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Speaker 1: Happy Saturday, guys. What's up?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast

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Speaker 2: with me Matt Perolt. You guys can go follow me

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Speaker 2: on socials at Sports Talk Matt. This podcast being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by your friends at Omaha Steaks dot Com.

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Speaker 2: The promo code is Juice and the search bar that's

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Speaker 2: going to knock off sixty one percent for the Gourmet

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Speaker 2: percent satisfaction guaranteed with Omasteaks dot com. Okay, so I

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Speaker 2: am taking a break from baseball today. Okay, I am

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Speaker 2: going to UFC two ninety. I will be at this

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Speaker 2: fight coming up the fights at T Mobile Arenas.

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Speaker 1: I will be able to give you guys.

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Speaker 2: Some behind the scenes conversations, videos, pictures, and whatnot. If

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Speaker 2: you guys are interested, head over to our discord channel

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Speaker 2: Bettingpros dot com slash.

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Speaker 1: Chat free to get in there.

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Speaker 2: That's where I will be hanging out during these fights

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Speaker 2: to give you guys, a behind the scenes look at

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Speaker 2: UFC two ninety and the big fights. There are big

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Speaker 2: fights all over. This card is going to be, in

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Speaker 2: my opinion, a very chalky night. So we'll get to

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Speaker 2: that here in just one second. But baseball has been

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Speaker 2: sort of like this, one in two, one in two,

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Speaker 2: one and two slow burn slow drought another loss last night.

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Speaker 2: We could have gone two in one. Unfortunately, if you

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Speaker 2: bet late with the Marlins, you got sevens, you went one,

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Speaker 2: one in one, you pushed on seven. I bet seven

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Speaker 2: and a half, so I lost. I went one and two.

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Speaker 2: So it's a six and six week, okay, So it's

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Speaker 2: a flat week down the juice, losing week at the moment,

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Speaker 2: Saturday and Sunday to go before we can declare that's

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Speaker 2: a winning or a losing week. So ill time. But

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Speaker 2: since I'm going to the fights, I'm gonna give you

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Speaker 2: guys three bets that I have made that I like

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Speaker 2: for tonight and we can have some fun with this.

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Speaker 2: And I'm looking forward to seeing what's gonna happen for

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Speaker 2: these fights. So let's start with Robbie Lawler. Nico Price

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Speaker 2: is his opponent. Now, Robbie Lawler is fighting his final

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Speaker 2: fight at forty one years of age in the UFC.

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Speaker 2: My opinion on these types of fights when a guy

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Speaker 2: is fighting for the last time in the UFC, Cowboy

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Speaker 2: Seroni comes to mind. When you start talking about the

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Speaker 2: last fight so many times, so many times, the guy

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Speaker 2: that is the fan favorite, everybody wants the guy to

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Speaker 2: win normally does not win. Nico Price younger, more talented,

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Speaker 2: lot less than the tank. He is minus two to twenty.

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Speaker 2: Not gonna lay that, but instead I think Robert Whittaker

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Speaker 2: is gonna annihilate du Police tonight. Robert Whittaker is only

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Speaker 2: lost to one fighter in this division and that's Israel

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Speaker 2: out of somnia. Okay, he's not fighting, is he tonight?

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Speaker 2: I think he takes this dude a part. He's a

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Speaker 2: minus three to ninety on the card. If you parlay

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Speaker 2: money line money line, which I don't like doing, okay,

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Speaker 2: because one guy goes down, it blows the bet. But

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Speaker 2: I feel pretty good about this. It's minus one twenty one,

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Speaker 2: so you are still laying juice on this. But I

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Speaker 2: think Price is gonna knock is gonna beat probably knockout Lawler.

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Speaker 2: Maybe on the cards, but I think that fight it's

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Speaker 2: the headline fight for the prelimbs.

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Speaker 1: I don't think it goes.

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Speaker 2: Well for Robbie Lawler, and I think Robert Whittaker is

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Speaker 2: going to take a part to police seize partly. Those

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Speaker 2: two money lines together, it's minus one twenty one, one

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Speaker 2: point twenty one units down price Whittaker two leg money

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Speaker 2: line parlay comes in and cashes you at one twenty one.

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Speaker 2: That's a one unit win coming back to us hopefully

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Speaker 2: here with that. Now, second bet, let's talk about Brandon

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Speaker 2: Moreno up against Pantosia. He's lost to this dude twice. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this fight, man, A lot of people like Moreno to win.

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Speaker 1: This fight.

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Speaker 2: Gone back and forth back and forth on this a ton.

