WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 8) 0:00:00.680 --> 0:00:05.480 Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a 0:00:05.480 --> 0:00:09.240 week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants of 0:00:09.280 --> 0:00:12.920 the old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats 0:00:12.960 --> 0:00:15.800 crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the rich 0:00:15.840 --> 0:00:20.200 pill poppers in the penthouse the Clearinghouse of Hot takes 0:00:20.280 --> 0:00:24.080 break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben 0:00:24.120 --> 0:00:32.920 Maller starts right now in the air everywhere, and welcome 0:00:32.960 --> 0:00:37.120 into a brain spanking new edition of The Fifth Hour 0:00:37.280 --> 0:00:42.480 with Ben Maller and Danny G. Radio. It is our 0:00:42.640 --> 0:00:47.639 Friday edition and that means that the Penny makes its 0:00:47.680 --> 0:00:52.000 triumphant return every Friday during the NFL season until further notice. 0:00:52.320 --> 0:00:57.520 Benny versus the Penny man versus inanimate object, as we 0:00:57.560 --> 0:01:00.720 will pick every game against the spread. We picked the 0:01:00.960 --> 0:01:05.000 Thursday night game on terrestrial radio, and now we're gonna 0:01:05.040 --> 0:01:09.120 dive into the full card of NFL games. And since 0:01:09.160 --> 0:01:11.840 the Penny refuses to speak, Danny G. You are the 0:01:11.959 --> 0:01:16.360 voice of the Penny. You're the voice of the Penny. Yeah, well, 0:01:16.400 --> 0:01:18.959 I guess there's not a lot of costume options when 0:01:18.959 --> 0:01:22.319 you're a penny Bend. But you know, Halloween is upon 0:01:22.440 --> 0:01:25.440 us and the penny is dressed up as a dime. 0:01:27.040 --> 0:01:29.160 It's a bad job by the penny man, because you know, 0:01:29.160 --> 0:01:30.959 you gotta stay true to your roots. You can't be 0:01:31.000 --> 0:01:33.319 a sell out and become a dime. It's a bad 0:01:33.400 --> 0:01:37.560 job by the penny. Yeah, that's diarrhea, all right, Well 0:01:37.600 --> 0:01:41.479 that's actually an improvement by no. But you gotta keep 0:01:41.520 --> 0:01:43.600 it real, man, you gotta keep it real. You came 0:01:43.720 --> 0:01:47.000 as a penny, you can't leave as a dime. That's 0:01:47.040 --> 0:01:49.840 not that's not right anyway, benny versus the penny. We've 0:01:49.840 --> 0:01:52.480 been doing this all season. We are now heading into 0:01:52.520 --> 0:01:55.880 Week eight on the NFL card. Before we look ahead, 0:01:55.920 --> 0:02:01.320 we must look back. How are we done? Welcome, layers, Welcome, 0:02:05.120 --> 0:02:13.440 It's time now penny the penny. And you can verify 0:02:13.560 --> 0:02:17.880 this with Roscoe the Parrot, Robin, Vegas, David and Florida, 0:02:17.919 --> 0:02:21.920 all the fact checkers that keep track of these picks. 0:02:22.320 --> 0:02:27.560 So last week, in Week seven, there were fourteen games 0:02:27.639 --> 0:02:33.000 on the card, and I went nine and five against 0:02:33.040 --> 0:02:36.520 the spread. So I was four games over five. Not 0:02:36.680 --> 0:02:39.200 a bad week. I had a bad beat. I had 0:02:39.240 --> 0:02:44.200 the Lions. They were covering the game fifty seven minutes 0:02:44.240 --> 0:02:47.920 into the game, and the final three minutes there are 0:02:47.919 --> 0:02:50.440 a couple of turnovers by Detroit. They gave up two 0:02:50.480 --> 0:02:54.280 touchdowns and so Dallas ended up covering the spread, but 0:02:54.919 --> 0:02:57.880 fifty seven minutes of the Lions being right there and 0:02:57.919 --> 0:03:00.480 then they botched it at the end, but at nine 0:03:00.480 --> 0:03:04.600 and five. So another winning week, and so far I 0:03:04.600 --> 0:03:07.080 don't want to chix myself. I've had only one losing 0:03:07.120 --> 0:03:11.280 week overall, betting every game against the spread. That's a 0:03:11.600 --> 0:03:15.640 last week to sixty three winning percentage the penny. The 0:03:15.639 --> 0:03:19.560 penny was exactly at five hundred going into week number seven, 0:03:20.400 --> 0:03:23.680 but did not go well for the penny. Another losing 0:03:23.760 --> 0:03:28.680 week for the penny, six and eight against the spread. 