

0:29:43.080 --> 0:29:48.160
<v Speaker 4>Stevens was a terrific towel company, linen company, with JP

0:29:48.240 --> 0:29:50.920
<v Speaker 4>Stevens being his great Princeton alum, and we knew where

0:29:50.920 --> 0:29:55.120
<v Speaker 4>he lived and we targeted the management. Really thought we

0:29:55.160 --> 0:29:57.640
<v Speaker 4>had it going and we were crushing it and I

0:29:57.720 --> 0:29:59.680
<v Speaker 4>was like coming up from the South to help. We're

0:29:59.720 --> 0:30:03.000
<v Speaker 4>going on. And then they closed the company. Rather than

0:30:03.120 --> 0:30:06.840
<v Speaker 4>deal with us, they closed it. And that was when

0:30:06.920 --> 0:30:09.320
<v Speaker 4>I had a change of heart because I said, wait

0:30:09.320 --> 0:30:14.240
<v Speaker 4>a second, I just helped take away the livelihood, the healthcare,

0:30:14.600 --> 0:30:18.320
<v Speaker 4>the dinner for thousands of workers by trying to get

0:30:18.360 --> 0:30:20.520
<v Speaker 4>them more money. And I really had to rethink it,

0:30:21.040 --> 0:30:23.600
<v Speaker 4>and I just said, well, maybe the sparta's is thing

0:30:24.440 --> 0:30:27.400
<v Speaker 4>more focus on the matter at hand, which is covering

0:30:27.400 --> 0:30:30.520
<v Speaker 4>a homicide. But I really felt awful about what we did.

0:30:30.680 --> 0:30:33.840
<v Speaker 4>We closed the company. That was not the intent.

0:30:34.880 --> 0:30:39.280
<v Speaker 3>Well, there is this tension though, between like workers having

0:30:39.400 --> 0:30:43.080
<v Speaker 3>jobs and shares actually going up. Right, Like you have companies.

0:30:43.560 --> 0:30:46.200
<v Speaker 3>The easy way to boost your share prices to cut costs,

0:30:46.200 --> 0:30:48.760
<v Speaker 3>which means laying off workers. How do you square that?

0:30:49.360 --> 0:30:52.880
<v Speaker 4>Well, I think that you guys did a piece. I

0:30:52.880 --> 0:30:54.880
<v Speaker 4>think it was you Joe, about how that you've been

0:30:54.920 --> 0:30:56.840
<v Speaker 4>thinking a lot about the billionaires, thinking a lot about that.

0:30:57.480 --> 0:30:59.920
<v Speaker 4>And I think that the way I square that is

0:31:00.040 --> 0:31:04.120
<v Speaker 4>has said. If I go back to President Reagan, he

0:31:04.880 --> 0:31:08.240
<v Speaker 4>was disgusted by how much the CEO has made and

0:31:08.280 --> 0:31:10.880
<v Speaker 4>the difference, and now the CEOs did never had to

0:31:10.920 --> 0:31:12.760
<v Speaker 4>pay the price, and the workers had to pay the price.

0:31:12.800 --> 0:31:16.760
<v Speaker 4>And you're talking about Reagan. And funny that Elizabeth Warren

0:31:16.840 --> 0:31:19.040
<v Speaker 4>reminded me about this when I saw her. I just

0:31:19.080 --> 0:31:22.360
<v Speaker 4>think that it's a travesty. I met with President Clinton

0:31:22.880 --> 0:31:25.160
<v Speaker 4>over a plan which said, look, I think that workers

0:31:25.200 --> 0:31:27.800
<v Speaker 4>should get shares if they're laid off, because typically a

0:31:27.880 --> 0:31:29.840
<v Speaker 4>stock goes up if they're laid off. And what he

0:31:29.880 --> 0:31:32.840
<v Speaker 4>did was he gave me a can of coke, died coke,

0:31:33.240 --> 0:31:35.160
<v Speaker 4>said this is the greatest idea in the world. We're

0:31:35.200 --> 0:31:40.240
<v Speaker 4>going to run with it. And nothing ever happened. President Clinton, well,

0:31:40.240 --> 0:31:43.080
<v Speaker 4>they all said it didn't matter which president. Nobody ever did.

0:31:43.080 --> 0:31:45.880
<v Speaker 4>But I said. President Biden was hilarious. We meet him

0:31:45.920 --> 0:31:49.280
<v Speaker 4>on that train. He said, honestly, I am the poorest

0:31:49.720 --> 0:31:52.840
<v Speaker 4>of the hundred. Why do I need your information. I said,

0:31:53.000 --> 0:31:55.080
<v Speaker 4>you don't need it at all. I mean, I'm not

0:31:55.120 --> 0:31:57.280
<v Speaker 4>going to take them to minus five. I do think

0:31:57.320 --> 0:32:00.920
<v Speaker 4>that President Clinton was very smart about the market, understood

0:32:00.960 --> 0:32:04.480
<v Speaker 4>that laid off workers were the tender to get a

0:32:04.520 --> 0:32:07.520
<v Speaker 4>stock higher. He was really smart about the market. President

0:32:07.560 --> 0:32:10.160
<v Speaker 4>Bush number two not that smart.

0:32:10.200 --> 0:32:12.920
<v Speaker 3>Wait will you rank presidential market?

0:32:13.040 --> 0:32:15.640
<v Speaker 4>Well? First, I would take Andrew Johnson because he was

0:32:15.760 --> 0:32:18.400
<v Speaker 4>insider trade. Now I don't know. I mean, did you

0:32:18.440 --> 0:32:20.960
<v Speaker 4>read any of these books about Jay Gould and what

0:32:21.000 --> 0:32:23.640
<v Speaker 4>he did? But I don't think this Grant, Oh my god,

0:32:24.040 --> 0:32:25.840
<v Speaker 4>he found out that goal you know where they were

0:32:25.840 --> 0:32:29.000
<v Speaker 4>on the gold standard knee comp come. There were there

0:32:29.000 --> 0:32:34.080
<v Speaker 4>were many many stories about presidents I think helping by mistake.

0:32:34.920 --> 0:32:36.640
<v Speaker 4>So I would have to give those guys.

0:32:36.720 --> 0:32:41.560
<v Speaker 2>So as a what do you think about? You know,

0:32:41.640 --> 0:32:44.720
<v Speaker 2>there is this sort of particularly in New York City,

0:32:45.360 --> 0:32:50.520
<v Speaker 2>this very energetic nascent leftism. They wouldn't characterize themselves as communists.

0:32:50.600 --> 0:32:53.040
<v Speaker 2>I don't think Zorn is going around calling himself a

0:32:53.080 --> 0:32:55.720
<v Speaker 2>trust gat I don't think he is. No what do

0:32:55.720 --> 0:32:58.680
<v Speaker 2>you what do you make of like? What do you

0:32:58.720 --> 0:33:00.400
<v Speaker 2>make of this? Are we gonna like? Are we at

0:33:00.440 --> 0:33:04.720
<v Speaker 2>a revolutionary moment. Are the conditions of past revolutions present

0:33:04.800 --> 0:33:05.880
<v Speaker 2>here in the United States?

