WEBVTT - Inside the Blood Sport of Creditor-on-Creditor Violence

0:00:03.080 --> 0:00:16.360
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News.

0:00:21.280 --> 0:00:24.640
<v Speaker 2>Hello and welcome to another episode of the All Thoughts podcast.

0:00:24.800 --> 0:00:26.200
<v Speaker 2>I'm Tracy Alloway.

0:00:25.880 --> 0:00:26.960
<v Speaker 3>And I'm Joe Wisenthal.

0:00:27.440 --> 0:00:30.760
<v Speaker 2>Joe, what do you know about creditor on creditor violence.

0:00:30.800 --> 0:00:33.200
<v Speaker 2>I don't know anything other than it's it's a very punch.

0:00:33.840 --> 0:00:36.080
<v Speaker 4>It's a great that's literally it. It's come up a

0:00:36.120 --> 0:00:39.280
<v Speaker 4>few times in all Right. It's come up a few

0:00:39.320 --> 0:00:42.960
<v Speaker 4>times in episodes we've done about credit, and I get

0:00:42.960 --> 0:00:46.479
<v Speaker 4>the impression that, you know, lenders to affirm have different

0:00:46.520 --> 0:00:49.479
<v Speaker 4>status and some are higher up in the rank than others,

0:00:50.000 --> 0:00:53.560
<v Speaker 4>and that they would like to probably use the technicalities

0:00:53.600 --> 0:00:57.279
<v Speaker 4>of the legal code to improve their rank in some

0:00:57.400 --> 0:00:59.880
<v Speaker 4>sense when money gets paid out to lenders.

0:01:00.160 --> 0:01:04.080
<v Speaker 2>Yes, so it has come up in a number of well,

0:01:04.800 --> 0:01:08.880
<v Speaker 2>some of the fights get pretty nasty. Okay. Well, so

0:01:08.959 --> 0:01:11.800
<v Speaker 2>when I think about it, I think back to when

0:01:11.840 --> 0:01:15.240
<v Speaker 2>I covered the leverage loan market at the Ft and

0:01:15.319 --> 0:01:18.520
<v Speaker 2>this was sort of like twenty thirteen, twenty fourteen, and

0:01:18.640 --> 0:01:23.840
<v Speaker 2>I remember writing stories about how leverage loans, more of them,

0:01:23.880 --> 0:01:30.040
<v Speaker 2>were becoming covelight, so weaker covenants for lenders or investors.

0:01:30.319 --> 0:01:34.120
<v Speaker 2>What that means is companies basically had more leeway to

0:01:34.280 --> 0:01:37.640
<v Speaker 2>restructure their assets if they were trying to raise new

0:01:37.640 --> 0:01:41.440
<v Speaker 2>capital or stave off bankruptcy or whatever at the expense

0:01:42.040 --> 0:01:46.080
<v Speaker 2>of those lenders slash investors. And back in twenty fourteen,

0:01:46.480 --> 0:01:49.400
<v Speaker 2>I think the proportion of the leverage loan market that

0:01:49.560 --> 0:01:53.320
<v Speaker 2>was cove light was something like thirty percent, and that

0:01:53.520 --> 0:01:57.400
<v Speaker 2>was like a big deal that was already higher than

0:01:57.440 --> 0:02:01.320
<v Speaker 2>the leverage buyout boom in two thousand and seven. Now,

0:02:01.720 --> 0:02:04.880
<v Speaker 2>the vast majority of leverage loans I think something like

0:02:04.960 --> 0:02:08.520
<v Speaker 2>ninety percent could be called cove light. So the entire

0:02:08.600 --> 0:02:12.320
<v Speaker 2>market is basically cove light at this point, which fits

0:02:12.360 --> 0:02:15.960
<v Speaker 2>into the creditor on creditor violence theme. So I feel

0:02:15.960 --> 0:02:18.000
<v Speaker 2>like we need to we need to dive into.

0:02:17.800 --> 0:02:18.640
<v Speaker 3>This what it is.

0:02:18.720 --> 0:02:21.560
<v Speaker 4>I just my impression is that if I'm going to

0:02:21.600 --> 0:02:26.320
<v Speaker 4>be affirmed that buys leverage loans, I need a good lawyer.

0:02:26.720 --> 0:02:27.320
<v Speaker 3>For the contract.

0:02:27.400 --> 0:02:30.480
<v Speaker 2>Well, I kind of wonder, I guess, I wonder relatively

0:02:30.560 --> 0:02:35.240
<v Speaker 2>how important like legal expertise is versus valuation expertise.

0:02:35.280 --> 0:02:36.760
<v Speaker 3>This is what I am wondering as well.

0:02:36.840 --> 0:02:39.079
<v Speaker 2>All right, so let's get into it. I am very

0:02:39.080 --> 0:02:42.119
<v Speaker 2>pleased to say we have the perfect guest, we're going

0:02:42.120 --> 0:02:45.440
<v Speaker 2>to be speaking with Sujet Endap. He is, of course, uh,

0:02:45.639 --> 0:02:49.040
<v Speaker 2>the Wall Street editor over at the FT, my former colleague.

0:02:49.120 --> 0:02:52.040
<v Speaker 2>We used to double byline on at least one piece.

0:02:52.120 --> 0:02:55.360
<v Speaker 2>I think he is also the author of the excellent

0:02:55.680 --> 0:02:58.920
<v Speaker 2>Caesar's Palace Coup book, which if you haven't read, I

0:02:58.919 --> 0:03:03.360
<v Speaker 2>would highly recommend, especially on that point about distressed debt

0:03:03.600 --> 0:03:07.000
<v Speaker 2>fights getting kind of nasty sigit. Thank you so much

0:03:07.120 --> 0:03:08.680
<v Speaker 2>for coming on all thoughts.

0:03:08.680 --> 0:03:10.239
<v Speaker 5>Hi, Racy Joe, it's great to be here.

0:03:10.360 --> 0:03:10.720
<v Speaker 3>Thank you.

0:03:11.040 --> 0:03:13.120
<v Speaker 2>So, I guess my first question is, you know, we

0:03:13.160 --> 0:03:16.840
<v Speaker 2>see these headlines about creditor on credit or violence, or

0:03:17.080 --> 0:03:19.440
<v Speaker 2>you know, someone will be writing about the private credit

0:03:19.480 --> 0:03:22.160
<v Speaker 2>market and they'll be in aside about creditor on credit

0:03:22.240 --> 0:03:24.200
<v Speaker 2>or violence and how it's becoming more of a thing.

0:03:24.680 --> 0:03:27.919
<v Speaker 2>Can you give us some context around whether or not

0:03:28.080 --> 0:03:31.440
<v Speaker 2>this is becoming a bigger trend. I feel like it is,

0:03:31.520 --> 0:03:34.880
<v Speaker 2>but it's not like there's a violence index that we

0:03:34.920 --> 0:03:35.440
<v Speaker 2>can look at.

0:03:36.320 --> 0:03:41.440
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, so the idea of violence in corporate restructuring and

0:03:41.480 --> 0:03:46.160
<v Speaker 5>private equity deals is not a new idea. Imagine the

0:03:46.160 --> 0:03:48.640
<v Speaker 5>business that's been bought by the private equity firm is

0:03:49.160 --> 0:03:52.880
<v Speaker 5>just less valuable over time, the pious shrunk, there's going

0:03:52.920 --> 0:03:56.000
<v Speaker 5>to be a fight over who gets what piece and

0:03:56.040 --> 0:03:59.160
<v Speaker 5>how big those pieces are. The creditor on creditor of

0:03:59.240 --> 0:04:03.040
<v Speaker 5>violence phenomena, though, is a little bit more nuanced and novel,

0:04:03.080 --> 0:04:06.360
<v Speaker 5>And that's the idea that imagine you, Joe, U, Tracy,

0:04:06.400 --> 0:04:08.960
<v Speaker 5>and me. We are all holders of the first lean

0:04:09.120 --> 0:04:11.840
<v Speaker 5>term loan. Let's say you own five hundred million, Joe,

0:04:11.840 --> 0:04:14.360
<v Speaker 5>you've got three hundred million. Let's say I'm poor, say

0:04:14.400 --> 0:04:19.159
<v Speaker 5>worth the ft, and only have fifteen million. But there

0:04:19.200 --> 0:04:21.120
<v Speaker 5>would be the view that since we're all in the

0:04:21.120 --> 0:04:24.880
<v Speaker 5>same security governed by the same document, that our rights

0:04:25.000 --> 0:04:27.200
<v Speaker 5>are the same and we are all going to be

0:04:27.200 --> 0:04:30.240
<v Speaker 5>treated equally in this fight with the private equity firm

0:04:30.320 --> 0:04:34.799
<v Speaker 5>and maybe the junk bond holders below us. The creditor

0:04:34.839 --> 0:04:37.800
<v Speaker 5>on credit of violence nuance now is that in fact

0:04:37.800 --> 0:04:40.200
<v Speaker 5>we are not equal, and you two, as large holders,

0:04:40.520 --> 0:04:43.120
<v Speaker 5>can do things to me small holder that are not

0:04:43.200 --> 0:04:46.920
<v Speaker 5>equal in treatment, arguably unfair, arguably impermissible.

0:04:47.760 --> 0:04:51.200
<v Speaker 4>Just to be clear, in this theoretical setting in which

0:04:51.240 --> 0:04:54.640
<v Speaker 4>all of us are quote equal in the in the

0:04:54.640 --> 0:04:59.520
<v Speaker 4>firm's liabilities, did we all have the exact same language

0:05:00.080 --> 0:05:03.240
<v Speaker 4>did we all enter into the same contractual language when

0:05:03.320 --> 0:05:05.520
<v Speaker 4>we purchased the debt or when we lent money to

0:05:05.600 --> 0:05:09.560
<v Speaker 4>the company. And furthermore, if we did all have the

0:05:09.560 --> 0:05:13.479
<v Speaker 4>same language, what are the tools that we use to

0:05:13.560 --> 0:05:15.280
<v Speaker 4>change our change our priorities?

0:05:15.400 --> 0:05:18.040
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, so we do. We all are governed by the

0:05:18.080 --> 0:05:20.520
<v Speaker 5>firstly in credit agreement. Maybe you bought in the original

0:05:20.640 --> 0:05:25.960
<v Speaker 5>LBO and maybe you're clos an i'm or you are

0:05:26.839 --> 0:05:29.080
<v Speaker 5>a distressed debt hedge fund which bought in later at

0:05:29.080 --> 0:05:31.039
<v Speaker 5>a different price, but we're all governed by the same

0:05:31.080 --> 0:05:34.640
<v Speaker 5>document and in concept have the same rights and protections.

0:05:34.960 --> 0:05:37.800
<v Speaker 4>So then where how do I do something to you guys?

0:05:38.200 --> 0:05:40.680
<v Speaker 4>If we're what are the basic tools at my disposal

0:05:41.080 --> 0:05:44.080
<v Speaker 4>if I want to somehow gain an advantage for me

0:05:44.240 --> 0:05:45.200
<v Speaker 4>that doesn't accrue to you.

0:05:45.320 --> 0:05:48.040
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, So let's talk about why that scenario was first arise.

