WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off April 7th, 2022 (Ep. 484) 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:17.439 It's opening day. Let's play ball. Welcome in everybody to 0:00:17.560 --> 0:00:21.520 leading off right here on Fantasy Pros. Happy opening day, everybody. 0:00:21.800 --> 0:00:24.600 It's me Joey p joe Pisipia with me today again 0:00:24.800 --> 0:00:28.160 is the Welsh and it's baseball time. We did it. 0:00:28.360 --> 0:00:31.880 We made it here. We got locked out, but we 0:00:31.960 --> 0:00:35.559 found the keys Welsh and somehow one of them eventually 0:00:35.600 --> 0:00:37.760 worked and we opened the door to a season. Wow, 0:00:37.800 --> 0:00:40.080 what a beautiful metaphor. I just opened this show with 0:00:40.159 --> 0:00:42.800 today and we're brought to you by bet MGM, the 0:00:42.920 --> 0:00:45.879 King of sports books, and we're very happy that we're 0:00:45.920 --> 0:00:48.479 finally here talking baseball and Welsh. We have a trade 0:00:48.479 --> 0:00:50.800 to break down today. We have a big discussion about 0:00:50.800 --> 0:00:53.120 Cody Bellinger. We're going to talk about some props for 0:00:53.200 --> 0:00:57.320 today little dfs, and of course begin the home run contest, 0:00:57.480 --> 0:01:00.080 which I know everybody loved last year. So it's time 0:01:00.440 --> 0:01:02.680 once again to see how the Peanuts and Crackerjacks are 0:01:02.680 --> 0:01:05.120 gonna screw me out of a championship. But Welsh, I'm 0:01:05.160 --> 0:01:09.640 excited it's here. Baseball is upon us. Let's go, baby. 0:01:09.640 --> 0:01:11.319 How's it get crazy? It's crazy? 0:01:11.480 --> 0:01:13.640 I mean through the last like you know, three or 0:01:13.680 --> 0:01:16.200 four months what we dealt with that. We are sitting 0:01:16.240 --> 0:01:20.000 here right now, about to watch baseball, about to bet 0:01:20.040 --> 0:01:23.880 on baseball, and about to micro manage our fantasy teams. 0:01:24.000 --> 0:01:27.120 It is h but can I ask, how did you 0:01:27.160 --> 0:01:28.760 get screwed? How do you get screwed out of a 0:01:28.800 --> 0:01:31.520 home run contest? Isn't it pretty simple? Joe? You pick 0:01:31.560 --> 0:01:33.920 a guy, he hits a homer, you win. How did 0:01:34.000 --> 0:01:34.960 you get screwed? 0:01:35.720 --> 0:01:38.800 It's funny you should ask what happened was because football 0:01:38.840 --> 0:01:41.800 gets so crazy around these parts. I just took Bryce 0:01:41.840 --> 0:01:45.360 Harper in perpetuity to stick with my theme. And then 0:01:45.480 --> 0:01:49.320 once everybody caught up to me and then passed me 0:01:49.360 --> 0:01:51.920 in that last week of the season, they also took 0:01:51.920 --> 0:01:54.480 Bryce Harper And that's that's how that happens. 0:01:54.560 --> 0:01:57.440 So that sounds like gamesmanship. It is. 0:01:57.560 --> 0:01:59.720 I respect the peanuts and cracker Jacks, but I'm a 0:01:59.720 --> 0:02:01.880 little bit but we're going to turn that around. Have 0:02:01.920 --> 0:02:04.000 you thought it'd be something nice and then look what 0:02:04.040 --> 0:02:05.280 happens they turn it around on you. 0:02:05.320 --> 0:02:07.800 Well, have you thought about having a rule where maybe, 0:02:07.840 --> 0:02:10.080 like you can't go three days in a row with 0:02:10.120 --> 0:02:13.000 the same player, just to avoid that type of gamesmanship? 0:02:13.919 --> 0:02:16.080 No, we haven't. But most of the time that doesn't 0:02:16.120 --> 0:02:18.840 happen anyway. But maybe, you know what, maybe new rules 0:02:19.000 --> 0:02:21.440 have to show up here, so maybe that's true. Let's 0:02:21.480 --> 0:02:23.919 kick things off with the headlines Welsh and an opening 0:02:24.040 --> 0:02:27.200 day trade. You hardly ever see this. The Padres acquire 0:02:27.480 --> 0:02:31.360 Taylor Rogers and outfielder Brent Rooker from the Twins for 0:02:31.600 --> 0:02:33.920 right handed pitcher Chris Paddock, Emilia Pagan and a player 0:02:34.000 --> 0:02:36.800 to be named later. Always my favorite person. So it 0:02:36.800 --> 0:02:38.880 looks like the Padres have got their closer. So break 0:02:38.880 --> 0:02:40.680 down this trade for me. What does this mean for 0:02:40.720 --> 0:02:43.080 Paddock and what does this mean for the Padres bullpit. 