WEBVTT - Racist Emojis Are Latest Test for Facebook, Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovik. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>you the latest news from the world to business and finance,

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<v Speaker 1>plus technology, politics, economics, all purnising the power of Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

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<v Speaker 1>analysts in more than one d and twenty countries. You

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<v Speaker 1>can download Bloomberg Business Week and iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>dot com. You can also listen to our radio show

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<v Speaker 1>at two pm Eastern Time on the Bloomberg Radio or

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<v Speaker 1>watch us on YouTube. Searched Bloomberg clovel News well handful

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<v Speaker 1>of headlines when it comes to the fight against COVID

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen in the United States and around the world. Pretty

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<v Speaker 1>we mentioned that there is a panel of scientists from

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<v Speaker 1>around the world who've been cautioning that most people won't

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<v Speaker 1>actually need a booster shop because vaccines are performing so well.

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<v Speaker 1>In the meantime, we do see on the Bloomberg Vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>Track or more than five point seven one billion doses

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<v Speaker 1>have been administered cases those are passing two four point

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<v Speaker 1>seven million deaths exceeding four point six three million let's

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<v Speaker 1>get into it with Dr lager Day Williams, chief of

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<v Speaker 1>Staff of Neurology at Columbia University, also the founder of

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<v Speaker 1>Hip Hop Public Health. The organization works to deliver positive

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<v Speaker 1>health behavior change through the transformative power of music, art

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<v Speaker 1>and science. Dr Williams, it's great to have you back

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<v Speaker 1>on the show. I should know Bloomberg Philanthropies has provided

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<v Speaker 1>a grant to Hip Hop Public Health. Uh, what I

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<v Speaker 1>want to start with the booster news? Dr Williams, Where

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<v Speaker 1>do you fall when it comes to whether or not

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<v Speaker 1>we need boosters? Well, I I think that we the

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<v Speaker 1>general population. I don't think that's compelling evidence to support

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<v Speaker 1>UM the fact that the general population needs booster shots. However, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>I do support UM booster shots for certain populations, especially

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<v Speaker 1>those who are immuno compromise UM and and more. What

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<v Speaker 1>about age? Does does age? Where does general population fall

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to age? Should people over the age

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<v Speaker 1>of sixty or sixty five? Yeah? I think yeah, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I there's not enough compelling evidence outside of those who

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<v Speaker 1>have really weak immune systems UM to you know, to

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<v Speaker 1>receive the booster And even those situations, I think the

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<v Speaker 1>booster is not really looked at as a booster shot,

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<v Speaker 1>but a third dose UM as opposed to a true

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<v Speaker 1>booster where we we really don't have sufficient effortency. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>what we're seeing is that there is UH, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there is a difference between falling antibody levels and vaccine efficacy.

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<v Speaker 1>And we we know you know from immunology that UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, mild disease is more dependent on you know,

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<v Speaker 1>protection from these neutralizing antibodies. However, more severe disease UM

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<v Speaker 1>you know, involves not just your humor le or humoral

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<v Speaker 1>immune system, which is in the neutralizing antibodies that people

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<v Speaker 1>are also concerned about that are falling to vie a

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<v Speaker 1>disease also involved memory responses in another type of immunity

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<v Speaker 1>called cell mediated immunity UH and the cell mediated community

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<v Speaker 1>and these many memory responses have generally have a longer,

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<v Speaker 1>longer lived lifespan. And so we are going to see

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<v Speaker 1>breakthrough cases that we are going to see some mild disease,

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<v Speaker 1>but the vaccines are still pretty good at keeping people

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<v Speaker 1>out of the hospital and preventing to VIA disease. Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Williams to be a great point about that. Essentially, this

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<v Speaker 1>idea that when you do take the vaccine, your your

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<v Speaker 1>symptoms become a lot less severe, But does that also

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<v Speaker 1>lead to potentially a more like a larger likelihood of

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<v Speaker 1>contracting the virus simply because you do have your guard down.

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<v Speaker 1>I believe there was a study coming out of I

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<v Speaker 1>want to say Scotland or the UK really really where

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<v Speaker 1>they started to see a lot of the new new

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<v Speaker 1>virus cases coming or happening in people that were actually vaccinated.

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<v Speaker 1>How do you how do you kind of think about that? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>my my biggest con earn is remains the unvaccinated. Uh

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<v Speaker 1>that that is my biggest concern, the unvaccinated and also um,

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<v Speaker 1>the you know countries around the world where they don't

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<v Speaker 1>even have um, they don't even have vaccines available for

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<v Speaker 1>their populations. I'm concerned about those two situate situations for

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<v Speaker 1>the same reason. One, I think the focus on on

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<v Speaker 1>you know, getting booster shots, you know, has kind of

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<v Speaker 1>clouded um, it kind of begins to slowly eclipse the

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<v Speaker 1>more serious issue, which is getting the unvaccinated vaccinated, because

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<v Speaker 1>that is where the real threat lies. You know, we

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<v Speaker 1>know that the vaccine because it's sufficient to prevent severities

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<v Speaker 1>even now. But what we also know is that the

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<v Speaker 1>cases we're seeing in our hospital. As of today, we

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<v Speaker 1>have two d and twenty cases of COVID in our

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<v Speaker 1>in our hospital where I am. I'm at New York

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<v Speaker 1>Vegetarian Columbia. Thankfully, our cases seem to be PLATEAUNG. But

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<v Speaker 1>one of the things that's completely unequivocal is that ninety

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<v Speaker 1>nine percent of our cases are among the unvaccinated um

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<v Speaker 1>you know, break the breakthroughs that we see a type

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<v Speaker 1>typically in the outpatient setting, people coming to the officers,

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<v Speaker 1>they have a little mild infective breakthrough and they go

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<v Speaker 1>they go home, and they quarantine, etcetera, etcetera. But the

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<v Speaker 1>real threat is that, yes, you know, with the delta variant,

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<v Speaker 1>we can be carriers of this of the virus even

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<v Speaker 1>if we're asymptomatic or exhibiting mild disease. But if we

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<v Speaker 1>come across the unvaccinated individuals, they can be severely get

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<v Speaker 1>severely sick from this disease to and potentially die. And

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<v Speaker 1>that is what we're seeing today. And so our emphasis,

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<v Speaker 1>in my opinion, needs to really focus on those unvaccinated

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<v Speaker 1>people because they're the ones that are most vulnerable to

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<v Speaker 1>getting sick and dying in the hospital and on the

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<v Speaker 1>same note, we also need to pay attention to some

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<v Speaker 1>to some of some of our low middle income countries

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<v Speaker 1>because you know, if that's where we're more likely to

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<v Speaker 1>get a new variant, another new area appearing um and

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<v Speaker 1>and potentially causing havoc around the world. R. Williams, you

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<v Speaker 1>make a great point about simply there's the divergence that

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<v Speaker 1>you're seeing between those emerging markets and developed markets. I

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<v Speaker 1>want to very quickly ask you if what you're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>in kind of the emerging market space where they are

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<v Speaker 1>really trying to kind of accelerate their vaccinations, what does

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<v Speaker 1>the time frame look like to really do that well.

