WEBVTT - Fully Vaccinated Can Forgo Masks in Some Outdoor Settings

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News Listen. We went over the

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<v Speaker 1>big headlines that came out just about two hours ago

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<v Speaker 1>about the CDC issuing new masking guidelines for fully vaccinated people.

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<v Speaker 1>Were President Biden Tim come out and talk about it.

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<v Speaker 1>At the same time, there are two new cases of

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<v Speaker 1>blood clots linked to the J and J vaccine, and

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<v Speaker 1>you've got you know, countries around the globe looking to

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<v Speaker 1>help India because we know, as was reminded in kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a newsroom note today that as when we talk

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<v Speaker 1>about the vaccine feels and the virus, it feels pretty

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<v Speaker 1>good in the United States. We've made a lot of progress,

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<v Speaker 1>but you look to some European nations, and you look

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<v Speaker 1>to the developing world, and you look to India, they

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<v Speaker 1>are still struggling big time. And look, that's a really

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<v Speaker 1>important point. The fact is the United States is doing

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<v Speaker 1>really well, but it's among only a handful of countries

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to vaccinating so many people. Yeah, so

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<v Speaker 1>let's talk about it, and let's talk about where we

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<v Speaker 1>are and where we go from here. So great to

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<v Speaker 1>have back with us. Dr Dave Westerner, he's professor of

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<v Speaker 1>biology at Davidson College. He's on the phone from Davidson,

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<v Speaker 1>North Carolina. Dr Westner, nice to have you back here

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Business Week with Tim and myself. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>on our planning call today are producer Paul Brennan reminded

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<v Speaker 1>us that the last time we talked with you, we

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<v Speaker 1>were talking about double masking, which is what I often do,

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<v Speaker 1>uh in the office outside the office still and that

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<v Speaker 1>was just a few months ago. Now we're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>conditionally taking off our masks in public. Have we gone

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<v Speaker 1>too far too fast in your view? Yeah, Well, thanks

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<v Speaker 1>for having me back to Yeah, it's situation. Things change,

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<v Speaker 1>Things change, quickly. Um. Yeah, I think given the evidence

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<v Speaker 1>that we have now about how good the vaccines are working, um,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's worth relaxing some of those restrictions for

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<v Speaker 1>people that are fully vaccinated. I think that the challenges

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<v Speaker 1>you know, if you're out in public, you don't know

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<v Speaker 1>what the vaccine status is of someone else. So I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's where it gets a little bit tricky. And

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<v Speaker 1>it really seemed like with the CDC's presentation today, Professor,

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<v Speaker 1>that the point was to really get those people who

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<v Speaker 1>haven't been vaccinated yet, provide some sort of incentive, and

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<v Speaker 1>to really show them, hey, this thing works so well

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<v Speaker 1>that that these are the things you can do. But

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<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering did it not go far enough? Yeah? I

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<v Speaker 1>think you know, the vaccine rollout I think has gone

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<v Speaker 1>pretty well United States. We had a rocky start. I

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<v Speaker 1>think things now are going pretty well. But the big

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<v Speaker 1>concern is that group of people that are vaccine has

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<v Speaker 1>how do you get them on board to get the vaccines?

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<v Speaker 1>And Yeah, I think you're absolutely right that this this

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<v Speaker 1>is sort of a you know, uh, carrot approach. You look,

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<v Speaker 1>if you get the vaccine, here's some extra things you

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<v Speaker 1>can you can take advantage of so hopefully that will

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<v Speaker 1>commit some people that have been on the fence about

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<v Speaker 1>getting the vaccine. What do you say to people who

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<v Speaker 1>are still afraid about getting the vaccine? Because I know

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<v Speaker 1>people within my sphere that are definitely saying, Yep, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not comfortable. I'm gonna still wait. Yeah, I think you know,

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<v Speaker 1>follow the evidence. I mean, the evidence suggests these are

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<v Speaker 1>really effective vaccines. The evidence suggests these are really safe vaccines.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, despite the stories you've heard about the blood

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<v Speaker 1>clots and potential association with the J and J vaccine,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, everything suggests these are really safe and extremely

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<v Speaker 1>effective vaccines. What about from a public health messaging perspective,

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<v Speaker 1>because there there are questions about whether former President Trump

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<v Speaker 1>should come out and give sort of a big endorsement

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<v Speaker 1>of the vaccine and and really messaging to people who

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<v Speaker 1>follow him closely that this is the right thing to do. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think those kinds of public announcements certainly help. I saw, say,

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<v Speaker 1>the other day with Foreign President Obama and m Charles

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<v Speaker 1>Barkley and Shaquille O'Neil um, and they were specifically targeting

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<v Speaker 1>the African American community to get vaccines. But yeah, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>those kinds of public statements by public figures certainly helping,

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<v Speaker 1>and we need more of those. What do you say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I think about the science and I did

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<v Speaker 1>uh some reading into the vaccine and the research to

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<v Speaker 1>kind of understand it, if you know, just so that

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<v Speaker 1>I knew what we're dealing with it. What is the

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<v Speaker 1>science behind the process that we got here in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of the vaccines that you think if you you know

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<v Speaker 1>that you can share and remind us all that maybe

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<v Speaker 1>would put some people at ease, because I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>still a feeling Dr Wessner that we rushed through this

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<v Speaker 1>and we did right, but the science isn't brand new

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<v Speaker 1>right exactly. And I think that's an issue we have

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<v Speaker 1>talked about before with when I was on with you.

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<v Speaker 1>Um yeah, I think the the approval of these vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>happened quickly, but I don't think it was rushed. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>we had trials just like you would with any with

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<v Speaker 1>any drug, any vaccine that's getting approved. You know, there

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<v Speaker 1>are some people in the the Fiser vaccine, some in

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<v Speaker 1>the MODERNA vaccine. Uh, you know, we went through those

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<v Speaker 1>double wind trials. We have good data about the efficacy

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<v Speaker 1>of these vaccines UM and we had good data about

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<v Speaker 1>the safety of these vaccines. Also, I think, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>anytime you're going from forty people to millions of people

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<v Speaker 1>getting vaccine getting vaccinated, you know, there's gonna be the

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<v Speaker 1>chance that you see some issue that one in a

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<v Speaker 1>million event that you're not going to catch, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>even if you have people in a trial. But that's

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<v Speaker 1>always the case with with new pharmaceuticals that are being developed.

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<v Speaker 1>So so I don't think people should worry about the

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<v Speaker 1>process being being rushed um and for the basic science.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, again, the there's been a lot of talk

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<v Speaker 1>about the MADERNA and fives are being these MR and

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<v Speaker 1>A based vaccines, which is something new. It's it's new

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<v Speaker 1>in that we haven't had human vaccines using those technologies before.

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<v Speaker 1>But the basic technology scientists have been looking at, have

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<v Speaker 1>been experimenting with for a couple of decades. It's not

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<v Speaker 1>something that was just invented out of out of the

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<v Speaker 1>air over the last year. And we're not changing genetics

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<v Speaker 1>with these vaccines, despite what, despite what people on Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>get in touch with us about. Right. That's another another

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<v Speaker 1>concern that you hear in various places that because the

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine is injecting RNA into your cells, it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>alter your RNA or also your DNA. That's that's not

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<v Speaker 1>the case. The RNA that's getting into your cells through

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<v Speaker 1>the vaccine is very short lived molecule. It degrades very

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<v Speaker 1>very quickly. It's just in there for a short period

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<v Speaker 1>of time. Your cells are producing some of that spike protein.

