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Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It's meet Joey paid, Joe pis a pet,

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Speaker 1: It's week four and you know what time it is

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Speaker 1: on Thursday. It's time to look at the best lines,

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Speaker 1: the best totals, the best sides. And who better to

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Speaker 1: do that with than the prop profit himself, mister Donald

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Speaker 1: Parhum Junior Junior, or maybe the third it's Andrew Erickson,

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Speaker 1: who's still glowing after that first touchdown call thirty to one.

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Speaker 1: I don't think I'm gonna get over that all season. Andrew,

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Speaker 1: that was the best thing. I think you might as

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Speaker 1: well quit after this. I feel like, Andrew, I feel

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Speaker 1: like this is it for you. Just ca stanza yourself

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Speaker 1: and leave on a high note the rest of the season.

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Speaker 2: Right yeah, I mean the highlight of my Sunday was

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Speaker 2: right around that touchdown, and then Bisco went out downhill

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Speaker 2: from there. But I was on cloud nine for that

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Speaker 2: small window round like one ten eastern when Donald parm

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Speaker 2: scored that touchdown. I was like, all right, we're in

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Speaker 2: the green. We're gonna stay in the green no matter

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Speaker 2: what else happens. But we didn't add more green as

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Speaker 2: the game progressed, well.

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Speaker 1: It was a pretty good time and you will call

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Speaker 1: more touchdowns tomorrow on Friday show on the Prop Show.

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Speaker 1: And I was texted with ericson during when they got

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Speaker 1: in the red zone. I was like, if they get

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Speaker 1: this touched that, I swear to God, I'm gonna come

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Speaker 1: drive up to Massachusetts and give you a great, big hug.

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Speaker 1: I didn't get in the car, but I sent him

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Speaker 1: a virtual one at the very least. And speaking of

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Speaker 1: hugging old friends, my good pal and yours too. You

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Speaker 1: remember here from betting pros Mike Randall from FTN joining

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Speaker 1: us here on the show today. Randall, it's so good

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Speaker 1: to see you. It was great to hang out with

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Speaker 1: you in August. All three of us were together in

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Speaker 1: a room, which was such a nice change of pace.

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Speaker 1: Drafting some football teams. I've already lost Nick Chubb in

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Speaker 1: that league. Najie Harris has been terrible, so I'm pretty

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Speaker 1: miserable in that league. And I think you're just as

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Speaker 1: miserable as I am. When you look at the standings.

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Speaker 3: I believe, Yeah, I got the win this week over you,

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Speaker 3: which I needed, Badie, because I got off to a

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Speaker 3: terrible start, but there is hope yet with Justin Herbert

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Speaker 3: keeping me afloat and I just need to get healthy.

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Speaker 3: But gentlemen, it is great to be back here on

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Speaker 3: the show with you guys.

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Speaker 1: It's the reunion. I'm excited. That's right, the reunion episode.

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Speaker 1: And I felt so good after Thursday night, man George

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Speaker 1: Kittle put up a good game, was like, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take it to my boy Randall this week. You're gonna,

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Speaker 1: you know, take him to the woods shed. No, Sunday

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Speaker 1: was miserable. Absolute everything that could go wrong did, but

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Speaker 1: hopefully everything that can go right will for Week four.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about the bets. The guys have lined

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Speaker 1: up their top five favorite bets for the week, so

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Speaker 1: everybody should come sit by the fire and let's go

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Speaker 1: through them. Before we do that, don't forget everybody to

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Speaker 1: make sure you drop a comment below and subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros YouTube channel, because when you do, you

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Speaker 1: get a chance to win a signed autographed James Cook

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Speaker 1: jersey for the Buffalo Bills thanks to us here at

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros. Again, it's real simple, drop a comment, subscribe

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Speaker 1: to the channel, and don't forget to click that little

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Speaker 1: bell till it goes ding for notification, so you know

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Speaker 1: if you're the big winner. We love giving away free

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Speaker 1: stuff here to our listeners and watchers here on the

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel. So even if you haven't subscribed to the

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel, you just listen on the podcast side. Well,

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Speaker 1: what are you waiting for? Go get yourself some free stuff.

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Speaker 1: James Cook jersey. We'll be doing another jersey or something

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Speaker 1: cool probably in October, so stay with us here at

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros. Let's jump in with our guests here, Mike Randall,

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Speaker 1: take us through one of your favorite bets for Week

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Speaker 1: four in the NFL. What do you got?

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Speaker 3: We're going back to Baltimore here as a road underdog. Ravens.

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Speaker 3: I think plus two and a half may have changed

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Speaker 3: at Cleveland. I catched this one with Lamar Jackson on

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Speaker 3: the road against the Bengals. Here's the deal. Was a

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Speaker 3: nice plus one sixty money line hit with Jackson as

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Speaker 3: quarterback when he has been a starting quarterback on the

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Speaker 3: road as an underdog eight and one against the spread,

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Speaker 3: including four outright wins. Harbaugh is great in the division.

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Speaker 3: We know this, especially when he's an underdog of a

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Speaker 3: touchdown or less. Twelve six and one against the spread

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Speaker 3: per bet Labs. Now on the other side, guys, Cleveland,

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Speaker 3: unfamiliar territor, are here for the Browns just six and fourteen.

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Speaker 3: That's thirty percent against the spread as a home favorite

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Speaker 3: two and five in the situations under Kevin Stefanski, I

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Speaker 3: like Harbaugh over Stefanski. I like Jackson on the road here. Now,

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Speaker 3: no Nick Chubb, Jerome Ford should be fine. But Deshaun Watson.

