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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by DraftKings. The crown is yours.

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Speaker 1: We are an Action Network podcast. I'm Brandon Kravitz and

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Speaker 1: the crew is back together on this fine Tuesday morning.

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Speaker 1: Kendra Middleton and the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, Stucky

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Speaker 1: is here as well. On today's episode, We've got our

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Speaker 1: plant the Flag game for week eleven. A Thursday night

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Speaker 1: preview that ought to be quick because that game is

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Speaker 1: kind of gross, and of course the main event Evans

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Speaker 1: Tuesday primer. Phenomenal night of football last night, a true

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Speaker 1: throwbacks looby knocker, and one that netted me some cheese

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Speaker 1: along the way, both literally and figuratively. Now, Kendra, the

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Speaker 1: touchdown props did let us down last night. You and

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Speaker 1: Evan handled things quite well on the Sunday night recap show.

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Speaker 2: But what are you feel we.

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Speaker 1: Learned from that ten to seven slugfest on ABC Slash ESPN.

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Speaker 3: I learned that maybe these bitch ass billionaires are right.

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Speaker 4: YouTube TV was right.

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Speaker 3: I didn't need to watch that game last night. They

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Speaker 3: saved me, low key from having to sit down and

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Speaker 3: watch that on my couch.

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Speaker 4: Instead.

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Speaker 3: I made bagels and banana bread and that was a

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Speaker 3: better use of my time than really sitting there intensely

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Speaker 3: watching that game because it was ass.

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Speaker 1: I'm a YouTube TV subscriber. I wasn't able to sit

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Speaker 1: back and watch it last night. I'm boycotting the ESPN dispute.

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Speaker 1: Eventually I will have to give in, Thankfully. I was

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Speaker 1: working a magic game last night, so I wasn't sitting

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Speaker 1: on the couch debating how I want to spend my

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Speaker 1: thirty dollars that ESPN is trying to get from us.

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Speaker 3: But it's twenty dollars and also fun fact, you have

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Speaker 3: to go in to your account and activate it.

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Speaker 4: You don't actually just get it.

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Speaker 3: You have to go on your desktop and activate the

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Speaker 3: coupon you.

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Speaker 1: Well that's but that's just for the They just give

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Speaker 1: you twenty dollars. They're not giving us ESPN. I want

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Speaker 1: the network. I don't want their money.

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Speaker 2: Stucky. What'd you take away from last night?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, for I was a great call by you, you

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Speaker 5: got a terrible bet by me. I mean, I don't

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Speaker 5: care about losing a bet. Things happen in a football game,

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Speaker 5: but like always want to get the best of the line,

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Speaker 5: so didn't there. It was probably my worst week of NFL.

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Speaker 5: I also, it was a trade deadline week. I know

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Speaker 5: better than the bet early Sometimes I bet the Falcons

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Speaker 5: plus six could have gotten a six and a half

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Speaker 5: if it was by six in overtime. So just some

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Speaker 5: terrible bets made across the board. But yeah, I thought

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Speaker 5: the Eagles were the slightly better team. I mean, no

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Speaker 5: one did anything. I mean, I can't remember the NFL

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Speaker 5: being this boring in a long long time. That's just

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Speaker 5: the bottom, not not even I'll get to that game

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Speaker 5: in Secon, but just the bottom of the league right

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Speaker 5: now is so bad and it's creating way too many

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Speaker 5: uncompetitive games. But yeah, I thought both offenses were ugly.

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Speaker 5: The Eagles offense still looks broken. The play calling is

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Speaker 5: not creative. They're running it too much. And then the

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Speaker 5: Packers did the same. I get that Jenkins left the game,

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Speaker 5: there was no golden I underestimated the loss of Craft

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Speaker 5: not only in the receiving game, but also what he

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Speaker 5: does in other facets. And then they lost Dobbs at

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Speaker 5: the end, and you're throwing to bo Melton too much.

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Speaker 5: But I thought that the Packers were just poorly coached

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Speaker 5: throughout the whole game. On offense, I mean, you have

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Speaker 5: a fourth and one. It's kind of ironic. This happened

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Speaker 5: against the Eagles, a fourth and one where you false start.

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Speaker 5: You had a long play to Christian Watson which took

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Speaker 5: away a score. They were it was an illegal formation.

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Speaker 5: They had an illegal formation on the fourth down on

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Speaker 5: that to end the game before they ended up getting

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Speaker 5: the ball back. But on that play, I mean the

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Speaker 5: Eagles were calling out the play. They were saying, inside zone.

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Speaker 5: You're running an inside zone fourth and one from shotgun

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Speaker 5: without your starting center in there. Get up and sneak

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Speaker 5: it or do something else and then and then you

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Speaker 5: have you have the floor. Who I love Brandon McManus

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Speaker 5: has done. He's I think he's three of nine from

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Speaker 5: forty plus this year. I get he was like five

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Speaker 5: yards away on the first kick, but he's not making

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Speaker 5: a sixty four yard or outdoors in Lambeau and he's bomb.

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Speaker 4: Leg His career is sixty one.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, that was probably in Denver in his prime though.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, and there was there was some win that was

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Speaker 5: apparently going with them, but like it swirls and I

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Speaker 5: thought that was a horrible decision. So yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 5: the thing is with the Packers right now, they have

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Speaker 5: to figure out their offense. So like, what do you

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Speaker 5: do the Eagles that basically were inviting them to run

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Speaker 5: the ball the entire game, and they obliged. There was

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Speaker 5: way too many early down runs and they kind of

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Speaker 5: played right. I get the the no craft and injuries

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Speaker 5: oft receiver, but there were opportunities downfield that they're whenever

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Speaker 5: they did try to throw it and they either didn't

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Speaker 5: make the player didn't do it often enough. But they

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Speaker 5: have to figure out the offense because this defense right

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Speaker 5: now is playing at a super Bowl caliber level. I mean,

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Speaker 5: you look at some of their losses this year. They

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Speaker 5: think they have three losses where they haven't allowed more

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Speaker 5: than two scores on the year. So like, you have

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Speaker 5: to you only allow ten points in that game at home,

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Speaker 5: I don't care about the injuries. You have to you

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Speaker 5: have to find a way to score more than seven

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Speaker 5: points at home. So yeah, they have some soul searching

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Speaker 5: to do. I didn't think Laflour called a great game.

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Speaker 5: So the defense is a super Bowl caliber but the

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Speaker 5: special team certainly is in right now, and then the

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Speaker 5: offense isn't and you're they're gonna have to get more

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Speaker 5: creative without Craft. Now this week, it probably won't hurt them.

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Speaker 5: You're going up against the Giants run defense, so you

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Speaker 5: can get away with all these early down runs most likely.

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Speaker 5: But I mean, if you want to make a real run,

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Speaker 5: this offense has to figure some things out. It will

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Speaker 5: also help when their wide receivers get healthy. But I

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Speaker 5: definitely underestimated the loss of Craft, but was disappointing just

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Speaker 5: coaching effort, I thought from the floor and the Packers

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Speaker 5: all around, and then the Eagles still have questions on offense.

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Speaker 5: But I did think I was really impressed with the

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Speaker 5: Eagles defense been a pretty average unit all year. The

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Speaker 5: addition of Phillips, I thought was big. I thought he

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Speaker 5: played really well, gave him, gave them some extra juice

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Speaker 5: off the edge. So I thought Roseman did a really

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Speaker 5: nice job, which usually does with the addition of Phillips.

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Speaker 5: I think he raises the floor of that defense. So

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Speaker 5: he had big win for the Eagles, is huge in

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Speaker 5: the NFC standings. And then you look like that game

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Speaker 5: was so much more important for the Packers because look

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Speaker 5: at their division, it's going to be an all out

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Speaker 5: warthrount and then look at the Eagles division. I mean,

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Speaker 5: the Commanders have basically quit on the season, and they

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Speaker 5: have I don't even know who they have left on

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Speaker 5: the roster. The Giants just fired their coach. I mean,

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Speaker 5: the Cowboys have a historically bad defense. It's night and

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Speaker 5: day when you compare the NFC East and the NFC North.

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Speaker 5: So that game was a big, big swing for the

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Speaker 5: Packers and gets the Eagles even more breathing room as

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Speaker 5: they try to go after that one seed.

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Speaker 3: We're missing the most important, slash insane part of the evening.