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<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of a lot of these low

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<v Speaker 1>middle income countries they have they're really crippled by poor

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<v Speaker 1>infrastructure UM and you know, poor testing capabilities for infrastructure,

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<v Speaker 1>poor backing distribution capability. That is a real challenge. And

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<v Speaker 1>and but a lot of these governments are really trying

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<v Speaker 1>uh to kind of ramp up their infrastructure, and they're

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<v Speaker 1>getting some support from from the international community now and

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing, uh, you know, more vaccines arrived in some

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<v Speaker 1>of these countries. I want to get right back to

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<v Speaker 1>Dr lager Day Williams, Chief of staff of Neurology at

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<v Speaker 1>Columbia University. Also the founder of Hip Hop Public Health.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Filancer has provided a grant to hip Hop Public Health.

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<v Speaker 1>The organization works to deliver positive health behavior changed the

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<v Speaker 1>transformative power of music, art and science. Dr Williams, I

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<v Speaker 1>want to get an update from you about what has

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<v Speaker 1>worked and what has not been working when it comes

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<v Speaker 1>to getting communities of color vaccinated. If I look at

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<v Speaker 1>New York City statistics, I can see that uh, black

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<v Speaker 1>and Hispanic or black UM demographically, blacks only here of

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<v Speaker 1>all ages who are eligible to be vaccinated in the

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<v Speaker 1>city have gotten vaccinated. That compares to eighty percent of Asians,

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<v Speaker 1>fifty seven percent of Hispanic and Latinos, and fifty of whites.

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<v Speaker 1>Give us an update from your end. Yeah, Well, the

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<v Speaker 1>good news is that the numbers are going up. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>We we've seen these numbers go up, especially over the

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<v Speaker 1>last a few months. Um and um. And I expect

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<v Speaker 1>that these numbers to continue to rise. And and I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's a it's it's a combination of up with

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<v Speaker 1>the factors that are driving these these rising vaccination rates.

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<v Speaker 1>I think one of them is dis continued you know,

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<v Speaker 1>ground ground. Uh, you know, grassroots, you know, one on

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<v Speaker 1>one counseling just just completely overwhelming. Uh. You know the media,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, community organizations, getting our churches on board, working

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<v Speaker 1>one on one with individuals just to the message has

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<v Speaker 1>become almost ubiquitous now in that and these conversations have

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<v Speaker 1>been you know, have been really supported by some of

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<v Speaker 1>the mandates, you know, the sticks that are coming into

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<v Speaker 1>play across New York City where employers, including where I

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<v Speaker 1>am right now, are now mandating the vaccine. Dr Williams,

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<v Speaker 1>just in the last minute that we have with you,

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<v Speaker 1>can you talk a little bit about the success of

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<v Speaker 1>Community Immunity and the follow up that you're working on

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<v Speaker 1>in just a couple of weeks. Sure. Yeah, we're so

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<v Speaker 1>excited by Community Immunity UM. It's been received across the country.

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<v Speaker 1>Multiple organizations are are sharing this resource, community organizations, community

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<v Speaker 1>health workers. Uh. And what we're seeing is this really

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<v Speaker 1>sparkling a lot of conversations. Uh. And it's really we believe,

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<v Speaker 1>helping to move the needle that we're seeing not only

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<v Speaker 1>in New York City but across this country. We recently

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<v Speaker 1>added a new video on the variant um and which

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<v Speaker 1>we released recently and our most recent project is the

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<v Speaker 1>big launch of our Spanish community Immunity series and we're

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<v Speaker 1>very very excited about that. And when does that one launch?

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<v Speaker 1>That will be launching within the next next few weeks,

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<v Speaker 1>so please um stay tuned, UM and UM, we will

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<v Speaker 1>be making some announcements very soon UM. And we're very

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<v Speaker 1>very excited by this because we think it not only

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<v Speaker 1>has direct uh, it's not only important for this country,

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<v Speaker 1>but I think it could also help with some of

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<v Speaker 1>our Latin South American countries in our lands, that Spanish

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<v Speaker 1>speaking countries surrounding us. Dr large Day Williams, it is

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<v Speaker 1>always great when you join us. Thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for taking the time. Dr Williams, Chief of Staff of

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<v Speaker 1>Neurology at Columbia University, also the founder of Hip Hop

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<v Speaker 1>Public Health. Bloomberg Philanthropies has provided a grant to hip

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<v Speaker 1>Hop Public Health is an organization that works to deliver

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<v Speaker 1>positive health behavior change through the transformative power of music,

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<v Speaker 1>art and science. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

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<v Speaker 1>Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>So you might remember just a few months ago after

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<v Speaker 1>Elon England that lost to Italy in July and the

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<v Speaker 1>final UEFA European Championship, black players for the British side

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<v Speaker 1>faced an onslaught of bananas. It wasn't physical fruit, they

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<v Speaker 1>were emoji slung at their social media profiles, along with

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<v Speaker 1>other racist imagery, including images of monkeys. With us now

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<v Speaker 1>is Joel Weber, editor at Bloomberg Business weekis with us

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<v Speaker 1>in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio. Also joining us Ivan Levingston,

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<v Speaker 1>European tech and advertising reporter at Bloomberg News. He joins

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<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from London. Joel, Whenever I read

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<v Speaker 1>a story like this, I think to myself, I thought,

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<v Speaker 1>we had the best and brightest working for these companies.

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<v Speaker 1>How can they not get these get this type of

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<v Speaker 1>content moderation under control. Well, it's one thing when it's words,

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<v Speaker 1>which I think is a struggle in and of itself,

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<v Speaker 1>and something that the tech companies have done a reasonable

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<v Speaker 1>job of at least attempting to address. But emojis bring

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<v Speaker 1>up a whole other challenge, and I thought that that

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<v Speaker 1>was interesting, especially just because of the One of the

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<v Speaker 1>interesting things about this article I found was even just

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<v Speaker 1>a history of of bananas and once upon a time.