0:05:49.000 --> 0:05:51.400
<v Speaker 5>And imagine the company is running into trouble. There's a

0:05:51.440 --> 0:05:55.320
<v Speaker 5>maturity coming up, but there's some liquidity challenge. As you

0:05:55.360 --> 0:05:58.360
<v Speaker 5>said earlier, these documents now since the financial crisis are

0:05:58.440 --> 0:06:00.680
<v Speaker 5>covenant light or no covenant, so there's a lot of

0:06:00.720 --> 0:06:02.960
<v Speaker 5>flexibility for the borrower, which is the company and the

0:06:02.960 --> 0:06:06.800
<v Speaker 5>private equity firm that owns the company, and rather than

0:06:07.240 --> 0:06:10.160
<v Speaker 5>just declaring bankruptcy and going to bankruptcy court and finding

0:06:10.160 --> 0:06:13.720
<v Speaker 5>out there, which is messy, it's time consuming, it has

0:06:13.760 --> 0:06:15.480
<v Speaker 5>its own restrictions on what you can do in the

0:06:15.520 --> 0:06:18.400
<v Speaker 5>private equity firm will typically if the equity holder will

0:06:18.400 --> 0:06:21.640
<v Speaker 5>get wiped out. Bankruptcy is like not an attractive option

0:06:22.040 --> 0:06:24.599
<v Speaker 5>for those reasons, and so what you can try to

0:06:24.600 --> 0:06:28.760
<v Speaker 5>do is raise new capital. And you're going to raise

0:06:28.760 --> 0:06:33.320
<v Speaker 5>new capital, often from the existing lenders. Those lenders in

0:06:33.360 --> 0:06:36.080
<v Speaker 5>exchange for giving you more money are going to ask

0:06:36.120 --> 0:06:39.880
<v Speaker 5>for some things. What are they going to ask you for? First,

0:06:40.360 --> 0:06:44.080
<v Speaker 5>the company itself is probably going to want to reduce

0:06:44.320 --> 0:06:46.479
<v Speaker 5>the principle balance, So they want people to take haircuts.

0:06:46.520 --> 0:06:48.719
<v Speaker 5>So there's gonna be some haircuts involved, and then there's

0:06:48.720 --> 0:06:52.479
<v Speaker 5>gonna be brought this new money, brought in that new money. However,

0:06:52.680 --> 0:06:54.599
<v Speaker 5>if I'm giving you new money into this troubled company,

0:06:54.680 --> 0:06:57.440
<v Speaker 5>I'm gonna want some things to do. That gota and

0:06:57.520 --> 0:07:00.960
<v Speaker 5>those things I'm gonna want is the most senior priority,

0:07:01.000 --> 0:07:04.400
<v Speaker 5>which calls super priority. Okay, that's all sort of standard,

0:07:04.440 --> 0:07:08.200
<v Speaker 5>that's not new. The nuance is the company itself has

0:07:08.560 --> 0:07:10.880
<v Speaker 5>some amount of value it can pass out as cookies

0:07:10.920 --> 0:07:14.920
<v Speaker 5>to these in this new financing process. And in the

0:07:14.960 --> 0:07:16.440
<v Speaker 5>old world, what they would do is, let's say I've

0:07:16.440 --> 0:07:18.640
<v Speaker 5>got one hundred million dollars and I'm making that number

0:07:18.680 --> 0:07:21.280
<v Speaker 5>up of value to allocate in this new transaction that

0:07:21.280 --> 0:07:24.160
<v Speaker 5>I'm going to raise new money in. Rather than splitting

0:07:24.160 --> 0:07:26.520
<v Speaker 5>that up pro rata amongst the three of us, I'm

0:07:26.520 --> 0:07:28.760
<v Speaker 5>just going to give it to two of you. And

0:07:28.800 --> 0:07:30.520
<v Speaker 5>so why is that From the companys point of youw

0:07:30.520 --> 0:07:33.040
<v Speaker 5>it's one hundredllion dollars. How the three of us divide

0:07:33.040 --> 0:07:36.360
<v Speaker 5>it up? They don't really care about But you too,

0:07:36.400 --> 0:07:38.160
<v Speaker 5>care about getting as much as you can since you

0:07:38.160 --> 0:07:39.520
<v Speaker 5>own the mo what we all care about it? But

0:07:39.520 --> 0:07:42.680
<v Speaker 5>you guys have the possibility of being let's say, a

0:07:42.720 --> 0:07:45.080
<v Speaker 5>fifty one percent group and saying I can take all

0:07:45.120 --> 0:07:48.800
<v Speaker 5>the cookies for me and leave Sejeet behind. And that

0:07:49.000 --> 0:07:51.280
<v Speaker 5>is the idea of creditor on creditor of violence. We

0:07:51.280 --> 0:07:53.840
<v Speaker 5>are theoretically PARTI pursue. We are in the same place

0:07:53.880 --> 0:07:57.440
<v Speaker 5>with the same document, but you, because you choose to

0:07:57.600 --> 0:08:00.960
<v Speaker 5>and the sponsor wants to doesn't really care where responsor

0:08:01.000 --> 0:08:02.480
<v Speaker 5>will just go to you it's easier to deal to

0:08:02.520 --> 0:08:03.920
<v Speaker 5>cuts if there's two of you, not three of us

0:08:04.040 --> 0:08:06.440
<v Speaker 5>negotiate with and that is the nuance of creditor on

0:08:06.480 --> 0:08:09.480
<v Speaker 5>credit violence. You two theoretically standing with me, but the

0:08:09.520 --> 0:08:13.320
<v Speaker 5>same document can impose pain on me simply because you're bigger.

0:08:13.960 --> 0:08:17.560
<v Speaker 2>Super priority kind of reminds me of double secret probation,

0:08:18.000 --> 0:08:20.480
<v Speaker 2>right like that, I wonder, can you have like super

0:08:20.560 --> 0:08:23.240
<v Speaker 2>super priority that would I guess you could like keep

0:08:23.240 --> 0:08:25.440
<v Speaker 2>doing it forever pretty much, or at least until all

0:08:25.440 --> 0:08:25.880
<v Speaker 2>the collection.

0:08:26.400 --> 0:08:28.400
<v Speaker 5>It's kind of like one point five. Yeah, I mean

0:08:28.640 --> 0:08:30.880
<v Speaker 5>that's kind of put between first and second. And then

0:08:30.920 --> 0:08:35.079
<v Speaker 5>there's been double creditor on creditor violence cases, so there

0:08:35.160 --> 0:08:38.000
<v Speaker 5>is like this spiral, uh and kind of like through

0:08:38.000 --> 0:08:40.439
<v Speaker 5>the looking guests violence squared. Yeah.

0:08:40.480 --> 0:08:43.160
<v Speaker 2>So one thing I don't really get about the creditor

0:08:43.160 --> 0:08:47.680
<v Speaker 2>on creditor violence is its connection with private credit. And

0:08:48.000 --> 0:08:51.880
<v Speaker 2>I've seen people talk about private credit as a response

0:08:52.160 --> 0:08:56.040
<v Speaker 2>to creditor on creditor violence in the sense that, you know,

0:08:56.600 --> 0:08:59.760
<v Speaker 2>maybe it's easier to be a single lender to a company.

0:08:59.800 --> 0:09:02.800
<v Speaker 2>You're higher up in the payment waterfall, you don't have

0:09:02.880 --> 0:09:05.760
<v Speaker 2>to worry about getting into fights with a bunch of

0:09:05.760 --> 0:09:09.240
<v Speaker 2>other investors. But then I also see headlines saying that

0:09:09.480 --> 0:09:11.880
<v Speaker 2>creditor on credit or violence is becoming more of a

0:09:11.920 --> 0:09:15.600
<v Speaker 2>thing in private credit too, So basically I'm confused.

0:09:16.240 --> 0:09:19.200
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, so let's just take a step back and just

0:09:19.200 --> 0:09:21.559
<v Speaker 5>think about that. I think there's two factors that are

0:09:21.559 --> 0:09:25.840
<v Speaker 5>behind the generalized credit or on credit or violence concept.

0:09:25.920 --> 0:09:28.400
<v Speaker 5>One is what we hit on before, which is just

0:09:28.440 --> 0:09:31.839
<v Speaker 5>the technical aspect of these credit agreements, which is the

0:09:31.920 --> 0:09:35.199
<v Speaker 5>legal contract that governs like a leverage loan. And then

0:09:35.440 --> 0:09:38.720
<v Speaker 5>you know, what are the restrictions or covenants that are

0:09:38.760 --> 0:09:42.760
<v Speaker 5>in that document that prevent this kind of creativity and

0:09:43.200 --> 0:09:47.160
<v Speaker 5>like refinancing and exchange offers. And there is like a

0:09:47.200 --> 0:09:51.600
<v Speaker 5>real legal dispute about whether these changes can be done

0:09:52.080 --> 0:09:55.000
<v Speaker 5>with or without unanimity, whether you need one hundred percent

0:09:55.320 --> 0:09:57.720
<v Speaker 5>of the group, all three of us to agree to

0:09:57.800 --> 0:10:00.640
<v Speaker 5>a change an interest rate or pull maturity. It does

0:10:00.720 --> 0:10:02.600
<v Speaker 5>are called the so called sacred rights, if you will,

0:10:03.000 --> 0:10:04.640
<v Speaker 5>And that's like a legal question that's been liting at it,

0:10:04.679 --> 0:10:06.120
<v Speaker 5>and we can talk about that more if you want.

0:10:06.800 --> 0:10:09.880
<v Speaker 5>But then there's also the social aspect. And the social

0:10:09.960 --> 0:10:14.480
<v Speaker 5>aspect is the idea that me private equity forms they

0:10:14.480 --> 0:10:18.839
<v Speaker 5>may have the legal ability for this mischief, but they

0:10:18.960 --> 0:10:23.120
<v Speaker 5>ultimately wouldn't pursue that. And they wouldn't do that because

0:10:23.440 --> 0:10:26.640
<v Speaker 5>they are a repeat player in the leverage finance markets.

0:10:26.679 --> 0:10:28.840
<v Speaker 5>And if they get a reputation as a firm that

0:10:28.840 --> 0:10:32.000
<v Speaker 5>gets too cute, that will cause them to borrow at

0:10:32.040 --> 0:10:34.360
<v Speaker 5>higher interest rates and down the line and the next deal,

0:10:34.400 --> 0:10:36.000
<v Speaker 5>the deal after that, the different partners who are not

0:10:36.040 --> 0:10:38.160
<v Speaker 5>in this deal are going to face the consequences. So

0:10:38.200 --> 0:10:40.360
<v Speaker 5>there's a social aspect and also within the deal itself.

0:10:40.400 --> 0:10:45.000
<v Speaker 5>If you ultimately antagonize your creditors down the road, you

0:10:45.040 --> 0:10:47.600
<v Speaker 5>may need to have restructure again. And if they remember

0:10:47.640 --> 0:10:50.040
<v Speaker 5>you as the person who is rough with them, they're

0:10:50.080 --> 0:10:52.120
<v Speaker 5>not going to be so kind when you need their help.

0:10:52.320 --> 0:10:55.720
<v Speaker 2>And yet Argentina exists exactly.