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Speaker 3: This is the revenge of the touch push game. The

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Speaker 3: Packers are the people who wanted to ban the touch

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Speaker 3: push after the most after the postseason last year, and

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Speaker 3: the Eagles on the touch push go early, don't get

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Speaker 3: the call, and then a couple of plays later, the

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Speaker 3: Packers go early and they call it on the Packers.

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Speaker 4: It's just flat out comedy comedy.

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Speaker 5: Just did the Packers go for a fall start too?

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Speaker 5: But they didn't call up right? I don't understand why

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Speaker 5: they can't see this, Why they can't see it so obvious.

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Speaker 2: I mean, the guys in the booth are calling it out.

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Speaker 4: It's the band fans.

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Speaker 5: I'm not even like half paying attention to a game.

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Speaker 5: If there's another game on another screen, I can see it,

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Speaker 5: like not even like, but you're looking right down the line.

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Speaker 5: I don't understand why I can't catch it. That might

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Speaker 5: end up being the downfall of the touchbush. I'm not

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Speaker 5: four banning plays, but if they can't officiate it correctly,

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Speaker 5: and I don't know why, I gotta ask a raf

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Speaker 5: why it seems so obvious that you would be able

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Speaker 5: to Yeah, that's the only thing you're looking for. You're

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Speaker 5: just looking down the line and you're seeing if anyone come.

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Speaker 5: And sometimes when the Eagles do it, it's like so obvious.

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Speaker 5: The guards are like shooting past before the balls even snap.

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Speaker 5: So I don't know why they can't get right. They

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Speaker 5: missed one on both teams.

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Speaker 4: It's embarrassing. It's so embarrassing.

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Speaker 3: And it's just the fact that, of course it happens

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Speaker 3: in that game, and the fans are catching onto it too,

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Speaker 3: Like you know, it's an issue when the fans are

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Speaker 3: officiating a game better than your zebras, like heard them, goodell,

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Speaker 3: what are we doing?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Pretty ugly, especially as you mentioned, in a game that

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Speaker 1: is ten to seven. We saw very little offense on

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Speaker 1: both sides to get to our main dish.

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Speaker 2: You mentioned it, Stucky.

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Speaker 1: The Giants fired their head coach, Brian daball is out.

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Speaker 1: They host the Packers this week, so a nice little

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Speaker 1: get right for Green Bay perhaps in store.

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Speaker 2: First question is was it the right move?

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Speaker 1: Day Ball has started the last three seasons two and eight,

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Speaker 1: but they had something cooking with Jackson Dart and they're

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Speaker 1: missing half of their functional players on this team. Do

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Speaker 1: you improve the move, Stucky?

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Speaker 5: I mean yeah, I could see it. It's just the

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Speaker 5: fact that the fact that they kept I mean they

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Speaker 5: had I think I was reading it was a one

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Speaker 5: and sixty thousand chants. If you just go based on

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Speaker 5: the highest the maximum win probability that the Giants had

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Speaker 5: in the Broncos game, the Bears game, and the Cowboys game,

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Speaker 5: it's like a one in sixty thousand chance that they

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Speaker 5: lost all three of those games. A lot of that

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Speaker 5: has to fall back on the coach. I thought kicking

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Speaker 5: the field goal this past week was bad. Yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 5: he's he's always Pagoma, but he's like losing his mind

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Speaker 5: on the sidelines every week. So I can see why

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Speaker 5: a change had to be made. I could see the

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Speaker 5: argument for both sides, but he got dealt a bad

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Speaker 5: hand this year with all the injuries, and uh, he

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Speaker 5: walked into a bad situation. Was coach of the Year

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Speaker 5: his first year. It's pretty wild one went to the playoffs.

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Speaker 4: Daniel Jones.

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Speaker 1: Two questions. I want to I want to spin off

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Speaker 1: on this for a second. With the day ball stuff.

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Speaker 1: Jackson Dart has now been in the blue medical tent

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Speaker 1: for concussions twice.

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Speaker 2: I wonder how much twice?

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Speaker 4: I thought three times?

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Speaker 2: Is it three? Okay?

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Speaker 1: I mean I have two that are I could be

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Speaker 1: probably imprinted into my head.

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Speaker 2: It could be three.

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Speaker 1: But we were two very notable, the one this past

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Speaker 1: weekend and then the one where Brian Daball goes.

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Speaker 2: Get the fuck out here. I don't want Wilson flaying quarterback.

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Speaker 1: And then you also have the success of Daniel Jones

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Speaker 1: on the Indianapolis side, and I feel like some of

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Speaker 1: the criticism towards Brian Daball is, you know, you got

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Speaker 1: a little bit out.

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Speaker 2: Of them, but you didn't get this. Kendra.

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Speaker 1: Do you think either of those has anything to do

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Speaker 1: with Brian Daball getting fired, Daniel Jones success or not

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Speaker 1: keeping your quarterback healthy?

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Speaker 3: I wouldn't say it's the not keeping your quarterback healthy

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Speaker 3: thing or the Daniel Jones thing like for sure, because

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Speaker 3: we see quarterbacks go elsewhere and succeed all the time

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Speaker 3: and their prior coaches not lose their job. For me,

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Speaker 3: I think it's not the keeping your quarterback healthy so

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Speaker 3: much beat it's the way he handled that first potential

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Speaker 3: concussion that he had by going in the tent, letting

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Speaker 3: Scattabo go in there.

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Speaker 4: You can't go twenty and.

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Speaker 3: Forty as a head coach and keep your job despite

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Speaker 3: all of the injuries. I think it was just the

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Speaker 3: easiest time for them to have an out on him.

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Speaker 3: But I wouldn't say it's that you can't keep your

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Speaker 3: quarterback healthy. It's more so just how you handled your

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Speaker 3: quarterback not being healthy and being on professional going in

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Speaker 3: the tent yelling at people. I think it was just

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Speaker 3: more of an out and they needed the reason more

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Speaker 3: than anything else.

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Speaker 1: From a betable perspective, the Packers were eight point favorites

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Speaker 1: last night in the look Ahead.

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Speaker 2: They're now sitting at seven and a half.

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Speaker 4: I go back to the.

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Speaker 3: Firedhead Coe Jangle, you can it's the perfect bounce back

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Speaker 3: spot for Green Bay and I do expect them to

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Speaker 3: absolutely just beat the crap out of them.

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Speaker 2: They should.

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Speaker 5: Whatever you might have packed ross, we don't know darts exactly.

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Speaker 4: I want to speak Jamis. I think this is Jamis.

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Speaker 4: I will absolutely be in on this number.

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Speaker 2: This is my teaser of the week.

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Speaker 1: I have the Green Bay Packers down to one and

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Speaker 1: a half, Lions up to seven and a half. It

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Speaker 1: is sort of a it's a Monday Night football response here.

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Speaker 1: The Packers very much in a bounce back spot and

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Speaker 1: Lions Eagles not much separation there. The Eagles obviously have

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Speaker 1: issues winning by much, so getting the Lions a plus

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Speaker 1: seven and a half would feel like a gift. That

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Speaker 1: would be my way of playing into this. I will

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Speaker 1: not be playing either in a straight bet formula. What

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Speaker 1: about you, stuck.

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Speaker 3: I think the Lions are so much better than the

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Speaker 3: Eagles right now.

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Speaker 5: I mean the Eagles are just they just find ways.

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Speaker 2: They find ways that is ugly up the game.

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Speaker 5: What are they sick? They're six and one in one

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Speaker 5: possession games now like they just but they will have

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Speaker 5: a they have a half any time they play a

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Speaker 5: competent opponent, they still have like a half where they

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Speaker 5: don't score which is very concerning. But I think their

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Speaker 5: defense is playing a lot better now coming out of

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Speaker 5: the bye. I will say, and I don't know how

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Speaker 5: much I can take from the Lions game, like that

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Speaker 5: was one of the sad I mean you had commanders,

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Speaker 5: were guys throwing punches getting thrown out, like there was

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Speaker 5: some quid there, which was very not that they have

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Speaker 5: much left on that defense, but.

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Speaker 1: It is dan Quinn's calling plays on defense too, so

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Speaker 1: they're making the coaching change. That's always the last line

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Speaker 1: of defense.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean that the Lions did. I I talked

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Speaker 5: about this last week about how the Lion's offense has

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Speaker 5: been in the tank for a month and they made

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Speaker 5: a change at play caller which was noteworthy. I don't know, like, Okay,

287
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Speaker 5: did that help things or was is the Washington defense

288
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Speaker 5: that bad? It could be a little bit of both.

