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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen, twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty twenty five, fifty.

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Speaker 2: And the kicks block the college football world standard. Oh

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Speaker 2: my goodness, he's stumbled and fumble the lateral turn the

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Speaker 2: corner on the inside, don't you the lad I'm not

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Speaker 2: gonna tame them up the field to night.

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Speaker 3: God, it's not the side of the dog in the fight,

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Speaker 3: it's the size of the fight in.

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Speaker 4: The all.

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Speaker 2: What's up the generate Nation? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: This is the week thirteen college football betting preview. I'm

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Speaker 2: Stucky and with me as always is Colin wilson Man.

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Speaker 2: We've had a light weekday slate, but we have a

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Speaker 2: lot to get to as far as boy eligibility divisions

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Speaker 2: being decided. It's that time of the year. What's going on,

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Speaker 2: my friend?

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Speaker 4: We have no room to sit here and celebrate and

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Speaker 4: talk about our lovely Akron zips covering a game, almost

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Speaker 4: winning a game outright, you know, spots matter. I mean

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Speaker 4: that plays so big into this weekend when teams have

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Speaker 4: nothing to play for. It shows Miami Ohio was that

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Speaker 4: last night, and Minnesota may be a victim of it

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Speaker 4: here coming up.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and by the way, I didn't bet Akron and

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Speaker 2: they finally covered. I had the under though, and I

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Speaker 2: thought that an Acron pick six, which I never thought

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Speaker 2: I would see they're usually the ones throwing pick sixes,

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Speaker 2: would have cost me that under, but luckily it got

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Speaker 2: to the window. We'll get to the lone Friday night

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Speaker 2: game later as well as our money line underdogs and

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Speaker 2: our favorite overdogs, which is our favorite favorite for those

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Speaker 2: not familiar. But first, let's just run through by conference here.

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Speaker 2: We'll start with the AAC. First of all, USF, who

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Speaker 2: plays Memphis has to win out to become Bowl eligible.

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Speaker 2: In the West, Navy, SMU and Memphis are tied at

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Speaker 2: five and one. SMU and Navy will play each other.

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Speaker 2: Memphis has beat both of them. So if Memphis, you know,

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Speaker 2: wins out, they have Cincy on deck, they're gonna win

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Speaker 2: the West and the East since he's at six and oher.

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Speaker 2: So if they win out, you know, and they have

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Speaker 2: Temple at home and then they play Memphis, they win.

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Speaker 2: But if they lose out, which is certainly possible, U

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Speaker 2: c F and Temple are at four and two. So

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Speaker 2: if Temple plays Sincy this week, if they win that game,

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Speaker 2: and then they have to think Yukon at home next week,

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Speaker 2: and then if u cee F wins out, you know,

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Speaker 2: and since he loses out, those three teams could be tied,

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Speaker 2: and then it comes down to who's rated higher in

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Speaker 2: the College Ball playoffs, and it might not be either

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Speaker 2: of them, And then it could come down to the

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Speaker 2: computer rankings, and I think actually UCF would get the

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Speaker 2: nod in a three way tiebreaker. But let's start with

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Speaker 2: SMU Navy. Navy's a three and a half point favorite

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Speaker 2: over under sixty six. The SMU overstreak will look to continue.

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Speaker 2: I think they've hit an over in every single game

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Speaker 2: this year. Here's where I think this game comes down to.

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Speaker 2: There's no Roberson for SMU, which I think does hurt

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Speaker 2: their offense. I think they'll be able to hit some

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Speaker 2: big plays through the air and move the ball against Navy,

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Speaker 2: as teams that are capable through the air have been

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Speaker 2: able to do. But I also think Navy will be

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Speaker 2: able to move the ball against SMUN. I think the

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Speaker 2: difference will come down to red zone efficiency, and that

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Speaker 2: has been the biggest bugaboo for SMU this year. I mean,

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Speaker 2: if you look at you know, a lot of this.

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Speaker 2: If you look at the red zone efficiency stats, it

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Speaker 2: looks like Navy's number two in the nation in red

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Speaker 2: zone scoring at ninety six point nine percent. Only Georgia

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Speaker 2: is better. They've scored touchdowns on twenty seven of thirty

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Speaker 2: two trips, that's about eighty five percent. Meanwhile SMU is

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Speaker 2: ninety ninth at about seventy eight percent, and they've scored

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Speaker 2: touchdowns only on sixty one percent of their trips. So,

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Speaker 2: you know, the SMU offensive line also those issues, which

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Speaker 2: I think Navy can take advantage of. But I think

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Speaker 2: that's basically what it comes down to in the game,

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Speaker 2: where I think both teams will move the ball. I

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Speaker 2: think Navy will put up more sixes in the red zone.

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Speaker 2: What are your thoughts there?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, this game I think is going to be absolute

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Speaker 4: bonkers crazy, much like it was last year when Sunny

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Speaker 4: Dykes went into overtime against Navy and instead of just

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Speaker 4: you know, scoring his touchdown and taking his extra point,

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Speaker 4: he decided to go for two points successfully and win

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Speaker 4: the game.

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Speaker 5: So, I mean, this thing.

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Speaker 4: Could be just as close as that was last year

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Speaker 4: when Sunny Didykes made that move.

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Speaker 5: You know, I've got this number at.

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Speaker 4: Three and a half. Every time it gets to four,

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Speaker 4: it gets whacked. When it gets down to three, it

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Speaker 4: gets whacked. There's a real battle going on with this

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Speaker 4: number here. And you would think that Navy's gonna get

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Speaker 4: up off the mat after what Notre Dame did to them,

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Speaker 4: and they would rebound here and we would see the

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Speaker 4: Navy that we we've come to know and love throughout

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Speaker 4: the year. But there are just things with the numbers

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Speaker 4: that really kind of scare me. And I understand that

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Speaker 4: SMU's got some hurt wide receivers. You know, they're not

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Speaker 4: completely a full strength, but you know for Se is

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Speaker 4: still there, and you know, you know, Michelle is still

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Speaker 4: going to be able to zip the ball around and.

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Speaker 5: That's one of the things that SMU does best.

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Speaker 4: My issue with Navy is that they're eighty ninth and

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Speaker 4: pass explosiveness, which ian Book completely exposed. Ian Book had

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Speaker 4: four touchdowns by the middle of the second quarter. One

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Speaker 4: of them was a seventy yard explosive pass just over

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Speaker 4: the top of the Navy defense. From the very beginning,

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Speaker 4: and I could just see SMU trying to do the

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Speaker 4: same thing.

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Speaker 2: You know, the.

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Speaker 4: Special teams here favors Navy. You know, there's other things

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Speaker 4: in the advanced stats on the ground that should favor Navy.

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Speaker 5: You know.

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Speaker 4: I just think Navy is going to have a really

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Speaker 4: tough time with SMU's explosiveness. That Notre Dame game and

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Speaker 4: what Ian Book did against Navy is really the template

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Speaker 4: of how to get past the triple option, how to

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Speaker 4: get past how good Navy is in the trench.

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Speaker 5: They just went completely over the top.

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Speaker 2: I do think Navy we'll be able to with the

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Speaker 2: ball as well. I mean, SMU is a good defensive line.

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Speaker 2: They create a lot of havoc, but it's it's not

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Speaker 2: going to be as important this week. They're middle of

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Speaker 2: the pack when it comes to the really important stats,

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Speaker 2: you know, power success and stuff. Right, So I do

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Speaker 2: think Navy will be able to move the ball as well.

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Speaker 2: Yes or no? That s w over Street continues, It continues.

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Speaker 5: Of course, there's gonna be a lot of points here.

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Speaker 2: All right. Let's move on to UCF tou Lane. UCF

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Speaker 2: is a six point favorite at Tulane down there in

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Speaker 2: Yeoman Stadium in New Orleans. Over under sitting at sixty nine. Nice.

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Speaker 2: I mean there should be a lot of points in

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Speaker 2: this one as well.

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Speaker 5: Two.

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Speaker 2: Lane's been a team I've loved all year. This might

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Speaker 2: be a spot where I back them. What do you

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Speaker 2: see here?

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Speaker 4: When I made the stat sheet out on this one,

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Speaker 4: thing caught my attention immediately, and that is at Central

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Speaker 4: Florida's thirty second in the nation and explosive passing that

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Speaker 4: we knew to Lane's defensive pass explosive this rank one

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Speaker 4: hundred and twenty second, and that is just screaming for

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Speaker 4: Dylan Gabriel to throw it all over all over the yard.

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Speaker 4: Central Florida's covered just once in their past seven games,

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Speaker 4: so they need, you know, they need a game to

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Speaker 4: what we call get healthy. Both teams are top twenty

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Speaker 4: five and passing success rate defensively, so maybe that could

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Speaker 4: point to the under there. The red zone points per

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Speaker 4: attempt to Lane is sixth the u c F fifty seventh,

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Speaker 4: so I mean there's something there for Tulane that once

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Speaker 4: they get it into finishing drives range, they've been able

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Speaker 4: to get way more points. Both teams are bottom ten

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Speaker 4: and FBS for penalty yards, which kind of kept me

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Speaker 4: off this game, because I mean, these whether it's just

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Speaker 4: bad players, sloppy or coaching or just MISMANAGEIB games, both

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Speaker 4: these teams are really bad in penalty yards and so

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Speaker 4: it's a no play for me and a little worried about.

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Speaker 5: How Tulane defends the explosive pass.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good point. I mean what this will

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Speaker 2: probably come down to is can Gabriel hit those bombs

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Speaker 2: that he throws right? Like we saw him be a

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Speaker 2: little inaccurate against Cincinnati, But you know a lot of

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Speaker 2: their offense it's also little outs and just efficient passing

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Speaker 2: down the field. But that's what Tulane excels at. Right,

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Speaker 2: So Tulane doesn't really allow a team to move down

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Speaker 2: the field through the air efficiently, but they do because

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Speaker 2: they play aggressive on the outside allow big plays. So

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Speaker 2: I think that it's going to come down to how

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Speaker 2: many of those big plays can UCF hit down the field?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, some would say that Gabriel is completely accurate because

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Speaker 4: it's the other team right in the numbers.

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Speaker 2: So I'll be looking green wave here, so keep an

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Speaker 2: eye on the app there. All right, Then let's move

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Speaker 2: on to Temple Cincinnati. Temple's a covering machine. They have

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Speaker 2: a lot of advanced stats that worry me and are concerning,

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Speaker 2: but they just find ways to cover it. Seems every

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Speaker 2: week they're sitting at seven and three on the air,

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Speaker 2: they're catching ten at Cincinnati, who obviously can win out

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Speaker 2: and go to the AC Championship. I believe for the

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Speaker 2: first time over unders at forty six. You know, two

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Speaker 2: good defenses here, two offenses that do have some question marks.

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Speaker 2: What do you see here?

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Speaker 4: I think I'm going to be putting money down on

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Speaker 4: Temple because I make this game since he minus eight

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Speaker 4: and a half and you know, Cincinnati, I've preached this

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Speaker 4: over and over and over and besides the Yukon game,

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Speaker 4: Cincinnati is due for a loss. I mean, they really

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Speaker 4: escaped with South Florida, you know what, going one for

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Speaker 4: five for field goals, had a game winning field goal

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Speaker 4: that they completely missed. And you know, East Carolina we

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Speaker 4: need a Holton Naylor's pick six for Cincinnati to get

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Speaker 4: out of there. South Florida had one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 4: more yards. Tulsa had sixty more yards. But when you

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Speaker 4: know net negative three and turnovers against the Bearcats, Houston

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Speaker 4: same story. So Cincinnati's really been kind of you know,

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Speaker 4: they're at the roulette wheel and they're just still spinning

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Speaker 4: and they're gonna get They're gonna get all their chips

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Speaker 4: wiped off the board here by somebody. It could be

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Speaker 4: against Memphis twice, who knows. Fickle mentioned that Desmond Ritter,

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Speaker 4: you know, he isn't hurt, but he's having a confidence issue.

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Speaker 4: So it's more of a you know what's going on

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Speaker 4: between the ears with Ridder right now. It's nothing like

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Speaker 4: physical that's wrong with him. And Timple is sixteenth in

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Speaker 4: defensive passing success rate in twenty fifth and sacrate against

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Speaker 4: the Cincinnati offensive line that is eighty fifth and sacrate.

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Speaker 4: So the Owls are going to be able to bring

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Speaker 4: pressure and if Ridder doesn't get it, you know clear

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Speaker 4: in his head what he's doing, he's going to feel

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Speaker 4: the pressure this week. But I think Temple's going to

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Speaker 4: be motivated. I think the number is a couple points

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Speaker 4: too high, and so you know, I'm pretty sure I'm

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Speaker 4: going to be having a Temple play here and probably

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Speaker 4: even maybe a money line going down.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to go back to us F you know,

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Speaker 2: similar spread here to get well catching double digits against Memphis,

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Speaker 2: which is sitting on fourteen, fourteen and a half. I

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Speaker 2: did see you put a play at just a line player.

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Speaker 2: Do you like something there?

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Speaker 4: There's a huge havoc mismatch between South Florida and Memphis.

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Speaker 4: You know, South Florida's twentieth and havoc and Memphis is

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Speaker 4: one hundredth th and havoc. Aloud, there's other things that

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Speaker 4: are going on with the ground game of South Florida.

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Speaker 4: Since they've moved to Jordan McLeod, they can take advantage

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Speaker 4: of Memphis and things like power success rate. You know,

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Speaker 4: lineyards are not that great for the Memphis defense, so

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Speaker 4: you know, Memphis is It scares me a little bit

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Speaker 4: that Memphis is the number one team and special teams

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Speaker 4: as far as sp plus is concerned, and South Florida

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Speaker 4: is one hundred and twenty.

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Speaker 5: Eighth and special teams. So that does give me a

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Speaker 5: little bit of a pause.

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Speaker 4: But I mean, there's a major havoc advantage here for

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Speaker 4: South Florida. They've been playing much better since they got

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Speaker 4: off the by and went to Jordan McLeod. They're still

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Speaker 4: playing hard and they're still trying to win every single

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Speaker 4: ball game, and they should have won last week again,

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Speaker 4: Cincinnati I think you get a little value in the

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Speaker 4: number here.

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Speaker 2: Fair enough, All right, let's move on to the ACC.

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Speaker 2: You have NC State, Syracuse, UNC, and Duke all have

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Speaker 2: to win out for a bowl, and then you BC,

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Speaker 2: who's sitting at five hundred, needs one more win for

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Speaker 2: a bowl. BC is at Notre Dame catching around twenty

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Speaker 2: and a half. BC, by the way, under ADAZZI I

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Speaker 2: think is forty three and forty three. I mean, they

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Speaker 2: just they're always gonna finish six and six and go

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Speaker 2: to a bowl. That's what it seems like Adasio. His

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Speaker 2: ceiling is Clemson has won the Atlantic, the Coastal's money. Basically,

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Speaker 2: if you UVa's game this week against Liberty, by the way,

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Speaker 2: I like Liberty catching seventeen Uva secondary, yeah is a mess.

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Speaker 2: This game means nothing to Uva. They were carved up

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Speaker 2: in their last couple of games and even against Georgia Tech,

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Speaker 2: and it led me to believe that the Georgia Tech

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Speaker 2: offense was starting to figure things out. That's how bad

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Speaker 2: it was. And then we saw Georgia Tech did against

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Speaker 2: Virginia Tech, but their secondary is banged up and Liberty

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Speaker 2: can take advantage of it. They beat Virginia Tech next

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Speaker 2: week they win the ACC Coastal Pitt meanwhile, who plays

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Speaker 2: Virginia Tech, a resurgent Hokies team with now a new

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Speaker 2: quarterback under center looks like he can play. They need

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Speaker 2: to beat VA Tech and then BC and then they

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Speaker 2: need VA Tech to beat UVA. If that happens, they

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Speaker 2: would win the Coastal. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech needs to beat

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Speaker 2: Pitt and UVA and they will go. Now Miami, who

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Speaker 2: is the best team in the Coastal, can't win it,

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Speaker 2: potentially still go to the Archie Bowl. Because the ACC

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Speaker 2: is so bad, they could muddy this up by causing

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Speaker 2: a fourteen tie breaker that includes Miami, and in that

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Speaker 2: case VA Tech would go or getting crazy there. But

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Speaker 2: let's get back to the games here. You know, Yu've

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Speaker 2: has a short week before this Virginia Tech game, which

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Speaker 2: basically is going to make or break their season, and

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Speaker 2: you know, so if they get a big lead or

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Speaker 2: they're gonna sit not show much. They're also a snail.

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Speaker 2: They play very slow. So I think Liberty can hit

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Speaker 2: some big plays in the passing game, which even Georgia

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Speaker 2: Tech did, and Liberty is one of the best passing

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Speaker 2: offenses with a Blitana golf Winner at receiver and Gandy

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Speaker 2: Golden and our boy Buckshot at quarterbacks. So I like

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Speaker 2: Liberty there and you agree yeah.

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Speaker 4: I mean I put a play in on the app

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Speaker 4: here this afternoon on Liberty. I think the number is

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Speaker 4: going to drop. I mean, I have this power rated

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Speaker 4: around twenty. But the situation needs some attention here. So

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Speaker 4: Liberty is not going to make the Cure Bowl. They

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Speaker 4: had a deal this year to go to the Cure

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Speaker 4: Bowl if there weren't enough teams that qualified for a

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Speaker 4: bull Sadly, I think we're up to sixty offis sixty

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Speaker 4: five spots you know of teams that have already qualified

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Speaker 4: to go to a bowl game, and there's still going

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Speaker 4: to be more. So we're going to be overflown with

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Speaker 4: the number of six win teams. So Liberty doesn't have

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Speaker 4: a bowl. Next week, they played New Mexico State. It's

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Speaker 4: the gazillionth time that they played New Mexico State in

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Speaker 4: the last fourteen months. That game means doesn't mean anything

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Speaker 4: to the Flames. So this game, Liberty taking on Virginia,

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Speaker 4: Big bad Virginia just around the corner up the interstate.

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Speaker 4: This is their bowl game, so it means everything to them.

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Speaker 4: And in this game last year, Liberty was down just

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Speaker 4: by seven in the third quarter before finally losing by

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Speaker 4: twenty one, which I think is more of having Turner

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Speaker 4: Gill as your head coach, you know, and just being

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Speaker 4: taken advantage of. And this is not the same Virginia team,

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Speaker 4: you know, Virginia's seventy first and defensive pass explosiveness, and

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Speaker 4: they're trending down after giving up three hundred and fifty

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Speaker 4: yards to Sam Hell and two hundred and twenty yards

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Speaker 4: in the air to Georgia Tech. So I like Liberty

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Speaker 4: a lot. Here to throw this on top, I'm reading

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Speaker 4: this article about Bronco Mendenhall about how he can't watch

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Speaker 4: game film of Liberty BYU. He's still so torn up

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Speaker 4: after four years of leaving BYU. He couldn't even watch

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Speaker 4: the game film because it hurts.

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Speaker 5: Him so bad.

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Speaker 4: Like emotional toll is what he said. That's exactly the

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Speaker 4: words that he used because of what happened to BYU.

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Speaker 4: That he couldn't get them to leave being an independent,

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Speaker 4: that he took them as far as he could, and

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Speaker 4: his heart's there and he loves them, and how it

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Speaker 4: applies here. He couldn't even watch game films, so I

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Speaker 4: don't know how he's going to instruct his players. So

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Speaker 4: I don't think they care about this game. Short week,

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Speaker 4: Virginia Tech take Liberty, and you know what, I just

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Speaker 4: think for fun, maybe a Liberty first half money line

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Speaker 4: might be you know, I mean, this team last year

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Speaker 4: was close to winning at halftime.

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Speaker 2: All right, then let's move on to Pitt va Tech.

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Speaker 2: You know, look, va Tech's defense is playing really well

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Speaker 2: out of promising advanced metrics, and they seem to have

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Speaker 2: found a quarterback in Hooker, and you know, their offenses

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Speaker 2: looked great the last few weeks. Pitts offense, Eh, you

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Speaker 2: got to keep an eye on a receiver French who

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Speaker 2: may or may not play. But look, Pitt's offense is

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Speaker 2: completely different this year. We talked about this before the year.

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Speaker 2: They got Mark Whippoles, the offensive coordinator who loves to

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Speaker 2: throw the ball. They're throwing the ball for forty times

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Speaker 2: a game. Last year that number was around twenty two,

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Speaker 2: you know, and they're not running the ball. Well. They

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Speaker 2: can hit some explosive passes with Pickett and some of

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Speaker 2: those receivers, which rod Tech has shown some vulnerabilities in

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Speaker 2: their secondary. So you know this is a game where

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Speaker 2: Pitt Votec obviously wants this game bad after they got

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Speaker 2: whooked last year by Pitt. What do you see here?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I make this game Virginia Tech minus two with

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Speaker 4: a total of fifty one. But there's a ninety percent

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Speaker 4: chance of rain that's going to affect the passing game here.

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Speaker 4: And we talk about Hendon Hooker. I mean he has

349
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Speaker 4: yet to throw an interception as a starter. And they

350
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Speaker 4: tried to put Hindon Hooker under center for one of

351
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Speaker 4: their games and it just it didn't go well. There

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Speaker 4: were fumbles, there were all kinds of problems with the ball.

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Speaker 4: Just they decided to put Hndon Hooker back in shotgun snaps.

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Speaker 4: So now we're going to be in shotgun snap the

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Speaker 4: entire game where there's definitely going to be weather involved.

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Speaker 5: So keep that in mind.

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Speaker 4: You know, there's gonna be jet sweeps, there's going to

358
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Speaker 4: be shotgun snaps, all of this with a wet ball

359
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Speaker 4: could make this game.

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Speaker 5: You know, at Pitt's you know third and defensive havoc.

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Speaker 5: We know about Pitt. We love Pitt.

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Speaker 4: You know, third defensive passing success rate, So I think

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Speaker 4: Pitt's going to find I can understand why the total

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Speaker 4: would come down when you put all of those factors

365
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Speaker 4: you know in there. So there's a big special team's

366
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Speaker 4: advantage of Virginia Tech as always. You know, the Hookies

367
00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,920
Speaker 4: are top twenty five in defensive success rate. You know,

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Speaker 4: I think this is a first half underplay. I kind

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Speaker 4: of lean Pitt because we haven't really seen I mean,

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Speaker 4: this hindon Hooker, like, we have not seen him, you know,

371
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Speaker 4: be inefficient. Yet he's been excellent so far. I think

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Speaker 4: Pitt kind of gives him maybe the toughest look that

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Speaker 4: he's seen this year. I think the Maurice French thing

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Speaker 4: is what's keeping me off this game completely.

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Speaker 5: But this this applies to kJ.

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Speaker 4: Hamler of Penn State, Spencer Sanders at Oklahoma State. There

377
00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:39,240
Speaker 4: are a number of injuries out there that I think

378
00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:41,440
Speaker 4: are extremely important before placing a wager.

379
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, and if we do look at it,

380
00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:47,600
Speaker 2: he's played Georgia Tech and Wake far so far, so

381
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Speaker 2: I mean this is obviously a big step up in

382
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Speaker 2: defensive class against Pitt. And yeah, if the rain is

383
00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:56,760
Speaker 2: bad and this becomes more of a running game, you

384
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Speaker 2: do worry about turnovers. But these are two poor rushing

385
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Speaker 2: all defenses against two good rush defenses, which would lend

386
00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:05,719
Speaker 2: itself to an underplay. All right, let's move on to

387
00:17:05,760 --> 00:17:10,040
Speaker 2: another game in the ACC Duke wake Forest. Look, I

388
00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:12,639
Speaker 2: love Duke here. I'm waiting to see if you can

389
00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:15,200
Speaker 2: get to a flat seven and a half anywhere. Yet

390
00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:18,600
Speaker 2: it's still juice seven. Duke's had this game circled since

391
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Speaker 2: last year. They talked about it in the offseason, they

392
00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:25,680
Speaker 2: talked about it all this week. They got absolutely dominated

393
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Speaker 2: by wake Forest last year. I believe this score was

394
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Speaker 2: fifty nine to seven. So they got embarrassed in that game.

395
00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:37,439
Speaker 2: They obviously need to win to become Bowl eligible. They

396
00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:41,280
Speaker 2: were embarrassed last week two against Syracuse who ran all

397
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Speaker 2: over them. So I think you get the best effort

398
00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:47,280
Speaker 2: from their defense here. Wake Forest not really playing for anything.

399
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:49,920
Speaker 2: You know, it is a semi rivalry game. This wake

400
00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:53,640
Speaker 2: Forest offense is just completely lost without Sarat in Washington.

401
00:17:53,800 --> 00:17:55,840
Speaker 2: Washington is not on the depth chart this week. Sarat

402
00:17:55,840 --> 00:17:57,600
Speaker 2: is out for the year. They're two best receivers throughout

403
00:17:57,600 --> 00:17:59,600
Speaker 2: one of the best receivers in college football. You saw

404
00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:01,440
Speaker 2: that last I mean, they just couldn't throw the ball

405
00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:04,520
Speaker 2: at all. It was Clemson, but just their offense looked

406
00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:09,359
Speaker 2: anemic without their two best receivers. Wake Forest also cannot

407
00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:12,480
Speaker 2: run the ball worth a lick. There are one hundred

408
00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:15,600
Speaker 2: and sixteenth and rushing success rate. You know, the Duke

409
00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:20,600
Speaker 2: offense is bad, but so is the wake defense. I

410
00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:23,120
Speaker 2: don't think that Duke is going to have much success

411
00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:25,239
Speaker 2: running the ball, but I do think that they can

412
00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:27,320
Speaker 2: have some success throwing it. I think that these teams

413
00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:31,480
Speaker 2: are basically dead even now without Washington and without Serat,

414
00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:33,560
Speaker 2: So this line should be three and I'm going to

415
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:37,240
Speaker 2: get seven. I would also look at the under fifty.

416
00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:40,919
Speaker 2: I know that Wake Forest plays fast, but their offense

417
00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:43,679
Speaker 2: is just so hampered and without their two best receivers,

418
00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:46,639
Speaker 2: and the Duke offense isn't great. I think their defense

419
00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:49,720
Speaker 2: shows up, So I would look at the under as well.

420
00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:51,720
Speaker 2: Would you say anything here.

421
00:18:51,800 --> 00:18:54,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I projected lower and you know, a

422
00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:56,159
Speaker 4: lower point spread here. I think it's a little bit

423
00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:58,560
Speaker 4: too high. Definitely seven and juice, there's plenty of value

424
00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:00,880
Speaker 4: on this Duke team. That was boat ra by Notre Dame,

425
00:19:00,920 --> 00:19:04,359
Speaker 4: that was boat raced by Syracuse. Syracuse one was odd

426
00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:07,879
Speaker 4: and so you know Duke players mentioned all week. You

427
00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:10,600
Speaker 4: know Wake Bluemount fifty nine to seven. Last year, they

428
00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 4: didn't take it too well. These you know, Universities is

429
00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:15,560
Speaker 4: really close, so it you know, getting blown out by

430
00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:17,080
Speaker 4: your neighbor is not a really good look.

431
00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:19,440
Speaker 5: And they've been they've had this game circle since before

432
00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:20,320
Speaker 5: the season started.

433
00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:23,239
Speaker 4: And you know, considering the Duke is getting run out

434
00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:25,159
Speaker 4: of the building by you know, their last two opponents.

435
00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:27,119
Speaker 4: Wake is one hundred and sixteenth in rushing success rate

436
00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:30,080
Speaker 4: one hundred and fourteenth and explosive runs. They should not

437
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,200
Speaker 4: be able to do that to Duke what they've gone

438
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,080
Speaker 4: through the last two weeks, and so you know they're

439
00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:37,560
Speaker 4: gonna have success against Jamie Newman. Duke is twentieth and

440
00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:40,600
Speaker 4: defensive passing success rate and Newman's lost his weapons.

441
00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 5: So yeah, this is definitely a Duke play.

442
00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:45,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, the Duke d line should own the trenches here.

443
00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:50,000
Speaker 2: And the last ACC game we'll mention is Louisville Syracuse.

444
00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:53,359
Speaker 2: I really like Syracuse can win out and go to

445
00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:56,720
Speaker 2: a bowl. They were really impressive last week against Duke,

446
00:19:57,480 --> 00:20:00,119
Speaker 2: ruining my under thanks thanks to three Duke turnovers and

447
00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,480
Speaker 2: three straight plays that led the twenty one Syracuse points

448
00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,120
Speaker 2: and then a broken Syracuse run instead of knees. Yeah,

449
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,920
Speaker 2: still bitter, But I really like Syracuse here. I played

450
00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:11,920
Speaker 2: them plus ten against Louisville. I actually make this under

451
00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:15,960
Speaker 2: a touchdown, and the main reason is Syracuse's defense, well

452
00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:18,320
Speaker 2: number one. During the bye week, they fixed some things.

453
00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:21,840
Speaker 2: They moved their center to tackle and you know, they

454
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:25,240
Speaker 2: had a new center and their offensive line looked world's better.

455
00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:27,080
Speaker 2: It was a change that was needed. And then on

456
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,720
Speaker 2: the defensive side, they got McKinley Williams back on the

457
00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:33,520
Speaker 2: defensive line and he dominated dominated Duke. You know, Cisco

458
00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:35,399
Speaker 2: had a pick six last week. He's back in the

459
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,680
Speaker 2: flow at safety. He was a freshman All American last year.

460
00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:41,040
Speaker 2: So their defense is a lot healthier. Their offense still stinks,

461
00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:44,080
Speaker 2: but the Louisville defense stinks as well, So I think

462
00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:46,800
Speaker 2: that they can have some success running the ball, and

463
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:49,040
Speaker 2: the Syracuse defense is just getting healthier, and I think

464
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:50,600
Speaker 2: they're going to take a lot of momentum from that

465
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:53,840
Speaker 2: Duke game against this Louisville team. So I like Syracuse

466
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,080
Speaker 2: plus ten here. Anythink a lot of the things.

467
00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:57,760
Speaker 4: That you said I agree with, and that kind of

468
00:20:57,840 --> 00:20:59,720
Speaker 4: led me to the under because my projection is much

469
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:01,280
Speaker 4: lower than the sixty two and a half and I

470
00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 4: don't really understand, you know, how it could be that high.

471
00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:05,680
Speaker 4: The Orange one hundred and fourteenth and one hundred and

472
00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:08,359
Speaker 4: twenty fourth in rushing and passing success rate. That's not

473
00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:11,800
Speaker 4: very good. Louisville should have explosive plays against the Syracuse defense,

474
00:21:12,000 --> 00:21:14,600
Speaker 4: but they're outside the top one hundred defending explosiveness. So

475
00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:16,879
Speaker 4: you know, the Orange have a big advantage in havoc.

476
00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:20,959
Speaker 4: You know, Louisll's one hundred and twenty eighth and havoc allowed. Specifically,

477
00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:23,719
Speaker 4: saccrate is a big issue for the Cardinals. You know,

478
00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:26,920
Speaker 4: the defense Syracuse defense is twenty seventh in sacarate and

479
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:29,680
Speaker 4: Louisville's offensive line is one hundred and twenty fifth and sacrate.

480
00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:32,440
Speaker 4: So you know, I think that there's a really good

481
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:34,000
Speaker 4: spot here for an under in Syracuse.

482
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:36,520
Speaker 2: And then also, don't forget big special teams adventage for

483
00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:39,280
Speaker 2: Syracuse one of the better special teams units in college

484
00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:42,800
Speaker 2: football in Louisville is not great in that department. All right,

485
00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:46,879
Speaker 2: let's move on to and a big twelve. Now, the

486
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:50,520
Speaker 2: big twelve is easy for my scenarios. Baylor and Oklahoma

487
00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:53,360
Speaker 2: are two games out of the field, so it's basically

488
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:57,000
Speaker 2: locked into a Baylor Oklahoma rematch. But Texas is catching

489
00:21:57,040 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 2: six here. Obviously, Herman is a dog, always in true

490
00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 2: covered again against Iowa State as a dog. I think

491
00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:07,399
Speaker 2: he's like fifty sixteen and three now against the spread

492
00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:09,399
Speaker 2: as an underdog catching six here. This line's way too

493
00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,320
Speaker 2: high in my opinion. And not only that, it's a

494
00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:15,119
Speaker 2: terrible spot for Baylor. You know, they're pretty much going

495
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,720
Speaker 2: to the Big twelve Championship, they're pretty much out of

496
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:23,119
Speaker 2: the college wall playoff discussion, and they had their hopes

497
00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:26,280
Speaker 2: and dreams shattered in blowing a twenty eight to three lead,

498
00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:30,760
Speaker 2: twenty five point lead to Oklahoma at home. Screams flat spot.

499
00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:32,719
Speaker 2: And at the end of the day, this line has

500
00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:37,560
Speaker 2: value for days. I mean, basically, Baylor, we were saying

501
00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:39,960
Speaker 2: it all year. They lost the game they probably should

502
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:41,880
Speaker 2: have won, but they were winning a number of games

503
00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 2: they probably should have lost, and they're still inflated in

504
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:49,240
Speaker 2: the market here. Texas's defense has been getting healthier, has

505
00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 2: been playing better. I think this is a complete flat

506
00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:55,680
Speaker 2: spot for Baylor, which still has holes on the defense.

507
00:22:56,040 --> 00:22:58,240
Speaker 2: Still has holes on the offensive line. This is a

508
00:22:58,240 --> 00:22:58,959
Speaker 2: play on Texas.

509
00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:02,399
Speaker 4: For me, it's Texas or nothing here. You know, Herman,

510
00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:03,240
Speaker 4: he's an underdog.

511
00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:04,080
Speaker 5: He's at plus six.

512
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:07,359
Speaker 4: Texas has won this game the last four years and

513
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,399
Speaker 4: Baylor's only won this series four the last twenty one times.

514
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:12,280
Speaker 5: So there's just something in this series.

515
00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:13,920
Speaker 4: No matter how good or bad the teams have been,

516
00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,680
Speaker 4: even through Baylor's great years, I mean there has not been.

517
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:18,400
Speaker 5: It's been a domination by the Longhorns.

518
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:18,600
Speaker 2: Here.

519
00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 4: Baylor's seventy ninth in defensive pass efficiency and that's something

520
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:25,320
Speaker 4: that Ellinger can completely expose Texas's thirty six and passing

521
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:29,040
Speaker 4: success rate. The strength of Baylor's defense is the rush defense,

522
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 4: and the key is on third down because Texas is

523
00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:35,680
Speaker 4: not overly a rushing team predominantly, that's not what they do.

524
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:38,760
Speaker 4: But in third downs that's when Ellinger likes to take

525
00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:40,960
Speaker 4: off and he gets likes to get third down conversions

526
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:43,400
Speaker 4: with his legs. Texas is fifth and third down conversion

527
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:45,800
Speaker 4: rate because of Ellinger and his runs, and Baylor is

528
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:48,400
Speaker 4: ninetieth in opponent third down conversion. So I think that's

529
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,280
Speaker 4: really the key to the game. What's going to keep

530
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:52,320
Speaker 4: the chains moving. What's going to get Texas up on

531
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 4: the board is that Baylor has been poor on third

532
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:58,200
Speaker 4: downs on defense. Texas has been really poorly coached the

533
00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:00,880
Speaker 4: last two weeks, which is why in Vegas two weeks

534
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:02,960
Speaker 4: ago and they didn't get the Kansas State home. It

535
00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:06,919
Speaker 4: just flags for legal formations last week, had penalties against

536
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,399
Speaker 4: Iowa State leading up to their winning field goal. I

537
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:11,719
Speaker 4: don't know if it's poorly coached or if there's focus

538
00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:14,520
Speaker 4: from the players, because really, I mean, they're so far

539
00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 4: below where the expectations were for this team. Is there

540
00:24:17,800 --> 00:24:20,920
Speaker 4: a motivation factor for Baylor? I mean, similar to Miami Ohio,

541
00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,239
Speaker 4: they're pretty much locked into Arlington. If they can get

542
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 4: a win here, if they beat Kansas maybe in the

543
00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:28,159
Speaker 4: back of their head they think, well, we've got Kansas

544
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 4: next week, so we'll be fine there.

545
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:31,680
Speaker 5: So really it's just Texas or nothing here.

546
00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:35,280
Speaker 2: Also elsewhere in the Big twelve, Texas Tech, by the way,

547
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 2: it was a two point favorite over Kansas State. They

548
00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 2: need to win out to become Bowl eligible, as does

549
00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:44,320
Speaker 2: West Virginia, and West Virginia has TCU at home next week.

550
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 2: They have Oklahoma State this week and Oklahoma State lost

551
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:49,639
Speaker 2: a quarterback, Spencer Sanders for the year. Drew Brown is

552
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:52,000
Speaker 2: also rumored to be hurt. More on that later in

553
00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:54,640
Speaker 2: the week. And you know, Texas Tech has to win

554
00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:57,560
Speaker 2: at Texas next week. If they beat Kansas State at

555
00:24:57,560 --> 00:24:59,960
Speaker 2: home this week to get to Bowl eligibility, and then

556
00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:04,360
Speaker 2: TCU needs one more win to get to Boil eligibility.

557
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:08,000
Speaker 2: They play Oklahoma this week, then they are catching I

558
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:10,840
Speaker 2: believe seventeen and a half still, yeah, over under sixty five.

559
00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:12,840
Speaker 2: And one thing that jumps out of me here is

560
00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:16,320
Speaker 2: when you look at Gary Patterson's defenses in his four

561
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:20,920
Speaker 2: two five and his modifications of that each year, generally speaking,

562
00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:23,600
Speaker 2: they give up a lot of explosive plays. We've seen

563
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 2: that in the past. You know. It's an aggressive defense

564
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 2: that wants to make you, you know, drive it down

565
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:32,119
Speaker 2: the field once the force three and outs and you know,

566
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 2: but because of that, sometimes they're vulnerable in the back end,

567
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:39,720
Speaker 2: and the numbers bear that out. I believe tc is

568
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:44,159
Speaker 2: one hundred and nineteenth in defensive past explosiveness, seventy fifth

569
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 2: in rush explosiveness, that passing explosiveness. You know, but their

570
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:50,680
Speaker 2: success rates are great. You know, there are eleventh in

571
00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:54,560
Speaker 2: defensive pass success rate and nineteenth their top twenty in

572
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:58,280
Speaker 2: both passing and rush defensive success rates. And you saw

573
00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:00,440
Speaker 2: Oklahoma just go up and down the field of efficiently

574
00:26:00,520 --> 00:26:03,320
Speaker 2: last week against Baylor. In that comeback, they didn't really

575
00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:05,680
Speaker 2: have the explosiveness that they usually have, and that's because

576
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:08,440
Speaker 2: Cede Lamb was out. Ceedee Lamb. I know, I'm still

577
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:10,000
Speaker 2: not sure if he's going to play yet or not,

578
00:26:10,320 --> 00:26:13,840
Speaker 2: but his presence may may decide whether or not Oklahoma

579
00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:16,719
Speaker 2: blows this open or just you know, wins right around

580
00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:19,720
Speaker 2: the number, which I think is about right. It just help.

581
00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:22,040
Speaker 2: Is Oklahoma a little flat after that win last week

582
00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:24,159
Speaker 2: or do they come out motivated and focus wanting to

583
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:27,119
Speaker 2: blow this open for you know, show off points for

584
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 2: the committee? What do you see here?

585
00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:30,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean all those points there. I mean I

586
00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:32,280
Speaker 4: project the game seventeen and a half, so I think

587
00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 4: it's correct. But I mean if you look at the

588
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:35,439
Speaker 4: advanced stats, I don't think this is going to end

589
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:38,320
Speaker 4: well for TCU, especially if Cedee Lamb plays. He was

590
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,520
Speaker 4: announced as questionable. That'll go all the way up till

591
00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:42,639
Speaker 4: game day before they make an announcement on him. And

592
00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:45,200
Speaker 4: the question really with the sooners is, are you motivated

593
00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:47,920
Speaker 4: to blow out a team similar to what Utah and

594
00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:51,000
Speaker 4: Oregon is doing where they're beating every projection in every

595
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:54,120
Speaker 4: Vegas you know, Odds Baker, every bookmaker that's out there

596
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,040
Speaker 4: for the sake of the playoff rankings. Because Oklahoma's currently

597
00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:59,840
Speaker 4: at ninth and their path to the playoff, they need

598
00:26:59,880 --> 00:27:02,639
Speaker 4: a lot of things to happen a lot like a

599
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,120
Speaker 4: huge domino effect throughout all the conferences to help them

600
00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:06,479
Speaker 4: get up in there because ninth is just not going

601
00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:08,560
Speaker 4: to get it done considering you know what they have

602
00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 4: this week with TCU in next week against Oklahoma State,

603
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:14,040
Speaker 4: and Oklahoma State could be out without their biggest weapons,

604
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 4: you know, on the season. So you know TCU's covered

605
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:18,440
Speaker 4: just one game in their past six and they only

606
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:19,919
Speaker 4: covered that game because it was Sam Allen, wh were

607
00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:22,919
Speaker 4: just having turnover after turnover. When TCU covered and won

608
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 4: against Texas. You know, TCU can still win next week

609
00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:27,840
Speaker 4: against West Virginia to make a Bowl. So it's not

610
00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:30,119
Speaker 4: imperative that they have this game. But if ceedeelamb is

611
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 4: playing for me, it's a play on Oklahoma.

612
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,359
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State, West Virginia. I saw you put a bet

613
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:38,600
Speaker 2: in on Oklahoma State obviously, you just know that the news.

614
00:27:38,600 --> 00:27:41,920
Speaker 2: With Spencer Sanders being out, they're also a terrible spot

615
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,880
Speaker 2: for Oklahoma State. With Oklahoma on deck, you know, they're

616
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:47,160
Speaker 2: seemingly not playing really for anything. They're sitting at seven

617
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:49,600
Speaker 2: and three, while West Virginia looks like they've had a

618
00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:53,040
Speaker 2: significant upgrade a quarterback with the bowling Green transfer who

619
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:55,320
Speaker 2: just is taking care of the ball much more efficiently

620
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:58,680
Speaker 2: than Kendall was. This line is dipped down to five

621
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 2: and a half. And now the rumors aren't Drew Brown.

622
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:04,040
Speaker 2: If you remember during preseason there was a question as

623
00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:06,560
Speaker 2: to who would start a quarterback, Sanders or Brown, but

624
00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 2: you know, and Brown played a little bit last week

625
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:11,920
Speaker 2: after Sanders went out with a hand injury. Any updated

626
00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 2: thoughts here, are you sticking with oak State or I

627
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:15,520
Speaker 2: mean you don't let think you have much of a choice?

628
00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:17,240
Speaker 2: Less this line comes back out with any thoughts?

629
00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:19,200
Speaker 4: No, no, I bought out of it earlier today. I

630
00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 4: played Oklahoma State minus seven real early in the week,

631
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 4: and really the reasoning behind that is because well, not

632
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 4: only is Oklahoma State hot right now and they're covering

633
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:30,040
Speaker 4: almost every single game. Their twenty ninth and passing success rate,

634
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 4: while West Virginia is one hundredth and passing success rate.

635
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 4: I had this projected around eight and a half. So

636
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:38,440
Speaker 4: the feeling was early in the week that this game

637
00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 4: was going to rise, that there would be plenty of

638
00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:43,160
Speaker 4: money coming in on Oklahoma State. I wasn't worried about

639
00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:45,920
Speaker 4: Spencer Sanders. That wasn't the reason for the buyout. The

640
00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:48,440
Speaker 4: reason for the buyout came when the Drew Brown news

641
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:51,440
Speaker 4: came in and you know the fact that he's got

642
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:54,360
Speaker 4: injured in practice. I think what yesterday, you know, so

643
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:57,640
Speaker 4: he's questionable or out for this game. And I didn't

644
00:28:57,640 --> 00:28:59,360
Speaker 4: want to be sitting around with an Oklahoma State minus

645
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:02,480
Speaker 4: seven ticket where I potentially could be relying on a

646
00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:05,440
Speaker 4: third string quarterback on the road. So I mean, I

647
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:07,959
Speaker 4: originally bought it because of how much you know, Oklahoma

648
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:10,840
Speaker 4: State passing success rate is so high. West Virginia is

649
00:29:10,920 --> 00:29:13,040
Speaker 4: not that great at defending the pass. But you know,

650
00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 4: if there's those quarterbacks aren't there, then there's no reason

651
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:17,600
Speaker 4: for me to play. Then you know, the Cowboys are

652
00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:19,520
Speaker 4: eight and two against the spread this year, And I'm

653
00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 4: just gonna put a little note in. I probably won't

654
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:22,720
Speaker 4: say it again because you know the next thing. My

655
00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:25,600
Speaker 4: next action is to purchase this, but futures for next year,

656
00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:27,600
Speaker 4: all cowboys go pokes, all right?

657
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:29,280
Speaker 2: Then rapid fire to close it. The Big twelve. Any

658
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 2: Texas Tech, Kansas State, anything there?

659
00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:32,240
Speaker 5: Zero?

660
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 2: Iowa State. Do they cover against Kansas. I'm thinking about

661
00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:36,560
Speaker 2: laying it here.

662
00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:39,520
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think so. I think Kansas has been exposed.

663
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:41,360
Speaker 4: I think the more film that we got on the offense,

664
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:43,440
Speaker 4: the more the defensive coordinators has been to playing against it.

665
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:46,040
Speaker 4: And it's just after those first two games, it's been nothing.

666
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:47,760
Speaker 4: But people have just been teeing off on Kansas.

667
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, and this is what you know. Iowa State defense

668
00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:52,080
Speaker 2: is built to stop an offense like that, and they

669
00:29:52,120 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 2: have film on it, and Kansas is just a mess

670
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:55,880
Speaker 2: right now. Yeah, after that little rise, I mean that

671
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:59,120
Speaker 2: less Miles's sun was in there at quarterback last week,

672
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:02,880
Speaker 2: just Iowa State should be able to name this probably

673
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:06,440
Speaker 2: the best six and fourteen we've seen in college football

674
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:08,600
Speaker 2: in a long time. All right, let's move on to

675
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:12,160
Speaker 2: the Big ten. Ohio State. Penn State will decide the

676
00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:14,920
Speaker 2: Big ten East, So I guess it's time to get

677
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:16,360
Speaker 2: to well, we'll get to our marquee game in a

678
00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:18,880
Speaker 2: second year. Let's look at the West. First, Wisconsin, if

679
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 2: they win out, they're gonna win the West because they

680
00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:24,320
Speaker 2: played Minnesota next week. So Minnesota all they have to

681
00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:27,800
Speaker 2: do is beat Wisconsin next week, or they could have

682
00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:30,760
Speaker 2: Wisconsin lose this week. But that game is probably most

683
00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 2: likely going to determine who wins the West. That game

684
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:35,560
Speaker 2: will be in Minnesota. And I laid fourteen early in

685
00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:37,959
Speaker 2: the week with Iowa. I still like them at fifteen

686
00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:40,280
Speaker 2: and a half. Illinois they like the Steelers before that

687
00:30:40,320 --> 00:30:44,360
Speaker 2: regression game. They're plus fourteen turnover margin. They've recovered sixteen

688
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:46,960
Speaker 2: fumbles on the year. I mean, it's insane. Iowa is

689
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:50,000
Speaker 2: not is not going to give the way just turnovers

690
00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:52,880
Speaker 2: and touchdowns to Illinois like teams have been doing. I

691
00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:55,360
Speaker 2: think Iowa rolls here and any feel in that game.

692
00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, I agree with you.

693
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,040
Speaker 4: Iowa is built to take care of what Illinois has,

694
00:30:59,120 --> 00:31:01,720
Speaker 4: especially from a rush standpoint of what Illinois's been able

695
00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:03,680
Speaker 4: to pull off. Illinois had a couple of victories where

696
00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:05,720
Speaker 4: they you know, specifically with Michigan State where they had

697
00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:08,560
Speaker 4: no business winning that game whatsoever. I know this number

698
00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:10,960
Speaker 4: is large and inflated, but it's for a reason because

699
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:12,720
Speaker 4: everything in the matchup says that I was going to

700
00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:13,640
Speaker 4: win this game and cover.

701
00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:17,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I mentioned before, technically this game means something

702
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,400
Speaker 2: to Minnesota, but it really doesn't. I mean, it would

703
00:31:21,400 --> 00:31:25,000
Speaker 2: if Wisconsint loses to Purdue, but that's not happening. So this,

704
00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:27,840
Speaker 2: I mean, that's basically the West comes down. So this

705
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:32,320
Speaker 2: game is essentially meaningless to Minnesota. They're laying thirteen and

706
00:31:32,320 --> 00:31:36,600
Speaker 2: a half at Northwestern over under thirty nine. Look, I'm

707
00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:38,960
Speaker 2: waiting for this to get to fourteen so I could

708
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:42,080
Speaker 2: play Northwestern. There are questions about Tanner Morgan flex said

709
00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:44,880
Speaker 2: today he hasn't concussion protocol. He made some progress, but

710
00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:47,480
Speaker 2: I'm sure he'll be questionable all week. If he can't go.

711
00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 2: It's one of two freshmen that will go. There's just look,

712
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:53,520
Speaker 2: Northwestern lives for these kind of games late in the year.

713
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 2: Catching two touchdowns with an over under of thirty nine

714
00:31:57,120 --> 00:32:01,480
Speaker 2: always screams my name, and it's a a horrible spot

715
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:03,880
Speaker 2: for Minnesota. Next week decides the Big Ten. They're out

716
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:08,400
Speaker 2: at the Collegeable playoff discussion now and after losing to Iowa,

717
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:11,280
Speaker 2: so it's let down city sort of like Baylor, you

718
00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:16,760
Speaker 2: agree here and gonna play Pat's Cats, Pats Cats.

719
00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:18,640
Speaker 5: Yep, don't screw me again.

720
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:21,960
Speaker 4: Pat Fitzgerald last year came over to Minnesota, had your

721
00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:24,040
Speaker 4: players on the field without shirts, working out, and I

722
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 4: was holding a huge ticket on Minnesota with crazy line movement.

723
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:29,920
Speaker 4: So yeah, I'm in the same boat. Gets to fourteen,

724
00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 4: this is a play on Northwestern. Been waiting a lot

725
00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:34,960
Speaker 4: of books at thirteen and a half, can't seem to

726
00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:37,480
Speaker 4: tip over. There's one book at fourteen. But they don't

727
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:39,160
Speaker 4: really take a lot of money, So when it gets

728
00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:41,160
Speaker 4: to fourteen, it's going to be firing away. But I

729
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,719
Speaker 4: think the Tanner Morgan decision, we might not get it.

730
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:46,840
Speaker 4: You know, Tanner Morgan remains a concussion protocol flex said,

731
00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:50,520
Speaker 4: whoever plays better in practice this week between Cole Kramer

732
00:32:50,520 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 4: and Jacob Clark is going to get the start.

733
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:53,960
Speaker 5: So there's some pressure for you kids right there.

734
00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 4: You know, despite the offensive struggles, like you know, minus UMass,

735
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:01,880
Speaker 4: the Northwestern defense can stop any explosive passing attack. They

736
00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:05,400
Speaker 4: rank seventh in defensive rushing success rate. They should be

737
00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:08,560
Speaker 4: able to slow down stop Minnesota, especially if there's no

738
00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 4: Tanner Morgan. That would make, you know, fourteen a lot

739
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:14,040
Speaker 4: of value without Minnesota's guy that can throw it pretty deep.

740
00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:16,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, Northwestern maybe can have a little bit of success

741
00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 2: on the ground. I think against a vulnerable Minnesota front seven,

742
00:33:20,840 --> 00:33:22,760
Speaker 2: it won't be pretty, but I think that's the play

743
00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,320
Speaker 2: and you get an out of bonus at Morgan is

744
00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:29,000
Speaker 2: out in a great spot for you know, essentially Northwestern

745
00:33:29,520 --> 00:33:32,680
Speaker 2: super Bowl. By the way, Sparti Perdue in Nebraska all

746
00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:35,080
Speaker 2: need to win out to become Bowl eligible. What a

747
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:38,160
Speaker 2: disappointing seasons for Nebraska and Sparti Purdue. You can't blame them.

748
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,760
Speaker 2: They've just been ravished by injuries. Yeah, the numbers tash

749
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:46,360
Speaker 2: to play Sparty again. I'm having nightmares at Laying twenty.

750
00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:50,400
Speaker 2: At Rutgers, are you playing You're not playing that game,

751
00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:51,480
Speaker 2: are you now?

752
00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 5: I'm not gonna play the game.

753
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:55,040
Speaker 4: I mean Rutgers has some confidence now, I mean, listen,

754
00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:57,480
Speaker 4: we're gonna get to our marquee game. I don't know

755
00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:00,120
Speaker 4: how Rutgers had an explosive TD through the air and

756
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:02,480
Speaker 4: on the ground against Ohio State. That's got to give

757
00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:05,280
Speaker 4: those guys some confidence. So we'll see what they can

758
00:34:05,320 --> 00:34:07,200
Speaker 4: do at home. But so far, no play for me

759
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:08,600
Speaker 4: on that game, Rutgers Michigan State.

760
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:13,080
Speaker 2: All right, then before we get to Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, Indiana.

761
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 2: Michigan's now to a ten point favorite over under fifty

762
00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:17,799
Speaker 2: three and a half at Indiana. Indiana is sitting at

763
00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 2: seven and three. Obviously they lost last week, but we're

764
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:23,680
Speaker 2: really competitive, and again they could have won against Penn State,

765
00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:24,960
Speaker 2: but they still have to beat a team with a

766
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 2: winning record all year. This is just Indiana of old.

767
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:31,600
Speaker 2: You know, they're beating teams that they should beat and

768
00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 2: they can't beat the elite teams. You know, line to

769
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:38,640
Speaker 2: me at Michigan minus ten right now seems a little inflated.

770
00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:40,680
Speaker 2: But you know, maybe if it gets to eleven eleven

771
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:42,319
Speaker 2: and a half, I'll look at Indiana, but probably a

772
00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:43,680
Speaker 2: stay away from me. What do you see here?

773
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:47,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, stay away from me because I think Michigan. You know,

774
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:49,800
Speaker 4: the number has steamed up to nine and a half

775
00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:51,880
Speaker 4: and which is higher than the projection that I have.

776
00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:54,080
Speaker 4: But they're just a buzzsaw right now going through people.

777
00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:56,359
Speaker 4: And I generally don't like to back Michigan on the road,

778
00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:58,240
Speaker 4: but they're playing well on both sides of the ball.

779
00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 4: Indiana maybe without you know, their their top wide receiver,

780
00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:04,960
Speaker 4: he's in concussion protocol. Michigan's defense is seventh and passing

781
00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:07,560
Speaker 4: success rate, and you know, it doesn't matter if it's

782
00:35:07,560 --> 00:35:09,799
Speaker 4: Michael Penix Junior or if it's Peyton Ramsey. They're an

783
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:13,360
Speaker 4: extremely efficient passing team, but they're not an explosive passing team.

784
00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:15,839
Speaker 4: And Michigan excels and shutting.

785
00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:16,560
Speaker 5: Down passing attacks.

786
00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:20,000
Speaker 4: And they're eighth and sack rate, which will neutralize Indiana's

787
00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 4: biggest offensive weapon. So that which is the passing game.

788
00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 4: So you know, if you can't stomach Michigan minus nine

789
00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:26,880
Speaker 4: and a half on the road and an overlooked to

790
00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:31,160
Speaker 4: to Ohio State, you know, the Wolverines have every reason.

791
00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:31,440
Speaker 5: To win this game.

792
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:32,400
Speaker 4: So I don't know if you want to throw them

793
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:34,839
Speaker 4: in a money line or whatever, but Michigan's leser sites

794
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,319
Speaker 4: set on the Rose Bowl. If Michigan wins out beat

795
00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:40,040
Speaker 4: Ohio State next week, college Football Playoff is going to

796
00:35:40,120 --> 00:35:42,680
Speaker 4: take Ohio State probably you know, still going to make

797
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:44,759
Speaker 4: it into the Collegeoble Playoff, which means it's going to

798
00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:45,880
Speaker 4: be a big dent team that needs to go to

799
00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:47,480
Speaker 4: the Rose Bowl, and it's going to come down to

800
00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:51,880
Speaker 4: a handful of two and three loss teams between Penn State, Minnesota, Wisconsin,

801
00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:54,120
Speaker 4: and Michigan is in there, so they've got their sites set.

802
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:54,560
Speaker 5: On the Rose Bowls.

803
00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:57,000
Speaker 4: So I expect them to give full effort here and

804
00:35:58,080 --> 00:35:59,680
Speaker 4: play bully ball and try.

805
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:00,200
Speaker 5: To run in.

806
00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 2: It's another fabulous weekend of college football.

807
00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:07,600
Speaker 3: Let's check out the marquee matchups.

808
00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 1: Will all end up bedding for week thirteen.

809
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:14,440
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to our marquee game of

810
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:17,279
Speaker 2: the weekend. It's not a weekend with the most market games.

811
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:18,960
Speaker 2: We're gonna have plenty of them coming up, but I

812
00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:21,760
Speaker 2: think this is the highlight game. Obviously, it is going

813
00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:25,200
Speaker 2: to decide the Big tennies that has collegeable playoff implications

814
00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:28,680
Speaker 2: as well. Penn State is sitting as an eighteen and

815
00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:34,560
Speaker 2: a half point underdog. Historically, favorites over seventeen between top ten,

816
00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:36,600
Speaker 2: top ten teams or less twenty or three years that

817
00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 2: have had a ton of success against the spread. It's

818
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:42,120
Speaker 2: usually a reason why the line is that high. Look,

819
00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 2: I'll say I'll start with this. The reason why Ohio State,

820
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:48,239
Speaker 2: I mean is I think the best team in the

821
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:51,640
Speaker 2: country is because they're elite on the offensive and defensive side.

822
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,440
Speaker 2: But the two weaknesses that they've had and they keep

823
00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:56,360
Speaker 2: showing up on the advanced metrics, is they give up

824
00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:59,960
Speaker 2: explosive runs still and their offensive line is little volle.

825
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:02,359
Speaker 2: You can get after the quarterback, and we saw some

826
00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:06,400
Speaker 2: of that with Wisconsin doing that early on. Penn State

827
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:11,080
Speaker 2: does have an excellent front seven, so maybe they can

828
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:13,840
Speaker 2: get after the quarterback here. The main question though for

829
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:16,400
Speaker 2: me with Penn State, and I think this line is

830
00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:19,239
Speaker 2: about right to be honest, is will I mean, Noah

831
00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:21,759
Speaker 2: Kaine the running back is questionable, but kJ Hamler was

832
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:25,319
Speaker 2: so important to their offense he's questionable as well, So

833
00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:29,319
Speaker 2: it's I think he just like Ceedee Lamb. Without him,

834
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:33,960
Speaker 2: their offense just loses such a big dynamic piece. What

835
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:35,759
Speaker 2: do you see here with Penn State Ohio State.

836
00:37:36,440 --> 00:37:38,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's definitely the big thing for me because the

837
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:41,000
Speaker 4: buy in on Penn State earlier in the week was

838
00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:43,000
Speaker 4: the expectation that kJ Hamler was going to play and

839
00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:45,880
Speaker 4: for the line to go down to seventeen once it's announced.

840
00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:49,200
Speaker 4: But the line is inevitably steaming up with plenty of

841
00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:51,680
Speaker 4: money and tickets coming in on Ohio State, So I

842
00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:53,040
Speaker 4: make the game seventeen and a half.

843
00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 5: But Hammler is the real deal.

844
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:56,799
Speaker 4: He's the X factor in this game, especially when it

845
00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:59,560
Speaker 4: comes to exposive plays for Penn State's offense. Ohio State

846
00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:02,440
Speaker 4: is one hundred and defensive rush explosiveness, So if teams

847
00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:04,920
Speaker 4: have been able to break off big things on the ground,

848
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:06,440
Speaker 4: and if you go and just you know, hop on

849
00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:08,400
Speaker 4: YouTube and put in kJ Handler, you can see him

850
00:38:08,440 --> 00:38:12,560
Speaker 4: busting a ninety yarder ninety yard short pass against the

851
00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:14,479
Speaker 4: Ohio State defense last year. And it was a different

852
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 4: defense for Ohio State last year, but still that shows

853
00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:19,719
Speaker 4: just the athleticism of kJ Hamler and what he can

854
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:22,719
Speaker 4: do against a defense loaded with talent. So you know

855
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:25,120
Speaker 4: Ohio State sacrate on the offensive line. Switching to the

856
00:38:25,160 --> 00:38:26,880
Speaker 4: other side. The thing that you know got me in

857
00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:28,400
Speaker 4: on Pensate earlier in the week is that I was

858
00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:30,480
Speaker 4: surprised to find out that Ohio State's sacrate on the

859
00:38:30,520 --> 00:38:32,920
Speaker 4: offensive line is ninety eight. That's going to get tested

860
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:34,880
Speaker 4: by a Penn State defense. It is excellent at Havoc.

861
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:38,160
Speaker 4: You know, Mika Parsons has seventy five tackles on the season,

862
00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:41,360
Speaker 4: gross Mattos is leading the team in sacks. This is

863
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:44,160
Speaker 4: one of the best havoc defenses in the nation, and

864
00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:46,920
Speaker 4: if Hio State's offensive line really hasn't been exposed by

865
00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:49,840
Speaker 4: real defense yet, this will be their best test easily

866
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 4: by far. You know, Sean Clifford and pen Sate's offense,

867
00:38:53,000 --> 00:38:55,640
Speaker 4: they're seventy second and havoc allowed, so they're you know,

868
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:57,840
Speaker 4: Ohio State's defense number one and havoc. So they're going

869
00:38:57,920 --> 00:38:59,920
Speaker 4: to be able to have their own set of havoc

870
00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:03,560
Speaker 4: plays and disruption against Sean Clifford and the Penn State offense.

871
00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:06,560
Speaker 4: There's one argument against Ohio State is that they've played

872
00:39:06,600 --> 00:39:09,840
Speaker 4: a lot of one dimensional offenses and they really haven't

873
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:13,000
Speaker 4: seen anybody, you know, especially like a kJ Hamler, you know,

874
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 4: if he plays. But they haven't allowed more than one

875
00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:16,880
Speaker 4: hundred and twenty five yards in the air through the

876
00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:19,799
Speaker 4: last four games. I mean, it's really kind of been

877
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:22,719
Speaker 4: a cake walk for the Buckeyes as far as game

878
00:39:22,800 --> 00:39:25,920
Speaker 4: planning for an opponent and you know, being able to

879
00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:28,560
Speaker 4: center it in on what their specialty is and shutting

880
00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:31,560
Speaker 4: that down. So if kJ Hamler is playing, that gives

881
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:34,400
Speaker 4: Penn State, you know, room to actually get some you know,

882
00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:35,920
Speaker 4: get some points on the board, whether it be on

883
00:39:35,960 --> 00:39:39,600
Speaker 4: the ground or through the air. This this series has

884
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:42,040
Speaker 4: been really close last three years. It's been decided by

885
00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:45,000
Speaker 4: five points total over the last three games. It's been

886
00:39:45,040 --> 00:39:47,719
Speaker 4: decided by one point the last two years in this game.

887
00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:50,440
Speaker 4: And so these coordinators know each other really well, especially

888
00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:53,840
Speaker 4: with Ryan Day going up against Brent Pry for Penn State.

889
00:39:54,680 --> 00:39:57,000
Speaker 4: So I think it's going to go over my projection

890
00:39:57,040 --> 00:39:59,880
Speaker 4: of sixty two, but I really need confirmation of Hammler

891
00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:03,000
Speaker 4: Penn State to be playing an active you know, for

892
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:05,200
Speaker 4: Penn State to hold their part with the points. If

893
00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:06,920
Speaker 4: you're gonna play this live or you have the option

894
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:09,520
Speaker 4: to play this live. Penn State has been really good

895
00:40:09,600 --> 00:40:11,839
Speaker 4: the first three or four drives in every single game,

896
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:12,160
Speaker 4: and I.

897
00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:13,440
Speaker 2: Think it goes back to the day they got to

898
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:14,440
Speaker 2: get off to the fast start.

899
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:16,640
Speaker 4: If Penn State does not score in their first two

900
00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:19,080
Speaker 4: drives and you're betting this live, you by, you might

901
00:40:19,120 --> 00:40:21,319
Speaker 4: as well just eat a number on Ohio State, because

902
00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 4: I just don't think there's any way that after those

903
00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:25,120
Speaker 4: scripted plays get out of the way, that they're gonna

904
00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:26,200
Speaker 4: be able to handle Ohio State.

905
00:40:26,600 --> 00:40:29,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, now we'll we'll have a large write up on

906
00:40:29,360 --> 00:40:31,160
Speaker 2: Action Network dot Com in the Action Apple on this game,

907
00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:33,080
Speaker 2: so make sure you check that out. All right, let's

908
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:36,319
Speaker 2: move on to Conference USA. Charlotte needs one win for

909
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:38,880
Speaker 2: bowl eligibility. They've never made a bowl since they were

910
00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:42,319
Speaker 2: established in twenty thirteen. FIU also needs one win. They

911
00:40:42,320 --> 00:40:45,600
Speaker 2: play Miami this week, than Marshall next week, North Texas

912
00:40:45,719 --> 00:40:50,520
Speaker 2: and Utsaye. They need to win out to get to

913
00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:53,720
Speaker 2: a bowl. I can't believe it Utsa with that joke schedule.

914
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:56,359
Speaker 2: This conference esday is messy. Marshall and in the East,

915
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:58,239
Speaker 2: Marshall and FAU at their top at five and one,

916
00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:01,560
Speaker 2: Marshall controls its own destiny. Or they could split and

917
00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:04,799
Speaker 2: have the FAU split because Marshall did beat FAU. But

918
00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:07,959
Speaker 2: you know, Marshall, if they beat Charlotte, who's not gonna

919
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:10,120
Speaker 2: have Benny LeMay. It looks like their seven point favorites.

920
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:12,279
Speaker 2: Sort of a trappy game, right, But if they went

921
00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:15,000
Speaker 2: out and against FIU, who could be most likely be

922
00:41:15,000 --> 00:41:18,080
Speaker 2: playing for Bowl eligibility, FAU could still get there. And

923
00:41:18,080 --> 00:41:20,640
Speaker 2: in the West Southern miss if they win out and

924
00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:22,919
Speaker 2: La Tech loses one and LA Tech will be without

925
00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:25,040
Speaker 2: their star quarterback and wide receiver this week at UAB

926
00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:29,400
Speaker 2: catching I think six, then Southern Miss will win. But

927
00:41:29,640 --> 00:41:31,880
Speaker 2: they played Western Kentucky and then they're at FAU, so

928
00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:34,239
Speaker 2: it's a tough schedule. I'll just open this up for

929
00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:36,040
Speaker 2: you in confidence to say a couple of game or

930
00:41:36,080 --> 00:41:36,879
Speaker 2: two that you want to mention.

931
00:41:37,560 --> 00:41:39,239
Speaker 5: Well, I have U A B on the side, it's

932
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:39,840
Speaker 5: at six.

933
00:41:40,880 --> 00:41:43,239
Speaker 4: I was salivating when I saw CIRCA open it up

934
00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 4: at minus one on Sunday. I wish I'd have been

935
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:48,279
Speaker 4: at the desk for that, because I think that was

936
00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:52,520
Speaker 4: put up there without realizing that Jamar Smith, quarterback for

937
00:41:52,600 --> 00:41:55,279
Speaker 4: Louisiana Tech, and Adrian Hardy, the wide receiver for.

938
00:41:55,360 --> 00:41:57,680
Speaker 5: Louisiana Tech, they won't be playing in this game.

939
00:41:57,760 --> 00:41:59,600
Speaker 4: And if you look at the UA and the backup

940
00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:02,959
Speaker 4: fresh quarterback Aaron Allen, he got injured last week again

941
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:04,759
Speaker 4: against Marshall at the end of the game. So the

942
00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:07,400
Speaker 4: Bulldogs are down to their third string quarterback in this game.

943
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:09,839
Speaker 4: So they're going to fall off a cliff offensively here.

944
00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:12,440
Speaker 4: You can't even really look at their offensive numbers considering

945
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:15,360
Speaker 4: they've lost like ninety percent of all of their production

946
00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:15,759
Speaker 4: this year.

947
00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:16,920
Speaker 5: Is not playing in this game.

948
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 4: I know uab's had one of the easiest schedules in

949
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:21,240
Speaker 4: the nation, but their top five in rushing passing success

950
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:23,920
Speaker 4: rate on defense, and then now they finally get their

951
00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:26,400
Speaker 4: quarterback back Tyler Johnson, was out a couple weeks for

952
00:42:26,440 --> 00:42:30,120
Speaker 4: having a sprain knee. You know, despite rushing success rank

953
00:42:30,160 --> 00:42:31,920
Speaker 4: of one hundred and eighteenth, UAB was able to put

954
00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:34,800
Speaker 4: up three hundred and fifty yards on the ground against UTEP,

955
00:42:35,080 --> 00:42:37,360
Speaker 4: and you know, I think that speaks a lot to UTEP.

956
00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:40,680
Speaker 4: But it was backup quarterback Dylan Hopkins who took all

957
00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:42,480
Speaker 4: the snaps last week, and they kind of changed him

958
00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:44,239
Speaker 4: up and didn't want him to throw and had him run.

959
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:45,240
Speaker 5: It paid off huge.

960
00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:47,759
Speaker 4: Last week against UTEP, and I think that's going to

961
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:49,879
Speaker 4: be the game plan. I think Bill Clark is smart enough,

962
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:52,080
Speaker 4: and at least from what I've read, they don't want

963
00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:54,440
Speaker 4: to go up against Mick Robertson. Mick Robertson is a

964
00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:56,360
Speaker 4: name you should know if you're an NFL guy, because

965
00:42:56,400 --> 00:42:59,000
Speaker 4: he is He's got sixteen pass breakups, he leads all

966
00:42:59,040 --> 00:43:01,560
Speaker 4: of Conference USA. He's one of the best defensive backs

967
00:43:01,560 --> 00:43:03,799
Speaker 4: in all of FBS play. And I think Bill Clark

968
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:06,200
Speaker 4: is smart enough not to try to throw, you know,

969
00:43:06,239 --> 00:43:08,040
Speaker 4: when he's roaming around on the field. So I think

970
00:43:08,040 --> 00:43:10,000
Speaker 4: this is going to be a huge ground game for

971
00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:13,200
Speaker 4: UAB between their backup quarterback that you know helped lead

972
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:16,600
Speaker 4: over three hundred rushing yards, but just offensively for Lateech

973
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:18,279
Speaker 4: they have nothing. I mean they're down to a third

974
00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:21,759
Speaker 4: string quarterback after you know, second string freshman got hurt.

975
00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:23,280
Speaker 5: So this is UAB.

976
00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:25,359
Speaker 4: You know, I've got him in money lines, I've got

977
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:27,840
Speaker 4: him at minus six. It's definitely the game I focused

978
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:30,080
Speaker 4: on this week. I am leaning UTSA. There might be

979
00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:31,000
Speaker 4: a play come through.

980
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 5: And meet me.

981
00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:34,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're catching twenty one at home with ball motivation

982
00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:38,600
Speaker 2: against FAU, who is still alive for a division title,

983
00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:41,319
Speaker 2: although an outside shot. Yeah, and I agree with you

984
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:44,280
Speaker 2: on UAB that that front seven, regardless of the schedule,

985
00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:47,120
Speaker 2: is excellent and La Tech, with their passing game hampered,

986
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:48,479
Speaker 2: is going to have trouble moving the ball.

987
00:43:48,560 --> 00:43:50,799
Speaker 1: I hope you're enjoying this great Action Network podcast. I

988
00:43:50,800 --> 00:43:53,120
Speaker 1: want to make sure you know about the Lockdown podcast

989
00:43:53,160 --> 00:43:56,520
Speaker 1: network locked on as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

990
00:43:56,640 --> 00:43:59,000
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are Lockdown

991
00:43:59,040 --> 00:43:59,879
Speaker 2: of the Dallas.

992
00:43:59,560 --> 00:44:02,680
Speaker 4: Marriage everybody still Locked on Lakers podcast, Let's Go.

993
00:44:02,960 --> 00:44:05,879
Speaker 1: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

994
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:08,120
Speaker 1: know your team better than anyone and give you the

995
00:44:08,200 --> 00:44:10,960
Speaker 1: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

996
00:44:11,160 --> 00:44:16,400
Speaker 1: locked on your favorite team, subscribe to your locked on podcast.

997
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:21,120
Speaker 2: I guess we can cover the Independent quickly and look,

998
00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:23,920
Speaker 2: you mass stinks the last chance to fade them. I'll

999
00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:27,239
Speaker 2: be fading them in some aspect against BYU by US

1000
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:30,680
Speaker 2: laying thirty nine and a half here at UMass. Anything

1001
00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 2: you want to mention on BYU ums.

1002
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:34,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think you can check the Action go to

1003
00:44:34,640 --> 00:44:37,040
Speaker 4: the Action Network and you can see the article that

1004
00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:38,680
Speaker 4: I'll have up tomorrow in my column. I'm going to

1005
00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:40,879
Speaker 4: have a BYUU mass right up in there. A lot

1006
00:44:40,880 --> 00:44:42,279
Speaker 4: of it has to do with you know, I mean

1007
00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:44,160
Speaker 4: BYU is flying out to these coast but they did

1008
00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:44,680
Speaker 4: this last year.

1009
00:44:44,680 --> 00:44:46,080
Speaker 5: They flew out to Gillette Stadium.

1010
00:44:46,120 --> 00:44:47,560
Speaker 4: But you got to look at what's happened in these

1011
00:44:47,640 --> 00:44:49,319
Speaker 4: U MASS games in the first quarter and in the

1012
00:44:49,360 --> 00:44:52,680
Speaker 4: first half. I think this line, this total is high

1013
00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:55,040
Speaker 4: sixty nine. I mean that, I mean, how many points

1014
00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:56,719
Speaker 4: is you MASS gonna put up? You go and look,

1015
00:44:57,239 --> 00:44:59,279
Speaker 4: you know, when Toledo came to town, there was only

1016
00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:03,480
Speaker 4: seven first half point you know, I mean Northwestern against

1017
00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:05,120
Speaker 4: UM Mass last week they only had zero. They had

1018
00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:07,560
Speaker 4: zero points in the first quarter. The Selukis, who put

1019
00:45:07,600 --> 00:45:09,680
Speaker 4: up forty five points, they had zero points in the

1020
00:45:09,719 --> 00:45:12,279
Speaker 4: first quarter. So when teams come to play at U Mass,

1021
00:45:12,280 --> 00:45:14,680
Speaker 4: it's generally a slow start. This is a West Coast

1022
00:45:14,680 --> 00:45:16,040
Speaker 4: team at least, or at least as to say, a

1023
00:45:16,040 --> 00:45:18,480
Speaker 4: Mountain Time Zone team flying out to play. So I

1024
00:45:18,520 --> 00:45:20,680
Speaker 4: think there's gonna be a lack of points at least

1025
00:45:20,680 --> 00:45:21,399
Speaker 4: to start this game.

1026
00:45:21,520 --> 00:45:23,400
Speaker 5: There will be more on Action Network for tomorrow.

1027
00:45:23,560 --> 00:45:25,359
Speaker 2: It's a good matchup for BYU. I mean U Mass

1028
00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:27,800
Speaker 2: is one hundred and thirtieth and passing and rushing success

1029
00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:31,640
Speaker 2: rates on defense one hundred and thirtieth. BYU's top fifty

1030
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:33,239
Speaker 2: on offensive. Both they'll be able to move the ball

1031
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:33,719
Speaker 2: at will.

1032
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:35,680
Speaker 4: The reason why for the under two is that there's

1033
00:45:35,680 --> 00:45:38,200
Speaker 4: a really good chance Zach Wilson is either doesn't play

1034
00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:40,680
Speaker 4: or he's pulled really quick for next week San Diego

1035
00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:42,680
Speaker 4: State game because he's returning from injury.

1036
00:45:42,880 --> 00:45:44,080
Speaker 5: Romney and Hall are injured.

1037
00:45:44,120 --> 00:45:47,319
Speaker 4: That leads to fourth string Joe Critchlow so I just

1038
00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:49,600
Speaker 4: I the seventy points is that's a lot.

1039
00:45:49,680 --> 00:45:50,440
Speaker 5: It's a lot of points.

1040
00:45:50,719 --> 00:45:54,200
Speaker 2: Fritchlow is married to Mitt Rodney's granddaughter. Defensiveside, BUYU doesn't

1041
00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:56,160
Speaker 2: give up anything explosive. U Mass is one of the

1042
00:45:56,200 --> 00:45:59,040
Speaker 2: least efficient offenses. They hit a couple of big runs,

1043
00:45:59,040 --> 00:46:01,440
Speaker 2: but BYU doesn't gove up anything big. So you masses

1044
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:04,400
Speaker 2: dockheible to drive down the field at BYU will efficiently.

1045
00:46:04,680 --> 00:46:06,960
Speaker 2: I should mention also Boston College Notre Dame. Notre Dame

1046
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:10,200
Speaker 2: yea twenty and a half point favorite. Now they should

1047
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:15,160
Speaker 2: have some success against this Boston College defense, which is brutal.

1048
00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:19,440
Speaker 2: The special teams on Boston College are also awful. But look,

1049
00:46:20,120 --> 00:46:22,359
Speaker 2: Boston College, their secondary is a mess. They did get

1050
00:46:22,400 --> 00:46:25,000
Speaker 2: a linebacker back last week who should help in some

1051
00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:26,680
Speaker 2: of the coverage underneath, but there are one hundred and

1052
00:46:26,680 --> 00:46:29,760
Speaker 2: twenty six and defensive passixploseness and one hundred and eighteenth

1053
00:46:29,760 --> 00:46:32,840
Speaker 2: and passing success rate. I'm not sure Boston College is

1054
00:46:32,880 --> 00:46:35,279
Speaker 2: good as their running backs are, and one of them

1055
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:37,960
Speaker 2: is banged up a little bit, they just can't keep

1056
00:46:38,040 --> 00:46:41,040
Speaker 2: up with Notre Dame. Here. Boston College will probably lose

1057
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:42,719
Speaker 2: this and win next week to get to six and six,

1058
00:46:42,719 --> 00:46:43,879
Speaker 2: as they seemingly do every year.

1059
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:46,120
Speaker 4: Anything here, Yeah, I mean, this is Notre Dame all

1060
00:46:46,160 --> 00:46:47,799
Speaker 4: the way, especially if you can get like a team

1061
00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:50,520
Speaker 4: total over on Notre Dame, because Notre Dame is going

1062
00:46:50,560 --> 00:46:53,040
Speaker 4: to be able to shut down the Boston College rushing attack.

1063
00:46:53,239 --> 00:46:54,600
Speaker 4: And then if you look at what they did, what

1064
00:46:54,880 --> 00:46:57,080
Speaker 4: Notre Dame did against Navy last week, the four tds

1065
00:46:57,120 --> 00:46:58,719
Speaker 4: by the middle of a second quarter by ian Book,

1066
00:46:58,719 --> 00:47:01,320
Speaker 4: they're going to do the same thing against Boston College's defense.

1067
00:47:01,560 --> 00:47:03,879
Speaker 4: Boston College defensively is one hundred and eighteenth and passing

1068
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:06,800
Speaker 4: success rate one hundred and twenty six against explosive passing.

1069
00:47:07,040 --> 00:47:09,880
Speaker 4: So expect ian Book to just come out on fire,

1070
00:47:10,560 --> 00:47:12,319
Speaker 4: you know, because Notre Dame's got to do their part

1071
00:47:12,440 --> 00:47:14,160
Speaker 4: to score a ton and get the attention of the

1072
00:47:14,160 --> 00:47:16,480
Speaker 4: committee and the rankings because they're now sixteenth in the

1073
00:47:16,480 --> 00:47:17,800
Speaker 4: College Football Playoff rankings.

1074
00:47:17,800 --> 00:47:19,480
Speaker 5: They need a lot of help to get to a

1075
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:20,200
Speaker 5: new Year's six.

1076
00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:24,399
Speaker 4: Because there's this real crazy oddity where because the semi

1077
00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:26,880
Speaker 4: finals are in the Peach and Fiesta Bowl, those are

1078
00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:29,680
Speaker 4: the semi final spots, there's only one true at large

1079
00:47:29,680 --> 00:47:31,960
Speaker 4: spot that Notre Dame would take. So they're competing with

1080
00:47:32,000 --> 00:47:33,440
Speaker 4: a ton of teams for that spot and they need

1081
00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:35,160
Speaker 4: a lot of help and they're going to score a

1082
00:47:35,160 --> 00:47:35,879
Speaker 4: lot of points here.

1083
00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:39,200
Speaker 2: Yep. All right, let's move on to the MAC very

1084
00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:41,600
Speaker 2: quickly here since there's only one game, but in the

1085
00:47:41,640 --> 00:47:45,040
Speaker 2: East Miamay Ohio is already clinched. Kent State needs to

1086
00:47:45,080 --> 00:47:45,640
Speaker 2: win out.

1087
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:45,920
Speaker 5: For a Bowl.

1088
00:47:46,000 --> 00:47:48,680
Speaker 2: Well, they play this week Ball State, who also needs

1089
00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:50,759
Speaker 2: to win out to get to a bowl. That's the

1090
00:47:50,800 --> 00:47:52,640
Speaker 2: only game this weekend. By the way, in the West,

1091
00:47:52,640 --> 00:47:56,160
Speaker 2: Western Michigan and Central Michigan. Central Michigan. Unbelievable. They're at

1092
00:47:56,200 --> 00:47:58,279
Speaker 2: the top. It's how bad the MACT is this year.

1093
00:47:58,560 --> 00:48:00,440
Speaker 2: Western Michigan owns the head to head. All they need

1094
00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:03,400
Speaker 2: to do is win at NIU on Tuesday, or if

1095
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:06,960
Speaker 2: they don't, they need CMU to lose at home versus

1096
00:48:07,000 --> 00:48:10,000
Speaker 2: Toledo on Friday. But let's just focus really quickly on

1097
00:48:10,040 --> 00:48:12,440
Speaker 2: the MAC East game. Ken State had a miracle comeback

1098
00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:16,200
Speaker 2: against Buffalo to remain Bowl eligible. They are catching three

1099
00:48:16,239 --> 00:48:18,759
Speaker 2: and a half four a shit home against Ball State.

1100
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,799
Speaker 2: You roll in with the golden flashes here, you know it.

1101
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:24,200
Speaker 4: Kent State and Ball State are at the blackjack table.

1102
00:48:24,280 --> 00:48:26,839
Speaker 4: Kent State's on a heater. They're making everything close. Missed

1103
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:29,880
Speaker 4: a two point conversion against Toledo for overtime. You know,

1104
00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:32,600
Speaker 4: they had a twenty one point fourth quarter comeback on

1105
00:48:32,680 --> 00:48:34,400
Speaker 4: Buffalo and Ball State.

1106
00:48:34,239 --> 00:48:34,720
Speaker 5: Is the cooler.

1107
00:48:34,719 --> 00:48:36,640
Speaker 4: They're sitting over at third base of the blackjack table.

1108
00:48:36,680 --> 00:48:39,160
Speaker 4: They just can't get anything for their life. Crazy enough,

1109
00:48:39,280 --> 00:48:41,880
Speaker 4: Ball State's only won three times on the road and

1110
00:48:41,920 --> 00:48:45,640
Speaker 4: their last nineteen tries, last nineteen times that they've left Muncie,

1111
00:48:45,760 --> 00:48:48,319
Speaker 4: they've only won three times. So yeah, definitely kind state here.

1112
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:50,920
Speaker 2: All right, Let's move on to the Mountain West. In

1113
00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:53,880
Speaker 2: the West Division, San Diego State for Hawaii, that will

1114
00:48:54,040 --> 00:48:56,640
Speaker 2: decide it, you know, and also Fresno, San Jose State,

1115
00:48:56,680 --> 00:48:58,719
Speaker 2: and Colorado State. They all need to win out for

1116
00:48:58,800 --> 00:49:01,720
Speaker 2: a Bowl shot. I think Fresno State puts it on Nevada.

1117
00:49:01,760 --> 00:49:04,120
Speaker 2: By the way, San Jose State is six and a

1118
00:49:04,120 --> 00:49:07,000
Speaker 2: half seven point favorites at UNLB, and Colorado State, which

1119
00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:10,680
Speaker 2: we'll get to later, is at Wyoming tomorrow night, catching seven.

1120
00:49:11,040 --> 00:49:13,520
Speaker 2: But dian Diego State Hawaii. Look, it's similar to last

1121
00:49:13,520 --> 00:49:16,200
Speaker 2: week with Fresno State. The Waii offense is really good.

1122
00:49:16,520 --> 00:49:18,799
Speaker 2: The San Diego State defense is really good. The San

1123
00:49:18,840 --> 00:49:21,440
Speaker 2: Diego State offense is really bad. The Hawaii defense is

1124
00:49:21,480 --> 00:49:24,240
Speaker 2: really bad. If it does come down to special team's advantage,

1125
00:49:24,280 --> 00:49:27,360
Speaker 2: san Diego State, San Diego State is a three point

1126
00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:28,000
Speaker 2: favorite here.

1127
00:49:28,360 --> 00:49:30,520
Speaker 4: This is a game definitely where I am not going

1128
00:49:30,520 --> 00:49:33,359
Speaker 4: to be hedging my futures on Hawaii whatsoever. And I

1129
00:49:33,440 --> 00:49:36,680
Speaker 4: really kind of want to add to Hawaii in this game.

1130
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:38,359
Speaker 4: And you know there's going to be more in this

1131
00:49:38,600 --> 00:49:40,719
Speaker 4: on Action Network, but I'll just say that. You know,

1132
00:49:40,760 --> 00:49:43,319
Speaker 4: Hawaii is seventh and first downs, they're twenty second and

1133
00:49:43,320 --> 00:49:44,240
Speaker 4: third down conversions.

1134
00:49:44,280 --> 00:49:45,800
Speaker 5: They should be able to control the clock.

1135
00:49:46,160 --> 00:49:48,640
Speaker 4: And amazingly enough, as bad as they are a defense

1136
00:49:48,680 --> 00:49:51,520
Speaker 4: in every single category, they're actually top twenty in defensive

1137
00:49:51,520 --> 00:49:54,520
Speaker 4: pass explosiveness. They're able to stop teams from throwing it

1138
00:49:54,560 --> 00:49:56,640
Speaker 4: deep and getting chunk yards through the air. Well, all

1139
00:49:56,680 --> 00:49:58,880
Speaker 4: of a sudden, San Diego State, who went to a spread,

1140
00:49:59,000 --> 00:50:02,760
Speaker 4: you know, you know before the season started, Agnew their quarterback,

1141
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:04,920
Speaker 4: faced Fresno State last week and finally had over a

1142
00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:07,160
Speaker 4: three hundred yard passing game. It's the first time in

1143
00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:09,560
Speaker 4: sixty five games that the Aztecs have had a three

1144
00:50:09,640 --> 00:50:12,719
Speaker 4: hundred yard passer. Fresno State gives up a lot more

1145
00:50:12,760 --> 00:50:16,359
Speaker 4: explosive play through the air than Hawaii does, So I like,

1146
00:50:16,560 --> 00:50:17,960
Speaker 4: I don't care if it's Cordero, I don't care if

1147
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:20,880
Speaker 4: it's McDonald. I'm going to back the bows here. I

1148
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:22,879
Speaker 4: think they're going to win this game. They're gonna play

1149
00:50:22,920 --> 00:50:25,280
Speaker 4: cock control. They're going to shut down the San Diego

1150
00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:28,680
Speaker 4: State offense, which isn't hard to do whatsoever. And you know,

1151
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:31,200
Speaker 4: so go rainbows all the way. First time that a

1152
00:50:31,840 --> 00:50:34,719
Speaker 4: team will win this division not named Fresno State or

1153
00:50:34,760 --> 00:50:35,520
Speaker 4: San Diego State.

1154
00:50:35,800 --> 00:50:38,080
Speaker 2: Well, if Hawaii wins, by the way, if Hawaii wins

1155
00:50:38,120 --> 00:50:40,200
Speaker 2: this game, in the next week, they play Army. Army

1156
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:45,400
Speaker 2: off of a bye with ball hopes and Hawaii's defense, run, defensive,

1157
00:50:45,440 --> 00:50:48,279
Speaker 2: defensive line is horrible. It could be a spot for

1158
00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:52,040
Speaker 2: Army as a dog. But we'll get to that next week. Yeah.

1159
00:50:52,040 --> 00:50:54,560
Speaker 2: On the Mountain Division, Boise controls its own destiny, but

1160
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:57,359
Speaker 2: they don't have it locked up yet. One loss could

1161
00:50:57,440 --> 00:50:59,960
Speaker 2: open up the door for Air Force or Utah State

1162
00:51:00,120 --> 00:51:02,520
Speaker 2: and Boise State play. And there's all kinds of question

1163
00:51:02,520 --> 00:51:05,200
Speaker 2: marks with who's playing quarterback for Boise every week Boise's

1164
00:51:05,239 --> 00:51:07,640
Speaker 2: a nine point favorite at Utah State this week, and

1165
00:51:07,640 --> 00:51:09,000
Speaker 2: then you have the Air Force is a twenty two

1166
00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:10,680
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite in New Mexico who's just

1167
00:51:10,719 --> 00:51:13,600
Speaker 2: completely decimated. Now they've lost all their running backs. It's

1168
00:51:13,600 --> 00:51:16,120
Speaker 2: a mess. Boise is not locked into the Mountain yet,

1169
00:51:16,320 --> 00:51:18,480
Speaker 2: but if they win this game, they pretty much are

1170
00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:20,640
Speaker 2: anything else in the Mountain. For you that catches your.

1171
00:51:20,560 --> 00:51:22,840
Speaker 4: Eye, well, there's going to be no side play on

1172
00:51:22,880 --> 00:51:25,359
Speaker 4: Boise in Utah State because the quarterback situation on both

1173
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:28,480
Speaker 4: sides is really it's rough. So Boise, you know, Bachmeer

1174
00:51:28,560 --> 00:51:31,000
Speaker 4: is injured, Chase Cord is injured. This may come down

1175
00:51:31,000 --> 00:51:33,040
Speaker 4: to Jalen Henderson, which is fine because he got the

1176
00:51:33,080 --> 00:51:34,960
Speaker 4: start against New Mexico last week and he started off

1177
00:51:34,960 --> 00:51:37,440
Speaker 4: with a ninety seven year ad TD drive. It's different

1178
00:51:37,480 --> 00:51:39,799
Speaker 4: on the Utah State side. There's a chance that Jordan

1179
00:51:39,880 --> 00:51:42,400
Speaker 4: Love is not going to go back up quarterback. Henry

1180
00:51:42,400 --> 00:51:45,480
Speaker 4: Colombia could get the start. Love couldn't finish the game

1181
00:51:45,480 --> 00:51:48,319
Speaker 4: against Wyoming. That would be a huge blow to them.

1182
00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:51,160
Speaker 4: So that's something that I'm monitoring. I already love unders

1183
00:51:51,200 --> 00:51:53,720
Speaker 4: on Utah State because there's still one hundred and thirtieth

1184
00:51:53,760 --> 00:51:56,560
Speaker 4: in red zone scoring percentage in red zone touchdowns, and

1185
00:51:56,600 --> 00:52:00,520
Speaker 4: they're allowing opponents, you know, touchdown ranked of one hundred

1186
00:52:00,520 --> 00:52:04,040
Speaker 4: and twenty first red zone touchdowns. So I mean, I

1187
00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:06,480
Speaker 4: still love taking Utah State and unders. And if you know,

1188
00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:08,560
Speaker 4: if Jordan Love's not going to play, probably going to

1189
00:52:08,600 --> 00:52:11,400
Speaker 4: get me to get some money down as a monitor

1190
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:14,520
Speaker 4: that injury situation. And they should give Boise the Cotton

1191
00:52:14,520 --> 00:52:17,680
Speaker 4: Bowl since Boise's fans all flew down on like Christmas Day,

1192
00:52:17,960 --> 00:52:19,960
Speaker 4: got to the First Responders Bowl like ten o'clock in

1193
00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:21,439
Speaker 4: the morning, and they canceled the damn game.

1194
00:52:21,640 --> 00:52:23,000
Speaker 2: I feel you there. All right, let's move one of

1195
00:52:23,040 --> 00:52:25,879
Speaker 2: the Pac twelve. It's pretty simple, straightforward in the fact

1196
00:52:25,880 --> 00:52:28,360
Speaker 2: all the North Oregon is clinched. By the way, this

1197
00:52:28,400 --> 00:52:30,960
Speaker 2: is what herm does, and it's Tempe, it's you know,

1198
00:52:31,040 --> 00:52:33,400
Speaker 2: this is for their season. They're playing for boy eligibility.

1199
00:52:33,480 --> 00:52:35,600
Speaker 2: This game will be close. The only team that's blown

1200
00:52:35,600 --> 00:52:38,960
Speaker 2: out Arizona State all year has been Utah. You know,

1201
00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:42,120
Speaker 2: Oregon lost Pittman, they lost Breathlan earlier in the year.

1202
00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:44,680
Speaker 2: They're just not really blowing teams out right now. I

1203
00:52:44,760 --> 00:52:47,480
Speaker 2: like the Sun Devils two touchdowns are more. But in

1204
00:52:47,520 --> 00:52:50,240
Speaker 2: the South Utah. You know, so Oregon's clinched the North

1205
00:52:50,400 --> 00:52:52,120
Speaker 2: Utah in order to win the South for a Pac

1206
00:52:52,160 --> 00:52:54,280
Speaker 2: twelve futures, they have to win out. They're at Arizona,

1207
00:52:54,400 --> 00:52:57,080
Speaker 2: they're laying over twenty one year, then their home against Colorado.

1208
00:52:57,200 --> 00:52:59,279
Speaker 2: They should do that if or they could just have

1209
00:52:59,400 --> 00:53:04,919
Speaker 2: USC lose Ucla, Colorado, Arizona, Stanford one win for a bowl,

1210
00:53:05,000 --> 00:53:07,960
Speaker 2: Oregon State, Washington State who play each other, cal and

1211
00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:11,759
Speaker 2: Arizona State. Yes, every team is either already Bowl eligible

1212
00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:14,200
Speaker 2: or can get to Bowl eligibility in the Pac twelve.

1213
00:53:14,680 --> 00:53:16,799
Speaker 2: That's how much of a mess it is. You're laying

1214
00:53:16,800 --> 00:53:18,320
Speaker 2: it with Utah and against Arizona.

1215
00:53:18,560 --> 00:53:22,000
Speaker 5: Oh, absolutely, they know everybody's watching.

1216
00:53:22,520 --> 00:53:25,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like Ucla a little bit if I Oh

1217
00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:27,360
Speaker 2: my god, no exactly.

1218
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:29,759
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm saying no because listen to me. The game

1219
00:53:29,800 --> 00:53:30,440
Speaker 5: comes down to.

1220
00:53:30,360 --> 00:53:32,759
Speaker 4: What UCLA's defense can do against Kidon Slovas and the

1221
00:53:32,800 --> 00:53:35,000
Speaker 4: air raid. And UCLA is one hundred and twenty fifth

1222
00:53:35,000 --> 00:53:37,600
Speaker 4: and defensive passing success rate one hundred and twenty seven.

1223
00:53:37,680 --> 00:53:41,480
Speaker 4: The defensive passing explosiveness. I'm a little worried for UCLA's

1224
00:53:41,520 --> 00:53:44,600
Speaker 4: secondary and for their back seven, USC's fifth and passing

1225
00:53:44,600 --> 00:53:47,840
Speaker 4: success rate, and their defense is finally at full strength.

1226
00:53:47,960 --> 00:53:49,680
Speaker 5: So you know, even though I got.

1227
00:53:49,600 --> 00:53:51,960
Speaker 4: It projected at twelve and it's come down I think

1228
00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:54,880
Speaker 4: to twelve and a half, I just there's no way

1229
00:53:54,920 --> 00:53:56,280
Speaker 4: I could back UCLA in the spot.

1230
00:53:56,640 --> 00:53:58,520
Speaker 2: You stillwys gonna be able to run the ball in USA.

1231
00:53:58,520 --> 00:54:00,919
Speaker 2: I'm just throwing that out there, all right, let's move

1232
00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:05,480
Speaker 2: on to the SEC very quickly. Well, first, I guess

1233
00:54:05,719 --> 00:54:07,080
Speaker 2: I'm gonna have to have you lie to me.

1234
00:54:10,040 --> 00:54:10,759
Speaker 3: That me.

1235
00:54:12,880 --> 00:54:16,880
Speaker 2: LSU Arkansas LSU forty two and a half point favorite

1236
00:54:16,960 --> 00:54:20,200
Speaker 2: over under sixty nine and a half. Just go ahead,

1237
00:54:20,200 --> 00:54:20,800
Speaker 2: what are your thoughts?

1238
00:54:21,200 --> 00:54:23,799
Speaker 4: Shout out to Barry Luney, Junior, south Side High School,

1239
00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:24,800
Speaker 4: Fort Smith, Arkansas.

1240
00:54:24,840 --> 00:54:26,359
Speaker 5: He's Gay's the new interim head coach.

1241
00:54:26,680 --> 00:54:29,560
Speaker 4: He is going with a collaborative play calling approach from

1242
00:54:29,600 --> 00:54:32,000
Speaker 4: the sideline. So I think basically anybody can put a

1243
00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:34,640
Speaker 4: headset on, throw in a package, throw out a play,

1244
00:54:34,680 --> 00:54:35,840
Speaker 4: and they're going to run it to be kind of

1245
00:54:35,840 --> 00:54:38,520
Speaker 4: like like a video game, to be a collective effort.

1246
00:54:38,680 --> 00:54:41,640
Speaker 4: Every quarterback except for Ben Hicks was named the first

1247
00:54:41,640 --> 00:54:43,520
Speaker 4: team starter, So we don't know if it's going to

1248
00:54:43,560 --> 00:54:46,680
Speaker 4: be Starkle or kJ Jefferson or grand Baby.

1249
00:54:46,719 --> 00:54:47,680
Speaker 5: We don't know one of the.

1250
00:54:47,719 --> 00:54:49,520
Speaker 4: Three are going to be out there. Arkansas is one

1251
00:54:49,600 --> 00:54:52,120
Speaker 4: hundred and twentieth in red zone scoring percentage. That's the

1252
00:54:52,160 --> 00:54:54,440
Speaker 4: reason that I took the under. I do projected a

1253
00:54:54,440 --> 00:54:56,680
Speaker 4: little bit lower at project this number in the sixties,

1254
00:54:56,880 --> 00:55:01,280
Speaker 4: but really Arkansas's ability to not scre the entire season

1255
00:55:01,320 --> 00:55:03,120
Speaker 4: in the red zone was one of the factors to

1256
00:55:03,160 --> 00:55:05,799
Speaker 4: the under. Another factor to the under, We're always good.

1257
00:55:05,880 --> 00:55:09,640
Speaker 4: Arkansas is always good for rakeem Boyd just explosive play

1258
00:55:09,640 --> 00:55:12,319
Speaker 4: out of nowhere, and LSU has been really good at

1259
00:55:12,360 --> 00:55:14,680
Speaker 4: shutting down explosive runs. So I think that you're going

1260
00:55:14,719 --> 00:55:17,040
Speaker 4: to take that away from us. And you know, we

1261
00:55:17,080 --> 00:55:19,520
Speaker 4: don't have a John Reice plumb Lee. Arkansas doesn't have that.

1262
00:55:19,560 --> 00:55:22,399
Speaker 4: We don't have old missus quarterback. And that really has

1263
00:55:22,440 --> 00:55:25,600
Speaker 4: gotten LSU fans who are just in a mixed bag

1264
00:55:25,719 --> 00:55:26,840
Speaker 4: of worried.

1265
00:55:26,719 --> 00:55:29,120
Speaker 5: And pissed about the defense right now. I like the

1266
00:55:29,160 --> 00:55:30,480
Speaker 5: under here all right.

1267
00:55:30,760 --> 00:55:32,279
Speaker 2: I'm sure Colin will have a lot more to tweet

1268
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:35,280
Speaker 2: about that game. Elsewhere in the SEC, it's mainly SEC

1269
00:55:35,840 --> 00:55:41,040
Speaker 2: teams versus FCS opponents and look, I'll have something out

1270
00:55:41,080 --> 00:55:42,560
Speaker 2: on the app at action or dot com for this,

1271
00:55:42,640 --> 00:55:44,440
Speaker 2: but just to run through in a quick minute or two.

1272
00:55:44,520 --> 00:55:46,120
Speaker 2: I'll try to do this as fast as I can.

1273
00:55:46,400 --> 00:55:49,080
Speaker 2: This is the third Saturday of November, which is why

1274
00:55:49,120 --> 00:55:52,759
Speaker 2: we have the ten Horn weekend, as Staban referred to you.

1275
00:55:52,880 --> 00:55:55,880
Speaker 3: All maybe taking the week off HI this week, but

1276
00:55:55,960 --> 00:55:58,359
Speaker 3: I'm not. You all don't remember the Georgia Southern game,

1277
00:55:58,400 --> 00:56:00,200
Speaker 3: do you. I don't think we had a guy on

1278
00:56:00,200 --> 00:56:02,400
Speaker 3: that field that didn't play in the NFL in About

1279
00:56:02,400 --> 00:56:04,280
Speaker 3: four or five of them were first round draft picks,

1280
00:56:04,440 --> 00:56:06,879
Speaker 3: and they run through our like through a ten horn man,

1281
00:56:06,920 --> 00:56:08,279
Speaker 3: and we could not stop them.

1282
00:56:08,680 --> 00:56:11,000
Speaker 2: But Sanford at Auburn Auburn minus forty eight and a half.

1283
00:56:11,120 --> 00:56:14,399
Speaker 2: Sanford's defense is so bad. They don't run clock. They're

1284
00:56:14,400 --> 00:56:15,840
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty fourth out of one hundred and

1285
00:56:15,880 --> 00:56:18,040
Speaker 2: twenty four in time of possession. They have a former

1286
00:56:18,160 --> 00:56:21,520
Speaker 2: USF quarterback who leads a pretty prolific passing attack, but

1287
00:56:21,560 --> 00:56:24,319
Speaker 2: that's why they just don't worry about time possession. But

1288
00:56:24,320 --> 00:56:25,640
Speaker 2: their d is so bad. Auburn will be able to

1289
00:56:25,680 --> 00:56:27,160
Speaker 2: score at will, but it's a sandwich spot for Auburn

1290
00:56:27,239 --> 00:56:30,239
Speaker 2: after that Georgia game, Alabama on deck. Remember Gatewood is

1291
00:56:30,280 --> 00:56:32,480
Speaker 2: no longer there, so bow Knicks they'll want to get

1292
00:56:32,520 --> 00:56:34,759
Speaker 2: him some reps before that Alabama game. They'll be able

1293
00:56:34,800 --> 00:56:38,280
Speaker 2: to score at will bow Nicks season then full effect.

1294
00:56:39,440 --> 00:56:41,040
Speaker 2: But then I think they rest everyone. They got to

1295
00:56:41,040 --> 00:56:43,600
Speaker 2: worry about Nicks. So maybe look at Sanford's second half.

1296
00:56:43,840 --> 00:56:46,120
Speaker 2: Auburn will take the foot off the gas. Western Carolina

1297
00:56:46,239 --> 00:56:51,279
Speaker 2: at Alabama Alabama minus fifty seven. Western Carolina defense is

1298
00:56:51,719 --> 00:56:53,759
Speaker 2: so bad they allow two hundred and sixty yards rushing

1299
00:56:53,800 --> 00:56:56,920
Speaker 2: per game. That's dead last in FCS. They also can't punt.

1300
00:56:57,120 --> 00:56:59,560
Speaker 2: They all's forty one nothing at NC State earlier this year.

1301
00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:02,120
Speaker 2: Eve's gonna be more conservative than normal. I'm sure Jones

1302
00:57:02,120 --> 00:57:03,799
Speaker 2: will come in. There'll be a scrimmage in the first half.

1303
00:57:03,840 --> 00:57:07,680
Speaker 2: Western Carolina is ninety seventh and pass efficiency defense. Alabama

1304
00:57:07,719 --> 00:57:11,400
Speaker 2: will score. It will maybe second half under maybe Western

1305
00:57:11,440 --> 00:57:14,920
Speaker 2: Carolina second half. If you have the stones. East Tennessee

1306
00:57:14,920 --> 00:57:17,960
Speaker 2: State at Vandy. By the way, East Tennessee State, they

1307
00:57:17,960 --> 00:57:21,320
Speaker 2: can actually run the ball. Vandy stinks, the run defense stinks.

1308
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:23,400
Speaker 2: There's no line out still here. But this is maybe

1309
00:57:23,600 --> 00:57:25,760
Speaker 2: the live dog you want to back. Ut Martin at

1310
00:57:25,880 --> 00:57:27,840
Speaker 2: UK I mean UT Martin is a good run defense.

1311
00:57:27,880 --> 00:57:29,240
Speaker 2: It's something to keep an eye on. They're also good

1312
00:57:29,240 --> 00:57:31,760
Speaker 2: in the red zone. Abilene Christian at Miss State, I

1313
00:57:31,760 --> 00:57:36,080
Speaker 2: mean Abilene Christian. Their defense is really bad. Maybe Misstate,

1314
00:57:36,160 --> 00:57:39,040
Speaker 2: especially their past defense. But Miss State should be angry here,

1315
00:57:39,080 --> 00:57:40,880
Speaker 2: but they have a short week with Ole Miss on deck,

1316
00:57:40,960 --> 00:57:44,680
Speaker 2: so maybe second half. Abiliene Christian probably stay away all right,

1317
00:57:44,720 --> 00:57:47,400
Speaker 2: So that'll do all More on that on the app column.

1318
00:57:47,480 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 2: Before we get to three and out here, I do

1319
00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:52,480
Speaker 2: have to mention the sun Belt. Don't let the latest

1320
00:57:52,680 --> 00:57:55,640
Speaker 2: come between you and the bill. With the sun Belt,

1321
00:57:55,720 --> 00:57:57,840
Speaker 2: it is a mess group a app State unless it

1322
00:57:57,880 --> 00:57:59,800
Speaker 2: loses one of two and Jeordia Southern ones out there

1323
00:57:59,800 --> 00:58:02,439
Speaker 2: going and Ull will clinch you to win this week,

1324
00:58:02,600 --> 00:58:05,040
Speaker 2: win out for a Bowl Ulm and Coastal one win

1325
00:58:05,080 --> 00:58:07,240
Speaker 2: for a Bowl Troy. Anything you want to see, No.

1326
00:58:07,320 --> 00:58:07,960
Speaker 5: Nothing this week.

1327
00:58:07,960 --> 00:58:10,160
Speaker 4: I think app State and Ull continue to roll. That

1328
00:58:10,640 --> 00:58:12,160
Speaker 4: is the projected path here and it's going to be

1329
00:58:12,200 --> 00:58:13,480
Speaker 4: a hell of a conference championship game.

1330
00:58:13,720 --> 00:58:18,320
Speaker 2: Sounds good. Let's move on to three and out.

1331
00:58:18,600 --> 00:58:20,720
Speaker 5: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1332
00:58:21,720 --> 00:58:24,800
Speaker 2: First down, Let's talk Friday Night lights.

1333
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:27,760
Speaker 5: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1334
00:58:28,080 --> 00:58:33,080
Speaker 2: Hey, let's go play some football. Colorado State Wyoming Wyoming

1335
00:58:33,800 --> 00:58:37,360
Speaker 2: seven point favorite here against Colorado State, who's off that

1336
00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:41,720
Speaker 2: heartbreaking non cover against air Force. Still not over it.

1337
00:58:41,960 --> 00:58:44,200
Speaker 2: They need to win out to become bow eligible. What

1338
00:58:44,240 --> 00:58:46,560
Speaker 2: do you see with Wyoming Colorado State here?

1339
00:58:46,880 --> 00:58:49,200
Speaker 4: Well, it takes a set of stones to go back

1340
00:58:49,200 --> 00:58:51,360
Speaker 4: to the window and take Colorado State after what happened

1341
00:58:51,440 --> 00:58:53,200
Speaker 4: last week. But for me, it's not going to be

1342
00:58:53,720 --> 00:58:55,760
Speaker 4: about the side here. I can't back either of the side.

1343
00:58:55,760 --> 00:58:58,200
Speaker 4: I think the number is correct, but my projection on

1344
00:58:58,240 --> 00:59:01,880
Speaker 4: the total, you know, is just the touchdown off, so

1345
00:59:02,080 --> 00:59:04,600
Speaker 4: you know, based upon you know, plays per game, yards

1346
00:59:04,600 --> 00:59:07,200
Speaker 4: per play. I'm projecting this, you know, way off of

1347
00:59:07,280 --> 00:59:09,400
Speaker 4: what the current total is. So you know, I think

1348
00:59:09,440 --> 00:59:11,439
Speaker 4: it's going to take a few Colorado State exposive plays,

1349
00:59:11,440 --> 00:59:12,760
Speaker 4: which they're capable of, but.

1350
00:59:12,800 --> 00:59:14,640
Speaker 5: I think it's going to be the over or nothing.

1351
00:59:14,400 --> 00:59:18,160
Speaker 2: For me, second down favorite overdog. So your favorite favorite

1352
00:59:18,160 --> 00:59:18,680
Speaker 2: of the weekend?

1353
00:59:19,080 --> 00:59:20,320
Speaker 5: Where I'm right in USC.

1354
00:59:20,560 --> 00:59:22,440
Speaker 4: I mean, I got to look more into this UCLA

1355
00:59:22,520 --> 00:59:25,880
Speaker 4: rushing attack, but considering what the secondary is for UCLA

1356
00:59:26,000 --> 00:59:27,720
Speaker 4: and what USC is as a passing team.

1357
00:59:27,720 --> 00:59:29,160
Speaker 5: I think you say that USC is going to put

1358
00:59:29,160 --> 00:59:30,439
Speaker 5: it on them fair enough.

1359
00:59:30,480 --> 00:59:32,720
Speaker 2: I'm going team I mentioned earlier, Iowa State. I think

1360
00:59:32,760 --> 00:59:34,480
Speaker 2: they name it. And then it's time for our underdog

1361
00:59:34,520 --> 00:59:42,080
Speaker 2: money line parlay, turning good weekends into great weekends. It's

1362
00:59:42,200 --> 00:59:44,440
Speaker 2: time for the money line Parlay.

1363
00:59:45,400 --> 00:59:48,040
Speaker 5: Golden Flashes Kent State the only Matt game of the day.

1364
00:59:48,560 --> 00:59:51,320
Speaker 2: Duke, I'm wrong with Duke. This Wake Forest Team is done. Duke.

1365
00:59:51,400 --> 00:59:53,440
Speaker 2: All the motivation of the world, not only for a Bowl,

1366
00:59:53,560 --> 00:59:55,480
Speaker 2: but after getting blown out last week and then blown

1367
00:59:55,520 --> 00:59:57,520
Speaker 2: out last year fifty nine to seven to WAK. I

1368
00:59:57,520 --> 00:59:59,280
Speaker 2: think they find a way to win. We'll have more

1369
00:59:59,320 --> 01:00:01,040
Speaker 2: in both of those game games up on the app

1370
01:00:01,040 --> 01:00:03,760
Speaker 2: and Action Network dot com. Thanks for listening, Thanks for

1371
01:00:03,840 --> 01:00:06,360
Speaker 2: joining me, Colin. As always, we'll catch you all on

1372
01:00:06,640 --> 01:00:09,040
Speaker 2: Saturday morning, ten thirty am Eastern on the live show.

1373
01:00:09,280 --> 01:00:11,080
Speaker 2: We'll tweet out a link. I'm at Stucky too, He's

1374
01:00:11,120 --> 01:00:14,760
Speaker 2: at Underscore. Colin. Then the number one with two l's

1375
01:00:14,960 --> 01:00:17,520
Speaker 2: rate review, Subscribe, tell a friend, tell an enemy. We'll

1376
01:00:17,560 --> 01:00:19,640
Speaker 2: get off swag if you leave a review and comment.

1377
01:00:19,960 --> 01:00:20,680
Speaker 2: So thanks for listening.

1378
01:00:20,720 --> 01:00:36,360
Speaker 6: We'll catch you all later and good luck this weekend cheers.

1379
01:00:39,040 --> 01:00:40,080
Speaker 2: We're finished talking.