1 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak here for this Thursday, the twenty 2 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:09,039 Speaker 1: sixth of January in London. Coming up this hour. Back 3 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:12,240 Speaker 1: in the driving seat, Musk says Tessler could deliver one 4 00:00:12,280 --> 00:00:16,360 Speaker 1: point eight million cars this year. A crisis of confidence. 5 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:19,920 Speaker 1: UK business sentiment drops to its lowest level in more 6 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 1: than a decade. When the chips are down, Bloomberg learns 7 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:26,600 Speaker 1: Britain semi conductor industry will get a cash boost from taxpayers. 8 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: Morgan Stanley's unwelcome notification UK Texas Abroad and Elon Musk 9 00:00:31,960 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: wants an equity raise. Those are the stories we're looking 10 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 1: at in today's papers. I'm James Walcock. Plus try turning 11 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:41,559 Speaker 1: it off and on again, Mayhem at the n y 12 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:45,479 Speaker 1: s C open trace to leaving a backup system running. 13 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: That's all straight ahead on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe on DAB 14 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 1: Digital Radio, London, Bloomberg eleven three oh New York, Bloomberg 15 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 1: Washington d C, Bloomberg one oh six one, Boston, Bloomberg 16 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: nine six, Francisco cyrus XM Channel one nineteen and around 17 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: the world on Bloomberg Radio dot com and via the 18 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business Set. Good morning, I'm Stephen Carroll and I'm 19 00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:16,200 Speaker 1: Caroline Hedger. Here are the stories that we're following today 20 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 1: to bring us some breaking corporate news. In the German 21 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 1: software giant s a P, it's announcing that it's to 22 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:23,760 Speaker 1: explore a sale of its stake in qual Tricks and 23 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 1: to conduct restructuring this year, affecting two point five percent 24 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 1: of its staff. This as the company is seeing it's 25 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 1: twenty three none i FRS operating profit coming in above 26 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:38,319 Speaker 1: the previous estimates eight point eight to nine point one 27 00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 1: billion euros. That's above the estimate which was eight point 28 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:45,120 Speaker 1: six five billion for twenty three Okay, another breaking a 29 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 1: news line this morning from SEB. The bank fourth quarter 30 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 1: net interest income at nine point seven to billion Swedish 31 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 1: Krona is beat on the estimated nine point five three billion. 32 00:01:56,520 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 1: We're getting quite a number of earnings this morning, including 33 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 1: from others, so will have Volvo, LVMH and more out 34 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 1: of Europe today. Let's get to our top stories this morning. 35 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 1: Shares in Tesla have risen and after hours trading as 36 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:13,800 Speaker 1: the electric car giant beat expectations on profit and sales. 37 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 1: Tesla now says it's on track to deliver one point 38 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:20,120 Speaker 1: eight million vehicles this year. CEO Elon Musk says the 39 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:24,120 Speaker 1: thirty seven percent rise is a conservative projection. It was 40 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 1: a smoothier actually. You know, without big supply chain interruption 41 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:29,799 Speaker 1: or massive problem, you have the potential to do two 42 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:31,799 Speaker 1: million cars this year. We're not committing to that. I'm 43 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 1: just saying that's the potential. Speaking to investors, Musk added 44 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 1: that twenty two was a difficult year due to shutdowns 45 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 1: at Tesla's China factory, higher borrowing costs and logistical issues. Now, 46 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: business confidence in Britain has sunk to its lowest level 47 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:51,360 Speaker 1: since the global financial crisis, according to a survey of 48 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:55,240 Speaker 1: accountants with more his Bloomberg's You and Parts. It's the 49 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 1: lowest reading since two thousand and nine. The survey by 50 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:01,239 Speaker 1: the Institute of Chartered account in England and Wales says 51 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 1: the business sentiment fell to a reading of minus twenty 52 00:03:04,360 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 1: three last month, a big drop from minus seventeen in November. 