Speaker 1: It's opening day. Let's play ball. Welcome in everybody to
Speaker 1: leading off right here on Fantasy Pros. Happy opening day, everybody.
Speaker 1: It's me Joey p joe Pisipia with me today again
Speaker 1: is the Welsh and it's baseball time. We did it.
Speaker 1: We made it here. We got locked out, but we
Speaker 1: found the keys Welsh and somehow one of them eventually
Speaker 1: worked and we opened the door to a season. Wow,
Speaker 1: what a beautiful metaphor. I just opened this show with
Speaker 1: today and we're brought to you by bet MGM, the
Speaker 1: King of sports books, and we're very happy that we're
Speaker 1: finally here talking baseball and Welsh. We have a trade
Speaker 1: to break down today. We have a big discussion about
Speaker 1: Cody Bellinger. We're going to talk about some props for
Speaker 1: today little dfs, and of course begin the home run contest,
Speaker 1: which I know everybody loved last year. So it's time
Speaker 1: once again to see how the Peanuts and Crackerjacks are
Speaker 1: gonna screw me out of a championship. But Welsh, I'm
Speaker 1: excited it's here. Baseball is upon us. Let's go, baby.
Speaker 1: How's it get crazy? It's crazy?
Speaker 2: I mean through the last like you know, three or
Speaker 2: four months what we dealt with that. We are sitting
Speaker 2: here right now, about to watch baseball, about to bet
Speaker 2: on baseball, and about to micro manage our fantasy teams.
Speaker 2: It is h but can I ask, how did you
Speaker 2: get screwed? How do you get screwed out of a
Speaker 2: home run contest? Isn't it pretty simple? Joe? You pick
Speaker 2: a guy, he hits a homer, you win. How did
Speaker 2: you get screwed?
Speaker 1: It's funny you should ask what happened was because football
Speaker 1: gets so crazy around these parts. I just took Bryce
Speaker 1: Harper in perpetuity to stick with my theme. And then
Speaker 1: once everybody caught up to me and then passed me
Speaker 1: in that last week of the season, they also took
Speaker 1: Bryce Harper And that's that's how that happens.
Speaker 2: So that sounds like gamesmanship. It is.
Speaker 1: I respect the peanuts and cracker Jacks, but I'm a
Speaker 1: little bit but we're going to turn that around. Have
Speaker 1: you thought it'd be something nice and then look what
Speaker 1: happens they turn it around on you.
Speaker 2: Well, have you thought about having a rule where maybe,
Speaker 2: like you can't go three days in a row with
Speaker 2: the same player, just to avoid that type of gamesmanship?
Speaker 1: No, we haven't. But most of the time that doesn't
Speaker 1: happen anyway. But maybe, you know what, maybe new rules
Speaker 1: have to show up here, so maybe that's true. Let's
Speaker 1: kick things off with the headlines Welsh and an opening
Speaker 1: day trade. You hardly ever see this. The Padres acquire
Speaker 1: Taylor Rogers and outfielder Brent Rooker from the Twins for
Speaker 1: right handed pitcher Chris Paddock, Emilia Pagan and a player
Speaker 1: to be named later. Always my favorite person. So it
Speaker 1: looks like the Padres have got their closer. So break
Speaker 1: down this trade for me. What does this mean for
Speaker 1: Paddock and what does this mean for the Padres bullpit.
Speaker 2: This is great for Paddock, especially for fantasy owners. Oh
Speaker 2: I don't know like me who have all the shares
Speaker 2: of Chris patt. I love Chris Paddock, but he has
Speaker 2: been a little bit lost. He's been a primary two
Speaker 2: pitch pitcher. Fastball change up. Started to try to develop
Speaker 2: a curveball back in twenty nineteen, hasn't really found great success.
Speaker 2: But this is one of like the premier change up guys,
Speaker 2: and the fastball has just kind of ticked down a
Speaker 2: little bit. He was going to go to the bullpen.
Speaker 2: So for him to get presumably a starting role is
Speaker 2: amazing and fantastic Divisionally, I don't know if I love it,
Speaker 2: but I like that he's going to continue to get
Speaker 2: a role to develop as a starter. I think that's huge.
Speaker 2: Taylor Rogers, I think we have to assume is going
Speaker 2: to take over the closer role immediately or at some point,
Speaker 2: which is good. And then it leaves this big open
Speaker 2: hole to what's going to happen in Minnesota. Could be
Speaker 2: on call, it could be Johan Duran. I think some
Speaker 2: have speculated on they might go committee. It's interesting to
Speaker 2: see them trade their opening day closer unless they were
Speaker 2: going to move away from him. So there's a potential
Speaker 2: opening in Minnesota on the closer spot. Paddock starting, I
Speaker 2: think is fantastic, So we'll see.
Speaker 1: It's a good trade.
Speaker 2: It makes a lot of sense. Paddock was just you know,
Speaker 2: relegated to the relief role, and I think this probably
Speaker 2: speaks some wonders to where Rogers really was in the
Speaker 2: UH in the back of the bullpen.
Speaker 1: Yeah, agreed. I know you had some hope for Nelson
Speaker 1: Lamett to potentially be that closure, So that kind of
Speaker 1: kind of kills that won't wanh All. But you know
Speaker 1: that's that's baseball, that happens. It's why you don't pay
Speaker 1: for closers, boys and girls, because you just never know
Speaker 1: what's gonna happen.
