WEBVTT - Michael Levy on Real Estate Finance

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<v Speaker 1>This is Mesters in Business with Very Results on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>This week on the podcast Yes Again, I have an

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<v Speaker 1>extra special guest. His name is Michael Levi. He has

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<v Speaker 1>a fascinating background in real estate, both from a finance

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<v Speaker 1>perspective as well as an investing and development perspective. He

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<v Speaker 1>is currently chief executive officer at Croll Holdings, the largest

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<v Speaker 1>builder of apartments in the United States. They've been around

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<v Speaker 1>for seventy five years and they have well over thirty

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollars in investments across twenty one local markets. If

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<v Speaker 1>you're interested in everything from apartment buildings, industrial space, warehouses,

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on in the world of office space, how

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<v Speaker 1>to invest in retail? Right, you would imagine retail is

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<v Speaker 1>a disaster, but it turns out certain types of retail

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<v Speaker 1>is doing really well while other types are lagging. The

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<v Speaker 1>same is true in office buildings. I think you will

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<v Speaker 1>find this to be a fascinating conversation. I know I did,

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<v Speaker 1>and so, with no further ado, my conversation with Crow

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<v Speaker 1>Holdings Michael Levy. I'm Barry Hults. You're listening to Masters

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<v Speaker 1>in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My extra special guest this

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<v Speaker 1>week is Michael Leviy. He is the CEO of Crow

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<v Speaker 1>Holdings and oversees all of their business activities. Crow runs

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<v Speaker 1>about thirty billion dollars in assets, investing in commercial real estate.

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<v Speaker 1>They have been around for more than seventy years and

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<v Speaker 1>operate in over twenty local markets in the United States. Previously,

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<v Speaker 1>Michael was Morgan Stanley's Chief operating officer for investment management

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<v Speaker 1>and a member of the firm's management committee. Comes to

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<v Speaker 1>us with bachelor's from n y U Stern School of

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<v Speaker 1>Business and a j d from Brooklyn Law School. Michael Levie,

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Bloomberg. Thanks Barry. It's great to be here.

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<v Speaker 1>It sounds like you are very much a New York kid,

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<v Speaker 1>with U, n y U and Brooklyn on on that resume.

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<v Speaker 1>I am. My grandparents settled from Russian into Brooklyn and

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<v Speaker 1>the nineteenteens, and my dad grew up there, and uh,

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<v Speaker 1>when we were little kids, moved this out to Long Island,

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<v Speaker 1>and and I was raised in Port Washington, and I

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<v Speaker 1>went to n y U. Was the best college I

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<v Speaker 1>got into, and one thing led to another, and I

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<v Speaker 1>spent most of my life here. So so let's talk

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit about your professional career. You started in

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<v Speaker 1>real estate investment banking. Was this mostly M and A

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<v Speaker 1>deals or refinancing or transactional what? What was that like? Sure? Um,

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<v Speaker 1>I came out of law school in n and uh

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<v Speaker 1>in Wall Street was recapitalizing the real estate industry, and

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<v Speaker 1>so I got dropped into the real estate group because

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<v Speaker 1>there was a lot of transact and flow and it

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<v Speaker 1>was equity offerings at that time, primarily I p O

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<v Speaker 1>s and secondary offerings. There was some M and A

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<v Speaker 1>activity that took place, but it was a wave of activity,

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<v Speaker 1>and as a young guy looking for opportunity, there was

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<v Speaker 1>a new deal a week, and so we worked really

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<v Speaker 1>really hard. But you get your chops early on by

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<v Speaker 1>working really really hard. So it was a great time.

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<v Speaker 1>Was there a prior interest in real estate or did

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<v Speaker 1>you just kind of stumble into whatever it was hot

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<v Speaker 1>at the moment? Absolutely not. I UM. When I was

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<v Speaker 1>going to law school, I went at night and I

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<v Speaker 1>worked during the day for the lawyers, and uh, most

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<v Speaker 1>of the lawyers I worked for said, you don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to do this, you know, you want to work on

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<v Speaker 1>the business side. Those guys have more fun and they

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<v Speaker 1>make more money. So UH, I talked my way into

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<v Speaker 1>a job and investment banking. I went into training and

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<v Speaker 1>uh they placed me where they saw fit and dropped

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<v Speaker 1>me into the real estate group and well well as

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<v Speaker 1>a recovering attorney myself. I could tell you those guys

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<v Speaker 1>were telling you that there's there's less tedium and more

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<v Speaker 1>fun on the business side because every deal, every transaction,

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<v Speaker 1>there is a framework that you learn, but each one

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<v Speaker 1>is specific and unique to those circumstances. Yeah, it was.

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<v Speaker 1>It was great fun. I loved and respect the law incredibly,

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<v Speaker 1>but it turned out to be a great decision. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>I can't can't agree with you. So, so how did

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<v Speaker 1>you end up at Morgan Stanley for almost two decades. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I started out at Prudential Securities and that's where I

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<v Speaker 1>worked while I went to law school, and they gave

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<v Speaker 1>me a chance in the business. Um, I had an

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<v Speaker 1>opportunity a couple of years in to work for Solomon Brothers,

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<v Speaker 1>and UH. At the time, you know, I knew that

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<v Speaker 1>there was a pecking order and investment banking and Prue

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<v Speaker 1>was great, UH and great people I worked for, but

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<v Speaker 1>I knew that Solomon was to step up, and so

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<v Speaker 1>I took the opportunity with Solomon Brothers. Well, very quickly

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<v Speaker 1>Solomon Brothers got gobbled up by Smith Barney, and very

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<v Speaker 1>quickly Smith Barney got gobbled up by City Bank, and uh.

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<v Speaker 1>I remember going into the headquarters and uh they were

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<v Speaker 1>selling me checking accounts. As I was walking into the

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<v Speaker 1>office one day, I said, I'm not quite sure this

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<v Speaker 1>is what I was hoping for. So uh, I was

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<v Speaker 1>lucky enough at the time to have an opportunity to

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<v Speaker 1>move to Morgan Stanley, and I took it. So Sally

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<v Speaker 1>ends up at City Prudential is now PIJAM, which is

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<v Speaker 1>a giant, giant operation worldwide. UM, and Morgan Stanley is

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<v Speaker 1>still one of the biggest investment banks in the world.

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<v Speaker 1>You were at one time chief operating officer of their

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<v Speaker 1>global Investment Management division. I'm assuming that is real estate focused.

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<v Speaker 1>That was not. That was the investment management division. The

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<v Speaker 1>first half of my career at Morgan Stanley was real

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<v Speaker 1>estate investment banking, and the second half of my career

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<v Speaker 1>transitioned into real estate investing, which transitioned into alternatives, which

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<v Speaker 1>transitioned into investment management more broadly. So, so you were

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<v Speaker 1>at Morgan Stanley. If I'm doing the math in my head,

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<v Speaker 1>right two thousand and eight throughout the crisis. So I

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<v Speaker 1>have to assume you eventually became an expert at restructuring

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<v Speaker 1>and all the fund that took place after the Great

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<v Speaker 1>Financial Crisis. Yeah, I I would describe it a little

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<v Speaker 1>as the in the in the land of the Blind,

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<v Speaker 1>the one eyed man is king. It was late two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand seven, and uh, the markets hadn't yet entirely cracked um,

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<v Speaker 1>and I had an assignment as an investment banker to

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<v Speaker 1>work for one of the country's largest pension funds who

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<v Speaker 1>was on the leading edge of bankruptcies and restructurings in

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<v Speaker 1>the real estate portfolio. And so I had a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of advisory work. And then once more once Morgan Stanley

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<v Speaker 1>is a firm in the winter of two thousand eight

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<v Speaker 1>hit the wall. Like many financial institutions, real estate was

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<v Speaker 1>a leading edge of that wall, and so I had

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<v Speaker 1>a chance to work with the firm on restructuring its

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<v Speaker 1>real estate holdings in the real estate business. That two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand and eight experience, How did it impact you and

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<v Speaker 1>what sort of lessons did you take from it going forward?

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<v Speaker 1>The most formative period of my career, without a doubt,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think most people you learn more from the

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<v Speaker 1>difficulties than you do from the success. UM. It was

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<v Speaker 1>a reminder of our inability to see the future. UM

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<v Speaker 1>first point. But within the core business of finance and

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<v Speaker 1>real estate, the first lesson was leverage. You know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>leverage that will kill you, and it will leverage. It's

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<v Speaker 1>leverage that will take you down. UM. There were other

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<v Speaker 1>things that I learned the people I had worked with

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<v Speaker 1>and the groups I had worked for, both as an

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<v Speaker 1>adviser as well as Morgan Stanley sought tremendous growth in

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<v Speaker 1>the early two thousand's growth without necessarily all of the

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<v Speaker 1>guard rails, the systems and the processes, and to manage

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<v Speaker 1>that unparalleled growth, and so between high levels of leverage

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<v Speaker 1>as well as growth for growth sakes without all of

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<v Speaker 1>the constraints around that growth, those two things together kind

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<v Speaker 1>of result in catastrophic events which occurred in two thousand

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<v Speaker 1>eight and two thousand nine. You know, if you're investing

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<v Speaker 1>your own capital with no leverage, the worst that happens

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<v Speaker 1>is the market gets cut in half and it's painful.

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<v Speaker 1>But if you're using leverage, you get margin holes and

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<v Speaker 1>you could be pretty easily wiped out. As we saw

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<v Speaker 1>time and again in oh eight or nine, right and

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<v Speaker 1>beyond sure, And that's where it comes to alignment and

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<v Speaker 1>the people that work you know, if if if they

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<v Speaker 1>have nothing but upside and they're not participating in the downside,

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<v Speaker 1>then the use of leverage. And so, whether you're an

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<v Speaker 1>employee of a large firm or you're managing a fund

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<v Speaker 1>or whatever position that you're in, being fully aligned with

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<v Speaker 1>investors is a great guard rail with respect to these

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<v Speaker 1>questions of the use of leverage, which which leads me

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<v Speaker 1>to the next obvious questions. So, how did you end

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<v Speaker 1>up at Crow Holdings from? Was it directly from Morgan Stanley?

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<v Speaker 1>It was? It was again. I was working from real

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<v Speaker 1>estate into alternatives into investment management broadly um and my

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<v Speaker 1>career was going well and I was doing interesting work.

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<v Speaker 1>But in two thousand and fourteen I met this really

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<v Speaker 1>interesting guy named Harlan Crow who was the patriarch of

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<v Speaker 1>the family and the son of the founder of the company,

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<v Speaker 1>and he was looking for someone to succeed him to

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<v Speaker 1>run the business. And I found him to be a

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<v Speaker 1>fascinating individual and a and a very kind, benevolent, interesting

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<v Speaker 1>human being. And we talked off and on for about

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<v Speaker 1>two years. And then in the summer of two thousand sixteen,

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<v Speaker 1>my wife and I went to spend some time with

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<v Speaker 1>Harlan and his family in the business. And we were

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<v Speaker 1>flying back from Dallas, Texas to New York and my

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<v Speaker 1>wife looks at me and she says, you need to

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<v Speaker 1>go do this, and uh, she knew what I knew,

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<v Speaker 1>which was it. It pulled at my heart. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>when you work at a firm like Morgan Stanley, or

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<v Speaker 1>you work on Wall Street, in any given year, there's

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<v Speaker 1>always someone knocking on your door. There's always an opportunity.

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<v Speaker 1>And I had always analyzed these opportunities. You know, I

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<v Speaker 1>made this much money, or I had this much authority,

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<v Speaker 1>or what would this title mean? And this was the

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<v Speaker 1>first time in my life that none of that mattered.

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<v Speaker 1>All that mattered was my heart pulled at me and said,

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<v Speaker 1>I want to work with these people. You want to

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<v Speaker 1>work do this work with these folks focusing on this topic. Correct,

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<v Speaker 1>That's that's really that's really interesting. Since then, in the

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<v Speaker 1>past day, cade you become very active within the commercial

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<v Speaker 1>real estate industry. You're a member of the Real Estate

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<v Speaker 1>Round Table, You're part of the policy Advisory Board at

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<v Speaker 1>the Fisher Center for Real Estate and Number and Economics

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<v Speaker 1>at Berkeley, which is not in Texas, California. You're on

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<v Speaker 1>the advisory board at the Institute for Real Estate Operating Companies.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell us a little bit about all of this extracurricular activity,

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<v Speaker 1>which I'm sure is intimately connected to your day job. Sure,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the real estate industry is as large and

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<v Speaker 1>as vast as it is, like many industries, is kind

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<v Speaker 1>of small, and these various organizations are opportunities both to

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<v Speaker 1>network as you get older. They're friends of yours. There

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<v Speaker 1>it's an opportunity for old homecoming to see people, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's an opportunity to learn to compare notes. And sometimes

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<v Speaker 1>it's an opportunity to give back, depending upon the mission

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<v Speaker 1>or objectives of the institution. But most of the time,

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<v Speaker 1>it's ability to gather with peers in the in the industry.

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<v Speaker 1>It's hawk about what's going on. Some of them are

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<v Speaker 1>are very confidential forums, off the record forums where people

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<v Speaker 1>can speak their minds, where you're not going to read

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<v Speaker 1>about it in the press. And so you learn as

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<v Speaker 1>you get older, you find out most of the time

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<v Speaker 1>that you're not necessarily learning new things, you're confirming what

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<v Speaker 1>you what you either like to believe or what you

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<v Speaker 1>thought you believed, and that confirmation is sometimes helpful that

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<v Speaker 1>perhaps I'm not crazy with respect to these ideas. Really

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<v Speaker 1>very interesting. It's funny you say real estate is a

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<v Speaker 1>small um community. Someone described New York City as vast

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<v Speaker 1>and frenetic, as it is as just a series of

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<v Speaker 1>small industry villages all staffed on top of each other.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, you know most of the people in

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<v Speaker 1>your business, even if there are thousands of people, you

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<v Speaker 1>know your peers at your level. I'm not surprised to

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<v Speaker 1>hear you say that about commercial real estate. It's true

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<v Speaker 1>in every industry, absolutely. So let's talk a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>about Crow Holdings. It looks like a pretty fascinating place.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell us about that history and the patriarch who uh

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<v Speaker 1>made such a compelling case that you had to switch jobs. Yeah, well, well,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you, Barry In. There was a young man who

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<v Speaker 1>built a speculative industrial building in Dallas, Texas, and his

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<v Speaker 1>name was Trammel Crow and Uh. Trammel went on in

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<v Speaker 1>the nineteen fifties and sixties to become the largest real

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<v Speaker 1>estate developer in the United States. And Trammel had a

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<v Speaker 1>great optimism, great insight, great great foresight. But he also

0:12:32.480 --> 0:12:34.840
<v Speaker 1>had a way of doing business. He didn't have the

0:12:34.920 --> 0:12:38.440
<v Speaker 1>means when he started out to employ people. He partnered

0:12:38.480 --> 0:12:41.600
<v Speaker 1>with people. He had an ability to work with many

0:12:41.640 --> 0:12:44.840
<v Speaker 1>of the local banks and regional banks to get loans

0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:47.760
<v Speaker 1>to build real estate. And he partnered with young people

0:12:47.840 --> 0:12:50.920
<v Speaker 1>all throughout the country and said, look, I'll go into

0:12:50.920 --> 0:12:54.720
<v Speaker 1>business with you all on a handshake, will split the

0:12:54.840 --> 0:12:58.079
<v Speaker 1>ups fifty fifty, and I'll help you get started by

0:12:58.120 --> 0:13:01.160
<v Speaker 1>helping get them financing for these projects. And so, with

0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:03.880
<v Speaker 1>that trust and with that love that he had for people,

0:13:04.480 --> 0:13:07.920
<v Speaker 1>he went on to build partnerships all throughout the United States,

0:13:08.400 --> 0:13:11.800
<v Speaker 1>and that way of doing business was different than others.

