1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: Why from our nation's came this budget thing is going 2 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:05,480 Speaker 1: to do nothing space forces. I still think it's interesting 3 00:00:05,480 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: President Trump not playing his cards yet. Headlines Policy and 4 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 1: Politics Colliding Floomberg Sound On, The Insiders, the influencers, the insides. 5 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 1: I would rather see a congressional solution. It's part of 6 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:20,440 Speaker 1: my DNA. The Senate map in looks a lot different 7 00:00:20,440 --> 00:00:23,240 Speaker 1: than it looked in. You really have a divide within 8 00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:26,040 Speaker 1: Team Trump. The President has to do exactly what people 9 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 1: sent him here to do, which is to get it done. 10 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Shirley on Bloomberg 11 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:35,839 Speaker 1: one and one oh five point seven f m h 12 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 1: D two. President Trump gets ready for the G seven 13 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:43,559 Speaker 1: with Boris Johnson, the new UK Prime Minister. While they 14 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:48,239 Speaker 1: complete preview of the G seven trade talks and tariffs 15 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:51,560 Speaker 1: and all of the rest, plus we dive headfirst into 16 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: the campaign trails. Some new polls out, we'll get into them. 17 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 1: And President Trump wants to buy Greenland. We haven't talked 18 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 1: enough about that this week. What's the policy behind it? 19 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 1: What does it really actually mean for the energy sector, 20 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 1: for military? Uh? And yeah, we're gonna talk about that. 21 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:11,960 Speaker 1: Lots to get through Friday Eve, folks were almost there. 22 00:01:12,319 --> 00:01:15,320 Speaker 1: Beautiful day, beautiful day here inside of the belt Way. 23 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 1: I'm joined by my good friend and colleague, Wendy Benjaminson, 24 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News Politics editor, and Louis Miranda Returns is the 25 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: former communications director for the d n C. I want 26 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 1: to start with the G seven. I've been following this. 27 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 1: I mean, we think that domestic politics is interesting. When 28 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:37,400 Speaker 1: the world leaders all get together, of the G seven countries, 29 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:41,840 Speaker 1: it is fascinating, especially with the chatter of an economic 30 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:47,760 Speaker 1: recession looming globally on the forecast. But before we dive 31 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 1: into the policy, I want to talk about who's not 32 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: going to be there, Wendy, and that's Russia. Russia used 33 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 1: to be a member. They did the crimea situation, for 34 00:01:57,640 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 1: lack of a better word, you get invaded and took over. Yeah. No, 35 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 1: exactly right, And I'm not trying to make light of 36 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 1: that at all, seriously. Um. And then they get the 37 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: boot from from the G eight which becomes G seven, 38 00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 1: and President Trump circulating that potentially he would be okay 39 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 1: with them rejoining. Take a listen to what President Trump 40 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: had to say at the American Veterans seventy five National 41 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:25,840 Speaker 1: Convention earlier today in Louisville, Kentucky. Here is we spend 42 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 1: a lot of time talking about Russia at those meetings 43 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:31,400 Speaker 1: and they're not there. I think it would be a 44 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,640 Speaker 1: good thing if Russia were there, so we can speak directly, 45 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 1: not have to speak all the you know, by telephone 46 00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 1: and other things. That was President Trump yesterday, just to 47 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 1: clarify yesterday raising the issue that he would like to 48 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:46,799 Speaker 1: see Russia returned to the G seven. Wendy, why is 49 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: he doing this? Well, It's been Trump's position throughout most 50 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 1: of his presidency that it's better to have to talk 51 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:56,360 Speaker 1: to people like Vladimir Putin than it is to to 52 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:59,280 Speaker 1: isolate them and keep them separate, which has been American 53 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 1: foreign policy for a long time. And you're right, after 54 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:07,519 Speaker 1: Putin's country invaded crimea sovereign part of a sovereign country, Ukraine. Um, 55 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 1: you know they kicked him out. It's it up ends 56 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 1: diplomatic policy to bring someone in who you think has misbehaved. 57 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 1: If they've misbehaved, then they're not allowed at the party. Um. 58 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 1: And the optics for Trump are really bad on this 59 00:03:22,560 --> 00:03:27,360 Speaker 1: because the whole Russia Mueller investigation thing. He keeps trying 60 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 1: to cozy up to Putin and it just makes people crazy. 61 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:34,120 Speaker 1: Lewis Well, it just also just completely ignores the history 62 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:38,240 Speaker 1: of Russian aggression. Um, going back to the Iron Curtain. 63 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: This is not something new. And so when Russia annexed Crimea, 64 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 1: it wasn't only an attack on the Ukraine. It was 65 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 1: a broader threat to big chunk of the rest of Europe, 66 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 1: including plenty of NATO members from Estonian a lot Field 67 00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 1: to Lithuania, and the United States has been working to 68 00:03:57,200 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: shore up those allies precisely to push back on that 69 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 1: Russian So I don't know, I mean, get that or 70 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 1: that he's doing. Putin's bidding, uh is really dangerous for 71 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:10,240 Speaker 1: a number of countries and problematic for US. I don't know, 72 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 1: because there's part of me that that when I talked 73 00:04:12,360 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 1: to Republicans, the case that they make, they say, well, hey, 74 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 1: wait a minute. I mean, it would save everybody the 75 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 1: miles on the airplane just to get everybody in the 76 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:23,640 Speaker 1: same room. I mean, because essentially they're going to be 77 00:04:23,680 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 1: having to talk to Russia no matter what about all 78 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 1: of these different things. I mean, to have all of 79 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:33,280 Speaker 1: the G seven countries are Italy, the UK France, Germany. 80 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:36,640 Speaker 1: Who am I forgetting uh uh, you know, to have 81 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 1: all of them over there and to not have Russia. 