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<v Speaker 1>Thirty years ago, there was there was an episode that

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<v Speaker 1>the story goes into where physical bananas were used, and

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<v Speaker 1>now obviously we're talking digital ones. So I then talk

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<v Speaker 1>to us about emojis and why they are such a

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<v Speaker 1>challenge for tech companies, sure saying, and you know, thanks

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<v Speaker 1>for the interest. Um. You know, tech companies have grappled

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<v Speaker 1>for years with abusive speech on their platform, and in

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<v Speaker 1>some ways, emojis are just an extension of that. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>people adapting new forms of communication into harassment. Unfortunately, it

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<v Speaker 1>happens um and and you know, as speech and and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, abuse adapts. Opposes a new challenge for social

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<v Speaker 1>media companies and content moderating algorithms because these algorithms will

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<v Speaker 1>be trained oftentimes on older texts, and so when they

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<v Speaker 1>encounter a newer character like in emoji, they have to

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<v Speaker 1>have to start from scratch essentially and figuring out what

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<v Speaker 1>it means. So I've even heard emoji's described as a

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<v Speaker 1>sort of a loophole because the algorithms are a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit behind on analyzing them. That's really interesting. How do

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<v Speaker 1>you really tackle something like this in a world where

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<v Speaker 1>pictures are always evolving, when their messages are constantly evolving,

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<v Speaker 1>especially in this climate. How does a tech company actually

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<v Speaker 1>manage this? Is it just about the algorithms or do

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<v Speaker 1>you actually have to have kind of the human component

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<v Speaker 1>in it a little bit? Yeah, I mean that's that's

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<v Speaker 1>something I explored in the story. I think. On the

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<v Speaker 1>one hand, you know, defenders of the tech company will

0:13:00.280 --> 0:13:02.959
<v Speaker 1>say that that emojis are very complex. Understand, you know,

0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:05.760
<v Speaker 1>pictures work a thousand words. Uh you know, is a

0:13:05.800 --> 0:13:10.240
<v Speaker 1>winky face a flirtation or suggesting a joke? Um. On

0:13:10.120 --> 0:13:13.679
<v Speaker 1>the on the other hand, um, perhaps is the place

0:13:13.760 --> 0:13:19.640
<v Speaker 1>where human moderators and and some kind of basic uh

0:13:19.720 --> 0:13:22.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, ground rules I guess can can play a part.

0:13:22.200 --> 0:13:25.320
<v Speaker 1>You know, maybe an algorithm that might take millions of

0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:28.960
<v Speaker 1>examples to understand if an emoji is being used appropriately

0:13:29.040 --> 0:13:31.840
<v Speaker 1>or not. The human moderator might be able to very

0:13:31.920 --> 0:13:35.280
<v Speaker 1>quickly make that doesn't call and help train the algorithm,

0:13:35.520 --> 0:13:39.280
<v Speaker 1>or you know. I interviewed a startup called Respondology that

0:13:39.360 --> 0:13:42.800
<v Speaker 1>works with a lot of sports organizations, and they offer

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:45.319
<v Speaker 1>a very simple screening tool where you can say, okay,

0:13:45.360 --> 0:13:48.120
<v Speaker 1>these are some emojis that we just don't want on

0:13:48.120 --> 0:13:50.400
<v Speaker 1>our athletes profiles, and just we're not going to worry

0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:52.280
<v Speaker 1>about what do they mean in this context of that

0:13:52.360 --> 0:13:55.640
<v Speaker 1>we're just gonna kind of blanket hide these comments. So

0:13:55.640 --> 0:13:58.200
<v Speaker 1>where specifically do the tech platforms will come into this?

0:13:58.280 --> 0:14:00.960
<v Speaker 1>What did what did Facebook the company that Instagram tell you?

0:14:00.960 --> 0:14:06.120
<v Speaker 1>And what about Twitter? Um? You know, they they stressed that,

0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:11.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, they're worried about all abusive speech, including emojis, UM,

0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:14.200
<v Speaker 1>and that they were you know, active in the hours

0:14:14.400 --> 0:14:20.320
<v Speaker 1>um after the Euro's football match. UM. But it's it's

0:14:20.360 --> 0:14:23.120
<v Speaker 1>hard to really know what's going on inside the black

0:14:23.160 --> 0:14:25.840
<v Speaker 1>box in terms of, uh, you know, how they're tweaking

0:14:25.840 --> 0:14:29.720
<v Speaker 1>the algorithms to tackle emojis and and are there you know,

0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:31.640
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned a couple in the story and obviously we've

0:14:31.640 --> 0:14:35.120
<v Speaker 1>mentioned a couple already that that um our emojis that

0:14:35.160 --> 0:14:38.520
<v Speaker 1>can be you know, used for for hate and and

0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:41.480
<v Speaker 1>is that is there sort of like is anyone keeping

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:44.160
<v Speaker 1>score about like what the ones that are are the

0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:47.160
<v Speaker 1>worst are? And is one of the solutions simply to

0:14:47.280 --> 0:14:49.840
<v Speaker 1>like in a moment where something is trending, just to

0:14:49.880 --> 0:14:55.760
<v Speaker 1>make it not available anymore. Yeah, I think, um, I

0:14:55.800 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 1>think you know, Facebook, that's one of the things that

0:14:57.800 --> 0:15:01.800
<v Speaker 1>they're doing, is they've added a few classic strings of

0:15:01.840 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 1>emojis that are used almost always in in uh an

0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:10.000
<v Speaker 1>abusive way. UM, but sounds like a no fly list. UM.

0:15:10.320 --> 0:15:14.440
<v Speaker 1>I haven't seen any kind of score, but unfortunately UM

0:15:14.480 --> 0:15:17.240
<v Speaker 1>that that we would even need one. But UM, you know,

0:15:17.280 --> 0:15:19.960
<v Speaker 1>I think like the monkey emoji, the banana emoji, these

0:15:20.000 --> 0:15:24.720
<v Speaker 1>are um, you know, classic used in racist ways. And

0:15:25.240 --> 0:15:27.960
<v Speaker 1>I also mentioned the piece, um you know, the money

0:15:27.960 --> 0:15:30.840
<v Speaker 1>bag emoji. I think I saw the yellow star emoji

0:15:30.920 --> 0:15:34.840
<v Speaker 1>had been linked to you know, anti Semitic incidents. What's

0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:37.480
<v Speaker 1>and what's crazy here is also that professional athletes end

0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:40.840
<v Speaker 1>up being the ones that are are targeted the most,

0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:43.760
<v Speaker 1>and obviously they're high profile and have huge social following,

0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:45.840
<v Speaker 1>so it's sort of some extent it makes sense there.

0:15:46.160 --> 0:15:50.160
<v Speaker 1>But has there been noteworthy sort of hate UM directed

0:15:50.160 --> 0:15:53.600
<v Speaker 1>at anybody else that has caught UM attention of the

0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:58.960
<v Speaker 1>network of the social social media companies and tech companies. UM.

