WEBVTT - Refineries Still Operating Will Benefit Most From Harvey, Lipow Says

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm Pim Fox.

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<v Speaker 1>Along with my co host Lisa Abramowitz. Each day we

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for

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<v Speaker 1>you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store

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<v Speaker 1>or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p m L

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot Com. We

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<v Speaker 1>turn our attention now to energy. After Hurricanes Katrina and

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<v Speaker 1>Rita hit the US about a dozen years ago, the

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<v Speaker 1>International Energy Agency released emergency petroleum reserves. This time, there

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't seem to be any need to release these stocks

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<v Speaker 1>because inventories remain high. Here to tell us more about

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<v Speaker 1>the effects of Hurricane Harvey on the energy industry is

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<v Speaker 1>Andy Lipow. He is the president of Lippow Oil Associates

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<v Speaker 1>and they are based in Houston, and he joins us

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<v Speaker 1>in our eleven three oh studios here. Thanks very much

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<v Speaker 1>for being here, and first of all, maybe just tell

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<v Speaker 1>people you're from Houston. You can't get back home, correct, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>that's right. I can't get back home because the airlines

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<v Speaker 1>are not restoring their full schedules. So even though the

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<v Speaker 1>airports have begun operations, if if you were to look

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<v Speaker 1>the amount of flights is a handful every day, but

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<v Speaker 1>it appears that I'm flying on Southwest. I'll restore full

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<v Speaker 1>operations by Sunday, Okay. So can we apply similar kind

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<v Speaker 1>of perspective when it comes to the energy industry that

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<v Speaker 1>even though that you may say are certain refineries are

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<v Speaker 1>shut down, the effects ripple through the entire energy complex. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>they certainly do. And if one looks at how Harvey

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<v Speaker 1>has impacted the Texas Gulf Coast, it started in Corpus

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<v Speaker 1>and it moved over to the Houston area and now

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<v Speaker 1>it's in the Beaumont Port author area. So we've had

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<v Speaker 1>this ripple effect from west to east, shutting down refineries.

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<v Speaker 1>As we stand here today, the refineries in Corpus Christie

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<v Speaker 1>are in their startup operations and we expect to see

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<v Speaker 1>a similar events happen in Houston over the next few weeks.

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<v Speaker 1>But Beaumont Port author really has taken the brunt of

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<v Speaker 1>the flooding event and it may be several weeks or

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<v Speaker 1>even a month to get them back. So right now

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<v Speaker 1>I'm looking at gasoline futures that are at the highest

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<v Speaker 1>level since two thousand and fourteen. Also Uh. They have

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<v Speaker 1>risen just today alone nearly thirteen percent. So definitely is

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of expectation that gas supplies refined UH guess

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<v Speaker 1>refined crude, they're going to be in short supply. Do

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<v Speaker 1>you think that the current UH market sentiment is overblown

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<v Speaker 1>or do you think that gasoline has further to climb? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I think the market looked at UH today's news when

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<v Speaker 1>Motiva said it's going to take them two weeks just

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<v Speaker 1>to assess the damage in Port author and are extrapolating

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<v Speaker 1>that to the rest of the refineries in that region

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<v Speaker 1>that account for eight percent of the total refinery capacity

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<v Speaker 1>in the US. So we are going to see these

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<v Speaker 1>spikes until we see more refineries get back online. Can

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<v Speaker 1>you speak a little bit about the Colonial Pipeline, because

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<v Speaker 1>there's been some back and forth about the information about

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<v Speaker 1>the pipeline and about the fuel that normally flows through it. Sure, So,

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<v Speaker 1>Colonial Pipeline originates in Houston and picks up refined products

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<v Speaker 1>from Houston and then Beaumont Port Author than the Louisiana

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<v Speaker 1>refineries as well as Mississippi. And it had been reported

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<v Speaker 1>that the entire pipeline for both gasoline and diesel fuel

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<v Speaker 1>had been shut down, but that's actually not quite correct.

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<v Speaker 1>What is correct is that Colonial Pipeline continues to operate

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<v Speaker 1>by receiving refined products from those operations in Lake Charles

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<v Speaker 1>or New Orleans or Pascagoula, Mississippi. But it is true

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<v Speaker 1>that they in fact are shut down out of Houston

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<v Speaker 1>and Beaumont Port author locations because those refineries simply aren't running.

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<v Speaker 1>Andy I'm looking right now, the average gas price at

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<v Speaker 1>the pump in the United States right now is about

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<v Speaker 1>two dollars and forty four cents, maybe forty five cents. UH.

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<v Speaker 1>It's obviously actually it's much lower right now in Texas,

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<v Speaker 1>which is interesting because a lot of people have talked

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<v Speaker 1>about perhaps the entire gasoline supply getting cut off for

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<v Speaker 1>a while. How high do you expect prices to go

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<v Speaker 1>in the near term, Well, I think they're gonna jump

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<v Speaker 1>another twenty cents a gallon from where they are today.

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<v Speaker 1>If we were to look at the price in the

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<v Speaker 1>pipeline system or the wholesale price, it's up fifty cents

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<v Speaker 1>a gallon as UH retailers and refiners scramble for supply.

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<v Speaker 1>So a lot of that increase is going to be

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<v Speaker 1>passed into the consumer. We're looking right now at NIMEX

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<v Speaker 1>gasoline futures. They're up more than uh Andy, what kinds

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<v Speaker 1>of maintenance and what kinds of damage can you assess

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<v Speaker 1>based on your previous knowledge of what happens when you

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<v Speaker 1>flood a refinery. So the biggest damage occurs to the

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<v Speaker 1>electric motors that have been submerged, so they have to

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<v Speaker 1>be pulled out of the refinery in many cases rewired

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<v Speaker 1>and then brought back. But when you have so many

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<v Speaker 1>pumps and motors that have been damaged, you simply run

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<v Speaker 1>out of repair shops if you will to get them

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<v Speaker 1>back online really quickly. Andy, when I talk about rising

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<v Speaker 1>gas prices, I have to think someone is going to

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<v Speaker 1>benefit from this, because someone is getting paid more for

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<v Speaker 1>their gasoline. Who is it? Well, the biggest beneficiaries are

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<v Speaker 1>those refiners who continue to operate and are being able

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<v Speaker 1>to sell product into the market. So which ones are they?