82 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,200 Speaker 1: You know, it's how did you know? Well? The question, 83 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:48,359 Speaker 1: I think it's a question of trust. I think trust 84 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 1: correct to for for good reason. Yeah, Looking at Stonia, 85 00:04:54,520 --> 00:04:57,240 Speaker 1: the Russians um the day after, a couple of days 86 00:04:57,279 --> 00:05:00,560 Speaker 1: after Obama was there visiting, they went in and kidnapped 87 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 1: and Estonian UH security officer. They put him on a 88 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 1: show puppet trial. They then used him as leverage to negotiate. 89 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:09,520 Speaker 1: I mean, there's a legitimate threat that the Russians are 90 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 1: posing that Donald Trump is ignoring, uh, including to our 91 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 1: election security. And so it's it's one thing to invite 92 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:20,599 Speaker 1: them as a non participant member to maybe have side discussions. 93 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:22,680 Speaker 1: But the whole question is do you turn it into 94 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: the G eight again? And and the reality is is 95 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:27,720 Speaker 1: that the threat that they pose has not been resolved 96 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:30,440 Speaker 1: in a way where it makes sense to give them 97 00:05:30,480 --> 00:05:35,039 Speaker 1: all carrots and no sticks. Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, 98 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: and the United Kingdom as well as the United States. 99 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:42,560 Speaker 1: There's your trivia Ford today, all of the G seven countries, 100 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 1: all right, let's talk policy. They have a lot to 101 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:48,760 Speaker 1: talk about. So Bloomberg Terminal headline crossing the Bloomberg Terminal. 102 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:51,600 Speaker 1: Wendy earlier today says that President Trump is going to 103 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 1: actually have dinner, I believe, or they're gonna share a 104 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 1: meal with the UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson on Sunday 105 00:05:57,760 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 1: to fly on the first of all, what's on the mend. 106 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 1: Second of all, this is by the way, we're gonna 107 00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:08,640 Speaker 1: talk coming up later in the program. And that went viral, 108 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:10,600 Speaker 1: caught my attention. I had to a double take. It 109 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:13,799 Speaker 1: was like it was like the Madame Tussau waxed museum. Um. 110 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:18,159 Speaker 1: But back on to G seven. I mean, wow, because 111 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:22,280 Speaker 1: I've been talking to sources in the international world and 112 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 1: they are kind of reading the tea leaves here that 113 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:29,039 Speaker 1: President Trump feels emboldened now and having a buddy in 114 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:31,279 Speaker 1: Boris Johnson as he you know, has to deal with 115 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:36,159 Speaker 1: French President of Manuel Macrawl as well as you and Merkel, 116 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:40,039 Speaker 1: who is on our way out. So wow, yeah, that 117 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 1: I would love to be a fly on the wall 118 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:44,680 Speaker 1: at that meeting. I doubt you know, the menu will 119 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:50,040 Speaker 1: probably be a little more pedestrians that are usually at 120 00:06:50,080 --> 00:06:52,159 Speaker 1: these at a UK sort of thing, because I think 121 00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:54,720 Speaker 1: neither of them are really into you know, hode cuisine, 122 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 1: but the so you know, a couple of cheeseburgers, um, 123 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:01,279 Speaker 1: you know, a couple of cokes, but um, yeah, I 124 00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: mean the two are sort of, you know, reflections of 125 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:07,800 Speaker 1: each other in some way. So it should be interesting 126 00:07:07,839 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 1: and maybe, yeah, maybe Trump has a new best friend 127 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 1: in Europe. He could use one. All right, Uh, coming up, 128 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,080 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk China US, China trade policy. We're also 129 00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:17,800 Speaker 1: going to talk about Greenland and and what's going on 130 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 1: in Israel, and the campaign trail panel is going to stay. 131 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 1: Wendy Benjaminson, Bloomberg News twenty politics editor, Lewis Miranda, former 132 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 1: d n C Communications director. You can download the Bloomberg 133 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 1: Sound On podcast on Apple iTunes, at Bloomberg dot com, 134 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:34,760 Speaker 1: or by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. You can also 135 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 1: find us on Radio dot Com, I Heart Radio, and Spotify. 136 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:39,440 Speaker 1: We kicked it off with the G seven because I 137 00:07:39,440 --> 00:07:41,760 Speaker 1: think it is truthfully one of the most important stories 138 00:07:41,800 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 1: happening in the world for the next week or so. 139 00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Cirelli, Chief Washington correspondent from Bloomberg TV and Radio. 140 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:53,800 Speaker 1: You're listening to Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Sound On with 141 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 1: Kevin Shirley on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven 142 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 1: f m h D two. Body had to do it. 143 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 1: I am the chosen one. Somebody had to do it, 144 00:08:04,080 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 1: So I'm taking on China. President Trump says he is 145 00:08:08,440 --> 00:08:12,920 Speaker 1: the chosen one. That was yesterday on his way to Louisville, Kentucky, 146 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,000 Speaker 1: for an event, he was asked whether or not he's 147 00:08:16,040 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 1: concerned that his trade policies are causing problems for the 148 00:08:19,280 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 1: US economy. Of Kevin Sili, chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg 149 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:27,240 Speaker 1: Television Bloomberg Radio, the President says he's taking on China. 150 00:08:27,320 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 1: Headlines crossing the Bloomberg terminal now. Larry Cudlow, the one 151 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:35,560 Speaker 1: of the president's top economic advisers, saying on Fox Business 152 00:08:35,640 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 1: that it's possible tax proposals would be from middle class 153 00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:44,840 Speaker 1: and be rolled out sometime in the twenty twenty campaign. 