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Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys. What's up. Welcome in to the latest

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice podcast, the day after Christmas.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning

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Speaker 1: we are here on Bettingpros dot Com, always being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM the audio wherever you get

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Speaker 1: your audio podcasts, YouTube for the video, and the link

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Speaker 1: to the Discord channel is underneath me here on YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel or Bettingpros dot com slash chat that is where

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Speaker 1: I post my card every single day, well most days.

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Speaker 1: Today we have a live stream for you guys. It's

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Speaker 1: a Sunday. You got to kick those cobwebs out. I

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Speaker 1: don't know how much food you ate on Christmas, but

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Speaker 1: I haven't showered in two days. Hi, that's kind of

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Speaker 1: where I have been. I'm just this is my last hurrah.

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Speaker 1: I've got my first ever ever amateur boxing match that

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Speaker 1: I'm going to start training for coming up on February

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Speaker 1: the twenty sixth. So it's been a long time that.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully COVID doesn't cancel it again because obviously we're dealing

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Speaker 1: with massive COVID problems around the country and people my

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Speaker 1: family are testing positive and it's just a whole mess.

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Speaker 1: But luckily the people are young enough that it shouldn't

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Speaker 1: be that big of a problem for them. But we

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Speaker 1: have older people in our family where it's kind of like, woo, okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm sure your family is dealing with similar situations. People

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Speaker 1: you know and people who you're associated with. It's you know,

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Speaker 1: this is really crazy right now. So I'm hoping that

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Speaker 1: fight goes off because my fight's been canceled twice already

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Speaker 1: for COVID. But once we get to the new year,

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Speaker 1: we start the I'm already training. I've been training for

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Speaker 1: a long time, but the food angle, I have not

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Speaker 1: been limiting my food intake. And I was drinking and

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Speaker 1: eating and sleeping and watching football and basketball and just

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Speaker 1: a whole lot of fun on Christmas Day. Hopefully you

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Speaker 1: had a good day and got everything that you wanted.

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Speaker 1: The card was good. The teaser cashes a one unit

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty teaser. The Colts win outright at plus

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Speaker 1: one fifteen. If you waited that closed at plus one fifty.

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Speaker 1: We got the parlay right teaser right parlay right money

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Speaker 1: line plus money money line. When all those three come in.

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Speaker 1: The other bets don't really matter. The under on the

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Speaker 1: Sun's bet did not come in, that did not cash.

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Speaker 1: The over on the passing yardage for Rogers did not

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Speaker 1: come in, But the under came in on Kyler Murray

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Speaker 1: on his passing yardage. And I gave it to you

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Speaker 1: yesterday that Kyler Murray is just a totally different quarterback

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Speaker 1: without DeAndre Hopkins. The numbers are staggering. But when you

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Speaker 1: get a plus one forty one cash, a plus one

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Speaker 1: fifteen cash, and a minus one twenty coming in to

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Speaker 1: darn good Christmas, so good day betting. Let's try to

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Speaker 1: build on that here on a Saturday into a Sunday,

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Speaker 1: and boy oh boy, not a bad time to use

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Speaker 1: the bet mgm offer that ten dollars bet to win

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Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty dollars if you don't have a

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Speaker 1: betmgm account, because I would rather be betting with their

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Speaker 1: money than my money, to be quite honest, Juice one

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Speaker 1: P fifty is the promo code for new users where

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Speaker 1: betmgm is located betmgm dot com. Because this is ridiculous

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Speaker 1: one The lines are crazy minus tens all over the board.

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Speaker 1: Games that I don't want to go near. But there

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Speaker 1: are some that I'm very curious about, Like we need

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Speaker 1: the Falcons to win. Okay, the Falcons have got to

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Speaker 1: get two more wins. They've got six. They win this

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Speaker 1: game against the Lions today, that would be seven, and

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Speaker 1: then they got to get one more win in their

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Speaker 1: next two games, not going to be easy, but then

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Speaker 1: get one more win. They get to eight wins, and

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Speaker 1: we cash that over seven and a half for the Falcons.

