1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:17,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 2: This is Wall Street Week. I'm David Weston bringing you 3 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 2: stories of capitalism. The US government has become a venture capitalist, 4 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 2: buying equity and quantum computing companies as a bet on 5 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:33,239 Speaker 2: the future. Plus, Google turns to AI in making the 6 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 2: biggest changes in its search engine in over twenty years. 7 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 3: And the World. 8 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:40,160 Speaker 2: Cup returns to North America for the first time since 9 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 2: nineteen ninety four, with a lot more teams, a lot 10 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 2: more matches, and a lot higher price tag for fans. 11 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:50,919 Speaker 2: But we start with the arrival of the mega IPO 12 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 2: led by SpaceX, with Anthropic and OpenAI right behind. What 13 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 2: does starting out with a one trillion dollar market cap 14 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 2: mean for the markets and those of us investing in them. 15 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:05,039 Speaker 2: Stephen Randner is chairman and CEO of Willet Advisors, which 16 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 2: invest the personal and philanthropic assets of our founder and 17 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:13,320 Speaker 2: majority owner Michael Bloomberg. Steve this week, we have had 18 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:17,639 Speaker 2: the IPO spasics long awaited, and it's not the only 19 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 2: one that appears to be going out at a trillion 20 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:24,120 Speaker 2: dollars or more. We also have Anthropic and we have 21 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:27,760 Speaker 2: Open AI. There's a lot of talk about this in 22 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:28,679 Speaker 2: the financial press. 23 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 3: Is it that big a deal? 24 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 4: Oh yeah, this is extraordinary. I've been in this business 25 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 4: for a pretty long time, back in the day when 26 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 4: a few hundred million dollars in market cap and an 27 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:42,959 Speaker 4: IPO of fifty million dollars was reasonable. And now look 28 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:46,679 Speaker 4: where we are. We've never had companies of this kind 29 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 4: of valuation on the day they go public, go public. 30 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 4: We've never had this amount of capital being raised in 31 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 4: an ipo. It's extraordinary, and perhaps it's a natural part 32 00:01:56,200 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 4: of the evolution of capital markets, but it is still extraordinary. 33 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 2: It's also, i would say relatively concentrated, as much of 34 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 2: the stock market has been actually in big tech. I mean, 35 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 2: it's all tech related, AI elected related. 36 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 3: Is that a problem? 37 00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:10,959 Speaker 2: Potentially? 38 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 4: People certainly worry about it, the fact that you have 39 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 4: such a high percentage of the stock market and a 40 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:18,960 Speaker 4: relatively small number of seven to ten companies, depending on 41 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:21,720 Speaker 4: how you count. I've seen start showing that if you 42 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 4: look back at the dot com bubble, if you look 43 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 4: back at nineteen twenty nine, at some of the other corrections, 44 00:02:26,760 --> 00:02:29,839 Speaker 4: there was a similar phenomenon. I'm not sure why those 45 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 4: two things necessarily should go together, but certainly the world 46 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 4: is in love with tech at the moment, and whether 47 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:37,800 Speaker 4: that will prove justified or not, time will tell. 48 00:02:38,120 --> 00:02:40,799 Speaker 2: Are there normal rules of finance suspended when it comes 49 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:42,519 Speaker 2: to these because I mean, if you look at things 50 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 2: like valuations, I mean they're really extraordinary. I mean, for example, 51 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 2: what they're talking about is spasics. Is it really you're saying, 52 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:55,040 Speaker 2: like ninety five times they're trailing revenue not earnings revenue? 53 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think I absolutely would agree with that. But 54 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,959 Speaker 4: I would also say that back in the dot com bubble, 55 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 4: we had companies going public I think, with no revenue 56 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 4: or some dominimus amount of revenue. Again, much smaller valuations, 57 00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:11,520 Speaker 4: much smaller offering sizes. But yes, the valuations very much 58 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 4: depend on what you believe is going to happen in 59 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 4: the future as opposed to what already happened or what's 60 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 4: happening at the moment. 61 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 2: When I talk about SpaceX and Anthropic and Opening Eye, 62 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 2: they're very different in one respect, which is profitability. SpaceX 63 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 2: actually has been losing money, making money in some parts, 64 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 2: losing money in others, and Opening Ai has yet to 65 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:35,120 Speaker 2: make money, and Thropic actually is making money. Should that 66 00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 2: make a difference to investors if they look at these 67 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 2: three stocks. 68 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 4: Not necessarily. I mean, it's certainly making money now is 69 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:44,320 Speaker 4: better than making money somewhere down the road. But an 70 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:47,520 Speaker 4: investment decision is essentially looking at the present value of 71 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 4: future cash flows, and so if you believe the future 72 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:52,600 Speaker 4: cash flows will be there, then the fact that it 73 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 4: doesn't make money now is not the end of the world. Obviously. 74 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 4: People who invest in private venture capital kinds of things, 75 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 4: or growth kinds of things are often investing in companies 76 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 4: that make no money at that point. Some of them 77 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,120 Speaker 4: don't even have a business at that point, but you're 78 00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:09,120 Speaker 4: believing what's going to happen in the future. The problem 79 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 4: is that the further down the road the cash flows 80 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 4: are going to occur, the positive cash flows, the more 81 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:17,160 Speaker 4: uncertainty obviously there is around them, the more you get 82 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 4: into questions of what's the right discount rate and how 83 00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:21,720 Speaker 4: do you really value cash flows that are five, six, 84 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 4: seven years out. 85 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:27,159 Speaker 2: As an investor looking at these stocks, we have SpaceX, 86 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 2: which is a fairly complex cregion. I mean, you got 87 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 2: space Launch, you've got AI, You've got all sorts of 88 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 2: things in there. As opposed, for example, Anthropic, which is 89 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:40,280 Speaker 2: a cleaner play. Does that make SpaceX more attractive or 90 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:41,040 Speaker 2: less attractive? 91 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:42,840 Speaker 4: I think you could go either way. I think there 92 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 4: are plenty of companies with one line of business that 93 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:48,039 Speaker 4: have done fine, and there are other companies with multiple 94 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 4: lines of business that have done fine. If you look 95 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 4: at SpaceX, the launch business is a excellent business. Musk 96 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 4: has done a fantastic job of essentially winning that race, 97 00:04:57,000 --> 00:04:59,160 Speaker 4: so to speak. If you look at the but it's 98 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:02,120 Speaker 4: a small business. It's never going to be a trillion 99 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:04,919 Speaker 4: dollar valuation kind of business. If you look at the 100 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:08,359 Speaker 4: Starling business, he's clearly done a great job with that 101 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 4: as well, But again it's not going to fully justify 102 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 4: probably the valuation. And so you have to believe that 103 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 4: out there there's something else. There's an AI business, whether 104 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 4: it's data centers in space or groc actually becoming more 105 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 4: viable than it seems to be so far, or something 106 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 4: like that. 107 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 2: We can't know right now. But as you look at 108 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 2: this as an investor, do you wonder where the upside is? 109 00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 2: I mean, as you know so well, companies are taking 110 00:05:35,600 --> 00:05:38,800 Speaker 2: a lot longer to go public in general, which means 111 00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 2: that a lot more of the upside may be before 112 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 2: it goes public and a lot of the growth may 113 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 2: be behind you as you go public. Is there a 114 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:47,719 Speaker 2: risk in something like a SpaceX that actually the good 115 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:49,279 Speaker 2: part's already been realized. 116 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 4: Absolutely? Absolutely. There's lots of research that's been done on IPOs. 117 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 4: Smaller IPOs of smaller companies tend to not perform as 118 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:01,440 Speaker 4: well over in the fullness of time post bigger companies. 