0:33:05.960 --> 0:33:08.320
<v Speaker 4>No, they're not, because we have great job growth and

0:33:08.440 --> 0:33:11.760
<v Speaker 4>the revolutions have typically been preceded by famine.

0:33:12.520 --> 0:33:15.800
<v Speaker 2>Okay, well then how serious, like when you you know,

0:33:15.920 --> 0:33:18.440
<v Speaker 2>what do you what do you think about the DSA

0:33:18.520 --> 0:33:21.640
<v Speaker 2>and so forth, like, because I think you've said, you know, like,

0:33:21.720 --> 0:33:24.560
<v Speaker 2>do you consider them to be dangerous radicals or are

0:33:24.600 --> 0:33:27.600
<v Speaker 2>they like a sort of different shade of liberal democrats.

0:33:27.640 --> 0:33:29.400
<v Speaker 4>I think different set of liberal democrat. I mean, I

0:33:29.440 --> 0:33:32.120
<v Speaker 4>remember Occupy Wall Street. Now you used to go to

0:33:32.160 --> 0:33:35.640
<v Speaker 4>it every see what's going on to interview people, and

0:33:36.040 --> 0:33:38.800
<v Speaker 4>they didn't know that where they were politically because they

0:33:38.800 --> 0:33:41.720
<v Speaker 4>were so confused, and we all in the media kind

0:33:41.720 --> 0:33:43.959
<v Speaker 4>of felt that they were communists or leftists, and when

0:33:44.080 --> 0:33:46.800
<v Speaker 4>to tear down Wall Street, they just I mean they

0:33:46.800 --> 0:33:50.080
<v Speaker 4>were just sleeping on a cold stone, trying to saying listen,

0:33:50.280 --> 0:33:54.120
<v Speaker 4>we're unhappy, and their ethos was zero. I think that

0:33:54.240 --> 0:33:57.640
<v Speaker 4>this is the Marrow race. I mean, look, I care

0:33:57.680 --> 0:34:00.959
<v Speaker 4>about defunding police versus police because they care about public safety.

0:34:01.400 --> 0:34:03.680
<v Speaker 4>And I saw what happened in San Francisco.

0:34:04.720 --> 0:34:07.080
<v Speaker 2>Zoran has changed, I mean he has changed his mind

0:34:07.080 --> 0:34:08.239
<v Speaker 2>about that.

0:34:08.239 --> 0:34:09.759
<v Speaker 4>That's why I don't think that we're going to be

0:34:09.800 --> 0:34:12.440
<v Speaker 4>San Francisco. And I also think by the way we

0:34:12.520 --> 0:34:14.640
<v Speaker 4>went to trains on time, we went public safety, and

0:34:14.680 --> 0:34:17.480
<v Speaker 4>I don't think that that's I don't think they're in play.

0:34:18.080 --> 0:34:20.080
<v Speaker 4>I just really don't. Now I'm a New Jersey citizen,

0:34:20.160 --> 0:34:21.840
<v Speaker 4>I have to love the governor of New Jersey was

0:34:21.880 --> 0:34:25.359
<v Speaker 4>my boss at Golden Sacks. But look, I just want

0:34:25.600 --> 0:34:28.600
<v Speaker 4>everyone to be able to recognize that the town has

0:34:28.640 --> 0:34:31.400
<v Speaker 4>made a great comeback. There's just so many great places,

0:34:31.440 --> 0:34:34.360
<v Speaker 4>and I hate to see anything devolved into San Francisco,

0:34:34.400 --> 0:34:37.160
<v Speaker 4>which is getting better, but was a nightmare to the

0:34:37.200 --> 0:34:39.080
<v Speaker 4>point where I stopped going. I used to do four

0:34:39.120 --> 0:34:41.160
<v Speaker 4>times a year of my show. But I saw a

0:34:41.160 --> 0:34:43.520
<v Speaker 4>guy pull a knife I was in front of I

0:34:43.600 --> 0:34:46.279
<v Speaker 4>was behind him at Walgreens, got all the money, and

0:34:46.320 --> 0:34:49.919
<v Speaker 4>then the cops arrested him outside and they released him,

0:34:50.239 --> 0:34:51.879
<v Speaker 4>and I said, what are you doing? He said, well,

0:34:51.880 --> 0:34:54.200
<v Speaker 4>we are you a hunter? I said, I'm a fisherman.

0:34:54.480 --> 0:34:56.040
<v Speaker 4>He said, well, we do the same thing. We catch

0:34:56.040 --> 0:34:56.480
<v Speaker 4>and release.

0:35:12.600 --> 0:35:14.360
<v Speaker 3>Jim, I gotta tell you, we just got a message

0:35:14.400 --> 0:35:16.919
<v Speaker 3>saying Mike Bloomberg wants to say hi to you after

0:35:16.960 --> 0:35:17.919
<v Speaker 3>we record the show.

0:35:18.000 --> 0:35:23.520
<v Speaker 4>I don't believe that. Seriously, what a selfius ridiculous.

0:35:23.680 --> 0:35:25.920
<v Speaker 3>Even though you left the company, he wants to see it.

0:35:26.040 --> 0:35:28.200
<v Speaker 4>I left the company, but it wasn't my idea. I

0:35:28.239 --> 0:35:31.640
<v Speaker 4>didn't want to leave the company to very specific. But

0:35:31.680 --> 0:35:34.719
<v Speaker 4>he became mayor, and look, I always worshiped him. What

0:35:34.800 --> 0:35:37.080
<v Speaker 4>can I say? And I won't even talk about the

0:35:37.160 --> 0:35:40.719
<v Speaker 4>myriad charities that he really did fun because that's not

0:35:40.760 --> 0:35:43.080
<v Speaker 4>why I did it. And I always admire that more

0:35:43.160 --> 0:35:46.879
<v Speaker 4>than anything. He never wanted anyone to know. In New York,

0:35:46.960 --> 0:35:50.600
<v Speaker 4>it's so it's so predominant. You go into a building

0:35:50.600 --> 0:35:52.560
<v Speaker 4>and the guy's got his name on it, Well, there's

0:35:52.640 --> 0:35:55.200
<v Speaker 4>no you know that is not Mayor Bloomberg. Mayor Bloomberg

0:35:55.360 --> 0:35:58.359
<v Speaker 4>was I remember giving an award for what we did

0:35:58.400 --> 0:35:59.879
<v Speaker 4>at the Brooklyn Bridge. I don't know if you guys

0:36:00.040 --> 0:36:03.600
<v Speaker 4>the Brooklyn Bage Park. But this city's been be dumb,

0:36:03.680 --> 0:36:06.759
<v Speaker 4>and a lot of it is that mister mayor. He's

0:36:06.800 --> 0:36:07.440
<v Speaker 4>mister mayor.

0:36:08.200 --> 0:36:11.719
<v Speaker 3>Back to finance for a second, were you ever tempted

0:36:11.760 --> 0:36:14.719
<v Speaker 3>to recommend the inverse Kramer etf Okay?

