WEBVTT - SpittinSPEEDZ Week 11 Preview & #DFS 💎 0:00:00.080 --> 0:00:03.000 You are now about to witness the strength of fantasy 0:00:03.120 --> 0:00:11.680 knowledge Fantasy Sports Radio Network. You are now tuned into 0:00:11.760 --> 0:00:16.080 the Speeds and Spitting Statistician on Fantasy Freestyle up next 0:00:16.120 --> 0:00:20.640 on that cipher on the microphone. You know that I'm 0:00:20.680 --> 0:00:36.800 one of the best. Yet, Martinez, you know what it is. 0:00:36.800 --> 0:00:39.080 It's your point, Dame Martinez, a k A. Speeds a 0:00:39.200 --> 0:00:42.440 k A. To Spitting Statistician a k a. The stable 0:00:42.520 --> 0:00:46.000 Genius and vocal Minority, And welcome to another edition of 0:00:46.040 --> 0:00:49.159 the Fantasy Freestyle right here on the Sports Grid Network, 0:00:49.400 --> 0:00:53.560 episode number four hundred and seventeen. It is the four 0:00:53.680 --> 0:00:58.120 hundred and seventeen convening of the Stats Overbeat Cipher where 0:00:58.160 --> 0:01:01.920 we help you win your league and win that cash. 0:01:01.960 --> 0:01:04.280 And that's what we're gonna do, getting into week eleven 0:01:04.840 --> 0:01:09.960 of the Fantasy Football season, the NFL season, the DFS season, 0:01:10.520 --> 0:01:13.040 always for you to win your leagues and win their cash. 0:01:13.040 --> 0:01:15.360 We got a good show for you as well. People 0:01:15.360 --> 0:01:17.720 already worrying about what's gonna happen three shows from now, 0:01:18.480 --> 0:01:21.560 I got you don't worry about that alright, Episode four seventeen. 0:01:21.760 --> 0:01:24.440 To be quite honest, Episode four seventeen to a guy 0:01:24.480 --> 0:01:29.119 whose birthday is April seventeen, is also very very exciting. 0:01:29.120 --> 0:01:31.200 But in any event, here's what we're gonna get through 0:01:31.600 --> 0:01:34.400 to day like we usually Joe, Okay, we will talk 0:01:34.440 --> 0:01:36.920 about in week eleven. I'll give you the news and notes, 0:01:37.000 --> 0:01:39.520 the updates, the injuries, everything you need to know about 0:01:39.840 --> 0:01:42.920 going into week eleven in terms from a health perspective. 0:01:43.040 --> 0:01:45.520 Right then we will look in week eleven, we'll look 0:01:45.520 --> 0:01:48.040 at the home dogs, We'll look at the double digit dogs. 0:01:48.160 --> 0:01:50.120 We'll see if any of those are diamonds to bet 0:01:50.120 --> 0:01:52.720 with or a little fool gazzy to forget about. Then 0:01:53.080 --> 0:01:56.720 we will talk DFS. Okay, there's some interesting nuggets out there, 0:01:56.800 --> 0:01:59.920 some players that I like, some people I am paying 0:02:00.280 --> 0:02:02.320 up for this week, and then I'll tell you where 0:02:02.360 --> 0:02:05.280 the bargains are, uh for you don't know, hit a 0:02:05.280 --> 0:02:07.840 little bit of DFS cast. As we go into the weekend, 0:02:08.080 --> 0:02:10.919 we will preview Thursday Night Football and we will put 0:02:10.919 --> 0:02:13.920 the fun and functional sports content the entire time. I 0:02:13.960 --> 0:02:16.160 got a video from Danny Lee. He sent me to 0:02:16.280 --> 0:02:18.960 thank everybody for, you know, the kind of kind words 0:02:18.960 --> 0:02:20.680 out there in the chat room that we did on 0:02:20.720 --> 0:02:23.520 Monday on Veterans Day, we gotta check in on Game 0:02:23.560 --> 0:02:27.639 of Inches, and I tell you, guys, we got two 0:02:27.639 --> 0:02:31.239 real contenders. Okay, I have two contenders for Game of Inches. 