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<v Speaker 1>So the ones here in the US that come to

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<v Speaker 1>mind right away are PBF Energy, Holly, Frontier two, Sorrow, CVR,

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<v Speaker 1>or DELK because they all have operations that are far

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<v Speaker 1>from the horror cane Harvey impacts, as well as European

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<v Speaker 1>refiners are now benefiting because their strong demand for them

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<v Speaker 1>to make gasoline to ship over to the US. Will

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<v Speaker 1>they find more customers, for example, in Latin America, because

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<v Speaker 1>don't they Latin American countries they rely on imports from

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<v Speaker 1>Texas and Louisiana for their refined product. Well, that is

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<v Speaker 1>certainly going to happen. If we were to look at

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<v Speaker 1>Mexico specifically, who's buying about three barrels a day of

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<v Speaker 1>gasoline from the US. They need to scramble for supplies

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<v Speaker 1>from other parts of the world, so where they look

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<v Speaker 1>to is Europe and Asia. What about the argument that

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to see such reduced demand from people in

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<v Speaker 1>Texas that that will eventually create some equilibrium in the market.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you think that's the case and do you expect

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<v Speaker 1>shortages of gasoline in Texas during this whole cleanup? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>while there has been some demand destruction in Texas, it's

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<v Speaker 1>nowhere near the loss of refineries supply. We've had thirty

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<v Speaker 1>one percent of the refineries UH in the US being

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<v Speaker 1>affected by Harvey. At the same time, refiners have reduced

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<v Speaker 1>runs by over five million barrels a day, even though

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<v Speaker 1>some of them are in partial operation, So there is

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<v Speaker 1>a big impact, and that's why you're seeing sore and gasoline,

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<v Speaker 1>diesel and jet fuel prices. Will you see any changes

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<v Speaker 1>in the way that the refinery or energy industry does

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<v Speaker 1>business or protects its assets after this hurricane. Well, it's

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<v Speaker 1>very difficult to protect yourself from four and a half

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<v Speaker 1>feet of rain. So, uh, you know, they may look

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<v Speaker 1>at raising their electrical pumps, you know, to a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit higher, a couple of three or four feet off

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<v Speaker 1>the ground, but I don't think as a practical matter,

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<v Speaker 1>they're going to be able to do much unless they're

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<v Speaker 1>able to build dikes around the refineries to keep the

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<v Speaker 1>water out. Well, any good luck getting home. I'm sure

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to be a trying expedition and even once

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<v Speaker 1>you get there, just getting to your home might be

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<v Speaker 1>quite adventure. Yeah, yeah, thank you very much. I appreciate it. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>all our best. Andy Lippo is president of Lippout Oil Associates,

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<v Speaker 1>which is based in Houston, but he is marooned here

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<v Speaker 1>in New York City. Uh. There could be worse places

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<v Speaker 1>to be marooned, but we really wish you all the

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<v Speaker 1>best getting back and getting back to normal in the area.

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<v Speaker 1>Jared Kushner, Donald Trump's president, Donald Trump's son in law

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<v Speaker 1>and top advisor. Uh, he wakes up each morning to

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<v Speaker 1>a growing problem, and here tell us what that problem

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<v Speaker 1>is and the extent to which that problem seems to be.

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<v Speaker 1>Deevil him is our own reporter for Bloomberg Business Week,

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<v Speaker 1>David Kochanski and David, thanks very much for being with us.

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<v Speaker 1>Can you describe for people, maybe they're not familiar with

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<v Speaker 1>Jared Kushner's family business, what exactly does his family do,

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<v Speaker 1>how did it get into the real estate business, and

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<v Speaker 1>what kind of issues are they facing. Um. The Christiers

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<v Speaker 1>have been a real estate family for several generation. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>Jared's grandparents, who are Holocaust survivors, started a small construction company.

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<v Speaker 1>His dad took over the company in the eighties when

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<v Speaker 1>they had about four thousand apartments, and by the two thousands,

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<v Speaker 1>early two thousands, they had twenty five thousand apartments, mostly

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<v Speaker 1>in the suburbs. UM. In two thousand and seven when Jared,

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<v Speaker 1>shortly after Jared had kind of taken control of the company,

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<v Speaker 1>they moved into New York real estate and they bought

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<v Speaker 1>a tower at six sixty six Fifth Avenue. They bought

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<v Speaker 1>it at the height of the market, paid a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of money, took on a lot of debt, and have

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<v Speaker 1>been struggling with that asset ever since. They paid one

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollars correct and that was a new record. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>there was a record for any building in the US

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<v Speaker 1>at the time. UM. It was highly leveraged UM and

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<v Speaker 1>in order to make it work UM they had to

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<v Speaker 1>take on a lot of debt. They had to sell

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<v Speaker 1>some the most expensive assets. There's some retail on the

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<v Speaker 1>lower floors of it that was profitable, but they had

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<v Speaker 1>to sell that off. They had to refinance and kind

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<v Speaker 1>of turnover of the rest of the building to Tornado,

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<v Speaker 1>the big, very profitable real estate company. UM. Now with

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<v Speaker 1>the debt is coming to UM the motage that we

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<v Speaker 1>is do in en They've only been paying interest so far.