0:36:14.760 --> 0:36:17.719
<v Speaker 4>So that guy got crushed. He was just denial but.

0:36:17.760 --> 0:36:20.799
<v Speaker 3>Had you recommended it, they would have had to short themselves. Right,

0:36:21.520 --> 0:36:22.799
<v Speaker 3>Oh my god, right, what.

0:36:22.840 --> 0:36:25.080
<v Speaker 4>A cool idea. Yeah. I didn't want it, and it was

0:36:25.080 --> 0:36:27.080
<v Speaker 4>one of those things this is. Yeah, you go through

0:36:27.120 --> 0:36:29.359
<v Speaker 4>and your wife says, I don't want you acknowledge him.

0:36:29.360 --> 0:36:31.439
<v Speaker 4>I said, well, the guy's a total joke. I don't

0:36:31.440 --> 0:36:33.279
<v Speaker 4>want you to acknowledge him. And a lot of times

0:36:33.320 --> 0:36:36.000
<v Speaker 4>what happens is you do go back to your home

0:36:36.680 --> 0:36:39.480
<v Speaker 4>and you ask your wife what can do or your

0:36:39.480 --> 0:36:44.040
<v Speaker 4>partner what's right? Because everyone has got an agenda at work,

0:36:44.400 --> 0:36:46.680
<v Speaker 4>but my wife's agenda is me, and so I always

0:36:46.719 --> 0:36:48.719
<v Speaker 4>knew that she was just like a good lawyer. There's

0:36:48.880 --> 0:36:52.040
<v Speaker 4>you know, attorney client privilege, there's why espousal privilege.

0:36:52.080 --> 0:36:54.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that must me feel so good. I'm looking at

0:36:54.520 --> 0:36:57.440
<v Speaker 2>the ticker and now it did terrible and then they

0:36:57.440 --> 0:36:59.320
<v Speaker 2>liquidated it in February twenty twenty.

0:36:59.400 --> 0:37:00.279
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, how do you look?

0:37:00.520 --> 0:37:02.520
<v Speaker 2>You know, I don't. We don't get a fraction of it,

0:37:02.600 --> 0:37:04.600
<v Speaker 2>but we get a little bit. Do have you ever

0:37:04.800 --> 0:37:08.360
<v Speaker 2>like for your mental health, like public abuse or public's

0:37:09.239 --> 0:37:10.640
<v Speaker 2>did you ever give any tips?

0:37:10.880 --> 0:37:12.279
<v Speaker 4>Okay, sure, I mean there were some.

0:37:12.480 --> 0:37:14.479
<v Speaker 2>People make fun of my voice of the Apple Notes

0:37:14.480 --> 0:37:16.919
<v Speaker 2>coming out, the NBC told me to be on John

0:37:17.000 --> 0:37:19.640
<v Speaker 2>Stewart and I didn't know the show, and I didn't

0:37:19.680 --> 0:37:22.680
<v Speaker 2>know he would I didn't know he would be unfair,

0:37:22.920 --> 0:37:23.760
<v Speaker 2>and I didn't explain.

0:37:23.880 --> 0:37:26.319
<v Speaker 4>They were telling me basically that he would be convivial.

0:37:26.360 --> 0:37:28.399
<v Speaker 4>So I didn't come with my A game. I came

0:37:28.440 --> 0:37:32.480
<v Speaker 4>with my F game, and it was mortifying and terrible,

0:37:32.600 --> 0:37:34.680
<v Speaker 4>and every time I looked out. I mean, I always

0:37:34.680 --> 0:37:39.080
<v Speaker 4>tell people, look at me. Now, there's a whole generation later. Yeah,

0:37:39.080 --> 0:37:41.800
<v Speaker 4>he did sixteen years now, and I meet younger people

0:37:41.800 --> 0:37:43.600
<v Speaker 4>and they've never heard of it. But those people never

0:37:43.640 --> 0:37:45.640
<v Speaker 4>realized that the New York Giants were good football team.

0:37:46.239 --> 0:37:49.080
<v Speaker 4>It kind of happens like that. Yeah. My most important

0:37:49.080 --> 0:37:52.799
<v Speaker 4>tip is to say they're not thinking of it when

0:37:52.800 --> 0:37:55.879
<v Speaker 4>they talk to you. In other words, you're thinking of it,

0:37:56.160 --> 0:37:59.239
<v Speaker 4>but give yourself a break. Most of them are not mean.

0:37:59.320 --> 0:38:01.600
<v Speaker 4>I would say, like, but she goes she the whole

0:38:01.640 --> 0:38:03.120
<v Speaker 4>time she was thinking about Joss. I know she was

0:38:03.120 --> 0:38:05.120
<v Speaker 4>thinking about to No, you're not a mind reader. Take

0:38:05.160 --> 0:38:08.080
<v Speaker 4>people's face value. He was a very mean person. And

0:38:08.120 --> 0:38:10.680
<v Speaker 4>that's a word that my daughter used in fifth grade.

0:38:10.719 --> 0:38:13.680
<v Speaker 4>But I don't know how else to define someone who

0:38:13.760 --> 0:38:15.840
<v Speaker 4>wants to take your livelihood away, and he wanted my

0:38:15.880 --> 0:38:18.320
<v Speaker 4>lively had taken away, and I didn't want it taken away.

0:38:18.360 --> 0:38:20.800
<v Speaker 4>And to take away someone's lively, as I mentioned with

0:38:20.880 --> 0:38:24.040
<v Speaker 4>JP Stevens, it's a terrible thing, and I didn't deserve it.

0:38:24.080 --> 0:38:27.880
<v Speaker 4>But that's it's like it's like the movie Unforgiven. It

0:38:27.920 --> 0:38:29.200
<v Speaker 4>deserves got nothing to do with it.

0:38:29.680 --> 0:38:32.319
<v Speaker 3>Speaking of the financial crisis, though, you did have a

0:38:32.360 --> 0:38:36.759
<v Speaker 3>series of like memeable moments, let's just say, in two

0:38:36.800 --> 0:38:38.960
<v Speaker 3>thousand and seven, two thousand and eight, including the rant

0:38:38.960 --> 0:38:42.320
<v Speaker 3>about Barrister. Yes it's famous.

0:38:42.960 --> 0:38:45.200
<v Speaker 4>Well there's a nice article in the FT about it.

0:38:45.239 --> 0:38:49.040
<v Speaker 4>When the actual not the minutes, but the actual transcript

0:38:49.080 --> 0:38:51.719
<v Speaker 4>came out about how they laughed at me, and they

0:38:51.760 --> 0:38:54.000
<v Speaker 4>actually mentioned this said, yeah, we laughed at him. He said, oh,

0:38:54.080 --> 0:38:57.520
<v Speaker 4>Kramers though he's really funny. It was about speaking to

0:38:57.560 --> 0:38:59.239
<v Speaker 4>a lot of people who were saying, you got to

0:38:59.239 --> 0:39:01.520
<v Speaker 4>get on the case here. You guys are just oblivious.