0:03:29.400 --> 0:03:33.720 So overall on the season seven weeks in, I am 0:03:33.760 --> 0:03:37.720 sixty two forty three and three. That's a five ninety 0:03:37.760 --> 0:03:42.120 winning percentage. We are nineteen games above five hundred, so 0:03:42.120 --> 0:03:45.880 that's pretty good the penny because of this past week, 0:03:46.000 --> 0:03:51.600 two games under five fifty four and two. As we 0:03:51.640 --> 0:03:55.800 head into the Weeke eight card, no Chiefs, no Chargers 0:03:55.800 --> 0:03:59.360 this weekend. They are both for sonna non grata. They 0:03:59.360 --> 0:04:03.920 have the buy so everyone else is playing and the 0:04:03.960 --> 0:04:08.320 first game up we'll handicap the early, early, early game. 0:04:08.520 --> 0:04:12.600 They'll kick this thing off at nine thirty Eastern times 0:04:12.600 --> 0:04:14.640 six thirty in the West. I'll be sleeping like a 0:04:14.680 --> 0:04:19.159 baby right through this game. Denver two and five against 0:04:19.320 --> 0:04:22.000 jackson will not at jackson It was a Jack's home game, 0:04:22.000 --> 0:04:25.240 but the game has been played in London and temperatures 0:04:25.240 --> 0:04:28.479 in the sixties at Wimbley Stadium. The game's not even 0:04:28.520 --> 0:04:32.599 being broadcast on terrestrial television. It is gonna be an 0:04:32.880 --> 0:04:37.599 ESPN Plus broadcast with Steve Levy, dan Orlovsky and Lewis Riddick, 0:04:38.240 --> 0:04:41.000 so they're making the trip to the UK to call 0:04:41.080 --> 0:04:44.320 this game. Jacksonville opened up a three point favorite. They 0:04:44.320 --> 0:04:47.640 are currently a two point favorite. Slight lean on the 0:04:47.720 --> 0:04:52.880 handle the Jacksonville. The Broncos are two and five against 0:04:52.880 --> 0:04:57.760 the spread with Nathaniel Hackett as the coach. The Jags. 0:04:58.160 --> 0:05:01.279 If you look at the numbers on this not particularly good. 0:05:01.279 --> 0:05:04.000 They're owing four against the spread the last four games. 0:05:04.520 --> 0:05:09.760 The favorite in London owen two in games this season 0:05:10.080 --> 0:05:15.240 and eighteen and fourteen all time against the spread. Jacksonville 0:05:15.360 --> 0:05:18.679 last fifteen games is a favorite there three and twelve. 0:05:18.720 --> 0:05:20.440 It's only a two point line. I'm gonna take the 0:05:20.440 --> 0:05:24.479 Broncos here. The Broncos are a hot mess. Dathaniel Hackets 0:05:24.520 --> 0:05:28.240 hanging on by a thread. But I like that Denver defense. 0:05:28.320 --> 0:05:31.720 That's legit until they start trading some of these guys away. 0:05:31.800 --> 0:05:34.599 And this game should be touch and go. I anticipate 0:05:35.320 --> 0:05:37.880 it will be decided by a field goal, and we're 0:05:37.920 --> 0:05:41.000 only getting two points, but because of a missed extra 0:05:41.080 --> 0:05:43.719 point here, a missed extra point there, it might be 0:05:43.760 --> 0:05:45.840 to set up even less than that. The Broncos defense 0:05:45.839 --> 0:05:50.599 should rule the day, as Jacksonville has mastered the bone 0:05:50.640 --> 0:05:55.159 head play. Both these teams are not fundamentally sound. Denver, though, 0:05:55.200 --> 0:05:59.320 has an elite defense, and that pass rush is gonna 0:05:59.400 --> 0:06:02.240 mess with over Lawrence enough to cause him to make 0:06:02.279 --> 0:06:06.440 some mistakes. Cough up a few furballs. Broncos seventeen, JAG 0:06:06.560 --> 0:06:14.919 sixteen the final and an early agreement. The penny also 0:06:15.000 --> 0:06:17.440 going with the Broncos. All right, so we agree right 0:06:17.480 --> 0:06:21.280 off the bat. Next up Chicago, fresh off the upset 0:06:21.320 --> 0:06:24.400 of the Patriots three and four, and they're piping hot 0:06:24.520 --> 0:06:27.640 right now against Dallas five and two. It's on Fox. 0:06:28.200 --> 0:06:31.240 Adam Amen and Darryl moose Johnson have the call. The 0:06:31.400 --> 0:06:34.520 Cowboys opened up a nine and a half point favorite. 