53 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 1: The group found that the construction firms are the most 54 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: downbeat when it came to their economic prospects, and companies 55 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 1: in the retail, property and manufacturing sectors all reported problems 56 00:03:17,760 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 1: accessing capital. These findings are echoed by a separate survey 57 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:23,799 Speaker 1: from the Federation of Small Businesses, which found that morale 58 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 1: was plummeting amongst smaller firms in London immune parts of 59 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 1: Booby Daybreak Europe. Bloomberg understands the UK government will provide 60 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: direct taxpayer funding to support British semiconductor companies, and overall 61 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 1: figure for the investment hasn't been agreed with the Treasury, 62 00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 1: but is expected to be at least a billion pounds. 63 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 1: Speaking to us here on Bloomberg Radio, David Lammy, the 64 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 1: Shadow Foreign Secretary, says the UK must partner with the 65 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 1: European Union to secure its supply of semiconductors. It's not 66 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 1: the case that the UK can do this on its own. 67 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 1: It can't do this on its own. But if we 68 00:03:56,400 --> 00:04:01,800 Speaker 1: are seeing major allies in a protection of posture, if 69 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: we are seeing a world that's more multipolar and potentially 70 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 1: more dangerous, that it is important for all companies to diversify. 71 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:17,719 Speaker 1: David Lammy's comments come as continued global chip shortages contributed 72 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: to one to the worst year since nineteen fifty six 73 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 1: for car production in the UK. Now, let's turn our 74 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 1: attention to the United States, because it's joining Germany in 75 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 1: sending main battle tanks to help Ukraine repel Russian forces. 76 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 1: America is sending thirty one of its M one Abraham's tanks, 77 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:40,640 Speaker 1: while Germany will supply fourteen Leopard two tanks. Announcing the move, 78 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:44,200 Speaker 1: President Joe Biden said that Putin has made a major 79 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:47,919 Speaker 1: miscalculation about the West. I've been saying this for a 80 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: long time. The expectation of the part of Russia is 81 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 1: we're going to break up. We're not going to stay united. 82 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: But we are fully, thoroughly, totally united. President Biden added 83 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: that the delivery of the vehicles will take I'm it's 84 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 1: understood that the first batch of Leopard tanks from Germany 85 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:07,480 Speaker 1: could arrive within three months. Massa says it will rein 86 00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 1: stays former President Donald Trump's Facebook and Instagram accounts with 87 00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:15,960 Speaker 1: the details his Bloomberg's ad Baxter. This ends two years 88 00:05:15,960 --> 00:05:18,440 Speaker 1: of being banned. Meta says from the beginning it was 89 00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 1: for an undetermined amount of time, and that the public 90 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 1: should be able to hear what their politicians are saying, 91 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: the good, the bad, and the ugly, so they can 92 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 1: make informed choices at the ballot box. At the same time. Now, 93 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:34,919 Speaker 1: Meta says it has changed oversight rules that can cause 94 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:39,719 Speaker 1: another suspension of violated with more severe penalties. Meta says 95 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 1: it will restore the accounts in the coming weeks. In 96 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 1: San Francisco, I'm at Baxter Bloomberg Daybreak Europe. Now. The 97 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 1: New York Stock Exchange has blamed manual error for the 98 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 1: world price wings and trading halts on Tuesday's market open. 99 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg understands that an employee failed to properly shut down 100 00:05:57,800 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 1: the company's disaster recovery system before the open, causing the problems. 101 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:05,679 Speaker 1: More than one thousand three D trades and some eighty 102 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: four stocks were affected. Those are our top stories this morning. 103 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:12,359 Speaker 1: I mean, it's obviously had a huge consequence. Is one 104 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:13,680 Speaker 1: of those things that you just kind of think, like 105 00:06:13,720 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 1: it's so easy not to, you know, not to power 106 00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:18,359 Speaker 1: down and power back up again at the right point. 