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Speaker 5: As far as the Packers, I mean, you do have

290
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Speaker 5: to look at the INDRT, like who's going to be

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Speaker 5: healthy at wide receiver. She saw Dubs leave, Golden was hurt.

292
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Speaker 5: There's no craft so like just the the ceiling of

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Speaker 5: the passing attack right now is pretty low. Now they

294
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Speaker 5: should be able to just line up and run it

295
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Speaker 5: with Jacob's lot because the Giants run dye is so bad, but.

296
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Speaker 4: They maybe Michael Parsons cursed. Has anybody considered this?

297
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Speaker 2: I would, I would consider you for considering this, But yeah,

298
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Speaker 2: I don't.

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Speaker 5: I don't want to back Ross like there is some

300
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Speaker 5: thing to the new coach, a new coach, and historically

301
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Speaker 5: it's like a little bit of a bump. It's not overwhelming,

302
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Speaker 5: and a lot of times that's like, hey, here's our

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Speaker 5: new wrinkles, right, and it's something that the team isn't

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Speaker 5: prepared for. Now you have a team on a short

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Speaker 5: week going on the road, facing team and new coach.

306
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Speaker 5: But if you have Russell Wilson, like you could, there's

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Speaker 5: a lot of different new wrinkles that you could do

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Speaker 5: with Dart, Like what what are you doing with Russ back?

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Speaker 2: That guy?

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Speaker 4: Please be Jamis Jamis? Yeah, I gives him a better chance.

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Speaker 1: I would think, so, I mean, it can't get any worse.

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Speaker 1: Russ is so washed, but I but maybe with a

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Speaker 1: new coaching staff, that's the way they look. But day

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Speaker 1: Ball clearly had something against Jamis ever seeing the field.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, that is something I watched for sure, because I

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Speaker 5: think I would start Jamis as well. I mean it's

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Speaker 5: just especially as a dog like you just we Russ

318
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Speaker 5: just doesn't have it anymore.

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Speaker 4: James James the least athletic.

320
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Speaker 5: He might throw a couple of picks, but he has

321
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Speaker 5: a better chance of throwing some touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: And flank future all week in the locker room and

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Speaker 3: start Jamis.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: He Ross's career ended on that officially, and that Chiefs

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Speaker 5: game when he threw into the tunnel three times.

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Speaker 4: I forgot about that. It's like fucking somebody's down their

328
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Speaker 4: ball with nobody down there. It's just like vintage Ross.

329
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Speaker 5: Yeah, so that I would I would go Winton too,

330
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Speaker 5: but that's certainly worth keeping an eye on.

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Speaker 3: Oh god, I making fun of Russell Wilson is so easy,

332
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Speaker 3: but it's so fun.

333
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Speaker 5: Yeah, but I agree with you Brandon that it's a

334
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Speaker 5: it's a Packers are definitely an intriguing teaser piece.

335
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Speaker 1: Let's get to one more news item, and we've got

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Speaker 1: Thursday night football to break down as well. Plant the

337
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Speaker 1: flag coming up, Evans Primer Burrow back at practice. He's

338
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Speaker 1: not gonna play this week. They take on the Steelers.

339
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Speaker 1: He's eyeing a Turkey Day return. The Bengals do play

340
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Speaker 1: on Thanksgiving, he wants to play.

341
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Speaker 2: This is wild.

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Speaker 1: I'm not saying it's the greatest bet in the world,

343
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Speaker 1: but perhaps worth the slightest sprinkle. The Bengals right now

344
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Speaker 1: are one twenty to one to win the AFC. The Ravens,

345
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Speaker 1: who are one game in front of them, are plus

346
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Speaker 1: six point fifty. Now, obviously, if we're playing prediction mode,

347
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Speaker 1: of which do you expect to win the AFC, if

348
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Speaker 1: you had to pick one, we'd all pick the Ravens.

349
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Speaker 1: But the price is wildly different. Any interest here as

350
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Speaker 1: crazy as it is stucky.

351
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Speaker 5: No, I mean that defense isn't getting fixed, and then

352
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Speaker 5: you're gonna burrow like we've seen Burrow. It's like I

353
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Speaker 5: bought some Ravens future and division when at the bottom

354
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Speaker 5: before the Miami game, and I mean before the Bears game,

355
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Speaker 5: and luckily Tyler Huntley won that game. But I don't

356
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Speaker 5: like to see the Barrows potentially coming back for that week.

357
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Speaker 5: That's when he would have to come back Thanksgiving. Otherwise

358
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Speaker 5: his season would be over because they just opened his window.

359
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Speaker 5: But they played the Ravens twice in three weeks. But

360
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Speaker 5: I mean, like right now, the offense isn't the problem,

361
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Speaker 5: like how much more can Burrow do? Like it's it's

362
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Speaker 5: the defense, it's the offensive line. But like they just

363
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Speaker 5: they've lost games over the past two weeks where they

364
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Speaker 5: scored thirty eight and forty two points and they played

365
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Speaker 5: the Jets and the Bears. These aren't like the number

366
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Speaker 5: one offenses in the league. So I just don't think

367
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Speaker 5: that they can with that defense. And then you have

368
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Speaker 5: to remember, I mean, they only they have three wins

369
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Speaker 5: right now. They're gonna be dogs at the Steelers, they

370
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Speaker 5: get the Pats, and they're at the Ravens, they're at

371
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Speaker 5: the Bills or the Ravens. Again, that's gonna be tough

372
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Speaker 5: because The're gonna have to go on a run like

373
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Speaker 5: now before Burrow gets back. And then you also have

374
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Speaker 5: to remember, like in the past, when Burrows come back

375
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Speaker 5: or I should say just like started the season, he's

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Speaker 5: not this year, but in prior seasons he's usually dealt

377
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Speaker 5: with an injury and like hasn't played in the preseason

378
00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:11,880
Speaker 5: or like hasn't been practicing, And then you saw those

379
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:15,200
Speaker 5: first couple of games that it takes them some time

380
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Speaker 5: to get going. So number one, we don't know the

381
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Speaker 5: rust and we don't know like it will be one

382
00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:25,159
Speaker 5: hundred percent healthy. So I mean, if you wanted to

383
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Speaker 5: throw some couchs change on it, I wouldn't.

384
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Speaker 2: It's not like I mean two bucks on that toy.

385
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Speaker 5: I would. I can't get too mad at you, but

386
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Speaker 5: it's just the defense. Like I just can't see them

387
00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:38,320
Speaker 5: ever finding out a way to get enough stops because

388
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:42,120
Speaker 5: and like, yeah, Barrow coming back is a boost, it's

389
00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,600
Speaker 5: not like scoring a week.

390
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Speaker 1: And the argument for whether it's them or or anybody

391
00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:52,399
Speaker 1: where you're getting shorter odds than one that's probably just

392
00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:54,640
Speaker 1: going to be a waste of your time is that

393
00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:58,520
Speaker 1: the AFC is kind of sketchy this year. I do

394
00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:00,639
Speaker 1: feel like now would be a good time. That's the

395
00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:03,080
Speaker 1: wildest bet that you can make among teams that have

396
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Speaker 1: any sort of opportunity to make it out of the conference.

397
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Speaker 1: But I do think right now is a good chance

398
00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:12,080
Speaker 1: to look at the board over on DraftKings and see

399
00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:14,240
Speaker 1: is there somebody that you believe in that you feel

400
00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:16,640
Speaker 1: like you're getting a long number on Kendra, I'm gonna

401
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,480
Speaker 1: throw some at you. Tell me which bet you'd be

402
00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:21,200
Speaker 1: willing to make. This is just a gut reaction doesn't

403
00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:23,040
Speaker 1: mean that you have to go placing it in the app.

404
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:27,000
Speaker 1: Jags sixty to one, not expecting a guess on that,

405
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:32,520
Speaker 1: Chargers eleven to one, Patriots seven to one, the Colts

406
00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:34,680
Speaker 1: are plus four to twenty five. Do any of those

407
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,880
Speaker 1: sound intriguing as far as just simply making it out

408
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:38,639
Speaker 1: of the conference.

409
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:42,960
Speaker 4: Probably the Chargers. I have a Chargers.

410
00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:46,320
Speaker 3: Bet like plus one fifty one twenty something like that

411
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:48,520
Speaker 3: preseason for them to make the playoffs. So I've really

412
00:20:48,560 --> 00:20:50,560
Speaker 3: been on the Chargers bandwagon for a minute, and I

413
00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:52,200
Speaker 3: don't think I'm ready to get off of it yet.

