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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Monday? Welcome to

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Speaker 1: the Monday morning edition of the Day of the Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perrault. You can find this podcast

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Speaker 1: every single day on where wherever you get your podcasts,

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Speaker 1: but also on Bettingpros dot com ralls being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by bet MGM. You can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt. Same handle on the discord chet

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Speaker 1: if you want to hop on in during primetime games.

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Speaker 1: I mean there all the time. Really, I mean they're

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Speaker 1: all the time, Like it doesn't really matter where it's

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Speaker 1: primetime or not. I'm on our discord channel. Very easy

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Speaker 1: to get there Bettingpros dot Com slash chat to join us.

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Speaker 1: All right, so let's talk about Sunday a little bit here.

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Speaker 1: Not a great day, but given where we were on

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Speaker 1: Friday and Saturday, I'll take it, all right. We're down

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Speaker 1: the juice, two and two on PROPS two and two

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Speaker 1: on the place. Look, I don't like the fact that

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Speaker 1: we're two and two here. I don't like the fact

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Speaker 1: that we're down the juice. And it's frustrating because it

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Speaker 1: could have been a wonderful day. We were one catch

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Speaker 1: away from DeAndre Hopkins and us going three and one

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Speaker 1: on props, and we were half a point away from

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Speaker 1: well covering the Chiefs and the hook get us. It

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Speaker 1: gets us, and I should have I should have bought

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Speaker 1: the half a point. You guys who said why did't

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Speaker 1: buy the half a point? You're right. I thought it

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Speaker 1: was gonna be a seven point victory. I didn't think

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Speaker 1: that needed to happen. And look, when you're going cold

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Speaker 1: and you're not seeing the board right, those things are

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Speaker 1: gonna happen. Just just you know, in a rut, you're

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Speaker 1: getting some bad breaks. But you know, I'll take it.

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Speaker 1: Given we went two and eight the two days before,

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Speaker 1: so I'll take two and two and I'll take two

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Speaker 1: and two on props. So overall a four and four

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Speaker 1: day for us. Again, we're down the juice, but we'll

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Speaker 1: take it. So there were some fun games to get

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Speaker 1: into it. So let's start with the propts. So Kyler

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Speaker 1: Murray his completions over twenty one and a half. We

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Speaker 1: had that right and we really handicapped that game pretty well.

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Speaker 1: So that was one where I thought early the Patriots

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Speaker 1: might be in trouble because of the early turnover. But

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Speaker 1: the Patriots did a really good job of limiting Kyler Murray.

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Speaker 1: That's right. I thought the Patriots would take away Kyler Murray,

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Speaker 1: and Kyler Murray did not run for more than I

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Speaker 1: think had thirty one yards rushing in that game. So

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Speaker 1: on the live stream, people were asking whether you want

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Speaker 1: to play Kyler Murray on the overprop, and I said,

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Speaker 1: you know what, I wouldn't because the Patriots are going

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Speaker 1: to take away Kyler Murray because they always take away

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Speaker 1: what you do best. And let's be frank, the best

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Speaker 1: player is Kyler Murray. So that was a again we had.

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Speaker 1: I did not want to tease the Patriots. I did

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Speaker 1: take the Patriots for in the circa and in the

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Speaker 1: Westgate contests. I did take the Patriots plus two plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half. They win the game outright on

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Speaker 1: a last second field goal. DeAndre Hopkins had five catches.

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Speaker 1: If he catches six balls, we hit. We do not

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Speaker 1: hit on that. So that was the first prop that

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Speaker 1: we got wrong. Tom Brady and the and the Bucks, well,

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Speaker 1: they gave me a straight kick to the nuts here.

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Speaker 1: Not only does Brady go over the three hundred and

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Speaker 1: two and a half yards passing prop clearly blows past that.

