1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,480 Speaker 1: Now here's a highlight from Coast to Coast AM on 2 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio and welcome back to Coast to Coast George Norri 3 00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:09,240 Speaker 1: with you. We've got a grade show for you tonight. 4 00:00:09,600 --> 00:00:12,639 Speaker 1: Let me tell you about our first guest. Olof Grout 5 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:16,639 Speaker 1: is the foundered managing partner of the Cambrian Group. He's 6 00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:20,000 Speaker 1: also the co author of Solomon's Code. The other co 7 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:23,599 Speaker 1: author is Mark Knitzburg. He's a Professor of Strategy and 8 00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:27,120 Speaker 1: Economics at Holt International Business School and executive for the 9 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 1: Evolving Global Innovation Economy. With twenty plus years of experience 10 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:36,279 Speaker 1: and corporation consulting firms academia, he has helped build new 11 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 1: ventures and change management initiatives for employers and clients and 12 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: energy technology aerospace in a number of countries at least 13 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 1: thirty plus Olof welcome to the program, looking forward to this. 14 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 1: It's a pleasure to be with you, George and with 15 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 1: your listeners. Thanks for having me. Artificial intelligence. Give us 16 00:00:54,000 --> 00:00:57,960 Speaker 1: your definition of what that is. Well, artificial intelligence is 17 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:02,400 Speaker 1: essentially software algorithms that mimic functions of the brain. And 18 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 1: the most loose, uh you know, loose way of defining it, right, So, 19 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 1: what the brain does well is recognized patterns and distill 20 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 1: insights for us right, and based on those insights, we 21 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 1: then make decisions. And so AI tries to mimic that 22 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 1: with very simple structures of algorithms UM and UH and 23 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 1: make our lives hopefully easier and better. Are you Are 24 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 1: you hopeful with AI or are you a little skittish? 25 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 1: You know, we're we're and I am a net optimist. 26 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 1: You know, at the end of the day, it'll I 27 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 1: think it will lead to better lives and richer lives 28 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:38,640 Speaker 1: and more growth in the economy and in society. But 29 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 1: you know there's there's big drawbacks and big pitfalls as well. 30 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 1: So we're optimistic, but we're critically optimistic. I had a 31 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 1: story on last week where Uber was found really not culpable. 32 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 1: Uber the car company, not culpable of a car driverless 33 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: car that ran over a woman in the Arizona A. UM. 34 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 1: They had a guy in a car Uber did, but 35 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 1: it wasn't obviously paying attention, but the car itself was driverless. 36 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:10,360 Speaker 1: That's artificial intelligence, isn't it. Well, it's artificial intelligence, but 37 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 1: it also tells you that, you know, as we interact 38 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:17,639 Speaker 1: with artificial intelligence, we can completely abdicate our responsibility, right, 39 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:20,360 Speaker 1: So it's I think it's a fallacy to assume that 40 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 1: the machine will get everything right and we can just 41 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 1: sit back and let it happen. And that obviously backfired 42 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 1: in this case. So you know, it's one of the 43 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: big lessons we have to learn as we engage in 44 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 1: this you know, this cognitive future, as we say, with 45 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 1: artificial intelligence as as a partner to our human decision making. 46 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 1: I was getting my car repaired last week, so the 47 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 1: dealership gave me a lease car. It was evolval. They 48 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 1: were letting me use and that's what It's the only 49 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:47,919 Speaker 1: thing they had in their inventory. And I have never 50 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 1: driven a car like that. And I was in it, 51 00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 1: and somewhere along the line on the freeway, somebody decided 52 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: to stop. And so this car I was in decided 53 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 1: on its own, I've got to stop two. And though 54 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:05,160 Speaker 1: it was not an accident situation or anything like that, 55 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:09,280 Speaker 1: it freaked me out because it started breaking before I did. 56 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:12,920 Speaker 1: It took over basically, and I've never been in a 57 00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 1: situation like that before. I mean, how far will artificial 58 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 1: intelligence go? Yeah, you know, that's that's a that's a 59 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: good question. Right, Artificial intelligence doesn't really understand us yet 60 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 1: and how we make decisions, as sciences are trying