154 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:48,800 Speaker 1: He also Larry Cablo, saying he remains very optimistic over 155 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:51,600 Speaker 1: the economy. Lewis from Miranda is here in studio former 156 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:56,679 Speaker 1: Democratic National Committee Communications director, as is Wendy Benjaminson, Bloomberg 157 00:08:56,679 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 1: News Politics editor Wendy. The dynamics of a recession now 158 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 1: playing out in real time. You have the president saying 159 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 1: he's the chosen one to take on China, Larry Cudlow 160 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 1: openly suggesting tax reform might be on the horizon in 161 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 1: the campaign season. And we thought tax reform was over 162 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:21,960 Speaker 1: with tax law where they cut them pretty low. So um, yes, 163 00:09:22,120 --> 00:09:27,520 Speaker 1: the administration is probably very scared behind all the happy 164 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:31,080 Speaker 1: talk about the warning signs of a recession. Larry Cutlow 165 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 1: understands this, All his economic advisors understand this, and Trump 166 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 1: probably understands it too. So what's the best thing to 167 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 1: do is make people feel like, uh, you know, the 168 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:42,600 Speaker 1: economy isn't going to hurt them, so we'll give them 169 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 1: a tax cut. I gotta be honest here, it's very 170 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:48,560 Speaker 1: uncomfortable to talk about the political dynamics of a potential 171 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 1: economic recession, just you know. I mean, this is such 172 00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 1: a real anxiety really for for all Americans. So to 173 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:58,680 Speaker 1: to go in and out of talking about a recession, 174 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: a recession and the possibility of one, and what that 175 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:05,080 Speaker 1: means for people, what that means for folks trying to retire, 176 00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:07,959 Speaker 1: for for young people who are still trying to launch 177 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 1: their their careers. I mean, it's it's crazy to me 178 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 1: that ten years after two eleven years after two thousand 179 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:19,439 Speaker 1: and eight, that that this is even something that's being discussed, 180 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:22,320 Speaker 1: and that that market watchers are starting to factor into 181 00:10:22,640 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 1: their calculation. I mean, we were earlier talking about the 182 00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 1: G seven and it just seems like everyone's predicting that 183 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 1: Europe will go through some type of recession um in 184 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:34,160 Speaker 1: the next year. It's it's a bit bizarre to talk 185 00:10:34,200 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 1: about the political implications, Lewis Miranda, but I do have 186 00:10:36,840 --> 00:10:40,720 Speaker 1: to ask you about it, because the Democrats are are saying, well, 187 00:10:40,720 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 1: this is Trump's recession, and now President Trump is essentially saying, well, 188 00:10:44,400 --> 00:10:46,760 Speaker 1: this is not going to be an election about a recession. 189 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:50,000 Speaker 1: It's going to be an election about cutting taxes. So 190 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:52,760 Speaker 1: the right will say, Democrats want to raise your taxes, 191 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 1: and the left will say, we're going to go into 192 00:10:55,280 --> 00:10:59,600 Speaker 1: a recession unless a Democrat takes over. Uh, And you 193 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 1: know in it will happen before a Democrat takes over. 194 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 1: And I think that's what has the White House so scared, 195 00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:07,640 Speaker 1: and that's why it has political implications, because there's a 196 00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:09,360 Speaker 1: pretty good chance that it's not going to wait until 197 00:11:09,559 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 1: twenty one after somebody has been sworn into replaced Donald Trump, 198 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:18,720 Speaker 1: God willing Um. But the bigger challenge here for Trump 199 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:21,160 Speaker 1: is that he's he's being he's all over the place 200 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 1: on this. So if he's continuing to sell that his 201 00:11:23,480 --> 00:11:25,920 Speaker 1: tax cuts were so great, then let talk about the 202 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:29,160 Speaker 1: payroll tax cut, even though it in theory, in theory 203 00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:31,720 Speaker 1: it's meant to help him. Also undercuts that agreement because 204 00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:35,079 Speaker 1: or that argument, because it clearly suggests that he hasn't 205 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:37,480 Speaker 1: done enough. And at the same time, while he's talking 206 00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:39,439 Speaker 1: about taking on the Chinese, he's taking them on over 207 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:42,839 Speaker 1: the wrong issues, because the tariff wasn't the problem. It's 208 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:46,880 Speaker 1: intellectual property theft. Uh. It's them dumping products like you know, 209 00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 1: solar panels and other things on on our market. Uh. 210 00:11:49,880 --> 00:11:52,559 Speaker 1: It's them playing on fairly and taking over so much 211 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:54,880 Speaker 1: that without being as part of the t p P, 212 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:57,680 Speaker 1: we just can't now be present in a lot of 213 00:11:57,679 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 1: markets in the way we otherwise might have been. Uh. 214 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:02,680 Speaker 1: And so he's diagnosed the right problem, but he's doing 215 00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 1: the wrong thing on on the tariffs right exactly. And 216 00:12:06,400 --> 00:12:09,440 Speaker 1: also what is not being factored in and their talking 217 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 1: about tax cuts is that the tax law of seventeen 218 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:15,560 Speaker 1: already blew a big hole in the budget deficit, not 219 00:12:15,640 --> 00:12:18,160 Speaker 1: bringing in as much revenue as as had been coming 220 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:20,840 Speaker 1: in before, and to cut taxes even further is going 221 00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:23,319 Speaker 1: to blow a bigger hole in the deficit, which also 222 00:12:23,640 --> 00:12:28,120 Speaker 1: burdens the US debt problem. So it may sound good 223 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:31,240 Speaker 1: at a campaign rally, but it's not good for the economy. 224 00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:33,920 Speaker 1: All of this was really kick started, uh the other 225 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:39,400 Speaker 1: week when the the the yield curve inverted and the 226 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:42,360 Speaker 1: the tenure inverted. Yield curve is the economic indicator that 227 00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:45,520 Speaker 1: folks have have used as a predictor as to whether 228 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:49,600 Speaker 1: or not there will be a recession. I'm just struck 229 00:12:49,880 --> 00:12:53,080 Speaker 1: by why there isn't why lawmakers, I mean, if there's 230 00:12:53,080 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 1: all this chatter about there being a recession now, I'm 231 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:57,760 Speaker 1: I'm old enough to remember when when John mckame was 232 00:12:57,760 --> 00:13:02,520 Speaker 1: the Republican nominee and got off the campaign trail against Obama, 233 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:05,199 Speaker 1: came back to Congress and said, you know, we've got 234 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 1: to do something with this with this economy. For Senator 235 00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:12,200 Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren, and we'll dive into the polls coming up, 236 00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 1: But for Senator Elizabeth Warren, who was really the professor 237 00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:20,920 Speaker 1: in chief back during the last financial crisis really navigated 238 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:26,040 Speaker 1: Tarp