WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2019 NFL MegaPod Week 6 Preview 0:00:03.400 --> 0:00:12.280 Check it out man Down. Then Thursday morning, October ten 0:00:13.280 --> 0:00:17.880 up beating the book podcast Megapod week number what is it? Six? 0:00:18.120 --> 0:00:21.439 Week six? National Football League. It's Gil Alexander on the 0:00:21.480 --> 0:00:24.840 show today. The staples is always from Circus Sports, Derek 0:00:24.840 --> 0:00:28.920 Stephen's conciliary, the vice president of operations at Circus Sports, 0:00:29.000 --> 0:00:31.680 Ladies and Gentlemen's Mike Palum, Good morning, Michael, good morning, 0:00:32.120 --> 0:00:36.519 and guests indeed Todd Wishnev of course the other staple 0:00:36.600 --> 0:00:39.200 on the show. To my left Todd from his uh 0:00:39.440 --> 0:00:43.120 palatial Grace Land somewhere next to the South Point Hotel casino. Todd, 0:00:43.440 --> 0:00:45.320 what is your record now in Circle? What is it? 0:00:45.880 --> 0:00:48.280 I believe it's sixteen and nine, but thanks for drinxing 0:00:48.360 --> 0:00:51.319 me sixteen and nine. Todd and I both went four 0:00:51.320 --> 0:00:54.080 and won the first week of the new quarterly A Circle. Uh, 0:00:54.120 --> 0:00:57.440 they're fifty five and oh's last week and two D 0:00:58.240 --> 0:01:01.640 four and one's interested. We are behind the eight ball. 0:01:01.880 --> 0:01:03.760 See if we have a Thursday pick coming up, and 0:01:03.760 --> 0:01:06.360 our guest today on the heels of Michael Lombardi and 0:01:06.400 --> 0:01:08.479 Joe Ford and Ball Leases and Gentlemen's producing number five 0:01:08.480 --> 0:01:10.479 from the Visa Show and numbers game, and he hosts 0:01:10.520 --> 0:01:14.039 his own show called market Watch Monday through Fridays UH 0:01:14.120 --> 0:01:20.360 four to six Pacific, seven to nine Eastern evenings at Visa. 0:01:20.440 --> 0:01:24.440 It's Jeff Parl's Good morning, Jeffrey, good morning, Gil. It's uh, 0:01:24.640 --> 0:01:26.840 it's a it's a great honor to be on with you. 0:01:26.959 --> 0:01:29.319 It's a great honor to be on with Mike Palm, 0:01:29.360 --> 0:01:30.800 and it's a great honor to be with the guy 0:01:30.800 --> 0:01:33.360 of eaton tennis. The other day, well, easy on the 0:01:33.440 --> 0:01:35.360 last one, which would be Todd Wishneff in the first 0:01:35.360 --> 0:01:38.880 annual Las Vegas Invitational tournament, although a rules committee came 0:01:38.920 --> 0:01:41.679 down on Twitter and said that in fact, it is 0:01:41.680 --> 0:01:44.119 your responsibility to move that ball that was on the court, 0:01:44.400 --> 0:01:47.360 and so therefore the point should be Todds. That changes everything. 0:01:47.560 --> 0:01:49.640 Todd hitting a drop shot that managed to hit a 0:01:49.680 --> 0:01:51.480 ball that was laying on Jeff's side of the court. 0:01:51.760 --> 0:01:54.240 Of course he did. We gave the point Jeff should 0:01:54.240 --> 0:01:56.320 have been Todds. And then I go pay the guy 0:01:56.400 --> 0:01:58.000 this morning and try to give him a hundred dollar 0:01:58.040 --> 0:02:00.080 bill because I own like forty six dollars because he 0:02:00.160 --> 0:02:02.680 hit a plus one thirty against me, and he gives 0:02:02.720 --> 0:02:04.600 me a hard time, like I'm giving him a hard 0:02:04.600 --> 0:02:06.880 time for giving him a month. I didn't. I didn't 0:02:06.880 --> 0:02:08.720 know if I had changed, Todd. It's a it's a 0:02:08.760 --> 0:02:11.320 big deal if I don't have changed that. This gentleman 0:02:11.360 --> 0:02:13.520 pulled a groin while playing Charging to the Net Mike 0:02:13.520 --> 0:02:17.560 Palm Mike Circus Sports update mentioned fifty five and oh's 0:02:18.080 --> 0:02:20.800 and two four and once. What is the leader of 0:02:20.800 --> 0:02:26.760 the whole thing at right now? Twenty wins, four losses 0:02:26.760 --> 0:02:30.280 in one tie, so twenty and a half points. Todd 0:02:30.320 --> 0:02:35.320 Wish snaps, it's only four and a half points back lead. Wow. 0:02:35.440 --> 0:02:37.240 For those of us who are in this quarterly thing 0:02:37.280 --> 0:02:40.600 now after one week of four in October, we want 0:02:40.600 --> 0:02:43.480 to