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Speaker 1: seven zero zero in Wyoming, or visit www dot one

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Speaker 1: gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to The Favorites,

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Speaker 1: the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Moman,

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Speaker 1: chief Contact Officer of the Action Network. I am joined

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Speaker 1: as I am for every episode by my co host,

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Speaker 1: my companion, my compadre, my b F F professional Better

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Speaker 1: Simon hundred Hello Simon, Hello John, it's going on. Brother. Listen.

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Speaker 1: When last we spoke, the US was playing Iran, who

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Speaker 1: we're hoping they'd advanced in the world Up. You tried

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Speaker 1: to claim that this is the one time every four

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Speaker 1: years that Americans fall in love with soccer. I refute

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Speaker 1: that premise and say Americans are always sports fans, and

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Speaker 1: this happens to be the event that is capturing their

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Speaker 1: attention right now. And I think every American sports fan

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Speaker 1: would look for an excuse to stop working from two

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Speaker 1: to four pm in the middle of a Tuesday afternoon

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Speaker 1: in order to watch something. And I will say that

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Speaker 1: second half of that around US game was excruciating, Like

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Speaker 1: you can see why people love watching soccer so much

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Speaker 1: and why evokes such passion because that was fucking intense. Well,

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Speaker 1: I always trying to explain to Americans as it's like

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Speaker 1: playoff baseball. It's the same kind of feeling of it's

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Speaker 1: always a one run game or a one nothing game,

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Speaker 1: and you're living in dime by every touch and every

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Speaker 1: little thing. So um, yeah, that was like setting game.

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Speaker 1: Now before we dive in chat, I do have a

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Speaker 1: bona pick with Miami Dolphin fans. Okay, let's hear it

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Speaker 1: all right. We did a show and usually mean Chad,

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Speaker 1: I'll get hate mail. I mean every day, I'll probably

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Speaker 1: get three to four d ms on Twitter after the show. Nothing,

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Speaker 1: nothing out of normal. So I go to bed, I

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Speaker 1: wake up Wednesday morning to our show post and it's

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Speaker 1: multitudes of d m s from Miami Dolphin fans upset

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Speaker 1: it me and Chad um about us simply talking about

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins having a hard schedule coming up and the

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Speaker 1: fact that I haven't played that heart of its schedule.

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Speaker 1: What the hell happened? It was a bizarre world of

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Speaker 1: just really nasty mean things said to me and I

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Speaker 1: people that have message back. Usually I don't read a

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Speaker 1: look at d MS. But when it's that many, I

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Speaker 1: had to look. I looked, told the people, if you

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Speaker 1: go back in August, I gave out them to win

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Speaker 1: that division. Like I was a Miami supporter, a Miami fan.

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Speaker 1: If Chad wants to bring up their schedule, and I

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Speaker 1: agree with them, we're just talking about the matchups that

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Speaker 1: have going forward, and it's like, just there's just certain people.

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Speaker 1: It's like, don't take things so serious, okay, especially when

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Speaker 1: you're going away. To many people, it's like you're on

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Speaker 1: a rock flying through space around another rock that's on

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Speaker 1: fire a million degrees and the void of badness, vastness

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Speaker 1: of the darkness of space. Don't be so upset, don't

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Speaker 1: be so mean. I couldn't believe it. Dolphin fans have

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Speaker 1: been cool this year. That is the most angry, fired

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Speaker 1: up I've had a fan base. Made me feel like

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Speaker 1: Steve and a for a second, but we didn't really

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Speaker 1: give a take. We were simply stayed in the fact

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Speaker 1: of they had an easier schedule those last couple of games,

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Speaker 1: and now that's about to get very tough. And I

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Speaker 1: totally agree with Chad said about the fact that it's

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Speaker 1: going to get tough and it will be religious to

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Speaker 1: see what two was made of, what kind of team

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Speaker 1: is and that that's me Just was funny to me though,

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Speaker 1: how upset people got off. So I just had to

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Speaker 1: comment to the really angry. I would say, tend to

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Speaker 1: twenty fans of Miami Dolphins, I love your perspective, I

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Speaker 1: love your context hashtag, hashtag gratitude. Yeah, like the amount

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Speaker 1: of time we were we are on this earth is

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Speaker 1: so small. I'm just not gonna get really mad at

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Speaker 1: commentators who say mean things about the teams that I like,

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Speaker 1: especially when all we're saying is that their schedule gets harder,

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Speaker 1: and it does. The last six games they have played

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Speaker 1: basically bad teams at home. The next six games they

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Speaker 1: play good teams on the road. Those are the facts.

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Speaker 1: People were not living in an alternative truth universe. That's

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Speaker 1: just what it is. We didn't say two of sucks.

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Speaker 1: I think he's having a great year. Big fan, huge

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Speaker 1: fan of Mike McDaniel. I like I love watching his TikTok's.

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Speaker 1: I think the way he communicates with his team is amazing.

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Speaker 1: It's hilarious. He's hilarious. Big fan of everything they're doing.

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Speaker 1: Schedule was just sucking. Hard the rest of the year.

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Speaker 1: People that now I'm getting lit up in the chat.

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Speaker 1: See I'm soft as an he was fan. I am

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Speaker 1: not soft. I'm just bringing up to the forefront of

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Speaker 1: like please SA Savior, nasty DMS. It was just it

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Speaker 1: just was just so out of place, where if we

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Speaker 1: want to shoot on the dolphins for twenty minutes, I

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Speaker 1: would understood it. It It was just I feel like we

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Speaker 1: barely even touched on It was just us talking about

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Speaker 1: how hard their schedule is. Just interesting. Listen, I'm glad

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Speaker 1: people are listening on AMP. That's awesome. Reminder that today

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Speaker 1: we will try to filter down to our final five

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Speaker 1: for our favorite picks for Sunday. You can follow those picks.

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Speaker 1: We will log the in the Action Network app the

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Speaker 1: Phaves five usually do that around noon on Sunday. I'll

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Speaker 1: put notes in there based on where the line is

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Speaker 1: for our contest which locks on Wednesday, UM, versus where

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Speaker 1: the line is at that point? Do we still like it?

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Speaker 1: Why are we making those decisions? Um? We will give

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Speaker 1: out our big balls better the week. We will find

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Speaker 1: a lot of scootch Roulette. Reminder, I won last week's

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Speaker 1: I'm in lost. Um, We'll lose some monody line around.

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Speaker 1: Robin also reminder foxhol for Niners minus three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'm a little nervous about that, speaking of even though

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Speaker 1: all the Dolphinstock we just had, I'm still nervous that

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Speaker 1: line is now at four. Uh Simon says, Giants plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half, exact decision the e d since

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Speaker 1: E plus two and a half. Before we get to

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Speaker 1: any of it, Let's do sharp calls. Hello, who's there?

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Speaker 1: I'm talking somebody? Sharp calls was rough for your boy

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Speaker 1: this week chat. A lot of hate coming that side

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Speaker 1: and from a lot of the guys I bet with him,

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Speaker 1: work with The biggest ones are on your side, by

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Speaker 1: semi pro friend. They love your idea on the Titans.

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Speaker 1: There with you on the Titans. It's a lonely it's

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Speaker 1: a lonely feeling going against the pros and the public,

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Speaker 1: it really is, because there's just really no one left

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Speaker 1: with you. And I got exactly what they're saying is

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Speaker 1: what you're pretty much saying. It's you're getting very able

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Speaker 1: to big numbers. A dog. He's been very profitable, especially

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Speaker 1: on the money line. You take him in these positions,

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Speaker 1: it's been very profitable, but I was I get where

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Speaker 1: they're coming from. My whole view of it is we

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Speaker 1: saw last week what the Bangles were able to do

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Speaker 1: with taking Derrick Henry away and that kind of shut

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Speaker 1: down that whole offense and the Eagles. This week, I

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Speaker 1: had heard some whispers that we're supposed to get Jordan

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Speaker 1: Davis back and then we just saw him come off.