0:13:11.880 --> 0:13:14.480
<v Speaker 1>He also took an approach that and I used the

0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:18.160
<v Speaker 1>word speculative, meaning he built the building in the hopes

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:20.880
<v Speaker 1>that someone would lease it. He didn't build the building

0:13:20.920 --> 0:13:23.800
<v Speaker 1>with a lease in hand. He built the building and

0:13:23.840 --> 0:13:26.319
<v Speaker 1>then it got leased. Now, now this might be my

0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:31.360
<v Speaker 1>post Warward two hindsight bias, but I would imagine the forties, fifties,

0:13:31.360 --> 0:13:34.040
<v Speaker 1>sixties was a great time to be real estate developer

0:13:34.040 --> 0:13:36.000
<v Speaker 1>in the United States. It was a great time to

0:13:36.000 --> 0:13:39.199
<v Speaker 1>be a real estate developer, and there was tremendous growth

0:13:39.200 --> 0:13:42.240
<v Speaker 1>throughout the United States. There was also another dynamic that

0:13:42.320 --> 0:13:45.600
<v Speaker 1>the banks at that time would would lend sometimes more

0:13:45.679 --> 0:13:48.320
<v Speaker 1>than a hundred percent of the cost to build a building. Well,

0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:50.559
<v Speaker 1>you gotta decorate, you have other things you have to

0:13:50.640 --> 0:13:53.360
<v Speaker 1>do once the building is up. A hundred and ten

0:13:53.400 --> 0:13:57.880
<v Speaker 1>a h loan to value that seems kind of aggressive

0:13:57.920 --> 0:14:00.800
<v Speaker 1>these days. These days, that's not available. But in those

0:14:00.880 --> 0:14:03.760
<v Speaker 1>days that was available. And so why the excess? What

0:14:03.840 --> 0:14:07.040
<v Speaker 1>was the above the cost of construction? There they are

0:14:07.120 --> 0:14:09.840
<v Speaker 1>the soft cost, there's the financing cost along the way,

0:14:09.880 --> 0:14:12.480
<v Speaker 1>and as you said, there's engineering and other costs that

0:14:12.559 --> 0:14:14.600
<v Speaker 1>come in. And so you I don't I don't know

0:14:14.640 --> 0:14:18.319
<v Speaker 1>if would have been the norm, but certainly for for

0:14:18.400 --> 0:14:21.400
<v Speaker 1>discussion purposes, you're borrowing a dent of the cost to

0:14:21.440 --> 0:14:23.520
<v Speaker 1>build a building, and so you don't need to come

0:14:23.560 --> 0:14:26.160
<v Speaker 1>out of pocket with any equity. Now, we just talked

0:14:26.160 --> 0:14:29.160
<v Speaker 1>about leverage a minute ago. When times are good and

0:14:29.240 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 1>times are growing, you know that works out well. And

0:14:32.640 --> 0:14:35.200
<v Speaker 1>as you pointed out, in the nineteen fifties and nineteen

0:14:35.240 --> 0:14:38.120
<v Speaker 1>sixties in America, those were tremendous times for growth and

0:14:38.160 --> 0:14:42.880
<v Speaker 1>opportunity and so the company. So, so let's talk a

0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:47.400
<v Speaker 1>little bit about about the crow family members. You were

0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:51.680
<v Speaker 1>the first person outside of the family to become a

0:14:51.800 --> 0:14:55.000
<v Speaker 1>leader of the firm. What made them decide to not

0:14:55.920 --> 0:14:58.880
<v Speaker 1>stay with the family that they've done for seventy years,

0:14:58.880 --> 0:15:02.880
<v Speaker 1>And what sort of channe leunges does running what's essentially

0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:07.040
<v Speaker 1>a giant family office create for you. Well, Trammel ran

0:15:07.120 --> 0:15:10.000
<v Speaker 1>the business until the very late nineteen eighties, and we

0:15:10.080 --> 0:15:12.760
<v Speaker 1>had a terrible time for real estate in the late eighties,

0:15:13.200 --> 0:15:15.800
<v Speaker 1>and his son Harlan took over in the late nineteen eighties,

0:15:15.920 --> 0:15:19.560
<v Speaker 1>and uh in two thousand fourteen, Harlan began to think

0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:23.080
<v Speaker 1>about his succession and made a decision that he wanted

0:15:23.120 --> 0:15:26.520
<v Speaker 1>to go outside of the company and specifically to bring

0:15:26.520 --> 0:15:30.960
<v Speaker 1>in someone who had more capital markets experience, someone ultimately

0:15:32.080 --> 0:15:36.200
<v Speaker 1>like me, not me in particular, but someone who didn't

0:15:36.240 --> 0:15:38.520
<v Speaker 1>come up the ropes from the real estate side, who

0:15:38.560 --> 0:15:41.400
<v Speaker 1>came up the ropes from the capital market side of things,

0:15:41.720 --> 0:15:45.440
<v Speaker 1>to augment the great skills and capabilities in the company. Now,

0:15:45.960 --> 0:15:48.360
<v Speaker 1>it's not self evident that on a piece of paper,

0:15:48.560 --> 0:15:53.080
<v Speaker 1>this New York guy trained on Wall Street went to

0:15:53.120 --> 0:15:55.560
<v Speaker 1>Brooklyn Law School would be a great fit with a

0:15:55.800 --> 0:15:59.520
<v Speaker 1>Dallas based family owned company called Crow Holdings. But it

0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:02.000
<v Speaker 1>was a right fit and we share very common values.

0:16:02.200 --> 0:16:05.600
<v Speaker 1>And I find Dallas to be a really fun city.

0:16:05.880 --> 0:16:08.080
<v Speaker 1>Is that where you're you're working out of where you

0:16:08.160 --> 0:16:11.160
<v Speaker 1>had correct? So we're headquartered in Dallas, Texas. We have

0:16:11.200 --> 0:16:13.880
<v Speaker 1>about twenty one offices around the country and other cities,

0:16:13.920 --> 0:16:19.160
<v Speaker 1>but we are a Dallas based, Dallas headquartered, Dallas cultured company.

0:16:19.720 --> 0:16:21.800
<v Speaker 1>At our at our core, and at our roots, which

0:16:21.840 --> 0:16:25.600
<v Speaker 1>means big everything right, nothing has done small, nothing is

0:16:25.920 --> 0:16:28.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, nothing is tentative. What I love about Texas

0:16:28.920 --> 0:16:32.120
<v Speaker 1>is when they do something, it's big. Texas think big

0:16:32.240 --> 0:16:34.880
<v Speaker 1>and Dallas sizes think big. Yeah, no, no doubt about that.

0:16:35.000 --> 0:16:39.560
<v Speaker 1>So so let's get specific about Crow focuses on multifamily units,

0:16:39.640 --> 0:16:44.480
<v Speaker 1>office industrial. I would imagine multi family is doing great.

0:16:45.000 --> 0:16:49.440
<v Speaker 1>Industrial is doing even better. In office not so much? Correct? Um?

0:16:49.760 --> 0:16:53.800
<v Speaker 1>We uh. We both have a real estate development company

0:16:54.320 --> 0:16:56.720
<v Speaker 1>and a real estate investment management company, and there are

0:16:56.760 --> 0:17:00.480
<v Speaker 1>two different businesses with what's the split into arms of

0:17:00.640 --> 0:17:04.960
<v Speaker 1>activity and assets is it's about half, really, it's about half. So,

0:17:04.960 --> 0:17:08.320
<v Speaker 1>so half of Crow's work is actually building developing new assets.

0:17:08.640 --> 0:17:12.800
<v Speaker 1>The other half is investing in existing assets exactly. Exactly

0:17:12.960 --> 0:17:15.960
<v Speaker 1>and UM but both businesses have a high degree of

0:17:16.000 --> 0:17:18.040
<v Speaker 1>overlap in terms of their strategies. So as a real

0:17:18.160 --> 0:17:21.399
<v Speaker 1>estate developer, we have built more apartments in the United

0:17:21.400 --> 0:17:24.400
<v Speaker 1>States than any other firm. Really correct, that's a that's

0:17:24.440 --> 0:17:30.160
<v Speaker 1>an enormous uh undertaking. And the US is still dramatically

0:17:30.560 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 1>underbuilt when it comes to apartments. Yes, it is, both

0:17:33.280 --> 0:17:35.960
<v Speaker 1>both in cities and suburbia. We have a big problem

0:17:35.960 --> 0:17:39.080
<v Speaker 1>in America. We don't produce enough housing, particularly for working

0:17:39.119 --> 0:17:42.480
<v Speaker 1>class people. And UH, it's a great opportunity from a

0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:45.320
<v Speaker 1>development and an investment perspective, but it's getting harder and

0:17:45.359 --> 0:17:47.399
<v Speaker 1>harder to build. And it's an area we have a

0:17:47.480 --> 0:17:51.359
<v Speaker 1>lot of expertise in. And then and then you guys

0:17:51.400 --> 0:17:58.280
<v Speaker 1>were very early into UM industrial facilities, warehouses, logistic sort

0:17:58.280 --> 0:18:01.160
<v Speaker 1>of facilities in the early days of e commerce. Tell

0:18:01.240 --> 0:18:03.280
<v Speaker 1>us a little bit about that. Well, two things. One,

0:18:03.920 --> 0:18:06.840
<v Speaker 1>we still own the first industrial building the Trammel built

0:18:06.840 --> 0:18:11.320
<v Speaker 1>in and it's on Coal Street in Dallas, Texas. And

0:18:11.359 --> 0:18:14.080
<v Speaker 1>my youngest son is named Cole. So I like incidents

0:18:14.200 --> 0:18:19.119
<v Speaker 1>or I think it's good. Um. Look, you could see

0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:22.680
<v Speaker 1>the e commerce trends coming from a mile away. It

0:18:22.800 --> 0:18:25.280
<v Speaker 1>started in the mid nineties, but it became very clear

0:18:25.320 --> 0:18:28.880
<v Speaker 1>a decade ago that this trend was accelerating. You say that,

0:18:28.960 --> 0:18:33.920
<v Speaker 1>and yet not everybody piled into warehouses, logistic facilities, et cetera.

0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:36.639
<v Speaker 1>Certainly in two thousand to two thousand eleven they did,

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:40.520
<v Speaker 1>and today it clearly is the most favored asset class um.

0:18:40.560 --> 0:18:44.280
<v Speaker 1>But nonetheless, when you're looking at secular trends, that secular

0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:47.280
<v Speaker 1>trends seemed to us to be very clear, and so

0:18:47.400 --> 0:18:52.520
<v Speaker 1>we amplified our industrial development activities and today we're one

0:18:52.560 --> 0:18:55.119
<v Speaker 1>of the largest developers of industrial real estate in the

0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:59.040
<v Speaker 1>United States. Right, And your structure is you're not to

0:18:59.119 --> 0:19:02.840
<v Speaker 1>read You're you're more or less a private family office.

0:19:02.880 --> 0:19:06.800
<v Speaker 1>How does that operate? Sure, so you're not publicly traded, right,

0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:09.280
<v Speaker 1>We are not publicly traded UM and we have no

0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:12.000
<v Speaker 1>outside shareholders in the company it is. It is owned

0:19:12.040 --> 0:19:16.040
<v Speaker 1>by the Crow family. UM. Our real estate development business

0:19:16.119 --> 0:19:20.280
<v Speaker 1>engages with investors in three ways. We either pursue one

0:19:20.400 --> 0:19:24.160
<v Speaker 1>off development projects in a joint venture with an investor,

0:19:24.600 --> 0:19:28.080
<v Speaker 1>or we have a programmatic relationship with an institutional investor

0:19:28.160 --> 0:19:31.600
<v Speaker 1>where we'll develop many properties over time, or we'll have

0:19:31.680 --> 0:19:35.640
<v Speaker 1>a com mingled fund with a group of investors also

0:19:35.720 --> 0:19:39.119
<v Speaker 1>developing properties over time. Are those one off for specific

0:19:39.359 --> 0:19:43.160
<v Speaker 1>types or specific geographies? Because in my head, I imagine

0:19:43.840 --> 0:19:46.800
<v Speaker 1>there are endowments that want exposure real estate. There are

0:19:46.800 --> 0:19:50.360
<v Speaker 1>other large institutions that want real estate exposure. Are they

0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:54.840
<v Speaker 1>participants in all of crow or is it one off?

0:19:54.960 --> 0:19:57.880
<v Speaker 1>It's always a defined strategy. It's always a defined strategy,

0:19:58.160 --> 0:20:03.120
<v Speaker 1>usually demarcated by geograph, fick objectives, or other property size,

0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:07.160
<v Speaker 1>property configuration objectives. But there is a strategy within industrial.

0:20:07.600 --> 0:20:09.640
<v Speaker 1>We use the word industrial, that can mean a lot

0:20:09.640 --> 0:20:11.960
<v Speaker 1>of things. Are a lot of different things to different people.

0:20:13.000 --> 0:20:16.920
<v Speaker 1>Our real estate investment company invest in real estate across

0:20:16.920 --> 0:20:20.840
<v Speaker 1>the United States primarily and co mingled funds, occasionally in

0:20:21.000 --> 0:20:24.240
<v Speaker 1>joint ventures with investors, but primarily and co mingled funds.

0:20:24.280 --> 0:20:27.000
<v Speaker 1>So so let's talk about that investment process a little bit.

0:20:27.480 --> 0:20:30.240
<v Speaker 1>What are you looking at? Is it you mentioned geography?

0:20:30.280 --> 0:20:33.879
<v Speaker 1>Isn't any of the specific sectors? Is evaluation? How do

0:20:34.000 --> 0:20:38.920
<v Speaker 1>you make the decision? This development, building, whatever is a

0:20:39.040 --> 0:20:41.880
<v Speaker 1>go And we're gonna pass on that one. Sure well,

0:20:42.200 --> 0:20:46.080
<v Speaker 1>stepping back, Barry, we've learned over the years that it's very,

0:20:46.160 --> 0:20:50.680
<v Speaker 1>very difficult to predict the economic cycles, the capital market cycles,

0:20:50.760 --> 0:20:52.359
<v Speaker 1>and trying to hang your hat on that as an

0:20:52.400 --> 0:20:57.000
<v Speaker 1>investment strategy is often hollow. And so we're pursuing secular

0:20:57.040 --> 0:21:00.600
<v Speaker 1>trends and they're in decades long, decades long, and there

0:21:00.640 --> 0:21:03.480
<v Speaker 1>are several things that to us seem fairly self evident.

0:21:03.520 --> 0:21:06.479
<v Speaker 1>One of them I highlighted, which was e commerce. And

0:21:06.520 --> 0:21:09.280
<v Speaker 1>if you believe that e commerce will continue to gain share,

0:21:09.400 --> 0:21:12.560
<v Speaker 1>then you know that's a positive for industrial and that's

0:21:12.560 --> 0:21:16.639
<v Speaker 1>a negative for retail. You're also looking at demographics, the

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:20.560
<v Speaker 1>age of people. You know, things about young people, things

0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:23.280
<v Speaker 1>about the trailing ends of the millennials are the leading

0:21:23.359 --> 0:21:27.400
<v Speaker 1>edge of the Gen Z. Young people rent, they don't buy,

0:21:27.640 --> 0:21:29.960
<v Speaker 1>and so we have the largest group of young people

0:21:30.280 --> 0:21:33.520
<v Speaker 1>in history going through in their mid twenties now going

0:21:33.600 --> 0:21:37.360
<v Speaker 1>through the U S demographic chain and so being long

0:21:37.440 --> 0:21:40.399
<v Speaker 1>the apartment sector or the multi family sector. And the

0:21:40.520 --> 0:21:43.280
<v Speaker 1>third main trend that we're looking at is Americans are

0:21:43.280 --> 0:21:46.159
<v Speaker 1>moving to the southeast and the southwest, the moving a

0:21:46.240 --> 0:21:50.919
<v Speaker 1>lower tax, better weather, and just generally where there's a

0:21:50.920 --> 0:21:54.960
<v Speaker 1>little cheaper standard of living and and as well as

0:21:55.040 --> 0:21:58.160
<v Speaker 1>just overall quality of life. And this is not just COVID.

0:21:58.320 --> 0:22:00.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, we've seen the impact of COVID, but long

0:22:00.960 --> 0:22:04.000
<v Speaker 1>before COVID, it became very clear people are leaving the

0:22:04.040 --> 0:22:06.840
<v Speaker 1>Midwest and the northeast and the west and they're moving

0:22:06.880 --> 0:22:10.119
<v Speaker 1>into the southeast and the southwest. And so that defines

0:22:10.680 --> 0:22:13.879
<v Speaker 1>not everything we do, but that drives a lot of

0:22:13.880 --> 0:22:17.440
<v Speaker 1>our decision making within multi family. So now to take

0:22:17.480 --> 0:22:21.520
<v Speaker 1>the next layer down, we're pursuing two areas within multi family.