know what the number is on this in New 0:02:43.520 --> 0:02:46.440 England Thursday night game? Do we have those out yet? 0:02:46.520 --> 0:02:48.760 As we record this on Thursday morning? Here the week 0:02:48.919 --> 0:02:52.960 six point spreads. The Patriots are seventeen over that giant 0:02:53.160 --> 0:02:56.600 in the circle con seventeen. Okay, so Todd, Then the 0:02:56.680 --> 0:02:59.280 question becomes, and we can start with a Thursday game here, gentlemen, 0:02:59.720 --> 0:03:02.079 the the thought becomes, you know, normally I don't play 0:03:02.120 --> 0:03:04.919 any Thursday games. This is awfully tempting tonight with the 0:03:04.919 --> 0:03:07.840 Patriots and seventeen point favorites. Thursday games are squarely, but 0:03:07.840 --> 0:03:10.600 the Giants are basically punting on this game. There's no 0:03:10.680 --> 0:03:14.600 sae Quon Barkley, there's no Galman, there's no Shepherd, there's 0:03:14.639 --> 0:03:17.359 no Ingram. Are they going to score enough points here 0:03:17.680 --> 0:03:19.640 to prevent New England from covering this? Todd? Are you 0:03:19.639 --> 0:03:21.640 playing this at all? I'm not gonna play it. If 0:03:21.680 --> 0:03:23.680 I did, I would, I would, I would lean to 0:03:23.720 --> 0:03:26.120 the Giants, But I'm not gonna play it. Jeff, I 0:03:26.200 --> 0:03:30.040 like New England the laying sixteen and a half or seventeen, 0:03:30.120 --> 0:03:32.480 regardless of of where it is right now. There's some 0:03:32.560 --> 0:03:35.400 sixteen and a half's out there as well, But I'm 0:03:35.440 --> 0:03:38.680 looking Giants team total, I said earlier today on the 0:03:38.760 --> 0:03:40.960 numbers game. I liked it even under ten and a half. 0:03:40.960 --> 0:03:43.560 There our twelve and a half's out there. How are 0:03:43.560 --> 0:03:45.800 the Giants gonna score more than twice in this game? 0:03:45.840 --> 0:03:48.000 I know, Todd and I got burned on a on 0:03:48.000 --> 0:03:50.280 a jet team total against New England a few weeks 0:03:50.280 --> 0:03:53.760 ago on Purechcanary, But I kind of like that under 0:03:53.760 --> 0:03:56.360 twelve and a half Giant team total and uh at 0:03:56.360 --> 0:04:01.920 minus one. Mike, you know I actually lean Giants getting seventeen. 0:04:01.960 --> 0:04:05.480 But I don't like this weather. Yes, good point. I 0:04:05.480 --> 0:04:09.000 think the weather is a big factor tonight, Gil and 0:04:09.240 --> 0:04:13.160 H Daniel Jones playing in the A C C and 0:04:13.280 --> 0:04:16.520 so far only in the fall. Uh in New York 0:04:17.000 --> 0:04:19.400 has not seen any weather like this. Brady is so 0:04:19.520 --> 0:04:22.240 used to these conditions. I think this really leans Patriots 0:04:22.279 --> 0:04:24.960 with weather. I am so tempted to play the Patriots 0:04:24.960 --> 0:04:28.800 and play a Thursday game. Foxboro temperature right now fifty 0:04:28.800 --> 0:04:34.320 two degrees tonight, expected to have fifty precipitation, chance of 0:04:34.360 --> 0:04:38.760 precipitation fifteen miles per hour wind. I just don't know 0:04:38.800 --> 0:04:40.800 if I want to get locked into the other four picks, 0:04:40.800 --> 0:04:42.720 but I am tempted by a Thursday night game in 0:04:42.720 --> 0:04:44.719 the way that I have not been thus far this year. 0:04:44.960 --> 0:04:47.880 So that's the Thursday night game. Let us begin with 0:04:48.160 --> 0:04:50.360 best bets. By the way, how do we do last week? Todd? 0:04:50.440 --> 0:04:52.840 Let's recap? First of all, Oh yeah, we should recap. 0:04:52.880 --> 0:04:55.960 I believe that you guys, both all of us went 0:04:56.000 --> 0:04:59.200 two and one on the picks, which would move me 0:04:59.360 --> 0:05:04.359 to nine and six, Mike would move to eight, six 0:05:04.440 --> 0:05:07.960 and one, and you would move to six and nine. 0:05:08.520 --> 0:05:10.440 Six and nine because I put together one and two 0:05:10.560 --> 0:05:12.880 is every other week. What happens if I win Circa 0:05:12.960 --> 0:05:17.760 October after that performance, that will be the poster child 0:05:18.279 --> 0:05:20.960 of why Circa did these quarterlies? Someone who could be 0:05:21.000 --> 0:05:23.520 as bad as me the first month and then turn 0:05:23.560 --> 0:05:26.120 it around. So that's what I'm playing for. It could happen. 