1 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:22,960 Speaker 1: Happy Draft Week, Fantasy coaches, and welcome to the Fantasy 2 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:26,720 Speaker 1: Pros Football Podcast. I'm your host, Bobby Sylvester, and today 3 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: we're gonna be joined by Scott Bianowski if yahoo dot com. 4 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 1: Scott's been around the industry forever and has proven as 5 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:36,159 Speaker 1: expertise by constantly finishing in our top twenty five accuracy rankings, 6 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 1: including a pair of first place finishes. I'm really excited 7 00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 1: to hear about which players he's a believer in this 8 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: season and who's avoiding. But first we'll talk about some 9 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: of the top news items we have this week. Hi, Scott, 10 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 1: thanks for joining us. My pleasure looking forward to talking 11 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 1: to some football. Yeah, it's a great week. I love 12 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 1: draft week, and like I said, I'm dying to hear 13 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: who you have to pick because I know what's going 14 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:00,520 Speaker 1: to be right. But some of this stuff, these guys 15 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 1: like Andrew Luck being the first quarterback in your board 16 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 1: compared to the expert consensus rankings, it's a little bit 17 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 1: of a mystery to me. So I'm really looking forward 18 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:10,480 Speaker 1: to seeing what you have to say. But like I said, 19 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 1: first we're gonna start with news of the week, and 20 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 1: obviously the top news is that Tony Romo is going 21 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 1: to be out for eight to twelve weeks and Dak 22 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 1: Prescott is in. What is Prescott's upside? Well, we know 23 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:25,399 Speaker 1: we could run, we know he's athletic. I'm a little 24 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 1: nervous about his stats are so great in the preseason, 25 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:31,479 Speaker 1: but obviously against minelay defenses, teams are gonna throw all 26 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 1: kinds of stuff at him in the regular season. I 27 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: think he could be in somebody who's in a superflex 28 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 1: league league where you need to start multiple quarterbacks. You 29 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:44,679 Speaker 1: could consider him as a low floor but somewhat high 30 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 1: upside quarterback two and a more standard league we only 31 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 1: need one quarterback. You may only be dropping one quarterback 32 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 1: where not every starter gets taken in the league. I 33 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 1: don't necessarily think you need to make him any kind 34 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 1: of a priority. Maybe if you just think, what the 35 00:01:57,800 --> 00:01:59,560 Speaker 1: heck with one of your last bench spots. But of 36 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 1: those types of leagues, I generally want to spend my 37 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 1: roster spots elsewhere. I don't want to load up a quarterback. 38 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 1: So it would need to be a format where you 39 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 1: needed multiple starters a quarterback. I think before i'd be 40 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,240 Speaker 1: interested in Prescott. Now if they came down to it. 41 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 1: Would you take him over RG three? How does he 42 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 1: compare with RG three? That's a great question, you know. 43 00:02:19,160 --> 00:02:20,919 Speaker 1: I would have to go with Griffin just because he's 44 00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 1: been around the block months before, and I think he 45 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 1: has more to work with. As great as Dez Bryan is. Obviously, 46 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:29,920 Speaker 1: Dez Bryant would be a more fantasy interesting than any 47 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 1: other receiver that the Browns have. But they're putting a 48 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 1: pretty nice offense here with Corey Coleman, their draft Joyce 49 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 1: and Gary Varnett had a really nice season. And I've 50 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 1: been low on Josh Gordon talk about News of the week. 51 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: I mean Josh Gordon playing and really flashing in the 52 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 1: third game. Maybe wonder that maybe I don't have him 53 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,359 Speaker 1: rank high enough. We know the downside there. Obviously he's 54 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:52,239 Speaker 1: gonna miss four games and he's got two strikes against 55 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:55,960 Speaker 1: him in the suspension program. But still just reminding everybody, 56 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:58,280 Speaker 1: maybe I needed to see it, just how good of 57 00:02:58,280 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: a football party he can be. We didn't see it 58 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:02,640 Speaker 1: last time he played in the NFL game, but it 59 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 1: was exciting just as a football fantasy Josh Gordon make 60 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 1: a big play again. I would have to side with Gordon. 61 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 1: I'm sorry with Griffin over Prescott. You're exactly right about Gordon. 62 00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 1: I mean, he really impressed me this past week, and 63 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: you know, I'm starting to think he is way too 64 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 1: far down there in ECR. ECR is Expert Consensus Rankings, 65 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 1: and they haven't at number ninety six right now. How 66 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 1: far are you willing to reach for Josh Gordon at 67 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,080 Speaker 1: this point to make sure you can grab him. I 68 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 1: would have to be set with all the receivers I'm 69 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,480 Speaker 1: going to be starting, meaning the receiver slot if I'm 70 00:03:33,480 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 1: going to read years and flex at this point, the 71 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: way football is played in twenty sixteen, I probably want 72 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 1: my flex spots to be receivers I would not want 73 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:45,560 Speaker 1: to meet. I would not want him to be taking 74 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 1: the place of somebody who I'm going to use for 75 00:03:47,240 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 1: the first month of the season. Remember, in most fantasy leagues, 76 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: you have about thirteen weeks to make the playoffs, so 77 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:55,800 Speaker 1: missing somebody for four games is not insignificant. Yeah, and 78 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: then there could be some get up the speed time. 79 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 1: We saw the last thing, and I've mentioned it a 80 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: little bit earlier, that one season where he came back 81 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 1: for the final chunk of the year and people were 82 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:08,840 Speaker 1: all thrilled and excited and okay, saved by season Josh Gordon, 83 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 1: and he really didn't do much of anything that season, 84 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 1: of course, the last full season he played, and even 85 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 1: that wasn't a full season. I think he was the 86 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 1: number two fantasy receiver in that season. But it's not 87 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:22,080 Speaker 1: like we've never seen Gordon come into a season after 88 00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:25,839 Speaker 1: some downtime and have growing pains or just time to 89 