0:39:01.560 --> 0:39:04.480
<v Speaker 4>You're acting as if it's a regular market. And my

0:39:04.480 --> 0:39:07.359
<v Speaker 4>friend arn Burnette was going on about a regular thing

0:39:07.400 --> 0:39:09.640
<v Speaker 4>and I just had to interrupt and I said, look,

0:39:09.960 --> 0:39:11.840
<v Speaker 4>they know nothing, they know nothing, and that was speaking

0:39:11.840 --> 0:39:14.279
<v Speaker 4>about bember Nanke, which who really I think did know

0:39:14.320 --> 0:39:17.799
<v Speaker 4>nothing during that period, and I was widely cascadd. I

0:39:17.800 --> 0:39:20.200
<v Speaker 4>had to go on the Today Show the next day

0:39:20.520 --> 0:39:25.359
<v Speaker 4>where Matt Lauer whatever said you were off, you were

0:39:25.360 --> 0:39:27.279
<v Speaker 4>off your meds. I want to hear more about this. Now.

0:39:27.360 --> 0:39:29.440
<v Speaker 4>See when you say that someone's off their meds, that

0:39:29.440 --> 0:39:32.360
<v Speaker 4>presumes that you were on your meds. And again I

0:39:32.400 --> 0:39:36.040
<v Speaker 4>mean like, look, am I used to being demeaned? Does

0:39:36.080 --> 0:39:38.600
<v Speaker 4>it bother me? It doesn't bother me like you used to.

0:39:38.920 --> 0:39:42.719
<v Speaker 4>But I do say that that Ran holds up and

0:39:42.760 --> 0:39:43.640
<v Speaker 4>I'm practice Ran.

0:39:43.960 --> 0:39:44.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:39:44.560 --> 0:39:46.439
<v Speaker 4>And then I did that other thing where I went

0:39:46.760 --> 0:39:49.799
<v Speaker 4>if you have any on the Today's Show, if you

0:39:49.880 --> 0:39:51.839
<v Speaker 4>need your money anytime? The next five years and the

0:39:51.840 --> 0:39:54.640
<v Speaker 4>market fell forty percent after this. They used to take

0:39:54.640 --> 0:39:56.719
<v Speaker 4>it out now because I didn't want people by the way,

0:39:56.719 --> 0:39:58.120
<v Speaker 4>it took five years to get to market back to

0:39:58.120 --> 0:40:00.680
<v Speaker 4>where it was. I was worried about people fixed income

0:40:01.080 --> 0:40:03.480
<v Speaker 4>fixed on meeting. They own General Mills and they own Chevron,

0:40:03.920 --> 0:40:06.440
<v Speaker 4>and I just felt like that it was just really

0:40:06.480 --> 0:40:08.239
<v Speaker 4>the wrong time. And then the next day they had

0:40:08.280 --> 0:40:11.960
<v Speaker 4>me back and Curry asked me, look, you said this

0:40:12.000 --> 0:40:15.040
<v Speaker 4>thing on the show. Do you want to take it back?

0:40:15.080 --> 0:40:18.040
<v Speaker 4>And I said no. I mean sometimes when you yell

0:40:18.600 --> 0:40:22.120
<v Speaker 4>fire in a crowded theater, there's a fire. I want

0:40:22.160 --> 0:40:23.799
<v Speaker 4>to get out as many people as I can. And

0:40:23.840 --> 0:40:26.359
<v Speaker 4>these were moments that at the time, you'll you'll really

0:40:26.360 --> 0:40:29.560
<v Speaker 4>appreciate this show. When I did these, Uh, Subsequently, I

0:40:29.600 --> 0:40:32.120
<v Speaker 4>was so ridiculed that I that I would say to myself,

0:40:32.400 --> 0:40:34.320
<v Speaker 4>why the hell did I ever do it? Yeah, and

0:40:34.680 --> 0:40:36.880
<v Speaker 4>you know, I knew it was right, but no, I

0:40:36.920 --> 0:40:40.360
<v Speaker 4>had such angst even though I was right. I was

0:40:40.400 --> 0:40:43.960
<v Speaker 4>attacked by so many people. But now, of course it's

0:40:44.040 --> 0:40:48.600
<v Speaker 4>a dish best taste. How long did you do this for?

0:40:48.800 --> 0:40:51.839
<v Speaker 2>Like three fifteen? Like, I don't again, I don't work

0:40:52.280 --> 0:40:54.920
<v Speaker 2>as much. No, but I like feel like my health

0:40:55.200 --> 0:40:57.399
<v Speaker 2>is I have the even the years where I got

0:40:57.480 --> 0:40:59.560
<v Speaker 2>up super early all the time, like they took me us.

0:40:59.760 --> 0:41:02.120
<v Speaker 4>I mean, because you stub out all the time. Yeah, God,

0:41:02.120 --> 0:41:05.640
<v Speaker 4>I love it so much. I do. And I was

0:41:05.680 --> 0:41:07.759
<v Speaker 4>doing something last night at dinner and I really wanted

0:41:07.760 --> 0:41:10.520
<v Speaker 4>to get home because I want to formulate a thesis

0:41:10.520 --> 0:41:13.239
<v Speaker 4>on d rams. Well there you go. But I am

0:41:13.360 --> 0:41:18.239
<v Speaker 4>so fixated on this and I find the puzzle so

0:41:19.239 --> 0:41:23.640
<v Speaker 4>difficult and fabulous. The Nvidia puzzle, the puzzle this morning

0:41:23.760 --> 0:41:26.000
<v Speaker 4>we have about what's going to happen. I have to

0:41:26.120 --> 0:41:29.640
<v Speaker 4>I'll write my top right after the FED and this

0:41:29.719 --> 0:41:31.799
<v Speaker 4>is such an exciting day. You get twelve of these,

0:41:32.160 --> 0:41:34.160
<v Speaker 4>so I don't know. Look, it's a great question because

0:41:34.200 --> 0:41:35.640
<v Speaker 4>I don't know how long you can do it, and

0:41:35.680 --> 0:41:37.759
<v Speaker 4>I do want to see the world. And I don't

0:41:37.760 --> 0:41:40.000
<v Speaker 4>take as much vacation. I mean, I'm offered six weeks.

0:41:40.000 --> 0:41:44.080
<v Speaker 4>I take four. But it's because I love it. It

0:41:44.120 --> 0:41:46.799
<v Speaker 4>is because I love it. It's not a sickness, it

0:41:46.880 --> 0:41:47.560
<v Speaker 4>really isn't.

0:41:47.920 --> 0:41:51.560
<v Speaker 3>So how has your research process changed over the years,

0:41:51.600 --> 0:41:53.680
<v Speaker 3>because again you've been in the game for decades.

