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Speaker 1: People wann't know what's wrong. Is there something wrong at Alabama? Well,

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Speaker 1: of course there's something wrong at Alabama if you base

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Speaker 1: it on the Alabama standard and also just dovetailing off that.

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Speaker 1: Let's be careful. I am begging you, guys not to

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Speaker 1: get sucked into the trap of making definitive statements on

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Speaker 1: who can and can't make the conference championship or playoff

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Speaker 1: in September. Let's be careful. We are jam packed, high

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Speaker 1: top and inquisitive downtown Nashville, Tennessee. It is Tuesday night,

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Speaker 1: September twelfth, the overall over twenty twenty three. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to talk to you about what's wrong with Alabama. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna do it in mere moments. I think everyone has

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Speaker 1: an opinion. I figured I'll go ahead and share mine

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Speaker 1: with you. We got full week three predictions. Tuesday night

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Speaker 1: is Prediction Night on this show. You know, the sneakiest game,

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Speaker 1: crazy though it may sound for those of you who

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Speaker 1: grew up in a prior generation, and is Tennessee, Florida. Tennessee, Florida.

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Speaker 1: There's another one in the sec LSU, Mississippi State. Like

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Speaker 1: these games, in what the most casual minded amongst us

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Speaker 1: are calling a dud of a week, could be spicy.

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Speaker 1: Just keep an eye on it, don't be don't be

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Speaker 1: sleeping on week three. I've got a I've got a feeling,

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Speaker 1: by the way, and I'll also talk about this on

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Speaker 1: the show tonight, that we are headed towards a world

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Speaker 1: of just complete and total chaos, and it may start

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Speaker 1: this week, maybe it already started. But I've got a

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Speaker 1: question from one of you later I'm going to address

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Speaker 1: on that front. I got a brand new JP pole

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Speaker 1: told you earlier today on Twitter. I am very uncomfortable

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Speaker 1: with the amount of movement in the JP Pole. I

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Speaker 1: am very uncomfortable with the amount of steam for lack

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Speaker 1: of a better term, that the JP Pole is giving

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Speaker 1: some teams. But the JP Pole, as we all know,

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Speaker 1: has a mind of its own when they're watching us

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Speaker 1: in South Bend, Indiana with Tumpka Alabama, Saint Paul, Minnesota, Provo, Utah,

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Speaker 1: thank you so so much. I got to tell you

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Speaker 1: something before I start the show tonight. The other night

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Speaker 1: I did something pretty stupid. So I started talking about

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Speaker 1: the mel Tucker thing at Michigan State, and frankly, I

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Speaker 1: didn't know enough to be talking about it. And we

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Speaker 1: always pride ourselves on this show of not being in

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Speaker 1: a rush to be first and not being in a

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Speaker 1: rush to get something out there just for the sake

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Speaker 1: of getting something out there. That is called clickbait. And

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Speaker 1: although we weren't efforting to do that the other night,

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Speaker 1: you could accuse us of doing it because I spoke

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Speaker 1: very ill informed about the investigation going on with Mel Tucker.

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Speaker 1: And since then, I've done way more digging into it

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Speaker 1: I have done since the segment. We did what I

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Speaker 1: should have done before the segment we did, or I

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Speaker 1: should have just kept my mouth shut. So I've taken

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Speaker 1: the video down now if you are so inclined, the

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Speaker 1: full show is still up, So if you want to

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Speaker 1: go look at how dumb I was and what I said,

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Speaker 1: it's still up. I'm not gonna whitewash history on the

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Speaker 1: show or anything, but we will not do a segment

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Speaker 1: on it tonight. I Am going to do what I

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Speaker 1: should do on the first time and wait and let

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Speaker 1: some facts come out. So, yeah, I do not stand

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Speaker 1: behind the words that I said the other night. Now

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Speaker 1: they weren't force full like I wasn't going full court

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Speaker 1: press on Meltuck or anything like that. But I said

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Speaker 1: some things I didn't want to have said. I don't

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Speaker 1: think I painted the situation in the proper light. That's

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Speaker 1: what I want to say to you. So we'll see

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Speaker 1: what comes of that situation. In the meantime, this is

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Speaker 1: probably not going to be the show. You see a

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Speaker 1: lot of mel Tucker investigation content for the foreseeable future.

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Speaker 1: But I'll tell you what you will see tonight. You

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Speaker 1: will see a whole lot of predictions and you will

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Speaker 1: see a new JP pole. But before that, let me

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Speaker 1: stack these papers accordingly. I got something to talk to

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Speaker 1: you about because you've been talking to me about it.

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Speaker 1: Does Alabama have issues? Does Alabama have problems? Yeah? They can.

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Speaker 1: It's been a long held belief in the sport that

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Speaker 1: Alabama can't just lose a game under Nick Saban. When

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Speaker 1: Alabama loses a game, it warrants an entire forensic analysis

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Speaker 1: of the program by its own fan base, by rival

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Speaker 1: fan bases, by every member of the media who claims

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Speaker 1: to cover this sport, including some who don't, including others

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Speaker 1: who claim to but don't really, and the rest of

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Speaker 1: the folks around the nation do it as well. So

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Speaker 1: Alabama lost the other day. We were on the sideline

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Speaker 1: for it, immaculate environment there at Bryan Denny Stadium, but

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Speaker 1: it was all for naught as Alabama went down thirty

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Speaker 1: four to twenty four. So, for all we know, we

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Speaker 1: saw the eventual national champion Texas Longhorns beat Alabama, or

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Speaker 1: maybe we saw an eventual nine to three Texas team

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Speaker 1: beat Alabama. But here's what I do know. I do

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Speaker 1: know that there's something that's not right about the program

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Speaker 1: there right now in Tuscaloosen. Now you need to understand,

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Speaker 1: for the next five minutes, I am not going to

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Speaker 1: speak to you about a program using the typical college

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Speaker 1: football standard, by any typical college football standard or any

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Speaker 1: historical standard. Alabama's really really, really good, top ninety eighth percentile,

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Speaker 1: et cetera, et cetera. They preached the Alabama standard there

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Speaker 1: all the time. We have come to expect more from them.

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Speaker 1: They're not as good as you've come to expect them

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Speaker 1: to be. Right now. Therefore, that's the context in which

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Speaker 1: I'm about to speak to you for a couple of minutes.

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Speaker 1: I have had a feeling about this, but I did

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Speaker 1: some asking around, and I'm talking about a wide array

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Speaker 1: of different opinions and people in different lanes and compartments

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Speaker 1: that I seek feedback from on this before I said

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Speaker 1: it myself. I think Alabama does have a problem. I

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Speaker 1: don't think the coaching staff's good enough. You've said for

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Speaker 1: a number of times now over the past couple of years,

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Speaker 1: well I think Alabama got out coached, and you say

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Speaker 1: it almost confused, like, well, that can't be the case.

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Speaker 1: They got Nick Saban. They do have Nick Saban. Nick

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Speaker 1: Saban doesn't have nearly as high caliber as staff as

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Speaker 1: he's had in those vintage years. You're talking about a

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Speaker 1: man who assembled a staff with Kirby Smart, Crystabaul Kiffin,

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Speaker 1: Napier Meltucker, Dan Lanning. Those dudes were all on the

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Speaker 1: same staff at one time. You had Bo Davis the

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Speaker 1: defensive line coach. Burton Earns was great there for a

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Speaker 1: long time, Scott Cochrane strength and conditioning. Their staff now

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Speaker 1: could not tote that staff's jock. And it's been that

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Speaker 1: way for a couple of years. It goes to show

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Speaker 1: you a couple of things. Nick Saban's not a superhero.

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Speaker 1: He's the best to ever do it. But what should

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Speaker 1: have what should have never been taken for granted, that

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Speaker 1: was for a little while. Is Nick Saban just has

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Speaker 1: the ability to snap his fingers and always makes the

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Speaker 1: right higher It seemed that way because he did for

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Speaker 1: a long time. But Nick Saban's just as capable of

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Speaker 1: whipping on a hire or two or three as the

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Speaker 1: next guy. He just does it far more rarely. And

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Speaker 1: so that's the first thing. The second thing is every

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Speaker 1: other problem you got with this team right now. Some

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Speaker 1: of you talk about game plan. Who do you think

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Speaker 1: that bleeds back to development? What do you think that

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Speaker 1: falls back on mentality? I hear their former players barking

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Speaker 1: about this all the time. What do you think they

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Speaker 1: had in the mid twenty teams they don't have right now?

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Speaker 1: Play calling adjustments. I'm telling you right now, Wow, I

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Speaker 1: will be very careful with this because I don't want

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Speaker 1: to burn anyone. There is a widely held consensus in

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Speaker 1: the coaching community that that team right there, Alabama does

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Speaker 1: not adjust in game like they used to, probably because

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Speaker 1: you got folks that used to be the caliber of

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Speaker 1: an off field analyst for them who are coaching positions

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Speaker 1: right now. I again don't mean to paint Alabama as

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Speaker 1: a poor man's program by their own standard. Their staff

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Speaker 1: is a shell of the caliber of staffs they've had

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Speaker 1: in the past. Still led by the same guy, but

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Speaker 1: underneath Nick Saban, those folks aren't carrying the water like

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Speaker 1: they used to. Here's what I'm saying. It feels like

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Speaker 1: a lot of folks to me on Alabama staff count

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Speaker 1: on that script day on their chest to do the

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Speaker 1: work for him. And that script day is not magic

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Speaker 1: like Crimson Helmet's not magic. The folks who came before

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Speaker 1: you made it to where it seems as such, but no,

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Speaker 1: you still got to do every bit the work they did.

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Speaker 1: It's just they were better than you, especially that coaching

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Speaker 1: staff right now. A lot of folks they had before

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Speaker 1: them are better than them. Now. You can hear that,

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Speaker 1: you can acknowledge that, and neither do one of two things.

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Speaker 1: You can crawl in a shell or you can go

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Speaker 1: make a name for your own self. Because the moral

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Speaker 1: of the story here with Alabama or with LSU, or

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Speaker 1: with Clemson or any of these teams that have lost early,

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Speaker 1: is it to be ignorant to write them off. Alabama's

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Speaker 1: got one of, if not the best talent rosters in

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Speaker 1: the country. Still still That's why I'm kind of confused

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Speaker 1: at some of you who are dming me saying, Oh,

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Speaker 1: they just don't have the talent they once had. Like

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Speaker 1: it's one thing to say the twenty twenty three Alabama

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Speaker 1: team wouldn't beat the twenty seventeen Alabama team. Okay, they

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Speaker 1: don't play them this year. They play twenty twenty three

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Speaker 1: LSU in Arkansas or Texas, for example. None of those

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Speaker 1: teams out man Alabama, that includes the one they played

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Speaker 1: the other night. It may look that way for a

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Speaker 1: number of reasons I just listed. It ain't that way,

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Speaker 1: and Texas is really good talent wise, so is Alabama.

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Speaker 1: Talent's not the reason they lost the other night. It's

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Speaker 1: not the reason they'll lose any game they play this year.

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Speaker 1: Their coaching staff is not what it once was, but

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Speaker 1: it's plenty good enough to win every game they play.

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Speaker 1: So all that's happened here is not Alabama fallen by

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Speaker 1: the wayside. All that's happened here is Alabama's come back

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Speaker 1: to earth. They don't have a large gap between them

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Speaker 1: and whoever the second, third, and fourth best staffs in

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Speaker 1: the country are. They're right there in the mix. Probably

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Speaker 1: still got a top ten staff, truth be told, but

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Speaker 1: they don't have the best staff in the country anymore,

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Speaker 1: even if they're led by the best to ever do it.

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Speaker 1: They don't have the best under him that they've had

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Speaker 1: in the past, and they certainly don't have the best

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Speaker 1: that exists in the country right now. Is it fair

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Speaker 1: to question them? Sure it is, But that's about where

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Speaker 1: I'll stop it. What I'm not gonna do, and I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna talk about this later in the show, is what

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Speaker 1: many others have started to do. And I think it's

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Speaker 1: pretty shortsighted. You've started to say things like this team

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Speaker 1: can't fill in the blank, they can't what that for

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Speaker 1: all you know, they'll make a change at quarterback Saturday,

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Speaker 1: offense will come alive, defense rounds into four and they

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Speaker 1: never lose another game Like that. Stuff happens all the time.