0:02:31.280 --> 0:02:33.600 We'll let Danny decide if any of them are at 0:02:33.600 --> 0:02:35.920 the level of our finalists, and then uh, you know, 0:02:35.960 --> 0:02:38.120 we will check in on the stats over Beats league. Okay, 0:02:38.160 --> 0:02:40.960 there are two dominant teams in the league. But I 0:02:40.960 --> 0:02:44.320 will also say there's a big middle right there in 0:02:44.360 --> 0:02:47.200 the playoffs, and there's some interesting matchups in week eleven, 0:02:47.480 --> 0:02:50.320 so we'll get into that as well. I gotta pull 0:02:50.440 --> 0:02:53.440 question up. There's a lot of low totals in week eleven. Okay, 0:02:53.720 --> 0:02:57.120 Bill's Dolphins, Broncos, Vikings, Bears, Rams, and then of course 0:02:57.160 --> 0:02:58.679 the j E. T S Jes Jets Jets in the 0:02:58.720 --> 0:03:01.880 Washington football team. All of these games are like forty 0:03:01.919 --> 0:03:04.720 and a half or lower on the total. All right, 0:03:04.760 --> 0:03:06.560 So I want to know which game do you think 0:03:06.639 --> 0:03:10.720 deserves to be that low total and we'll talk about 0:03:10.760 --> 0:03:13.040 that as well. Let's get into it. Listen, here are 0:03:13.080 --> 0:03:15.600 the guys you need to know. Remember I say it 0:03:15.639 --> 0:03:17.760 every week. You gotta see how they're trending. Are they 0:03:17.800 --> 0:03:22.040 going from d NP too limited to full or are 0:03:22.080 --> 0:03:26.840 they regressing in the other direction. For example, like David Montgomery. Okay, 0:03:26.880 --> 0:03:29.560 he rolled his ankle. It looks like in Wednesday's practice 0:03:29.800 --> 0:03:32.639 and he's d NP today. Okay, so keep an eye 0:03:32.639 --> 0:03:35.640 out on Montgomery. If it's not him, Remember Mike Davis 0:03:35.680 --> 0:03:38.520 isn't there anymore. Okay, this would be all to re 0:03:38.720 --> 0:03:41.600 Cohen can handle. So that's a very interesting thing to 0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:44.000 keep an eye on. If Montgomery can't go, Trek Cohen 0:03:44.320 --> 0:03:47.960 left and right. Um, Remember they were talking Tyler Lockett 0:03:48.280 --> 0:03:51.280 was in like the hospital, remember, but now they're saying 0:03:51.680 --> 0:03:53.400 he might not miss games. He's gonna be good to go. 0:03:53.440 --> 0:03:55.280 He's out of the hospital. So it's amazing how these 0:03:55.280 --> 0:03:58.320 football players can make you pop off. Chris Herndon has 0:03:58.360 --> 0:04:01.240 been sent to i R with the ribs um. Drew 0:04:01.400 --> 0:04:04.160 lock is back at practice. And this is interesting because 0:04:04.200 --> 0:04:06.440 remember what the the i R. He's now back. They 0:04:06.520 --> 0:04:09.040 want to see him. Okay, he's gonna get starts. What 0:04:09.080 --> 0:04:11.880 does that mean for a guy like Courtland Sutton in 0:04:12.000 --> 0:04:15.520 the fantasy playoffs if he's breaking in a new rookie quarterback. 0:04:15.600 --> 0:04:18.160 Something to look at. Okay, if you are one of 0:04:18.200 --> 0:04:20.720 these teams that are you know, oh, I don't know, 0:04:20.760 --> 0:04:22.640 like Jilly Dilley and John g and you're hapy to 0:04:22.640 --> 0:04:25.279 be like nine and one or if you are profiling 0:04:25.320 --> 0:04:27.680 to get to a buy, it's time to start thinking 0:04:27.720 --> 0:04:29.920 about what's gonna happen in those weeks that get We 0:04:30.040 --> 0:04:34.000 talked about some defensive matchups, but also these things in 0:04:34.040 --> 0:04:38.560 the future. Right. I talk about running backs ascending over time? Right, 0:04:38.720 --> 0:04:40.240 So what does that mean for the back that you 0:04:40.320 --> 0:04:43.080 started the season with? Right? I talked about how some 0:04:43.120 --> 0:04:44.680 of these guys like you know, as you guys know 0:04:44.720 --> 0:04:46.760 I've been talking about, like say the Ryan Finley one. Right, 0:04:47.480 --> 0:04:51.200 what does that mean Tyler Boyd in the playoffs? What 0:04:51.279 --> 0:04:53.120 does that mean for Joe Mixon in the playoffs? I 0:04:53.120 --> 0:04:54.760 think it means different things for both of them, to 0:04:54.800 --> 0:04:56.680 be quite honest. And it's better for Joe Mixon if 0:04:56.720 --> 0:05:00.159 you saw his usage change