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Speaker 1: But that last second touchdown just burned us. I mean

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Speaker 1: it was you could see it coming up by ten

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Speaker 1: and the referees, well, the referees did something that pissed

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Speaker 1: me off to no end. And this is why betting

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Speaker 1: real money on sports is so infuriating, because so I

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Speaker 1: often believe that in these big afternoon primetime games like

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Speaker 1: the Sunday Afternoon, Sunday Night Football, Monday Night Football, the

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Speaker 1: referees don't want to be part of the story. And

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Speaker 1: they called a really tickie tech by the letter of

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Speaker 1: the law, hitting on the helmet of quarterby Patrick Mahomes,

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Speaker 1: which elongated a drive for the Chiefs and Bruce Arians

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Speaker 1: went crazy, and the referees knew, oh my gosh, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna be the story here because we just ended the

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Speaker 1: game as if there's a field goal on that drive,

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Speaker 1: the game's over. A touchdown on that drive, the game's over.

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Speaker 1: The refs knew it. So what happened right after that

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Speaker 1: flag got thrown? What did the referees do? Holding penalty?

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Speaker 1: Holding penalty? Holding penalty so basically much like a makeup

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Speaker 1: call in basketball, because they made such a crap call

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Speaker 1: the first time around, which was by the letter of

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Speaker 1: the law. But because they don't have the intestinal fortitude

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Speaker 1: to withstand their criticism is going to come down from

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Speaker 1: like Bruce Arians at the podium, and they're gonna get

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Speaker 1: their bosses coming down going like, come on, man, you

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Speaker 1: can't make that call. There. Everyone's watching. It's a big moments,

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Speaker 1: big game for the Bucks. You guys got involved in. Sure,

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Speaker 1: you inter interjected, you did letter of the law stuff,

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Speaker 1: but it was really a TICKI tak flag you through there.

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Speaker 1: So what do they do. They make sure that the

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Speaker 1: that the Chiefs could not get a field goal and

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Speaker 1: they just start calling everything like anything that they saw

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Speaker 1: they called because they did not want to be part

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Speaker 1: of the story. So what happens. The Chiefs have to

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Speaker 1: punt the ball to Brady in the Bucks and they

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Speaker 1: go right down the field and guess what they call.

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Speaker 1: They called two flags for roughing the passer on the

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Speaker 1: exact same call. You know, Frank Clark, you touched Tom

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Speaker 1: Brady's head up. Flag here we go. So it's a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: And it's just infuriating because if the reps do their

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Speaker 1: job properly and they actually say, look it, that's a call.

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Speaker 1: I don't need to worry about it. We don't lose

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Speaker 1: that bet. So am I pissed off of that bet,

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Speaker 1: of course, But what makes me even more infuriated is

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Speaker 1: that it's the same thing with college basketball in the NBA.

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Speaker 1: If you just do your job first, if you do

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Speaker 1: your job right the first time, you don't have to

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Speaker 1: worry about criticism. So maybe you don't throw the flag there. Okay,

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Speaker 1: maybe you don't do that, and you don't have to

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Speaker 1: go and cause yourself to be interjected because as they

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Speaker 1: try to not be the story, they became the story.

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Speaker 1: They didn't impact the outcome of the game. That's what

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Speaker 1: the NFL always says, Well, they didn't impact the outcome.

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Speaker 1: The Buck still wants who Sorry, the Chiefs still won,

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Speaker 1: so the Bucks can't cry all that much. But it

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Speaker 1: changes a ton when you're talking about sports gambling and

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Speaker 1: we bet real money on this crap. I mean, we

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Speaker 1: bet real money on this league. And it's just so

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Speaker 1: infuriating to watch the end of that game. So we

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Speaker 1: got that bet wrong. That was my favorite play of

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Speaker 1: the weekend, and that got wrong. It was on the hook. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: Brady goes over three h two and a half yards

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Speaker 1: passing Now the play we got right, the play that

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Speaker 1: we had to get right was the Titans. So the

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Speaker 1: Titans with a big win at Indianapolis. Hopefully you guys

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Speaker 1: sprinkled a little bit on the money line, which is

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Speaker 1: what I did to So I took the plus three. Oftentimes, look,

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Speaker 1: you do a full unit, you do a quarter unit,

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Speaker 1: half a unit on the money line as well. You

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Speaker 1: can double up there if you really like the team

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Speaker 1: that's in particular, with a short line plus three taking

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Speaker 1: a dog to win the game. They win the game outright,

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Speaker 1: and Corey Davis blows past the over fifty two and

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Speaker 1: a half yards passing receptions yardage. So that was good.