navigated all of the too big to fail environment, 239 00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:31,640 Speaker 1: created the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. I mean, politically speaking, 240 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:35,400 Speaker 1: what what? How? How will the how will Democrats talk 241 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 1: about this in terms of the uh not not necessarily 242 00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:43,920 Speaker 1: on the campaign traow, but how the recession shift the 243 00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:46,800 Speaker 1: conversation within the Democratic Party as a whole of us well. 244 00:13:46,840 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 1: And part of the challenge here is that the a 245 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:52,920 Speaker 1: recession versus the type of financial crisis that we saw 246 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:55,240 Speaker 1: in two thousand eight or or two different things. It 247 00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 1: doesn't how that's important because it can be a short 248 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 1: term recession. It can. You know, a recession is simply 249 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 1: a couple of quarters of negative growth, which is far 250 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:09,680 Speaker 1: different from a financial crisis where the entire housing market 251 00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 1: is collapsing, where General Motors and Chrysler are going bankrupt. 252 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:14,040 Speaker 1: I don't even want to be reminded of all that 253 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:16,560 Speaker 1: where you know, you lost I think was it four 254 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:20,880 Speaker 1: thousand jobs in the last six months of the Bush administration. Um, 255 00:14:20,920 --> 00:14:23,920 Speaker 1: So that was a crisis where John McCain had to 256 00:14:23,920 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 1: come off with the campaign traw. Barack Obama did as well, 257 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 1: and they actually had a White House meeting and talked 258 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 1: about some of the things that they were going to 259 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:33,200 Speaker 1: work on together and all support to try to get 260 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:35,680 Speaker 1: past that. That's very different, and I think that's where 261 00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 1: Democrats have a challenge, is that there there is a 262 00:14:37,560 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 1: recession that is likely to come, but is it going 263 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 1: to be felt widely enough or resonate enough to to 264 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:47,640 Speaker 1: have a political impact. And you know, nobody wants to 265 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 1: see that because you don't want to have to see, 266 00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:52,400 Speaker 1: as you were saying, Americans go through that kind of situation. Again, 267 00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 1: people don't want to see their neighbors lose their job 268 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 1: exactly exactly. But at the same time, um, it's you know, 269 00:14:58,200 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 1: they can't hang their hats on it because it's it's 270 00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:03,120 Speaker 1: likely not going to be deep enough before the end 271 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:06,640 Speaker 1: of the before the election, and there's a lot more 272 00:15:06,680 --> 00:15:08,600 Speaker 1: that they have to talk about. So they can't take 273 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:11,120 Speaker 1: the bait and talk about just payroll taxes. Uh, they 274 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:14,000 Speaker 1: can't take the bait um on on some of the 275 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:16,360 Speaker 1: other things like race baiting and things like that that 276 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:18,560 Speaker 1: Donald Trump wants to make the focus. They're gonna have 277 00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:21,480 Speaker 1: to make smart arguments about how they're going to actually 278 00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:23,480 Speaker 1: strengthen the economy, and if we do start to pull 279 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 1: into a recession, Democrats have proven time and again they're 280 00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 1: the ones to pull it back out, whether it was 281 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:29,240 Speaker 1: Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, we know how to get 282 00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:32,240 Speaker 1: the economy humming again. Our Republicans would disagree just balance 283 00:15:32,240 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 1: because we don't have are we had a last minute 284 00:15:35,040 --> 00:15:38,600 Speaker 1: scheduling conflict for our Republican friend who would have been here. 285 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 1: But I will just say they would very much disagree 286 00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:43,160 Speaker 1: with that. But go ahead, Well, I was gonna say 287 00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:46,120 Speaker 1: that Louise is absolutely right. The trouble is that Elizabeth 288 00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 1: Moren is talking very deeply about economic policy. She writes 289 00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:52,240 Speaker 1: all these medium posts that you know, I said this 290 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:53,760 Speaker 1: in two thousand and eight, and I'll say, I love 291 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 1: you because she does. She does. That's how we find 292 00:15:58,000 --> 00:16:00,880 Speaker 1: out what's going I know, because they don't. Friend runner 293 00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 1: Joe Biden hasn't said anything about the economy very deeply. 294 00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:08,320 Speaker 1: He hasn't said much. He does talk a lot about 295 00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:11,200 Speaker 1: the problems he sees with the Trump presidency and the 296 00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:15,760 Speaker 1: you know, age of incivility that we're in, but the 297 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:19,560 Speaker 1: front runner isn't talking about the key issues. But the frontrunner, 298 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:21,640 Speaker 1: we're gonna We're gonna talk about the polls, but the 299 00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 1: front runer once again is a twenty a double didget 300 00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:27,760 Speaker 1: lead in the latest latest year and not talking about 301 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:31,320 Speaker 1: national because Biden's making it a personality contest. Waren's making 302 00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 1: it a policy contest. Coming up, we're gonna talk are 303 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:36,960 Speaker 1: we gonna buy Greenland? Are we going to buy Greenland? 304 00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:38,840 Speaker 1: I'm getting to the bottom of this. I want to 305 00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:40,920 Speaker 1: get to the bottom of this. Wendy Benjamin's is gonna 306 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 1: help me dig my way through it. Bloomberg News twenty 307 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:47,000 Speaker 1: politics editor Lewis Miranda, former d n C Communications director. 308 00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:50,440 Speaker 1: Download the Bloomberg Sound On podcast on Appali Jians at 309 00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:53,200 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot com or by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. 