0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:25.960
<v Speaker 1>One would be Class A beautiful new properties that professionals

0:22:25.960 --> 0:22:30.000
<v Speaker 1>are renting because they want experiences in life to rent

0:22:30.040 --> 0:22:33.639
<v Speaker 1>and not own, as well as everything from student loans

0:22:33.680 --> 0:22:37.560
<v Speaker 1>to other costs are making rentals more attractive to them.

0:22:37.600 --> 0:22:40.920
<v Speaker 1>But the area we've been particularly focused on is workforce housing.

0:22:41.440 --> 0:22:46.280
<v Speaker 1>First responders, firefighters, teachers, cops are having a very very

0:22:46.280 --> 0:22:49.800
<v Speaker 1>difficult time finding places to live, and so we've been

0:22:49.920 --> 0:22:54.240
<v Speaker 1>very focused on building new supply. There's a lot of

0:22:54.359 --> 0:23:00.080
<v Speaker 1>arguments about rent control or about owning older properties and

0:23:00.160 --> 0:23:03.760
<v Speaker 1>making sure that the rents don't don't go up through agreements,

0:23:04.240 --> 0:23:07.600
<v Speaker 1>but the solution is not taking older properties and holding

0:23:07.640 --> 0:23:10.439
<v Speaker 1>them there. The solution is new supply. And as the

0:23:10.520 --> 0:23:13.399
<v Speaker 1>largest developer of apartments in the United States over the

0:23:13.400 --> 0:23:16.119
<v Speaker 1>past forty years. We view it as both our obligation

0:23:16.480 --> 0:23:18.840
<v Speaker 1>as well as an opportunity, and so we've been very

0:23:18.880 --> 0:23:23.120
<v Speaker 1>focused on workforce housing. So, so you you mentioned as

0:23:23.160 --> 0:23:26.560
<v Speaker 1>an obligation, there's a quote of yours that sticks out

0:23:26.560 --> 0:23:29.320
<v Speaker 1>in my mind. You said, I don't sit around with

0:23:29.359 --> 0:23:32.840
<v Speaker 1>Harlan and talk about profitability and returns. We talk about

0:23:32.920 --> 0:23:35.600
<v Speaker 1>doing the right thing. Explain what that means in the

0:23:35.680 --> 0:23:43.840
<v Speaker 1>context of developing rental apartments. Sure, Um, two things. One

0:23:44.400 --> 0:23:47.560
<v Speaker 1>at the company level, at the Crow Holdings level, in particular,

0:23:47.640 --> 0:23:50.800
<v Speaker 1>because we're not public, we don't have any outside shareholders.

0:23:51.200 --> 0:23:54.640
<v Speaker 1>We don't run the business according to an earning subjective.

0:23:55.359 --> 0:23:58.639
<v Speaker 1>We run the business according to creating opportunity for the

0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:01.679
<v Speaker 1>people that work here in an aligned way so that

0:24:01.720 --> 0:24:04.200
<v Speaker 1>they can grow in their careers and they can create

0:24:04.240 --> 0:24:07.560
<v Speaker 1>opportunity and will participate in that opportunity with them. So

0:24:07.600 --> 0:24:10.680
<v Speaker 1>as it relates to the company and doing the right thing,

0:24:10.720 --> 0:24:12.880
<v Speaker 1>it's treating the people that work for us the right

0:24:12.920 --> 0:24:16.000
<v Speaker 1>way so that they love their work and then they're

0:24:16.080 --> 0:24:18.479
<v Speaker 1>they'll love their clients and they'll love their opportunity. How

0:24:18.480 --> 0:24:20.640
<v Speaker 1>many people work for Crow, how many people a little

0:24:20.640 --> 0:24:23.080
<v Speaker 1>over five people who work for Crow, and how many

0:24:23.119 --> 0:24:26.560
<v Speaker 1>of the original family members are still active in the firm.

0:24:26.720 --> 0:24:29.400
<v Speaker 1>There there are no family members active in the firm.

0:24:29.480 --> 0:24:33.679
<v Speaker 1>So so essentially Crow is more or less operating like

0:24:33.760 --> 0:24:36.880
<v Speaker 1>a family office on behalf of I don't know what's

0:24:36.880 --> 0:24:39.879
<v Speaker 1>to call at the estate, the foundation on behalf the family?

0:24:40.160 --> 0:24:43.800
<v Speaker 1>Um it is it is our ethos And the moment look,

0:24:43.840 --> 0:24:47.800
<v Speaker 1>the moment that your company brings an outside shareholders, the

0:24:47.880 --> 0:24:51.560
<v Speaker 1>moment that your company becomes public, things change. The whole

0:24:51.640 --> 0:24:55.959
<v Speaker 1>dynamic changes. You now have a different master. Correct, we

0:24:56.040 --> 0:24:58.920
<v Speaker 1>don't have that, and so we don't have those outside

0:24:58.920 --> 0:25:03.320
<v Speaker 1>forces dry hiving us with respect to how we behave,

0:25:03.680 --> 0:25:06.200
<v Speaker 1>what we do, how we act. All right, So let

0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:08.720
<v Speaker 1>me push back on that, sure, because I've worked with

0:25:08.720 --> 0:25:11.120
<v Speaker 1>a number of family offices, I've worked with a number

0:25:11.119 --> 0:25:14.120
<v Speaker 1>of billionaires, and what always comes up, there's always some

0:25:14.240 --> 0:25:18.399
<v Speaker 1>M B A sending to his left or are left saying, well,

0:25:18.440 --> 0:25:21.040
<v Speaker 1>what's the internal raid return for this? What sort of

0:25:21.480 --> 0:25:25.639
<v Speaker 1>quarterly profits can we expect? What is return on investment

0:25:26.200 --> 0:25:29.640
<v Speaker 1>and um yield that we should see by putting this

0:25:29.720 --> 0:25:32.720
<v Speaker 1>capital at risk? So I need and i'd like to

0:25:32.720 --> 0:25:36.760
<v Speaker 1>distinguish that's at craw Holdings. At the company level now

0:25:37.359 --> 0:25:40.120
<v Speaker 1>almost all not all, but almost all of the real

0:25:40.240 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 1>estate investment activity and the real estate development activity. We

0:25:43.920 --> 0:25:48.240
<v Speaker 1>are in partnership with institutional investors and individual investors in

0:25:48.280 --> 0:25:50.840
<v Speaker 1>a fiduciary capacity, so that's going to come up. So

0:25:50.880 --> 0:25:56.160
<v Speaker 1>we are very focused on delivering the investment performance at

0:25:56.200 --> 0:25:59.399
<v Speaker 1>every level in what we do. And in that area,

0:25:59.520 --> 0:26:02.320
<v Speaker 1>we again and we are focused on whatever the return

0:26:02.400 --> 0:26:05.879
<v Speaker 1>metrics are, whether it's I, R R or multiple and

0:26:05.960 --> 0:26:08.600
<v Speaker 1>our track record stands for itself over time, and we

0:26:08.640 --> 0:26:11.640
<v Speaker 1>have delivered for investors over time, which is why they

0:26:11.640 --> 0:26:15.159
<v Speaker 1>continue to do business with us. But as it rolls

0:26:15.240 --> 0:26:18.160
<v Speaker 1>up to Crow Holdings, that is not what drives us.

0:26:18.480 --> 0:26:21.199
<v Speaker 1>Do I report on our financial results, of course I

0:26:21.240 --> 0:26:25.359
<v Speaker 1>do do. I try my best to anticipate what we

0:26:25.440 --> 0:26:28.360
<v Speaker 1>may do in the next year. But and we may

0:26:28.359 --> 0:26:30.919
<v Speaker 1>talk about this later, but your ability to guess the

0:26:30.960 --> 0:26:33.199
<v Speaker 1>future with respect to how it all rolls up to

0:26:33.240 --> 0:26:36.119
<v Speaker 1>the to the corporate entity. The other thing I learned

0:26:36.240 --> 0:26:38.359
<v Speaker 1>in my prior life when I was working on Wall

0:26:38.400 --> 0:26:42.359
<v Speaker 1>Street is that hunt for the elusive earnings this quarter

0:26:42.480 --> 0:26:45.520
<v Speaker 1>can also drive very short term behavior on behalf of

0:26:45.520 --> 0:26:48.560
<v Speaker 1>the institution. That can have a profound impact on the

0:26:48.560 --> 0:26:52.320
<v Speaker 1>people that work there and really break the trust between

0:26:52.320 --> 0:26:54.720
<v Speaker 1>the company and the people that work there. No doubt,

0:26:54.760 --> 0:26:57.840
<v Speaker 1>the hunt for alpha can be destructive if it runs amok.

0:26:58.240 --> 0:27:00.440
<v Speaker 1>And and as we've seen we talked about O eight

0:27:00.440 --> 0:27:03.639
<v Speaker 1>oh nine, it very often does run a monk. So

0:27:03.640 --> 0:27:07.200
<v Speaker 1>so you're hinting at something, but I I and I

0:27:07.280 --> 0:27:09.560
<v Speaker 1>don't want to ask you to talk out of school,

0:27:09.640 --> 0:27:12.800
<v Speaker 1>so to speak. But when you report back to the

0:27:12.840 --> 0:27:15.360
<v Speaker 1>family and say, here's what we did, here's what next

0:27:15.440 --> 0:27:19.439
<v Speaker 1>year looks like. What are they telling you your marching

0:27:19.560 --> 0:27:21.720
<v Speaker 1>orders are? Are they like, go make us more money

0:27:21.920 --> 0:27:25.120
<v Speaker 1>or we're really concerned about this? What can we do here?

0:27:26.000 --> 0:27:30.240
<v Speaker 1>I do present. We have an advisory board and uh

0:27:30.440 --> 0:27:33.360
<v Speaker 1>Harlan as chairman of the advisory board, and Harlan's engaged

0:27:33.359 --> 0:27:36.000
<v Speaker 1>in the business with me, and so I'm keeping them

0:27:36.040 --> 0:27:40.200
<v Speaker 1>regularly apprised with respect to the strategy for the business

0:27:40.200 --> 0:27:44.240
<v Speaker 1>and the financial results for the business. The primary objective,

0:27:44.480 --> 0:27:48.040
<v Speaker 1>if Harlan sat here today, the primary objective we're solving

0:27:48.080 --> 0:27:52.560
<v Speaker 1>for is culture. Culture isn't violent, and that goes back

0:27:52.600 --> 0:27:55.520
<v Speaker 1>to at Crow Holdings. Our culture and the culture is

0:27:55.600 --> 0:27:59.200
<v Speaker 1>based upon creating opportunity for the people that work here.

0:27:59.640 --> 0:28:03.080
<v Speaker 1>And if we do that well, then the other elements

0:28:03.080 --> 0:28:06.200
<v Speaker 1>of our business, our customers being happy with our work,

0:28:06.520 --> 0:28:10.119
<v Speaker 1>the financial results that follow that will come true. And

0:28:10.160 --> 0:28:13.159
<v Speaker 1>that's been going on a crow for seventy five years

0:28:13.200 --> 0:28:16.560
<v Speaker 1>and that works for us. So how do you, as

0:28:16.600 --> 0:28:21.800
<v Speaker 1>an outsider and CEO, maintain and further the culture at

0:28:21.800 --> 0:28:24.879
<v Speaker 1>the firm? Well, I maintain it by pursuing that in

0:28:24.960 --> 0:28:28.439
<v Speaker 1>that I'm not trying to bring my own objective in

0:28:28.560 --> 0:28:32.719
<v Speaker 1>terms of this specific financial result this year. I'm continued

0:28:32.800 --> 0:28:35.840
<v Speaker 1>to focus on how do I continue to one be

0:28:35.960 --> 0:28:39.720
<v Speaker 1>thoughtful with respect to strategies. I mentioned these secular trends.

0:28:40.080 --> 0:28:44.120
<v Speaker 1>There's obviously sub strategies underneath that. So hopefully we're smart

0:28:44.680 --> 0:28:47.160
<v Speaker 1>and we develop strategies that make sense in light of

0:28:47.160 --> 0:28:50.480
<v Speaker 1>where the world is heading. The second thing is I

0:28:50.560 --> 0:28:55.000
<v Speaker 1>work very hard to make sure that the compensation structures

0:28:55.080 --> 0:28:58.640
<v Speaker 1>with our people are aligned so that if we do well,

0:28:59.160 --> 0:29:01.120
<v Speaker 1>they do well. And I would the last thing I

0:29:01.120 --> 0:29:03.840
<v Speaker 1>would comment on this. We have now lived through the

0:29:03.960 --> 0:29:07.280
<v Speaker 1>Great Resignation. I talked to my friends at businesses all

0:29:07.320 --> 0:29:10.680
<v Speaker 1>over America who talked to me about how difficulticult it

0:29:10.760 --> 0:29:14.200
<v Speaker 1>is to attract talent, how many keep them and keep them.

0:29:14.360 --> 0:29:17.920
<v Speaker 1>We have not experienced the great resignation. It has not

0:29:18.120 --> 0:29:21.720
<v Speaker 1>happened at our company and our firm. So whether we're

0:29:21.760 --> 0:29:25.200
<v Speaker 1>doing things right in someone's eyes, are wrong in someone's eyes,

0:29:25.280 --> 0:29:28.120
<v Speaker 1>what I can say is the very talented people who

0:29:28.120 --> 0:29:31.200
<v Speaker 1>work here have decided, amongst the opportunities that are available

0:29:31.200 --> 0:29:34.760
<v Speaker 1>to them in the marketplace, Crow is the best opportunity

0:29:34.800 --> 0:29:37.160
<v Speaker 1>for them and their families. So so it sounds like

0:29:37.400 --> 0:29:41.320
<v Speaker 1>you are creating or maintaining the sort of culture that

0:29:41.360 --> 0:29:45.160
<v Speaker 1>works for both the firm and the employees. I am maintaining.

0:29:45.360 --> 0:29:47.720
<v Speaker 1>I came to Crow and had the privilege that my

0:29:47.800 --> 0:29:51.680
<v Speaker 1>first year, I didn't have the title of CEO, I

0:29:51.720 --> 0:29:54.840
<v Speaker 1>didn't have anybody reporting to me. I had a chance

0:29:55.000 --> 0:29:57.920
<v Speaker 1>with Harlan to get to know the organization, to get

0:29:57.960 --> 0:29:59.920
<v Speaker 1>to know the people, to get to know the culture,

0:30:00.240 --> 0:30:03.800
<v Speaker 1>to build trust and build relationships, and learned and understood

0:30:04.160 --> 0:30:08.880
<v Speaker 1>what made this venerable institution in real estate so successful,

0:30:09.240 --> 0:30:11.800
<v Speaker 1>what made the alumni network that came out of Crow

0:30:12.160 --> 0:30:15.720
<v Speaker 1>have such good will and good feelings towards our firm,

0:30:15.760 --> 0:30:18.760
<v Speaker 1>And it was these elements of culture and the hallmarks

0:30:18.760 --> 0:30:21.840
<v Speaker 1>of our firm, and so I simply said, don't screw

0:30:21.880 --> 0:30:24.720
<v Speaker 1>this up. So so that first year did you just

0:30:24.840 --> 0:30:28.160
<v Speaker 1>shadow Harlan and kind of get a feel for everything

0:30:28.160 --> 0:30:30.320
<v Speaker 1>that was going on. Part part of it was shadowing,

0:30:30.360 --> 0:30:33.640
<v Speaker 1>Part of it was independently spending time across the organization.

0:30:33.760 --> 0:30:37.720
<v Speaker 1>I grew up in real estate finance. Our companies a

0:30:37.840 --> 0:30:41.520
<v Speaker 1>real estate company that came to America through building real

0:30:41.680 --> 0:30:44.960
<v Speaker 1>estate and then developed over time the capital markets and

0:30:45.000 --> 0:30:48.600
<v Speaker 1>financial expertise. I had never built a building in my life.