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Speaker 1: I r this week. Now it's three weeks. He could

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Speaker 1: come back. He doesn't have to come back this week,

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Speaker 1: could be next week or the week after that. Um

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Speaker 1: So I was trying to get ahead of the number

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Speaker 1: for for one of one of those reasons is he's

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Speaker 1: the best run stop for the Eagles. Half he is

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Speaker 1: a game changer for that team. He eats duff doubles.

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Speaker 1: So not surprising the pros. They love the Titans with

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Speaker 1: Chad the other biggest one, I know, really really smart

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Speaker 1: group that came in heavy on the Bengals and they

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Speaker 1: took a large position at two and a half on them.

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Speaker 1: We see that number dropping out a one one and

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Speaker 1: a half, It doesn't surprise me. We talked about that game,

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Speaker 1: we'll talk about again today. That just felt like a

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Speaker 1: game that the Pros would be on the public would

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Speaker 1: just be hammering the Chiefs that they're gonna have that

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Speaker 1: even though it's through zero, they're gonna be teasing that

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Speaker 1: number up like down whatever, plus four plus five, they're

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Speaker 1: gonna have their money lines. That's gonna be one of

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Speaker 1: the bigger pros versus shows games this week, and another

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Speaker 1: game that Chad's gonna feel maybe a little better now

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Speaker 1: they knows this. There's a really really smart group that

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Speaker 1: you know, I gave out that big Dallas bet. They've

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Speaker 1: taken a huge, huge position on this forty Niners team.

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Speaker 1: They took a big position on in Monday, took another

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Speaker 1: position again Tuesday morning, and then again on Wednesday, and

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Speaker 1: they finally have moved it up in most books to

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Speaker 1: minus four. So that's gonna be another game this week

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Speaker 1: of the public will be all over Miami, and for

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Speaker 1: good reason what we talked about. They have a lot

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Speaker 1: of talent offense. But interesting when you hear a professional

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Speaker 1: group making a large position play on a four Niners team,

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Speaker 1: that three and a halfs a key number. So uh,

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Speaker 1: if if you if you wanted to get Miamia four,

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Speaker 1: it sunds like it seems like all week about to

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Speaker 1: get that forward just because the pros are gonna be

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Speaker 1: better that way. Oh my god, this is so exciting.

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Speaker 1: So on the Titans, just some context. The number opened

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Speaker 1: it six and a half, got it down to five

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Speaker 1: and a half. This morning it's at four and a half.

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Speaker 1: I've seen some four and a half's. Yeah, down to

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Speaker 1: four and a half this morning. Uh, massive amount of

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Speaker 1: money coming in on the Titans in the uh Niners

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Speaker 1: Dolphins game. To your point, Simon, majority of the money

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Speaker 1: coming in on the Dolphins, majority of the tickets coming

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Speaker 1: into the Dolphins. The line has moved in the other direction,

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Speaker 1: which tells you the professionals are playing the um. And

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Speaker 1: then they're just betting it constantly. So they've just been

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Speaker 1: betting at multiple states, multiple books for four days now.

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Speaker 1: Really interesting. Uh. And then finally the Bangles in the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs this is a pros Joe's game, but very close. Um.

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Speaker 1: Uh is the split and is the money on the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: So and then the last one, just because well we're

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Speaker 1: gonna have to talk about just because I've I've kind

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Speaker 1: of flipped on it. It's the Vikings Jets. Um your

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Speaker 1: back of the Jets. I've heard a lot of about

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Speaker 1: the Jets, and I didn't want to want to do

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Speaker 1: it because again it's Mike went on the road. But

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Speaker 1: you know, I have guys that call them up. They're

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Speaker 1: gonna smack me around a little bit and be like,

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Speaker 1: you fucking idiot. Look at the Jets defense, stopped looking

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Speaker 1: at Mike White. Look at the cornerbacks and how they're

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Speaker 1: gonna be able to stop and play against this Vikings team.

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Speaker 1: So again it's it's trying to be humble and take

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Speaker 1: and listen to my elders and respect my elders and

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Speaker 1: kind of take their position where I just thought it

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Speaker 1: was a good spot for this Vikings team at home,

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Speaker 1: catching the Jets team up. After again, Mike White played

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Speaker 1: or it will be a perfect game. So it could

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Speaker 1: be misreading it. But if if, if Chad wants to

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Speaker 1: talk me into taking the Jets, are probably be able

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Speaker 1: to be talking too, because it just seems like a

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Speaker 1: lot of really smart people are on that side and

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Speaker 1: I might be overlooking, um, just such a dominant defense

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Speaker 1: of this Jets team is Yeah, we'll get into it.

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Speaker 1: I listened to Stucky and Raybond on the Action Network podcast,

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Speaker 1: and they've always got incredible breakdowns. Um and Yon Uh

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Speaker 1: or was it Stuck you now, I can't remember, but

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Speaker 1: one of them had an incredible breakdown of the Jets. Um,

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Speaker 1: so like supporting the Jets, supporting the Jets. Yes, it

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Speaker 1: seems like it was Stucky. It was Stucky Matt Mitchell. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell says it was Stucky. So, um, let's get

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Speaker 1: into it. Uh, let's talk about the Jets. Let's talk

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Speaker 1: about the Jets right away, because, um, you know, on

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Speaker 1: on Tuesday, like we immediately thought Vikings because of the

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Speaker 1: perception and the blowout, but again, Vikings had another one

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Speaker 1: score game, probably got lucky with the hen recall on

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Speaker 1: the Patriots not being a touchdown. Uh. Here was something

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Speaker 1: really interesting that was pointed out by Stucky thirty one

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Speaker 1: in the NFL defending short passes Mike White's completions last week,

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Speaker 1: we're on short passes and this I think was Raybon

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Speaker 1: pointed out that on paper, the Jets are a better

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Speaker 1: team like ninth and overall d v O A eighteenth

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Speaker 1: on offense, d v O A fourth on defense, d

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Speaker 1: v O A Vikings in those categories and by the way,

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Speaker 1: the Viking the Jets, we're doing all of that was

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Speaker 1: Zack Wilson, And I will say that people, the only

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Speaker 1: fear is all year the Vikings had this number and

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Speaker 1: they keep winning and somehow fucking coming just that stupid

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Speaker 1: team that way. So that was what I said that

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Speaker 1: the guy was just the fact that I wanted just

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Speaker 1: to take the Vikings at two and a half. I

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Speaker 1: feel like that was gonna be a nice price because

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Speaker 1: I have this line at three. He said, well, you

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Speaker 1: fucking idiot, just take the Jets plus three. Then that's

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Speaker 1: the right side. That's a team that's better. They're they're

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Speaker 1: well coached, Their defense matches up really well against what

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Speaker 1: this Vikings team wants to do. And those are fair arguments.

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Speaker 1: But there is magic to this Vikings team, which is

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Speaker 1: like one of those stupid things we can't account for

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Speaker 1: number wise, But I can't look at this Jets team

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Speaker 1: and saying myself, what what's their biggest weakness? And it's

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Speaker 1: my white And if this kid's playing like the way

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Speaker 1: he's gonna be played last week, there's no weakness his

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Speaker 1: Jets team there there really are filled out really well.