Speaker 2: Look, I want sucky toy, the sacky, socky closers.
Speaker 1: I think you may up for the guys. Yeah, the
Speaker 1: Boston Red Sox are trying to make Rafield Never is
Speaker 1: a very high paid guy. But he turned down an
Speaker 1: extension offer. What does this mean?
Speaker 2: Welsh? You see this gonna podcast listeners can't hear. This
Speaker 2: is the sound of me rubbing fingers for money, money, money.
Speaker 2: All it means is he wants big money. I think
Speaker 2: a prime example if anyone were to start freaking out,
Speaker 2: think like the Jose Ramirez stuff. They couldn't get it done.
Speaker 2: They couldn't get it done. Oh he's gotta get traded
Speaker 2: to the Padres and then they got it done. Devers
Speaker 2: wants three hundred million. He wants three hundred plus, and
Speaker 2: I'll bet you the Red Sox were coming in low
Speaker 2: tubes and the market value didn't make sense. He's a
Speaker 2: you know, mid twenties star third baseman, a big team.
Speaker 2: He wants all the Moneies and he they're probably not
Speaker 2: offering all the money is because they've got a team
Speaker 2: with a payroll of guys like Xander Bogarts and they're
Speaker 2: paying Jennie Martinez, so I assume they'll get it done.
Speaker 2: But all this is is you are not close to
Speaker 2: the money that I want and me and to me
Speaker 2: at this point, that means the the three bills, the
Speaker 2: three hundred million.
Speaker 1: I'd like three hundred million too. That sounds like a good,
Speaker 1: that's a nice.
Speaker 2: I'd like three dollars. Three hundred dollars would be great,
Speaker 2: right now, dred dollars.
Speaker 1: You settling too low. Let's be in the middle. Three
Speaker 1: hundred thousand, we'll split it. You make great. You know
Speaker 1: what deal, deal, deal done. The Welsh was right, Mackenzie
Speaker 1: Gore goes to triple A. So you nailed that one
Speaker 1: Welsh for those of us who had some thoughts. So
Speaker 1: Padre is very busy today because also C. J. Abrams
Speaker 1: expected to make the opening day roster and then the
Speaker 1: Brewers official place. Louis your ass on the I l
Speaker 1: with a quad. So we already have one day in.
Speaker 1: We already have one day into the IL. So no
Speaker 1: surprise about that Now. In terms of Abrams, what are
Speaker 1: your expectations? He's been a guy, I mean a lot
Speaker 1: of Twitter questions about I love the talent. I think
Speaker 1: this is a great opportunity for him to get up
Speaker 1: there for a few months and play. If you're gonna
Speaker 1: put him on the roster, you need to play him
Speaker 1: every day, or or at least five days a week
Speaker 1: or something in that range. I think just because you
Speaker 1: won't want the kid to sit around, You want them
Speaker 1: to develop, even it's at the major league level. So
Speaker 1: what do you think about Abrams? I don't know.
Speaker 2: I mean, I think he's an immense talent. I love
Speaker 2: the contact skills. He's one of the fastest players I've
Speaker 2: ever seen in person. He's grown into his body a
Speaker 2: little bit more. He can hit for power regardless of
Speaker 2: being you know, it's like a little bit of a
Speaker 2: smaller you know frame if you will. But I just
Speaker 2: don't know what the Padres true plan is. I kind
Speaker 2: of feel bad, to be honest with you. Every other
Speaker 2: prospect got like the red carpet rolled out for them.
Speaker 2: They're like Bobby Witt, here's a video, and Julia Rodriguez.
Speaker 2: They still haven't even announced that CJ. Abrams made the roster.
Speaker 2: There's no announcement. It's like a girlfriend that's like completely
Speaker 2: embarrassed to have you as their boyfriend. Like I don't
Speaker 2: know what they're doing and why. But it also I
Speaker 2: don't know what the plan is fully going to be.
Speaker 2: Had they traded like Will Myers or Hosmer in this
Speaker 2: Twins trade, that might have been a little bit different
Speaker 2: for me. They still have just a whole bunch of bodies,
Speaker 2: and I don't know if he's going to play every day.
Speaker 2: And I'm not crazy, crazy optimistic about this early run,
Speaker 2: but he's one of those guys that I think I
Speaker 2: just need to see a whole bunch of I would speculate.
Speaker 2: We had some Twitter questions on people with roster construction,
Speaker 2: and someone had tweeted us, you know, roster like even
Speaker 2: a ten man league that had really questionable bench players.
Speaker 2: And my point, and I think you kind of agreed
Speaker 2: with me, was like, hey, listen, don't get those like
Speaker 2: fringy veteran bench players at the beginning of the year.
Speaker 2: Go get any of the study type of guys. And
Speaker 2: sure enough that guy had Bryson Stott was sitting on
Speaker 2: the wire. Go pick up those guys to see if
Speaker 2: they really give the run. I don't think CJ. Abrams
Speaker 2: is going to play every single day to start, which
Speaker 2: makes me a little bit timid. But you should speculate.