0:41:53.800 --> 0:41:56.440
<v Speaker 4>So I go out to dinner with Jensen Wong and

0:41:56.480 --> 0:41:58.200
<v Speaker 4>he says, I know you spend all your time reading

0:41:58.239 --> 0:42:01.320
<v Speaker 4>these reports. I just urge you to chat Gibt the

0:42:01.400 --> 0:42:04.680
<v Speaker 4>Advanced and get the concise version and then see if

0:42:04.719 --> 0:42:07.080
<v Speaker 4>it's one you want to do. And that has changed

0:42:07.120 --> 0:42:10.319
<v Speaker 4>my life because there'll be ten. And it turns out

0:42:10.360 --> 0:42:12.960
<v Speaker 4>that Paulti Home was important, not because of Bill Poulti

0:42:13.080 --> 0:42:16.360
<v Speaker 4>is not involved, and Stanley Black and Decker was important,

0:42:16.400 --> 0:42:18.560
<v Speaker 4>and Best Buy was that important and then the others.

0:42:18.640 --> 0:42:20.560
<v Speaker 4>I read the concise version and I could move on

0:42:20.640 --> 0:42:23.440
<v Speaker 4>with my life. And that was a great break for

0:42:23.520 --> 0:42:26.040
<v Speaker 4>me because it allowed me during the real earning season

0:42:26.239 --> 0:42:28.520
<v Speaker 4>to have fifteen reports and just say, Okay, I'm only

0:42:28.560 --> 0:42:29.600
<v Speaker 4>going to do Cat and Proctor.

0:42:29.719 --> 0:42:32.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. I think Tracy and I both found like there

0:42:32.160 --> 0:42:34.759
<v Speaker 2>are a lot of things that CHATCHI Pig still isn't

0:42:34.800 --> 0:42:38.120
<v Speaker 2>good for. But there is no question in my mind

0:42:38.120 --> 0:42:41.400
<v Speaker 2>that for a research process, whether it's finding the right document,

0:42:41.480 --> 0:42:44.080
<v Speaker 2>whether it's just it's very.

0:42:43.440 --> 0:42:44.880
<v Speaker 3>Tried, perplexity finance.

0:42:45.120 --> 0:42:48.160
<v Speaker 4>I used perplexity maybe ten times this morning, but it's

0:42:48.200 --> 0:42:50.000
<v Speaker 4>short or quicker kirchs from me onto it.

0:42:50.000 --> 0:42:50.800
<v Speaker 3>I think it's impressive.

0:42:51.120 --> 0:42:52.920
<v Speaker 4>It is very impressive. I wanted Apple to buy him.

0:42:52.920 --> 0:42:55.080
<v Speaker 4>I was pushing that jump forever. I mean, I was

0:42:55.080 --> 0:42:58.000
<v Speaker 4>talking about that with with Tim Cocomfrada. I really think

0:42:58.040 --> 0:43:00.719
<v Speaker 4>that they need something. But because of the of the

0:43:00.719 --> 0:43:04.080
<v Speaker 4>Google decision, the judge Meta decision is possible, someone could

0:43:04.120 --> 0:43:04.520
<v Speaker 4>pay them.

0:43:04.960 --> 0:43:06.920
<v Speaker 2>We talked about China a lot on the show. Are

0:43:06.920 --> 0:43:08.200
<v Speaker 2>they are they just to conavi?

0:43:09.239 --> 0:43:10.520
<v Speaker 4>Wow? No, I got that.

0:43:12.120 --> 0:43:13.200
<v Speaker 2>I had never heard that.

0:43:13.760 --> 0:43:18.239
<v Speaker 4>The eighth Army is Yeah, the eighth Army favoite. What

0:43:18.360 --> 0:43:18.560
<v Speaker 4>is this?

0:43:18.760 --> 0:43:20.520
<v Speaker 2>I only saw that because I was reading through all

0:43:20.560 --> 0:43:23.000
<v Speaker 2>your old tweets. What is this the conovit movement and

0:43:23.000 --> 0:43:25.160
<v Speaker 2>what does it have to do with contemporary was the.

0:43:25.120 --> 0:43:27.840
<v Speaker 4>Guy who won the award for for shoveling the most

0:43:28.040 --> 0:43:30.359
<v Speaker 4>cold for steel and Stalin loved him.

0:43:30.600 --> 0:43:34.160
<v Speaker 3>Kind is obsessed with steel. I always wondered why they always.

0:43:33.840 --> 0:43:37.479
<v Speaker 4>Wear every plan. The five year for China's was the same.

0:43:37.960 --> 0:43:40.360
<v Speaker 4>They're long a lot of steel there. China's wrecked the

0:43:40.400 --> 0:43:43.440
<v Speaker 4>steel market. Presidents deed right on the transhipments by old buddy,

0:43:43.440 --> 0:43:46.759
<v Speaker 4>Peter Navarro's right on the tranships. It's wild that that

0:43:46.960 --> 0:43:48.920
<v Speaker 4>he's my old buddy, But he's my old buddy. And

0:43:49.000 --> 0:43:51.920
<v Speaker 4>he went to jail bad not yell jail, because he

0:43:51.920 --> 0:43:55.640
<v Speaker 4>went to toughs. But I do think that when you

0:43:55.680 --> 0:43:59.760
<v Speaker 4>look at China sometimes I'm very harsh about them, okay,

0:44:00.000 --> 0:44:02.799
<v Speaker 4>And that's because my father worked for Saint Regis and

0:44:02.880 --> 0:44:07.480
<v Speaker 4>Climax Union Camp. He worked for a Champion, he worked

0:44:07.480 --> 0:44:09.759
<v Speaker 4>for paper company. He sold gift wrap and carget it

0:44:10.160 --> 0:44:13.080
<v Speaker 4>and every single time he did well at one of these,

0:44:13.520 --> 0:44:15.840
<v Speaker 4>they closed it. And they closed it because the Chinese

0:44:15.880 --> 0:44:18.800
<v Speaker 4>targeted the gift wrapped industry. If you go to Costco,

0:44:18.880 --> 0:44:21.400
<v Speaker 4>all you have is Chinese gift wrap. So my father,

0:44:21.600 --> 0:44:25.480
<v Speaker 4>at the age of seventy three realized that's it. They

0:44:25.520 --> 0:44:29.560
<v Speaker 4>wiped us out. He called a company that does from

0:44:29.640 --> 0:44:31.960
<v Speaker 4>China who had an American rap and said, listen, I

0:44:32.040 --> 0:44:33.920
<v Speaker 4>want to work for the Chinese. And what he did

0:44:34.000 --> 0:44:37.960
<v Speaker 4>was he would sketch logos restaurants and suggest that they

0:44:38.040 --> 0:44:40.120
<v Speaker 4>used doggie bags that have their own name. And he

0:44:40.160 --> 0:44:42.719
<v Speaker 4>had a drawstring doggie bag that the Chinese made for

0:44:42.719 --> 0:44:45.799
<v Speaker 4>two bucks. He sold it for and he then had

0:44:45.840 --> 0:44:48.200
<v Speaker 4>the run of his lifetime. From seventy three to ninety two.