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<v Speaker 1>The immune system is recognizing that acting against it, but

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<v Speaker 1>there's no long term change to your cells because these vaccines,

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<v Speaker 1>Professor Westner, let's talk variants. There's a Bloomberg Intelligence report

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<v Speaker 1>out this afternoon from Sam Fazli, our colleague at Bloomberg,

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<v Speaker 1>who says that the virus variant from India seems like

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<v Speaker 1>it responds to ASTRA and likely all vaccines. Are we

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<v Speaker 1>seeing right now any variants able to really get past

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<v Speaker 1>the existing vaccines right now to an extent that should

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<v Speaker 1>be alarming to us. Yeah, that that's a good question,

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<v Speaker 1>And so far it seems like we have not seen

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<v Speaker 1>that um that variant that can that can evade the

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<v Speaker 1>existing vaccines. U The CDC categorizes the vaccines as variants

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<v Speaker 1>of concern and these are the ones we've heard about.

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<v Speaker 1>The UK variant, the Brazilian variants, South African variant, and

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<v Speaker 1>then the higher level from that is the variant of

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<v Speaker 1>high consequence, and that would be a variant that can

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<v Speaker 1>escape the existing vaccines. UM, and so far we don't

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<v Speaker 1>have a variant identified in that in that category. Use,

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<v Speaker 1>different vaccines are going to have different efficacies against different variants.

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<v Speaker 1>That as not as surprise, UM, but so far it

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<v Speaker 1>seems like the certainly the Maderna Advisor vaccines are pretty

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<v Speaker 1>effective against all the all of that variants that we've

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<v Speaker 1>identified so far. How does this work though, terms of

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<v Speaker 1>variance mutating or having viral variants? Right, we have it

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<v Speaker 1>with I'm assuming the common flu. Right, this is why

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<v Speaker 1>the flu vaccine gets tweaked often every year. But when

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<v Speaker 1>is variants normal and manageable versus variants being problematic and

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<v Speaker 1>creating another pandemic. Right, You're absolutely right with the flu analogy.

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<v Speaker 1>We have a new vaccine every year because influenza virus

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<v Speaker 1>mutates very rapidly, and we see slight variations in the

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<v Speaker 1>strain of the flu from from year to year. Generally speaking,

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<v Speaker 1>coronaviruses do not mutate as rapidly as influenza viruses. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's not that big an issue with coronaviruses, but they

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<v Speaker 1>do mutate over time. That's that's natural. You are going

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<v Speaker 1>to see variants, and I think what we have to

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<v Speaker 1>do as as researchers is really stay on top of

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<v Speaker 1>what variants are we seeing in different locations. We've heard

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<v Speaker 1>a lot about genomic sequencing of the bio us. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>That's something the US did not jump on early enough

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<v Speaker 1>in my opinion. Um. But we have to keep that

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<v Speaker 1>that genomic sequencing up so that we can identify those

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<v Speaker 1>variants as they appear and then look to see if

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<v Speaker 1>in fact those are causing infections people who already had

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<v Speaker 1>been vaccinated, indicating that they may be they maybe breakthrough variances.

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<v Speaker 1>Are we doing that? Are we keeping on top of that?

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<v Speaker 1>I think we're doing a better job now that we

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<v Speaker 1>were six months ago. Um. Yeah, I think it's one

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<v Speaker 1>of those those deals where you can't be doing good enough.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think we are doing a better job now

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<v Speaker 1>of of monitoring the appearance of new variants. So one

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<v Speaker 1>thing I've been thinking a lot about is is how

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic ends now that the United States is on

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<v Speaker 1>a good path to vaccination. While at the same time,

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<v Speaker 1>the rest of the world really isn't How do how

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<v Speaker 1>does this play out? Like, what are we talking about

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<v Speaker 1>a year from now? That's a great question, um. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think there's a couple of answers. You know, as

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<v Speaker 1>long as the virus is mutating very rapidly throughout a population,

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<v Speaker 1>whether it's India here in the United States to some

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<v Speaker 1>other place, there's the potential for new, very dangerous variants

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<v Speaker 1>to arise. UM. And I think that's that's one of

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<v Speaker 1>the UM arguments in favor of the US sending vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>doses to to India. UM. Sixty million doses for India

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<v Speaker 1>as a drop in the bucket, I know. But but

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<v Speaker 1>having us help another country get their population vaccinated, UH

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<v Speaker 1>is potentially beneficial for US because it's eliminating the chance

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<v Speaker 1>of new variants appearing someplace else. UM. But that's what

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<v Speaker 1>the other side of the question is. You know, are

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<v Speaker 1>we going to eliminate this virus? And I think everyone

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<v Speaker 1>agrees the answer is no. It's not going to be

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<v Speaker 1>like polio or smallpox or one of these viruses that

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<v Speaker 1>we can almost completely eliminate from the human population. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>more likely, it's probably going to become a recurrent issue

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<v Speaker 1>that we see much like influence of viruses, dar to

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<v Speaker 1>Western twonds. Do you see if we get to a

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<v Speaker 1>place where the world feels like it used to be? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>good question, and um, largely yes, I think. I think

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<v Speaker 1>there may be some things that never go back completely normal,

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<v Speaker 1>but but largely yes. All right, we're gonna leave it

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<v Speaker 1>on that note. I like that optimism. I will do.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Dave Westerner stay safely Well, Professor of Biology at

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<v Speaker 1>Davidson College, on the phone from David's in North Carolina.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I feel like Tim, with everything that we do,

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<v Speaker 1>all our conversation, especially when it deals with vaccines and

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<v Speaker 1>COVID specifically, there are caveats. It's just the way it is. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>there's so much uncertainty right now, but that's something that

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<v Speaker 1>it seems like we're getting used to, Yeah, exactly, and

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<v Speaker 1>figuring out our way through. You're listening to Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. This story definitely caught Tim in my attention.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a story online of Bloomberg Business Week. It's about how,

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<v Speaker 1>for almost a decade the movement to push businesses to

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<v Speaker 1>pay at least fifteen dollars an hour. Tim, It's definitely

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<v Speaker 1>gained momentum, but the US is largest employer. They have

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<v Speaker 1>constantly shot the argument down. So let's get into that snow. Yeah,

0:11:57.800 --> 0:12:00.720
<v Speaker 1>that largest employer being Walmart of course, Miss buck Leasy,

0:12:00.800 --> 0:12:04.359
<v Speaker 1>reporter for Bloomberg News, joining us on the phone from London, Thomas,

0:12:04.360 --> 0:12:07.000
<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for joining us on this. Uh. When

0:12:07.040 --> 0:12:09.240
<v Speaker 1>I read the first sentence of this story, I was

0:12:09.280 --> 0:12:14.400
<v Speaker 1>immediately drawn in. Who is Mendy Hughes so menty she

0:12:14.800 --> 0:12:19.640
<v Speaker 1>associate it's Walmart for some years now, and she is

0:12:19.679 --> 0:12:24.560
<v Speaker 1>still earning eleven eighty five dollars an hour, which makes

0:12:24.559 --> 0:12:27.920
<v Speaker 1>her really an outlet for a number of similists similar

0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:30.480
<v Speaker 1>employees at the likes of Amazon and best Buy It.