310 00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:55,160 Speaker 1: You can also find us on Radio dot com, I 311 00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 1: Heart Radio and Spotify. I'm Kevin Crelli. You're listening to 312 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:03,520 Speaker 1: Bloomberg one. This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Surreley 313 00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:07,480 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven f M 314 00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:11,840 Speaker 1: HD two. I'm Kevin Surreli, Chief Washington correspondent from Bloomberg 315 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:16,119 Speaker 1: Television Bloomberg Radio. Wendy Benjamin sins here. She's the Bloomberg 316 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:20,879 Speaker 1: News Politics editor quickly becoming one of my favorite panelists 317 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:23,240 Speaker 1: and colleagues. Thank you Wendy for being here. I don't 318 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 1: play favorite. Sorry. If anybody else listening, Lewis Miranda's here. 319 00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 1: Former d n C communications director Wendy, are we going 320 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:34,439 Speaker 1: to buy Greenland? I don't think so. What Okay, I 321 00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:38,320 Speaker 1: know everybody's laughing about but what Let's just go through 322 00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:42,879 Speaker 1: the TikTok? What exactly happened? Why are we even talking 323 00:17:42,920 --> 00:17:46,520 Speaker 1: about this? Why? What is what is the policy behind 324 00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: all of this? Well, policy might be a hard thing 325 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:54,399 Speaker 1: to come up with, but Donald Trump for some reason 326 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:58,240 Speaker 1: started asking AIDS whether he could buy Greenland. It's a 327 00:17:58,240 --> 00:18:01,399 Speaker 1: big piece of real estate at you know, he is 328 00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:05,679 Speaker 1: it has apparently interested in buying if you want to 329 00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 1: apply some policy to it. It is a highly strategic 330 00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:13,720 Speaker 1: piece of land owned by Denmark, which is a country, 331 00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:16,639 Speaker 1: you know, a small fraction of the size of Greenland. 332 00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:20,360 Speaker 1: Greenland is a very icy place. There have been scary 333 00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:22,760 Speaker 1: climate change stories that talk about how the ice and 334 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:28,199 Speaker 1: Greenland is melting. So that could make Greenland possibly a 335 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:33,000 Speaker 1: strategic place, although they're all are already US military bases 336 00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:35,560 Speaker 1: there because it's near Russia, it's near the Arctic and 337 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:38,479 Speaker 1: all that. So why we have to own it seems 338 00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 1: to be a mystery to the entire city of Washington, 339 00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:44,720 Speaker 1: d C. Yeah, no, another reason you mentioned global warming. 340 00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:47,200 Speaker 1: I mean, if all of these glaciers up in Greenland 341 00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:52,120 Speaker 1: melt away, it opens up Uh, it opens up shipping lanes, 342 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:56,280 Speaker 1: it opens up trading routes, and that uh could obviously 343 00:18:56,400 --> 00:19:01,560 Speaker 1: proved to be incredibly financially resourceful. Plus are tap natural 344 00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 1: Well did you see the president's instagram on that He 345 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,520 Speaker 1: literally posted on his Instagram account Greenland and said and 346 00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:13,320 Speaker 1: like plotted a Trump hotel building and said, like, I 347 00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:16,119 Speaker 1: wouldn't do that. I'm not well, it gets some a 348 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:19,119 Speaker 1: little closer to the Moscow hotel. He wants, Oh my gosh, 349 00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:21,560 Speaker 1: louis not that kind of show, Come on, buddy. But 350 00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:24,280 Speaker 1: it went there's a lot of untapped natural resources and 351 00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:26,159 Speaker 1: and so financially, I mean, there's a lot of people 352 00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:29,680 Speaker 1: who are looking at Greenland is saying well, hey, wait 353 00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:31,199 Speaker 1: a minute, I mean there there are a lot of 354 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:35,239 Speaker 1: resources there. Uh. And that's sort of the policy behind it. 355 00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:38,040 Speaker 1: I I see you, I see you looking at me, Wendy. 356 00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:41,639 Speaker 1: But let's stay with me. There's a huge there's a 357 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 1: huge US military base in Greenland as well. Then we're 358 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:49,200 Speaker 1: allies with Denmark. I mean we have access to Greenland 359 00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:51,679 Speaker 1: now at least now we're allies with Denmark, and you know, 360 00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:54,360 Speaker 1: hopefully we so well they got into this whole back 361 00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:56,160 Speaker 1: and forth. I mean, if you if you're if you've 362 00:19:56,160 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 1: been following this. The Danish Prime Minister fred Ericson she 363 00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:06,720 Speaker 1: was asked h on a visit to Greenland on Sunday 364 00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 1: if if whether or not she thought any of this 365 00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:11,760 Speaker 1: was a good idea, and she called it, quote unquote absurd. 366 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:15,960 Speaker 1: Greenland is not for sale, she said, Greenland is not Danish, 367 00:20:16,000 --> 00:20:19,639 Speaker 1: Greenland is green landic I really hope that it's not 368 00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:23,440 Speaker 1: something that is seriously meant well. And you have to 369 00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:26,560 Speaker 1: have a concern about where Russian interests playing here because 370 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:29,800 Speaker 1: if you look at the Arctic Circle, uh, there's been 371 00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 1: a ton of melting and uh exposing of land and 372 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:37,720 Speaker 1: other natural resources that the Russians particularly have an aggressive 373 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:41,720 Speaker 1: and exploiting, and that there's basically a race to make 374 00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:45,800 Speaker 1: sure that that it either stays international in certain areas 375 00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:49,560 Speaker 1: or that whoever's tapping into different parts of that is 376 00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 1: doing so correctly. Uh, and you have to wonder where 377 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:57,120 Speaker 1: Greenland On in that direction could potentially play a strategic role. 378 00:20:57,720 --> 00:21:00,240 Speaker 1: But the Russians have certainly been the most effective lash 379 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:02,800 Speaker 1: aggressive that at doing that. And and so you have 380 00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:04,919 Speaker 1: to wonder if if Donald Trump is listening there too 381 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:07,639 Speaker 1: well for space exploration as well. I mean that region 382 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:11,639 Speaker 1: is incredibly vital and important as well. So President Trump 383 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:15,360 Speaker 1: didn't like with Prime Minister Frederickson had to say about 384 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:19,000 Speaker 1: all of this. He canceled the trip earlier this week 385 00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:23,920 Speaker 1: that was scheduled in September to visit with Prime Minister Frederickson. 386 00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:27,480 Speaker 1: He didn't like that she called it quote unquote absurd. 