119 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:04,159 Speaker 4: We obviously, again have no experience with something of the size, 120 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 4: so who knows. But you remember when Facebook now Meta 121 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:10,840 Speaker 4: when public, it was a really messy IPO. The stock 122 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 4: traded down, people were bailing out, and now look at it. 123 00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 4: Google had this weird IPO with their Dutch reverse Dutch 124 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:20,040 Speaker 4: auction whatever you want to call a thing, also a 125 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:23,599 Speaker 4: little complicated. Eventually look where Google is now. But then 126 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:26,280 Speaker 4: there's plenty of tombstones out there for the ones, I 127 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:30,000 Speaker 4: mean graveyard kind of tombstones, not celebratory tombstones, for the 128 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:31,320 Speaker 4: ones that didn't work out so well. 129 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 2: So there's concentration in the big tech AI area. There's 130 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:38,919 Speaker 2: just a concentration in the person of Elon Musk. He 131 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 2: has eighty five percent something like that. The voting control 132 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:43,840 Speaker 2: also's the CEO of the CTO and the chairman. 133 00:06:44,520 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 3: What are the risks involved in that? 134 00:06:46,360 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 4: As an investor, Well, there's definitely what we call key 135 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:53,679 Speaker 4: man risk. This company is a unique creation of Elon Musk. 136 00:06:53,720 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 4: I think he's got a good team. Gwynn Shotwell has 137 00:06:56,680 --> 00:07:00,680 Speaker 4: a great reputation. He doesn't suffer fools, obviously, only people 138 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 4: who really can stay with them. But nonetheless, it's hard 139 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:08,040 Speaker 4: to imagine many other people who could have achieved something 140 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 4: of this extraordinary magnitude. So I would separate the voting 141 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 4: control issue, which we can talk more about, from Ilon 142 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 4: the person actually calling the shots, making the important decisions 143 00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 4: that I think is critically important. The voting thing, I 144 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 4: think is a different kettle fish. 145 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 3: What do three. 146 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 2: IPOs as we're looking at right now mean for the 147 00:07:25,840 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 2: rest of the marketplace and other investors? I mean, first 148 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 2: of all, could there be a slipstream effect where there 149 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 2: are other ancillary businesses that serve these business that could 150 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 2: be brought along in the slipstream. 151 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:38,760 Speaker 4: It depends how they go. If they go well, then 152 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:41,760 Speaker 4: you will see more of them. It's not completely a coincidence. 153 00:07:41,800 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 4: I will think that you haven't seen that many IPOs 154 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 4: of these kinds of companies and they've been staying private 155 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:49,560 Speaker 4: for longer. Part of is the IPO market has not 156 00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:51,560 Speaker 4: been really robust for a good number of years. Now 157 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 4: I think it's finally coming out of that. And partly 158 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 4: I think people have not really wanted the hassle of 159 00:07:56,800 --> 00:08:00,120 Speaker 4: being a public company, and like being private. Now you 160 00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 4: need the amounts of capital that these companies need, You 161 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 4: really at some point have no choice, and so I 162 00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 4: think if this goes well, these three or most of them, 163 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 4: I think you will see more of them come out 164 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:13,320 Speaker 4: of the venture growth world and into the public markets. 165 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:15,800 Speaker 2: One of the things that was commonated is a circular 166 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:18,880 Speaker 2: nature of some of the transactions going on among these companies. 167 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:20,760 Speaker 3: I mean specifically the space X. 168 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 2: They have a deal with Nthropic right where Anthropics paying 169 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 2: them a lot of money I think like a billion 170 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 2: two fifty. 171 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:30,400 Speaker 3: A month, but with a ninety day out. 172 00:08:30,640 --> 00:08:32,520 Speaker 2: But there are a lot of other circularities among the 173 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 2: ownership and the relationships among these companies. 174 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:37,599 Speaker 3: Is that a risk and people. 175 00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:40,559 Speaker 4: Go back and they use analogies again the dot com era, 176 00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 4: when people were doing these contracts for dark fiber, but 177 00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:44,280 Speaker 4: they were never. 178 00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 3: Going to need it. 179 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:45,959 Speaker 4: They were never going to use it, it was never 180 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:46,640 Speaker 4: going to get built. 181 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 3: Whatever. 182 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:48,720 Speaker 4: I don't think it's that much of a risk here 183 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 4: because fundamentally, what we do know this far is that 184 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 4: AI is going to be a game changer. When you 185 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:57,079 Speaker 4: look at the pace of revenue growth for the providers 186 00:08:57,120 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 4: of the large language models, it is I don't think 187 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 4: I've ever in my career see businesses exceed a set 188 00:09:03,920 --> 00:09:06,480 Speaker 4: of projections by as much as these companies have. More 189 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:09,040 Speaker 4: often than not, businesses fall but short of your projections. 190 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 3: Whatever. 191 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 4: This has been extraordinary, and the usage, the adoption rate 192 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:16,520 Speaker 4: is unlike any technology I believe in history in terms 193 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:18,719 Speaker 4: of how fast it's being used and how much it's 194 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 4: being used by people. So there's a real business at 195 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:23,960 Speaker 4: the bottom of this. If Musk wants to use some 196 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:26,679 Speaker 4: of his excess data capacity to generate some revenue in 197 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:29,560 Speaker 4: the meantime while he tries to build Rock into a 198 00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:32,960 Speaker 4: viable LLM, I don't have a problem with that. You 199 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:35,480 Speaker 4: just have to as an investor, looks at that. You 200 00:09:35,520 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 4: have to understand what it is you're doing, how long 201 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:40,440 Speaker 4: the contracts are, what the repeatability is, and so forth. 202 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:42,680 Speaker 2: The dramatic growth that you describe also comes with what 203 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:44,720 Speaker 2: I would say is dramatic capital investment. 204 00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 3: I mean, the. 205 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:48,760 Speaker 2: Capex is extraordinary. When does it need to pay off? 206 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,240 Speaker 2: I mean, at some point you put all that capital in, 207 00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:53,440 Speaker 2: you need to get a return on that capital. And 208 00:09:53,440 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 2: give the amount of capital going in, it's got to 209 00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 2: be a lot of return. 210 00:09:56,640 --> 00:10:00,800 Speaker 4: Sure, Anthropic is already profitable, so we can kind of 211 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:04,600 Speaker 4: see what this can look like. Yeah, I'm not going 212 00:10:04,679 --> 00:10:06,680 Speaker 4: to argue about that. It's an extraordinary amount of capital 213 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:10,079 Speaker 4: and you expect extraordinary returns. But I do believe that 214 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 4: AI is a game changer unlike anything I've seen in 215 00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 4: my lifetime in terms of what the impact could have 216 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:19,200 Speaker 4: on business and how business is conducted and how we 217 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:20,719 Speaker 4: use technology and things like that. 218 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 2: But it must be stifling capital off from other possible 219 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 2: uses of the capital. I mean, is it starving other 220 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:29,839 Speaker 2: businesses that could be using capital to good effect? 221 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:32,600 Speaker 4: As a matter of corporate finance theory, sure, if you 222 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:34,959 Speaker 4: use more of something, the price of it should go up, 223 00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 4: but you can't find that in the marketplace. I don't 224 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:41,160 Speaker 4: think in terms of where corporate bonds are trading. The 225 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:44,640 Speaker 4: ability of these companies to raise capital, and they've mostly 226 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 4: been raising equity, it should be noted as well. One 227 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:49,560 Speaker 4: of the things we're learning from this period is that 228 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 4: the capital markets are deeper and more robust and more 229 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 4: fulsome than we probably ever would have imagined. 230 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:57,920 Speaker 2: Is this one and done? Will there ever be any 231 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:01,240 Speaker 2: series of IPOs like this again? At this level of mague? 232 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:02,319 Speaker 2: We've never seen it before. 233 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:04,760 Speaker 4: No, we've never seen it before. But again, I think 234 00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 4: if you looked at other periods where we had very 235 00:11:07,280 --> 00:11:10,320 Speaker 4: robust IPO activity. I don't know, when Ali Baba went 236 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:13,440 Speaker 4: public of the twenty billion dollar IPO, we might have said, well, 237 00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:15,800 Speaker 4: we're not going to see that again. Or Saudi a 238 00:11:15,880 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 4: Ramco or General Motors the other two big twentyish billion 239 00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:21,720 Speaker 4: dollar ones we might have said, oh, that's like kind 240 00:11:21,760 --> 00:11:24,920 Speaker 4: of once in a lifetime. And now we're seventy five billion. 241 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:27,480 Speaker 4: So I would never say never. I think the numbers 242 00:11:27,520 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 4: just get larger over time. I would not have predicted this. 243 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:31,679 Speaker 4: I'm not going to predict the next one will be 244 00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:34,199 Speaker 4: a one hundred and fifty billion dollar IPO, but I 245 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 4: wouldn't say never. 