0:30:48.680 --> 0:30:50.560
<v Speaker 1>I had never leased a building in my life. I

0:30:50.560 --> 0:30:52.959
<v Speaker 1>had never managed the building in my life. And so

0:30:53.000 --> 0:30:56.080
<v Speaker 1>I spent that first year in the field at our offices,

0:30:56.520 --> 0:30:59.800
<v Speaker 1>talking to the people who do those things and learning

0:31:00.200 --> 0:31:02.920
<v Speaker 1>so that when the time came the following year that

0:31:02.960 --> 0:31:06.440
<v Speaker 1>the responsibilities became mine, I had good, good judgment and

0:31:06.480 --> 0:31:08.720
<v Speaker 1>better judge. How how steep was that learning curve that

0:31:08.760 --> 0:31:12.720
<v Speaker 1>sounds like you're throwing yourself into a related but entirely

0:31:12.800 --> 0:31:15.520
<v Speaker 1>different field than you were experiencing. Yeah, it was a

0:31:15.600 --> 0:31:18.440
<v Speaker 1>learning curve. Being around real estate finance for twenty five

0:31:18.520 --> 0:31:22.360
<v Speaker 1>years beforehand, I had interacted with and finance, then spend

0:31:22.360 --> 0:31:25.240
<v Speaker 1>time with real estate developers, so I didn't have to

0:31:25.360 --> 0:31:30.240
<v Speaker 1>learn new industry jargon or lingo or market participants. But

0:31:31.800 --> 0:31:35.120
<v Speaker 1>sitting sitting on Wall Street, the perception is that you

0:31:35.240 --> 0:31:38.960
<v Speaker 1>add value by your financial I'll use the word engineering,

0:31:39.120 --> 0:31:42.320
<v Speaker 1>or your financial acumen. The reality is the people who

0:31:42.320 --> 0:31:45.160
<v Speaker 1>add value are the people who actually build these buildings,

0:31:45.360 --> 0:31:50.000
<v Speaker 1>who manage these buildings. Quite interesting. My extra special guest

0:31:50.000 --> 0:31:53.720
<v Speaker 1>today is Michael Levy. He is the chief executive officer

0:31:53.760 --> 0:31:58.040
<v Speaker 1>of Crow Holdings, a seventy five year old residential and

0:31:58.080 --> 0:32:03.880
<v Speaker 1>commercial real estate developer. The largest developer of apartments in

0:32:03.960 --> 0:32:07.440
<v Speaker 1>the United States, the firm manages over thirty billion dollars

0:32:07.440 --> 0:32:11.560
<v Speaker 1>in assets across twenty one local markets. Previously, he was

0:32:11.640 --> 0:32:16.480
<v Speaker 1>chief operating Officer for investment management at Morgan Stanley. So,

0:32:16.480 --> 0:32:20.760
<v Speaker 1>so let's talk a little bit about commercial real estate investing.

0:32:21.160 --> 0:32:23.480
<v Speaker 1>When I was looking at your website, there are a

0:32:23.520 --> 0:32:27.680
<v Speaker 1>whole run of different, for lack of a better words, subsidiaries.

0:32:27.720 --> 0:32:32.560
<v Speaker 1>There's Crow Holdings, Capital, Crow Holdings Office, Trammel, Crow Residential,

0:32:33.040 --> 0:32:36.640
<v Speaker 1>Crow Industrial Signature Properties. Tell us a little bit about

0:32:36.680 --> 0:32:38.840
<v Speaker 1>these different divisions of what they all do. Sure, well,

0:32:38.880 --> 0:32:41.120
<v Speaker 1>first of all, I'm sorry about the brand confusion. Um,

0:32:41.240 --> 0:32:43.920
<v Speaker 1>not at all. The simplest way to understand us is

0:32:44.000 --> 0:32:49.000
<v Speaker 1>we have a real estate development company called Crow Holdings Development,

0:32:49.280 --> 0:32:53.560
<v Speaker 1>and underneath that we have sub brands Crow Holdings Industrial,

0:32:53.720 --> 0:32:57.360
<v Speaker 1>Crow Holdings Office, Travel, Crew, Residential, and then we have

0:32:57.400 --> 0:33:01.200
<v Speaker 1>a separate real estate investment company that we call Crow

0:33:01.240 --> 0:33:04.800
<v Speaker 1>Holdings Capital and Signature Properties. How does that fit into that?

0:33:05.080 --> 0:33:09.680
<v Speaker 1>Those are properties that that we own without investment partners,

0:33:09.720 --> 0:33:12.280
<v Speaker 1>and those are properties that Trammel Crow back in the

0:33:12.400 --> 0:33:16.040
<v Speaker 1>day or Harlan Crow in more recent years, has developed

0:33:16.480 --> 0:33:20.440
<v Speaker 1>and the family has held onto these properties for decades.

0:33:20.480 --> 0:33:23.080
<v Speaker 1>In many cas the Crown Jewels, so to speak, there

0:33:23.120 --> 0:33:29.280
<v Speaker 1>are some terrific properties. Um. And they're in primarily, not entirely, Dallas, Texas,

0:33:29.320 --> 0:33:32.200
<v Speaker 1>which is says, you know, the fastest growing metropolis in

0:33:32.240 --> 0:33:34.040
<v Speaker 1>the country. So is that true. I did not know

0:33:34.120 --> 0:33:37.680
<v Speaker 1>that the nominal population coming to Dallas, and I think

0:33:37.720 --> 0:33:40.240
<v Speaker 1>it's changing during COVID in any given year. But there's

0:33:40.280 --> 0:33:42.040
<v Speaker 1>somewhere in the neighbor of a hundred and ten hundred

0:33:42.040 --> 0:33:44.760
<v Speaker 1>and twenty thousand people moving to Dallas each year. Now.

0:33:46.000 --> 0:33:49.240
<v Speaker 1>So we we saw Miami, we saw Tampa, we saw Dallas,

0:33:49.240 --> 0:33:51.880
<v Speaker 1>we saw Austin. There has been a ton of growth

0:33:51.920 --> 0:33:56.080
<v Speaker 1>in the South, South and southeast. Um, when does that

0:33:56.160 --> 0:33:58.760
<v Speaker 1>top out? When does that start to slow down? Well,

0:33:58.800 --> 0:34:01.560
<v Speaker 1>I think you're you're at some level you're having now.

0:34:01.720 --> 0:34:07.160
<v Speaker 1>The COVID induced movement out of California and New York

0:34:07.160 --> 0:34:09.719
<v Speaker 1>and Chicago is slowing down a bit. I know in

0:34:09.800 --> 0:34:12.960
<v Speaker 1>New York and folks from Florida are moving back right now.

0:34:13.760 --> 0:34:16.520
<v Speaker 1>But the mega trends are very clear. The mega trend

0:34:16.600 --> 0:34:18.920
<v Speaker 1>is it's not slowing down. And this has been decades

0:34:18.960 --> 0:34:23.120
<v Speaker 1>in the MASCA. This this goes way back. Um. Alright,

0:34:23.160 --> 0:34:24.840
<v Speaker 1>So so let's talk a little bit about some of

0:34:24.840 --> 0:34:28.480
<v Speaker 1>those signature properties. Sure Crow HQ and the main campus

0:34:28.600 --> 0:34:32.080
<v Speaker 1>is the old Parkland Campus, which the pictures look like

0:34:32.120 --> 0:34:36.160
<v Speaker 1>a college campus. It looks astonishing. Do you actually work there? What?

0:34:36.160 --> 0:34:39.479
<v Speaker 1>What is the old camp? Old Parkland Campus? So old

0:34:39.480 --> 0:34:44.640
<v Speaker 1>Parkland Parkland Hospital was built in nineteen thirteen, this beautiful

0:34:44.719 --> 0:34:48.240
<v Speaker 1>red brick building that became derelict in the nineteen sixties

0:34:48.239 --> 0:34:51.279
<v Speaker 1>and nineteen seventies, and in two thousand and five, I

0:34:51.320 --> 0:34:54.840
<v Speaker 1>believe Harlan acquired the site tore down most of the

0:34:54.880 --> 0:34:58.640
<v Speaker 1>buildings except for the main beautiful hospital and built eleven

0:34:58.680 --> 0:35:02.240
<v Speaker 1>new buildings around it, and it's now an office campus

0:35:02.280 --> 0:35:05.960
<v Speaker 1>in in Dallas, Texas. It's part museum. The theme of

0:35:06.000 --> 0:35:10.400
<v Speaker 1>the campus is the American experiment, the foundations of freedom

0:35:10.400 --> 0:35:15.960
<v Speaker 1>and democracy. And there's tremendous manuscripts and art and and

0:35:15.960 --> 0:35:20.680
<v Speaker 1>and statues exemplifying everything from the group starting with the Greeks,

0:35:20.719 --> 0:35:24.600
<v Speaker 1>going all the way through entitlement and the founding fathers

0:35:24.680 --> 0:35:28.640
<v Speaker 1>and and Abraham Lincoln. And it's a beautiful physical campus.

0:35:29.080 --> 0:35:32.439
<v Speaker 1>Is this other businesses and organizations or just grow? Yeah,

0:35:32.440 --> 0:35:36.160
<v Speaker 1>So we occupy about fifteen percent of the space and

0:35:36.160 --> 0:35:39.520
<v Speaker 1>and virtually all of the tendency at the campus are

0:35:39.600 --> 0:35:45.280
<v Speaker 1>other principal investors, other family offices, foundations, private equity firms,

0:35:45.360 --> 0:35:48.880
<v Speaker 1>hedge funds, and so. So it's a little financial center

0:35:49.040 --> 0:35:51.680
<v Speaker 1>right there in the middle of Dallas. Yes, exactly. And

0:35:51.920 --> 0:35:54.160
<v Speaker 1>what is the Dallas Market Center. Tell us a little

0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:57.000
<v Speaker 1>bit about this property. In the nineteen fifties, this was

0:35:57.040 --> 0:35:59.600
<v Speaker 1>a building and they will come. Trammel had the view

0:36:00.000 --> 0:36:03.400
<v Speaker 1>at if I build a permanent building, these trade shows

0:36:03.440 --> 0:36:05.640
<v Speaker 1>that go all throughout the United States, if I can,

0:36:05.840 --> 0:36:09.520
<v Speaker 1>if I can house them there permanently, Retailers will come

0:36:10.120 --> 0:36:13.960
<v Speaker 1>and visit the uh, the exhibitors, and so the Dallas

0:36:13.960 --> 0:36:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Market Center is a five million square foot property that

0:36:18.200 --> 0:36:23.080
<v Speaker 1>houses for various industries, permanent and temporary exhibitions, and we

0:36:23.160 --> 0:36:27.239
<v Speaker 1>hold trade shows where literally hundreds of thousands of individuals

0:36:27.280 --> 0:36:31.520
<v Speaker 1>per year from thousands and thousands of retailers come to Dallas,

0:36:31.600 --> 0:36:35.960
<v Speaker 1>Texas to intermediate and mingle and spend time and examine

0:36:35.960 --> 0:36:41.120
<v Speaker 1>and explore new goods for their stores. What other signature

0:36:41.120 --> 0:36:44.359
<v Speaker 1>properties really stand out, because because the list is is

0:36:44.400 --> 0:36:47.760
<v Speaker 1>not short at all, no um. One of the largest

0:36:47.760 --> 0:36:50.000
<v Speaker 1>hotels in the United States, not the largest, but one

0:36:50.000 --> 0:36:53.080
<v Speaker 1>of the largest is the Anatole Hotel in Dallas, Texas.

0:36:53.160 --> 0:36:56.640
<v Speaker 1>It's proxibly sevred rooms and six hundred thousand square feet

0:36:56.640 --> 0:37:00.200
<v Speaker 1>of meeting space. And so you know, and then there's

0:37:00.280 --> 0:37:04.239
<v Speaker 1>land holdings in Dallas and industrial buildings, and there are

0:37:04.239 --> 0:37:07.680
<v Speaker 1>other properties in in Brussels. We own one of the

0:37:07.680 --> 0:37:11.239
<v Speaker 1>Brussels in Brussels. We own another trade center in Brussels,

0:37:11.239 --> 0:37:14.440
<v Speaker 1>the Trammel, built I believe in the nineties seventies, and

0:37:14.520 --> 0:37:17.480
<v Speaker 1>we own that today. What other overseas properties do you

0:37:17.520 --> 0:37:20.080
<v Speaker 1>guys that that's the main overseas propert there are a

0:37:20.120 --> 0:37:23.759
<v Speaker 1>couple other smaller ones, but the signature properties are again

0:37:23.840 --> 0:37:28.120
<v Speaker 1>properties that Trammel or Harland developed, and uh, they are both.

0:37:28.480 --> 0:37:30.600
<v Speaker 1>There's there's an emotional aspect to some of them, but

0:37:30.640 --> 0:37:34.600
<v Speaker 1>they're primarily good financial investments that compound over many years.

0:37:34.960 --> 0:37:38.080
<v Speaker 1>So we we talked earlier about you were early to

0:37:38.200 --> 0:37:42.600
<v Speaker 1>eat commerce and and logistics and warehousing. I read the

0:37:42.600 --> 0:37:45.880
<v Speaker 1>other day Amazon said they're looking to get out of

0:37:46.040 --> 0:37:49.600
<v Speaker 1>millions of square feet of industrial space. Perhaps they might

0:37:49.640 --> 0:37:54.160
<v Speaker 1>have gotten a little too enthusiastic and overpurchased. Um, how

0:37:54.160 --> 0:37:56.640
<v Speaker 1>do you see the industrial side of things? Is that

0:37:56.800 --> 0:38:00.160
<v Speaker 1>just one company that acquired hundreds of building is and

0:38:00.239 --> 0:38:03.080
<v Speaker 1>maybe overdid it. What what does that space look like? Yeah, sure,

0:38:03.200 --> 0:38:06.400
<v Speaker 1>well there's no Several months ago Amazon had communicated that

0:38:06.440 --> 0:38:08.560
<v Speaker 1>they had they were going to slow down their industrial

0:38:08.640 --> 0:38:11.960
<v Speaker 1>expansion phase and they were going to sublease something in

0:38:11.960 --> 0:38:14.840
<v Speaker 1>the neighborhood a thirty million square feet, and the markets

0:38:14.880 --> 0:38:17.120
<v Speaker 1>on those days they announced it were concerned and the

0:38:17.120 --> 0:38:20.080
<v Speaker 1>stocks pulled back on the industrial real estate companies. But

0:38:20.160 --> 0:38:23.240
<v Speaker 1>the United States has eighteen billion square feet of industrial

0:38:23.280 --> 0:38:27.400
<v Speaker 1>real estate, and even though Amazon has been a major

0:38:27.480 --> 0:38:30.560
<v Speaker 1>player and one of the largest market participants. It's overall

0:38:30.600 --> 0:38:34.080
<v Speaker 1>market share is very small for the industry at large. Now, Barry,

0:38:34.160 --> 0:38:36.640
<v Speaker 1>I did expect when I sat here in January and

0:38:36.680 --> 0:38:39.560
<v Speaker 1>February March and we all saw the capital markets cracking,

0:38:40.200 --> 0:38:44.160
<v Speaker 1>I did expect. I'd imagine the CEOs all over the

0:38:44.160 --> 0:38:48.000
<v Speaker 1>country are going to start examining their usage of industrial

0:38:48.040 --> 0:38:50.839
<v Speaker 1>real estate and maybe leasing is going to soften. I

0:38:50.920 --> 0:38:54.279
<v Speaker 1>wasn't sure, but you you just had to think that

0:38:54.320 --> 0:38:57.480
<v Speaker 1>the market would cause that to occur. Well, sitting here

0:38:57.520 --> 0:39:01.400
<v Speaker 1>as of this morning, leasing velocity and industrial across the

0:39:01.480 --> 0:39:04.120
<v Speaker 1>United States has been as strong as it's ever been,

0:39:04.600 --> 0:39:08.000
<v Speaker 1>and there's no softening in demand that we've seen. I

0:39:08.040 --> 0:39:10.839
<v Speaker 1>know we're all anticipating a recession and we can talk

0:39:10.880 --> 0:39:14.439
<v Speaker 1>about all those things. Good good. Demand for goods has

0:39:14.480 --> 0:39:17.080
<v Speaker 1>not slown down at all. Consumer spending is a record

0:39:17.160 --> 0:39:21.359
<v Speaker 1>highs and the e commerce continues its penetration. So so

0:39:21.440 --> 0:39:24.280
<v Speaker 1>let's let's talk about e commerce and the retail space.