0:15:59.040 --> 0:16:02.000
<v Speaker 1>To be honest, when I was searching, UM, you know,

0:16:02.040 --> 0:16:05.160
<v Speaker 1>in terms of very recent the soccer players actually found

0:16:05.240 --> 0:16:07.680
<v Speaker 1>to be kind of the of the sphere on this

0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:10.080
<v Speaker 1>UM you know, it's been going on for a couple

0:16:10.120 --> 0:16:13.600
<v Speaker 1>of years, but there seems to be a real issue, um,

0:16:13.640 --> 0:16:16.280
<v Speaker 1>in terms of soccer players getting an abusive emojis on

0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:19.040
<v Speaker 1>social media, and I thought it was really interesting. I mean,

0:16:19.080 --> 0:16:22.080
<v Speaker 1>it's not only limited to the soccer. Again, this startup

0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:26.200
<v Speaker 1>respondology that works with sports teams, uh, you know, their

0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:28.480
<v Speaker 1>president was telling me that when they go and they

0:16:28.480 --> 0:16:32.120
<v Speaker 1>work with the Detroit Pistons, the NASCAR, and their president

0:16:32.200 --> 0:16:34.280
<v Speaker 1>was telling me, you know, when we sit down with

0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 1>sports executives, emojis almost always, you know, come up pretty quickly.

0:16:39.400 --> 0:16:42.720
<v Speaker 1>It's it's a widespread issue for athletes. I and let's

0:16:42.760 --> 0:16:46.000
<v Speaker 1>take this international here, because we're talking about a European championship.

0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:50.040
<v Speaker 1>Things mean different, Different pictures mean different things in various countries,

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:52.040
<v Speaker 1>in various part of the world. Did you come across

0:16:52.040 --> 0:16:55.360
<v Speaker 1>your reporting basically how some of these international tech companies

0:16:55.520 --> 0:16:59.640
<v Speaker 1>or are translating, for example, these international messages, like you said,

0:16:59.720 --> 0:17:02.800
<v Speaker 1>a banana emoji, for example, might mean something different in

0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:05.800
<v Speaker 1>the UK might mean something completely different. And let's say

0:17:06.359 --> 0:17:12.399
<v Speaker 1>Southern Asia for example. UM yeah, I mean I was

0:17:12.400 --> 0:17:15.560
<v Speaker 1>actually discussing with someone today an example of um, you know,

0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:19.600
<v Speaker 1>a player, a player whose nickname is the gorilla. Apparently

0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:21.560
<v Speaker 1>I wasn't aware of this example, but his nickname is

0:17:21.600 --> 0:17:24.320
<v Speaker 1>the Gorilla, and I guess, um, you know, there were

0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:27.320
<v Speaker 1>issues with people kind of cheering him on posting gorillas

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:30.320
<v Speaker 1>on his page, and uh, you know these comments, I

0:17:30.320 --> 0:17:33.879
<v Speaker 1>guess for being deleted because they were being taken at

0:17:33.880 --> 0:17:35.680
<v Speaker 1>the time of abuse when they really weren't. So it's

0:17:35.720 --> 0:17:39.159
<v Speaker 1>it's certainly a nuanced issue. UM And again asking I

0:17:39.200 --> 0:17:42.280
<v Speaker 1>mentioned the piece, Uh, you know a few other kind

0:17:42.280 --> 0:17:46.240
<v Speaker 1>of examples in the past, like you know Apple about

0:17:46.320 --> 0:17:49.719
<v Speaker 1>five years ago. I think there was encouragement, uh you know,

0:17:49.840 --> 0:17:54.640
<v Speaker 1>allow for you have different skin tones emojis and UM,

0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:56.920
<v Speaker 1>and then they ended up being some criticism that actually

0:17:56.960 --> 0:18:01.359
<v Speaker 1>allowing different tone emojis created, you know, enabled new kinds

0:18:01.359 --> 0:18:06.600
<v Speaker 1>of um abuse and and the Indonesian government. Yeah, it's

0:18:06.800 --> 0:18:07.920
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna have to leave it there. But this is

0:18:07.920 --> 0:18:09.679
<v Speaker 1>a story that everybody should check out. It's available at

0:18:09.680 --> 0:18:13.000
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com. Ivan Lemmingston European tech and advertising reporter.

0:18:13.160 --> 0:18:14.960
<v Speaker 1>His story will be featured in the upcoming issue of

0:18:15.000 --> 0:18:16.840
<v Speaker 1>Business Week magazine. Read it now on the Bloomberg and

0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:19.000
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg Duck hom Slash business Week. Also joining us

0:18:19.040 --> 0:18:22.440
<v Speaker 1>Joel Webber, editor of Bloomberg business Week. This is Bloomberg.

0:18:27.680 --> 0:18:31.199
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and

0:18:31.280 --> 0:18:36.720
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stenovy on Bloomberg Radio. It's Bloomberg

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:38.919
<v Speaker 1>Business Week, Tim stane A and Credy Gupta live in

0:18:38.960 --> 0:18:43.639
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Interactive Broker's studio. These stories continue to come

0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:46.160
<v Speaker 1>out of China. We are fortunately joined by Andy Brown,

0:18:46.280 --> 0:18:49.119
<v Speaker 1>editorial director at Bloomberg New Economy. He joins us on

0:18:49.160 --> 0:18:52.560
<v Speaker 1>the prone from New Hampshire. Andy, your your Saturday Bloomberg

0:18:52.640 --> 0:18:57.200
<v Speaker 1>New Economy newsletter, you write about After President Hi Jan

0:18:57.240 --> 0:18:59.280
<v Speaker 1>Pain came to power in twelve, he made it known

0:18:59.280 --> 0:19:02.480
<v Speaker 1>that he wanted to turn China into a soccer superpower,

0:19:02.640 --> 0:19:05.760
<v Speaker 1>host the World Cup and win it. Responding to that challenge,

0:19:05.800 --> 0:19:09.000
<v Speaker 1>some of China's richest tycoons developed a passion for the

0:19:09.119 --> 0:19:12.160
<v Speaker 1>quote beautiful game, and they splashed out on soccer clubs

0:19:12.200 --> 0:19:14.400
<v Speaker 1>and star players. But today the fortunes of the tycoons

0:19:14.440 --> 0:19:17.240
<v Speaker 1>who sought to cry favor with she they are sinking fast.

0:19:17.280 --> 0:19:22.399
<v Speaker 1>What's going on? Yeah, So this is a sort of

0:19:22.440 --> 0:19:26.320
<v Speaker 1>a little morality tale if you like. As you just note,

0:19:26.320 --> 0:19:29.720
<v Speaker 1>he comes to power and and he wants to turn

0:19:29.760 --> 0:19:34.520
<v Speaker 1>around Um Chinese soccer, and the Billy and some of

0:19:34.560 --> 0:19:38.359
<v Speaker 1>the richest tycoons in China decide that they want to

0:19:38.480 --> 0:19:44.400
<v Speaker 1>ingratiate themselves with him by investing massively in soccer the game,

0:19:44.480 --> 0:19:50.920
<v Speaker 1>both in China and overseas, and they set up clubs

0:19:50.960 --> 0:19:54.720
<v Speaker 1>that you know, attract players from the top clubs in

0:19:54.720 --> 0:19:58.879
<v Speaker 1>Europe and Latin America. UH. And the best example is

0:19:58.920 --> 0:20:03.560
<v Speaker 1>a prime example is Guangzo ever grand Um, which was