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Speaker 1: So two and two there and then equally which was good.

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Speaker 1: Was for the first time in a while, I handicapped

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Speaker 1: a game perfectly, and that was the Chargers at the Bills.

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Speaker 1: And the Chargers still have not lost a game by

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Speaker 1: more than ten points, and they should have lost the

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Speaker 1: game by three. But because Anthony Lynn is the worst

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Speaker 1: coach in the NFL by far, eighteen seconds to go,

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Speaker 1: no timeouts, you're running the football. You're running the football,

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Speaker 1: Anthony Lynn. Really, you have Justin Herbert, you have Keenan Allen,

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Speaker 1: you have Mike Williams. You're running the football with no

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Speaker 1: timeouts from the five guard line. Are you serious? Like,

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Speaker 1: sometimes I have to wonder are these coaches, Like these

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Speaker 1: guys are paid millions of dollars millions of dollars to

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Speaker 1: be coaches, and they can't make the most simplistic Madden play,

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Speaker 1: Like if you play Madden, I've got no timeouts, I'm

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Speaker 1: on the five yard line. I'm trying to get it

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Speaker 1: two scores here. I got a score somehow. Let's score

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Speaker 1: fast and then we have to get the football back.

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Speaker 1: He tries to go. I don't know if you guys

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Speaker 1: caught this. He actually ran the field goal unit onto

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Speaker 1: the field to kick a field goal with one second

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Speaker 1: or two seconds left before for the last play. He

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Speaker 1: was gonna kick a field goal there, and then he

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Speaker 1: thought better of it, as so like what the hell

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Speaker 1: am I doing? This is? This is gonna be stupid.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna get ripped for kicking a field goal here late,

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Speaker 1: So let's go ahead and try to score. It's almost

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Speaker 1: like somebody got into his ear and was like, hey man,

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Speaker 1: the lines five and a half. If you cover, our

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Speaker 1: fans are gonna be a lot happier with you than

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Speaker 1: if you don't like kicking a field goal means you

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Speaker 1: don't cover. It was almost like Anthony Lynn's first inclination

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Speaker 1: was I'm gonna kick a field goal here and we're

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Speaker 1: gonna lose by seven. And then somebody up above said,

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Speaker 1: hey man, the line's five and a half or four

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Speaker 1: and a half. Are our fans aren't gonna like that,

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Speaker 1: so they go, okay, fine, let's go score a touchdown

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Speaker 1: to cover for our fans and they won't be as

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Speaker 1: mad at me because our fans bet on the plus

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Speaker 1: five and a half or plus four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Just a craziness. Anthony Lynn is so so bad. But

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Speaker 1: the final score twenty seven to seventeen. The hook on

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Speaker 1: that bet, we got it right at plus ten and

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Speaker 1: a half. So the paral two team teaser Titans plus

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Speaker 1: nine Chargers plus ten and a half that hit. So

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Speaker 1: now we're eight and four on the year for that,

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Speaker 1: So that's good. Okay, that's a margin we want to

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Speaker 1: keep here because we're laying minus one twenty five juice,

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Speaker 1: so we got to keep a pretty good margin of

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Speaker 1: that to make up for the juice we're paying for

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Speaker 1: that bet. So it's important to keep you know, three,

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Speaker 1: four or four games above five hundred as we go

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Speaker 1: through it. So eight and four on the year for

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Speaker 1: that bet. We got that correct. We got the Titans

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Speaker 1: plus three, got that correct, so two and two there,

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Speaker 1: and then the final game we got wrong was the Raiders,

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Speaker 1: and the Raiders disgusting awful performance offensively because when you

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Speaker 1: score forty three points, when you have one team score

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Speaker 1: forty three points in an NFL football game and the