Speaker 2: You should go and speculate on those guys if they're
Speaker 2: sitting on the wire, regardless of the situation, even and
Speaker 2: then a ten man league. Bryson Scott was the pickup
Speaker 2: for that guy in a ten man league, agreed.
Speaker 1: And not only that, if the guy has a good
Speaker 1: early run in April and you really don't believe him anyway,
Speaker 1: then you flip them in a redraft fee. I mean,
Speaker 1: that's all point. It's like you have nothing to lose.
Speaker 1: The worst case scenarios, they suck, they get sent down,
Speaker 1: and you drop them for another one of those steady,
Speaker 1: boring players that you mentioned that were on the roster before.
Speaker 1: So that's the way you play.
Speaker 2: Very much about that too, by the way, like moving, oh,
Speaker 2: moving young prospects at the peak in a redraft, like
Speaker 2: I don't really have the big need to hold on
Speaker 2: even if I drafted Julio or Spencer Torkalsen or any
Speaker 2: of those guys. I don't feel the big need If
Speaker 2: someone wants to come in hot. For one of those guys,
Speaker 2: I would move them because the downside for young guys
Speaker 2: in rookie years is pretty immense. Like they're going to
Speaker 2: go through struggles. I expect most of these players to
Speaker 2: go through some significant struggles, Julio and Torkalsen alike.
Speaker 1: All Right, those are the headlines for today on opening day.
Speaker 1: Let's move on to can we talk about this. I
Speaker 1: want to talk about this because Cody Bellinger's spring has
Speaker 1: not been good. I saw our friend Vlad Settler say that.
Speaker 1: I think he saw him in the last draft of
Speaker 1: NFBC goes somewhere in the two sixties or something crazy
Speaker 1: like that.
Speaker 2: Twelve.
Speaker 1: I think he said it was two twelve. I don't know.
Speaker 1: It's something absurd. Cody Bellinger this spring thirteen games, thirty
Speaker 1: seven played appearances, eighteen strikeouts, one walk, hit in a
Speaker 1: buck thirty nine. He has five hits in those thirty
Speaker 1: seven played appearances. So it's ugly right now. I know
Speaker 1: you can make the conversation about, well, it's he's a
Speaker 1: guy trying to work on different things in the swing
Speaker 1: and all that nonsense. At the end of the day,
Speaker 1: you want to see something considering last year was such
Speaker 1: a debacle for him. Where do we stand on opening
Speaker 1: day with Cody Bellinger? What are your predictions for him?
Speaker 2: I mean, don't ask me. I'm in the a.
Speaker 1: I have to You're the only other person here.
Speaker 2: But I'm just saying, I guess here's a better question I.
Speaker 1: Must say an apologists, this is that rather than be
Speaker 1: an apologist, let's say this, is this the absolute time
Speaker 1: in Dynasty keeper formats to pounce on Cody Bellinger because
Speaker 1: you have nothing to lose? Or is it the inverse?
Speaker 1: Is this the time where this might be the last
Speaker 1: time to get out from Cody Bellinger?
Speaker 2: I mean it might be both. I mean it's a
Speaker 2: great question on which, like I think in my mind,
Speaker 2: I want to buy you know, he's twenty think six
Speaker 2: years old. I think there's still a lot of like
Speaker 2: like going into spring, Like if the spring stats are
Speaker 2: the thing that took you off of Cody Bellinger, you
Speaker 2: were never there. Don't let what happened in spring training
Speaker 2: be the thing that puts you over the edge. Well,
Speaker 2: now I'm out on Cody Bellinger. It's ridiculous to me
Speaker 2: that he could go inside the top one hundred and
Speaker 2: then because he struck out in the spring, he drops
Speaker 2: outside the two hundred. That's just reactionary stuff. Have your side,
Speaker 2: have your taken it. He's openly talked about making multiple adjustments.
Speaker 2: He wanted to get the punchies out, as he called them,
Speaker 2: during spring. I think this little added, you know, insane
Speaker 2: spring of negativity is the time to buy on him.
Speaker 2: I don't think the cell time if you own him
Speaker 2: is so when you say is this the last time
Speaker 2: to get out, no, it's not. Because Bellinger is unique
Speaker 2: in that, like he could just suck for two months
Speaker 2: and then if he goes off and he pops off
Speaker 2: for three weeks, everyone will be like, we're back, He's
Speaker 2: not done done. So no, this is actually, now that
Speaker 2: I'm thinking about it, this is the worst time to
Speaker 2: trade him. But it's a great time to trade for
Speaker 2: him and speculate if you can meet at that lower cost.
Speaker 1: But I know it's me.
Speaker 2: You don't but you don't like him, No, but I
Speaker 2: expect you.