0:12:30.480 --> 0:12:33.360
<v Speaker 1>And how I gets all of whom pay fifteen dollars now?

0:12:33.640 --> 0:12:36.760
<v Speaker 1>And thanks so much for having me, guys really appreciate it. Yeah,

0:12:36.559 --> 0:12:39.360
<v Speaker 1>no problem. One thing that and one thing the reason

0:12:39.600 --> 0:12:41.920
<v Speaker 1>this what I mean among the many things that just

0:12:42.000 --> 0:12:45.920
<v Speaker 1>kept surprising me word afterward in this was that Mendy

0:12:46.040 --> 0:12:48.760
<v Speaker 1>is is the person who has been working there for

0:12:48.880 --> 0:12:51.640
<v Speaker 1>more than a decade, And what Walmart says about its

0:12:51.640 --> 0:12:54.840
<v Speaker 1>wages is that it's investing in people for careers, not

0:12:54.920 --> 0:12:59.280
<v Speaker 1>for jobs. But her pay seems to indicate that she's

0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:02.800
<v Speaker 1>not being rewarded in that way. That's that's really right.

0:13:02.920 --> 0:13:05.480
<v Speaker 1>So she started out, I believe, on seven dollars an

0:13:05.480 --> 0:13:08.800
<v Speaker 1>hour way back when, and that has increased to eleven

0:13:08.800 --> 0:13:11.880
<v Speaker 1>eighty tide, I think that it's not increasing anywhere nearest

0:13:11.880 --> 0:13:13.679
<v Speaker 1>staff that she would like to see on the basis

0:13:13.679 --> 0:13:17.160
<v Speaker 1>that you know, as the story when she's short on

0:13:17.480 --> 0:13:19.840
<v Speaker 1>launchables or frozen TV, then as you know, she's having

0:13:19.840 --> 0:13:22.920
<v Speaker 1>stopped by the drive through McDonald's to her pick up

0:13:22.960 --> 0:13:25.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, and items from print the venue, from the

0:13:25.840 --> 0:13:29.560
<v Speaker 1>value menu. And also to that point, I think that's

0:13:29.559 --> 0:13:31.640
<v Speaker 1>a number of her colleagues, you know, survive on on

0:13:31.679 --> 0:13:34.839
<v Speaker 1>the food steps. So on that basis, I think it

0:13:34.920 --> 0:13:38.000
<v Speaker 1>certainly would want to be seeing a raise that's commensurate

0:13:38.080 --> 0:13:41.640
<v Speaker 1>with what Walmart's rivals are doing. Walmart's argument as long

0:13:41.720 --> 0:13:45.720
<v Speaker 1>being that really seeking to protect ladder of opportunity, wherein

0:13:45.840 --> 0:13:48.559
<v Speaker 1>you know, people's individual ambitions will be rewarded as they

0:13:48.640 --> 0:13:51.640
<v Speaker 1>rise up in the business. But sounds like Mendy, for example,

0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:54.079
<v Speaker 1>who has very immediate concerns, or who have had very

0:13:54.080 --> 0:13:56.680
<v Speaker 1>immediate concerns, such as say, tearing her out of a

0:13:56.760 --> 0:13:59.320
<v Speaker 1>c L and falling behind on medical bills. They're not

0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:02.000
<v Speaker 1>so much thinking about the next job, but more you

0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:04.679
<v Speaker 1>know what neediately has to happen for them to live

0:14:04.679 --> 0:14:07.600
<v Speaker 1>at the very basic level of dignity. I think, so

0:14:07.720 --> 0:14:09.400
<v Speaker 1>help me out here, Thomas, because I think there are

0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:11.760
<v Speaker 1>probably people who are listening. First of all, the math

0:14:12.559 --> 0:14:15.920
<v Speaker 1>that eighty five works out about four hundred seventy four

0:14:15.960 --> 0:14:19.760
<v Speaker 1>dollars a week, about twenty four thousand, six hundred a year.

0:14:19.840 --> 0:14:22.760
<v Speaker 1>So that's what she's dealing with. And she's got a family. Now,

0:14:22.760 --> 0:14:25.000
<v Speaker 1>I know that there are people listening saying, well, wait

0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:27.320
<v Speaker 1>a minute. You know, maybe she works harder and then

0:14:27.360 --> 0:14:29.280
<v Speaker 1>she can get a better job until make more money

0:14:29.280 --> 0:14:32.200
<v Speaker 1>and more benefits. There's that argument. At the same time,

0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:34.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, you live in different parts of the country.

0:14:34.680 --> 0:14:38.280
<v Speaker 1>These are the jobs available. And this is a company, Walmart.

0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:44.040
<v Speaker 1>It's a wealthy employer, absolutely, and you know, more than

0:14:44.080 --> 0:14:46.120
<v Speaker 1>a wealthy employee, which they certainly are, but you know,

0:14:46.200 --> 0:14:50.480
<v Speaker 1>really the world's wealthiest family, America's largest private employer by far,

0:14:51.280 --> 0:14:52.960
<v Speaker 1>and you know it gives you an idea of what

0:14:53.000 --> 0:14:56.160
<v Speaker 1>it would take to get to fifteen dollars, which they

0:14:56.200 --> 0:14:58.920
<v Speaker 1>have done as an average but not a minimum. That

0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:01.560
<v Speaker 1>is what they announced them in February for several of

0:15:01.640 --> 0:15:05.200
<v Speaker 1>the several associates. I mean, you know, the amount they're

0:15:05.240 --> 0:15:08.960
<v Speaker 1>spending getting to that point, it's only about ten percent

0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:12.080
<v Speaker 1>in maybe even less than ten percent, with the amount

0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:14.160
<v Speaker 1>that they're spending on shared by backs because at the

0:15:14.160 --> 0:15:16.800
<v Speaker 1>same time they're not dis initiative. They also announced twenty

0:15:16.840 --> 0:15:19.880
<v Speaker 1>billion shared by back initiatives. So it's certainly an employer

0:15:19.880 --> 0:15:23.120
<v Speaker 1>to can afford to pay its employees fifteen if it

0:15:23.200 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 1>wanted to write. As you mentioned, their annual revenue increased

0:15:26.320 --> 0:15:28.960
<v Speaker 1>a thirty five billion to more than or by thirty

0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:32.240
<v Speaker 1>five billion to more than five hundred billion dollars in

0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:34.600
<v Speaker 1>the past year to earn twenty two billion in profit. Listen,

0:15:34.640 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 1>I am all for capitalism and people making a profit.

0:15:37.720 --> 0:15:40.120
<v Speaker 1>I think it's really wonderful and it's I think the

0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:42.640
<v Speaker 1>basis of our country, no doubt about it. What is

0:15:42.680 --> 0:15:45.680
<v Speaker 1>the argument that Walmart puts out there in terms of

0:15:45.720 --> 0:15:48.680
<v Speaker 1>not being able to pay some of its workers more money.