107 00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:20,320 Speaker 1: I think I professionals like to call it a para 108 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: cycle on again. Okay, you've got the lingo. Yes, Look 109 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:27,120 Speaker 1: it took them hours though to find it, and it 110 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:30,760 Speaker 1: was this one protocol in this data center quite a 111 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:34,279 Speaker 1: long way from the n Y S. So this is, yeah, 112 00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:37,600 Speaker 1: a glitch in the system. Pretty seriously with the best technology, 113 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 1: human error is still an issue you have to watch 114 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 1: out for. Let's just bring you up today with a 115 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,719 Speaker 1: couple of other corporate headlines we've gotten this morning. Plenty 116 00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 1: of companies reporting st Microelectronics seeing their first quarter net revenue. 117 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:52,720 Speaker 1: Big beat for them, four point two billion dollars. The 118 00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:56,159 Speaker 1: estimate have been for three point eight one billion. That's 119 00:06:56,400 --> 00:06:59,160 Speaker 1: the forecast for the first quarter in net revenue from 120 00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 1: st Micro. They're also expecting their net revenues for the 121 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: follier of twenty three to be between sixteen point eight 122 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 1: billion dollars and seventeen point eight billion. Yeah. There's also 123 00:07:08,560 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 1: on a slightly lighter note, perhaps this will help me 124 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 1: a few weeks ago. Do you remember when I told 125 00:07:13,280 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: you that I had to do a driver a driver 126 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 1: test again. Well, there's now an app for car admin. 127 00:07:22,600 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 1: Lloyd's Banking Group has put four million pounds into Cora, 128 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 1: which apparently is an app focused on inner cities. So 129 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 1: it's an all in one place where drivers can kind 130 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 1: of manage their insurance that mot all of the charges 131 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 1: that you get in London. Yeah, fascinating, I mean it 132 00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 1: seems like the sort of thing that could actually relieve 133 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 1: quite a lot of the admin around owning a car. 134 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 1: Interesting seats already back by Jagger Lando over his venture 135 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 1: arm as well. So that's you see Lloyd's joining in 136 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: on that one. Yeah, absolutely coming up next though more 137 00:07:48,440 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 1: banker WhatsApp fines UK tech moves to America and he'll 138 00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 1: swap you one hundred and forty characters for three billion dollars. 139 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 1: Now off the paper review on bluebirdday Break Europe. The 140 00:08:03,320 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 1: news you need to know from today's papers them Exchange 141 00:08:07,200 --> 00:08:10,520 Speaker 1: World CUX joins us now with a look at today's papers. 142 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:12,920 Speaker 1: Lots of front pages focusing on the decision to send 143 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 1: thanks to Ukraine The Eye for example, the headline their 144 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: allies send tanks to hold back Putin as Ukraine war escalates. 145 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 1: But James, you've been looking at some of the other 146 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 1: stories in the papers today, the Times talking about a 147 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 1: fresh blow to the UK's tech ambitions. Yes, Steven, So 148 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 1: it's all about how a sense you're the foot see 149 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:36,199 Speaker 1: two Information Events Group they are looking at listing in 150 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:39,000 Speaker 1: the US. This is a big problem for the UK government. 151 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:42,199 Speaker 1: In last year's Awtin statement, Jeremy Hunt outlined ambitions to 152 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:45,320 Speaker 1: transform the UK into the next silicon Valley, and it's 153 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:49,079 Speaker 1: been a wider problem for keeping tech in the UK broadly. 154 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:51,440 Speaker 1: I mean, there's the big discussions around ARM right now, 155 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:53,240 Speaker 1: the ship company we've just been talking about sort of 156 00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 1: the Chip story this morning, how the UK wants to 157 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 1: subsidize it. Investors, governments, regulators and the public all expect 158 00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:01,719 Speaker 1: the domestic company to normally list in its sort of 159 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 1: like home country. But tech is that exception where it 160 00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 1: moves to the U S where it has a big capital. 