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Speaker 1: Teams click all the time. Far less talented teams click

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Speaker 1: all the time in college football. It's why you watch

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Speaker 1: the sports when you love the unpredictability of it. Who's

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Speaker 1: to say Alabama doesn't do that. Who's to say they

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Speaker 1: don't get backed into a corner wounded animal mode style

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Speaker 1: early in the year and just go on a run

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Speaker 1: there's their schedule right there. They'll be not that this

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Speaker 1: mattered Saturday night. I'm just using this as a little

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Speaker 1: point of reference. They're favored in every game the rest

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Speaker 1: of the way. That's not to tell you they'll win

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Speaker 1: every game the rest of the way, but it is

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Speaker 1: certainly and emphatically to tell you chalking up any of

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Speaker 1: these games as a loss is dumb. It's just not

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Speaker 1: the way it works. So I think the theory some

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Speaker 1: have is, yeah, I'm not gonna pick out the individual

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Speaker 1: game or games they're gonna lose, but the totality of

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Speaker 1: playing that schedule of back to back road games Againstssissippi

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Speaker 1: State and A and M and then you got Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: you got LSU. Yeah, the totality of that is probably

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Speaker 1: gonna equal one or two more losses. Or you may

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Speaker 1: think to yourself, well, with the core back play we

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Speaker 1: saw the other night, I don't think that they can

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Speaker 1: run the table to that. I would say, I agree.

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Speaker 1: I would also suggest that they have never had less

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Speaker 1: incentive than any team in history to try and duplicate

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Speaker 1: what they did the other night. So I don't know

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Speaker 1: if what they're gonna do is gonna work, But I

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Speaker 1: would expect we'll see some kind of change. But with Alabama,

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Speaker 1: it's not hard to figure out. Guys, look at that

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Speaker 1: coaching roster right now. How many of those dudes you

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Speaker 1: think are going to be future head coaches? Because I

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Speaker 1: had half a dozen of them. Oh, by the way,

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Speaker 1: Dan Landing was on that staff back in the day.

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Speaker 1: He wasn't even a position coach. The current head coach

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Speaker 1: at Oregon couldn't even get a position room and he

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Speaker 1: was on that staff in twenty fifteen. So yeah, there's

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Speaker 1: a problem there. It's a very first world problem. Alabama's

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Speaker 1: got to settle for having a top ten caliber staff

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Speaker 1: instead of the best in the country. You know what

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Speaker 1: that means. You just gotta squeeze the sponge a little

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Speaker 1: bit harder. There's still plenty in there. You just gotta

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Speaker 1: squeeze it a little bit harder. Immunity, and we move on.

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Speaker 1: Let's predict some games, because that's really what we all

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Speaker 1: gather around the camp fire here, that's what we all

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Speaker 1: gather around the college football table to do on Tuesday nights.

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Speaker 1: Early set from the chalicey I think, so I wasn't

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Speaker 1: going to lead with this game, but the more I

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Speaker 1: thought about it this afternoon, the more I thought this

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Speaker 1: could be the game of the week, ESPN selected it

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Speaker 1: to be its primetime game. Colin, here's your endpoint. Tennessee

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Speaker 1: favored by nearly a touchdown against Florida. Anyone got this

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Speaker 1: game on their radar? I think you need to. I

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Speaker 1: think you need to for several reasons. Number one, it's

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Speaker 1: a helmet game. Anytime those two helmets are on the field,

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Speaker 1: big deal, especially in the South. But I want to

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Speaker 1: tell you, whether you live in Duluth, or whether you

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Speaker 1: live in Seattle or Tacoma, or whether you live in Sacramento, California,

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Speaker 1: you know you probably thought some things about Florida when

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Speaker 1: you watched them in that Utah game. I was on

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Speaker 1: the field. I know I thought something about him, and

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Speaker 1: probably didn't need to be said out loud because this

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Speaker 1: is a family friendly show. Right Well, here is the

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Speaker 1: theme that we always see in September. I just said

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Speaker 1: it about Bama. I'm going to say it about Florida.

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Speaker 1: You have seen some teams do some things. You've seen

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Speaker 1: teams try approaches and game plans and they don't work. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's obvious to everyone once the game happens. The mistake

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Speaker 1: people make this early in the season is thinking that

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Speaker 1: the one version of a team you've seen will be

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Speaker 1: the same version of that team you see another nine

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Speaker 1: or ten weeks, and that's not the case. In fact,

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Speaker 1: when you get beaten soundly and you just suck, that

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Speaker 1: entire coaching staff meets the next day and says, all right,

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Speaker 1: let's completely wash that one, flush it down the toilet.

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Speaker 1: What are we change and what do we change and

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Speaker 1: what do we change in? And the entire methodology is

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Speaker 1: to not duplicate what they just did. So I don't

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Speaker 1: know if Florida is going to beat Tennessee Saturday, but

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Speaker 1: I do know that perhaps some of the things that

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Speaker 1: plague them against Utah might just might be corrected to

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Speaker 1: a certain degree. Here. Now Tennessee is zero to nine

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Speaker 1: since two thousand and five in the swamp. It's a

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Speaker 1: really big game here. That I was at this game

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Speaker 1: last year, it was thirty eight to thirty three and

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Speaker 1: kneel and it wasn't that close. Florida closed the gap late.

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Speaker 1: Think they covered Think we had a backdoor cover there late.

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Speaker 1: Here's the question that I have for Tennessee fans and

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Speaker 1: for anyone else, what are you at quarterback? Because I

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Speaker 1: think by this point we know you're not. Last year,

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Speaker 1: you're not Hendon Hooker. Now you don't have to be

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Speaker 1: because defense is improved. But I wonder because I know

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Speaker 1: Florida is about to try and expose it, and the

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Speaker 1: Swamp's going to try and expose it. Joe Milton going

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Speaker 1: on the road for his first true road start as

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Speaker 1: the starting quarterback at Tennessee. I don't think Tennessee's the

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Speaker 1: team America thinks they are. They're good. I got him

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Speaker 1: in my top ten. I'm not saying they're not good.

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Speaker 1: I'm saying, let's be real. Now, if you're an Arkansas fan,

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Speaker 1: how much of Tennessee have you watched? You didn't watch

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Speaker 1: that Virginia game. I did only because it was down

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Speaker 1: the street so I could walk over there to the

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Speaker 1: stadium with director Colin and producer Jesse. But most of

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Speaker 1: America did not watch Tennessee versus Virginia. You just forty

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Speaker 1: nine to thirteen, and you certainly didn't watch the game

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Speaker 1: against Austin p last week, and so you see a

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Speaker 1: blowout against the only Power five team they've played, and

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Speaker 1: you think they just they just bombed away that is

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Speaker 1: not what's happening. Joe Milton's had accuracy issues and that's

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Speaker 1: not the biggest shock in the world for anyone who's

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Speaker 1: watched him to this point in his career. What if

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Speaker 1: I told you they got more rushing yards than passing

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Speaker 1: yards so far this year? What if I told you

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Speaker 1: Tennessee has only put up two pass plays of over

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Speaker 1: twenty yards the whole season. That includes against Austin P

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Speaker 1: the fighting direct collins of Austin P last week. Conversely,

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Speaker 1: and let me turn my paper sideways, they have six

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Speaker 1: point one yards per rush this year. They're a running

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Speaker 1: team right now. It's early, They're a running team right now.

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Speaker 1: And so what could we see Saturday? I remember that

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Speaker 1: Utah game. First play from scrimmage, bomb, touchdown, discombinulated Florida

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Speaker 1: like nobody's business, and the rest of the game was

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Speaker 1: on tilt for him. Well, what if the opposite happens?

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Speaker 1: What if Florida just stones Tennessee early? And what if

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Speaker 1: what if they're getting some obvious passing down third and

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Speaker 1: lungs in their force and Joe Milton to throw into

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Speaker 1: the teeth of that defense. Who knows, maybe the outcomes different,

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Speaker 1: which leads me to my next question slash point, that is,

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Speaker 1: can Tennessee's defense carry a game for him if they

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Speaker 1: need to. You think about Tennessee, you think about a

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Speaker 1: game like thirty eight thirty three last year. You think

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Speaker 1: about them winning that kind of track meet, you think

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Speaker 1: about them outscoring folks. Well, they've had eleven sacks so

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Speaker 1: far this year defensively, double digit tackles for loss each

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Speaker 1: game so far this year. Really good defensively. Now you

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Speaker 1: could argue how stiff for not stiff the tests were,

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Speaker 1: but they've been really good so far. To me, that's

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Speaker 1: the matchup. That's the matchup for Florida now, because you're

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Speaker 1: not in a hostile environment, you're in your own backyard,

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Speaker 1: so you hope those externals actually help you. But against Utah,

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Speaker 1: Utah lived in their backfield. Utah had five sacks, seven

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Speaker 1: tackles for loss. If Tennessee does anything like that against you,

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Speaker 1: you're probably done. Unless you're picking off Joe Milton four times,

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Speaker 1: you're probably done. Can Florida run the ball though against

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Speaker 1: the front the disruptive factor is one thing, but also

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Speaker 1: can they run the ball against them? And I have

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Speaker 1: no clue they have the capability. I have no clue

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Speaker 1: if they will. They were terrible against Utah on the ground.

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Speaker 1: Twenty one carries for thirteen yards, and that's all anyone

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Speaker 1: wanted to talk about in the post game. I was

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Speaker 1: in Napier's press conference after that game. That's what people

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Speaker 1: were talking about before he walked into the room. That's

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Speaker 1: what they talked about when he walked into the room,

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Speaker 1: and that's what they still whispered about when they walked

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Speaker 1: out of the room. I was just enjoying the free

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Speaker 1: food at that point. But last week against McNeice, they

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Speaker 1: ran for three hundred and twenty seven Jesse, is that right?

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Speaker 1: Three twenty seven? It's a lot of yardage? So where

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Speaker 1: are we going to settle? I mean, if if we

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Speaker 1: add up those two and then divide by two, it

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Speaker 1: lands in like the one seventy five or two hundred rangs.

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Speaker 1: Hey point being, I'd take one fifty on the ground

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Speaker 1: if it's complimentary and Florida plays good ball that approach,

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Speaker 1: by the way, just if you could do nothing more

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Speaker 1: than negate the negative plays, if you could just negate

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Speaker 1: the penalties you had nine of them against Utah, If

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Speaker 1: you could just have a tie on first down each

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Speaker 1: way and lean on that crowd that's not even in

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Speaker 1: the box score. What I just talked about doesn't gain

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Speaker 1: you a single yard. I didn't talk about a single

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Speaker 1: completed pass. I'm just saying, Negate the stuff that assisted

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Speaker 1: in you shooting your own self and the foot in

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Speaker 1: the week one, and you got a game on your

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Speaker 1: hands here the model versus Vegas, what does Vegas think? Well,

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Speaker 1: Vegas has got Tennessee minus six and a half is

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Speaker 1: the current line. Our model is a little bit shorter

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Speaker 1: than that. Our model has Tennessee minus five and a half.

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Speaker 1: And I have got a feeling that we're gonna see

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Speaker 1: an inspired performance from Florida Saturday. It's the way college

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Speaker 1: football works, guys. If this is a track meet, it's

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Speaker 1: Tennessee's game. I don't think it will be, because I

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Speaker 1: don't think at this point Joe Milton's playing that kind

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Speaker 1: of football. Somehow, some way, Florida's gonna find a way

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Speaker 1: to turn this into a hammer fight. And not only

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Speaker 1: am I going to take them to cover, I think

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Speaker 1: Florida is gonna find away somehow to pull the upset.

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Speaker 1: And all of a sudden, the sec East looks every

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Speaker 1: bit as Murky beneath Georgia, as the SEC West does.

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to get much agreement on that in

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Speaker 1: the control room. I know that. But the current ods

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Speaker 1: to win the SEC Championship Tennessee fourth, Florida is go.