0:15:48.680 --> 0:15:50.880
<v Speaker 1>I've been at those annual meetings where workers stand up

0:15:50.880 --> 0:15:53.320
<v Speaker 1>and say I work for you full time and I'm

0:15:53.360 --> 0:15:56.600
<v Speaker 1>also getting welfare. How does that make sense? And what

0:15:56.760 --> 0:16:00.160
<v Speaker 1>is the responsibility of an employer like Walmart who is

0:16:00.240 --> 0:16:04.000
<v Speaker 1>facing the big beheamoth of Amazon who says you can

0:16:04.040 --> 0:16:08.200
<v Speaker 1>probably get a cheaper at Amazon for sure. I think

0:16:08.200 --> 0:16:10.080
<v Speaker 1>it's a really interesting question. I mean to your points

0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:13.120
<v Speaker 1>about capitalism, you know, really being the growth engine that

0:16:13.200 --> 0:16:16.640
<v Speaker 1>so many develops economies of, you know, the past countries.

0:16:17.120 --> 0:16:19.880
<v Speaker 1>I think that what we have come to see is

0:16:19.920 --> 0:16:22.920
<v Speaker 1>that you know, you're sort of driving um this this

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:25.160
<v Speaker 1>economy in a certain direction in the case of Onemas

0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:28.560
<v Speaker 1>because you now you are America's largest private employer, which

0:16:28.600 --> 0:16:30.840
<v Speaker 1>means that you know, you have a responsibility to lift

0:16:30.840 --> 0:16:33.720
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people up um and you know, guarantee

0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:37.120
<v Speaker 1>living to to the people that work for you. Where

0:16:37.120 --> 0:16:40.080
<v Speaker 1>it becomes complicated is that the CEO doesn't millanswers that

0:16:40.200 --> 0:16:43.360
<v Speaker 1>he wants, you know, to really stagger wage increases in

0:16:43.400 --> 0:16:45.680
<v Speaker 1>the way that benefits the UK economy. So that means,

0:16:45.680 --> 0:16:48.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, creating the right level of ambition within the

0:16:48.240 --> 0:16:51.960
<v Speaker 1>company to see people rise um. But as I mentioned earlier,

0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:54.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, people who have a lot more immediate needs,

0:16:54.360 --> 0:16:56.800
<v Speaker 1>including those on food stamps, might not necessarily see it

0:16:56.880 --> 0:16:59.320
<v Speaker 1>that way. Um and in the case of men, need

0:16:59.360 --> 0:17:01.640
<v Speaker 1>sure earlier in to know what if she worked a

0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:04.000
<v Speaker 1>bit harder, a bit longer. I mean, this is something

0:17:04.000 --> 0:17:06.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, just pulling forty hour weeks, those who you know,

0:17:07.000 --> 0:17:10.600
<v Speaker 1>spend standing up the entire time at times. I'm playing

0:17:10.600 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 1>Devil's advocate. I just hope you know I'm playing Devil's advocate.

0:17:13.600 --> 0:17:17.640
<v Speaker 1>Go ahead, please, absolutely, absolutely, but just just to use

0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:20.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, the specific example, because she is she is

0:17:20.840 --> 0:17:23.919
<v Speaker 1>one of you know, seven hundred and fifty thousand people

0:17:24.440 --> 0:17:28.800
<v Speaker 1>at that level of employments at Walmart. So these are

0:17:28.880 --> 0:17:32.399
<v Speaker 1>incredibly difficult shifts, and you know, they're very critical shifts

0:17:32.560 --> 0:17:35.560
<v Speaker 1>will have been at least over the past year when

0:17:35.560 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 1>shoppers have come and then have needed the cashier to

0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:40.320
<v Speaker 1>s in the right direction for their life, al their death,

0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:45.040
<v Speaker 1>holl and everything else. Notice it's a very interesting, interesting

0:17:45.080 --> 0:17:47.320
<v Speaker 1>dynamic rob serving at the moment it is Thomas, and

0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:50.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm wondering why the market hasn't actually pushed the

0:17:50.760 --> 0:17:53.960
<v Speaker 1>wages up because Amazon got out ahead of this and

0:17:54.000 --> 0:17:56.800
<v Speaker 1>said fifteen dollar minimum wage, and it has served it

0:17:56.800 --> 0:17:59.920
<v Speaker 1>pretty well Costco. Costco has gone up to sixteen dollars

0:18:00.320 --> 0:18:03.840
<v Speaker 1>an hour, Target has announced increased wages. Why hasn't the

0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:08.560
<v Speaker 1>market done this to Walmart? But that's a really fascinating question. Um,

0:18:08.680 --> 0:18:12.240
<v Speaker 1>I think that you know, it's used to be. I

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:15.280
<v Speaker 1>suppose all companies in respect were very much on even

0:18:15.400 --> 0:18:19.760
<v Speaker 1>keel paying stw wages, and everybody was just gaving this,

0:18:20.000 --> 0:18:21.919
<v Speaker 1>you know, waiting to stick are out who would take

0:18:22.000 --> 0:18:24.520
<v Speaker 1>the steps to rape it stuff, whether they would remain

0:18:24.520 --> 0:18:26.800
<v Speaker 1>in the outline, you know, in the near or median tern,

0:18:27.160 --> 0:18:29.359
<v Speaker 1>And then all of a sudden, Walmart is sound as

0:18:29.400 --> 0:18:32.080
<v Speaker 1>well as a bit cornered here because everybody has decided

0:18:32.119 --> 0:18:34.920
<v Speaker 1>to lead from them to raise wages, and they are

0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:37.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, I've heard the story, a very clear outline

0:18:37.760 --> 0:18:40.760
<v Speaker 1>in this, and I do wonder, as you know, BSG

0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:43.920
<v Speaker 1>trends gain momentum, whether there will be that added pressure

0:18:44.000 --> 0:18:46.520
<v Speaker 1>on America's largest employer to actually do something about this.

0:18:46.720 --> 0:18:50.639
<v Speaker 1>We shall see. And as you say, for for Mandy Hughes,

0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:53.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean she's looking to leave Walmart, get out of Arkansas,

0:18:53.359 --> 0:18:54.919
<v Speaker 1>and she says, I would love to get out of Arkansas.

0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:58.080
<v Speaker 1>I could afford to move and that's the other tricky part. Listen,

0:18:58.160 --> 0:19:01.040
<v Speaker 1>this is a really important story, Thomas. Thank you so

0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:03.480
<v Speaker 1>much for bringing it to us. Bloomberg News reporter Thomas

0:19:03.480 --> 0:19:06.760
<v Speaker 1>Buckley joining us from London. Check it out at Bloomberg

0:19:06.800 --> 0:19:10.359
<v Speaker 1>dot com. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

0:19:10.400 --> 0:19:14.840
<v Speaker 1>Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio.

0:19:15.200 --> 0:19:17.920
<v Speaker 1>We got to talk about Tesla, and we got to

0:19:17.960 --> 0:19:21.400
<v Speaker 1>talk about the disc because investors Tim not that impressed

0:19:21.400 --> 0:19:25.399
<v Speaker 1>by Tesla's record profit in the first quarter, record profit.

0:19:25.920 --> 0:19:28.359
<v Speaker 1>Chip shortage that hey, wasn't a big deal to Tesla

0:19:28.960 --> 0:19:32.800
<v Speaker 1>has really been a thing that has really hampered looks

0:19:33.040 --> 0:19:36.320
<v Speaker 1>sidelines some companies. Yeah, exactly, stocks down four present today

0:19:36.920 --> 0:19:38.960
<v Speaker 1>near its low. So let's get into it. How come?

0:19:39.320 --> 0:19:43.439
<v Speaker 1>Ben Kylo is senior research analyst, Britt Baird Kaylo Calo

0:19:43.560 --> 0:19:45.480
<v Speaker 1>excuse me? Ben? Hello? Do you think I would know

0:19:45.520 --> 0:19:49.040
<v Speaker 1>this senior research time? Ben? You know it's been a while.