0:20:03.800 --> 0:20:07.879
<v Speaker 1>set up by Shijayen the term of of Evergranded massive

0:20:08.840 --> 0:20:14.399
<v Speaker 1>real estate conglomerate conglomerate and Ali Bapa's Jack Ma. So

0:20:14.480 --> 0:20:19.080
<v Speaker 1>this whole effort has basically blown up UM. The Chinese

0:20:19.160 --> 0:20:22.359
<v Speaker 1>men's soccer team is about as pitiable today as it

0:20:22.520 --> 0:20:26.479
<v Speaker 1>was when Shi Jimping took power. It ranked something like

0:20:26.600 --> 0:20:30.800
<v Speaker 1>seventy in the world versus seventies seventh twenty when he

0:20:30.880 --> 0:20:33.960
<v Speaker 1>took over. UM. It's just about to crash out of

0:20:34.000 --> 0:20:37.919
<v Speaker 1>the World Cup qualifiers, lost one nail to Japan. Meanwhile,

0:20:38.720 --> 0:20:43.320
<v Speaker 1>billionaires as a class out of favor UH in China

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:48.560
<v Speaker 1>and in particular Jack mar is in trouble. So what

0:20:48.760 --> 0:20:51.560
<v Speaker 1>is the international reaction to this? I mean, you talked

0:20:51.600 --> 0:20:54.600
<v Speaker 1>about one in your in your commer should say one

0:20:54.760 --> 0:20:59.000
<v Speaker 1>foreign signing such as Colombian Stricord Jackson Martinez. So, I mean,

0:20:59.080 --> 0:21:01.920
<v Speaker 1>people know this is happening. What has the international fallout

0:21:01.960 --> 0:21:05.639
<v Speaker 1>been like? This is this is really apart from the

0:21:05.680 --> 0:21:12.240
<v Speaker 1>fact that China is not the global soccer superpower that

0:21:12.440 --> 0:21:15.040
<v Speaker 1>Chi Jim being hoped it would be. Um, this is

0:21:15.119 --> 0:21:19.600
<v Speaker 1>really a domestic story where um Si jimping is now

0:21:20.359 --> 0:21:24.080
<v Speaker 1>uh decided that he's seen enough of the of seeing

0:21:24.119 --> 0:21:29.040
<v Speaker 1>wealth being generated by a relatively small number of billionaires

0:21:29.080 --> 0:21:32.760
<v Speaker 1>and although a number that is increasing very rapidly um

0:21:32.880 --> 0:21:35.200
<v Speaker 1>and he wants them to give back and they're being

0:21:35.280 --> 0:21:38.720
<v Speaker 1>shaken down for billions of dollars to promote what equals

0:21:38.840 --> 0:21:44.359
<v Speaker 1>common prosperity or a more equipible society. So Andy, connect

0:21:44.400 --> 0:21:47.080
<v Speaker 1>this to what's happening with the Evergrand Crisis. As it

0:21:47.240 --> 0:21:50.920
<v Speaker 1>escalates this protests breakout across China. The group is facing

0:21:50.960 --> 0:21:54.959
<v Speaker 1>mountain protests by homebuyers, retail investors, and even its own employees,

0:21:55.359 --> 0:21:57.800
<v Speaker 1>raising the stakes for authorities in Beijing as they try

0:21:57.800 --> 0:22:03.359
<v Speaker 1>to prevent the property giants debt crisis sparking social unrest. Yeah,

0:22:03.480 --> 0:22:07.520
<v Speaker 1>this is a this is a different aspect of the crisis.

0:22:07.680 --> 0:22:11.240
<v Speaker 1>This is the government deciding that it wants to reign

0:22:11.359 --> 0:22:16.639
<v Speaker 1>in the debt of China's biggest property companies um and

0:22:16.720 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 1>it is it's taking out a swath of billionaire profits

0:22:21.840 --> 0:22:27.840
<v Speaker 1>and wealth. The latest, the latest billionaire couple actually to

0:22:28.000 --> 0:22:32.399
<v Speaker 1>run into trouble the husband and wife power couple John

0:22:32.480 --> 0:22:35.760
<v Speaker 1>Keen and Panther, the co founders of the Soho China,

0:22:35.880 --> 0:22:41.440
<v Speaker 1>which is one of China's primary office and retail property developers.

0:22:41.480 --> 0:22:44.000
<v Speaker 1>They had tried to sell the comp their company to

0:22:44.520 --> 0:22:48.840
<v Speaker 1>black Stone Stephen Schwartzman's Black Stones for three billion dollars,

0:22:49.480 --> 0:22:52.880
<v Speaker 1>and that deal then got stuck in an anti monopoly review,

0:22:53.280 --> 0:22:56.119
<v Speaker 1>and for reasons that are still unclear but probably not

0:22:56.359 --> 0:22:59.800
<v Speaker 1>unconnected to that review, which was going nowhere fast, blacks

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:03.359
<v Speaker 1>own and so Hope hold the plug. On Friday today

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:07.720
<v Speaker 1>you saw Soho China shares in Hong Kong plugs something like.

0:23:09.960 --> 0:23:12.840
<v Speaker 1>I want to ask you about why the American investor

0:23:13.080 --> 0:23:16.439
<v Speaker 1>should really paying attention to the story going on thousands

0:23:16.480 --> 0:23:18.840
<v Speaker 1>and thousands miles away connected to us, for for for

0:23:18.880 --> 0:23:23.040
<v Speaker 1>those of us who are unfamiliar, well, for two reasons.

0:23:23.080 --> 0:23:28.720
<v Speaker 1>For firstly, because China is now a major investment destination

0:23:29.400 --> 0:23:33.159
<v Speaker 1>for Wall Street firms. They're rushing in the China to

0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:38.399
<v Speaker 1>take advantage of the country's massive pools of savings, and

0:23:38.440 --> 0:23:42.120
<v Speaker 1>they want to mediate those savings create wealth management products.

0:23:42.160 --> 0:23:44.439
<v Speaker 1>One day, they hope that they'll be able to to

0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:49.120
<v Speaker 1>help some of that money invest overseas. But second of all,

0:23:49.160 --> 0:23:51.960
<v Speaker 1>that there are a lot of two trillion dollars worth

0:23:52.000 --> 0:23:55.400
<v Speaker 1>of Chinese shares which are traded in the US, and

0:23:55.480 --> 0:24:01.040
<v Speaker 1>so American funds, including pension funds, pretty heavily exposed to

0:24:01.080 --> 0:24:04.239
<v Speaker 1>what's happening over there. And what's happening right now is

0:24:04.440 --> 0:24:07.840
<v Speaker 1>there's crackdown on the tech sector, which appears to be

0:24:07.920 --> 0:24:14.520
<v Speaker 1>broadening now too much of the private entrepreneurial class in China.