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Speaker 1: Like their wide receivers wide receiver position is very very

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Speaker 1: very very very very balanced. Like the Zack Wilson stuff

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Speaker 1: that was on Zack Wilson. They have the weapons. Garret Wilson,

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Speaker 1: he's a great receiver. So Mike White, he got away

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Speaker 1: with a couple of ones last week. But I can't

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Speaker 1: feel like you just talked about this. This Vikings team,

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Speaker 1: they're just not that good. Like there, what is their

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Speaker 1: point differential? Plus five or something crazy like that. So

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Speaker 1: I know they're nine and two and it's it's really

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Speaker 1: incredible what they've done this year or tended to, but man,

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Speaker 1: can they can they keep getting away with this Chad

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Speaker 1: at plus three? I feel like you're right that that's

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Speaker 1: the smart side to take. Um, it's just are we

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Speaker 1: gonna be able to take plus two and a half

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Speaker 1: because that's gonna probably be the choice, and you know

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Speaker 1: we're both pisted last week that scared us off the

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Speaker 1: Cardinals where you know we should have been on at

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Speaker 1: a plus two and a half. So it will be

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Speaker 1: interesting to see what we do with the contest on

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Speaker 1: that number. Look this number right now, it's at three,

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Speaker 1: opened it four and a half money coming in and

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Speaker 1: the Jets it's probably gonna go to two and a half.

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Speaker 1: Will because like a sharp book, already has a two

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Speaker 1: and a half, so it's gonna go to two and

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Speaker 1: a half. It's gonna go to two and a half. Uh.

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Speaker 1: And I think that whoever you spoke to about the

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Speaker 1: Jets doesn't matter who's playing quarterback. We cannot expect Mike

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Speaker 1: White to do what he did in the rain against

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Speaker 1: a really bad barrass defense. You know, the Vikings can

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Speaker 1: get more pressure, right, and so they will be able

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Speaker 1: to get in his face. But the Jets defense is

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Speaker 1: just so good, right, and that I feel like that's

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Speaker 1: the reason you take the three. That's the reason you

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Speaker 1: gotta take the three. It'll be interesting to see where

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Speaker 1: we get in the contest. But I do like the

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Speaker 1: Jets of plus three. Uh. Let's talk about let's revisit

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Speaker 1: um the Falcons right now because they are at home.

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Speaker 1: This line has gone up. It's uh their plus one

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Speaker 1: right now. UM. I cannot under stand, for the life

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Speaker 1: of me, why anybody would take the Steelers in this spot.

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Speaker 1: I like Kenny Pickett. I think he's a gamer. I

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Speaker 1: think he's going to be a serviceable, if not better professional.

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Speaker 1: Been really impressed with how he's evolved from being thrown

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Speaker 1: into the fire to being better after the bye week. Um,

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Speaker 1: we saw it against New Orleans, we saw it against Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: we saw it against the Colts. But they shouldn't be

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Speaker 1: real favorites. This isn't a Rob Rod Mike Tomlin spot.

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Speaker 1: This is a bet the Falcons who probably should be

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Speaker 1: playing for the division and still have a shot at it.

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Speaker 1: Why would I not at the Falcons here? Yeah, the

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Speaker 1: Tomlin magic made sense when Pittsburgh was a dog, but

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Speaker 1: now that's something their favorite. It's like, this is kind

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Speaker 1: of when you want to get off the Tomlin and

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Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh train. You're right about, Kenny. This is a

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Speaker 1: big spot for a rookie be put in on the

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Speaker 1: road against an Atlanta team. Yeah, they've had some struggles here,

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Speaker 1: but I don't expect that those struggles continue. They're they're

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Speaker 1: getting health here as the season's gone along. The issues

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Speaker 1: now is what's this offense really gonna look like? You're

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Speaker 1: you're down your down pits? Which I know he wasn't

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Speaker 1: a huge factor, but the defense started equate for that,

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Speaker 1: and Drake Glendon hasnt been targeted like he should be

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Speaker 1: for this offense. Um, So that's the questions with Atlanta

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Speaker 1: right now. You kind of kind of ever losing trust

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Speaker 1: in their offensive late, they're just they seem like they're

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Speaker 1: not functioning well. Um teams have been able to defend

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Speaker 1: them better, but it's it's it's hard to look at

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Speaker 1: it and just think to yourself that this Atlanta team,

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Speaker 1: like you just said, shouldn't be closer to a field

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Speaker 1: goal favorite in a game against the Pittsburgh team. That

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Speaker 1: that's that's a big task to ask them keep winning

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Speaker 1: these close, hard games and how they're going up against

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Speaker 1: the team that just lost again. You know they probably

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Speaker 1: not just win, but at least cover so the public

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Speaker 1: to know and surprise is gonna come and have you

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Speaker 1: on Pittsburgh right there. They've been good, they've been good

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Speaker 1: to them where Atlanta since starting the season six and

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Speaker 1: oh a t s they've struggled. I mean they have struggled,

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Speaker 1: especially against the spread. So it feels like another game

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Speaker 1: chat where it's just gonna be me and you and

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Speaker 1: a couple of pros in Atlanta. The public will be

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Speaker 1: all over Pittsburgh in this position. You love the Giants.

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Speaker 1: The other day, I don't know if the Falcon is

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Speaker 1: making into the contest though, we'll see. Yeah, it depends

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Speaker 1: on The number depends on the number. The truth is

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Speaker 1: we're not going to get better than I think one

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Speaker 1: and a half on the Falcons. If I had to

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Speaker 1: predict in the contest, we won't get better on one

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Speaker 1: and a half. You love the Giants two and a half.

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Speaker 1: It was your Simon says play remind people why that is.

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Speaker 1: I love them coming in the week. Not only is

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Speaker 1: this a good it's about to take a divisional matchup

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Speaker 1: home team. The biggest fact in this game is just

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Speaker 1: that the Giants have been on a slump here the

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Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. They have not been playing well.

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Speaker 1: The injuries seem to have caught up to them. We're

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Speaker 1: Washington has been going in the other direction right, They've

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Speaker 1: been outperforming. The bounces have been going their way. We're

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Speaker 1: talked about their six on one of their last seven,

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Speaker 1: which is just insane to think about that. They've done

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Speaker 1: this with Heineke, an undrafted quarterback, but he's played well

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Speaker 1: like they've schemed it right. He's using the weapons around

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Speaker 1: and right. But now you're getting a Giants team that's

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Speaker 1: a home dog and i'd really really scrappy one at

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Speaker 1: that that Usually in these games, this is where you

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Speaker 1: wanted back a Giants team like there. What what's catching

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Speaker 1: up to them is the teams are kind of figuring

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Speaker 1: out what they want to do on offense, right these

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Speaker 1: naked bootlegs and getting Daniel Jones out wide and kind

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Speaker 1: of get him on the mood. And I agree teams

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Speaker 1: have figured that out, but I assume they're gonna be

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Speaker 1: able to counter that. And looking at this Washington team,

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Speaker 1: they've struggled against the rung and you're not. You're getting

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Speaker 1: say Quon in a good spot against the team that

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Speaker 1: struggled against the run. So I made the closer to

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Speaker 1: a pick. That's my biggest screpty in this. It's like,

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Speaker 1: if you're getting plus two and a half plus three

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Speaker 1: with the Giants, you just have to take that spushing

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Speaker 1: divisional game. I thought you would get to the three

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Speaker 1: because I thought the public would come in and really

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Speaker 1: have you on Washington. But it seems like it's split

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Speaker 1: so far at this point. So, um, if you didn't

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Speaker 1: get the two and a half and it's down to two,

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Speaker 1: you might better weight. I do think I'll go back

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Speaker 1: up to two and a half. I'm surprised that nobody,

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Speaker 1: none of the sharps called us about this. Yeah, it

390
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Speaker 1: wasn't the one they loved. I mean again, the biggest

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Speaker 1: one they talked about. To me, they hated my Eagles

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Speaker 1: pick and they loved the Bengals pick that was in

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Speaker 1: the forty nine ers like those those three we really

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Speaker 1: talked about a lot um just the fact there's multiple

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Speaker 1: groups hitting it. Again, they're not making big bets every week,

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Speaker 1: but it is interesting when teams take that teams, when

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Speaker 1: different groups take positions on games. I'm the opposite of it.

