1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 2: Single best idea and we'll make it quick today, inflation 3 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:20,320 Speaker 2: data tomorrow. Sort of as we're sliding into the end 4 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:22,759 Speaker 2: of the year, and one of the things we're sliding 5 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 2: into are those dreaded outlooks forward from everyone I have 6 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:31,840 Speaker 2: was in an uber today that Bentley was down, and 7 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:34,320 Speaker 2: I was in the uber and the guy handed me 8 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:38,159 Speaker 2: his twelve page outlook for twenty twenty five. Who doesn't 9 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 2: have an outlook for twenty twenty five? Some of them, 10 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:46,080 Speaker 2: you hope, are based on some actual evidence and serious 11 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 2: forecasting about what is to come. Cam Dawson with New 12 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 2: Edge Wealth her foundation, her optimism is based on earning's growth. 13 00:00:56,800 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 2: It's a shocking double digit number. Here's Cam Dawson. 14 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 3: What's interesting is that in consensus that earnings growth is 15 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 3: expected to continue into twenty twenty six at twelve percent growth, 16 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 3: says consensus. But the good thing to remember is that 17 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:15,200 Speaker 3: consensus is not necessarily a crystal ball and doesn't mean 18 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 3: it's going to come true. There's no better example of 19 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:22,039 Speaker 3: this than consensus estimates for small caps. They've been cut 20 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 3: by thirty percent this year over the course of the year, 21 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:28,119 Speaker 3: as small cap earnings continue to disappoint, and so when 22 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:30,680 Speaker 3: we look into next year, small cap earnings are expected 23 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:34,560 Speaker 3: to grow forty four percent next year, the highest bar 24 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 3: you can find in this market, but we don't know 25 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:39,399 Speaker 3: if that necessarily deserves the benefit of the doubt because 26 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 3: of this revision cycle lower that has persisted. 27 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 2: It shows us some of the variability out there. Kim 28 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 2: Dawson there with some stunning variants for small casts, but 29 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 2: also for large caps as well. I'll just simply say, 30 00:01:50,920 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 2: looking back eighteen months in this great bull market, it's 31 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 2: just real simple. There's been a complete underestimation of America's 32 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 2: nominal and real economic growth and the margin persistency that 33 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 2: we saw under corporate earnings. Time will tell. On the 34 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:10,519 Speaker 2: Eastern Mediterranean, we spoke with Mick Moulroy. He's a former 35 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 2: Assistant Secretary of Defense with two tours a duty won 36 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 2: with Secretary of Mattis and a real expert here on 37 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,200 Speaker 2: what we're gonna see. We had a piercing discussion on 38 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 2: the collapse of Syria, the future of the levat Mick 39 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 2: Molroy the Global Institute. 40 00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: So it certainly was an inflection point when it comes 41 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:34,600 Speaker 1: to the US's view of that part of the world. 42 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 1: Of course, hundreds of individuals, US Marines primarily were killed. 43 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: The embassy was attacked, man he were killed there, and 44 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: that of course was done by Hesbola, who up until 45 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: the time of nine to eleven was the terrorist organization 46 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 1: most responsible for killing Americans because of primarily the event 47 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 1: we just reference, But that was an inflection of point 48 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:58,840 Speaker 1: of how we view ourselves in the Middle East, how 49 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:02,840 Speaker 1: we view ourselves as mediators in all the conflicts that 50 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: happen there, and as we're viewed by the people that 51 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 1: are there. So I think that is a very important 52 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:10,639 Speaker 1: point in part of history. 53 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 2: On a time back to a morning when we woke 54 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 2: up in America with President Reagan to changing in a 55 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:21,120 Speaker 2: horrific death in Lebanon. It continues to haunt us forward 56 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 2: on this topic as we look into twenty twenty five, 57 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,960 Speaker 2: got a whole set of guests lined up around crushingly 58 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 2: busy schedules. Just as one example, Julie Norman of the 59 00:03:32,280 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 2: University College London schedule to join us, many many others 60 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:41,520 Speaker 2: as well. On your commute across the nation, Apple CarPlay 61 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:45,320 Speaker 2: and roight outo Serious Exemp Channel one twenty one far 62 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 2: more importantly, building out YouTube. It's our big goal for 63 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 2: twenty twenty five. You get people to subscribe to Bloomberg 64 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 2: Podcasts and listen to us each in every morning. Also 65 00:03:56,800 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 2: out on YouTube podcasts. Single best sen