387 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,560 Speaker 1: Take a listen to the President's response yesterday on his 388 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:33,520 Speaker 1: way to Louisville, Kentucky. Here's President Trump. I looked forward 389 00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:36,160 Speaker 1: to going, but I thought that the Prime minister statement 390 00:21:36,240 --> 00:21:38,919 Speaker 1: that it was absurd, that was that it was an 391 00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:46,280 Speaker 1: absurd idea was nasty. I thought it was an inappropriate statement. Wendy, Well, 392 00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:50,440 Speaker 1: she's entitled to her opinion. Um, even as many past 393 00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 1: presidents have said, even the US has disagreements with even 394 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:58,439 Speaker 1: its closest allies. And I did notice that nasty is 395 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:02,840 Speaker 1: a word. The President reserves for comments that women have made. Um, 396 00:22:02,880 --> 00:22:05,240 Speaker 1: So he says lots of other horrible things about men, 397 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 1: but nasty is a particular keyword for women. Leads. Yeah, 398 00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 1: and I think that's right, and and it's it's disrespectful. 399 00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:18,320 Speaker 1: It's also problematic as he heads into the G seven 400 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:21,240 Speaker 1: basically insulting our allies and closing up to Russia. So 401 00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:23,640 Speaker 1: it just continues to play into that broader theme of 402 00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:27,080 Speaker 1: whose interests is he really serving? Right, And also there 403 00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:30,840 Speaker 1: remember there is this um diplomatic group called the Arctic Council, 404 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:32,760 Speaker 1: which is made up of every country that has a 405 00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:37,920 Speaker 1: border along the Arctic Circle, including the US because of Alaska, Canada, Russia, 406 00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:41,200 Speaker 1: and China gets a part of that because Russia wanted 407 00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:46,760 Speaker 1: them to. But they are all working on the open 408 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:49,000 Speaker 1: shipping lanes that are opening in the Arctic and things 409 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,240 Speaker 1: like that. So there's there's really no reason for the 410 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:54,000 Speaker 1: US to have to own Greenland. How many people do 411 00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:57,720 Speaker 1: you think, I'm gonna quiz pop quiz how many people 412 00:22:57,800 --> 00:23:03,040 Speaker 1: live on the island of green Land? Forty something thousand, 413 00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:08,359 Speaker 1: I think, But I read that on Bloomberg's Okay, even 414 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:10,320 Speaker 1: that is like, I mean, that's hey, that's bigger than 415 00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:14,200 Speaker 1: Pete bo It's still like Pete Buda Judges Uh in 416 00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,359 Speaker 1: South Bend, Indiana. I guess it's a little smaller. I guess. 417 00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:20,440 Speaker 1: I guess it's a little smaller. Um. It's the largest 418 00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:24,679 Speaker 1: island in the world. Are of the of the of 419 00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:28,720 Speaker 1: the square mileage of of Greenland or ice capped uh 420 00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 1: and they've been self ruled since nineteen seventy nine. But 421 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:35,359 Speaker 1: they're Danish, the residents of the island, and they've got 422 00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:38,159 Speaker 1: a ton of resources there, coals, inc, copper, iron and 423 00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:43,160 Speaker 1: ore uh and rare rare minerals. CNBC has a great 424 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:47,919 Speaker 1: CNBC dot Com has a great policy dive that we 425 00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:51,400 Speaker 1: also have on Bloomberg Terminal as well. But credit, we're 426 00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:53,719 Speaker 1: credit is due coming up. We're gonna talk what's on 427 00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:56,760 Speaker 1: our radar. Uh. We gotta talk to us Israeli relations. 428 00:23:56,800 --> 00:24:00,640 Speaker 1: Were also going to discuss the political camp Jane as 429 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:04,679 Speaker 1: we head into another August weekend. We're almost there, folks, 430 00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:08,840 Speaker 1: It's Friday Eve. Wendy Benjaminson stays Bloomberg News twenty Politics 431 00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:13,159 Speaker 1: editor Lewis Miranda, former d n C Communications director. Download 432 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:15,639 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Sound On podcast on Apple I tunes at 433 00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot com or by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. 434 00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:20,600 Speaker 1: You can also find us on Radio dot com, I 435 00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:25,080 Speaker 1: Heart Radio, and Spotify. I'm Kevin CURRELLI. You're listening to Bloomberg. 436 00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:31,879 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Surley on Bloomberg 437 00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:35,400 Speaker 1: and one oh five point seven f M H D two. 438 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:40,359 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin CURRELLI. Happy Friday Eve, folks. I'm Chief Washington 439 00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:44,600 Speaker 1: correspondent from Boomberg Television Bloomberg Radio. It's time for what's 440 00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:48,840 Speaker 1: become one of my favorite segments to do on the show, 441 00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:51,240 Speaker 1: which is what's on your radar? Here in the when 442 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:52,920 Speaker 1: I was a print reporter, we would always say, empty 443 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 1: out your notebook. My editors, Craig Gordon, he would always say, 444 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:57,920 Speaker 1: empty out your notebook, empty out your notebook. What's in 445 00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:01,400 Speaker 1: the notebook? Uh? And what that means is what's one 446 00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:05,120 Speaker 1: thing that you're following, that you're tracking that maybe isn't 447 00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:09,080 Speaker 1: getting enough news. Greenland's been on my radar, but we 448 00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:12,160 Speaker 1: talked about it earlier because it's just everywhere. Now it's 449 00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:15,840 Speaker 1: on everybody's radar, as the President has said, But here 450 00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:18,679 Speaker 1: with me to find out what's on their radars. Wendy 451 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:22,960 Speaker 1: benjamin'son Bloomberg News politics editor Lewis Miranda, former d n 452 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:25,560 Speaker 1: C communications director. I'm gonna start with you, Louis. What 453 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:28,440 Speaker 1: is on Lewis Miranda's radar? Well, I think Israel should 454 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:30,239 Speaker 1: be on our radar because and not in the way 455 00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:32,320 Speaker 1: that it has been, because I think that Donald Trump's 456 00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:38,000 Speaker 1: divisive effort there to get these two members of the 457 00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:41,000 Speaker 1: squad members of Congress to be uninvited or to be 458 00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,720 Speaker 1: told that they can't come. Um, I think it just 459 00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:46,560 Speaker 1: plays into the politics for both sides. It works for 460 00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 1: for the two congresswomen, it works for him in a 461 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:52,040 Speaker 1: political way. Uh that that is good for their base, 462 00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:54,800 Speaker 1: But ultimately, I think it's bad for Israel. It's bad 463 00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 1: for our relationship for Israel, it's bad for the Jewish 464 00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:00,240 Speaker 1: people generally, I think, in the way that it plays out. 465 00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:03,840 Speaker 1: And so it's just one more example of sinister political 466 00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:07,120 Speaker 1: ploys that that really hurt. President Trump, to your point, 467 00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:12,399 Speaker 1: was asked about this yesterday. Take a listen to what 468 00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 1: President Trump had to say about Israel and the upcoming elections. 