0:19:49.200 --> 0:19:52.600
<v Speaker 1>I kind of like, well, and and we've probably talked

0:19:52.680 --> 0:19:57.360
<v Speaker 1>for ten years. Tesla. It's okay, I mispronounced my siblings name.

0:19:59.560 --> 0:20:04.360
<v Speaker 1>We should to two worked up about. But I'll let

0:20:04.359 --> 0:20:06.280
<v Speaker 1>you take it from here. We'll talk to us about that.

0:20:06.320 --> 0:20:08.720
<v Speaker 1>You've got an outperform, you've got a price target of

0:20:08.760 --> 0:20:11.600
<v Speaker 1>seven thirty six. Stocks now at seven oh six almost

0:20:11.600 --> 0:20:15.119
<v Speaker 1>seven oh seven to share here, Um, what's what's the

0:20:15.119 --> 0:20:16.920
<v Speaker 1>problem with investors or what do you think that they're

0:20:16.920 --> 0:20:19.960
<v Speaker 1>focusing on and maybe that they shouldn't be been well?

0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:22.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, I think that there's there's always been a

0:20:22.560 --> 0:20:25.400
<v Speaker 1>lot of noise, and I think one of the biggest

0:20:25.400 --> 0:20:27.359
<v Speaker 1>things that we took away from the call last night

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:33.160
<v Speaker 1>has you know, the Model three is selling more than

0:20:33.480 --> 0:20:36.360
<v Speaker 1>a BMW three series. If we take a step back

0:20:36.400 --> 0:20:38.400
<v Speaker 1>and like we go back to like five years ago

0:20:38.440 --> 0:20:40.679
<v Speaker 1>or seven years ago. I don't want to age us,

0:20:40.760 --> 0:20:44.520
<v Speaker 1>but we can't age if we need go back that far.

0:20:44.560 --> 0:20:46.000
<v Speaker 1>It's like no one thought that we were going to

0:20:46.080 --> 0:20:50.720
<v Speaker 1>get here, right and so uh, you know, the expectations

0:20:50.720 --> 0:20:55.040
<v Speaker 1>are extremely high, obviously with the evaluation of whatever it is,

0:20:55.119 --> 0:20:59.040
<v Speaker 1>six seventy eight billion dollars. Uh, there's a lot uh

0:20:59.160 --> 0:21:02.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, people are asking for UM. But I think

0:21:02.600 --> 0:21:04.399
<v Speaker 1>that you know, the big things taking away from the

0:21:04.440 --> 0:21:09.000
<v Speaker 1>car are number one, demand uh stronger than ever. Number Two,

0:21:09.920 --> 0:21:13.480
<v Speaker 1>the plants that they're building uh in Berlin and Austin

0:21:13.920 --> 0:21:17.639
<v Speaker 1>and then expanding in Shanghai are going to only help

0:21:17.800 --> 0:21:21.400
<v Speaker 1>them with profitability. Um. And I think the third thing

0:21:21.520 --> 0:21:24.320
<v Speaker 1>is that you know you have Ellen that you know,

0:21:24.400 --> 0:21:28.560
<v Speaker 1>he plontificated about Taunament's driving for for a lot of

0:21:28.600 --> 0:21:32.280
<v Speaker 1>the call last night, and you know he just sent

0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:36.120
<v Speaker 1>four people into the space station, and so for him

0:21:36.119 --> 0:21:37.959
<v Speaker 1>to say it's one of the biggest problems to tackle,

0:21:38.720 --> 0:21:43.440
<v Speaker 1>I think that people you know are are are focusing

0:21:43.480 --> 0:21:46.720
<v Speaker 1>on that, um and rightly so you feel like Ben

0:21:46.800 --> 0:21:51.000
<v Speaker 1>and Ellen together dropping the mic. Well, look, I I

0:21:51.680 --> 0:21:54.600
<v Speaker 1>do wonder though, Ben, if this is if this is

0:21:54.640 --> 0:21:57.399
<v Speaker 1>about guidance, is this is this about the company not

0:21:57.560 --> 0:22:02.560
<v Speaker 1>saying how many cars they're going to deliver in I

0:22:02.600 --> 0:22:05.240
<v Speaker 1>think it's just people running up a little fast money

0:22:05.280 --> 0:22:07.520
<v Speaker 1>into the into the quarter and it's a little sell

0:22:07.520 --> 0:22:10.840
<v Speaker 1>office to be expected here up. But to your point him,

0:22:10.840 --> 0:22:14.280
<v Speaker 1>I think, uh, you know, costs are going to come in.

0:22:14.359 --> 0:22:17.960
<v Speaker 1>But I never recovered Amazon, but I imagine you know,

0:22:18.040 --> 0:22:20.760
<v Speaker 1>as Amazon was growing, they start spending more money, and

0:22:20.800 --> 0:22:23.520
<v Speaker 1>so you see on the op X side and operating

0:22:23.520 --> 0:22:26.080
<v Speaker 1>expenses that picked up. And so I think we saw

0:22:26.119 --> 0:22:28.720
<v Speaker 1>some of that with Tesla, and you know in in

0:22:29.200 --> 0:22:32.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, people put points to bitcoin and they made

0:22:32.480 --> 0:22:35.760
<v Speaker 1>some profits of bitcoin and and this and that. But

0:22:35.880 --> 0:22:38.879
<v Speaker 1>that's been the story for you know, eight nine years.

0:22:39.000 --> 0:22:42.560
<v Speaker 1>The earnings have been clean, but they still have earnings.

0:22:42.800 --> 0:22:45.560
<v Speaker 1>Hum and so, uh, you know, I think there's some

0:22:45.640 --> 0:22:49.080
<v Speaker 1>of all that going on. So how concerned have you

0:22:49.200 --> 0:22:53.080
<v Speaker 1>been about all of the new competition? We keep talking

0:22:53.119 --> 0:22:56.200
<v Speaker 1>about the green wave that's going to hit this year.

0:22:56.280 --> 0:22:59.840
<v Speaker 1>It feels like finally, finally the global auto industry as

0:22:59.840 --> 0:23:02.760
<v Speaker 1>well can happen. Oh wait, maybe Ellen's onto something. So

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:05.359
<v Speaker 1>how do you see it? Is that going to be problematic?