last week, right, Um. But 0:05:00.400 --> 0:05:03.120 another example would be if they go to Drew Lock 0:05:03.200 --> 0:05:05.480 in Denver, which I believe they will do because they 0:05:05.480 --> 0:05:07.960 gotta learn about the kid. Right. What does that then 0:05:08.040 --> 0:05:10.160 mean for a guy like Courtland Sutton in terms of 0:05:10.200 --> 0:05:13.400 the amount of targets, he gets how quality those targets are, 0:05:13.720 --> 0:05:16.080 and that's when you need him in the fantasy playoffs, 0:05:16.080 --> 0:05:18.280 So keep an eye on the thing. Guys like that. Also, 0:05:18.279 --> 0:05:21.440 the San Francisco forty Niners are veritable mash unit right now. 0:05:21.720 --> 0:05:24.320 Matt Brita all right with an ankle. They say he 0:05:24.400 --> 0:05:27.480 may miss games. Uh, Manny Sanders is gonna be They 0:05:27.480 --> 0:05:29.760 think a game time decision with the ribs that he injured. 0:05:29.920 --> 0:05:33.520 They're hopeful on George Kittle and then Joe Staley, who 0:05:33.520 --> 0:05:36.240 was the offensive tackle, the lineman that was out a 0:05:36.240 --> 0:05:38.080 few games, came back everyone thought would be a big 0:05:38.080 --> 0:05:40.680 boost to their running game. Well he's out again. Okay, 0:05:40.680 --> 0:05:42.440 it looks like he broke his thumb. He's gonna miss 0:05:42.440 --> 0:05:45.080 some time. Watch what that means for the San Francisco 0:05:45.120 --> 0:05:48.239 Arizona game. That is one of the double digit totals. 0:05:48.240 --> 0:05:50.520 Excuse me, one of the double digit spreads that we 0:05:50.560 --> 0:05:52.960 will be talking about a little while. Uh. In the 0:05:53.000 --> 0:05:58.039 next segment, Ty Johnson did in fact practice. Um, he's 0:05:58.040 --> 0:06:00.839 in the concussion protocol. Still, we believe him being on 0:06:00.880 --> 0:06:02.880 the field, even in some kind of you know, workout 0:06:02.960 --> 0:06:05.320 or walk through or limited capacity, is a good sign. 0:06:05.760 --> 0:06:08.280 I still think that, you know, concussions are usually a 0:06:08.320 --> 0:06:09.840 week long injury. I don't know that they're gonna run 0:06:09.880 --> 0:06:11.720 him back out, and even if they do, I still 0:06:11.760 --> 0:06:13.560 told you in the Monday Show, I like J D 0:06:13.720 --> 0:06:17.839 mckissic in that backfield as kind of the more dynamic option, 0:06:17.920 --> 0:06:20.200 the PPR option, if you want to know the truth, 0:06:20.360 --> 0:06:22.680 Austin Hooper us with that spraying m c l. They're 0:06:22.680 --> 0:06:25.599 now calling him week to week, so keep an eye 0:06:25.600 --> 0:06:27.560 out on that. But I want to tell you, you you 0:06:27.600 --> 0:06:29.720 know we were talking about Monday. I was on Monday. 0:06:30.160 --> 0:06:33.120 Monday was an incredible, incredible game. But I don't know. 0:06:33.200 --> 0:06:36.200 Did you catch this guy's as we went to overtime 0:06:37.400 --> 0:06:39.880 that Seattle was kind of in a position where they 0:06:39.920 --> 0:06:41.640 were gonna be good to go either way. Did you 0:06:41.680 --> 0:06:45.680 see Geno Smith on the coin toss? Listen carefully, Danny 0:06:45.720 --> 0:06:49.279 play the video and listen carefully to what Geno Smith 0:06:49.360 --> 0:06:53.440 calls and then to uh what the referee says. Check 0:06:53.480 --> 0:07:01.440 it out. Listen carefully, go ahead, Danny played the club. Nope, 0:07:01.839 --> 0:07:04.159 rewind that Danny called from the beginning, from the very beginning, 0:07:04.160 --> 0:07:06.800 because you gotta hear Geno Smith. He calls tales, he 0:07:06.880 --> 0:07:10.320 calls tales, and then he's like to call his heads, No, 0:07:10.440 --> 0:07:13.400 it ain't. Look at Geno Smith. He's like, then, all right, 0:07:13.440 --> 0:07:15.920 I'm gonna go with it because he knew either way, right, 0:07:15.960 --> 0:07:18.160 if he lost the