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 1: get adjusted into the offense. So I would not want 90 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 1: to take him anywhere in a spot where it was 91 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:33,719 Speaker 1: going to block one of my starters. Maybe that's not 92 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:35,599 Speaker 1: aggressive enough. Maybe that means I want to have Gordon, 93 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 1: but I felt after this this weekend, I needed at 94 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:43,160 Speaker 1: least reevaluate what my position was. That's great insight, and uh, 95 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:45,160 Speaker 1: you know, I know it's a really big news story 96 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 1: what's happening with Kaepernick, but I think that would open 97 00:04:47,480 --> 00:04:48,800 Speaker 1: up a cannon worm, so we're not going to talk 98 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: about it. I don't think that's really why the listeners 99 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 1: are here. But what is fantasy relevant news, perhaps is 100 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:57,160 Speaker 1: Ezekiel Elliott. Whether you think it doesn't matter or not 101 00:04:57,200 --> 00:04:59,080 Speaker 1: that he took a picture in front of the marijuana store, 102 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:01,040 Speaker 1: it is illegal if he does end up smoking, it 103 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: would lead to a suspension. So does this worry you 104 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 1: as a fantasy owner or is this just something he 105 00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 1: was doing as a dumb kid, you know, the type 106 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 1: of thing we were all prone to his kids. You 107 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 1: just hope, I mean, you just hope he's going to 108 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,279 Speaker 1: be focused on football and he's going to make good decisions. 109 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:18,360 Speaker 1: I don't think it's a big deal. I don't think 110 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:20,280 Speaker 1: the Cowboys think it's a big deal. Number two. There 111 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 1: is an issue with him or five or six weeks 112 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:24,920 Speaker 1: ago where they thought there might have been maybe an 113 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,279 Speaker 1: issue with him and an assault, and turns out that 114 00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 1: seems to have gone away. Alice just wants him to 115 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,160 Speaker 1: play football. They want him to be focused. They obviously 116 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:35,840 Speaker 1: with the number four pick in the draft, you got 117 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:38,840 Speaker 1: to assume he's going to play right away. Running Back 118 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:41,280 Speaker 1: is a position very different than quarterback or tight end 119 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 1: or receiver. It's a position with the least amount of 120 00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 1: learning curve as far as the offensive skill spots, where 121 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 1: somebody can come right in and be a factor right away. 122 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 1: I'm not taking it that serious. I just hope that 123 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:55,080 Speaker 1: that's the last time we hear of anything off the 124 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 1: field with Elliott. That just makes your pause for a second. 125 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:00,520 Speaker 1: But I didn't adjust my r of him in any 126 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 1: way for that. Yeah, I'm right with you. There. Now 127 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 1: one guy where I did adjust my ranking, another first 128 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 1: round talent, is aj Green. He had a little bit 129 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 1: of a knee scare. Now they're saying it's not serious, 130 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:13,479 Speaker 1: but as a fantasy owner, I'm a little bit worried. 131 00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:15,279 Speaker 1: How do you feel about Green's knee at this point? 132 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 1: And are you moving him down your board at all? Yeah, 133 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:19,880 Speaker 1: it makes you a little nervous. Is also the other 134 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,280 Speaker 1: news with Green is that he's expecting his first child 135 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 1: with his wife and injuries, he will miss a game 136 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:30,200 Speaker 1: if it fall, if it happens to coincide with where 137 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:32,160 Speaker 1: they're playing, and you know how it's his first child. 138 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 1: I'm never going to question anybody on something like that, 139 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 1: but yeah, at least factor that into how many games 140 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,479 Speaker 1: you may be getting out of Green. It's kind of 141 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 1: hard to know who to trust with injuries. The players 142 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:47,040 Speaker 1: are always optimistic, unfailingly, in part because they've all had 143 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 1: superhero histories and they've all been just overachievers. Just to 144 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:53,040 Speaker 1: get to the NFL, and to be a factor in 145 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:56,280 Speaker 1: the NFL means that you've succeeded all your life athletically, 146 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 1: and sometimes maybe there could be a reason where you 147 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:00,880 Speaker 1: don't want to give the team and set to replace you, 148 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 1: or to think they can't count on you, or you 149 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: don't want to go on the publist, or you don't 150 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:08,279 Speaker 1: want to go on ir The players between just feeling 151 00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 1: optimistic about themselves and having no reason to give anybody 152 00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 1: a reason to dub them or a reason to replace them, 153 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 1: it just makes it hard to know. And now you're 154 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 1: throw in the wrench or the way the NFL has 155 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 1: changed the reporting of injuries, that's going to be an 156 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 1: interesting thing for fantasy players to adjust to. It's just 157 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:25,560 Speaker 1: hard to know when when the team shrugs and said 158 00:07:25,600 --> 00:07:27,720 Speaker 1: everything's fine. I mean, that's what the Cowboys said with 159 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 1: Romo right after his injury in that preseason game. They 160 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:32,040 Speaker 1: were shrugging it off, said it wasn't a big deal. 161 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 1: And now it sounds like maybe he won't play the 162 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:36,840 Speaker 1: entire season, certainly going to be up for a significant 163 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 1: At the time, I thought Green was the number four 164 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 1: player on the board after the big three receivers went off. 165 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:44,320 Speaker 1: I thought you could conceive where we take him at 166 00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 1: number four. I feel like you have to move them 167 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 1: back a half round after this latest news. And then finally, 168 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 1: another player that used to be a top talent at 169 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 1: least is Jimmy Graham. And I know you're you're pretty 170 00:07:54,880 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 1: low on Jimmy Greham now. But after Pete Carroll Stainy 171 00:07:57,480 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 1: having a stellar preseason could be back for Week one. 172 00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: Is there any chance Jimmy Graham ends up a Tip 173 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 1: five tight end or is he truly done? He's not 174 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:08,600 Speaker 1: going to be on my teams. I hear the words 175 00:08:08,680 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 1: proteller ted. It's just an intrigue that players do not 176 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:14,679 Speaker 1: recover from quickly. It will oftentimes they don't recover at all. 177 00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 1: I remember with Graham, before he got hurt last yeared, 178 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 1: he wasn't doing anything in the Seattle offense. And then 179 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 1: when he was off the field, coincidentally enough, that offense 180 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 1: really took off on the passing game really took off. 181 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:29,840 Speaker 1: Pete Carroll's you know, his whole theme is competition in 182 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:32,680 Speaker 1: that camp, and then he's generally an optimistic coach. But 183 00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 1: there's a case where I'm not going to buy it 184 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:36,560 Speaker 1: to the optimism that somebody's gonna beat me to Graham, 185 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 1: He's not going to be on any of my team. 186 00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 1: All right, let's jump over to the big segment of 187 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 1: this episode called bullish embarish. Basically, we're gonna ask basic player. 