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Speaker 1: I'm just like shit the same way last week, like

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Speaker 1: you talked about Tennessee Bengals. When it's like, I'm with you,

400
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Speaker 1: I would have loved to been all over that Bengals

401
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:32,800
Speaker 1: when that was a great read. But it's like fun, man,

402
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Speaker 1: these guys, they know what they're doing. They take a

403
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Speaker 1: large position like this usually works out for him. So

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Speaker 1: that's that's the balance with listening to these guys and

405
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Speaker 1: trying to fight through what's what's right and what's wrong.

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Speaker 1: So all right, so that's our take on the Giants.

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Speaker 1: Let's go back a little bit to the Bengals because

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Speaker 1: I love the Bengals. The other day and um, to me,

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Speaker 1: if you're getting Jamaar Chase back, which I think you are. Yeah,

410
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:06,040
Speaker 1: he'll be getting Joe. You're getting Joe Mixon back. Um.

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Speaker 1: I understand the history with Patrick Mahomes that when he

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Speaker 1: is a favorite of less than three, he's generally unbeatable.

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Speaker 1: In November and December, he literally is unbeatable winning executive games.

414
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Speaker 1: M shit, But listen, that's damn now. I even think

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Speaker 1: that he does not lose December. Hey, we don't need

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Speaker 1: him to. We don't need him to lose. We just

417
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Speaker 1: need the game to be less than an extra point.

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Speaker 1: This Bengals team has been really strong on defense, and

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Speaker 1: I think Joe Burrows just in his own man, he's

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Speaker 1: seeing it. And you know, we talked about this all

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Speaker 1: the time and this is Jermaine to Deshaun Watson too,

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Speaker 1: And you said it like last on Tuesday. We don't

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Speaker 1: know what we're getting with Shawn Watson because and I'm

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Speaker 1: going to get to the point, he hasn't played for

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Speaker 1: two years. Quarterbacks need training camp, they need practice, reps,

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Speaker 1: they need a lot of those things, and then they

427
00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:12,560
Speaker 1: need getting reps. Joe Burrow like basically didn't play in

428
00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:15,600
Speaker 1: training camp and so it took him four to five

429
00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:19,080
Speaker 1: weeks to get where he needed to be and now

430
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:21,760
Speaker 1: he's doing what exactly what we'd expect him to do.

431
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:23,879
Speaker 1: And I don't think Kansas City has the defense to

432
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 1: be able to pressure him in the way that he

433
00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:31,800
Speaker 1: needs to be pressured to be uncomfortable at home when

434
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:34,760
Speaker 1: he's got a really powerful offense. Yeah, ay, if they

435
00:22:34,760 --> 00:22:36,560
Speaker 1: do get a little bit of pressure. We we touched

436
00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:38,520
Speaker 1: on the fact that the chief secondary is all young

437
00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:41,200
Speaker 1: and they're small, and he's got his big body and

438
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:43,840
Speaker 1: Higgins and his big body and Chase on the outside.

439
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:46,719
Speaker 1: That's what Joe's kind of leaning on nowadays, where if

440
00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:48,959
Speaker 1: he's getting pressure, like you said, we'll just put up

441
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:50,600
Speaker 1: to his guys down the sideline rather than you me

442
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:55,399
Speaker 1: take the sack or the hit. So um, Patrick Mahomes

443
00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,840
Speaker 1: congratulations of having a baby boy. Yes, very happy for him. Uh.

444
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:02,080
Speaker 1: I know. It was funny the other day I was

445
00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:04,439
Speaker 1: watching what clip was it? It was some clip might

446
00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:06,920
Speaker 1: have been Brady's kid dropping back and like throwing it past,

447
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:09,680
Speaker 1: and you know, Archie Manning is playing football like it.

448
00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:11,600
Speaker 1: Just it made me think of this next generation we

449
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 1: might get of quarterbacks from all these Hall of famers.

450
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:16,360
Speaker 1: It's just What a great time to be a football fan.

451
00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 1: Oh my god, it's amazing. So just for this game,

452
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:25,920
Speaker 1: I don't know, what do you want to do it?

453
00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:28,720
Speaker 1: Would you want to put in our contest? Yeah? I

454
00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 1: have no fear on this, all right, no fear. I

455
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:38,840
Speaker 1: played with confidence? Um yeah I would. I wouldn't. I

456
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:40,640
Speaker 1: would not be unable one and a half. You're cool

457
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:46,639
Speaker 1: with it? No, that's what's gonna be. I guess my

458
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:48,240
Speaker 1: feeling on this is and I don't know that like

459
00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:52,680
Speaker 1: I even looked, but I just I basically the contest

460
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:54,440
Speaker 1: has been ahead of it. They usually go the sharp

461
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:56,320
Speaker 1: line like they're gonna go with what they think. The

462
00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:59,320
Speaker 1: pros are gonna admit it too. So I'm looking at

463
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 1: a book right now that I trust it's one and

464
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,919
Speaker 1: a half. Um, I'll pull up the one we use.

465
00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:06,040
Speaker 1: But that that's why I feel like it's gonna be.

466
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 1: It's I'll be hard for me not to take it

467
00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:11,280
Speaker 1: Sunday because it is. It's just such a good spot

468
00:24:11,320 --> 00:24:13,480
Speaker 1: to back a since team that Joe is just he's

469
00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:15,119
Speaker 1: the same thing as my homes. Like, whoever as the

470
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,280
Speaker 1: ball lasts is gonna win this game. And I like

471
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:18,919
Speaker 1: that we're getting the point a half still in it

472
00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:22,240
Speaker 1: um in this matchup. But yeah, this week, like there's

473
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,040
Speaker 1: three or four games I really like and this is

474
00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:27,160
Speaker 1: one of them. It'll be a good conversation on Sunday

475
00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:32,960
Speaker 1: another game. Have we touched on multiple games that you

476
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:37,280
Speaker 1: really like so far? Like we both love since would

477
00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:44,919
Speaker 1: you say that you feel strongest about since Jets and

478
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 1: Giants or I would say, um, since the forty Niners

479
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:52,280
Speaker 1: right now? In my two favorite this week? All right,

480
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:53,880
Speaker 1: so that was the next game I want to talk about.

481
00:24:53,960 --> 00:25:00,520
Speaker 1: Was Uh. The only thing that you can turns me

482
00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:07,960
Speaker 1: is that Kyle Shanahan in this spot as a favorite,

483
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 1: he calls a different game. It's almost like he gets

484
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:16,800
Speaker 1: more conservative. And I'm worried about McCaffrey being banged up.