0:05:26.240 --> 0:05:28.600 It could happen. By the way, if this weren't a 0:05:28.600 --> 0:05:31.000 football show, I could brag about baseball. But since it's 0:05:31.040 --> 0:05:34.159 not a baseball show, there's nothing really talk about. Gnatitude, Baby, 0:05:34.880 --> 0:05:40.040 don't worry about it, all right? Raised the Night. You 0:05:40.040 --> 0:05:44.040 should just say, how about that? Davy Roberts. If you've 0:05:44.040 --> 0:05:46.839 been listening to a numbers game on visa, just a 0:05:46.960 --> 0:05:53.120 windfall of cash. Yesterday, Cardinals Gnats Nats series, both wild 0:05:53.160 --> 0:05:55.920 card games. We hit multiple games in the division series. 0:05:55.920 --> 0:05:58.479 I think we missed twice the entire time so far. 0:05:59.000 --> 0:06:02.160 Got the raised to night plus to forty going against 0:06:02.160 --> 0:06:04.760 our futures bets on the Astros. We shall see. All right, 0:06:04.839 --> 0:06:07.560 let's do football picks. Let's try to do better. Mike. 0:06:07.600 --> 0:06:09.200 We start with you. What do you got. I'm gonna 0:06:09.240 --> 0:06:12.760 take a total for my first best bet, We'll go 0:06:12.839 --> 0:06:17.479 with old Fannie pack Vic hosting the Tennessee Titans. I 0:06:17.520 --> 0:06:20.400 thought this number would come back thirty seven, thirty seven 0:06:20.440 --> 0:06:23.560 and a half. We've actually seen it take up to forty. 0:06:23.600 --> 0:06:27.560 I'm gonna go under forty and Denver um I think 0:06:27.720 --> 0:06:30.080 you will. You will see this game played in the teens. 0:06:30.480 --> 0:06:34.320 Mariota won't turn the ball over to keep the game close. 0:06:34.520 --> 0:06:36.960 But look at last week, even in San Diego, neither 0:06:37.000 --> 0:06:40.960 team moved the ball, the Chargers or the Broncos. Flacco 0:06:41.160 --> 0:06:43.839 is just like you know, a statue back there. I 0:06:43.880 --> 0:06:46.120 think Tennessee will put some pressure on him. They'll be 0:06:46.120 --> 0:06:48.279 able to sack him a couple of times. And I 0:06:48.320 --> 0:06:51.320 think the first team just to a seventeen wins this game. 0:06:51.360 --> 0:06:54.479 So we'll go under forty in Denver. Under forty and Denver. 0:06:54.560 --> 0:06:56.640 I'm gonna jump in because if you listen to guessing 0:06:56.640 --> 0:06:59.800 lines this week, one of the picks that I had 0:06:59.800 --> 0:07:02.240 the long team favorite in is this one. I thought 0:07:02.279 --> 0:07:04.880 Tennessee should be favorite. They are not. Denver is a 0:07:04.880 --> 0:07:07.119 two and a half point favorite in this ball game. 0:07:07.320 --> 0:07:10.280 By the way, I think forty and a half is 0:07:10.320 --> 0:07:12.400 more consisdered. We give Mike an extra half point for 0:07:12.440 --> 0:07:14.760 it is under all right. If that's consensus, that's consensus. 0:07:14.760 --> 0:07:18.000 By the way, the Denver line is too. I'm taking Tennessee. 0:07:18.040 --> 0:07:20.160 Here is my best bet, first best bet of the week, 0:07:20.240 --> 0:07:22.640 Tennessee plus the two points. For some of the reasons 0:07:22.720 --> 0:07:25.320 Michael just stated in one of which was Marcus Mariota 0:07:25.360 --> 0:07:27.120 doesn't do a lot right. I've been a critic of 0:07:27.200 --> 0:07:30.000 his for many years. But the one thing he does 0:07:30.120 --> 0:07:32.400 do well, and we'll have him, you know, in this 0:07:32.480 --> 0:07:35.440 league for many years to come, he doesn't turn the 0:07:35.560 --> 0:07:38.040 ball over. As Mike said, this is one of these 0:07:38.040 --> 0:07:41.480 games where I think that particular skill is at a premium. 0:07:41.680 --> 0:07:44.640 I think Mariota and the Titans, now with their new kicker. 0:07:44.680 --> 0:07:46.440 By the way, no more Cairo Santos and miss four 0:07:46.440 --> 0:07:49.280 field goes last week, three missed, one blocked. It is, 0:07:49.360 --> 0:07:53.120 in fact Cody Parkey. I think Cody Parkey, Marcus Mariota 0:07:53.200 --> 0:07:55.120 and the Titans go in. I'm not gonna be influenced 0:07:55.160 --> 0:07:58.680 by what I saw from the Broncos one week. Last week. Uh, 0:07:58.680 --> 0:08:00.960 they finally forced to take away did the Broncos after 0:08:01.040 --> 0:08:03.360 not having done so the first four weeks of the season. 