469 00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:19,800 Speaker 1: Here is you vote for a Democrat, you're being very 470 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:25,320 Speaker 1: disloyal to Jewish people, and you're being very disloyal to Israel, 471 00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:29,520 Speaker 1: and only weak people would say anything other than the Senator. 472 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:32,880 Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren, who is now a top tier presidential candidate, 473 00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:36,080 Speaker 1: was asked to respond to that while talking briefly to 474 00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:39,440 Speaker 1: reporters after a campaign event in l A last night. 475 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:44,680 Speaker 1: Here's Elizabeth Warren. The President's comments are disgusting. Uh, and 476 00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:48,560 Speaker 1: once again Donald Trump trying to distract from the fact 477 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:54,560 Speaker 1: that he is a failing president by every measure. Lewis 478 00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:57,919 Speaker 1: I mean you here Elizabeth Warren's response to hear what 479 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,560 Speaker 1: the President had to say earlier to the at But 480 00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:05,800 Speaker 1: the President is trying to make aoc the squad Rashida 481 00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:11,399 Speaker 1: talib Alan Omar to be the foreign policy experts of 482 00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:14,800 Speaker 1: the Democratic Party. No, it's a cynical ploy. It's effective, 483 00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:16,480 Speaker 1: I think to a certain degree. Do you think it's 484 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:18,600 Speaker 1: affective their certain degree. I think that there's been enough 485 00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 1: backlash that it's maybe not as wide raging as he 486 00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:22,000 Speaker 1: had hoped there would be. But I think in the 487 00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 1: end there's there's some effect, and it's something that we 488 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:26,760 Speaker 1: have to be um on the lookout for and not 489 00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:30,919 Speaker 1: take debate. I think ultimately, Uh, he is not a 490 00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:34,720 Speaker 1: a honest or genuine in in in how he's talking 491 00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:38,920 Speaker 1: about Israel generally. Um. But I also don't think that 492 00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:40,840 Speaker 1: Ilhan Omar is the best person to be on the 493 00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:42,760 Speaker 1: other side of that. Like I said, I think it 494 00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:45,240 Speaker 1: helps both of their bases and both of them to 495 00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:48,240 Speaker 1: to play up politically, but it's bad ultimately for Israel 496 00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:50,440 Speaker 1: the Jewish people for our relationship with Israel. I think 497 00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:52,800 Speaker 1: it's a U S foreign policy has foreign policy, it's 498 00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:56,920 Speaker 1: I I think that it's going to be fascinating to 499 00:27:56,960 --> 00:28:03,040 Speaker 1: watch how Speaker Nancy Pelosi calculate recalculates all of this 500 00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:06,760 Speaker 1: when lawmakers return from recess, because so much has gone on, 501 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:08,840 Speaker 1: and that will be right around the time of Israeli 502 00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,840 Speaker 1: elections uh as well. So I mean there's a lot 503 00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:14,560 Speaker 1: of moving parts here in terms of just how quickly 504 00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:16,919 Speaker 1: this this situation could evolve. So that's very much on 505 00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:19,600 Speaker 1: your radar. So on my radar as well. The President 506 00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:21,040 Speaker 1: is talking about it, it's out there on the on 507 00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:24,440 Speaker 1: the campaign trail, Wendy Benjaminson, what's on your radar well, 508 00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:28,240 Speaker 1: of course the campaign and discerning who the Democratic presidential 509 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:31,480 Speaker 1: nominee will be. But more interesting to me. This week 510 00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:35,960 Speaker 1: is the burgeoning Republican primary. Yeah Trump, I mean, Trump 511 00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:37,879 Speaker 1: is going to be the nominee. The Party's not going 512 00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,200 Speaker 1: to give any of these guys attention. But but a 513 00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,280 Speaker 1: couple of the people that are either in or thinking 514 00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:46,240 Speaker 1: about it are not ridiculous figures. Former South Carolina Governor 515 00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:51,040 Speaker 1: Mark Sanford, UM possibly Ohio, former Ohio Governor John Kasy. 516 00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:56,080 Speaker 1: These guys, you know, have street cred, and they might 517 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:59,920 Speaker 1: challenge Trump even if Trump is the nominee, if people 518 00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:03,200 Speaker 1: vote for them, and could damage I mean, I think, 519 00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:06,320 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm I'm a reporter, but based upon my 520 00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 1: reporting of everything that I know about trump world, I 521 00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:12,360 Speaker 1: think that he would welcome the opportunity to have a 522 00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:16,400 Speaker 1: nationally televised debate against John Kasick. I think he would too. 523 00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:19,440 Speaker 1: If he wanted to be strategic about it, he would 524 00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:23,760 Speaker 1: completely ignore these guys and never talk. I don't enough 525 00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 1: to remember when he challenged Bernie Sanders to a debate 526 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:30,640 Speaker 1: back during the Democratic primary, when when Bernie couldn't get 527 00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:34,560 Speaker 1: Hillary to go to the more than five years. It 528 00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 1: would have been an interesting debates as they talked so 529 00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:41,240 Speaker 1: similarly about things like TPP and other issues. Right, But no, 530 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:43,720 Speaker 1: I mean, but seriously. I mean, I don't think the 531 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,520 Speaker 1: President Trump's political orbit is taken seriously at all Mark 532 00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:51,760 Speaker 1: Stanford or or John Case nor the Republican Party, but 533 00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:54,360 Speaker 1: it sure makes it interesting. So how what what effect 534 00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:56,960 Speaker 1: could it have though, if they've run as an independent, 535 00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:59,560 Speaker 1: if a CASI where to run as an independent and 536 00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,600 Speaker 1: it shaves off I don't know, like if it gives 537 00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:06,320 Speaker 1: if it gives never Trumpers an alternative to show up 538 00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:09,440 Speaker 1: in November, I think it would give guys like I 539 00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:12,640 Speaker 1: Fred Lewis here Adja. I mean, if there's a three 540 00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,800 Speaker 1: way race, as we saw when Rossboro ran against Clinton 541 00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:19,160 Speaker 1: and Bush was at it um, you know, it divides 542 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:22,200 Speaker 1: the anti Trump vote and that wouldn't be good for Democrats. 