0:06:34.520 --> 0:06:38.000 It went down to nine for a few days. It's 0:06:38.000 --> 0:06:40.640 gone back up to nine and a half, and the 0:06:40.800 --> 0:06:44.080 money a slight leaned to the Cowboys here at a 0:06:44.360 --> 0:06:47.520 T and T Stadium better known as Jerry's World. And 0:06:47.760 --> 0:06:50.440 you look at some of the trends here Chicago, they 0:06:50.440 --> 0:06:53.520 have been a terrible team as an underdog of more 0:06:53.560 --> 0:06:56.680 than seven points, although they did win on Monday Night 0:06:56.720 --> 0:06:59.279 and won the game outright, but overall three eleven and 0:06:59.360 --> 0:07:03.080 one against the spread. Dallas has been great as a 0:07:03.200 --> 0:07:07.920 favorite there twelve and three against the gambling number since 0:07:08.000 --> 0:07:12.880 the start of last season. And I can have paralysis 0:07:12.920 --> 0:07:14.840 by analysis, throw all kinds of numbers at you, but 0:07:14.880 --> 0:07:16.920 I want to take the Bears in this game. Justin 0:07:17.000 --> 0:07:20.840 fields in Chicago actually looked like a professional offense against 0:07:20.840 --> 0:07:24.000 the Patriots. They did benefit from some sloppy play by 0:07:24.080 --> 0:07:28.320 New England, actually tackled pretty well on defense. They didn't 0:07:28.360 --> 0:07:31.080 self destruct like we've seen from the Bears, who have 0:07:31.160 --> 0:07:34.560 had some real stickers to begin the year. Mixed in 0:07:34.600 --> 0:07:37.000 with some games you're like, how did they possibly even 0:07:37.000 --> 0:07:39.520 win that game? There was the bad weather game with 0:07:39.560 --> 0:07:42.800 the Niners early in the season, beginning the year, and 0:07:42.920 --> 0:07:47.920 on a depth chart, the Dallas defense should destroy Chicago. 0:07:48.000 --> 0:07:51.520 Michael Parsons and Dallas have the top pass rush in 0:07:51.560 --> 0:07:54.920 the NFL, that the number two scoring defense, number six 0:07:54.920 --> 0:07:59.800 in total defense. But there's value with Chicago because any 0:08:00.000 --> 0:08:02.440 time you get over a touchdown, you gotta take it. 0:08:02.480 --> 0:08:05.560 I'm Dak Prescott is still working out the kinks. It's 0:08:05.600 --> 0:08:08.040 not like the Cowboys blew away the Lions. They got 0:08:08.080 --> 0:08:11.119 a couple of fluky things going their way late last week. 0:08:11.520 --> 0:08:13.400 So I'm gonna take the Bears plus the nine and 0:08:13.440 --> 0:08:15.320 a half. Anytime you get over that touchdown, you gotta 0:08:15.360 --> 0:08:23.480 take it. Cowboys twenty four, Bears sixteen. The final. The 0:08:23.520 --> 0:08:26.240 Penny says, you're tripping off a one week fluke by 0:08:26.360 --> 0:08:29.840 Chicago going with Dallas. No, no, no, no, that's a 0:08:30.000 --> 0:08:32.600 that's a big number. Nine and a half. It's almost 0:08:32.679 --> 0:08:36.600 double digits. That's a huge line. Most of these teams 0:08:36.760 --> 0:08:39.480 are within a touchdown game after game. All right, Next up, 0:08:39.559 --> 0:08:44.400 game close to the Penny's heart, Las Vegas Writers at 0:08:44.440 --> 0:08:48.199 two and four and the No. Orleans Saints at two 0:08:48.280 --> 0:08:52.000 and five. It's on CBS with Kevin Harlan and Trent 0:08:52.080 --> 0:08:55.040 Green they have the call the game opened up and 0:08:55.120 --> 0:08:57.400 pick him. The Raiders are a one and a half 0:08:57.440 --> 0:09:00.240 point favorite. Slight lean money is pretty even on on 0:09:00.280 --> 0:09:04.760 the handle slightly into Vegas at the super Dome in 0:09:04.840 --> 0:09:07.040 New Orleans, so whether or not a factor, although it 0:09:07.040 --> 0:09:10.360 will be a nice day in the Bayou, temperatures in 0:09:10.400 --> 0:09:14.680 the low seventies at kickoff. So the bet here is 0:09:14.840 --> 0:09:18.600 on the New Orleans Saints. I'm not a Dennis Allen fan. 0:09:18.679 --> 0:09:21.640 He's been terrible for Gambler sixteen and twenty seven his career, 0:09:21.880 --> 0:09:26.040 two and five this year. But I simply don't trust 0:09:26.080 --> 0:09:30.480 the Raiders as a road favorite. I don't the past 0:09:30.559 --> 0:09:34.040 five seasons Vegas, going back to their days in Oakland, 0:09:34.040 --> 0:09:37.319 they're one and eight against the spread as a road favorite. 0:09:37.320 --> 0:09:40.079 Oh in six their last six games as a road favorite. 0:09:40.360 --> 0:09:45.440 And in his career, Derek Carr four eleven and one 0:09:45.600 --> 0:09:48.720 against the spread in his career as a road favorite. 