0:10:56.040 --> 0:10:58.840
<v Speaker 5>So that brings us to the private credit point. And

0:10:58.880 --> 0:11:02.240
<v Speaker 5>you were obviously a lover's finance reporter and a lover's

0:11:02.320 --> 0:11:05.640
<v Speaker 5>loan mayven. And you know how that market works, which

0:11:05.679 --> 0:11:08.840
<v Speaker 5>is it's really big. It involves banks who underwrite these

0:11:08.880 --> 0:11:11.840
<v Speaker 5>deals and then they sell them on in the syndication process,

0:11:12.320 --> 0:11:14.560
<v Speaker 5>and that's a whole kind of machine. And you know,

0:11:14.679 --> 0:11:17.960
<v Speaker 5>in in a big leveraged loan credit, there's going to

0:11:18.000 --> 0:11:21.840
<v Speaker 5>be dozens of clos and regular way mutual funds and

0:11:21.840 --> 0:11:24.880
<v Speaker 5>then hedge funds, and it's like a wide, widely dispersed

0:11:25.160 --> 0:11:28.160
<v Speaker 5>kind of group, and that dynamic affects how the document

0:11:28.200 --> 0:11:30.040
<v Speaker 5>is negotiated and just you know, all the kind of

0:11:30.040 --> 0:11:33.080
<v Speaker 5>interactions down the line. And a private credit deal where

0:11:33.120 --> 0:11:34.840
<v Speaker 5>you truly have like a club or maybe even a

0:11:34.840 --> 0:11:37.720
<v Speaker 5>single lender, whether there's you know, four or five or

0:11:37.720 --> 0:11:41.160
<v Speaker 5>three or two, maybe one firm that's providing a loan

0:11:41.280 --> 0:11:44.720
<v Speaker 5>to a private equity backed company, that group is just

0:11:44.960 --> 0:11:49.280
<v Speaker 5>much smaller. The negotiations around that document are much more intimate.

0:11:49.720 --> 0:11:53.040
<v Speaker 5>And again for those social reasons, there was the idea

0:11:53.720 --> 0:11:56.920
<v Speaker 5>that in a private credit deal, the private equity firm

0:11:56.920 --> 0:12:00.600
<v Speaker 5>sponsor who owns the company is not going to declare

0:12:00.640 --> 0:12:02.600
<v Speaker 5>war or go to deaf Con five or deaf Cone

0:12:02.600 --> 0:12:04.440
<v Speaker 5>one with whichever the highest one is, to pursue their

0:12:04.480 --> 0:12:07.560
<v Speaker 5>own ends. It's going to be much more of a collaborative,

0:12:07.600 --> 0:12:09.000
<v Speaker 5>collaborative and.

0:12:10.040 --> 0:12:13.719
<v Speaker 2>Kind friendly come by a relationship.

0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:15.640
<v Speaker 5>And so this again now we go to the examples

0:12:15.920 --> 0:12:18.120
<v Speaker 5>of the credit or on credit violence that has arisen

0:12:18.120 --> 0:12:22.960
<v Speaker 5>down the private credit market and The examples are relatively

0:12:23.240 --> 0:12:25.679
<v Speaker 5>sparse so far because private credit is relatively new and too,

0:12:25.720 --> 0:12:28.720
<v Speaker 5>I do think this kind of social dynamic actually is true.

0:12:28.720 --> 0:12:31.160
<v Speaker 5>There's this case called plural Site, which Bloomberg has covered.

0:12:31.200 --> 0:12:33.560
<v Speaker 5>The ft is covered, where in fact, there was one

0:12:33.559 --> 0:12:36.520
<v Speaker 5>of these aggressive kind of reef financing transactions that happened

0:12:36.600 --> 0:12:40.160
<v Speaker 5>using kind of a loose document, and the private credit syndicate,

0:12:40.200 --> 0:12:43.880
<v Speaker 5>which was four or five firms, was reportedly indignant that

0:12:43.920 --> 0:12:45.720
<v Speaker 5>this had happened. In fact, this credit or on credit

0:12:45.720 --> 0:12:48.839
<v Speaker 5>of violance situation was extremely mild. It was like one

0:12:49.360 --> 0:12:52.360
<v Speaker 5>very small refinancing to make an interest payment. And then

0:12:52.440 --> 0:12:55.920
<v Speaker 5>ultimately what happened was the sponsor handed the keys to

0:12:55.920 --> 0:12:57.920
<v Speaker 5>the private credit firms to take ownership in a very

0:12:57.960 --> 0:13:00.199
<v Speaker 5>bloodless way. And in fact, I wouldn't even like that,

0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:02.440
<v Speaker 5>and I wouldn't even put this even close to the

0:13:02.480 --> 0:13:05.240
<v Speaker 5>real like headline grabbing violence cases.

0:13:21.360 --> 0:13:24.280
<v Speaker 4>So let's say I am I don't know a small

0:13:24.559 --> 0:13:26.559
<v Speaker 4>there's sub sort of club dealer, there's subsort of deal

0:13:26.600 --> 0:13:28.840
<v Speaker 4>and I am a small holder, and I am aware

0:13:28.960 --> 0:13:32.920
<v Speaker 4>of the existence of creditor on creditor violence as a risk.

0:13:33.400 --> 0:13:36.600
<v Speaker 4>I perceive me as being the one who might get screwed,

0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:39.760
<v Speaker 4>so to speak, at some point in the future, what

0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:45.280
<v Speaker 4>am I doing, along with my law firm, to write

0:13:45.320 --> 0:13:48.360
<v Speaker 4>that document into such a way so as to reduce

0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:50.360
<v Speaker 4>my odds of finding myself in that position.

0:13:50.920 --> 0:13:54.880
<v Speaker 5>If you're a small player in the leverage finance market

0:13:54.920 --> 0:13:58.520
<v Speaker 5>now and or a CLO, which is basically a passive instrument,

0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:01.440
<v Speaker 5>as you guys know, things that just accumulate loans and

0:14:01.559 --> 0:14:05.200
<v Speaker 5>turned in securities, and you're not like a shark hedge fund.

0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:07.400
<v Speaker 5>This leverage loan market has changed quite a bit. And

0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:09.640
<v Speaker 5>so if we just take a step back, leverage loans

0:14:09.679 --> 0:14:12.559
<v Speaker 5>are the most senior part of a capital structure, even

0:14:12.600 --> 0:14:15.600
<v Speaker 5>in a levered company. And so what that means is,

0:14:15.840 --> 0:14:19.080
<v Speaker 5>even if things go south, the recovery rates and leverage

0:14:19.120 --> 0:14:22.640
<v Speaker 5>loans historically have been very high, like eighty ninety one

0:14:22.720 --> 0:14:25.359
<v Speaker 5>hundred percent, and so the people who hold these relatively

0:14:25.480 --> 0:14:29.560
<v Speaker 5>risk averse institutions. And so two things have happened. Of

0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:32.200
<v Speaker 5>like one is this credit on credit of violence common concept.

0:14:32.280 --> 0:14:36.000
<v Speaker 5>But also, as you alluded to earlier, this market is

0:14:36.080 --> 0:14:38.800
<v Speaker 5>huge now. Leverage loansally speaking, it's exploded in the last

0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:42.160
<v Speaker 5>ten years, and there are a lot of loan only companies.

0:14:42.160 --> 0:14:45.760
<v Speaker 5>There is nothing below the leverage loan other than the equity.

0:14:45.800 --> 0:14:49.680
<v Speaker 5>There's no high yield bond, and so the recovery rates

0:14:49.720 --> 0:14:52.920
<v Speaker 5>have become lower because there's less loss absorption below you.

0:14:53.600 --> 0:14:59.280
<v Speaker 5>And this idea that conservative buyer over leverage loan have

0:14:59.280 --> 0:15:01.920
<v Speaker 5>bought the safest security and you have the first lean,

0:15:01.960 --> 0:15:04.680
<v Speaker 5>the first claim on the assets. That idea has been eroded,

0:15:04.680 --> 0:15:07.120
<v Speaker 5>and that's actually very profound, and that this market has

0:15:07.160 --> 0:15:09.760
<v Speaker 5>become much riskier than it used to be for the

0:15:09.800 --> 0:15:12.800
<v Speaker 5>technical reasons and the social reasons. So getting your question

0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:15.040
<v Speaker 5>on what you should do about it, one, you have

0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:18.440
<v Speaker 5>to ask yourself, do you want to be in this business? Okay?

0:15:18.600 --> 0:15:20.720
<v Speaker 5>And there's a lot of people who, now you know,

0:15:20.880 --> 0:15:22.760
<v Speaker 5>unless they're like one of a handful of really big

0:15:22.800 --> 0:15:26.840
<v Speaker 5>players that can impact of a distress situation and actually

0:15:26.880 --> 0:15:29.520
<v Speaker 5>be in the negotiating room, they're thinking long and hard

0:15:29.560 --> 0:15:33.480
<v Speaker 5>about being in this business. And two, you do hope

0:15:33.480 --> 0:15:37.240
<v Speaker 5>that the documents themselves are being tightened over time, and

0:15:37.280 --> 0:15:38.720
<v Speaker 5>there are ebbs and flows in the market. You know,

0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:41.320
<v Speaker 5>there's supply and demand, and you know there's there's waves

0:15:41.320 --> 0:15:43.000
<v Speaker 5>of when the documents are tight and when they're loose,

0:15:43.040 --> 0:15:45.000
<v Speaker 5>and now you hear these terms about there's a j

0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:47.640
<v Speaker 5>CREU blockers, Yeah, there is, and there are these like blockers,

0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:50.960
<v Speaker 5>these blockers, like the J crew blocker, the sort of blocker,

0:15:51.000 --> 0:15:54.880
<v Speaker 5>and that just means that in the in the document,

0:15:54.880 --> 0:15:59.560
<v Speaker 5>the lawyers will negotiate tighter terms and restrictions that prevent

0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:02.760
<v Speaker 5>j crue transaction the sort of transaction. And we can

0:16:02.800 --> 0:16:04.840
<v Speaker 5>talk about this more in detail if you want. There

0:16:04.920 --> 0:16:06.600
<v Speaker 5>is again this push and pull about you know, the

0:16:06.600 --> 0:16:08.720
<v Speaker 5>documents and how title loose there are and how people

0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 5>push back. So you know, but the thing is, though,

0:16:12.160 --> 0:16:17.840
<v Speaker 5>like everyone tends to be a price taker in these markets,

0:16:17.880 --> 0:16:20.360
<v Speaker 5>and you kind of take the document that is the

0:16:20.400 --> 0:16:22.680
<v Speaker 5>market at the time, and if you are a firm

0:16:22.680 --> 0:16:25.560
<v Speaker 5>that tries to push back in the negotiations, they can

0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:26.240
<v Speaker 5>just pass you over.

0:16:26.360 --> 0:16:28.080
<v Speaker 2>Right, There's plenty of others someone else.

0:16:27.960 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 5>Will take the bad document when you won't. And that

0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:33.120
<v Speaker 5>is just that's the difficult dynamic right now.