0:44:48.239 --> 0:44:50.600
<v Speaker 4>He worked until the month he died. He actually had

0:44:50.640 --> 0:44:53.720
<v Speaker 4>a good last month. And what's incredible was the Chinese

0:44:53.719 --> 0:44:55.960
<v Speaker 4>treated him like kings and when he died, they gave

0:44:56.000 --> 0:44:58.920
<v Speaker 4>me the proceeds for three straight years. And they were

0:44:58.960 --> 0:45:00.640
<v Speaker 4>the best bosses in the the world and they had

0:45:00.640 --> 0:45:01.319
<v Speaker 4>no idea neither.

0:45:01.360 --> 0:45:03.680
<v Speaker 2>You called China the greatest capitalist nation of.

0:45:03.680 --> 0:45:06.920
<v Speaker 4>All it is, they just crush it. God, you really

0:45:06.960 --> 0:45:07.600
<v Speaker 4>read me close.

0:45:07.760 --> 0:45:09.839
<v Speaker 3>It's the headline of this episode going to be Jim

0:45:09.880 --> 0:45:10.880
<v Speaker 3>Kramer on communism.

0:45:10.920 --> 0:45:13.279
<v Speaker 4>No, it is very funny because I do think they're

0:45:13.320 --> 0:45:15.200
<v Speaker 4>the biggest threat. I mean, what they're doing in video,

0:45:15.280 --> 0:45:17.040
<v Speaker 4>well you grow. I do want in Vidia to be

0:45:17.120 --> 0:45:20.360
<v Speaker 4>the platform, but I haven't been to China, so I'm Secondarily.

0:45:20.440 --> 0:45:23.840
<v Speaker 4>My son went to China to camel surf and he

0:45:23.920 --> 0:45:26.879
<v Speaker 4>broke his uh well, he hurt his shoulder and they

0:45:26.880 --> 0:45:28.719
<v Speaker 4>were going to operate immediately, and I said, look, I

0:45:28.719 --> 0:45:30.640
<v Speaker 4>got to speak to the head of the hog. But no, no, no, no.

0:45:30.640 --> 0:45:32.680
<v Speaker 4>My wife flew him over for shang I came back.

0:45:32.960 --> 0:45:36.560
<v Speaker 4>But the Chinese are a conundrum for us because they

0:45:36.600 --> 0:45:39.160
<v Speaker 4>work harder than we do. But we may have them here.

0:45:39.200 --> 0:45:40.960
<v Speaker 4>I know the exports for really, the export numbers are

0:45:41.000 --> 0:45:43.040
<v Speaker 4>really good for them away from us. But I think

0:45:43.080 --> 0:45:44.879
<v Speaker 4>we had to take some action because there's too many

0:45:44.880 --> 0:45:47.239
<v Speaker 4>fentanyl towns. I got a Fentel town right next to me,

0:45:47.880 --> 0:45:49.640
<v Speaker 4>and I can tell you it was a great town

0:45:49.640 --> 0:45:51.880
<v Speaker 4>when I was growing up, and now it's a town

0:45:52.320 --> 0:45:54.160
<v Speaker 4>where I can't believe it. I can't believe what happened.

0:45:54.200 --> 0:45:57.240
<v Speaker 4>The mills close, you know, the mills, the mills, the mills.

0:45:57.280 --> 0:45:59.319
<v Speaker 4>I mean, now you can't bring back the pirates mill.

0:45:59.360 --> 0:46:01.879
<v Speaker 4>It's good Peeps by George Packer in Atlantic about that.

0:46:02.400 --> 0:46:05.520
<v Speaker 4>But I know we're really rambling hearing. I shouldn't ramble anhim.

0:46:05.640 --> 0:46:08.719
<v Speaker 3>Let me ask one cliche question. Lots of talk like

0:46:08.840 --> 0:46:12.200
<v Speaker 3>the show, lots of talk about market valuations. At the moment,

0:46:12.280 --> 0:46:14.440
<v Speaker 3>froth in the market we're recording this, I should have

0:46:14.440 --> 0:46:18.840
<v Speaker 3>said on fed Day, September seventeenth, do you see froth?

0:46:18.880 --> 0:46:19.799
<v Speaker 3>Do you see a bubble burring?

0:46:19.880 --> 0:46:21.560
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, there's two markets. And that's one of the reasons

0:46:21.560 --> 0:46:24.840
<v Speaker 4>why I wrote the book, because there's this market where

0:46:25.040 --> 0:46:27.319
<v Speaker 4>that is a musical chair market. I make fun of it.

0:46:27.320 --> 0:46:29.399
<v Speaker 4>It's a palaeer market and accept the fact that who

0:46:29.440 --> 0:46:32.640
<v Speaker 4>want to speculate go do palenter because Karp is you know,

0:46:32.719 --> 0:46:36.920
<v Speaker 4>Karp is one of the greatest. His ontology work is incredible.

0:46:37.120 --> 0:46:41.480
<v Speaker 4>It's better than scientology ontology. But I want people to stop.

0:46:41.880 --> 0:46:44.040
<v Speaker 4>I can let it be one of your holdings, but

0:46:44.080 --> 0:46:46.920
<v Speaker 4>don't do all because it will be crushed. And when

0:46:46.960 --> 0:46:49.240
<v Speaker 4>it happened, I do believe it, And when it happens,

0:46:49.239 --> 0:46:52.359
<v Speaker 4>you'll lose everything. And then I would anything I tried

0:46:52.400 --> 0:46:54.600
<v Speaker 4>to do be wrong. It's like when I was at college.

0:46:54.600 --> 0:46:56.520
<v Speaker 4>I used to go to the racetrack and then there

0:46:56.560 --> 0:46:59.880
<v Speaker 4>was a guy Andy Bayer, who was pet was a

0:47:00.040 --> 0:47:01.920
<v Speaker 4>he was teaching a course. He said, listen, if you're

0:47:01.920 --> 0:47:04.200
<v Speaker 4>going to go speculate at the racetra, at least know

0:47:04.239 --> 0:47:06.600
<v Speaker 4>how to do it. And I never forgot that. And

0:47:06.880 --> 0:47:09.160
<v Speaker 4>if you're going to speculate, I will show you how

0:47:09.160 --> 0:47:11.920
<v Speaker 4>to do it. But I really want compounding. And I

0:47:11.960 --> 0:47:14.960
<v Speaker 4>want compounding because well, we know that that really is

0:47:15.160 --> 0:47:16.919
<v Speaker 4>Einstein did not call the it's one of the world,

0:47:16.960 --> 0:47:19.200
<v Speaker 4>but we know that that is a much better way

0:47:19.239 --> 0:47:20.600
<v Speaker 4>to make money, much better.

0:47:20.719 --> 0:47:23.279
<v Speaker 2>I have one last question. It's very closely related to this,

0:47:23.360 --> 0:47:24.319
<v Speaker 2>but why are you.

0:47:24.280 --> 0:47:26.240
<v Speaker 4>Wearing a button down? Why aren't you wearing French collar?

0:47:27.880 --> 0:47:29.319
<v Speaker 4>It was it was not wrinkle.

0:47:30.920 --> 0:47:32.160
<v Speaker 2>We're gonna have today.

0:47:32.280 --> 0:47:33.759
<v Speaker 4>No, I like that. You don't have to press that

0:47:33.840 --> 0:47:35.759
<v Speaker 4>because it has some sort of weird Did you buy

0:47:35.800 --> 0:47:38.759
<v Speaker 4>that all right?