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<v Speaker 1>They got to figure out a way to make this

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<v Speaker 1>building work. And as of now there's some quarters where

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<v Speaker 1>it is not profitable, so refinancing it is going to

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<v Speaker 1>be difficult when it's not turning a profit. They've been

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<v Speaker 1>searching the globe trying to raise money and get foreign

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<v Speaker 1>investment to profit up. And that's what our story is about,

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<v Speaker 1>right And and part of the story was the complications

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<v Speaker 1>that come along with looking for international financing when you

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<v Speaker 1>are the son in law of the president of the

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<v Speaker 1>United States. Correct, And that's sort of becoming somewhat of

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<v Speaker 1>an obstacle as well as an advantage. Yes, And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>in January, Jared Krishner UM divested of his interest in

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<v Speaker 1>the company. He try for the company to other family members,

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<v Speaker 1>so he technically is not involved in it. UM, But

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<v Speaker 1>because he's a top advisor to the president, there are

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of concerns about potential conflicts of interest and

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<v Speaker 1>UM we laid out in the story for the first

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<v Speaker 1>time that there were a sovereign wealth fund in South

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<v Speaker 1>Korea that he and his father had met with to

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<v Speaker 1>ask for investments during this campaign in sixteen and Donald

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<v Speaker 1>Trump was making his way to the White House. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>there's a Saudi investor who in the family had preliminary

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<v Speaker 1>talks with that had not been mentioned before. UM. And

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<v Speaker 1>what we saw in our reporting is that UM, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>until fifteen or so, they had a hard time getting

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<v Speaker 1>anyone to UM show interests and many times not even

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<v Speaker 1>take meetings with them. As Donald Trump rose UM and

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<v Speaker 1>Jared's prominence rose, there a lot of people interested UM

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<v Speaker 1>including some UH. One that has been reported before was

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<v Speaker 1>a bad the Chinese corporation that's tightly tied closely to

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<v Speaker 1>the government. UM. The Krishners UH after the election came

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<v Speaker 1>to a deal where an Bang was going to bail

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<v Speaker 1>them out. UM. After the deal, the details of that

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<v Speaker 1>deal came public. That fell apart. UM. But what we

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<v Speaker 1>found in our reporting is that there's a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>other places they've been looking for money and they still

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<v Speaker 1>at this point have not figured out a solution to

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<v Speaker 1>the building. Well, David and your reporting, what kind of

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<v Speaker 1>options are there for for the Kushner real estate company. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>you know Laurent Morale who we interviewed as the president

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<v Speaker 1>of Krishner Companies. He said that they have several options.

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<v Speaker 1>The first is this what was called the Mega project

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<v Speaker 1>is grand UM this grand vision where they would knock

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<v Speaker 1>down the building UM and build a gigantic eight story

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<v Speaker 1>tower with five floors of retail, something that looked like

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<v Speaker 1>oz or Abu Dhabi. That's there has been drawings of it,

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<v Speaker 1>UM and it's this glittering thing, but it would be

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<v Speaker 1>so astronomically expensive. UM. A lot of you know, most

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<v Speaker 1>of the investors, as they've approached, are hesitant to get

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<v Speaker 1>involved because they think that the Manhattan real estate market

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<v Speaker 1>and retail market can't sustain the kind of numbers that

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<v Speaker 1>we take to build something that big. So that's the

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<v Speaker 1>big one. And Mr Rowley told us that they still

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<v Speaker 1>are out there trying to do that. If it is not,

0:13:15.320 --> 0:13:17.280
<v Speaker 1>If they can't get that, they say that they'll have

0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:19.440
<v Speaker 1>to try to bring other investors and maybe work the

0:13:19.440 --> 0:13:23.280
<v Speaker 1>building out as UM an office building. But it has

0:13:23.320 --> 0:13:26.080
<v Speaker 1>proven so far. UM. You know, it's been tough for

0:13:26.080 --> 0:13:28.440
<v Speaker 1>them to do it because it's an older building. The

0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:32.080
<v Speaker 1>layout of the building makes it kind of tough to UM.

0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:34.760
<v Speaker 1>It's not like a modern airy building it has. It

0:13:34.840 --> 0:13:37.800
<v Speaker 1>has tight columns and kind of lower ceilings and not

0:13:37.920 --> 0:13:41.720
<v Speaker 1>the kind of light and spacious field that modern offices

0:13:42.040 --> 0:13:45.800
<v Speaker 1>UM businesses want to pay top dollar for. And there's

0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:48.760
<v Speaker 1>also been a change in the Manhattan real estate market.

0:13:48.800 --> 0:13:52.960
<v Speaker 1>I mean Midtown where they are at fifty umty three

0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:56.560
<v Speaker 1>and fifth is not as hot a market as as

0:13:56.600 --> 0:13:57.880
<v Speaker 1>it has been in the past, and there's a lot

0:13:57.920 --> 0:14:00.360
<v Speaker 1>of development going out on the West Side and UM,

0:14:00.440 --> 0:14:02.760
<v Speaker 1>so to get the kind of rent that they would

0:14:02.760 --> 0:14:05.840
<v Speaker 1>need to make that building work, UM will be a challenge,

0:14:05.840 --> 0:14:07.880
<v Speaker 1>and if they can't get the mega project built, it

0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:10.640
<v Speaker 1>probably would involve some kind of renovation that would be difficult,

0:14:11.160 --> 0:14:15.840
<v Speaker 1>um and expensive to carry off. Real quick twenty seconds.