485
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:20,960
Speaker 1: I'm worried about Jimmy g being banged up. I'm worried

486
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:27,439
Speaker 1: that what Wattle and Tyreek Hill can do on the

487
00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:35,479
Speaker 1: edges is so confounding it makes it makes me nervous

488
00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:37,680
Speaker 1: like that. The fact that you've got a massive group

489
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 1: coming in on the Niners is interesting to me. Yeah,

490
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:42,359
Speaker 1: it's nice and I think they're looking at it. Where

491
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:44,200
Speaker 1: I go with my stuff is the D line O

492
00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:46,080
Speaker 1: line matchups, and that's where you can find a lot

493
00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:49,560
Speaker 1: of value. Um game, we didn't touch them. Ab we'll

494
00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:51,120
Speaker 1: talk about the end for the m fans of that

495
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,480
Speaker 1: that builds New England game. You've seen that lot and

496
00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:55,760
Speaker 1: move and people are like, why is the movie so much?

497
00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:58,240
Speaker 1: Is that just because the professional money. It's no. There's

498
00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:00,399
Speaker 1: a major injury to the Bills offense of line, and

499
00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:02,880
Speaker 1: Von Miller's out as well. So it's like, if you're

500
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:04,960
Speaker 1: a left hat, you're starting left tackles out and you're

501
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 1: arguably best edge runchers out, that's gonna move a number.

502
00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 1: People always think it's just mainly the quarterbacks, running backs

503
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:12,760
Speaker 1: or whoever gonna move it. But it's like the books

504
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:15,680
Speaker 1: are smart. They understand how important offense and defensive lines are.

505
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:19,480
Speaker 1: That's what this matchup is all about. Here. Miami, as

506
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 1: great as they have looked these last couple of weeks,

507
00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 1: look at the matchups their offensive line is going against. Defensively,

508
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,120
Speaker 1: like what defensive line they've played against. And we've seen

509
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 1: the games that Miami struggled this year. It's begin against

510
00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:34,239
Speaker 1: really good defensive lines. I mean, Matt Mitchell knows oh

511
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:37,520
Speaker 1: to well that game the Bills lost. Their defensive line

512
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 1: dominated Miami's offense. That Miami's offensive maybe three big players

513
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:43,119
Speaker 1: against the Bills in that game. That's how they want it.

514
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 1: Just a wacky game. We saw that again when they

515
00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:47,800
Speaker 1: played the Jets. Even though he went out of the

516
00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:50,040
Speaker 1: game and he got banged up to in that game,

517
00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:54,320
Speaker 1: the Jets defensive line was absolutely dominating this Miami's offensive line.

518
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:58,240
Speaker 1: So I think they're betting that. Okay, that the we

519
00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 1: we totally agree. I mean, I sent you that video

520
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,200
Speaker 1: that Saint San losing his ship. We totally agree with

521
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,200
Speaker 1: The Saints easily should have covered that game, stay outplayed them.

522
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:07,960
Speaker 1: They had all the opportunities to do that. Jimmy completely

523
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 1: laid an egg. That's why I feel so good about

524
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:11,760
Speaker 1: taking for nature. They just had a game, they laid

525
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:14,560
Speaker 1: an egg, and they got away with it. Now they're

526
00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 1: not gonna be overlooking this Miami team. It made sense

527
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:19,280
Speaker 1: they might have overlooked that Chan's gonna his guys ready

528
00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:22,719
Speaker 1: for this matchup, especially against his pupil and McDaniels. So

529
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:25,359
Speaker 1: I love everything about it. Like the four, it scares

530
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:26,840
Speaker 1: me a little bit. I'm hoping we can get the

531
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:28,199
Speaker 1: three and app because that's what I bet a lot

532
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,080
Speaker 1: of money on. That's what I'd rather get in the contest,

533
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,080
Speaker 1: But I still take it afore that's what I make

534
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 1: the game. You just know I fucking hate pushes, so

535
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:36,119
Speaker 1: that that would piss me off, But three and a

536
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:38,320
Speaker 1: half you can still find it. I'd grab it just

537
00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:43,000
Speaker 1: says it's it's a matchup of how real are both

538
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:44,639
Speaker 1: these teams, which you're already talking about, like this is

539
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,000
Speaker 1: gonna be an awesome game that sense. We but we're

540
00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 1: really going to figure out which team is legit from

541
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:51,760
Speaker 1: this game because if Miami Ken move the ball like

542
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:54,800
Speaker 1: we think they could be able to a Tyreka waddle

543
00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:57,840
Speaker 1: and they're alying can hold up against Bossa, and that's

544
00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:00,879
Speaker 1: a real key matchup to watch, and yeah, Miami's real.

545
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:02,840
Speaker 1: If not, it just knocked him down to peg, We're

546
00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:05,040
Speaker 1: just like, okay, the Bills are still the class of

547
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 1: that division and Miami has got you know, a rough

548
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:09,160
Speaker 1: road against him. Like he just talked about a bunch

549
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:12,360
Speaker 1: of hard games, this is one of many. Guess where

550
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:15,320
Speaker 1: you can get forty minus three and a half right now.

551
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Speaker 1: we talked about a disgusting game right now that I love.

588
00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:39,480
Speaker 1: We got three gross games. We got Colts plus eleven

589
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:44,160
Speaker 1: on the road at Dallas. We got the Browns minus

590
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:47,440
Speaker 1: seven on the road at Houston, which Houston is treating

591
00:30:47,520 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 1: like it's Super Bowl. The city is treating it like

592
00:30:52,320 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 1: we got the Rams there you go plus eight, actually

593
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:58,400
Speaker 1: down to seven and a half because the wise guys

594
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:04,840
Speaker 1: have come in on their MS. I don't know why, Sawks, dude,

595
00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:11,080
Speaker 1: you know what we're doing right now? Big better the week,

596
00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 1: my friend it is. I love the Rams. When everyone

597
00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:21,040
Speaker 1: everyone's jumped off the ship. It's empty. Aaron Donald, he's

598
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:23,200
Speaker 1: never missed the game. He's finally jumped off the ship.

599
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:26,360
Speaker 1: So it is the biggest balls bed maybe of the

600
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:28,920
Speaker 1: year that we're gonna make. No brainer. Have to bet this,

601
00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:31,800
Speaker 1: especially at seven and a half. Yep, what do we

602
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:35,080
Speaker 1: do in the contest? I feel like this, this could

603
00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 1: be a really interesting play in the contest. This is

604
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:40,200
Speaker 1: some game theory here. If we want to make up ground.

605
00:31:40,520 --> 00:31:42,880
Speaker 1: It's getting late in the year. This might be a

606
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:44,440
Speaker 1: play that we got to make because I don't think

607
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:46,520
Speaker 1: a lot of people take the rams likely. We've been

608
00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:47,880
Speaker 1: so good though. We don't even need to do that

609
00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:50,360
Speaker 1: bs yet because like, again, we had a bad week.

610
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:52,520
Speaker 1: I just like we're three backs still, so it's like

611
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:55,800
Speaker 1: if we were five back or six. Maybe I started

612
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:57,680
Speaker 1: doing a little bit of Game three, but with us,

613
00:31:57,720 --> 00:31:59,720
Speaker 1: we just gotta still just find the winners at this point.