0:39:24.440 --> 0:39:27.759
<v Speaker 1>My friend Jonathan Miller, who is an appraiser and a

0:39:27.840 --> 0:39:31.520
<v Speaker 1>real estate analysts, said, it's not that retail is overbuilt,

0:39:31.560 --> 0:39:35.319
<v Speaker 1>it's that it's underdemolished. I love that line. What do

0:39:35.360 --> 0:39:39.000
<v Speaker 1>you think about about the retails. Sure, well, there's retail

0:39:39.040 --> 0:39:40.759
<v Speaker 1>and there's retail. And what I mean by that, there's

0:39:40.840 --> 0:39:44.680
<v Speaker 1>retail that's focused on selling goods, whether it's your malls

0:39:44.880 --> 0:39:48.040
<v Speaker 1>or your power centers, and these have for years been

0:39:48.160 --> 0:39:52.400
<v Speaker 1>under a duress, and that duress is continuing. But there's

0:39:52.440 --> 0:39:55.960
<v Speaker 1>other retail where their tendency is food and service. And

0:39:56.000 --> 0:39:59.799
<v Speaker 1>so during COVID, for example, grocery anchor shopping centers did

0:40:00.000 --> 0:40:03.880
<v Speaker 1>particularly well. Now some of the tenants adjacent to the

0:40:03.880 --> 0:40:08.560
<v Speaker 1>shopping center, who may sell goods slowly over time, are

0:40:08.600 --> 0:40:12.920
<v Speaker 1>being disintermediated by the Internet, and over long periods of

0:40:13.000 --> 0:40:18.200
<v Speaker 1>time that tendency is being reduced or mitigated. But food

0:40:18.239 --> 0:40:20.600
<v Speaker 1>and service, and so think about in the neighborhoods in

0:40:20.640 --> 0:40:23.239
<v Speaker 1>which you live in. Sure, you're going to have a

0:40:23.280 --> 0:40:25.640
<v Speaker 1>little strip center that's going to have a Starbucks on

0:40:25.640 --> 0:40:27.719
<v Speaker 1>one end, and it's going to have a subway on

0:40:27.760 --> 0:40:29.840
<v Speaker 1>the other end, and it's gonna have a cupcake store

0:40:29.880 --> 0:40:33.919
<v Speaker 1>and a Verizon wireless store, s a t tutoring, some

0:40:34.120 --> 0:40:40.120
<v Speaker 1>taekwondo ballet. It's all services. It's not the usual retail,

0:40:40.200 --> 0:40:42.520
<v Speaker 1>which kind of makes me look around at the big

0:40:42.560 --> 0:40:47.200
<v Speaker 1>box stores, the home depots, the targets, the lows, the

0:40:47.280 --> 0:40:52.000
<v Speaker 1>ones where you're not ordering plywood online, you have to

0:40:52.040 --> 0:40:54.879
<v Speaker 1>physically go and get that. So is that how we're

0:40:54.880 --> 0:40:57.279
<v Speaker 1>going to see this separate? Is that how this? I

0:40:57.320 --> 0:40:59.560
<v Speaker 1>think it's it's not how we're going to see that's

0:40:59.600 --> 0:41:02.040
<v Speaker 1>how it is separating. But I would I would lay

0:41:02.080 --> 0:41:04.879
<v Speaker 1>around another element to the discussion, which is and then

0:41:04.920 --> 0:41:08.560
<v Speaker 1>there is the capital markets. There is fund flows, and

0:41:08.840 --> 0:41:15.040
<v Speaker 1>institutional investors and individual investors have been very focused on industrial,

0:41:15.120 --> 0:41:20.000
<v Speaker 1>multi family and not focused on retail with a big

0:41:20.160 --> 0:41:22.960
<v Speaker 1>army retail, whether it's food and service or whether it's

0:41:23.000 --> 0:41:26.920
<v Speaker 1>goods oriented, and so there there are opportunities and the

0:41:26.960 --> 0:41:30.799
<v Speaker 1>food and service retail space because the underlying property fundamentals

0:41:30.800 --> 0:41:35.400
<v Speaker 1>are strong and the fund flows are diminished, leading to

0:41:35.480 --> 0:41:39.200
<v Speaker 1>less competition for that asset class. So that that's how

0:41:39.880 --> 0:41:42.560
<v Speaker 1>we look at and I look at retail real estate today.

0:41:42.880 --> 0:41:45.800
<v Speaker 1>So so people are painting with way too broad to brush.

0:41:46.200 --> 0:41:49.759
<v Speaker 1>You really have to focus on this group is doing

0:41:49.800 --> 0:41:52.200
<v Speaker 1>well and has a future, and this group maybe not

0:41:52.239 --> 0:41:54.640
<v Speaker 1>so much. I think I think we often paint with

0:41:54.800 --> 0:41:58.520
<v Speaker 1>very very broad brushes. But real estate is and there

0:41:58.520 --> 0:42:01.480
<v Speaker 1>are broad brushes. That makes sense, But Ultimately you need

0:42:01.560 --> 0:42:03.920
<v Speaker 1>to peel the onion back further and it is a

0:42:03.920 --> 0:42:06.239
<v Speaker 1>local business, and you need to look at markets and

0:42:06.320 --> 0:42:09.920
<v Speaker 1>sub markets and the corner of you know, vine and maple,

0:42:10.040 --> 0:42:13.879
<v Speaker 1>and you know, look at these property configurations and it

0:42:13.920 --> 0:42:17.680
<v Speaker 1>makes a ton of sense. So Crow recently announced that

0:42:17.760 --> 0:42:21.560
<v Speaker 1>they appointed Don Brooks as head of sustainability. Tell us

0:42:21.560 --> 0:42:26.600
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about how sustainability affects both development and

0:42:26.760 --> 0:42:29.759
<v Speaker 1>investing for commercial Realistic Absolutely well. First of all, there

0:42:29.800 --> 0:42:32.760
<v Speaker 1>there is no doubt that investors all around the world

0:42:33.280 --> 0:42:36.440
<v Speaker 1>are more and more focused on the carbon footprint of

0:42:36.480 --> 0:42:39.520
<v Speaker 1>their investors, and so the starting point of the discussion

0:42:39.680 --> 0:42:43.759
<v Speaker 1>is an ability to communicate accurately and effectively what in

0:42:43.880 --> 0:42:47.920
<v Speaker 1>fact is the carbon footprint of your investment activity, because

0:42:47.960 --> 0:42:50.960
<v Speaker 1>they want to know. There are some investors who are

0:42:50.960 --> 0:42:55.960
<v Speaker 1>specifically focused on I want to invest in properties specifically

0:42:56.160 --> 0:43:00.080
<v Speaker 1>geared towards minimizing their impact. Where we are as a

0:43:00.120 --> 0:43:02.000
<v Speaker 1>company today is, first of all, we need to make

0:43:02.000 --> 0:43:05.120
<v Speaker 1>sure that our investors understand the carbon footprint of the

0:43:05.120 --> 0:43:08.000
<v Speaker 1>properties that they're investing in and we're developing in. We're

0:43:08.080 --> 0:43:11.279
<v Speaker 1>also by our own accord as well as all of

0:43:11.320 --> 0:43:15.880
<v Speaker 1>the various local requirements increasingly as every year goes by,

0:43:15.960 --> 0:43:19.160
<v Speaker 1>the properties are becoming more efficient in a myriad of ways.

0:43:19.280 --> 0:43:22.720
<v Speaker 1>I'll give you one example. We are building in Frisco, Texas,

0:43:22.800 --> 0:43:26.520
<v Speaker 1>which is in the Dallas market, a mass timber building.

0:43:26.560 --> 0:43:29.800
<v Speaker 1>What that means is instead of using office building, instead

0:43:29.800 --> 0:43:33.520
<v Speaker 1>of using steel, there's now technology that allows you to

0:43:33.560 --> 0:43:38.040
<v Speaker 1>build very tall buildings out of compressed and laminated wood.

0:43:38.960 --> 0:43:42.840
<v Speaker 1>It's a much better carbon footprint. The impact of of

0:43:42.840 --> 0:43:46.560
<v Speaker 1>of trees growing versus the impact of producing steel has

0:43:46.560 --> 0:43:49.680
<v Speaker 1>a profound impact. And so many companies have told their

0:43:49.719 --> 0:43:53.240
<v Speaker 1>shareholders and society at large that we're going to achieve

0:43:53.280 --> 0:43:57.080
<v Speaker 1>a carbon net neutral impact by such and such date.

0:43:57.480 --> 0:43:59.839
<v Speaker 1>One of the ways they can impact that is by

0:43:59.840 --> 0:44:02.920
<v Speaker 1>the real estate that they occupy. And so whether it's

0:44:02.920 --> 0:44:07.000
<v Speaker 1>communicating how in fact your portfolio is doing, or whether

0:44:07.040 --> 0:44:12.040
<v Speaker 1>it's pursuing a specific um building approach to help the

0:44:12.080 --> 0:44:15.680
<v Speaker 1>investor meet their objectives, those are all areas of sustainability

0:44:15.719 --> 0:44:19.319
<v Speaker 1>for us. Really quite quite interesting. Um, it's hard to

0:44:19.400 --> 0:44:23.560
<v Speaker 1>imagine that you could do any decent sized skyscraper with

0:44:23.760 --> 0:44:26.880
<v Speaker 1>compressed wood instead of steel. But it's hard to believe,

0:44:26.920 --> 0:44:28.480
<v Speaker 1>and I don't have the data off the top of

0:44:28.520 --> 0:44:31.680
<v Speaker 1>my head. But city by city and building codes are

0:44:31.719 --> 0:44:34.560
<v Speaker 1>city by city. But you can now build properties ten

0:44:34.560 --> 0:44:37.760
<v Speaker 1>and fifteen stories tall, and in some markets even taller

0:44:38.080 --> 0:44:41.320
<v Speaker 1>given the strength and durability of the technology underlying the

0:44:41.560 --> 0:44:45.719
<v Speaker 1>mass temper. I'm really curious what the composite carbon materials

0:44:45.719 --> 0:44:48.680
<v Speaker 1>are when you see the pencil thin you know, super

0:44:48.680 --> 0:44:51.800
<v Speaker 1>skyscrapers in New York City on on Central Park South

0:44:52.120 --> 0:44:55.120
<v Speaker 1>and fifty seventh Street over there that are told in

0:44:55.160 --> 0:44:59.719
<v Speaker 1>anything around them and a tiny, you know, base footprint,

0:45:00.320 --> 0:45:02.960
<v Speaker 1>I think, but for that materials, they could not have

0:45:03.000 --> 0:45:06.520
<v Speaker 1>done that in traditional steel and alone. It's it's hard

0:45:06.560 --> 0:45:08.480
<v Speaker 1>to believe they're not going to topple over right. They

0:45:08.480 --> 0:45:10.640
<v Speaker 1>look like they're just they're just gonna snap in the breeze,

0:45:10.680 --> 0:45:13.640
<v Speaker 1>but uh not. Apparently it's lighter and stronger than steel.

0:45:14.040 --> 0:45:16.479
<v Speaker 1>Hard to argue with that. Let's talk a little bit

0:45:16.680 --> 0:45:21.040
<v Speaker 1>about how real estate is doing. Obviously it's done very

0:45:21.080 --> 0:45:24.200
<v Speaker 1>well over the past decade, given what's going on with

0:45:24.320 --> 0:45:27.440
<v Speaker 1>inflation and the Federal Reserve. What are you seeing in

0:45:27.480 --> 0:45:31.120
<v Speaker 1>the real estate market today? Yeah, Well, the real estate

0:45:31.160 --> 0:45:35.640
<v Speaker 1>is an asset class is generally leveraged. Now not everybody

0:45:35.719 --> 0:45:38.359
<v Speaker 1>is leveraging real estate, but generally it's leveraged. Most real

0:45:38.480 --> 0:45:41.560
<v Speaker 1>estate investors are using some amount of debt to acquire

0:45:41.600 --> 0:45:45.719
<v Speaker 1>their properties. The most core or stable investors might use

0:45:45.719 --> 0:45:49.919
<v Speaker 1>twenty percent leverage, the most opportunistic might use seventy five

0:45:50.000 --> 0:45:53.360
<v Speaker 1>or eighty percent leverage. But simply put, the cost of

0:45:53.400 --> 0:45:57.080
<v Speaker 1>debt is going up and the attractiveness and availability of

0:45:57.120 --> 0:45:59.959
<v Speaker 1>that is going down, and those two things are having

0:46:00.040 --> 0:46:03.960
<v Speaker 1>an impact on overall asset prices, and they're having an

0:46:04.000 --> 0:46:09.160
<v Speaker 1>impact on overall transaction activity, which has been declining. So you,

0:46:09.200 --> 0:46:12.879
<v Speaker 1>guys are a very very long term investor. You don't

0:46:12.920 --> 0:46:16.400
<v Speaker 1>have shareholders barking at you for quarterly results. Does this

0:46:16.480 --> 0:46:19.840
<v Speaker 1>create an opportunity for you, Well, there's always an opportunity

0:46:19.840 --> 0:46:22.759
<v Speaker 1>in the marketplace. Does this create a unique opportunity for

0:46:22.840 --> 0:46:26.360
<v Speaker 1>a firm like yours, I'm not sure it's a unique

0:46:26.520 --> 0:46:30.520
<v Speaker 1>opportunity in the marketplace. The marketplace today is still hunting

0:46:30.640 --> 0:46:34.400
<v Speaker 1>for that bid ask spread, and the marketplace as well,

0:46:34.560 --> 0:46:36.879
<v Speaker 1>and and and crow as well is looking for what

0:46:37.080 --> 0:46:41.680
<v Speaker 1>new opportunities are becoming available. We're all waiting for anticipating

0:46:41.719 --> 0:46:45.760
<v Speaker 1>some amount of distress for example, that hasn't yet really

0:46:45.800 --> 0:46:49.399
<v Speaker 1>developed in the marketplace at the margin. If you were

0:46:49.400 --> 0:46:51.880
<v Speaker 1>in the real estate debt business a year ago and

0:46:51.920 --> 0:46:55.000
<v Speaker 1>you accepted a certain return or a certain yield, well,

0:46:55.040 --> 0:46:57.960
<v Speaker 1>today those returns and yields are better. But guess what,

0:46:58.239 --> 0:47:01.640
<v Speaker 1>so is every other fixed income instrument out there, And

0:47:01.680 --> 0:47:04.960
<v Speaker 1>so the marketplace for real estate investors has not the

0:47:05.000 --> 0:47:08.919
<v Speaker 1>monstrably changed on that point a year ago. This would

0:47:08.920 --> 0:47:11.319
<v Speaker 1>be a global phenomenon as well as a US phenomenon.

0:47:11.600 --> 0:47:13.880
<v Speaker 1>The vast majority of investors, when you said what are

0:47:13.920 --> 0:47:17.920
<v Speaker 1>your most favorite asset classes, would have said industrial and

0:47:18.000 --> 0:47:20.879
<v Speaker 1>multi family. What are your least favorite asset classes? They

0:47:20.880 --> 0:47:24.040
<v Speaker 1>probably would have said something like retailent office. If you

0:47:24.239 --> 0:47:27.160
<v Speaker 1>pose those questions to them today, you would get that

0:47:27.600 --> 0:47:31.880
<v Speaker 1>same comment. Office has probably fallen further because of the

0:47:31.880 --> 0:47:34.720
<v Speaker 1>impact of COVID in the way that we're using office space,

0:47:35.080 --> 0:47:38.000
<v Speaker 1>and it's really the most interesting area of real estate

0:47:38.080 --> 0:47:42.879
<v Speaker 1>now with respected discussion the uncertainty about how companies will

0:47:43.040 --> 0:47:45.680
<v Speaker 1>use office real estate into the future. So so we've

0:47:45.719 --> 0:47:49.239
<v Speaker 1>already discussed retail in great detail, let's focus a little

0:47:49.280 --> 0:47:53.759
<v Speaker 1>bit on office. Obviously, remote work work from home probably

0:47:53.800 --> 0:47:57.239
<v Speaker 1>here to stay as much as as Jamie Diamond and

0:47:57.280 --> 0:47:59.440
<v Speaker 1>others are jumping up and down saying get back to

0:47:59.480 --> 0:48:05.120
<v Speaker 1>the office. Um, unless you're a giant multinational corporation, most

0:48:05.280 --> 0:48:08.600
<v Speaker 1>companies seem to be going some form of hybrid. So

0:48:09.360 --> 0:48:13.200
<v Speaker 1>a what does this mean to offices around the country

0:48:13.280 --> 0:48:16.920
<v Speaker 1>be what does it mean especially in urban centers. My

0:48:17.040 --> 0:48:20.879
<v Speaker 1>office is on Brian Park in Midtown. You know, it's

0:48:20.880 --> 0:48:23.120
<v Speaker 1>a beautiful day today. When I head back to my office,

0:48:23.160 --> 0:48:24.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure they're gonna it's gonna be busy in that

0:48:24.960 --> 0:48:28.120
<v Speaker 1>part of the city. But I would guess Midtown is

0:48:28.239 --> 0:48:31.680
<v Speaker 1>probably of what it was. What what are you seeing

0:48:31.760 --> 0:48:34.480
<v Speaker 1>and what are the opportunities? Yeah, well, look there is

0:48:34.520 --> 0:48:37.040
<v Speaker 1>no doubt and and I'll make a number up to

0:48:37.080 --> 0:48:40.720
<v Speaker 1>prove a point. Let's say before COVID, the average office

0:48:40.719 --> 0:48:43.359
<v Speaker 1>worker was in the office four point one days a week.