414
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:56,600
Speaker 3: My only issue is that justin Herbert in the postseason,

415
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Speaker 3: absolute joke artist, give clutch geen.

416
00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:03,720
Speaker 4: That's my issue. You can get he can get you there.

417
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:04,280
Speaker 4: I don't.

418
00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 3: I don't know how far he can get you in

419
00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:07,680
Speaker 3: the postseason. That's my big issue with him. But probably

420
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:10,760
Speaker 3: the Chargers. I get that everybody and their mom loves

421
00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:14,000
Speaker 3: the Patriots right now, especially up here, like and deservingly

422
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:14,960
Speaker 3: so they.

423
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Speaker 1: I can only imagine what sportstock radio is like in

424
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:17,560
Speaker 1: your area.

425
00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:21,160
Speaker 3: Oh my god, they deserve all their flowers right now.

426
00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:23,080
Speaker 3: But there's no way they stay this healthy. There's no

427
00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:25,320
Speaker 3: way this trajectory continues. They just don't have the talent,

428
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:27,280
Speaker 3: Like you can stay healthy and that can get you

429
00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:30,639
Speaker 3: so far. And yes, Drake May is incredible, Like injury

430
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,200
Speaker 3: come for all of us, and when that happens to them,

431
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 3: like they just don't have the depth at all to

432
00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:40,880
Speaker 3: back up anybody. Like God forbid, one person goes down,

433
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 3: They're they're obliterated. I just I can't get behind the

434
00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:46,480
Speaker 3: Patriots of those options. For me, I have to continue

435
00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,639
Speaker 3: to ride my Chargers bandwagon. Even though Lad McConkie is

436
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:50,399
Speaker 3: still in jail.

437
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:54,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, he's looked good, but maybe he'll break

438
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:55,760
Speaker 1: out this week.

439
00:21:56,440 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 2: He's dead to me, he's reached dead loss.

440
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,040
Speaker 1: So we're beyond bet jail. We are now in bet

441
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:03,080
Speaker 1: death with lad McConkie.

442
00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:07,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, me and me and Ladd McConkie were he's he's

443
00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:07,960
Speaker 3: halfway in the grave.

444
00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:11,080
Speaker 1: For me, it's six feet under mine would be the

445
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 1: Texans at thirty five to one. If you have the

446
00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:17,000
Speaker 1: best defense in the NFL. Well, I know it's not

447
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:19,080
Speaker 1: pretty thirty five to one for the best defense in

448
00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:21,879
Speaker 1: the AFC. They just shut teams down in the postseason.

449
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:22,960
Speaker 2: They could get that.

450
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 4: I don't even think they're going to make it out

451
00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 4: of no I mean.

452
00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:26,880
Speaker 2: They'd have to make the playoffs first.

453
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:29,320
Speaker 5: But we're about to get to the one case I

454
00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:31,680
Speaker 5: will make for the Patriots, though, just I'll say it

455
00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:35,400
Speaker 5: is that the Chargers, I just I don't know if

456
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:39,000
Speaker 5: they can go on a run with their offensive line

457
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 5: the current state of it. We'll see. But the one

458
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:45,720
Speaker 5: thing I'll say about the Patriots, like what happened this weekend.

459
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:49,560
Speaker 5: It was huge for them and their chances at getting

460
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:52,480
Speaker 5: the one seed. And I mean, you got Denver as

461
00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:54,800
Speaker 5: the Chiefs coming up a couple of times this week

462
00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 5: or in the next month, and the Patriots now eight

463
00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:02,640
Speaker 5: and two. They've had one of these schedules, but guess what,

464
00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:06,480
Speaker 5: their schedule doesn't get much more difficult. The Bills lost,

465
00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:10,360
Speaker 5: and that there are two games ahead with one game

466
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:15,240
Speaker 5: in hand, and there's a good chance that the Patriots

467
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:16,680
Speaker 5: are gonna be right there for the one seed, which

468
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:19,440
Speaker 5: is obviously massive. And then you get that highly coveted

469
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 5: by and right now it's I mean, you look at

470
00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:26,720
Speaker 5: that game on Sunday from an efficiency standpoint, wasn't great.

471
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:30,000
Speaker 5: But every week it's Drake May and that deep ball

472
00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:34,600
Speaker 5: is like a cheap code for this offense, and he

473
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:37,520
Speaker 5: can continues to play extremely well. But like they have

474
00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:40,360
Speaker 5: the Jets at home this week, and the Bengals, then

475
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:41,719
Speaker 5: the Giants.

476
00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:44,560
Speaker 1: And their schedule has been so soft, and it just

477
00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:45,720
Speaker 1: continues to get softer.

478
00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:47,880
Speaker 5: Yeah it might, but it might save them a game,

479
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:50,440
Speaker 5: and it might give them home field, and.

480
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:52,520
Speaker 1: They do have some impressive wins, and beating the Bucks

481
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:53,479
Speaker 1: is nothing to sneeze at.

482
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 2: They got to the win again, you have to.

483
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,879
Speaker 5: Give them credit. But yeah, it's May is May has

484
00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:05,560
Speaker 5: played really well and that this weekend did a lot

485
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 5: for their potential to get that one seat and give

486
00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:10,120
Speaker 5: them breathing room in the division as well.

487
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:12,439
Speaker 4: Are we buying his MVP odds?

488
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:13,960
Speaker 3: I know that at the beginning of the season they're

489
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:16,320
Speaker 3: like eighty or ninety to one or something outrageous like that,

490
00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 3: And now he's I don't know if it's him or

491
00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:19,840
Speaker 3: Stafford right now, probably him.

492
00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:23,000
Speaker 1: Stafford is the favorite as it stands right now, I

493
00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:25,600
Speaker 1: would just lay a bet on Jonathan Taylor and hope

494
00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:28,720
Speaker 1: that the narrative gets so loud around him that we

495
00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:33,200
Speaker 1: actually go anti quarterback here as far as the number goes.

496
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 2: I want to see it.

497
00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:38,200
Speaker 4: I just want to I wanted to not be a

498
00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:39,159
Speaker 4: quarterback award.

499
00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:41,200
Speaker 3: I just if they didn't give it a saque last year,

500
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:43,480
Speaker 3: it's hard for me to get there in my brain.

501
00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 2: Yeah.

502
00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:47,760
Speaker 1: Maybe maybe maybe that shook uh, maybe that shook some

503
00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:49,879
Speaker 1: people into thinking maybe we should get start giving this

504
00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:51,720
Speaker 1: to a running back. About to take a look at

505
00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:54,080
Speaker 1: Thursday Night football? Should we be laying it with the

506
00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:56,479
Speaker 1: New England Patriots. But first a word from our very

507
00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:58,720
Speaker 1: own Kendra as we chat about DraftKings.

508
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:02,360
Speaker 4: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by Draftking Sports Book and

509
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:05,199
Speaker 4: in partnership with DraftKings. Favorites listeners get a great offer

510
00:25:05,560 --> 00:25:05,960
Speaker 4: right now.

511
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:08,720
Speaker 3: New customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred

512
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,200
Speaker 3: dollars back in bonus bet if your bet wins, and

513
00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:14,159
Speaker 3: three months of NBA League Pass to new customers to

514
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:16,679
Speaker 3: get started to use promo code Favorites when signing up

515
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:19,960
Speaker 3: with DraftKings. That's promo Code Favorites when signing up with

516
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 3: DraftKings for three months of NBA League Pass and three

517
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:25,159
Speaker 3: hundred dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins,

518
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 3: the crown.

519
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:27,679
Speaker 4: Is yours stuck.

520
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:30,280
Speaker 1: Before we get the Thursday Night Football. You are our

521
00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:34,000
Speaker 1: resident maction expert a couple of games tonight, give us

522
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:37,159
Speaker 1: a pick. Explain the handicap in NFL terms.

523
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:50,920
Speaker 6: For tonight, we can go Western Michigan.

524
00:25:51,040 --> 00:25:53,280
Speaker 5: I don't know if if there's still any dog prices

525
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 5: out there against Ohio. Ohio is they're kind of like

526
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:02,399
Speaker 5: the current state of the Broncos in a way, and

527
00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:05,920
Speaker 5: they've had some fortunate wins. They should have lost last

528
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:09,320
Speaker 5: week Western Michigan at home, coming off of bye. It's

529
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:13,320
Speaker 5: a good spot. They had the better defense, and after

530
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:16,119
Speaker 5: what the mac refs did to my of Ohio last week,

531
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:21,720
Speaker 5: hopefully Ohio has some something coming to them this week.