0:08:03.560 --> 0:08:05.920 Came up with three last week, but that was the 0:08:06.000 --> 0:08:09.200 Chargers doing Chargers things. I'm not gonna count on the 0:08:09.200 --> 0:08:12.120 Broncos having that kind of a turnover lead in this one, 0:08:12.200 --> 0:08:15.800 or a turnover victory in terms of the turnover differentials. 0:08:15.800 --> 0:08:19.400 So I'm going Tennessee plus the two points. I think 0:08:19.400 --> 0:08:24.080 Tennessee should be favored. Todd Um, I'm gonna go with 0:08:24.280 --> 0:08:28.800 the under in the Dallas cow Girls versus the New 0:08:28.880 --> 0:08:33.400 York Jets under forty four and a half um. And 0:08:33.440 --> 0:08:37.160 here's why I always love playing Dallas under. I think 0:08:37.160 --> 0:08:39.440 they're just a great under team because they love to 0:08:39.520 --> 0:08:42.520 run the ball. They're not that explosive offensively, and I 0:08:42.559 --> 0:08:46.160 think their defense is pretty good. Now, last week it 0:08:46.240 --> 0:08:48.800 would have gone under. I had under against the Package. 0:08:48.800 --> 0:08:51.040 It was seventeen nothing at the half, and it got 0:08:51.080 --> 0:08:53.080 out of control because the Packers got ahead by so 0:08:53.160 --> 0:08:55.600 much went into the pre event and that killed the under. 0:08:55.920 --> 0:08:58.040 That may not be the case this week. I think 0:08:58.360 --> 0:09:00.520 you guys were all talking about darn Old is going 0:09:00.559 --> 0:09:02.839 to be back this week, it seems like. But even 0:09:02.880 --> 0:09:06.079 with them back, how I don't see the Jets getting 0:09:06.120 --> 0:09:12.440 more than fourteen points, maybe seventeen, So you know, fourteen 0:09:13.320 --> 0:09:18.320 fourteen fourteen still gets even even thirty to fourteen gets 0:09:18.320 --> 0:09:21.240 you under the forty four and a half. So I'm 0:09:21.280 --> 0:09:23.320 gonna go under the forty four and a half in 0:09:23.360 --> 0:09:26.800 the Dallas, New York Jets game and hope for the 0:09:26.800 --> 0:09:28.839 collaborate to run the ball forty four and a half, 0:09:28.920 --> 0:09:32.000 which is one of four afternoon games on Sunday. Thank 0:09:32.040 --> 0:09:34.760 you that they're not ten and two this week. Remember 0:09:34.760 --> 0:09:37.480 we have a London game six thirty am Pacific, nine 0:09:37.520 --> 0:09:41.360 thirty am Eastern, then six games at the ten am 0:09:41.400 --> 0:09:43.719 one pm time slote, and then four games in the 0:09:43.760 --> 0:09:46.840 afternoon in the Dallas Jets game. One of those four, Jeff, 0:09:47.040 --> 0:09:49.440 we usually start with our guests with picks, so I'm 0:09:49.440 --> 0:09:52.080 gonna snake this. You get your best bet, and then 0:09:52.120 --> 0:09:53.760 you can follow it up with your second best bet. 0:09:53.760 --> 0:09:56.400 Here to start things off second round for us. Very 0:09:56.520 --> 0:09:59.920 nice going the full fantasy football style here, Gilt. Yes, 0:10:00.720 --> 0:10:03.840 I'll start off with one of those late afternoon games. 0:10:04.160 --> 0:10:07.560 I'm gonna take the Rams minus three, laying the points 0:10:07.559 --> 0:10:10.600 against the Niners. Now, of course, the last two samples 0:10:10.640 --> 0:10:13.000 we've seen from this team, these two teams of San 0:10:13.040 --> 0:10:17.360 Francisco absolutely pummeling Cleveland on Monday night. The Rams losing 0:10:17.360 --> 0:10:19.920 a tight game and really a game they should have won. 0:10:20.080 --> 0:10:23.120 Zero line usually money on kicks at the end of games, 0:10:23.200 --> 0:10:26.640 Mrs the forty four yard field goal. It's a scenario 0:10:26.679 --> 0:10:28.520 here for the Rams. It's a good spot. They're back 0:10:28.559 --> 0:10:31.559 at home the Niners on a short week. If the 0:10:31.640 --> 0:10:34.360 Rams lose this game, they're gonna be three and three, 0:10:34.400 --> 0:10:36.439 the Niners would be five and oh. It would be 0:10:36.480 --> 0:10:38.160 a scenario where the Rams are