0:14:15.840 --> 0:14:19.360
<v Speaker 1>Have you heard a response from the Kushner family. We

0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:21.200
<v Speaker 1>have not heard from the Christian family. We spoke to

0:14:21.280 --> 0:14:24.440
<v Speaker 1>them extensively and went over all the details of it beforehand,

0:14:24.480 --> 0:14:27.840
<v Speaker 1>and um, so we have they've they've got haven't said

0:14:27.840 --> 0:14:29.800
<v Speaker 1>anything about it at this point. Well, thank you so

0:14:29.880 --> 0:14:32.960
<v Speaker 1>much for joining us and for the interesting reporting on

0:14:33.160 --> 0:14:37.240
<v Speaker 1>this building. Six sixty six Park Avenue and UH one

0:14:37.280 --> 0:14:39.120
<v Speaker 1>point eight billion dollars is a lot of money for

0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:43.160
<v Speaker 1>a building right now. David COCHINESK Cochinski, thank you so

0:14:43.200 --> 0:14:45.440
<v Speaker 1>much for joining us. He's a reporter for Bloomberg Business

0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:49.120
<v Speaker 1>Week who wrote this story, which is truly fabulous. You

0:14:49.120 --> 0:14:52.840
<v Speaker 1>should definitely read it in the latest edition of this

0:14:52.920 --> 0:15:07.440
<v Speaker 1>This week, we hear a lot about cyber crimes, about

0:15:07.440 --> 0:15:10.680
<v Speaker 1>cyber security. We've heard rumors that perhaps that had something

0:15:10.720 --> 0:15:14.240
<v Speaker 1>to do with the crash UH in Southeast Asia. We've

0:15:14.240 --> 0:15:17.880
<v Speaker 1>heard about what the hacking that went on with the

0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:22.120
<v Speaker 1>election and around that with the emails. Now I want

0:15:22.160 --> 0:15:25.320
<v Speaker 1>to talk about the areas that are least protected that

0:15:25.400 --> 0:15:29.480
<v Speaker 1>perhaps will become a little bit more protected against these

0:15:29.600 --> 0:15:31.600
<v Speaker 1>cyber attacks going forward. I want to bring in I'm

0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:34.640
<v Speaker 1>none of our lev He is president of Checkpoints Software,

0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:37.040
<v Speaker 1>which is based in Tel Aviv, but he joins us

0:15:37.040 --> 0:15:39.560
<v Speaker 1>here in our Bloomberg eleven three oh studios. I'm not.

0:15:39.720 --> 0:15:41.720
<v Speaker 1>Can you give us a sense of where you think

0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:46.400
<v Speaker 1>the biggest vulnerability remains. Well, I think the biggest vulnerability

0:15:46.440 --> 0:15:49.960
<v Speaker 1>is actually where the most critical part of our lives states,

0:15:50.000 --> 0:15:54.640
<v Speaker 1>which is our critical infrastructure, our electricity, water, are the

0:15:54.760 --> 0:15:57.640
<v Speaker 1>very basic things that we do today in our lives,

0:15:57.760 --> 0:16:00.560
<v Speaker 1>and the cows it will happen in those critical infrastructure

0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:05.360
<v Speaker 1>would be infected. And those environments are much more conservative.

0:16:05.880 --> 0:16:08.840
<v Speaker 1>Their approach there is if it's not broken, don't fix it.

0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:11.680
<v Speaker 1>And I think they have to get the stand out

0:16:11.680 --> 0:16:14.600
<v Speaker 1>of the rest of the industry for this critical infrastructure.

0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:16.120
<v Speaker 1>But you know a lot of people think about that

0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:21.920
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure is being perhaps less connected then others and therefore

0:16:22.280 --> 0:16:25.320
<v Speaker 1>more immune to some of the cyber attacks. Yes, but

0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:28.560
<v Speaker 1>surprisingly or not, there's this trend that I can tell

0:16:28.600 --> 0:16:32.120
<v Speaker 1>you that networks tend to connect every networks tend to

0:16:32.120 --> 0:16:34.760
<v Speaker 1>connect to others, and I think Internet changed that because

0:16:35.000 --> 0:16:38.440
<v Speaker 1>people are connecting all the time. Network are connecting all

0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:41.800
<v Speaker 1>the time, and I've seen different environment networks are connected.

0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:44.640
<v Speaker 1>And not only that. I don't know if you remember

0:16:44.920 --> 0:16:46.880
<v Speaker 1>there was a big attack on I around many years ago.

0:16:47.120 --> 0:16:49.920
<v Speaker 1>It was totally unconnected network, but with a USB or

0:16:49.920 --> 0:16:53.440
<v Speaker 1>can get it into the network and then everything block inside.

0:16:53.480 --> 0:16:57.960
<v Speaker 1>So those networks are are very vulnerable. And I believe

0:16:58.040 --> 0:17:00.600
<v Speaker 1>that when I'm looking at overall happening the world, most

0:17:00.640 --> 0:17:04.119
<v Speaker 1>of the countries actually have cyber warrior not to defend,

0:17:04.160 --> 0:17:07.679
<v Speaker 1>but to offend, and they will go after those environment.

0:17:07.720 --> 0:17:09.879
<v Speaker 1>They will not go after a Google of Facebook. They

0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:13.720
<v Speaker 1>will go to critical infrastructure. You know. One of the

0:17:13.800 --> 0:17:16.560
<v Speaker 1>things that has been in the news of these accidents

0:17:16.600 --> 0:17:19.399
<v Speaker 1>that the U. S. Navy, as Lisa alluded to, have

0:17:19.520 --> 0:17:22.720
<v Speaker 1>been involved in the most recent one involves the destroyer

0:17:22.760 --> 0:17:26.600
<v Speaker 1>the U S. S. John McCain, this was an accident

0:17:26.600 --> 0:17:30.280
<v Speaker 1>with the tanker near Singapore, and I one if you

0:17:30.280 --> 0:17:32.600
<v Speaker 1>could offer your thoughts on do you believe that there

0:17:32.720 --> 0:17:37.919
<v Speaker 1>was any involvement from electronic cyber attacks in any of

0:17:37.960 --> 0:17:40.840
<v Speaker 1>these To be fair, I don't have any details. Of course,

0:17:40.880 --> 0:17:43.719
<v Speaker 1>I'm listening like you, So I don't have anything. I'm

0:17:43.760 --> 0:17:47.600
<v Speaker 1>just saying that all of those environments controlled by computers,

0:17:48.520 --> 0:17:51.959
<v Speaker 1>and all of those computers can be accessed in different ways.

0:17:52.359 --> 0:17:54.960
<v Speaker 1>So if you're asking possibility like that exists, the answer

0:17:55.040 --> 0:17:57.520
<v Speaker 1>is yes, if that's what's really happening, I really don't know,

0:17:57.560 --> 0:17:59.720
<v Speaker 1>because there I mean, there have been reports in the past.

