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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast, but this one is good.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 3: Here we go.

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Speaker 2: Growing in Joe Stick. We're sitting it to cash to stop.

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Speaker 4: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 4: go to win. That's incredible, Big banks, all I like

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Speaker 4: to make money? All right? This is the ultimate Kabai want.

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Speaker 2: To And we are underway.

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Speaker 4: Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 4: We made it. We are in the playoffs. We have

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Speaker 4: made it through wild card weekend. Not the greatest weekend

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Speaker 4: of football we ever had, if we're being honest, but

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Speaker 4: we're here. It's the playoffs. I'm your host, Brandon Anderson

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Speaker 4: here with Raheem Palmer as always, and we're gonna talk

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Speaker 4: through all five playoff games this weekend. We'll preview the

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Speaker 4: sixth playoff game to come Monday night tonight as you

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Speaker 4: listen to that. Not really great games for the weekend,

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Speaker 4: but we did get two wild finishes, one in particular.

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Speaker 4: We got the teams we knew we're good all season,

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Speaker 4: the Bills, the Box, the Chiefs, just coasting right through.

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Speaker 4: But Rahim, are we just gonna spend the entire hour

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Speaker 4: talking about the Cowboys game.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think there's a lot to talk

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Speaker 1: about when it comes to the Cowboys game.

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Speaker 2: It was kind of what.

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Speaker 1: We both expected. Obviously, you had the Niners. I had

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Speaker 1: the Niners. You gave out a future on the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers. Plus twenty five hundred actually gave out a

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Speaker 1: Swambi nineties parlay bills forty nine ers to go to

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I know the Swami's been picking it

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Speaker 1: every single year of the nineties. I thought we had

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Speaker 1: some fun with it with some teams that have a

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Speaker 1: real chance to go there. And it's plus five thousands,

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Speaker 1: so we'll see what happens.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, gotta love Chris Berman. Nobody circles the wagons like

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Speaker 4: the buffalo bells. We'll talk bills, We'll talk Cowboys and Niners.

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Speaker 4: We'll get to all those. We'll do the Monday night preview.

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Speaker 4: We'll get to a quick hot read look at the

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Speaker 4: divisional lines for next week that have just posted as

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Speaker 4: we record this on Sunday night. Of course, as all

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Speaker 4: is are from bet MGM, the official odds provider of

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Speaker 4: the Action Network podcast. All right, we gotta start with

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Speaker 4: the Cowboys game. We're gonna hit the two games that

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Speaker 4: were closer, and then we'll go back to the other

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Speaker 4: three after that. So Dallas close as a three and

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Speaker 4: a half point favorite. The total at fifty one point

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Speaker 4: five and the Niners were around plus one fifty on

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Speaker 4: the money line. Like you said, both of us on

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Speaker 4: the forty nine ers. This was our hot read last week.

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Speaker 4: This was this was the game that we had circles

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Speaker 4: for both of us as our best player of the week.

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Speaker 4: And yeah, it really felt like for the most part,

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Speaker 4: and tell things unraveled late. This was just about the

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Speaker 4: game that we thought we saw coming.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, without a doubt. I mentioned it last week.

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Speaker 1: This Cowboy's office just hasn't been the same since Dak

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Speaker 1: Prescott returned from his injury in week nine.

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Speaker 2: From week nine to week.

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Speaker 1: Seventeen, it was sixty for EPA for play twenty first

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Speaker 1: and six rate, nineteenth drive back success rate, and you

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Speaker 1: saw that playout today. You're looking at the first half deck.

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Speaker 1: At one point he was ten for nineteen for ninety

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Speaker 1: four yards and they were down two scores. So it's

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Speaker 1: like you're looking at this Cowboys often they completely struggled.

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Speaker 2: And then on the other side of the ball.

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Speaker 1: As much as we praised this Cowboys defense, it felt

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Speaker 1: like the four nine ers got whatever they win it.

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Speaker 1: In the run game, Jimmy Garoppolo was playing well. The

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Speaker 1: only thing that they didn't do well which made this

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Speaker 1: a game was their drives just kept stalling out in

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Speaker 1: the red zone. So that's what kept this game alive.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it was definitely a game. As a Niners backer,

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Speaker 4: I'm sure that you were feeling the same thing, which

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Speaker 4: was that I felt like we had the game well

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Speaker 4: in control exactly we wanted the whole first half. First drive,

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Speaker 4: the Niners get the ball, They're just ripping off ten

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Speaker 4: fifteen yards of play, running right through them. Exactly why

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Speaker 4: I like the Niners, exactly why we both around the

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Speaker 4: future is because of their run ability. We knew Dallas

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Speaker 4: run defense can hold up. It's just what we saw.

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Speaker 4: They got the touchdown, but then the rest of the

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Speaker 4: first half, three more field goal drives. They keep running it,

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Speaker 4: they keep controlling the ball, not quite finishing. Then they

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Speaker 4: give up the long touchdown or longest touchdown to Amurrai

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Speaker 4: Cooper right before halftime.

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Speaker 1: Then fell back a little bit because on the last

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Speaker 1: field goal drive before the Cowboys touchdown, they had a

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Speaker 1: fourth and one and I just don't understand how you

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Speaker 1: don't go for it at that point.

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Speaker 2: It was just very, very frustrating.

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Speaker 1: At that point, I think you actually got a chance

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Speaker 1: to go up seventeen nothing, and.

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Speaker 2: Instead I lect to kick the field goal. You go

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Speaker 2: up thirteen nothing.

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Speaker 1: You're at the Dallas twenty two, and the way they've

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Speaker 1: been running the ball at that point, I don't understand

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Speaker 1: how Kyle Shanahan doesn't do it. But right after that

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys score touchdown, and then obviously the forty nine

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Speaker 1: ers they go down and kick another field goal.

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Speaker 2: It's sixteen seven going is a half.

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Speaker 1: But this could have been completely disastrous because the Cowboys

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Speaker 1: actually had the ball before the half, and they were

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Speaker 1: getting it bought after the half, so they could have

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Speaker 1: doubled up intok the lead right there.

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Speaker 2: So that's at the point where I started to get worried.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, definitely I was getna a little worried there as well,

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Speaker 4: where it felt like, okay, one team in control. Exactly

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Speaker 4: what thought. But we said this last week too. I

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Speaker 4: thought that there was a script for this game where

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Speaker 4: the Niners dominated the clock forty to twenty minutes of possession,

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Speaker 4: they run the ball game, they double up the yardage

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Speaker 4: or something big like that. And then the Cowboys just

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Speaker 4: have those four or five big plays, a couple of

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Speaker 4: big passing plays, a couple turnovers. So we got Damari

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Speaker 4: Cooper passing play to get the touchdown. Suddenly the lead

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Speaker 4: has cut more than half. And of course late in

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Speaker 4: the game. We'll come back to late in the game later,

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Speaker 4: But we had the turnovers, those other big plays, and

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Speaker 4: I started to worry, did I get the right script

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Speaker 4: but the wrong version of the script for this game.

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Speaker 4: As you know, the Niners good stuff was happening. But yeah,

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Speaker 4: both coaches in this game, and I know we're gonna

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Speaker 4: have much to say about Mike McCarthy. Both coaches coaching

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Speaker 4: not to lose in this one instead of coaching to win.

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Speaker 4: When you're the nine and you have such a powerful

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Speaker 4: run game and the Cowboys can't stop you, how are

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Speaker 4: you not going for it on these fourth and ones.

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Speaker 4: So we'll come back to that big one later. So

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Speaker 4: we're in the second half now, and there's a sequence

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Speaker 4: where the Cowboys get a penalty. Let me narrow it

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Speaker 4: down for you. That was all the sequences. So Cowoys

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Speaker 4: get a big penalty, Dak gets sacked and now it's

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Speaker 4: second and second and long, and so now Dak forces

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Speaker 4: one and it gets picked off barely outside the red zone.

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Speaker 4: Very next play, handoff to Deebo Samuel, touchdown Niners, and

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Speaker 4: I think the game is done at this point, we're

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Speaker 4: twenty three to seven. Now the Niners are controlling the game.

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Speaker 4: The Cowboys defense is gouty, getting tired. And I thought

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Speaker 4: that that four play sequence, I think that was four

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Speaker 4: straight plays. I felt like that was curtains for the

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Speaker 4: Cowboys at that point where you're feeling pretty good at

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Speaker 4: that point on.

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Speaker 1: I felt like this game was over. And then the

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Speaker 1: forty nine Ers, now they got the ball back. I

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Speaker 1: think they were at the San Francisco nine. They pick

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Speaker 1: up a first down. Things are looking good like they're

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Speaker 1: just gonna roll down and put up more points than

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Speaker 1: the board. Jimmy Garoppolo has Brandon Ayu why open, and

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Speaker 1: I mean wide open. He could pleat this pass. I

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Speaker 1: you probably is gonna score. It's thirty to seven at

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Speaker 1: that point, and we're we're on easy Street.

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Speaker 2: We're going home.

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Speaker 1: Instead, he misses the past. The forty nine Ers end

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Speaker 1: up punting Cowboy's gonna field goal on next possession. But

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Speaker 1: then even then you're still feeling very comfortable because we're

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Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter. The fourth quarter, up thirteen, they're

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Speaker 1: dropping the ball.

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Speaker 2: And then disaster.

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Speaker 4: Hold hold on, ye hold on before the disaster. We

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Speaker 4: gotta start tying coaching now, So what did you think

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Speaker 4: about Cowboys are down sixteen and kick the field goal

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Speaker 4: in the fourth quarter? I believe. So you're down two touchdowns,

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Speaker 4: you kick the field goal to stay down two touchdowns.

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Speaker 4: A Mike McCarthy classic. Got that one. Rewind a little

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Speaker 4: before that, McCarthy punted in the third quarter when I

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Speaker 4: think the Cowboys probably need to be going for you. You

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Speaker 4: get some points, and then later on they line up

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Speaker 4: to punt again. They run a fake punt. Works like

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Speaker 4: a charm somehow. The Niners are kind of in a

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Speaker 4: fake punt. You know they're prepared for it, but it works.

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Speaker 4: The Cowboys get the first down and then like idiots,

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Speaker 4: keep the punt team on the field like they're trying

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Speaker 4: to trying to catch San Francisco off guard. They're basically

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Speaker 4: they're trying to force the time out, and instead San

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Speaker 4: Francisco isn't cut off guard. Doesn't really panic. The Cowboys

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Speaker 4: suddenly run the punt team off the field, run the

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Speaker 4: offense onto the field, waste the entire play clock, which,

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Speaker 4: by the way, the Sam Fran time out is not

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Speaker 4: as important as the thirty forty seconds you just blew

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Speaker 4: in a game you're still trailing by like two touchdowns now,

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Speaker 4: and then they get the delay of game on top

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Speaker 4: of it. Mike McCarthy just absolute idiot outsmarted himself on

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Speaker 4: that one delay of game. The field goal. What do

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Speaker 4: you think of the field goal or the fake punt?

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Speaker 1: Look, I love the fake punt, but that said a

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Speaker 1: lot more about the one defender who just didn't follow

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Speaker 1: the instruction. Everybody else understood that this is a fake

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Speaker 1: pump formation, and the one guy just runs off and

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Speaker 1: just leaves him wide open. And I'm sitting here like,

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Speaker 1: what the hell is going on? It was just one

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Speaker 1: of those games where that's what happened all game, and

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Speaker 1: it just was It was very frustrating. But to go

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Speaker 1: to kick the field goal there, I thought it was inexcusable.

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Speaker 1: And it was surprising because Dallas all year has remained aggressive.

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Speaker 2: We all talked about Mike McCarthy.

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Speaker 1: He's becoming more aggressive, He's getting more analytically sound. But

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Speaker 1: in the biggest pressure moments, a tiger can't change his stripes.

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Speaker 1: That's exactly what happened when he kicked that field goal.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, speaking able to tell you're not changing his stripes.

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Speaker 4: Now we're back to your disaster mode. So another Tiger,

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Speaker 4: Jimmy Garoppolo. We're up thirteen, We're at like ten minutes left.

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Speaker 4: I think under that run the ball you're gashing on

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Speaker 4: the run game, Just hand the ball off, get out

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Speaker 4: of here, keep the clock moving. Instead, Jimmy does what

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Speaker 4: Jimmy does best, which is throw an absolute backbreaking interception

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Speaker 4: on the around the side of the field. Colways get

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Speaker 4: the ball back. That's exactly what you don't want to do.

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Speaker 4: Of course, you want to give the other team the ball,

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Speaker 4: and you don't want to put them in scoring position

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Speaker 4: when the offense has really done almost nothing all game.

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Speaker 1: You know, the funny thing about the interception, and I

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Speaker 1: think this is a theme for this entire game, is

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Speaker 1: the two interceptions came after penalties. So Deebo Samuel actually

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Speaker 1: breaks a thirteen yard run and it looks like they're

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Speaker 1: headed into Dallas territory. Instead you get a holding call.

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Speaker 1: It's a spot penalty. First to fifteen, Deebo stadios he

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Speaker 1: runs five yards and then on second down, instead of

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Speaker 1: you were in Dallas territory or second and short, you're

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Speaker 1: looking at second and ten and Jimmy Garoppolo feels like

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Speaker 1: he has to make a play and it's the worst

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Speaker 1: possible past ever, just terrible.

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Speaker 4: So the Niners turnover. The Cowboys drive it in. Dak

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Speaker 4: runs in for the touchdown on that drive. Very it

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Speaker 4: could be very bad for the forty nine Ers. Fred

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Speaker 4: Warner gets hurt on that drive, So the Niners got

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Speaker 4: the win. The Groppolo interception did not cost them their season.

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Speaker 4: It could have, but it might cost them their season indirectly.

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Speaker 4: If that Fred Warner injury ends up being a big deal,

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Speaker 4: we'll come back to that one. I know Nick Bosa

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Speaker 4: another injury. He got a concussion symptoms earlier in the game.

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Speaker 4: Bosa and Warner are are big name for this defense,

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Speaker 4: so got to see what happens with those guys this week. Obviously,

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Speaker 4: the forty nine Ers will play the Packers. We've got

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Speaker 4: big defensive names on both sides, and when you see

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Speaker 4: what's happening with them, So the Cowboys get the touchdown,

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Speaker 4: Niners gets the ball back. We're still up six and

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Speaker 4: the Niners still just run the ball, get the clock moving.

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Speaker 4: Everyone's got their timeouts left. We had to pass out

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Speaker 4: to George Kittle, who breaks the tackle, tries to get

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Speaker 4: a little bit more and fumbles and the Cowboys recover.