two and a half 0:10:38.200 --> 0:10:41.680 back without the tiebreak against San Francisco, and if Seattle 0:10:41.720 --> 0:10:44.040 were to win in Cleveland, they would be two back 0:10:44.080 --> 0:10:46.720 in Seattle with Seattle having the tiebreak. It feels like 0:10:46.720 --> 0:10:49.160 a good spot for the Rams to get right, even 0:10:49.200 --> 0:10:51.560 with how good San Francisco has looked. I'll lay the 0:10:51.679 --> 0:10:55.040 three with the l a Rams at the Coliseum against 0:10:55.080 --> 0:10:57.320 the forty Niners. That's my first best bet of the week. 0:10:57.360 --> 0:11:01.320 Gill Yeah, Niners on short rest here Rams. Last week, 0:11:01.360 --> 0:11:06.120 Golf filled up the statue one touchdown to Pick Everett 0:11:06.160 --> 0:11:09.280 and Cup his biggest target seven for Everett, nine for one, 0:11:09.320 --> 0:11:13.280 seventeen touchdown for Cup. Girly fifteen carries for fifty one 0:11:13.320 --> 0:11:16.160 yards to touchdowns just fifteen carries, but Jeff taking the 0:11:16.240 --> 0:11:19.120 rams for all the reasons stated giving the field goal 0:11:19.200 --> 0:11:22.600 as his best bet. Numero Uno, what's number two? Number two? 0:11:22.640 --> 0:11:25.520 I'm gonna go to arrow Head. I know the Chiefs 0:11:25.600 --> 0:11:29.560 are banged up. I know Patrick Mahomes is banged up, 0:11:29.800 --> 0:11:33.199 but I like over fifty five in this game. This 0:11:33.280 --> 0:11:36.240 feels again another good spot for Kansas City to get 0:11:36.320 --> 0:11:40.000 right after a lackluster offensive performance against a really good 0:11:40.040 --> 0:11:43.400 Indianapolis team. Hey, and I lost Indie took two weeks 0:11:43.440 --> 0:11:45.599 ago to Oakland. Might just be the fact that the 0:11:45.679 --> 0:11:48.960 Raiders are pretty damn good themselves, but I like over 0:11:49.040 --> 0:11:52.240 fifty five. I'm not sure how Kansas City slows down Houston. 0:11:52.559 --> 0:11:54.920 Houston can run the ball well. They obviously have an 0:11:54.920 --> 0:11:59.000 explosive passing game when things are right. But I see 0:11:59.000 --> 0:12:01.360 this game both teams in the thirties actually, so I'm 0:12:01.440 --> 0:12:05.800 going over fifty five. Casey's offense gets right, Houston's offense, 0:12:05.840 --> 0:12:09.079 off of a humongous league last week against Atlanta, continues 0:12:09.120 --> 0:12:11.720 to roll against a not very good Casey defense. What 0:12:11.760 --> 0:12:14.600 about fifty five and a half? That's consensus? Over fifty 0:12:14.640 --> 0:12:17.240 five and a half. Yeah, I'll still go over fifty 0:12:17.240 --> 0:12:20.000 five and a half. This the guildes this feels something 0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:23.880 in the pocket of thirty five thirty one. That still 0:12:23.880 --> 0:12:25.800 gets me over that fifty five and a half. All Right, 0:12:25.840 --> 0:12:28.720 we'll see what version of Deshaun Watson in the Texas offense. 0:12:28.760 --> 0:12:32.679 We get Deshaun Watson who was clean, perfect passerrating last week, 0:12:32.960 --> 0:12:36.920 but prior to that was just getting sacked left and right. Uh. 0:12:36.920 --> 0:12:38.880 He had a streak of eight straight games with at 0:12:38.960 --> 0:12:42.000 least four times being sacked, and he got sacked twice, 0:12:42.000 --> 0:12:44.720 and he got sacked like six times before. He was 0:12:44.840 --> 0:12:47.800 clean last week in Houston's win over Atlanta, but that, 0:12:47.880 --> 0:12:51.280 of course was Atlanta Houston at Kansas City. Jeff going 0:12:51.320 --> 0:12:53.560 over fifty five and a half. Todd pick number two. 0:12:53.760 --> 0:12:59.400 I'm gonna go with the fighting gardner men shoes and 0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:05.360 the jack Backsonville Jaguars giving one point to New Orleans. Now, 0:13:06.000 --> 0:13:09.680 I'm thinking, why are the Jags giving one point to 0:13:09.760 --> 0:13:11.680 New Orleans? And most people are gonna be like, well, 0:13:11.760 --> 0:13:15.360 New Orleans are is really good. They've got Bridgewater playing well. 0:13:15.840 --> 0:13:20.000 Maybe it's the regular Saints not so fast. In my opinion, 0:13:20.080 --> 