0:17:59.760 --> 0:18:04.560
<v Speaker 1>I mean, for example, in two thousand thirteen, graduate students

0:18:04.560 --> 0:18:07.600
<v Speaker 1>were able to break into the GPS system of a

0:18:07.680 --> 0:18:12.760
<v Speaker 1>yacht and actually directed it way. Of course, that's possible

0:18:13.080 --> 0:18:15.880
<v Speaker 1>with just about any network. You're saying, I can tell

0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:20.040
<v Speaker 1>you basically that every system can be hacked, from your

0:18:21.440 --> 0:18:25.879
<v Speaker 1>robot that clean your house to electricity system everywhere, So

0:18:26.280 --> 0:18:29.760
<v Speaker 1>every system can be hacked. Well, with that uplifting idea,

0:18:30.160 --> 0:18:33.840
<v Speaker 1>what it could be done to prevent this? And are

0:18:34.240 --> 0:18:38.720
<v Speaker 1>big countries doing what's necessary? I think that the private

0:18:38.760 --> 0:18:43.560
<v Speaker 1>sector is actually doing much more and he's investing much more. Um.

0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:47.200
<v Speaker 1>The countries, for different reasons, are way behind. They start

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:50.320
<v Speaker 1>with regulation, they have good regulation systems, and they start

0:18:50.320 --> 0:18:54.160
<v Speaker 1>building like security operating systems, but they don't have the fundamentals.

0:18:54.400 --> 0:18:58.040
<v Speaker 1>Think for a second, the allegory for physical environment. You

0:18:58.119 --> 0:19:02.440
<v Speaker 1>have policemen. You have military, you have sheriffs that when

0:19:02.480 --> 0:19:04.439
<v Speaker 1>there is an incident, you just send those forces and

0:19:04.440 --> 0:19:07.280
<v Speaker 1>they block it. But what happened when there's cyber attack

0:19:07.320 --> 0:19:11.280
<v Speaker 1>in in the US you don't have those soldiers. And

0:19:11.280 --> 0:19:13.520
<v Speaker 1>I think the next evolution that can't will have to

0:19:13.640 --> 0:19:16.000
<v Speaker 1>head that they will have to have those kind of

0:19:16.520 --> 0:19:20.320
<v Speaker 1>cyber sniffer's friend around the network. When they know that

0:19:20.359 --> 0:19:22.960
<v Speaker 1>it's an attack, they can actually activate them and block

0:19:23.080 --> 0:19:25.000
<v Speaker 1>those attacks. And they have to do that, you know.

0:19:25.080 --> 0:19:28.240
<v Speaker 1>I have to say that this raises a little bit

0:19:28.240 --> 0:19:32.520
<v Speaker 1>of concern when I hear about having cyber police officers

0:19:32.560 --> 0:19:35.280
<v Speaker 1>but of the state, because it sort of brings to

0:19:35.400 --> 0:19:39.320
<v Speaker 1>mind a very nineteen eighty four type of situation that

0:19:39.560 --> 0:19:43.520
<v Speaker 1>is trying to curtail people's First Amendment rights and interfering

0:19:43.560 --> 0:19:47.120
<v Speaker 1>with their daily lives, spying on them. How can how

0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:52.040
<v Speaker 1>can there be sort of some resolution to those tensions? Well,

0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:56.840
<v Speaker 1>it's a very complex, uh questions, and a complex subject

0:19:57.720 --> 0:20:00.119
<v Speaker 1>by any means. I think the ideas should not be

0:20:00.320 --> 0:20:03.119
<v Speaker 1>with having a big brother watching on you, uh, in

0:20:03.200 --> 0:20:07.160
<v Speaker 1>any way. I just think that it's a matter of balance.

0:20:07.280 --> 0:20:09.640
<v Speaker 1>It's the same way that you're going to an airport

0:20:09.680 --> 0:20:11.720
<v Speaker 1>and you need to take your shoes off, or when

0:20:11.720 --> 0:20:13.240
<v Speaker 1>you go to the street and there is a policeman

0:20:13.320 --> 0:20:15.760
<v Speaker 1>over there, you you accepted that, and we should accept

0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:19.480
<v Speaker 1>the fact that somebody will help us by protecting us,

0:20:19.480 --> 0:20:21.640
<v Speaker 1>not by watching on us, by any means, and that

0:20:21.680 --> 0:20:26.439
<v Speaker 1>have to be very clearly prevented and regulated. But there

0:20:26.440 --> 0:20:29.679
<v Speaker 1>should be a case when I already knows about attack,

0:20:30.040 --> 0:20:33.200
<v Speaker 1>then I can actually stop it, which today it's not happening.

0:20:34.080 --> 0:20:36.560
<v Speaker 1>You've been quoted as saying that one of the rules

0:20:36.640 --> 0:20:39.679
<v Speaker 1>or one of the secrets of being a CEO is

0:20:40.040 --> 0:20:42.640
<v Speaker 1>don't try to be loved. Yeah, what does that mean

0:20:43.480 --> 0:20:46.760
<v Speaker 1>first time? The president of the CEO of Checkpoint. Ah,

0:20:46.880 --> 0:20:49.960
<v Speaker 1>it's meant that you should not be popular just doing

0:20:49.960 --> 0:20:52.680
<v Speaker 1>things because the market is asking for that, or because

0:20:53.040 --> 0:20:55.880
<v Speaker 1>there's a pushback from from you know, Wall Street to say,

0:20:55.920 --> 0:20:57.360
<v Speaker 1>hey you have to do that. I think you need

0:20:57.400 --> 0:21:00.080
<v Speaker 1>to stick to your DNA and people will respect you

0:21:00.160 --> 0:21:02.800
<v Speaker 1>for that. I think people that are trying just to

0:21:02.840 --> 0:21:06.600
<v Speaker 1>do things because there is a fashion, uh like, hey,

0:21:06.680 --> 0:21:10.120
<v Speaker 1>I have to now grow my business twice and I

0:21:10.160 --> 0:21:12.879
<v Speaker 1>just became i mean not profitable and stuff like that.