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:36.960
<v Speaker 2>So there's this great bit in your book where the

0:16:37.040 --> 0:16:40.560
<v Speaker 2>lawyers are arguing over the meaning of and in a

0:16:40.640 --> 0:16:46.440
<v Speaker 2>contracts end or like whether and means a bunch of

0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:49.240
<v Speaker 2>conditions have to be met or maybe only some.

0:16:49.160 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 4>Of them, you know, I've always thought in language, this

0:16:51.280 --> 0:16:55.680
<v Speaker 4>is a weird term because it's exactly right, it's off anyway, Yes,

0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:58.280
<v Speaker 4>I didn't, I've always thought this is a weird term.

0:16:58.320 --> 0:17:02.080
<v Speaker 2>Sorry, keep going so personal aside, But my husband is

0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:05.359
<v Speaker 2>a former corporate lawyer, and it takes him ages to

0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:08.320
<v Speaker 2>send a text message, Like he will spend twenty minutes

0:17:08.400 --> 0:17:11.000
<v Speaker 2>writing a text message that's like two sentences, and he

0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:13.800
<v Speaker 2>blames it on his legal background and the fact that

0:17:14.240 --> 0:17:17.399
<v Speaker 2>you really have to consider the meaning of every single word.

0:17:17.760 --> 0:17:21.959
<v Speaker 2>The thing I don't get about covenants and indentures and

0:17:22.000 --> 0:17:24.320
<v Speaker 2>things like that is I would have thought a lot

0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:29.600
<v Speaker 2>of it nowadays is like standard boiler plate. But I

0:17:29.640 --> 0:17:32.720
<v Speaker 2>mean the fact that these issues arise and that there

0:17:32.720 --> 0:17:35.760
<v Speaker 2>can be arguments over them suggests that maybe it isn't. So.

0:17:35.920 --> 0:17:37.760
<v Speaker 2>I guess my question is like, how much of this

0:17:37.800 --> 0:17:41.480
<v Speaker 2>is standardized versus customized for particular companies.

0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:44.359
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, I think if we just take a

0:17:44.359 --> 0:17:47.040
<v Speaker 5>step back and think about like the industrial organization of

0:17:47.680 --> 0:17:53.000
<v Speaker 5>these markets, and to your point, I think there was

0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:56.880
<v Speaker 5>a sense that these documents are standardized and there's some

0:17:57.000 --> 0:17:59.880
<v Speaker 5>kind of like template which you downloaded, and they're all

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:04.159
<v Speaker 5>kind of the same more or less. What's happened is

0:18:05.400 --> 0:18:09.760
<v Speaker 5>there has been now this arms race amongst the law

0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:13.680
<v Speaker 5>firms and the investment banks to read these documents really

0:18:13.680 --> 0:18:17.120
<v Speaker 5>carefully and then in their laboratories in the basement come

0:18:17.240 --> 0:18:20.919
<v Speaker 5>up with crazy transaction structure. So the big credit or

0:18:20.920 --> 0:18:23.480
<v Speaker 5>on credit of violence techniques. There's something called the drop down.

0:18:23.960 --> 0:18:26.880
<v Speaker 5>There's something called the up to exchange. There's something more

0:18:26.880 --> 0:18:31.720
<v Speaker 5>exotic called the double dip. It's called pari plus. And

0:18:31.760 --> 0:18:34.639
<v Speaker 5>these are like designed by these law firms and these

0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:36.480
<v Speaker 5>investments and when you do one of these transactions, you

0:18:36.480 --> 0:18:38.119
<v Speaker 5>are not just checking a boxing. I want to do

0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:40.880
<v Speaker 5>up to your exchange, and something like it just happens.

0:18:41.040 --> 0:18:43.320
<v Speaker 5>There's like five crazy things you have to do which

0:18:43.359 --> 0:18:46.520
<v Speaker 5>are kind of unnatural and combine together create an up

0:18:46.520 --> 0:18:50.760
<v Speaker 5>to her exchange or a drop down, and the result

0:18:50.840 --> 0:18:54.520
<v Speaker 5>is all the same, which is you, senior lender, suddenly

0:18:55.080 --> 0:18:58.000
<v Speaker 5>in the left behind group, collateral that you owned now

0:18:58.040 --> 0:18:59.800
<v Speaker 5>is somewhere else and is not reachable to you. And

0:19:00.040 --> 0:19:02.760
<v Speaker 5>I've described our different techniques to do those things. And

0:19:02.840 --> 0:19:08.199
<v Speaker 5>so people realize not only are the documents sort of looser,

0:19:08.280 --> 0:19:11.640
<v Speaker 5>but the creativity that lawyers and bankers try to exploit

0:19:12.040 --> 0:19:16.560
<v Speaker 5>has been accelerated and ratcheted up, and there's this idea

0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:21.000
<v Speaker 5>that we're going to ask for forgiveness, not permission. We'll

0:19:21.000 --> 0:19:23.360
<v Speaker 5>do the transaction. If someone wants to sue, we'll see

0:19:23.359 --> 0:19:25.440
<v Speaker 5>them in court. That'll go on forever. And what you're

0:19:25.480 --> 0:19:28.080
<v Speaker 5>ultimately trying to do in all these cases is create

0:19:28.160 --> 0:19:31.679
<v Speaker 5>negotiating leverage for the actual settlement where everyone will come

0:19:31.680 --> 0:19:34.280
<v Speaker 5>into a room and sort it out. But in fact

0:19:34.520 --> 0:19:37.040
<v Speaker 5>who has the leverage is determined by you know, who's

0:19:37.040 --> 0:19:39.320
<v Speaker 5>in the group and who's not. The actual transaction may

0:19:39.359 --> 0:19:42.040
<v Speaker 5>or may not be important, but what it does is

0:19:42.160 --> 0:19:44.800
<v Speaker 5>does set the parameters for the ultimate negotiation.

0:19:45.280 --> 0:19:48.040
<v Speaker 2>So we've been talking a lot about behavior on the

0:19:48.440 --> 0:19:50.880
<v Speaker 2>borrower and the lender side, but there is a sort

0:19:50.880 --> 0:19:54.480
<v Speaker 2>of third party here, which is the court itself and

0:19:54.520 --> 0:19:57.760
<v Speaker 2>the judges. And speaking of great books on credit, there's

0:19:57.800 --> 0:20:00.760
<v Speaker 2>a great book on the Argentina restructure that came out

0:20:01.040 --> 0:20:05.480
<v Speaker 2>relatively recently called Default, The landmark court battle over Argentina's

0:20:05.520 --> 0:20:09.359
<v Speaker 2>one hundred billion dollar debt restructuring. And one of the

0:20:09.400 --> 0:20:12.800
<v Speaker 2>takeaways that I got from reading that book is so

0:20:13.080 --> 0:20:16.560
<v Speaker 2>much depends on the judge that is put in charge

0:20:16.600 --> 0:20:19.199
<v Speaker 2>of a particular case, and there are moments in that

0:20:19.280 --> 0:20:22.280
<v Speaker 2>book where like the judge is just really tired and

0:20:22.320 --> 0:20:24.719
<v Speaker 2>fed up with everyone, and so he kind of like

0:20:25.480 --> 0:20:28.960
<v Speaker 2>does things kind of hastily, I guess. But what's been

0:20:29.000 --> 0:20:33.440
<v Speaker 2>the response from the courts to more aggressive creditor on

0:20:33.520 --> 0:20:34.720
<v Speaker 2>creditor in fighting.

0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:39.320
<v Speaker 5>So that's a great question, and not just the actual

0:20:39.800 --> 0:20:42.960
<v Speaker 5>writing of the document the lawyers are doing is part

0:20:43.000 --> 0:20:46.760
<v Speaker 5>of what the service they're offering. They're offering an entire

0:20:46.840 --> 0:20:51.120
<v Speaker 5>kind of choreography on how this chess match is going

0:20:51.160 --> 0:20:53.120
<v Speaker 5>to like each chest move is going to in florid,

0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:56.240
<v Speaker 5>We're going to the document to the actual creditor on

0:20:56.280 --> 0:20:59.720
<v Speaker 5>credit of violence transaction, and then ultimately the litigation and

0:20:59.760 --> 0:21:01.399
<v Speaker 5>how we game out each of these moves.

0:21:01.480 --> 0:21:03.920
<v Speaker 2>So like we'll be in this jurisdiction, we can expect

0:21:03.920 --> 0:21:06.760
<v Speaker 2>maybe to get like this particular judge and the company

0:21:06.880 --> 0:21:08.960
<v Speaker 2>or the other lender will respond this way.

0:21:09.080 --> 0:21:13.919
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, And so these documents are all now almost all

0:21:13.960 --> 0:21:16.919
<v Speaker 5>of them are written under New York state law, but

0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:18.239
<v Speaker 5>that doesn't mean they always end up in New York

0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:20.400
<v Speaker 5>state court. Sometimes they end up in New York State court.

0:21:20.760 --> 0:21:22.960
<v Speaker 5>Sometimes they end up in federal court where the federal

0:21:23.040 --> 0:21:26.200
<v Speaker 5>court is interpreting New York state law. And then sometimes

0:21:26.200 --> 0:21:29.359
<v Speaker 5>they end up in bankruptcy court, which is a federal

0:21:29.400 --> 0:21:33.320
<v Speaker 5>court as well and has its own, like very kind

0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:37.360
<v Speaker 5>of unique powers, and they end up interpreting the document.

0:21:37.440 --> 0:21:40.440
<v Speaker 5>And there's a whole again art and science deciding, you

0:21:40.520 --> 0:21:42.560
<v Speaker 5>know how you think it's going to involve. The state

0:21:42.560 --> 0:21:45.120
<v Speaker 5>court and the federal courts are relatively slow, bankruptcy courts

0:21:45.119 --> 0:21:47.679
<v Speaker 5>are relatively fast. So like one case, it's really interesting

0:21:47.680 --> 0:21:50.480
<v Speaker 5>and I followed closely. Is this sort of Simmons from

0:21:50.720 --> 0:21:53.919
<v Speaker 5>a couple of years ago, which was which is one

0:21:53.960 --> 0:21:57.800
<v Speaker 5>of the emblematic creditor on creditor. Oh yeah, and so

0:21:57.840 --> 0:22:00.159
<v Speaker 5>this is a mattress company. Obviously we all heard of

0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:03.080
<v Speaker 5>it got into trouble during the pandemic. They in an

0:22:03.119 --> 0:22:06.560
<v Speaker 5>effort to raise more capital, essentially went to their existing

0:22:06.640 --> 0:22:10.040
<v Speaker 5>lenders and said, we need more money. Who can give

0:22:10.119 --> 0:22:12.560
<v Speaker 5>us a deal? And this is a fun case because

0:22:12.880 --> 0:22:15.920
<v Speaker 5>they end up being two competing groups and they each

0:22:15.960 --> 0:22:19.280
<v Speaker 5>propose their own deal. One is an uptier exchange. One

0:22:19.320 --> 0:22:22.440
<v Speaker 5>is a drop down essentially accomplishing the same things, which

0:22:22.480 --> 0:22:25.600
<v Speaker 5>is new capital in the company, the exchange of debt

0:22:25.600 --> 0:22:29.760
<v Speaker 5>for a discount, and the company essentially had an auction

0:22:29.840 --> 0:22:33.560
<v Speaker 5>for new capital. They picked one so one group one.