toss, he could be like na na, na, 0:07:18.920 --> 0:07:21.640 I called tales. But if he won the toss, he's like, 0:07:21.680 --> 0:07:24.080 all right, cool, I'm out, we got the ball, all right, cool? 0:07:24.320 --> 0:07:25.960 You know. So he was in a win win situation, 0:07:26.000 --> 0:07:29.720 and ultimately Seattle Seahawks did win that field goal winning kick. 0:07:30.360 --> 0:07:33.360 It hurt one of our good friends friends of the show, 0:07:33.840 --> 0:07:36.320 really badly. We'll show you a little bit later in 0:07:36.360 --> 0:07:39.120 hashtag Game of Inches when we come back home Dogs, 0:07:39.160 --> 0:07:42.360 double digit Dogs, and a lot more. It's Fantasy Freestyle 0:07:42.360 --> 0:07:45.160 episode four hundred and seventeen, and your questions as well. 0:07:45.400 --> 0:07:47.320 You know what it is, y'all to sabe dilly dilly 0:07:47.360 --> 0:07:49.520 to the crew, come on back. Fantasy Free style card. 0:07:52.640 --> 0:07:55.120 NFL season is noltna so you can be on the 0:07:55.160 --> 0:07:58.080 eighth person to win one million dollars in a fanduelor 0:07:58.120 --> 0:08:00.880 Draft Kings tournament. My Sager lineup using the Daily Order 0:08:00.960 --> 0:08:03.880 dot Com DFS line of optimizer. If you're playing Dailey 0:08:03.920 --> 0:08:06.760 Fantasy Sports and not using Daily Order dot Com, you're 0:08:06.800 --> 0:08:09.400 doing they're wrong. Sign it now for the NFL Access 0:08:09.440 --> 0:08:13.160 with a faster optimizer, smarter DFS projections, and better results 0:08:13.360 --> 0:08:16.160 into promo code action first hender cent discount. And that's 0:08:16.200 --> 0:08:19.360 promo code action, first hand percent discount, jail order dot 0:08:19.400 --> 0:08:42.400 com where millionaires are made. Welcome back, live your life, 0:08:42.600 --> 0:08:46.120 says t. I. Right here, it's been Statistician episode four 0:08:46.200 --> 0:08:49.880 hundred and seventeen of The Fantasy Freestyle where the stats 0:08:49.880 --> 0:08:52.960 over beats Cipher convenes to win their leagues and win 0:08:53.360 --> 0:08:56.760 that cash. Jennifer Henderson, we share a sign how a 0:08:56.760 --> 0:08:59.719 few days away. I like that, Jeremy, just keep both 0:08:59.720 --> 0:09:02.440 hands on the wheel, brother Man, okay, Rod and Dirty Sure, 0:09:02.679 --> 0:09:05.240 and then Ben. The two that I would pick of 0:09:05.280 --> 0:09:08.040 those are give me Damien Williams. I think he's kind 0:09:08.040 --> 0:09:10.400 of ascended over Shady McCoy because of that fumble he 0:09:10.480 --> 0:09:13.840 had a few weeks back. And also it's gonna sound silly, Ben, 0:09:13.840 --> 0:09:16.439 but give me Brian Hill. All right. If there is 0:09:16.480 --> 0:09:19.120 no Devonte Freeman this week, then Brian Hill is gonna 0:09:19.120 --> 0:09:21.360 get all he can handle. And I'm okay with that. 0:09:21.520 --> 0:09:22.920 Keep an eye out. One of the other guys you 0:09:23.000 --> 0:09:26.240 mentioned in there is banged up. Uh, I gotta go 0:09:26.280 --> 0:09:29.000 back and check and see who it is. But um, 0:09:29.040 --> 0:09:32.400 I would go with Damien Williams and Brian Hill. Remember 0:09:32.360 --> 0:09:34.880 to hit me up in the chat room with any questions. 0:09:34.880 --> 0:09:36.520 I try to answer them. And at the end of 0:09:36.559 --> 0:09:38.280 the show, in our last segment, we'll open up the 0:09:38.280 --> 0:09:39.920 phone lines if you want to speak directly to the 0:09:39.960 --> 0:09:43.280 spitting statistician and get on the fantasy freestyle. Could call 0:09:43.440 --> 0:09:47.000 a four four, three, six, eight, seven nine. You know what, 0:09:47.080 --> 0:09:49.240 Jennifer Henderson aries, but you're like on the Cusp girl, 0:09:49.400 --> 0:09:53.000 But yeah, aries represent um all right. Also, before we 0:09:53.040 --> 0:09:55.880 get into the Home Dogs, real quick, listen, Alan