0:23:05.359 --> 0:23:07.840
<v Speaker 1>They're already to be fair to Tesla is losing some

0:23:07.920 --> 0:23:11.520
<v Speaker 1>market share in the US. Yeah, So I think the

0:23:11.520 --> 0:23:14.120
<v Speaker 1>big the big things that we have to watch out

0:23:14.119 --> 0:23:18.119
<v Speaker 1>for is riv and uh private company I think, you know,

0:23:18.280 --> 0:23:21.560
<v Speaker 1>on the on the consumer side as well as on

0:23:21.680 --> 0:23:25.000
<v Speaker 1>the commercial side. I think Rivy and obviously have Amazon

0:23:25.040 --> 0:23:28.800
<v Speaker 1>as a partner and so um and after that, I

0:23:28.840 --> 0:23:33.720
<v Speaker 1>think Folkswagon is probably the most uh a near term

0:23:33.760 --> 0:23:36.440
<v Speaker 1>threat to them. But you know, competition is always something

0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:39.600
<v Speaker 1>that we watched and we don't dismiss it. And uh,

0:23:39.800 --> 0:23:43.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, they're always have been five years behind and

0:23:43.880 --> 0:23:46.600
<v Speaker 1>the scale is one thing that I think that you

0:23:46.640 --> 0:23:50.320
<v Speaker 1>know that a lot of doubters of Tesla have missed

0:23:51.320 --> 0:23:55.399
<v Speaker 1>how you know, how rapidly they've scaled up with those

0:23:55.480 --> 0:23:58.480
<v Speaker 1>factories of what I talked about. Yeah, Ben, Well, what

0:23:58.840 --> 0:24:02.080
<v Speaker 1>kind of expectations are are built into the stock price

0:24:02.200 --> 0:24:04.520
<v Speaker 1>right now, like what our analysts expecting, because that's also

0:24:04.720 --> 0:24:06.760
<v Speaker 1>can be part of this story. Right with what we

0:24:06.800 --> 0:24:09.280
<v Speaker 1>saw yesterday, it was a really great quarter for the company,

0:24:09.359 --> 0:24:13.600
<v Speaker 1>but hey, that's expected with what happened in the company's stock.

0:24:14.760 --> 0:24:18.800
<v Speaker 1>I think I think that there's considerable expectations built into

0:24:18.880 --> 0:24:21.280
<v Speaker 1>the stock um. I do think that you know, one

0:24:21.320 --> 0:24:24.920
<v Speaker 1>of the things that you know is is a call

0:24:24.960 --> 0:24:28.960
<v Speaker 1>option or upside option is you know, I I focus

0:24:29.080 --> 0:24:34.360
<v Speaker 1>on renewable energy as well, and and the the energy

0:24:34.400 --> 0:24:38.399
<v Speaker 1>storage piece of the business, uh, and the momentum that

0:24:38.520 --> 0:24:42.080
<v Speaker 1>has and the software that that they have behind it. Uh,

0:24:42.280 --> 0:24:46.280
<v Speaker 1>it's you know, AI hate to use your buzzwords, but

0:24:47.520 --> 0:24:50.879
<v Speaker 1>behind that and you know, and building out power plants

0:24:50.880 --> 0:24:54.440
<v Speaker 1>on lifing mind batteries and solar I think that that's

0:24:54.480 --> 0:24:59.480
<v Speaker 1>something that's underappreciated there and and it's maybe built into

0:24:59.480 --> 0:25:03.720
<v Speaker 1>that market yep. But it's also offside that. And I'm

0:25:03.760 --> 0:25:06.080
<v Speaker 1>a meet Potato person, so I don't I don't do

0:25:06.280 --> 0:25:09.320
<v Speaker 1>robo taxi kind of stuff or anything like that. But

0:25:09.400 --> 0:25:13.280
<v Speaker 1>that's also that's also probably an offside to it as well.

0:25:14.080 --> 0:25:15.919
<v Speaker 1>By the way, Ben Callo, you've earned the right to

0:25:16.040 --> 0:25:18.159
<v Speaker 1>use buzz words like a I'm just gonna put that

0:25:18.200 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 1>out there. Ben. Good to hear you again. Thank you

0:25:20.920 --> 0:25:23.919
<v Speaker 1>so much. I always appreciate your insight on names like Tesla.

0:25:24.000 --> 0:25:27.280
<v Speaker 1>Ben Kayla Calo is senior research anless at Bair. He's

0:25:27.320 --> 0:25:29.240
<v Speaker 1>got an outperform rating on the stock price target of

0:25:29.280 --> 0:25:31.600
<v Speaker 1>seven thirties six and as we mentioned though, Tesla seeing

0:25:31.880 --> 0:25:39.440
<v Speaker 1>some pressure. I'm road mac a journal now. But you

0:25:39.520 --> 0:25:44.520
<v Speaker 1>let me drive. Oh no, no, no no, no, please, I'll

0:25:44.560 --> 0:25:47.760
<v Speaker 1>do the right l let me. I want to drive.

0:25:50.480 --> 0:26:00.639
<v Speaker 1>Just drive, baby. It's the questions. Get drying your job.

0:26:02.400 --> 0:26:05.880
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the Globe community. Thanks. We'll

0:26:05.960 --> 0:26:10.040
<v Speaker 1>drying us on Bloomberg Radio. Right just about Tim and

0:26:10.160 --> 0:26:12.080
<v Speaker 1>is left and the trading day it is time for

0:26:12.119 --> 0:26:14.199
<v Speaker 1>the drive to the close. Rebecca Corbyn is with US,

0:26:14.200 --> 0:26:17.640
<v Speaker 1>founder and CEO at the strategic consultancy and research firm

0:26:17.680 --> 0:26:22.240
<v Speaker 1>Corman Advisors. She joins US Tim on the phone in Farmington, Connecticut. Rebecca,

0:26:22.320 --> 0:26:24.880
<v Speaker 1>good to have you here. Just got a few minutes

0:26:24.960 --> 0:26:27.399
<v Speaker 1>left in the trading day, but we've got a slew

0:26:27.440 --> 0:26:30.480
<v Speaker 1>of earnings coming our way in just a moment. We've

0:26:30.520 --> 0:26:33.440
<v Speaker 1>got Alphabet, We've got Microsoft, We've got Starbucks, You've got

0:26:33.400 --> 0:26:36.160
<v Speaker 1>a m D. We've got Visa, We've got Texas instruments.

0:26:36.160 --> 0:26:38.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure I'm leaving a few out here. How do

0:26:38.800 --> 0:26:44.040
<v Speaker 1>you see kind of the market environment against the earnings environment? Well,

0:26:44.080 --> 0:26:45.919
<v Speaker 1>first of all, Carol and Tim, thank you so much

0:26:45.960 --> 0:26:49.560
<v Speaker 1>for the opportunity to be here with you this afternoon. Listen,

0:26:49.760 --> 0:26:53.680
<v Speaker 1>equities are very strong right now, and um, given where

0:26:53.680 --> 0:26:56.280
<v Speaker 1>we are with regard to coming out of COVID, with

0:26:56.320 --> 0:26:59.399
<v Speaker 1>regard to the true fundamental growth that we're seeing, I

0:26:59.440 --> 0:27:02.280
<v Speaker 1>think there's room to run on these and we're going

0:27:02.320 --> 0:27:05.360
<v Speaker 1>to prove that out dis quarter. We have, heading into

0:27:05.359 --> 0:27:08.280
<v Speaker 1>the quarter percent of investors in analysts that we surveyed

0:27:08.320 --> 0:27:11.600
<v Speaker 1>as part of our Inside the Byside Earnings primer eighty

0:27:11.640 --> 0:27:16.400
<v Speaker 1>investors in a globally we're expecting raises in guidance, and

0:27:16.600 --> 0:27:19.040
<v Speaker 1>our analysis so far is that so many one percent

0:27:19.080 --> 0:27:22.159
<v Speaker 1>of companies have indeed raised guidance, and so we're going

0:27:22.200 --> 0:27:24.240
<v Speaker 1>to continue to see that. So why are we seeing

0:27:24.240 --> 0:27:26.640
<v Speaker 1>that play out in the way that investors are reacting

0:27:26.640 --> 0:27:29.040
<v Speaker 1>because going into today, four or five companies that have

0:27:29.160 --> 0:27:33.160
<v Speaker 1>reported earnings thus far have beat estimates, but on average,

0:27:33.160 --> 0:27:35.639
<v Speaker 1>shares have gained less than one tenth of one percent

0:27:36.040 --> 0:27:39.000
<v Speaker 1>after the reports. This is according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

0:27:39.240 --> 0:27:41.199
<v Speaker 1>Is it just because expectations are so high and this

0:27:41.240 --> 0:27:45.440
<v Speaker 1>is all baked in? Actually, it's because consensus is so low.