0:22:33.960 --> 0:22:34.760
<v Speaker 5>One group lost.

0:22:34.800 --> 0:22:38.359
<v Speaker 3>Wait was it the up tier the so the up.

0:22:38.280 --> 0:22:41.840
<v Speaker 5>Tor exchange group one. And there's a whole a side

0:22:41.840 --> 0:22:44.480
<v Speaker 5>about this where the drop down group, which is Apollo

0:22:44.720 --> 0:22:46.960
<v Speaker 5>an Angela Gordon, very aggressive smart firms that are in

0:22:47.000 --> 0:22:49.240
<v Speaker 5>this market all the time. You know, think the actual

0:22:49.720 --> 0:22:53.119
<v Speaker 5>up tier structure is something that actually is actually legally

0:22:53.160 --> 0:22:55.359
<v Speaker 5>offensive in a way a drop down is not. And

0:22:55.400 --> 0:22:57.400
<v Speaker 5>that's a rabbit hole we can go down. That's sort

0:22:57.400 --> 0:22:59.520
<v Speaker 5>of at that point is actually very interesting.

0:22:59.400 --> 0:23:02.760
<v Speaker 2>Theoretically essentially add like a new layer of debt to

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:03.640
<v Speaker 2>the capital step.

0:23:03.760 --> 0:23:05.399
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, they both do the same thing. You end up

0:23:05.400 --> 0:23:07.040
<v Speaker 5>in the same place. There's this whole question of whether

0:23:07.119 --> 0:23:09.720
<v Speaker 5>the up to exchange is something that's actually contemplated in

0:23:09.760 --> 0:23:12.320
<v Speaker 5>the original document, the drop down kind of is or

0:23:12.359 --> 0:23:13.959
<v Speaker 5>not in that we can go down that rabbit hole

0:23:14.000 --> 0:23:17.080
<v Speaker 5>if you want. But the point is, eventually STA had

0:23:17.080 --> 0:23:21.120
<v Speaker 5>to file for bankruptcy. The Apollo angel Gordon group had

0:23:21.200 --> 0:23:23.800
<v Speaker 5>sued in New York state court, and I can't recall

0:23:23.840 --> 0:23:26.480
<v Speaker 5>that ended up in federal court or not for jurisdiction reasons.

0:23:26.560 --> 0:23:28.280
<v Speaker 5>But anyway, there was some lawsuit kind of going through

0:23:28.320 --> 0:23:31.240
<v Speaker 5>the court. There are multiple lawsuits about the transactions. One

0:23:31.280 --> 0:23:34.280
<v Speaker 5>the company went into bankruptcy. The company and the winning

0:23:34.320 --> 0:23:37.159
<v Speaker 5>group sought to have the bankruptcy court to declare the

0:23:37.200 --> 0:23:41.359
<v Speaker 5>transaction permissible, and the court bankrupt court, which was very fast,

0:23:41.440 --> 0:23:44.439
<v Speaker 5>the Houston Court at the time, very very fast, blessed

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:47.000
<v Speaker 5>the transaction, the deal, the bankruptc deal got done, and

0:23:47.000 --> 0:23:48.679
<v Speaker 5>the people in the winning group ultimately the kind of

0:23:48.680 --> 0:23:50.959
<v Speaker 5>took control of the company. The people left behind, you know,

0:23:51.080 --> 0:23:54.320
<v Speaker 5>got hoosed for dimes on the dollar. So yes, So

0:23:54.359 --> 0:23:56.200
<v Speaker 5>to answer your question, yes, the whole kind of legal

0:23:56.200 --> 0:23:59.239
<v Speaker 5>game theory, the judicial is actually very important, and these

0:23:59.320 --> 0:24:02.240
<v Speaker 5>questions are kind kind of often left outstanding and hanging

0:24:02.240 --> 0:24:05.320
<v Speaker 5>because what happens is people ultimately settle out before they

0:24:05.400 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 5>get vial ruling.

0:24:06.320 --> 0:24:09.160
<v Speaker 4>Well, I'm to add on to Tracy's question, has there

0:24:09.160 --> 0:24:13.960
<v Speaker 4>been an evolution over time? So okay, lawyers are racing

0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:17.159
<v Speaker 4>to come up with new ideas and new interpretations of

0:24:17.240 --> 0:24:21.200
<v Speaker 4>words and oh, but in the dream world, you do

0:24:22.440 --> 0:24:25.879
<v Speaker 4>transactions without ever really having to like red down to

0:24:25.920 --> 0:24:29.280
<v Speaker 4>the document itself. Right, everyone is operating good faith. We

0:24:29.359 --> 0:24:31.320
<v Speaker 4>know what all these things mean? Hopefully you don't have

0:24:31.359 --> 0:24:32.840
<v Speaker 4>to spend the time a lot of time look at

0:24:32.840 --> 0:24:36.200
<v Speaker 4>where commas are or what and or actually means. Has

0:24:36.200 --> 0:24:40.000
<v Speaker 4>there been an evolution among judges in courts in terms

0:24:40.000 --> 0:24:42.639
<v Speaker 4>of the degree to which they say, look, we know

0:24:42.680 --> 0:24:44.359
<v Speaker 4>what all we know what these words mean, while you

0:24:44.400 --> 0:24:48.480
<v Speaker 4>guys trying to redefine words versus I guess like a

0:24:48.520 --> 0:24:50.919
<v Speaker 4>more literal like what do these words mean in the

0:24:50.920 --> 0:24:53.520
<v Speaker 4>English language as described in the original document.

0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:55.600
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, that brings up an interesting point if you read

0:24:55.600 --> 0:24:59.160
<v Speaker 5>the actual complaints that, like the losing group will write

0:24:59.160 --> 0:25:01.480
<v Speaker 5>in their lawsuits, go through all their contrastual points that

0:25:01.520 --> 0:25:03.760
<v Speaker 5>you can't actually do this up to her exchange and

0:25:03.800 --> 0:25:06.000
<v Speaker 5>the five crazy things to get it done, and the

0:25:06.119 --> 0:25:08.920
<v Speaker 5>very last count that they'll add to their to their

0:25:08.920 --> 0:25:13.200
<v Speaker 5>complaint is something called the covenant of good faith. And Yeah,

0:25:13.240 --> 0:25:15.320
<v Speaker 5>and that is the idea that let's just put the

0:25:15.320 --> 0:25:18.040
<v Speaker 5>wards aside. What do these actulety parties mean when they

0:25:18.040 --> 0:25:21.600
<v Speaker 5>struck this transaction? Like, what was the actual intent? Was

0:25:21.600 --> 0:25:22.560
<v Speaker 5>the spirit of the document?

0:25:22.720 --> 0:25:22.840
<v Speaker 2>Right?

0:25:22.880 --> 0:25:24.280
<v Speaker 4>Because in the end, we don't want to have to

0:25:24.400 --> 0:25:27.800
<v Speaker 4>live in a world right. I assume many investors lawyers might,

0:25:27.840 --> 0:25:29.919
<v Speaker 4>but investors probably don't want to live in a world

0:25:30.560 --> 0:25:34.960
<v Speaker 4>where every comma and word is being challenged as it's definition.

0:25:35.000 --> 0:25:37.760
<v Speaker 4>And I'm curious if there's been some erosion of norms

0:25:38.160 --> 0:25:42.280
<v Speaker 4>about the degree to which we sort of accept good

0:25:42.520 --> 0:25:43.960
<v Speaker 4>people investors accept.

0:25:44.240 --> 0:25:45.920
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, we all knew what this meant, good faith.

0:25:46.040 --> 0:25:48.160
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, And I think there is some level of exhaustion.

0:25:48.840 --> 0:25:52.119
<v Speaker 5>And you know, there have been some subsequent rulings where

0:25:52.600 --> 0:25:56.040
<v Speaker 5>court frowns upon the credit or on creditor violence transaction.

0:25:57.200 --> 0:26:00.200
<v Speaker 5>There's just now this idea of also cooperation groups, which

0:26:00.240 --> 0:26:03.400
<v Speaker 5>is this idea where the creditors, instead of like doing

0:26:03.400 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 5>this fifty one to forty nine kind of fight, they

0:26:05.560 --> 0:26:07.600
<v Speaker 5>all sign a contract to say we're going to be

0:26:07.680 --> 0:26:10.280
<v Speaker 5>one single block and we will negotiate as group with

0:26:10.320 --> 0:26:13.240
<v Speaker 5>the company and there can be no drawing credit violence

0:26:13.240 --> 0:26:14.919
<v Speaker 5>because often what will happen in these deals is the

0:26:14.920 --> 0:26:17.560
<v Speaker 5>sponsor will find the fifty one percent group and they're

0:26:17.600 --> 0:26:20.720
<v Speaker 5>in cahoots to do this thing. Right now, they're saying, you,

0:26:20.880 --> 0:26:23.959
<v Speaker 5>financial sponsor, don't do that, because we're all one group

0:26:24.400 --> 0:26:25.960
<v Speaker 5>and you can't pick and you can't.

0:26:25.760 --> 0:26:28.399
<v Speaker 3>Say separately from the separately from the bond doc or

0:26:28.440 --> 0:26:28.760
<v Speaker 3>the low.

0:26:28.840 --> 0:26:30.680
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, we'll say, well, is that we are not going

0:26:30.720 --> 0:26:32.760
<v Speaker 5>to sign into a deal for the next six months

0:26:32.840 --> 0:26:34.760
<v Speaker 5>or a year or to the maturity. And if the

0:26:34.760 --> 0:26:37.199
<v Speaker 5>company wants to negotiate, they negotiate with all of us

0:26:37.200 --> 0:26:41.080
<v Speaker 5>as a block. So that's one thing. And there is

0:26:41.160 --> 0:26:44.880
<v Speaker 5>now an effort to actually do what are called still

0:26:44.920 --> 0:26:48.040
<v Speaker 5>called pro rata transactions where there is a refinancing, but

0:26:48.080 --> 0:26:51.720
<v Speaker 5>the entire group Tracy, Joe, Sujit all get a chance

0:26:52.040 --> 0:26:52.720
<v Speaker 5>to participate.

0:26:53.920 --> 0:26:58.320
<v Speaker 2>What happened to the leverage lending guidance because you alluded

0:26:58.359 --> 0:27:02.040
<v Speaker 2>to how big this market is earlier, and it's huge

0:27:02.080 --> 0:27:06.040
<v Speaker 2>and it's been booming since like the twenty tens, and

0:27:06.119 --> 0:27:09.640
<v Speaker 2>I remember at one point regulators seemed concerned, and so

0:27:09.720 --> 0:27:13.720
<v Speaker 2>they issued these guidelines of how to do leverage loans

0:27:13.800 --> 0:27:17.280
<v Speaker 2>and you know, like what kind of leverage you should have,

0:27:17.760 --> 0:27:20.520
<v Speaker 2>and I remember a bunch of bankers freaking out about

0:27:20.560 --> 0:27:23.679
<v Speaker 2>them at the time, but it doesn't seem to have

0:27:23.720 --> 0:27:26.320
<v Speaker 2>had much of an impact. Uh.