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Speaker 3: Are we really at the point where we're sure he's

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Speaker 3: turning the corner with efficiency? I am not sure. Cleveland's

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Speaker 3: defense lights out, no doubt about it. Number one in DVOA.

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Speaker 3: Here at FTN, Ravens actually fifth, so they're right behind them.

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Speaker 3: I think it's close. Jackson on the road slobor knocker

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Speaker 3: if you will, Guys, I will go back with Lamar

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Speaker 3: Jackson as a road underdog. Here, I guesst A Cleveland

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Speaker 3: team I'm not ready to say is the clear number

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Speaker 3: one team in the AFC North.

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Speaker 1: I can understand why you're not ready to say that.

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Speaker 1: I am ready to say that defense is for real.

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Speaker 1: It was one of my favorite defenses coming into the

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Speaker 1: fantasy season. I totally get where you're coming from. And

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Speaker 1: this game has given me fits all week, so your

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Speaker 1: perspective on it is very enlightening. What about that total?

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Speaker 1: Just out of curiosity too. It's forty over on Sugarhouse,

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Speaker 1: forty and a half over on Fandle any feelings on

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Speaker 1: that one. Do you think this one underperforms or do

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Speaker 1: you think it actually goes over the forty No, I.

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Speaker 3: Think it's under I think Bolton, you have a division game,

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Speaker 3: you have a rivalry game. Two close teams, two strong defenses.

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Speaker 3: Turnovers are going to decide it, guys. And I know

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Speaker 3: Baltimore is a little banged up, but I like them

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Speaker 3: here with Lamar, I like them with Zay Flowers, and

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Speaker 3: I like this defense here to force a turnover too

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Speaker 3: out of Shaun Watson. That should be enough.

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Speaker 1: This has giving me vibes from a couple of years ago.

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Speaker 1: Randall and I used to do a weekly betting show

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Speaker 1: on another network years and years ago. For a couple

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Speaker 1: of years we did I think two seasons. I want

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Speaker 1: to say, yeah, yeah, yeah, good times. Man, we had

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Speaker 1: so much fun on that show. This is great ericson.

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Speaker 1: You're great. I love you. Give me another pick for

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Speaker 1: a week four? What do you have lined up for

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Speaker 1: the people.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I love that call on the Ravens. It just

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Speaker 2: feels right to bet on Lamar Jackson as an underdog

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Speaker 2: that feels and nice and warm. But for me, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go with the Jaguars minus three playing in London

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Speaker 2: against the Atlanta Falcons. So the Jaguars have basically laid Technically, yes,

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Speaker 2: at is home for them, it's one of their two

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Speaker 2: games because they're actually playing back to back and it's

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Speaker 2: some weird scheduling turk and then they're not going to

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Speaker 2: take a bye week after. It's it's very confused. I

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Speaker 2: don't know why they're doing it, but we're talking about

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Speaker 2: this week specifically, first game in London, and the Jaguars

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Speaker 2: have laid eggs basically back to back weeks, lost of

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs, very disappointing, and then blew it against the

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Speaker 2: Texans as big favorites. Now, the thing is these are

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Speaker 2: really self inflicted wounds, Like they're losing these games because

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Speaker 2: of turnovers, missfield goals, drops, block kicks, guys returning touchdowns

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Speaker 2: that shouldn't be returning touchdowns. They are never going to

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Speaker 2: score ever again. And yet they had four hundred net

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Speaker 2: yards last week and lost. So really it's been on

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Speaker 2: them that the reason they haven't been winning these games

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Speaker 2: not because they haven't been the better team, because I

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Speaker 2: think that they are the better team the Atlanta Falcons here,

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Speaker 2: and that's why I think they can win by over

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Speaker 2: a field goal. So Jacksonville's defense very good, generating pressure

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Speaker 2: fourth highest pressure rate, and I think that they're going

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Speaker 2: to be able to get to Desmond Ridder, disrupt him

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Speaker 2: and make problems for this Falcons offense. So the Falcons

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Speaker 2: traditionally have also been much worse on the road, and

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Speaker 2: they than they have been at home, just been Rider

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Speaker 2: specifically has been much better at home. Atlanta averaged fewer

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Speaker 2: than eighteen points per game on the road last year.

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Speaker 2: So I think that the Falcons are Excuse me, I

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Speaker 2: think that the Jaguars kind of right the ship, get

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Speaker 2: things going, don't make self inflicting mistakes this week, and

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Speaker 2: they they pick up their win in London.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I would agree with that too. I think we

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Speaker 1: all expect them to struggle against the Chiefs, especially when

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Speaker 1: Jones was coming back in the pass rush. Okay, that

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Speaker 1: we get you pass, but struggling versus the Texans, I

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Speaker 1: think that's the one that sticks in everybody's crawl last

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Speaker 1: week where you're like, what are you doing? What's going

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Speaker 1: on here? They got to start playing better on defense,

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Speaker 1: that's for sure. Let's go back to Mike Randle here

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Speaker 1: with another one of his picks here for Week four

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. Mike, what you have?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Titans plus two and a half against the Bengals.

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Speaker 3: One game does not solve the problem for the Bengals.