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Speaker 4: The crowd goes crazy, but it's not a catch. They

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Speaker 4: overturn it. The ball bounced right before he caught it,

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Speaker 4: so we're back to third and long. Groplow drops back,

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Speaker 4: throws another terrible pass over the middle. It gets hipped

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Speaker 4: and should have been intercepted and it wasn't, and instead

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Speaker 4: we get an illegal hands with the face. I think

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Speaker 4: that was Gallimore on that one. So automatic first down

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Speaker 4: on a third and long for the Niners. The same

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Speaker 4: thing that we've been seeing. Penalties, just penalties killing fourteen

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Speaker 4: penalties for the Cowboys. Franchise record a lot of playoff

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Speaker 4: games for the Cowboys too, so no small thing fourteen penalties.

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Speaker 4: At this point in my notes, I've got okay, both

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Speaker 4: team are just trying to lose at this point.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, without a doubt. At that point, it feels

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Speaker 2: like the forty nine ers they had to run out

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Speaker 2: the clock.

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Speaker 1: And they're just basically running because they're afraid that Jimmy

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Speaker 1: garoppol is going to make a mistake. They ended up

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Speaker 1: punting to the Cowboys. Cowboys that have turning it over

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Speaker 1: on downs. At the San Francisco forty seven and the

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Speaker 1: forty nine ers, it looks like they're gonna end this game.

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Speaker 1: They have no intention of actually passing the ball. It's

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Speaker 1: only about a minute left, and the Cowboys actually get

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Speaker 1: a penalty. It's like both of these teams are they're

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Speaker 1: just trying to give the game away. I've never seen

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Speaker 1: anything like it. Forty nine Ers, they get a fourth

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Speaker 1: and one. All they have to do is quarterback sneaky and

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Speaker 1: the game's over. They get a fall start pin and

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys get the ball back.

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Speaker 4: So not just a fallse star penalty. Jimmy Garoppolo is

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Speaker 4: eleven three eleven on QB sneaks at this point of

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Speaker 4: the season. He's a big dude. You're dominating in the trenches.

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Speaker 4: You have an awesome offensive line. You're like three inches

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Speaker 4: away as first as a first down, we review it,

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Speaker 4: we give it back. It's a fourth down. Now, just

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Speaker 4: snap and lean forward. That's it. Just lean forward. What

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Speaker 4: are you doing putting your left tackle in motion. Only

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Speaker 4: Kyle Shanahan dreaming up some stupid thing putting Trent Williams

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Speaker 4: in motion, So we call it a false start. It's

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Speaker 4: really it's like an illegal formation, like he didn't set

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Speaker 4: in time. Just stand there and fall forward and the

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Speaker 4: game is over. What are we doing?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I just it was. It was very frustrating.

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Speaker 1: And then obviously the Cowboys get the ball back and

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Speaker 1: they actually have a shot at a hell Mary. And

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Speaker 1: to make things worse is like the forty nine ers

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Speaker 1: are playing like one of the worst pre bak coverages

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Speaker 1: I've ever seen, because they're allowing the Cowboys to chuck

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Speaker 1: the ball down the field and get out a band

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Speaker 1: on the sidelines. They're not playing any sideline coverage. They're

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Speaker 1: just letting these guys run out of bails. Nobody's trying

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Speaker 1: to tackle anybody. And then finally, fourteen seconds to go,

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Speaker 1: they're at the fifty or so dak. They they called

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Speaker 1: us running play, and in many ways it might have

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Speaker 1: been brilliant if there was more time, but they called

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Speaker 1: a running and play.

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Speaker 2: To run up the field.

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Speaker 1: Dak slides, they tackle them, and they just don't have

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Speaker 1: enough time to complete the spike, the game is over,

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Speaker 1: and it just it was just one of those games

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Speaker 1: to where Look, I was on the forty nine ers,

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Speaker 1: but I'm also a Cowboys fan. I had big money

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Speaker 1: on the forty nine ers today. I just wanted it

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Speaker 1: to end because with my luck, the Cowboys would have

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Speaker 1: tied that game. Greg Z would have missed the extra point,

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Speaker 1: it would have gone to overtime.

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Speaker 4: And this would have been the real state of we

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Speaker 4: cover and overtime against it.

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Speaker 2: Oh my god, that that was my biggest fear.

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Speaker 4: You are a lifelong Cowboys fan. You got all your

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Speaker 4: money on the Niners here, and now it's your big

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Speaker 4: player for the weekend. The Cowboys are driving. It looks

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Speaker 4: like they got a real shot here in that moment.

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Speaker 4: I know you know yourself, be honest, who are you

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Speaker 4: rooting for? Are you rooting for your guys or are

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Speaker 4: you rooting for your while.

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Speaker 1: So I had about ten thousand dollars on this forty

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Speaker 1: nine Ers plus three, and then I had about another

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Speaker 1: four thousand on the forty nine ers money line. So

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Speaker 1: if the Cowboys scoring and kick the field goal, I

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Speaker 1: still make some money. But I'm gonna be honest, I'm

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Speaker 1: rooting for my wallet. The Cowboys, I love them to death,

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Speaker 1: but they don't pay my bills. And based on the

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Speaker 1: way they played today, there's no way I saw this

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Speaker 1: team going to the super Bowl anyway. So I was

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Speaker 1: rooting for fort Nights the whole way.

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Speaker 4: That's what I thought. I just want our listeners to

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Speaker 4: hear it. That wild end of the game. I mean,

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Speaker 4: I honestly, that deck run just insane. I understand what

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Speaker 4: you're trying to do. I understand that you think you're

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Speaker 4: gonna like he can slide. You don't have to wait

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Speaker 4: to get tackled. They know the receivers don't run down

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Speaker 4: the field. It's planned. I get it. But you got to, like,

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Speaker 4: first of all, hand the ball to the referee, like

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Speaker 4: be like Larry Fitzgerald. We've all watched Larry Fitzgerald run

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Speaker 4: the ball to the referee and handed to him and

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Speaker 4: get everyone lined up. Instead, their own offensive line blocked

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Speaker 4: better than it has all season and blocked the ref

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Speaker 4: from getting to the other side to put the ball down.

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Speaker 4: And I don't know if you have the spike down

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Speaker 4: in time anyways, I think the clock might have run out.

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Speaker 4: You got really lean on the Dallas timekeeper to hope

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Speaker 4: you get another second there. Baffling call on that spot.

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Speaker 4: By the way, I had to point out to our guy,

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Speaker 4: Kellen Moore, the offensive coordinator hooking lateral on that first

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Speaker 4: play to get the drive going. Kellen Moore, old quarterback

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Speaker 4: from Boise State in that classic Boise State Oklahoma game

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Speaker 4: on the hook and ladder and asked flashbacks for me.

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Speaker 4: I had to enjoy that one. Earlier we talked about

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Speaker 4: the fourth downs and Dann Fran not getting thing those through.

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Speaker 4: Dy had the early fourth and one, did the late

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Speaker 4: one we talked about before that. They had the drive

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Speaker 4: around the fifty. They got a fourth and one there

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Speaker 4: because Deebo got tackled by Layton vander ash great tackle

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Speaker 4: the right around the fifty. I'm screaming to go for it.

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Speaker 4: Just get out there and again pick up a yard

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Speaker 4: and you basically run the clock out. Instead, they take

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Speaker 4: the delay of game. Then they get a fall starts

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Speaker 4: to give up ten yards of field position. Both of

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Speaker 4: these coaches drove me crazy in this game of just

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Speaker 4: making suboptimal decisions like we're too smart for this at

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Speaker 4: this point, we know not to do these things. And yeah,

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Speaker 4: I just I know your guy dak drove you crazy.

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Speaker 4: Not good enough in this game? You know, he just

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Speaker 4: he didn't show up here. Twenty three or two and

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Speaker 4: fifty four yards, five point nine yards per attempt, not

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Speaker 4: going to do the track. Five sacks, that's on the quarterback. Also,

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Speaker 4: Ezekiel Elliott twelve runs for thirty one yards not good enough,

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Speaker 4: Ceedee Lamb one catch, not good enough. Cowboys just weren't

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Speaker 4: good enough. This game should not have been this close.

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Speaker 4: And the Cowboys were great early this season and not

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Speaker 4: good enough at the end.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's that's my biggest take way is

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Speaker 1: Dakota Prescott just was not good enough. And I think

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Speaker 1: he summed it up well. He had a negative thirteen

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Speaker 1: point two EPA to play, fifty six percent completion percentage.

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Speaker 1: When you look at their passing success rate thirty five

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Speaker 1: percent passing success rate. Early passes were thirty eight percent

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Speaker 1: success rate. They generated just a first down on twenty

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Speaker 1: four percent of their passing attempts. Look, this Cowboys offense

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Speaker 1: was rolling to start the year and it just hasn't

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Speaker 1: been that since he came back from injury. So I

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Speaker 1: think I don't know if like things have to change

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Speaker 1: with Keller Moore or Mike McCarthy. But this offense really

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Speaker 1: just hasn't been a saint and for the team to

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Speaker 1: have all these weapons and be stacked, the defense played

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Speaker 1: above his head this season.

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Speaker 2: Probably one of the easiest schedules.

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Speaker 4: The time was now, it's a real mess opportunity for them.

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Speaker 4: I could point out credit too to the forty nine

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Speaker 4: ers offensive line, like we've said, Brent Williams, George Kittle. Obviously,

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Speaker 4: I'll tell you that on the rest of that line,

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Speaker 4: they won the game. They were the MVP of the game,

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Speaker 4: thirty eight rushes for one hundred and sixty one yards

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Speaker 4: and two touchdowns, four and a half yards of carry,

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Speaker 4: basically just controlling the game. Also p number zero sacks

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Speaker 4: all out against that awesome up front Dallas seven, and

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Speaker 4: they just didn't get the pressure they needed to and

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Speaker 4: Jimmy was feeling safe back there. Don't overreact against the

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Speaker 4: Niners here. This is a very good team that played

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Speaker 4: a very good game. They tried to choke a little

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Speaker 4: bit late, but they held on to get the win.

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Speaker 4: They stopped Dallas a couple times, and that the win

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Speaker 4: probability for the forty nine Ers never dropped below seventy

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Speaker 4: five percent in this game by in the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 4: so they were safely in charge of the game. Still,

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Speaker 4: I think that the public is going to look at

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Speaker 4: this game and be like, man, both of these teams

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Speaker 4: are terrible. I don't want to better on either one

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Speaker 4: of them anymore. And I liked a lot what we

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Speaker 4: saw in San fran Here the reado you and I

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Speaker 4: had going into this game, that's the team that we saw,

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Speaker 4: and if their defense is healthy enough, it's the team

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Speaker 4: that can still do some real damage going forward. So

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Speaker 4: obviously the Niners are headed to Green Bay. We'll talk

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Speaker 4: about that one later. Let's go back to the first

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Speaker 4: game of the weekend. The only other game that was

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Speaker 4: even close at all Raiders Bengals, which I call is

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Speaker 4: a playoff appetizer starting us out, we got that usual

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Speaker 4: first AFC game to kick off our Saturday. Bengals closed

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Speaker 4: at five and a half point favorites and ended up

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Speaker 4: covering twenty six to nineteen on the win. And you

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Speaker 4: know headline from that game. Just so we all came

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Speaker 4: to see the Jerome Boger Show, we got a rough show,

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Speaker 4: all sorts of calls going crazy on this game. What'd

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Speaker 4: you think of Raiders Bengals.

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Speaker 1: The Cincinnati Bengals defense. We've been talking about it all year.

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Speaker 1: They faced probably thirty first schedule of opposing defenses, and

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Speaker 1: anytime they face slid offenses, they get carved up. So

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Speaker 1: it looked like we were in the midst of a

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Speaker 1: shootout and the Raiders go down kick a field goal.

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Speaker 1: The Bengals come right back and score seven points, and

433
00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 1: to me, from that point on, it just never really

434
00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:01,879
Speaker 1: they truly felt like a game. To me, it just

435
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:06,200
Speaker 1: felt like the Bengals were in total control. But similar

436
00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:09,720
Speaker 1: to the forty nine Ers game, the Raiders red zone defense,

437
00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:11,960
Speaker 1: they did what they had to do. I mean, look,

438
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:14,720
Speaker 1: the Bengals were just two for five in the red zone.

439
00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:18,119
Speaker 1: They just kept kicking field goals. But fortunately for the Bengals,

440
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:20,560
Speaker 1: their red zone defense showed up as well, so the

441
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:22,359
Speaker 1: Raiders were just one for five in the red zone.

442
00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:24,520
Speaker 1: Neither one of these two teams could punch it in,

443
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:28,040
Speaker 1: probably frustrating for over Better. I didn't have anything on

444
00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:30,040
Speaker 1: his game, but I couldn't imagine what it feels like

445
00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 1: they have over in this game.

446
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:33,239
Speaker 4: Well yeah, and we didn't even mention at the end

447
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,399
Speaker 4: of the game the Raiders get intercepted basically at the

448
00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 4: goal line on fourth down to preserve the under and

449
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,760
Speaker 4: the Cincinnati cover because otherwise they probably tied up. When

450
00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:44,080
Speaker 4: we go to overtime, we go over and the Raiders

451
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:47,160
Speaker 4: might get yet another overtime win there. So I don't

452
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:48,880
Speaker 4: know if I agree that the Bengals were in control

453
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:50,919
Speaker 4: the way, because the Raiders were never really out of it,

454
00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:53,439
Speaker 4: and the Raiders were a team this year that was

455
00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:56,600
Speaker 4: never really out of it. By the way, you talked

456
00:21:56,600 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 4: about three of ten combined in the red zone just horrendous.

457
00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 4: Let's be honest, should have been two of ten in

458
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:05,800
Speaker 4: the red zone. Because the big play in this game

459
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:09,479
Speaker 4: is right before halftime, two minute warning. The Bengals are

460
00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:12,159
Speaker 4: third down in the red zone. Joe Burrow makes a

461
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:16,080
Speaker 4: fantastic play. Joe Burrow is rolling right and he's just

462
00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:18,240
Speaker 4: about to go out of bounds and he does the

463
00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:20,320
Speaker 4: Mahomes thing that you know where he kind of stays

464
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:23,439
Speaker 4: a split second longer in bounds, throws a little bit

465
00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 4: across his body, hits Tyler Boyd for touchdown. They did

466
00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:30,640
Speaker 4: everything right. The play is beautiful. Burrow made a great throw,

467
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:33,919
Speaker 4: he stayed in bounds. It all was legal, except the

468
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:38,040
Speaker 4: referees clearly blew the whistle during the play, thinking Burrow

469
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:41,280
Speaker 4: is gonna step out of bounds before the catch was made.