0:27:26.359 --> 0:27:29.920
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, So that was the idea that a bank couldn't

0:27:29.960 --> 0:27:32.639
<v Speaker 5>extend a leverage loan where the DEBTIBA dollar issue was

0:27:32.640 --> 0:27:35.840
<v Speaker 5>more than six times, and that was because you know,

0:27:35.880 --> 0:27:38.159
<v Speaker 5>it's a bank and they can't do RESI shouldn't do

0:27:38.200 --> 0:27:40.800
<v Speaker 5>these risky these risky deals. So a couple things happened. One,

0:27:40.840 --> 0:27:42.960
<v Speaker 5>there's just a whole non bank market too. You know,

0:27:43.080 --> 0:27:45.840
<v Speaker 5>there's some banks like Jeffrees that are not subject to

0:27:45.880 --> 0:27:48.800
<v Speaker 5>these guidance lines. Three, there's this private credit which is

0:27:49.119 --> 0:27:51.879
<v Speaker 5>a whole different world which is obviously not regulated by banks.

0:27:53.000 --> 0:27:58.199
<v Speaker 5>And four I think banks found ways to push the

0:27:58.240 --> 0:28:01.920
<v Speaker 5>limits or change the definition bit dah. But even six times.

0:28:01.920 --> 0:28:03.159
<v Speaker 5>I mean, if you go up to six, that's like

0:28:03.160 --> 0:28:05.840
<v Speaker 5>a lot of leverage. And you know, even if you're

0:28:05.880 --> 0:28:08.440
<v Speaker 5>doing it six and banks themselves. I think there's a

0:28:08.480 --> 0:28:12.600
<v Speaker 5>story in somewhere about City Bank or City Group, which

0:28:12.680 --> 0:28:14.800
<v Speaker 5>hasn't been a big player in leverage loans, it has

0:28:14.840 --> 0:28:16.720
<v Speaker 5>been kind of usurped in the market share now suddenly

0:28:16.760 --> 0:28:18.520
<v Speaker 5>has a new guy from Jacone Morgan. There's a story

0:28:18.560 --> 0:28:20.520
<v Speaker 5>yesterday in the journal I think about how he's going

0:28:20.560 --> 0:28:22.520
<v Speaker 5>to push to get more into the leverage loan market.

0:28:22.520 --> 0:28:24.159
<v Speaker 5>There's a reason City is not like aggressive in this

0:28:24.200 --> 0:28:26.320
<v Speaker 5>because you know, it's risky, right, So we'll see how

0:28:26.320 --> 0:28:28.240
<v Speaker 5>that works out for them. So yeah, there was the

0:28:28.280 --> 0:28:29.840
<v Speaker 5>actual idea of you know, how much leverage is their

0:28:29.880 --> 0:28:32.400
<v Speaker 5>total and then you know, then these kind of interpersonal

0:28:32.520 --> 0:28:34.960
<v Speaker 5>dynamics once the loan is extended.

0:28:51.080 --> 0:28:54.960
<v Speaker 4>As a former banker, you know, again you mentioned the

0:28:55.000 --> 0:28:57.080
<v Speaker 4>law firms come in. They have new ideas up to

0:28:57.120 --> 0:28:59.160
<v Speaker 4>your exchange offers as.

0:28:58.960 --> 0:29:00.320
<v Speaker 3>It dropped downs, cetera.

0:29:00.360 --> 0:29:03.280
<v Speaker 4>They have the whole choreography of how it's going to

0:29:03.320 --> 0:29:06.800
<v Speaker 4>play out, et cetera. These are skills that they bring

0:29:06.880 --> 0:29:11.400
<v Speaker 4>to the table that are something different from valuation and

0:29:11.760 --> 0:29:15.040
<v Speaker 4>you know, debt dynamics and so forth. Is that visible

0:29:15.160 --> 0:29:17.320
<v Speaker 4>in the pie? There's a certain amount of money that

0:29:17.400 --> 0:29:23.120
<v Speaker 4>gets spent every year on services for transactions by companies,

0:29:23.120 --> 0:29:27.000
<v Speaker 4>by borrowers or lenders, et cetera. Has there been a

0:29:27.040 --> 0:29:29.040
<v Speaker 4>shift in the tilt of the pie of like how

0:29:29.120 --> 0:29:31.840
<v Speaker 4>much goes to lawyers versus how much goes to the

0:29:32.240 --> 0:29:33.080
<v Speaker 4>deal makers.

0:29:33.440 --> 0:29:36.280
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, that's a great point too. So you've now I've

0:29:36.320 --> 0:29:38.000
<v Speaker 5>seen these stories about the law firm war as the

0:29:38.040 --> 0:29:41.280
<v Speaker 5>lawyer's getting paid twenty thirty million dollars a year and

0:29:41.320 --> 0:29:45.000
<v Speaker 5>they're shifting firms like baseball players or hedge fund guys

0:29:45.120 --> 0:29:48.120
<v Speaker 5>typically do. And that's unusual because historically you started a

0:29:48.160 --> 0:29:50.000
<v Speaker 5>law firm as an associate and you made it a partner.

0:29:50.040 --> 0:29:51.920
<v Speaker 5>You stated at that firm your whole career, and it

0:29:52.000 --> 0:29:54.600
<v Speaker 5>was prestigious and you've got a huge pension. You made

0:29:54.640 --> 0:29:56.160
<v Speaker 5>a few million dollars a year. It was less than

0:29:56.160 --> 0:29:57.760
<v Speaker 5>being a banker and less than being you know, a

0:29:57.760 --> 0:30:00.520
<v Speaker 5>hedge fun star, but it was a stable and respect

0:30:00.680 --> 0:30:02.560
<v Speaker 5>So now there is this like warfare because there are

0:30:02.600 --> 0:30:05.520
<v Speaker 5>a set of lawyers who matter in this world and

0:30:05.560 --> 0:30:08.200
<v Speaker 5>who specialize in private equity and are thought to be,

0:30:08.280 --> 0:30:11.239
<v Speaker 5>you know, the big brains around these crazy contracts. So

0:30:11.880 --> 0:30:13.960
<v Speaker 5>that is something that's happened. And also, and this is

0:30:13.960 --> 0:30:17.400
<v Speaker 5>actual the company point which is really interesting, the hedge

0:30:17.440 --> 0:30:21.240
<v Speaker 5>funds and the private equity firms and the investors in

0:30:21.240 --> 0:30:23.720
<v Speaker 5>this market that people actually put money to capital, They

0:30:23.720 --> 0:30:28.520
<v Speaker 5>are increasingly horrified how much lawyers cost. Oh yeah, how

0:30:28.600 --> 0:30:31.280
<v Speaker 5>much bankers cost. How much the whole kind of process costs.

0:30:31.320 --> 0:30:33.640
<v Speaker 5>Like in bankruptcy, if you do end up filing for bankruptcy,

0:30:33.680 --> 0:30:36.760
<v Speaker 5>there is transparency because you your fees are approved by

0:30:36.760 --> 0:30:38.600
<v Speaker 5>the court and you can see now there's lawyers who

0:30:38.640 --> 0:30:41.160
<v Speaker 5>are charging twenty five hundred dollars an hour. There's bankers

0:30:41.200 --> 0:30:43.440
<v Speaker 5>who are getting success fees for you know, a pretty

0:30:43.480 --> 0:30:46.240
<v Speaker 5>standard deal for like fifty million, Like we work, for example,

0:30:46.800 --> 0:30:48.880
<v Speaker 5>a relatively small company. At the end of the case

0:30:48.920 --> 0:30:50.760
<v Speaker 5>seven hundred and fifty million dollars there was you know,

0:30:51.080 --> 0:30:53.560
<v Speaker 5>something like one hundred million dollars in fees. Wow. And

0:30:54.640 --> 0:30:56.880
<v Speaker 5>there is real money in these kind of professional services

0:30:56.880 --> 0:30:59.680
<v Speaker 5>in a way that is relatively new, and the cost

0:30:59.720 --> 0:31:02.640
<v Speaker 5>are so much that it's affecting the returns of these funds.

0:31:03.000 --> 0:31:06.520
<v Speaker 5>And they're thinking kind of proactively, how can we limit

0:31:06.560 --> 0:31:08.760
<v Speaker 5>the damage because it's affecting you know, how much we're

0:31:08.760 --> 0:31:10.360
<v Speaker 5>going to make and the deal ourselves.

0:31:10.600 --> 0:31:13.760
<v Speaker 2>If I'm a distressed at investor in the current environment,

0:31:13.880 --> 0:31:17.240
<v Speaker 2>would it be better to be really good at valuation

0:31:17.360 --> 0:31:20.960
<v Speaker 2>in math or be really good at reading legal document?

0:31:21.000 --> 0:31:21.200
<v Speaker 5>Yeah?

0:31:21.200 --> 0:31:22.040
<v Speaker 3>I mean I was going to wonder.

0:31:22.080 --> 0:31:24.120
<v Speaker 4>It's like, if you our lawyer, you know, makes sense,

0:31:24.120 --> 0:31:25.640
<v Speaker 4>why doesn't lawyer start a hedge fund?

0:31:25.720 --> 0:31:27.719
<v Speaker 5>Anyway? Keep going, There are a lot of lawyers who

0:31:27.760 --> 0:31:33.320
<v Speaker 5>start hedge funds. I do think though, that this kind

0:31:33.320 --> 0:31:36.640
<v Speaker 5>of the legal creativity that is becoming a little bit commoditized,

0:31:37.280 --> 0:31:41.960
<v Speaker 5>and ultimately, if if you're going to make a lot

0:31:42.000 --> 0:31:44.840
<v Speaker 5>of money, it's going to be less on a technical

0:31:45.720 --> 0:31:49.520
<v Speaker 5>factor and that like the technical part I think is defensive. Ultimately,

0:31:49.760 --> 0:31:51.240
<v Speaker 5>to make money, I think you have to be an

0:31:51.400 --> 0:31:54.720
<v Speaker 5>entrepreneur and have a thesis around how is this business

0:31:54.840 --> 0:31:57.240
<v Speaker 5>going to turn around? And if I end up owning it,

0:31:57.280 --> 0:32:00.560
<v Speaker 5>you know, how do I grow the market share and

0:32:00.840 --> 0:32:04.120
<v Speaker 5>have more customers? And that really kind of commercial business aspect.

0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:06.239
<v Speaker 5>And there are cases, you know, like Hurts I think

0:32:06.360 --> 0:32:07.880
<v Speaker 5>is a great story that was a big bidding or

0:32:07.960 --> 0:32:10.960
<v Speaker 5>during the bankruptcy and there was two competing private equity

0:32:10.960 --> 0:32:13.400
<v Speaker 5>firms with different plans for growing the business, and that

0:32:13.480 --> 0:32:19.680
<v Speaker 5>stuff I think ultimately is important. The gamesmanship again truly defensive,

0:32:20.480 --> 0:32:25.000
<v Speaker 5>and it's hard to differentiate yourself consistently. It is interesting

0:32:25.040 --> 0:32:29.480
<v Speaker 5>now in this market to see in one deal XYZ

0:32:29.600 --> 0:32:32.640
<v Speaker 5>famous hedge fund is on the outs, the other one

0:32:32.640 --> 0:32:35.760
<v Speaker 5>they're in the inn, and that's kind of coin flip.

