WEBVTT - Marc Short Talks Latest US Peace Proposal to Iran War 0:00:02.759 --> 0:00:07.240 Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 0:00:08.039 --> 0:00:09.120 Here's the latest this morning. 0:00:09.160 --> 0:00:12.559 Then Rut's reporting around Supreme Leader pushing for its uranium 0:00:12.560 --> 0:00:15.320 to stay in the country to run, reportedly preparing a 0:00:15.400 --> 0:00:18.880 response to the latest peace proposal from the US, and 0:00:19.000 --> 0:00:21.920 Ray joined to snaw from Washington for more hammriy. 0:00:22.720 --> 0:00:25.639 Hey, Jonathan, Well, that directive from Iran that's being reported 0:00:25.640 --> 0:00:27.760 from the Supreme Leader on Reuters is really going to 0:00:27.760 --> 0:00:31.680 be a red line potential in these negotiations, because Prime 0:00:31.680 --> 0:00:35.000 Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had made it very clear for Israel 0:00:35.120 --> 0:00:38.159 for the war to end, that highly enriched uranium needs 0:00:38.159 --> 0:00:40.040 to be taken out of Iran's Potentially this could put 0:00:40.040 --> 0:00:42.159 the President in a very difficult position. And for a 0:00:42.200 --> 0:00:44.199 little bit more insight on how potentially we could see 0:00:44.240 --> 0:00:46.559 this White House react, we are now joined by Trump's 0:00:46.760 --> 0:00:49.239 in the first term director of Legislative Affairs, and of 0:00:49.280 --> 0:00:51.760 course he was the former chief of staff to Vice 0:00:51.760 --> 0:00:53.680 President Mike Pence, and that is Mark Short. Thank you 0:00:53.760 --> 0:00:55.440 so much for joining us, Thanks for having so we 0:00:55.480 --> 0:00:57.360 have this new reporting out of Reuters. As the President 0:00:57.400 --> 0:01:00.280 said yesterday, right now they're right on the borderline between 0:01:00.280 --> 0:01:02.240 getting a deal and resuming a war. What do you 0:01:02.280 --> 0:01:05.160 think he does with this basically escalation from Ron? 0:01:05.600 --> 0:01:08.200 Well, look, I don't think there's any president who's been 0:01:08.560 --> 0:01:11.119 a better partner, more loyal to Israel than Donald Trump 0:01:11.560 --> 0:01:14.000 throughout his first term and his second term. But we 0:01:14.040 --> 0:01:16.160 are reaching an important point here because Iran is an 0:01:16.160 --> 0:01:19.520 existential threat for this real clearly, and they're not going 0:01:19.560 --> 0:01:21.960 to want to see a deal at this point. Whereas 0:01:22.120 --> 0:01:24.600 the President is facing a lot of domestic pressure with 0:01:24.880 --> 0:01:29.160 energy prices continuing to spike, his numbers continuing to deteriorate, 0:01:29.880 --> 0:01:33.080 with midterm elections coming soon, and so there's this is 0:01:33.120 --> 0:01:35.560 obviously going to be a significant pressure point for him. 0:01:35.760 --> 0:01:38.120 Yeah, his polling is going down, as you see, gasoline 0:01:38.160 --> 0:01:40.280 price is going up. We're north of four dollars and 0:01:40.319 --> 0:01:43.360 fifty cents today. I just spoke last hour to read 0:01:43.400 --> 0:01:45.920 a cent of Energy Aspects, and she's on the road 0:01:45.959 --> 0:01:49.280 and she says, inventories are halfway drawn down now and 0:01:49.360 --> 0:01:50.880 people are looking at June. 0:01:51.080 --> 0:01:52.200 If we see. 0:01:51.920 --> 0:01:54.440 North of five dollars a gallon, does the president blink? 