470
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:44,680
Speaker 4: By rule, you got to replay the down. So maybe

471
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:46,879
Speaker 4: they get the touchdown anyway, but the way that the

472
00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:48,679
Speaker 4: red zone looked in this game, they probably don't. You

473
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:52,360
Speaker 4: probably get a field goal there and they can't review it.

474
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:56,240
Speaker 4: I wonder did they call, you know, so they huddle together,

475
00:22:56,320 --> 00:22:58,720
Speaker 4: they talk, they call it a touchdown. I kind of

476
00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 4: wonder if they cald call it a touchdown so that

477
00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:03,159
Speaker 4: it would be reviewed. All scores are reviewed, but we

478
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,200
Speaker 4: can't review whistles. We can't rew it interverting whistle, so

479
00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 4: they just have to let it stand. After that, I

480
00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:10,840
Speaker 4: thought that that was a sham. The referees from this

481
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:12,880
Speaker 4: game are off for the rest of the postseason now

482
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:16,240
Speaker 4: because of it. And if you're a Raiders fan or

483
00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:18,480
Speaker 4: a Raiders player, I think you got to feel very

484
00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:21,680
Speaker 4: hard done by that interverting whistle that you just can't

485
00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 4: do anything about.

486
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:24,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, that was a tough play call. I didn't know

487
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:27,159
Speaker 1: what to make of it because it felt like it

488
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:28,840
Speaker 1: felt like Joe Burrow didn't step.

489
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:29,200
Speaker 2: Out of bound.

490
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:31,480
Speaker 1: So it's like, how do you punish the Bengals, But

491
00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 1: at the same time, it's just like, look, you hear

492
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:36,120
Speaker 1: a whistle, and I think we all heard the whistle.

493
00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:38,600
Speaker 1: I don't think the game was decided on that. The

494
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 1: game was basically this because I mean the Raiders came

495
00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:43,640
Speaker 1: right back down to score a touchdown. It was thirteen

496
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,119
Speaker 1: to twenty at the end of the half. Both teams

497
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:48,560
Speaker 1: had their chances. At the end of the day. The

498
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,040
Speaker 1: Raiders couldn't score touchdowns, the Bengals couldn't score touchdowns, and

499
00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:54,679
Speaker 1: the Bengals just happened to do a little bit more offensively.

500
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:56,959
Speaker 1: So the whole game, it just felt like the Bengals

501
00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:58,920
Speaker 1: were in control and then the final dropt.

502
00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:01,160
Speaker 2: I guess this is very was in a Dallas game.

503
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 1: I don't understand how you spiked the ball in first

504
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 1: Hawn with thirty seconds to go and you're inside of

505
00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:09,960
Speaker 1: the ten yard line, Like, why are you wasting one

506
00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:10,640
Speaker 1: of your downs?

507
00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:13,119
Speaker 4: You get four plays to save your season, four plays,

508
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 4: that's it, and thirty seconds. There is plenty of time

509
00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:18,000
Speaker 4: at that point of the game. You don't want a

510
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,840
Speaker 4: lot of time left because you're about to hope that

511
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,480
Speaker 4: you tie the game. You don't want any time left

512
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,960
Speaker 4: for Cincinnati, who, by the way, has a rookie field

513
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:31,040
Speaker 4: goal kicker, Evan McPherson, who is just nails hitting everything.

514
00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:33,520
Speaker 4: Like I kept waiting for the rookie to miss that

515
00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:36,040
Speaker 4: one kick after've been great all season, but four for

516
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:38,960
Speaker 4: four hit from all over the field. We don't talk

517
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:42,119
Speaker 4: about special teams that much. You felt the special team's

518
00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:44,320
Speaker 4: advantage the Bengals here they are number eight and dB

519
00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,160
Speaker 4: in the season, Raiders twenty first. He felt it all

520
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:50,879
Speaker 4: game long. Daniel Carson hit his kicks, but mcpheerson that

521
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 4: you just knew anywhere in range he was money, He's

522
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 4: going to hit it. The Raiders also had that play

523
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:58,200
Speaker 4: early in the game where they get the kickoff and

524
00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:01,480
Speaker 4: they grabbed the ca going out of bounds at the

525
00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 4: two yard line and literally cost themselves thirty eight yards

526
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:08,040
Speaker 4: of field position. The guys trying to catch it out

527
00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:11,240
Speaker 4: of bounds but didn't quite get there first thirty eight yards.

528
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:13,240
Speaker 4: Like that's that's like one of the biggest plays of

529
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,880
Speaker 4: the entire game. And we kind of just shrugged because

530
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,359
Speaker 4: it's a special teams play, but I thought that was big.

531
00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 1: Another thing, Hug and I'm gonna be honest with you.

532
00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:22,720
Speaker 1: At that point, I said to myself, this game's over

533
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 1: and now it.

534
00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:26,080
Speaker 4: Was pretty early, so that that lines up with why

535
00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 4: you kind of felt like it was done. Credit to

536
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:31,040
Speaker 4: to Trey Hendrickson. With a lot of people talked, I

537
00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:34,439
Speaker 4: talked a lot about the Raiders pass rush. Trey Hendrickson

538
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:37,240
Speaker 4: has been underrated pass rusher for the Bengals. He was awesome.

539
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:41,240
Speaker 4: I saw from next Gen stats through three quarters when

540
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:44,439
Speaker 4: Hendrickson was on the field, the Bengals were pressuring on

541
00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:46,600
Speaker 4: forty four percent of the plays when he was off

542
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:50,720
Speaker 4: zero percent. No pressure without Trey Hendrickson, So he was great.

543
00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:54,399
Speaker 4: Another way, this Accuo the Cowboys game was just constant.

544
00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:58,080
Speaker 4: Raiders penalties constant, especially on the old line. Like we

545
00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:00,720
Speaker 4: know they trade away a bunch of alignment in the offseason,

546
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,400
Speaker 4: but it felt like every time the Raiders would break

547
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:05,159
Speaker 4: through and get a good play, it'd come back in

548
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 4: a penalty. They did a nineteen yard screen back in

549
00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:09,879
Speaker 4: a penalty. They had an eight yard run down to

550
00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:11,880
Speaker 4: the one yard line trying to get a touchdown back

551
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 4: in a penalty. So for your field goal, thirty five

552
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 4: year pass to the Sean called back on a penalty,

553
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,360
Speaker 4: did a five yard run for a first down late

554
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,280
Speaker 4: in the game called back in a penalty. So only

555
00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:24,680
Speaker 4: seven penalties for forty six yards, but they were very

556
00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:28,000
Speaker 4: key moment penalties and I felt like that really cost

557
00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:31,119
Speaker 4: the game. There the thing about the Bengals that bothered me.

558
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,480
Speaker 4: We talked about this during multiple of their games this year.

559
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:37,840
Speaker 4: The numbers think that Joe Mixon is a good runner.

560
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 4: I think you finished second in the league in rushing yards,

561
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:43,600
Speaker 4: but the metrics don't think that the Bengals should be

562
00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:45,639
Speaker 4: running as much as they are. They're over committed to

563
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:47,879
Speaker 4: the run game. We knew the Raiders run defense was

564
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,840
Speaker 4: pretty good, they were good this game, and the Bengals

565
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:53,800
Speaker 4: kept running too much. So many times they'd be on

566
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,640
Speaker 4: a third and long because they wasted it early down

567
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,760
Speaker 4: running back into the line. Here's the numbers from the game.

568
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,720
Speaker 4: Twenty one times on first or second down, the Bengals

569
00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 4: ran the ball negative point two to three epa per play,

570
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:09,959
Speaker 4: twenty one plays, nineteen percent success rate, and only two

571
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:13,800
Speaker 4: first downs on that So that to me is a problem.

572
00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:17,600
Speaker 4: Because we saw Burrow and his receivers break out those

573
00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:19,560
Speaker 4: last two games they play in the regular season. I

574
00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:21,720
Speaker 4: thought maybe that was going to turn this into a

575
00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,760
Speaker 4: pass heavy team, and then they went right back to

576
00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:28,119
Speaker 4: too much run defense. They're going to Tennessee. Now the

577
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,560
Speaker 4: Titans are a very good run defense too, But can

578
00:27:30,560 --> 00:27:33,119
Speaker 4: we be in the passing game. But if they're going

579
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:36,560
Speaker 4: to keep over relying on mixing, I think that that's

580
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:38,880
Speaker 4: your problem. And at this point we have to believe

581
00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:41,280
Speaker 4: they're going to because it's basically what they've proven.

582
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:45,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, without a doubt, Dak Teller, he's not a coach

583
00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:48,000
Speaker 1: that I look at and see as a top tier

584
00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:50,879
Speaker 1: coach in this league. So it's tough to back him.

585
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:53,959
Speaker 1: I mean, Joe Burrow so good. Jamar Chase is just

586
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:57,400
Speaker 1: so dominant that they're kind of winning in spite their

587
00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:57,840
Speaker 1: head coach.

588
00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:01,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think so. Other note here as we wrap up,

589
00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:03,360
Speaker 4: I got my eye on this. I didn't really see

590
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:05,679
Speaker 4: much reporting on it, but second to last play for

591
00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:07,880
Speaker 4: the Bengals, as they're just trying to run the clock out,

592
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:11,720
Speaker 4: they put Jamar Chase on a handoff. Gonna grab him

593
00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,280
Speaker 4: a little bit, pulling a muscle. Maybe he just took

594
00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:16,679
Speaker 4: a knee to the wrong spot. Hopefully that's all that

595
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:19,960
Speaker 4: it was. But Jamar Chase was huge in this game.

596
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:22,119
Speaker 4: Anytime they needed to play, Burrow just went right back

597
00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:25,000
Speaker 4: to his guy. And I'm definitely got my eye on

598
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:28,520
Speaker 4: Jamar Chase, and I kind of like the Tennessee value

599
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:31,760
Speaker 4: perhaps early on as we don't know what happens with

600
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:34,680
Speaker 4: Chase yet, but the Bengals like Chase has been their guy,

601
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 4: so I hope that he's okay. I want to see

602
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,240
Speaker 4: him out there. He's been so much fun to watch.

603
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:41,080
Speaker 4: But I do have my eye on that one.

604
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,280
Speaker 1: The defensive injuries are the biggest injuries for the Bengals

605
00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:48,520
Speaker 1: next week. Trey Henderson, you lose Larry Agoon Jobe. They

606
00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:50,960
Speaker 1: left the game in the third quarter. So that's something

607
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:52,680
Speaker 1: that you want to look forward to next week, especially

608
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:54,760
Speaker 1: against this Titans team, which was the running ball.

609
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:58,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, for sure, that will be key as well. All Right,

610
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,040
Speaker 4: three other games this weekend, none of them were close.

611
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:04,960
Speaker 4: Let's go to Saturday night Bill's Patriots. I was excited

612
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:06,840
Speaker 4: for that one. You told me it was not gonna

613
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:08,760
Speaker 4: be a great game. It was not a great game,

614
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:10,240
Speaker 4: and not the way that either one of us thought

615
00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 4: it wouldn't. The Bills demolished the Patriots forty seven to seventeen.

616
00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 4: Bills hit the over on their own obviously, get the cover.

617
00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:23,160
Speaker 4: Bills get the opening touchdown. Drive looked very good, Josh

618
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 4: Allen looked great. But the Patriots marched right down the

619
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,800
Speaker 4: field and looked like Mac Jones about to just drop

620
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:31,920
Speaker 4: a nice dime right in for a touchdown. Micah Hyde

621
00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:34,600
Speaker 4: makes an awesome play, comes through on like the over

622
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:38,760
Speaker 4: the shoulder Willie May's interception, and the Patriots get no

623
00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:42,080
Speaker 4: points out of it. And that's basically a wrap because

624
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:45,400
Speaker 4: the Bills score a touchdown on their first seven like

625
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:48,040
Speaker 4: all seven drives. Basically they knelt at the end of

626
00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:51,200
Speaker 4: both halves and they scored a touchdown on every other drive.

627
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:54,160
Speaker 4: They were they were perfect, Like they literally played a

628
00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 4: perfect offensive game. No turnovers, no negative plays the entire game,

629
00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 4: no punts, no picks. They just scored every time on

630
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:06,600
Speaker 4: a very good Patriots defense too. So just an absolutely

631
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:07,600
Speaker 4: dominant performance.

632
00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, look, six per seven on third down,

633
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:14,560
Speaker 1: four hundred and eighty two total yards, eight point nine

634
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 1: yards per play, six point six yards per carry, one

635
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:23,880
Speaker 1: hundred and seventy four yards rushing. You can't play a

636
00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:27,680
Speaker 1: better football game than the Buffalo Bills offense played. I

637
00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:30,520
Speaker 1: actually took the first half under twenty two and a half,

638
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 1: and it was very frustrating for me because even with

639
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:38,360
Speaker 1: the Bills playing so perfect, the Patriots could just get

640
00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:42,640
Speaker 1: one stop. We're there, Like they literally get just one stop,

641
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:45,880
Speaker 1: a third down stop. Like one of the big plays

642
00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:50,000
Speaker 1: that everybody complained about was on the first Bill's touchdown drive,

643
00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:52,280
Speaker 1: there was a holding penalty that they just didn't call.

644
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:55,600
Speaker 1: The Bills were just so perfect. Other than that, it

645
00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:58,720
Speaker 1: just didn't even matter. So this was just a totally

646
00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:01,560
Speaker 1: dominant performance. I don't even know what to say about

647
00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick and this Patriots TV. It's one thing for

648
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 1: the Patriots offense not to show what. I didn't expect

649
00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 1: the Patriots defense to struggle in this manner.

650
00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 4: I agree. And the Patriots offense, you know, they did

651
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:16,680
Speaker 4: a little bit. Mac threw two touchdowns, So the Patriots offense,

652
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:18,800
Speaker 4: to me, is not the main culprit here. I agree.

653
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 4: I didn't expect the New England defense to just get

654
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:25,880
Speaker 4: absolutely crushed to end the season. New England now looking

655
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,880
Speaker 4: back their last four games, they allowed thirty three, ten,

656
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:33,360
Speaker 4: thirty three, and now forty seven forty seven points, the

657
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 4: most that New England has allowed since nineteen ninety against

658
00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:40,800
Speaker 4: your hometown Philadelphia Eagles. Patriots. By the way, we're one

659
00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 4: in fifteen that year. This is the biggest Patriots defeat

660
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:47,440
Speaker 4: since last December against the Bills thirty eight to nine.