614
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 1: So seven and a half though, like no, no brainer,

615
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,160
Speaker 1: automatic play six and a half. That's when it's like,

616
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:07,720
Speaker 1: oh man, that yeah, that's tough. It's not gonna be

617
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 1: at six and a half. The game hasn't gone below

618
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:12,880
Speaker 1: seven and a half yet. That's true, that's true. But

619
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 1: at the same time, this time last week and we

620
00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:16,120
Speaker 1: did the Cardinals, they were three and a half, and

621
00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:17,440
Speaker 1: for some reason they put them too and a half,

622
00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:19,800
Speaker 1: like they knew that number was gonna jump down. But

623
00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:21,320
Speaker 1: that could have been just because they knew Kyler was

624
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:25,120
Speaker 1: gonna come back us. That's what they are. Yeah. The

625
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:28,960
Speaker 1: the interesting interesting game, like you just told me about

626
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:30,960
Speaker 1: that Houston one was I heard a couple of guys

627
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:32,640
Speaker 1: that love that. I think that they're going the same

628
00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 1: thing as you. Like, not that they've been betting and

629
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:38,320
Speaker 1: losing money every week on Houston, but it feels like

630
00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 1: a couple of these guys have been like they're My

631
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,360
Speaker 1: love for the Jaguars has been kind of their love

632
00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:47,640
Speaker 1: for Houston. Um, which I look at this line as

633
00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 1: one of the fishier lines of the week in the

634
00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 1: sense that, like you just said, I've seen a couple

635
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:54,360
Speaker 1: of books at six and a half Houston, that means

636
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,680
Speaker 1: you can tease down Cleveland to half a point. They

637
00:32:57,680 --> 00:33:01,080
Speaker 1: just need to simply win the game. So yeah, maybe

638
00:33:01,080 --> 00:33:02,840
Speaker 1: the books are giving us a free one there, because

639
00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:05,320
Speaker 1: I'm very tempted just to take that tease because it's like,

640
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 1: and what world do they not win? I can see

641
00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:10,720
Speaker 1: maybe not covering right. This is like a close game Watson.

642
00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:12,480
Speaker 1: If you watch any of the tape of him and practice,

643
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:15,320
Speaker 1: he's sealing balls over guys, just not in rhythm with

644
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:18,360
Speaker 1: a what is the twelve weeks hasn't practiced with any

645
00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 1: of these guys, So that is a big deal. Like

646
00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:23,800
Speaker 1: Chad was just talking about, so Housen and the Rams

647
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:26,120
Speaker 1: or two games of Chad again, we have a lot

648
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:28,280
Speaker 1: of games I love this week. If he came in

649
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:29,760
Speaker 1: with one of them, was like, you gotta take one.

650
00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:32,000
Speaker 1: I would be all board this Sunday, just six and

651
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 1: a half seven. I would take Houston and the contest

652
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:37,600
Speaker 1: seven and a half, no brain, I would take um

653
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:39,880
Speaker 1: the ramps. So we'll have one of those two ugly

654
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:44,200
Speaker 1: dogs in for sure. This weekend. I really I think

655
00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:47,080
Speaker 1: the Seahawks are overvalued right now, so are the Browns.

656
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:50,400
Speaker 1: Like you're getting such a bonus on such inflation on

657
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:56,120
Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson another game. I'm narrowing down our list here.

658
00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:01,280
Speaker 1: You love the Raiders at plus two Matt numbers moved.

659
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:07,480
Speaker 1: Explain your logic. Well, the main love for by the way,

660
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:11,120
Speaker 1: oh yeah, Raiders Chargers. The main love was of the

661
00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:14,799
Speaker 1: matchup of this Charges defense for Raiders offense that we

662
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:17,359
Speaker 1: just saw move the ball at will, running the ball

663
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:19,839
Speaker 1: against the Seahawks, and the Chargers cannot stop the run.

664
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 1: They have major injuries to their detach club position. That's

665
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:25,560
Speaker 1: the biggest weakness. I flipped the other side of the

666
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:30,840
Speaker 1: Herbert effect of yeah, he might win this game, but

667
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:32,920
Speaker 1: he wins him close. He's just a guy that plays

668
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:36,360
Speaker 1: really close games. And now you're giving me the Raiders

669
00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:39,680
Speaker 1: a divisional dog at home playing against the Chargers team

670
00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:41,480
Speaker 1: that they're just the darling of the public. The public

671
00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:44,600
Speaker 1: simply loves this Chargers team, and it feels like we're

672
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:48,719
Speaker 1: in the exact same scenario last year. Um, hell, it

673
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:50,239
Speaker 1: might have been weak. Yeah it was Week eight tea

674
00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:52,720
Speaker 1: because I rememberyone bout the tie. We had the Raiders

675
00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:55,520
Speaker 1: versus the Chargers, and the winner got into the playoffs.

676
00:34:56,000 --> 00:35:00,280
Speaker 1: So of course the public hammered Herbert. They love the Chargers,

677
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:02,279
Speaker 1: and the line just sat at three three and a

678
00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:04,759
Speaker 1: half all week, and the books were happy and let

679
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:06,560
Speaker 1: everyone come in bet that number. One day overtime. The

680
00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:09,560
Speaker 1: Raiders went out right anyway. So in this same kind

681
00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:13,360
Speaker 1: of matchup, these teams really haven't changed that much. If anything,

682
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:16,080
Speaker 1: they've both gotten slightly worse. I mean the Oakland, I

683
00:35:16,120 --> 00:35:19,879
Speaker 1: mean that Vegas is defense, They're terrible charges defensive shure

684
00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:23,480
Speaker 1: is even worse than they were last year. Um. The

685
00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:26,719
Speaker 1: problem is, again we talked about on Tuesday, if there's

686
00:35:26,719 --> 00:35:29,319
Speaker 1: no Jacobs, that's where I have paws on this, Like

687
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:32,080
Speaker 1: he's the really what gets it going for this Vegas team,

688
00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:34,239
Speaker 1: Like he is their offense. We saw how Domini was.

689
00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 1: He's a practicing all week. I do think he's gonna

690
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:39,920
Speaker 1: play like resting all week. You expect him to be back.

691
00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:43,160
Speaker 1: If he is backchat, we're getting one and a half

692
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:46,360
Speaker 1: two in the contest. Yeah, I would still take this number.

693
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:49,160
Speaker 1: It's just simply just like the Giants play. It's a

694
00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:53,560
Speaker 1: home divisional dog team that's just being undervalued. Vegas. We

695
00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:57,839
Speaker 1: saw that historical thing of they had. They had three

696
00:35:57,840 --> 00:35:59,840
Speaker 1: different games, they're at a seventeen point leads and they

697
00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:02,960
Speaker 1: loss that had never happened the NFL before. So we

698
00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:06,279
Speaker 1: saw that early, early, early woes of this McDaniels coach

699
00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:09,239
Speaker 1: team earlier in the season. Now, these last couple weeks,

700
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:10,960
Speaker 1: they've seem like they really started figuring things out and

701
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:12,640
Speaker 1: turning things around, like they know how to win. So

702
00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:15,200
Speaker 1: as long as Jacobs is playing this game shot, I

703
00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:20,799
Speaker 1: would take this. Let me ask you a question. Right now,

704
00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:23,520
Speaker 1: I feel like we feel pretty good about the Niners.

705
00:36:23,960 --> 00:36:27,640
Speaker 1: We feel pretty good about the Bengals. We will I'm

706
00:36:27,640 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 1: willing to bet that will bet on the Rams. Are

707
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:38,440
Speaker 1: you feeling like you could play the Titans right now?

708
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:42,040
Speaker 1: Like if you wanted to do what I would do

709
00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:44,360
Speaker 1: it just because I respect your opinion. I respect these

710
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:47,239
Speaker 1: other guys opinions. So it's like I just I knew

711
00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:48,920
Speaker 1: I was gonna be on island with it. But I

712
00:36:49,040 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 1: just knew in my heart of hearts where I told

713
00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:54,719
Speaker 1: you I felt this line blindly before I ran the numbers,

714
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:56,480
Speaker 1: was gonna be three or three and a half that's

715
00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:58,600
Speaker 1: just because it was two and al it was to

716
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:03,560
Speaker 1: the week before Eagles one. Titans didn't make sense, right

717
00:37:03,640 --> 00:37:05,719
Speaker 1: books bump it up the three and a half three?