0:01:55.600 --> 0:01:57.440 I think it's not just worth of five dollars a gallon, 0:01:57.440 --> 0:02:00.440 it's jet fuel prices, jetfield a lot of airlines continue 0:02:00.440 --> 0:02:02.920 to cancel flights as diesel fuel continue to go up. 0:02:03.360 --> 0:02:06.080 I think there's some things the President's done, like leaving 0:02:06.160 --> 0:02:08.680 the waving the Jones Act, that have kept some of 0:02:08.680 --> 0:02:11.600 this a bay. But I think that the question is 0:02:11.600 --> 0:02:13.440 going to be does he want a deal? The President 0:02:13.520 --> 0:02:15.359 loves to have a deal, but I think if he 0:02:15.480 --> 0:02:17.320 gets a deal, and Marie, there's gonna be a lot 0:02:17.360 --> 0:02:20.240 of questions like is this not just Obama two point zero? 0:02:20.440 --> 0:02:23.200 And when a lot of Republicans criticize sending pallets of 0:02:23.200 --> 0:02:25.960 cash to Iran, if we're basically saying, well, you know, 0:02:26.080 --> 0:02:28.080 as some have said that we've got twenty years now, 0:02:28.240 --> 0:02:30.880 is that really going to be that significally different? And 0:02:31.000 --> 0:02:33.000 Iran has done this, this is what they've done for 0:02:33.000 --> 0:02:35.400 forty seven years. Continue to walk along a lot of 0:02:35.480 --> 0:02:38.840 presidents to say, hey, we'll you know, negotiate this later. 0:02:39.639 --> 0:02:42.080 And they've continued to be the same menace for forty 0:02:42.120 --> 0:02:42.560 seven years. 0:02:42.680 --> 0:02:44.680 Yeah, they continue to drag their feet, and they have 0:02:44.919 --> 0:02:46.520 done with multiple presidents. 0:02:46.560 --> 0:02:48.280 But you have been in the room with President Trump. 0:02:48.360 --> 0:02:49.560 You know his instincts. 0:02:49.960 --> 0:02:54.160 If the domestic pressures get too much for him, does 0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:56.400 he then gave a lot of concessions away. 0:02:57.639 --> 0:02:58.720 I worry that he does. 0:02:58.919 --> 0:03:01.480 I think that right now the president, again it's hard 0:03:01.480 --> 0:03:04.040 to say there hasn't been somebody who has stood with Israel. 0:03:03.760 --> 0:03:06.600 More than this president, and he has so far. But Amria, 0:03:06.680 --> 0:03:08.040 I do think he's tough. 0:03:07.840 --> 0:03:11.560 On Iran first term, maximum pressure, second term. Obviously their strike. 0:03:11.440 --> 0:03:12.440 Taking out solid money. 0:03:12.840 --> 0:03:15.480 But for a lot of things the president has done. 0:03:15.600 --> 0:03:17.720 But I do think that he likes to be the 0:03:17.760 --> 0:03:20.040 one who ends up making a deal, and. 0:03:19.919 --> 0:03:21.760 So there's a lot of pressure. 0:03:21.360 --> 0:03:23.839 On for him to obviously get out of this into 0:03:23.960 --> 0:03:27.800 lower energy prices. But again for our partner Israel, again 0:03:27.840 --> 0:03:29.079 this has been an existential trend. 0:03:29.120 --> 0:03:30.760 They view this is our opportunity. 0:03:31.360 --> 0:03:33.920 Iran is weakened, now is our opportunity to do this, 0:03:34.080 --> 0:03:36.640 and they know that it basically if we back out, 0:03:36.760 --> 0:03:39.680 then China and Russia and continue to rebuild the military 0:03:39.680 --> 0:03:42.440 supplies in Iran and it will become once again a 0:03:42.520 --> 0:03:44.400 threat to Israel and to the West. 0:03:44.480 --> 0:03:46.440 You mentioned the midterm elections. We just had a bunch 0:03:46.480 --> 0:03:48.800 of primaries, but also recently the President said he's not 0:03:48.840 --> 0:03:52.760 thinking about American's financial conditions when he's talking about Iran. Now, 0:03:52.800 --> 0:03:54.560 I know some people would say that was taken out 0:03:54.600 --> 0:03:57.920 of context, but how difficult is that going to be 0:03:58.080 --> 0:04:01.320 for Republicans when they try to deliver a message before November. 0:04:02.160 --> 0:04:04.520 The midterms are always going to be difficult in the 0:04:05.400 --> 0:04:09.080 determament of the president, particularly when there's one party in power. 0:04:09.160 --> 0:04:11.160 So the Republicans have obviously the House, the Senate, and 0:04:11.200 --> 0:04:13.840 the White House, and American voters have always wanted to 0:04:13.880 --> 0:04:17.160 have divided government, and so you would anticipate already a 0:04:17.200 --> 0:04:20.200 significant year for Democrats. I think you add on to 0:04:20.279 --> 0:04:24.279 that what you've seen with the economy and affordability crisis, 0:04:24.440 --> 0:04:28.000 energy prices spiking, but also now the president has shown 0:04:28.080 --> 0:04:32.200 his muscle in winning primaries. But if you're basically showing 0:04:32.240 --> 0:04:34.400 that you want people who are more loyal to you, 0:04:34.680 --> 0:04:37.760 how does that play to general election voters? I think 0:04:37.800 --> 0:04:39.600 that that may be playing out to their strength in 0:04:39.640 --> 0:04:42.279 the primary season memory, but creating an even bigger hurdle 0:04:42.320 --> 0:04:43.880 for Republicans come November. 