0:13:22.720 I really like what I've seen from Gardner Minshew on 0:13:22.840 --> 0:13:26.080 the road played extremely well against Carolina last week. They 0:13:26.120 --> 0:13:28.120 could have won that game had they not given up 0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:32.320 a sack fumble for a touchdown. UM. I also liked 0:13:32.320 --> 0:13:36.199 what they did against Denver on the road as well. Uh, 0:13:36.280 --> 0:13:40.240 now they're coming home Teddy Bridgewater, while he seems to 0:13:40.280 --> 0:13:43.800 be getting things under control with the Saints, it's still 0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:46.959 not Drew Brees. So it's still not let's let's call 0:13:46.960 --> 0:13:51.400 it sevent of New Orleans offense. And now you're going 0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:53.880 into Jacksonville against the team that a couple of years 0:13:53.880 --> 0:13:56.120 ago was a great defense. I don't know necessarily they're 0:13:56.120 --> 0:13:59.200 a great defense anymore, but they're probably pretty good on defense. 0:13:59.280 --> 0:14:01.880 And um, I just think that New Orleans in that 0:14:01.960 --> 0:14:04.800 road game against Seattle, they won because of you know, 0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:08.800 defensive touchdowns and turnovers and stuff like that. Now you're 0:14:08.800 --> 0:14:11.199 asking Teddy bridge Water to go on the road against 0:14:11.200 --> 0:14:15.360 a pretty decent team in Jacksonville. I think Jacksonville feels like, hey, 0:14:15.400 --> 0:14:17.959 they might have found something here at quarterback. And all 0:14:18.000 --> 0:14:20.080 I gotta do is win the game by one point. 0:14:20.400 --> 0:14:24.120 So I'm gonna go with the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the 0:14:24.280 --> 0:14:26.360 one what do you think about New Orleans though as 0:14:26.360 --> 0:14:28.480 supposed to New Orleans. Do you still think Jacksonville wins 0:14:28.480 --> 0:14:31.440 a game against New Orleans? Well, no, I gotta change 0:14:31.480 --> 0:14:33.760 my pick if it's New Orleans. But because I was 0:14:33.800 --> 0:14:36.480 making my bed based on New Orleans. All right, we're 0:14:36.480 --> 0:14:38.440 sneaking this, so it's my turn now. I'm I'm sneaking 0:14:38.440 --> 0:14:40.600 ahead of Mike right here. I'm gonna go to London 0:14:40.960 --> 0:14:45.000 against my better judgment, Going to London for a squirrely 0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:50.600 six thirty am Pacific, nine thirty am Eastern State side 0:14:50.760 --> 0:14:53.640 London game between the Panthers and the Buccaneers, A very 0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:58.040 early rematch to the season division battle. Already playing game 0:14:58.120 --> 0:15:01.080 number two. Cam Newton played in the first game for 0:15:01.120 --> 0:15:03.400 the Panthers. Tampa Bay won that on the road at 0:15:03.440 --> 0:15:07.200 Carolina fourteen. A lot of love for Carolina here. Christian 0:15:07.280 --> 0:15:11.240 McCaffrey lighting up the stat sheet and rightfully so that 0:15:11.240 --> 0:15:13.560 there's a lot of love for Christian McCaffrey. Nineteen carries 0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:16.480 a hundred seventy six last week for two touchdowns, then 0:15:16.480 --> 0:15:18.680 through the air six catches sixty one and a touchdown, 0:15:18.720 --> 0:15:22.240 averaging nine point three yards per carry last week and 0:15:22.320 --> 0:15:23.720 the fourth time this season that they had at least 0:15:23.720 --> 0:15:27.600 a hundred seventy five yards from scrimmage. However, they use 0:15:27.680 --> 0:15:30.240 a single back inside zone run that piled up two 0:15:30.560 --> 0:15:34.240 eighty five yards rushing three touchdowns against your Jacksonville Jaguars 0:15:34.240 --> 0:15:36.680 Todd last week for their third grade win, first victory 0:15:36.680 --> 0:15:38.760 at home. By the way, I just think there's a 0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:40.920 couple of problems with that one. They run that play 0:15:40.960 --> 0:15:44.000 at nauseum, and I think the Tampa