718
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:08,120
Speaker 1: What the hell they shot it all af the six

719
00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:09,440
Speaker 1: and a half? It just did not make sense. And

720
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:12,040
Speaker 1: like my first original and bat was grabbing the six,

721
00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:14,400
Speaker 1: grabbing the six and a half, and the fact that

722
00:37:14,480 --> 00:37:16,200
Speaker 1: it didn't just drop all the way back down, which

723
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,800
Speaker 1: I thought it should have four and a half, that

724
00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:20,839
Speaker 1: that started giving me more confidence of being like, Okay,

725
00:37:20,960 --> 00:37:23,359
Speaker 1: Chad's right, this probably is the right side. But it's

726
00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:25,640
Speaker 1: just a fishy, fishy line. I just will never get

727
00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:27,879
Speaker 1: why it was so far above three three and a half.

728
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:30,440
Speaker 1: And it could be the A. J. Brown effect that

729
00:37:30,520 --> 00:37:32,680
Speaker 1: this is gonna be such a revenge platform. And can

730
00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:35,560
Speaker 1: the Titans offense keep up with an Eagles offense that

731
00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:38,680
Speaker 1: it's top three points right now? They are a high powered,

732
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:41,920
Speaker 1: high flying offense. We haven't seen the Titans in many shootouts.

733
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 1: We have not seen them really being games and our

734
00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:47,120
Speaker 1: shoot outs. And they're on the road against an Eagles

735
00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:50,439
Speaker 1: team that at home they put up points and that's

736
00:37:50,640 --> 00:37:53,480
Speaker 1: that's the difference to me. So it's the fear of

737
00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:56,640
Speaker 1: the books, know what they're doing, and they've sucking me

738
00:37:56,640 --> 00:37:58,720
Speaker 1: in because I told you every ounce of my body

739
00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:00,799
Speaker 1: screaming you have to to things. It's like the New

740
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:02,960
Speaker 1: England thing. It's like you have to take new one

741
00:38:03,000 --> 00:38:05,239
Speaker 1: against the Bills at home here. But I'm just trying

742
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:08,239
Speaker 1: to fight it off. It's just it's like a sixth sense.

743
00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 1: I'm just just too stinky. I don't I don't like it,

744
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:12,960
Speaker 1: but I could be wrong. So if yeah, it's five

745
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,080
Speaker 1: and a half chat and you're like, hey, assle, we're

746
00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:18,120
Speaker 1: putting this one in, You're you're wrong on this, I'd

747
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:19,799
Speaker 1: be in because it's just if you're taking a big

748
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:21,839
Speaker 1: enough stand like that, Who am I to say you're

749
00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:23,920
Speaker 1: wrong because I'm I'm not. I am you know. On

750
00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:25,440
Speaker 1: the Eagles. It's not one of my bigger bets of

751
00:38:25,440 --> 00:38:30,200
Speaker 1: the week, though. What about We haven't talked much about

752
00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:35,399
Speaker 1: the Lions and the Jacks. Another split game between the pros. Yeah,

753
00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:37,759
Speaker 1: and that light. That line has just been bouncing back

754
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:41,600
Speaker 1: and forth. Jacks plus one, Jacks minus one, Lions plus one,

755
00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:47,439
Speaker 1: Lins minus one. I'm feeling confident about the Lions. Yeah,

756
00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:50,320
Speaker 1: I knew you liked them to where it's I agree

757
00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:51,400
Speaker 1: with you if it got up to the two and

758
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:52,520
Speaker 1: a half three, I would have been there with you

759
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:54,320
Speaker 1: in Detroit because that that that's too big of a

760
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:59,239
Speaker 1: number for this Jaguars team. But oh man, it's a

761
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:00,960
Speaker 1: coin flip game to me though. That's why I just

762
00:39:00,960 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 1: wouldn't feel comfortable put in the contest where it's like

763
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:04,800
Speaker 1: if you if you give me a two and a

764
00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 1: half or three on either side, that wouldn't be the

765
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:09,000
Speaker 1: play to me. But it's the line. Is a coin

766
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 1: flip game? Yeah it is, and it should be because

767
00:39:12,600 --> 00:39:16,480
Speaker 1: it's like both teams have had such incredible weeks and

768
00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:18,480
Speaker 1: then such egg lane weeks where you really don't know

769
00:39:18,480 --> 00:39:23,480
Speaker 1: what you're getting week the week, and your love for

770
00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:25,120
Speaker 1: the Troy The only reason I want to back it

771
00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:27,160
Speaker 1: is they're coming off such a bad home loss. Now

772
00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:30,399
Speaker 1: they're at home again against the Jaguars team that I've

773
00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:32,879
Speaker 1: seen all the trends that they have not historically been,

774
00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:36,080
Speaker 1: you know, played well on the road. Doug Pearson is

775
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:37,879
Speaker 1: trying to change all that, but he hasn't to this point,

776
00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:40,080
Speaker 1: even this year, they have not played well on the road.

777
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:43,319
Speaker 1: So another game chat where it comes Sunday you might

778
00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:45,760
Speaker 1: be able to flip me, but right now my Jack

779
00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:48,759
Speaker 1: Jack's homer hats on. I can't flip on Thursday Show.

780
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:52,560
Speaker 1: All right? Uh, is there any game you feel like

781
00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:54,239
Speaker 1: we're missing? I feel like we've got a lot of

782
00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:59,880
Speaker 1: wait and sees, like Rams Bengals and then we're a

783
00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:03,879
Speaker 1: wait and see on the Raiders for Josh Jacobs, We're

784
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:05,680
Speaker 1: a wait and see on the Titans to see where

785
00:40:05,680 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 1: the line is. I think we're we're leaning Jets, um,

786
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:12,960
Speaker 1: but we don't know if we'll put it in the contest.

787
00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:16,720
Speaker 1: I bet I'm on Jets now, Like if people all

788
00:40:16,800 --> 00:40:18,759
Speaker 1: in on the Jets in the contest, okay, yeah, Like

789
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:22,359
Speaker 1: I'm on the three now, Okay, uh so then that's

790
00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:28,480
Speaker 1: four with like it looks like three or four Titans, ah,

791
00:40:29,360 --> 00:40:34,719
Speaker 1: Las Vegas, maybe Atlanta. We'll see what we even talked about,

792
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:37,920
Speaker 1: Like another game that I could somehow be talked into,

793
00:40:38,000 --> 00:40:41,640
Speaker 1: would be your love for the Broncos of mar popped

794
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:43,560
Speaker 1: up an injury, had an injury of a quad was

795
00:40:43,640 --> 00:40:47,120
Speaker 1: all out of practice. That's a big deal. Um with

796
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:49,880
Speaker 1: this Ravens team now like they're they're they're superstars, are

797
00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:53,240
Speaker 1: not practicing? Mark Andrews has not been practicing with Lamar.

798
00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:55,400
Speaker 1: We saw him have key drops in that game in

799
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 1: the end zone. Have drops. That's big for a team

800
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:00,839
Speaker 1: that just has not been healthy this year. So, um,

801
00:41:01,480 --> 00:41:04,200
Speaker 1: you're you have a couple of buddies again, a couple

802
00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:06,520
Speaker 1: of pros that agree with Chad. I just I have

803
00:41:06,600 --> 00:41:10,520
Speaker 1: such a fear of this Broncos team, just all the negativity. Um.

804
00:41:11,080 --> 00:41:12,560
Speaker 1: But the reason, the biggest reason I want to bet

805
00:41:12,640 --> 00:41:14,279
Speaker 1: on now is that stupid article you saw Ill put

806
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:17,920
Speaker 1: out about half Russell Wilson's teammates coming to his birthday party.