543 00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:25,000 Speaker 1: And I see I would have thought the other way. 544 00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:27,720 Speaker 1: I would have thought that if never Trumpers went out 545 00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:30,440 Speaker 1: and voted for the never Trump candidate, that it would 546 00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:34,280 Speaker 1: hurt Trump. But you're saying the Republican primary. But in 547 00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:36,560 Speaker 1: the general, Okay, it's hard to tell how that would kind. 548 00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:38,200 Speaker 1: I mean, if you look at Gary Johnson and Jill 549 00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:42,600 Speaker 1: Stein in the three states Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, their 550 00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:46,920 Speaker 1: vote totals far exceeded Donald Trump's margin of victory where 551 00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:49,880 Speaker 1: he would get maybe ten thousand votes over the top. 552 00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:53,000 Speaker 1: There there was a hundred thousand, hundred thirty thousand vote 553 00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:55,600 Speaker 1: difference in those states. So it cost Hillary. It cost 554 00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,360 Speaker 1: Hillary right with Gary Johnson hill Stein, I can see 555 00:30:58,360 --> 00:30:59,800 Speaker 1: that what you're saying. I hadn't thought of it that way, 556 00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:02,160 Speaker 1: but it could cut both ways on this interesting interesting 557 00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:04,080 Speaker 1: there's a poll out just to stick with the campaign, 558 00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:07,719 Speaker 1: just briefly on Bloomberg's campaign Tracker, which by the way, 559 00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:10,080 Speaker 1: I'm obsessed with. Go to Bloomberg dot com and you 560 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:13,160 Speaker 1: can literally track all of the latest polls and whatnot. Uh. 561 00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:19,480 Speaker 1: Democrats beware, reads the headline from Emma Kinnaries reporting Democrats 562 00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:22,280 Speaker 1: be where a huge majority of Americans believe impeaching Donald 563 00:31:22,280 --> 00:31:24,600 Speaker 1: Trump would fail, and some believe it might even boost 564 00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:28,120 Speaker 1: his re election effort, according to a new mat Mammoth 565 00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:34,040 Speaker 1: University Pole. That's kind of interesting. The survey show of 566 00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:36,400 Speaker 1: respondents believed it would be unlikely that Trump would be 567 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,320 Speaker 1: convicted in the Republican controlled Senate even if he were 568 00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:43,680 Speaker 1: impeached by the Democratic led House. So I mean, Pole 569 00:31:43,760 --> 00:31:47,120 Speaker 1: suggests that they think that impeachment would help, would help 570 00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:48,840 Speaker 1: President Trump. Alright, so that's what's on your right. You 571 00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:51,640 Speaker 1: know what's on my radar. I'm gonna get nerdy because 572 00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:55,000 Speaker 1: I I don't think it's nerdiness, but I think tracking 573 00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:56,800 Speaker 1: this whether or not there's going to be a recession 574 00:31:56,840 --> 00:32:00,160 Speaker 1: is something that every American is is obsessed with then 575 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,880 Speaker 1: and fearful over if there's going to be any type 576 00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:06,200 Speaker 1: of recession. And there's a divide to get into the 577 00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:09,720 Speaker 1: weeds between what the President is saying he wants fed 578 00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:13,360 Speaker 1: Shair J. Powell to do with regards to lowering interest 579 00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:18,400 Speaker 1: rates and what three Federal Reserve policymakers are urging FED 580 00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:20,480 Speaker 1: Chair J. Powell to do. So, talk about being stuck 581 00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:24,000 Speaker 1: in the middle. J Powell now in between President Trump 582 00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:27,120 Speaker 1: who is urging them or is urging him to slash rates, 583 00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:30,960 Speaker 1: and now three Federal Reserve policymakers who are saying they 584 00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:33,520 Speaker 1: are resisting the notion that the U. S economy needs 585 00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:38,040 Speaker 1: lower interest rates. So there's a divide, I mean, talk 586 00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,280 Speaker 1: about it's like I'm having flashbacks to Andrew ross S 587 00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:42,640 Speaker 1: workins too Big to fail about all of the but 588 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:46,160 Speaker 1: this is so incredibly important for whether or not there's 589 00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:49,080 Speaker 1: going to be some type of economic recession and the 590 00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:51,680 Speaker 1: politics of this that we're watching in real time. Or 591 00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:56,080 Speaker 1: President Trump is openly criticizing the central Bank because he 592 00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:58,960 Speaker 1: feels that the central bankers in Europe can be much 593 00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:01,680 Speaker 1: more agile and Asia as well can be much more 594 00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:05,720 Speaker 1: agile in reacting in trained negotiations and what not to 595 00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:10,200 Speaker 1: give their countries a leg up on international negotiations. It's 596 00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:13,200 Speaker 1: fascinating and quite frankly, I think it's going to outlast 597 00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:16,440 Speaker 1: this White House. I think that whomever occupies the White 598 00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:21,720 Speaker 1: House will very much be uh taking this political playbook 599 00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:23,880 Speaker 1: in terms of trying to to put some type of 600 00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:26,640 Speaker 1: pressure on the Central Bank, maybe not via tweet, but 601 00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:32,240 Speaker 1: to influence in the global economy how the US does business. 602 00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:34,640 Speaker 1: That's what's on my radar. Wendy Benjaminson, thanks for being here, 603 00:33:34,680 --> 00:33:38,520 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News twenty Politics editor. Thank you for me happy 604 00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:41,000 Speaker 1: to be here as well. Louis Miranda, former d n 605 00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:46,640 Speaker 1: C Communications director. Always appreciate Louis Miranda coming in our gamer. 606 00:33:46,760 --> 00:33:50,080 Speaker 1: Louis Miranda, former d n C Communications director. You can 607 00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,760 Speaker 1: download the Bloomberg Sound on podcasts on Apple iTunes, at 608 00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:55,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot com or by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. 609 00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:57,440 Speaker 1: You can also find us on radio dot com, I 610 00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:00,920 Speaker 1: Heart Radio, and Spotify. I'm Kevin sirelire listening to Bloomberg 611 00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:06,680 Speaker 1: one h