0:47:39.040 --> 0:47:40.360
<v Speaker 3>I'm pretty sure that was an insult.

0:47:40.480 --> 0:47:43.960
<v Speaker 4>Yeah. No, no, no, because I know I would never

0:47:44.520 --> 0:47:47.759
<v Speaker 4>I'm very much I would have said I. I bought

0:47:47.840 --> 0:47:51.040
<v Speaker 4>my wife's lingerie on she and thank god we use

0:47:51.239 --> 0:47:54.200
<v Speaker 4>you know, match light. Don't have anything to put kazl

0:47:54.280 --> 0:47:55.319
<v Speaker 4>in on the you.

0:47:55.320 --> 0:47:58.120
<v Speaker 2>Know, one last question. It occurs to me that like

0:47:58.280 --> 0:48:00.319
<v Speaker 2>one thing I thought many I got into did in

0:48:00.320 --> 0:48:03.160
<v Speaker 2>the market in the late nineties. At any given moment,

0:48:03.280 --> 0:48:05.560
<v Speaker 2>in a boom or a bubble, right, there are moments

0:48:05.600 --> 0:48:07.719
<v Speaker 2>that feel like the top, and then a year later

0:48:07.719 --> 0:48:10.279
<v Speaker 2>you're like, oh, that was nothing, that was just they're like, oh,

0:48:10.360 --> 0:48:12.200
<v Speaker 2>you know, it's like a few a couple of years ago.

0:48:12.400 --> 0:48:15.120
<v Speaker 2>They're like some C three AI is like booming, this

0:48:15.160 --> 0:48:20.040
<v Speaker 2>is crazy top and so things like that, or like,

0:48:20.440 --> 0:48:23.520
<v Speaker 2>you know this meme stock went up, doge coin is railing.

0:48:23.560 --> 0:48:25.600
<v Speaker 2>We must be in a bubble. But all these things

0:48:25.680 --> 0:48:27.480
<v Speaker 2>feel like a top in the moment, and then you

0:48:27.600 --> 0:48:30.120
<v Speaker 2>realize they were just little hills on the way to

0:48:30.160 --> 0:48:31.240
<v Speaker 2>a much bigger mountain.

0:48:31.360 --> 0:48:35.120
<v Speaker 4>So you've got to there's a simple solution. You take

0:48:35.280 --> 0:48:38.399
<v Speaker 4>out over time your cost basis, and then you play

0:48:38.440 --> 0:48:40.680
<v Speaker 4>with the houses money. And then I'm okay because I'm

0:48:40.680 --> 0:48:43.600
<v Speaker 4>a first you know, harm guy, a hippocritic oath, and

0:48:43.760 --> 0:48:45.400
<v Speaker 4>I can tell people listen, if you want to do

0:48:45.480 --> 0:48:48.560
<v Speaker 4>that for your one slot, be my guest. But as

0:48:48.600 --> 0:48:51.080
<v Speaker 4>it goes up, you got to take your cost out

0:48:51.200 --> 0:48:54.400
<v Speaker 4>and then I don't care where it goes. It's fantastic,

0:48:54.640 --> 0:48:57.840
<v Speaker 4>but you are so right, that's what happens. Look some

0:48:57.840 --> 0:49:00.080
<v Speaker 4>people feel that Google's at in video. I mean, I

0:49:00.120 --> 0:49:01.480
<v Speaker 4>worked enough on video another Teragram.

0:49:01.560 --> 0:49:03.560
<v Speaker 2>People were going Google bubble in two thousand and five,

0:49:03.680 --> 0:49:04.479
<v Speaker 2>two thousand and six.

0:49:04.600 --> 0:49:06.759
<v Speaker 4>Well, I mean, look, I recommended Google at eighty eight,

0:49:07.120 --> 0:49:11.360
<v Speaker 4>and I was investigated by the CNBC General counsel for

0:49:11.480 --> 0:49:13.800
<v Speaker 4>why I used eighty eight it's so so big, And

0:49:13.840 --> 0:49:16.840
<v Speaker 4>I said, because I didn't use three hundred.

0:49:17.560 --> 0:49:19.600
<v Speaker 3>Didn't you get out of the dot com bubble early

0:49:19.800 --> 0:49:20.120
<v Speaker 3>as well?

0:49:20.120 --> 0:49:22.239
<v Speaker 4>I did? I was short. I went I went on

0:49:22.640 --> 0:49:23.920
<v Speaker 4>percent short.

0:49:24.040 --> 0:49:27.399
<v Speaker 3>Dot com chicks first spotting.

0:49:28.120 --> 0:49:30.520
<v Speaker 4>Because I am owned the big I was the biggest

0:49:30.520 --> 0:49:32.560
<v Speaker 4>share hold on the street dot com and we're going

0:49:32.600 --> 0:49:34.680
<v Speaker 4>from sixty three to two. So I had kind of

0:49:34.680 --> 0:49:37.480
<v Speaker 4>a premonition. I mean, when it was a sixty three,

0:49:37.600 --> 0:49:40.240
<v Speaker 4>the New York Observer said that I was three hundred,

0:49:40.600 --> 0:49:42.399
<v Speaker 4>drew a picture of me as a pig and said,

0:49:42.440 --> 0:49:44.120
<v Speaker 4>the three hundred and sixty million dollars man. By the

0:49:44.120 --> 0:49:45.640
<v Speaker 4>time it came out, I was two sixty, and then

0:49:46.040 --> 0:49:47.600
<v Speaker 4>a year later I was two point six.

0:49:47.960 --> 0:49:51.040
<v Speaker 3>As a Trotsky. The pig cartoon must have hurt.

0:49:51.680 --> 0:49:52.440
<v Speaker 4>I was overweight.

0:49:52.480 --> 0:49:56.279
<v Speaker 2>Then, yeah, Jim, we gotta we're gonna talk for a

0:49:56.280 --> 0:49:58.520
<v Speaker 2>long time. Thank you so much for a thing on.

0:49:58.680 --> 0:50:01.280
<v Speaker 2>I wanted to be honest for a very long time.

0:50:01.960 --> 0:50:03.799
<v Speaker 4>And I know that I got the exception because of

0:50:03.800 --> 0:50:06.040
<v Speaker 4>my book to be on. I told you that I

0:50:06.040 --> 0:50:07.759
<v Speaker 4>was writing the book, and I'm a man of my word.

0:50:07.800 --> 0:50:09.160
<v Speaker 4>To come back because I always want to be in

0:50:09.160 --> 0:50:12.520
<v Speaker 4>your show, because you're just a thoughtful guy. And when

0:50:12.520 --> 0:50:14.319
<v Speaker 4>I when you were the stalwart, you were the first

0:50:14.320 --> 0:50:14.799
<v Speaker 4>guy I read.

0:50:15.200 --> 0:50:15.760
<v Speaker 2>Thank you.