0:02:43.720 --> 0:02:46.480 This is great for Paddock, especially for fantasy owners. Oh 0:02:46.520 --> 0:02:48.800 I don't know like me who have all the shares 0:02:48.800 --> 0:02:51.480 of Chris patt. I love Chris Paddock, but he has 0:02:51.520 --> 0:02:53.560 been a little bit lost. He's been a primary two 0:02:53.600 --> 0:02:56.880 pitch pitcher. Fastball change up. Started to try to develop 0:02:56.880 --> 0:03:01.240 a curveball back in twenty nineteen, hasn't really found great success. 0:03:01.560 --> 0:03:04.320 But this is one of like the premier change up guys, 0:03:04.720 --> 0:03:07.000 and the fastball has just kind of ticked down a 0:03:07.000 --> 0:03:09.200 little bit. He was going to go to the bullpen. 0:03:09.560 --> 0:03:13.640 So for him to get presumably a starting role is 0:03:13.720 --> 0:03:17.480 amazing and fantastic Divisionally, I don't know if I love it, 0:03:17.720 --> 0:03:19.400 but I like that he's going to continue to get 0:03:20.000 --> 0:03:22.600 a role to develop as a starter. I think that's huge. 0:03:22.880 --> 0:03:25.600 Taylor Rogers, I think we have to assume is going 0:03:25.600 --> 0:03:28.720 to take over the closer role immediately or at some point, 0:03:29.040 --> 0:03:31.160 which is good. And then it leaves this big open 0:03:31.200 --> 0:03:33.520 hole to what's going to happen in Minnesota. Could be 0:03:33.560 --> 0:03:36.480 on call, it could be Johan Duran. I think some 0:03:36.600 --> 0:03:39.960 have speculated on they might go committee. It's interesting to 0:03:39.960 --> 0:03:42.200 see them trade their opening day closer unless they were 0:03:42.200 --> 0:03:45.400 going to move away from him. So there's a potential 0:03:45.480 --> 0:03:48.760 opening in Minnesota on the closer spot. Paddock starting, I 0:03:48.800 --> 0:03:51.520 think is fantastic, So we'll see. 0:03:51.520 --> 0:03:52.160 It's a good trade. 0:03:52.240 --> 0:03:54.280 It makes a lot of sense. Paddock was just you know, 0:03:54.920 --> 0:03:58.080 relegated to the relief role, and I think this probably 0:03:58.080 --> 0:04:01.080 speaks some wonders to where Rogers really was in the 0:04:01.200 --> 0:04:02.320 UH in the back of the bullpen. 0:04:03.200 --> 0:04:05.840 Yeah, agreed. I know you had some hope for Nelson 0:04:05.920 --> 0:04:08.720 Lamett to potentially be that closure, So that kind of 0:04:09.120 --> 0:04:11.440 kind of kills that won't wanh All. But you know 0:04:11.560 --> 0:04:14.000 that's that's baseball, that happens. It's why you don't pay 0:04:14.000 --> 0:04:15.800 for closers, boys and girls, because you just never know 0:04:15.800 --> 0:04:16.400 what's gonna happen. 0:04:16.440 --> 0:04:19.880 Look, I want sucky toy, the sacky, socky closers. 0:04:19.880 --> 0:04:22.200 I think you may up for the guys. Yeah, the 0:04:22.279 --> 0:04:24.400 Boston Red Sox are trying to make Rafield Never is 0:04:24.400 --> 0:04:25.960 a very high paid guy. But he turned down an 0:04:25.960 --> 0:04:27.680 extension offer. What does this mean? 0:04:27.800 --> 0:04:32.920 Welsh? You see this gonna podcast listeners can't hear. This 0:04:33.000 --> 0:04:36.520 is the sound of me rubbing fingers for money, money, money. 