Bay coaches are 0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:46.200 smart enough to realize, all right, let's take that away 0:15:46.200 --> 0:15:49.680 from them. Let's make Kyle Allen beat us. And Kyle 0:15:49.720 --> 0:15:51.680 Allen puts the ball on the ground a lot, and 0:15:51.720 --> 0:15:54.200 they've gotten mass have the Panthers performance by a lot 0:15:54.200 --> 0:15:56.280 of Kyle Allen fumbles that have ended up back in 0:15:56.320 --> 0:15:59.640 Carolina Panthers hands. Uh. And I think Tampa Bay meanwhile, 0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:01.880 every single week they come out, they can throw up 0:16:02.000 --> 0:16:05.120 thirty forty points on anybody. Mike Evans didn't get the 0:16:05.120 --> 0:16:08.520 ball at all last week in a very strange outlying 0:16:08.520 --> 0:16:11.000 thing where he was an intended receiver just three times, 0:16:11.360 --> 0:16:13.720 didn't have a catch for Tampa Bay. I think they 0:16:13.760 --> 0:16:15.800 make a point to go to Mike Evans. I think 0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:17.560 they go to Mike Evans time and time again. I 0:16:17.560 --> 0:16:19.400 think Godwin does this thing. I think Jami's has a 0:16:19.480 --> 0:16:22.160 big day. And I think Tampa Bay is the wrong 0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:24.560 I think the wrong team is favorite here. Carolina is 0:16:24.560 --> 0:16:26.400 two and a half point favorite. We'll call it two 0:16:26.400 --> 0:16:28.440 now two and a half. Somewhere in that pocket. I'm 0:16:28.480 --> 0:16:33.440 taking the Buccaneers as technically home dogs, even though they're 0:16:33.480 --> 0:16:36.160 not really a home team, but technically home dogs at 0:16:36.280 --> 0:16:38.960 London Tottenham. So what are we what are we grading 0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:41.680 that as? Plus? What Tampa Bay plus? I I see 0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:43.000 more two and a half? So two and a half 0:16:43.000 --> 0:16:45.680 plus two and a half Todd bushnev keeping score keeping 0:16:45.720 --> 0:16:50.320 the grades, Mike Palmiery, Ladies and gentlemen from the Circle operation, 0:16:50.480 --> 0:16:52.360 What do you got, Mike? What's number two and number three? 0:16:53.120 --> 0:16:56.880 I'll stay in London with you, gil uh and and 0:16:56.920 --> 0:16:59.920 go back to the fact that these two teams played 0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:03.920 each other already this season, familiar with each other. I 0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:07.199 think Todd Bowles is doing an underrated job with the 0:17:07.240 --> 0:17:10.359 defense in Tampa Bay and the improvements they've made there. 0:17:11.240 --> 0:17:14.760 Uh And then you look at you look at Ron 0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:18.040 Rivere and his defense in in Carolina, which is is 0:17:18.080 --> 0:17:21.280 never a slouch. These two teams played to a total 0:17:21.320 --> 0:17:24.320 of thirty four earlier in the year, and it's come 0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:26.639 back at a forty eight. I think that's too high, 0:17:27.040 --> 0:17:29.520 and so I'm gonna go under forty eight in London 0:17:29.600 --> 0:17:33.520 as my second pick. I see forty seven and a half. Well, 0:17:34.000 --> 0:17:38.439 you see him? I see forty eight. Okay, what do 0:17:38.520 --> 0:17:41.040 you see, Gil? I see forty seven and a half. Todd, 0:17:41.119 --> 0:17:43.360 I'm with you. Do you still want it? Mike? That's 0:17:43.359 --> 0:17:47.199 a very difficult question. Now that's a very it's a 0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:51.840 very key number. I wanted to push it to scoreless overtime. 0:17:52.119 --> 0:17:56.960 I'll stay with and a half. All right, what's number three? 