0:21:12.920 --> 0:21:14.879
<v Speaker 1>So so you need to make sure that you have

0:21:14.920 --> 0:21:17.600
<v Speaker 1>a principle upon you build your business and you manage

0:21:17.600 --> 0:21:21.000
<v Speaker 1>your business and stick to them. That's much more important

0:21:21.080 --> 0:21:23.800
<v Speaker 1>than just to do what everybody asks you to do. Well,

0:21:23.840 --> 0:21:26.280
<v Speaker 1>given that and the fact that you're in the US,

0:21:26.359 --> 0:21:30.439
<v Speaker 1>I imagine you're you're speaking with potential clients, and I'm wondering, Uh,

0:21:30.480 --> 0:21:34.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, even though the government is less perhaps advanced

0:21:34.240 --> 0:21:37.440
<v Speaker 1>in their attempts to regulate some of these cyber attacks,

0:21:38.240 --> 0:21:41.399
<v Speaker 1>are they receptive to the suggestion that they need to

0:21:41.440 --> 0:21:44.240
<v Speaker 1>have some kind of task force, police force, some way

0:21:44.240 --> 0:21:47.439
<v Speaker 1>to regulate. Uh, that's better than what Yes, it's happening

0:21:47.440 --> 0:21:49.800
<v Speaker 1>in the U S. It's happening in other countries. UM.

0:21:49.840 --> 0:21:52.920
<v Speaker 1>I think US overall administration is very complex and much

0:21:52.960 --> 0:21:56.040
<v Speaker 1>more difficult than we We are actually dealing with many

0:21:56.359 --> 0:22:00.119
<v Speaker 1>smaller countries which things are simpler to do. But and

0:22:00.200 --> 0:22:02.679
<v Speaker 1>government are accepting the fact that they need to build

0:22:02.720 --> 0:22:07.359
<v Speaker 1>systems that allow them to deal with cyber attack like

0:22:07.480 --> 0:22:10.040
<v Speaker 1>they do for physical attacks. So they understand that and

0:22:10.080 --> 0:22:12.480
<v Speaker 1>they're evolving on that. The same things happened also in

0:22:12.520 --> 0:22:14.280
<v Speaker 1>the U S. It's a bit slower, but it's happening

0:22:14.280 --> 0:22:16.720
<v Speaker 1>here as well. Thanks for spending time with us and

0:22:16.760 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 1>coming by. I'm Non bar lev Is, the president of

0:22:19.600 --> 0:22:22.720
<v Speaker 1>Checkpoint Software. He is an expert in the world of

0:22:22.760 --> 0:22:28.040
<v Speaker 1>cybersecurity and also in protecting your network against malware and

0:22:28.080 --> 0:22:42.080
<v Speaker 1>other cyber attacks. Let's turn our attention now to Brexit

0:22:42.160 --> 0:22:45.479
<v Speaker 1>and Brexit negotiations. Joining us Ed Ludlow he is our

0:22:45.640 --> 0:22:48.440
<v Speaker 1>UK correspondent for Bloomberg. He joins us here in our

0:22:48.480 --> 0:22:51.680
<v Speaker 1>eleven three oh studios. Ed, thanks for being here. Maybe

0:22:51.760 --> 0:22:54.199
<v Speaker 1>just bring everyone up to date on are there actually

0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:57.040
<v Speaker 1>negotiations on Brexit? Are they actually taking place and talking

0:22:57.080 --> 0:22:59.560
<v Speaker 1>about things that mean things? So I say where we

0:22:59.600 --> 0:23:02.560
<v Speaker 1>are now this afternoon. We just finished the third formal

0:23:02.680 --> 0:23:06.880
<v Speaker 1>round of negotiations. Okay. One of the big questions has

0:23:06.960 --> 0:23:10.520
<v Speaker 1>been the pace of negotiations, how often they're meeting, because

0:23:10.520 --> 0:23:12.680
<v Speaker 1>it's all done behind closed doors. This is how it works.

0:23:12.920 --> 0:23:15.440
<v Speaker 1>David Davis, the UK Bracklet Secretary, rocks up on the

0:23:15.480 --> 0:23:20.000
<v Speaker 1>Monday's Brussels. He makes a statement alongside his EU counterpart Barnier,

0:23:20.400 --> 0:23:22.800
<v Speaker 1>then closed doors for a few days, they come back

0:23:22.840 --> 0:23:25.399
<v Speaker 1>and they update on progress. And this is the point

0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:27.919
<v Speaker 1>after three rounds. From what we've heard today at that

0:23:27.920 --> 0:23:31.960
<v Speaker 1>press conference, there isn't any progress, and there's disagreement between

0:23:31.960 --> 0:23:34.680
<v Speaker 1>the two on their position on what you know, on

0:23:34.720 --> 0:23:38.359
<v Speaker 1>what each sees as it's a tug of war, you know.