0:04:37.120 --> 0:04:39.200 All it means is he wants big money. I think 0:04:39.240 --> 0:04:41.800 a prime example if anyone were to start freaking out, 0:04:42.160 --> 0:04:44.320 think like the Jose Ramirez stuff. They couldn't get it done. 0:04:44.360 --> 0:04:46.479 They couldn't get it done. Oh he's gotta get traded 0:04:46.520 --> 0:04:49.480 to the Padres and then they got it done. Devers 0:04:49.520 --> 0:04:51.640 wants three hundred million. He wants three hundred plus, and 0:04:51.680 --> 0:04:53.719 I'll bet you the Red Sox were coming in low 0:04:53.800 --> 0:04:56.799 tubes and the market value didn't make sense. He's a 0:04:56.839 --> 0:05:00.800 you know, mid twenties star third baseman, a big team. 0:05:01.160 --> 0:05:03.880 He wants all the Moneies and he they're probably not 0:05:03.920 --> 0:05:05.800 offering all the money is because they've got a team 0:05:05.839 --> 0:05:07.920 with a payroll of guys like Xander Bogarts and they're 0:05:07.920 --> 0:05:10.960 paying Jennie Martinez, so I assume they'll get it done. 0:05:11.279 --> 0:05:14.440 But all this is is you are not close to 0:05:14.520 --> 0:05:16.560 the money that I want and me and to me 0:05:16.640 --> 0:05:18.960 at this point, that means the the three bills, the 0:05:18.960 --> 0:05:19.760 three hundred million. 0:05:20.320 --> 0:05:22.320 I'd like three hundred million too. That sounds like a good, 0:05:22.400 --> 0:05:23.080 that's a nice. 0:05:23.160 --> 0:05:25.240 I'd like three dollars. Three hundred dollars would be great, 0:05:25.279 --> 0:05:26.159 right now, dred dollars. 0:05:26.880 --> 0:05:28.560 You settling too low. Let's be in the middle. Three 0:05:28.640 --> 0:05:31.240 hundred thousand, we'll split it. You make great. You know 0:05:31.279 --> 0:05:35.640 what deal, deal, deal done. The Welsh was right, Mackenzie 0:05:35.680 --> 0:05:38.040 Gore goes to triple A. So you nailed that one 0:05:38.080 --> 0:05:39.920 Welsh for those of us who had some thoughts. So 0:05:40.040 --> 0:05:42.480 Padre is very busy today because also C. J. Abrams 0:05:42.520 --> 0:05:46.080 expected to make the opening day roster and then the 0:05:46.080 --> 0:05:49.720 Brewers official place. Louis your ass on the I l 0:05:49.800 --> 0:05:53.039 with a quad. So we already have one day in. 0:05:53.240 --> 0:05:55.839 We already have one day into the IL. So no 0:05:55.920 --> 0:05:58.120 surprise about that Now. In terms of Abrams, what are 0:05:58.120 --> 0:06:00.360 your expectations? He's been a guy, I mean a lot 0:06:00.360 --> 0:06:03.279 of Twitter questions about I love the talent. I think 0:06:03.279 --> 0:06:05.320 this is a great opportunity for him to get up 0:06:05.360 --> 0:06:07.440 there for a few months and play. If you're gonna 0:06:07.440 --> 0:06:09.240 put him on the roster, you need to play him 0:06:09.279 --> 0:06:11.920 every day, or or at least five days a week 0:06:12.000 --> 0:06:14.400 or something in that range. I think just because you 0:06:14.640 --> 0:06:16.400 won't want the kid to sit around, You want them 0:06:16.440 --> 0:06:18.640 to develop, even it's at the major league level. So 0:06:18.720 --> 0:06:20.840 what do you think about Abrams? I don't know. 0:06:20.880 --> 0:06:23.640 I mean, I think he's an immense talent. I love 0:06:23.640 --> 0:06:25.960 the contact skills. He's one of the fastest players I've 0:06:26.000 --> 0:06:28.680 ever seen in person. He's grown into his body a 0:06:28.720 --> 0:06:30.880 little bit more. He can hit for power regardless of 0:06:30.920 --> 0:06:33.000 being you know, it's like a little bit of a 0:06:33.200 --> 0:06:36.440 smaller you know frame if you will. But I just 0:06:36.520 --> 0:06:38.760 don't know what the Padres true plan is. I kind 0:06:38.760 --> 0:06:40.800 of feel bad, to be honest with you. Every other 0:06:40.880 --> 0:06:43.600 prospect got like the red carpet rolled out for them. 0:06:43.600 --> 0:06:47.000 They're like Bobby Witt, here's a video, and Julia Rodriguez. 0:06:47.200 --> 0:06:50.640 They still haven't even announced that CJ. Abrams made the roster. 0:06:50.760 --> 0:06:53.760 There's no announcement. It's like a girlfriend that's like completely 0:06:53.800 --> 0:06:56.279 embarrassed to have you as their boyfriend. Like I don't 0:06:56.320 --> 0:06:58.599 know what they're doing and why. But it also I 0:06:58.600 --> 0:07:00.719 don't know what the plan is fully going to be. 0:07:00.960 --> 0:07:03.279 Had they traded like Will Myers or Hosmer in this 0:07:03.400 --> 0:07:05.760 Twins trade, that might have been a little bit different 0:07:05.760 --> 0:07:08.160 for me. They still have just a whole bunch of bodies, 0:07:08.200 --> 0:07:10.360 and I don't know if he's going to play every day. 0:07:11.520 --> 0:07:15.200 And I'm not crazy, crazy optimistic about this early run, 0:07:15.240 --> 0:07:17.240 but he's one of those guys that I think I 0:07:17.320 --> 0:07:20.200 just need to see a whole bunch of I would speculate. 