Kaepernick 0:09:55.960 --> 0:09:59.679 is trying out Saturday in Atlanta, and um, I'm of 0:09:59.760 --> 0:10:01.840 more sable minds of this. Okay, Yeah, it's great that 0:10:01.840 --> 0:10:03.640 it's happening. I don't know that it's really a fair 0:10:03.640 --> 0:10:06.000 shake though, because it's happening on a Saturday. Like head 0:10:06.000 --> 0:10:09.000 coaches gms, they're like in other cities where their teams are. 0:10:09.400 --> 0:10:11.360 I wonder they got the list of the teams that 0:10:11.360 --> 0:10:12.959 are gonna show up. But I don't care about the 0:10:13.000 --> 0:10:14.680 list of teams that are gonna show up because if 0:10:14.679 --> 0:10:17.080 any team had a real interest in him, and it 0:10:17.120 --> 0:10:20.439 wasn't this contrived media thing. You know what they could 0:10:20.440 --> 0:10:22.800 have done last week or the week before, whenever they 0:10:22.840 --> 0:10:25.800 knew they had interest in them. They could have called 0:10:25.880 --> 0:10:28.040 Caps people and been like, Yo, come on in, we 0:10:28.080 --> 0:10:31.360 want to work you out. It's not that difficult here. 0:10:31.400 --> 0:10:33.520 Now though they're calling the NFL to say they'll be 0:10:33.520 --> 0:10:37.160 present at this NFL thing, I don't know. It still 0:10:37.160 --> 0:10:39.560 seems like it's not completely above board. It seems to 0:10:39.640 --> 0:10:42.160 me like the NFL is just doting eyes crossing tes 0:10:42.200 --> 0:10:45.400 c y A from whatever settlement they had. Now, I've 0:10:45.440 --> 0:10:48.280 been before on this, like, oh my god, Colin Kaepernick, yeah, 0:10:48.360 --> 0:10:51.920 you know, and listen, I still believe that he's probably 0:10:51.960 --> 0:10:53.640 one of the best sixty four or god damn it, 0:10:53.720 --> 0:10:56.440 the nineties best quarterbacks on the planet. Right and when 0:10:56.480 --> 0:10:58.040 you think about the number of teams that have gone 0:10:58.040 --> 0:11:01.080 to their third string quarterback, right, and now this will 0:11:01.080 --> 0:11:03.040 have to this will force teams to justify because he's 0:11:03.040 --> 0:11:06.440 gonna try out, he's gonna put stuff on tape. Okay, So, 0:11:06.679 --> 0:11:10.600 for example, the Denver Broncos moving forward would have to 0:11:10.600 --> 0:11:16.120 be like, why Brandon Allen over this? Why Luke Falk 0:11:16.559 --> 0:11:20.720 Delvin Hodges over this. If he puts something on tape 0:11:20.720 --> 0:11:22.400 and does look like he's in shape, like he's ready 0:11:22.400 --> 0:11:25.000 and could help a team. But at the same time, 0:11:26.040 --> 0:11:28.520 it's week eleven. So what are you gonna do? Sign 0:11:28.520 --> 0:11:33.000 a backup quarterback in week thirteen and invite you know 0:11:33.040 --> 0:11:34.640 the pr and all the stuff that will come with it, 0:11:34.679 --> 0:11:36.439 but you know all the drama that will come with it. 0:11:37.240 --> 0:11:38.720 I don't know that any team is going to do that, 0:11:39.240 --> 0:11:43.760 nor do I necessarily hate that any team wouldn't do that. Right, 0:11:44.440 --> 0:11:46.680 The best thing that can happen is he shows that 0:11:46.679 --> 0:11:49.040 he can still play, and it stays in the narrative, 0:11:49.120 --> 0:11:51.440 and then somebody in the off season wants to give 0:11:51.520 --> 0:11:52.960 him a chance. I think it'll be very hard him 0:11:52.960 --> 0:11:55.319 to come in week twelve or thirteen for a team 0:11:55.360 --> 0:11:57.400 as a backup, with all the circus that would come 0:11:57.400 --> 0:12:00.480 with it. Um. But what I will also say is 0:12:00.520 --> 0:12:02.880 that Cap just turned thirty two years old, alright, he 0:12:02.880 --> 0:12:05.640 hasn't played in three years. Do I think he's still 0:12:05.679 --> 0:12:08.320 one of the best six quarterbacks on planet Earth? Probably? 