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Speaker 1: We need the Chiefs to take care of business today

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Speaker 1: against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Don't let Mike Tomlin do the

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Speaker 1: whole raw raw thing, and all of a sudden, it's like, wait,

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Speaker 1: what what's going on? Because we need that under eight

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Speaker 1: and a half. So it looks like to me that

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Speaker 1: there's a chance that they wind up with eight wins.

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Speaker 1: They've what what's seven right now? Seven to seven and one,

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Speaker 1: and so they've got three games left. So if they

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Speaker 1: go one and two, we're fine. They go two and one,

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Speaker 1: uh oh, not great. So we're watching those games. So

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Speaker 1: those are games I'm just gonna watch. I'm sure that

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Speaker 1: a lot of you would like me to give you

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Speaker 1: my take on the Bills and the Patriots. Look I

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Speaker 1: have been saying for weeks now that the Patriots are

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Speaker 1: going to lose this game to the Bills. If you

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Speaker 1: look at our circle team plays, if you look at

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Speaker 1: both my circuit teams or on the Bills today. Okay,

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Speaker 1: oh no, sorry, I nixed that. The Daily Juice circuit

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Speaker 1: team is on there. I nixed it for my own

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Speaker 1: personal circuit team. I said, we're not playing that game.

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Speaker 1: Replaced it with the Dolphins on Monday Night. But I

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Speaker 1: just can't pick a side here. I can't even really

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Speaker 1: tease it. It might be the long teaser. Okay, Buffalo

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Speaker 1: might be involved with the long teaser, but man, that

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Speaker 1: number is coming down. There's Buffalo Bill's money coming in.

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Speaker 1: The Patriots very well might go off as a dog.

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Speaker 1: It's one and a half right now. It wouldn't stun

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Speaker 1: me at all if that number just totally flips and

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Speaker 1: the Bills go off as a favorite, And then we

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Speaker 1: could take the Patriots like at plus one, and you

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Speaker 1: tease it up to plus seven and you get a

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Speaker 1: home dog at plus seven with a total that currently

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Speaker 1: right now is sitting at Let's see, Bill's Patriots is

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Speaker 1: currently total of forty three and a half. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait and see. Okay, I thought the Bills

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Speaker 1: should have been favored favorites here in this game. People

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Speaker 1: told me I'm nuts, but I think the Bills should

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Speaker 1: be favored. Maybe it closes that way with the Bills.

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Speaker 1: Why not being a favorite, and then we can tease

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Speaker 1: the Patriots up. That's one way how I get involved.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know. I think I may want to

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Speaker 1: stay away from this game and just watch it and

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Speaker 1: cheer for the Patriots and not get involved, because, my goodness,

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Speaker 1: this is a tough game to call. Patriots are getting

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Speaker 1: Kendrick Borne back, which is big for their passing attack.

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Speaker 1: You got that defense for the Bills that can't stop

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Speaker 1: the run. The Patriots know they can run at will.

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Speaker 1: They might have Damian Harris back, but that's kind of

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Speaker 1: an iffy. I think he's questionable for the game. But

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Speaker 1: even not, you got you know, Stevenson, and you got

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Speaker 1: the other running backs that could pick up the slack here.

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Speaker 1: Patriots are a team that played poorly at home, but

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Speaker 1: they are built for late December football. Cold weather, nasty

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Speaker 1: or an ice storm came through New England yesterday, so

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Speaker 1: we'll see what the game day temperatures are going to

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Speaker 1: be in the game day weather, what it's gonna look like.

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Speaker 1: But again, you know if the weather is going to

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Speaker 1: be nasty, this is where if you're a Patriot fan,

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Speaker 1: you want to see nastiness for tomorrow. And now it

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Speaker 1: looks like it's gonna be all right, Sonny and forty two,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, no win to speak up as of right now,

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Speaker 1: you got forty two de reasons, Sonny, which is perfect

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Speaker 1: for the Bills. Okay, that's the best exact whether the

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Speaker 1: Bills want to have for the game, but no Cole

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Speaker 1: Beasley and Cole Beasley being out of this game I

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Speaker 1: think is significant for that Bill's offense trying to move

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Speaker 1: the ball because look they're not having well two of

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Speaker 1: their receivers are out with COVID. So I don't know. Tough,

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Speaker 1: tough game to bet, tough game to pick. I think

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Speaker 1: it's a game where you just sit back and enjoy

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Speaker 1: it and watch it. So right now I've got nothing

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Speaker 1: on it, but Dan Harris and I will have the

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Speaker 1: live stream coming up at eleven o'clock in the morning

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Speaker 1: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel eight a m. Pacific time.