0:07:20.320 --> 0:07:23.440 We had some Twitter questions on people with roster construction, 0:07:23.920 --> 0:07:26.880 and someone had tweeted us, you know, roster like even 0:07:26.880 --> 0:07:29.880 a ten man league that had really questionable bench players. 0:07:30.160 --> 0:07:31.880 And my point, and I think you kind of agreed 0:07:31.920 --> 0:07:34.200 with me, was like, hey, listen, don't get those like 0:07:34.320 --> 0:07:37.600 fringy veteran bench players at the beginning of the year. 0:07:38.000 --> 0:07:40.560 Go get any of the study type of guys. And 0:07:40.600 --> 0:07:43.200 sure enough that guy had Bryson Stott was sitting on 0:07:43.240 --> 0:07:45.640 the wire. Go pick up those guys to see if 0:07:45.680 --> 0:07:49.120 they really give the run. I don't think CJ. Abrams 0:07:49.200 --> 0:07:51.640 is going to play every single day to start, which 0:07:51.680 --> 0:07:54.840 makes me a little bit timid. But you should speculate. 0:07:54.880 --> 0:07:57.320 You should go and speculate on those guys if they're 0:07:57.320 --> 0:08:00.040 sitting on the wire, regardless of the situation, even and 0:08:00.080 --> 0:08:02.640 then a ten man league. Bryson Scott was the pickup 0:08:02.680 --> 0:08:05.640 for that guy in a ten man league, agreed. 0:08:05.840 --> 0:08:07.560 And not only that, if the guy has a good 0:08:07.640 --> 0:08:10.200 early run in April and you really don't believe him anyway, 0:08:10.280 --> 0:08:12.040 then you flip them in a redraft fee. I mean, 0:08:12.080 --> 0:08:14.119 that's all point. It's like you have nothing to lose. 0:08:14.160 --> 0:08:16.680 The worst case scenarios, they suck, they get sent down, 0:08:16.960 --> 0:08:18.920 and you drop them for another one of those steady, 0:08:18.960 --> 0:08:21.240 boring players that you mentioned that were on the roster before. 0:08:21.320 --> 0:08:22.480 So that's the way you play. 0:08:22.600 --> 0:08:24.760 Very much about that too, by the way, like moving, oh, 0:08:25.040 --> 0:08:28.000 moving young prospects at the peak in a redraft, like 0:08:28.320 --> 0:08:30.440 I don't really have the big need to hold on 0:08:30.520 --> 0:08:33.439 even if I drafted Julio or Spencer Torkalsen or any 0:08:33.440 --> 0:08:35.839 of those guys. I don't feel the big need If 0:08:35.880 --> 0:08:37.880 someone wants to come in hot. For one of those guys, 0:08:37.960 --> 0:08:41.440 I would move them because the downside for young guys 0:08:41.440 --> 0:08:44.200 in rookie years is pretty immense. Like they're going to 0:08:44.200 --> 0:08:47.240 go through struggles. I expect most of these players to 0:08:47.320 --> 0:08:50.839 go through some significant struggles, Julio and Torkalsen alike. 0:08:51.679 --> 0:08:54.680 All Right, those are the headlines for today on opening day. 0:08:55.640 --> 0:08:57.520 Let's move on to can we talk about this. I 0:08:57.559 --> 0:09:00.240 want to talk about this because Cody Bellinger's spring has 0:09:00.240 --> 0:09:03.080 not been good. I saw our friend Vlad Settler say that. 0:09:03.120 --> 0:09:05.360 I think he saw him in the last draft of 0:09:05.480 --> 0:09:08.320 NFBC goes somewhere in the two sixties or something crazy 0:09:08.440 --> 0:09:08.559 like that. 0:09:08.679 --> 0:09:08.920 Twelve. 