0:12:08.880 --> 0:12:12.280 All right? But this still seems fishy to me. All right, 0:12:12.320 --> 0:12:13.839 So we'll see what happens and we'll see what the 0:12:13.840 --> 0:12:15.480 workout looks like. But in any event, let's talk about 0:12:15.480 --> 0:12:19.000 real football that's definitely gonna happen. There are four I 0:12:19.040 --> 0:12:23.160 believe home dogs this week, and I'll give you my 0:12:23.200 --> 0:12:25.360 feeling on all of them. And then there are three 0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:28.760 I believe double double digit favorites this week and we'll 0:12:28.760 --> 0:12:31.920 talk about those. So first things first, the Miami Dolphins 0:12:31.960 --> 0:12:34.520 are at home and they are getting six or six 0:12:34.559 --> 0:12:37.720 and a half points at home against Buffalo. Now here's 0:12:37.760 --> 0:12:40.800 the thing. Remember when they played in Buffalo, it was 0:12:40.840 --> 0:12:44.640 not a blowout. The other thing I'll say is Ryan 0:12:44.679 --> 0:12:48.679 Fitzpatrick is far better than Josh Rosen. The Ryan Fitzpatrick 0:12:48.920 --> 0:12:53.640 Lad Dolphins have covered five games in a row. You're 0:12:53.679 --> 0:12:57.120 like a covering machine against the spread. And I don't 0:12:57.160 --> 0:13:01.760 know that the Josh Allen Buffalo Bills lad offense is 0:13:01.800 --> 0:13:06.480 going to put up enough points not to beat the Dolphins, 0:13:07.000 --> 0:13:09.160 but to cover and get that working margin. And that's 0:13:09.160 --> 0:13:10.600 what I say all the time. When there's a big 0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:13.760 spread and a low total. It's like if Buffalo, if 0:13:13.800 --> 0:13:15.320 they're telling you, because I think the spread is like 0:13:15.320 --> 0:13:17.880 forty and a half, what they're telling you in essence 0:13:17.920 --> 0:13:22.240 is that Buffalo is gonna win this game. What is 0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:25.719 what they're saying? Right? So that means they have to 0:13:25.760 --> 0:13:27.160 get to twenty four and I don't know if the 0:13:27.160 --> 0:13:29.400 Bills do that. Maybe the Bills can get to twenty. 0:13:29.600 --> 0:13:31.800 But in that scenario, I think the Dolphins can get 0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:35.520 to fourteen with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center. Give me the points. 0:13:35.520 --> 0:13:37.200 But you know, I've been kind of backing Miami in 0:13:37.240 --> 0:13:39.839 these spots, right, I'll take my Miami with the six 0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:41.800 and a half points. Another one that I find interesting 0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:45.200 is Tampa Bay getting five against New Orleans. I'm gonna 0:13:45.200 --> 0:13:47.240 tell you the truth. I'm staying away from this one. 0:13:48.040 --> 0:13:50.720 Do I think the Saints will bounce back and have 0:13:50.800 --> 0:13:53.199 a big effort in general after the you know, after 0:13:53.240 --> 0:13:57.319 the dog they laid at home against Atlanta last week? 0:13:57.679 --> 0:14:00.640 I think so. But what I also know is that 0:14:00.920 --> 0:14:04.400 teams going to Tampa and defecate the mattress all the time. 0:14:04.760 --> 0:14:07.240 And I could see Jamis slanging in in the backdoor 0:14:07.280 --> 0:14:10.320 cover kind of scenario, Okay, and I think Jamis will 0:14:10.360 --> 0:14:13.040 be throwing it. He'll probably make some mistakes, but I 0:14:13.040 --> 0:14:14.560 think he will be throwing it. I think this could 0:14:14.559 --> 0:14:16.760 be a back door open situation. This could be a 0:14:16.840 --> 0:14:19.640 thirty you know, this could be like a thirty seven. 0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:21.720 I think this could be just like what Tampa did, 0:14:22.240 --> 0:14:25.280 uh last week. So I'm staying away from this one. Division. 