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Speaker 1: total that you're trying to cover is fifty three and

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Speaker 1: a half, you need eleven points from the other team

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Speaker 1: eleven and you don't get it. I mean, are you

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Speaker 1: kidding me? I'm speechless at the Raiders, speechless. That should

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Speaker 1: have been an easy walk to win over. We handy

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Speaker 1: gap that perfectly, and nope, bad news. Well I guess

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Speaker 1: not perfectly. Because that I said I would have bet

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Speaker 1: the Raiders, I didn't, but I would have bet the Raiders,

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Speaker 1: but it did not a lot of sharp money came

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Speaker 1: in on the Falcons. Falcons aren't that bad. I mean,

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Speaker 1: even without Julio Jones, they lit up that defense. You

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Speaker 1: know who is bad? Though? That Raider defense is not

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Speaker 1: very good, not not very good. At all. But so

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Speaker 1: that's where we were, Okay, So there is your four

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Speaker 1: and four day on Sunday as we head towards Monday

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Speaker 1: here on the Daily Juice. All right, So bet MGM

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Speaker 1: still has their offers going on right now. You guys

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Speaker 1: can bet one dollar on the money line for NFL

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Speaker 1: football games here tonight on Monday Night football, and you

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Speaker 1: physically located in Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, or West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem go one hundred and five

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Speaker 1: to two forty seven hundred in Colorado, one hundred gambler

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Speaker 1: in New Jersey, in West Virginia, or one hundred and

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Speaker 1: nine with it in Indiana. All right, So quickly before

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Speaker 1: we get to the plays here and I got two

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Speaker 1: units four plays involved in in play here tonight on

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Speaker 1: a Monday, but I guess today on a Monday because

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Speaker 1: the first basketball game is the day game. But reminder

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Speaker 1: about the Davante Adams helmet. We saw the Packers look

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Speaker 1: really good last night. I'm taping this during the Packers game,

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Speaker 1: so boring a crazy come from behind win for Chicago

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Speaker 1: green Bay looked really good. DeVante Adams helmet gets given

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Speaker 1: away tomorrow, So if you haven't entered in, you've got

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Speaker 1: basically twenty four hours to get that done. To get

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Speaker 1: that review in on Apple Podcasters Stitcher. Take the screenshot,

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Speaker 1: go to Bettingpros dot com slash juice. Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash juice. Fill out the form entered the picture in

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Speaker 1: a way you go for the Devonte Adams helmet. We're

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Speaker 1: up to four hundred and nineteen last night, four hundred

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Speaker 1: and nineteen reviews on Apple podcasts. That is outstanding in

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Speaker 1: five months. That's almost averaging one hundred a month. Just unbelievable, unbelievable. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's get to the place I have decided that I

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Speaker 1: cannot bet on you and LV basketball for a long time.

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Speaker 1: I'm too close to the program, I'm too emotionally invested.

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Speaker 1: And so today North Carolina is the opponent for the

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Speaker 1: Rebels the lines twelve. I want to bet you and

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Speaker 1: lv I think that they're going to play a hell

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Speaker 1: of a lot better than what they did in their opener.

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Speaker 1: You might go, mat that team just got blown out

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Speaker 1: by twenty points by Montana State, and now they're on

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Speaker 1: the road against North Carolina. They're gonna get annihilated. Very possible,

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Speaker 1: all right, very possible. But just something tells me this

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Speaker 1: about the logic of things, how it works. Maybe the

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Speaker 1: team was overlooking Montana State, they didn't take them seriously.

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Speaker 1: Maybe the coach staff had the team prepped for North

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Speaker 1: Carolina and not being prepped for Montana State, and so

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Speaker 1: they got beat and got beat badly. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna play it. What I am gonna play, though,

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Speaker 1: is another game in the Maui Texas minus seven taking

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Speaker 1: on Davidson. No, Davidson's in their home state. Okay, I

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Speaker 1: fully understand that. However, Texas is a team that you

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Speaker 1: have to watch this season. Texas has a lot of pressure.

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Speaker 1: In particular, Shaka Smart has a lot of pressure on him.