Speaker 1: Know me, I'm everybody in their place right and this
Speaker 1: is the time where I look back and I go, Okay,
Speaker 1: this guy can have a forty home run season. Is
Speaker 1: that likely? Probably not? But you know, what in those
Speaker 1: Dynasty keyper formats. If I can get him for nothing,
Speaker 1: if somebody's just desperate to get rid of him, I
Speaker 1: take him and ice and I see what's happening. Because
Speaker 1: he's still young enough. If he was thirty two years old,
Speaker 1: it would be a different story. So I think that's
Speaker 1: different we're looking right now. In some of the comments here,
Speaker 1: Robert chavezys, thank you Joe and Chris for going live
Speaker 1: now at nine am Pacific time, obviously noon Eastern time,
Speaker 1: because I've always wanted to be a peanut in a
Speaker 1: cracker jack, and I was never awake at that hour,
Speaker 1: so you're welcome. See. Look, we're making everybody happy. Wonkye
Speaker 1: Penguin says, it feels like the time it's getting this
Speaker 1: time of year, it doesn't look like a time to
Speaker 1: be trading for Cody Bellinger. We've also got some other
Speaker 1: comments here. A lot of people are negative on Cody Bellinger,
Speaker 1: and I it's understanding. He's earned it. And you know
Speaker 1: what's funny, if you remember a couple years ago he
Speaker 1: had a down tick and then he rebound and a
Speaker 1: lot of people were kind of pissed off that they
Speaker 1: traded him. So it's gonna be a very interesting make
Speaker 1: or break. I think April May April May is gonna
Speaker 1: termin a lot from the Bellinger value. But it's great
Speaker 1: to see all these people here. It's great to see
Speaker 1: everybody live with us today. Let's move on to the
Speaker 1: next topic here, and obviously we're gonna do our little
Speaker 1: fun today. In baseball nineteen eighty four, Tiger's right hander
Speaker 1: Jack Morris no hits the White Sox for nothing at
Speaker 1: Comiskey Park, walking six guys and striking out eight is
Speaker 1: at quintal censure, quintessential Jack Morris line right. I love
Speaker 1: Jack Morris, eighties pitcher, fantastic mustache. Welsh was too young,
Speaker 1: he doesn't remember Jackmarr. He you remember Jack Morris as
Speaker 1: the twins? What was it eighty four? You said eighty four?
Speaker 2: I was one. I was one years old. You don't
Speaker 2: remember that, No, I doubt that reminds me. That's it's
Speaker 2: a very Edwin Jackson like no hitter where I remember
Speaker 2: Edwin Jackson. The diamonbacks was like one hundred and thirty pitches,
Speaker 2: like eight walks and whatever strikeouts, and then it's like
Speaker 2: when it got a no hitter, it's like the least
Speaker 2: exciting no hitter on the planet. That's that good old
Speaker 2: eighties no hitter.
Speaker 1: Good old eighties no hitter. Now look today, obviously we've
Speaker 1: got some fun games out there. We know some games
Speaker 1: have already been moved in terms of time. We know
Speaker 1: some games have already been moved a whole other day
Speaker 1: because of the rain.
Speaker 2: There's a solution for that. Wouldn't be awesome if baseball
Speaker 2: could figure out. What do you think a solution would
Speaker 2: be if you were the commissioner. I know this is
Speaker 2: a crazy thought. I don't know what we would do,
Speaker 2: but like, what would you do to fix this problem?
Speaker 2: I know it's really difficult what.
Speaker 1: To to have baseball in, oh, like home stadiums, or
Speaker 1: just to open in warm weather places you would close.
Speaker 2: You'd have like roofs and stuff for weather. That's a
Speaker 2: crazy that's a crazy, crazy innovative idea. Oh you mean
Speaker 2: like the big stadiums that they spend billions of dollars
Speaker 2: for right now, just put a roof billion to put
Speaker 2: a roof on that.
Speaker 1: Bet that's another.
Speaker 2: Charge it to the public.
Speaker 1: Start the teams on the East coast, on the West coast.
Speaker 1: You don't have to worry about this stuff. Get that
Speaker 1: out of the way early. Those trips. I that's I
Speaker 1: don't know, I don't know why they don't do this,
Speaker 1: but anyway, regardless, so even though today we don't have
Speaker 1: a lot of baseball to report on, that'll be tomorrow.
Speaker 1: We'll have our you know, our heroes for the stat sheet,
Speaker 1: We'll have our zeros for the stat sheet, and we
Speaker 1: will do home run calls later in the show as
Speaker 1: we teased. But we are going to talk some prop
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Speaker 1: and because we did so much, Chris, that's right, we
Speaker 1: got the crown up there now because we love the
Speaker 1: King of Sportsbooks so much. Let's talk about what we
Speaker 1: have over at Betting Pros. Was that prop bet cheat sheet.
Speaker 1: I pulled up some of the top things today to
Speaker 1: discuss the three top pitcher props, the three top hitter
Speaker 1: props that were out there, and what we have at
Speaker 1: Betting Pros. On that side, there's a thing called the
Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet. It takes all the fantasy projections
Speaker 1: and matches them up to the lines and tells you
Speaker 1: where the biggest variance is and says basically, hey, go
Speaker 1: bet this, you can win some money. So today we
Speaker 1: have show hey Otani the k prop right now for
Speaker 1: him as a pretty big variance, and I think that's
Speaker 1: something to pay attention to. Right now he's projected at
Speaker 1: six point nine to nine. That's a difference in terms
Speaker 1: of the projection of over two and a half from
Speaker 1: what the prop is set, So that is something you
Speaker 1: go bet at BENMGM right now. You can also look
Speaker 1: at Shane Bieber, who has got six and a half
Speaker 1: on that number, and he is projected for eight and
Speaker 1: a half. Part of me, Otani's got a four and
Speaker 1: a half k prop line, which is really low. I
Speaker 1: would jump in on that one for sure. Shane Bieber
Speaker 1: is at six and a half, projection has him at
Speaker 1: eight point three, and then fran Ber Valdez is set
Speaker 1: at four and a half and he's at six point
Speaker 1: three six today against the Angels. So of these three,
Speaker 1: which one six out t you like the Otani prop,
Speaker 1: you like the Biber, or you like the Valdez. That
Speaker 1: to me, the Otani one really pops.