0:14:25.320 --> 0:14:27.400 It's weird to me. I ain't touching this one with 0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:32.200 a ten foot pole. Um Philly at home getting three 0:14:32.200 --> 0:14:35.360 and a half against the New England Patriots. Now I know. 0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:38.480 My thing is you don't make money betting against the Patriots, 0:14:38.480 --> 0:14:41.320 and you don't. But I'm gonna take the Eagles at 0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:43.360 home with the points in this one. Okay, remember what 0:14:43.400 --> 0:14:47.440 we've also said, even the Patriots themselves, Tom Brady up 0:14:47.480 --> 0:14:49.520 the podium and saying, listen, the offense isn't what it 0:14:49.920 --> 0:14:53.040 supposed to be. It doesn't look great. Uh, the offensive 0:14:53.080 --> 0:14:55.040 line doesn't look great. I'm still searching for weapons. They 0:14:55.080 --> 0:14:57.640 were all going out and acquiring Mohammed Sanu like he's 0:14:57.640 --> 0:15:00.920 gonna be you know the answer, right, are struggling not 0:15:00.920 --> 0:15:02.960 they're not struggling. But you know what I'm saying that 0:15:03.040 --> 0:15:08.480 they think it's not vintage offense. And the first half 0:15:08.480 --> 0:15:10.880 of that season for New England were a bunch of cupcakes. 0:15:11.320 --> 0:15:13.480 These teams are gonna get more difficult we saw what 0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:16.600 happened against Baltimore equality team. I believe Philly is a 0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:19.000 quality team as well. I believe the air quality team 0:15:19.000 --> 0:15:21.920 who is also coming off thereby with enough time to 0:15:21.960 --> 0:15:24.480 prepare and try and get healthy. And they have found 0:15:24.560 --> 0:15:27.360 Jordan Howard and they believe and Jordan Howard in that 0:15:27.440 --> 0:15:30.320 run game, and I said it weeks ago, people, it 0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:32.800 helps them be multiple. And what I mean by that 0:15:32.920 --> 0:15:35.800 is they're not that one dimensional team relying on just 0:15:35.880 --> 0:15:38.520 the passing game. Now that they have a running game, 0:15:39.000 --> 0:15:41.560 specifically for a game like this, I think it's really important. 0:15:41.720 --> 0:15:43.360 The Patriots, what they do all the time is try 0:15:43.400 --> 0:15:44.920 to take away what you do best. We say it 0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:46.680 all the time. They make you try to play left handed. 0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:49.800 I believe the Eagles have now with Jordan Howard and 0:15:49.840 --> 0:15:53.360 Miles Sanders, discovered that their left hand is pretty good 0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:55.800 the run game, and so if they can ride that, 0:15:56.440 --> 0:15:58.880 I think they will hang in. I wouldn't be scared 0:15:58.920 --> 0:16:00.640 to bet them outright, to be it honest, but I'll 0:16:00.680 --> 0:16:02.400 take the three and a half points in case this 0:16:02.440 --> 0:16:06.080 is a close one. So I'll lean Philly against the Pats. 0:16:06.200 --> 0:16:08.000 And the last one's on Monday night, so We'll talk 0:16:08.000 --> 0:16:10.000 about it more on Monday. It's the Mexico City game, 0:16:10.360 --> 0:16:13.640 Kansas City getting four against the charges. The Charges are 0:16:13.640 --> 0:16:15.600 technically the home team, you know what I mean? But 0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:18.400 when are they ever a home team? We'll talk about 0:16:18.400 --> 0:16:20.280 that more. But I do expect Patty Mahomes to bounce 0:16:20.280 --> 0:16:23.200 back a little bit. It's not like his four forty 