0:09:09.000 --> 0:09:10.800 I think he said it was two twelve. I don't know. 0:09:10.800 --> 0:09:15.840 It's something absurd. Cody Bellinger this spring thirteen games, thirty 0:09:15.880 --> 0:09:18.400 seven played appearances, eighteen strikeouts, one walk, hit in a 0:09:18.440 --> 0:09:22.120 buck thirty nine. He has five hits in those thirty 0:09:22.120 --> 0:09:25.440 seven played appearances. So it's ugly right now. I know 0:09:25.520 --> 0:09:28.040 you can make the conversation about, well, it's he's a 0:09:28.080 --> 0:09:30.360 guy trying to work on different things in the swing 0:09:30.440 --> 0:09:32.080 and all that nonsense. At the end of the day, 0:09:32.520 --> 0:09:35.559 you want to see something considering last year was such 0:09:35.559 --> 0:09:38.160 a debacle for him. Where do we stand on opening 0:09:38.240 --> 0:09:40.640 day with Cody Bellinger? What are your predictions for him? 0:09:40.720 --> 0:09:42.439 I mean, don't ask me. I'm in the a. 0:09:43.760 --> 0:09:45.959 I have to You're the only other person here. 0:09:46.360 --> 0:09:48.280 But I'm just saying, I guess here's a better question I. 0:09:48.280 --> 0:09:51.679 Must say an apologists, this is that rather than be 0:09:51.720 --> 0:09:55.240 an apologist, let's say this, is this the absolute time 0:09:55.440 --> 0:09:59.320 in Dynasty keeper formats to pounce on Cody Bellinger because 0:09:59.320 --> 0:10:01.880 you have nothing to lose? Or is it the inverse? 0:10:02.000 --> 0:10:03.680 Is this the time where this might be the last 0:10:03.720 --> 0:10:05.320 time to get out from Cody Bellinger? 0:10:06.200 --> 0:10:08.280 I mean it might be both. I mean it's a 0:10:08.280 --> 0:10:12.320 great question on which, like I think in my mind, 0:10:12.360 --> 0:10:15.120 I want to buy you know, he's twenty think six 0:10:15.240 --> 0:10:17.960 years old. I think there's still a lot of like 0:10:17.960 --> 0:10:22.120 like going into spring, Like if the spring stats are 0:10:22.200 --> 0:10:24.680 the thing that took you off of Cody Bellinger, you 0:10:24.760 --> 0:10:28.400 were never there. Don't let what happened in spring training 0:10:28.840 --> 0:10:30.600 be the thing that puts you over the edge. Well, 0:10:30.640 --> 0:10:33.880 now I'm out on Cody Bellinger. It's ridiculous to me 0:10:34.000 --> 0:10:36.360 that he could go inside the top one hundred and 0:10:36.400 --> 0:10:38.360 then because he struck out in the spring, he drops 0:10:38.400 --> 0:10:42.320 outside the two hundred. That's just reactionary stuff. Have your side, 0:10:42.400 --> 0:10:45.920 have your taken it. He's openly talked about making multiple adjustments. 0:10:46.120 --> 0:10:48.240 He wanted to get the punchies out, as he called them, 0:10:48.320 --> 0:10:53.400 during spring. I think this little added, you know, insane 0:10:53.440 --> 0:10:56.520 spring of negativity is the time to buy on him. 0:10:56.920 --> 0:10:59.640 I don't think the cell time if you own him 0:10:59.720 --> 0:11:01.600 is so when you say is this the last time 0:11:01.640 --> 0:11:04.320 to get out, no, it's not. Because Bellinger is unique 0:11:04.360 --> 0:11:07.360 in that, like he could just suck for two months 0:11:07.440 --> 0:11:08.960 and then if he goes off and he pops off 0:11:09.000 --> 0:11:11.360 for three weeks, everyone will be like, we're back, He's 0:11:11.400 --> 0:11:14.160 not done done. So no, this is actually, now that 0:11:14.160 --> 0:11:16.120 I'm thinking about it, this is the worst time to 0:11:16.120 --> 0:11:18.440 trade him. But it's a great time to trade for 0:11:18.600 --> 0:11:21.600 him and speculate if you can meet at that lower cost. 0:11:21.960 --> 0:11:22.760 But I know it's me. 0:11:22.960 --> 0:11:24.679 You don't but you don't like him, No, but I 0:11:25.000 --> 0:11:25.640 expect you. 0:11:25.559 --> 0:11:28.520 Know me, I'm everybody in their place right and this 0:11:28.600 --> 0:11:31.040 is the time where I look back and I go, Okay, 0:11:31.080 --> 0:11:33.640 this guy can have a forty home run season. Is 0:11:33.640 --> 0:11:35.480 that likely? Probably not? But you know, what in those 0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:37.520 Dynasty keyper formats. If I can get him for nothing, 0:11:37.720 --> 0:11:39.600 if somebody's just desperate to get rid of him, I 0:11:39.640 --> 0:11:41.960 take him and ice and I see what's happening. Because 0:11:41.960 --> 0:11:44.920 he's still young enough. If he was thirty