to 61 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 1: teach it that. Um, but it's a it's a it's 62 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:32,720 Speaker 1: a really wickedly complex thing to do because you know, 63 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 1: humans all have different goals and values and ways of 64 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: making decisions. Right, You, George might make decisions about you know, 65 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:43,240 Speaker 1: how close to uh, you know, drive to another car 66 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 1: in front of us then than I do, and UH, 67 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 1: and AI will eventually have to pick up those preferences 68 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 1: because otherwise, you know, as you say, right, people get 69 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 1: freaked out. Um. And and that's not yet happened, so 70 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 1: there's still a lot of sort of rough negotiation between 71 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 1: us and these algorithms. What would you say are the 72 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 1: great aspects of artificial intelligence which would convince you it's 73 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: the right way to go? Well, you know, if we 74 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 1: just stick with traffic, right, and with with autonomous driving, 75 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 1: you know, um, computer vision jointly with light R and 76 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: you know, laser radar and artificial intelligence algorithms can see 77 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 1: miles ahead, right, and it can link up with other 78 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 1: cars that are further ahead of us, and you know, 79 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:29,840 Speaker 1: develop sort of a traffic picture for us that you know, 80 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:32,719 Speaker 1: the human eye and the human brain can possibly grasp 81 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 1: all without all those tools. So that's a good thing 82 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 1: because eventually we'll be able to avoid a lot of 83 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 1: accidents and have fewer traffic jams, and be less aggravated 84 00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 1: in traffic and spend less energy on it. Right, And 85 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 1: so that's all good and and and of course there's 86 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 1: lots of promising development and AI and healthcare AI and education. Heck, 87 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:58,279 Speaker 1: we can even use AI to understand climate change better 88 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:02,360 Speaker 1: or things like food cris right by modeling all these 89 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:06,400 Speaker 1: very complex interconnections. So there's lots of great horizons out 90 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 1: there if we get it right. But that's a big if. Well, 91 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 1: that's true. We'll talk about that if tonight. All if, 92 00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:13,040 Speaker 1: I'll tell you one of the things I really like 93 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 1: about AI, especially with the kind of hours I keep 94 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:19,920 Speaker 1: a lot of times in the wee hours, when you're 95 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:22,359 Speaker 1: driving home, you come across you come up to a 96 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 1: red light and there are no cars there. There's no cars. 97 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 1: I shouldn't have a red light. In the old days, 98 00:05:28,880 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 1: you had to wait for that red light to cycle 99 00:05:31,320 --> 00:05:34,680 Speaker 1: and it could be three to four minutes. Now they 100 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 1: know you're there. Somebody knows you're there and the light 101 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:42,119 Speaker 1: turns green right away. It's unbelievable. Yeah, yeah, it's smarter 102 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 1: traffic management, right, it's one of the big promises. And 103 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:47,159 Speaker 1: you know, you add quantum computing into the mix and 104 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:50,799 Speaker 1: we can model all kinds of really tricky, complex systems 105 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 1: in our everyday life. So yeah, there's some really cool 106 00:05:53,440 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 1: horizons out there. Where does social media fit into this? Well, 107 00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 1: you know, social media is a really tricky thing, right, 108 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 1: So on on hand, we all we all like it 109 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:04,360 Speaker 1: because it does enable us to connect to people much 110 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: more easily. And if we're honest, right, how often do 111 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 1: we really call these friends on our regular phones? Now 112 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: it's much easier to keep up with people, and AI 113 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 1: helps with that, right. AI understands who's who and how 114 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 1: we relate to them and and hopefully get us a 115 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:22,599 Speaker 1: bit closer to these people. But it can also do 116 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:25,720 Speaker 1: the exact opposite, can drive us apart. And that's really 117 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 1: what's been happening if you think about the last election, right, 118 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: And it's not necessarily one political direction or another. These 119 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:40,240 Speaker 1: algorithms are designed to play to you know, our current preferences, right, 120 00:06:40,560 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 1: So if they know that you have a certain preference, 