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Speaker 1: They're nowhere to be found there, Florida and Missouri. Actually,

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Speaker 1: Florida's behind Missouri in terms of odds to win the

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Speaker 1: SEC right now, brutal, just brutal. Let's move it along here.

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Speaker 1: I got good news. Yeah, it's already time to talk

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Speaker 1: about this in the show. Got great news if you

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Speaker 1: live in if you live in the Houston area, specifically

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Speaker 1: near ten forty one Nolan Street, I got a new

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Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors opening on the fifteenth of this month,

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Speaker 1: this weekend. You know the rule. These are called Chawlive Supremacy.

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Speaker 1: They don't sell them at Academy because I don't even

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Speaker 1: sell them in my own store. Who knows maybe in

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Speaker 1: the future. But if you show up to that Academy

401
00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:59,359
Speaker 1: grand opening this weekend and you prove to me that

402
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:03,160
Speaker 1: you were there, screenshot your receipts, post them on the socials.

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Speaker 1: Five people are taking home a chalice of supremacy. So

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Speaker 1: that's on the line. Also the next weekend, just to

405
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Speaker 1: give you fair warning, nine to twenty two Kyle, Texas.

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Speaker 1: That's near Austin. You guys have a new Academy Sports

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00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:18,040
Speaker 1: and Outdoors opening same thing. So we've got ten chali

408
00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:20,359
Speaker 1: on the line over the next two weeks. Academy Sports

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Speaker 1: and Outdoors is our exclusive partner, and dare I say

410
00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:25,879
Speaker 1: they're close to be in your one stop shop for

411
00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:28,719
Speaker 1: everything you need at this point, I don't know. Some

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Speaker 1: of you live a little bit more, a little bit

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Speaker 1: more extravagant lifestyles than me. They got everything I need.

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Speaker 1: I mean everything short of like my medication, and I

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Speaker 1: don't take any medication. I'm not allergic to anything. So

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Speaker 1: I go in Academy, I walk out. I'm one hundred

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Speaker 1: percent satisfied. I'm good to go for the week. Grills check,

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Speaker 1: tents check, football tease check, basketball goals check. And being

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00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:52,040
Speaker 1: able to watch this show for free. Also check why

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Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors. They pay the freight for us

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Speaker 1: and we appreciate them so much. We are headed to Columbia,

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Speaker 1: Missouri Saturday because of them, headed to Tuscaloosa last week

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Speaker 1: because of them. We got a just a schmrga's board.

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Speaker 1: You know how rarely I use that word of the

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Speaker 1: elite games next week to choose from, and we'll go

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Speaker 1: wherever we want to next week because of them, Academy

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00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:14,800
Speaker 1: sports and outdoors makes it happen. All right, Let's roll on,

428
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:19,639
Speaker 1: little sunburn on top of the head. Some of us

429
00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:23,800
Speaker 1: are more exposed than others immunity. LSU favored by nine

430
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:25,879
Speaker 1: and a half at Mississippi State. Do we think this

431
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:29,159
Speaker 1: number is too high? Judging by my mentions, some of

432
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:32,840
Speaker 1: you do. This is a Saturday game noon eastern eleven

433
00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:37,160
Speaker 1: local time. Strange schedule this Saturday. Three of the biggest games,

434
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,120
Speaker 1: really four of the biggest games this Saturday are noon

435
00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:45,080
Speaker 1: eastern time kickoffs. A dream scenario for me, obviously. So

436
00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:48,760
Speaker 1: this one's on ESPN. LSU Secondary we've seen them lit

437
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:52,840
Speaker 1: up against Florida State. True enough, some would lead you

438
00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,959
Speaker 1: to believe this is not a matchup advantage for Mississippi

439
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:59,920
Speaker 1: State because what LSU's weakness is Mississippi State can't take

440
00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 1: advantage of because Mississippi State refused to throw the ball

441
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:05,320
Speaker 1: last week. You got to hear this. You want to

442
00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:08,040
Speaker 1: talk about you want to talk about a paper popping stat.

443
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:10,879
Speaker 1: You want to talk about a pre padlocked stat. So

444
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:14,679
Speaker 1: Will Rogers, who's started for like nine years at Mississippi

445
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:18,280
Speaker 1: State at quarterback. Listen to the stat. Will Rodgers has

446
00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:22,560
Speaker 1: forty six pass attempts this season. He's had twenty two

447
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 1: games in his career with more than forty six passing attempts.

448
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:28,720
Speaker 1: He had seven games last year where he threw the

449
00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:31,080
Speaker 1: ball forty six or more. Times. He's thrown it at

450
00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:34,440
Speaker 1: forty six total times this year. Translation, they want to

451
00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 1: run the ball over there, and you know what, they've

452
00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:39,120
Speaker 1: run it. Five point seven yards per carry is not bad.

453
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:42,880
Speaker 1: They've run the ball. Are they playing to their strengths?

454
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,880
Speaker 1: That's the question that's on the table in Starkville, Mississippi.

455
00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 1: You know the old me Ma saying sometimes you win

456
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 1: your losses in college football. We used it for Oregon

457
00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 1: last week. We never say you should have won or

458
00:22:57,920 --> 00:22:59,919
Speaker 1: you should have lost. We don't believe in that phrase

459
00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:02,120
Speaker 1: on this show because if you should have, you would

460
00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:04,920
Speaker 1: have also a memal quote. But what we will say

461
00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 1: is sometimes you win your losses. Sometimes you win games

462
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 1: you have no business winning. It counts, And I'm never

463
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:13,920
Speaker 1: gonna say you shouldn't have. I am gonna say though,

464
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:19,439
Speaker 1: when you're plus four turnovers at home against Arizona and

465
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:23,400
Speaker 1: you still need overtime, that's a game you're probably gonna

466
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 1: lose more times than not. Mississippi State just happened to

467
00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:30,320
Speaker 1: win it. College football deals harsh lessons all the time.

468
00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:34,120
Speaker 1: Because anyone who watched that game, you'll notice a familiar

469
00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:37,080
Speaker 1: theme on this show tonight. Anyone who watched Mississippi State

470
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,840
Speaker 1: last week and watched them refuse to throw the ball

471
00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:43,359
Speaker 1: and watch them drag themselves into a rock fight against

472
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:46,400
Speaker 1: Arizona and ended up needing overtime to win probably says well,

473
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 1: if LS use weakness as the secondary and Mississippi State

474
00:23:49,520 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 1: won't throw the ball, this is a matchup nightmare. Right Well,

475
00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 1: If Mississippi State uses that same approach, it's a matchup nightmare,

476
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:58,600
Speaker 1: Which is the reason I don't think they'll use that

477
00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:01,199
Speaker 1: same approach. There is no in incentive to replicate what

478
00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:04,680
Speaker 1: doesn't work. I'm going to say that pretty much about

479
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 1: every game we talk about tonight. So question one, and

480
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:10,240
Speaker 1: I'd love to get feedback if anyone on that coaching

481
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:12,680
Speaker 1: staff wants to share it with me. What's your approach

482
00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:16,840
Speaker 1: this week because I watched Grambling. Producer Jesse went back

483
00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:19,639
Speaker 1: and watched the game for me today. Grambling played LSU

484
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:23,960
Speaker 1: last week. Five point six yards per carry, put up

485
00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:26,320
Speaker 1: over two hundred yards on the first couple of drives,

486
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:29,800
Speaker 1: the first three drives, I think, and we tend to

487
00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:32,400
Speaker 1: dismiss that sort of thing because it was Grambling. Well,

488
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 1: starters are on the field, so I don't know why

489
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:37,399
Speaker 1: in the world we're dismissing it. Mississippi State has a

490
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 1: decision to make here because there are yards to be

491
00:24:40,600 --> 00:24:45,120
Speaker 1: had through the air against that LSU secondary, But apparently

492
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:46,680
Speaker 1: there are yards to be had on the ground too,

493
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:48,760
Speaker 1: And Zach Barnett has made it very clear he wants

494
00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:51,360
Speaker 1: to run the ball, and they've run it pretty effectively. Again,

495
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:54,160
Speaker 1: it's just are you playing to your strings? LSU has

496
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:56,920
Speaker 1: wide receiver depth emerging. Okay, so ls you can score,

497
00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:59,800
Speaker 1: they can throw the ball. Malik Neighbors is there, Brian

498
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,520
Speaker 1: Hamas is now there. They've had some other guys last

499
00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:05,199
Speaker 1: week flash and their stat sheets not filled up by

500
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:08,200
Speaker 1: any stretch, but they they look at those guys as

501
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:12,479
Speaker 1: guys that on any given Saturday could shine and go

502
00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:16,200
Speaker 1: for one seventy and two scores. They cannot get dragged

503
00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 1: into a hammer fight. It's another phrase I'm gonna use

504
00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:21,639
Speaker 1: a lot on the show tonight. You know what LSU

505
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:25,400
Speaker 1: should do now that I'm thinking about past comparisons. Remember

506
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:28,399
Speaker 1: how Tennessee played LSU last year where they came in

507
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:29,800
Speaker 1: there and they started running it up and you had

508
00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:31,760
Speaker 1: to try and play catch up. That's how you need

509
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:33,800
Speaker 1: to play Mississippi State. You need to go in there

510
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 1: and get a seventeen to three lead and make them

511
00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:38,639
Speaker 1: throw the ball. And that's not that Will Rogers can't.

512
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 1: It's just that he's got a coaching staff that is very,

513
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 1: very hesitant to do so. Make him uncomfortable. The crowd

514
00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:47,800
Speaker 1: makes you uncomfortable on the road. You make your opponent

515
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:50,479
Speaker 1: as uncomfortable in their own building as possible. Do what

516
00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:53,159
Speaker 1: Texas did to Bama. Do what Tennessee did to you

517
00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 1: last year. LSU is in an interesting situation here. Their

518
00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:01,439
Speaker 1: top three tacklers are dbs. I think we all know

519
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:04,359
Speaker 1: what that normally means. Here's my question to follow up,

520
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:07,359
Speaker 1: Where in the world is Harold Perkins And I'm not

521
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:11,600
Speaker 1: putting this on him necessarily. Matt Howise and that coaching staff.

522
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:15,120
Speaker 1: They have a plan. Apparently this is part of their plan.

523
00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:17,920
Speaker 1: Plans don't always have to make sense to all of us.

524
00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 1: But Harold Perkins has zero tackles for loss this season,

525
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:22,640
Speaker 1: and I think he may very well be the best

526
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:26,560
Speaker 1: defensive talent in the country. So I don't know if

527
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 1: that's a season long thing. I don't know if we'll

528
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 1: all of a sudden have a week where we say

529
00:26:29,760 --> 00:26:32,560
Speaker 1: a welcome to twenty twenty three Harold Perkins. So far

530
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:34,920
Speaker 1: it hasn't happened. Maybe this is the week it happens.

531
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:37,600
Speaker 1: What does Vegas say? What does the model say? The

532
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:41,280
Speaker 1: Vegas number on this is currently LSU minus nine and

533
00:26:41,320 --> 00:26:43,960
Speaker 1: a half. You know that we already moved on this.

534
00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:47,080
Speaker 1: We moved on this game Sunday night. It is a

535
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,960
Speaker 1: ram Noodle Express best bet. I am taking Mississippi State

536
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:55,120
Speaker 1: plus the points. I will lean LSU to win. LSU

537
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:59,360
Speaker 1: is minus five on our model, So we cross. Depending

538
00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:01,639
Speaker 1: on how you define a key number, we cross several

539
00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:04,719
Speaker 1: key numbers and betting circles. And so we're gonna take

540
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,760
Speaker 1: Mississippi State to cover. We're gonna take LSU to win.

541
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:12,919
Speaker 1: I think that come let's say about three o'clock Saturday

542
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 1: on the East Coast, you could have several games coming

543
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:19,760
Speaker 1: down to the wire. And I'm telling you now, two

544
00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:22,240
Speaker 1: forty five or three o'clock on the East Coast Saturday,

545
00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:24,760
Speaker 1: you're gonna have a bunch of folks who swore to

546
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:27,160
Speaker 1: you that this was a sleeper Saturday, who were texting

547
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:29,520
Speaker 1: you saying, Bro, you looking at this, Bro, turn to

548
00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:32,960
Speaker 1: that channel and you if I know you like I

549
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 1: think you do, we'll be saying, yeah, I'm already watching.