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I had a couple of things here. The
Speaker 2: Otani one is really really enticing with Astro's ability to
Speaker 2: strike out and only at four and a half. The
Speaker 2: thing that could be Ricky is Otani can sometimes fall
Speaker 2: apart a little bit. They might not want him to
Speaker 2: go deep deep into games early on. So if I
Speaker 2: had to pick one of those, I'd actually probably go
Speaker 2: with the Bieber one at six and a half. But
Speaker 2: Joe I will tell you it's funny that you pick
Speaker 2: these three because number four on the list I have
Speaker 2: already bet. I bet this one yesterday, which way, and
Speaker 2: Tyler Molly at four and a half strikeouts, it's around
Speaker 2: mind I think I got a mindus one thirty five.
Speaker 2: They're projected at six and he's up against the braves
Speaker 2: and those free swinging braves.
Speaker 1: I love this marker.
Speaker 2: Tyler Marley's been striking out guys at an over nine
Speaker 2: k nine strikeouts per nine clip all spring training, and
Speaker 2: this is a really low number for it. Just a
Speaker 2: sneaky good pitcher that put out there. So of your guys,
Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna go Bieber, even though Otani is the
Speaker 2: sexiest number. But go down one more and I have
Speaker 2: personally already put down. I have four bets on the
Speaker 2: table for today, and Tyler Molly strikeout prop is one
Speaker 2: of them.
Speaker 1: Uh man looking. Even if Atani only throws five innings,
Speaker 1: I can't imagine I'm not getting five strikeouts of those
Speaker 1: five innings. So the four and a half number, to me,
Speaker 1: is my favorite one. I like that Wonkeye Penguin says
Speaker 1: it's a taxpayer in Minnesota. I'd kicking another billion for
Speaker 1: a retractable roof. Also, doctor Glenn thinks I should grow
Speaker 1: an eighties picture bustache like Jack Morris.
Speaker 2: So oh, I think that is a fantastic idea I
Speaker 2: would love. Yeah, I don't know.
Speaker 1: I think it would be very off putting for my
Speaker 1: children would not to care for that. You know, I've
Speaker 1: never seen my father without a mustache my entire life.
Speaker 1: He's had a mustache. He's like Tom Selleck. Actually not
Speaker 1: I even like Tom Selli because Tom Selick shaved his
Speaker 1: mustache for a period. Never see my father without even
Speaker 1: know if you've got a nupper lip.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I think the girls would probably love it.
Speaker 1: I Jack Morris one, Yeah.
Speaker 2: I mean I see, Okay, I'm just saying, like, maybe,
Speaker 2: starting right now, shave all of that rock the mustache.
Speaker 2: I would try it, but my facial hair grows in
Speaker 2: all crappy and my wife would literally kick me out
Speaker 2: of the house. Like this is gonna go like tomorrow
Speaker 2: or Monday, you'll see a different version of Welsh.
Speaker 1: Pickles says that that mustache would be very off putting,
Speaker 1: So Pickles does not want to see that. You know what,
Speaker 1: I know, the penuts and the cracker jacks love the
Speaker 1: and those are our our fans of the show. I
Speaker 1: know they love the photoshop. So please take a picture
Speaker 1: of Joey p Jack Morris mustache. Let me at least
Speaker 1: preview it. Well, you know they have those Snapchat filters
Speaker 1: now where you can see what you would look like
Speaker 1: if you look. Yeah, you know what I look like
Speaker 1: with the Jack Morris mustache. That's that's what I want
Speaker 1: to see. All right. Let's move on to the hitter
Speaker 1: props today. Juan Soto for total basis at bet MGM
Speaker 1: is at one and a half. The projection for him
Speaker 1: is two point eight. Andrew benin Tendi has an interesting
Speaker 1: one too. It's just at point five zero and the
Speaker 1: projection for him is at one point eighty three. And
Speaker 1: then Mark Conna also at this was at DraftKings. This
Speaker 1: one was at one point seven to six projection, but
Speaker 1: just point five. So to me, that one soda one
Speaker 1: at one and a half. Yeah, it's a little higher
Speaker 1: the total bases, but man, it's one soda. Taylor mcguil
Speaker 1: or Tyler or the Conquerors, I like to cool plain
Speaker 1: me you're on the show. He's gonna be pitching for
Speaker 1: the Mets. So what do you think about this one here?
Speaker 1: The one soda one? You like the bet at ten
Speaker 1: d one from bet MGM.
Speaker 2: We like the mar Kana one well, and I've got
Speaker 2: one extra one one that I actually also bet.
Speaker 1: But I really like this special.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like this one. It is a well special. Uh,
Speaker 2: this one soda one actually really stands out to me
Speaker 2: when you go over to the cheat sheet on betting pros.
Speaker 2: I did peruse it yesterday. I hadn't pruised it earlier
Speaker 2: this morning before the show, but now that it's all
Speaker 2: filled out with the projections, But I really like that.