532
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,640
Speaker 5: But yeah, I like the Western Michigan defense, and then

533
00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:28,360
Speaker 5: their offense isn't great, but I think they can run

534
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:31,920
Speaker 5: the ball here. It's a very weak Ohio defense, and

535
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:35,560
Speaker 5: I think they're a better team overall at home. So

536
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:40,680
Speaker 5: we can go with the Broncos. No, and yeah, we're

537
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:43,040
Speaker 5: going with the Broncos against the college Broncos.

538
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:49,080
Speaker 2: Are you serious? You gotta love it? And Sucky got

539
00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:49,720
Speaker 2: ahead of it there.

540
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,240
Speaker 1: You got a plus one in the app now sitting

541
00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:55,119
Speaker 1: at minus one and a half over on DraftKings. If

542
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:58,720
Speaker 1: you need to play for Tuesday Night Jets at Patriots.

543
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 1: Thursday Night Patriots favored by eleven and a half total,

544
00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:05,879
Speaker 1: sitting at forty three. Don't look now, but the Jets

545
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:09,720
Speaker 1: are riding a two game winning streak. Patriots just slightly better.

546
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 1: They've won seven in a row. The Patriots now have

547
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:14,960
Speaker 1: wins over the Bucks and the Bills, as we mentioned,

548
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,960
Speaker 1: but they are riding the good fortune of one of

549
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:20,520
Speaker 1: the easiest schedules in the NFL, and that's not going

550
00:27:20,560 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 1: to change here. We will give them credit though, Not

551
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:25,440
Speaker 1: only do they have a couple of impressive wins seven

552
00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:27,520
Speaker 1: and three against the spread, so they're not just winning

553
00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:31,080
Speaker 1: these games, they are covering in the process. Garrett Wilson

554
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,680
Speaker 1: is likely out three to four weeks, so that's even

555
00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:36,040
Speaker 1: more of a reason to not like the New York

556
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,800
Speaker 1: Jets here. New England is top ten and EPA per

557
00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:42,000
Speaker 1: play on offense. On defense, they're allowing three point six

558
00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:44,280
Speaker 1: yards per carry. All the Jets want to do is

559
00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:47,399
Speaker 1: run the football. This should be a smash spot for

560
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:49,800
Speaker 1: the New England Patriots. If it wasn't for the fact

561
00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:53,400
Speaker 1: that Thursday Night football is weird, I would probably lay

562
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:55,399
Speaker 1: it with New England I might get there. To me,

563
00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:58,240
Speaker 1: it's Pats or pass backing it or benching it.

564
00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:02,119
Speaker 3: What do you say, Kendra, I'm definitely beenching it.

565
00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:05,359
Speaker 4: I want nothing to do with this game whatsoever. I

566
00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:07,240
Speaker 4: the Patriots in my crew. I can't.

567
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:10,280
Speaker 3: I can't get there, Like I can't bet another cent

568
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:14,879
Speaker 3: on the Patriots this year. They just have absolutely decimated me.

569
00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:17,920
Speaker 3: Every time I think they're gonna fall apart, they just somehow.

570
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:19,960
Speaker 4: Get better and better. I don't want anything to do

571
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 4: with the Patriots, but I will say the Jets have

572
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 4: been looking sneaky good, and it's a short week.

573
00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 3: I still don't think the Jets are a good football team,

574
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:30,320
Speaker 3: but I think that they're making decisions to become a

575
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,880
Speaker 3: better football team. I just can't doubt this Patriots team anymore.

576
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 3: They've really, they've really shoved it down my throat. I

577
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:39,080
Speaker 3: I don't know what to say anymore. I can't. I

578
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 3: was wrong, and that's okay.

579
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:42,959
Speaker 2: That's good. Do you gotta take your lumps, Stucky?

580
00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:46,400
Speaker 1: Are you gonna roll with the dirty, disgusting dog in

581
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 1: this game?

582
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:48,800
Speaker 2: Or enough? Completely?

583
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:50,160
Speaker 5: I mean, I think that there might be a chance

584
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:53,280
Speaker 5: to fade the paths sometime coming up this is not

585
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:57,720
Speaker 5: the spot in my opinion. I mean number one, just historically,

586
00:28:57,760 --> 00:29:00,440
Speaker 5: these first time head coaches in their first Thursday game

587
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:03,120
Speaker 5: have been really poor against the spread. I don't know

588
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 5: if Evan has that, but you know, because it's like

589
00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 5: unique prep and they're not used to doing that, and

590
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:12,080
Speaker 5: a lot of times their teams have come out and

591
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:18,560
Speaker 5: gotten smacked. But I don't see how, like what is

592
00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:20,720
Speaker 5: the path for they just got to hope that this

593
00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 5: game is weird or like you're down seventeen, you get

594
00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:26,760
Speaker 5: a backdoor touchdown. But the Jets, like you said, they

595
00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:28,280
Speaker 5: can't throw the ball. I mean they just won a

596
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:31,320
Speaker 5: game where fields went six to eleven for fifty yards.

597
00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 5: They beat the Browns because they had two kick return

598
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:35,080
Speaker 5: They had a kick return and a punt return for

599
00:29:35,120 --> 00:29:36,720
Speaker 5: a touchdown. It's the only reason they won that game.

600
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:42,080
Speaker 5: And then they beat the historically bad Bengals defense. I mean,

601
00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:43,400
Speaker 5: anyone can move the ball and them they were able

602
00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:45,280
Speaker 5: to run the ball there. Well, the Patriots run defense

603
00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:47,400
Speaker 5: is really good. Where you can get them a bit

604
00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 5: is through the air, but it's not the Jets, especially

605
00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:52,960
Speaker 5: without Wilson, So I don't know how they move the

606
00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 5: ball here and it's not like this Jets defense, which

607
00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 5: is now without two of its best players, probably not

608
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:03,560
Speaker 5: gonna I said this last week, it's probably not gonna

609
00:30:03,600 --> 00:30:09,240
Speaker 5: hurt you against the Browns offense outdoors. But even the Browns,

610
00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:11,680
Speaker 5: I mean they put up twenty that's a lot for

611
00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:14,760
Speaker 5: the Browns. The Browns usually don't get past seventeen. So

612
00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 5: I mean Gabriel threw for one to seventy two touchdowns

613
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 5: and they ran for five yards for rush, like, but

614
00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:25,520
Speaker 5: this is the Patriots offense is on another level. So yeah,

615
00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 5: I don't know how. I don't love like laying big

616
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 5: numbers in the NFL like this, but here it's all

617
00:30:33,320 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 5: signs going to the Patriots. I could never bet the

618
00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:38,360
Speaker 5: Jets here. But do you like fourteen and a half?

619
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:40,280
Speaker 2: This?

620
00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:43,640
Speaker 1: This does feel like an SEC team taking on Wafford

621
00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 1: or something like that.

622
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:50,840
Speaker 5: Yeah, like they just the Pats. Rundy is legit, and

623
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:51,440
Speaker 5: even though.

624
00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 4: It's divisional, you still feel like you need fourteen and

625
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:53,800
Speaker 4: a half.

626
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:58,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, just the matchup wise, you got Glenn early, you

627
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 5: don't have Wilson anymore, You've traded two of your best defenders.

628
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:05,400
Speaker 5: I just don't see the path, Like it's just a

629
00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 5: terrible matchup for the Jets on both sides of the ball.

630
00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:15,080
Speaker 5: And this is when you'll really miss Sauce Gardner in

631
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:19,080
Speaker 5: this particular matchup. And I mean the Patriots, however they

632
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:23,440
Speaker 5: want to move the ball, probably can. Also, the Jets

633
00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:26,440
Speaker 5: had other defensive injuries that I don't know who's gonna

634
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:27,720
Speaker 5: play on a short week, but they had a bunch

635
00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:30,280
Speaker 5: of guys get banged up on the defensive line at linebacker.

636
00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 5: One of their new starting cornerbacks got left the game.