0:17:57.240 --> 0:18:00.560 Smarty Pansy. I'm gonna I'm gonna go back to a 0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:05.040 game that that Todd, that Todd picked, and I'm gonna 0:18:05.080 --> 0:18:09.160 play it over in this uh Jacksonville, New Orleans game. 0:18:09.200 --> 0:18:11.280 I love Menshoe, I don't. I don't think they can 0:18:11.320 --> 0:18:14.360 hold Menshoe down. And I think that now that we've 0:18:14.400 --> 0:18:18.400 taken we've taken the training wheels off Bridgewater, as he's 0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:21.000 gotten more experience, I thought this total came back low. 0:18:21.200 --> 0:18:23.600 What are you seeing? I see forty four? What are 0:18:23.640 --> 0:18:27.399 you seeing I've set three and a half three and 0:18:27.400 --> 0:18:29.480 a half as well. Well, okay, we made up the 0:18:29.520 --> 0:18:33.000 half point there over forty three and a half. I 0:18:33.040 --> 0:18:36.560 like it should be decent weather in Jacksonville. I was 0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:39.199 very each week I get more and more impressed with 0:18:39.280 --> 0:18:41.280 Menshoe and his ability to move the ball up and 0:18:41.320 --> 0:18:44.280 down the field. So I think this game is gonna 0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:47.120 be a very good competitive game played in the upper twenties. 0:18:47.160 --> 0:18:49.560 So over for that one. By the way, the the 0:18:49.600 --> 0:18:51.640 tactics that Mike Palm is using to get an extra 0:18:51.680 --> 0:18:54.800 half point we affectionately know as hoops Peterson in it 0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:59.359 on the podcast today, that's the tactic hoops Peterson in it. Well, 0:19:00.000 --> 0:19:03.720 that's really low. I'm sorry. I want to mention Gil. 0:19:04.200 --> 0:19:07.400 I want to mention you know they say you're affectionately 0:19:07.440 --> 0:19:09.439 known as Dr Gail and all this, But what a 0:19:09.440 --> 0:19:13.160 week for visa. I mean, you had a Mall's Shaw 0:19:13.400 --> 0:19:16.960 lecturing at the at the Tommy News from School of 0:19:17.000 --> 0:19:21.679 Media at USC. You had Gregg's Hoops Peterson being flown 0:19:21.680 --> 0:19:25.280 to the West Coast to teach Bill Walton about basketball, 0:19:26.160 --> 0:19:28.919 and then I know there's no footage of this, but 0:19:29.000 --> 0:19:34.680 I was told that Maddie Humans gave the commencement address 0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:39.119 a keynote speech about brand loyalty in front of over 0:19:39.240 --> 0:19:44.399 forty thousand graduating clowns at Jack Murphy Stadium at the 0:19:44.440 --> 0:19:51.359 commencement address for Ronald McDonald University. Wow, it's a big week, 0:19:51.720 --> 0:19:54.760 big week for visa. I did not know, Geez. I 0:19:54.760 --> 0:19:57.399 thought the Las Vegas invitation was big enough. By the way, 0:19:57.440 --> 0:19:59.520 how is your growing? You're growing? Okay? You know. I 0:20:00.119 --> 0:20:02.760 stopped feeling my groin because all I can feel are 0:20:02.760 --> 0:20:05.560 my hamstrings and halfs now that are so sorry. I 0:20:05.560 --> 0:20:08.240 can barely walk. I think the only way to really 0:20:08.280 --> 0:20:10.320 remedy this is for Todd and I to play again 0:20:10.359 --> 0:20:13.560 tomorrow morning. So we're on for nine am. Oh nice. 0:20:14.040 --> 0:20:17.919 The line will be on bookmaker around. I'm not sure 0:20:17.960 --> 0:20:21.399 what the installation is yet, but we will be getting 0:20:21.400 --> 0:20:24.000 back to everyone. It's all based on how how I 0:20:24.080 --> 0:20:27.840 hit around with Todd before the match. Give Give Give, 0:20:27.960 --> 0:20:31.240 Give me Palm plus the games again. That's all I'll say. Yeah, 0:20:31.440 --> 0:20:33.680 we we made a bit of a fortune betting against 0:20:33.680 --> 0:20:37.600 Todd Wishnev's ridiculous lines that he created, which propped him 0:20:37.680 --> 0:20:40.560 up to be Novak Djokovic look lines will be adjusted 0:20:40.600 --> 0:20:43.800 and this time there will be no mistaken calls to 0:20:43.920 --> 0:20:46.840 rob me. I mean, I lose the earthquakes, I lose 0:20:46.920 --> 0:20:50.119 the incredible bad beats, and I lose the incredible bad calls, 0:20:50.240 --> 0:20:53.480 and it's unbelievable. Todd. I have to tell you that 0:20:53.600 --> 0:20:58.920 your uh description of your drop shot that barely went 0:20:58.960 --> 0:21:04.639