0:48:43.440 --> 0:48:45.880
<v Speaker 1>By making that number up, but that sounds about But

0:48:45.960 --> 0:48:48.759
<v Speaker 1>there's no doubt that not only today, but in three

0:48:48.840 --> 0:48:51.000
<v Speaker 1>years from now, it's not going to be four point

0:48:51.000 --> 0:48:53.160
<v Speaker 1>one days per week. Maybe it's three point three days

0:48:53.160 --> 0:48:55.239
<v Speaker 1>a week, maybe it's three points six days a week,

0:48:55.520 --> 0:48:59.800
<v Speaker 1>but fundamentally there's less demand. The second point is we

0:49:00.000 --> 0:49:02.040
<v Speaker 1>are much more in the world of have and have

0:49:02.200 --> 0:49:07.040
<v Speaker 1>nots with respect office space really meaning office needs to

0:49:07.080 --> 0:49:09.680
<v Speaker 1>be more attractive for your people to want to go

0:49:09.800 --> 0:49:13.200
<v Speaker 1>to than working out of their bedroom. And therefore, who

0:49:13.200 --> 0:49:15.920
<v Speaker 1>wants to work in in an eight or nine foot ceiling,

0:49:16.040 --> 0:49:20.160
<v Speaker 1>fluorescent light, no air, you know, no common space, no

0:49:20.320 --> 0:49:23.719
<v Speaker 1>collaborative space. And so you have the best office buildings,

0:49:23.800 --> 0:49:27.520
<v Speaker 1>the nicest office buildings, like your office building here, So

0:49:27.680 --> 0:49:30.880
<v Speaker 1>just for people who haven't been here, Bloomberg is built

0:49:30.880 --> 0:49:34.400
<v Speaker 1>around a courtyard, so there's light north southeast west, the

0:49:34.880 --> 0:49:37.640
<v Speaker 1>all the elevators you have to enter through the sixth floor,

0:49:38.040 --> 0:49:41.600
<v Speaker 1>which is filled with collaborative meaning spaces on five and four,

0:49:42.120 --> 0:49:45.560
<v Speaker 1>and all the food, coffee, everything is on six. Like

0:49:46.160 --> 0:49:49.000
<v Speaker 1>they were way ahead of their time when they designed

0:49:49.000 --> 0:49:52.759
<v Speaker 1>this building. And I'm sure they they also want more

0:49:52.760 --> 0:49:56.399
<v Speaker 1>people in the office. They're probably running they wanted over

0:49:57.200 --> 0:50:00.239
<v Speaker 1>How difficult is that going to be to achieve? It's

0:50:00.239 --> 0:50:03.719
<v Speaker 1>at some level it'll it'll be difficult. It's difficult for

0:50:03.760 --> 0:50:06.919
<v Speaker 1>people today. I think hybrid work. I wouldn't use remote work,

0:50:06.960 --> 0:50:10.239
<v Speaker 1>but hybrid work is is here to stay. But fundamentally,

0:50:10.280 --> 0:50:13.920
<v Speaker 1>imagine that this office building was nine ft ceilings, fluorescent lights,

0:50:14.000 --> 0:50:16.200
<v Speaker 1>no air, whatever that is what it used to be

0:50:16.239 --> 0:50:20.040
<v Speaker 1>fifteen years ago. I remember that building, and I understand

0:50:20.040 --> 0:50:22.840
<v Speaker 1>why they built this sure, and and last point on this,

0:50:22.880 --> 0:50:25.120
<v Speaker 1>and then we'll go to the spaces, these big urban

0:50:25.239 --> 0:50:28.520
<v Speaker 1>environments where your commute is bad. My commuting to New

0:50:28.600 --> 0:50:30.400
<v Speaker 1>York used to be an hour and a half each week,

0:50:30.760 --> 0:50:33.719
<v Speaker 1>each day, it's fifteen hours a week. If I was

0:50:34.000 --> 0:50:37.719
<v Speaker 1>still commuting between my home and New York City, there's

0:50:37.760 --> 0:50:39.560
<v Speaker 1>no way I'd be coming in five days a week.

0:50:39.880 --> 0:50:43.040
<v Speaker 1>And so fundamentally, I think the urban environments with long

0:50:43.120 --> 0:50:48.120
<v Speaker 1>commutes are more impacted than the suburban environments. And then

0:50:48.120 --> 0:50:51.480
<v Speaker 1>on top of that, imagine and let's say Manhattan on

0:50:51.560 --> 0:50:55.480
<v Speaker 1>Sixth Avenue, the old nineteen sixties white brick buildings right

0:50:55.520 --> 0:50:59.440
<v Speaker 1>are older buildings. There's gonna be a tremendous cost to

0:50:59.600 --> 0:51:03.000
<v Speaker 1>retro fit and upgrade these buildings, some of which will

0:51:03.000 --> 0:51:06.480
<v Speaker 1>make no economic sense. So there is a really fascinating

0:51:06.520 --> 0:51:09.080
<v Speaker 1>and I want to just keep harping on Bloomberg, but

0:51:09.120 --> 0:51:12.600
<v Speaker 1>there's there are three articles I sent you this morning

0:51:12.600 --> 0:51:16.320
<v Speaker 1>that I wanted to go over. One was Wall Street Journal,

0:51:16.320 --> 0:51:19.200
<v Speaker 1>one was New York Times, and one was Bloomberg. The

0:51:19.200 --> 0:51:23.480
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg pieces really fascinating because it's interactive. New York City's

0:51:23.520 --> 0:51:28.640
<v Speaker 1>empty offices reveal a globally global property issue, and they

0:51:28.840 --> 0:51:32.600
<v Speaker 1>exactly what you're talking about. These older buildings, not from

0:51:32.640 --> 0:51:36.360
<v Speaker 1>the thirties or forties, but from the seventies and eighties,

0:51:36.400 --> 0:51:40.280
<v Speaker 1>that don't have the modern amenities, don't have the higher ceilings,

0:51:40.360 --> 0:51:43.680
<v Speaker 1>don't have all this light coming in. How do you

0:51:43.840 --> 0:51:46.000
<v Speaker 1>how do you bring those buildings up to speed? Well,

0:51:46.040 --> 0:51:47.920
<v Speaker 1>I think it's gonna be a very long, slow grind,

0:51:48.120 --> 0:51:50.839
<v Speaker 1>and some of them depending upon the zoning. I saw

0:51:51.040 --> 0:51:53.360
<v Speaker 1>a month or two ago that silver Stein Properties in

0:51:53.360 --> 0:51:56.360
<v Speaker 1>Downtown Manhattan was taking an old office building and converting

0:51:56.360 --> 0:51:59.480
<v Speaker 1>it to apartments, and I think you'll see some of that.

0:51:59.640 --> 0:52:03.160
<v Speaker 1>So so let me interrupt you. Right there post nine eleven.

0:52:03.320 --> 0:52:07.320
<v Speaker 1>I have a vivid recollection of that whole downtown space

0:52:07.800 --> 0:52:13.000
<v Speaker 1>around the Merrill Lynch Winter Garden and the towers or

0:52:13.040 --> 0:52:17.160
<v Speaker 1>where the towers were, an enormous conversion to residential. And

0:52:17.200 --> 0:52:21.359
<v Speaker 1>now what was once like a semi office like mini

0:52:21.480 --> 0:52:27.160
<v Speaker 1>Downtown is almost residential. It's mostly residential. What do we

0:52:27.239 --> 0:52:30.440
<v Speaker 1>do with something like Hudson Yards that was just built

0:52:30.600 --> 0:52:34.359
<v Speaker 1>right before the pandemic? Can you really convert that much

0:52:34.400 --> 0:52:38.040
<v Speaker 1>office space to residential. Well, Hudson Yards is a beautiful,

0:52:38.160 --> 0:52:42.439
<v Speaker 1>modern respect that's exactly the kind of place people want

0:52:42.560 --> 0:52:46.120
<v Speaker 1>to to work at. And ultimately but is half empty

0:52:46.239 --> 0:52:49.200
<v Speaker 1>or or worse. Yeah, I don't, I don't know specifically. Well,

0:52:49.280 --> 0:52:51.200
<v Speaker 1>New York is taking it on the chin more than

0:52:51.239 --> 0:52:54.120
<v Speaker 1>most cities as a result of COVID because of the

0:52:54.160 --> 0:52:57.200
<v Speaker 1>transportation networks and the trains and and so I think

0:52:57.200 --> 0:52:59.400
<v Speaker 1>New York City is a bit unique across the United

0:52:59.440 --> 0:53:03.960
<v Speaker 1>States entirely. But it will be a very long grind.

0:53:04.440 --> 0:53:07.520
<v Speaker 1>You talk about downtown Manhattan that was twenty two years ago,

0:53:08.120 --> 0:53:10.880
<v Speaker 1>right twenty one years ago, and so this is a

0:53:10.920 --> 0:53:14.279
<v Speaker 1>matter of decades, the fundamental transition, and so there will

0:53:14.320 --> 0:53:17.040
<v Speaker 1>be a lot of pain to be experienced over a

0:53:17.160 --> 0:53:21.240
<v Speaker 1>very long period of time as the leases roll over

0:53:22.040 --> 0:53:25.320
<v Speaker 1>that we're in place and you're not able to release

0:53:25.400 --> 0:53:28.680
<v Speaker 1>the space at similar rents for an increase, you know,

0:53:29.239 --> 0:53:31.279
<v Speaker 1>or an amount of capital you're going to need to

0:53:31.360 --> 0:53:35.960
<v Speaker 1>spend to renovate the property. There will be properties that

0:53:36.000 --> 0:53:38.480
<v Speaker 1>are handed back to the lenders. There will be new

0:53:38.480 --> 0:53:41.160
<v Speaker 1>capital sources who come in. Some of them will get

0:53:41.160 --> 0:53:44.600
<v Speaker 1>redeveloped to apartment buildings. Some of them will get scraped

0:53:44.600 --> 0:53:48.000
<v Speaker 1>and torn down, and some of them will be um

0:53:48.280 --> 0:53:53.760
<v Speaker 1>uh made nicer and attractive to the office tenant. Going forward,

0:53:53.800 --> 0:53:56.359
<v Speaker 1>it will be a combination of all these forces at work.

0:53:56.520 --> 0:54:00.160
<v Speaker 1>All right, New York Times today, factory jobs or boom

0:54:00.160 --> 0:54:04.120
<v Speaker 1>like it's the nine seventies. US manufacturing is experiencing a

0:54:04.160 --> 0:54:08.239
<v Speaker 1>rebound as companies they had thousands of workers. That's industrial.

0:54:08.480 --> 0:54:10.640
<v Speaker 1>What do you see as as new factories going up?

0:54:10.800 --> 0:54:13.960
<v Speaker 1>That is terrific. There. Look, there are three forces driving

0:54:14.040 --> 0:54:16.560
<v Speaker 1>demand for industrial real estate. We talked about e commerce.

0:54:16.600 --> 0:54:20.000
<v Speaker 1>The second is this on shoring trend. Hundreds of thousands

0:54:20.000 --> 0:54:22.359
<v Speaker 1>of jobs are coming back to the United Many. It's

0:54:22.360 --> 0:54:26.640
<v Speaker 1>that huge. That article doesn't highlight. I don't believe all

0:54:26.640 --> 0:54:28.560
<v Speaker 1>the data, but there are jobs coming back to the

0:54:28.600 --> 0:54:31.200
<v Speaker 1>United States. And when those factories are built, there's gonna

0:54:31.200 --> 0:54:34.880
<v Speaker 1>be part suppliers and you're gonna need to store inventory,

0:54:34.920 --> 0:54:37.919
<v Speaker 1>and that's a big driver with respect to industrial real estate.

0:54:38.080 --> 0:54:41.520
<v Speaker 1>And the last driver is the transition from just in

0:54:41.680 --> 0:54:45.440
<v Speaker 1>time inventory to just in case inventory. So you go

0:54:45.560 --> 0:54:49.360
<v Speaker 1>from a very fragile system to a much more robust system. Correct.

0:54:50.120 --> 0:54:52.600
<v Speaker 1>And then the last article that caught my eye Wall

0:54:52.640 --> 0:54:56.759
<v Speaker 1>Street Journal. The US is running short of land for housing.

0:54:57.200 --> 0:55:01.080
<v Speaker 1>Land use restrictions, lack of infrastructure, nimby have all made

0:55:01.080 --> 0:55:03.720
<v Speaker 1>it harder for developers to find sites to build homes

0:55:03.719 --> 0:55:06.680
<v Speaker 1>and apartments. Without a doubt, it is out of land.

0:55:07.080 --> 0:55:09.600
<v Speaker 1>Every single year that goes by. It's becoming more and

0:55:09.640 --> 0:55:13.120
<v Speaker 1>more difficult to build housing for Americans. Whether it's the

0:55:13.160 --> 0:55:17.360
<v Speaker 1>availability of land as we become a denser society, or

0:55:17.400 --> 0:55:21.640
<v Speaker 1>whether it's the local nimbism and the entitlement process to

0:55:21.840 --> 0:55:24.520
<v Speaker 1>build new buildings. That's why we have a housing crisis

0:55:24.520 --> 0:55:26.640
<v Speaker 1>in America. So you and I both grew up in

0:55:26.680 --> 0:55:29.600
<v Speaker 1>Long Islands. I have family in Chicago and their view

0:55:29.680 --> 0:55:32.960
<v Speaker 1>for Thanksgiving, and I, as a Long Island New York kid,

0:55:33.560 --> 0:55:38.080
<v Speaker 1>was always surprised driving around suburban Chicago where there's a

0:55:38.160 --> 0:55:40.680
<v Speaker 1>couple of houses here, and then there's a small office

0:55:41.200 --> 0:55:44.440
<v Speaker 1>building here, and then there's a big apartment building here,

0:55:44.560 --> 0:55:47.680
<v Speaker 1>and it seemed like there were none of the land

0:55:47.760 --> 0:55:51.200
<v Speaker 1>use restrictions that we have in Long Island. Now there

0:55:51.200 --> 0:55:54.920
<v Speaker 1>have been more and more apartment buildings going up, but

0:55:55.040 --> 0:55:57.880
<v Speaker 1>they're pretty few and far between. How do you change

0:55:57.880 --> 0:56:01.799
<v Speaker 1>those restrictions to allow Greater down City. Well, this is

0:56:01.840 --> 0:56:04.120
<v Speaker 1>the this is the challenge we have. There's no doubt

0:56:04.120 --> 0:56:08.960
<v Speaker 1>that single family homeowners and do not want apartment buildings

0:56:09.200 --> 0:56:12.759
<v Speaker 1>built in their communities all across the United States and

0:56:13.239 --> 0:56:15.799
<v Speaker 1>uh land entitlement and the ability to build is a

0:56:15.880 --> 0:56:19.440
<v Speaker 1>local issue. The states and the federal government are not

0:56:19.520 --> 0:56:23.319
<v Speaker 1>driving the decisions with respect to what's get built in

0:56:24.040 --> 0:56:27.480
<v Speaker 1>on main street in your village. It's your local community

0:56:27.920 --> 0:56:30.640
<v Speaker 1>and the city council and the city planning people live

0:56:30.719 --> 0:56:33.880
<v Speaker 1>in those same local communities, and so the system is

0:56:33.880 --> 0:56:37.120
<v Speaker 1>not developed to deal with providing housing for the working

0:56:37.120 --> 0:56:39.640
<v Speaker 1>class in America. Now, whether the states are going to

0:56:39.680 --> 0:56:42.840
<v Speaker 1>be willing to step in. When Governor Newsom and California

0:56:42.880 --> 0:56:45.479
<v Speaker 1>a few years ago was elected, he had some big

0:56:45.520 --> 0:56:47.680
<v Speaker 1>plans for the state to come in and to tell

0:56:47.719 --> 0:56:51.799
<v Speaker 1>the municipalities what to do. That didn't quite happen. I'm

0:56:51.800 --> 0:56:54.160
<v Speaker 1>not aware of any other state I know. The city

0:56:54.200 --> 0:56:57.759
<v Speaker 1>of Minneapolis has put some regulations in place. You know,

0:56:57.800 --> 0:57:00.680
<v Speaker 1>there's regulations both in the state of Offornia and in

0:57:00.719 --> 0:57:06.680
<v Speaker 1>Minneapolis to allow for UH dwelling units on single family properties,

0:57:06.719 --> 0:57:08.880
<v Speaker 1>so it's no longer single family z owning. So you

0:57:08.920 --> 0:57:12.000
<v Speaker 1>can convert your garage into an apartment, you know, for

0:57:12.040 --> 0:57:15.560
<v Speaker 1>someone to live there. That's not the answer. The answer

0:57:15.640 --> 0:57:20.560
<v Speaker 1>is to allow density in transit oriented places where people

0:57:20.800 --> 0:57:23.480
<v Speaker 1>where the jobs are or where people can get to

0:57:23.520 --> 0:57:26.280
<v Speaker 1>their jobs. But this is a very difficult challenge, and

0:57:26.320 --> 0:57:29.240
<v Speaker 1>it's a large apartment developer. It's very difficult to have

0:57:29.280 --> 0:57:33.600
<v Speaker 1>any confidence in America today that we're gonna solve this problem.