0:09:48.800 --> 0:09:53.160 And so you've got two quarterbacks here that that's scary. 0:09:53.320 --> 0:09:57.040 Andy Dalton has been a mistake prone mess. He gave 0:09:57.120 --> 0:10:01.920 the game away last Thursday for New Orleans. But the 0:10:02.080 --> 0:10:05.319 Saints offense the last three weeks last month or so, 0:10:05.480 --> 0:10:09.520 they have the top offense. They're averaging four hundred forty 0:10:09.640 --> 0:10:14.360 three yards of offense, and they go against the Raiders defense, 0:10:14.360 --> 0:10:17.040 which is twenty four in that period of time. So 0:10:17.640 --> 0:10:19.800 this certainly appears to be a mismatch the way the 0:10:19.800 --> 0:10:21.760 Saints have been playing lately, in the way the Raiders 0:10:21.800 --> 0:10:25.440 defense has been playing a toss in Derek Carr and 0:10:25.640 --> 0:10:28.520 his issues, and I love the Saints win this game 0:10:28.520 --> 0:10:32.560 out right. New Orleans twenty three, Las Vegas twenty the final. 0:10:37.280 --> 0:10:40.559 The penny says that it learned from betting against Josh 0:10:40.640 --> 0:10:44.760 Jacobs last week, but you didn't going with the Raiders. Yeah, well, 0:10:44.920 --> 0:10:48.200 keep in mind last week the Raiders were actually losing 0:10:48.240 --> 0:10:52.160 that game going to the fourth quarter, and Davis Mills 0:10:52.240 --> 0:10:56.000 was beating the Raiders before the final fifteen minutes. Stands anyway, 0:10:56.080 --> 0:11:00.760 all right, that's why they play all fourth quarters. Carolina 0:11:00.840 --> 0:11:04.120 two and five at Atlanta three and four. It's on 0:11:04.280 --> 0:11:08.480 Fox with Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma. They have the 0:11:08.520 --> 0:11:11.760 call Falcons open a touchdown favorite. That line has been 0:11:11.760 --> 0:11:16.480 bent down before, the Falcons getting a slight lean in 0:11:16.520 --> 0:11:20.599 their direction on the handle. Gonna be a rainy day 0:11:20.640 --> 0:11:23.000 in Georgia. Not that it matters the game is being 0:11:23.000 --> 0:11:28.280 played inside the Mercedes Benz Stadium Dome. Carolina oh in 0:11:28.520 --> 0:11:31.640 seven their last seven games against teams with a losing 0:11:31.679 --> 0:11:35.480 record in Carolina overall, OH and six their last six 0:11:35.600 --> 0:11:39.360 road games, last twenty one road games there four and 0:11:39.480 --> 0:11:43.640 seventeen against the spread. But Atlanta has been an underdog 0:11:43.679 --> 0:11:47.280 in nine straight. This is new territory for them. Second 0:11:47.440 --> 0:11:49.679 longest active streak in the league that comes to an 0:11:49.760 --> 0:11:54.080 end this week, longest second longest streaks as an underdog, 0:11:54.559 --> 0:11:56.920 And this would be the second time, just the second 0:11:56.920 --> 0:12:00.760 time since Arthur Smith took over as coach, that Atlanta 0:12:00.960 --> 0:12:05.040 is favored by at least four points. And I don't 0:12:05.120 --> 0:12:08.160 get it that both these teams have their issues. Carolina, 0:12:08.640 --> 0:12:11.560 I'm a little concerned about how they're gonna respond after 0:12:11.600 --> 0:12:16.079 that big upset of Tom Brady and the Buccaneers, But 0:12:16.120 --> 0:12:18.520 I'm gonna take the Panthers in this game. The Falcons 0:12:18.520 --> 0:12:23.079 were absolutely flummixed in Cincinnati. They don't have to worry 0:12:23.120 --> 0:12:25.920 about playing Joe Burrow this week. But p J. Walker 0:12:26.000 --> 0:12:29.760 and Carolina they did obviously pretty well last week against 0:12:29.760 --> 0:12:33.600 the Buccaneers. This is a matchup problem for the guys 0:12:33.600 --> 0:12:38.520 from Georgia. Assuming Carolina plays with some focus here. One 0:12:38.559 --> 0:12:40.960 of the strengths, one of the strengths of the Carolina 0:12:41.000 --> 0:12:44.720 Panthers defense has been slowing down the running game. That's 0:12:44.840 --> 0:12:47.640 the one thing the Falcons have to do is to 0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:50.240 to run the ball. So I'm looking at this matchup 0:12:50.880 --> 0:12:53.840 and I'm saying to myself, well, I'm getting over a 0:12:53.920 --> 0:12:56.560 field goal. Most games are decided by a field goal. 0:12:57.040 --> 0:13:01.480 So I'm gonna take Carolina plus of four points cover 0:13:01.559 --> 0:13:03.800 the spread. I think the Panthers win this game outright. 