0:24:15.240 --> 0:24:20.920
<v Speaker 1>Is any sector safe from the crackdown? Well, you hear

0:24:21.080 --> 0:24:26.400
<v Speaker 1>people like Cathy Wood of saying, you know, you've got

0:24:26.400 --> 0:24:31.000
<v Speaker 1>to invest in those sectors that the government favors, and

0:24:31.080 --> 0:24:35.080
<v Speaker 1>so that might be heart so called hard tech versus

0:24:35.359 --> 0:24:40.800
<v Speaker 1>soft tech or consumer consumer tech. UM, it's really hard

0:24:40.840 --> 0:24:43.640
<v Speaker 1>to say. I mean, you know, the crackdown has been

0:24:43.720 --> 0:24:47.520
<v Speaker 1>so broad, it's covered so many sectors, from fintech to

0:24:48.320 --> 0:24:52.520
<v Speaker 1>add tag to real estate. UM it's really difficult to

0:24:52.600 --> 0:24:56.719
<v Speaker 1>know what exactly the government's intention is and if it

0:24:56.800 --> 0:25:01.240
<v Speaker 1>really is a generally attempt to eventually soaked the rich

0:25:01.359 --> 0:25:04.560
<v Speaker 1>to pay the poor. The government says it's not, but

0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:07.679
<v Speaker 1>it does certainly seem to be that way. UM. Pretty

0:25:07.760 --> 0:25:12.640
<v Speaker 1>much any company now that you know, has wealthy private

0:25:12.960 --> 0:25:16.280
<v Speaker 1>billionaire owners is going to find itself in some way

0:25:16.400 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 1>or another. UM a target. That's certainly a large number

0:25:20.960 --> 0:25:24.120
<v Speaker 1>of companies and relatively large number of people as well.

0:25:24.200 --> 0:25:27.600
<v Speaker 1>Andy Brown, editorial director of Bloomberg New Economy form Andy,

0:25:27.640 --> 0:25:29.640
<v Speaker 1>thank you as always for taking the time. We really

0:25:29.640 --> 0:25:32.320
<v Speaker 1>appreciate it, he joins us on the phone from New

0:25:32.359 --> 0:25:40.840
<v Speaker 1>Hampshire Brock the Journal. Yeah but you let me drive?

0:25:41.080 --> 0:25:45.560
<v Speaker 1>Oh no, no, no no, no, honey, please, I'll do the

0:25:45.680 --> 0:25:53.280
<v Speaker 1>right revel exst me, I don't want to drive to drive, baby,

0:25:54.840 --> 0:26:04.679
<v Speaker 1>it's the questions kept drying Greeken. This drive to the

0:26:04.720 --> 0:26:09.440
<v Speaker 1>close give me things well, dry n on Blueberg Radio.

0:26:10.080 --> 0:26:11.520
<v Speaker 1>It is the Drive to the close. And we're just

0:26:11.640 --> 0:26:14.240
<v Speaker 1>over ten minutes away from the market close on this Monday,

0:26:14.320 --> 0:26:19.000
<v Speaker 1>September another choppy session. Market really looking for direction. We

0:26:19.080 --> 0:26:22.240
<v Speaker 1>do see the SMP five hundred higher, but just barely

0:26:22.320 --> 0:26:24.240
<v Speaker 1>right now, not even a point. The Dow higher by

0:26:24.280 --> 0:26:26.200
<v Speaker 1>close to six tenths of one percent, the Nastact though

0:26:26.640 --> 0:26:29.280
<v Speaker 1>in the red, down close to three tenths of one percent.

0:26:29.400 --> 0:26:32.040
<v Speaker 1>Let's get all into it with Ross Gerber, president and

0:26:32.240 --> 0:26:35.480
<v Speaker 1>CEO at Gerber Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management. He joins

0:26:35.520 --> 0:26:38.600
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from beautiful Santa Monica, California. Ross

0:26:38.600 --> 0:26:42.800
<v Speaker 1>Howard things by the beach. It actually is beautiful, interesting,

0:26:43.040 --> 0:26:45.840
<v Speaker 1>like it always is there. Yeah, that's a California and

0:26:45.880 --> 0:26:48.160
<v Speaker 1>I know that it's always nice. Um. Hey, I want

0:26:48.160 --> 0:26:49.959
<v Speaker 1>to talk a little bit about what you think has

0:26:50.000 --> 0:26:51.680
<v Speaker 1>been happening in the markets, because if we do see

0:26:51.680 --> 0:26:54.560
<v Speaker 1>the SMP five closed lower today, and it could it's

0:26:54.920 --> 0:26:57.399
<v Speaker 1>fluctuating between positive and negative territory, it'll be a six

0:26:57.480 --> 0:27:00.520
<v Speaker 1>day in a row of declines thing that we haven't

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:02.840
<v Speaker 1>stu for for months. Um, what do you make of it?

0:27:03.520 --> 0:27:05.280
<v Speaker 1>I think it's great. I mean, you can't have a

0:27:05.280 --> 0:27:08.320
<v Speaker 1>stock market only goes up every day. That concerns me

0:27:08.359 --> 0:27:13.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot more, you know, So a healthy pullback in stocks,

0:27:14.040 --> 0:27:19.200
<v Speaker 1>you know it's good because this isn't even two percent yet. Yeah,

0:27:19.240 --> 0:27:21.280
<v Speaker 1>it's not really a healthy pullback. I was gonna say

0:27:21.280 --> 0:27:23.840
<v Speaker 1>it's supercent pullback is not even really a pullback, most

0:27:23.880 --> 0:27:27.119
<v Speaker 1>mostly a statistical anomally right. But let's say the market

0:27:27.160 --> 0:27:28.880
<v Speaker 1>goes down five or ten percent, I think we get

0:27:28.880 --> 0:27:30.919
<v Speaker 1>down to a value that makes sense. So we we

0:27:30.960 --> 0:27:33.720
<v Speaker 1>think the SMP is worth about four thousands trading a

0:27:33.720 --> 0:27:36.679
<v Speaker 1>good ten percent higher than it should. But that's mostly

0:27:36.680 --> 0:27:39.840
<v Speaker 1>because of the tremendous liquidity that we have in markets

0:27:39.840 --> 0:27:43.000
<v Speaker 1>in our economy right now, and and enormous levels of

0:27:43.440 --> 0:27:47.399
<v Speaker 1>spending and economic activity that we're seeing across the board.