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Speaker 1: All right. So we've got a bunch of players that

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Speaker 1: are back on this roster, and they've added a five

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Speaker 1: star named Greg Brown, a highly recruited freshman who added

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Speaker 1: eleven points and ten rebounds in the opener against ut

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Speaker 1: Rio Grand Valley. This is the first like real game

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Speaker 1: here for Texas, all right. But I think Texas is

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Speaker 1: gonna play up tempo. They've changed their style of play

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Speaker 1: a little bit. I think they're gonna use their length,

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Speaker 1: their size, and their athletic ability, and I think it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be too much here for Davidson. Shaka Smart's got

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Speaker 1: twelve scholarship players back from last year, nine who are

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Speaker 1: ranked them on the top sixty nationally in their recruiting classes. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this is a stacked, stacked team. They've got tons of talents.

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Speaker 1: This is the time to unleash it now. They won

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Speaker 1: by forty over ut Rio Grand. But you know, Davidson's

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Speaker 1: a much better team than they are. However, when you

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Speaker 1: start looking at just the mismatch, the athletic mismatch that

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Speaker 1: we're gonna see here, I don't care that Davidson's there.

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Speaker 1: I'm only laying seven. This line should be double digits.

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Speaker 1: In my mind, we're going half a unit Texas minus

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Speaker 1: seven against Davidson at the MAUI in Asville, North Carolina,

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Speaker 1: which is a little weird. It's a little different, I know,

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Speaker 1: but I just think Texas, these are the games where

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Speaker 1: you see just the better athletes, the better Joe's if

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Speaker 1: you will just rise up and get big victories. The

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Speaker 1: line probably seven because of where the game is being played,

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Speaker 1: but I like Texas lay the seven. Texas minus seven

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Speaker 1: against Davidson for a half a unit. So I've got

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Speaker 1: one full unit going in the NFL game here tonight,

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Speaker 1: and I've got two different prop bets at a quarter

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Speaker 1: unit to tell you about. So one and a half

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Speaker 1: unit's going in the NFL game tonight and a half

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Speaker 1: unit going in college basketball. So there's a half unit

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Speaker 1: with Texas against Davidson. And then we're gonna go and

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Speaker 1: tease this game, same game teaser for the Seahawks and

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Speaker 1: the total. Look, this game is kind of hard because

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Speaker 1: the Eagles have done this to a lot of people

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Speaker 1: where they just play hard and they keep the game close.

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Speaker 1: It's in primetime. You got a home dog always dangerous.

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Speaker 1: We're talking about a home dog here six and a

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Speaker 1: half point line. I'm gonna tease the Seahawks down to

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Speaker 1: a half a point Seattle just to win the game.

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Speaker 1: And then I'm gonna take the total and tease it

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Speaker 1: up to fifty four and a half. Now it opened

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Speaker 1: at fifty, it's been bet down to forty eight and

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Speaker 1: a half. And the reason for that is the Eagles

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Speaker 1: can't score. Eagles offensive numbers are disgusting. I mean, they

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Speaker 1: are twenty eighth in yards per play, they are twenty

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Speaker 1: fourth in points per game. They can run the ball

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Speaker 1: pretty well, but the Sales Seeks defense can stop the run.

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Speaker 1: They're in the top five and stopping the run. Eagles

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Speaker 1: are top five in running the football, but passing the

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Speaker 1: Eagles are nearly dead last in passing yards per play,

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Speaker 1: but the Seahawks defense is nearly dead last in giving

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Speaker 1: up yardage through the air. So I think the Eagles

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Speaker 1: are gonna look to throw the ball tonight. I mean,

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Speaker 1: maybe they keep the game somewhat close, but I don't

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Speaker 1: think the Eagles score very much. I'm not so sure

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Speaker 1: how many points the Seauks score either. I mean, they

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Speaker 1: haven't been really crushing people lately, so I'm a little

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Speaker 1: bit concerned about the Eagles covering, sorry, the Seahawks covering

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Speaker 1: a six and a half point line. Just looking at