188 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:47,079 Speaker 1: Listeners all know that your rankings are always among the 189 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 1: top experts, so of course they want to know who 190 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:51,160 Speaker 1: you're high on and who you're low on. And the 191 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 1: first guy I want to talk about, as I mentioned before, 192 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:55,679 Speaker 1: is Andrew Luck. You have him is the number one 193 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 1: quarterback expert. Consistency rankings have his number four. So why 194 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 1: are you so high and Luck right now? Well, look 195 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 1: at the shape of the Colts as a team. I 196 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 1: don't like the defense they're starting. Running back is thirty 197 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:11,240 Speaker 1: three years old, and look, I can throw everything left 198 00:09:11,280 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 1: it on the field last year. I can tie that 199 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:15,800 Speaker 1: to injury. I don't have any problem with that. They 200 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 1: have some good receivers in this offense. We know what 201 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 1: t Y Hilton can do. I'm excited to see what 202 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 1: Don Tremunkra may be possible, maybe capable of. Philip Door 203 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 1: said as somebody they spent a lot of draft capital on. 204 00:09:25,920 --> 00:09:28,440 Speaker 1: He's coming to day a second season. I think they're 205 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 1: gonna allow a lot of points. They're gonna play obviously 206 00:09:30,400 --> 00:09:33,200 Speaker 1: play indoors for all their home games. It's gonna be 207 00:09:33,360 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 1: what I like to call a carnival. This is gonna 208 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 1: be a lot of scoring in Colts games. It's going 209 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 1: to be a lot of volumes. Is gonna be a 210 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:41,480 Speaker 1: lot of passing, which tends to stretch games out as well. 211 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:44,680 Speaker 1: I've this offense throw six hundred plus passes where I 212 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:47,319 Speaker 1: look at you say at Cam Newton. As great of 213 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:49,320 Speaker 1: a runner as Newton is, obviously he was the MVP 214 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:53,119 Speaker 1: last year, but he had a very unrepeatable touchdown percentage. 215 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:55,800 Speaker 1: He was never really a great touchdown passer until last season. 216 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:59,960 Speaker 1: Newton that I had a very high touchdown percentage last year. 217 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:03,000 Speaker 1: I don't think we'll repeat a better defense for Carolina, 218 00:10:03,080 --> 00:10:06,480 Speaker 1: an easier schedule for Carolina. I just wonder if there 219 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:09,040 Speaker 1: may be some games we're camps coasting in the fourth quarter, 220 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:10,960 Speaker 1: or maybe even on the bench for the last series 221 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:13,040 Speaker 1: or two, where I think Bluck's going to be playing 222 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:15,560 Speaker 1: on with his hair on fire all season, where we 223 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:17,280 Speaker 1: don't know if the running game will be great. Also, 224 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:20,319 Speaker 1: the offensive line looks pretty banged up, and usually when 225 00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:22,680 Speaker 1: an offensive line is not reliable, that usually means the 226 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:25,400 Speaker 1: running game suffers more, and you have to mask it 227 00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:27,960 Speaker 1: in the passing game. It's easier to mask a mediocre 228 00:10:28,040 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 1: offensive line in the passing game than the running game, 229 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:32,680 Speaker 1: and I think the Cults are going to probably face 230 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:34,400 Speaker 1: that this year. So I'm looking at a ton of 231 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 1: opportunity from somebody who we all know as an elite player. 232 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 1: I like the wide receivers here. We know they have 233 00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:41,800 Speaker 1: an old running back. They don't really have anybody behind 234 00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 1: Gore right now. They may add some guys as names 235 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:46,920 Speaker 1: become available, but I mean, there's really nothing in this 236 00:10:46,960 --> 00:10:48,840 Speaker 1: running game I'm excited about. I think the Cults are 237 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:51,200 Speaker 1: going to have to throw as much as anybody in 238 00:10:51,200 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 1: the AFC. Now, I'm right with you on all of that, 239 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 1: with injur Luck being the most talented being in a 240 00:10:57,520 --> 00:11:01,480 Speaker 1: great situation, all those game scripts going his way. But 241 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:03,680 Speaker 1: the thing I'm concerned about is that shoulder, and that 242 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 1: tends to be a lingering issue with throwers in baseball. 243 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:09,120 Speaker 1: We haven't seen it as much in football. But is 244 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:11,199 Speaker 1: that something that concerns you a little bit? Maybe seems 245 00:11:11,240 --> 00:11:13,840 Speaker 1: like a risky pick to you, or is he test 246 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:18,319 Speaker 1: that No, that's a fair point. I will say also 247 00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:21,000 Speaker 1: that even though I have Luck ranked as my number 248 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 1: one quarterback, that doesn't necessarily mean he has to end 249 00:11:23,480 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 1: up on any of my teams. This is one of 250 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:27,400 Speaker 1: those I do have a couple of Luck shares, but 251 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:29,840 Speaker 1: it's not like I go into a draft and Andrew 252 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 1: Luck is the focus of my draft. One thing that 253 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:35,240 Speaker 1: I think is unique to this football season is how 254 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:39,000 Speaker 1: you can get a decent, interesting quarterback value at pretty 255 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 1: much any price point you want. I see maybe only 256 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:44,360 Speaker 1: five or six teams in the NFL right now they 257 00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:46,000 Speaker 1: have quarterbacks. I don't want to get invested in that 258 00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 1: San Francisco situations, probably a mess. There's a couple other 259 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:52,080 Speaker 1: teams that I don't really trust right now. But if 260 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:54,320 Speaker 1: you want to go with the second tier quarterback, you 261 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 1: want to maybe pay a little bit less. Maybe you 262 00:11:55,800 --> 00:11:57,720 Speaker 1: get Russell Wilson, old chiefer. You could go a little 263 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:00,880 Speaker 1: bit less. Maybe you take a Breeze, Maybe take a Roethlisberger. 