0:27:46.200 --> 0:27:50.879
<v Speaker 1>Uh seal Side has been notoriously conservative with regard to COVID.

0:27:51.400 --> 0:27:55.800
<v Speaker 1>UH companies have been handily beating expectations. As of last Friday,

0:27:56.040 --> 0:28:00.440
<v Speaker 1>SMP five Hunter companies that had positive surprises were eighty

0:28:00.520 --> 0:28:04.520
<v Speaker 1>five percent of those companies that have reported against consensus.

0:28:04.560 --> 0:28:07.000
<v Speaker 1>So I think we have we have a couple of

0:28:07.000 --> 0:28:11.080
<v Speaker 1>factors here. We've got consensus, which they're handily beating. But

0:28:11.160 --> 0:28:13.880
<v Speaker 1>why the why stocks are not necessarily on a care

0:28:14.000 --> 0:28:17.080
<v Speaker 1>is because it's the old adage by on the rumors,

0:28:17.119 --> 0:28:19.760
<v Speaker 1>sell the news. These stocks are trading at all time highs.

0:28:19.800 --> 0:28:24.400
<v Speaker 1>The expectations heading into earnings was sixty percent. Investors were

0:28:24.440 --> 0:28:29.480
<v Speaker 1>expecting sequential improvement. Excuse me, seventy five. We're expecting sequential

0:28:29.480 --> 0:28:34.640
<v Speaker 1>improvement and we're expecting beats, and so that's based into

0:28:34.800 --> 0:28:37.840
<v Speaker 1>shares heading into the earnings. That's really been about the

0:28:37.920 --> 0:28:40.400
<v Speaker 1>guides that companies have come out with, and we did

0:28:40.560 --> 0:28:45.160
<v Speaker 1>drill down into those guidance. Companies that raised their guidance

0:28:45.320 --> 0:28:48.640
<v Speaker 1>at the midpoint of three hundred basis points actually saw

0:28:49.000 --> 0:28:52.760
<v Speaker 1>four point four percent increase in their shares. Interestingly, not

0:28:53.360 --> 0:28:56.880
<v Speaker 1>juxtaposed that against companies that raise their guidance in the

0:28:57.200 --> 0:28:59.840
<v Speaker 1>zero to two hundred basis points, So companies that didn't

0:29:00.000 --> 0:29:02.520
<v Speaker 1>as our guidance and companies that did but at our

0:29:02.600 --> 0:29:06.360
<v Speaker 1>lower rate, we're up point nine percent on average. So

0:29:06.600 --> 0:29:12.560
<v Speaker 1>the market is rewarding big guidance outlooks in terms of increases. Interesting, right,

0:29:12.960 --> 0:29:15.560
<v Speaker 1>And I think this is a quarter in particular that

0:29:15.640 --> 0:29:18.320
<v Speaker 1>we want to hear from companies and the c suite

0:29:18.360 --> 0:29:22.080
<v Speaker 1>about outlooks, guidance, visibility, and we're hoping it's going to

0:29:22.160 --> 0:29:25.080
<v Speaker 1>be positive. Having said that, Rebecca, what you folks do

0:29:25.200 --> 0:29:29.160
<v Speaker 1>so well is you do kind of track investors sentiment.

0:29:29.320 --> 0:29:32.000
<v Speaker 1>What is what how do investors feel about this market

0:29:32.080 --> 0:29:35.880
<v Speaker 1>environment right now? Frosty at the mouth, I mean it's

0:29:35.920 --> 0:29:38.240
<v Speaker 1>all about growth. If you look at our word clouds

0:29:38.280 --> 0:29:41.320
<v Speaker 1>over four quarters, it was doom and gloom, gray and

0:29:41.360 --> 0:29:44.480
<v Speaker 1>red and now it's really upbeat. So you know, were

0:29:44.520 --> 0:29:46.880
<v Speaker 1>is it to froth girls happening? Because you know, I

0:29:46.960 --> 0:29:50.760
<v Speaker 1>say think so? Okay, Now I don't think so. I mean, listen,

0:29:50.840 --> 0:29:53.280
<v Speaker 1>we've got coming out of COVID, and you must look

0:29:53.280 --> 0:29:59.120
<v Speaker 1>at sentiment as um a retrospective as well as a

0:29:59.160 --> 0:30:01.480
<v Speaker 1>massive amount of you know, where we were and where

0:30:01.520 --> 0:30:04.120
<v Speaker 1>we're going. You cannot look at it in a vacuum.

0:30:04.160 --> 0:30:08.440
<v Speaker 1>We came out of and we are seeing true fundamental growth.

0:30:09.080 --> 0:30:13.320
<v Speaker 1>Companies are coming out with Q ones in the mainly

0:30:13.440 --> 0:30:16.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, on average the companies have reported in the

0:30:16.280 --> 0:30:19.920
<v Speaker 1>in the high single digit versus guiding to in some

0:30:20.000 --> 0:30:22.880
<v Speaker 1>instances down to flat to low single digits. So we

0:30:22.960 --> 0:30:28.440
<v Speaker 1>are seeing significant increases in growth. However, we also have

0:30:29.000 --> 0:30:33.040
<v Speaker 1>on the opposite side, we've got massive inflation and we've

0:30:33.080 --> 0:30:36.280
<v Speaker 1>got supply change. And what do you mean what do

0:30:36.280 --> 0:30:44.960
<v Speaker 1>you mean by massive inflation? What makes you so? Cost inflation, healthcare, labor, costs, UH, commodities, shipping,

0:30:46.040 --> 0:30:48.760
<v Speaker 1>everything is up. And what's happening is that a lot

0:30:48.800 --> 0:30:52.040
<v Speaker 1>of companies are pulling forward there buys and they're buying inventory,

0:30:52.160 --> 0:30:57.080
<v Speaker 1>so that because they see prices increasing, saying that this

0:30:57.240 --> 0:30:59.880
<v Speaker 1>any inflation that we see as transitory. So you're you're

0:31:00.000 --> 0:31:02.720
<v Speaker 1>saying that's not the case. Well, what would you how

0:31:02.720 --> 0:31:09.160
<v Speaker 1>would you describe transitory? What? Temporary? Temporary? Right? Yes, well, listen,

0:31:09.200 --> 0:31:11.960
<v Speaker 1>it's gonna take right now. We're starting to begin to

0:31:12.000 --> 0:31:16.080
<v Speaker 1>see us inflation. We started hearing about it in Earnest

0:31:16.120 --> 0:31:20.280
<v Speaker 1>two quarters ago, massive increase in inflation as a concern

0:31:20.760 --> 0:31:23.880
<v Speaker 1>with regard to investors, moving from in the third quarter,

0:31:24.200 --> 0:31:27.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, four mentions to now almost six times that

0:31:28.000 --> 0:31:31.080
<v Speaker 1>amount that you know, and that's what they're hearing, that's

0:31:31.080 --> 0:31:34.600
<v Speaker 1>what they're seeing in earnings. But you know, Rebecca, what

0:31:35.200 --> 0:31:36.480
<v Speaker 1>let me just jump in for a second because you

0:31:36.480 --> 0:31:38.080
<v Speaker 1>know what Tim is getting to and this is something

0:31:38.120 --> 0:31:39.920
<v Speaker 1>we have a lot of conversations with and and I

0:31:39.960 --> 0:31:42.120
<v Speaker 1>agree that you know, depending on where you look. And

0:31:42.120 --> 0:31:45.680
<v Speaker 1>we've certainly heard it from CEOs about rising costs and

0:31:45.720 --> 0:31:47.560
<v Speaker 1>they're kind of holding off at least for the moment

0:31:47.600 --> 0:31:50.600
<v Speaker 1>maybe of passing it on to customers. But is it temporary?