Speaker 2: And that one and a half over on total bases
Speaker 2: pays plus money. It's plus one thirty five and you're
Speaker 2: getting walks, you're getting hits one double and he's hit
Speaker 2: this against a guy like Tyler McGill. I love that
Speaker 2: one Soda one. I think I might solo bet that
Speaker 2: just because of the odds. The one that I already
Speaker 2: put down, it's it's actually not on this list here,
Speaker 2: but it's Nolan Aernadot total bases and it's kind of funny.
Speaker 1: I saw that one.
Speaker 2: Yeah, up against brew Baker. He has twelve plate appearances.
Speaker 2: He has eleven total at bats because he has one walk,
Speaker 2: he has one homer, but he has four doubles versus
Speaker 2: the guy, so he hits over four hundred versus brew Baker.
Speaker 2: Every single one of them are extra base hits. I
Speaker 2: took Nolan Aernadou plus one and a half total bases
Speaker 2: as a bet that I actually parlayed with Katel Marte
Speaker 2: to have a hit. So I put those two together
Speaker 2: and I will probably jump in on this one Sodo
Speaker 2: one as well, because I think the cheat sheet makes
Speaker 2: that one really really pop. And I like the total bait.
Speaker 2: The hit markers, fun homers is sexy, but total bases.
Speaker 2: You cover your bases in a lot of different places
Speaker 2: and like a you know a patient hitter that can
Speaker 2: draw walks like Juan Soto, he could have two walks
Speaker 2: and you've hit this, You've hit this as well. So
Speaker 2: I really like that one.
Speaker 1: I like this year from our piazza. Cracker Jacks Go,
Speaker 1: says Ben Attende owns Bieber five sixty three, five eighty eight,
Speaker 1: one thousand ops for his career against Bieber. So interesting
Speaker 1: little tidbit there. See, Look, we don't have to do
Speaker 1: research for the show because we've got our audience to
Speaker 1: do it for us, which is great. I'm all for that.
Speaker 1: And again just clearing, the name is Tylor Tylor mcgil
Speaker 1: Tylor the Terrible because that's why his parents named him.
Speaker 1: So yeah, So those are all some fun prop bets
Speaker 1: out there that you can bet right now. Bet MGM
Speaker 1: and if you sign up, use that promo code leading
Speaker 1: off again because that's our sponsor. We want to give
Speaker 1: them some love. So let's move along and let's talk
Speaker 1: a little bit about the DFS slate. Today. You have
Speaker 1: Adam Wainwright taking the mound. I want to talk about
Speaker 1: draft Kings first. It's seven and a half. I think
Speaker 1: that's a pretty good value against the Pirates. Wainwright coming
Speaker 1: off honestly a good year and a half of pitching
Speaker 1: man waiting for the shoe to drop because he's one
Speaker 1: hundred and seventy four years old. But until it does,
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna keep going to this. Well when he's
Speaker 1: a cheap secondary arm, you know, Bieber at the top
Speaker 1: of eight point three, I think you can always go there.
Speaker 1: Certainly some strikeouts that we had in that Royals lineup
Speaker 1: we know, and then it comes to two guys where
Speaker 1: think are grossly or should I say, strangely priced, maybe
Speaker 1: the wonder price Robbie raised under price at six point
Speaker 1: three today out the twins. But well, right that that
Speaker 1: one's not on. But Patrick Corbin at six point seven, Yeah,
Speaker 1: is the one I want to talk about because he
Speaker 1: had a spectacular spring, zero point eight to eight whip,
Speaker 1: ten strikeouts, He gave up one home run but only
Speaker 1: two walks in the nine innings that he had. So
Speaker 1: this is the Patrick Corbyn we saw a couple of
Speaker 1: years ago in Washington, the Patrick Corban we saw a
Speaker 1: few years ago even before that in Arizona. If Patrick
Speaker 1: Corbyn is back, is he gonna be this year's potential
Speaker 1: Carlos Rodan, that guy that people just plucked off the
Speaker 1: waiver wire or drafted with their last pick that really
Speaker 1: could have a huge impact on fantasy leagues?
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, it'll be mine. Specifically, I have all
Speaker 2: the shares of Patrick Corbyn. The only difference is is
Speaker 2: like I always feel like he's limited because he's just
Speaker 2: like such a two pitch pitcher. You know, He's just
Speaker 2: one of those guys like you know, redon go and
Speaker 2: look and you're just like, oh man, the stuff it's
Speaker 2: really coming together. Corbyn's just always limited. Like those two pitches,
Speaker 2: they have to be going elite, like a slider's got
Speaker 2: to be elite to set up the fastball. But to
Speaker 2: your point, though, what you're saying, is he going to
Speaker 2: be the guy that is going to be like a
Speaker 2: league winner? Like sure, because he was free, you know
Speaker 2: he might be on the wire for people, or you
Speaker 2: know you took him at the back end of every
Speaker 2: draft like I did.
Speaker 1: I literally have.
Speaker 2: He's one of my highest shared players this year in
Speaker 2: pure speculation because he's cheap. I don't know if i'd
Speaker 2: want to throw him out today, but it's a really
Speaker 2: good price. I'd be curious with Tyler Molly actually is
Speaker 2: as well. I just keep throwing that one back out.