161 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:09,839 Speaker 1: It's often seeks to kind of go to that sort 162 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:12,640 Speaker 1: of pool because it doesn't have to be as localized. 163 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:15,840 Speaker 1: But for the UK's ambitions to make itself a global 164 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:19,439 Speaker 1: tech superpower, it really wants to keep these kind of 165 00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:23,520 Speaker 1: emerging giants that it's trying to home grow staying in 166 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 1: the UK. And so although there are big discussions, are 167 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:27,560 Speaker 1: and that would be one to watch in the future, 168 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:30,560 Speaker 1: essentially is already paving the way by moving the way 169 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 1: to the U S. I'll pick you up on that though, 170 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:34,880 Speaker 1: because big discussions, I mean, that's the question, are they're 171 00:09:34,920 --> 00:09:37,280 Speaker 1: really big discussions. The government has said that they really 172 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 1: want the soft Bank owned ARM, which is based in Cambridge, 173 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 1: to list in the UK. But the problem is we 174 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:44,160 Speaker 1: haven't heard from the other side. We don't know whether 175 00:09:44,200 --> 00:09:48,040 Speaker 1: that's really a possibility for you know, from SoftBank's perspective. 176 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 1: So yes, that's I think that's the issue the government 177 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:53,320 Speaker 1: would like big conversations. Look. Moving on from that though, 178 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 1: Um this issue that the Lawsuit Journal picks up on, 179 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:01,800 Speaker 1: Elon Musk is exploring raising up to three billion dollars 180 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:05,840 Speaker 1: to pay off Twitter debts. Yes, as if there wasn't 181 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:08,440 Speaker 1: enough sort of complexity around this kind of Twitter story 182 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 1: already they are reporting, and it's worth saying that Haw 183 00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 1: has been confirmed. This is a kind of people familiar 184 00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:16,720 Speaker 1: that Ellen is discussing selling up to three billion dollars 185 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 1: in new Twitter shares, and that would be kind of 186 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:22,640 Speaker 1: as away of refinancing some of the debt that Twitter 187 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 1: and back sensioned him have taken on. Now, the original 188 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:29,719 Speaker 1: price these shares were taken private act was fifty four 189 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:34,199 Speaker 1: point twenty dollars per share. Apparently he wanted that original valuation, 190 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:36,719 Speaker 1: but he's facing quite an uphill valuation from sort of 191 00:10:36,760 --> 00:10:38,719 Speaker 1: upper battles are trying to keep it there from sort 192 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:41,440 Speaker 1: of investors. Now, I know a lot of listeners are 193 00:10:41,520 --> 00:10:43,840 Speaker 1: quite skeptical of why are we talking about Elon Musk, 194 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 1: Why are we talking about Twitter? Yes? Again, but this 195 00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:50,560 Speaker 1: is fascinating because a lot of may US banks firepower 196 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 1: to back other deals is tied up in this debt story. 197 00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 1: More than Stanley, the lead bank, have eight hundred million 198 00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 1: dollars tied up, and then Bank of America, Barclays, a 199 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 1: m U f G all have about six hundred millions. 200 00:11:01,840 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 1: So this monster of a deal is actually tied up 201 00:11:05,840 --> 00:11:08,199 Speaker 1: a lot of other capital that could otherwise be used 202 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:11,199 Speaker 1: to finance other things. Okay, sta'ts in the Wall Street 203 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: Journal Morgan Stanley. Next, this isn't the Financial Times. Morgan 204 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 1: Stanley hits bankers with one million dollars and penalties from 205 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:21,000 Speaker 1: messaging breachers. Now, I mean, this is longer the story, 206 00:11:21,040 --> 00:11:23,679 Speaker 1: even before the pandemic. But the working from home explosion 207 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:27,439 Speaker 1: really made in a problem for regulators about how we 208 00:11:27,640 --> 00:11:31,439 Speaker 1: track what bankers and traders are doing off sort of 209 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:35,839 Speaker 1: official designated platforms and on sort of personal messaging apps. 210 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:38,640 Speaker 1: Two years ago, regulators made that problem a bank problem 211 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:41,120 Speaker 1: with almost a billion dollars in fees. Now banks are 212 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:44,160 Speaker 1: making it your problem, ranging it from sort of a 213 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:47,199 Speaker 1: few thousand dollars to more than a million dollars per individual. 