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Speaker 1: the where the seal's gone. I mean they've two and

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Speaker 1: two over the last four games, but two and four

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Speaker 1: over the last six games against the spread, so they

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Speaker 1: haven't been covering consistently, even though they did cover by

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Speaker 1: seven in their last game against Arizona. So to me,

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the under fifty four and a half Seahawks

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Speaker 1: to a half a point under fifty four and a

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Speaker 1: half same game teaser at minus one twenty five for

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Speaker 1: one unit here. Okay, I like doing this, i' mean

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Speaker 1: doing this a lot in primetime games, but just the

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Speaker 1: Seahawks to win fifty four and a half. Were going

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Speaker 1: with the under fifty four and a half between these

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Speaker 1: two teams. You might go mat and the Eagles might

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Speaker 1: score forty, Okay they might, but I don't know how

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Speaker 1: many points do the Eagles score. Eagles may only score

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Speaker 1: ten and then we hit right. So that's where I'm

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Speaker 1: going for one unit Seahawks only just to win the game,

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Speaker 1: and then under fifty four and a half for Seahawks

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Speaker 1: at Eagles coming up on Monday Night Football two prop

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Speaker 1: bets both at a quarter unit that I'm gonna play

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Speaker 1: here dk Metcalf. If you go to our prop bet

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet off Bettingpros dot com, the number two prop

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Speaker 1: tonight at the time of taping, DK Metcalf being projected

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Speaker 1: for eighty four yards. As I told you how bad

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Speaker 1: this Eagles defense is, how bad the Eagles are period.

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Speaker 1: DK Metcalf is sixty nine and a half yards receiving.

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Speaker 1: The projection puts him at eighty four. That's fourteen and

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Speaker 1: a half points of value there for us on our

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros prop bet cheat sheet, I'm laying a quarter

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Speaker 1: unit on that at DraftKings at minus one twenty two juice,

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Speaker 1: and then taking the other quarter unit, we're going Miles

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Speaker 1: Sanders over seventeen and a half yards receiving at minus

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Speaker 1: one twelve for DraftKings. I think this is a passing game.

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Speaker 1: I was tempted to take Carson Wentz and take his

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Speaker 1: passing totals, but I can't stand Carson Wentz. So he

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Speaker 1: can't fill the ball down the field, but he can

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Speaker 1: throw balls to his backs. I think Miles Sanders is

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Speaker 1: positioned to have a pretty big night. He is the

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Speaker 1: number four best prop bet on the cheat sheet here

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Speaker 1: tonight he is getting he's projected to have twenty Sorry,

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Speaker 1: he's at number three. Excuse me, he's number the third

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Speaker 1: best prop for him on the cheap sheet. He's projected

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Speaker 1: for twenty six point eight yards receiving tonight's the number

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Speaker 1: of seventeen and a half yards at DraftKings at minus

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Speaker 1: one twelve. So that's where we are here today on

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Speaker 1: a Monday, two units four plays for you Texas minus

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Speaker 1: seven against Davidson in college basketball at the MAUI Same

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Speaker 1: game teaser Seahawks half a point under fifty four and

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Speaker 1: a half for minus one twenty five six point same

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Speaker 1: game teaser for one unit. DK Metcalf over six nine

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Speaker 1: and a half yards receiving at DraftKings at mis one

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Speaker 1: twenty two odds and Miles Sanders of the Eagles over

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Speaker 1: seventeen and a half yards receiving am I as one

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Speaker 1: twelve at DraftKings. My name is Matt Perraultz. Thank you

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Speaker 1: to everybody for being a part of this great community

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Speaker 1: of sports gamblers. We're going to turn the page drop

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Speaker 1: last week. Let's start this week off with a good run. Here.

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Speaker 1: We got Monday and Tuesday, NFL Primetime Football. To get

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Speaker 1: into I'll talk to you during the Inside the Discord

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Speaker 1: chat bettingpros dot COM's last chat for that, I'm at Paroltz.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every Morning

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Speaker 1: gets the Dally Juice podcast presented by BEDA GM