0:13:04.360 --> 0:13:13.520 Panthers seventeen, Falcon sixteen the final and another disagreement, the 0:13:13.559 --> 0:13:16.880 penny going with the Falcons, alright, so we disagree on that. 0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:20.840 Next up, Pittsburgh two and five at Phila Delphia six 0:13:20.880 --> 0:13:25.800 and oh on CBS with Jim Nance and Tony Romo. 0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:30.040 The Eagles opened up a ten and a half point favorite, 0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:32.520 and they are still a ten and half point favorite. 0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:35.400 And this is one of those games the public thanks 0:13:35.440 --> 0:13:39.439 free money, free money game. They're just handed out wads 0:13:39.559 --> 0:13:44.280 of cash. Of the handle. The latest numbers we have 0:13:44.320 --> 0:13:46.559 at this point as we are doing Benny versus Penny 0:13:46.559 --> 0:13:50.400 on the side of Philadelphia sunny mostly Sonny. Temperatures in 0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:53.680 the high fifties at kick off at Lincoln Financial Field 0:13:54.280 --> 0:14:00.680 in South Philly, and the Pittsburg Steelers under My Tomlin 0:14:01.200 --> 0:14:05.240 have been a great underdog play there, nine and four 0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:09.120 against the spread as a dog, But Mike Tomlin has 0:14:09.200 --> 0:14:12.240 only won one game as a double digit underdog. He's 0:14:12.280 --> 0:14:15.240 one in four as a double digit dog, and this 0:14:15.320 --> 0:14:17.880 is the four straight game Pittsburgh has been at least 0:14:17.960 --> 0:14:22.120 a seven point underdog. That is the longest streak since 0:14:22.360 --> 0:14:27.600 nineteen sixty nine for the Steelers. It ties the longest 0:14:27.600 --> 0:14:30.880 streak for Pittsburgh in the Super Bowl era. So that 0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:34.160 tells you where the gamblers, the point spread makers think 0:14:34.520 --> 0:14:39.560 the Steelers franchise is right now, and the Eagles have 0:14:39.720 --> 0:14:41.960 a or the Steelers runn I have a by coming 0:14:42.080 --> 0:14:46.520 up Philadelphia, coming off some rest and relaxation, but I'm 0:14:46.560 --> 0:14:48.880 gonna take the Steelers here to get the back door cover. 0:14:49.240 --> 0:14:57.720 Eagles twenty eight, Steelers twenty the final, and the penny 0:14:57.960 --> 0:15:01.360 is going with the Steelers, alright, So the penny in 0:15:01.400 --> 0:15:04.520 agreement on that game, taking the ten and a half points. 0:15:04.520 --> 0:15:07.240 Next up for us, we keep the train moving true 0:15:07.400 --> 0:15:10.560 to on Benny versus de Penny. Next up, Miami four 0:15:10.600 --> 0:15:14.880 and three at Detroit one and five on the CBS 0:15:14.920 --> 0:15:20.119 with Andrew Catalan and James loft In, and the Dolphins 0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:22.680 opened up a three point favorite. They're a three and 0:15:22.680 --> 0:15:26.480 a half point favorite at ford Field. Another one of 0:15:26.520 --> 0:15:30.920 these games where you look at Miami and they're like, hey, 0:15:31.680 --> 0:15:34.440 everyone's betting on the Dolphins, so almost eighty percent of 0:15:34.480 --> 0:15:36.120 the money is on the Dolphins side here. They think 0:15:36.160 --> 0:15:39.680 this is a free money game, as the Dolphins with 0:15:39.760 --> 0:15:43.040 two a tongue of by lois starting our fifteen eleven 0:15:43.720 --> 0:15:49.040 fifteen eleven against the spread. Detroit has been brutal of late, 0:15:49.600 --> 0:15:53.120 and they're oh and seven their last seven games at 0:15:53.160 --> 0:15:56.920 home in the month of the October. Lions two and 0:15:57.000 --> 0:16:00.360 four against the spread under Dan Campbell. When it's not 0:16:00.440 --> 0:16:04.000 at least a four points spread, there the underdog, they're 0:16:04.040 --> 0:16:06.200 twelve and four when they're getting at least four points. 