264 00:12:00,920 --> 00:12:03,520 Speaker 1: Eli Manning's tied to Odell Beckham, which is very good. 265 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 1: I'd love to see Diego weapons sets up for Philip Rivers. 266 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,400 Speaker 1: Do you want to wait for Tom Brady, Jamis Winston 267 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 1: and Marcus Mariotta both showed promise last year. This reason 268 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:14,559 Speaker 1: to be optimistic on them. If you want to wait 269 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:17,559 Speaker 1: another tier. Ryan Fitzpatrick throws the two really good receivers. 270 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 1: The Lions generally can't run the ball. Matthew Stafford almost 271 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:24,240 Speaker 1: always throw six hundred passes. Tyrod Taylor is a run 272 00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 1: pass option in buff Life. Go on and on. We 273 00:12:26,520 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 1: could talk for an hour about all the different quarterbacks. 274 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 1: We talked about Prescott maybe having some quarterback team jus 275 00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:35,640 Speaker 1: deeper leagues. Alex Smith runs the ball really well. Griffin 276 00:12:35,720 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 1: now has interesting targets. At any point if you want 277 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:41,520 Speaker 1: to step into quarterback any tier, I think if you 278 00:12:41,559 --> 00:12:43,960 Speaker 1: want to dip your toe in, there's going to be 279 00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 1: something for you. So if anybody out there it shares 280 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 1: your concern about luck shoulder, I think I was kind 281 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 1: of mitigating that worry when I saw how Chris Bluck 282 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:54,199 Speaker 1: looked in the preseason. But you're right, I mean that's 283 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 1: something we have to consider. I just feel like, at 284 00:12:56,640 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 1: any point you want to get involved, you're going to 285 00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:01,680 Speaker 1: find this something for everybody in this quarterback board. It 286 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 1: has never been this deep. That's really interesting. Something else 287 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:10,400 Speaker 1: I found really interesting was your article about the regression police. Scott, 288 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:12,719 Speaker 1: that was a great article. I'm so glad I read 289 00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 1: it before my draft. Tell us a little bit about 290 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:19,960 Speaker 1: Doug Baldwin and your views on the regression police. Sure, well, 291 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 1: we know what Doug Baldwin did. He he's been a 292 00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:25,160 Speaker 1: nice player his entire career, but a very complimentary one, 293 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 1: you know, kind of a fantasy receiver four, receiver five. 294 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:30,960 Speaker 1: He probably was even on waiver wires in a lot 295 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:33,520 Speaker 1: of leagues last year, and then he goes crazy. He's 296 00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:35,880 Speaker 1: a number two fantasy receiver in the second half of 297 00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:38,439 Speaker 1: the season. He scores fourteen touchdowns and a very low 298 00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 1: amount of receptions and targets. And so it's very reasonable 299 00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:44,920 Speaker 1: that people look at say, wait a minute, Doug Baldo 300 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:46,679 Speaker 1: was not this good. Doug Balbo was not a fourteen 301 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:49,959 Speaker 1: touchdown guy. He's not gonna repeat this rate of touch 302 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 1: shouts forer reception or touchdowns per target to which I know, 303 00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:55,800 Speaker 1: and I say, yes, that's true. I don't think he'll 304 00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 1: score four fourteen touchdowns either. But you can't just look 305 00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 1: at Doug Baldwin and scream out regression and walk away 306 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:03,880 Speaker 1: and just say, well, he's not this good. He's not 307 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:06,200 Speaker 1: going to repeat these numbers and walk away. He's not 308 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:08,360 Speaker 1: being drafted in the first round, he's not being drafted 309 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: in the second round. He's not being treated like last 310 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:13,439 Speaker 1: season as the new normal for Baldwin. And I think 311 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:15,959 Speaker 1: what I like to say with regression and regression is 312 00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 1: a great concept. It's a great fantasy thing to understand 313 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:22,280 Speaker 1: the idea that things are away from from normal rates 314 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:25,120 Speaker 1: and things. Some things just aren't sustainable, for good or 315 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:28,840 Speaker 1: for bad, And that gives us a nice first step 316 00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 1: into analyzing what's likely to happen in the next season, 317 00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:34,360 Speaker 1: the next week, the next month, what have you. But 318 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:38,720 Speaker 1: regression should start every conversation. It does not end every conversation. 319 00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 1: I could say to you, Cam Newton's not going to 320 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:43,200 Speaker 1: repeat what he did last year. That's not the answer 321 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:45,880 Speaker 1: in and of itself. Now, if Cam Newton's being priced 322 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 1: in the first or second round of a public league, 323 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:50,400 Speaker 1: then maybe it is. Maybe it is that simple. The 324 00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 1: thing with Baldwin is he's going somewhere between the third 325 00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:56,400 Speaker 1: and fifth round in most leagues. I've seen him pretty 326 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:58,680 Speaker 1: much a fourth round pick in almost every league I've 327 00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:01,120 Speaker 1: been in. Where what do you expect from a fourth 328 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 1: round receiver? Maybe around a thousand yards, maybe seven or 329 00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:07,000 Speaker 1: eight touchdown something like that. I think those are perfectly 330 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:09,880 Speaker 1: reasonable targets for Baldwin. They gave him in the off season. 331 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:12,880 Speaker 1: He's their number one receiver. They got more aggressive with 332 00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:15,320 Speaker 1: the offense than the second half. Down the stretch, Graham 333 00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 1: was hurt every pass he gets us from Russell Wilson, 334 00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:20,360 Speaker 1: which is basically gold. I mean, he's one of the 335 00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 1: most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL, and that's why Seattle 336 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: can get done what they do in their passing game 337 00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 1: with a lot less attempts than some other teams. So 338 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 1: to anybody who say says regression with Baldwin and walks 339 00:15:31,160 --> 00:15:33,600 Speaker 1: away as yeah, he's going to regress, I still think 340 00:15:33,600 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 1: he'll go over a thousand yards. I think he's an 341 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:37,920 Speaker 1: excellent bet to score seven or eight touchdowns. I would 342 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 1: give him a fair chance at getting back into double 343 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 1: digits again, not fourteen, but maybe nine or ten touchdowns 344 00:15:43,920 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 1: something like that. I love Doug Baldwin in the fourth round. 