214 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 1: Morgan Stanley is putting out penalties to your bonus packets 215 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:53,040 Speaker 1: and your future pay packets if you break their rules, 216 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 1: and that depends on, say, the number of messages you've 217 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:58,000 Speaker 1: sent your seniority as a banker, and whether you have 218 00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:00,920 Speaker 1: kind of prior warnings on it. Now, they're not saying 219 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:04,199 Speaker 1: stop using WhatsApp completely, they're running training sessions of like 220 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:07,720 Speaker 1: when say a harmless conversation may move into say, let's 221 00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:09,320 Speaker 1: set up a meeting, and that's kind of the point 222 00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:11,680 Speaker 1: where they would say you should bring this back onto 223 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 1: official channels otherwise you risk being sort of caught liable 224 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:18,480 Speaker 1: and then being fined by the bank. Okay, so that yeah, 225 00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:20,680 Speaker 1: it's not just so it's not just the social media 226 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 1: rules maybe that banks have, but yet they're fines. It's 227 00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:26,839 Speaker 1: not sort of firing people. So I think that's also 228 00:12:27,320 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 1: an interesting it's kind of not breaches, but it's actually 229 00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:32,840 Speaker 1: finding people for for not doing the right thing maybe 230 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 1: through these messaging apps. Yeah, very interesting FT story. Thank 231 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:38,439 Speaker 1: you so much James Walcott for taking us through the 232 00:12:38,559 --> 00:12:41,199 Speaker 1: newspapers this morning. Well let's turn into one of the 233 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 1: key data points we're watching out for it later and 234 00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:47,160 Speaker 1: be the fourth quarter GDP figures from the US, Bloomberg 235 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 1: Economics expect to see growth of two point eight percent 236 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,840 Speaker 1: and an annualized right to figure boosted by consumers spending 237 00:12:53,040 --> 00:12:56,320 Speaker 1: on services from more. Let's bring in our executive editor 238 00:12:56,360 --> 00:12:58,520 Speaker 1: for Asian Markets, Paul Dubs and Paul, great to have 239 00:12:58,640 --> 00:13:00,199 Speaker 1: you with us. What are the key thing things that 240 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 1: we are watching out for in today's data? The survey 241 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:06,840 Speaker 1: estimate at two point six percent growth Bloomberg Economics as 242 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 1: two point eight percent. Yeah, absolutely, so we're looking at 243 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 1: a bit of a slowdown from the last quarter, but 244 00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 1: at the same time fairly robust headline figure at least, 245 00:13:17,640 --> 00:13:20,839 Speaker 1: you know, and I guess you know, the way that 246 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:23,439 Speaker 1: the market is reacting to the data at the moment, 247 00:13:23,880 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 1: the better. It is the worst news for markets in 248 00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:28,800 Speaker 1: a way that's still tied to this idea that you know, 249 00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:31,559 Speaker 1: if the data can remain robust, then the Federal Reserve 250 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 1: will need to continue to tighten and then hold interest 251 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:37,520 Speaker 1: rates higher in order to in order to cause more 252 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:41,680 Speaker 1: other of you know, sort of bring down the inflation 253 00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 1: pressures in the economy and get things back on and 254 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:47,000 Speaker 1: even keel there as well. So so in terms of 255 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:50,959 Speaker 1: the headline at least, as it's all about where we 256 00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 1: price relative to expectations, and then you know the market 257 00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:57,120 Speaker 1: will run with it from there. Yeah. Um, so there's 258 00:13:57,160 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 1: a big US days dump to day g dps obviously backward, 259 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:02,559 Speaker 1: but we also get jobless claims later. What should we 260 00:14:02,679 --> 00:14:05,599 Speaker 1: expect there? Yeah, well, and this is part of that 261 00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 1: whole conundrum for investors right now when they're looking at 262 00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:13,080 Speaker 1: the economic data and they're sort of throwing things forwards 263 00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:15,080 Speaker 1: a little bit, you know, as as you were saying, 264 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:17,439 Speaker 1: we've got a very strong and robust consumer and a 265 00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:21,000 Speaker 1: very strong robust labor market, but the companies themselves are 266 00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 1: feeling that they're under pressure. And if you look at 