two years old, 0:11:45.559 --> 0:11:47.440 it would be a different story. So I think that's 0:11:47.480 --> 0:11:50.360 different we're looking right now. In some of the comments here, 0:11:50.720 --> 0:11:53.720 Robert chavezys, thank you Joe and Chris for going live 0:11:53.800 --> 0:11:57.240 now at nine am Pacific time, obviously noon Eastern time, 0:11:58.000 --> 0:12:00.240 because I've always wanted to be a peanut in a 0:12:00.240 --> 0:12:02.880 cracker jack, and I was never awake at that hour, 0:12:02.960 --> 0:12:06.440 so you're welcome. See. Look, we're making everybody happy. Wonkye 0:12:06.440 --> 0:12:10.320 Penguin says, it feels like the time it's getting this 0:12:10.440 --> 0:12:12.520 time of year, it doesn't look like a time to 0:12:12.559 --> 0:12:14.840 be trading for Cody Bellinger. We've also got some other 0:12:15.400 --> 0:12:17.600 comments here. A lot of people are negative on Cody Bellinger, 0:12:17.600 --> 0:12:22.280 and I it's understanding. He's earned it. And you know 0:12:22.320 --> 0:12:24.560 what's funny, if you remember a couple years ago he 0:12:24.600 --> 0:12:26.760 had a down tick and then he rebound and a 0:12:26.800 --> 0:12:28.840 lot of people were kind of pissed off that they 0:12:28.880 --> 0:12:31.199 traded him. So it's gonna be a very interesting make 0:12:31.280 --> 0:12:33.440 or break. I think April May April May is gonna 0:12:33.480 --> 0:12:35.440 termin a lot from the Bellinger value. But it's great 0:12:35.440 --> 0:12:37.480 to see all these people here. It's great to see 0:12:37.480 --> 0:12:40.200 everybody live with us today. Let's move on to the 0:12:40.240 --> 0:12:42.800 next topic here, and obviously we're gonna do our little 0:12:42.880 --> 0:12:46.360 fun today. In baseball nineteen eighty four, Tiger's right hander 0:12:46.480 --> 0:12:49.400 Jack Morris no hits the White Sox for nothing at 0:12:49.400 --> 0:12:53.040 Comiskey Park, walking six guys and striking out eight is 0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:56.600 at quintal censure, quintessential Jack Morris line right. I love 0:12:56.720 --> 0:13:01.080 Jack Morris, eighties pitcher, fantastic mustache. Welsh was too young, 0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:03.240 he doesn't remember Jackmarr. He you remember Jack Morris as 0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:06.080 the twins? What was it eighty four? You said eighty four? 0:13:06.160 --> 0:13:08.319 I was one. I was one years old. You don't 0:13:08.360 --> 0:13:10.719 remember that, No, I doubt that reminds me. That's it's 0:13:10.720 --> 0:13:13.520 a very Edwin Jackson like no hitter where I remember 0:13:13.640 --> 0:13:17.120 Edwin Jackson. The diamonbacks was like one hundred and thirty pitches, 0:13:17.440 --> 0:13:20.040 like eight walks and whatever strikeouts, and then it's like 0:13:20.280 --> 0:13:22.360 when it got a no hitter, it's like the least 0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:24.480 exciting no hitter on the planet. That's that good old 0:13:24.480 --> 0:13:25.520 eighties no hitter. 0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:30.000 Good old eighties no hitter. Now look today, obviously we've 0:13:30.000 --> 0:13:32.320 got some fun games out there. We know some games 0:13:32.360 --> 0:13:34.520 have already been moved in terms of time. We know 0:13:34.600 --> 0:13:36.720 some games have already been moved a whole other day 0:13:37.120 --> 0:13:37.800 because of the rain. 0:13:38.840 --> 0:13:41.679 There's a solution for that. Wouldn't be awesome if baseball 0:13:41.720 --> 0:13:43.640 could figure out. What do you think a solution would 0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:46.800 be if you were the commissioner. I know this is 0:13:46.840 --> 0:13:48.880 a crazy thought. I don't know what we would do, 0:13:48.960 --> 0:13:51.720 but like, what would you do to fix this problem? 