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Speaker 2: So if you want to look at the matchup in

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Speaker 2: how these two fighters match up with against each other,

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Speaker 2: Moreno is twenty one six and two, Pantosia is twenty

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Speaker 2: five and five fourteen fifty three. Average fight time for Moreno,

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Speaker 2: ten oh two for Pantosia, three inch reach advantage for

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Speaker 2: Moreno could be really really large. Strikes landed per minute though,

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Speaker 2: favors Pantosia four point twenty five with a forty eight

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Speaker 2: percent accuracy him with strikes.

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Speaker 1: Strike absorbed three point three to three point one.

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Speaker 2: So on the feet, Pentosa is going to be a

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Speaker 2: little more accurate, gonna be a little more you know,

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Speaker 2: cause more damage. Submission wise, you got average takedowns at

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Speaker 2: one point eight for Brandon Moreno to one point three

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Speaker 2: for Pantosia. Take Down accuracy is forty five percent to

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Speaker 2: forty takedown defense it's equal sixty seven percent. Now, the

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Speaker 2: win over Figaredo was enormous for Moreno. That was his

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Speaker 2: last fight when he won the belt. Shock some people.

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Speaker 2: I don't know who wins this fight. I think Pantoja

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Speaker 2: is live to win this fight. I'm not gonna you know,

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Speaker 2: I can't sit here and be like, yes, one hundred percent.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to jump in here and I'm going to

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Speaker 2: back Pantosia. But there's something going on at FanDuel that

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Speaker 2: has to be paid attention to. Everyone else is at

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Speaker 2: three and a half rounds. FanDuel is at four and

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Speaker 2: a half rounds. I don't understand this. It doesn't make

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Speaker 2: any sense to me. And I'm like, I don't know

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Speaker 2: if it's just a position that FanDuel is taking or

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Speaker 2: they want to be the leader. But three and a

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Speaker 2: half rounds is what it is at Circus Sports in Vegas,

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Speaker 2: FanDuel tonight in FanDuel all day. This number hasn't moved.

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Speaker 2: In this number, I think you have to go and

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Speaker 2: play it. Total rounds is four and a half. It's

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Speaker 2: juice to the over only minus one O eight for

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Speaker 2: under four and a half rounds. I mean, this thing

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Speaker 2: could go to the carts, absolutely, and if it goes

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Speaker 2: to the cards, I'm gonna lose this bet. And it's

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Speaker 2: one hundred percent possible that it would go to the carts.

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Speaker 2: Moreno knocked out Figaredo in his last fight in the

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Speaker 2: third round and then knocked out Kaikara France in the

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Speaker 2: fight before that. Lost the Figaredo fight before that by decision.

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Speaker 2: Submitted Figaredo in the first matchup in the third round

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Speaker 2: majority decision against Moreno, but that was the draw that

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Speaker 2: ended up causing this fight to go to the four.

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Speaker 2: They fought four times decision against Formiga back on March

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Speaker 2: of twenty twenty, decision against kai Kiara France. I mean

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Speaker 2: there was a run there for a while where we

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Speaker 2: had one to four straight fights, five straight fight so

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Speaker 2: went to the cards, all three round fights. This is

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Speaker 2: a five rounder.

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Speaker 1: Since Marino has been fighting five rounders, though I mean

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Speaker 1: he's gotten two.

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Speaker 2: Of the fights have gone all five rounds, but four

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Speaker 2: out of the last six have gone under four and

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Speaker 2: a half rounds. I just think if Pantosa is live,

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Speaker 2: and I think he is live, I think it's a

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Speaker 2: real chance that he winds up stopping get it gets stopped,

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Speaker 2: or stops this fight early, five round fight four and

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Speaker 2: a half FanDuel. I'm going under four and a half

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Speaker 2: rounds at minus one O eight at FanDuel in particular

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Speaker 2: because Vegas is all at three and a half four

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Speaker 2: and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's a big difference.

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Speaker 2: That means this fight has to go into the fifth

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Speaker 2: round and two minutes in fifty and thirty seconds, this

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Speaker 2: fight goes and ends before that, it goes under, goes

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Speaker 2: into the fifth round, and we see two minutes and

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Speaker 2: forty nine sorry, two minutes and twenty nine seconds on

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Speaker 2: the clock.

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Speaker 1: We lose. Okay, this fight goes to the cards. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna lose. This fight, doesn't matter who wins.

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Speaker 2: I'm betting the under under four and a half rounds

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Speaker 2: Pantojia and moreno and minus one O eight one point

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Speaker 2: zero eight units down on that and then to the

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Speaker 2: main event, and it is going to be a really hard,

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Speaker 2: hard fight. In my mind, Volganovsky is a robot in

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Speaker 2: a lot of ways. Volganovsky is a guy that I mean,

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Speaker 2: he's so consistent, he's so good, he's so hard. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I cannot believe he survived the Brian Ortega fight.