0:27:47.480 --> 0:27:50.320
<v Speaker 1>So so you know, the markets can warrant a higher

0:27:50.400 --> 0:27:53.240
<v Speaker 1>valuation at this time because we have an abnormal government

0:27:53.280 --> 0:27:57.080
<v Speaker 1>policy at this time. So having a little bit more volatility,

0:27:57.080 --> 0:27:59.119
<v Speaker 1>I think it's an advantage for investors who know what

0:27:59.119 --> 0:28:02.800
<v Speaker 1>they're doing. I want to ask you, Ross, how does

0:28:02.840 --> 0:28:05.720
<v Speaker 1>someone know when to actually buy this dip, because that

0:28:05.800 --> 0:28:07.800
<v Speaker 1>was something that we saw year to date. We saw

0:28:07.840 --> 0:28:11.600
<v Speaker 1>plenty of pullbacks less than three percent, not huge pullbacks,

0:28:11.600 --> 0:28:14.800
<v Speaker 1>but pullbacks nonetheless, and people immediately bought the dip. So

0:28:15.040 --> 0:28:16.760
<v Speaker 1>is this one of those times when you have kind

0:28:16.760 --> 0:28:21.199
<v Speaker 1>of the seasonality of September kind of in your back pocket? Yeah? Absolutely,

0:28:21.359 --> 0:28:24.119
<v Speaker 1>And so you know, I I do a lot. You know,

0:28:24.240 --> 0:28:26.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm kind of old now, so I do a

0:28:26.840 --> 0:28:30.359
<v Speaker 1>lot of research about my you know, twenty eight years

0:28:30.359 --> 0:28:33.720
<v Speaker 1>that I've been doing this as professional and many years

0:28:33.720 --> 0:28:36.480
<v Speaker 1>before that as as a kid. But like when you

0:28:36.520 --> 0:28:39.880
<v Speaker 1>think about what really hurts markets, So you have corrections, Okay,

0:28:39.920 --> 0:28:42.400
<v Speaker 1>that's normal, you get one a year, a temper cent correction,

0:28:42.640 --> 0:28:44.760
<v Speaker 1>but then you have bear markets, and you have very

0:28:44.840 --> 0:28:48.440
<v Speaker 1>very difficult markets, and most of the time that's predicated

0:28:48.480 --> 0:28:52.320
<v Speaker 1>by the FETE. So almost every real market declient we've

0:28:52.360 --> 0:28:56.280
<v Speaker 1>had is because of the federal reserve or a banking crisis.

0:28:56.600 --> 0:28:58.800
<v Speaker 1>So I don't see a banking crisis on the horizon

0:28:58.920 --> 0:29:01.720
<v Speaker 1>in any way, So it's really the federal reserve. So

0:29:01.920 --> 0:29:04.680
<v Speaker 1>the only thing that's gonna make stocks go down is

0:29:04.720 --> 0:29:09.160
<v Speaker 1>when you take liquidity away, and so that process is

0:29:09.160 --> 0:29:12.640
<v Speaker 1>going to begin with the tapering soon. But that's not

0:29:12.680 --> 0:29:14.920
<v Speaker 1>even really taking liquidity away, you know what I mean,

0:29:15.000 --> 0:29:19.280
<v Speaker 1>that's just like taking a ridiculous bond buying away. And

0:29:19.480 --> 0:29:22.240
<v Speaker 1>so rates themselves don't even look like they're going to

0:29:22.320 --> 0:29:25.560
<v Speaker 1>go up for another year. So for investors, you want

0:29:25.560 --> 0:29:27.760
<v Speaker 1>to buy the depths and and keep playing the game

0:29:28.200 --> 0:29:31.160
<v Speaker 1>until the FED takes the punch bowl away. What does

0:29:31.200 --> 0:29:32.959
<v Speaker 1>it look like the what does the FED look like

0:29:33.160 --> 0:29:34.640
<v Speaker 1>when it takes the punch bowl away? What does that

0:29:34.680 --> 0:29:36.480
<v Speaker 1>look like to you? If it's not tapering, is it

0:29:36.560 --> 0:29:39.440
<v Speaker 1>just raising rates? Yeah, that's raising rates. And it's usually

0:29:39.480 --> 0:29:42.360
<v Speaker 1>like what do they say, it's after the third increases

0:29:42.400 --> 0:29:45.040
<v Speaker 1>when it all goes downhill. And and you really can

0:29:45.080 --> 0:29:48.040
<v Speaker 1>look at this historically. You can go back to the nineties.

0:29:48.080 --> 0:29:50.520
<v Speaker 1>What killed the bullmark of the nineties was Alan grease Band.

0:29:50.760 --> 0:29:52.640
<v Speaker 1>He killed it. And then we had September eleven, so

0:29:52.680 --> 0:29:54.760
<v Speaker 1>it extended the bear market to one of the worst

0:29:55.120 --> 0:29:57.520
<v Speaker 1>three year bear markets, probably one of the worst bear

0:29:57.600 --> 0:29:59.960
<v Speaker 1>markets we had, and then followed by the financial cry

0:30:00.000 --> 0:30:03.160
<v Speaker 1>as which was really a self created event from green

0:30:03.200 --> 0:30:06.280
<v Speaker 1>and stuff, also created because of low rates and a

0:30:06.400 --> 0:30:10.360
<v Speaker 1>lack of you know, oversight and such and and so

0:30:10.480 --> 0:30:13.680
<v Speaker 1>when you go back to it was raising rates again

0:30:13.720 --> 0:30:16.840
<v Speaker 1>and a banking crisis. So you know, like when you

0:30:16.840 --> 0:30:21.160
<v Speaker 1>think about COVID, you know, when Margot was down and

0:30:21.440 --> 0:30:23.320
<v Speaker 1>next thing you know, they're buying everything in sight to

0:30:23.440 --> 0:30:26.760
<v Speaker 1>protect the market. I would argue that investors have a

0:30:26.840 --> 0:30:29.560
<v Speaker 1>level of safety they've never had before. In the history

0:30:29.560 --> 0:30:32.920
<v Speaker 1>of markets when the Federal Reserve is also out as

0:30:32.920 --> 0:30:35.760
<v Speaker 1>one of their mandates to protect the stock market. So

0:30:35.880 --> 0:30:38.320
<v Speaker 1>they don't say it, but that's what they're doing. So

0:30:38.400 --> 0:30:40.480
<v Speaker 1>how bad of a bearer market are we really going

0:30:40.520 --> 0:30:42.720
<v Speaker 1>to get before the Fed comes in and starts buying

0:30:42.760 --> 0:30:45.640
<v Speaker 1>stocks or whatever? You know, Ross, It sounds like you're

0:30:45.680 --> 0:30:48.520
<v Speaker 1>completely discounting, and maybe for a good reason, whether or

0:30:48.560 --> 0:30:51.120
<v Speaker 1>not we even have a taper tantrum at all, what

0:30:51.160 --> 0:30:55.160
<v Speaker 1>do you think? Yeah, I mean, like, once again, I

0:30:55.160 --> 0:30:59.520
<v Speaker 1>I've been doing this so long in you know, their

0:30:59.600 --> 0:31:02.320
<v Speaker 1>value as are elevated to a ten percent correction is

0:31:02.360 --> 0:31:04.520
<v Speaker 1>warranted and I don't know when or if that's going