0:57:33.600 --> 0:57:35.640
<v Speaker 1>And it's a real challenge for the working class, in

0:57:35.680 --> 0:57:37.560
<v Speaker 1>the lower class in this country. So you and I

0:57:37.680 --> 0:57:41.040
<v Speaker 1>both uh grew up on the island. You were in

0:57:41.160 --> 0:57:43.640
<v Speaker 1>Port Washington. I live in Locust Valley. We're both on

0:57:43.680 --> 0:57:47.080
<v Speaker 1>the northern shore of Long Island. The two towns in

0:57:47.120 --> 0:57:50.960
<v Speaker 1>between us one is Sea Cliff, which it used to

0:57:50.960 --> 0:57:54.560
<v Speaker 1>be a summer community, but right on the water across

0:57:54.960 --> 0:57:58.440
<v Speaker 1>across Hampstead Harbor from them is Glen Cove. And Glen

0:57:58.480 --> 0:58:02.240
<v Speaker 1>Cove had these wonderful plans to build um low income

0:58:02.280 --> 0:58:05.360
<v Speaker 1>housing on the water, create these high rise apartment buildings.

0:58:05.800 --> 0:58:09.960
<v Speaker 1>Twenty five years of litigation, and eventually what they end

0:58:10.040 --> 0:58:14.080
<v Speaker 1>up building is this huge run of luxury condos. They

0:58:14.120 --> 0:58:16.880
<v Speaker 1>go for a million dollars each in Glen Cove, which

0:58:16.960 --> 0:58:20.960
<v Speaker 1>is not Brookville or SAMs Point or any of the

0:58:21.480 --> 0:58:25.040
<v Speaker 1>you know better known Shishi neighborhoods. It was the only

0:58:25.040 --> 0:58:26.960
<v Speaker 1>way they were able to get it through. People in

0:58:27.000 --> 0:58:31.000
<v Speaker 1>seacliffs still screamed for years and it's ruining our view.

0:58:31.560 --> 0:58:33.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry, but if you want the few, you have

0:58:33.840 --> 0:58:37.000
<v Speaker 1>to go buy that property and leave it undeveloped. They're

0:58:37.000 --> 0:58:40.080
<v Speaker 1>allowed to build and and that's exactly what happened. You're

0:58:40.080 --> 0:58:43.120
<v Speaker 1>saying this is a door to door ground war. There's

0:58:43.160 --> 0:58:45.959
<v Speaker 1>no easy way to fix this at the present time.

0:58:46.400 --> 0:58:50.480
<v Speaker 1>Clearly the state could step in and and take control

0:58:50.520 --> 0:58:53.880
<v Speaker 1>over these decisions, but elected officials want to get reelected.

0:58:54.480 --> 0:58:56.480
<v Speaker 1>And if you want to shore fire away in your

0:58:56.480 --> 0:59:01.400
<v Speaker 1>local community to not get reelected, go pursue policies that

0:59:01.480 --> 0:59:04.919
<v Speaker 1>the single family home owners don't support. So let's talk

0:59:04.960 --> 0:59:07.160
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about single family homes, which I know

0:59:07.240 --> 0:59:11.880
<v Speaker 1>you don't build and and don't necessarily own. Um. All

0:59:11.960 --> 0:59:15.400
<v Speaker 1>the data I'm looking at is uh time on the

0:59:15.440 --> 0:59:18.680
<v Speaker 1>market is longer, Bidding wars have more or less gone away,

0:59:19.280 --> 0:59:23.840
<v Speaker 1>People getting over asked have been cut in half. Uh So,

0:59:23.920 --> 0:59:26.800
<v Speaker 1>clearly mark downs are happening on single family homes. Doesn't

0:59:26.840 --> 0:59:30.640
<v Speaker 1>mean it's gonna be like the financial crisis with stuff

0:59:30.680 --> 0:59:35.760
<v Speaker 1>fell thirt but not. Wouldn't be surprising to see single

0:59:35.800 --> 0:59:39.720
<v Speaker 1>family homes, especially in the hotter areas, soften a little bit.

0:59:40.360 --> 0:59:42.480
<v Speaker 1>What does this mean for you when you're looking to

0:59:42.640 --> 0:59:45.520
<v Speaker 1>do a commercial deal put up an apartment building. How

0:59:45.560 --> 0:59:49.919
<v Speaker 1>does residential single family homes affect multi family? Well, the

0:59:49.920 --> 0:59:53.080
<v Speaker 1>the irony of it is, those factors which are driving

0:59:53.120 --> 0:59:57.520
<v Speaker 1>down home sales are helpful with respect to rental properties

0:59:57.720 --> 1:00:01.080
<v Speaker 1>because if you're not gonna buy a home a place

1:00:01.120 --> 1:00:03.240
<v Speaker 1>to live, and at some point you're gonna want to

1:00:03.280 --> 1:00:05.880
<v Speaker 1>leave your parents basement, and at some point you're gonna

1:00:05.920 --> 1:00:07.560
<v Speaker 1>need a place to live, and you're going to rent.

1:00:07.920 --> 1:00:09.680
<v Speaker 1>Now you're going to rent an apartment or you're going

1:00:09.720 --> 1:00:13.200
<v Speaker 1>to rent a home. But these forces are positive with

1:00:13.240 --> 1:00:17.440
<v Speaker 1>respect to the underlying demand for rental housing in America.

1:00:17.560 --> 1:00:21.680
<v Speaker 1>And the past five years we've noticed UM household formations

1:00:21.680 --> 1:00:25.040
<v Speaker 1>have increased, which means more and more people are living together,

1:00:25.080 --> 1:00:28.840
<v Speaker 1>getting married, which eventually means a house, a baby, or

1:00:28.920 --> 1:00:35.560
<v Speaker 1>what have you. Um. How much more residential housing does

1:00:35.600 --> 1:00:40.040
<v Speaker 1>the United States need, especially the denser multi family How

1:00:40.040 --> 1:00:45.480
<v Speaker 1>many units can we build before we overbuild? Well? UM,

1:00:45.520 --> 1:00:48.520
<v Speaker 1>depending upon whose data you're looking at, it's somewhere between

1:00:48.640 --> 1:00:51.320
<v Speaker 1>two and seven million units of housing that we're under

1:00:51.320 --> 1:00:54.440
<v Speaker 1>housed in America. I mean, look at the homelessness that's

1:00:54.480 --> 1:00:57.760
<v Speaker 1>taking place in our major cities. This solution for that

1:00:57.880 --> 1:01:00.920
<v Speaker 1>is supply. The solution for all of this is supply.

1:01:01.320 --> 1:01:04.480
<v Speaker 1>And so Americans remember two thousand and five, six seven

1:01:04.800 --> 1:01:07.160
<v Speaker 1>when we had the subprime crisis and all these houses

1:01:07.160 --> 1:01:10.640
<v Speaker 1>were built, and arguably we were over housed at that

1:01:10.720 --> 1:01:14.520
<v Speaker 1>point in time, but then we were chronically undersupplied in

1:01:14.560 --> 1:01:17.520
<v Speaker 1>the decade plus and that deficit has grown year over

1:01:17.640 --> 1:01:21.720
<v Speaker 1>year over year, and so there's millions of houses or

1:01:21.800 --> 1:01:25.560
<v Speaker 1>apartments or housing units that we need to create again

1:01:26.200 --> 1:01:30.040
<v Speaker 1>for the working class and for the less affluent in America.

1:01:30.440 --> 1:01:33.160
<v Speaker 1>But it's very difficult. In the same exact places that

1:01:33.240 --> 1:01:35.480
<v Speaker 1>we need this, it's the most difficult to build it.

1:01:35.520 --> 1:01:38.160
<v Speaker 1>I'll give you one example and then then the numbers

1:01:38.160 --> 1:01:41.480
<v Speaker 1>are fictitious, but they'll be illustrative. We build a lot

1:01:41.560 --> 1:01:44.280
<v Speaker 1>in Houston, Texas, which arguably is one of the easier

1:01:44.320 --> 1:01:46.280
<v Speaker 1>markets in the United States to build in, and we

1:01:46.320 --> 1:01:49.080
<v Speaker 1>can build an apartment building for let's say, a hundred

1:01:49.120 --> 1:01:51.920
<v Speaker 1>and fifty thousand dollars per unit. If we go to

1:01:51.960 --> 1:01:55.960
<v Speaker 1>build that same exact physical building in southern California, that

1:01:56.000 --> 1:01:59.160
<v Speaker 1>will cost four hundred and fifty thou Half of that

1:01:59.240 --> 1:02:02.320
<v Speaker 1>might be land and labor, but half of that is

1:02:02.360 --> 1:02:08.160
<v Speaker 1>related to the regulatory fabric requiring us to undertake certain

1:02:08.200 --> 1:02:12.800
<v Speaker 1>building design and construct to meet the local requirements, such

1:02:12.840 --> 1:02:16.640
<v Speaker 1>as like capturing all the rainwater, and you need to

1:02:16.680 --> 1:02:20.200
<v Speaker 1>capture all of the rainwater your property and funnel it

1:02:20.240 --> 1:02:23.760
<v Speaker 1>into a water filtration system type of right, Well, they

1:02:23.800 --> 1:02:27.200
<v Speaker 1>do have a massive water shortage. I understand. I'm just saying,

1:02:27.800 --> 1:02:30.200
<v Speaker 1>what are we solving for in America? Are we trying

1:02:30.240 --> 1:02:33.320
<v Speaker 1>to produce housing for the less affluent in the working

1:02:33.320 --> 1:02:36.439
<v Speaker 1>class or are we not? If we are, let's get

1:02:36.560 --> 1:02:42.160
<v Speaker 1>serious about it. Huh. So what other states are especially easy,

1:02:42.200 --> 1:02:47.960
<v Speaker 1>like Texas or difficult like California to add additional residential units.

1:02:48.120 --> 1:02:50.240
<v Speaker 1>I think the most difficult is the West coast of

1:02:50.240 --> 1:02:52.560
<v Speaker 1>the United States, whether it's you know, parts of Oregon

1:02:52.640 --> 1:02:57.440
<v Speaker 1>or Washington or California, these cities, these urban California, you know,

1:02:57.560 --> 1:03:03.080
<v Speaker 1>But I always think of um like, uh, Oregon is

1:03:03.120 --> 1:03:07.560
<v Speaker 1>sort of like a libertarian wilderness. First of all, it's

1:03:07.600 --> 1:03:09.640
<v Speaker 1>not a it's not a rural issue. This is in

1:03:09.720 --> 1:03:13.840
<v Speaker 1>the dense, you know cities. But nonetheless, it goes back

1:03:13.840 --> 1:03:16.760
<v Speaker 1>to this point of yes, we wanted for the people

1:03:16.840 --> 1:03:20.800
<v Speaker 1>live here, but not in my backyard. Or if our developer,

1:03:20.840 --> 1:03:23.720
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna build that, but we're gonna require you to

1:03:23.840 --> 1:03:26.439
<v Speaker 1>give fifty of the units at this rent, You're gonna

1:03:26.440 --> 1:03:28.480
<v Speaker 1>have to build a park, You're gonna have to pay

1:03:28.520 --> 1:03:33.000
<v Speaker 1>certain fees, and they put on you elements that make

1:03:33.040 --> 1:03:38.040
<v Speaker 1>it development perspective and capital This isn't the real estate

1:03:38.040 --> 1:03:41.240
<v Speaker 1>developers point. The real estate developer is responding to the

1:03:41.240 --> 1:03:45.440
<v Speaker 1>capital markets and investors investing in real estate are seeking

1:03:45.480 --> 1:03:48.400
<v Speaker 1>a certain return profile. What about the Midwest. I know

1:03:48.480 --> 1:03:50.640
<v Speaker 1>there's been a little bit of a renaissance in cities

1:03:50.680 --> 1:03:56.360
<v Speaker 1>like Pittsburgh, Um, Cleveland, Milwaukee, they all are. Detroit even

1:03:56.440 --> 1:03:59.400
<v Speaker 1>is starting to recover from where it was. How do

1:03:59.440 --> 1:04:01.800
<v Speaker 1>you put up new units, especially in a place like

1:04:01.880 --> 1:04:04.440
<v Speaker 1>Detroit that what is half the population is left of

1:04:04.520 --> 1:04:07.800
<v Speaker 1>the best there? Yeah, I know it's um Farmland is recovering,

1:04:07.880 --> 1:04:10.400
<v Speaker 1>retaking parts of the city. Look, this issue is most

1:04:10.400 --> 1:04:13.000
<v Speaker 1>pronounced in the big cities where people want to live

1:04:13.600 --> 1:04:15.880
<v Speaker 1>and so When you go to some of the smaller

1:04:15.920 --> 1:04:18.120
<v Speaker 1>cities or the Midwest cities which aren't experienced in the

1:04:18.160 --> 1:04:21.440
<v Speaker 1>type of population growth, these difficulties are not nearly as

1:04:21.520 --> 1:04:25.000
<v Speaker 1>much of a challenge. And and and so those cities

1:04:25.040 --> 1:04:30.000
<v Speaker 1>are doing relatively okay. Nowhere is perfect. There's homelessness everywhere,

1:04:30.040 --> 1:04:33.480
<v Speaker 1>there's challenges for young people everywhere. There's challenges for teachers

1:04:33.520 --> 1:04:37.720
<v Speaker 1>and hospital workers and cops and firefighters all over America.

1:04:37.800 --> 1:04:41.360
<v Speaker 1>But it's most pronounced in your high cost of living markets,

1:04:41.360 --> 1:04:44.360
<v Speaker 1>whether it's the New York metro area, whether it's the

1:04:44.400 --> 1:04:50.280
<v Speaker 1>southern California area, Northern California, Seattle. It's cheaper and easier,

1:04:50.480 --> 1:04:53.480
<v Speaker 1>all things being equal, to develop in the southeast and

1:04:53.520 --> 1:04:57.320
<v Speaker 1>the Southwest, and so the problems are less pronounced as

1:04:57.360 --> 1:05:00.360
<v Speaker 1>well as you'll have from a entitlement p fact of

1:05:00.840 --> 1:05:06.200
<v Speaker 1>more pro business um entitlement policies in place that allow

1:05:06.320 --> 1:05:09.520
<v Speaker 1>for the development of real estate for these needs really

1:05:09.560 --> 1:05:12.320
<v Speaker 1>really intriguing. My last question before I get to my

1:05:12.360 --> 1:05:16.400
<v Speaker 1>favorites are is it safe to say you're pretty optimistic

1:05:16.520 --> 1:05:20.440
<v Speaker 1>about real estate development in the United States going forward,

1:05:20.520 --> 1:05:24.880
<v Speaker 1>despite the challenges that it faces. I think these fundamental

1:05:25.000 --> 1:05:29.640
<v Speaker 1>demand trends and industrial real estate are here for the

1:05:29.680 --> 1:05:33.600
<v Speaker 1>foreseeable future. I think America is under house, particularly with

1:05:33.680 --> 1:05:37.360
<v Speaker 1>respect to the working class and attainable housing that we need.