0:13:51.720 --> 0:13:54.040 I know it's really difficult what. 0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:57.680 To to have baseball in, oh, like home stadiums, or 0:13:57.720 --> 0:14:00.360 just to open in warm weather places you would close. 0:14:00.640 --> 0:14:04.000 You'd have like roofs and stuff for weather. That's a 0:14:04.040 --> 0:14:07.240 crazy that's a crazy, crazy innovative idea. Oh you mean 0:14:07.280 --> 0:14:10.200 like the big stadiums that they spend billions of dollars 0:14:10.200 --> 0:14:12.760 for right now, just put a roof billion to put 0:14:12.760 --> 0:14:13.400 a roof on that. 0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:14.320 Bet that's another. 0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:17.079 Charge it to the public. 0:14:18.000 --> 0:14:20.920 Start the teams on the East coast, on the West coast. 0:14:20.960 --> 0:14:22.560 You don't have to worry about this stuff. Get that 0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:25.680 out of the way early. Those trips. I that's I 0:14:25.680 --> 0:14:27.640 don't know, I don't know why they don't do this, 0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:31.360 but anyway, regardless, so even though today we don't have 0:14:31.400 --> 0:14:34.120 a lot of baseball to report on, that'll be tomorrow. 0:14:34.160 --> 0:14:37.080 We'll have our you know, our heroes for the stat sheet, 0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:39.280 We'll have our zeros for the stat sheet, and we 0:14:39.320 --> 0:14:41.160 will do home run calls later in the show as 0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:43.040 we teased. But we are going to talk some prop 0:14:43.080 --> 0:14:44.920 bets today because as you know, we have a new 0:14:44.920 --> 0:14:48.160 sponsor and it's bet mgm, which is very exciting. And 0:14:48.280 --> 0:14:50.960 bet mgm also has a new offer, so enjoy all 0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:54.160 your favorite sports like never before at bet mgm. Sign 0:14:54.240 --> 0:14:56.640 up using the code leading off. That's one word leading off, 0:14:56.720 --> 0:14:59.040 and your first wager is risk free up to one 0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:01.160 thousand dollars in all. It's so new for opening day. 0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:03.840 Now you can bet ten dollars and win two hundred 0:15:04.080 --> 0:15:06.400 when you bet on any game, regardless of the outcome. 0:15:06.640 --> 0:15:09.880 When you register with bet mgm, you'll get instant access 0:15:09.880 --> 0:15:13.760 to a variety of parlays, selection features, live betting options 0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:17.680 and player props, and daily boosted odds specials. And with BETMGM, 0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:20.920 as you at your fingertips, every play, every game will 0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:22.920 matter even more. Sign up today and find out why 0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:27.160 nothing beats a win at the King of Sports Books 0:15:27.200 --> 0:15:30.480 at BETMGM, our sponsor of our show. We love BETMGM 0:15:30.520 --> 0:15:32.840 and because we did so much, Chris, that's right, we 0:15:32.960 --> 0:15:35.160 got the crown up there now because we love the 0:15:35.240 --> 0:15:37.680 King of Sportsbooks so much. Let's talk about what we 0:15:37.760 --> 0:15:40.160 have over at Betting Pros. Was that prop bet cheat sheet. 