246 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:40,440 Speaker 2: Up next, the United States is investing two billion dollars 247 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:43,360 Speaker 2: in quantum computing. What does it mean when Uncle Sam 248 00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 2: becomes a venture capitalist and what does it say about 249 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:57,520 Speaker 2: where the world of computing is headed. This is a 250 00:11:57,559 --> 00:12:01,600 Speaker 2: story about the government as venture capitalist. The Trump administration 251 00:12:01,640 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 2: has announced it will invest two billion dollars in nine 252 00:12:04,559 --> 00:12:10,120 Speaker 2: quantum computing firms. The Trump administration takes his stake and 253 00:12:10,240 --> 00:12:12,440 Speaker 2: selects quantum computing firms. 254 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 3: That entire ecosystem of quantum computing. 255 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:17,760 Speaker 1: Stocks like Sorghetti and d Wave all moving higher on 256 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:19,280 Speaker 1: the back of that news. 257 00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:24,520 Speaker 2: Really strong optimism on this quantum computing sector. These investments 258 00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:27,720 Speaker 2: will not be grants or contracts to buy from these firms. 259 00:12:28,080 --> 00:12:31,000 Speaker 2: They will be equity stakes in the frontier technology of 260 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:35,280 Speaker 2: harnessing quantum physics to build an entire new form of computing, 261 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 2: something talked about and researched for years, but that has 262 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:44,200 Speaker 2: remained stubbornly on the horizon. IBM by itself will receive 263 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 2: half of the government investment. Sam Palmersano spent forty years 264 00:12:48,280 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 2: at IBM, rising to be its chairman and CEO. He 265 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:55,040 Speaker 2: was there when the company began its quantum quest. 266 00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 5: I think the societal implications are greater than the financial investment. 267 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 5: Put in perspective, three decades ago, I invested. 268 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:04,680 Speaker 3: In quantum and IBM research. 269 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:07,719 Speaker 5: So when I left the board, which was twenty years ago, 270 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:09,480 Speaker 5: I said it'll be there in ten to fifteen years. 271 00:13:09,559 --> 00:13:15,559 Speaker 5: I'm wrong again, wrong again, very difficult scientific problems, disease, energy, 272 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 5: financial markets, logistics, national security, cyber It has the technology 273 00:13:22,280 --> 00:13:24,120 Speaker 5: to do things that would have taken days on a 274 00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 5: supercomputer at IBM built, could maybe take an hour or two. Literally, 275 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:31,480 Speaker 5: I mean there's things that are intractable that we deal 276 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 5: with as a society, climate change, those kinds of things, 277 00:13:35,720 --> 00:13:38,960 Speaker 5: things that are heavily scientific, and I'll say physics in 278 00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 5: this field can all be addressed assuming you know where 279 00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:46,520 Speaker 5: they are. Actually does happen in the next two or 280 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:47,079 Speaker 5: three years. 281 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:52,200 Speaker 2: The potential may be enormous, But what exactly is quantum 282 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:54,680 Speaker 2: and why has it taken so long to realize the 283 00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:58,960 Speaker 2: potential we've been promised. Last year we talked with Jamie Garcia, 284 00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:03,000 Speaker 2: director of Strategic Growth and Quantum Partnerships at IBM. A 285 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 2: PhD chemist. She's working at the Cleveland Clinic, where IBM 286 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:09,480 Speaker 2: has installed one of its quantum computers with the goal 287 00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:11,199 Speaker 2: of transforming healthcare. 288 00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 6: Quantum computers are just a totally different paradigm to calculate 289 00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:20,880 Speaker 6: solutions to problems, and so what most experts have done 290 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 6: today that are studying quantum computing for different application spaces 291 00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:28,880 Speaker 6: is to really sit down with the math and figure out, like, 292 00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 6: are the algorithms here that I can use and that 293 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 6: I can exploit using a quantum computer going to bring 294 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:38,200 Speaker 6: me any sort of advantage over what can be done 295 00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:41,840 Speaker 6: today in classical sort of state of the art techniques. 296 00:14:43,440 --> 00:14:47,280 Speaker 2: At the core of classical computing are bits, single pieces 297 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 2: of information. They can have the value of zero or one. 298 00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 2: But quantum technology relies on cubits, a unit that can 299 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 2: have multiple values simultaneously. It's like holding a coin in 300 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:03,480 Speaker 2: your hand that heads tails and everything in between until 301 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:07,000 Speaker 2: you open your hand to check. Physicist Jerry chow is 302 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:11,760 Speaker 2: IBM's CTO of quantum centric Supercomputing working at the Thomas J. 303 00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:14,720 Speaker 2: Watson Research Center just north of New York City. 304 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:19,240 Speaker 7: Really, fundamentally, there's a different math, right's the mathematics of 305 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:25,000 Speaker 7: quantum mechanics that is governing how you actually manipulate these 306 00:15:25,280 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 7: quantum bits, which then gives rise to a whole host 307 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:33,880 Speaker 7: of different opportunities for algorithms and types of problems that 308 00:15:33,920 --> 00:15:35,760 Speaker 7: you can actually solve using quantumputers. 309 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:40,280 Speaker 2: A turning point in IBM's efforts to make quantum computing 310 00:15:40,320 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 2: a reality came when it made it available to the 311 00:15:43,280 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 2: world on the. 312 00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:45,840 Speaker 3: Cloud twenty sixteen. 313 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 7: The IBM Quantum Experience was really a pivotal moment for 314 00:15:50,000 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 7: us in terms of getting quantum computers for the first 315 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:58,600 Speaker 7: time out onto the cloud and into the hands of anybody, 316 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:02,360 Speaker 7: really people. Right. What's interesting is that before that period, 317 00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:05,600 Speaker 7: I'd say, it was really much more in the realm 318 00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 7: of physics, right that we were doing experiments on small devices, 319 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:14,160 Speaker 7: cubit devices that we were looking at, understanding how they worked, 320 00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 7: trying to make them better, but we didn't have any 321 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:20,840 Speaker 7: kind of real thought about how is this going to 322 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:21,880 Speaker 7: be used for computation. 323 00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 2: In the nine years since you put Quantum Experience out there, 324 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:27,200 Speaker 2: what is what have you learned? 325 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:28,480 Speaker 3: At IBM, there. 326 00:16:28,400 --> 00:16:31,800 Speaker 7: Was a whole lot of people out there who wanted 327 00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 7: to touch and learn about quantum. I think we were 328 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,840 Speaker 7: sitting there that first night after we launched it, watching 329 00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 7: these circuits coming in and people were actually running things, 330 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 7: and we were like, oh, wow, this is picking up 331 00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:45,440 Speaker 7: some steam here, you know, And then you know, to 332 00:16:45,480 --> 00:16:48,120 Speaker 7: this point we've had tremendous uptake in terms of using 333 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 7: the platform to actually generate new papers and research. Thousands 334 00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:54,440 Speaker 7: of papers have been generated which have been would have 335 00:16:54,440 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 7: been impossible for us to do, just as individual scientists 336 00:16:57,560 --> 00:17:00,160 Speaker 7: or researchers studying these devices in our own life. I've 337 00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 7: been working with other scientists and collaborations, and. 338 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:08,000 Speaker 2: In success that community could go places that classical computing, 339 00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 2: even using the large language models of AI, could never 340 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:15,560 Speaker 2: take us. So it's not just speed, it's actual accuracy. 341 00:17:15,640 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 2: When we're using classical no matter how infinite we get, 342 00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:21,639 Speaker 2: it's an approximation. 343 00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:25,119 Speaker 7: Right, Absolutely, it's absolutely not just not a question about speed. 344 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:27,439 Speaker 7: The whole point of the quantum computer and what it 345 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:29,560 Speaker 7: can do is that it can give us the ability 346 00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 7: to actually get potentially more accurate results, also get results 347 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:38,199 Speaker 7: that otherwise are unattainable using a classical computer alone. 348 00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:42,439 Speaker 2: Companies like Google, Microsoft, and Intel are all exploring the 349 00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:45,800 Speaker 2: potential of quantum computing, but there's also a new group 350 00:17:45,840 --> 00:17:48,960 Speaker 2: of contenders, startups that are betting it all on the 351 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 2: hope that quantum tech will one day become profitable. One 352 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:56,480 Speaker 2: of those firms is Maryland based ion q. It's CEO 353 00:17:56,680 --> 00:18:00,520 Speaker 2: is Nicolo Demasi, who believes he has the best in 354 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 2: the race. 355 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:08,480 Speaker 8: We supply quantum computers to both federal, state and commercial 356 00:18:08,880 --> 00:18:13,159 Speaker 8: customer partners. We also provide quantum key distribution, and we 357 00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:16,240 Speaker 8: do that both on the ground and up in the heavens. 358 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:20,199 Speaker 8: Quantum key dis solution is effectively quantum cyber security, and 359 00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:23,480 Speaker 8: we're very focused on this not being just proof points 360 00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 8: in the lab, but doing useful quantum advantage examples for 361 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:31,320 Speaker 8: our customers and embedding ourselves into their workflows on an 362 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:32,359 Speaker 8: ongoing basis. 