0:32:36.240 --> 0:32:40.680
<v Speaker 5>And for that reason, you know, you just don't know

0:32:40.680 --> 0:32:42.120
<v Speaker 5>how it's coming. You think you're in the winning group,

0:32:42.120 --> 0:32:43.320
<v Speaker 5>and then you wake up and you see the press

0:32:43.360 --> 0:32:45.280
<v Speaker 5>release and you're not. That's a hard way to make

0:32:45.280 --> 0:32:47.920
<v Speaker 5>a living. It's a hard way to sleep. And I

0:32:47.920 --> 0:32:49.880
<v Speaker 5>don't know how long that will continue.

0:32:50.120 --> 0:32:52.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to ask a devil's advocate question. But one

0:32:52.960 --> 0:32:55.479
<v Speaker 2>of the arguments that used to come up with the

0:32:55.600 --> 0:32:59.080
<v Speaker 2>rise of cove light loans was this idea that, well,

0:32:59.200 --> 0:33:02.320
<v Speaker 2>maybe it's actually a good thing for companies because they

0:33:02.360 --> 0:33:05.840
<v Speaker 2>get more flexibility and there are more options available to

0:33:06.000 --> 0:33:09.479
<v Speaker 2>them in terms of raising capital. On the other side,

0:33:09.960 --> 0:33:12.840
<v Speaker 2>you know, maybe there is like a long term cost

0:33:13.040 --> 0:33:18.600
<v Speaker 2>associated with like legal wrangling over every single deal. What

0:33:18.760 --> 0:33:21.520
<v Speaker 2>Joe was kind of alluding to, where do you fall

0:33:21.880 --> 0:33:25.760
<v Speaker 2>on that argument. Is this ultimately good for companies or

0:33:25.920 --> 0:33:28.440
<v Speaker 2>is it a bad thing because maybe it makes people

0:33:28.480 --> 0:33:31.360
<v Speaker 2>feel a little bit different about capital markets.

0:33:32.200 --> 0:33:34.040
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, so if we go back to like the Surta case,

0:33:34.360 --> 0:33:36.680
<v Speaker 5>which I think is a good example, again, you've got

0:33:36.680 --> 0:33:42.360
<v Speaker 5>two competing groups, two aggressive transactions, and someone's going to win,

0:33:42.440 --> 0:33:44.480
<v Speaker 5>someone's going to lose, and someone's feelings are going to

0:33:44.520 --> 0:33:46.120
<v Speaker 5>be hurt, and there's going to be a litigation. But

0:33:46.160 --> 0:33:50.040
<v Speaker 5>from the company's perspective, you have an auction and you're

0:33:50.040 --> 0:33:51.720
<v Speaker 5>trying to get the lowest cost of capital for the

0:33:51.760 --> 0:33:55.280
<v Speaker 5>one hundred million dollars that you need, and who wins

0:33:55.320 --> 0:33:58.720
<v Speaker 5>or who loses to you doesn't matter. And this whole

0:33:58.760 --> 0:34:02.680
<v Speaker 5>kind of distributional point, who wins who loses, Like, why

0:34:02.680 --> 0:34:06.080
<v Speaker 5>do anyvists care if famous hedge fund access on the

0:34:06.080 --> 0:34:08.160
<v Speaker 5>outs in this deal and in that deal and the

0:34:08.440 --> 0:34:10.279
<v Speaker 5>winning sidn of that deal. That doesn't really matter. But

0:34:10.400 --> 0:34:13.920
<v Speaker 5>if a company can raise capital at the best terms

0:34:14.040 --> 0:34:20.200
<v Speaker 5>and avoid bankruptcy, that seems like a social positive. The

0:34:20.200 --> 0:34:22.600
<v Speaker 5>the points to temper that are, I think are two things. One,

0:34:23.560 --> 0:34:27.680
<v Speaker 5>does the overall cost of capital go up, because.

0:34:27.520 --> 0:34:30.960
<v Speaker 4>Well, if the investors are getting less returns because they

0:34:30.960 --> 0:34:33.440
<v Speaker 4>have to factor in their legal fees, that sounds like

0:34:33.480 --> 0:34:34.640
<v Speaker 4>higher less returns.

0:34:34.640 --> 0:34:36.640
<v Speaker 5>And you're just there's some chance you're just gonna get

0:34:36.800 --> 0:34:38.520
<v Speaker 5>you hold a senior loan and you're gonna be at

0:34:38.560 --> 0:34:40.799
<v Speaker 5>the bottom of the bottom of the totem pole and

0:34:40.840 --> 0:34:43.080
<v Speaker 5>that that and you're just a boring clo. That's gonna

0:34:43.120 --> 0:34:45.840
<v Speaker 5>be like it seems bad. And then two, if the

0:34:45.880 --> 0:34:48.239
<v Speaker 5>company this is this is something that we're seeing a

0:34:48.239 --> 0:34:51.759
<v Speaker 5>lot of. If the company ultimately does file for bankruptcy

0:34:52.320 --> 0:34:54.600
<v Speaker 5>and ends up in bankruptcy court, you end up with

0:34:54.640 --> 0:34:58.800
<v Speaker 5>this like Frankenstein capital structure, where you have super senior

0:34:59.360 --> 0:35:03.400
<v Speaker 5>firstly one point five lean third out of and the

0:35:03.400 --> 0:35:06.759
<v Speaker 5>banksty court and the banks process has to figure out

0:35:06.880 --> 0:35:09.480
<v Speaker 5>what the actual order is. There's probably litigation.

0:35:09.360 --> 0:35:11.600
<v Speaker 2>That happened with Caesar's, right, it.

0:35:11.560 --> 0:35:13.360
<v Speaker 5>Did, I mean Caesars. There is a little bit of

0:35:13.400 --> 0:35:15.319
<v Speaker 5>creditor on credit of violence, which against the idea of

0:35:15.440 --> 0:35:19.840
<v Speaker 5>inter or intra conflict of Caesar's is more the classic

0:35:19.880 --> 0:35:22.280
<v Speaker 5>case where you have a fight between the equity holders,

0:35:22.320 --> 0:35:24.440
<v Speaker 5>the junk bondholders, and the senior loans. Yes, and there

0:35:24.440 --> 0:35:25.719
<v Speaker 5>are people who are holding holds, but.

0:35:25.680 --> 0:35:28.040
<v Speaker 2>I just mean in terms of having a capital structure

0:35:28.080 --> 0:35:31.400
<v Speaker 2>that was so complicated that like the bankruptcy court was

0:35:31.400 --> 0:35:34.719
<v Speaker 2>struggling to understand it and deal with it, Like, yeah.

0:35:34.520 --> 0:35:39.480
<v Speaker 5>Exactly that. Yeah, you of like the company before bankruptcy

0:35:39.520 --> 0:35:41.640
<v Speaker 5>is trying to lower its cost of capital by selling

0:35:41.680 --> 0:35:44.920
<v Speaker 5>all these like bespoke securities for this particular type of investor,

0:35:45.120 --> 0:35:46.759
<v Speaker 5>and it seems like a good idea at the time,

0:35:46.800 --> 0:35:49.319
<v Speaker 5>and it maybe is, But then when you're actually trying

0:35:49.320 --> 0:35:53.080
<v Speaker 5>to divide up a shrunken pie, that is a mess

0:35:53.160 --> 0:35:56.520
<v Speaker 5>and that process ends up being like very costly. And

0:35:56.600 --> 0:35:58.759
<v Speaker 5>we've seen cases where there is a credit on credit

0:35:59.640 --> 0:36:02.440
<v Speaker 5>violent refancing and then six months later the entire companies

0:36:02.440 --> 0:36:06.480
<v Speaker 5>in bankruptcy. In the bankruptcy is much more complicated t

0:36:06.600 --> 0:36:09.560
<v Speaker 5>plus six months rather than if they had just decided

0:36:09.600 --> 0:36:10.560
<v Speaker 5>to do it on day zero.

0:36:11.360 --> 0:36:13.359
<v Speaker 4>This is always this crazy thing when I think about

0:36:13.360 --> 0:36:15.799
<v Speaker 4>like distressed stuff is like, man, there's just a risk

0:36:15.840 --> 0:36:17.719
<v Speaker 4>in it at all. Like everyone is trying to like eke

0:36:17.760 --> 0:36:20.480
<v Speaker 4>out their extra pennies or extra dollars, but you could

0:36:20.520 --> 0:36:21.920
<v Speaker 4>really just like collapse the whole thing.

0:36:22.560 --> 0:36:24.759
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, you're picking up pennies in front of the steam roller,

0:36:25.360 --> 0:36:27.200
<v Speaker 5>and that is bad.

0:36:27.440 --> 0:36:30.400
<v Speaker 2>So, speaking of Caesar's, there's one more question I wanted

0:36:30.400 --> 0:36:34.000
<v Speaker 2>to ask you, which is what's the deal with Apollo? Like,

0:36:34.080 --> 0:36:36.520
<v Speaker 2>can you just explain Apollo to me? Because they seem

0:36:36.560 --> 0:36:40.200
<v Speaker 2>to be everywhere nowadays. I see like a headline after

0:36:40.320 --> 0:36:43.880
<v Speaker 2>headline about what Apollo is doing, what they're thinking about doing.

0:36:44.280 --> 0:36:45.000
<v Speaker 2>What's your take?

0:36:46.160 --> 0:36:50.560
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean I think they're the most interesting example

0:36:50.840 --> 0:36:55.840
<v Speaker 5>of like the broader theme in either alternatives assets, alternative assets,

0:36:55.920 --> 0:36:58.200
<v Speaker 5>or just private capital generally, and that there are a

0:36:58.200 --> 0:37:00.920
<v Speaker 5>set of firms that started as started out as in

0:37:00.960 --> 0:37:03.319
<v Speaker 5>the eighties or nineties, as like leveraged buyout firms they

0:37:03.400 --> 0:37:07.600
<v Speaker 5>bought whole businesses or carbouts of big businesses. As an

0:37:07.640 --> 0:37:10.560
<v Speaker 5>equity player, they borrowed a bunch of money. They owned

0:37:10.560 --> 0:37:13.279
<v Speaker 5>the they owned the company, they managed it, and they

0:37:13.280 --> 0:37:15.560
<v Speaker 5>sold it five years later ideally at a big profit.

0:37:16.640 --> 0:37:19.000
<v Speaker 5>That's a great business. You can make a lot of money.