345 00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:49,400 Speaker 1: He's on probably about forty percent of my teams right now. 346 00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:51,360 Speaker 1: I'm right there with you, and I'm glad I'm not 347 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 1: in any drafts with you because I'm getting tug Baldwin 348 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:56,880 Speaker 1: on my team for the same reasons. You look at 349 00:15:56,880 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 1: what he did. I mean you talked about those low 350 00:15:58,720 --> 00:16:01,640 Speaker 1: receptions and yards here to the touchdowns. That's exactly right. 351 00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:04,480 Speaker 1: But his yard totals were right up there with some 352 00:16:04,520 --> 00:16:06,000 Speaker 1: of the top guys. In the second half. He was 353 00:16:06,040 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 1: getting a bunch of yards and receptions, and I think 354 00:16:08,800 --> 00:16:10,920 Speaker 1: he'll be able to continue a lot of that because 355 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:14,040 Speaker 1: regressions a lot easier to say with touchdowns, but with 356 00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 1: yards and receptions that seems to be a true thing. 357 00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 1: It's not like there was some great wide receiver on 358 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:21,040 Speaker 1: his team who was hurt and so he ended up 359 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:25,120 Speaker 1: scooping up a bunch of receptions like Kamar Aiken Orsan 360 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: who did a couple of years ago. He was the 361 00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,000 Speaker 1: guy and he's going to continue to be the guy 362 00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 1: in that Seattle offense. And remember it wasn't that long 363 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:33,400 Speaker 1: ago where they brought in a Percy harv And where 364 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 1: they brought into Sydney Rice, where they brought into Jimmy Graham, 365 00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:39,000 Speaker 1: where they thought baal War would be a complimentary piece 366 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 1: in their offense. Now they had paid Balwin. It made 367 00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:44,160 Speaker 1: it clear he's their number one guy. So while he's 368 00:16:44,200 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 1: not going to get two hundred targets. He's not gonna 369 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:47,400 Speaker 1: get one hundred and eighty. I don't think he's gonna 370 00:16:47,400 --> 00:16:50,040 Speaker 1: get one hundred and sixty. I think the fair bet 371 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 1: to say he's probably looking at his career high and targets. 372 00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:54,800 Speaker 1: He wasn't used that much the early part of last season. 373 00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 1: I feel very confident he's headed towards the career high 374 00:16:57,640 --> 00:17:01,880 Speaker 1: and targets, in part because she has readjusted their feelings 375 00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:05,440 Speaker 1: on Baldwin and how he fits into their offense. Now 376 00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:08,040 Speaker 1: moving over to another position, we'll look at the running backs, 377 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:11,480 Speaker 1: and you're fourteen spots lower on a Mirabdullah than the 378 00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:13,680 Speaker 1: rest of the experts. You haven't at number forty five 379 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:18,160 Speaker 1: for running backs. Why no love for Abdullah? Really simple? 380 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:21,480 Speaker 1: He's not the goal on back. He's not the third 381 00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 1: out back. So what is he he's not? Do we 382 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:25,760 Speaker 1: even know there's going to be a great home run 383 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:27,880 Speaker 1: hit or four point two yards for carries them bad? 384 00:17:28,040 --> 00:17:30,600 Speaker 1: But there's a lot of other guys in this offense. 385 00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:32,840 Speaker 1: I think the defense is going to struggle to keep 386 00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:34,560 Speaker 1: points off the board. I think it's an offense that 387 00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:37,239 Speaker 1: always seems to be six hundred plus pass attempts. We 388 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:40,520 Speaker 1: know they change coordinators last season and then actually seem 389 00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:42,400 Speaker 1: like they were more aggressive after they went to Jim 390 00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:45,840 Speaker 1: Bob Cooter. If you own Abdul, what are you hoping for? 391 00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 1: Because you're not going to get the chief touchdowns and 392 00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: you're not going to get those catches when they're playing 393 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:52,280 Speaker 1: hurry up or when they're playing from behind. Those aren't 394 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:54,120 Speaker 1: going to belong to him either. I just don't feel 395 00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:57,280 Speaker 1: like he's carved out a significant role for me to pay. 396 00:17:57,440 --> 00:18:00,199 Speaker 1: And now maybe I'm too love being fourteen points or 397 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:02,439 Speaker 1: than consumpsus I, and maybe I have to consider that 398 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:04,919 Speaker 1: I'm a little bit too crazy low on Abdullah, But 399 00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 1: not on any of my teams. I've never even considered. 400 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 1: I've not been in a Draftwade even consider drafting him, 401 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:12,840 Speaker 1: And I just want to say, you have to hang 402 00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,119 Speaker 1: your hat on something. Is there a resume year or no? 403 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:18,720 Speaker 1: Their goal on carries probably not third down role or 404 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:20,960 Speaker 1: we know theoretic is terrific in that role. So I 405 00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:25,320 Speaker 1: just don't see where the upside for Abdullah's Scott. For years, 406 00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:27,720 Speaker 1: I've been reading your stuff and seeing your rankings, and 407 00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:30,360 Speaker 1: every single time I see one of these expert mock 408 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:33,280 Speaker 1: drafts that we do. I look at your roster before 409 00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:34,840 Speaker 1: I even know what's your roster, and I say that's 410 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:37,480 Speaker 1: the best team. Every single time, I always tend to 411 00:18:37,520 --> 00:18:39,199 Speaker 1: agree with you, and so I thought this interview might 412 00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:41,080 Speaker 1: be a little bit boring because I agree with you 413 00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:43,040 Speaker 1: on so many players, and I'm right with you and Abdullah. 414 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:45,919 Speaker 1: There's no chance he's any up on my roster. In fact, 415 00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:48,440 Speaker 1: I like Zack Zener to end up taking those first 416 00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:50,760 Speaker 1: and second round carries. Do you think there's a chance 417 00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 1: of that. Are you considering drafting Zenter in a deeper league? Yeah, 418 00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:58,640 Speaker 1: he's not a bad late round. What the heck. We'll 419 00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:00,600 Speaker 1: see if something developed in the first couple of weeks, 420 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:03,199 Speaker 1: and then where you draft center, you'll have them on 421 00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 1: the shortest of leashes. If you don't see anything in 422 00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:07,159 Speaker 1: the first week or two, you'll cut them for the 423 00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:09,240 Speaker 1: next thing that comes along. I mean, somebody is going 424 00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:11,960 Speaker 1: to carve out the role around the goal line. You 425 00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:13,919 Speaker 1: know what joy Belt did in the last few seasons. 426 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:15,800 Speaker 1: I would think Jenner has a chance. So we know 427 00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:18,560 Speaker 1: that the cut Steven Ridley, there's some other options there. 