661
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,719
Speaker 4: It's the biggest defeat since before that was thirty one

662
00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:53,760
Speaker 4: nothing also to the Bills back in the first game

663
00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:56,600
Speaker 4: of two thousand and three, which I think you probably

664
00:31:56,600 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 4: remember as the Lawyer Maloy game. So this is a

665
00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:04,480
Speaker 4: rough one. Belichick has never really lost a game this

666
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:07,560
Speaker 4: badly with the Patriots, but good time if you're a

667
00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 4: Pats fan to remember that since that thirty one hing

668
00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:14,800
Speaker 4: Bill's lost their last defeat that was this big. Since then,

669
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:17,720
Speaker 4: you've been in twelve conference championship games and played in

670
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:21,040
Speaker 4: eight Super Bowls, so you know, life could be worse.

671
00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:24,160
Speaker 4: But to me, the telling staff from this game was

672
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:28,480
Speaker 4: this Josh Allen five touchdowns, sixty six rushing yards. He

673
00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:30,920
Speaker 4: hit his over rushing prop on the first drive. I

674
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:34,840
Speaker 4: love that one, but the stat that was crazy. So

675
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 4: you know, we saw the Chiefs do this too. You know,

676
00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:40,680
Speaker 4: when you get the offensive lineman touchdown, you know the

677
00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:43,360
Speaker 4: game was cooked. Like if you're drawing up the one

678
00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:46,040
Speaker 4: yard throw it to our fat guy touchdown. You're just

679
00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:48,640
Speaker 4: playing to the home fans now. So Allan throws a

680
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,720
Speaker 4: touchdown to Tommy Doyle one yarder to make it forty

681
00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:55,640
Speaker 4: seven to ten. It literally brought his quarterback rating down

682
00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:59,120
Speaker 4: throwing a touchdown pass because it brought his yards per

683
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:02,120
Speaker 4: attempt down. And the QB rating system is stupid. But

684
00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:04,720
Speaker 4: I thought that was hilarious that Josh Allen was so

685
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 4: good in this game that a touchdown passed literally made

686
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:10,280
Speaker 4: his A rating. Got it down, And that's pretty much

687
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:11,800
Speaker 4: the story of the game to man as a hell

688
00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:14,800
Speaker 4: of a stat. Let's go to Eagles Buck. That one

689
00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 4: was Sunday first game, and this was.

690
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:21,920
Speaker 1: Actually one that we were a lit like. I always

691
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:24,360
Speaker 1: say that when we were aligned on something, it typically

692
00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 1: works out well for us.

693
00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:28,280
Speaker 4: It did. Yeah, we were relying on Saturday, I think

694
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 4: pretty well. Oh, I don't know. We didn't see the

695
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:32,240
Speaker 4: e on the on the Patriots game. I was really

696
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:34,800
Speaker 4: off on that one. We were on this one. I

697
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 4: got a little nervous when Leonard for Nett was going

698
00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:39,280
Speaker 4: to be out and it was supposed to be this rainy,

699
00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 4: windy mess, which it was Okay, is that gonna suit

700
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:45,400
Speaker 4: the Eagles in their run game? No problem. The Eagles

701
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 4: forgot to run. Miles Sanders ran seven times for sixteen yards.

702
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:52,920
Speaker 4: Boston Scott and Kenny Gainwell one carry each, forty three

703
00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:55,400
Speaker 4: throws for Jalen Hurts. What are we doing? This is

704
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 4: not the way. You're not a passing team. The Eagles

705
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:02,240
Speaker 4: have forty eight early plays and ran fifteen times sixty

706
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:05,960
Speaker 4: percent successful. Pretty good. They passed thirty three times for

707
00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:10,600
Speaker 4: thirty thirty percent success rate, So box go up thirty

708
00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:13,600
Speaker 4: one thirty one, nothing right, and then basically we just

709
00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:16,640
Speaker 4: got some garbage touchdowns for the Eagles. I thought for

710
00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:19,400
Speaker 4: a little bit that the Bucks might end up blowing

711
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:21,879
Speaker 4: the cover, but they got the cover pretty easily. Here

712
00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:25,160
Speaker 4: thirty one to fifteen finals for what did you make

713
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:26,439
Speaker 4: of this game? Anything else? Here?

714
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:30,520
Speaker 1: Right before this game started, we actually saw some sharp

715
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:31,880
Speaker 1: money on the Philadelphia Eagles.

716
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:33,400
Speaker 2: We saw some sharp money on the total.

717
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:36,920
Speaker 1: Push this line down, and you know, with the total

718
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:39,640
Speaker 1: coming down from forty nine to forty six, I actually

719
00:34:39,640 --> 00:34:43,160
Speaker 1: started to get scared for this Patriots bet and actually

720
00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:45,759
Speaker 1: bought out of it. I think I laid eight and

721
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:48,799
Speaker 1: a half. There was some spots still at nine. It

722
00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:52,319
Speaker 1: just didn't make sense because you're basically saying that the

723
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:54,480
Speaker 1: Eagles aren't going to score at all with this total

724
00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:57,520
Speaker 1: being forty six forty five. So I bought out of

725
00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:01,000
Speaker 1: it at Eagles plus nine and and I think I

726
00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:05,120
Speaker 1: had Patriots minus eight. And on Sunday when I wake

727
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:07,000
Speaker 1: up in the morning, I actually see the Eagles at

728
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:08,080
Speaker 1: plus seven.

729
00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:11,920
Speaker 2: So I'm like, Okay, I made the right decision. Game starts,

730
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:14,000
Speaker 2: and it just it's finished. Tom Brady.

731
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 1: I'll say it all the time. Tom Brady is like

732
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 1: Alonzo from Trading Today. You give eighteen months, will give

733
00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:22,360
Speaker 1: you a career. He got Keishan Vaughan out there, he

734
00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:26,320
Speaker 1: got Giovanni Bernard, and it's just I means Scotty Miller,

735
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:28,799
Speaker 1: it's for Sharp Perriman, a bunch of guys other than

736
00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:31,920
Speaker 1: Grunkett Evans, and he's just doing whatever he wants with

737
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,479
Speaker 1: this Eagles defense, which is what we expect because they can't.

738
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:35,840
Speaker 2: They're not a team who.

739
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:38,440
Speaker 1: Can who can really stop the pass, so we kind

740
00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:41,120
Speaker 1: of expected that. But I just like the Eagles defense.

741
00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:43,759
Speaker 1: The offense, they couldn't get anything going. Honestly, I don't

742
00:35:43,760 --> 00:35:45,640
Speaker 1: wanted to see the Eagles put him Minshew for this

743
00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:47,800
Speaker 1: game because it was pretty clear that they were in

744
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,920
Speaker 1: a negative game script early and Jalen Hurts really couldn't

745
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:53,560
Speaker 1: get the ball out until it was garbage time. Think

746
00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:55,279
Speaker 1: if they had put Minschew and they probably have a

747
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:57,760
Speaker 1: little better chance of this game. Maybe they get blown

748
00:35:57,760 --> 00:35:59,719
Speaker 1: out even worse, but at least you got a guy

749
00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:01,200
Speaker 1: who slain the ball down a field.

750
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:03,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's gonna be a tough decision for the Eagles

751
00:36:03,600 --> 00:36:05,840
Speaker 4: in the offseason. I don't know what they do with

752
00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:07,800
Speaker 4: stealing Hurts at this point. You know, you trade it

753
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:10,879
Speaker 4: once you got extra first round picks. They got two picks. Now,

754
00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 4: it's not a great quarterback draft, But I don't know

755
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:16,240
Speaker 4: if you invest in the quarterback, if you keep Perts,

756
00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:18,919
Speaker 4: do you keep Minshew? You go in with those two

757
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:22,600
Speaker 4: guys next year, They've got some decisions to come. Eagles

758
00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 4: finished their own seven against teams that made the playoffs,

759
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:28,799
Speaker 4: average marginal defeat over twelve points a game. So this

760
00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:31,160
Speaker 4: is a team, this was a seventh seed. It's well there,

761
00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:33,600
Speaker 4: who we thought they were right, as Danny Green would say,

762
00:36:33,600 --> 00:36:36,319
Speaker 4: they made in the playoffs just enough, and then they

763
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:39,439
Speaker 4: looked like a seventh seed Stink of the week. By

764
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:43,560
Speaker 4: the way, here smelly, smelly, smelly, it's the smell.

765
00:36:44,120 --> 00:36:47,920
Speaker 2: It's quite pungent. Dude, plug your nose, it's stinks.

766
00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:51,080
Speaker 3: This is your stink of the week.

767
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:53,840
Speaker 4: We talked about the total can of bounce around a

768
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:56,560
Speaker 4: little bit, so the total this morning was forty five

769
00:36:56,600 --> 00:36:59,680
Speaker 4: point five. So again, the Bucks are up thirty one nothing.

770
00:37:00,040 --> 00:37:02,319
Speaker 4: Brady's literally coming out in the third quarter like Blaine

771
00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:05,520
Speaker 4: Gaward out here warming up thirty one. Nothing's still thirteen

772
00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:08,799
Speaker 4: minutes left. Forty six is what we need to not

773
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:11,400
Speaker 4: get to. So that's fifteen points away. We see a

774
00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:14,520
Speaker 4: fade three scores from happening. The Eagles get a two

775
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:18,200
Speaker 4: play touchdown drive thirty one yards to DeVante Smith thirty four.

776
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:22,200
Speaker 4: Boston's got touchdown thirty one seven. The Bucks punt really quick.

777
00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:25,319
Speaker 4: The Eagles come out after doing nothing all game and

778
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:27,799
Speaker 4: do a ten play ninety three yard drive to score

779
00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:31,320
Speaker 4: another touchdown. So we're now at thirty one to thirteen,

780
00:37:31,640 --> 00:37:34,520
Speaker 4: forty four points. We're still under safely by a point

781
00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:36,720
Speaker 4: and a half. And then they go for two, which

782
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:39,239
Speaker 4: lots be fair, you should go for two. They were

783
00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:42,600
Speaker 4: down twenty four. That's technically only three touchdowns and three scores.

784
00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:45,480
Speaker 4: You're playing for your season. They go for two star

785
00:37:45,560 --> 00:37:48,200
Speaker 4: to Devonte Smith. And if you have the forty five

786
00:37:48,200 --> 00:37:50,200
Speaker 4: and a half under and you got to forty six

787
00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:53,280
Speaker 4: on the overafft all that that is a nasty stink

788
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:55,399
Speaker 4: of the week. I thankfully was not on the over

789
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:57,680
Speaker 4: under on this one, because, like you said, the weather

790
00:37:57,800 --> 00:38:00,520
Speaker 4: factor had it jumping around so much. But that's a

791
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:02,760
Speaker 4: rough one if you had a It's.

792
00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:06,680
Speaker 1: Actually more rough if you had the over on a

793
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:10,560
Speaker 1: later number, because it almost just felt it felt like

794
00:38:10,640 --> 00:38:13,080
Speaker 1: you were going to get another score out of Tampa

795
00:38:13,120 --> 00:38:15,800
Speaker 1: Bay and it just didn't have it.

796
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:18,319
Speaker 2: So I'm glad I wasn't on either.

797
00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:21,480
Speaker 4: H We've got to watch the box injury report this week.

798
00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:24,279
Speaker 4: On the offensive line, we saw Tristan and Wurfs go

799
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:27,760
Speaker 4: out injured came back in. We also saw the center

800
00:38:27,920 --> 00:38:31,560
Speaker 4: Ryan Jensen also went out. Both both those guys came back.

801
00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 4: But you know, part of what makes Tom Brady so

802
00:38:34,360 --> 00:38:36,840
Speaker 4: good in that system is the great protection he's getting.

803
00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:39,719
Speaker 4: Worst has been awesome in his two seasons there. They

804
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:42,279
Speaker 4: can't afford to lose any more guys, so glad to

805
00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:44,799
Speaker 4: see them back out there, but I'll keep a straight

806
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:47,320
Speaker 4: on it. I'm not too worried about it, but you know,

807
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:49,279
Speaker 4: we've got to make sure that those guys are.

808
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:52,520
Speaker 1: You think it's a concern just based on who they

809
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:55,279
Speaker 1: could possibly play next week. The Rams win this game,

810
00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:58,960
Speaker 1: they're gonna be facing Aaron Donald. If the Cardinals win

811
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:01,120
Speaker 1: this game, you're gonna be facing possibly JJ Watt.

812
00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:03,200
Speaker 2: So you're gonna deal with the Jones.

813
00:39:03,520 --> 00:39:05,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, Chandler Jones. You can me facing two of the

814
00:39:06,040 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 1: toughest pass rushes in the NFL.

815
00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:09,560
Speaker 2: I mean, look at the Rams.

816
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:13,920
Speaker 1: They're first in pass rush win Wereek, So these are

817
00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:16,200
Speaker 1: no slouches. I mean, obviously the Cardinals a little worse,

818
00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:19,400
Speaker 1: but their thirteenth and pass orus win Werek so Brady

819
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:20,800
Speaker 1: against a tough pass.

820
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:22,720
Speaker 2: Rush who can rush the middle, it's a problem.

821
00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 1: So I do think it's something that you gotta be

822
00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:27,040
Speaker 1: concerned with and monitor as the week goes.

823
00:39:27,120 --> 00:39:29,480
Speaker 4: By Sunday night, we don't need to spend much time

824
00:39:29,520 --> 00:39:31,960
Speaker 4: on this one. The Chiefs finished closed as twelve and

825
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:35,640
Speaker 4: a half point favorites. We'll always remember the day that

826
00:39:35,800 --> 00:39:39,120
Speaker 4: the Mighty Big Ben went on the road. Two arrowhead

827
00:39:39,200 --> 00:39:41,960
Speaker 4: to take on the Chiefs and led the Steelers to

828
00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:45,200
Speaker 4: a seven to nothing early lead in the game, only

829
00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:48,560
Speaker 4: because he had basically just done nothing all game. Chiefs

830
00:39:48,600 --> 00:39:50,520
Speaker 4: offense did nothing and then try to run and give

831
00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:53,560
Speaker 4: it play. TJ a Lot gets the touchdown. Chiefs had

832
00:39:53,600 --> 00:39:55,759
Speaker 4: the long funt return early and then we had the

833
00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:59,320
Speaker 4: Pat Mahomes tipped interception another tg a Lot play. I

834
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:01,359
Speaker 4: started to feel it might give me one of those

835
00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:03,920
Speaker 4: games there. We saw that with the Chiefs early in

836
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:07,520
Speaker 4: the season, like all those weird red zone turnovers, and

837
00:40:07,680 --> 00:40:11,320
Speaker 4: then nope, right after the Steelers take the lead, the

838
00:40:11,440 --> 00:40:13,839
Speaker 4: Chiefs score the score again. This score again, it's twenty

839
00:40:13,880 --> 00:40:16,160
Speaker 4: one to seven and a half time game over say,

840
00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:18,600
Speaker 4: like same old playoff Chiefs. They kind of play with

841
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:20,920
Speaker 4: their food for about the first twenty minutes and then

842
00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:22,040
Speaker 4: just ran away with it after that.