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Speaker 1: Will go through it. If it qualifies for a Wong teaser.

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Speaker 1: I very well might be involved with the game Wong

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Speaker 1: teaser wise, but nothing at the moment. Okay, I've got

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Speaker 1: one straight bet for one unit to give you. I've

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Speaker 1: got one, I've got one teaser to give you, and

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Speaker 1: I have one Bowl game bet to give you guys

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Speaker 1: here coming up. All right, So I have a half

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Speaker 1: a unit kind of floating out there. I'm not so

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Speaker 1: sure what I'm gonna do with it. I may come

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Speaker 1: in with the NBA, I may come in with some

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Speaker 1: other things. I don't know yet where that half of

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Speaker 1: unit is going to go. H We've got a full

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Speaker 1: unit coming for the for the props, like we always do,

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Speaker 1: four prop bets ready to go for you, guys, coming

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Speaker 1: up on the live stream. But like, I don't know

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Speaker 1: what I'm doing yet with the other half a unit.

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Speaker 1: But I'll have one straight bet, one teaser, one college

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Speaker 1: football bet for a half a unit that'll give you

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Speaker 1: here in just one second, let's talk about the straight

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Speaker 1: bet here Vegas hosting the Denver Broncos. All right, So

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Speaker 1: I can't trust Drew Locke, all right, This number currently

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Speaker 1: is a pick. The Raiders are two and five against

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Speaker 1: number at home. That's not good. Denver is three and

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Speaker 1: three on the road against number not bad. One in

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Speaker 1: two against the Division, Denver, one in three against the Division.

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Speaker 1: For Vegas, the Vegas Golden It's okay, good night. Sorry.

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Speaker 1: The Vegas Raiders have not covered in a long time.

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Speaker 1: Last three weeks, no covers. They've covered once in the

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Speaker 1: last seven games. All right, once in the last seven games.

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Speaker 1: That is somewhat crazy. It doesn't make a whole lot

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Speaker 1: of sense, right, But I'm not trusting Drew Lock. Drew

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Speaker 1: Lock is starting in this game again Cincinnati. They couldn't

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Speaker 1: do anything offensively. Nothing. The Raider defense is not horrible,

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Speaker 1: but I think when I'm matching up Drew Lock up

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Speaker 1: against the offense for the Raiders. Look, the Raiders won

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Speaker 1: at Cleveland. They didn't cover tetan league and that crazy

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Speaker 1: line move that swung back and forth. It was plus

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Speaker 1: six and a half and then it was minus four

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Speaker 1: and a half, and it was plus three, and then

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Speaker 1: it was minus two and a half. It was just

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Speaker 1: a ridiculous number of moves on the Raiders and the Browns.

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Speaker 1: But they won the game on the road, and I

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Speaker 1: think that was a significant move and change for them.

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Speaker 1: They're not dead, They're still alive. I mean, do I

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Speaker 1: think they're gonna make the playoffs? No? I do not.

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Speaker 1: Do I think they canna win eight games? Yeah? I do,

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Speaker 1: And I think they can beat a Broncos team that

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Speaker 1: just isn't playing for anything, I mean without if Bridgewater

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Speaker 1: was in this game, I would go like, Okay, probably

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Speaker 1: like this is a stay away game, and like I

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Speaker 1: probably don't want to go near this. But like Denver

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Speaker 1: seven and seven as well. I guess you could say, Matt,

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Speaker 1: they have the same record, but seven and seven Denver

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Speaker 1: seven and seven Vegas. I just think this is a

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Speaker 1: opportunity for the Raiders to win a game and keep

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Speaker 1: their playoff hopes alive. And I just do not trust

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Speaker 1: Drew Luck. It's a pick for me. I'm going one unit.