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Speaker 3: Joe Burrow did not look good and that game against

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Speaker 3: the Rams they should have lost that game. No rushing

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Speaker 3: attempts up close by Kyron Williams and the Rams. I

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Speaker 3: think Sean mcvagh did a terrible job in that game

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Speaker 3: two to out, well he steps out of bounds. They

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Speaker 3: probably win. I don't like this Bengals team. I have concerns,

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Speaker 3: and now we're gonna go on the flip side. Tennessee's down.

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Speaker 3: No one likes Tennessee. We've seen Tennessee in these situations.

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Speaker 3: Titans are ten and six against the spread as home

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Speaker 3: mouto dogs with nine outright wins under Mike Rabel. Their

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Speaker 3: pass rush is three point three sacks per game. They're

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Speaker 3: gonna get pressure on Joe Burrow. The Bengals rushing offense

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Speaker 3: is terrible two point nine yards per Carrie Mixing got

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Speaker 3: the touchdown, saved his fantasy day last week. We know

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Speaker 3: that Derek Henry game is coming. Entering Week three. The

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Speaker 3: Bengals rush defense twenty eighth in rush defense. Dva Henry

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Speaker 3: should get going. The Titans pass rush should get there.

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Speaker 3: I don't trust the Bengals Burrow. There was rumors about

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Speaker 3: injured reserve going into last game, so I don't think

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Speaker 3: he played above his head at all. Bengals are struggling.

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Speaker 3: The regression is happening. We thought it would happen last

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Speaker 3: year if they lose the Super Bowl. They found a

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Speaker 3: way to keep it going. I think it's real. I

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Speaker 3: think the Titans went out right. Titans plus two and

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Speaker 3: a half here against the Bengals at home.

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Speaker 1: I gotta tell you this was last week. The Titans

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Speaker 1: really upset me. We did the early line show every

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Speaker 1: Monday morning. It was my favorite bet. I locked it

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Speaker 1: into four and a half last week, and then they

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Speaker 1: just went out there and laid it turn Like I

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Speaker 1: thought for sure against that Cleveland Brown seam they were

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Speaker 1: going to be competitive and keep that one close. It

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Speaker 1: was not. I wish I could get there. I wish,

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Speaker 1: and you make a really good argument, but I got

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Speaker 1: so burned with Ryandanhill and this offense last week, and

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Speaker 1: then Dereck Henry with that tow issue that he's dealing with.

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Speaker 1: Maybe that's the reason you see Dereck Henry out there

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Speaker 1: that much. And if that's the case too, I'm worried

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Speaker 1: about the Tennessee Titans defense, but that doesn't mean they

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Speaker 1: can't get this two and a half. So in Mike's point, say,

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Speaker 1: very close attention. And this is why you set things

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Speaker 1: like the line alerts and the game notifications on the

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Speaker 1: VP app. By the way, if you haven't downloaded the

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Speaker 1: app yet, this is a good week to do it

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Speaker 1: because if you download the app, you get three free

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Speaker 1: days on the iOS version of the premium Betting pros.

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Speaker 1: So if you want to see all the bells and

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Speaker 1: whistles and all the best tools in the betting planet,

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Speaker 1: then this is the time to download the BP app

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Speaker 1: if you haven't done it already, because again you get

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Speaker 1: three free days there as soon as you download that

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Speaker 1: from iOS this week, So check it out right now.

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Speaker 1: You download that bad Boy on Thursday, actually on Friday,

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Speaker 1: take you all the way through Sunday into Monday. That's

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Speaker 1: the pattern right now, So go check it out if

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Speaker 1: you haven't already. Ericson what do we want to check out?

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Speaker 1: For your second pick here for Week four, I'm.

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Speaker 2: Talking about the Ram like the Rams money line this

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Speaker 2: week going up against the Colts. Now, the Rams have

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Speaker 2: played in three pretty closely contested games, and as Mike mentioned,

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Speaker 2: like they could have won on Monday Night against the Bengals,

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Speaker 2: a couple things go their way, a different play call

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Speaker 2: here or there, and they win that game outright. So

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Speaker 2: but when I look at the schedule that the Rams

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Speaker 2: have played, I mean, the Colts are the worst team

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Speaker 2: that they have face this year in my opinion, just

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Speaker 2: looking up in the team that they have gone against,

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Speaker 2: and I don't think the Colts are gonna have any

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Speaker 2: answers on stopping this passing attack that the Rams have

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Speaker 2: going with Matthew Stafford, with some of these young receivers

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Speaker 2: from atwell from Pukua Nakua, because that's the weakness of

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Speaker 2: the Colts defense is their secondary. Like they have no

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Speaker 2: problems stopping the run. And Sean McVay knows that, like

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Speaker 2: he's going to be able to dial up. I think

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Speaker 2: a passing test is going to rip this Colt secondary

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Speaker 2: to shreds that Lamar Jackson and company were not able

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Speaker 2: to do last week because of the injuries they had

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Speaker 2: on their offensive line because of the weather. That's not

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Speaker 2: gonna be the case here when this game being played

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Speaker 2: inside a dome. So I think that people are riding

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Speaker 2: high on the Colts a little because, oh, they beat

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Speaker 2: the Ravens in overtime because their kicker kicked three fifty

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Speaker 2: yard field goals, like very a lot of situations that

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Speaker 2: I don't think are replicable year or like next week.

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Speaker 2: So for me, that's why I like the Rams money

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Speaker 2: line here. I think that the Colts dead last in

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Speaker 2: terms of passes defended all the fourth and most fans

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Speaker 2: points to quarterbacks think Stafford's gonna have a anthet's gonna

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Speaker 2: get them to win.