843
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:24,840
Speaker 1: This was one of those games where sometimes you just

844
00:40:24,960 --> 00:40:28,880
Speaker 1: think it's so easy and you just don't want to

845
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:32,040
Speaker 1: bet because there's just no way. Okay, you're giving us

846
00:40:32,080 --> 00:40:34,239
Speaker 1: twelve and a half, you give it, it's just you

847
00:40:34,320 --> 00:40:37,920
Speaker 1: don't want to take it and do the first I say,

848
00:40:37,960 --> 00:40:41,440
Speaker 1: the first quarter this game and maybe a little bit

849
00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:45,919
Speaker 1: more it felt like Tomlin had his team ready to play.

850
00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:49,239
Speaker 2: This defense was pretty dominant. They held the Chiefs down.

851
00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 1: And you know, I was watching something the other day

852
00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:54,480
Speaker 1: and they said, in order for the Stills to win

853
00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:56,680
Speaker 1: this game, they actually need a.

854
00:40:56,760 --> 00:41:00,279
Speaker 2: Defensive score, and they get a defensive score, and.

855
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 1: You're thinking, you know what, maybe the Stills have a

856
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:07,320
Speaker 1: chance to possibly pull the upset, and it's like a

857
00:41:07,400 --> 00:41:09,920
Speaker 1: light switch almost saying, before you know what, this game

858
00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:13,520
Speaker 1: was pretty much over and Patrick Mahomes show why he's

859
00:41:13,560 --> 00:41:15,840
Speaker 1: one of the best quarterbacks in the league while this

860
00:41:16,040 --> 00:41:18,560
Speaker 1: offense is just so dominant, so tough to beat.

861
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:20,880
Speaker 2: And then we know the Stellers were overmatched.

862
00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:25,520
Speaker 1: Great into Ben Roethlisberger's career, he got into the postseason,

863
00:41:25,640 --> 00:41:27,440
Speaker 1: so with the team, I probably shouldn't have made it.

864
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:30,880
Speaker 4: And let's be fair too, I said that he might

865
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:33,439
Speaker 4: have a Drew Brees or Dan Marino end of his career.

866
00:41:34,040 --> 00:41:36,279
Speaker 4: Not quite, you know, a little more respectable than that.

867
00:41:36,640 --> 00:41:39,600
Speaker 4: Through a couple of touchdowns there four point nine yards

868
00:41:39,680 --> 00:41:41,480
Speaker 4: per a town. That's pretty good for a big Ben.

869
00:41:41,680 --> 00:41:44,640
Speaker 4: It's like five yards passed. That's not bad for our guy.

870
00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:48,000
Speaker 4: My home's five touchdowns, I will say to you. I'm

871
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 4: gonna take a ton away from what the Steelers offense

872
00:41:51,760 --> 00:41:55,719
Speaker 4: did here, but the Steelers pass defense had gotten pretty

873
00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:57,160
Speaker 4: good towards the end of the season, especially with all

874
00:41:57,200 --> 00:42:00,400
Speaker 4: their stars out there. The Chiefs have four or in

875
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:04,399
Speaker 4: seventy eight yards seven point four yards per play, eight

876
00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:06,480
Speaker 4: of twelve on third down, four to four in the

877
00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:09,759
Speaker 4: red zone. This is a pretty impressive performance against a

878
00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:13,480
Speaker 4: good Steelers defense down the stretch there, So credit for that.

879
00:42:13,760 --> 00:42:17,400
Speaker 4: Jack McKinnon, huge game. I love a number one. That

880
00:42:17,600 --> 00:42:20,120
Speaker 4: just you're like a twenty percent better as a player

881
00:42:20,160 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 4: if you get the number one on your jersey. It

882
00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:25,320
Speaker 4: worked for Cedric Wilson somehow this season too. So McKinnon

883
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:27,480
Speaker 4: had one hundred and forty two yards and a touchdown

884
00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:31,200
Speaker 4: the Chiefs. We mentioned you know the game is over

885
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:33,279
Speaker 4: when the Chiefs starts screwing around in the red zone.

886
00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:36,680
Speaker 4: We have the touchdown passed when old ligneman Nick Allegretti

887
00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:40,040
Speaker 4: shouts to him, we have Travis Kelcey throwing a touchdown.

888
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:43,719
Speaker 4: Why not, just like, let's put that in the back

889
00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:46,120
Speaker 4: of the mind of four defensive coordinators out there that

890
00:42:46,280 --> 00:42:48,800
Speaker 4: just have to be terrified of yet another Chief sprinkle

891
00:42:49,120 --> 00:42:50,520
Speaker 4: like you know, that's all the Chiefs are doing at

892
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:53,320
Speaker 4: this point, is just getting things on film so that

893
00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:55,560
Speaker 4: other coaches have to plan for in the future. So

894
00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 4: dominant performance for the Chiefs forty two to twenty one.

895
00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:02,239
Speaker 4: How many times have the Chiefs done this in the

896
00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:06,439
Speaker 4: playoffs alone? Where they screw around for twenty minutes their

897
00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:08,960
Speaker 4: huge favorite and then they end up like covering and

898
00:43:09,080 --> 00:43:11,839
Speaker 4: covering with eaves. Still, that was the entire playoffs last

899
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:12,839
Speaker 4: year until the Super Bowl.

900
00:43:13,560 --> 00:43:14,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look it was.

901
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:17,800
Speaker 1: It was the playoffs the year before as well, so

902
00:43:18,040 --> 00:43:20,879
Speaker 1: I mean like right before. Actually their whole Super Bowl

903
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,800
Speaker 1: run was that. I mean, look, they were down against

904
00:43:24,280 --> 00:43:27,880
Speaker 1: the Titans and scored forty one unanswered points. They were

905
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:31,239
Speaker 1: down ten minutes, they were down ten with five minutes

906
00:43:31,239 --> 00:43:33,520
Speaker 1: to go in the Super Bowl and score twenty one

907
00:43:33,560 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 1: on answered point. So that's what this Chiefs team does

908
00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:39,320
Speaker 1: in the playoffs. I don't know if it's gonna continue

909
00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:41,840
Speaker 1: to work out for them. Obviously they lost to the

910
00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:45,160
Speaker 1: Buccaneers last year. I think they got a tough test

911
00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 1: next week against the Buffalo Bills, who was already coming

912
00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:50,640
Speaker 1: to Arrowhead and beat them. So can't play with your

913
00:43:50,680 --> 00:43:51,279
Speaker 1: food next week.

914
00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 4: Can't play with your food, except if it was last

915
00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:56,480
Speaker 4: season in the NFC title game when they let the

916
00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:59,160
Speaker 4: Bills go up nine to nothing and then went thirty

917
00:43:59,200 --> 00:44:01,560
Speaker 4: eight to six on another one of those playoff rounds.

918
00:44:01,640 --> 00:44:04,000
Speaker 4: So maybe they can play with their food. We'll see.

919
00:44:04,080 --> 00:44:06,239
Speaker 4: I'm excited to watch that one. I think we got

920
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:08,680
Speaker 4: the AFC Championship a week early, but we'll talk about

921
00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:11,279
Speaker 4: those matchups in a bit. Let's first hear a quick

922
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:13,560
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923
00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:19,960
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924
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943
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953
00:45:49,120 --> 00:45:52,120
Speaker 4: Let's get back to the show, all right. Monday Night,

954
00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:54,560
Speaker 4: We've got one more playoff game, our first Monday night

955
00:45:54,640 --> 00:45:58,600
Speaker 4: playoff game ever, to my knowledge, we got an FCUS battle.

956
00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 4: The Arizona Cardinals had to Los Angeles to take on

957
00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:04,000
Speaker 4: the Rams. The Rams are three and a half point

958
00:46:04,080 --> 00:46:07,600
Speaker 4: favorites total? Is that forty nine and a half? I'm

959
00:46:07,680 --> 00:46:10,200
Speaker 4: mad high weighted all season to fade both of these

960
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:12,440
Speaker 4: teams in the playoffs. We can't fade them both. They're

961
00:46:12,480 --> 00:46:15,160
Speaker 4: playing each other to feel like Cardinals are Rams.

962
00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:19,480
Speaker 2: It's so funny because I think if the Cowboys and forty.

963
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:21,920
Speaker 1: Nine Ers have been playing either one of these teams,

964
00:46:22,200 --> 00:46:24,160
Speaker 1: the Cowboys in the forty nine ers would be advancing.

965
00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:27,400
Speaker 2: And those are two teams that I think everybody were

966
00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:28,000
Speaker 2: looking to buy.

967
00:46:28,200 --> 00:46:30,080
Speaker 1: And that's why he saw some sharp money on the Cowboys,

968
00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:32,399
Speaker 1: little sharp money on the forty nine Ers as.

969
00:46:32,320 --> 00:46:35,200
Speaker 2: Well, And in this matchup, you have two teams that

970
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:36,080
Speaker 2: nobody likes.

971
00:46:36,640 --> 00:46:40,080
Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford has completely struggled against winning teams throughout his career.

972
00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:42,680
Speaker 1: He's just thirty one fifty one and two. That's thirty

973
00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:46,600
Speaker 1: eight percent against the spread. He's twenty six fifty eight

974
00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:50,920
Speaker 1: thirty one percent straight up for our Action Labs database.

975
00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:54,600
Speaker 1: And that's another spot that he finds himself again against

976
00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:56,919
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray and his Arizona Cardinals team.

977
00:46:57,400 --> 00:47:00,359
Speaker 2: Both of these teams have split games this year. It's

978
00:47:00,400 --> 00:47:02,960
Speaker 2: like you look at Stafford, I don't know how you

979
00:47:03,040 --> 00:47:05,000
Speaker 2: lay points with this guy this point. He continues to

980
00:47:05,040 --> 00:47:05,960
Speaker 2: struggle with turnovers.

981
00:47:05,960 --> 00:47:08,839
Speaker 1: He has eight interceptions and one fumble over the last

982
00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:11,680
Speaker 1: four games of the season, and things aren't gonna get

983
00:47:11,719 --> 00:47:15,640
Speaker 1: any easier against this Cardinals defense. Or just there's six

984
00:47:15,719 --> 00:47:19,400
Speaker 1: and DV oh, there's six in football outsiders, DV a

985
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:23,799
Speaker 1: way fifth against the pass. So it's tough to back

986
00:47:23,920 --> 00:47:27,359
Speaker 1: Stafford here. Obviously, the Cardinals are struggling on their own.

987
00:47:27,800 --> 00:47:30,359
Speaker 1: What do you think about the Cardinals? Do you feel

988
00:47:30,440 --> 00:47:32,040
Speaker 1: like their late season wolves.

989
00:47:31,800 --> 00:47:32,680
Speaker 2: Were a bit of a fluke?

990
00:47:33,719 --> 00:47:36,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's it's fe like you said, if the matchups

991
00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:38,600
Speaker 4: were switched and we had one of these teams playing

992
00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:40,920
Speaker 4: the Niners and one playing the Cowboys, I would to

993
00:47:41,040 --> 00:47:43,560
Speaker 4: smash the Niners and the Cowboys. I don't care who's

994
00:47:43,600 --> 00:47:46,319
Speaker 4: the which one. I felt great about both of them there.

995
00:47:46,719 --> 00:47:49,400
Speaker 4: I'm already ready to back up the brinks on the

996
00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:52,520
Speaker 4: Bucks next week, Like, I don't really care whoever this is. Like,

997
00:47:52,719 --> 00:47:55,120
Speaker 4: here's what I want from this game. I want one

998
00:47:55,239 --> 00:47:58,279
Speaker 4: team from Monday night to blow out the other team.

999
00:47:58,320 --> 00:47:59,839
Speaker 4: I don't care who it is. I just want one

1000
00:48:00,280 --> 00:48:02,480
Speaker 4: to look really good so that the line goes down

1001
00:48:02,520 --> 00:48:03,960
Speaker 4: and I can get my Bucks money in for the

1002
00:48:04,000 --> 00:48:05,919
Speaker 4: following week. That's really all I want from this game.

1003
00:48:06,520 --> 00:48:10,000
Speaker 4: Like early in this season, the passing offenses, the Cardinals

1004
00:48:10,080 --> 00:48:12,919
Speaker 4: were number two in DVA. The Rams are number three

1005
00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:16,600
Speaker 4: weeks one through eight. The last eight weeks, the Cardinals

1006
00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:20,480
Speaker 4: are number seventeen in passing attack. The Rams are number sixteenth.