550
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 1: Where have you been? Because that's how we roll. They're

551
00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:40,840
Speaker 1: watching us in Boone, North Carolina. Oh man, host, it

552
00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:43,200
Speaker 1: wouldn't come up. They're watching us in Boone, North Carolina.

553
00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:49,119
Speaker 1: Great skiing there during very very very deep winter months.

554
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:53,280
Speaker 1: They're watching us in Lancaster, Pennsylvania. New Lenox, Illinois is

555
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:56,720
Speaker 1: tuned in, and Oka Knowawa, Japan all tuned in. Thank

556
00:27:56,760 --> 00:27:59,720
Speaker 1: you guys, so so much. Busy week, very busy week.

557
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,560
Speaker 1: You know where I've never been before for a football game.

558
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:06,720
Speaker 1: I've never been to Columbia, Missouri for a football game.

559
00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:09,520
Speaker 1: Been through there, but never for a game. And it's

560
00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:11,920
Speaker 1: time to change that. The once upon a Saturday tour

561
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:16,440
Speaker 1: is headed to Columbia Missouri this Saturday, Kansas State versus Missouri.

562
00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:20,080
Speaker 1: Love these kind of matchups, Love them because it doesn't

563
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:23,479
Speaker 1: feature a couple of top five all time brand names.

564
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 1: But this is what the once upon a Saturday tour

565
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:28,760
Speaker 1: is all about. Get us into a new location, find

566
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:32,160
Speaker 1: us what we hope is a competitive game. And obviously

567
00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:35,960
Speaker 1: someone wins this thing, and they they win a losable game.

568
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:38,200
Speaker 1: And this is how Kansas State ended up being a

569
00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 1: contender last year. They kept winning losable games and at

570
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:44,240
Speaker 1: the preseason people look at the schedule and they just

571
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 1: assume you'll eventually drop some of these and you're not

572
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,320
Speaker 1: in the picture in November. Well, if you keep winning them,

573
00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:51,200
Speaker 1: you're in the picture in November. And all of a sudden,

574
00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:53,800
Speaker 1: people are saying, where Kansas State come from? Or maybe

575
00:28:53,800 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 1: where did Missouri come from? Question for my Missouri brethren,

576
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:02,880
Speaker 1: is this the biggest game to date for Eli Drinkwitz

577
00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:06,160
Speaker 1: at Missouri. Sure he's played bigger opponents, but you didn't

578
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,880
Speaker 1: expect him to beat Georgia. You got a shot here.

579
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:11,080
Speaker 1: It's a four and a half point line right now,

580
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:14,960
Speaker 1: k State favored by four and a half. Eli's got

581
00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:18,160
Speaker 1: one win against a top twenty five team in his

582
00:29:18,280 --> 00:29:20,560
Speaker 1: tenure at Missouri. You know who that was. By the way,

583
00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:22,920
Speaker 1: it's a really good trivia question. I don't even know

584
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 1: if our South Carolina fans know it was you when

585
00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:29,200
Speaker 1: you were ranked last year. So South Carolina twenty twenty two,

586
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:32,120
Speaker 1: that's the only win against the top twenty five team.

587
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 1: Here's your shot. Again, this is not Georgia. You're not

588
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:38,160
Speaker 1: a four touchdown underdog, although you almost beat Georgia last year.

589
00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:41,080
Speaker 1: This is good, should be a very competitive game. But

590
00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:44,200
Speaker 1: it's Kansas State that team again, is I think the

591
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:47,680
Speaker 1: most fair question. So Kansas State wins the Big twelve

592
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 1: last year, they go to the Sugar Bowl. You know

593
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:52,880
Speaker 1: what I got excited about last week, and it was

594
00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 1: off everyone's radar. Kansas State played Troy, Okay, and they

595
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 1: beat Troy soundly, forty two to thirteen. Now that may

596
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:04,600
Speaker 1: not mean anything to a lot of you. The line

597
00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:09,320
Speaker 1: was in the mid teens, so they covered easily. And

598
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:11,880
Speaker 1: I can tell you there were some sharp people in

599
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:14,000
Speaker 1: the betting space, there were some sharp people in the

600
00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:17,840
Speaker 1: coaching world who had that game circled. They thought Troy

601
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:20,960
Speaker 1: had an outside shot of pulling that upset. Good team

602
00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 1: down there. Really good coaching staff at Troy and Kansas

603
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 1: State just handled them with a trip, a road trip

604
00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 1: to an SEC venue on deck. Just handled them. And

605
00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:32,920
Speaker 1: then we get to this game. And what I remember

606
00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 1: about this game last year, this Kansas State Missouri game

607
00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:39,160
Speaker 1: was forty what was it? Forty to twelve was the final.

608
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:43,760
Speaker 1: Kansas State won convincingly, and they limited Luther Burden, that

609
00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:46,360
Speaker 1: five star receiver from Missouri. They limited him to one

610
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:50,160
Speaker 1: reception for nine yards. Here's why that's important because I

611
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 1: think he's one of the biggest and most important players

612
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:54,240
Speaker 1: in this game. Burden's gone off so far this year

613
00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:57,840
Speaker 1: fifteen catches over two hundred yards. He has got to

614
00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 1: have that kind of contribution to this stat sheet Saturday.

615
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 1: He's got to be a factor. He I don't care

616
00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:05,719
Speaker 1: how much attentions on him. They got to get him

617
00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:08,480
Speaker 1: the ball. He is a difference maker and there usually

618
00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 1: aren't many of them as talented as him on a

619
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 1: football field. Kansas State's better upfront in the middle Tennessee State.

620
00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:15,200
Speaker 1: That's a weird sentence to come out of my mouth.

621
00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:18,560
Speaker 1: I know. Let me say it again. Kansas State, not

622
00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:22,560
Speaker 1: so surprisingly, is a better team upfront than Middle Tennessee.

623
00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:25,880
Speaker 1: And the reason I mentioned that is because Middle Tennessee

624
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,720
Speaker 1: went into Columbia no less last week and they held

625
00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:31,720
Speaker 1: Missouri to two point four yards per carry. Bad day

626
00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 1: on the ground from Missouri. Also, Middle Tennessee nine of

627
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:41,160
Speaker 1: eighteen on third down, two of three on fourth down.

628
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:46,080
Speaker 1: Kansas State executes superbly well on money downs. Kansas State

629
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:49,240
Speaker 1: is a very disciplined and good team upfront. They don't

630
00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 1: give up a lot on the ground to teams that

631
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:55,400
Speaker 1: are equal to them talent wise, and so I don't

632
00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:57,200
Speaker 1: think you can count on a running the ball down

633
00:31:57,240 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 1: their throat gonna You're not gonna count on severely out

634
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 1: executing them on third down. If you do, that could

635
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,160
Speaker 1: swing a game. But here's the other thing that worries

636
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:09,480
Speaker 1: me about Missouri. They've got two miss field goals already,

637
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 1: they've missed an extra point. I'm going to read a

638
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:15,719
Speaker 1: quote to you from Missouri head coach Eli Drinkwitz. Kansas

639
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:18,840
Speaker 1: State is a team defined by their special teams. So

640
00:32:18,920 --> 00:32:21,920
Speaker 1: if that's another edge. With that in mind, let's take

641
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:24,080
Speaker 1: a look at what the model thinks. The Vegas number

642
00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:27,000
Speaker 1: is Kansas State minus four and a half. The model's

643
00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:29,680
Speaker 1: a little bit north of that. The model's up closer

644
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 1: to where this line opened, so the model thought that

645
00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:34,440
Speaker 1: the original number was right. We got Kansas State minus

646
00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 1: six and a half. This is a week where I

647
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 1: think upsets could strike everywhere. This is not a confident

648
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:43,480
Speaker 1: pick of mine. By the way, we won't be putting

649
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:46,040
Speaker 1: any money on this one, but I learned my lesson

650
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:50,520
Speaker 1: last year. You'll remember if you followed the Every Given

651
00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:54,560
Speaker 1: Saturday Tour last year, we had a week where we

652
00:32:54,560 --> 00:32:57,160
Speaker 1: were going to watch Oklahoma State and Kansas State. The

653
00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 1: spread was one and a half. Kansas AA Adre Martinez

654
00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:02,760
Speaker 1: is not playing, so Kansas State is going with their

655
00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:06,840
Speaker 1: backup quarterback. We're there, and they proceeded to run away

656
00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:10,719
Speaker 1: and hide from Oklahoma State. And I said to myself self,

657
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:14,480
Speaker 1: don't you pick against them again. Make make yourself be

658
00:33:14,600 --> 00:33:18,120
Speaker 1: wrong because Kansas State lost. Don't let them make a

659
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:19,760
Speaker 1: fool out of you and run it up on a

660
00:33:19,800 --> 00:33:22,400
Speaker 1: team again. So I'm taking Kansas State to win. I'm

661
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:25,080
Speaker 1: taking Kansas State to cover. Kansas State's got one of

662
00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:28,280
Speaker 1: the best head coaching advantages in college football. They're thirty

663
00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:31,320
Speaker 1: three eighteen and one against the spread under Chris Climan.

664
00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:34,120
Speaker 1: By the way, that's tied for third best in FBS

665
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:37,680
Speaker 1: under that span, and I think the betting market is

666
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:40,480
Speaker 1: only just now kind of sort of starting to catch

667
00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 1: up to that. So I'm taking Kansas State to win.

668
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:45,320
Speaker 1: I'm taking them to cover, and I want you to

669
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:51,120
Speaker 1: remember remember at patestatematerial dot com. For one week only,

670
00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 1: we've got the specialized once upon a Saturday tour shirts.

671
00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 1: We are going to be in Columbia. We're going to

672
00:33:56,880 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 1: be at a place, at a venue we've never been.

673
00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:02,960
Speaker 1: We commemorate every trip with a brand new tour shirt

674
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 1: in the store. We only sell them for a week.

675
00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:08,359
Speaker 1: They always fly off the shelves. That one we sold

676
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,080
Speaker 1: last year for Texas Bama is the third best selling

677
00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:13,680
Speaker 1: shirt we've ever had, and it was up for a week.

678
00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:17,400
Speaker 1: So there's really hot collector's item. I didn't know we

679
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:20,279
Speaker 1: would ever be in the collectible's business, but here we are.

680
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 1: I don't even have the shirts, guys, just means I'm

681
00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:26,480
Speaker 1: cheap and I won't buy product from myself. But I

682
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 1: don't even have a shirt from last week. That's how

683
00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:31,640
Speaker 1: scarce the supply was on those. So if you want one,

684
00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 1: my general advice is move as quickly as you can

685
00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 1: paytstatematerial dot com. There's a look. If you're listening on podcasts,

686
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:41,239
Speaker 1: just picture an immaculate, beautiful looking shirt. And if you're

687
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:46,840
Speaker 1: watching on YouTube there it is also a quick favor.

688
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:52,040
Speaker 1: What do we have right now? My fractions are very shaky,

689
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:54,399
Speaker 1: but we got like forty five hundred people watching live

690
00:34:54,440 --> 00:34:56,440
Speaker 1: and we have six hundred and twenty one likes, and

691
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,239
Speaker 1: by my estimation, that's not good enough. So please do

692
00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 1: me a favor and click the thumbs up button or

693
00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:07,080
Speaker 1: like the video. Can this happen? I'm holding the game

694
00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:09,520
Speaker 1: in my hand right now and I want to know

695
00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:11,480
Speaker 1: if it can happen. Could the upset happen? Let me

696
00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:15,920
Speaker 1: take a little swig from the chalice. Had a guy

697
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:19,480
Speaker 1: email me yesterday saying he's tired of me taking a

698
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:22,080
Speaker 1: sip from the glass on the set. Well, it's not

699
00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:25,160
Speaker 1: a glass, it's a chalice. Know the difference. And number

700
00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:27,799
Speaker 1: two sorry if for wanting to be hydrated and caffeinated,

701
00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:31,000
Speaker 1: I'm sorry guy. Do you want us to pre record

702
00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:33,280
Speaker 1: the show and cut the SIPs out? That would be terrible.