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Speaker 1: All right, Randall, You've got some feelings on this game

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Speaker 1: as well, but it's more for the total correct in

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Speaker 1: your number three pair. Yep.

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Speaker 3: And I agree with with Ericson's first two picks wholeheartedly.

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Speaker 3: He nailed it, and that's the reason why I'm going

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Speaker 3: under forty six and a half Rams and Colts here,

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Speaker 3: here's the point. Let's look at it from a Colts perspective.

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Speaker 3: Anthony Richardson probably gonna start coming off a concussion. I

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Speaker 3: don't think he's gonna rush as much. In fact, here

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Speaker 3: at our FtM projections we have him at twenty seven

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Speaker 3: and a half rushing yards. You know that line is

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Speaker 3: gonna be higher. He has not been a great passer.

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Speaker 3: In fact, he has struggled this year as a passer

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Speaker 3: four point nine to four air yards per attempt. That's

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Speaker 3: a small sample, but that's the lowest in the NFL.

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Speaker 3: Remember a week today of the big game, he had

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Speaker 3: a short pass Week one rather to Michael Pittman, which

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Speaker 3: was a screen that went to the house for a touchdown.

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Speaker 3: So I think it's going to be a conservative game plan.

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Speaker 3: I don't think he's gonna be running as much, which

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Speaker 3: means more time on the clock. Slow it down.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 3: On the flip side, Eric Andrew is right about the

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Speaker 3: Rams offense and two to at well. Pukakua could have

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Speaker 3: a big, big game, But I think the issue is

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Speaker 3: going to be the offensive line. Stafford was pressured on

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Speaker 3: thirty four percent of draft backs last week, that was

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Speaker 3: third highest, and he had the six worst and catchable passes. Now,

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Speaker 3: he was fairly average in Week two despite it being

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Speaker 3: a shootout, So I think the numbers are skewed with

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Speaker 3: the Rams because of a big Week one performance. I

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Speaker 3: do like the Rams to win. I just think it's

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Speaker 3: going to be lower scoring, and I think both teams

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Speaker 3: are going to be taking their time getting up and

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Speaker 3: down the field, and the pressure that both can generate

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Speaker 3: here should disrupt the offense. And think it's a conservative

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Speaker 3: game plan with Richardson. I'd like them better if Minshew

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Speaker 3: was actually starting. Assuming it's Richardson, I'm going to take

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Speaker 3: the under on forty six and a half in this game.

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Speaker 1: Certainly trending to see Anthony Richardson play this week. It

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Speaker 1: seems like all counts are moving towards that. We'll see

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Speaker 1: what the practice reports are this afternoon when everything comes

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Speaker 1: out for that. Now, he brings an explosiveness which could

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Speaker 1: always put a total in danger because he rips off

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Speaker 1: that one big run or two somewhere in the red zone.

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Speaker 1: Maybe the next thing you know, this total goes up.

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Speaker 1: But a lot of good arguments and a lot of

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Speaker 1: good pieces of note here in this Rams Colts game, too,

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Speaker 1: which I think is a game that scares a lot

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Speaker 1: of people. So I think it's really interesting that both

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Speaker 1: of you are in on this game. Let's get to

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Speaker 1: another one of yours, Andrew number three on your list

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Speaker 1: for Week four? What do you have.

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Speaker 2: Going with the Saints minus three against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

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Speaker 2: Jamis Winston another revenge game going up against his old team.

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Speaker 1: Now he doesn't, you know, he exhausted the revenge games.

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Speaker 1: He's been playing in that conference, in that division for

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Speaker 1: two years enough already with the Jamis Winston revenge, He's

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Speaker 1: not getting it. He's not getting his revenge. Okay, this

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Speaker 1: is like Game of Thrones where things don't work out.

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Speaker 1: That's what it is. It's no revenge for Jamis Winston.

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Speaker 1: Now you can continue.

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Speaker 2: So I'm expecting Winston to get the start here. I

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Speaker 2: know they've been kind of hush hush about Derek Carr's availability,

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Speaker 2: but I think with the shoulder injury on the game,

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Speaker 2: Carstone to be playing in this game, so I kind

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Speaker 2: of view it as Winston as actually an upgrade. And

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Speaker 2: that's because the one thing that Derek Carr has struggled

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Speaker 2: with just not this year, but even last year has

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Speaker 2: been in the red zone like that has kind of

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Speaker 2: been the Saints' woes on offense so far this year.

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Speaker 2: He has struggled. Their red zone offense ranks twenty seventh

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Speaker 2: inefficiency last year Derek Carr forty two completion p completion percentage,

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Speaker 2: eleven touchdowns and two interceptions inside the red zone. Jameis

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Speaker 2: Winston in the last two seasons six to nine percent

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Speaker 2: completion percentage, fifteen touchdowns and zero picks and that's over

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Speaker 2: just nine games. So I think that Winston can actually

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Speaker 2: be the solution to the New Orleans Saints red zone

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Speaker 2: problems that they've had so far this year. You're getting

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Speaker 2: the boost in the form of Alba Kamara coming back

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Speaker 2: from his suspension. The Buccaneers are playing on a short

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Speaker 2: week on the road, and what has been the Buccaneers

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Speaker 2: recipe for success on offense, Throw the ball to Mike

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Speaker 2: at Throw the ball to Mike Evans. He has seventy

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Speaker 2: five percent of their touchdowns on offense this year. Who's

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Speaker 2: going to stop Mike Evans this week? Marshawn Lademp.