363 00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:36,639 Speaker 2: The potential may be great, as are the investments being made, 364 00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 2: but when can we expect to see these potentially dramatic results. 365 00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:44,400 Speaker 2: It turns out that that depends on whom you ask. 366 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,920 Speaker 2: IBM has made getting to quantum advantage in the real 367 00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:51,320 Speaker 2: world a strategic priority and has a timeline of getting 368 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:53,840 Speaker 2: there in a big way by twenty twenty nine. 369 00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:57,360 Speaker 7: Our roadmap really shows the detail in terms of how 370 00:18:57,400 --> 00:18:59,960 Speaker 7: we want to get from today to twenty twenty nine. 371 00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:03,639 Speaker 7: In between, we have this real important milestone also that 372 00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:06,320 Speaker 7: we believe that with the community, we'll be hitting quantum 373 00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:10,520 Speaker 7: advantage right where there'll be some problems and claims of 374 00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 7: advantage where we'll see quantum really surpassing any classical methods 375 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:18,200 Speaker 7: of solving certain types of problems. 376 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:21,480 Speaker 2: IBM says it's on track to have quantum computing payoff 377 00:19:21,520 --> 00:19:24,639 Speaker 2: in a big way by twenty twenty nine, but ion 378 00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:27,199 Speaker 2: q's Demasi says they're already there. 379 00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:30,280 Speaker 8: So our machines we announced on September twelfth at our 380 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:35,040 Speaker 8: Analyst Day, are thirty six quadrillion times more powerful than 381 00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:39,600 Speaker 8: anyone else's machine, and that gap is increasing. Not only 382 00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:41,879 Speaker 8: do we believe we are five years ahead of anybody 383 00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:47,240 Speaker 8: else in the quantum computing business, whether it's government programs, adversaries, 384 00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:51,680 Speaker 8: or commercial companies, but we also have the lowest unit economics, 385 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 8: so we're able to build a fully tolerant two million 386 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:58,560 Speaker 8: cube but system and keep our cost of good souls 387 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 8: under thirty million dollar. 388 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:03,480 Speaker 2: The quantum race is on and the promises are big, 389 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 2: but the winner is in the eyes of the beholder. 390 00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 2: IBM says it's ahead because it has more total cubits 391 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:13,920 Speaker 2: in its machines. Ion Q says it's not the number 392 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:17,480 Speaker 2: of cubits, but the number of algorithmic cubits putting it 393 00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:21,280 Speaker 2: in front. Previously, these were questions for investors to weigh, 394 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:24,520 Speaker 2: But now the government has entered the race and placed 395 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:29,159 Speaker 2: bets on nine quantum computing companies. Those left out include 396 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:33,480 Speaker 2: big players like Google and Microsoft, and smaller contenders like 397 00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:37,040 Speaker 2: ion Q. Google says that funding from the government would 398 00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:40,240 Speaker 2: have come with conditions that would have slowed down its progress. 399 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:42,960 Speaker 2: Why do we need the government to participate? Why can't 400 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:44,680 Speaker 2: the private markets take care of it on their own. 401 00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:47,680 Speaker 5: If you go back to the original investments in the Internet, 402 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:51,760 Speaker 5: those ARPA and then it became arpronet, it was basically 403 00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 5: a link to community to connect the scientific laboratories and 404 00:20:56,160 --> 00:21:00,160 Speaker 5: the academic research universities to exchange information on what they 405 00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:05,639 Speaker 5: were doing in research. That became the title communication backbone 406 00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:08,800 Speaker 5: for the Internet. The government didn't create the digital economy. 407 00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:12,480 Speaker 5: The government created the infrastructure, but built on the infrastructure 408 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 5: where the companies the ecosystem for innovation as well as investment. 409 00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,840 Speaker 5: An example of where things haven't worked so well had 410 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:21,920 Speaker 5: to deal with an energy company back in the seventies 411 00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:25,480 Speaker 5: under Nixon. There was an energy crisis that failed miserably, 412 00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:29,000 Speaker 5: needless to say, because they tried to pick a company. 413 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:32,120 Speaker 5: So when the governments not just here, when the governments 414 00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:34,919 Speaker 5: around the world. Look at state owned enterprises if you 415 00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:36,880 Speaker 5: want to go to China in places like that, when 416 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:40,800 Speaker 5: they try to pick companies, their history says they aren't 417 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:44,159 Speaker 5: as successful as when they create the environment for the 418 00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:45,760 Speaker 5: private sector to be successful. 419 00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:49,320 Speaker 2: This is an equity investment, that's correct, but there's a 420 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:51,640 Speaker 2: range of companies that they're investing in, but it's equity 421 00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:53,920 Speaker 2: participation y, which is different when we want to have 422 00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:55,679 Speaker 2: with ARBA that was a grant. 423 00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,600 Speaker 5: Yes, correct, Yeah, that's absolutely right. And this is where 424 00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:01,439 Speaker 5: I think the model challenged because when you make an 425 00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:04,600 Speaker 5: equity investment, maybe they're spreading their risk. I mean, like 426 00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 5: a pro growth equity pe firm, but at the end 427 00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:10,679 Speaker 5: of the day, you're picking. The risk associated with picking 428 00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,399 Speaker 5: us in the past is that government doesn't do a 429 00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 5: very good job of operating and government doesn't have a 430 00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:20,280 Speaker 5: long term attention span. This technology is going to take 431 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:23,640 Speaker 5: ten to fifteen I'm already in for thirty years, right, 432 00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:27,080 Speaker 5: I mean, so you know you need stability in that regard, 433 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:30,959 Speaker 5: and that's where government struggles in operational detail. They do 434 00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:34,400 Speaker 5: policy right, they can make grants, do research, and they 435 00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:36,760 Speaker 5: need the fund long term stuff, but they're not strong 436 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:40,440 Speaker 5: at actually running companies, and that's where they fail. 437 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:41,320 Speaker 3: To most of us. 438 00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:43,720 Speaker 2: Two billion dollars sounds like a lot of money, but 439 00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:45,640 Speaker 2: when you compare that with some of the investments being 440 00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:47,720 Speaker 2: made right now in AI, I mean eight hundred and 441 00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:51,760 Speaker 2: fifty billion dollars. So is this criming the pump for investors? 442 00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:53,840 Speaker 2: Is this a way the government's saying we're willing to 443 00:22:53,880 --> 00:22:56,280 Speaker 2: invest in that will encourage other investors to come in. 444 00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:01,520 Speaker 5: I think the reason why two billion is nothing is 445 00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:04,560 Speaker 5: what's going to take just go through the development cycles. 446 00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:06,160 Speaker 3: When they talk. 447 00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:09,439 Speaker 5: About a hybrid model for quantum, right, what they're talking 448 00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:13,760 Speaker 5: about is marrying this quantum advantage the technology to the 449 00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:17,399 Speaker 5: traditional approaches, which is cloud and AI. But it's not 450 00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:22,320 Speaker 5: commercial computing. It doesn't have what you need to make 451 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:27,160 Speaker 5: this thing a robust commercial system, the data management, memory management, 452 00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:31,080 Speaker 5: backup and recovery, all the things you expect, right, accuracy 453 00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:34,040 Speaker 5: of your answers and things like that that you expect 454 00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:37,040 Speaker 5: if you're running a hospital or a bank or whatever 455 00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:39,600 Speaker 5: it happens to be. I don't think is going to 456 00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:41,200 Speaker 5: be there in two or three years. I mean, they're 457 00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:43,800 Speaker 5: working on it like crazy, but I think this thing's 458 00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:46,159 Speaker 5: got a way to go. From a financial perspective, it's 459 00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 5: a two billion I mean, it's a start, but it's 460 00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:50,840 Speaker 5: certainly not going to be the. 461 00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:53,560 Speaker 3: Finish coming up. 462 00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:57,000 Speaker 2: Quantum computing may still be on the horizon, but AI 463 00:23:57,280 --> 00:24:01,200 Speaker 2: is here now and Google is redoing its entire approach 464 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:03,680 Speaker 2: to search because of it. We talked with the man's 465 00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:18,119 Speaker 2: spearheading the changes, Nick Fox. This is a story about 466 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:22,000 Speaker 2: anticipating your every want. Last week we told you how 467 00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:25,520 Speaker 2: AI is cutting into traffic for Internet publishers and what 468 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:28,959 Speaker 2: that could mean for their business. But Google isn't standing 469 00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:32,320 Speaker 2: still for all the challenges from chatbots. Last month, it 470 00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:35,240 Speaker 2: announced the biggest changes to its search approach in over 471 00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:38,919 Speaker 2: twenty years. Nick Fox is Google's senior vice president for 472 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:42,520 Speaker 2: Knowledge and Information and the man responsible for the changes. 473 00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:47,800 Speaker 2: With your experience rank order, which is probably unfair this 474 00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,720 Speaker 2: change with AI compared to other innovations you've done, oh. 475 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:52,560 Speaker 9: I think number one for. 476 00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:58,159 Speaker 2: Sure for Google. That transformation includes AI generated answers, conversational search, 477 00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:02,360 Speaker 2: and new tools that can rea through complex questions, monitor 478 00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:06,000 Speaker 2: information across the web, and even complete tasks on a 479 00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:09,000 Speaker 2: user's behalf. How would you describe the change? 480 00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:11,359 Speaker 9: You know, just to take a step back. AI is 481 00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 9: the best thing that's ever happened to search. And you know, 482 00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:14,879 Speaker 9: a lot of people are questioning that. A lot of 483 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:16,639 Speaker 9: people are saying, hey, what does AI mean for search? 484 00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:19,160 Speaker 9: And what we see? You know, the vision of search 485 00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:20,840 Speaker 9: is you should be able to ask whatever question is 486 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:23,000 Speaker 9: on your mind. And the way I think about that is, 487 00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:25,639 Speaker 9: we have probably thousands of questions that go through ahead 488 00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:28,639 Speaker 9: any given day. We ask maybe a few of them, 489 00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:30,040 Speaker 9: maybe we ask five of them, maybe we ask ten 490 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:32,000 Speaker 9: of them. Why do we not ask them all? Well, 491 00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 9: we don't know if there will be a helpful response 492 00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:35,960 Speaker 9: to it might be hard to ask that question. So 493 00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 9: our big idea is you should be able to ask anything, 494 00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:41,880 Speaker 9: and AI really supercharges that. AI enables people to ask 495 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,960 Speaker 9: whatever questions on their mind and get a helpful response. 496 00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:46,080 Speaker 9: And so that's what we're pushing on. 497 00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,719 Speaker 2: The Quality of the user experience is a priority for Google, 498 00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,879 Speaker 2: even as it's changed its search engine to put AI 499 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:56,840 Speaker 2: at its core, and Rand Fishkin, who specialized in the 500 00:25:56,880 --> 00:26:00,600 Speaker 2: business of online search, says that improved experience is very 501 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,480 Speaker 2: much central to Google's business. 502 00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:05,720 Speaker 10: Instead, they push those down and they put the instant 503 00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,439 Speaker 10: answer from AI right up at the top. They call 504 00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:11,480 Speaker 10: them AI overviews. In the long run, it's better for 505 00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 10: their user experience and it creates an addiction to search 506 00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,159 Speaker 10: and quick answers. If they can get people searching more 507 00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:22,719 Speaker 10: and instantly answering their queries, they would come back more often, 508 00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:25,520 Speaker 10: they would trust Google more, and they would click on 509 00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:29,280 Speaker 10: more ads in the future. So Google is hurting themselves 510 00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:31,960 Speaker 10: a little tiny bit right now, costing themselves maybe a 511 00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:35,080 Speaker 10: dollar that they could charge so that in the future 512 00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:38,679 Speaker 10: they make five, ten, fifty five hundred dollars from you. 513 00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,919 Speaker 2: Fox does not deny the advantages to Google if it's 514 00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:45,040 Speaker 2: new approach to AI driven search gives users more reason 515 00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:48,440 Speaker 2: to use its product, but sees that as a feature 516 00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:49,639 Speaker 2: rather than a bug. 517 00:26:49,800 --> 00:26:51,760 Speaker 9: What we're seeing with users is they're asking for more 518 00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:55,679 Speaker 9: questions than they've ever asked before. They're getting the approach 519 00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:57,879 Speaker 9: that we've taken the press. That really defines what Google 520 00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:00,480 Speaker 9: in search is doing with AI is able to bring 521 00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:02,280 Speaker 9: the best of the web together with the best of AI, 522 00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:05,399 Speaker 9: where we able to bring frontier AI capabilities built on 523 00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:09,120 Speaker 9: our Gemini technology and in close collaboration with deep Mind, 524 00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,159 Speaker 9: and then we're able to bring that together with the 525 00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:14,440 Speaker 9: web so people can get links, they can discover content 526 00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:17,520 Speaker 9: across the web, but they can also get helpful responses 527 00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:22,119 Speaker 9: that contextualize the web and also give contextual responses they 528 00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:22,840 Speaker 9: answered their question. 529 00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:26,040 Speaker 2: But Fox insists that time spent on a search is 530 00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:29,840 Speaker 2: not the right metric for success. He'd rather people spend 531 00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:33,280 Speaker 2: less time on a particular question or search and be 532 00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,640 Speaker 2: able to press further to get their answers, including from 533 00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:37,080 Speaker 2: the web. 534 00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:39,600 Speaker 9: For us, it doesn't have to be about time and 535 00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:42,840 Speaker 9: to some extend attention. But what we don't measure search 536 00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:45,760 Speaker 9: by how many minutes are people spending on search. We 537 00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:48,600 Speaker 9: measure search by how many queries are people doing? How 538 00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:52,919 Speaker 9: many tasks are people doing. Actually, if it takes two 539 00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:54,760 Speaker 9: queriers to do a task instead of five queriers to 540 00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 9: do a task, we would prefer that. We actually don't 541 00:27:56,760 --> 00:27:59,000 Speaker 9: want people to do more queries in a way where 542 00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:00,760 Speaker 9: they're you know, if they're doing more queries because they're 543 00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:02,760 Speaker 9: thrashing and they're not getting a good experience, or they're 544 00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:04,800 Speaker 9: spending more time because they're thrashing and not getting a 545 00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:07,800 Speaker 9: good experience, that's not what we optimize for. We actually 546 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:09,480 Speaker 9: try to get people off Google as quickly as we 547 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:11,000 Speaker 9: can as kind of the you know, one of the 548 00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:13,879 Speaker 9: things that I think has been a hallmark of Google. 549 00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:16,399 Speaker 9: We do want people to be doing more things with Google. 550 00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:19,200 Speaker 9: If we can help people with you know, twice as 551 00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,119 Speaker 9: many of their questions as we could you know before, 552 00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:23,679 Speaker 9: that's great, But it should be they're doing more with 553 00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:26,520 Speaker 9: Google because they're getting more done, rather than they're spending 554 00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:28,280 Speaker 9: more time to get to get the same set of 555 00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:28,920 Speaker 9: things done. 556 00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:31,959 Speaker 2: As AI takes on a greater role in helping us 557 00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:34,960 Speaker 2: gain access to content on the web, there are those 558 00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:38,280 Speaker 2: concerned about its use, discouraging the creators of the content. 559 00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:41,719 Speaker 2: Caitlin Petrie is author of the book All the News 560 00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:42,880 Speaker 2: That's Fit to Click. 561 00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:45,920 Speaker 11: I think that it's really important to think about what's 562 00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:51,080 Speaker 11: happening with people who make content and AI as this 563 00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:54,240 Speaker 11: kind of longer story of a tussle or a conflict 564 00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:58,400 Speaker 11: between tech companies and people who create media and information. 565 00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:02,680 Speaker 11: And then the question becomes if the business model for 566 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:08,120 Speaker 11: making original content, and particularly I'm concerned with journalism and art, 567 00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:11,960 Speaker 11: but if the business model for making original stuff kind 568 00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:14,920 Speaker 11: of goes away or becomes even more challenging and even 569 00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:18,240 Speaker 11: more punishing than it already is, what do we do 570 00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:19,280 Speaker 11: about that you know. 571 00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:22,360 Speaker 9: People today expect that when you come to Google, it's accurate, 572 00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:23,040 Speaker 9: it's reliable. 573 00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:27,080 Speaker 2: Fox says he has similar concerns that whatever Google does 574 00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:29,880 Speaker 2: with AI and search not take away from the value 575 00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,600 Speaker 2: of the content on the web for the sake of 576 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:37,320 Speaker 2: all involved. What does this mean beyond the users, but 577 00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:40,200 Speaker 2: for the rest of the web, the rest of content generators. 578 00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,240 Speaker 2: I mean, because Google was originally a way to organize 579 00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:46,520 Speaker 2: the web right, and a lot of content generators got 580 00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:49,760 Speaker 2: linked back to their material, what does this new approach 581 00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:50,440 Speaker 2: mean for them? 582 00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:53,800 Speaker 9: So we remain committed to Google organizing the web right. 583 00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:56,560 Speaker 9: That's a core part of what we do. And I 584 00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:59,920 Speaker 9: would say relative to really any other company, really, any 585 00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:03,440 Speaker 9: the organization out there, we care about the web incredibly, 586 00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:05,760 Speaker 9: incredibly deeply. We're a company that started in the web, 587 00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 9: where a company that still is deeply in the web, 588 00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:13,360 Speaker 9: and so that is a bedrock commitment for us, and 589 00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:16,040 Speaker 9: so that leads to how we actually build our products 590 00:30:16,040 --> 00:30:19,240 Speaker 9: as well. So for example, in search, it's not just AI, 591 00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:22,320 Speaker 9: it's AI with links within the AI as well. It's 592 00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:24,480 Speaker 9: we don't think it has to the users need to 593 00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:26,640 Speaker 9: make a choice do I want AI or the web? 594 00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:28,960 Speaker 9: But rather, we can bring both of those together in 595 00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:32,160 Speaker 9: a really effective way. So we have lots of links 596 00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:35,040 Speaker 9: within the AI responses. It's not just because of a 597 00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:37,240 Speaker 9: commitment to the web. We also think it's really useful 598 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:39,600 Speaker 9: for users. Right, if you're interested in a topic, you 599 00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 9: want to go deep on a topic, you might get 600 00:30:41,360 --> 00:30:43,680 Speaker 9: an AI summary, you might get an AI sort of 601 00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 9: overview to give you the context. But then you want 602 00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:48,920 Speaker 9: to read it. You want to read it more deeply. 603 00:30:48,920 --> 00:30:51,160 Speaker 9: You want to see original reporting on a topic. You 604 00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:54,480 Speaker 9: might want to see you know, first hand perspective. You 605 00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:56,400 Speaker 9: might want to hear from someone that was actually there. 606 00:30:57,160 --> 00:30:58,920 Speaker 9: You actually you want you want to get that, you don't, 607 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:00,959 Speaker 9: you don't just want to hear from AI. And so 608 00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:04,080 Speaker 9: we're cognizant of that, and we design around that. People 609 00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:07,040 Speaker 9: are searching more than ever. People are searching for topics 610 00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:10,240 Speaker 9: they were never searching for before. That all creates opportunities 611 00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:12,280 Speaker 9: for websites to get discovered that never would have before. 612 00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:14,520 Speaker 9: Right if a user was never asked the question, the 613 00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:17,080 Speaker 9: website never would have gotten traffic, never would have gotten 614 00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:19,040 Speaker 9: a click. This is an expansionary moment, not just for 615 00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:20,080 Speaker 9: search but for the web. 616 00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 2: Overall accuracy and trust have long been the foundation of 617 00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:26,680 Speaker 2: Google Search, but in an era of AI generated answers 618 00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:30,040 Speaker 2: where users may never click through to that underlying source, 619 00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:33,920 Speaker 2: ensuring the quality of that information has become more important 620 00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:37,680 Speaker 2: than ever. Accuracy and trust are important when you're searching. 621 00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:40,360 Speaker 2: How do you monitor that? Because there are a lot 622 00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:42,880 Speaker 2: of people out there who actually have almost a goal 623 00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:46,400 Speaker 2: of putting out information that's not reliable, that's not accurate. 624 00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:48,760 Speaker 2: How do you monitor how you're doing. 625 00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 9: I mean, this is what Google has been doing for 626 00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:53,680 Speaker 9: years and years. Is what we've been doing for decades. 627 00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:56,760 Speaker 9: We understand the web. We understand the web very well. 628 00:31:56,800 --> 00:32:00,800 Speaker 9: We understand the very early days of of page rank 629 00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:03,240 Speaker 9: was that you could use the citations across the web 630 00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:07,240 Speaker 9: to understand what's what's more valuable than others. We've obviously 631 00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:09,280 Speaker 9: built on that, you know, tremendously over time. But we 632 00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:13,600 Speaker 9: understand the web well. We understand what are what's accurate 633 00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:15,720 Speaker 9: on the web, we understand what's reliable, we understand what's 634 00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 9: trusted across the web. We're also able to understand when 635 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:21,520 Speaker 9: we get it right, when we don't get it right, 636 00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:25,280 Speaker 9: because we're able to understand sort of metrics across our 637 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:27,840 Speaker 9: user populations. So, for example, when we roll out a 638 00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:30,760 Speaker 9: new AI experience with in search, we know based on 639 00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:34,840 Speaker 9: you know, we run experiments, we run tests, and we 640 00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:38,000 Speaker 9: can analyze those to see has this improved the experience 641 00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:40,880 Speaker 9: or not. We only release changes that actually do improve 642 00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:41,480 Speaker 9: the experience. 643 00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:44,080 Speaker 2: Are there some categories of information that you have to 644 00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:46,280 Speaker 2: be particularly careful about? I mean a mindful of effect. 645 00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:47,960 Speaker 2: We're going to have elections in the United States coming 646 00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:50,000 Speaker 2: up in November, and you can have a lot of 647 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:53,800 Speaker 2: people trying to use AI and the web to misinform 648 00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:55,800 Speaker 2: either political rivals or foreign governments. 649 00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:57,440 Speaker 3: What do you do to protect against that? 650 00:32:58,040 --> 00:33:01,440 Speaker 9: We are particularly careful on on those types of questions. 651 00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:03,720 Speaker 9: So if an election type of question, were particularly careful, 652 00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:07,280 Speaker 9: a finance type of question, a health kind of question. 653 00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:10,000 Speaker 9: The way we process is in a few ways. Number One, 654 00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:11,840 Speaker 9: if we don't think that the accuracy of the information 655 00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,120 Speaker 9: is high enough, we won't show an AI response in 656 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,640 Speaker 9: that kind of a case. So that's kind of that's 657 00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:19,080 Speaker 9: the first. That's the first level of it. The second 658 00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:22,920 Speaker 9: is we invest incredibly heavily here. We focus particularly heavily 659 00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:26,640 Speaker 9: in categories where the where the stakes are particularly high. 660 00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:29,640 Speaker 9: And then the third pieces where we're clear with users 661 00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:32,600 Speaker 9: about what is AI generated and we indicate you know, 662 00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:37,000 Speaker 9: AI can make mistakes so that users can be cognizant 663 00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:37,200 Speaker 9: of that. 664 00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:41,240 Speaker 2: As well as AI reshapes how people find information online, 665 00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:45,200 Speaker 2: it is also reshaping the competitive landscape. And while Google 666 00:33:45,280 --> 00:33:48,720 Speaker 2: may dominate search today, the rise of AI has opened 667 00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:52,600 Speaker 2: the door to a new wave of competitors. You come 668 00:33:52,640 --> 00:33:55,600 Speaker 2: from a very strong position in search. I mean you've 669 00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:59,400 Speaker 2: become a verb in addition to a noun around the world. 670 00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:04,520 Speaker 2: Do you have a comparative advantage against other AI companies 671 00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:07,400 Speaker 2: and that you have search coming to AI rather than 672 00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:08,560 Speaker 2: starting in AI. 673 00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:14,080 Speaker 9: I think our advantage comes from uh deep expertise and 674 00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:16,320 Speaker 9: A and A and a deep focus on innovation and 675 00:34:16,520 --> 00:34:21,840 Speaker 9: continual reinvention. I think one of the maybe understated advantages 676 00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:24,600 Speaker 9: that Google has is we've been through many disruptions. Before 677 00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:28,080 Speaker 9: we went through a mobile disruption, we we arose, you know, 678 00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:30,960 Speaker 9: in the web disruption, there was Ajax technologies of his voice. 679 00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:35,080 Speaker 9: There's been sort of time after time disruptions. Each time 680 00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:37,840 Speaker 9: it would be is this the Google killer? And we 681 00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:40,560 Speaker 9: have worked through those and we have really a playbook 682 00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:42,960 Speaker 9: of how to work through those, which is lean into 683 00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:45,520 Speaker 9: the innovation, innovate through the you know, innovate through the 684 00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:50,759 Speaker 9: disruption with a with a an excitement about what the 685 00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:54,760 Speaker 9: technology can enable, and a and a promise to build 686 00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:57,400 Speaker 9: a better product for users through it. And and so 687 00:34:57,480 --> 00:35:00,400 Speaker 9: I think that's a that's a core advantage UH through 688 00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:03,280 Speaker 9: any of these transformations is to rely on that playbook. 689 00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:03,840 Speaker 3: You raise it. 690 00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:06,879 Speaker 2: I think a really interesting point. I mean, was there 691 00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:10,880 Speaker 2: any hesitation anywhere at Google to say, we're doing pretty 692 00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:13,560 Speaker 2: well in search? Why do we need to disrupt ourselves 693 00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:16,160 Speaker 2: on this? It's a sort of a form of innovator's dilemma? 694 00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:18,000 Speaker 2: Was there any sense of, you know, what we're doing 695 00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:19,520 Speaker 2: pretty well, why rock the boat? 696 00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:24,239 Speaker 9: Never? Because we've seen it before and we understand that 697 00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:27,680 Speaker 9: if you stand still, if you don't innovate for users, 698 00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:30,920 Speaker 9: you'll become irrelevant. And that's so clear. 699 00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:31,399 Speaker 3: We know that. 700 00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:33,680 Speaker 9: We know that time and time again, and so we 701 00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:36,640 Speaker 9: see a new technology come along, we jump on it. 702 00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:40,120 Speaker 9: We invent the new technologies in most cases, but we 703 00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:42,400 Speaker 9: see it, we jump on it. And we know that 704 00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:45,160 Speaker 9: if we innovate for users, it will be it will 705 00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:47,960 Speaker 9: be expansionary. We know that our business will will thrive 706 00:35:48,000 --> 00:35:48,400 Speaker 9: through it. 707 00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:53,000 Speaker 2: For Google, the choice was between disrupting its strong business 708 00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:57,360 Speaker 2: in search or having someone else disrupted. As AI yet 709 00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:01,800 Speaker 2: again reshapes how information is discovered and consumed. The question 710 00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:05,440 Speaker 2: will be, as it always is, whether this new innovation 711 00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:08,400 Speaker 2: gives people what they want and need. 712 00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:11,880 Speaker 9: We're seeing the users are loving it, and you know, 713 00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:14,080 Speaker 9: the best line that we see is that queries are growing. 714 00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:15,799 Speaker 3: Up. 715 00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,720 Speaker 2: Next, the Men's World Cup has returned to the shores 716 00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:21,719 Speaker 2: of North America for the first time since nineteen ninety four. 717 00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:25,840 Speaker 2: It's bigger and longer and higher profile than ever, but 718 00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:40,600 Speaker 2: can the fans afford it? This is a story about 719 00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:43,720 Speaker 2: having too much of a good thing. The Men's World 720 00:36:43,760 --> 00:36:45,960 Speaker 2: Cup has returned to the United States this summer for 721 00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:48,840 Speaker 2: the first time in over thirty years, and this time 722 00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:53,160 Speaker 2: Mexico and Canada have joined in. It's a dramatically different 723 00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:56,759 Speaker 2: championship than we saw in nineteen ninety four, with more teams, 724 00:36:56,920 --> 00:37:00,080 Speaker 2: more matches, and a lot more money. But is there 725 00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:02,920 Speaker 2: such a thing as going too far and extracting cash 726 00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:12,680 Speaker 2: out of mega sports events? Manchester local Andy Milne arrived 727 00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:14,960 Speaker 2: in Miami ready to cheer on England. 728 00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:17,200 Speaker 12: I can't wait for that first match when the national 729 00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:20,439 Speaker 12: anthem strikes up and I know that kickoff is two 730 00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:24,000 Speaker 12: minutes away and it's England against Croatia and our World 731 00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:28,080 Speaker 12: Cup is going to start. There's nothing like that feeling 732 00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:28,880 Speaker 12: in the world. 733 00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:32,520 Speaker 2: After attending his first football or soccer in America World 734 00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:35,440 Speaker 2: Cup in nineteen eighty two, this will be his tenth 735 00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:37,560 Speaker 2: and easily the most expensive. 736 00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:39,759 Speaker 12: And this is me with the lads at university with 737 00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:44,279 Speaker 12: my England shirt on, eager and ready to go over 738 00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:46,360 Speaker 12: there and watch the finals. 739 00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:49,400 Speaker 2: So expensive, he wrote a book to help fund the trip. 740 00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:52,799 Speaker 12: So in nineteen eighty two, obviously a completely different era, 741 00:37:53,000 --> 00:37:55,000 Speaker 12: right so achieved and you didn't have to get your 742 00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:58,560 Speaker 12: tickets in advance. You could queue for tickets outside the stadium. 743 00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:01,920 Speaker 12: So for the fire panel itself, I queued for three days, 744 00:38:01,960 --> 00:38:06,440 Speaker 12: which maybe sounds like a terribly boring thing to do, 745 00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:08,600 Speaker 12: but it's actually great fun. And then eventually I got 746 00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:11,840 Speaker 12: my ticket and the ticket came to princely some of 747 00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:15,960 Speaker 12: eight hundred per seas, which was equivalent to four pounds 748 00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:20,239 Speaker 12: and fifteen pence. I guessed around about five US dollars. 749 00:38:20,640 --> 00:38:24,320 Speaker 2: It's changed a bit now, it sure has. A recent 750 00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:27,319 Speaker 2: Economist report found that tickets for this year's World Cup 751 00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:30,799 Speaker 2: dwarf previous versions of the event. The list price for 752 00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:33,479 Speaker 2: the final match is much higher than that of other 753 00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:37,719 Speaker 2: marquee sports fixtures, including the Super Bowl, and that's the 754 00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:42,400 Speaker 2: list price on FIFA's official resale platform. Tickets for the 755 00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:45,640 Speaker 2: final are going for far beyond face value, with the 756 00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:48,000 Speaker 2: organizer taking a thirty percent cut. 757 00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:53,479 Speaker 13: Six million people all over the world will watch the. 758 00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:58,400 Speaker 2: It's little wonder that FIFA head Johnny Infantino expects overall 759 00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:03,680 Speaker 2: revenue to break the record, reaching over eleven billion dollars, 760 00:39:04,400 --> 00:39:07,360 Speaker 2: reading some to question when enough is enough. 761 00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:10,080 Speaker 13: I guess my advice to Jihannny Infantina, We'll just make 762 00:39:10,120 --> 00:39:12,880 Speaker 13: it seven or eight billion and put a few billion 763 00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,759 Speaker 13: back to make this what it should be, which is 764 00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:18,520 Speaker 13: a very accessible and inclusive World Cup. 765 00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:22,040 Speaker 2: Peter Moore is the former CEO of Liverpool Football Club 766 00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:24,720 Speaker 2: and is now part of the ownership group of football 767 00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:26,800 Speaker 2: teams in California and Poland. 768 00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:29,120 Speaker 13: This World Cup it feels a little different, to say 769 00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:31,360 Speaker 13: the least, because I don't think it's accessible. This is 770 00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:35,000 Speaker 13: the world's game. This should be a platform for everybody 771 00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:37,319 Speaker 13: that loves the game all around the world to be 772 00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:40,200 Speaker 13: able to come to afford to come, as they've done 773 00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:42,520 Speaker 13: in all of the previous World Cups, and I've been 774 00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:45,880 Speaker 13: fortunate to attend six World Cups. But we've got the 775 00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:50,440 Speaker 13: issues of dynamic pricing, the secondary market, and basically, I 776 00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:53,959 Speaker 13: think Fifas decided that this World Cup is where they're 777 00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:57,680 Speaker 13: going to make a stated eleven billion dollars and make 778 00:39:57,719 --> 00:40:01,000 Speaker 13: this a very exclusive World Cup than what it should be, 779 00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:03,200 Speaker 13: which is an incredibly inclusive World Cup. 780 00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:06,560 Speaker 2: The idea of leaving a few billion dollars in potential 781 00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:09,440 Speaker 2: revenue on the table might not be a sound strategy 782 00:40:09,560 --> 00:40:13,240 Speaker 2: for most businesses, but more says sports are different. 783 00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:16,400 Speaker 13: Football has changed since I first went to anfield with 784 00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:19,400 Speaker 13: my dad in nineteen fifty nine. It's a very different economy. 785 00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:22,799 Speaker 13: In those days, it was his five shillings through the 786 00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:25,719 Speaker 13: turnstile and you go and you stand on the terraces. 787 00:40:26,080 --> 00:40:29,120 Speaker 13: Now it's a multi hundred billion dollar business worldwide. And 788 00:40:29,160 --> 00:40:31,680 Speaker 13: I get that, but you've got to balance out the 789 00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:34,399 Speaker 13: fact that the people who made this game, the world's game, 790 00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:37,640 Speaker 13: is the average jack and Jill on the street, and 791 00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:41,040 Speaker 13: it's not the corporate hospitality and what we love about 792 00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:42,920 Speaker 13: the game, what we love about World Cups is the 793 00:40:43,239 --> 00:40:45,480 Speaker 13: passion that comes from the stands. So it's not just 794 00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:49,520 Speaker 13: filling stadiums with people, it's the right people and by 795 00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:53,239 Speaker 13: that the average football fan who will have a trip 796 00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:55,880 Speaker 13: of a lifetime to the United States, Canada and Mexico. 797 00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:59,399 Speaker 13: And you need to respect the fact that they've got 798 00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:02,480 Speaker 13: this dream to do it. But right now I worry 799 00:41:03,040 --> 00:41:06,000 Speaker 13: very much that there are hundreds of thousands of not millions, 800 00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:08,040 Speaker 13: of tickets in the wrong hands. And by the say 801 00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:12,120 Speaker 13: the wrong hands, it's people who are speculators, typed scalpers 802 00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:15,920 Speaker 13: that are looking They see these tickets as a fungible 803 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:19,040 Speaker 13: asset that they can make money on, rather than the 804 00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:22,400 Speaker 13: precious seat at the world's game. It's a bigger issue 805 00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:25,480 Speaker 13: for football in general is that it's becoming more expensive. 806 00:41:25,680 --> 00:41:27,640 Speaker 13: You've got an older fan who maybe has had that 807 00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,480 Speaker 13: season ticket for thirty forty years. It's the issue of 808 00:41:30,520 --> 00:41:34,520 Speaker 13: how do you maintain the ability for multi generational support. 809 00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:36,640 Speaker 13: My granddad was a Liverpool fan, My dad was a 810 00:41:36,719 --> 00:41:39,840 Speaker 13: Liverpool fan. I'm obviously a Liverpool fan, but more and 811 00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:43,440 Speaker 13: more people are somewhat being priced out and the energy 812 00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,879 Speaker 13: in the stadium for bluntly an older demographic if you will, 813 00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:49,960 Speaker 13: rather than the younger demographic that I grew up with 814 00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:52,920 Speaker 13: is starting to dwindle, and so you've got to find 815 00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:56,520 Speaker 13: ways of allowing people to bring the energy, the passion, 816 00:41:56,600 --> 00:41:59,680 Speaker 13: the excitement, the singing back in there and can afford 817 00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:00,200 Speaker 13: to do so. 818 00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:04,880 Speaker 2: It's not just the so called beautiful game either. Sports 819 00:42:04,880 --> 00:42:08,680 Speaker 2: team valuations are soaring and investors are seeing opportunities in 820 00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:12,600 Speaker 2: a wide range of sports, from basketball to cricket, from 821 00:42:12,680 --> 00:42:16,600 Speaker 2: baseball to pickleball. Kathy Carter has spent her career in 822 00:42:16,640 --> 00:42:20,480 Speaker 2: commercial roles in sports, from the nineteen ninety four FIFA 823 00:42:20,600 --> 00:42:23,880 Speaker 2: World Cup until recently as the former CEO of the 824 00:42:24,040 --> 00:42:25,719 Speaker 2: LA twenty twenty eight Olympics. 825 00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:29,279 Speaker 14: We obviously all know that we've seen a massive disruption 826 00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:32,640 Speaker 14: and media in our country and quite frankly across the globe, 827 00:42:32,680 --> 00:42:35,640 Speaker 14: and so you know, you have different ways and micro 828 00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:40,600 Speaker 14: communities that actually follow different either sports teams or communities 829 00:42:40,640 --> 00:42:43,719 Speaker 14: that are developed around whatever the content might be. And 830 00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:48,480 Speaker 14: I'd say that has both complicated and also given opportunity 831 00:42:48,560 --> 00:42:51,440 Speaker 14: to the World Cup to what is actually happening this summer. 832 00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:54,480 Speaker 14: But it does mean that there are so many ways 833 00:42:54,520 --> 00:42:58,120 Speaker 14: that companies or fans can engage with the game and 834 00:42:58,200 --> 00:43:00,520 Speaker 14: creates what you what you might say say is this 835 00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:04,120 Speaker 14: groundswell of commercial support for the event and in some 836 00:43:04,200 --> 00:43:07,640 Speaker 14: cases so much more money that's at stake, both in 837 00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:12,680 Speaker 14: terms of media rights. Obviously we can talk about the ticketing, sponsorship, merchandise. 838 00:43:12,760 --> 00:43:16,000 Speaker 14: I mean, just we're at a scale that is very 839 00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:18,760 Speaker 14: different in nineteen ninety four, we are introducing the game, 840 00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:22,839 Speaker 14: and now I would say that from a World Cup standpoint, 841 00:43:23,080 --> 00:43:25,719 Speaker 14: FIFA is really saying, how do we now maximize the 842 00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:29,520 Speaker 14: opportunity so we can take dollars and redistribute those dollars. 843 00:43:29,320 --> 00:43:29,960 Speaker 9: Around the world. 844 00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:34,960 Speaker 2: You mentioned several revenue sources ticket sales, media rights, merchandising, 845 00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:39,520 Speaker 2: corporate sponsorships. Have they grown together or have some become 846 00:43:39,640 --> 00:43:40,680 Speaker 2: larger than others? 847 00:43:41,080 --> 00:43:45,640 Speaker 14: Well, listen, I'd say media rights is historically the major 848 00:43:45,880 --> 00:43:49,359 Speaker 14: or the number one revenue source, and this particular World Cup, 849 00:43:49,400 --> 00:43:52,080 Speaker 14: given the number of tickets and certainly the pricing on 850 00:43:52,120 --> 00:43:54,600 Speaker 14: the games, that is going to break all records. I 851 00:43:54,640 --> 00:43:57,239 Speaker 14: would say that the FIFA World Cup Final, there's no 852 00:43:57,360 --> 00:43:59,680 Speaker 14: question in my mind that will become the largest gate 853 00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:02,279 Speaker 14: in the history of any sort of event that's ever 854 00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:05,640 Speaker 14: been produced, just by virtue of the premium opportunities and 855 00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:07,360 Speaker 14: the overall ticket pricing, et cetera. 856 00:44:09,520 --> 00:44:12,200 Speaker 2: Well, many fans will gripe about the cost of tickets 857 00:44:12,200 --> 00:44:15,399 Speaker 2: to attend matches. Carter says, the money made can go 858 00:44:15,440 --> 00:44:19,400 Speaker 2: towards making the sport bigger and yes better in the 859 00:44:19,440 --> 00:44:20,000 Speaker 2: long run. 860 00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:23,880 Speaker 14: We're a capitalist economy, and you know, we subscribe to 861 00:44:24,480 --> 00:44:27,480 Speaker 14: the adage of supply and demand. I do believe that 862 00:44:27,520 --> 00:44:29,920 Speaker 14: we will see many kids and many families that will 863 00:44:29,920 --> 00:44:31,719 Speaker 14: still be able to go. I think it'll be through 864 00:44:31,719 --> 00:44:34,480 Speaker 14: different routes, but by the same token, you know, there 865 00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:37,280 Speaker 14: is a there is a market in this country for events. 866 00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:40,400 Speaker 14: There's a market in this country to buy premium and 867 00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:44,000 Speaker 14: I'd say we're seeing what the actual ceiling on that 868 00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:46,319 Speaker 14: might be as a result of this World Cup. 869 00:44:46,560 --> 00:44:49,480 Speaker 2: Where does the money go? I mean, in other American 870 00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:52,200 Speaker 2: professional sports it goes, frankly, a lot of to the players, 871 00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:54,439 Speaker 2: they get paid an awful lot of money, and then 872 00:44:54,640 --> 00:44:56,680 Speaker 2: into the owners and the values of the team. 873 00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:58,160 Speaker 3: Where does it go in the World Cup? 874 00:44:58,440 --> 00:45:00,400 Speaker 14: Yeah, so that's a great question. You know, a lot 875 00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:02,879 Speaker 14: of it is in support of the teams that do 876 00:45:02,960 --> 00:45:05,640 Speaker 14: make it and participate, and in some cases that funds 877 00:45:05,680 --> 00:45:08,360 Speaker 14: an awful lot of their youth development programs some of 878 00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:11,960 Speaker 14: the smaller countries. It allows federations across the world to 879 00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:14,319 Speaker 14: invest in the game and in the grassroots game in 880 00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:17,799 Speaker 14: their countries, but it also then a disproportionate amount will 881 00:45:17,800 --> 00:45:20,920 Speaker 14: stay with FIFA, which then goes into what they do 882 00:45:21,000 --> 00:45:23,279 Speaker 14: to help grow the game across the world, and whether 883 00:45:23,320 --> 00:45:27,200 Speaker 14: that is investing in women's soccer is a great example, 884 00:45:27,280 --> 00:45:29,959 Speaker 14: and what they've done to build the FIFA Women's World 885 00:45:30,000 --> 00:45:34,279 Speaker 14: Cup into a much more significant and revenue generating and 886 00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:37,800 Speaker 14: really the level of exposure for the women's game starts 887 00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:41,080 Speaker 14: to create opportunity for women that perhaps didn't exist before. 888 00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:43,800 Speaker 14: And you could say that across many different areas, whether 889 00:45:43,840 --> 00:45:46,960 Speaker 14: that's in the youth space, or that's in the Paralympic 890 00:45:47,040 --> 00:45:50,240 Speaker 14: space where you've got cerebral palsy teams, you've got beach soccer. 891 00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:53,120 Speaker 14: So there's a lot of ways that they will contribute 892 00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:56,840 Speaker 14: money to help the federations around the world continue to 893 00:45:56,840 --> 00:45:59,839 Speaker 14: provide opportunity for kids and for those that are coming 894 00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:00,920 Speaker 14: through the system. 895 00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:04,279 Speaker 2: If you will, both Carter and more agree to keep 896 00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:07,200 Speaker 2: up in the world of sports, like in business, you 897 00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:10,320 Speaker 2: need to be strong commercially, but you also need to 898 00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:13,839 Speaker 2: keep the next generation engaged. And although there may be 899 00:46:13,880 --> 00:46:16,360 Speaker 2: a market for the high priced tickets in the United States, 900 00:46:16,920 --> 00:46:19,800 Speaker 2: more worries that the pricing might tarnish the World Cup's 901 00:46:19,840 --> 00:46:23,080 Speaker 2: legacy and damage future tournaments. 902 00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:26,640 Speaker 13: When the stadium has become soulless, where there's no real atmosphere, 903 00:46:26,680 --> 00:46:29,600 Speaker 13: where it becomes I'm going to an event that I 904 00:46:29,680 --> 00:46:32,400 Speaker 13: want to go to because it seems like fun, rather 905 00:46:32,440 --> 00:46:35,040 Speaker 13: than this is my team, This was my dad's team, 906 00:46:35,160 --> 00:46:37,680 Speaker 13: this was my granddad's team. I live and die for 907 00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:40,920 Speaker 13: this team. They mean everything to me. My mood, my 908 00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:44,200 Speaker 13: personality is based on whether we win or lose. Those 909 00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:46,919 Speaker 13: fans are being priced out and that is a long 910 00:46:47,040 --> 00:46:49,680 Speaker 13: term price to pay that sports will have to deal 911 00:46:49,719 --> 00:46:52,279 Speaker 13: with in the future. If these pricing structures stay the. 912 00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:56,560 Speaker 2: Same as the football gets underway, more hopes the tournament 913 00:46:56,640 --> 00:46:59,520 Speaker 2: is remembered for the action on the field and not 914 00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:03,000 Speaker 2: for the cost of admission as for whether he's attending. 915 00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:05,120 Speaker 13: You know what I did. I bought one hundred inch 916 00:47:05,200 --> 00:47:07,400 Speaker 13: TV for half of the price of an England ticket 917 00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:11,000 Speaker 13: against Croatia and I know this works. Seriously I did. 918 00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:13,759 Speaker 13: I went to Best buy. I rationalize that this is 919 00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:15,759 Speaker 13: half of the price of a Category three ticket to 920 00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:18,759 Speaker 13: watch England against Croatia, and I bought one hundred inch TV. 921 00:47:19,440 --> 00:47:23,320 Speaker 2: With all the commercial deals and billions in revenue, modern 922 00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:26,840 Speaker 2: football can feel like a complex game, but the secret 923 00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:28,799 Speaker 2: may lie in the simplicity. 924 00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:30,479 Speaker 14: At the end of the day, it's still eleven guys 925 00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:32,560 Speaker 14: in shorts and a soccer ball. I mean, that's the 926 00:47:32,560 --> 00:47:35,000 Speaker 14: beauty of the game. I mean, and it's they often say, 927 00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:39,160 Speaker 14: in its simplicity. It's what makes it complex. And so 928 00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:42,240 Speaker 14: you know, I believe once the national anthems get played 929 00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:45,200 Speaker 14: and the ball is put in the middle of the field, 930 00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:48,720 Speaker 14: it's just eleven guys playing against the other eleven guys. 931 00:47:51,120 --> 00:47:52,799 Speaker 2: That does it for us. Here at Wall Street Week, 932 00:47:53,040 --> 00:47:56,080 Speaker 2: I'm David Weston. See you next week for more stories 933 00:47:56,120 --> 00:48:06,040 Speaker 2: of capitalism.