0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:25.920 and three touchdowns was a bad game, but bounce back. 0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:29.960 I mean with a win under center Minnesota. I will 0:16:30.040 --> 0:16:32.920 lay the ten points against Denver at home. They are different, 0:16:33.080 --> 0:16:35.240 They're right in that wild card race. I think they 0:16:35.280 --> 0:16:37.680 need it more. And Brandon Allen am I gonna trust 0:16:37.760 --> 0:16:40.320 him multiple weeks to get ws NO. I think they 0:16:40.360 --> 0:16:42.680 get a working margin on that Oakland. I will lay 0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:45.560 the points against Cincinnati. It's not against my boy RIFEI 0:16:45.960 --> 0:16:49.280 Ryan Finley, right, it's against that Cincinnati offensive line that 0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:52.720 can't protect and the Cincinnati defensive line that can't stop 0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:56.600 the run. Josh Jacobs like WHOA this week? And the 0:16:56.680 --> 0:16:59.400 last one is that San Francisco Arizona game that started 0:16:59.440 --> 0:17:02.000 at thirteen and a half. It is now down to 0:17:02.080 --> 0:17:06.520 eleven guys, two and a half point movement. Maybe that 0:17:06.560 --> 0:17:08.080 could be because of oh, I don't know what I 0:17:08.119 --> 0:17:12.159 mentioned before. Manny Sanders probably out uh, Matt Breeda, maybe 0:17:12.200 --> 0:17:17.520 out Stanley the tackle back out Kittle, you know unknown? Right? 0:17:18.440 --> 0:17:22.520 Could that make that San Francisco offense less dynamic? Moron 0:17:22.640 --> 0:17:24.960 Jimmy g we saw what that was on Monday night 0:17:25.320 --> 0:17:27.720 and has Arizona be able to find their offense that 0:17:27.760 --> 0:17:29.560 they could score a little bit? Remember a few weeks 0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:32.960 ago on Thursday Night football, that was no runaway San 0:17:33.040 --> 0:17:35.879 fran and Arizona. So I'll take the eleven points on 0:17:36.200 --> 0:17:38.040 that one. When we come back on the other side 0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:40.080 of the break, I take some of your questions. We 0:17:40.119 --> 0:17:43.000 look at Game of Inches. We got some good ones people, 0:17:43.320 --> 0:17:46.200 and then we will look at DFS the slate four 0:17:46.240 --> 0:17:48.840 week eleven. I think it's interesting. I got some nuggets 0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:51.520 for you hopefully will help win some cash together. All right, 0:17:51.560 --> 0:17:54.480 So Game of Inches and DFS ideas coming up on 0:17:54.520 --> 0:17:57.320 the other side of the break. It's episode four seventeen. 0:17:57.720 --> 0:17:59.120 Hit me up in the chat room if you want, 0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:00.920 hit me up on Twitter if you want, and we'll 0:18:00.920 --> 0:18:02.639 open up the phone mines a little bit later on. 0:18:02.720 --> 0:18:05.640 We'll check in on the pole as well. Which game 0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:08.879 deserves the lower total Let me Know its Episode four seven, 0:18:08.920 --> 0:18:11.879 Team Big shout out to the Stats Overbeat Cipher. We 0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:15.520 got friendship bread being shipped across the entire damn country 0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:18.080 by our first place team. Come on back and learn 0:18:18.160 --> 0:18:24.000 more about it. 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I just got finished telling you guys, I 0:20:14.200 --> 0:20:17.080 think Philly is going to run the ball with Jordan Howard. 0:20:17.119 --> 0:20:20.320 They found that in essence, Okay, I think Jordan Howard's 0:20:20.359 --> 0:20:22.840