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Speaker 1: They answered to it, aw Man, I finally knew the

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Speaker 1: answer to a question in class, and I couldn't even

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Speaker 1: raise my hand in time, damn it.

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Speaker 2: So, considering the Buccaneers have two wins against two teams

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Speaker 2: that are currently zero and three, I think that they're

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Speaker 2: one of these, you know, fraudulent two to one teams,

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Speaker 2: even though I think the Saints are a bit of

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Speaker 2: a fake two and one team as well. But the

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Speaker 2: Saint should be at least three, and oh they should

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Speaker 2: have won last week. So for me, I'm going to

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Speaker 2: back the home team here. Even with Jamis Winston making

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Speaker 2: a start, I think you get some value on the

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Speaker 2: number because it is Winston and not Derek Carr. I

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Speaker 2: think it would actually be higher for it was his car,

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Speaker 2: but I don't really see it that way.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you make a lot of good arguments there. That

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Speaker 1: number is three on sites like FANDUL and Caesars, but

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Speaker 1: three and a half on spots like bet, MGM and DK,

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Speaker 1: which is why again, you place your bets through the

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Speaker 1: app and you sing all your sportsbooks on betting pros,

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Speaker 1: you can get the best number you can lock in

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Speaker 1: that three. Instead, let's go back to you, Mike Randall,

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Speaker 1: with another one here for Week four in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: What do you have?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna go assuming that Jimmy g starts. I'm

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Speaker 3: gonna take the Raiders plus the points, five to five

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Speaker 3: and a half at the Chargers. Josh Jacob's big game

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Speaker 3: is coming. Last three matchups with the Chargers five point one,

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Speaker 3: five point seven, five point five yards per carry. It's

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Speaker 3: like a bingo card here. Chargers just got sliced by

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Speaker 3: the corpse of Alexander Madison to point seven yards per carry.

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Speaker 3: And is that any Are you guys impressed with the

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Speaker 3: Chargers defense? I mean they are fourth worst in the

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Speaker 3: NFL and DEFENSI dboa per Aaron Shatz here, and thank

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Speaker 3: god for the Broncos because they bumped them up once

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Speaker 3: spot after that disaster last week. Seven of the eight

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Speaker 3: games between these two AFC rivals, guys decided by a

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Speaker 3: touchdown or less two and over time. We know the Chargers.

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Speaker 3: This is what they do. They've won four of only

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Speaker 3: four of their last twenty games have been decided by six.

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Speaker 1: Points or more.

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Speaker 3: The Chargers are going to Charger this is what they are.

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Speaker 3: Six eight and one against the spread as a home favorite.

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Speaker 3: I put home in quotation marks because of their lack

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Speaker 3: of home field advantage under Brandon Staley. That's four eight

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Speaker 3: to one guys thirty three percent as a touchdown or

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Speaker 3: less favorite. Do you have confidence in the Chargers defense,

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Speaker 3: I don't know, Mike Williams. Of course, let's keep it close.

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Speaker 3: Raiders plus the points assuming Jimmy g starts. If not,

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Speaker 3: then the bet is off.

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Speaker 1: That makes a lot of sense to me, And it

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Speaker 1: does feel like the perfect time where people are gonna,

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Speaker 1: you know, they'll think it's safe to go out and

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Speaker 1: Charger again after last week, and that's always when it

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Speaker 1: comes back to bite you in ther end. I mean

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Speaker 1: that defense has been terrible and Staley basically handed the

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Speaker 1: Vikings that game too, and the Vikings just could not.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the Vikings are their own worst enemies so

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Speaker 1: far in the first three weeks of the season. I

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Speaker 1: can't It's so hard to watch them sometimes and thank

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Speaker 1: god I'm not a Vikings fan. I'm sorry, like I

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Speaker 1: got I should actually send Thor something. Our friend thor

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Speaker 1: Nystrom here on the College Football show at Betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: He has had a rough September, so I'm gonna have

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Speaker 1: to text him and check do a wellness check on

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Speaker 1: thor see how he's doing after this bike us up.

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Speaker 1: But you make great points out there out the Chargers

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Speaker 1: there love that one, all right, Eric, say, let's go

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Speaker 1: back to you for another Week four. Bet line it up.

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Speaker 1: Let's go the game of the week.

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Speaker 2: At least in my opinion, I'm gonna go with the

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Speaker 2: Dolphins coming away plus three against the Buffalo Bills heading

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Speaker 2: up north. Look, are we gonna forget that the Dolphins

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Speaker 2: almost one outright against Buffalo when they were thirteen and

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Speaker 2: a half point dog right the playoffs last year with

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Speaker 2: a third string quarterback. The Dolphins were that close to

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Speaker 2: beating this Bills team without two or without a bunch

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Speaker 2: of their weapons. And now it's just it's plus three, Like,

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Speaker 2: come on, who's gonna stop this Dolphins offense? Like, I'm

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Speaker 2: not convinced that the Bills are that team that's going

427
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Speaker 2: to be able to stop Miami's offense. They put up

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Speaker 2: seventy points last week without Jayla Wattell. Who's going to

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Speaker 2: play in this game. So it's not even like, oh,

430
00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,040
Speaker 2: let's look at the tape and figure out how we

431
00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:04,200
Speaker 2: can stop this team. It's like they haven't even reached

432
00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:06,720
Speaker 2: their final form while they even play in that game.