637
00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:36,480
Speaker 5: So yeah, I just how do the Jets move the

638
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:39,240
Speaker 5: ball here? And then I don't know how they get

639
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:42,760
Speaker 5: enough stops to keep this close without just like they're

640
00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:44,240
Speaker 5: gonna have to get some turn now. The one thing

641
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:48,680
Speaker 5: that could could change it is the Jets are like

642
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 5: then this is just one football game stuff. But the

643
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:55,240
Speaker 5: Jets are probably the most overdue team in the history

644
00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 5: of the NFL to get like takeaways, so like flukey

645
00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:02,200
Speaker 5: takeaways that could keep them in it. I think on

646
00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:05,360
Speaker 5: the season, like, do they even have an interception yet?

647
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:07,360
Speaker 5: I believe they don't have an interception.

648
00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:10,120
Speaker 4: That would be a crazy stat they don't.

649
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 5: Have an interception.

650
00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:13,320
Speaker 4: What are the odds for them to pick off Drake

651
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 4: May and.

652
00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:19,920
Speaker 5: They're minus minus ten and turnovers. Uh, don't have an

653
00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 5: interception on the season. It's week eleven, like, so that's

654
00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:27,680
Speaker 5: their path, Like they're gonna have to get some overdue

655
00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:30,360
Speaker 5: turnover regression. And but because I don't know how to

656
00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 5: move the ball consistently.

657
00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:33,920
Speaker 3: That might be my play in our barlay on Thursdays

658
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:35,880
Speaker 3: for the Jets to pick off Drake.

659
00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:38,880
Speaker 2: May plus one thirty six. Please don't do that to us.

660
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:39,880
Speaker 4: That's it.

661
00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:45,240
Speaker 2: Yep, damn, It's like the books are ready for you.

662
00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:48,320
Speaker 1: Let's plant our flag presented by DraftKings.

663
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:51,720
Speaker 2: The crown is yours.

664
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 6: Shut up, I'm trying to plant my flag here.

665
00:32:55,480 --> 00:32:58,959
Speaker 1: Okay, you're really planning your flag in that thick Kendra

666
00:32:59,240 --> 00:32:59,959
Speaker 1: get us started.

667
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:00,840
Speaker 2: What are you looking at?

668
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 4: I had two options for this.

669
00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:05,400
Speaker 3: I didn't know if either of you would be thinking

670
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:08,400
Speaker 3: the same thing as me. I only have two bets

671
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:10,480
Speaker 3: in for the week so far. I'm probably only gonna

672
00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:13,120
Speaker 3: put in four or so, so half my bets are

673
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:13,520
Speaker 3: already in.

674
00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:15,280
Speaker 2: But I have been discipline.

675
00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:17,640
Speaker 1: By the way Kendrick does this every single week, I've

676
00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 1: started seeing your betting patterns.

677
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:21,440
Speaker 2: Kendrew's red hot.

678
00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 1: By the way, So for all of you on YouTube

679
00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 1: that talks shit every week, stick it because she's hotter

680
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:27,440
Speaker 1: than all of us.

681
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:30,480
Speaker 2: So job well done by you.

682
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:31,719
Speaker 4: But it's discipline.

683
00:33:31,800 --> 00:33:33,920
Speaker 1: I envy your discipline because I feel like I have

684
00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:35,520
Speaker 1: a bloated sheet every single week.

685
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,400
Speaker 2: But anyway, what are they joking at?

686
00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:40,280
Speaker 3: I think I'm going to go with the Commanders getting

687
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 3: two and a half points against the Dolphins.

688
00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:46,520
Speaker 4: This Dolphins team is just so us. I don't know where.

689
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:49,120
Speaker 4: I guess they got a little bit of the GM bump.

690
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:52,000
Speaker 3: But this Commander's team is bad, but they're not as

691
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:55,160
Speaker 3: bad as this Dolphins team. Even with the injuries the Dolphins,

692
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:57,800
Speaker 3: I just keep expecting week after week for them to

693
00:33:57,800 --> 00:34:01,920
Speaker 3: go belly up and throw the season away because, like

694
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:04,800
Speaker 3: I said last week, they didn't do anything to make

695
00:34:04,840 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 3: themselves better this season or next season. They didn't sell off,

696
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:10,880
Speaker 3: they didn't fire the coach, they haven't benched anybody. I

697
00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:13,400
Speaker 3: guess you could maybe call it the Tyreek hillbump because

698
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 3: he's no longer a cancer on the field while he's

699
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:19,000
Speaker 3: running around out there being a jackass. But still this

700
00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 3: Commander's team getting points. Don't care that it's in Miami.

701
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:27,080
Speaker 3: They just got beat what forty four to twenty two? Yeah,

702
00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 3: oh yeah, it is in Madrid. This is the Madrid game.

703
00:34:29,120 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 3: But still regardless, neutral field, and you're gonna give me

704
00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:32,040
Speaker 3: two and a half points?

705
00:34:32,080 --> 00:34:33,879
Speaker 4: Even better, let's get after it. I like it.

706
00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:39,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, the I was looking at the Commanders as possible teaser,

707
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:41,319
Speaker 1: like getting them up to eight and a half. I

708
00:34:41,480 --> 00:34:44,880
Speaker 1: do not trust the Dolphins to string together performances like this,

709
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:47,600
Speaker 1: especially when they're not playing the underdog role. I feel

710
00:34:47,600 --> 00:34:50,960
Speaker 1: like it would be Commanders or pass for me. I

711
00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:53,439
Speaker 1: don't like these international games. This is our last one,

712
00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:55,759
Speaker 1: by the way, so we don't have to worry about

713
00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:58,360
Speaker 1: that moving forward once we're done with Commanders and Dolphins.

714
00:34:58,640 --> 00:34:59,239
Speaker 2: Okay, see the.

715
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 3: Terry McLaurin jokes about him wanting to just go for

716
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:03,719
Speaker 3: a vacation, Yeah.

717
00:35:03,520 --> 00:35:04,120
Speaker 2: Well I would.

718
00:35:04,560 --> 00:35:07,080
Speaker 1: I'm sure he's gonna enjoy himself in Spain. He doesn't

719
00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:08,880
Speaker 1: have to worry about playing a football game.

720
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 3: Because he's in Spain without the Yes, baby stuck you

721
00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:14,719
Speaker 3: what about you?

722
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:15,719
Speaker 5: What a miserable game?

723
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:19,680
Speaker 2: By the way, hopeful we never give the overseas crowd.

724
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:22,160
Speaker 2: Good game. So well, Colts Falcons was decent.

725
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 4: They deserve it. Stop taking home games away. I hate

726
00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:27,080
Speaker 4: I hate the abroad crap.

727
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:29,360
Speaker 3: I feel like Napoleon Dynamite when I'm just like, no,

728
00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 3: go find your own Go find your own league, Go

729
00:35:31,680 --> 00:35:32,760
Speaker 3: find your own teams.

730
00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:34,319
Speaker 4: Stop taking home games away.

731
00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:36,920
Speaker 3: It takes away revenue, it takes away like jobs from

732
00:35:36,960 --> 00:35:37,640
Speaker 3: local people.

733
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:40,680
Speaker 4: I hate this crap abroad. Leave me alone. I don't

734
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:41,799
Speaker 4: care if I sound walk.

735
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:46,480
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go with the Vikings minus

736
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:51,799
Speaker 5: three at home. I believe it'still minus three. I like

737
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:54,680
Speaker 5: this Bears team has been like the number one of

738
00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 5: their defense is still horrendous, and especially about Gordon and Johnson.

739
00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 5: They can't stop the run. They can't have you can't

740
00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:03,920
Speaker 5: really do anything. And at this Vikings defense, they will

741
00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:08,920
Speaker 5: get pressure, they will fluster Williams into mistakes. I just

742
00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:10,600
Speaker 5: think this is a good spot to sell on the Bears.

743
00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:14,000
Speaker 5: And if you look at the Bears, their wins, so

744
00:36:14,040 --> 00:36:17,360
Speaker 5: their last, let's just look at their last, all their wins.

745
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:19,879
Speaker 5: This year, they beat the Cowboys, it's a really good

746
00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:22,640
Speaker 5: spot at home. Ceedee Lamb went down in that game.

747
00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:26,680
Speaker 5: Then they beat the Raiders by one. I mean they

748
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:28,759
Speaker 5: got out gained by I don't know, two hundred yards

749
00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:30,920
Speaker 5: three yards per play in that game, they beat the

750
00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:34,240
Speaker 5: Commanders by one, got a couple of fumbles in that game.

751
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:36,480
Speaker 5: We know how bad the Commanders have been this year.