267 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 1: the survey data, is we can pointing to a big 268 00:14:25,760 --> 00:14:28,840 Speaker 1: slowdown as well. So people will be looking at the 269 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:32,160 Speaker 1: labor data the claims are pretty carefully. We've seen a 270 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:36,680 Speaker 1: little bit um or of a relaxation recently, you know, 271 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 1: kind of like a bit of a more buoyant picture 272 00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 1: in the job space. So today's forecast is for is 273 00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:47,320 Speaker 1: for an increasing claim so a little bit more pressure 274 00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:49,600 Speaker 1: coming back in there, and they will play into that 275 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:52,880 Speaker 1: sort of dynamic that the people are trying to get 276 00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:56,400 Speaker 1: their heads around when they're thinking about how fast the 277 00:14:56,440 --> 00:15:01,360 Speaker 1: economy is slowing and how far it's likely to slow. Um. Okay, Paul. 278 00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 1: In terms of the Bank of Canada's decision yesterday and 279 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 1: the market reaction, the bank says it's got to it's 280 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 1: hiked rates, now it's going to hold. What should we 281 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:12,240 Speaker 1: take away from that and the potential influence that might 282 00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: have on the Fed? Yes, So I think the thing 283 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:17,400 Speaker 1: that is really important and significant to hear the first 284 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:20,520 Speaker 1: of the central banks kind of like being pretty emphatic 285 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:23,920 Speaker 1: in the fact that they want to stop now and 286 00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 1: take a rain check, see how things are going. You know. 287 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 1: I think for the for the FED, we're definitely pricing 288 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 1: for a twenty five basis point hike UM in the 289 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 1: coming week and then maybe one more after that before 290 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:39,400 Speaker 1: we slow. But that's not fully in the price now. 291 00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:41,800 Speaker 1: So people are starting to look forward to that moment 292 00:15:41,880 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 1: when the FED stops hiking. As well. The fact that 293 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:47,240 Speaker 1: the Bank of Canada is confident enough in the slowdown 294 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 1: and inflation to make that stateman today. UM will certainly 295 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 1: have read across for the US markets as well, Paul, 296 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,080 Speaker 1: thank you so much for being with us. That is 297 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 1: our executive editor for Asia Markets, pauled Dobson Looking ahead 298 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:02,360 Speaker 1: to the US GDP. Let's get you an update then 299 00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 1: on our top stories and world news. His bloom Bags 300 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,680 Speaker 1: James Hawcock, Good morning, Good morning. China says the number 301 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:10,920 Speaker 1: of COVID related deaths and severe cases at hospitals has 302 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:14,120 Speaker 1: declined by more than seventy percent from peak levels in 303 00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:18,400 Speaker 1: early January. As of Monday, official daily fatalities at hospitals 304 00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:21,760 Speaker 1: to eight hundred and ninety six, down from a high 305 00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:26,400 Speaker 1: on January four of more than four thousand. The true 306 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:29,400 Speaker 1: number maybe hundreds of thousands higher than the official figure, 307 00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 1: which only counts deaths in hospitals. And global smartphone shipments 308 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:36,600 Speaker 1: have suffered their worst quarterly drop on record in the 309 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 1: final three months of last year. Shipments declined by eighteen 310 00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:42,520 Speaker 1: point three percent in the December quarter, in a clear 311 00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:46,240 Speaker 1: sign of cooling consumer demand. The news signals there's more 312 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:49,840 Speaker 1: pain to come for manufacturing hubs like South Korea and Vietnam. 313 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:53,200 Speaker 1: In the US, there is growing support from politicians to 314 00:16:53,320 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 1: completely banned TikTok in the country. Republicans armed to Josh 315 00:16:57,000 --> 00:16:59,920 Speaker 1: Hawley has induced legislation to prohibit the Chinese own company 316 00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:03,680 Speaker 1: from all devices nationwide. The concern from lawmakers is that 317 00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:06,520 Speaker 1: TikTok and its parent Bite Dance could share information on 318 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:12,080 Speaker 1: US users with Chapneys authorities. 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