0:16:06.200 --> 0:16:07.680 But this line is at three and a half, so 0:16:07.720 --> 0:16:11.480 that's obviously the number. I'm taking the Lions in this game. 0:16:11.680 --> 0:16:14.240 I feel like this is a sneaky good play. Detroit's 0:16:14.240 --> 0:16:18.320 been absolutely just destroyed the last couple of games. Their 0:16:18.400 --> 0:16:22.800 defense held the Cowboys to ten points for the first 0:16:22.880 --> 0:16:25.720 fifty seven minutes of that game. Then they imploded because 0:16:25.720 --> 0:16:28.280 of some turnovers the final couple of minutes of the 0:16:28.280 --> 0:16:32.160 game that gave the Cowboys the back door cover. Miami 0:16:32.360 --> 0:16:35.640 secondary is battle scared. They've got multiple players dinged up. 0:16:35.680 --> 0:16:39.160 The Lions are getting Amon ross st Brown back. He 0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:42.240 had a fake concussion last week. He knocked and got 0:16:42.320 --> 0:16:44.040 knocked out of the game. They said he had concussion, 0:16:44.040 --> 0:16:45.560 then they reviewed it and said no, he didn't have 0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:47.960 a concussion, but they wouldn't let him back in the game. 0:16:48.320 --> 0:16:50.880 Dan Campbell got a vote of confidence this week. I 0:16:51.040 --> 0:16:54.760 say he is rewarded not with a win, but with 0:16:54.880 --> 0:16:59.600 a cover and keeping my Miami scored only sixteen points 0:16:59.680 --> 0:17:03.000 last week against the pretty weeks Steeler defense. The Lions 0:17:03.080 --> 0:17:05.040 defense has come around the last couple of weeks. The 0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:15.160 offense twenty six, Lions twenty three. Your final and the 0:17:15.240 --> 0:17:18.440 penny is going with twa. Al Right, be careful, you 0:17:18.480 --> 0:17:20.360 might get another concussion get knocked out of that game. 0:17:20.400 --> 0:17:24.640 Next up, Arizona three and four at Minnesota five and one. 0:17:24.680 --> 0:17:28.400 It's on Fox with Chris Myers and Mark schlay Rick. 0:17:28.800 --> 0:17:32.720 The Vikings opened up a six and a half point favorite, 0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:35.359 and they are favored by three and a half now 0:17:35.800 --> 0:17:39.200 about six of the handle on the side of the Cardinals. 0:17:39.240 --> 0:17:41.400 And the numbers that we have at US Bank Stadium 0:17:41.400 --> 0:17:45.800 in the Twin Cities, sunny, fifty seven degrees, so nice weather, 0:17:46.000 --> 0:17:50.680 late October weather as we get close to Halloween, and 0:17:50.720 --> 0:17:53.960 the numbers on this game. Arizona has been an amazing 0:17:54.119 --> 0:17:58.480 road team. Their fifteen four and one against the spread 0:17:58.720 --> 0:18:01.560 with Cliff Kingsbury coach as a road underdog there eight 0:18:01.600 --> 0:18:04.760 and oh against the spread straight up and in such 0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:08.159 situations last couple of seasons, and each of the past 0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:10.399 eight times Arizona has been a road underdog, they've won 0:18:10.440 --> 0:18:14.480 the game outright. I haven't even needed the points. Arizona 0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:18.440 ten in two against the spread on the road as 0:18:18.480 --> 0:18:21.880 a dog than the The overall numbers are just stunning. 0:18:22.280 --> 0:18:25.520 Minnesota not as nice five and one outright, but just 0:18:25.600 --> 0:18:28.560 two and four against the spread. But I'm going against 0:18:28.640 --> 0:18:31.600 the public. I'm going against the public on this game. 0:18:31.600 --> 0:18:33.760 I'm gonna take the Vikings here. I am a believer 0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:37.320 in the Vikings who are arrested. Coming off the bye week, 0:18:37.400 --> 0:18:39.960 Arizona had a little bit of extra time. They played 0:18:39.960 --> 0:18:42.840 the Thursday night game last week against the Saints. But 0:18:42.960 --> 0:18:47.520 we saw some bad blood on the sidelines between the 0:18:47.560 --> 0:18:50.879 Alligator Arms Murray and Cliff Kingsbury. They got into a 0:18:50.920 --> 0:18:54.840 pissing match during the game. And this is really more 0:18:54.880 --> 0:18:57.640 of a play against Kyler Murray than anything, because he's 0:18:57.760 --> 0:19:02.080 quietly been a very ace line quarterback or below baseline. 