752
00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:41,120
Speaker 5: They beat the Saints, they lost to the Ravens with

753
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:44,440
Speaker 5: Tyler Huntley. Then they beat the Bengals on a walk off,

754
00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:47,120
Speaker 5: and they easily should have lost to the Bengals. Then

755
00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:48,960
Speaker 5: they beat the Giants. Probably should have lost that game,

756
00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:51,759
Speaker 5: neither the crazy comeback or three percent win probabilies. This

757
00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:54,279
Speaker 5: team has played such an easy schedule and then every

758
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:57,160
Speaker 5: week someone gets hurt like they've been playing so many

759
00:36:57,160 --> 00:36:59,560
Speaker 5: backup quarterback like Dark gets hurt. Last week they get

760
00:36:59,560 --> 00:37:05,680
Speaker 5: to play Tyler Huntley. They played the Bengals with obviously

761
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:08,799
Speaker 5: with Burrow not there. They played the Saints when you

762
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:12,040
Speaker 5: know Rattler, who's since been benched. So I mean, look

763
00:37:12,040 --> 00:37:14,759
Speaker 5: at this team's schedule. I mean, since starting zero to two,

764
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:20,080
Speaker 5: they have played nothing but clowns. For lack of better word,

765
00:37:20,080 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 5: I mean, look thinking about it, Raiders, Cowboys, Commanders, Saints, Bengals, Giants,

766
00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 5: and then you know they got blown out by the

767
00:37:27,640 --> 00:37:31,000
Speaker 5: Ravens when even without Lamar. So I think this is

768
00:37:31,280 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 5: a good spot to sell the Bears Id McCarthy, even

769
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:40,720
Speaker 5: McCarthy with he's still doesn't look great. But this Bears defense,

770
00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:42,080
Speaker 5: I mean, if the Vikings want to run it, they

771
00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:44,360
Speaker 5: should be able to do that. There's gonna be easy completions,

772
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 5: and I think that the Vikings can create enough chaos

773
00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:49,520
Speaker 5: with Caleb running around. I mean, Kayla's been doing this

774
00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:52,440
Speaker 5: against their run game has been very good. I'll give

775
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:55,120
Speaker 5: them that, But you just watch the Bears offense with

776
00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:57,440
Speaker 5: kleb on like passing downs. It's like and he's been

777
00:37:57,440 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 5: playing horrendous defenses for two months. He's just bailing out

778
00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:07,080
Speaker 5: of the pocket like it's almost the same play. He'll

779
00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:09,680
Speaker 5: snap it and then he's created some big plays, some

780
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:12,200
Speaker 5: explosive plays credits in, but again, look at the quality

781
00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:15,399
Speaker 5: of defenses and then he just bails one to eighty

782
00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:19,520
Speaker 5: and then he's running around for his life. So he's

783
00:38:19,520 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 5: not been very efficient. He's been explosive, but I'm not

784
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:24,840
Speaker 5: sure that can work in Minnesota against this floor as defense.

785
00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:26,920
Speaker 5: So I think there's gonna be probably a lot of

786
00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 5: negative plays. And this is a Bears defense that is

787
00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:34,120
Speaker 5: a lot worse than some might think because they just

788
00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:38,640
Speaker 5: benefited from so many turnovers and if you remove those,

789
00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:41,000
Speaker 5: this is a really really poor unit due to the injuries.

790
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:44,960
Speaker 5: So yeah, I like the Vikings to bounce back. We

791
00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:47,280
Speaker 5: just said the Jets that the Bears are the anti Jets.

792
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:50,640
Speaker 5: The Jets are minus ten in turnovers. The Bears are

793
00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:52,880
Speaker 5: plus fourteen, which is crazy.

794
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:54,960
Speaker 1: Bears are the only team that six and three are

795
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:58,080
Speaker 1: better that has a negative point differential on the season.

796
00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:00,439
Speaker 5: Yeah, so I think it's a good spot to get.

797
00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:04,880
Speaker 5: It's like a nice comfortable game for McCarthy. And the

798
00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 5: Bears just don't have anyone who can cover the Vikings,

799
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:11,160
Speaker 5: and I think Floras and that defense will coax Williams

800
00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:15,239
Speaker 5: into enough mistakes and negative plays that they can get

801
00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:17,640
Speaker 5: it done at home. So I think this is just

802
00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:21,480
Speaker 5: a little cheap, pretty good spot for the Vikings in

803
00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:23,360
Speaker 5: like close to a must win for their season in

804
00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:23,960
Speaker 5: that division.

805
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:27,560
Speaker 1: I am gonna go with the Texans minus seven.

806
00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:29,439
Speaker 2: You can get this at minus one.

807
00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:35,799
Speaker 1: Fifteen versus the Tennessee Titans under our local Titans back

808
00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:37,799
Speaker 1: or week after week. There are other bets that I

809
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:40,160
Speaker 1: like out there. Actually already have about four in the

810
00:39:40,160 --> 00:39:41,080
Speaker 1: app right now, but.

811
00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:43,839
Speaker 4: This is not with the Texans and their fans. That's all.

812
00:39:44,320 --> 00:39:46,920
Speaker 2: Hih that's true. Okay, so this isn't about Tennessee. This

813
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:47,680
Speaker 2: is about Houston.

814
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:51,680
Speaker 1: The line indicates that Stroud is not playing, so if

815
00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:53,560
Speaker 1: he does, we are getting ahead of the number in

816
00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:56,479
Speaker 1: a pretty drastic way. I don't usually like to tempt

817
00:39:56,600 --> 00:39:59,440
Speaker 1: fate with these injuries, especially with something as unknowable as

818
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:02,200
Speaker 1: a concussion. But honestly, if I'm sitting there with a

819
00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:05,239
Speaker 1: minus seven on Sunday with Davis Mills as the quarterback,

820
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:08,160
Speaker 1: I mean I'm just not gonna be that perturbed by it.

821
00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:11,520
Speaker 1: This Texans defense is elite. The Titans can't move the football.

822
00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:14,880
Speaker 1: They've turned the ball over thirteen times this year. Texans

823
00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:18,800
Speaker 1: defense fourth in takeaways, number one in success rate, facing

824
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:22,080
Speaker 1: a team that's thirty second on the offensive side.

825
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:23,600
Speaker 2: Quarterback be damned.

826
00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 1: This is about the league's top defense playing the league's

827
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:30,640
Speaker 1: worst offense. Seven points is fair, and I will take

828
00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 1: my lumps if CJ. Stroud is announced as out again.

829
00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:39,640
Speaker 1: Our recap four they plant the flag games presented by

830
00:40:39,719 --> 00:40:42,680
Speaker 1: DraftKings Commanders plus two and a half against the Dolphins,

831
00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:47,560
Speaker 1: Vikings minus three facing the Chicago Bears and Texans minus

832
00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:52,880
Speaker 1: seven against the Tennessee Titans. Now for the main events,

833
00:40:52,960 --> 00:40:55,040
Speaker 1: no betting week can start without it. It is the

834
00:40:55,080 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 1: primer courtesy of Evan Abrams. Evan, welcome to this show.

835
00:41:00,160 --> 00:41:03,560
Speaker 1: Great job on Sunday night. What are the odds and

836
00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:06,880
Speaker 1: trends we need to be aware of before we fire away?

837
00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:09,200
Speaker 7: Well, first of all, thank you Brandon.

838
00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:12,360
Speaker 8: In our chat right now, someone said Davis is Mills's

839
00:41:12,360 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 8: mom wouldn't lay seven with him on the road. I

840
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:16,160
Speaker 8: think that makes a ton of sense based off of

841
00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:18,840
Speaker 8: the handicap we just heard. But to answer some of

842
00:41:18,880 --> 00:41:21,520
Speaker 8: the questions stuck. I'm going to look into this further,

843
00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:24,880
Speaker 8: but I just could quickly aquery looked like rookie head coaches.

844
00:41:24,880 --> 00:41:28,040
Speaker 8: Thursday Night football is underdog six and thirty five straight

845
00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:30,799
Speaker 8: up last decade. So I loved some stuff there, but

846
00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:35,080
Speaker 8: really really terrible. The other one that's real good for

847
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:39,560
Speaker 8: the Thursday night game. You mentioned no interceptions. I believe

848
00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:42,239
Speaker 8: Jets are just the second team since nineteen forty no

849
00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 8: interceptions through nine games twenty seventeen Raiders.

850
00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:48,000
Speaker 5: Also, I remember that question.

851
00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:50,200
Speaker 7: Yeah, absolutely ridiculous.