433
00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:09,680
Speaker 2: So for me, again, it should be a shootout, should

434
00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:11,720
Speaker 2: be a fun game to watch. But I just think

435
00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:14,399
Speaker 2: that the Bills are getting too I mean they're playing

436
00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:16,000
Speaker 2: at home. Is that it like if this was on

437
00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:18,199
Speaker 2: neutral field, would be pick them. It's like for me,

438
00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:22,280
Speaker 2: the home field advantage for Buffalo. It's September. This isn't

439
00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:23,800
Speaker 2: December football we're talking about.

440
00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:26,200
Speaker 1: Here was the point that I made the same point

441
00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:28,400
Speaker 1: in the video this week, which was, hey, guys, look,

442
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:31,040
Speaker 1: I know it's Buffalo and all this stuff. It's September.

443
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,840
Speaker 1: This is not January or December year. All the teams

444
00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:36,000
Speaker 1: of Miami can't go was gonna be seventy degrees in

445
00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:37,840
Speaker 1: Buffalo for God's sakes or something close to it. I

446
00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:39,639
Speaker 1: mean I made the same argument. I took it a

447
00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:41,560
Speaker 1: step further in my video this week. In my Top

448
00:18:41,560 --> 00:18:44,119
Speaker 1: ten minutes, I just took them on the money line, like,

449
00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,159
Speaker 1: let's go plus one thirty is the best number you

450
00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:47,639
Speaker 1: can get on them. I think I got it plus

451
00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,119
Speaker 1: one twenty five at the time on FanDuel. But I

452
00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:53,240
Speaker 1: just don't get this one. Like to me, I think

453
00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:56,959
Speaker 1: the more time that everybody has been involved and ingrained

454
00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:00,119
Speaker 1: into this offense ericson, it just seems like we're starting

455
00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:03,239
Speaker 1: to see all of the fruits of that labor and

456
00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:04,960
Speaker 1: the yes, the seventy point thing was fun. We're not

457
00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,280
Speaker 1: gonna chase that last week. But Erickson, it just feels like,

458
00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:10,080
Speaker 1: even what Jaylen Waddell confirmed now coming back this week too,

459
00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:12,879
Speaker 1: it's a lot of things to try to stop in

460
00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:14,440
Speaker 1: this Miami offense. Erickson.

461
00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:17,960
Speaker 2: Yeah. And I think too. You look at Tron Armstead. No,

462
00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:20,399
Speaker 2: that was his first game back last week, you know

463
00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:22,240
Speaker 2: with him and two are both healthy. There seven and

464
00:19:22,280 --> 00:19:24,320
Speaker 2: three straight up over the past two seasons, Like he

465
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:27,080
Speaker 2: matters a lot as an offensive tackle. And I think

466
00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:29,560
Speaker 2: that we're reading too much too or maybe the market's

467
00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:30,960
Speaker 2: reading too much into what the Bills did to the

468
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:35,400
Speaker 2: Commanders last week. Four interceptions, nine sacks of Sam Howell. Yeah,

469
00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:38,280
Speaker 2: because Sam Howel holds onto the ball forever. That's not

470
00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:40,639
Speaker 2: to his game whatsoever. Towho gets the ball out in

471
00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:42,760
Speaker 2: like nanoseconds. It's like by the time that the past

472
00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:45,280
Speaker 2: rus starts to get there, he's already thrown the ball.

473
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,840
Speaker 2: Sam Howell is like getting his hair cut back there.

474
00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:48,800
Speaker 2: He's trying to order.

475
00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:52,479
Speaker 1: It and he made everything just gets Or if you're

476
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:54,120
Speaker 1: gonna sit back on that long, you might as well,

477
00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:55,760
Speaker 1: just eat the football and take the sack, because he

478
00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:57,439
Speaker 1: was trying to do too much sometimes too and that

479
00:19:57,800 --> 00:20:00,960
Speaker 1: always gets you in a bad way. Josh Allen knows too,

480
00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:02,400
Speaker 1: and if he tries to do too much of this game,

481
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:04,719
Speaker 1: that could set you back as well. So Ericson likes

482
00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:06,359
Speaker 1: them with the points. I like the Dolphins on the

483
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:08,359
Speaker 1: money line. I'm just going right for the jugular. Let's go,

484
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:11,080
Speaker 1: Let's go. I also bet the Dolphins to win that division,

485
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:13,719
Speaker 1: and not because of the seventy point game. It's because

486
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:17,240
Speaker 1: I just think right now, offense kills and this is

487
00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:19,359
Speaker 1: the universe we live in in the NFL, and I

488
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,520
Speaker 1: don't know if anybody can keep pace with them from

489
00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:24,280
Speaker 1: an offensive standpoint. All Right, Before we get to the

490
00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:26,439
Speaker 1: final big bets of the week for the Boys, I

491
00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:28,720
Speaker 1: just want to remind everybody out there too make sure

492
00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:31,440
Speaker 1: you join our NFL contest. If you haven't already, go

493
00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:34,720
Speaker 1: to bettingpros dot com slash NFL contest, or if you've

494
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,040
Speaker 1: already downloaded the app like I told you to all

495
00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:39,919
Speaker 1: these weeks, just go to the community tab, click on that,

496
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:43,040
Speaker 1: go to NFL Contest Join make five picks a week.

497
00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:45,160
Speaker 1: One hundred during the NFL season, or just the five

498
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,120
Speaker 1: picks a week if you're just joining now, that's cool too.

499
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:49,320
Speaker 1: And the grand prize winner is going to get a

500
00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:52,160
Speaker 1: sign Jackson Smith and Jig but Jersey. We're also giving

501
00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:54,400
Speaker 1: away weekly prizes, so don't say, hey, I missed out.

502
00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:56,840
Speaker 1: I can't win anything. Of course you can. Weekly prizes,

503
00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:59,760
Speaker 1: monthly prizes. We're giving away Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros

504
00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 1: pre upgrades. We're giving away swag to our shops at

505
00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:04,120
Speaker 1: Betting Pros, Fantasy Pros. You can win a cool hoodie

506
00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:06,040
Speaker 1: like I'm wearing right here. Look at the VP hoodie.

507
00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:08,560
Speaker 1: So go check out the NFL contest again on the

508
00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 1: community to have on the app or Bettingpros dot com

509
00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:14,159
Speaker 1: slash NFL Contest again. We just want to give you

510
00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:16,320
Speaker 1: free things. Wouldn't it be nice just to get some

511
00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:18,880
Speaker 1: pre stuff, Mike Randall, let's give some people some free money.

512
00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:20,879
Speaker 1: What do you have here? Last, but not least, for

513
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:22,040
Speaker 1: Week four, I.

514
00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:24,480
Speaker 3: Like to thank you guys for the perfect segue into

515
00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:29,040
Speaker 3: this pick. Philly minus eight against Washington. Sam Howell has

516
00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:32,760
Speaker 3: turned into a stunt double for Terry Tait, office linebacker

517
00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:35,320
Speaker 3: with the amount of sacks and hits he's taking back there.

518
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:39,400
Speaker 3: The biggest discrepancy in this game is the Washington offensive

519
00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:43,600
Speaker 3: line and the Philadelphia offensive line. Member Philly really impressive

520
00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:45,840
Speaker 3: last week. They were dealing with the flu going around,

521
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,000
Speaker 3: and you talked about it. With the offense, I don't

522
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,360
Speaker 3: think they can stop it. You have to get pressure

523
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:52,000
Speaker 3: and they're not going to be able to do that.

524
00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:55,359
Speaker 3: Washington is allowing six and a half sacks per game.

525
00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:58,159
Speaker 3: You want to expand that out, guys, that's one hundred

526
00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:00,560
Speaker 3: and eight sacks this year. The record is seventy six

527
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:04,479
Speaker 3: back with the expansion Texans. Here, Washington didn't win at Philly,

528
00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:08,320
Speaker 3: they ended their perfect season. Philly remembers that they're gonna

529
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 3: be ready to go, and in that game they had

530
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 3: three lost fumbles. So barring any turnover regression, I'm going

531
00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:16,400
Speaker 3: with Philly. By the way, this is also a ten

532
00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:19,240
Speaker 3: point eight percent edge at FTN are ten percent or

533
00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:23,320
Speaker 3: higher edges thirteen and two this year on totals and side,

534
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 3: so everything lines up. If you're nervous about the eight,

535
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 3: because I know it's a crazy number, you can tease

536
00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:30,360
Speaker 3: it down to two. I think that's fine. Also, Philly's

537
00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:32,200
Speaker 3: gonna get the win here and I'm gonna lay the eight.

538
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:33,399
Speaker 1: Even though it's a weird number.

539
00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:36,600
Speaker 3: I just think, how is Washington gonna protect Sam Howell

540
00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,240
Speaker 3: after what we saw last week and now they're going

541
00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:39,840
Speaker 3: on the road.

542
00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,359
Speaker 1: It's a weird number. I bet it on Monday afternoon

543
00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:46,080
Speaker 1: and then I did a video about it on Tuesday afternoon.

544
00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:48,760
Speaker 1: I'm with you one hundred percent everything All Eagles, all

545
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 1: the time in this one too. I think there's gonna

546
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:53,439
Speaker 1: be with Jalen Carter's Chason after you're right up that

547
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:55,360
Speaker 1: minut We already talked about holding on the ball too long,

548
00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,000
Speaker 1: and it's not gonna be able to do that. Is

549
00:22:58,080 --> 00:22:59,560
Speaker 1: not gonna be able to hold onto the ball too long.

550
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,440
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a long day at the office, I

551
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:04,240
Speaker 1: think for the Washington Commanders. So, yes, weird number. I agree,

552
00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 1: But again it's on that list of top ten bets

553
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:08,439
Speaker 1: for me, so I'm glad that Mike Randall's in on

554
00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:10,200
Speaker 1: it too. Now. It makes me feel warm and fuzzy

555
00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 1: ericson one more, let's lock it up. What do you got?

556
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:16,800
Speaker 2: Basically the opposite of the Game of the Week going

557
00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:20,120
Speaker 2: with the Denver Broncos and Chicago Bears matchup two teams

558
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 2: that you think one of these teams has to win.

559
00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:25,160
Speaker 2: It's the Caleb Williams Bowls way that I'm looking at,

560
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:28,399
Speaker 2: maybe the semifinals because we've got all the three and

561
00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:30,119
Speaker 2: teams are playing each other this week, so we got

562
00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 2: four oh to three teams going at it to win

563
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:35,280
Speaker 2: the rights to draft Caleb Williams in twenty twenty four.

564
00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:38,440
Speaker 2: So looking forward to that. But looking at this particular game,

565
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,760
Speaker 2: we know that both defenses suck. Both offenses are pretty bad,

566
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,960
Speaker 2: except maybe the Broncos offense isn't that bad, Like that's

567
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:47,600
Speaker 2: the only unit I actually have any confidence backing in

568
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:50,680
Speaker 2: any sort of capacity. Russell Wilson has played okay this year.

569
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:53,679
Speaker 2: Broncos offense has been about average, But where they've been

570
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:56,399
Speaker 2: their best is actually in the first half. Sixteen points

571
00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,439
Speaker 2: per game in the first half this year, how rank

572
00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:01,400
Speaker 2: seventh best. So I'm just gonna take them with the spread,

573
00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:03,320
Speaker 2: the first half spread one half points. They're gonna be up.

574
00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 2: They're gonna beating the Bears in the first half. That's

575
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:06,320
Speaker 2: all I need to watch in this game, and then

576
00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:07,880
Speaker 2: I can turn it off and watch something else, because

577
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:09,920
Speaker 2: that's what I want to do because the Bears rank

578
00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 2: second to last at first half points. They probably ranked

579
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:14,040
Speaker 2: second to last and second half points too, But for

580
00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:17,159
Speaker 2: this bet, that doesn't matter. Have the Broncos get the

581
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,600
Speaker 2: lead in the first half, turn off for TV, move on,

582
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:20,720
Speaker 2: cash out your bet.

583
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:23,080
Speaker 1: I love it. That's the perfect way to watch this

584
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:25,000
Speaker 1: football game or not watch it, I guess, depending on

585
00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,240
Speaker 1: your perspective. There's a more big curiosity though for me

586
00:24:27,280 --> 00:24:29,679
Speaker 1: in this game, I just want to see how the

587
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,479
Speaker 1: Broncos respond because that was an all time butt whooping

588
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:36,360
Speaker 1: that they got last week and the wacky flailing arm

589
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:39,840
Speaker 1: inflatable tube secondary tackling that they tried to do where

590
00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 1: the Dwarms are just kind of wakling like that. That's

591
00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:43,160
Speaker 1: kind of what they look like out there, I which

592
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:45,360
Speaker 1: is arm tackling all the running backs. And I understand

593
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 1: like around thirty they kind of quit, but kind of

594
00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:49,399
Speaker 1: they quit. It felt like around twenty something too, like

595
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:51,040
Speaker 1: they just kind of like started to throw in the

596
00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:53,440
Speaker 1: towel and then it just got really embarrassing. So yes,

597
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 1: it's probably the best way to approach this game. Some

598
00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:57,320
Speaker 1: really good stuff here from the Boys, just to recap

599
00:24:57,560 --> 00:24:59,760
Speaker 1: Ericsson's on the Jags at minus three, the Rams on

600
00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:02,280
Speaker 1: the mum line, the Saints at minus three, the Dolphins

601
00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:05,359
Speaker 1: at plus three. I'm Dolphins money line. Let's go. Sorry,

602
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 1: Bill's Mafia. I know you're gonna hate me, but I

603
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,160
Speaker 1: love you and I love putting people through tables. It's

604
00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:11,680
Speaker 1: one of my favorite pastime. But Finns up in this game.

605
00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:14,280
Speaker 1: Broncos first half minus one and a half. Love that

606
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:16,879
Speaker 1: one too. Randall is on the Ravens plus two and

607
00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:19,679
Speaker 1: a half is a saucy at Cleveland with that defense.

608
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 1: I can't wait to see if you're right. The Titans

609
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 1: at plus two and a half against the Bengals they

610
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:26,040
Speaker 1: are in Cincinnati, the Rams Colts under forty six and

611
00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:28,120
Speaker 1: a half, the Raiders plus five and a half as

612
00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:30,119
Speaker 1: the Chargers are gonna charge her, and then the Eagles

613
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:34,520
Speaker 1: at minus eight against Washington. He is the CCO of FTN.

614
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:36,480
Speaker 1: That's a lot of letters, but make sure that you

615
00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 1: follow him on the Twitter machine, er x or whatever

616
00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:40,520
Speaker 1: the heck it is today at Randall rant and check

617
00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:42,240
Speaker 1: out all his amazing work at FTN. He's run of

618
00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 1: the best in the business, one of my favorite people

619
00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:46,160
Speaker 1: in the business. Mike Randall, Thanks for joining us today

620
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:48,679
Speaker 1: on the show. Don't forget everybody. Comment below tell us

621
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:51,080
Speaker 1: what your favorite picks are right here on the YouTube channel.

622
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,600
Speaker 1: Subscribe to the YouTube channel, click the belt of lekos

623
00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:55,880
Speaker 1: Ding and you just might win a James Cook autograph

624
00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 1: jersey that's right from us. Download the VP app too

625
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:01,400
Speaker 1: if you haven't already sent your sportsbooks, and check out

626
00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:04,320
Speaker 1: Premium for free for a few days on us again,

627
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:05,960
Speaker 1: where the gift that keeps on giving, And join the

628
00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 1: NFL contest at Bettingpros dot com slash NFL contest. That'll

629
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:11,320
Speaker 1: do it for us, but the story of the game

630
00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:13,600
Speaker 1: goes on for Andrew Ericson and Mike Randall. I'm Joey p.

631
00:26:14,280 --> 00:26:17,679
Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to

632
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:20,840
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros podcast. Follow us on x and TikTok

633
00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 1: at Betting Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also

634
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:27,520
Speaker 1: subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash

635
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:28,160
Speaker 1: Betting Pros