703
00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:36,080
Speaker 1: That's like expanding the playoff. I would be operating with

704
00:35:36,080 --> 00:35:38,080
Speaker 1: a giant safety net under me. We don't want that.

705
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 1: We want live. So the sacrifice two sacrifices. Number one,

706
00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:46,840
Speaker 1: oh it's in my pocket. Number one. You got to

707
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:48,480
Speaker 1: pause for a sip out of the chause. Number two

708
00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 1: every now and then you got to put some chopstick on,

709
00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:53,359
Speaker 1: and so why not just do both here? All right?

710
00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:56,160
Speaker 1: I got a question for you, guys and girls, ladies

711
00:35:56,200 --> 00:36:00,719
Speaker 1: of pet State, a demographic that's ever expanding. Can South

712
00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:04,160
Speaker 1: Carolina beat Georgia? I mean, really, the lines twenty seven

713
00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:07,000
Speaker 1: and a half? Can they beat them? I rarely break

714
00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:10,240
Speaker 1: games down with lines this big, but something was telling

715
00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:14,480
Speaker 1: me self, break this game down. So I'm gonna do it.

716
00:36:14,560 --> 00:36:17,600
Speaker 1: This is the Saturday three thirty Eastern game on CBS.

717
00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:20,120
Speaker 1: We got we got Nesler, we got I mean, we

718
00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:22,239
Speaker 1: got her. We got our a team down there. We

719
00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:25,400
Speaker 1: got Gary Danielson, Jennifer Dell you may know where on

720
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:27,760
Speaker 1: the street as Jenny. We call her Jennifer. Behind the scenes,

721
00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:31,040
Speaker 1: they'll all be there between the hedges and everyone wants

722
00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:33,239
Speaker 1: to know the same question. Or we're gonna have a

723
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:35,600
Speaker 1: competitive game in the second half, or we're gonna have

724
00:36:35,640 --> 00:36:38,360
Speaker 1: to pull out like Bulldog's nineteen eighty seven trivia to

725
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:42,719
Speaker 1: keep the viewers tuned in. Well, I've got two radically

726
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:46,960
Speaker 1: different ideas about this game. The first one is this

727
00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:51,280
Speaker 1: has the potential to have that Arkansas Georgia twenty twenty

728
00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:54,640
Speaker 1: one vibe, and that's where you have an early kickoff,

729
00:36:55,239 --> 00:36:57,279
Speaker 1: and this one's three thirty, so it's not quite noon,

730
00:36:57,400 --> 00:37:00,319
Speaker 1: probably better for the home team. And you've got a

731
00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:03,880
Speaker 1: fan base that, unbeknownst to you, is totally lathered up,

732
00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:06,840
Speaker 1: ready to go, and what you think as an inferior

733
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:10,200
Speaker 1: opponent already coming in is totally caught off guard. Arkansas

734
00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:13,239
Speaker 1: came into Sandford Stadium and just out of nowhere, it

735
00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:15,160
Speaker 1: was one of the loudest atmospheres you'll ever see. I

736
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:17,360
Speaker 1: remember that so vividly, and Arkansas had no clue what

737
00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:21,759
Speaker 1: to do. Spook Hogs, if you will, well, I'm not

738
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:24,600
Speaker 1: even gonna say it. I'm not gonna have fun at

739
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:27,880
Speaker 1: the expense of South Carolina's mascot before October. October in

740
00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:31,319
Speaker 1: other words, but I will tell you this, if uh,

741
00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:33,120
Speaker 1: this is going in a hype video, I know it is.

742
00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:36,600
Speaker 1: If Sandford Stadium is anything this Saturday like it was

743
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:38,680
Speaker 1: against Arkansas, A couple of years ago. South Carolina is

744
00:37:38,680 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 1: not winning a football game and it's not going to

745
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:43,400
Speaker 1: be competitive, so you better hope. You better hope for

746
00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:47,799
Speaker 1: a docile crowd there hopefully still double championship hangover a

747
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:50,880
Speaker 1: little bit, or maybe you stunned them early. Arkansas was

748
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:52,960
Speaker 1: not able to do that. How would it happen? When

749
00:37:53,000 --> 00:37:55,120
Speaker 1: we break games down and they've got big spreads on

750
00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:58,799
Speaker 1: this show, we don't bother necessarily picking the game out right.

751
00:37:59,040 --> 00:38:00,640
Speaker 1: What we want to do is we want to imagine

752
00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:03,040
Speaker 1: a world where the upset happens, and if it were

753
00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:06,840
Speaker 1: to happen, how would it happen. The first thing that

754
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:09,520
Speaker 1: would have to happen is obviously Spencer Ratler would have

755
00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:12,799
Speaker 1: to go off. So my question is is he going

756
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,160
Speaker 1: to have a chance to go off? Spencer Ratler is

757
00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:19,279
Speaker 1: a very talented quarterback. One of the things every defensive

758
00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:22,680
Speaker 1: staff talks about is the split. There's like a It's

759
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:26,960
Speaker 1: almost so popular. It's a mainstream stat Spencer Rattler under pressure,

760
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:31,040
Speaker 1: Spencer Ratler not under pressure. It's like the biggest gulf

761
00:38:31,160 --> 00:38:35,319
Speaker 1: between a quarterback you could possibly see. Well, the thing

762
00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:37,319
Speaker 1: about it is, if you got an offensive line that

763
00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:39,520
Speaker 1: plays no better for Carolina than it did in Week one.

764
00:38:39,560 --> 00:38:42,400
Speaker 1: It doesn't matter because he's under duress all night. So

765
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:47,479
Speaker 1: you may think to yourself, well, if North Carolina pressured him,

766
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:52,160
Speaker 1: then certainly Georgia will pressure him. Right Well, george has

767
00:38:52,160 --> 00:38:54,799
Speaker 1: played two very inferior opponents so far this year. They

768
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:58,839
Speaker 1: are eighty sixth in FBS in sack rate. Sacks are

769
00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:01,080
Speaker 1: not the end all be all, I know that, but

770
00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:04,319
Speaker 1: the pressure rate overall for Georgia has not been to

771
00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:07,280
Speaker 1: the standard that it had been. It's what Kirby Smart

772
00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:09,760
Speaker 1: came on this show and talked about a few months

773
00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:12,799
Speaker 1: ago as his biggest concern, So it shouldn't be a

774
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:16,359
Speaker 1: surprise unless you thought he was lying to you. If

775
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:21,040
Speaker 1: Spencer Rattler's given time, then we get to answer another question,

776
00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:24,600
Speaker 1: how good is the Georgia secondary because Carolina South Carolina's

777
00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:26,920
Speaker 1: got receivers and a tight end who can make plays

778
00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:30,520
Speaker 1: again if they have time. So we get to find

779
00:39:30,520 --> 00:39:33,239
Speaker 1: out about Georgia's defensive pressure and we get to find

780
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:37,320
Speaker 1: out about their secondary. They are twenty first in pressure

781
00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:40,520
Speaker 1: rate the last five seasons, so being eighty six through

782
00:39:40,520 --> 00:39:43,040
Speaker 1: two games, it's not the end of the world. It's

783
00:39:43,120 --> 00:39:46,480
Speaker 1: just something to keep an eye on what that says.

784
00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:49,319
Speaker 1: Is not a mirage though, like it's real. It could

785
00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:51,000
Speaker 1: be that they're just not up to the same caliber

786
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:52,880
Speaker 1: they have been in years past. But this is a

787
00:39:52,880 --> 00:39:57,480
Speaker 1: complimentary game, Okay. Georgia's pass rush didn't win titles. Georgia's

788
00:39:57,520 --> 00:40:00,440
Speaker 1: pass rush contributed to the team winning time, So it

789
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:02,239
Speaker 1: could be this year their pass rush isn't what it

790
00:40:02,360 --> 00:40:04,359
Speaker 1: used to be and they just need to score more,

791
00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:08,560
Speaker 1: and that's where Carson Beck steps them. I heard Kirby

792
00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:11,840
Speaker 1: Smart talking about how they like their perimeter skill, especially

793
00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:14,080
Speaker 1: in blocking. It just hasn't shown up in the game yet.

794
00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:17,040
Speaker 1: And sometimes that happens. You're doing stuff in practice and

795
00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:19,080
Speaker 1: for whatever reason, in the game it doesn't show up well.

796
00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:22,080
Speaker 1: When you're as good as they are and you're getting

797
00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:25,160
Speaker 1: it done in practice, Eventually, what is practiced ends up

798
00:40:25,160 --> 00:40:29,239
Speaker 1: playing eventually. Is this the game that happens or is

799
00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:30,840
Speaker 1: it the kind of game where they try and shoot

800
00:40:30,840 --> 00:40:34,279
Speaker 1: that ball out through different methods on the perimeter and

801
00:40:34,640 --> 00:40:37,160
Speaker 1: it's a one yard loss, second and eleven, and then

802
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:39,480
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, the crowd is restless. You can

803
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:42,120
Speaker 1: feel a crowd groaning by the way you can feel

804
00:40:42,160 --> 00:40:43,719
Speaker 1: I don't know. If you knew that, you can mute

805
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:48,520
Speaker 1: the TV. And if it's six to three Georgia, five

806
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:51,560
Speaker 1: minutes to go in the first half and there's a

807
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:53,880
Speaker 1: bubble pass and it's second and eleven out, why you

808
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:56,839
Speaker 1: can feel that crowd groaning? Can you force that? If

809
00:40:56,880 --> 00:41:00,799
Speaker 1: you're Shane Beemer in company, can you force that? Is

810
00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:02,800
Speaker 1: this a Georgia team ready to explode or ready to

811
00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:06,640
Speaker 1: be exposed a little bit? It would be one of

812
00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:09,160
Speaker 1: the shockers. It may be the shocker of the season

813
00:41:09,160 --> 00:41:13,080
Speaker 1: if South Carolina beat them, But it doesn't really necessarily

814
00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:15,440
Speaker 1: have to come in a loss. You have Georgia win

815
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:18,200
Speaker 1: this thing twenty eight to twenty and there's gnashing of

816
00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:20,520
Speaker 1: teeth and Athens Georgia the following week, there are a

817
00:41:20,560 --> 00:41:21,960
Speaker 1: lot of folks asking if they're about to go on

818
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:24,200
Speaker 1: the road and get beat by Auburn. If that happens.

819
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:25,960
Speaker 1: So let's take a look at what the model thinks,

820
00:41:26,920 --> 00:41:28,560
Speaker 1: and let's take a look at what Vegas thinks. The

821
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:32,400
Speaker 1: Vegas number Georgia minus twenty seven and a half. That

822
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:35,600
Speaker 1: is pretty much exactly what we have. So the model,

823
00:41:35,640 --> 00:41:39,520
Speaker 1: I think had twenty seven. Yeah, I just got a

824
00:41:39,520 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 1: little weird feeling about this, so I'm not betting any

825
00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:47,880
Speaker 1: money on it. Obviously, I think George is gonna win

826
00:41:47,920 --> 00:41:51,160
Speaker 1: the game. I'll take South Carolina to cover. Now, past

827
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:55,080
Speaker 1: Georgia teams would make this a thirty eight to six

828
00:41:55,200 --> 00:41:58,360
Speaker 1: game and then cover not have to score fifty to

829
00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:01,480
Speaker 1: do it. And maybe this is that Georgia team again,

830
00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:04,239
Speaker 1: maybe they are. Since I'm not betting money on it,

831
00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:07,720
Speaker 1: I can take a chance and I'll take South Carolina

832
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:12,239
Speaker 1: and the points. I don't I just, man, when I

833
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:17,000
Speaker 1: saw what they lacked in Week one. We were talking

834
00:42:17,040 --> 00:42:18,520
Speaker 1: the other day on the show about what you can

835
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 1: and can't clean up in college football? Can you clean

836
00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:25,840
Speaker 1: up that disastrous and offensive line performance, even against the

837
00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:28,920
Speaker 1: team that's struggling in pressure rate? Can you clean that up?