0:19:02.160 --> 0:19:06.600 Last five games. Alligator Arms Murray four touchdown passes, three 0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:11.320 interceptions of passer rating eight two point eight. And Minnesota's defense, 0:19:11.840 --> 0:19:14.760 while they're much maligned with Kirk Cousins, their defense the 0:19:14.840 --> 0:19:19.240 fifth best pass rush the last three weeks. Arizona has 0:19:19.280 --> 0:19:22.760 generated almost no pass rush of late. So that means 0:19:22.800 --> 0:19:24.920 if that trend continues, I only blitz and they try 0:19:24.960 --> 0:19:27.600 to get pass But if that trend continues, Kirk Cousins 0:19:27.640 --> 0:19:30.280 will have time to sit back and find plenty of 0:19:30.320 --> 0:19:33.280 open receivers. And I'm gonna take the Vikings to win 0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:36.760 the game and cover the spread. Vikings thirty, Cardinals three 0:19:36.880 --> 0:19:45.399 the final and the penny going with the Vikings. Okay, 0:19:45.400 --> 0:19:47.760 so we agree on that. Next up, New England three 0:19:47.760 --> 0:19:51.680 and four at the j e t s Sucks, Sucks, Suck. 0:19:51.760 --> 0:19:54.920 The Jets five and two it's on CBS with Iron 0:19:54.960 --> 0:20:00.560 Eagle and Charles Davis. The game opened up a pick them. 0:20:00.600 --> 0:20:02.280 The Patriots are up to a two and a half 0:20:02.320 --> 0:20:05.879 point favorite at MetLife Stadium in Jersey, Temperatures in the 0:20:05.960 --> 0:20:09.719 high fifties at kickoff of this game, and a slight 0:20:09.800 --> 0:20:12.359 lean to the Patriots. Bill Belichick, you look get some 0:20:12.359 --> 0:20:16.680 of the numbers here, and the Patriots have been favorite 0:20:16.720 --> 0:20:19.879 twenty one consecutive times against the Jets. That is the 0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:25.440 longest active street in the NFL. And historically, the Patriots 0:20:25.440 --> 0:20:28.040 have always been great coming off a loss. Their twelve 0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:30.400 and three against the spread after losing the previous game 0:20:31.320 --> 0:20:35.160 as at least a seven point favorite under Belichick. Overall, 0:20:35.200 --> 0:20:40.160 Belichick is nineteen games above after his team loses. I'm 0:20:40.200 --> 0:20:42.800 taking the Patriots in this game. Who England had a 0:20:42.800 --> 0:20:47.600 clunker against Chicago. They don't have back to back clunkers 0:20:47.680 --> 0:20:50.840 very often with Belichick. Mac Jones returns as a starter. 0:20:51.400 --> 0:20:55.800 Will Bailey's appy get in? Only Bill Belichick knows, but 0:20:55.920 --> 0:20:58.560 this is a nice bounce back spot for the Patriots, 0:20:58.600 --> 0:21:01.000 even though the Jets have ave I've in two records 0:21:01.320 --> 0:21:04.240 and people get all excited about the Jets. Zack Wilson 0:21:04.359 --> 0:21:08.240 has been trash for the Jets this season. He's a passenger, 0:21:08.359 --> 0:21:12.160 not a driver. The last four weeks, he's completing only 0:21:12.200 --> 0:21:16.000 fifty seven percent of his passes, one touchdown pass and 0:21:16.080 --> 0:21:19.919 two interceptions, his passer ratings below seventy. The Jets have 0:21:20.000 --> 0:21:23.160 been able to win in spite and Wilson not because 0:21:23.200 --> 0:21:26.480 of the Big Buzuka has been this guy, Bryce Hall, 0:21:26.720 --> 0:21:29.080 the rookie running back. He's out for the year. In 0:21:29.200 --> 0:21:33.439 his place, James Robinson was picked up from Jacksonville. He 0:21:33.560 --> 0:21:37.200 takes over the Patriots defense. They've done pretty well when 0:21:37.200 --> 0:21:40.040 not playing a mobile quarterback. Zach Wilson not the most 0:21:40.040 --> 0:21:45.040 mobile quarterback. So I'm gonna take the Patriots and the 0:21:45.160 --> 0:21:53.160 Jets twenty three the final, and the Penny says, let's 0:21:53.280 --> 0:21:56.919 ride with Robinson going with the Jets. Yeah, Well, that 0:21:56.920 --> 0:21:59.359 that jet is not gonna take off. It's gonna have 0:21:59.480 --> 0:22:01.720 to go back and get some more work done, all right. 