0:23:38.520 --> 0:23:40.920
<v Speaker 1>Britain say, you know, we want flexibility from you, the

0:23:40.960 --> 0:23:44.560
<v Speaker 1>European Union, we want flexibility, and the European Unions say back,

0:23:44.680 --> 0:23:46.960
<v Speaker 1>we want progress from you. We want evidence that you've

0:23:47.000 --> 0:23:50.560
<v Speaker 1>thought about these points of the divorce. And so earlier today,

0:23:50.760 --> 0:23:53.760
<v Speaker 1>look at the language that Mischieur Bannier was using. He

0:23:53.840 --> 0:23:56.880
<v Speaker 1>was saying sufficient progress. This is like the EU buzzword

0:23:56.960 --> 0:24:01.240
<v Speaker 1>sufficient progress. And it's all about when they can finish

0:24:01.280 --> 0:24:04.480
<v Speaker 1>the divorce talks and move on to trade talks. That's

0:24:04.520 --> 0:24:06.960
<v Speaker 1>the key point here, and there's a frustration from both

0:24:07.000 --> 0:24:09.360
<v Speaker 1>sides and for all of us waiting there sitting watching

0:24:09.359 --> 0:24:11.480
<v Speaker 1>for the updates. So in other words, there's no progress

0:24:11.480 --> 0:24:16.320
<v Speaker 1>being made. So remember the deadline okay in March. Okay,

0:24:16.400 --> 0:24:20.240
<v Speaker 1>And what we're saying, what we're seeing is Britain wants

0:24:20.280 --> 0:24:22.960
<v Speaker 1>to move quickly on to trade negotiations. Davis was saying

0:24:22.960 --> 0:24:26.040
<v Speaker 1>the press conference earlier. They are They're inexplicable, they're one

0:24:26.080 --> 0:24:29.040
<v Speaker 1>and the same. You have to negotiate divorce and trade

0:24:29.040 --> 0:24:31.320
<v Speaker 1>at the same time. What the EU are saying is

0:24:31.320 --> 0:24:34.840
<v Speaker 1>that we refuse to move on to trade until you

0:24:34.920 --> 0:24:37.520
<v Speaker 1>have proved that you're going to meet your financial obligations.

0:24:37.560 --> 0:24:39.360
<v Speaker 1>I'll come onto that in a second, that you've got

0:24:39.400 --> 0:24:41.520
<v Speaker 1>your citizens right issue sourced out, and that you've got

0:24:41.520 --> 0:24:44.280
<v Speaker 1>a solution to the border between Northern Ireland and the

0:24:44.280 --> 0:24:47.680
<v Speaker 1>Republic of Ireland. Now, people familiar matter we spoke to

0:24:47.720 --> 0:24:50.400
<v Speaker 1>earlier today said actually, what the Brits have been doing

0:24:50.400 --> 0:24:53.000
<v Speaker 1>in these sessions is trying to pick holes in the

0:24:53.040 --> 0:24:55.600
<v Speaker 1>e u s position on the financial bill, rather than

0:24:55.640 --> 0:24:58.399
<v Speaker 1>saying what they're willing to pay. So you know, you

0:24:58.440 --> 0:25:01.320
<v Speaker 1>want them to sess the financial bill, their financial obligations.

0:25:01.480 --> 0:25:03.040
<v Speaker 1>They're saying this is how much we think it is,

0:25:03.320 --> 0:25:05.080
<v Speaker 1>rather than Britain say well, actually, this is how much

0:25:05.160 --> 0:25:07.520
<v Speaker 1>we're willing to pay. They've been picking holes in the

0:25:07.520 --> 0:25:10.199
<v Speaker 1>EU's number. That's pretty that's pretty bad. That's that's not

0:25:10.280 --> 0:25:13.000
<v Speaker 1>a good sign. That sort of signifies that there's quite

0:25:13.000 --> 0:25:14.879
<v Speaker 1>a ways to go before people kind of get to

0:25:14.880 --> 0:25:18.359
<v Speaker 1>an acceptance. Where are markets pricing all this? I mean,

0:25:18.400 --> 0:25:22.960
<v Speaker 1>how are traders sort of reflecting the lack of agreement

0:25:23.080 --> 0:25:26.160
<v Speaker 1>here in prices and what assets? So you looking at particular. Yeah,

0:25:26.160 --> 0:25:29.400
<v Speaker 1>we speaking to Neil Jones of Miszoojo this morning, who's

0:25:29.400 --> 0:25:31.960
<v Speaker 1>head of sales side, and he was basically saying that

0:25:32.160 --> 0:25:35.800
<v Speaker 1>Sterling is now a political currency and that there aren't

0:25:35.800 --> 0:25:38.080
<v Speaker 1>the sharp, volatile moves that we've seen, but you see

0:25:38.119 --> 0:25:41.399
<v Speaker 1>weakness as investors look at the commentary coming out of

0:25:41.440 --> 0:25:44.360
<v Speaker 1>the discussions when the two men are speaking Brussels. Investors

0:25:44.359 --> 0:25:46.320
<v Speaker 1>are watching the wait to see how we've got progress.

0:25:46.400 --> 0:25:51.200
<v Speaker 1>No Sterling weaker throughout the morning. Now you've also got

0:25:51.400 --> 0:25:54.880
<v Speaker 1>the other angle, which is growth in the UK. And

0:25:55.320 --> 0:25:58.040
<v Speaker 1>when you look at the six months that followed Brexit,

0:25:58.400 --> 0:26:02.119
<v Speaker 1>you know the UK economy was surprisingly resilient if you

0:26:02.119 --> 0:26:04.919
<v Speaker 1>look at the data. But what we're seeing now is

0:26:04.960 --> 0:26:10.159
<v Speaker 1>a different picture. Business investment is down significantly because those exporters,

0:26:10.160 --> 0:26:13.320
<v Speaker 1>these UK exporters, what's their biggest market is the European Union.

0:26:13.560 --> 0:26:16.400
<v Speaker 1>They don't know what the relationship with that market will

0:26:16.440 --> 0:26:19.399
<v Speaker 1>be when the when Brexit comes to fruition, and so

0:26:19.440 --> 0:26:23.119
<v Speaker 1>they're not in boosting their volumes. But Neil Jones was

0:26:23.160 --> 0:26:25.480
<v Speaker 1>telling me this morning that he thinks he'll see other

0:26:25.600 --> 0:26:29.480
<v Speaker 1>UK assets start to reflect that. The smaller MidCap companies

0:26:29.600 --> 0:26:32.719
<v Speaker 1>right where the EU is their biggest market and they

0:26:32.760 --> 0:26:37.159
<v Speaker 1>are sensitive to Sterling and they're sensitive to that trade relationship.