838
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:31,000
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I really don't know. And also,

839
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:34,400
Speaker 1: there is a gear, there's a component of this Georgia

840
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,120
Speaker 1: offense that can if they get an attract meet, they

841
00:42:37,120 --> 00:42:39,879
Speaker 1: can win. They can win a shootout. I don't think

842
00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:41,640
Speaker 1: they want to. I don't think they may need to,

843
00:42:41,680 --> 00:42:44,520
Speaker 1: but I think they can. Or let's move it on.

844
00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:47,920
Speaker 1: You know, it's Tuesday night. Tuesday Night's a very interesting

845
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:49,920
Speaker 1: night around here because not only do we predict the

846
00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 1: games for the following week, but Colin, here's your endpoint,

847
00:42:54,280 --> 00:42:57,720
Speaker 1: new JP pole dropping in three two one Right now.

848
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:01,120
Speaker 1: The JP Pole is not ranking. The JP Pole is

849
00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:03,080
Speaker 1: a power rating. The JP Pole doesn't care if you

850
00:43:03,120 --> 00:43:05,359
Speaker 1: want or lost last week. That's not what we base

851
00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:08,160
Speaker 1: this on. Doesn't matter what I'm saying now, half of

852
00:43:08,200 --> 00:43:12,080
Speaker 1: you won't hear me. This is strictly just neutral field favorability.

853
00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:14,080
Speaker 1: So I know Bama lost last week, They're not going

854
00:43:14,160 --> 00:43:16,320
Speaker 1: to drop out of the top ten. It is ludicrous

855
00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:18,360
Speaker 1: to think ten teams would be favored over Alabama on

856
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:21,080
Speaker 1: a neutral field right now. Favorability is not the end

857
00:43:21,160 --> 00:43:23,839
Speaker 1: all be all. It does not necessarily mean that's how

858
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:26,640
Speaker 1: a game would play out. It just means that's the

859
00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:29,640
Speaker 1: metric we choose to value. It is a pure odds

860
00:43:29,719 --> 00:43:33,600
Speaker 1: making approach, power rating approach to listing teams instead of

861
00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:37,480
Speaker 1: ranking them. Here we go top twenty five. Let's work

862
00:43:37,520 --> 00:43:40,239
Speaker 1: from the back to the front. There's I noticed a

863
00:43:40,239 --> 00:43:42,920
Speaker 1: disclaimer on the screen. I like that Arkansas is at

864
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:45,800
Speaker 1: number twenty five, Mississippi State is at number twenty four.

865
00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:49,960
Speaker 1: We got in North Carolina, UCF and Miami there. Miami

866
00:43:50,080 --> 00:43:53,839
Speaker 1: jumped Miami, I think jumped a good bit. I can't

867
00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:56,319
Speaker 1: remember the exact number, but they're on the rise. How

868
00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:59,279
Speaker 1: about that? I don't know if I don't know if

869
00:43:59,280 --> 00:44:01,799
Speaker 1: we expected to see Miami in the top twenty five,

870
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:05,360
Speaker 1: but steadily surging there, steadily surging and could get a

871
00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:08,480
Speaker 1: lot better, had a lot to clean up still from

872
00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:10,239
Speaker 1: that game the other day against A and M. That's

873
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:12,359
Speaker 1: a checkback game. What does that game mean a month

874
00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:15,200
Speaker 1: from now? Tbd? That's why we got to check back

875
00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:18,360
Speaker 1: in a month. Let's go top twenty. It always occurs

876
00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:21,879
Speaker 1: to me sometimes you guys listening on podcasts can't see it.

877
00:44:22,280 --> 00:44:24,799
Speaker 1: So I have to list every team. Ole miss is

878
00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:27,800
Speaker 1: at twenty. Notice both of the Mississippi teams are in

879
00:44:27,840 --> 00:44:30,920
Speaker 1: top twenty five for US. Kansas State's here. Okay, the

880
00:44:31,040 --> 00:44:34,480
Speaker 1: JP pole has heard your cries in Manhattan, and are

881
00:44:34,520 --> 00:44:36,279
Speaker 1: we cooking the books a little bit just so we

882
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:38,040
Speaker 1: can claim we're going to see a top twenty team

883
00:44:38,040 --> 00:44:40,840
Speaker 1: this Saturday. I wouldn't put it past us. I would not,

884
00:44:41,040 --> 00:44:42,920
Speaker 1: but no, that's not what's going on. Kansas State is

885
00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:45,960
Speaker 1: at number nineteen. That Troy win was impressive. I know

886
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:49,400
Speaker 1: it's off the radar. It was impressive. Clemson unchanged at eighteen.

887
00:44:49,520 --> 00:44:54,759
Speaker 1: Ucla continues to rise. Here they come, Ucla at seventeen.

888
00:44:55,120 --> 00:44:59,440
Speaker 1: Future according to US future PAC twelve Championship game participant

889
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:03,279
Speaker 1: at number seventeen. Utah's at sixteen. Look at the PAC

890
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:07,360
Speaker 1: twelve just littering the top twenty at this point, here's

891
00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:11,600
Speaker 1: where the movement starts. Immunity LSU is at fifteen. All right,

892
00:45:11,680 --> 00:45:14,960
Speaker 1: so Washington is on the move. Who knows. Maybe the

893
00:45:15,040 --> 00:45:17,440
Speaker 1: JP pole was a little bit too down on Washington.

894
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:21,440
Speaker 1: Maybe they were they I say they like, it's not

895
00:45:21,520 --> 00:45:25,040
Speaker 1: an inanimate object. I'm holding the JP pole in my hands.

896
00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:29,520
Speaker 1: It it's the community. Ever, Oregon State's at thirteen, Notre

897
00:45:29,640 --> 00:45:33,640
Speaker 1: Dames at twelve. Notre Dame has Central Michigan this Saturday.

898
00:45:33,680 --> 00:45:36,239
Speaker 1: They're not going to cover, but they will win. Then

899
00:45:36,320 --> 00:45:40,280
Speaker 1: they've got Ohio State next week. That's the big matchup.

900
00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 1: So let's just pause on that. When Notre Dame's at twelve,

901
00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:47,719
Speaker 1: Oklahoma's at eleven, I know it's not here yet. Red

902
00:45:47,760 --> 00:45:51,239
Speaker 1: Rivers shootout down the road not too far from now. Oh,

903
00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:54,280
Speaker 1: what kind of game could that be? One we're at Possibly,

904
00:45:54,280 --> 00:45:55,560
Speaker 1: that's what kind of game. It could be. Let's go

905
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:59,719
Speaker 1: top ten, no drum rolls necessary. Tennessee is at number ten.

906
00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:04,440
Speaker 1: Oregon dropped they beat Texas Tech. There was some there

907
00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:08,600
Speaker 1: was some wobbliness, some wobble affity about Oregon last week,

908
00:46:08,680 --> 00:46:11,239
Speaker 1: and we dropped them to number nine. Still not bad,

909
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:14,280
Speaker 1: some of you would still call them overrated. Penn State's

910
00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:18,279
Speaker 1: at eight, USC seven, Bama drops to six. What does

911
00:46:18,320 --> 00:46:21,319
Speaker 1: that mean? Kids? I don't know where the AP has

912
00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:23,680
Speaker 1: Alabama Jesse Off the top of your head. Do you

913
00:46:23,680 --> 00:46:27,680
Speaker 1: know where Bama dropped in the AP? They're at ten? Okay, Well,

914
00:46:27,719 --> 00:46:31,239
Speaker 1: Alabama's at six and the EJP pole Why because Penn

915
00:46:31,239 --> 00:46:33,680
Speaker 1: State wouldn't be favored over Alabama. Right now, let's go

916
00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:39,799
Speaker 1: top five. We have got Michigan at five, Ohio State

917
00:46:39,800 --> 00:46:41,960
Speaker 1: at four. I'm gonna get back to that in a second.

918
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:46,439
Speaker 1: Florida State is at three and Georgia is still number one.

919
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:48,400
Speaker 1: Which team did I leave out? For those of you

920
00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:52,560
Speaker 1: driving around Odessa or Permian or Katie out there in Texas,

921
00:46:52,560 --> 00:46:54,799
Speaker 1: which team did I leave out? The Longhorns? I left

922
00:46:54,840 --> 00:46:59,520
Speaker 1: them out. They're at number two. I think everyone around

923
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:02,880
Speaker 1: here knew the moment. Texas showed the faintest sign of

924
00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:07,200
Speaker 1: being back. This model, having the reputation that it has,

925
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:10,280
Speaker 1: was going all in. If it could find a third

926
00:47:10,400 --> 00:47:13,000
Speaker 1: dice to roll, it would roll it on Texas right now.

927
00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:17,640
Speaker 1: The model loves Texas. It has had a love affair

928
00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:21,560
Speaker 1: with Texas since before I even remember putting it on

929
00:47:21,640 --> 00:47:24,840
Speaker 1: the show. So the model has Georgia Texas one to

930
00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:27,319
Speaker 1: two right now. And by the way, check out the

931
00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:30,920
Speaker 1: top five Texas and Florida State and the top five

932
00:47:31,320 --> 00:47:34,239
Speaker 1: womstead of thunk it? Two apostrophes and whomstead of? By

933
00:47:34,239 --> 00:47:37,120
Speaker 1: the way, whomstead of thunk it? And we got Penn

934
00:47:37,160 --> 00:47:40,160
Speaker 1: State up there, Colin Freese. This just keep this up

935
00:47:40,160 --> 00:47:42,799
Speaker 1: here for a second. So this is the point I'm

936
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:46,160
Speaker 1: trying to make with the JP pole. And although it

937
00:47:46,200 --> 00:47:48,440
Speaker 1: doesn't go shot for shot with what your top ten

938
00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:50,600
Speaker 1: would be, and it's not shot for shot with what

939
00:47:50,640 --> 00:47:54,400
Speaker 1: the AP is for broad strokes purposes, this is a

940
00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:58,360
Speaker 1: pretty accurate representation of the power structure of college football

941
00:47:58,560 --> 00:48:01,879
Speaker 1: so far this year. You may replace one or the other,

942
00:48:01,920 --> 00:48:04,640
Speaker 1: but you get my point. A lot of folks out

943
00:48:04,680 --> 00:48:07,879
Speaker 1: there telling me that NIO on the transfer portal has

944
00:48:08,160 --> 00:48:13,480
Speaker 1: totally overhauled the power structure, and things are totally different now.

945
00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:17,200
Speaker 1: And I'm looking at this list and I'm asking myself,

946
00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:20,680
Speaker 1: which of these teams is in the top ten now

947
00:48:21,120 --> 00:48:23,480
Speaker 1: that didn't always possess the ability to be in the

948
00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:26,759
Speaker 1: top ten, whether the portal in NIL existed or not. Now,

949
00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:28,640
Speaker 1: you could tell me, and you'd be dead on the

950
00:48:28,680 --> 00:48:31,839
Speaker 1: money accurate that USC and Florida State wouldn't have got

951
00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:35,120
Speaker 1: there as quickly. My retort would be, why were they

952
00:48:35,160 --> 00:48:38,040
Speaker 1: ever in a poverty position to begin with? It wasn't

953
00:48:38,080 --> 00:48:41,719
Speaker 1: cause the portal and NIL were holding them down. Why

954
00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:44,520
Speaker 1: wasn't Texas always there to begin with? It's not because

955
00:48:44,520 --> 00:48:48,360
Speaker 1: they couldn't get talents because they hired wrong. That's the

956
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:50,799
Speaker 1: long and short of it. It always comes back to

957
00:48:50,880 --> 00:48:53,279
Speaker 1: staff in this sport, guys, you never have a great

958
00:48:53,320 --> 00:48:56,480
Speaker 1: staff that can't get players. You may have some average

959
00:48:56,480 --> 00:48:58,319
Speaker 1: staffs that can go out and get players cause their

960
00:48:58,360 --> 00:48:59,920
Speaker 1: brand attracts it and they don't know what to do

961
00:49:00,239 --> 00:49:04,600
Speaker 1: with them. That happens, It has happened at those universities, respectively.