0:31:50.720 --> 0:31:53.040
<v Speaker 1>Is its supply change just catching up? Right? We have

0:31:53.520 --> 0:31:56.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot of you know, the manufacturing capability maybe had

0:31:56.800 --> 0:32:00.000
<v Speaker 1>held back because they had to during the pandemic because

0:32:00.000 --> 0:32:01.960
<v Speaker 1>there wasn't demand, or they couldn't get the workers or

0:32:02.000 --> 0:32:04.760
<v Speaker 1>what have you. And they're gonna be cautious before they

0:32:04.880 --> 0:32:07.000
<v Speaker 1>ramp up because they don't want to do it too early.

0:32:07.560 --> 0:32:09.960
<v Speaker 1>Is that some of what's going on, that disconnect between

0:32:10.000 --> 0:32:12.640
<v Speaker 1>supply and demand. And it'll work its way out. I

0:32:12.640 --> 0:32:14.280
<v Speaker 1>don't know whether it's six months. I don't know whether

0:32:14.320 --> 0:32:17.720
<v Speaker 1>it's twelve months. Yeah, well, of course it will work

0:32:17.720 --> 0:32:20.480
<v Speaker 1>its way out. So you know, you have to work

0:32:20.520 --> 0:32:23.560
<v Speaker 1>the cost through the system right and at the end

0:32:23.600 --> 0:32:25.680
<v Speaker 1>of the day it will reach the consumer. But you know,

0:32:25.760 --> 0:32:28.520
<v Speaker 1>there's value chains all over the place, so they are

0:32:28.760 --> 0:32:30.920
<v Speaker 1>you will hear on earnings calls. You have heard on

0:32:31.200 --> 0:32:36.600
<v Speaker 1>earnings calls companies talking about cost actions. They are passing

0:32:36.640 --> 0:32:39.560
<v Speaker 1>on costs. Typically they are saying that that's going to

0:32:39.640 --> 0:32:41.840
<v Speaker 1>take you know, two to three quarters to work its

0:32:41.840 --> 0:32:44.800
<v Speaker 1>way through the system with regard to you know, the

0:32:44.800 --> 0:32:47.480
<v Speaker 1>the early stages, and that usually ends up at the consumer.

0:32:47.560 --> 0:32:49.800
<v Speaker 1>So of course it will work out. And there is

0:32:49.840 --> 0:32:52.160
<v Speaker 1>a lot of scarcity right now, so there's a tremendous

0:32:52.160 --> 0:32:55.240
<v Speaker 1>amount of demand, but there is scarcity, and on top

0:32:55.280 --> 0:32:57.960
<v Speaker 1>of that, we have you know, there's scarcity because of

0:32:57.960 --> 0:33:00.280
<v Speaker 1>the demand. There's scarcity because there wasn't a lot of

0:33:00.280 --> 0:33:03.040
<v Speaker 1>production and there has to ramp in production. And then

0:33:03.040 --> 0:33:06.080
<v Speaker 1>of course you have the port issues that are exacerbating that.

0:33:06.280 --> 0:33:10.360
<v Speaker 1>So you know, it's it's something that companies will work through.

0:33:11.000 --> 0:33:14.000
<v Speaker 1>Is it something that is transitory. It depends on how

0:33:14.040 --> 0:33:16.080
<v Speaker 1>long you think transitory is. It's going to be a

0:33:16.080 --> 0:33:21.400
<v Speaker 1>couple of quarders, but it's any transitory opening, right, Yeah,

0:33:21.520 --> 0:33:23.240
<v Speaker 1>So it doesn't necessarily make you think though that the

0:33:23.240 --> 0:33:24.800
<v Speaker 1>Fed is going to change its out look for interest

0:33:24.880 --> 0:33:29.160
<v Speaker 1>rate raising right based on that. Now, I don't think

0:33:29.240 --> 0:33:32.160
<v Speaker 1>they're going to change their rate based on cost inflation

0:33:32.200 --> 0:33:34.600
<v Speaker 1>at this level, and we'll have to see where things

0:33:34.680 --> 0:33:37.760
<v Speaker 1>net out. We have other issues though, We have a

0:33:37.760 --> 0:33:41.360
<v Speaker 1>pretty significant labor shortage and that's something else that we're identifying.

0:33:42.120 --> 0:33:45.400
<v Speaker 1>So you have a conflux of factors that you know,

0:33:45.480 --> 0:33:48.760
<v Speaker 1>this great growth that's happening, but there are some clouds

0:33:48.760 --> 0:33:54.000
<v Speaker 1>on the horizon with regard to what could potentially stunt that. Yeah, exactly. Hey, listen,

0:33:54.040 --> 0:33:56.320
<v Speaker 1>just twenty seconds left here. The big tech that are reporting,

0:33:56.320 --> 0:33:59.040
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna get ready for Alphabet and Microsoft and quick

0:33:59.080 --> 0:34:03.680
<v Speaker 1>thoughts here, listen, I think tech companies are are always

0:34:03.960 --> 0:34:06.440
<v Speaker 1>going to lead. It's about it's going to be about

0:34:06.480 --> 0:34:09.680
<v Speaker 1>capital allocation and investment. You see a lot of companies

0:34:09.680 --> 0:34:14.160
<v Speaker 1>talking about reinvestment, talking about digitization, talking about really moving

0:34:14.239 --> 0:34:17.160
<v Speaker 1>into that next industry, Supper point out, and I think

0:34:17.200 --> 0:34:19.600
<v Speaker 1>these companies are going to benefit from that. Boy, it's

0:34:19.640 --> 0:34:22.080
<v Speaker 1>like Elon must took a page from your playbook, because

0:34:22.120 --> 0:34:24.840
<v Speaker 1>they definitely have been doing lots of capital allocation and

0:34:24.840 --> 0:34:27.200
<v Speaker 1>capital investments. Certainly one of the names we've been focusing

0:34:27.239 --> 0:34:29.680
<v Speaker 1>on on this Tuesday. Rebecca, Thank you so much, really

0:34:29.719 --> 0:34:33.160
<v Speaker 1>appreciate it. Rebecca Corbin, She's founder and chief executive officer

0:34:33.200 --> 0:34:36.239
<v Speaker 1>of Corbin Advisors, joining us on the phone from Connecticut.

0:34:37.200 --> 0:34:40.040
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast

0:34:40.080 --> 0:34:43.040
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0:34:43.080 --> 0:34:45.200
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0:34:45.239 --> 0:34:48.400
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0:34:48.400 --> 0:34:49.080
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