0:04:44.080 --> 0:04:48.600 What does this mean for also the current Republicans in Congress. 0:04:48.720 --> 0:04:51.560 A lot of Republicans were very disappointed of the President 0:04:51.680 --> 0:04:54.240 yesterday going for Ken Paxton in Texas. 0:04:54.360 --> 0:04:57.560 Well, that's obviously on the heels of taking out Republicans 0:04:57.560 --> 0:05:00.760 in Indiana and taking out Thomas Massey and Kentucky, taking 0:05:00.800 --> 0:05:04.800 out Bill Cassidy and Louisiana. And I think that you're 0:05:04.800 --> 0:05:06.680 going to continue to see I think, less and less 0:05:06.760 --> 0:05:07.480 done in Washington. 0:05:07.480 --> 0:05:08.920 It's already hard to get something. 0:05:08.680 --> 0:05:11.160 Done in midterm election cycle memory, but I think even 0:05:11.240 --> 0:05:13.800 more so now because you're going to see those Republicans 0:05:13.920 --> 0:05:16.279 begin to break further and further from the President. So 0:05:16.600 --> 0:05:18.960 I would think there's been very little done legislatively. It 0:05:18.960 --> 0:05:22.920 seems that this housing bill that seems to be Republicans, 0:05:22.920 --> 0:05:25.120 there's only a handful of Republicans actually still believe in 0:05:25.120 --> 0:05:27.440 free markets, because it seems like the vast majority of 0:05:27.440 --> 0:05:31.080 them are partnering with the populace left and deciding who 0:05:31.120 --> 0:05:31.800 can buy houses. 0:05:32.520 --> 0:05:34.960 But if they're willing to break with this president, what 0:05:35.000 --> 0:05:35.680 does that look like. 0:05:36.040 --> 0:05:37.480 It looks like things stalling. 0:05:37.720 --> 0:05:41.800 It looks like basically nothing else happening between now and Novembers. 0:05:41.839 --> 0:05:44.760 It means that that things like the president's desire for 0:05:44.800 --> 0:05:48.719 a ballroom funding doesn't happen. It potentially means that more 0:05:48.720 --> 0:05:50.440 funding from the military doesn't happen. 0:05:50.600 --> 0:05:52.800 I was going to say, we had an individual yesterday 0:05:52.800 --> 0:05:54.200 saying we're going to be running out of. 0:05:54.520 --> 0:05:56.159 The military budget for the war in Iran. 0:05:56.200 --> 0:05:58.120 The president's asking for one point five trullion. 0:05:58.200 --> 0:05:59.880 Now does he get that before November? 0:06:00.360 --> 0:06:03.280 I think everything gets harder Now, everything does, and so 0:06:03.560 --> 0:06:06.640 I would be basically wagering against anything else happening of 0:06:06.839 --> 0:06:08.360 consequence between now and November. 0:06:08.600 --> 0:06:10.440 Does that mean that we see a president that's going 0:06:10.520 --> 0:06:13.279 to be more assertive on Congress and try to do 0:06:13.360 --> 0:06:14.640 things through executive order? 0:06:14.760 --> 0:06:16.560 Well, I think that's already been the case, right right. 0:06:16.560 --> 0:06:20.080 I mean, this administration clearly believes they don't need Congress 0:06:20.080 --> 0:06:21.599 for much, and they think that they can do it 0:06:21.720 --> 0:06:23.960 just from an executive branch. That's going to become a 0:06:23.960 --> 0:06:26.280 bigger and bigger challenge after the midterms, because there'll be 0:06:26.320 --> 0:06:28.520 a bigger and bigger clash with the legislative branch at 0:06:28.520 --> 0:06:29.000 that point. 0:06:29.240 --> 0:06:30.800 Mark Short, thank you so much for your time. 0:06:30.800 --> 0:06:31.479 Evering morning. 0:06:31.720 --> 0:06:33.600 Thanks for coming in. That was Mark Short.