Speaker 2: With the strikeout numbers. Tyler Molly, Shane Bieber, those would
Speaker 2: the two I might be focused on.
Speaker 1: As Molly going against Max Freed, I think that's an
Speaker 1: oppo torment play at seven point seven k over on
Speaker 1: DK point, I think it's more of an oppo play.
Speaker 2: Yes, a much better deal than I thought. Molly might
Speaker 2: be cheaper, but no, okay.
Speaker 1: No, Corbin's a thousand dollars difference and against the Mets.
Speaker 1: Why not? Why not give it a shot on the
Speaker 1: FanDuel side in cash, I would pay up for Max
Speaker 1: Freed in this one. At nine point three K, I
Speaker 1: think that Braves team at home, you know, getting to
Speaker 1: hoist the banner. I think it's gonna be a very
Speaker 1: positive day for the Braves and more to come on
Speaker 1: them later you Darvish At nine point four K, Well,
Speaker 1: she's gonna be in that building tonight with our eye.
Speaker 2: Will be there tonight. Yeah, I signup.
Speaker 1: Happened.
Speaker 2: We'll be signing autograph to all our fans that come out.
Speaker 2: We're gonna be signing autographs and taking picture. No, we'll
Speaker 2: just be going to the game. Yeah, to all of
Speaker 2: your fans. I'm so excited about. I'm an opening day
Speaker 2: in like years and years and it's Bumgardner versus Darvish.
Speaker 2: Bogman flew in from Texas. Me and him are going
Speaker 2: to be there tonight with a crew watching Katel Marte
Speaker 2: and Manny Machado. It's gonna be fantastic and they'll be
Speaker 2: videos and we'll be doing all the.
Speaker 1: Stuff for sure. So Wayne Wright also for me tracks
Speaker 1: on FanDuel end DraftKings. Wayne Wright's eight K. He allows
Speaker 1: you to do a lot again safer, you're playing more
Speaker 1: for the win there. But I think darbish against that
Speaker 1: that lineup in Arizona, that's certainly one and Maxbury, I
Speaker 1: think is a simple one. So I would play the
Speaker 1: cash today. Wayne Wright would be that one guy. If
Speaker 1: you want to go to Corman, you could do that
Speaker 1: also on FanDuel. Let's talk about game stacks today. I've
Speaker 1: got Saint Louis, San Diego and Atlanta again. I really
Speaker 1: like Atlanta today, Just gonna keep pounding the table for them.
Speaker 1: Any other stacks stand out to you well, fhmen, you're
Speaker 1: looking at the board, I.
Speaker 2: Like the San Diego stack. I think you put that
Speaker 2: on here. Like the San Diego one. Even though he's
Speaker 2: a lefty, Crona Worth has been pretty successful against Bumgarner.
Speaker 2: Bumgarner had a nice little like you know, Velocity uptick.
Speaker 2: But I've been to so many home series with the
Speaker 2: Diamondbacks where they just fall apart, so I would not
Speaker 2: be afraid to stack up on some of those padres.
Speaker 1: Now, my favorite lineup builder got canceled as you were
Speaker 1: talking about, so unfortunately Adam Fraser is not going to
Speaker 1: be available today. But on DraftKings, I want to point
Speaker 1: out that Luke Voight in the middle of that order
Speaker 1: today in that game against the Diamondbacks just three point
Speaker 1: five k. On DraftKings, I would be putting him in
Speaker 1: a lot of lineups. I like this match up here
Speaker 1: against Bumgarner for him, and the On FanDuel, I've got
Speaker 1: a lot got Bobby Witt just two point four, Delan Carlson,
Speaker 1: who I believe is leading off today, I saw a
Speaker 1: two point nine, Luke Foyd also cheap on FanDuel two
Speaker 1: point five, and Eddie Rosario with two point nine. Those
Speaker 1: are some guys that you can really use, some lineup builders,
Speaker 1: good spots in the order, lots of opportunity, you know,
Speaker 1: to score some runs to get on base. So I
Speaker 1: like those guys and some pop there too, Bobby Wit especially.
Speaker 1: You always look at those rookies early on on FanDuel especially,
Speaker 1: they really underprice them, and that's the time you want
Speaker 1: to get in on them before everybody else because the
Speaker 1: roster percentage is going to be a lot lower. All right, Welsh,
Speaker 1: I know you've given this a lot of thought. Is
Speaker 1: your first time, so we're going to be gentle with you.
Speaker 1: Tell me home run call the night is your first one.
Speaker 1: So I'm giving you the entire board because I want
Speaker 1: you to have a good experience here at leading off.
Speaker 1: So we want to start things off right. I want
Speaker 1: you to go yard tonight. I want to go yard tonight,
Speaker 1: and I want maybe one or two peanuts and cracker
Speaker 1: jacks to go yard just to make it interesting. I
Speaker 1: I want you allt to go yard.
Speaker 2: I want it, by the way, maybe because I'm new
Speaker 2: to it, and you can point out to maybe people
Speaker 2: that are not full fledged cracker jacks here, how do
Speaker 2: people enter the home runder? Like where are they entering
Speaker 2: the home run contest and how would they do?