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Speaker 1: I still.

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Speaker 2: I mean I was oct gun side for that. I

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Speaker 2: watched his head turn purple and the guy still was

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Speaker 2: able to win the fight. I don't know how the

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Speaker 2: heck he was able to do it, but he did it.

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Speaker 2: And this is why Volkanovsky this is a really difficult

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Speaker 2: guy to go against. Rodriguez is tremendous, he's awesome, but

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Speaker 2: Volk at twenty five and two is just so damn good.

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Speaker 2: I just don't know if he wins it on the cards.

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Speaker 2: I think Volke by decision at plus one thirty is

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Speaker 2: a good bet if you want to make it, and

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Speaker 2: don't mind that bet at all. But it could be earlier.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Volganovski could stop him. Volganazi's got the power

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Speaker 2: to do it. I mean, he lost his last fight,

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Speaker 2: but that was when he moved up into a different

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Speaker 2: weight class.

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Speaker 1: Against Holloway.

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Speaker 2: He had a decision against other fighters of equal caliber,

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Speaker 2: I mean Max Holloway, Brian Otega, Max Holloway. Again, those

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Speaker 2: are all fights that wind up going to decisions to

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Speaker 2: the cards. It's very possible this fight goes to the

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Speaker 2: card and it's plus one point thirty. I'm just gonna

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Speaker 2: not mess around and maybe Volganovski gets a stoppage or

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Speaker 2: a submission. I'm with Yer Rodriguez because the year it's

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Speaker 2: gonna swing and he's gonna be right there. He's gonna

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Speaker 2: be hitable. That's the one thing about this fight. Arrigez

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Speaker 2: takes damage and that's really dangerous. I mean strike's landing

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Speaker 2: Volganovski's six point three five, and then you look at

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Speaker 2: strikes absorbed four point zero three for Rodriguez per minute

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Speaker 2: he gets touched up against Vulk. That could be really dangerous.

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Speaker 2: You can go to sleep and or submitted. Don't like

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Speaker 2: it danger there. I think money line's the better bet,

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Speaker 2: but I'm not gonna go ahead and lay the price

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Speaker 2: on money line for Volk match three fifth. Instead Bo Nickel,

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Speaker 2: who is going to go off as the largest favorite

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Speaker 2: in the history of the UFC in his fight he's

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Speaker 2: going to annihilate the dude that they're throwing out there.

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Speaker 1: Basically, just as you know, this is a bad situation.

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Speaker 1: It's a short tick.

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Speaker 2: Val would Burn is stepping in making his debut in

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Speaker 2: the UFC against an absolute beast in bo Nickel. Maybe

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Speaker 2: it's first round, maybe it's second round, maybe it's third round,

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Speaker 2: but at some point bow Nichol is going to submit this.

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Speaker 1: Guy minus two thirty five. You parlay it together.

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Speaker 2: It's minus one twenty Volganovski money line bow Nickel by

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Speaker 2: submission one point two units down on that. We're coming

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Speaker 2: back with a one unit play there. All right, I

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Speaker 2: know I'm betting parlay.

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Speaker 1: It's here. I know my record betting MMA is not great.

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Speaker 2: So if you want to fade these bets or not

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Speaker 2: make these plays, that's completely fine. I'm not going to

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Speaker 2: be mad at you at all. I'm going to the fight.

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Speaker 2: So I want to have action throughout the entire night,

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Speaker 2: and so we're gonna have action throughout the entire night.

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Speaker 1: Again.

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Speaker 2: First bet moneyline parlay. We are taking price to win,

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Speaker 2: Whittaker to win minus one twenty one. We're going under

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Speaker 2: four and a half rounds at FanDuel at minus want

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Speaker 2: to wait for the Comaine for Pentosia and moreno, and

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Speaker 2: we're going bow Nickel by submission and Alexander Woganovski moneyline

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Speaker 2: two leg parlay there for one minus one twenty for

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Speaker 2: one point two units there, all right, a little over

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Speaker 2: three units in play here on a Saturday, all MMA.

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Speaker 2: No baseball taking a break here, maybe even tomorrow if

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Speaker 2: I ken as well. But since I'm going to this

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Speaker 2: fight card, let's just stay away from baseball for the day.

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Speaker 2: Maybe tomorrow get back into it minus Matt Perrault to

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Speaker 2: follow me on socials at Sports Talk Match. You guys know,

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Speaker 2: this podcast, The Daily Juice I was being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by Omaha Steaks dot com