0:26:37.359 --> 0:26:39.520
<v Speaker 1>But mostly we're seeing it in this what he calls

0:26:39.560 --> 0:26:43.159
<v Speaker 1>the political currency GDP. Yeah, I'm trying to think of

0:26:43.320 --> 0:26:45.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, which, which area you can point to that

0:26:45.480 --> 0:26:49.760
<v Speaker 1>might even lead to some success, But it's a challenge. Um, Europe,

0:26:49.840 --> 0:26:52.359
<v Speaker 1>the European Court of Justice, right, I mean the rules

0:26:52.359 --> 0:26:57.720
<v Speaker 1>and regulations that supposedly government relationships between countries and so on. Um,

0:26:57.760 --> 0:27:00.440
<v Speaker 1>what happened? What? What are the thought? So? I mean

0:27:01.000 --> 0:27:04.600
<v Speaker 1>is there any transitional program even being put into place?

0:27:05.000 --> 0:27:10.000
<v Speaker 1>So there's the two sides are odds. So basically consider

0:27:10.080 --> 0:27:13.200
<v Speaker 1>Brexit day the deadline day itself. Britain's position is that

0:27:13.240 --> 0:27:16.399
<v Speaker 1>the European Court of Justice can have jurisdiction on matters

0:27:16.440 --> 0:27:19.560
<v Speaker 1>that are already underway, cases already underway up until and

0:27:19.640 --> 0:27:23.360
<v Speaker 1>including that day, Brexit deadline day. But after that they

0:27:23.400 --> 0:27:26.200
<v Speaker 1>say that the European Court of Justice should not have

0:27:26.320 --> 0:27:30.600
<v Speaker 1>any jurisdiction of any business matters, civil matters Here in

0:27:30.640 --> 0:27:33.520
<v Speaker 1>the UK, the EU are saying that the e c

0:27:33.720 --> 0:27:36.960
<v Speaker 1>J should be able to deal with cases after Brexit

0:27:37.320 --> 0:27:40.240
<v Speaker 1>where you know they have they had an existing mandate

0:27:40.320 --> 0:27:43.000
<v Speaker 1>to do so in civil rights cases and in other

0:27:43.040 --> 0:27:45.919
<v Speaker 1>business dealings, so that there are odds there. What is

0:27:45.920 --> 0:27:47.920
<v Speaker 1>the compromise is that one says that the u c

0:27:48.080 --> 0:27:50.639
<v Speaker 1>J should the other says it shouldn't. Is it that

0:27:50.680 --> 0:27:52.680
<v Speaker 1>they find areas of commonality where the u c J

0:27:52.840 --> 0:27:57.520
<v Speaker 1>can continue? There are There is a court that adjudicates

0:27:58.000 --> 0:28:01.879
<v Speaker 1>the relationship between the EU and non EU countries, for

0:28:01.960 --> 0:28:06.399
<v Speaker 1>example like Norway and Switzerland, but that has limited power.

0:28:06.480 --> 0:28:09.040
<v Speaker 1>And the question is whether Britain can accept some kind

0:28:09.080 --> 0:28:11.919
<v Speaker 1>of transitional court like that ed You're born and bred

0:28:12.080 --> 0:28:15.879
<v Speaker 1>London night and how has how has the environment changed

0:28:16.040 --> 0:28:20.200
<v Speaker 1>since the Brexit vote? It is different. London is a

0:28:20.240 --> 0:28:23.840
<v Speaker 1>multicultural city, as anyone that will have been knows. And

0:28:24.000 --> 0:28:26.160
<v Speaker 1>one thing you know I was talking to people about

0:28:26.160 --> 0:28:31.080
<v Speaker 1>earlier is the issue of students. Okay, now people underestimate

0:28:31.359 --> 0:28:34.199
<v Speaker 1>the vast numbers of international students that come into London,

0:28:34.520 --> 0:28:36.440
<v Speaker 1>many from the European Union. We have what is called

0:28:36.440 --> 0:28:39.720
<v Speaker 1>the Erasmus Scheme. It is a European Union funded scheme

0:28:39.760 --> 0:28:43.800
<v Speaker 1>whereby British and European Unions, students can come and travel

0:28:43.840 --> 0:28:47.680
<v Speaker 1>and study freely in the UK or vice versa. One

0:28:47.720 --> 0:28:50.320
<v Speaker 1>of the questions is what happens to that scheme. People

0:28:50.360 --> 0:28:53.360
<v Speaker 1>are putting off their decisions, just like businesses putting off investment.

0:28:53.640 --> 0:28:55.640
<v Speaker 1>People are putting off their decision to come to the UK.

0:28:56.120 --> 0:28:59.080
<v Speaker 1>It's changing people's perception and actually, you know, amongst I

0:28:59.120 --> 0:29:01.720
<v Speaker 1>don't want to talk about so an executive evidence, but

0:29:02.600 --> 0:29:05.000
<v Speaker 1>amongst young people that is a big thing. It changed

0:29:05.040 --> 0:29:08.040
<v Speaker 1>people's vision of Britain. Ed Ludlow thank you so much

0:29:08.080 --> 0:29:10.040
<v Speaker 1>for joining us. It's a pleasure to see you in person,

0:29:10.160 --> 0:29:12.280
<v Speaker 1>in the flesh in our New York offices. Ed Ludlow

0:29:12.600 --> 0:29:17.000
<v Speaker 1>is our UK correspondent for Bloomberg News based in London.

0:29:18.880 --> 0:29:21.440
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg P and L podcast.

0:29:21.760 --> 0:29:25.040
<v Speaker 1>You can subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts,

0:29:25.040 --> 0:29:28.959
<v Speaker 1>SoundCloud or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm Pim Fox.

0:29:29.080 --> 0:29:32.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm on Twitter at pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at

0:29:32.520 --> 0:29:35.560
<v Speaker 1>Lisa Abramo. It's one before the podcast. You can always

0:29:35.600 --> 0:29:37.600
<v Speaker 1>catch us worldwide on Bloomberg Radio.