0:31:04.560 --> 0:31:06.480
<v Speaker 1>to happen, but I don't play the game of waiting

0:31:06.520 --> 0:31:08.880
<v Speaker 1>for the correction and then when there is one, I

0:31:08.920 --> 0:31:12.200
<v Speaker 1>buy it, you know what I mean. But like, you

0:31:12.280 --> 0:31:15.080
<v Speaker 1>just have to look at liquidity. There's so much liquidity

0:31:15.120 --> 0:31:17.880
<v Speaker 1>because they just keep printing money and and and hence

0:31:17.920 --> 0:31:21.200
<v Speaker 1>why cryptocurrencies are doing so well and why so many

0:31:21.200 --> 0:31:24.120
<v Speaker 1>investors are moving money out of the traditional financial system

0:31:24.400 --> 0:31:27.880
<v Speaker 1>into the cryptosystem. Rosse. Let's transition from the macro picture

0:31:27.960 --> 0:31:30.320
<v Speaker 1>to the micro picture, because I have a really interesting

0:31:30.320 --> 0:31:32.160
<v Speaker 1>piece in my notes here say like, you want not

0:31:32.200 --> 0:31:34.960
<v Speaker 1>only own shares of Tesla, but you have a Model three.

0:31:35.000 --> 0:31:37.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm curious and I've been dying to ask this question

0:31:37.840 --> 0:31:40.800
<v Speaker 1>to someone who looks at individual stocks. How do you

0:31:40.880 --> 0:31:43.880
<v Speaker 1>value how do you price a stock like Tesla, or,

0:31:43.920 --> 0:31:48.160
<v Speaker 1>for that matter, any electric vehicle maker. Well, a full disclosure.

0:31:48.200 --> 0:31:50.880
<v Speaker 1>I got the Model as plaid recently in June and

0:31:50.920 --> 0:31:55.800
<v Speaker 1>sold the Model three for Yeah, I sold it for

0:31:55.840 --> 0:31:58.040
<v Speaker 1>five thousand dollars less than I bought it for after

0:31:58.120 --> 0:32:01.800
<v Speaker 1>driving it for three years. So was the best return

0:32:01.880 --> 0:32:05.240
<v Speaker 1>I've ever had on a car. I was like, built

0:32:05.320 --> 0:32:09.840
<v Speaker 1>equity in my car. Like, that's how cool this ev

0:32:10.000 --> 0:32:12.840
<v Speaker 1>businesses or electric vehicle business that Tesla is built. But

0:32:12.880 --> 0:32:16.239
<v Speaker 1>I think so many investors are caught up with what

0:32:16.280 --> 0:32:20.800
<v Speaker 1>I call twentieth century mentality towards valuations. Okay, we're in

0:32:20.800 --> 0:32:24.040
<v Speaker 1>the twenty one century now, fift p s aren't a reality.

0:32:24.360 --> 0:32:27.040
<v Speaker 1>This country is the most competitive country in the world.

0:32:27.160 --> 0:32:29.959
<v Speaker 1>You literally cannot invest in any other country in the

0:32:29.960 --> 0:32:32.479
<v Speaker 1>world with the same level of confidence that you do

0:32:32.520 --> 0:32:35.240
<v Speaker 1>in US equities. Not only that the companies are good,

0:32:35.520 --> 0:32:39.720
<v Speaker 1>but also run with accounting standards and ethics and corporate

0:32:39.800 --> 0:32:42.200
<v Speaker 1>standards that are higher than anywhere else in the world.

0:32:42.480 --> 0:32:45.080
<v Speaker 1>So when you think about, if I'm a global investor,

0:32:45.080 --> 0:32:47.720
<v Speaker 1>where do I put my money, Well, you know it's

0:32:47.720 --> 0:32:48.880
<v Speaker 1>got to be the U S. And then you think

0:32:48.880 --> 0:32:53.080
<v Speaker 1>about companies that are innovating and creating amazing products and

0:32:53.120 --> 0:32:55.600
<v Speaker 1>services that are going to change the world, and there's

0:32:55.640 --> 0:32:57.840
<v Speaker 1>only a handful of those. And then you think about

0:32:58.000 --> 0:33:00.440
<v Speaker 1>one of the two biggest industries that are being disrupted

0:33:00.560 --> 0:33:03.160
<v Speaker 1>right now, and you have transportation and you have energy,

0:33:03.480 --> 0:33:07.800
<v Speaker 1>and Tesla is the one doing it. So to look

0:33:07.840 --> 0:33:10.920
<v Speaker 1>at a traditional pe ratio would be a mistake when

0:33:10.920 --> 0:33:13.200
<v Speaker 1>you're trying to value Tesla when you're talking about a

0:33:13.200 --> 0:33:16.520
<v Speaker 1>company that is really cornered the market in battery production

0:33:16.560 --> 0:33:21.680
<v Speaker 1>and technology as well as EV production and technology, AI robotics.

0:33:21.920 --> 0:33:25.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's it's endless. Tesla is trading. I think

0:33:25.520 --> 0:33:29.800
<v Speaker 1>for what it's worth right now, I think that's I

0:33:29.840 --> 0:33:31.960
<v Speaker 1>think it's worth about seven fifty and and I think

0:33:31.960 --> 0:33:34.720
<v Speaker 1>it's upside is to about a thousand when they complete

0:33:34.720 --> 0:33:36.640
<v Speaker 1>their two factories and get those up and running, which

0:33:36.640 --> 0:33:39.240
<v Speaker 1>could be by the end of the year. So you know,

0:33:39.280 --> 0:33:41.080
<v Speaker 1>when they get the two more factories they'll be able

0:33:41.120 --> 0:33:43.840
<v Speaker 1>to double production. And so if they have the production

0:33:44.080 --> 0:33:47.600
<v Speaker 1>capability to double production in the time most car companies

0:33:47.600 --> 0:33:51.280
<v Speaker 1>are cutting production because they simply can't make cars. It's

0:33:51.280 --> 0:33:54.400
<v Speaker 1>a huge opportunity not to mention the enormous demand for

0:33:54.480 --> 0:33:59.120
<v Speaker 1>vehicles irrelevant of Tesla. Unfortunately, have to leave it there.

0:33:59.160 --> 0:34:00.800
<v Speaker 1>We always love chat with you. Thank you so much

0:34:00.840 --> 0:34:03.360
<v Speaker 1>for taking the time. Ross's president and CEO of Gerber

0:34:03.400 --> 0:34:05.920
<v Speaker 1>Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management. He joins us on the

0:34:05.920 --> 0:34:10.880
<v Speaker 1>phone from Santa Monica, California. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg

0:34:10.880 --> 0:34:14.560
<v Speaker 1>Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg

0:34:14.640 --> 0:34:16.479
<v Speaker 1>dot com, and you can also listen to our radio

0:34:16.480 --> 0:34:19.120
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0:34:19.160 --> 0:34:21.560
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