852
00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:53,880
Speaker 8: So yes, plus one thirty five terrible value, but easy bet.

853
00:41:53,960 --> 00:41:58,920
Speaker 8: I can't wait, Patriots remaining strength to schedule also absolutely ridiculous.

854
00:41:58,960 --> 00:41:59,839
Speaker 7: You guys talked about it.

855
00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:03,880
Speaker 8: Thirty four percent win percentage for remaining teams, Jets twice,

856
00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:06,879
Speaker 8: the Giants and the Dolphins still to come up for them.

857
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:08,000
Speaker 7: Pretty crazy.

858
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:10,359
Speaker 8: In terms of other stories, just this week, I mean

859
00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:13,000
Speaker 8: the MVP race right now, you've got six players at

860
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:16,239
Speaker 8: ten to one or shorter. Just for reference, we haven't

861
00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:18,319
Speaker 8: seen that number in like a decade in terms of

862
00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:20,840
Speaker 8: total players ten to one or shorter entering week eleven.

863
00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:25,000
Speaker 8: So MVP rice absolutely awesome right now. We discussed it

864
00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:28,920
Speaker 8: on Sunday night, but really really fun. A lot of

865
00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:32,759
Speaker 8: people will talk about the Giants after firing Dable. Obviously

866
00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:36,319
Speaker 8: Callahan gets fired. They laid the egg against Vrabel and

867
00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:39,520
Speaker 8: the Patriots. But seven and a half decent number. That'd

868
00:42:39,560 --> 00:42:42,640
Speaker 8: be the biggest upset for an in season firing since

869
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:46,560
Speaker 8: Todd Haley Romeo Crenell twenty eleven.

870
00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:46,840
Speaker 7: With the Chiefs.

871
00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:49,400
Speaker 8: So this would be a big number for the Giants

872
00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:52,120
Speaker 8: to come through this week. We've talked about like the

873
00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:55,120
Speaker 8: small bump, but yes, again very small.

874
00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:57,479
Speaker 1: I read where Matt Stafford this is the first time

875
00:42:57,520 --> 00:43:00,160
Speaker 1: in his long career that he's ever been the it's

876
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:01,520
Speaker 1: one favorite to be the MVP.

877
00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:04,239
Speaker 7: Yeah, any point, I think that would make sense.

878
00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:07,560
Speaker 8: I mean, also, this is the biggest week of Stafford's career,

879
00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:11,319
Speaker 8: so he's MVP favorite, and I believe for the first

880
00:43:11,320 --> 00:43:14,040
Speaker 8: time ever he can go above five hundred for his career,

881
00:43:14,320 --> 00:43:16,520
Speaker 8: because I believe he's five hundred on the dot right

882
00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:19,160
Speaker 8: now for the first time like ever in his career

883
00:43:19,239 --> 00:43:20,640
Speaker 8: because of all the Lillian's years.

884
00:43:21,400 --> 00:43:23,600
Speaker 7: So this is a big week for his career.

885
00:43:23,640 --> 00:43:26,279
Speaker 8: The other one that's really fun in terms of just

886
00:43:26,520 --> 00:43:30,319
Speaker 8: overall numbers this week, the Bucks off a loss have

887
00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:31,399
Speaker 8: been really, really good.

888
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:32,440
Speaker 7: We've talked a lot about the.

889
00:43:32,400 --> 00:43:36,239
Speaker 8: Lions in that situation, but with Baker thirteen and four

890
00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:37,799
Speaker 8: against the spread, and then when you just go back

891
00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:40,560
Speaker 8: to the Rams, he's fifteen and four. He's covered six

892
00:43:40,600 --> 00:43:43,319
Speaker 8: in a row off a loss. Obviously big number there

893
00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:46,759
Speaker 8: with the Bills this week, but interesting nonetheless.

894
00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:49,800
Speaker 5: Talk about a lay in an egg Yeah, unreal hungover.

895
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:51,799
Speaker 5: I mean, I don't know if they were out all

896
00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 5: night in Miami or just that emotional letdown in the

897
00:43:56,080 --> 00:43:59,560
Speaker 5: humidity after the Chiefs win. But man, today look just

898
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 5: come depletely days than a fog from the very beginning

899
00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:05,200
Speaker 5: of that game. So yeah, that becomes a much more

900
00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:09,120
Speaker 5: important game for both teams off of a loss, and

901
00:44:10,440 --> 00:44:13,080
Speaker 5: we'll see if the Bills bounce back at home where

902
00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:17,239
Speaker 5: they rarely rarely ever you lose, Just to.

903
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:19,279
Speaker 7: Be just to be clear, go into the elbow room.

904
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:21,960
Speaker 8: Definitely not going to come back to haunt Mike McDonald

905
00:44:22,000 --> 00:44:23,840
Speaker 8: in the future. There's no way that's going to come

906
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:25,760
Speaker 8: back to get him.

907
00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:29,200
Speaker 1: By the way, the Dolphins closes an eight point eight

908
00:44:29,239 --> 00:44:31,799
Speaker 1: and a half point underdog, they end up winning by seventeen,

909
00:44:32,080 --> 00:44:34,760
Speaker 1: and now they're favored in the following week. I imagine

910
00:44:34,760 --> 00:44:37,120
Speaker 1: that the trends are not in Miami's favor to cover

911
00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:37,840
Speaker 1: the spread again.

912
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:40,319
Speaker 7: Yeah, most likely not. I'll have some stuff in the

913
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:41,040
Speaker 7: primer on that.

914
00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:44,520
Speaker 8: But yeah, it's a bad spot off of a big upset,

915
00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:48,440
Speaker 8: especially when you do a drive by to the opponent's bar.

916
00:44:50,040 --> 00:44:51,719
Speaker 2: I love it. I love the saltiness.

917
00:44:51,760 --> 00:44:53,400
Speaker 1: And then last thing I have for you, You had a

918
00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:55,960
Speaker 1: great one on Sunday about the uniqueness of the Rams

919
00:44:55,960 --> 00:44:58,520
Speaker 1: and the Seahawks. How good these teams have been at

920
00:44:58,560 --> 00:45:01,919
Speaker 1: not just winning, but covering the spread as well. Does

921
00:45:01,960 --> 00:45:06,120
Speaker 1: that bode favor for either side here Seahawks coming in

922
00:45:06,160 --> 00:45:07,719
Speaker 1: as a two and a half point dog.

923
00:45:07,560 --> 00:45:09,840
Speaker 8: So I'll give you a teaser to read the primer

924
00:45:09,880 --> 00:45:11,960
Speaker 8: to actually get the angle. But the thing I love

925
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:15,200
Speaker 8: the best is that both teams seventy seven plus percent

926
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:18,360
Speaker 8: win percentage straight up and against the spread. We haven't

927
00:45:18,360 --> 00:45:21,600
Speaker 8: seen a game week ten or later. We're both teams

928
00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 8: seventy seven percent straight up and ats face off in

929
00:45:25,680 --> 00:45:28,520
Speaker 8: I can even find I've seen some seventy fives where

930
00:45:28,520 --> 00:45:31,000
Speaker 8: both teams we're winning three quarters of games. But this

931
00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:34,000
Speaker 8: is a very very unique matchup that's like forty years

932
00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:37,320
Speaker 8: in the making. So from like a covering and winning

933
00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:40,160
Speaker 8: and same division, we've had like three or four weeks

934
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:41,120
Speaker 8: of some great games.

935
00:45:41,480 --> 00:45:44,239
Speaker 1: And that'll do it for today's episode special thanks to

936
00:45:44,280 --> 00:45:47,200
Speaker 1: our producers David Paine and Gifford Gold, our stats guy.

937
00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:50,360
Speaker 1: Go check out the primer from Evan Abrams. The Favorites

938
00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:53,840
Speaker 1: will return next Thursday right here on the Action Network

939
00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:57,399
Speaker 1: YouTube page when we talk Week eleven best bets.

940
00:45:57,120 --> 00:45:57,880
Speaker 2: Two days away.

941
00:45:58,080 --> 00:46:00,440
Speaker 1: If we hand out our two Kings and a Queen parlay,

942
00:46:00,480 --> 00:46:02,920
Speaker 1: we'll see you right here on The Favorites presented by

943
00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:13,880
Speaker 1: Draft Kings four album.

944
00:46:14,080 --> 00:46:18,640
Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

945
00:46:18,640 --> 00:46:21,440
Speaker 4: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

946
00:46:21,480 --> 00:46:24,560
Speaker 4: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler