1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:12,360 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What's up, everybody, 2 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:19,279 Speaker 1: Jason McIntyre, Straight Fire. It is Friday, September eleven, and uh, 3 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:23,639 Speaker 1: it's a rough morning for the city of Houston. Boy 4 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 1: that Texans get clobbered by the Chiefs and the Rockets 5 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:30,880 Speaker 1: get demolished by the Lakers. But there is some good news, folks, 6 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 1: the Texans and Rockets. They got to see what real 7 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:37,160 Speaker 1: championship teams look like. Okay, you guys saw that Thursday night. Okay, 8 00:00:37,159 --> 00:00:40,839 Speaker 1: the Chiefs defending Super Bowl champs as advertised. You know, 9 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 1: after the first quarter struggles blew boop, just blew the 10 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:47,360 Speaker 1: doors off. The Texans. Never was really close. And we 11 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:49,919 Speaker 1: will eventually get to the Rockets and I will go 12 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,520 Speaker 1: all over the Rockets. I mean, it's gonna be fun 13 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:57,000 Speaker 1: just trashing them and hammering Russell Westbrook and James Hearted. 14 00:00:57,040 --> 00:00:59,280 Speaker 1: I mean, listen, you guys can hype up the Clippers 15 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 1: being a team and Kauai. Talk to me about the Lakers. 16 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:04,679 Speaker 1: They were supposed to struggle in this series, right, But 17 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:06,880 Speaker 1: we've got to start with the NFL. I'm gonna just 18 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:09,320 Speaker 1: say this off the top, because I get tweets about it. 19 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:11,679 Speaker 1: I get some Instagram d M s JE. What do 20 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 1: you think about Kaepernick and Madden? I'll probably address it 21 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 1: on the podcast, and then you know, we do, we 22 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 1: do an episode and it's like, oh, I forgot to 23 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: talk about that. I don't really think much about Kaepernick 24 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 1: and mad And honestly, he's got a higher rating than 25 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:28,479 Speaker 1: you know, Big Ben or whatever. Who cares? Really does 26 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:30,479 Speaker 1: it matter that much to you? And so last night, 27 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:32,280 Speaker 1: as the players go out to the field, they have 28 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:36,960 Speaker 1: the moment of unity, they lock arms and obviously, you 29 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:40,119 Speaker 1: know fans boot. I don't think people should be surprised. 30 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 1: They're gonna boo the taking a knee, some of them 31 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 1: not at all, obviously, and then they're gonna cheer crazily 32 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 1: when Tyreek Hill breaks off a punt returned touchdown or 33 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 1: Pat Mahomes has four touchdowns. That's who these football fans are, guys, 34 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 1: That's who they are. Like, I don't think you can 35 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 1: get all worked up about it. I know some people 36 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: today are gonna open their show or dive into it 37 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:03,560 Speaker 1: early about the fans booing, And to me, it's just 38 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: a non issue. This is America. That's what the people 39 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 1: are gonna do. You can't stop them from doing that, 40 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 1: just as you guys can't stop me from talking deep 41 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 1: into an NFL game that was a blood bath. Okay, 42 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:17,840 Speaker 1: this game, you know, basically I have three takeaways. First 43 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: of all, I've got to give a major shout out 44 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,920 Speaker 1: to the guy on the Kansas City Chiefs Special teams 45 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:25,920 Speaker 1: who ran back an onside kick like thirty five yards 46 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:29,040 Speaker 1: with like two minutes left, and they Chiefs had to 47 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 1: kick a field goal and hook me up with the 48 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: push at fifty four best bet now fifteen five and two. 49 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 1: I will gladly take a push I did not deserve, 50 00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 1: but onto the game. Like, basically, three takeaways. Okay, this 51 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:44,920 Speaker 1: you know, we don't need to do thirty minutes on 52 00:02:44,960 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 1: the Texans getting worked by the Chiefs. This was as expected. 53 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:51,079 Speaker 1: My number one takeaway obviously, a guy by the name 54 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: of Clyde Edwards a layer. Now, if you remember last week, 55 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 1: Fantasy guy Matthew Berry came on this podcast and talked 56 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:02,799 Speaker 1: ex sensively about the man now known as c H 57 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:06,640 Speaker 1: and how he was gonna wreck shop for Andy Reid's 58 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:08,640 Speaker 1: Chiefs and what does he do in the first game 59 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 1: hundred thirty eight yards? Pretty awesome touchdown run and he's 60 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: gonna put up some big numbers. Here's what I do 61 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: love about the NFL. Three years ago, nobody outside of 62 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 1: LSU fans knew who Clyde Edwards A. Laire was. He 63 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,000 Speaker 1: was like a backup running back on l s U. 64 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 1: Last year. He was pretty phenomenal. I compared to Doug Martin, 65 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: remember the the muscle hamster from the Buccaneers and the Raiders. 66 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 1: Really nice, tough young player. That's who Edwards Alaire looks 67 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: like to me. And he's gonna win all the offensive 68 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: Rookie of the Year awards unless Joe Burrow is lights 69 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 1: out in Cincinnati. But I mean, pretty impressive opening night 70 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 1: performance from him, So that's number one. My second takeaway 71 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 1: is Bill O'Brien. I mean, what a clown this guy is. Okay, 72 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 1: we already know he is the worst GM, bottom three 73 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:04,120 Speaker 1: at best GM in the league. Okay, he makes poor trades, Okay, 74 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 1: he hands out bad contracts, just compounding matters left and right. 75 00:04:08,520 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 1: And now he's down in the third quarter and you're like, Okay, Texas, 76 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:17,680 Speaker 1: let's see what you got. You got this offense, right, um, 77 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 1: you got one of the best, deepest receiving groups in 78 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 1: the league, Will Fuller, Brandon Cooks, you got Kenny Stills, 79 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 1: you just signed Randall Cobb, and they're running the football 80 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:30,840 Speaker 1: with David Johnson. Well, what the hell are you doing? Bill? 81 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 1: What's going on here? You got this high powered offense 82 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 1: and you're doing nothing with it. I was embarrassed for 83 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 1: the guy. I mean, they traded for Brandon Cooks. He 84 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 1: had four targets. Okay, we know Cooks. Eventually he's gonna 85 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:45,039 Speaker 1: get hurt. He gets hurt every year. He has a 86 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 1: concussion every year and asked to miss time. It's unfortunate, 87 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,360 Speaker 1: but he's healthy. Now. You gotta feed him the football. 88 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 1: And then Randall Cobb, you sign him, you overpay him 89 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 1: three targets. Dude, you're getting lit up by the Chiefs, 90 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:01,160 Speaker 1: you have to come from behind to win the game, 91 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,919 Speaker 1: and you're running the football with David Johnson. I just 92 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:08,720 Speaker 1: I'm mystified. I feel bad for Texans fans who are 93 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 1: watching that. I mean, okay, basically, the Texans had a 94 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 1: pretty good opening script, right they go three and out 95 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 1: on the first possession, second possession, you see some nice plays. Oh, 96 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 1: they're moving the football. This works seven nothing. You've got 97 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 1: a touchdown. But the script, as we've seen with other coaches, 98 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:27,839 Speaker 1: that opening script wears off, and what do you have 99 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 1: after that? Four plays in a punt, missed field goal, putt, interception, 100 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:35,559 Speaker 1: and then you look at the scoreboard and it's thirty seven, 101 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:38,279 Speaker 1: Like you just you can't do that against the Chief. 102 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 1: So number two, Bill O'Brien, he's a clown, but we 103 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:44,279 Speaker 1: knew that. And number three and this was pretty impressive. 104 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 1: So the NFL had no preseason. We are in the 105 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:50,800 Speaker 1: middle of a global pandemic. The stadium's one five I 106 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:54,600 Speaker 1: believe one fifth full, and the products seemed fine to me. 107 00:05:55,240 --> 00:05:57,160 Speaker 1: I don't know about you guys. Like the game wasn't 108 00:05:57,200 --> 00:06:01,040 Speaker 1: close and the tackling was very shoddy, but otherwise it 109 00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:04,279 Speaker 1: looked like an NFL game. I mean, it sounded like 110 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:08,839 Speaker 1: an NFL game. I was very happy watching it, you know. Um, 111 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 1: I think the takeaway is, hey, we don't necessarily need 112 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 1: a preseason. There's no no need at all for four games. 113 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:17,839 Speaker 1: And the owners, of course, they have two home games 114 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 1: in the preseason, which is revenue, and they're not going 115 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: to give both of them up. So my guess is 116 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:26,160 Speaker 1: there's some kind of compromise where there is uh, probably 117 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 1: two preseason games, maybe they go down to one. I 118 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:30,599 Speaker 1: don't know, but you know the owners on the back end, 119 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:32,680 Speaker 1: they're gonna say, hey, we need an extra regular season 120 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:34,719 Speaker 1: game if you're taking money out of our pocket in 121 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:38,039 Speaker 1: the preseason, and um, I don't know. I just the 122 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 1: preseason is a complete waste. I understand that you want 123 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 1: to build depth, and you know there there's the fun 124 00:06:43,480 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 1: of long shots making the roster. As a as a 125 00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:48,719 Speaker 1: longtime Jets fan, a guy like Wayne Crabett, it was 126 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 1: just a great story and you're able to root for 127 00:06:50,640 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 1: him and watch him through that process, and you don't 128 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 1: get that with the preseason. Um. But otherwise I'm pretty impressed. 129 00:06:56,880 --> 00:07:00,200 Speaker 1: I thought it was a solid product, impressive opening fore 130 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 1: mints from the NFL, and I'm glad to have football back. 131 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 1: Later in the podcast, we have a great guest stopping 132 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:09,720 Speaker 1: by a guy who gambles on the NFL heavily, and 133 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 1: he was on the other side of the counter setting 134 00:07:12,640 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 1: lines for the house. I think you guys are gonna 135 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 1: really like this illuminating stuff and hopefully he'll help you 136 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 1: get paid this weekend. But before we get to the NBA, 137 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:24,840 Speaker 1: real quick, subscribe, rate and review, and I do want 138 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 1: to add this. Somebody texted me, Hey, j you gotta 139 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:31,320 Speaker 1: listen to this guy's podcast. He did something interesting. And 140 00:07:31,360 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 1: he tells me their podcast has a giveaway where they 141 00:07:36,080 --> 00:07:38,760 Speaker 1: will look at like the next I don't know, four 142 00:07:38,840 --> 00:07:43,400 Speaker 1: hundred five star reviews and they will pick three randomly 143 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: and they will send that person a hundred dollars Venmo 144 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 1: thom a hundred bucks, so a five star review, some witty, 145 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 1: funny comment, whatever, and no Venmo you a hundred dollars. 146 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 1: They're doing that, And I said, that's genius. I am 147 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:01,880 Speaker 1: totally stealing that. Next week, started Monday, I will be 148 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 1: doing this, Rob G. Uh, I would let you pick 149 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:07,600 Speaker 1: the comments. I will Venmo for my personal account. Uh 150 00:08:07,960 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 1: a hundred dollars to three lucky five star reviewers. Okay, 151 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 1: that's next week happening. Lock it up. My wife doesn't 152 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 1: know that. You know, I'm not dipping deep into the funds. 153 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 1: Hundred box, Come on, celebrate. All right, let's move to 154 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:25,440 Speaker 1: the NBA. Where should we start, Rob G with the 155 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:27,920 Speaker 1: Lakers or the Rockets? So we so we start core 156 00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 1: setting up Lakers Clippers or is there gonna be enough 157 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:32,080 Speaker 1: time for that. We should just go into crapping on 158 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:37,199 Speaker 1: the Houston Rockets because the series over. It's over. It's 159 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:40,559 Speaker 1: only three one. But you could see the lethargy with 160 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:43,320 Speaker 1: the Rockets walking around the court. I'm telling you, GM, 161 00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 1: Darryl Moray, he is probably gone. And then you start 162 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 1: looking at that Russell Westbrook contract. Three years, hundred and 163 00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 1: thirty two million dollars left on the Russell Wilson contract. 164 00:08:57,160 --> 00:09:00,600 Speaker 1: They're gonna need Carol Baskin from the Tiger Keen to 165 00:09:00,679 --> 00:09:05,160 Speaker 1: get them out of that awful contract. Nobody's taken that, nobody. 166 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:08,559 Speaker 1: Houston looks so tired at the beginning of the game. 167 00:09:08,960 --> 00:09:11,880 Speaker 1: It wasn't even a fourth quarter meltdown from from Harden. 168 00:09:12,320 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 1: I mean, and then you look at the box score, 169 00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:19,480 Speaker 1: You're like, oh, nice job social distancing on the glass 170 00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:23,520 Speaker 1: Rockets one offensive rebound, the Lakers had twelve. They just 171 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 1: murdered them on the glass. Oh, folks, it was glorious. 172 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:28,760 Speaker 1: I didn't stop watching it halftime. I just kind of 173 00:09:28,760 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 1: had one eye on the game and I couldn't take 174 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 1: my eyes off James Harden because he was typical postseason 175 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:41,719 Speaker 1: soiling his pants. James Harden two for eleven shooting. Now, 176 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:44,760 Speaker 1: he did get to the line twenty times. Okay, remember 177 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:47,319 Speaker 1: you breathe on James Harden. It's a foul and he 178 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:49,640 Speaker 1: shot well from the line. If you just see like 179 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:51,679 Speaker 1: the flash on the bottom of the screen, hard and 180 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:54,400 Speaker 1: twenty points tennis sists, you're like, oh, he was all right, 181 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:59,560 Speaker 1: he was awful James Harden for this series. Again, you 182 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 1: just look at the stats big picture. Oh, Harden's averaging 183 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:07,480 Speaker 1: twenty nine points. Harden's averaging twenty nine points. He's shooting 184 00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:13,560 Speaker 1: from the field from three, Hardensing Well, okay, just remember 185 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:16,559 Speaker 1: in the regular season he was the best scorer since 186 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:20,199 Speaker 1: Michael Jordan's He's averaging thirty four a game, and he's 187 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 1: actually shooting better in this series from three then he 188 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:27,960 Speaker 1: shot in the regular season thirty. So what's the problem, Jay, Well, 189 00:10:28,040 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 1: here it is. In the regular season he averaged twenty 190 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 1: two shots a game. In this series, the Lakers are 191 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 1: confounding the Rockets. Hardens only taken sixteen shots a game. 192 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:43,199 Speaker 1: So now you've got guys like not even p J. Tucker, 193 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:46,440 Speaker 1: by the way, who was scoreless. B J Tucker scoreless 194 00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:50,280 Speaker 1: in Game four. Uh, You've got guys like uh, Russell 195 00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 1: Westbrook clanging jumper. You've got Ben McLamore off the Ben's 196 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:58,120 Speaker 1: jack and shots. I mean, listen, James Harden has had 197 00:10:58,200 --> 00:10:59,960 Speaker 1: the ball taken out of his hands by the double 198 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:02,600 Speaker 1: teams and he has no CounterPunch. And I texted this 199 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:05,520 Speaker 1: to Rob you. It might be inappropriate, somebody might call me. 200 00:11:05,520 --> 00:11:07,560 Speaker 1: I don't know, whatever, I don't care. Okay, this is 201 00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: how I view James Harden. So in the regular season, 202 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:14,080 Speaker 1: he's like when you're up in the club from like, 203 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:17,240 Speaker 1: you know, it's ten eleven, twelve o'clock at night, maybe 204 00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 1: one am, and the beer goggles are on, and the 205 00:11:20,360 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: lights are dark, and the lighting, I mean, everybody's a 206 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:28,000 Speaker 1: Vegas tent. You know, it's awesome. It's jumping. You're like, oh, 207 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 1: this place is the best place ever. That's James Harden 208 00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:34,560 Speaker 1: in the regular season. Lights out in the club, dark, fun, 209 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:40,280 Speaker 1: last call, lights come on? Oh what am I what? 210 00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 1: Noh ho? Things look a little different with the lights 211 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 1: on it. That's James Harden in the playoffs. That's what 212 00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 1: he does. The lights get brighter, the spotlights on you 213 00:11:53,800 --> 00:11:56,640 Speaker 1: and oh gosh, actually voted for this guy for m 214 00:11:56,720 --> 00:12:00,920 Speaker 1: v P. Oh my, what am I doing. Listen, I said, 215 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 1: I said this on social media. You look at Janice, 216 00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:06,559 Speaker 1: you look at Westbrook, you look at Harden. They are 217 00:12:06,760 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 1: fun as hell in the regular season. They are dynamic, explosive, dominant. 218 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,280 Speaker 1: Look at the playoffs. That's when it matters. What are 219 00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:20,959 Speaker 1: we getting from Honest, he's at home, Russ and Harden. 220 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:24,240 Speaker 1: You're about to go home. I'm sorry. I when you 221 00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:27,520 Speaker 1: guys next regular season, when you start saying, man, Harden, 222 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 1: nobody can stop him. Okay, fine, that's great, that's wonderful. 223 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 1: It's January congratulations. Don't give me that m VP garbage. 224 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:38,160 Speaker 1: I don't want to hear it, because this is what matters. Roger, 225 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:41,719 Speaker 1: was I too hard on the Rockets, No, of course not. 226 00:12:41,920 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 1: They deserve every ridicule and every uh poor analogy that 227 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:51,280 Speaker 1: you have thrown from games of Harden. I mean, I 228 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:54,320 Speaker 1: thought they were gonna give the Lakers much more problems 229 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 1: than what they have. I did not expect, especially see 230 00:12:58,240 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 1: with Russell Westbrook James Harden. I could kind of, but 231 00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:02,560 Speaker 1: I did not expect the team with Russell Westbrook on 232 00:13:02,600 --> 00:13:05,000 Speaker 1: It's a cave the way that they did in Game four. 233 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:08,320 Speaker 1: They were just defeated. You know, by middle of the 234 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 1: second quarter, they looked like they were just mentally broken. 235 00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 1: And you know, as the saying goes, Houston, we have 236 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:19,600 Speaker 1: a problem. They gotta they gotta blow this thing. I mean, 237 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:23,160 Speaker 1: the move right is probably to trade James Harden. They 238 00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:25,240 Speaker 1: will never trade. Well, that's the problem. You're not gonna 239 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:27,600 Speaker 1: be terrible with James Harden in the regular season, So 240 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:30,080 Speaker 1: then you're stuck in the middle and you're not gonna 241 00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 1: get that top five pick. You know, ideally you'd be 242 00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:35,400 Speaker 1: able to trade Westbrook, which is contract is two bigs. 243 00:13:35,400 --> 00:13:37,440 Speaker 1: You're not gonna be able to do that. What they're 244 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 1: gonna have to do is just try to play some 245 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:46,200 Speaker 1: kind of conventional system that is not overly reliant on 246 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:49,240 Speaker 1: one thing in particular that they have been running for 247 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 1: what the last four years. By three, they hit from three, 248 00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 1: like ordinarily that's gonna cut it. Lakers were only nine thirty. 249 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 1: I mean, the problem is, like they only scored a 250 00:14:02,320 --> 00:14:04,600 Speaker 1: hundred points. If they're not getting threes, they're not scoring. 251 00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:07,880 Speaker 1: It's a lot They slaughtered on the offensive glass, like 252 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:12,959 Speaker 1: one offensive rebound Anthony Date freaking rus Gen Rondo, by 253 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 1: the way, playoff Rondo, rob g eleven points, ten rebounds, 254 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 1: eight assists. He had three offensive rebounds alone. The Rockets 255 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:24,480 Speaker 1: team had one. By the way, Okay, a quick word, 256 00:14:24,480 --> 00:14:27,360 Speaker 1: I know, we gotta wrap this up. I don't see 257 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 1: why people automatically think the Clippers are gonna beat the Lakers. 258 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:32,600 Speaker 1: I think we might be two of the few people. 259 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 1: Two are the only ones who think I got the lego. 260 00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 1: I'm not betting against this Lebron team. Not sorry. I 261 00:14:40,800 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 1: think the Lakers will beat the Clippers. I don't know 262 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 1: how many games, but they're not gonna lose that series. 263 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:47,640 Speaker 1: I think ultimately, what it comes down to is people 264 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 1: have this idea about the Clippers that they should be 265 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:53,680 Speaker 1: the best team, and I agree with that. I think 266 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:58,240 Speaker 1: top to bottom, their roster is stacked. They got talent everywhere. 267 00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 1: The problem is it doesn't really fit in a lot 268 00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:03,920 Speaker 1: of places, and so that that kind of counterbalances whatever 269 00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:08,320 Speaker 1: advantage that they may have. And I really believe that 270 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 1: a lot of people in the sports media have forgotten 271 00:15:13,200 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 1: exactly how good Lebron Jenson is. I mean, I know 272 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:18,400 Speaker 1: because he didn't make the playoffs last year and it 273 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:22,360 Speaker 1: was a rough season, but he is a monster. And 274 00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:25,640 Speaker 1: what's funny is during these postseason and Chris bu started 275 00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 1: said on The Odd Couple earlier this week that I 276 00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 1: produced also on Fox Sports Radio Weeknight seven MPM shameless Player. 277 00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 1: I'm a company man, um, you know. He Chris has 278 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 1: said that Lebron was looking again like the best player 279 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:40,640 Speaker 1: in the world, and I would agree with him. But 280 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:45,120 Speaker 1: what's funny is if you look at the peer throughout 281 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:47,320 Speaker 1: the playoffs, which I know it's not a perfect measurement, 282 00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:50,440 Speaker 1: but it is a one that people pot point to 283 00:15:50,520 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 1: a lot, Athony Davis is blowing Lebron out of the 284 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 1: water and peer, he's blowing everybody out of the water 285 00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:59,680 Speaker 1: and playoff pr he is head and shoulders number one 286 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:01,880 Speaker 1: in the season. So for all to talk about how 287 00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 1: good Lebron has been and he's been awesome, Anthony Davis 288 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 1: has been even better, and it's like he kind of 289 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:10,000 Speaker 1: just goes under the radar. No one really talks about it. 290 00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 1: I don't think at as big as Laker fans and 291 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:15,040 Speaker 1: and apologist as you and I have been on this podcast. 292 00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 1: I can't remember the last time we talked positively bout 293 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 1: Anthony Davis. It's only been a Adoni Davis didn't show 294 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 1: up in game one. That's series right, exactly. We have 295 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:28,360 Speaker 1: not said anything positive by Anthony Davis. He's quietly putting 296 00:16:28,400 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 1: up like twenty seven, thirteen and three or whatever it is, 297 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:34,320 Speaker 1: and you're playing elite defense. Well, it's gonna be interesting. 298 00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:36,560 Speaker 1: The Lakers will give them a loss in Game one 299 00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:38,360 Speaker 1: against the Clippers, right, They're gonna lose that, that's what 300 00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 1: they do. Uh, and then you know they'll bounce back 301 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:42,960 Speaker 1: and win the series. But uh, I can't wait for that. 302 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 1: I don't know when the series is gonna start. Unfortunately, 303 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 1: Rob you, I don't really want to go too deep 304 00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 1: in Toronto Boston. I just I have no read on that. 305 00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:52,680 Speaker 1: I would lean to the under, but it's not my 306 00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:57,120 Speaker 1: best bet. So everybody enjoy Game seven tonight. I guess 307 00:16:57,160 --> 00:17:00,360 Speaker 1: if you're gunned tohead, Rob you, who you got? I 308 00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 1: got Toronto, I'll go. I'll go again my Raptors, and 309 00:17:03,560 --> 00:17:05,400 Speaker 1: as I picked them before the series, I gotta stick 310 00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:07,160 Speaker 1: with it. Yeah, I think that's probably the better boss 311 00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:09,800 Speaker 1: is gonna be Gas No Benjo, I go Boston money line. 312 00:17:09,840 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 1: But that's that's just a heart overhead. So Lakers dominant, 313 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:18,119 Speaker 1: Rockets laughable. Now it's time for that great interview with 314 00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 1: Adam Churnoff. Jason likes to think he knows everything when 315 00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:28,040 Speaker 1: it comes to sports. I know what sports stands want, 316 00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:31,120 Speaker 1: but for everything he doesn't. He knows a guy who does. 317 00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:35,360 Speaker 1: Let's just say I know a guy who knows who 318 00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 1: knows another guy. All right, It's Week one of the 319 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:43,080 Speaker 1: NFL season, the much anticipated season where there was no preseason, 320 00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:45,280 Speaker 1: and to preview it, I wanted to bring in a 321 00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 1: guest to I had him on my Saturday radio show 322 00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:50,919 Speaker 1: last year and he was He's an interesting guy. You 323 00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:54,119 Speaker 1: guys do I like interesting? He's big into gambling. His 324 00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 1: name is Adam Churnoff. Adam, how are you man? How 325 00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 1: are you excited for football the way I am? Of course, 326 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,560 Speaker 1: so I'm excited. It was I thought we were not 327 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 1: going to have it there for a little bit, but 328 00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:06,800 Speaker 1: NFL holds true to who they are and now we're 329 00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:08,720 Speaker 1: ready to roll and I'm very much looking forward to 330 00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:13,720 Speaker 1: it now. Adam, would you call yourself a professional gambler 331 00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:17,040 Speaker 1: a professional handicapper? Well, I know you break down games 332 00:18:17,040 --> 00:18:20,080 Speaker 1: and I like your style, but how would you how 333 00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:23,119 Speaker 1: do you when you introduce yourself to your girlfriend or 334 00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:25,680 Speaker 1: your wife's friends, how what do you say you do. 335 00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:29,320 Speaker 1: That's a question I've struggled with for about twelve to 336 00:18:29,440 --> 00:18:33,400 Speaker 1: thirteen years since I got into the industry. Uh, the 337 00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:37,120 Speaker 1: official answer would be that I make my living from 338 00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:40,439 Speaker 1: betting on football, and that I have a very large 339 00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:44,280 Speaker 1: passion in doing media, doing radio, doing videos as well 340 00:18:44,320 --> 00:18:47,920 Speaker 1: as writing. So uh, it all started for me as 341 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,960 Speaker 1: a better still am a better, but it is grown 342 00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:54,360 Speaker 1: into where I like doing a lot of media stuff 343 00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:57,199 Speaker 1: as much as I like the betting aspect of it. 344 00:18:57,320 --> 00:19:00,520 Speaker 1: So it's it seems like it changes every day, And 345 00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 1: the official answer I give to anyone I meet uh 346 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:05,480 Speaker 1: tends to vary depending on sort of the type of 347 00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 1: person that they are and how I think that they 348 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 1: might potentially react to the answer. But it's a problem 349 00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:12,280 Speaker 1: that anyone who's in the industry is a better a 350 00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 1: bookmaker has probably struggled with for the last decade or plots, 351 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:18,680 Speaker 1: depending on all they are. That they hope changes because 352 00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:21,000 Speaker 1: of what's happening in the States. But we'll see if 353 00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:24,920 Speaker 1: that becomes a little more acceptable as time goes on. Now, 354 00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:27,960 Speaker 1: Adam says the States because he lives in Canada actually, 355 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 1: and you know, as I got to know you a 356 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,439 Speaker 1: little bit, Adam. I I'm curious a lot of the 357 00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:35,400 Speaker 1: gamblers listening to this podcast. We don't just have gamblers, 358 00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:37,920 Speaker 1: but a lot of people now who play fantasy football. 359 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,800 Speaker 1: They like to gamble, and uh, they're on one side 360 00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:42,879 Speaker 1: of the counter, you've been on the other. Can you 361 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:44,920 Speaker 1: just talk a little bit about your journey and how 362 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:47,879 Speaker 1: you got to where you are? Sure? So I grew 363 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,840 Speaker 1: up in northern Saskatchewan, and I don't expect anyone to 364 00:19:50,880 --> 00:19:52,560 Speaker 1: have any idea where that is if they're listening from 365 00:19:52,560 --> 00:19:55,600 Speaker 1: the States, because most of the people in Canada. Quite honestly, 366 00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:58,239 Speaker 1: I don't know. But to put it in context, if 367 00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:00,840 Speaker 1: you go as far north as you can in North Dakota, 368 00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:04,240 Speaker 1: and then you drive for about another four hours north 369 00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:06,879 Speaker 1: in a straight line, you'll get to where I grew up. 370 00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:11,040 Speaker 1: So it's a town less than people. Uh. Dad was 371 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:14,600 Speaker 1: a farmer, mom was a school teacher and grew up there, 372 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 1: and when I was in my mid teens ended up 373 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,320 Speaker 1: moving to one of the biggest cities in Canada. So 374 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:22,880 Speaker 1: that was a big shock for me. Lost a lot 375 00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:24,919 Speaker 1: of sort of my friends group, lost the ability to 376 00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:27,240 Speaker 1: playlay sports. I was very active, playing a number of 377 00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:29,520 Speaker 1: sports because it was so cheap in town. Moved to 378 00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:32,359 Speaker 1: the big city, everything gets expensive. So it was fourteen 379 00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:35,640 Speaker 1: fifteen years old. Everything sort of changed for me and 380 00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 1: started really watching sports, really getting into um different types 381 00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 1: of like sports. I was never a big basketball guy, 382 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:46,439 Speaker 1: got into basketball things like that, but through that became 383 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,960 Speaker 1: interested in betting as well. We had a TV network 384 00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:52,479 Speaker 1: up in Canada had a ticker and on the bottom 385 00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:54,879 Speaker 1: ticker there were different odds that were posted with it 386 00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:57,040 Speaker 1: running across the bottom of the screen in like two 387 00:20:57,080 --> 00:20:59,920 Speaker 1: thousand six, two thousand seven, so natural said what is 388 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,720 Speaker 1: at and then got involved with it. When I graduated 389 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:05,159 Speaker 1: high school, I went back to the small town. I 390 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:06,919 Speaker 1: was going to be the one guy in my graduating 391 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:11,080 Speaker 1: classes sixteen people that was going to travel and I 392 00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:13,920 Speaker 1: had I had about two thousand dollars to my name 393 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,840 Speaker 1: after working for the full summer. I was pushing what 394 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:20,760 Speaker 1: wheelbarrows a concrete working for a stamp concrete company. As 395 00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:23,399 Speaker 1: I graduated through high school and I was determined to travel. 396 00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:25,880 Speaker 1: Went to the Dominican Republic in two thousand and ten, 397 00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:30,040 Speaker 1: was actually about ten years ago to the day earlier 398 00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:33,200 Speaker 1: this week, and my idea was, I'm going to see 399 00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:35,439 Speaker 1: how long it lasts me see what I can ultimately do. 400 00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:40,440 Speaker 1: Did not realize the number of opportunities to both gamble 401 00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 1: but also work within the gaming industry in the Dominican Republic, 402 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,640 Speaker 1: and by December of that year, through a lot of luck, 403 00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:51,919 Speaker 1: ended up getting a job with a bookmaking company and 404 00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 1: I worked with one of the largest. The job turned 405 00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,199 Speaker 1: into working with one of the largest bookmaking companies in 406 00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:00,520 Speaker 1: the Caribbean based out of the Bahamas, and I was 407 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:04,159 Speaker 1: working in their NFL operation. Ultimately ended up managing their 408 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,000 Speaker 1: NFL operation for the course of five and a half years. 409 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:10,399 Speaker 1: UH ended up in Colombia along the way, which is 410 00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:12,560 Speaker 1: where I met my wife, and we've since moved back 411 00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:15,040 Speaker 1: to Canada in the last two years. So now it's 412 00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:18,080 Speaker 1: UH much more betting focused for me, obviously being back 413 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:22,760 Speaker 1: in Canada where the government doesn't necessarily look kindly upon 414 00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:26,439 Speaker 1: people who are facilitating wagers, but they're okay if letting 415 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:28,960 Speaker 1: you bet on different games. So I've sort of transitioned 416 00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:31,080 Speaker 1: back to where I started, and I am now betting 417 00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:33,399 Speaker 1: on football and and doing a lot of media with 418 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:35,840 Speaker 1: it and just kind of settled down and enjoying things. 419 00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:38,680 Speaker 1: So sixteen people in your graduating class, I had close 420 00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 1: to six UM. But what I love is you were 421 00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:45,439 Speaker 1: based essentially setting lines for the NFL, and now you 422 00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:48,239 Speaker 1: are betting on it. So I'm curious, Adam, when you 423 00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:51,080 Speaker 1: look at week one here in the NFL. I know, 424 00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:53,080 Speaker 1: obviously you make your you know, you do your own 425 00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:57,000 Speaker 1: power rankings. Is there any big difference between what you 426 00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,439 Speaker 1: set up and what you're seeing on the board in 427 00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:03,119 Speaker 1: week one? Well, in terms of the ratings and the 428 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,280 Speaker 1: numbers that I put out from a betting perspective, certainly, 429 00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:10,040 Speaker 1: but from in terms of relating it back to experiences 430 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 1: I had when setting these numbers, I think that bookmakers 431 00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:19,440 Speaker 1: have set these numbers with a lot of uncertainty. There's 432 00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:23,960 Speaker 1: uncertainty more so not necessarily about how the teams are 433 00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,679 Speaker 1: going to perform. I think at this point, with the 434 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,440 Speaker 1: amount of data that's available, we know what we're going 435 00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:32,199 Speaker 1: to get from these teams. But I think that there's 436 00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:35,720 Speaker 1: a lot of uncertainty surrounding how betters are going to 437 00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:38,760 Speaker 1: respond to these markets. Because at the end of the day, 438 00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:44,720 Speaker 1: as much as sort of overwhelming narratives and specific situations 439 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:48,240 Speaker 1: relating to point spreads and totals will affect the market. 440 00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,280 Speaker 1: There are a lot of people relying on strictly numbers 441 00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 1: who are coming in and betting large sums of money 442 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 1: and adjusting these prices immediately after they put their money 443 00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:02,040 Speaker 1: into the betting market. And so when you're looking at 444 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 1: a fluctuation potentially in home field advantage, we're potentially looking 445 00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 1: at a change in pace of play or aggression because 446 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:12,240 Speaker 1: of the environments the teams may be playing it. There's 447 00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:14,640 Speaker 1: a lot of speculation about how that might play out, 448 00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:17,520 Speaker 1: but there's no certainty to what we're going to get 449 00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:21,040 Speaker 1: from it. So I think that there's caution from that 450 00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:24,560 Speaker 1: aspect that they don't want to be caught taking these 451 00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:27,880 Speaker 1: bets having numbers that are a couple of points either 452 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:30,160 Speaker 1: way off and not. They want to be ahead of that. 453 00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:33,840 Speaker 1: But with no one having that answer and nowhere to look, 454 00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 1: it's going to be much more of a quick adjustment 455 00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:39,600 Speaker 1: to what we see if there's any differences at all, 456 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:44,080 Speaker 1: rather than it is taking any sort of strong stances 457 00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 1: going into Week one and potentially being caught blindsided. So 458 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,919 Speaker 1: how should do people listening to this? Everybody wants to 459 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: fire on week one. They're all excited, they've been saying, 460 00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:55,400 Speaker 1: you know they had all their money saved up there 461 00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:58,480 Speaker 1: want to go in heavily in week one, but it 462 00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:01,160 Speaker 1: sounds like you're preaching a little caution here when you 463 00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:05,879 Speaker 1: see everybody loading up. I've heard various reports that Seattle 464 00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:08,920 Speaker 1: is the most public play. Other other shops are saying 465 00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:12,119 Speaker 1: that Tampa Bay is the most public side. How do 466 00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:16,520 Speaker 1: you anticipate, like the handle for those games versus whether 467 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:18,479 Speaker 1: or not you want to weigh in, and the public 468 00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:22,639 Speaker 1: versus the house um, I would if you're thinking about 469 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:28,120 Speaker 1: the public versus sharp debate, which is something that I 470 00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:31,040 Speaker 1: think deserves a lot more thought than it might get. 471 00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:35,399 Speaker 1: It's very difficult to paint one side as public and 472 00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:38,520 Speaker 1: one side is sharp for every single game that's on 473 00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:41,639 Speaker 1: the board. And the reason that is is because there 474 00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:45,200 Speaker 1: will be different opinions at each of the different numbers. 475 00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:49,280 Speaker 1: So in each game, they're very well could be one 476 00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:53,200 Speaker 1: team within that matchup that is both sharp and public 477 00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,880 Speaker 1: in terms of definition at the same time. So if 478 00:25:56,880 --> 00:26:00,720 Speaker 1: you're looking at a team like Seattle, who who's gone 479 00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 1: from a pick them at open they're now up to 480 00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:06,240 Speaker 1: two and a half, could be considered sharp at pick 481 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:08,440 Speaker 1: them before that line moved, but if you're looking at 482 00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:11,200 Speaker 1: betting it right now, it might be the complete opposite. 483 00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:13,879 Speaker 1: So if you're looking at back in Atlanta just because 484 00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:18,040 Speaker 1: Seattle might be the public side at two and a half, 485 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:21,040 Speaker 1: you're really taking a pretty irrelevant number at that point 486 00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:25,040 Speaker 1: because the value of one as a point spread and 487 00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:28,199 Speaker 1: two as a point spread is next to nothing in 488 00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:32,080 Speaker 1: the NFL, And considering that Seattle could have been deemed 489 00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:34,800 Speaker 1: a sharp play at a pick them before this price moved, 490 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:38,240 Speaker 1: you're not really taking anything on the other side opposing 491 00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:41,159 Speaker 1: that position, Whereas if it gets to three, maybe it 492 00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:43,360 Speaker 1: looks a lot different. But if it gets to three, 493 00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:46,760 Speaker 1: we're gonna see sharp money come back on Atlanta anyway, 494 00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:49,840 Speaker 1: being a home dog in the opening week. So it's 495 00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:54,159 Speaker 1: it's a slippery slope to try really set a divide 496 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:56,760 Speaker 1: in every single game and put the different types of 497 00:26:56,800 --> 00:27:00,440 Speaker 1: betters in that sort of category and force them into 498 00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:02,600 Speaker 1: that and then try and make a decision off of that, 499 00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:06,480 Speaker 1: because if you're waiting for that to happen, then you're 500 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 1: betting after the price has already moved, which is putting 501 00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:12,639 Speaker 1: you at a disadvantageous spot to begin with. So I 502 00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,080 Speaker 1: would just be cautious trying to label each game a 503 00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:17,280 Speaker 1: sharp republic and then basic a decision off of that 504 00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:20,000 Speaker 1: after the price is moved. Adam, let me ask you 505 00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:22,240 Speaker 1: about a game that jumped out at me. It looks 506 00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,760 Speaker 1: like it's going in my direction. The Reds Sorry, Washington 507 00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,800 Speaker 1: Football Club getting six now five and a half against 508 00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:32,120 Speaker 1: the Eagles. Washington played them tough last year in both games. 509 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:35,040 Speaker 1: Should have covered both of them. Uh, fumble return at 510 00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:37,800 Speaker 1: the buzzer kind of screwed them in one of them. Um. 511 00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:40,240 Speaker 1: And then you've got the the injuries on the offensive 512 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:42,720 Speaker 1: line for the Eagles matching up with the strength of 513 00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:45,639 Speaker 1: the Washington defense, which is the defensive line. Do you 514 00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:48,040 Speaker 1: see Do you see Washington as a pick that you 515 00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:50,040 Speaker 1: like in Week one or is that a stay away 516 00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:52,680 Speaker 1: from And I will preface that this all by saying, 517 00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:55,640 Speaker 1: there is I'm sure a divisional trend in week one 518 00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:58,199 Speaker 1: that everybody's going to talk about. Uh. And you can 519 00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:02,240 Speaker 1: get into trends, but on their dogs in divisional matchups 520 00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:04,679 Speaker 1: in week one last five years or sixteen, five and 521 00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:07,399 Speaker 1: two against the spread last year, four and one the 522 00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:10,879 Speaker 1: year before that four Oh so Washington obviously fits the 523 00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:14,679 Speaker 1: into that trend. If you like trends, you have to 524 00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:18,720 Speaker 1: be careful with the nickname for the Washington football team 525 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 1: this year, I have caught myself about fifteen times in 526 00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:23,280 Speaker 1: the matter of the first week during different sort of 527 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:28,000 Speaker 1: media spots around UM. I think Washington was a nice 528 00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:31,439 Speaker 1: grab at seven. I think looking at the Eagles injury report, 529 00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:36,080 Speaker 1: Hardgrave did not practice on Wednesday, so he's unlikely to 530 00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:39,120 Speaker 1: go on Sunday. Doesn't look like Jeffrey is going to 531 00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:41,160 Speaker 1: be there either. I think that was sort of expected. 532 00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,040 Speaker 1: But then there's other big names out there. Barnett was limited, 533 00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:48,160 Speaker 1: Gregor was limited, Lane Johnson was limited, Miles Sanders was limited. 534 00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,479 Speaker 1: Wentz was sort of the big name that kept us 535 00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:52,760 Speaker 1: off of the board for obvious reasons. As the quarterback 536 00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:56,680 Speaker 1: um went from seven to six very quickly, then it 537 00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:58,960 Speaker 1: went off the board once was announced his coming back, 538 00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,600 Speaker 1: and we're seeing this come down just a little bit further. 539 00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:06,160 Speaker 1: And Washington was the team throughout the offseason that had 540 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:09,239 Speaker 1: a lot of interest in the wind total market. They 541 00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:11,440 Speaker 1: had a lot of interest in the futures market, and 542 00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:12,840 Speaker 1: they had a lot of interest in a lot of 543 00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:16,880 Speaker 1: the individual player prop markets as well. So I think 544 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:20,360 Speaker 1: that some of this movement is sort of bleed over 545 00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:22,440 Speaker 1: from that in terms of the same people that were 546 00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:25,960 Speaker 1: interested in those markets also interested in taking Washington in 547 00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:28,920 Speaker 1: the first week of the season. And the reason that 548 00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:31,280 Speaker 1: a lot of people were interested in doing that was 549 00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:35,720 Speaker 1: because Dwayne Haskins is entering two thousand and twenty with 550 00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:39,000 Speaker 1: the perception that's vastly different from what some of his 551 00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:42,440 Speaker 1: numbers would suggest. And I think sort of the consensus 552 00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:46,200 Speaker 1: opinion on Dwayne Haskins is questioning whether he should be 553 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,880 Speaker 1: a starter in the NFL at all. But if you 554 00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:51,600 Speaker 1: are putting him as a starter, you're probably not ranking 555 00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:55,360 Speaker 1: him higher than nine at best, out of thirty two 556 00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:58,959 Speaker 1: starting quarterbacks. Last season, he was put into really an 557 00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:03,400 Speaker 1: impossible situation Thrill Camp, they had three court quarterbacks fighting 558 00:30:03,440 --> 00:30:07,160 Speaker 1: for snaps. Haskins was given the limited share of the three. 559 00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:09,760 Speaker 1: Then it goes into the regular season. He's put in 560 00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:13,320 Speaker 1: blindly on the road at the New York Giants out 561 00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:16,240 Speaker 1: of nowhere, a very difficult spot to begin your NFL career. 562 00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,320 Speaker 1: Next week, he's put into even a more difficult situation 563 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:23,920 Speaker 1: on the road in Minnesota, another impossible situation where he struggled. 564 00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:27,840 Speaker 1: He didn't have the full practice week leading up to 565 00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:30,360 Speaker 1: a start until week nine or ten in the season. 566 00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:33,440 Speaker 1: What happened after that? He had six what I would 567 00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:35,960 Speaker 1: deem his true starts, where he was the guy with 568 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:39,920 Speaker 1: the team and he was in charge of this offense, 569 00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:44,200 Speaker 1: and his numbers jumped up dramatically. In those six starts. 570 00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:47,800 Speaker 1: He was top fifteen and adjusted completion percentage, He was 571 00:30:47,840 --> 00:30:53,120 Speaker 1: top fifteen and passer rating. He was also significantly better 572 00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 1: when utilizing play action, one of the ten best play 573 00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:58,840 Speaker 1: action passers pre Anny quarterback that started at least six 574 00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:02,480 Speaker 1: games into thousand nineteen. Is this to say that he 575 00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:05,840 Speaker 1: is a top fifteen quarterback in the league. I don't 576 00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:09,200 Speaker 1: think so, But I think that he's significantly better than 577 00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:11,400 Speaker 1: what a lot of the numbers suggest. And you pair 578 00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:14,800 Speaker 1: that with a Washington defense that's going to be one 579 00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:18,240 Speaker 1: of the best front sevens in football, and I think 580 00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:20,320 Speaker 1: that there's a lot of upside that bedders are seeing 581 00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:23,440 Speaker 1: with the Redskins, especially getting a lot of points against 582 00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:26,440 Speaker 1: the Eagles team that had a ton of injury concerns 583 00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:29,080 Speaker 1: and limitations in the final week and a half of 584 00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:31,920 Speaker 1: camp and now a lot of question marks going into Sunday. 585 00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,840 Speaker 1: So you add that onto the divisional aspect of it, 586 00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:37,440 Speaker 1: and how that will draw some attention to You're also 587 00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:40,120 Speaker 1: looking at a large point spread with a short total 588 00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:43,480 Speaker 1: at forty two. That's continuing to come down. Anytime that 589 00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:45,760 Speaker 1: there's a large point spread with this and a low total, 590 00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:48,480 Speaker 1: that tends to draw interest to the underdog as well, 591 00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:51,960 Speaker 1: looking at a game that might feature less variants than 592 00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 1: a say Houston Kansas City game with a total in 593 00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:57,680 Speaker 1: the low fifties. So, uh, that's just sort of some 594 00:31:57,760 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 1: of the reasons that people will be latching onto Washington 595 00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:02,240 Speaker 1: in the spot. I think if you're looking at seven, 596 00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:04,240 Speaker 1: you have a great ticket in your account. Even if 597 00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:07,000 Speaker 1: you've got like a six point five and a nice number, 598 00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 1: that's a good one to have. But now five and 599 00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:11,840 Speaker 1: a half, it's starting to look a lot different. Yeah, 600 00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:14,800 Speaker 1: it's a couple of other divisional matchups to jump out. 601 00:32:14,840 --> 00:32:17,760 Speaker 1: I can't believe the Vikings are favored by three. Now 602 00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:19,120 Speaker 1: it looks like it's down to two and a half. 603 00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:21,120 Speaker 1: But you know, this is a Viking scene that had 604 00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:23,320 Speaker 1: a lot of upheaval in the off season, and I'm 605 00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:25,120 Speaker 1: not high on the Packers. We know they were in 606 00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:29,200 Speaker 1: overvalued thirteen and three Uh, you know, given many factors, 607 00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:32,200 Speaker 1: but it still surprises me with no fans that Mike 608 00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:36,360 Speaker 1: Zimmer early season advantage seems to be gone. I don't 609 00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:40,280 Speaker 1: know anything that jump out of you with Packers Vikings. Yeah, 610 00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:42,920 Speaker 1: so when this was that three and a half, this 611 00:32:43,040 --> 00:32:45,280 Speaker 1: was taken up pretty quickly, got to three and now 612 00:32:45,280 --> 00:32:46,960 Speaker 1: it's through this three down to two and a half. 613 00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:51,040 Speaker 1: The Vikings return less than twenty percent of their defensive 614 00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:55,160 Speaker 1: snaps from last season. That number gets much lower with 615 00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:59,520 Speaker 1: Hunter now on injured reserve. That'll really take away from 616 00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:02,280 Speaker 1: their past rush and Godway was added that's great, but 617 00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:04,560 Speaker 1: he was only been around this team now for about 618 00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:09,120 Speaker 1: a week and a half. Zimmer's system is notoriously difficult 619 00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:11,280 Speaker 1: to learn with the amount of press coverage he plays, 620 00:33:11,520 --> 00:33:14,200 Speaker 1: the amount of aggression, and how he disguises a lot 621 00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:17,640 Speaker 1: of his looks on defense. So his team throughout his 622 00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:20,280 Speaker 1: career as a head coach has been one of the 623 00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:23,440 Speaker 1: most difficult to transition into as a new player on 624 00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:27,200 Speaker 1: the defense, and considering how much turnover there is and 625 00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 1: now missing the key piece on the defensive line, Uh, 626 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,760 Speaker 1: that sort of elevates the question marks for what we 627 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:37,280 Speaker 1: can expect from this team defensively. On offense, they lose 628 00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:40,320 Speaker 1: Kevin Stefanski, who guided Kirk Cousins to his best season 629 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:45,240 Speaker 1: of his career. They lose Stefon Diggs, who was enormous 630 00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 1: in terms of that vertical passing threat, but they also 631 00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:52,760 Speaker 1: utilized him very wisely as a runner in specific regards. 632 00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:54,680 Speaker 1: Brought a lot to that offense that they did not 633 00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:58,560 Speaker 1: replace in the off season. So there's now question marks 634 00:33:58,600 --> 00:34:02,000 Speaker 1: about what ry Kubiak is going to instill. Is it 635 00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,240 Speaker 1: going to be a higher pass rate and how does 636 00:34:04,280 --> 00:34:07,800 Speaker 1: that look without much an equal emphasis on that zone 637 00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:11,120 Speaker 1: rushing scheme that the Fanski brought that really added a 638 00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:13,120 Speaker 1: lot of stability to do that often. So there's a 639 00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:16,920 Speaker 1: lot of question marks around the Minnesota Vikings. The Packers, 640 00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:20,640 Speaker 1: as you mentioned, a huge regression candidate in twenty by 641 00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:24,439 Speaker 1: every regard, potentially the biggest regression candidate that we've seen 642 00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:27,840 Speaker 1: in the last decade of NFL football. And it's important 643 00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:32,440 Speaker 1: to sort of distance yourself from your preseason predictions as 644 00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:35,400 Speaker 1: a team. I think a lot of betters, myself included, 645 00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:37,560 Speaker 1: a lot of times fall into the trap of being 646 00:34:37,680 --> 00:34:39,560 Speaker 1: very high or very low on the team in the 647 00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:42,759 Speaker 1: preseason and thinking that that has to dictate how you 648 00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:47,560 Speaker 1: wager every single week of the season, and I you 649 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:49,880 Speaker 1: can get in the bad spot with that, and I'm 650 00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:52,440 Speaker 1: probably guilty of that, not having a Green Bay ticket 651 00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:55,239 Speaker 1: in my account this week looking at how obvious the 652 00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:57,880 Speaker 1: spot could have been getting those points at three or 653 00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:00,719 Speaker 1: two and a half UM. But there's just so many 654 00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:03,799 Speaker 1: question marks around Minnesota and people are just blindly taking 655 00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:05,440 Speaker 1: the points here with Green Band. I think they're in 656 00:35:05,480 --> 00:35:07,720 Speaker 1: the right spots for doing it. Is there anything Adam 657 00:35:07,800 --> 00:35:10,120 Speaker 1: on the board that you look at and you just 658 00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:13,960 Speaker 1: think that that's the most value currently where the market is. 659 00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:17,520 Speaker 1: You know, we're recording before well before Sunday's games. Anything 660 00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:19,520 Speaker 1: that jumped out of you that you really like or 661 00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:21,359 Speaker 1: is there anything you've already fired on that you want 662 00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:24,319 Speaker 1: to let everybody know about. I think something that's still 663 00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:27,560 Speaker 1: available that people could sort of latch onto and takes 664 00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:30,560 Speaker 1: a bet into someday would be the Arizona San Francisco 665 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:34,759 Speaker 1: over If you can find a cheap forty seven and 666 00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:37,560 Speaker 1: a half, that's fantastic. Otherwise you're looking at forty eight, 667 00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:40,480 Speaker 1: which I think is still suitable for a number. Basically, 668 00:35:40,520 --> 00:35:43,960 Speaker 1: anything better than in this spot is going to be 669 00:35:44,040 --> 00:35:48,000 Speaker 1: worth a bet, and Arizona is a team I'm intrigued by. 670 00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:52,000 Speaker 1: Not the addition of DeAndre Hopkins from a talent perspective 671 00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:54,520 Speaker 1: is fantastic, right, No one's going to debate that, but 672 00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:59,560 Speaker 1: it gives Cliff Kingsbury a true for wide receivers set 673 00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:03,960 Speaker 1: and season. He entered the NFL running sort of empty 674 00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:09,120 Speaker 1: personnel packages at an absurdly high rate, some higher than 675 00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:11,759 Speaker 1: the second most in the NFL. So like he was 676 00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:15,840 Speaker 1: running these empty sets wide four or five wide receiver 677 00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:18,960 Speaker 1: sets at twenty plus percent of all snaps, and he 678 00:36:19,120 --> 00:36:21,839 Speaker 1: realized quite quickly into week five or six that this 679 00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:25,040 Speaker 1: was not something that was sustainable and he wanted to 680 00:36:25,040 --> 00:36:27,879 Speaker 1: play up tempo. He ultimately did. Arizona was the top 681 00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:30,320 Speaker 1: five teams in terms of pace, but he just didn't 682 00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:33,400 Speaker 1: have the personnel to make the system work. Now that 683 00:36:33,480 --> 00:36:37,200 Speaker 1: he adds Hopkins into this offense, it takes a lot 684 00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:40,080 Speaker 1: of pressure off Fitzgerald and it lets guys three or 685 00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:41,680 Speaker 1: four five on the depth chart that have a lot 686 00:36:41,719 --> 00:36:45,520 Speaker 1: of speed really sort of settled into their singular roles. 687 00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,360 Speaker 1: And now he has the offense that he wants. He 688 00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:50,640 Speaker 1: has Kenyan Drake the running back that he wants in 689 00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:54,760 Speaker 1: the backfield, and where we've seen this really materializes throughout 690 00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:58,959 Speaker 1: training camp, beyond the defensive players who came out after 691 00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:01,719 Speaker 1: training camp everything the day talking about how gas they 692 00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:05,480 Speaker 1: were from this up tempo scheme. Every beat reporter, every 693 00:37:05,480 --> 00:37:09,800 Speaker 1: writer for the Arizona Cardinals, and any interview was always 694 00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:15,000 Speaker 1: centered around the dramatically increased pace that the Cardinals have 695 00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:18,319 Speaker 1: been practicing with throughout the entire month of August. And 696 00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:24,160 Speaker 1: it wasn't just specific situations. This was the Cardinals practicing eleven, fifteen, 697 00:37:24,560 --> 00:37:28,640 Speaker 1: eighteen plays consecutively to increase their pace and do it 698 00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:31,640 Speaker 1: as quick as possible. The NFL has never had a 699 00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:35,600 Speaker 1: sub team in terms of seconds snap to snap since 700 00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:38,880 Speaker 1: two thousand fifteen with the Eagles. I think the Cardinals 701 00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:42,320 Speaker 1: can be that team this season, considering the personnel that 702 00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:44,840 Speaker 1: they have and how there's been such a high emphasis 703 00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:47,680 Speaker 1: on conditioning the defense, because you can't run an up 704 00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:50,520 Speaker 1: temple offense unless your defense has their conditioning at a 705 00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:52,759 Speaker 1: high level, because they're gonna be cycling back and through 706 00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:55,480 Speaker 1: the field very quickly if the offense goes three and out. 707 00:37:55,560 --> 00:37:57,560 Speaker 1: So that really tipped it off to me that Arizona 708 00:37:57,600 --> 00:37:59,960 Speaker 1: is going to come into the season with an increased 709 00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:03,800 Speaker 1: level of pace. On the other side, San Francisco limited 710 00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,239 Speaker 1: in terms of their wide receivers with injuries, but they've 711 00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:09,000 Speaker 1: got three tight ends and three running backs on the roster, 712 00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:13,200 Speaker 1: which Kyle Shanahan can utilize extremely well in the passing game. 713 00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:16,160 Speaker 1: One of the best play designers in the NFL. Last season, 714 00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:18,719 Speaker 1: Arizona the worst team in the league when it came 715 00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:22,760 Speaker 1: to defending opposing running backs and opposing tight ends catching 716 00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:25,640 Speaker 1: the football. And so I'm looking at Shanahan with a 717 00:38:25,719 --> 00:38:28,400 Speaker 1: glaring weakness the game plan against He's one of the 718 00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:30,960 Speaker 1: few coaches in the league I can trust to put 719 00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:34,799 Speaker 1: together an efficient game plan. Isaiah Simmons, he might be 720 00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:37,319 Speaker 1: the answer. I'm gonna have to see it first if 721 00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:39,719 Speaker 1: he can provide some help and coverage. But even if 722 00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:41,920 Speaker 1: he is, they're playing against the forty Niners, who have 723 00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:44,480 Speaker 1: the most depth at tight end and running back in 724 00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:47,759 Speaker 1: terms of receiving talent. I think Kyle Shanahan can have 725 00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:51,080 Speaker 1: a heyday here designing anything he wants. The creativity is 726 00:38:51,120 --> 00:38:53,200 Speaker 1: going to be a treat to see what he puts 727 00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,839 Speaker 1: out on the field to watch, So at forty eight. 728 00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:58,360 Speaker 1: I think this is a game with Arizona's pace, what 729 00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:01,440 Speaker 1: the forty Niners can put together from a game planning perspective, 730 00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:03,920 Speaker 1: that we can see play into the fifties with a 731 00:39:03,960 --> 00:39:05,920 Speaker 1: play count somewhere in the high one thirties. So it's 732 00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:08,360 Speaker 1: a really nice look to the over. Yeah, I'm also 733 00:39:08,719 --> 00:39:11,200 Speaker 1: not just the over, but I like Arizona getting seven. 734 00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:13,839 Speaker 1: You remember those two games they played against Sanford last year, 735 00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:16,719 Speaker 1: I mean Nipp and Tuck basically the whole way. You know, 736 00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:19,520 Speaker 1: they had blew blew one cover there at the final buzzard, 737 00:39:19,560 --> 00:39:22,560 Speaker 1: similar to the Redskins Eagles. But yeah, I'm bullish on Arizona. 738 00:39:22,600 --> 00:39:25,200 Speaker 1: What was the other game you said besides that over? 739 00:39:25,560 --> 00:39:27,920 Speaker 1: I think that that over with Arizona San Francisco is 740 00:39:27,960 --> 00:39:30,400 Speaker 1: definitely worth a look. And then I wouldn't shy away 741 00:39:30,520 --> 00:39:34,040 Speaker 1: from the laying the points with the Indianapolis Colts. Whoa 742 00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:40,319 Speaker 1: whoa big road favorite. Interesting, Another big road favorite last 743 00:39:40,320 --> 00:39:43,360 Speaker 1: season was the Baltimore Ravens who went into Miami, and 744 00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:46,480 Speaker 1: it was a very similar situation where there was a 745 00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:49,799 Speaker 1: lot of interest in the Dolphins because of the sort 746 00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:52,440 Speaker 1: of mountain of situations that were piling up in their 747 00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,480 Speaker 1: favorite in the number of trends, and the same thing 748 00:39:54,520 --> 00:39:58,439 Speaker 1: exists here with the Jags. Right, it's a divisional home dog. 749 00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:00,880 Speaker 1: It's a divisional home dog of more than a touchdown. 750 00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:04,799 Speaker 1: It's an outdoor home team hosting a visiting dome team. 751 00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:07,520 Speaker 1: It's a dome team in Indianapolis traveling to play in 752 00:40:07,600 --> 00:40:10,640 Speaker 1: extreme heat. It's an underdog of more in the touchdown 753 00:40:10,719 --> 00:40:12,799 Speaker 1: with a total less than forty five, something we talked 754 00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 1: about earlier. It's a Florida team in September. Betters love 755 00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:18,520 Speaker 1: the Florida teams in September because of the heat and 756 00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:21,759 Speaker 1: the humidity. And then the Colts haven't covered in their 757 00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:24,560 Speaker 1: last five at Jacksonville. The Colts one and nine in 758 00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:28,040 Speaker 1: the last ten against Jacksonville. The number of trends and 759 00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:31,960 Speaker 1: situations that support Jacksonville is overwhelming, But I look at 760 00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:34,279 Speaker 1: the Colts relating it back to that Baltimore game. The 761 00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:36,960 Speaker 1: Ravens went into Miami. They faced a team that had 762 00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:39,360 Speaker 1: an average age of twenty five years old. The Dolphins 763 00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:42,319 Speaker 1: were the youngest team in the NFL last season. The 764 00:40:42,440 --> 00:40:46,680 Speaker 1: Ravens a very simplistic scheme, very physical upfront. They rely 765 00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:48,799 Speaker 1: on the run, game to open up explosive plays in 766 00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:53,840 Speaker 1: the past. Very very dedicated and they're blocking, very confident, 767 00:40:53,960 --> 00:40:57,120 Speaker 1: very efficient, and how they run this system them they 768 00:40:57,360 --> 00:41:01,080 Speaker 1: go up rushing success for they gainst the Dolphins five 769 00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:04,800 Speaker 1: point eight yards per carry. They run for two total yards, 770 00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:08,680 Speaker 1: which in turn sparked seven explosive passes fourteen yards per pass, 771 00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:11,680 Speaker 1: three seventy nine total out of Lamar. The Ravens win 772 00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:16,160 Speaker 1: by forty plus. Now the Jaguars twenty four years old, 773 00:41:16,160 --> 00:41:18,640 Speaker 1: the youngest team we've seen in the NFL in the 774 00:41:18,719 --> 00:41:22,120 Speaker 1: last five seasons, and it's the exact same thing. The 775 00:41:22,200 --> 00:41:25,320 Speaker 1: Colts the best offensive line in the NFL. They returned 776 00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:27,560 Speaker 1: all five starters from a year ago from a unit 777 00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:30,920 Speaker 1: graded out as the third best in the NFL. They 778 00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:33,760 Speaker 1: have Marlon Mack, a thousand yard rusher from the season. 779 00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:36,960 Speaker 1: But Chris Ballard, after all of this COVID stuff started, 780 00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:40,480 Speaker 1: he goes out gets Jonathan Taylor in the draft early 781 00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:43,040 Speaker 1: to go behind Marlon Max and now you're looking at 782 00:41:43,080 --> 00:41:45,600 Speaker 1: the duo of Mac and Taylor behind this offensive line. 783 00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:48,280 Speaker 1: This is going to be a spot where the Colts 784 00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:52,200 Speaker 1: can rely on their strength, very simple play design, relying 785 00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:55,040 Speaker 1: on their physicality, and blocking and where this becomes a 786 00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:59,320 Speaker 1: huge advantage. Since the beginning of August, the Jacksonville Jaguars 787 00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:03,680 Speaker 1: have lost six defensive linemen from their roster. If you 788 00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:07,799 Speaker 1: add in the losses of Calais Campbell and Marcel Darius 789 00:42:07,800 --> 00:42:12,440 Speaker 1: prior to camp beginning, that's eight total defensive linemen lost 790 00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:15,360 Speaker 1: from the Jaguars team. And then you look Tavon Brian, 791 00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:18,759 Speaker 1: a projected starter. He's on the injury report right now, 792 00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:21,920 Speaker 1: might not ultimately end up taking the field place on 793 00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:24,600 Speaker 1: the rookie dealt with the injuries throughout training camp, so 794 00:42:24,640 --> 00:42:28,239 Speaker 1: he's coming in with less than in terms of training camp. 795 00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:32,920 Speaker 1: Then the linebacker trio behind them, Williams, Schilburton, Jacky they 796 00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:37,200 Speaker 1: graded out eighty eight of ninety ninety and seventy nine 797 00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:40,319 Speaker 1: of ninety in two thousand nineteen. There's a ton of 798 00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:43,160 Speaker 1: issues across the board for this Jacksonville defense, and they're 799 00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:46,200 Speaker 1: gonna have to face the strength and the best offensive 800 00:42:46,200 --> 00:42:49,680 Speaker 1: line in the NFL with the Colts. And then what 801 00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:52,840 Speaker 1: does as an efficient running game due opens up the 802 00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:56,600 Speaker 1: opportunity for play action. All three coltswide receivers healthy and 803 00:42:56,640 --> 00:42:59,800 Speaker 1: on the field. Philip Rivers steps in he has history 804 00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:03,400 Speaker 1: working with Reich and Sirianni from his time in Los Angeles. 805 00:43:03,800 --> 00:43:06,080 Speaker 1: Last season, the Colts ran play action at the seventh 806 00:43:06,120 --> 00:43:09,280 Speaker 1: highest rate in the NFL. That was twelve percent higher 807 00:43:09,440 --> 00:43:12,600 Speaker 1: than what Rivers had in Los Angeles the last season. 808 00:43:12,760 --> 00:43:15,799 Speaker 1: As much as Philip Rivers takes criticism, he had the 809 00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,439 Speaker 1: tenth highest increase in yards per past attempt when using 810 00:43:18,520 --> 00:43:23,319 Speaker 1: play action, the sixth highest increase in completion percentage, and 811 00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:26,520 Speaker 1: the eleventh highest pass rating in the NFL with play action. 812 00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:29,920 Speaker 1: That was behind a terrible offensive line in Los Angeles. 813 00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:31,720 Speaker 1: So he gets a lot more time in the pocket, 814 00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:35,040 Speaker 1: gets an upgrade with these trio of ride receivers. Much 815 00:43:35,040 --> 00:43:37,120 Speaker 1: like the issues for the Jags on the defensive line, 816 00:43:37,600 --> 00:43:40,640 Speaker 1: They're starting a rookie in the secondary as well as 817 00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:44,319 Speaker 1: Herndon who graded out the tenth worst coverage player in 818 00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:46,640 Speaker 1: the NFL in two thousands and nineteen. So nothing but 819 00:43:46,719 --> 00:43:49,160 Speaker 1: opportunity for the Colts to go out with a very 820 00:43:49,200 --> 00:43:52,759 Speaker 1: simple game plan, execute and dominate a very young and 821 00:43:52,760 --> 00:43:56,000 Speaker 1: inexperienced Jags team. I think this could get as ugly 822 00:43:56,040 --> 00:43:59,719 Speaker 1: as that Ravens game did for the Dolphins. Wow, I've 823 00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:02,640 Speaker 1: seen this is where Adam wins because he guys deep. 824 00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:06,040 Speaker 1: I I was not aware of the Jags defensive line issues. Obviously, 825 00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:08,640 Speaker 1: the Colts matchup strength, So I do like that one 826 00:44:08,680 --> 00:44:11,239 Speaker 1: final game in Adam. Tell me what I'm missing here? Okay? 827 00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:14,279 Speaker 1: For whatever reason, people seem to be gravitating towards the 828 00:44:14,320 --> 00:44:17,920 Speaker 1: New York Giants getting six, Now, that's a big number 829 00:44:17,920 --> 00:44:20,880 Speaker 1: for Pittsburgh. People keep wanting to say, hey, Mike Tomlin 830 00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:24,560 Speaker 1: struggles and openers, big Ben on the road, YadA, YadA, YadA. 831 00:44:24,560 --> 00:44:26,960 Speaker 1: But if you look at the Giants, I mean the 832 00:44:27,440 --> 00:44:31,640 Speaker 1: continuity buzzword. Okay, new head coach, new offensive coordinator, I believe, 833 00:44:31,680 --> 00:44:35,120 Speaker 1: new defensive coordinator. They just lost their starting quarterback DeAndre 834 00:44:35,200 --> 00:44:39,239 Speaker 1: Baker to the arrest. The Pittsburgh Steelers defense is phenomenal. 835 00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:41,920 Speaker 1: I think nine of the eleven starters returned. This to 836 00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:44,759 Speaker 1: me feels like the Steelers squashing a bug. What am 837 00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:48,200 Speaker 1: I missing? So this game opened at three and a 838 00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:51,120 Speaker 1: half and it was quickly bet to four, and then 839 00:44:51,160 --> 00:44:54,040 Speaker 1: it was quickly bet to six. So the move to 840 00:44:54,160 --> 00:44:59,239 Speaker 1: four was last Tuesday. That came from a release from 841 00:44:59,480 --> 00:45:03,160 Speaker 1: a group that is based in in Europe. I'll put 842 00:45:03,160 --> 00:45:05,160 Speaker 1: it that way. So that bumped it up, and then 843 00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:08,080 Speaker 1: one of the more prominent betting groups in the United 844 00:45:08,120 --> 00:45:11,360 Speaker 1: States earlier this week came out and released Pittsburgh and 845 00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:14,479 Speaker 1: minus four, which took it up immediately to minus six. 846 00:45:14,600 --> 00:45:17,479 Speaker 1: So there's a lot of respected money behind the move 847 00:45:17,600 --> 00:45:20,719 Speaker 1: on the Pittsburgh Steelers that took this move up from 848 00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:22,640 Speaker 1: three and a half to six. And then there's a 849 00:45:22,640 --> 00:45:25,720 Speaker 1: lot of people following in that respected money with money 850 00:45:25,719 --> 00:45:28,359 Speaker 1: of their own that's sort of keeping it there right now. 851 00:45:28,560 --> 00:45:31,120 Speaker 1: So there's when you're looking at the Giants, there's not 852 00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:32,799 Speaker 1: a lot of people that want to go against that. 853 00:45:32,920 --> 00:45:36,239 Speaker 1: But the main reason I believe that we've seen the 854 00:45:36,360 --> 00:45:39,719 Speaker 1: Steelers move up, it's just like you mentioned, there's a 855 00:45:39,760 --> 00:45:42,080 Speaker 1: lot of question marks with the Giants, from a head 856 00:45:42,080 --> 00:45:45,520 Speaker 1: coach to an offensive coordinator to a defensive coordinator perspective, 857 00:45:46,239 --> 00:45:50,120 Speaker 1: I am not nearly as high on Pittsburgh as a 858 00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:52,400 Speaker 1: lot of these other guys who have already been betting 859 00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:57,760 Speaker 1: it are. Um. I think that the Steelers not nearly 860 00:45:57,800 --> 00:46:00,360 Speaker 1: to the extent that the Packers were, but there's a 861 00:46:00,440 --> 00:46:04,319 Speaker 1: lot of signs that they are due for regression. And 862 00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:06,080 Speaker 1: I hate using the word do, but they're just set 863 00:46:06,160 --> 00:46:09,040 Speaker 1: up based on regression. You're looking back in two nineteen. 864 00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:12,200 Speaker 1: The amount of luck, from takeaways to defensive place to 865 00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:15,279 Speaker 1: fumble luck. Everything really clicked for the Steelers last year 866 00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:17,360 Speaker 1: to end up going eight and eight. I have questions 867 00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:20,600 Speaker 1: about Roethlisberger coming off of the surgery. Jake the Loan 868 00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:22,600 Speaker 1: was the only other quarterback that I could find that 869 00:46:22,680 --> 00:46:25,839 Speaker 1: had a similar surgery, and the numbers that he came 870 00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:28,360 Speaker 1: back with were no greater than the numbers that he 871 00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:31,400 Speaker 1: had been putting up prior. And looking at the last 872 00:46:31,760 --> 00:46:34,440 Speaker 1: starts for Ben Roethlisberger when he's healthy, beyond just that 873 00:46:34,480 --> 00:46:36,560 Speaker 1: single game he played last season. But looking back in 874 00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:39,239 Speaker 1: two thousand and eighteen, the yardage was great, There's no 875 00:46:39,360 --> 00:46:41,360 Speaker 1: question about that. The output was there, but the weapons 876 00:46:41,360 --> 00:46:43,680 Speaker 1: were very different for the Steelers, and some of his 877 00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:47,680 Speaker 1: accuracy metrics were on the decline, and that's really related 878 00:46:47,680 --> 00:46:49,600 Speaker 1: to age. So I think I have some questions there 879 00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:51,160 Speaker 1: that I'm going to have to wait and see. But 880 00:46:51,520 --> 00:46:55,200 Speaker 1: when I'm looking at the Colts at minus a against 881 00:46:55,239 --> 00:46:58,800 Speaker 1: Jacksonville and then I'm looking at the Steelers at minus 882 00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:02,359 Speaker 1: six versus the Giant, as seven is worth a lot 883 00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:04,560 Speaker 1: in the NFL. More so than any other numbers, So 884 00:47:04,600 --> 00:47:07,239 Speaker 1: it's it's not just a two point difference. There's a 885 00:47:07,239 --> 00:47:10,160 Speaker 1: lot more to it than that. But we're getting very 886 00:47:10,200 --> 00:47:13,879 Speaker 1: close to having the gap between the Steelers and the 887 00:47:13,920 --> 00:47:18,440 Speaker 1: Giants to the gap between the Colts and the Jaguars. 888 00:47:18,480 --> 00:47:22,120 Speaker 1: And I don't agree with that whatsoever. And it's not 889 00:47:22,200 --> 00:47:24,839 Speaker 1: as easy as just sort of co copy and paste 890 00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:27,120 Speaker 1: and going from one game to another. There's different factors, 891 00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:29,800 Speaker 1: but like, that's what these prices are saying is getting 892 00:47:29,880 --> 00:47:32,680 Speaker 1: very close to sort of insinuating that the gap between 893 00:47:33,000 --> 00:47:35,000 Speaker 1: those four teams is pretty well equal. And I had 894 00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:37,480 Speaker 1: the Cults rated much higher than the Steelers, and obviously 895 00:47:37,520 --> 00:47:39,680 Speaker 1: the Giants much higher than the Jags. So it's not 896 00:47:39,760 --> 00:47:42,439 Speaker 1: something that I agree with. So I'm waiting to see 897 00:47:42,440 --> 00:47:44,759 Speaker 1: where this number if it gets higher than six, because 898 00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:46,440 Speaker 1: I think there's going to be interested for the Steelers. 899 00:47:46,480 --> 00:47:48,520 Speaker 1: We're not going to see sort of the tail end 900 00:47:48,520 --> 00:47:51,040 Speaker 1: of this movement until Sunday night Monday morning, so it's 901 00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:54,440 Speaker 1: a wait for me. But um, I was, to be honest, 902 00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:56,880 Speaker 1: I was interested that the Giants the second it got 903 00:47:56,960 --> 00:47:59,040 Speaker 1: to six. So if it gets any higher, um, I'll 904 00:47:59,040 --> 00:48:01,600 Speaker 1: definitely be going the other away here all right, good stuff. 905 00:48:01,640 --> 00:48:04,240 Speaker 1: Adam churn Off. You can follow him on social media. 906 00:48:04,400 --> 00:48:08,040 Speaker 1: He does appearances everywhere. Hopefully we can bring him back frequently. 907 00:48:08,040 --> 00:48:11,640 Speaker 1: I love his stuff. Good in depth. Gambler loves the NFL. 908 00:48:11,680 --> 00:48:13,680 Speaker 1: I can tell you breathe this stuff at him. I 909 00:48:13,719 --> 00:48:16,600 Speaker 1: really enjoy it. Um and uh, you know, thanks a 910 00:48:16,600 --> 00:48:20,000 Speaker 1: lot for the intel, and congrats on your story. I'm 911 00:48:20,000 --> 00:48:22,440 Speaker 1: sure it's not even close to fully written, but what 912 00:48:22,520 --> 00:48:24,920 Speaker 1: a rise you've had, man. Thanks for coming on, Thanks 913 00:48:24,920 --> 00:48:27,080 Speaker 1: for having me enjoy the opening week in the games. 914 00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:31,640 Speaker 1: The only thing better than sitting on your couch watching 915 00:48:31,640 --> 00:48:36,160 Speaker 1: the game. He's making money while he's doing. Here's your 916 00:48:36,200 --> 00:48:42,600 Speaker 1: best bet, alright, best best on straight Fire, Friday, September eleven. 917 00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:46,160 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, folks, I'm not going to the NBA. I 918 00:48:46,200 --> 00:48:50,439 Speaker 1: know there's a Game seven and Clippers is a Game 919 00:48:50,480 --> 00:48:52,799 Speaker 1: five that doesn't really matter because they're gonna obviously win 920 00:48:52,840 --> 00:48:58,239 Speaker 1: the series. Um, I'm actually gonna shock the world and 921 00:48:58,239 --> 00:49:00,720 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to the NFL on Sunday. Hope that's allowed. 922 00:49:00,760 --> 00:49:03,200 Speaker 1: We don't have any by laws for where the best 923 00:49:03,200 --> 00:49:07,959 Speaker 1: bet is, um, I just there's a specific NFL game 924 00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:10,640 Speaker 1: I'm really looking at and I gotta give it out 925 00:49:10,640 --> 00:49:13,440 Speaker 1: as my best bet pushed on the first best bet 926 00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:17,760 Speaker 1: of the NFL season Thursday night. My best bet this weekend, 927 00:49:19,080 --> 00:49:24,759 Speaker 1: I'm going with the Cleveland Browns. Yes, the Cleveland Browns. 928 00:49:25,280 --> 00:49:27,439 Speaker 1: I'm I got listened. I was in Vegas. You guys 929 00:49:27,440 --> 00:49:29,360 Speaker 1: know this. I have the ticket. I think I posted. 930 00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:31,160 Speaker 1: I didn't post the ticket yet, but I got them 931 00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:34,720 Speaker 1: plus eight. Um, just just a small play in Vegas. 932 00:49:34,760 --> 00:49:37,399 Speaker 1: I make a lot of small futures plays, and I'm 933 00:49:37,440 --> 00:49:39,759 Speaker 1: betting on them again. Now it's eight or seven and 934 00:49:39,800 --> 00:49:41,759 Speaker 1: a half. But I just I like the Browns here. 935 00:49:41,920 --> 00:49:45,560 Speaker 1: I'll be talking about this bet later on, probably on 936 00:49:45,600 --> 00:49:51,160 Speaker 1: Colin Cowherd Show and UM Cleveland plus eight in Baltimore 937 00:49:51,520 --> 00:49:54,120 Speaker 1: give me the Browns and Baker starting off the year 938 00:49:54,160 --> 00:49:56,840 Speaker 1: with the bank. Alright, folks, thanks a lot for listening. Everybody, 939 00:49:56,840 --> 00:50:00,000 Speaker 1: have a great weekend. Remember subscribe, rate and review next 940 00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:03,920 Speaker 1: this week we're doing that giveaway for the five star reviews. 941 00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:07,040 Speaker 1: Remember it. Hit me up on social media. I'm out