121 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:45,280 Speaker 1: for certain types of entertainment or certain types of politics, 122 00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:49,680 Speaker 1: it'll keep sending you messages that play to those interests 123 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:52,480 Speaker 1: and drive you further into a corner, right, and then 124 00:06:52,520 --> 00:06:55,599 Speaker 1: automatically you start, you know, seeing the differences between you 125 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 1: and other people, and that's driving us apart, right, instead 126 00:06:58,680 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 1: of bringing us closer together and seeing the world through 127 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:06,599 Speaker 1: each other's eyes, we get only enforced, reinforced to see 128 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 1: the world through our own pre existing mindsets. Right. So 129 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 1: that's really difficult, that's really tricky on a very large 130 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 1: scale to think about it. You know, Facebook has two 131 00:07:17,080 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: billion subscribers worldwide. So you release a book piece of 132 00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:25,160 Speaker 1: code that goes to ten hundreds of millions or even 133 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 1: billions of people, it can do some real damage out there. 134 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:30,520 Speaker 1: It can do some real good, but also some real damage. 135 00:07:30,600 --> 00:07:32,800 Speaker 1: It sure can. Now we hear a lot about fake 136 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:36,840 Speaker 1: news these days, and you know, I will admit that 137 00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 1: there's some fake news out there that has been infiltrating us, 138 00:07:41,640 --> 00:07:44,400 Speaker 1: that has been snuck into the deal here to make 139 00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 1: us think it's real. Part of what the President is 140 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 1: said about fake news is accurate, some of it is not. 141 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 1: Not everything is fake news. The problem is for people 142 00:07:55,880 --> 00:07:59,880 Speaker 1: who really aren't on the inside. How do they know 143 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 1: what's fake and what is it? That's a fantastic question, George, 144 00:08:04,160 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 1: And you know, frankly, we're all struggling with that, and 145 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 1: we're trying to figure this out of Cambrian as well, 146 00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 1: where we're trying to build tools that people can use 147 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 1: to really figure out what is the what's the truth here? 148 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:18,120 Speaker 1: What's the reality? Who is who? Right? Even just understanding 149 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 1: what people's identities are. Right now, you have these sophisticated 150 00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 1: AI bots that can represent to be somebody that they're 151 00:08:26,000 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: actually not. They're they're just a piece of software, but 152 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 1: you think they're a person because they can near perfectly 153 00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:35,719 Speaker 1: mimic a real human being, right, which is which is 154 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 1: what we call deep fake, And it's it's really tricky, 155 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 1: if not impossible, for the average human being, for the 156 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:47,040 Speaker 1: average citizen to figure out, you know, what's behind those bots. So, 157 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 1: you know, it's a brave new world and we've got 158 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 1: to give people some tools to really figure that out. 159 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 1: Have we gone too far all off? Should we go 160 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 1: back to the simpler days? You know, George, it's it's 161 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 1: always we always have sort of a certain type of 162 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:05,160 Speaker 1: romanticism to you know, things being easier or better decades 163 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 1: or even hundreds of years ago. And you know when 164 00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:10,199 Speaker 1: you look at you know, where we are today with 165 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:14,400 Speaker 1: regard to already levels, crime levels, uh, you know, people 166 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:18,440 Speaker 1: dying child you know, child mortality and things like that. 167 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 1: The world is a better place to day than it was, 168 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:24,560 Speaker 1: you know, one hundred years ago. So you know, I'm 169 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:27,600 Speaker 1: of the opinion that, uh, you know, we rarely have 170 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:31,920 Speaker 1: stopped technology through us right. So the major technology trends, 171 00:09:32,559 --> 00:09:35,640 Speaker 1: even when they have reak havoc on societies, but we 172 00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:38,480 Speaker 1: found a way to shape them right to make sure 173 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:43,000 Speaker 1: that you know, some big cataclysm, some big catastrophe doesn't happen. 174 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 1: And I'm confident that we'll do this again here. So no, 175 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:49,160 Speaker 1: I think the way forward is just that it's forward, 176 00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:51,200 Speaker 1: not backward. But we got to get on top of 177 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:54,720 Speaker 1: this thing for sure. Yeah. Absolutely. Listen to more Coast 178 00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:58,360 Speaker 1: to Coast AM every weeknight at one am Eastern and 179 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 1: go to Coast to Coast am dot com for more