962
00:49:04,680 --> 00:49:08,919
Speaker 1: So anyway, just a little commentary there. In other words,

963
00:49:08,960 --> 00:49:11,440
Speaker 1: you don't have you don't have teams that came out

964
00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:15,759
Speaker 1: of nowhere sprinkling the top ten. It's big brands. It's

965
00:49:15,800 --> 00:49:18,560
Speaker 1: just some new brands. Some new big brands have arrived

966
00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:21,319
Speaker 1: that weren't there for the past ten years. But it's

967
00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:25,360
Speaker 1: not really revolutionary what's happening in the sport now. Also,

968
00:49:26,960 --> 00:49:30,000
Speaker 1: we may have more competitive balance at the top this

969
00:49:30,160 --> 00:49:33,560
Speaker 1: given year, but that's as simple as the quarterback position.

970
00:49:33,920 --> 00:49:36,840
Speaker 1: I mean, Ohio State has CJ. Stroud last year, Alabama

971
00:49:36,880 --> 00:49:41,240
Speaker 1: had Bryce Young, mac Jones before that, Tua. Those teams

972
00:49:41,440 --> 00:49:44,640
Speaker 1: not having that right now is a lot of what

973
00:49:44,719 --> 00:49:48,400
Speaker 1: we're seeing here. You know. Also, I'm going to talk

974
00:49:48,440 --> 00:49:52,000
Speaker 1: about this in a second. If Georgia falls at any point,

975
00:49:52,080 --> 00:49:54,840
Speaker 1: or if they just stumble at any point, the perception

976
00:49:55,000 --> 00:49:57,520
Speaker 1: of college football, that's when it'll really get thrown into

977
00:49:57,520 --> 00:50:00,840
Speaker 1: a blender. Because right now we're still kind of convinced

978
00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:03,200
Speaker 1: that there's a little gap between Georgia and everyone else.

979
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:05,160
Speaker 1: And I can tell you the model doesn't think so.

980
00:50:05,760 --> 00:50:09,560
Speaker 1: The model for the record, if you take the gap

981
00:50:09,600 --> 00:50:12,920
Speaker 1: between Georgia and however far down, you have to go

982
00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:15,840
Speaker 1: for a ten point gap in a normal year. The

983
00:50:15,880 --> 00:50:20,920
Speaker 1: past decade or so, there's been a noticeable Tier one

984
00:50:21,120 --> 00:50:24,480
Speaker 1: and sometimes you go number one to number four and

985
00:50:24,520 --> 00:50:27,000
Speaker 1: there's a ten point gap, or number one to number

986
00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:29,040
Speaker 1: five and there's a ten point gap. You have to

987
00:50:29,080 --> 00:50:32,719
Speaker 1: go down to number thirteen right now before you find

988
00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:37,640
Speaker 1: a ten point gap between the top teams. That's competitive balance.

989
00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:40,680
Speaker 1: That is legitimately saying they're a dozen or so teams

990
00:50:40,760 --> 00:50:43,600
Speaker 1: right now, they're more than a dozen teams, far more

991
00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:46,279
Speaker 1: than a dozen teams that are what we would call

992
00:50:46,360 --> 00:50:48,799
Speaker 1: in playoff contention. That's the last time I'm mentioned in

993
00:50:48,800 --> 00:50:50,640
Speaker 1: the playoff on the show tonight. Well, I don't know,

994
00:50:50,640 --> 00:50:53,800
Speaker 1: maybe in passing I'll mention it again, but still early

995
00:50:54,080 --> 00:50:57,480
Speaker 1: that's the point. Obviously it'll weed itself out. But yeah,

996
00:50:57,560 --> 00:51:00,160
Speaker 1: it's an interesting time and as a result, you can

997
00:51:00,200 --> 00:51:02,520
Speaker 1: see a whole lot of fluctuation the jaypeople. They are

998
00:51:02,560 --> 00:51:04,760
Speaker 1: going to be teams moving up and down wildly. Because

999
00:51:04,800 --> 00:51:07,120
Speaker 1: if you if we deduct one and a half points

1000
00:51:07,160 --> 00:51:09,719
Speaker 1: off of your overall power rating, that's enough to drop

1001
00:51:09,760 --> 00:51:12,759
Speaker 1: you from six to fourteen because the gaps just well

1002
00:51:12,840 --> 00:51:16,120
Speaker 1: maybe from like sixteen to twenty four, let's say, because

1003
00:51:16,160 --> 00:51:19,439
Speaker 1: the gaps really aren't that big. We had another question.

1004
00:51:19,480 --> 00:51:21,160
Speaker 1: I wanted to hit this question right quick because it's

1005
00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:26,160
Speaker 1: kind of it's kind of permeating college football conversation this week,

1006
00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:29,880
Speaker 1: and I think that there's a lot of legitimacy to it.

1007
00:51:31,080 --> 00:51:35,040
Speaker 1: Why not one more sip from the chalice? You know,

1008
00:51:35,120 --> 00:51:38,440
Speaker 1: I could actually, I guess I could see how that

1009
00:51:38,480 --> 00:51:41,879
Speaker 1: would get frustrating. Maybe I'll tone it down a little bit.

1010
00:51:42,160 --> 00:51:44,120
Speaker 1: Maybe I want to announce the SIPs. How about that.

1011
00:51:44,280 --> 00:51:48,320
Speaker 1: I think that's a good compromise. Okay, So Brian from Boulder,

1012
00:51:48,360 --> 00:51:50,719
Speaker 1: Colorado hit me up today. He said, could we be

1013
00:51:50,800 --> 00:51:54,240
Speaker 1: seeing two thousand and seven all over again? Two thousand

1014
00:51:54,280 --> 00:51:59,120
Speaker 1: and seven for you kids in the audience was total insanity.

1015
00:51:59,160 --> 00:52:01,239
Speaker 1: I don't know how it's describe it. You need to go.

1016
00:52:01,760 --> 00:52:03,880
Speaker 1: You just need to go read about the two thousand

1017
00:52:03,880 --> 00:52:06,959
Speaker 1: and seven season in college football. A two loss non

1018
00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:10,640
Speaker 1: conference champ won the title and it was in the

1019
00:52:10,680 --> 00:52:14,480
Speaker 1: two team playoff era. That's how crazy it was that year.

1020
00:52:14,880 --> 00:52:17,480
Speaker 1: So so just to give you an idea, like we're

1021
00:52:17,520 --> 00:52:20,640
Speaker 1: talking about the four team playoff and how not a

1022
00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:22,840
Speaker 1: single two loss team has ever made it into the

1023
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:25,680
Speaker 1: four team playoff. Back then we only had two teams

1024
00:52:26,440 --> 00:52:29,960
Speaker 1: and a team lost two regular season games, didn't make

1025
00:52:30,040 --> 00:52:33,280
Speaker 1: the conference title game. Still got put in the BCS

1026
00:52:33,280 --> 00:52:35,840
Speaker 1: title game and won it. That team would be LSU.

1027
00:52:36,960 --> 00:52:40,480
Speaker 1: These are dangerous times, kids, a dangerous time. I'm talking

1028
00:52:40,520 --> 00:52:42,360
Speaker 1: to kids. I'm talking to eighty year old men watching

1029
00:52:42,360 --> 00:52:45,319
Speaker 1: this show. Dangerous times. Right now. I think we are

1030
00:52:45,360 --> 00:52:48,839
Speaker 1: approaching a mass chaos event in college football. I think

1031
00:52:48,880 --> 00:52:51,360
Speaker 1: that the stuff that's going to end up shaping conference

1032
00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:54,960
Speaker 1: title races and playoff races. It hasn't even happened yet.

1033
00:52:55,280 --> 00:52:59,399
Speaker 1: And it's dangerous because I'm hearing people right Clemson off.

1034
00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:02,799
Speaker 1: I'm here hearing people write Alabama off. I'm hearing people

1035
00:53:02,880 --> 00:53:05,799
Speaker 1: watch Ohio State's quarterback play and even though they haven't

1036
00:53:05,840 --> 00:53:09,040
Speaker 1: lost a game, just assume they will and writing them off.

1037
00:53:09,600 --> 00:53:11,840
Speaker 1: People have written LSU off. People have written A and

1038
00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:14,719
Speaker 1: M off. And I'm thinking to myself, hold on a

1039
00:53:14,760 --> 00:53:19,200
Speaker 1: second now. The danger in thinking that way in a

1040
00:53:19,280 --> 00:53:22,200
Speaker 1: normal year is obvious. But the danger in thinking that

1041
00:53:22,239 --> 00:53:24,560
Speaker 1: way in mid September of a season that could shape

1042
00:53:24,640 --> 00:53:27,760
Speaker 1: up like this one is you're using a normal season

1043
00:53:28,200 --> 00:53:31,399
Speaker 1: as your barometer for what can and can't happen. This

1044
00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:33,880
Speaker 1: is not gonna be a normal season. This is not

1045
00:53:34,280 --> 00:53:36,840
Speaker 1: a season where you have the sport chock full of

1046
00:53:36,840 --> 00:53:39,640
Speaker 1: elite quarterback play, and you're gonna have a clear separation

1047
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:42,160
Speaker 1: of a Tier one and two or three of the

1048
00:53:42,160 --> 00:53:45,560
Speaker 1: playoff spots are virtually decided, and maybe you're shuffling and

1049
00:53:45,680 --> 00:53:48,279
Speaker 1: jocking for position for the fourth one. All of them

1050
00:53:48,280 --> 00:53:50,880
Speaker 1: are up in the air. Every single conference is up

1051
00:53:50,880 --> 00:53:53,359
Speaker 1: in the air right now, every single playoff spot will

1052
00:53:53,360 --> 00:53:56,839
Speaker 1: be up in the air. And you're saying things like, well,

1053
00:53:56,880 --> 00:54:00,200
Speaker 1: Alabama can't make the playoff with that quarterback play, Well,

1054
00:54:00,200 --> 00:54:03,120
Speaker 1: Clemson can't make the playoff with that wide receiver play

1055
00:54:03,200 --> 00:54:06,200
Speaker 1: in a normal year, You're probably right. This is not

1056
00:54:06,280 --> 00:54:09,319
Speaker 1: a normal year. This is the kind of year where

1057
00:54:09,360 --> 00:54:11,560
Speaker 1: you have two lost teams in the playoff. This is

1058
00:54:11,600 --> 00:54:13,080
Speaker 1: the kind of year where you leave a team for

1059
00:54:13,160 --> 00:54:17,480
Speaker 1: dead and like two weeks before Halloween and by early

1060
00:54:17,520 --> 00:54:20,080
Speaker 1: November they're the favorite to win the conference and you're like,

1061
00:54:20,120 --> 00:54:24,279
Speaker 1: where did this come from? Craziness, chaos, that's what this

1062
00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:28,880
Speaker 1: season has in store. Also, think about what November could be.

1063
00:54:29,840 --> 00:54:31,839
Speaker 1: And if you want to really talk about crazy, let's

1064
00:54:31,880 --> 00:54:37,200
Speaker 1: loop another theme in. Let's just say I'm right, and

1065
00:54:37,320 --> 00:54:40,440
Speaker 1: let's just say none of the conference races are decided

1066
00:54:40,480 --> 00:54:44,080
Speaker 1: as we enter November, but we also have the mass

1067
00:54:44,160 --> 00:54:49,800
Speaker 1: chaos that's victimized some teams. We could have five Power

1068
00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:52,840
Speaker 1: Five races up in the air in the last year

1069
00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:56,000
Speaker 1: of the Power Five as we know it. Therefore, we

1070
00:54:56,000 --> 00:54:59,279
Speaker 1: could have a totally murky playoff picture. And you could

1071
00:54:59,280 --> 00:55:03,200
Speaker 1: also have profile hot seat conversations like JIMBO at Texas

1072
00:55:03,280 --> 00:55:07,000
Speaker 1: A and M. And this could all be happening as

1073
00:55:07,080 --> 00:55:10,200
Speaker 1: we as a country give thanks in the last week

1074
00:55:10,239 --> 00:55:14,720
Speaker 1: of November, and I'm like, I'm in the content creation business.