428 00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:20,439 Speaker 1: I think, gener at least has a possibility to be 429 00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:25,200 Speaker 1: that guy. Now you're high in Richard Jennings. Not especially high, 430 00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 1: not like fourteen spots higher, but you're five spots higher 431 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:31,639 Speaker 1: than the expert consensus ranking. So again, I'm right with you. 432 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:33,320 Speaker 1: I think Jennings is going to get a load of carries. 433 00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 1: Is that what it is for you that he has 434 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:36,800 Speaker 1: no competition or do you like his skill set or 435 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:38,640 Speaker 1: what is it? I like the way he was used 436 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:40,480 Speaker 1: at the end of last season, and even though there's 437 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 1: a new coach there, it's the offensive coordinator being promoted, 438 00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 1: so it's essentially the same system, and Jennings is one 439 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:49,040 Speaker 1: of those guys. All the age make concerns some people. 440 00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:51,520 Speaker 1: There isn't a ton of mileage, he doesn't have an 441 00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:54,640 Speaker 1: extensive amount of tread on the tire. So I've seen 442 00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:57,520 Speaker 1: no reason why he couldn't handle just the role of 443 00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:00,560 Speaker 1: a start. I mean, last year they bring in Vereen, 444 00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:02,880 Speaker 1: but they're not going to use him as a running back. 445 00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 1: I mean, they've showered on Williams. It looks like it 446 00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:08,000 Speaker 1: just seems like this could be a cheap fifteen to 447 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:10,920 Speaker 1: eighteen touchback who you're not paying that freight for. You're 448 00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 1: getting him in the seventh of the eighth, the ninth round. 449 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 1: For anybody out there who's going zero R being one 450 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:18,680 Speaker 1: of the hot strategies, I think Jennings makes for an 451 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:21,280 Speaker 1: excellent target. After you've loaded up some of your receivers, 452 00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:23,720 Speaker 1: maybe you have a running He could be your second 453 00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:27,400 Speaker 1: or third option there. Yep, I'm in agreement with you there. 454 00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:29,960 Speaker 1: But when we go to wide receivers, I differ a 455 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:32,720 Speaker 1: little bit, and that's because you're low on Dez Bryant, 456 00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,359 Speaker 1: Jordy Nelson, and Kevin White. Now I agree about Jordy 457 00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,520 Speaker 1: Nelson because of his age and coming back from that 458 00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:40,480 Speaker 1: that kind of injury at that age is a real 459 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:43,879 Speaker 1: tall task. But why does Bryant Kevin White? Why are 460 00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:47,560 Speaker 1: you learning those guys? White's the easier call for me, 461 00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:50,119 Speaker 1: and also a poschard perm And you can bring into this. 462 00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:53,480 Speaker 1: I'm almost positive I'm low on Perraman. You guys, you 463 00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:55,520 Speaker 1: have to reboot the rookie season. They just didn't get 464 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:57,439 Speaker 1: any chance to play last year. They are hurt right 465 00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:00,040 Speaker 1: away and the CASA White It's it's not that I 466 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:03,240 Speaker 1: necessarily trust Jay Cutler, who can sometimes lock in on 467 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:05,159 Speaker 1: his primary guys. Now, maybe White will become one of 468 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:07,280 Speaker 1: those guys. I think we're going to see a boatload 469 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,240 Speaker 1: of targets go to alshon Jeffrey. I want to she 470 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,119 Speaker 1: should proof of it. And yeah, obviously you have to 471 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,359 Speaker 1: draft a guy like White or even Perriman. It's not 472 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:17,560 Speaker 1: like you can't watch what they do and then get invested. 473 00:21:17,560 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 1: You're gonna have to draft them. In the case of White, 474 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:21,800 Speaker 1: like he's going to produce right away. I just don't 475 00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:24,280 Speaker 1: want to make that leap of faith. I hate being 476 00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,560 Speaker 1: low on Nelson. He's one of my favorite players. But 477 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:28,600 Speaker 1: I just feel like the second round and I guess 478 00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:31,400 Speaker 1: we can lump Dezen in there now too, players who 479 00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:33,679 Speaker 1: have tremendous upsides, but I feel like they're floors. I 480 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:35,840 Speaker 1: have to worry about Bryant play a lot. Last year, 481 00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:37,919 Speaker 1: we know Nelson did play at all. Now we have 482 00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 1: to worry about Bryant's quarterback. I mean, what is Prescott 483 00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:44,600 Speaker 1: write too? Certainly, I felt Bryant was certainly a first 484 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 1: round pick when Tony Romo was the starter and then 485 00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:49,680 Speaker 1: hoping you you would think Romo would play most of 486 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,199 Speaker 1: the season, But now that's out the window. So I 487 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,359 Speaker 1: feel like in the second round there's a lot of 488 00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:56,960 Speaker 1: receivers who have a lot of upside. Okay, I think 489 00:21:57,080 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 1: there's probably seven, eight nine guys, and the names start 490 00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:03,320 Speaker 1: to run together of Jeffrey and Cooper and Cooks and Evans, 491 00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:06,960 Speaker 1: Bryant Nelson are in that mix. I want the upside 492 00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,199 Speaker 1: and I want the flour, and I think Nelson and 493 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:12,359 Speaker 1: Bryan are now in positions where I can't feel that 494 00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:15,520 Speaker 1: safe about. Therefore, I may reevaluate Brian between now and 495 00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:17,760 Speaker 1: the start of the season. I mean it's a new situation. 496 00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:19,760 Speaker 1: Romo News just came out a couple of days ago, 497 00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:22,640 Speaker 1: so it's kind of fluid in my mind. I'm gonna 498 00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:25,360 Speaker 1: still think about it, and I change my ranks every day. 499 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:27,560 Speaker 1: Not to be wishy washy about it, but I'm always 500 00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:29,960 Speaker 1: trying to get the best version of them out there 501 00:22:30,040 --> 00:22:32,680 Speaker 1: in the tremendous tip of the Captain Fantasy Pros, which 502 00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:36,200 Speaker 1: is invaluable presource. It's just amazing you guys. You guys 503 00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:38,239 Speaker 1: are coming out with tools. I can't even keep up 504 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:42,000 Speaker 1: with it sometimes that site. And you know, if you 505 00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:43,760 Speaker 1: don't like my rank, SHOT's fine. Just click on the 506 00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:45,760 Speaker 1: people you like, click on the people you believe, and 507 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 1: you can make a sheet based on that, so I 508 00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:51,400 Speaker 1: tip my cap to you guys. But Brian, it's been 509 00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:53,320 Speaker 1: He's been one of the toughest calls since we got 510 00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:55,520 Speaker 1: the Romo news because I want to treat him like 511 00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 1: a first round player of it. Right now, I feel 512 00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:00,200 Speaker 1: like I can't. Thanks for the kind words about about 513 00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:03,480 Speaker 1: fantasy pros, Scott. I will say this when I'm making 514 00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:05,879 Speaker 1: my cheat sheet, I'm using your rankings because I believe 515 00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:08,600 Speaker 1: in success and you're always right there at the top. 516 00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:11,160 Speaker 1: And you know what you just sold me on Dez Bryant. 