0:50:15.760 --> 0:50:17.399
<v Speaker 4>You know that no id to get up and read

0:50:17.440 --> 0:50:23.319
<v Speaker 4>the praise that because it was the best. Thank you

0:50:23.360 --> 0:50:25.840
<v Speaker 4>so much, absolutely, thank you. Guys should really appreciate.

0:50:25.440 --> 0:50:40.360
<v Speaker 2>It, Tracy. One thing I will say about Jim, and

0:50:40.400 --> 0:50:42.360
<v Speaker 2>I've always felt this, I've only met in my handful

0:50:42.360 --> 0:50:43.920
<v Speaker 2>of times before, but one thing I'll say is like

0:50:44.160 --> 0:50:47.120
<v Speaker 2>that public persona is not an act. No, the mad

0:50:47.280 --> 0:50:49.959
<v Speaker 2>money vibe is that is Jim.

0:50:50.040 --> 0:50:51.960
<v Speaker 3>No, I can believe it. He has a lot of energy.

0:50:52.200 --> 0:50:56.480
<v Speaker 3>It's yes, I feel like he's chaotic neutral maybe in

0:50:56.600 --> 0:50:56.960
<v Speaker 3>D and D.

0:50:59.000 --> 0:51:02.480
<v Speaker 2>I just can't like, I couldn't sustain getting up at

0:51:02.520 --> 0:51:04.600
<v Speaker 2>four and that was just for a few years. And

0:51:04.680 --> 0:51:07.279
<v Speaker 2>the fact that he's still up at three fifteen, well

0:51:07.480 --> 0:51:07.799
<v Speaker 2>he goes.

0:51:07.680 --> 0:51:10.360
<v Speaker 3>To the fact that he goes to sleep at eleven eleven. Yeah,

0:51:10.600 --> 0:51:13.400
<v Speaker 3>that's four hours to sleep under. Yeah, And that was

0:51:13.440 --> 0:51:15.520
<v Speaker 3>a fascinating discussion. And I think one thing you can

0:51:15.560 --> 0:51:19.879
<v Speaker 3>say is that in some respects Gym's been vindicated by

0:51:20.320 --> 0:51:23.440
<v Speaker 3>you know, the rise of retail trading totally. Everyone takes

0:51:23.440 --> 0:51:26.719
<v Speaker 3>it more seriously. Now that wasn't the case in like

0:51:26.800 --> 0:51:29.640
<v Speaker 3>the nineties or the early two thousands. It's really changed.

0:51:29.840 --> 0:51:33.360
<v Speaker 2>No, it really is striking. I mean, it does seem like,

0:51:33.800 --> 0:51:37.480
<v Speaker 2>you know, he talked about needing to get a bodyguard

0:51:37.920 --> 0:51:41.160
<v Speaker 2>during game stops. So it's clear that to some element

0:51:41.239 --> 0:51:44.640
<v Speaker 2>there is a part of the retail investor world which

0:51:44.640 --> 0:51:47.640
<v Speaker 2>has metastasized into something sinister.

0:51:47.920 --> 0:51:49.160
<v Speaker 4>When people are.

0:51:49.000 --> 0:51:52.120
<v Speaker 2>Making threats because you don't like this dock, it's really interesting.

0:51:52.239 --> 0:51:55.319
<v Speaker 2>People are just like any sort of negativity is so

0:51:56.120 --> 0:51:59.080
<v Speaker 2>fought back against online when it comes to stocks these days,

0:51:59.160 --> 0:52:03.399
<v Speaker 2>it's really striking. So but also you know, obviously when

0:52:03.480 --> 0:52:06.720
<v Speaker 2>and then other things such as that they know nothing

0:52:06.800 --> 0:52:09.560
<v Speaker 2>rand or the liquidation which I hadn't even realized that

0:52:09.640 --> 0:52:12.480
<v Speaker 2>you mentioned it of the s Jim etf. Yeah, some

0:52:12.520 --> 0:52:13.680
<v Speaker 2>good wins under his belt.

0:52:13.760 --> 0:52:13.920
<v Speaker 4>Man.

0:52:14.000 --> 0:52:16.320
<v Speaker 3>I really wish he had recommended that. I know that

0:52:16.360 --> 0:52:17.840
<v Speaker 3>would see what would happen to you?

0:52:18.000 --> 0:52:20.640
<v Speaker 2>The exception? Yeah, okay, how do you? How do you?

0:52:20.840 --> 0:52:23.080
<v Speaker 3>I don't even know if an etf ken short itself,

0:52:23.160 --> 0:52:24.359
<v Speaker 3>but I guess you would find out.

0:52:24.400 --> 0:52:25.960
<v Speaker 2>I don't know how you go about that fight. Now,

0:52:25.960 --> 0:52:28.759
<v Speaker 2>I'm glad we finally made that happen. And I read

0:52:28.800 --> 0:52:31.160
<v Speaker 2>about half of his book and it's a very fun read.

0:52:31.280 --> 0:52:32.120
<v Speaker 3>I'm looking forward to it.

0:52:32.160 --> 0:52:32.399
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:52:32.400 --> 0:52:33.040
<v Speaker 3>Shall we leave it there?

0:52:33.160 --> 0:52:33.799
<v Speaker 4>Let's leave it there.

0:52:34.040 --> 0:52:36.520
<v Speaker 3>This has been another episode of the Odd Loots podcast.

0:52:36.760 --> 0:52:40.200
<v Speaker 3>I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway, and.

0:52:40.120 --> 0:52:42.880
<v Speaker 2>I'm joll Wisenthal. You could follow me at the Stalwart.

0:52:43.080 --> 0:52:46.160
<v Speaker 2>Follow our guest Jim Kramer. He's at Jim Kramer. Follow

0:52:46.200 --> 0:52:49.320
<v Speaker 2>our producers Carmen Rodriguez at Carman Arman, dash Ol Bennett

0:52:49.320 --> 0:52:52.000
<v Speaker 2>at dashbod and Cale Brooks at Kale Brooks. For more

0:52:52.040 --> 0:52:54.839
<v Speaker 2>Odd Lads content, go to Bloomberg dot com flash Odd Lots,

0:52:54.800 --> 0:52:57.640
<v Speaker 2>where the daily newsletter and all of our episodes, and

0:52:57.680 --> 0:52:59.680
<v Speaker 2>you can chat about all of these topics twenty four

0:52:59.760 --> 0:53:03.680
<v Speaker 2>seven in our discord Discord dot gg slash on lots.

0:53:03.680 --> 0:53:05.680
<v Speaker 3>And if you enjoy all lots, if you like it,

0:53:05.719 --> 0:53:08.000
<v Speaker 3>when we have Jim Kramer on then, please leave us

0:53:08.120 --> 0:53:11.480
<v Speaker 3>a positive review on your favorite podcast platform. And remember,

0:53:11.560 --> 0:53:14.160
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0:53:14.320 --> 0:53:17.319
<v Speaker 3>all of our episodes absolutely ad free. All you need

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<v Speaker 3>to do is find the Bloomberg channel on Apple Podcasts

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<v Speaker 3>and follow the instructions there. Thanks for listening.