0:15:40.440 --> 0:15:42.320 I pulled up some of the top things today to 0:15:42.360 --> 0:15:45.960 discuss the three top pitcher props, the three top hitter 0:15:46.000 --> 0:15:48.200 props that were out there, and what we have at 0:15:48.240 --> 0:15:50.560 Betting Pros. On that side, there's a thing called the 0:15:50.560 --> 0:15:54.000 prop bet cheat sheet. It takes all the fantasy projections 0:15:54.240 --> 0:15:56.400 and matches them up to the lines and tells you 0:15:56.400 --> 0:15:58.480 where the biggest variance is and says basically, hey, go 0:15:58.480 --> 0:16:00.480 bet this, you can win some money. So today we 0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:04.120 have show hey Otani the k prop right now for 0:16:04.240 --> 0:16:07.040 him as a pretty big variance, and I think that's 0:16:07.080 --> 0:16:09.360 something to pay attention to. Right now he's projected at 0:16:09.360 --> 0:16:12.360 six point nine to nine. That's a difference in terms 0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:14.240 of the projection of over two and a half from 0:16:14.240 --> 0:16:16.880 what the prop is set, So that is something you 0:16:16.920 --> 0:16:20.080 go bet at BENMGM right now. You can also look 0:16:20.120 --> 0:16:23.120 at Shane Bieber, who has got six and a half 0:16:23.240 --> 0:16:25.160 on that number, and he is projected for eight and 0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:27.000 a half. Part of me, Otani's got a four and 0:16:27.040 --> 0:16:29.800 a half k prop line, which is really low. I 0:16:29.800 --> 0:16:32.000 would jump in on that one for sure. Shane Bieber 0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:33.920 is at six and a half, projection has him at 0:16:33.960 --> 0:16:37.120 eight point three, and then fran Ber Valdez is set 0:16:37.120 --> 0:16:38.720 at four and a half and he's at six point 0:16:38.800 --> 0:16:42.200 three six today against the Angels. So of these three, 0:16:42.440 --> 0:16:44.640 which one six out t you like the Otani prop, 0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:47.000 you like the Biber, or you like the Valdez. That 0:16:47.040 --> 0:16:48.560 to me, the Otani one really pops. 0:16:48.880 --> 0:16:51.360 Yeah, well, I had a couple of things here. The 0:16:51.360 --> 0:16:55.920 Otani one is really really enticing with Astro's ability to 0:16:55.920 --> 0:16:59.120 strike out and only at four and a half. The 0:16:59.200 --> 0:17:03.200 thing that could be Ricky is Otani can sometimes fall 0:17:03.240 --> 0:17:05.240 apart a little bit. They might not want him to 0:17:05.280 --> 0:17:08.720 go deep deep into games early on. So if I 0:17:08.760 --> 0:17:10.720 had to pick one of those, I'd actually probably go 0:17:10.760 --> 0:17:14.480 with the Bieber one at six and a half. But 0:17:14.760 --> 0:17:16.399 Joe I will tell you it's funny that you pick 0:17:16.480 --> 0:17:19.679 these three because number four on the list I have 0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:23.159 already bet. I bet this one yesterday, which way, and 0:17:23.200 --> 0:17:26.640 Tyler Molly at four and a half strikeouts, it's around 0:17:26.640 --> 0:17:28.640 mind I think I got a mindus one thirty five. 0:17:28.920 --> 0:17:32.160 They're projected at six and he's up against the braves 0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:34.040 and those free swinging braves. 0:17:34.119 --> 0:17:35.280 I love this marker. 0:17:35.480 --> 0:17:38.040 Tyler Marley's been striking out guys at an over nine 0:17:38.119 --> 0:17:43.479 k nine strikeouts per nine clip all spring training, and 0:17:43.680 --> 0:17:45.800 this is a really low number for it. Just a 0:17:45.960 --> 0:17:50.120 sneaky good pitcher that put out there. So of your guys, 0:17:50.600 --> 0:17:54.119 I'm probably gonna go Bieber, even though Otani is the 0:17:54.200 --> 0:17:57.720 sexiest number. But go down one more and I have 0:17:57.920 --> 0:18:01.119 personally already put down. I have four bets on the 0:18:01.160 --> 0:18:04.880 table for today, and Tyler Molly strikeout prop is one 0:18:04.880 --> 0:18:05.160 of them. 0:18:06.080 --> 0:18:08.840 Uh man looking. Even if Atani only throws five innings, 0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:10.800 I can't imagine I'm not getting five strikeouts of those 0:18:10.800 --> 0:18:12.879 five innings. So the four and a half number, to me, 0:18:12.960 --> 0:18:14.880 is my favorite one. I like that Wonkeye Penguin says 0:18:14.880 --> 0:18:18.040 it's a taxpayer in Minnesota. I'd kicking another billion for 0:18:18.080 --> 0:18:21.360