Speaker 1: So it's funny you should mention that Welsh because you
Speaker 1: can become a pe ut in a crackerjack yourself by
Speaker 1: joining our discord channel at Fantasypros dot com slash chat
Speaker 1: and it's free to join, and we have our little
Speaker 1: channel there for the home run calls. So if you
Speaker 1: want to get on this from the ground floor. Last year,
Speaker 1: this start off as a contest just between Dan and
Speaker 1: myself and then people said, hey, we wanted a piece
Speaker 1: of this, and we ended up bringing everybody in and
Speaker 1: you know, what. It was a good time. So peanuts
Speaker 1: and cracker jacks. You want to get in and we
Speaker 1: gave out some fabulous prizes. I think too. I think
Speaker 1: this year we're gonna have some fabulous prizes as well
Speaker 1: for those who win or steal the contest away from me.
Speaker 1: However you want to phrase that, I'm not bitter, I'm not,
Speaker 1: but anyway, but anyway, the home Run contest, it's very easy.
Speaker 1: You can go in and make your call in the
Speaker 1: home run channel. There's a way to do it. There's
Speaker 1: a robot for it. It's spectacular. Mike Mayer built it
Speaker 1: in his garage. Again this at Fantasypros dot Com slash chat.
Speaker 1: Go in there, join up and enjoy the MLB podcast
Speaker 1: channel and look for the home Run channel. It's in
Speaker 1: there as well, and we can help you out on
Speaker 1: the Twitter machine. Find it if you have in trouble.
Speaker 1: But that's how you become a part of it. You
Speaker 1: want to get off to a good start. You don't
Speaker 1: want to fall behind. So get in there on day
Speaker 1: one in our discord and join that. Because football is
Speaker 1: fun and stages is fun. Welsh is having the stages.
Speaker 2: I think what tomorrow, no today, it's gonna be today
Speaker 2: at oh three Stage Eastern, so a couple hours.
Speaker 1: Where you could talk to Welsh, you could talk to
Speaker 1: Welsh live. What a beautiful thing. All right, Welsh, make
Speaker 1: your home run call Who's going yard tonight? Opening Day?
Speaker 1: All right?
Speaker 2: I know we have the whole pool and we could
Speaker 2: get sexy with all the names. But I'm gonna go
Speaker 2: back to the last episode we did and I talked
Speaker 2: about some big Bold predictions and one of my crazy
Speaker 2: nutty Bold predictions was three players We're gonna hit fifty
Speaker 2: homers this year. One of those players is the Frenimal.
Speaker 2: Fran milrayis big bomb tonight. I don't know if it'd
Speaker 2: be against Granky, might be when relief comes in, but
Speaker 2: give me fran mil rayis with the Guardians for my
Speaker 2: big fly.
Speaker 1: I like that. I like your staying on brand from
Speaker 1: yesterday's big Frenimal prediction. I like and I'm going to
Speaker 1: stay on brand too with the Atlanta Braves Freddie Freeman,
Speaker 1: who Matt Olsen goes yard today. That's right, it's a
Speaker 1: good matchup for him his first shot here as a brave.
Speaker 1: The boy goes home to his home state of Georgia.
Speaker 1: What a beautiful day to hit a home run. Give
Speaker 1: me Matt Olsen, Welsh has Franmuel Reyis who do you have?
Speaker 1: Go to the Discord channel and figure that out. Go
Speaker 1: join us at Fantasypros dot com slash chat and make
Speaker 1: your home run call today, Welsh, any final thoughts here
Speaker 1: before we close things out?
Speaker 2: Baseball's here, enjoy it. Whatever your context is going to be,
Speaker 2: make some bets. Don't go crazy with all of the bets.
Speaker 2: Maybe don't bet a whole lot of run lines. If
Speaker 2: you're going to do that, first five is your friend.
Speaker 2: That is one of the bets I've got going on today,
Speaker 2: and I'm going to be an opening day. I don't
Speaker 2: know about you, guys, I do know what all your
Speaker 2: plans are. I will be getting I will be doing
Speaker 2: the stages at three, I'm gonna don't get catch up
Speaker 2: with Bogman to watch games, and then I am going
Speaker 2: to be at Chase Field watching you Darvish and Madison Bumgarner.
Speaker 2: Just be jealous and follow me at is it the
Speaker 2: Welsh so you can see all of my tweets, and
Speaker 2: you know, maybe Bogman and I can get pictures with players.
Speaker 2: Let's try to do that, and.
Speaker 1: Look if you if you're not and you're playing in Dynasty,
Speaker 1: you should absolutely be following the Welsh too because Prospect
Speaker 1: one podcast he does or interviews all the prospects and
Speaker 1: he's got all the inside information on it is fantastic,
Speaker 1: So is it. The Welsh is the place to be.
Speaker 1: You can follow me at joe pi'sa P seventeen. We'll
Speaker 1: be back again tomorrow with actual baseball stats to recap,
Speaker 1: which is really exciting. In the meantime, we hope you
Speaker 1: enjoyed Leading Off, brought to you by bet MGM, the
Speaker 1: King of sports books. Make sure you join up losing
Speaker 1: that code leading Off when you join bet MGM. That'll
Speaker 1: do it for us. But the story of the game
Speaker 1: goes on for the Welsh. I'm Joey P. Happy opening
Speaker 1: day everybody. We'll see the next time. Kids. Yeah, baby
Speaker 1: did the