0:22:01.800 --> 0:22:04.960 Next up, late games, the late part of the television schedule. 0:22:05.400 --> 0:22:09.000 We'll start out with Tennessee four and two at Houston 0:22:09.560 --> 0:22:12.080 four and one. It's on CBS Sports Talk Radio. Hter 0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:16.640 Greg Gumbel and Adam arch Aletta have the call. The 0:22:16.640 --> 0:22:19.119 Titans open to three and a point favorite. They are 0:22:19.160 --> 0:22:24.399 favored by two at NRG Stadium in Houston. There's a 0:22:24.400 --> 0:22:28.520 little baseball game going on in that town this weekend 0:22:28.520 --> 0:22:31.360 as well a few baseball games. But if you look 0:22:31.400 --> 0:22:35.080 at Tennessee, all right, you know, I i'men a good 0:22:35.080 --> 0:22:37.120 team at home having a good team anywhere. The two 0:22:37.160 --> 0:22:39.200 and eight though against the spread their last ten at home. 0:22:39.680 --> 0:22:43.280 The one team that they seem to dominate has been 0:22:43.760 --> 0:22:46.919 the Tennessee Titans. I I mean the uh, the the 0:22:47.240 --> 0:22:49.840 or the Houston Texans dominating in Tennessee Titans when I'm 0:22:49.880 --> 0:22:54.040 trying to Houston the last twenty two meetings sixteen and 0:22:54.080 --> 0:22:59.119 six against the spread versus the Titans. The Houston Texans 0:22:59.160 --> 0:23:02.159 are seven and read their last ten with Davis Mills starting, 0:23:02.480 --> 0:23:05.080 Houston has been an underdog twelve straight games, entering the 0:23:05.119 --> 0:23:08.000 week longest active streak in the league. I'm taking the 0:23:08.080 --> 0:23:11.879 Texans here. The Titans have the NFL's worst offense the 0:23:11.960 --> 0:23:15.200 last three weeks. Even though they've won four straight games 0:23:15.640 --> 0:23:19.560 and they've covered four straight games the last three weeks, 0:23:19.600 --> 0:23:23.400 their offense has sucked. You also have Ryan Tannehill, who 0:23:23.440 --> 0:23:25.639 hasn't practiced. He was in a walking boot. Is he 0:23:25.680 --> 0:23:28.480 gonna play? Is he's not gonna play? I expect this 0:23:28.560 --> 0:23:32.000 game to week close. It's Derrick Henry and that's about it. 0:23:32.359 --> 0:23:35.720 The Texans have been a great third three quarter team. 0:23:35.800 --> 0:23:38.520 They haven't been able to finish games. But if you 0:23:38.560 --> 0:23:41.400 look at the Texans through the first three quarters, they 0:23:41.400 --> 0:23:44.199 have the ninth best scoring margin in the entire NFL 0:23:44.240 --> 0:23:47.840 out of thirty two teams. Their ninth they've outscored their 0:23:47.880 --> 0:23:51.000 opponents by ten points in the first three quarters, but 0:23:51.960 --> 0:23:55.560 in the fourth quarter they've been outscored by forty one points. 0:23:55.560 --> 0:23:59.479 That is the second worst in the NFL. Carolina is 0:23:59.560 --> 0:24:03.439 the the second worst UH past a throwing team in 0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:05.679 the NFL. That was the game we mentioned earlier. But 0:24:05.720 --> 0:24:09.679 the the Tennessee Titans have had They've had their issues 0:24:09.720 --> 0:24:13.919 at stopping the deep pass. Here they've allowed uh the 0:24:13.920 --> 0:24:18.639 The Tennessee Titans defense has allowed thirteen of nineteen passes 0:24:19.119 --> 0:24:21.800 deep passes twenty plus arears to be completed. So that's 0:24:22.000 --> 0:24:24.840 among the worst of the NFL. There's an opportunity here 0:24:24.880 --> 0:24:27.760 for Davis Mills to get some chunk plays. So I 0:24:27.800 --> 0:24:29.760 think the Texans will win this game out right. There 0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:34.040 are a small underdog Texans twenty four and the Titans 0:24:34.119 --> 0:24:42.560 twenty the final and the penny is also a Damien 0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:46.200 Paris fan going with the Texans, all right. The Texans 0:24:46.359 --> 0:24:50.359 is the play. Next up the g I A N 0:24:50.440 --> 0:24:53.600 T S Giants, Giants, Giants, they don't suck to six 0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:57.160