0:37:19.040 --> 0:37:21.920
<v Speaker 5>Pretty risky, but you know it created a lot of

0:37:21.960 --> 0:37:24.600
<v Speaker 5>billion dollar fortunes. But there is a limit on how

0:37:24.600 --> 0:37:26.640
<v Speaker 5>many companies you can buy. And these firms have realized

0:37:26.640 --> 0:37:32.200
<v Speaker 5>that they have such expertise in negotiating valuation, understanding businesses

0:37:32.200 --> 0:37:35.480
<v Speaker 5>and business models and just being creative generally that the

0:37:35.520 --> 0:37:40.120
<v Speaker 5>credit markets are just much bigger. And you couple that

0:37:40.160 --> 0:37:43.120
<v Speaker 5>with the idea that the banking sector has undergone like

0:37:43.200 --> 0:37:47.279
<v Speaker 5>massive systemic changes post financial crisis, and those businesses are

0:37:47.360 --> 0:37:51.200
<v Speaker 5>much more constrained and complicated and not equipped, you know,

0:37:51.200 --> 0:37:53.239
<v Speaker 5>maybe for like the modern capital market. So they have,

0:37:53.840 --> 0:37:56.520
<v Speaker 5>for lack of a better phrase, use regulatory arbitrage to

0:37:56.680 --> 0:37:59.880
<v Speaker 5>encroach into every aspect of lending. And that is a

0:37:59.880 --> 0:38:03.400
<v Speaker 5>lot them to become trillion dollar managers. And that is

0:38:03.440 --> 0:38:06.480
<v Speaker 5>like a sea change. Whether it's good or bad, too

0:38:06.520 --> 0:38:09.960
<v Speaker 5>soon to say, but you know, Apollo is the clearest

0:38:10.000 --> 0:38:13.120
<v Speaker 5>example you know from whose heritage is in credit, coming

0:38:13.120 --> 0:38:15.960
<v Speaker 5>out of Drexel. But in fact, you know, credit markets

0:38:16.000 --> 0:38:18.680
<v Speaker 5>are much deeper, much wider, and there's just much more

0:38:18.719 --> 0:38:21.440
<v Speaker 5>opportunity to build a massive firm and that's.

0:38:21.280 --> 0:38:23.600
<v Speaker 2>What they're doing, all right, Suji, thank you so much

0:38:23.640 --> 0:38:26.520
<v Speaker 2>for coming on all thoughts. Truly the perfect guest, and

0:38:26.800 --> 0:38:30.080
<v Speaker 2>I cannot recommend your book enough, So everyone who's listening

0:38:30.120 --> 0:38:45.000
<v Speaker 2>definitely go check that out if you haven't done. Right Joe,

0:38:45.040 --> 0:38:46.880
<v Speaker 2>I thought that was so good, and I feel like

0:38:47.000 --> 0:38:49.839
<v Speaker 2>I have a lot more clarity about what's going on now.

0:38:50.120 --> 0:38:53.879
<v Speaker 2>I did think that the social aspect that Suji brought

0:38:53.960 --> 0:38:58.239
<v Speaker 2>up is really interesting because, like I, okay, obviously cove

0:38:58.320 --> 0:39:01.080
<v Speaker 2>lights became more of a thing, and then you had

0:39:01.280 --> 0:39:04.320
<v Speaker 2>higher interest rates in recent years, and so more companies

0:39:04.360 --> 0:39:07.080
<v Speaker 2>were under pressure and maybe they got more creative and

0:39:07.080 --> 0:39:10.799
<v Speaker 2>how they're raising capital. But I do think like the

0:39:10.880 --> 0:39:14.680
<v Speaker 2>difference or the change in social behavior on the part

0:39:14.680 --> 0:39:17.600
<v Speaker 2>of investors is also a big part of the story,

0:39:17.640 --> 0:39:19.400
<v Speaker 2>and so I guess the question is whether or not

0:39:20.000 --> 0:39:23.160
<v Speaker 2>it could change again. To Sijit's point about maybe having

0:39:23.160 --> 0:39:26.440
<v Speaker 2>investors team up and have their own contracts about how

0:39:26.440 --> 0:39:28.879
<v Speaker 2>they're all going to work together and things like that, no.

0:39:29.120 --> 0:39:32.240
<v Speaker 4>I thought it was there are some really interesting social

0:39:32.440 --> 0:39:35.960
<v Speaker 4>questions arising out of that. And you know, I'm not

0:39:36.000 --> 0:39:38.840
<v Speaker 4>a lawyer, but it does not. So I'm biased because

0:39:40.320 --> 0:39:43.040
<v Speaker 4>I'm not the beneficiary of this trend. But it does

0:39:43.080 --> 0:39:47.640
<v Speaker 4>not seem great to have a ton of, you know,

0:39:47.760 --> 0:39:52.200
<v Speaker 4>human hours devoted towards the definition of and or or

0:39:52.280 --> 0:39:54.799
<v Speaker 4>things that were We all thought we knew the definition

0:39:54.880 --> 0:39:57.600
<v Speaker 4>of et cetera. But actually, technically, if you look at

0:39:57.640 --> 0:40:00.920
<v Speaker 4>and or, then the second one has to be in there,

0:40:00.960 --> 0:40:03.440
<v Speaker 4>because that's how I've always read it too. But maybe

0:40:03.440 --> 0:40:05.279
<v Speaker 4>we thought it meant something else, or maybe we just

0:40:05.320 --> 0:40:06.760
<v Speaker 4>thought it meant and whatever.

0:40:07.320 --> 0:40:09.360
<v Speaker 2>Hire Joe for your litigation.

0:40:09.480 --> 0:40:10.319
<v Speaker 3>I'm glad you brought this up.

0:40:10.360 --> 0:40:12.719
<v Speaker 4>This has always bothered me so and it's interesting to

0:40:12.800 --> 0:40:17.560
<v Speaker 4>think like it's actually eating into the returns these legal costs,

0:40:17.600 --> 0:40:21.240
<v Speaker 4>that it actually even setting aside an incident of credit

0:40:21.320 --> 0:40:23.760
<v Speaker 4>on credit or violence, or even setting aside an incident

0:40:23.960 --> 0:40:27.560
<v Speaker 4>of bankruptcy, that it would eat into returns just because

0:40:27.560 --> 0:40:30.360
<v Speaker 4>of how much you're paying the law firms to go

0:40:30.520 --> 0:40:32.920
<v Speaker 4>over every one of these legal documents.

0:40:33.160 --> 0:40:35.640
<v Speaker 2>It is crazy also just to think about like the

0:40:35.680 --> 0:40:39.560
<v Speaker 2>amount of brain power that's being spent on debating this.

0:40:39.719 --> 0:40:43.480
<v Speaker 2>And again that's something that comes through in Sidjet's book,

0:40:43.760 --> 0:40:47.000
<v Speaker 2>like how much people are thinking about this, and it

0:40:47.080 --> 0:40:49.840
<v Speaker 2>certainly comes through in the Argentina book. Just how like

0:40:50.560 --> 0:40:54.239
<v Speaker 2>mentally taxing and time consuming sorting the stuff out is.

0:40:54.560 --> 0:40:57.520
<v Speaker 4>I thought it was also a really interesting point about

0:40:57.560 --> 0:41:00.239
<v Speaker 4>the sort of I don't know if it's like dis

0:41:00.360 --> 0:41:03.960
<v Speaker 4>economies of scale from capital efficiency. Right, So you have

0:41:04.160 --> 0:41:07.040
<v Speaker 4>all of these different instruments. You have equity, you have

0:41:07.280 --> 0:41:10.280
<v Speaker 4>junk bonds, you have all the you know, super plus whatever,

0:41:10.640 --> 0:41:14.200
<v Speaker 4>and individually, each one of these transactions is designed to

0:41:14.239 --> 0:41:17.520
<v Speaker 4>be the most capital efficient to align the company's borrowing

0:41:17.600 --> 0:41:20.839
<v Speaker 4>needs with the investors' needs. But then you end up

0:41:20.880 --> 0:41:23.560
<v Speaker 4>with this sort of you know, Frankenstein's monster of a

0:41:23.560 --> 0:41:26.360
<v Speaker 4>capital stack. And in the event that that has to

0:41:26.360 --> 0:41:29.480
<v Speaker 4>be unwound, that is it's like a tail risk, right, Yeah,

0:41:29.560 --> 0:41:31.920
<v Speaker 4>merges that in the event that has to be unwound,

0:41:31.960 --> 0:41:35.640
<v Speaker 4>it'll be a much costlier process than had it simply

0:41:35.680 --> 0:41:38.200
<v Speaker 4>been equity and bonds or something like that.

0:41:38.360 --> 0:41:40.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean there can be like a parent company,

0:41:40.760 --> 0:41:45.680
<v Speaker 2>an operating company, like convertible bonds, the loans, preferred stock,

0:41:45.920 --> 0:41:47.759
<v Speaker 2>like it can go on and on and on, and

0:41:47.840 --> 0:41:51.640
<v Speaker 2>someone has to go through all of that. Uh, Okay. Well,

0:41:51.680 --> 0:41:52.960
<v Speaker 2>on that note, shall we leave it there?

0:41:53.000 --> 0:41:53.680
<v Speaker 3>Let's leave it there.

0:41:54.120 --> 0:41:56.800
<v Speaker 2>This has been another episode of the All Thoughts podcast.

0:41:56.880 --> 0:41:59.880
<v Speaker 2>I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway.

0:42:00.080 --> 0:42:02.920
<v Speaker 4>And I'm joll Wisenthal. You can follow me at the Stalwart.

0:42:03.160 --> 0:42:06.239
<v Speaker 4>Follow our guest Sujit in Depth. He's at s in

0:42:06.360 --> 0:42:08.399
<v Speaker 4>Depth and check out his book. He is the co

0:42:08.480 --> 0:42:11.320
<v Speaker 4>author of The Caesars Palace Coup, came out in twenty

0:42:11.360 --> 0:42:15.040
<v Speaker 4>twenty one. Follow our producers Carmen Rodriguez at Kerman Erman

0:42:15.160 --> 0:42:18.480
<v Speaker 4>dash Ol Bennett at Dashbot and Calebrooks at Kale Brooks.

0:42:18.719 --> 0:42:22.000
<v Speaker 4>Thank you to our producer Moses Ondam. More Oddlots content,

0:42:22.040 --> 0:42:24.160
<v Speaker 4>go to Bloomberg dot com slash od loots, where you

0:42:24.160 --> 0:42:27.480
<v Speaker 4>have transcripts, a blog, and a new daily newsletter and

0:42:27.520 --> 0:42:29.600
<v Speaker 4>you can chat about all of these topics twenty four

0:42:29.640 --> 0:42:33.719
<v Speaker 4>to seven in our discord Discord dot gg slash od loots.

0:42:33.960 --> 0:42:36.400
<v Speaker 2>And if you enjoy odd Lots, if you like it

0:42:36.480 --> 0:42:39.799
<v Speaker 2>when we dig deep into creditor on creditor violence, then

0:42:39.840 --> 0:42:43.640
<v Speaker 2>please leave us a positive review on your favorite podcast platform.

0:42:44.040 --> 0:42:47.560
<v Speaker 2>And remember, if you are a Bloomberg subscriber. In addition

0:42:47.680 --> 0:42:51.320
<v Speaker 2>to getting our new daily newsletter. You can also listen

0:42:51.360 --> 0:42:54.600
<v Speaker 2>to all of our episodes absolutely ad free. All you

0:42:54.680 --> 0:42:57.680
<v Speaker 2>need to do is find the Bloomberg channel on Apple

0:42:57.719 --> 0:43:01.240
<v Speaker 2>Podcasts and follow the instructions there. Thanks for listening.