807
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:20,320
Speaker 1: So now I gotta hear from every asshole wrong to

808
00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:22,880
Speaker 1: be like, yeah, easiest better the week, right, Ravens like

809
00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:24,680
Speaker 1: they're gonna shoot on that team, like they already quit

810
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:27,480
Speaker 1: on Russ, And it's like fuck every every time someone

811
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:29,640
Speaker 1: says that makes me want to bet the Broncos. So

812
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 1: that's another game where if Jack comes to me on Sunday,

813
00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:34,799
Speaker 1: it's gonna be hard to fight him off because he's

814
00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 1: just he's right what he talked about. We're getting two

815
00:41:36,520 --> 00:41:39,719
Speaker 1: to three free points on this Broncos team. They're just

816
00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:43,279
Speaker 1: they've been absolutely terrible, but it's mainly on Russ. It's

817
00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 1: just week to week. We don't know what kind of

818
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:47,440
Speaker 1: RUSS we're gonna get. I mean, eight and a half points.

819
00:41:47,560 --> 00:41:51,520
Speaker 1: Can we really can we really be comfortable going in

820
00:41:51,719 --> 00:41:56,920
Speaker 1: on the Rams and the Broncos and Xins like even

821
00:41:57,040 --> 00:42:02,040
Speaker 1: that is so so grows us. I know, no, it's

822
00:42:02,560 --> 00:42:04,239
Speaker 1: it feels like a good week tho to go ugly,

823
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:07,200
Speaker 1: Like there's some ugly games, doesn't minds do make sense

824
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 1: in these games? It really does feel like that kind

825
00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:14,359
Speaker 1: of week. Um, alright, So I think we've we've talked

826
00:42:14,520 --> 00:42:20,440
Speaker 1: enough about those games. Uh leaning towards Jets, leaning towards Rams,

827
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:25,359
Speaker 1: leaning towards since he leaning towards uh Niners and then

828
00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:32,319
Speaker 1: sort of last in first out amongst potentially Titans, potentially Broncos,

829
00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:39,840
Speaker 1: potentially Las Vegas if Josh Jacobs is playing. Um, yeah, okay,

830
00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:43,480
Speaker 1: and that makes sense. Again, it's week thirteen, Like injury reports.

831
00:42:43,520 --> 00:42:45,359
Speaker 1: At this point in the year, it's everything. So that's

832
00:42:45,800 --> 00:42:47,600
Speaker 1: a couple of these games. That's honestly what I'm really

833
00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:49,399
Speaker 1: waiting on. I just need to know who's in who's out,

834
00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:53,279
Speaker 1: especially for a couple of these key positions. All right,

835
00:42:53,320 --> 00:42:56,799
Speaker 1: I won scooch to let last week. Brother tied up,

836
00:42:57,160 --> 00:43:00,839
Speaker 1: tied up, we are tied on my I'm scared. Now

837
00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:04,360
Speaker 1: how do I not look at this point? How do

838
00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:08,359
Speaker 1: I not take the Titans? Wow? I thought you're gonna

839
00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:11,280
Speaker 1: go with your darlings. All right, I'm taking the Titans.

840
00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:15,920
Speaker 1: Give me the three and a half of Vandel, Thank you, Vandal?

841
00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:18,440
Speaker 1: All right, what's the best number I can what's the

842
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:21,600
Speaker 1: best number that can get in the Titans right now? Oh,

843
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:25,600
Speaker 1: I'll let you grab the five. Is there a five available? Yeah?

844
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:27,759
Speaker 1: I mean I'm five and half of off shore, but yeah,

845
00:43:27,760 --> 00:43:29,360
Speaker 1: if you want to go have a five in America,

846
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:34,839
Speaker 1: there's five. Well, I bet legally. Alright, Titans plus five

847
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:51,080
Speaker 1: I'll take yeah, exactly, um Monderline, Ron Robin, I mean, look, Rams, Broncos, Texans, Alright,

848
00:43:51,120 --> 00:43:57,000
Speaker 1: let's let's start over. Go Rams, who'd you like Broncos?

849
00:43:57,560 --> 00:44:01,160
Speaker 1: I'm sucking around. I don't know that I do have

850
00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:02,600
Speaker 1: an ugly dog I want to throw in there that

851
00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:05,759
Speaker 1: I just the whole city is behind it. Texas. We

852
00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:08,759
Speaker 1: have to go to Texas money line against that scumbag Watson, like,

853
00:44:09,920 --> 00:44:13,600
Speaker 1: gotta gotta go with gotta go with Houston, So go Houston, Giants.

854
00:44:14,600 --> 00:44:16,120
Speaker 1: I mean I'm not gonna fight chat on because it

855
00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:22,239
Speaker 1: says it's one of his Darlin's Tennessee Um Jets and

856
00:44:22,280 --> 00:44:30,680
Speaker 1: then Rams. So two uglies, wow Texas and Rams. Yeah,

857
00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:32,759
Speaker 1: because I just can't see a war with the Colts win.

858
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:34,160
Speaker 1: I really want to do that because that would be

859
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:38,239
Speaker 1: such a classic Dallas choke spot. But we've seen this

860
00:44:38,360 --> 00:44:40,279
Speaker 1: cold team that their upsets have come at home. They

861
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:42,440
Speaker 1: really haven't done it on the road. So I'll do

862
00:44:43,120 --> 00:44:45,759
Speaker 1: I'll go with the Rams and just that feels like

863
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:48,160
Speaker 1: the ugliest dog you know. Again. Another money line, No

864
00:44:48,160 --> 00:44:51,400
Speaker 1: one's gonna bet Chad at me and you let me

865
00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:55,040
Speaker 1: see how many people have bet the money line here? Yeah,

866
00:44:55,080 --> 00:44:57,520
Speaker 1: so it's on our episodes less than eighteen percent of

867
00:44:57,560 --> 00:45:01,000
Speaker 1: the money. No one's been that money. No, I know

868
00:45:01,160 --> 00:45:07,280
Speaker 1: what he is. Uh, let's see all right, So Texans Giants,

869
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:10,480
Speaker 1: I'm going slow so people on amp uh can hear this?

870
00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:18,279
Speaker 1: Texans Giants, Titans, Jets, Rams for the money line round

871
00:45:18,360 --> 00:45:23,319
Speaker 1: Robin Parlay again, scoochrow Lett Simon took the Niners plus

872
00:45:23,400 --> 00:45:25,600
Speaker 1: through minus three and a half. I took the Titans

873
00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:32,239
Speaker 1: plus five, Big Balls, Rams plus eight. This has been

874
00:45:32,520 --> 00:45:37,560
Speaker 1: the favorites from the Volume Podcast Network for producer Extraordinaire

875
00:45:38,040 --> 00:45:42,440
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell. For my bff Simon Hunter, I am Chad Melman.

876
00:45:42,880 --> 00:45:47,400
Speaker 1: Download the podcast from Apple Podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you

877
00:45:47,560 --> 00:45:51,719
Speaker 1: get your podcasts. Listen to the very end, people, That's

878
00:45:51,760 --> 00:45:54,800
Speaker 1: how would keep the rankings up. Listen, listen, listen, but

879
00:45:54,920 --> 00:45:59,200
Speaker 1: also engage, rate, review, subscribe, leave us five stars, say

880
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:02,520
Speaker 1: whatever you want. Feedback is a gift. Until next time.

881
00:46:03,120 --> 00:46:08,120
Speaker 1: I love you, m M m m