1007
00:48:20,520 --> 00:48:22,880
Speaker 4: So they completely fell off. And that's what McVeigh and

1008
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:26,520
Speaker 4: Kingsbury offenses have done. McVeigh made the Super Bowl before,

1009
00:48:26,920 --> 00:48:30,399
Speaker 4: but his offenses continue to be great early fall apart

1010
00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:32,799
Speaker 4: a little bit later certainly fall off at least back

1011
00:48:32,840 --> 00:48:35,800
Speaker 4: to average. The Rams only went two and five against

1012
00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 4: playoff teams. I don't really feel like we trust a

1013
00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:41,800
Speaker 4: lot there Cliff Kingsbury. We've talked about him over and

1014
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:44,839
Speaker 4: over again about all the late collapses on him. We've

1015
00:48:44,880 --> 00:48:46,759
Speaker 4: seen how their offense is created a little bit. And

1016
00:48:46,920 --> 00:48:50,960
Speaker 4: Kyler Murray now looking healthy DeAndre Hopkins. We know he's

1017
00:48:51,000 --> 00:48:53,040
Speaker 4: not back yet. We know he's mmy back for a

1018
00:48:53,080 --> 00:48:56,880
Speaker 4: bit at least. The Rams offense that was the juggernaut

1019
00:48:56,920 --> 00:49:00,440
Speaker 4: early on, they're only fourteenth and away to DVA. So

1020
00:49:00,600 --> 00:49:02,880
Speaker 4: there again they've fallen back that way to DVA. The

1021
00:49:02,960 --> 00:49:05,000
Speaker 4: reason't really like that because it shows what do you

1022
00:49:05,040 --> 00:49:06,600
Speaker 4: look like? Now? What do you look like in these

1023
00:49:06,680 --> 00:49:09,879
Speaker 4: past weeks? What they look like is they can't run

1024
00:49:09,920 --> 00:49:13,680
Speaker 4: the ball. They're missing Robert Woods, Odel Backham hasn't really

1025
00:49:13,719 --> 00:49:17,080
Speaker 4: made a big difference. They look like Cooper Cup. Cardinals

1026
00:49:17,480 --> 00:49:20,960
Speaker 4: are top three in DVOA against spide Receiver one. I'm

1027
00:49:21,040 --> 00:49:23,160
Speaker 4: not saying they're gonna race Cooper Cup. You don't e

1028
00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:26,120
Speaker 4: raise Cooper Cup at this point. He's too good. But

1029
00:49:26,360 --> 00:49:30,000
Speaker 4: if your offense is down to hey, Cooper Cup, go

1030
00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:33,799
Speaker 4: do something like we've really lost the step here. If

1031
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:36,320
Speaker 4: that's the offense, like Jared Goff got to run that offense,

1032
00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:40,319
Speaker 4: and so Stafford, you had all the stats I had,

1033
00:49:40,320 --> 00:49:43,359
Speaker 4: all those two just doesn't show up against these these

1034
00:49:43,440 --> 00:49:48,800
Speaker 4: good teams. And I don't trust either team. But given

1035
00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:51,600
Speaker 4: that we're above a key number here and laying three

1036
00:49:51,640 --> 00:49:54,600
Speaker 4: and a half points on Stafford makes me feel like, Okay,

1037
00:49:54,640 --> 00:49:57,600
Speaker 4: if I've got to play here, I'd rather nibble at

1038
00:49:57,680 --> 00:49:59,759
Speaker 4: the Cardinals because I'm at least getting three and a

1039
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:02,720
Speaker 4: half points. This could be You could tell me any outcome,

1040
00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:05,000
Speaker 4: any script for this game, and it would make sense

1041
00:50:05,040 --> 00:50:07,560
Speaker 4: to me, because nothing will make sense. But if I'm

1042
00:50:07,600 --> 00:50:10,440
Speaker 4: getting three and a half points for Matt Stafford, the

1043
00:50:10,480 --> 00:50:12,200
Speaker 4: way that he's looked and the way they have looked,

1044
00:50:12,680 --> 00:50:15,319
Speaker 4: and knowing that the Cardinals are six and oh as

1045
00:50:15,440 --> 00:50:18,640
Speaker 4: underdogs this year, all on the road, six and oh

1046
00:50:18,680 --> 00:50:21,359
Speaker 4: against the spread and straight up they've won every one

1047
00:50:21,440 --> 00:50:24,600
Speaker 4: of those games, I feel like I'm leaning the Cardinals here,

1048
00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:27,880
Speaker 4: but I'm definitely not putting too much of my Bucks,

1049
00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:29,960
Speaker 4: Chiefs and Niners winnings on this one.

1050
00:50:30,440 --> 00:50:32,400
Speaker 1: I actually believe they're eight. I think they're eight and

1051
00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:35,799
Speaker 1: one straight up and against the spread. I actually took

1052
00:50:35,880 --> 00:50:38,000
Speaker 1: some Cardinals plus four and a half. This lines down

1053
00:50:38,040 --> 00:50:40,759
Speaker 1: to three and a half. It's priced right where it

1054
00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:41,160
Speaker 1: should be.

1055
00:50:41,440 --> 00:50:42,160
Speaker 2: But I agree with you.

1056
00:50:42,239 --> 00:50:44,040
Speaker 1: I think if you're going to take a side, you

1057
00:50:44,200 --> 00:50:46,640
Speaker 1: got to take the Cardinals in this matchup. One of

1058
00:50:46,640 --> 00:50:49,000
Speaker 1: the things people will mention for the Rams is that

1059
00:50:49,520 --> 00:50:52,520
Speaker 1: they're first the ESPN's pass rush win rate, so they

1060
00:50:52,600 --> 00:50:55,080
Speaker 1: can get pressure on the quart of back. But if

1061
00:50:55,080 --> 00:50:58,920
Speaker 1: there's any quarterback in NFL who can neutraliza pass us,

1062
00:50:59,080 --> 00:51:02,720
Speaker 1: it's Kyler Murray. He can escape the pocket. Almost compare

1063
00:51:02,840 --> 00:51:05,160
Speaker 1: him to like Tom and Jerry. It's like you're just

1064
00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:09,200
Speaker 1: watching this little mouse just escape and just go through everything.

1065
00:51:09,200 --> 00:51:12,200
Speaker 1: It's almost like trying to swat a fly. And as

1066
00:51:12,239 --> 00:51:14,759
Speaker 1: good as that passed rush is, we saw these two

1067
00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:17,200
Speaker 1: teams play and Kyler Murray was just able to run

1068
00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:20,160
Speaker 1: all over the field. You mentioned the loss of DeAndre Hopkins.

1069
00:51:20,520 --> 00:51:23,160
Speaker 1: It's been catas driving for this offense. This offense was

1070
00:51:23,200 --> 00:51:25,759
Speaker 1: second to EPA per play and third and success rate

1071
00:51:26,080 --> 00:51:28,640
Speaker 1: with DeAndre Hopkins in the lineup, and they've dropped the

1072
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:32,560
Speaker 1: sixteenth and EPA per play and fourteenth is success rate

1073
00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:37,239
Speaker 1: without him. So while he won't play, it's tough. I

1074
00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:40,160
Speaker 1: think you gotta be looking at James Connor to see

1075
00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:42,960
Speaker 1: what he's gonna do in this matchup. Obviously, they're really

1076
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:46,120
Speaker 1: gonna need him. He left last week's game with rib injury.

1077
00:51:46,680 --> 00:51:48,839
Speaker 1: That's gonna be huge for this Cardinals team. But if

1078
00:51:48,840 --> 00:51:50,719
Speaker 1: you've got to take a side on this one, I

1079
00:51:50,800 --> 00:51:53,480
Speaker 1: think you gotta go with the Arizona Cardinals. Obviously, favorites

1080
00:51:53,520 --> 00:51:58,040
Speaker 1: have been dominating all wild Card weekend. The only underdog

1081
00:51:58,120 --> 00:52:01,240
Speaker 1: that actually covered and on one was the San Francisco

1082
00:52:01,320 --> 00:52:04,840
Speaker 1: forty nine ers. As we know in the NFL, typically

1083
00:52:04,920 --> 00:52:08,200
Speaker 1: the team who wins, they cover the spread. So I

1084
00:52:08,280 --> 00:52:10,480
Speaker 1: think when it comes to this one, maybe you want

1085
00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:12,759
Speaker 1: to sprinkle something on the Arizona Cardinals if you think

1086
00:52:12,800 --> 00:52:14,920
Speaker 1: that they're going to cover, because more often than not,

1087
00:52:15,000 --> 00:52:17,120
Speaker 1: the team who wins in the NFL players is going

1088
00:52:17,200 --> 00:52:17,440
Speaker 1: to cover.

1089
00:52:17,680 --> 00:52:19,640
Speaker 4: A couple couple of stats to support you. Here out

1090
00:52:19,680 --> 00:52:23,720
Speaker 4: of Action laps Cliff Kingsbury as an underdog eighteen seven

1091
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:27,200
Speaker 4: and two against the spread lifetime seventy two percent cover rate.

1092
00:52:27,280 --> 00:52:30,000
Speaker 4: That's a pretty strong showing, and they're covering by six

1093
00:52:30,080 --> 00:52:32,920
Speaker 4: point three points the game. Remember the spreads three and

1094
00:52:32,960 --> 00:52:34,759
Speaker 4: a half here, so you cover by six, you won

1095
00:52:34,840 --> 00:52:37,560
Speaker 4: the game, so that's good news. Here's another one for you.

1096
00:52:38,280 --> 00:52:41,319
Speaker 4: This is a small sample, but since two thousand and three,

1097
00:52:42,000 --> 00:52:44,719
Speaker 4: when you've got division teams squaring off in the wild

1098
00:52:44,800 --> 00:52:48,279
Speaker 4: card round, the home favorite is only three nine and

1099
00:52:48,360 --> 00:52:51,480
Speaker 4: a one against the spread, so twenty five percent cover.

1100
00:52:52,080 --> 00:52:55,120
Speaker 4: Home favorite has lost five of the last six outright

1101
00:52:55,200 --> 00:52:58,360
Speaker 4: and failed to cover all six of those games. So again,

1102
00:52:58,920 --> 00:53:01,279
Speaker 4: that's three and a half points to me. It's just

1103
00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:03,640
Speaker 4: this is too too many points. That's it. It's too

1104
00:53:03,640 --> 00:53:06,240
Speaker 4: many points. I'm playing the number here. I don't trust

1105
00:53:06,360 --> 00:53:09,080
Speaker 4: either quarterback a ton right now. I certainly don't trust

1106
00:53:09,480 --> 00:53:13,399
Speaker 4: either coach. I maybe trust the Rams defense a little bit.

1107
00:53:13,880 --> 00:53:16,160
Speaker 4: If it was a coin flip pickum game, I think

1108
00:53:16,239 --> 00:53:18,480
Speaker 4: I take the Rams then. But if you're giving me

1109
00:53:18,560 --> 00:53:20,760
Speaker 4: the three and a half, you're giving me the key number.

1110
00:53:21,320 --> 00:53:23,440
Speaker 4: And we know all you know, it's a division game,

1111
00:53:23,960 --> 00:53:26,680
Speaker 4: these teams know each other well, there's a lot that

1112
00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:29,280
Speaker 4: can go either way. I just had to take the points.

1113
00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:31,920
Speaker 4: So I feel decent about the Cardinals plus three and

1114
00:53:31,920 --> 00:53:34,000
Speaker 4: a half, and I think you're right if you play

1115
00:53:34,040 --> 00:53:35,919
Speaker 4: in the three and a half like usual, it's usually

1116
00:53:35,960 --> 00:53:37,680
Speaker 4: pretty good idea to sprinkle a little bit on the

1117
00:53:37,760 --> 00:53:41,080
Speaker 4: money line as well. But I think either one of

1118
00:53:41,160 --> 00:53:42,840
Speaker 4: these teams is about to get their last win of

1119
00:53:42,840 --> 00:53:43,920
Speaker 4: the season, whoever it is.

1120
00:53:44,680 --> 00:53:46,799
Speaker 1: See I don't want to say that because the Tepa

1121
00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:49,080
Speaker 1: mid Buccaneers they have some issues on the offers of line,

1122
00:53:49,400 --> 00:53:51,200
Speaker 1: and I think both of these teams could rush the passer,

1123
00:53:51,360 --> 00:53:53,359
Speaker 1: So I don't want to say that yet.

1124
00:53:53,400 --> 00:53:56,120
Speaker 2: I still want to think about things, and we don't know.

1125
00:53:56,560 --> 00:53:57,880
Speaker 2: I think one of.

1126
00:53:57,920 --> 00:54:01,080
Speaker 1: These teams is going to emerge, obviously, and sometimes all

1127
00:54:01,160 --> 00:54:03,359
Speaker 1: it takes is that one win to put you back

1128
00:54:03,440 --> 00:54:04,839
Speaker 1: on the right path.

1129
00:54:04,960 --> 00:54:06,280
Speaker 2: So we'll see what happens.

1130
00:54:06,680 --> 00:54:09,680
Speaker 4: You're right, you're a surviving advance. You're four wins away

1131
00:54:09,680 --> 00:54:12,399
Speaker 4: from being super Bowl champions right now, so we'll see

1132
00:54:12,440 --> 00:54:14,520
Speaker 4: what happens. I'm excited to watch it. It should be

1133
00:54:14,560 --> 00:54:16,480
Speaker 4: a good game. It should be a fun one. I'm

1134
00:54:16,480 --> 00:54:18,600
Speaker 4: gonna get a little Peyton and Eli back in my life.

1135
00:54:18,640 --> 00:54:21,080
Speaker 4: It's our one last chance for the season to hear

1136
00:54:21,120 --> 00:54:24,480
Speaker 4: from those guys on ESPN. So I'm ready. It's our

1137
00:54:24,520 --> 00:54:26,360
Speaker 4: first Monday night playoff game. How can you not like it?

1138
00:54:26,760 --> 00:54:27,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, you gotta love it.

1139
00:54:28,200 --> 00:54:30,360
Speaker 4: Before we get out of here, let's do our hot read.

1140
00:54:30,400 --> 00:54:34,960
Speaker 3: Hot rap body on ice rights ice cream.

1141
00:54:36,400 --> 00:54:38,800
Speaker 4: We're not gonna do our usual hot read. We're just

1142
00:54:38,840 --> 00:54:41,960
Speaker 4: gonna quickly talk through. We've got three matchups set. Obviously,

1143
00:54:42,040 --> 00:54:44,520
Speaker 4: we don't know yet on the Bucks versus Rams are cards.

1144
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:47,200
Speaker 4: We talked with Allen just a bit already. But first

1145
00:54:47,280 --> 00:54:50,680
Speaker 4: game coming on Saturday, the Bengals head to Tennessee to

1146
00:54:50,760 --> 00:54:55,839
Speaker 4: take on the rested one seed deserving Titans, three point

1147
00:54:55,960 --> 00:54:59,680
Speaker 4: favorites right now at home Toitals out forty five. What's

1148
00:54:59,760 --> 00:55:02,200
Speaker 4: your instinct on Bengals Titans.

1149
00:55:02,239 --> 00:55:05,200
Speaker 1: Before we get into some divisional round games, I want

1150
00:55:05,239 --> 00:55:06,959
Speaker 1: to break down the interesting is that I actually found

1151
00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:10,160
Speaker 1: in our bet Labs database number one and number two

1152
00:55:10,320 --> 00:55:13,840
Speaker 1: seeds in the second round of the playoffs. They're just

1153
00:55:14,000 --> 00:55:17,600
Speaker 1: twenty six and thirty four. That's forty three percent against

1154
00:55:17,719 --> 00:55:20,640
Speaker 1: the spread. If you break that down to just number

1155
00:55:20,680 --> 00:55:24,120
Speaker 1: one seeds. Obviously, we're only only one of these teams

1156
00:55:24,160 --> 00:55:27,719
Speaker 1: has a vive this year. They're thirteen and twenty one

1157
00:55:28,160 --> 00:55:31,040
Speaker 1: over the last thirty four years or so. So and

1158
00:55:31,160 --> 00:55:33,839
Speaker 1: then when you look at them straight up, number one

1159
00:55:33,920 --> 00:55:36,920
Speaker 1: and number two seeds are thirty nine and twenty that's

1160
00:55:36,920 --> 00:55:40,160
Speaker 1: sixty six percent straight up. When you break that down

1161
00:55:40,239 --> 00:55:43,560
Speaker 1: to just number one seeds, you're looking at a record

1162
00:55:43,600 --> 00:55:47,759
Speaker 1: of twenty three and ten. So we see these number

1163
00:55:47,800 --> 00:55:50,320
Speaker 1: one seeds and we see the number two seeds. Obviously

1164
00:55:50,920 --> 00:55:53,760
Speaker 1: they tend to win these games, but as of recently

1165
00:55:53,880 --> 00:55:54,840
Speaker 1: they haven't been covering.

1166
00:55:55,000 --> 00:55:58,000
Speaker 2: So that's something to look forward to when you have

1167
00:55:58,200 --> 00:55:59,080
Speaker 2: this Titans game.

1168
00:56:00,080 --> 00:56:02,319
Speaker 1: First inclination that was to say that the Titans are

1169
00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:05,520
Speaker 1: being disrespected here, and we said it before it The

1170
00:56:05,600 --> 00:56:10,719
Speaker 1: Bengals have faced the thirty first schedule of opposing pass defenses.

1171
00:56:11,160 --> 00:56:14,480
Speaker 2: They're not a pass defense which can really slow down anybody.

1172
00:56:14,560 --> 00:56:18,040
Speaker 1: We saw in the Raiders game, and I think you'll

1173
00:56:18,040 --> 00:56:21,000
Speaker 1: see it here with a healthy AJ Brown and a

1174
00:56:21,239 --> 00:56:24,520
Speaker 1: healthy Julio Jones and a team that could run the ball.

1175
00:56:25,360 --> 00:56:27,759
Speaker 1: Look this line open at two and a half, You're

1176
00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:29,600
Speaker 1: seeing it go up to three, and I think that's

1177
00:56:29,640 --> 00:56:32,239
Speaker 1: for a reason. I'm looking at the Titans in this game.

1178
00:56:32,280 --> 00:56:33,920
Speaker 1: If I had to choose anything.

1179
00:56:34,320 --> 00:56:37,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, Aleen Titans here as well. And it sucks because

1180
00:56:37,920 --> 00:56:40,880
Speaker 4: I've waited all season long to bet against the Titans

1181
00:56:40,960 --> 00:56:43,400
Speaker 4: in the playoffs, but I think that we just might

1182
00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:46,399
Speaker 4: need to wait one more week. Still, Like my most

1183
00:56:46,480 --> 00:56:49,080
Speaker 4: favorable outcome in this game is for the Titans to

1184
00:56:49,120 --> 00:56:51,320
Speaker 4: get the win and then host the Chiefs of the Bills,

1185
00:56:51,320 --> 00:56:53,520
Speaker 4: because I know exactly which way I'm going in that one.

1186
00:56:53,920 --> 00:56:56,120
Speaker 4: Whatever the line comes out, it won't be high enough.

1187
00:56:56,440 --> 00:56:58,640
Speaker 4: I'm ready to take the Visitors in that one. But

1188
00:56:58,920 --> 00:57:00,319
Speaker 4: I do think that there is a a little bit

1189
00:57:00,360 --> 00:57:03,360
Speaker 4: too much disrespect here on the Titans. Derrick Henry it

1190
00:57:03,400 --> 00:57:06,200
Speaker 4: looks like should be back here. AJ Brown and Julio

1191
00:57:06,400 --> 00:57:08,600
Speaker 4: Jones are going to be rested and a little healthier.

1192
00:57:09,200 --> 00:57:12,600
Speaker 4: I think that the rest and the bye week it's

1193
00:57:12,640 --> 00:57:15,880
Speaker 4: a big deal here, and getting the home field advantage

1194
00:57:16,000 --> 00:57:18,840
Speaker 4: is a big deal too. The Bengals were way worse

1195
00:57:19,000 --> 00:57:21,040
Speaker 4: on the road this season than they were at home.

1196
00:57:21,360 --> 00:57:23,240
Speaker 4: The Titans are much better at home. Like that, that's

1197
00:57:23,280 --> 00:57:25,360
Speaker 4: the whole point. That's how it's supposed to be. But

1198
00:57:25,480 --> 00:57:27,520
Speaker 4: in both their cases, you look at the advanced metrics,

1199
00:57:27,600 --> 00:57:31,320
Speaker 4: it really bears out for those teams. So I like

1200
00:57:31,400 --> 00:57:33,560
Speaker 4: the Titans. I don't. I don't love the Titans here.

1201
00:57:34,400 --> 00:57:36,760
Speaker 4: I do think that there's a chance we might get

1202
00:57:36,840 --> 00:57:39,320
Speaker 4: back below the three. I liked it a lot better

1203
00:57:39,400 --> 00:57:41,680
Speaker 4: at two and a half. Getting below the key number there,

1204
00:57:43,080 --> 00:57:45,360
Speaker 4: I don't. I certainly if it gets past the three,

1205
00:57:45,400 --> 00:57:46,720
Speaker 4: I'm not going to be too excited. I might just

1206
00:57:46,800 --> 00:57:48,120
Speaker 4: end up staying away from this one.

1207
00:57:48,720 --> 00:57:52,160
Speaker 1: But I feel like we actually moved up to three

1208
00:57:52,200 --> 00:57:54,120
Speaker 1: and a half. A matter of fact, Yeah, I think

1209
00:57:54,320 --> 00:57:56,640
Speaker 1: here's the market is mostly at three and a half

1210
00:57:56,680 --> 00:57:59,440
Speaker 1: at this point. So, okay, I think that's what you're

1211
00:57:59,440 --> 00:58:02,200
Speaker 1: seeing of Titans money in the market. It's actually moving

1212
00:58:02,240 --> 00:58:05,760
Speaker 1: as we speak. Sports betting market never slows there, So.

1213
00:58:05,840 --> 00:58:07,520
Speaker 4: Well, we'll see where it goes this week. As the

1214
00:58:07,560 --> 00:58:10,360
Speaker 4: week goes on, I want to be surprised if it

1215
00:58:10,440 --> 00:58:12,040
Speaker 4: comes back through the way a little bit. The Bengals

1216
00:58:12,080 --> 00:58:14,520
Speaker 4: are kind of the darling, you know, like they're the

1217
00:58:14,680 --> 00:58:17,360
Speaker 4: young team that the public loves to fall in love

1218
00:58:17,440 --> 00:58:20,200
Speaker 4: with and get their money on. So I think as

1219
00:58:20,280 --> 00:58:22,440
Speaker 4: the week goes on, I'm gonna be surprised if the

1220
00:58:22,440 --> 00:58:25,320
Speaker 4: public bets this. Like this feels like a pros Joe's game.

1221
00:58:25,400 --> 00:58:27,160
Speaker 4: It feels like we're gonna get a lot a lot

1222
00:58:27,240 --> 00:58:30,520
Speaker 4: of public money on the underdog Bengals and that the

1223
00:58:30,640 --> 00:58:33,040
Speaker 4: pros might be on the Titans and end up kind

1224
00:58:33,080 --> 00:58:35,920
Speaker 4: of keeping this line right where it's at. So we'll

1225
00:58:35,960 --> 00:58:38,480
Speaker 4: see where things go on it. You like the one

1226
00:58:38,560 --> 00:58:40,640
Speaker 4: seed at home without getting a ton of points here

1227
00:58:41,280 --> 00:58:44,600
Speaker 4: Saturday night, forty nine Ers head to Green Bay another

1228
00:58:44,760 --> 00:58:48,560
Speaker 4: one seed there. Packers are arrested. They're the biggest favorite

1229
00:58:48,560 --> 00:58:51,200
Speaker 4: of the weekend. Right now, I'm seeing minus five and

1230
00:58:51,240 --> 00:58:53,280
Speaker 4: a half forty seven and a half on the total

1231
00:58:54,000 --> 00:58:57,920
Speaker 4: the Niners. Look, this was the whole reason that I

1232
00:58:58,040 --> 00:59:00,680
Speaker 4: love the Niners coming in the postseason, because I knew

1233
00:59:00,680 --> 00:59:02,200
Speaker 4: they'd be a low seed, and if they won this

1234
00:59:02,320 --> 00:59:04,760
Speaker 4: first game, I knew they'd be going to Lambeau And

1235
00:59:04,920 --> 00:59:07,600
Speaker 4: this is it. This is the matchup you wanted. The

1236
00:59:07,760 --> 00:59:11,360
Speaker 4: Packers have a poor defense and a bad, straight up

1237
00:59:11,520 --> 00:59:16,840
Speaker 4: bad run defense. Kyle Shanahan's run system, Krant Williams, George

1238
00:59:16,920 --> 00:59:21,240
Speaker 4: kittle Yuschak, Deebo, Elijah, all those guys. This is like

1239
00:59:21,520 --> 00:59:24,680
Speaker 4: the thing we just saw with Dallas. Green Bays defense

1240
00:59:24,800 --> 00:59:26,960
Speaker 4: is a worse version of that, and I think the

1241
00:59:27,040 --> 00:59:29,200
Speaker 4: forty nine Ers are built to be able to punish

1242
00:59:29,280 --> 00:59:33,600
Speaker 4: that defense. It's playoff football. Packers are bad, especially on

1243
00:59:33,760 --> 00:59:37,120
Speaker 4: first down. The Niners are great on first down. Packers

1244
00:59:37,120 --> 00:59:40,480
Speaker 4: are bad against tight ends. I love how the Niners

1245
00:59:40,520 --> 00:59:43,760
Speaker 4: offense matches up here. The question is do the Niners

1246
00:59:43,800 --> 00:59:45,280
Speaker 4: have enough defense to do their job.

1247
00:59:45,880 --> 00:59:48,680
Speaker 2: You had Nick Bosa lead the game with the head injury.

1248
00:59:48,720 --> 00:59:49,920
Speaker 2: We don't know what's gonna happen with him.

1249
00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:52,280
Speaker 1: We had Fred Warner lead the game, and they did

1250
00:59:52,360 --> 00:59:54,200
Speaker 1: say Fred Warner was ready to come back in that

1251
00:59:54,400 --> 00:59:56,680
Speaker 1: Dallas game, Obviously, I think they held them out as

1252
00:59:56,680 --> 00:59:59,920
Speaker 1: a precaution. So those two guys are playing, I think

1253
01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:03,680
Speaker 1: they can generate a pass rush on this Packers offensive line. Obviously,

1254
01:00:03,760 --> 01:00:07,360
Speaker 1: they did get David Bactiari back in the lineup, and

1255
01:00:07,440 --> 01:00:10,360
Speaker 1: that's huge for this Packers team against this forty nine

1256
01:00:10,440 --> 01:00:10,919
Speaker 1: Ers team.

1257
01:00:11,680 --> 01:00:14,720
Speaker 2: Their secondary hasn't been the best. Obviously Emmanuel Moseley has

1258
01:00:14,840 --> 01:00:17,840
Speaker 2: come back, but you can pass on this secondary.

1259
01:00:18,440 --> 01:00:21,600
Speaker 1: So I think the big thing in this matchup is

1260
01:00:21,960 --> 01:00:24,360
Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers was that dominant run game.

1261
01:00:24,760 --> 01:00:27,200
Speaker 2: They're gonna have to keep Aaron Rodgers off the field.

1262
01:00:27,560 --> 01:00:30,640
Speaker 1: Obviously, four nine Ers are ninth and EPA for play

1263
01:00:31,160 --> 01:00:34,440
Speaker 1: rushing their knife in rushing success rate. When you look

1264
01:00:34,480 --> 01:00:38,640
Speaker 1: at the Packers their thirtieth and defensive run EPA for

1265
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:43,120
Speaker 1: play thirtieth and success rate That outside runs his own scheme.

1266
01:00:43,200 --> 01:00:45,640
Speaker 1: What you mentioned before is something that the fort Knins

1267
01:00:45,680 --> 01:00:49,400
Speaker 1: have been able to dominate the Packers with. These two

1268
01:00:49,440 --> 01:00:54,440
Speaker 1: teams played earlier this year in San Francisco and Jimmy

1269
01:00:54,480 --> 01:00:56,800
Speaker 1: g actually led them down down the field for what

1270
01:00:56,880 --> 01:00:58,520
Speaker 1: could have been the game winning scored. It just left

1271
01:00:58,520 --> 01:01:00,960
Speaker 1: a little bit too much time for Aaron Dight in

1272
01:01:01,120 --> 01:01:04,640
Speaker 1: that game, the forty Niners were laying I believe they were.

1273
01:01:04,720 --> 01:01:06,560
Speaker 1: They were actually the favorite in that game. I think

1274
01:01:06,600 --> 01:01:09,360
Speaker 1: they were laying three and a half. So this is

1275
01:01:09,440 --> 01:01:11,800
Speaker 1: a game in which I think the forty nine ers

1276
01:01:11,840 --> 01:01:14,040
Speaker 1: are alive. But you do want to check on that

1277
01:01:14,120 --> 01:01:16,440
Speaker 1: injury report, so I agree with you. Look, you have

1278
01:01:16,560 --> 01:01:19,000
Speaker 1: some forty nine ers futures. I asked some forty nine

1279
01:01:19,080 --> 01:01:21,440
Speaker 1: ers futures. So I'm hoping they can get it done,

1280
01:01:21,480 --> 01:01:22,640
Speaker 1: and I think they have a shot. So this is

1281
01:01:22,680 --> 01:01:25,200
Speaker 1: probably one of those games that I'm gonna be looking towards.

1282
01:01:25,680 --> 01:01:27,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm on the Niners for sure. I already got

1283
01:01:27,560 --> 01:01:29,560
Speaker 4: my bet in the app. I already got my pick out.

1284
01:01:29,880 --> 01:01:32,000
Speaker 4: This is my hot read, So I know, I don't

1285
01:01:32,000 --> 01:01:34,000
Speaker 4: think you're doing an actual hot read pick right now

1286
01:01:34,080 --> 01:01:36,160
Speaker 4: as we're going through. I got my bet in on

1287
01:01:36,200 --> 01:01:38,360
Speaker 4: the Niners already. I grabbed the money line. I got

1288
01:01:38,400 --> 01:01:40,840
Speaker 4: a plus one to eighty five. I will say that

1289
01:01:41,280 --> 01:01:44,080
Speaker 4: I want to know about those injuries. Is gonna play?

1290
01:01:44,640 --> 01:01:47,280
Speaker 4: Is Bostly gonna play? What about Jira Alexander? What about

1291
01:01:47,360 --> 01:01:50,280
Speaker 4: Zadarius Smith? For the Packers? It's big injury news a

1292
01:01:50,320 --> 01:01:53,360
Speaker 4: week so at five and a half if I can

1293
01:01:53,440 --> 01:01:55,640
Speaker 4: get to a six six and a half seven. Green

1294
01:01:55,720 --> 01:01:58,000
Speaker 4: Bay is a very public team. I do think the

1295
01:01:58,040 --> 01:01:59,880
Speaker 4: public is going to panic a little bit. I'm saying

1296
01:02:00,120 --> 01:02:02,800
Speaker 4: ran after the collapse there that we saw, so I

1297
01:02:02,920 --> 01:02:06,280
Speaker 4: think that the line couldn't move that way, especially if

1298
01:02:06,360 --> 01:02:08,960
Speaker 4: Jerry Alexander plays or Isadarius Smith and we get some

1299
01:02:09,080 --> 01:02:12,960
Speaker 4: of that good green Bay news. So I'm not really

1300
01:02:13,080 --> 01:02:15,760
Speaker 4: too worried at five and a half as a forty

1301
01:02:15,840 --> 01:02:18,720
Speaker 4: nine ers better, I'm not worried about five or four

1302
01:02:18,720 --> 01:02:20,720
Speaker 4: and a half. Those are all about this. I'm not

1303
01:02:20,800 --> 01:02:23,600
Speaker 4: losing a ton of value there, So if that's the

1304
01:02:23,680 --> 01:02:26,240
Speaker 4: ranger in, you don't need to rush out and grab it.

1305
01:02:26,720 --> 01:02:28,960
Speaker 4: If it gets to six, six is a key number. Now,

1306
01:02:29,120 --> 01:02:32,040
Speaker 4: six and a half, seven those half points are a

1307
01:02:32,120 --> 01:02:34,880
Speaker 4: big deal. And I already grab the money line early too,

1308
01:02:34,920 --> 01:02:36,560
Speaker 4: because that one's going to be moving around a little bit,

1309
01:02:36,680 --> 01:02:38,600
Speaker 4: and already some of the value has gone on that one,

1310
01:02:38,760 --> 01:02:40,840
Speaker 4: So I like it. I'm going to get my hot

1311
01:02:40,920 --> 01:02:43,000
Speaker 4: ready to pick in on it, and I may add

1312
01:02:43,080 --> 01:02:46,360
Speaker 4: more as the week goes on. So we'll see Sunday

1313
01:02:46,640 --> 01:02:50,000
Speaker 4: Tampa Bay hosts the Cardinals or the Rams. We'll come

1314
01:02:50,080 --> 01:02:51,640
Speaker 4: back to that one. We'll do all these again, of

1315
01:02:51,680 --> 01:02:54,240
Speaker 4: course in more depth on Friday, and then the Big

1316
01:02:54,320 --> 01:02:58,320
Speaker 4: one Bill's Chiefs on Sunday. The late game. Chiefs right

1317
01:02:58,400 --> 01:03:00,600
Speaker 4: now are two and a half point favorite. It's our

1318
01:03:00,680 --> 01:03:03,040
Speaker 4: fourth time we're going to see this game in two seasons.

1319
01:03:03,360 --> 01:03:04,960
Speaker 4: These are the two teams they thought were the best

1320
01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:07,880
Speaker 4: in the AFC all year. I'm excited to watch it, you.

1321
01:03:08,160 --> 01:03:11,120
Speaker 1: Leen early on the one I had to choose anybody,

1322
01:03:11,280 --> 01:03:14,480
Speaker 1: I think I would choose the Buffalo Bills actually make

1323
01:03:14,560 --> 01:03:16,160
Speaker 1: this game a pick them, and it's more so just

1324
01:03:16,240 --> 01:03:19,840
Speaker 1: the numbers play for me. The Chiefs just to me,

1325
01:03:20,000 --> 01:03:23,520
Speaker 1: they have been inconsistent all season long. When you look

1326
01:03:23,560 --> 01:03:27,400
Speaker 1: at their games against non raiders opponents or in this case,

1327
01:03:27,560 --> 01:03:31,320
Speaker 1: non stealers opponents, they typically struggle to score, and I

1328
01:03:31,360 --> 01:03:32,920
Speaker 1: think we saw over at that to night.

1329
01:03:33,240 --> 01:03:35,000
Speaker 2: I think the biggest issue I'm having.

1330
01:03:34,840 --> 01:03:37,080
Speaker 1: With this game is that the Buffalo Bills just they

1331
01:03:37,160 --> 01:03:40,000
Speaker 1: came off a perfect win and I just don't know

1332
01:03:40,080 --> 01:03:42,560
Speaker 1: if you could possibly play any better than the way

1333
01:03:42,600 --> 01:03:42,880
Speaker 1: that they.

1334
01:03:42,880 --> 01:03:43,840
Speaker 2: Played last week.

1335
01:03:44,400 --> 01:03:48,360
Speaker 1: And for me, obviously the Chiefs they did their thing,

1336
01:03:48,440 --> 01:03:51,640
Speaker 1: they blew out the Stillers, but when the team plays

1337
01:03:51,680 --> 01:03:54,080
Speaker 1: as well as the Buffalo Bills, it's kind of it's

1338
01:03:54,120 --> 01:03:55,960
Speaker 1: tough backing them the next week. So this is something

1339
01:03:55,960 --> 01:03:58,360
Speaker 1: I want to think about for a little bit. Over

1340
01:03:58,560 --> 01:04:01,960
Speaker 1: under I believe in this game is fifty four and

1341
01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:05,960
Speaker 1: a half. Actually make this a little bit lower around

1342
01:04:06,040 --> 01:04:08,240
Speaker 1: fifty one, so maybe we could see more of a

1343
01:04:08,320 --> 01:04:09,240
Speaker 1: defensive bad.

1344
01:04:09,120 --> 01:04:12,560
Speaker 2: On this matchup. But I'm kind of sitting this one

1345
01:04:12,600 --> 01:04:14,240
Speaker 2: out right now. I need to do some thinking on.

1346
01:04:15,040 --> 01:04:17,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, that total is rising too, because I put that

1347
01:04:17,560 --> 01:04:19,560
Speaker 4: in at fifty three when I was getting ready for

1348
01:04:19,600 --> 01:04:21,240
Speaker 4: this aboe hour ago. So I think we're getting money

1349
01:04:21,240 --> 01:04:24,440
Speaker 4: already on the over. I lean under as well, just

1350
01:04:24,560 --> 01:04:27,000
Speaker 4: because you know, we know the Bills defense is good.

1351
01:04:27,000 --> 01:04:28,840
Speaker 4: The Chiefs defense has been a lot better down the

1352
01:04:28,880 --> 01:04:31,040
Speaker 4: stretch too. We're gonna see some scoring though, no doubt

1353
01:04:31,040 --> 01:04:33,840
Speaker 4: about that. We know great offense beats great defense when

1354
01:04:33,840 --> 01:04:36,920
Speaker 4: it comes down to it. So my lean here is

1355
01:04:37,080 --> 01:04:40,040
Speaker 4: for the Chiefs, and the reason is I think that

1356
01:04:40,240 --> 01:04:42,360
Speaker 4: this line is giving a little too much respect to

1357
01:04:42,440 --> 01:04:47,000
Speaker 4: the Bills. On two recency biases. Number one, the perfect

1358
01:04:47,040 --> 01:04:50,200
Speaker 4: game they just played against the Patriots. Number two, we

1359
01:04:50,280 --> 01:04:52,720
Speaker 4: saw the Bills finally beat the Chiefs earlier this season.

1360
01:04:53,000 --> 01:04:55,880
Speaker 4: And they beat them real good. They dominated them, but

1361
01:04:56,360 --> 01:04:59,680
Speaker 4: that was a week five. The Bills dominated, but Patrick

1362
01:04:59,680 --> 01:05:02,640
Speaker 4: Mahone was absolutely terrible and very likely is not going

1363
01:05:02,720 --> 01:05:05,440
Speaker 4: to be that bad again. And what we saw was

1364
01:05:05,520 --> 01:05:08,560
Speaker 4: two main things. Number One, the Chiefs defense had no

1365
01:05:08,760 --> 01:05:11,360
Speaker 4: shot in that game. Josh Allen was an absolute monster.

1366
01:05:11,400 --> 01:05:13,800
Speaker 4: I think point six to three epa per play, this

1367
01:05:13,960 --> 01:05:16,800
Speaker 4: like MVP game, and he can do that. We decided

1368
01:05:16,800 --> 01:05:19,560
Speaker 4: to do it again this weekend, but the Chiefs defense

1369
01:05:19,760 --> 01:05:22,120
Speaker 4: was absolute train recordly on. This is not the same

1370
01:05:22,200 --> 01:05:25,120
Speaker 4: defense again, so that's a big change. The other thing

1371
01:05:25,920 --> 01:05:28,720
Speaker 4: is Mahomes had no timeout game. We knew early in

1372
01:05:28,760 --> 01:05:30,560
Speaker 4: the season that might be the case because the Chiefs

1373
01:05:30,600 --> 01:05:33,040
Speaker 4: had like four or five new offensive lineman out there

1374
01:05:33,080 --> 01:05:36,440
Speaker 4: every single snap, and that the line has come together

1375
01:05:36,480 --> 01:05:39,160
Speaker 4: a little bit now. So I wrote about this game

1376
01:05:39,160 --> 01:05:41,440
Speaker 4: a little bit already. I don't think we should take

1377
01:05:41,440 --> 01:05:43,480
Speaker 4: too much so much away from that first game. We

1378
01:05:43,520 --> 01:05:45,240
Speaker 4: should take away that the Bills can do this and

1379
01:05:45,320 --> 01:05:46,960
Speaker 4: are going to be in it, and this is not

1380
01:05:47,160 --> 01:05:49,600
Speaker 4: just going to be a Chiefs rivalry where they dominate

1381
01:05:49,680 --> 01:05:51,960
Speaker 4: every single game. We've seen how good the Bills can be.

1382
01:05:52,720 --> 01:05:55,080
Speaker 4: But same reason, you know, last year, the Chiefs won twice.

1383
01:05:55,800 --> 01:05:58,680
Speaker 4: It's fine. The Bills defense this year is not what

1384
01:05:58,800 --> 01:06:02,280
Speaker 4: it was last year. Like, every matchup is unique, and

1385
01:06:02,680 --> 01:06:05,440
Speaker 4: I think that the Chiefs are peaking right now and

1386
01:06:05,800 --> 01:06:09,120
Speaker 4: are the best version of themselves that they've been. I

1387
01:06:09,200 --> 01:06:11,480
Speaker 4: think we're getting value on the line, and when it

1388
01:06:11,520 --> 01:06:14,480
Speaker 4: comes down to it, if we've got a spread under three,

1389
01:06:15,000 --> 01:06:17,240
Speaker 4: we basically are looking at a coin flip type game.

1390
01:06:18,000 --> 01:06:19,800
Speaker 4: I want the coach that I trust, I want the

1391
01:06:19,880 --> 01:06:23,080
Speaker 4: quarterback that I trust. I want the home team. If

1392
01:06:23,080 --> 01:06:25,280
Speaker 4: you're playing King of the Hill, you got to knock

1393
01:06:25,360 --> 01:06:27,400
Speaker 4: the king off the hill, and the Chiefs are still

1394
01:06:27,440 --> 01:06:29,560
Speaker 4: the king until the Bills do it when it matters most.

1395
01:06:29,720 --> 01:06:33,600
Speaker 4: So I like getting it under three. Sileen Chiefs here,

1396
01:06:33,720 --> 01:06:35,760
Speaker 4: But I'm just I'm really excited to watch this game

1397
01:06:35,760 --> 01:06:37,400
Speaker 4: because these are the two teams we want to see

1398
01:06:37,400 --> 01:06:37,920
Speaker 4: all season.

1399
01:06:38,520 --> 01:06:40,880
Speaker 1: You kind of convinced me on the Chiefs at this point.

1400
01:06:41,080 --> 01:06:42,720
Speaker 1: Josh Allen still has to prove it to me. I mean,

1401
01:06:42,760 --> 01:06:45,400
Speaker 1: he was just so dominant last week. But to go

1402
01:06:45,520 --> 01:06:49,600
Speaker 1: into era head twice in one season and win, it's

1403
01:06:49,640 --> 01:06:52,320
Speaker 1: a tough selle. But my numbers like the Bills in

1404
01:06:52,360 --> 01:06:55,120
Speaker 1: this matchup. I would lead in a direction of my

1405
01:06:55,240 --> 01:06:58,320
Speaker 1: numbers at this point, but we'll see what happens over.

1406
01:06:58,240 --> 01:06:58,880
Speaker 2: The course of the week.

1407
01:06:59,560 --> 01:07:02,360
Speaker 1: We'll talk this through and we'll be back on Friday

1408
01:07:02,640 --> 01:07:05,200
Speaker 1: to let you know our definitive picks on these games.

1409
01:07:05,800 --> 01:07:08,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, Friday, we will go through all four. We will

1410
01:07:08,400 --> 01:07:11,040
Speaker 4: do our best bets and preview all four games again

1411
01:07:11,760 --> 01:07:14,920
Speaker 4: and of course you guys will get stuck in Raybon

1412
01:07:15,120 --> 01:07:18,280
Speaker 4: Wednesday night with the NFL betting six pack. That is

1413
01:07:18,320 --> 01:07:20,400
Speaker 4: going to wrap it up today at the Action Network

1414
01:07:20,440 --> 01:07:23,680
Speaker 4: podcast Don't Forget. If you haven't yet to get please

1415
01:07:23,840 --> 01:07:26,720
Speaker 4: rate and subscribe and a review to the podcast on

1416
01:07:26,840 --> 01:07:30,600
Speaker 4: Apple and Spotify. Thank us. We're over one hundred reviews

1417
01:07:30,720 --> 01:07:33,400
Speaker 4: now saying that four point nine stars. Give us those

1418
01:07:33,480 --> 01:07:36,120
Speaker 4: five come on, give us the five stars baby, same

1419
01:07:36,240 --> 01:07:41,320
Speaker 4: podcast schedule all throughout the playoffs, So Wednesday for Stucking Raybon, Friday,

1420
01:07:41,440 --> 01:07:43,600
Speaker 4: Raheem and I and then we'll be back at the

1421
01:07:43,760 --> 01:07:46,560
Speaker 4: end of the four divisional games next week. You wrap

1422
01:07:46,720 --> 01:07:50,040
Speaker 4: things up again for Raheem Palmer. I'm Brandon Anderson and

1423
01:07:50,120 --> 01:07:52,960
Speaker 4: this has been the Action Network Podcast. We're on to

1424
01:07:53,200 --> 01:07:54,240
Speaker 4: the divisional round.

1425
01:08:01,120 --> 01:08:06,600
Speaker 2: Student steps, to the stading, student spacing students,