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Speaker 1: Let's go Raiders at home. We have not bet the

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Speaker 1: Raiders in a while. Take the Raiders to win at home,

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Speaker 1: just straight up minus one ten for one unit. Raiders

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Speaker 1: at home against the Broncos to go to eight and seven.

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Speaker 1: I think all like the chaos and crazy and if

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Speaker 1: of everything has come in Darren Waller probably is not

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Speaker 1: playing in this game. Just FYI, but I think they

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Speaker 1: can move the ball enough with Hunter Renfro and with

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Speaker 1: the running attack to get a W here doesn't matter

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Speaker 1: by what I'm mistaking the Raiders to win the game

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Speaker 1: at home. Pick is the is the line currently for me?

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Speaker 1: I one ten for one unit. Okay, the teaser. Let's

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Speaker 1: talk about Cincinnati against Baltimore. The line is seven man.

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Speaker 1: There is a third string Josh Johnson right quarterback starting No.

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Speaker 1: Tyler Huntley, no. Lamar Jackson didn't even travel to Cincinnati

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Speaker 1: for this game. Bengals are at home and the Bengals

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Speaker 1: have a big opportunity here to get another W and

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Speaker 1: to keep the good times rolling here after the win

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Speaker 1: over Denver on the road again. This is another team

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Speaker 1: that is trying to win their division and look in

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Speaker 1: revenge games. John Harbaugh is very good against the number,

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Speaker 1: losing the first week, turning right around and coming back.

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Speaker 1: I think this number is too high, but I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to fade at home a team that has played

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Speaker 1: pretty well against defenses that are really banged up. And

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Speaker 1: I don't like this Baltimore Ravens defense all that much.

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Speaker 1: There's just so many in in the secondary for this

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Speaker 1: Ravens defense that I just have a hard time seeing.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the Ravens pass defense is giving up seven

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Speaker 1: point five pass yards per pass. That's thirtieth in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: They're giving up two hundred and sixty four point nine

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Speaker 1: yards per game, that's thirty first in the NFL. I

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Speaker 1: mean they're not second the quarterback. They're twenty fifth in

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Speaker 1: sack percentage right now. I mean they're giving up just

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Speaker 1: way too many completions, easy passes, big plays, all over

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Speaker 1: the place. So I'm not comfortable laying the seven points,

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Speaker 1: but I'm not comfortable taking the seven points either. What

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Speaker 1: I Am going to do is take it down to

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Speaker 1: minus one. All right, Cincinnati minus won. The total is

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Speaker 1: forty one and a half in this game. Pulling it

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Speaker 1: down to minus one to just win the game. Since

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Speaker 1: he's playing for a ton and they got a wounded,

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Speaker 1: banged up team, they don't need to do very much.

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Speaker 1: Just win the game, Okay, don't have to cover it.

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Speaker 1: Just win the game. Don't allow a backdoor to come

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Speaker 1: in with Baltimore, which is very very possible that could

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Speaker 1: happen here, But how is Baltimore scoring with a quarterback

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Speaker 1: that's very little experience. I'm going to take Cincy down

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Speaker 1: to minus one the other leg. And I normally like

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Speaker 1: to bet games in the same window, but I don't

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Speaker 1: have a game yet that I really like, So the

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Speaker 1: long teaser probably will happen in the early window because

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Speaker 1: here's the only game I really like from a teaser

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Speaker 1: perspective right now. Chicago is at Seattle, number six and

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Speaker 1: a half. Okay, you've got Nick Foll starting at quarterback.

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Speaker 1: Chicago is four and ten against the spread this year.

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Speaker 1: Seattle is seven and seven. They're three and three at home.

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Speaker 1: Bears are two and five against the number this year.

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Speaker 1: And look, this team for Chicago has not covered a

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Speaker 1: spread here in five games. Once in the last nine

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Speaker 1: has Chicago covered a spread, So I think they're losing.