517 00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:13,720 Speaker 1: You're exactly right. There's too much risk there, and there's 518 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:15,320 Speaker 1: too many other players who don't have that kind of 519 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:18,120 Speaker 1: risk who also have upside. But Kevin White, I'm still 520 00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:20,439 Speaker 1: not so sure. And the reason why he was drafted 521 00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:23,399 Speaker 1: fifth overall two years ago. And then I look at 522 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 1: guys like the best rookie wide receiver, Sterling Shephard, you know, 523 00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:30,679 Speaker 1: all those guys that you've got there, Michael Thomas, and 524 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:32,560 Speaker 1: I just think Kevin White, if he was in this 525 00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:36,199 Speaker 1: past draft, he would be ranked significantly higher than all 526 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,800 Speaker 1: those guys. I mean, he was drafted, what twenty slots 527 00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:41,720 Speaker 1: higher than than pretty much anyone else, and it's because 528 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:44,720 Speaker 1: he's such a spectacular talent. So is it to you 529 00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:47,760 Speaker 1: that he has a lot of you know, he's coming 530 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 1: back from that injury, or is it just the Jay 531 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:55,000 Speaker 1: Cutler situation. Yeah, but the injury Cutler, John Fox, all 532 00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:57,280 Speaker 1: those things. It's funny. I mean two years ago, the 533 00:23:57,320 --> 00:23:59,680 Speaker 1: story of fantasy football was the rookie receivers, and just 534 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:03,520 Speaker 1: how many rookies weren't crazy? I mean the list was ridiculous. 535 00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:06,360 Speaker 1: I mean last year, he'd predictably crashed back to Earth. 536 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:08,639 Speaker 1: I mean, the class of twenty fourteen had to be 537 00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:11,080 Speaker 1: seen as an outlier in its own right. But we 538 00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:13,480 Speaker 1: also have to think, Okay, are we getting to a 539 00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:16,359 Speaker 1: point where the systems in college and the systems in 540 00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:20,240 Speaker 1: the NFL are merging closer together where it's not that unusual. 541 00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:22,040 Speaker 1: I used to be the rookie receiver, you just write 542 00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:24,240 Speaker 1: them off. I mean Randy Moss was an exception that 543 00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:25,960 Speaker 1: be guys like Dad would come up every once in 544 00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:28,320 Speaker 1: a while. But generally, if you were to fade rookie 545 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,720 Speaker 1: receivers for a very long time was the right strategy, 546 00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:33,119 Speaker 1: and then you would have gotten crushed in twenty fourteen 547 00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:35,840 Speaker 1: because too many of these guys were productive right away. Now, 548 00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:37,760 Speaker 1: last year the big story was injuries. A lot of 549 00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:41,240 Speaker 1: these guys just couldn't stay on the field. But you 550 00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:43,680 Speaker 1: might be right. I mean, you know, White obviously needs 551 00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:46,320 Speaker 1: to play. I mean, the depth chart behind him is 552 00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:48,520 Speaker 1: not that impressive. We don't know if their tight end 553 00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:51,879 Speaker 1: will be healthy. Jeffrey himself soft tissue ish injury. Every 554 00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:53,960 Speaker 1: time you hear Jeffrey's name, been talking about the hamstring 555 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:58,600 Speaker 1: and its injuries. So, I mean, if White can show anything, 556 00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:01,959 Speaker 1: he's going to be factored in right away. All right, 557 00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:04,159 Speaker 1: And then let's look at a couple wide receivers that 558 00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:06,720 Speaker 1: you're high on, and then that's all. We'll have Vincent 559 00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:10,480 Speaker 1: Jackson and Brandon Cooks. Why do you like these guys 560 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,640 Speaker 1: so much? The Cooks is a lot like the situation 561 00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:16,480 Speaker 1: we talked about Indianapolis where I don't like the Saints defense. 562 00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:19,560 Speaker 1: They have a coaching staff I feel good about, they 563 00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 1: have a quarterback I feel good about Cooks. Was dynamite 564 00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:24,960 Speaker 1: really took off? He was fine as rookie year until 565 00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 1: he got hurt, But last year he went ballistic for 566 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:29,760 Speaker 1: about the last nine or ten weeks. It was maybe 567 00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:32,159 Speaker 1: a half step behind where Baldwin was, but he was 568 00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:34,760 Speaker 1: really playing great football near the end of the year, 569 00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:37,240 Speaker 1: and I think that's something he'll build on and becomes 570 00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:39,119 Speaker 1: a very bankable player. Again, it's going to be a 571 00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 1: carnival with an indoor team, with a bad defense, with 572 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,880 Speaker 1: a good quarterback. I think Cooks is a very safe 573 00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:47,680 Speaker 1: volume play and has a very high upside. I would 574 00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:49,720 Speaker 1: consider him at any point in the second round, even 575 00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:52,040 Speaker 1: with the first pick in the second round, I think 576 00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:55,240 Speaker 1: he's worth it. With Vincent Jackson's a little bit different situation. 577 00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:57,200 Speaker 1: I don't think there's a ton of depth in this 578 00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:00,320 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay passing game. Obviously, Evans is going to get 579 00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:02,400 Speaker 1: his share. They don't really seem to know a Safari 580 00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:04,680 Speaker 1: and Jenkins will be a factor in this passing game. 581 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:06,960 Speaker 1: He seems to bounce up and down. They have backs 582 00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 1: who can catch the ball, but still I don't think 583 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:11,239 Speaker 1: there's a third or fourth receiver who looks like a 584 00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:15,000 Speaker 1: major factor right now. Jackson before last season generally a 585 00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:17,320 Speaker 1: good bet for sixteen games. Now, of course he's at 586 00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:19,400 Speaker 1: the age now we can't take his help for granted. 