1075
00:55:14,920 --> 00:55:19,120
Speaker 1: No one's more thankful than me. Thank you, prayer emoji,

1076
00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:24,640
Speaker 1: Prayer's answered. But also for anyone out there who seeks

1077
00:55:24,680 --> 00:55:27,759
Speaker 1: that kind of ending to the season, you thought it

1078
00:55:27,800 --> 00:55:30,640
Speaker 1: couldn't happen, And I'm not going to do the whole

1079
00:55:30,640 --> 00:55:34,400
Speaker 1: spiel about cannot versus have not, but it's important to

1080
00:55:34,480 --> 00:55:40,319
Speaker 1: know I think that it was always possible. One of

1081
00:55:40,360 --> 00:55:44,680
Speaker 1: my favorite mottos is the sport never sits still. College

1082
00:55:44,680 --> 00:55:46,719
Speaker 1: football was never just gonna sit still and let two

1083
00:55:46,840 --> 00:55:49,000
Speaker 1: or three teams run it. And you didn't need to

1084
00:55:49,080 --> 00:55:52,000
Speaker 1: change the structure of it necessarily. It was always going

1085
00:55:52,080 --> 00:55:54,640
Speaker 1: to evolve. That wasn't always going to be the case.

1086
00:55:54,960 --> 00:55:57,759
Speaker 1: It's like I could flip a quarter on this table

1087
00:55:57,840 --> 00:55:59,279
Speaker 1: right now. I could just thump it and it could

1088
00:55:59,320 --> 00:56:01,640
Speaker 1: be perfectly spinning. You can look at that quarter for

1089
00:56:01,640 --> 00:56:03,960
Speaker 1: five seconds and say that thing's never gonna stop spinning.

1090
00:56:04,320 --> 00:56:07,359
Speaker 1: Yes it will. There are forces acting against that quarter.

1091
00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:08,960
Speaker 1: You just can't see them, and it may spin for

1092
00:56:09,000 --> 00:56:10,920
Speaker 1: a little while, but eventually it's gonna go oh bla

1093
00:56:10,920 --> 00:56:12,960
Speaker 1: bla bla bla blah blah blah, it's gonna land on

1094
00:56:12,960 --> 00:56:17,640
Speaker 1: the table. There are always forces acting against the best

1095
00:56:17,719 --> 00:56:19,879
Speaker 1: programs in the sport. You just may not be able

1096
00:56:19,880 --> 00:56:21,839
Speaker 1: to see them. Sometimes they're from within, by the way,

1097
00:56:23,200 --> 00:56:26,319
Speaker 1: but it can happen, and it has happened this year. Now,

1098
00:56:27,920 --> 00:56:31,960
Speaker 1: speaking of two thousand and seven, here's why television networks,

1099
00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:34,719
Speaker 1: you know what, forget television networks. I work for one.

1100
00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:37,000
Speaker 1: Forget them for a second. Here's why more of the

1101
00:56:37,040 --> 00:56:40,400
Speaker 1: country is going to be engaged in two thousand and seven.

1102
00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:43,400
Speaker 1: What was crazy about it is these programs that are

1103
00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:46,640
Speaker 1: normally never in contention, like Kansas for example, it just

1104
00:56:46,719 --> 00:56:48,400
Speaker 1: came out of nowhere. They were in contention. I think

1105
00:56:48,440 --> 00:56:51,640
Speaker 1: South Florida made some noise that year. Well, this year,

1106
00:56:52,440 --> 00:56:56,640
Speaker 1: the new teams at the party are like Texas or

1107
00:56:56,840 --> 00:57:02,000
Speaker 1: Florida State or maybe USC the playoff. These are some

1108
00:57:02,200 --> 00:57:04,480
Speaker 1: of the premier brands in college football that should have

1109
00:57:04,520 --> 00:57:06,319
Speaker 1: never been away, but they have been away, and all

1110
00:57:06,360 --> 00:57:08,480
Speaker 1: of a sudden, that's a lot louder knock on the

1111
00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:11,000
Speaker 1: door Like that just gets more eyeballs to the screens.

1112
00:57:11,480 --> 00:57:13,520
Speaker 1: And I know that that's not a theme we like

1113
00:57:13,600 --> 00:57:15,799
Speaker 1: to hit on on this show, cause I always try

1114
00:57:15,840 --> 00:57:17,959
Speaker 1: and tell you guys, if you care about it, don't

1115
00:57:18,000 --> 00:57:20,080
Speaker 1: worry about if anyone else cares about it. Like, if

1116
00:57:20,120 --> 00:57:23,240
Speaker 1: you love Iowa State football, don't worry about what TV

1117
00:57:23,440 --> 00:57:26,760
Speaker 1: rating they're doing this Saturday. Just enjoy Iowa State. And

1118
00:57:26,920 --> 00:57:29,440
Speaker 1: good for us, by the way, for paying the Bobcats

1119
00:57:29,480 --> 00:57:32,360
Speaker 1: of Ohio a visit. Don't say we won't go on

1120
00:57:32,400 --> 00:57:37,200
Speaker 1: the road. So some teams have stumbled already. Other teams

1121
00:57:37,240 --> 00:57:40,000
Speaker 1: will stumble eventually. The things that are going to shape

1122
00:57:40,040 --> 00:57:42,480
Speaker 1: these races in November have not even started to happen yet.

1123
00:57:43,000 --> 00:57:47,760
Speaker 1: I mean, Clemson is a one loss team. LSU has

1124
00:57:47,800 --> 00:57:49,880
Speaker 1: lost a game, and it's not even in conference. Bama's

1125
00:57:49,920 --> 00:57:52,360
Speaker 1: lost a game, it's not even in conference. Like these teams,

1126
00:57:52,480 --> 00:57:55,720
Speaker 1: any one of those teams could catch a favorable wind

1127
00:57:55,760 --> 00:57:58,640
Speaker 1: in their sale and not lose another game, and we

1128
00:57:58,760 --> 00:58:00,720
Speaker 1: could find ourselves and I know it'll happen because we

1129
00:58:00,800 --> 00:58:03,200
Speaker 1: do it every year. We could find ourselves in November

1130
00:58:03,320 --> 00:58:06,480
Speaker 1: saying wow, if this team was playing like this in

1131
00:58:06,600 --> 00:58:08,680
Speaker 1: Week one, they never would have lost a game. It

1132
00:58:08,840 --> 00:58:12,160
Speaker 1: happens all the time. This is college football. Some of

1133
00:58:12,200 --> 00:58:14,600
Speaker 1: the guys you're starting right now, we're in high school

1134
00:58:14,680 --> 00:58:18,240
Speaker 1: last year. This is not the pros. Teams are not

1135
00:58:18,600 --> 00:58:23,120
Speaker 1: nearly as fixed product in week one at this level

1136
00:58:23,400 --> 00:58:25,960
Speaker 1: as they sometimes are at that level. So yeah, I

1137
00:58:26,000 --> 00:58:28,040
Speaker 1: think we got a lot of chaos in store for

1138
00:58:28,160 --> 00:58:31,440
Speaker 1: this year. Ramindtle Express. In the midst of all of it,

1139
00:58:31,480 --> 00:58:33,160
Speaker 1: we try and make money. Anyway. We had a great

1140
00:58:33,160 --> 00:58:35,720
Speaker 1: week last week. We were nine and three. I am

1141
00:58:35,880 --> 00:58:37,640
Speaker 1: going ahead and telling you we're probably going to bet

1142
00:58:37,680 --> 00:58:40,280
Speaker 1: double digit games again this week. We're already on three

1143
00:58:40,360 --> 00:58:43,200
Speaker 1: of them from Sunday night. I'm about to add two

1144
00:58:43,320 --> 00:58:46,280
Speaker 1: more right now. So let's remind you what we have.

1145
00:58:46,560 --> 00:58:49,640
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech plus twenty and a half at Ole Miss.

1146
00:58:50,160 --> 00:58:52,600
Speaker 1: That was our first best bet. Sunday night. We got

1147
00:58:52,680 --> 00:58:55,720
Speaker 1: Central Michigan plus thirty one and a half against Notre Dame.

1148
00:58:56,240 --> 00:59:00,680
Speaker 1: We're taking Mississippi State plus nine at home against LA Okay,

1149
00:59:01,000 --> 00:59:03,200
Speaker 1: the two games we're gonna add, and this is not

1150
00:59:03,280 --> 00:59:06,240
Speaker 1: a favorable number, but that's okay because we love the

1151
00:59:06,320 --> 00:59:08,480
Speaker 1: number where it is right now. We're gonna take Arizona

1152
00:59:09,000 --> 00:59:13,440
Speaker 1: minus seventeen and a half at home against UTEP, and

1153
00:59:13,560 --> 00:59:17,160
Speaker 1: we're gonna take Louisiana Monroe plus thirty six and a

1154
00:59:17,240 --> 00:59:20,040
Speaker 1: half on the road against Texas A and M. So

1155
00:59:20,160 --> 00:59:24,560
Speaker 1: we're on Georgia Tech, Central, Michigan, Mississippi State, Arizona, and

1156
00:59:24,760 --> 00:59:28,280
Speaker 1: UL Monroe. I think we'll probably add at least four

1157
00:59:28,440 --> 00:59:31,919
Speaker 1: or five more games. It could be Thursday, it could

1158
00:59:31,960 --> 00:59:35,400
Speaker 1: be on Friday Night Lines, which is Friday night. You

1159
00:59:35,600 --> 00:59:38,840
Speaker 1: gotta make sure that you're following on Instagram at late

1160
00:59:39,040 --> 00:59:43,120
Speaker 1: kick Josh for that for all kinds of peaks behind

1161
00:59:43,280 --> 00:59:46,600
Speaker 1: the curtain of our professional and personal lives, but also

1162
00:59:47,280 --> 00:59:49,080
Speaker 1: because of the behind the scenes stuff I get you

1163
00:59:49,200 --> 00:59:51,320
Speaker 1: on Saturdays as well. You only get that on there.

1164
00:59:51,800 --> 00:59:54,320
Speaker 1: I mean, well for various reasons, you only get that

1165
00:59:54,400 --> 00:59:56,640
Speaker 1: on there. So appreciate you guys so much. All Right,

1166
00:59:57,360 --> 01:00:00,160
Speaker 1: we're gonna be back Thursday night. I have got a

1167
01:00:00,280 --> 01:00:03,880
Speaker 1: brewing controversy that we're covering. Okay, I'm tracking it for you,

1168
01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:07,640
Speaker 1: and it's a new rivalry that's forming, and it is

1169
01:00:08,280 --> 01:00:12,720
Speaker 1: Ole Miss versus Cole Kuberlick and so Lane Kiff and

1170
01:00:12,800 --> 01:00:14,800
Speaker 1: I don't plan on having on the show Thursday night.

1171
01:00:15,040 --> 01:00:17,040
Speaker 1: I don't plan on having any Old Miss frat kids

1172
01:00:17,040 --> 01:00:18,800
Speaker 1: on the show Thursday night, but I will have Cole

1173
01:00:18,880 --> 01:00:20,760
Speaker 1: Kublic on here, and we're gonna get down to the

1174
01:00:20,760 --> 01:00:24,360
Speaker 1: bottom of this, like what did he do? What gives

1175
01:00:24,440 --> 01:00:27,040
Speaker 1: him the audacity to go up against Old Miss? Like this?

1176
01:00:27,560 --> 01:00:29,680
Speaker 1: Did he do it? Is he guilty of what you're

1177
01:00:29,680 --> 01:00:32,520
Speaker 1: accusing him of? We'll do col Cut's Thursday Night. Also,

1178
01:00:32,600 --> 01:00:34,480
Speaker 1: we'll have a lot more odds and ends to tie

1179
01:00:34,560 --> 01:00:36,920
Speaker 1: up before we get into what could be very sneaky

1180
01:00:36,920 --> 01:00:38,840
Speaker 1: good Week three in college football. So that's Thursday night

1181
01:00:38,960 --> 01:00:41,120
Speaker 1: until then at Lake Kick Josh is where you can

1182
01:00:41,160 --> 01:00:43,760
Speaker 1: find me for direct Colin for producer Jesse. I'm Josh Peate.

1183
01:00:43,840 --> 01:00:45,760
Speaker 1: Take care, have a great rest of your evening, and

1184
01:00:45,840 --> 01:00:46,360
Speaker 1: God bless