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Speaker 1: They're zero to five over their last five. They're one

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Speaker 1: in eight against the conference. Against the spread, Seattle is

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Speaker 1: not much better than three and six. I want to

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Speaker 1: worry about Seattle covering this six and a half point number.

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Speaker 1: I just want Seattle to win the game. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to pull this down from six and a half to

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Speaker 1: a half a point. Just win the game. Seattle minus

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Speaker 1: a half a point, Sincy minus one for a full

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Speaker 1: unit minus one twenty teaser for us here going into Sunday.

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Speaker 1: All right, those are the two NFL bets that I've

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Speaker 1: got going on. Raiders pick Seattle minus half a point

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Speaker 1: in Cincinnati minus one. Two home teams teasing them down

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Speaker 1: just to get wins here late in the year. Now,

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Speaker 1: I only bet half of units on bowl games. You

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Speaker 1: guys know this, Okay, The Bowl game volatility is so

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Speaker 1: crazy and so all over the place right now. But

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Speaker 1: I'm looking hard at Boston College and East Carolina and

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Speaker 1: I'll say this, Well, I'm going to change on this

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Speaker 1: live because i just saw a book go to fifty three,

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Speaker 1: so I'm gonna wait. There's over money coming in here

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Speaker 1: on BC in East Carolina. So now I was gonna

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Speaker 1: bet it tonight at fifty two and a half, and

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Speaker 1: now I'm not gonna give it to you guys, because

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Speaker 1: if we can get fifty three or higher, I want

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Speaker 1: to let this thing go. I'm really surprised people are

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Speaker 1: betting the over here in this game. Boston College is

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Speaker 1: three and nine to the over ECU. East Carolina is

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Speaker 1: four and eight to the over and over the last

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Speaker 1: five BC one in four and two and eight over

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Speaker 1: the last ten to the over East Carolina two and

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Speaker 1: three in the last five and four and six. The

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Speaker 1: number fifty three. Once you cross fifty one, like forty one,

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Speaker 1: forty four, fifty one, and fifty two by people who

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Speaker 1: bet a lot of totals, We'll tell you that there's

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Speaker 1: a lot of value when you cross those numbers, forty

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Speaker 1: four and fifty one being really key numbers. This is

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Speaker 1: fifty three. This thing keeps on going up. I like

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Speaker 1: the under in BC East Carolina. This game is being

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Speaker 1: played on Monday. I don't think there's a need now.

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Speaker 1: I mean now that number has changed. As I'm taping here,

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Speaker 1: I thought it might come back down. I wanted to

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Speaker 1: get that fifty two and a half. We're at fifty

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Speaker 1: three and climbing still. Now, let's hold off on BC

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Speaker 1: East Carolina. Let's just do two bets here and just

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Speaker 1: put that in your brain for a second. Be watching

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Speaker 1: that total and hopeful that total continues to climb here

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Speaker 1: and we don't see any money that caused us to

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Speaker 1: go to the to have it come down. But BC

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Speaker 1: in East Carolina under the Military Bowl on Monday is

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Speaker 1: definitely something that I'm going to be eyeballing and definitely

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Speaker 1: something I probably will most likely be on I just

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Speaker 1: want to make that number, see where that money winds

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Speaker 1: up going, where that number winds up going. But Noble

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Speaker 1: games here today for us on that So I was

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Speaker 1: going to give that early, not going to do that early.

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Speaker 1: We'll wait till tomorrow's podcast to do that. Okay, So again,

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Speaker 1: live stream coming up here for us on Sunday morning,

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Speaker 1: eleven a m. Eastern Time on the Betting Bros. YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel with Dan Harrison myself for player props to be

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Speaker 1: giving you guys their long teaser which is now ten

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Speaker 1: and four coming back as well Raiders pick at minus

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Speaker 1: one ten Seattle and Cincinnati teaser at minus one twenty

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Speaker 1: here for us going for one unit plays on a Sunday.

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Speaker 1: More to come, more plays. Let's have another good day

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Speaker 1: here on a Sunday minus. Matt Parolt. Follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each every morning it's the

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Speaker 1: Daly Juices Podcast, always being brought to you by BETHAMGM