587 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:21,920 Speaker 1: But I think he's become a little bit underrated. Maybe 588 00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,760 Speaker 1: people are down, you know, downplaying him after last season 589 00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,320 Speaker 1: because he missed so much time. But a big receiver 590 00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:30,680 Speaker 1: maybe has a better rapport already with Winston than the 591 00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:32,760 Speaker 1: Mike Evans and Winston have. I will just hook up 592 00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:35,919 Speaker 1: for a touchdown last weekend. If nothing else, He'll be 593 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,879 Speaker 1: the number two receiver in an offensive Probably need to 594 00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:40,560 Speaker 1: throw a lot. This is the team that might might 595 00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:43,760 Speaker 1: be five or six wins, might have another poor defense 596 00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,479 Speaker 1: again a division ward seems like everybody can put points up. 597 00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:48,439 Speaker 1: I think we're going to see a lot of volume 598 00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:51,199 Speaker 1: for not just Evans, but also Vincent Jackson in this 599 00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:54,760 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay passing game. Scott. Before I let you go, 600 00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:58,560 Speaker 1: I gotta ask you one final question. Who outside the 601 00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:00,639 Speaker 1: top one hundred. It seems like every year there's one 602 00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:03,560 Speaker 1: or two players who outside the top one hundred just 603 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,959 Speaker 1: bust out and just break out and they end up 604 00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 1: in the top twenty players. Is who do you see 605 00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:12,040 Speaker 1: doing that this season? A guy who's on a bunch 606 00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:13,960 Speaker 1: of my teams. And this could end up being a 607 00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,679 Speaker 1: lottery ticket you throw away. So I'm not guaranteeing anything here, 608 00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:20,000 Speaker 1: but I have a ton of Spencer Ware Kansas City 609 00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:22,879 Speaker 1: running back, A guy who last year was a bowling 610 00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:25,680 Speaker 1: balled tackle, was really efficient as a goal line runner. 611 00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,640 Speaker 1: After Jamal Charles got hurt, didn't get involved a lot 612 00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:30,600 Speaker 1: in the pass. Again, what have they done in the preseason? 613 00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:33,320 Speaker 1: Spencer Ware has been targeted eight times in the preseason. 614 00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:35,960 Speaker 1: He's caught all the eight passes. It doesn't mean he's 615 00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:37,920 Speaker 1: going to be another Charles or another Matt Forte or 616 00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:40,840 Speaker 1: anything like that, but they're showing that they trust where 617 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:43,400 Speaker 1: in all situations. He's not just a first and second 618 00:27:43,480 --> 00:27:47,679 Speaker 1: round grider necessarily. He scored touchdowns in three straight preseason games. 619 00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:49,880 Speaker 1: I think there's a chance he may have a role 620 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:52,560 Speaker 1: even if Charles doesn't get hurt. And if Charles does 621 00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:55,440 Speaker 1: get hurt, and he's a guy with two ACL blowouts 622 00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:58,040 Speaker 1: on his resume, he's getting to that pocket of a 623 00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:00,399 Speaker 1: career where you get even nervous about anybody's even been 624 00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:03,280 Speaker 1: healthy getting hurt. I think where blows up. I mean, 625 00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:05,560 Speaker 1: I know West is still there and everything, but I 626 00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 1: think they're going to funnel six to eight touchdowns to 627 00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:11,560 Speaker 1: where even if Charles isn't hurt, and if Charles is hurt, 628 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:14,680 Speaker 1: I think we're scores double digit touchdowns. I have him. 629 00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:17,199 Speaker 1: I know it's easy to say stash everybody. I know 630 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 1: you have to play. You have to have enough playable 631 00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:21,800 Speaker 1: options on your roster too. You can't just have seven 632 00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:24,040 Speaker 1: lottery tickets because you need You're gonna have guys you 633 00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:25,720 Speaker 1: get hurt. You need to fill them for the buys 634 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,359 Speaker 1: and all that. But I have where on a slew 635 00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:30,080 Speaker 1: of my teams and I'm gonna try to hold them 636 00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,680 Speaker 1: as long as I can. Injuries and you have the 637 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:35,840 Speaker 1: situations that pop up to the side. I'm really gonna 638 00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:38,520 Speaker 1: try to hold this guy, hopefully all season. I think 639 00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:41,640 Speaker 1: he's get tremendous upside. Even if Charles doesn't get hurt, 640 00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,120 Speaker 1: I think he might be playable if Charles does get hurt, 641 00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:47,000 Speaker 1: Spencer where I think you'd be a league winner. Scott. 642 00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:49,400 Speaker 1: That is a great answer. I've had a lot of 643 00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:51,760 Speaker 1: fun doing this conversation, and that's all we have for 644 00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 1: you today. I really appreciate you coming on and hoping 645 00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 1: I can talk to you sometime later in the season. Thanks, 646 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:57,960 Speaker 1: I'll try to have me. I really appreciate the kind 647 00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:00,800 Speaker 1: of words I have tremendous back for how good our 648 00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:02,320 Speaker 1: industry is. And there's a lot of people who are 649 00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:06,239 Speaker 1: doing fantastic work. And again you know, to me, it's 650 00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:08,200 Speaker 1: strength and numbers. You know, you take a few people 651 00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,440 Speaker 1: you believe in, you get their advice, you kind of 652 00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:12,120 Speaker 1: mix it together in a stew and you can do 653 00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:15,160 Speaker 1: that at Fantasy Pros. I think your site is again 654 00:29:15,280 --> 00:29:17,960 Speaker 1: doing invaluable work. I hope people are checking it out, 655 00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:21,200 Speaker 1: and you know, I'm just trying to learn something every day, 656 00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:23,440 Speaker 1: get a little bit better, and I'm hoping this week's 657 00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:26,400 Speaker 1: ranks were better than last week's ranks. And I appreciate 658 00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:28,880 Speaker 1: what you guys are doing. Thanks for having me. Thanks Scott, 659 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,200 Speaker 1: have a great week. Talk to him. And that's all 660 00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:33,000 Speaker 1: we have forgot the podcast this show. Our next show 661 00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:34,760 Speaker 1: is going to be with Matt Harman at NFL dot 662 00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:37,240 Speaker 1: com the Wide Receiver Whisper, and we're also going to 663 00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:39,280 Speaker 1: talk about some projections, so make sure to tune in 664 00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:42,200 Speaker 1: for that. If you haven't already, please subscribe on iTunes 665 00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:44,400 Speaker 1: and leave a rating and review. That really helps us 666 00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:47,080 Speaker 1: out a lot. Happy drafting. I just wanted you to 667 00:29:47,120 --> 00:30:01,040 Speaker 1: watch I don't even know how to cast the birds 668 00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:05,120 Speaker 1: went down and side begging in the down digging and 669 00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:07,080 Speaker 1: said desiring of trouble