1:05:38.120 --> 1:05:43.520
<v Speaker 1>I think that office buildings again, going back to the modern,

1:05:43.520 --> 1:05:47.240
<v Speaker 1>open light, collaborative space, I think there's a demand for

1:05:47.320 --> 1:05:50.360
<v Speaker 1>that that will grow in time. And there are other

1:05:50.400 --> 1:05:52.440
<v Speaker 1>areas of real estate that we're going to continue to

1:05:52.560 --> 1:05:55.680
<v Speaker 1>need to increase the overall supply in America, And there

1:05:55.680 --> 1:05:57.800
<v Speaker 1>are other areas of real estate or other markets where

1:05:57.840 --> 1:06:01.280
<v Speaker 1>we're not going to And so like all topics, there's

1:06:01.280 --> 1:06:03.800
<v Speaker 1>a broad brush to paint and then there's smaller paint

1:06:03.840 --> 1:06:07.040
<v Speaker 1>strokes within that canvas. The devil is always in the details.

1:06:07.320 --> 1:06:09.560
<v Speaker 1>All right, Let's jump to our favorite questions we ask

1:06:09.640 --> 1:06:13.280
<v Speaker 1>all of our guests, starting with what kept you entertained

1:06:13.360 --> 1:06:16.280
<v Speaker 1>during the lockdown? What did you watch or listen to

1:06:16.360 --> 1:06:21.400
<v Speaker 1>either on Netflix or Amazon Prime or podcast or whatever. Well, um,

1:06:21.440 --> 1:06:23.760
<v Speaker 1>I think, like a lot of parents of of of

1:06:23.800 --> 1:06:27.360
<v Speaker 1>older kids, that March April May period was just brilliant

1:06:27.520 --> 1:06:29.960
<v Speaker 1>because every night I sat on the couch with my

1:06:30.040 --> 1:06:33.720
<v Speaker 1>three kids and we binge watched The West Wing with

1:06:33.760 --> 1:06:36.440
<v Speaker 1>Mark Chene, which is just fabulous. To watch that again,

1:06:37.000 --> 1:06:39.520
<v Speaker 1>and a show called Royal Pains, which was about a

1:06:39.560 --> 1:06:42.400
<v Speaker 1>doctor out in uh the east end of Long Island,

1:06:43.120 --> 1:06:46.120
<v Speaker 1>and uh that was really just a terrific family time

1:06:46.200 --> 1:06:49.240
<v Speaker 1>for us. Really interesting. Tell us a little bit about

1:06:49.320 --> 1:06:53.840
<v Speaker 1>your early mentors who helped to shape your career. I

1:06:53.920 --> 1:06:58.400
<v Speaker 1>have always been lucky and blessed through my job to

1:06:58.520 --> 1:07:02.440
<v Speaker 1>have someone seen or to me, wiser to me along

1:07:02.480 --> 1:07:05.120
<v Speaker 1>the way that would look out for me and I

1:07:05.160 --> 1:07:07.120
<v Speaker 1>would look out for them. And so from my first

1:07:07.200 --> 1:07:09.439
<v Speaker 1>job as a legal assistant, there was this great lawyer

1:07:09.440 --> 1:07:11.880
<v Speaker 1>and a marty hunger, you know, all the way through

1:07:12.000 --> 1:07:14.800
<v Speaker 1>most of my career at Morgan Stanley. But something happened

1:07:14.800 --> 1:07:18.320
<v Speaker 1>at forty years old. I was working at Morgan Stanley

1:07:18.440 --> 1:07:21.479
<v Speaker 1>and a guy, a terrific guy who's a mentor to mind,

1:07:21.800 --> 1:07:25.120
<v Speaker 1>went up and quit. And he walks into my office

1:07:25.120 --> 1:07:28.240
<v Speaker 1>and says, hey, you know, uh, last day here, you know,

1:07:28.360 --> 1:07:30.800
<v Speaker 1>still call me kid. I'm at forty He said, listen,

1:07:31.000 --> 1:07:32.840
<v Speaker 1>I just want you to know I'm going over. I'm

1:07:32.880 --> 1:07:36.120
<v Speaker 1>going to do this. And I was so deflated and

1:07:36.200 --> 1:07:39.280
<v Speaker 1>that I sat at my desk and realized, Okay, maybe

1:07:39.280 --> 1:07:41.920
<v Speaker 1>you're just old enough now and you're just gonna have

1:07:41.960 --> 1:07:44.080
<v Speaker 1>to figure this all out for yourself. But the truth

1:07:44.080 --> 1:07:47.120
<v Speaker 1>of the matter is, even today I work with the

1:07:47.160 --> 1:07:50.680
<v Speaker 1>senior partners at at my firm or terrific people. I

1:07:50.800 --> 1:07:54.240
<v Speaker 1>learned so much from them, and I whether it's Harlan

1:07:54.440 --> 1:07:56.880
<v Speaker 1>or a couple of the senior guys, I I consider

1:07:56.920 --> 1:07:59.840
<v Speaker 1>them mentors as well. Today. The guy who quit and

1:08:00.120 --> 1:08:03.960
<v Speaker 1>left you deflated, Yeah, he very much though, mentored you,

1:08:04.040 --> 1:08:07.200
<v Speaker 1>showing you there's life outside of a giant organization. And

1:08:07.240 --> 1:08:10.160
<v Speaker 1>you eventually followed in his footsteps. Absolutely, and he's a

1:08:10.240 --> 1:08:12.439
<v Speaker 1>terrific guy and I love him dearly. So let's talk

1:08:12.480 --> 1:08:15.640
<v Speaker 1>about some of your favorite books. And what are you

1:08:15.680 --> 1:08:19.080
<v Speaker 1>reading right now? When you pose a question, immediately comes

1:08:19.120 --> 1:08:21.960
<v Speaker 1>to mind. I RAN's Outlas Shrugged. There's no book that's

1:08:22.000 --> 1:08:23.640
<v Speaker 1>ever had such an impact in my life. And I

1:08:23.680 --> 1:08:26.360
<v Speaker 1>read that when I was a young man in college.

1:08:26.560 --> 1:08:29.040
<v Speaker 1>I read it in college. I had to fight my

1:08:29.120 --> 1:08:31.759
<v Speaker 1>way through that book. There's a speech in the middle

1:08:31.800 --> 1:08:35.080
<v Speaker 1>that's like eighty pages long. It just goes on. I

1:08:35.120 --> 1:08:37.559
<v Speaker 1>think the book is over a thousand pages. It just

1:08:37.640 --> 1:08:39.800
<v Speaker 1>shaped the way that I thought about the world, and

1:08:39.800 --> 1:08:42.479
<v Speaker 1>it was and it affected me in very profound ways.

1:08:43.160 --> 1:08:46.400
<v Speaker 1>Really like no other book. There was another book I read,

1:08:46.560 --> 1:08:48.360
<v Speaker 1>By the way, you're not the first person to refuse

1:08:48.439 --> 1:08:50.920
<v Speaker 1>that example. A lot of people say that that was

1:08:50.960 --> 1:08:53.759
<v Speaker 1>a formative experience for them. There was a book I read.

1:08:54.040 --> 1:08:56.559
<v Speaker 1>You know, I think there's all professionals we read books

1:08:56.560 --> 1:08:59.280
<v Speaker 1>on leadership and management. And in two thousand and five

1:08:59.320 --> 1:09:01.840
<v Speaker 1>I read a book, The Radical Leap, which was a

1:09:01.920 --> 1:09:05.200
<v Speaker 1>leadership book read written by this terrific guy named Steve Farber.

1:09:05.720 --> 1:09:11.400
<v Speaker 1>And The Radical Leap was love, energy, audacity, and proof um.

1:09:11.439 --> 1:09:13.400
<v Speaker 1>And it was just a great, easy read and it

1:09:13.680 --> 1:09:17.600
<v Speaker 1>stuck with me. Basically, you know, love in business is

1:09:17.640 --> 1:09:21.680
<v Speaker 1>fundamentally the source of of of being successful. And that

1:09:21.760 --> 1:09:25.599
<v Speaker 1>was also by coincidence how Trammel Crow viewed our business

1:09:25.600 --> 1:09:28.160
<v Speaker 1>in our industry, that love was the most important factor

1:09:28.200 --> 1:09:30.880
<v Speaker 1>in terms of success. The books I've been reading a

1:09:30.920 --> 1:09:34.160
<v Speaker 1>more more philosophy and history recently. So I wrote this,

1:09:34.320 --> 1:09:36.200
<v Speaker 1>read this great book called The Cave and the Light,

1:09:36.800 --> 1:09:41.200
<v Speaker 1>which is about Plato and Aristotle. There's this terrific thinker

1:09:41.320 --> 1:09:44.639
<v Speaker 1>named Jordan Peterson who written several books, and I'm reading

1:09:44.640 --> 1:09:49.120
<v Speaker 1>a book called Beyond Order right now. Occasionally I read fiction, um,

1:09:49.800 --> 1:09:52.160
<v Speaker 1>but not that often. I used to read a ton

1:09:52.200 --> 1:09:54.280
<v Speaker 1>of fiction, and I just never get to it these days.

1:09:54.360 --> 1:09:57.080
<v Speaker 1>If I'm on vacation, I'll bring a couple of fiction

1:09:57.080 --> 1:09:59.600
<v Speaker 1>and a couple of nonfiction books and see what what

1:09:59.720 --> 1:10:02.640
<v Speaker 1>gets the time. Um, what sort of advice would you

1:10:02.680 --> 1:10:06.000
<v Speaker 1>give to a recent college grad who is interested in

1:10:06.000 --> 1:10:10.400
<v Speaker 1>a career in real estate investing development? What would you

1:10:10.439 --> 1:10:13.040
<v Speaker 1>tell them? Well, look, I think some of the basics.

1:10:13.080 --> 1:10:15.360
<v Speaker 1>First of all, you know, if if you want to

1:10:15.400 --> 1:10:18.880
<v Speaker 1>be successful in these worlds of investment, broadly speaking, you're

1:10:18.920 --> 1:10:21.519
<v Speaker 1>gonna have to work really hard, and you're gonna have

1:10:21.600 --> 1:10:24.200
<v Speaker 1>to make sacrifices with respect to your life. And are

1:10:24.240 --> 1:10:26.640
<v Speaker 1>you prepared to do that? And and and that's the

1:10:26.680 --> 1:10:29.160
<v Speaker 1>first thing. The second thing, with respect to young people

1:10:29.160 --> 1:10:32.040
<v Speaker 1>looking to go in an industry, my my first argument

1:10:32.080 --> 1:10:35.400
<v Speaker 1>to them is go geographically where the epicenter of that

1:10:35.479 --> 1:10:37.879
<v Speaker 1>industry is. And so, if you want to be in fashion,

1:10:38.000 --> 1:10:39.800
<v Speaker 1>you want to be in New York. If you want

1:10:39.800 --> 1:10:41.439
<v Speaker 1>to be in music, you're gonna want to be in

1:10:41.520 --> 1:10:43.920
<v Speaker 1>Nashville or New York or in l A. And so

1:10:43.960 --> 1:10:46.639
<v Speaker 1>if you want to be in finance or investing, these

1:10:46.640 --> 1:10:49.680
<v Speaker 1>cities like New York still remain the epicenter of this,

1:10:49.960 --> 1:10:52.200
<v Speaker 1>and so go where there are lots of people in

1:10:52.200 --> 1:10:55.519
<v Speaker 1>the industry doing what it is that you want to do. Now,

1:10:55.560 --> 1:10:58.880
<v Speaker 1>the nice thing about real estate development and even real

1:10:58.960 --> 1:11:01.400
<v Speaker 1>estate investing is it's highly fragmented and all over doing

1:11:01.439 --> 1:11:04.720
<v Speaker 1>any states you can, you can do it anywhere. Um

1:11:04.760 --> 1:11:07.920
<v Speaker 1>really really interesting. And our final question, what do you

1:11:07.960 --> 1:11:11.160
<v Speaker 1>know about the world of real estate investing in development

1:11:11.200 --> 1:11:15.400
<v Speaker 1>today that you wish you knew thirty years ago? This

1:11:15.439 --> 1:11:19.280
<v Speaker 1>one's easy. I remember in training, sitting and training and

1:11:19.280 --> 1:11:23.439
<v Speaker 1>listen to Ralph Alcimpora, Oh technical strategies. Great guy, and

1:11:23.479 --> 1:11:25.639
<v Speaker 1>he sat up in front of all of us, young

1:11:25.840 --> 1:11:29.559
<v Speaker 1>smiling faces and showed us these charts predicting the future.

1:11:30.160 --> 1:11:32.719
<v Speaker 1>And I hung on his every word, and I could

1:11:32.720 --> 1:11:35.559
<v Speaker 1>have sworn that Ralph could predict the future. And then

1:11:35.600 --> 1:11:38.000
<v Speaker 1>I went and worked in these firms and listened to

1:11:38.040 --> 1:11:41.839
<v Speaker 1>the brightest people talk about the future, predicting the future

1:11:42.200 --> 1:11:44.840
<v Speaker 1>with respect to the capital markets, the stock market, the

1:11:44.880 --> 1:11:48.639
<v Speaker 1>GDP growth. And finally, at some point along the way,

1:11:48.720 --> 1:11:53.080
<v Speaker 1>I realized that none of these people, irrespective of their models,

1:11:53.800 --> 1:11:57.040
<v Speaker 1>know anything about the future. And so we sit here

1:11:57.040 --> 1:11:59.800
<v Speaker 1>today worried about the future. We feel it's a time

1:11:59.840 --> 1:12:02.800
<v Speaker 1>of tremendous uncertainty with the future. You know what, a

1:12:02.840 --> 1:12:06.559
<v Speaker 1>maximum point of uncertainty was what everybody felt certain December

1:12:08.120 --> 1:12:12.320
<v Speaker 1>because nobody anticipated that COVID would come. And so the

1:12:12.439 --> 1:12:14.599
<v Speaker 1>thing I know now that I didn't know that is

1:12:14.920 --> 1:12:17.640
<v Speaker 1>how do you run your business when you know you

1:12:17.760 --> 1:12:21.200
<v Speaker 1>don't know? And those of us who spend time trying

1:12:21.240 --> 1:12:22.880
<v Speaker 1>to think that we know what the future is going

1:12:22.920 --> 1:12:27.000
<v Speaker 1>to hold with respect to these cyclical activities, fundamentally are

1:12:27.000 --> 1:12:30.240
<v Speaker 1>setting ourselves up to either just be lucky or just

1:12:30.360 --> 1:12:35.520
<v Speaker 1>wrong a lot of the time. Really totally fascinating, um,

1:12:35.560 --> 1:12:38.320
<v Speaker 1>really really interesting. Michael, Thank you for being so generous

1:12:38.640 --> 1:12:42.519
<v Speaker 1>with your time. We have been speaking with Michael Leavy.

1:12:42.640 --> 1:12:47.000
<v Speaker 1>He is chief executive officer of Crow Holdings, a commercial

1:12:47.680 --> 1:12:51.840
<v Speaker 1>real estate developer and investor. If you enjoy this conversation,

1:12:51.840 --> 1:12:54.120
<v Speaker 1>we'll be sure and check any of our previous four

1:12:54.200 --> 1:12:57.880
<v Speaker 1>hundred such discussions we've had over the past eight years.

1:12:58.320 --> 1:13:01.919
<v Speaker 1>You can find that at I Tunes, Spotify, YouTube, wherever

1:13:02.040 --> 1:13:05.639
<v Speaker 1>you feed your podcast fixed. We love your comments, feedback,

1:13:05.720 --> 1:13:08.920
<v Speaker 1>end suggestions. You can write to us at m IB

1:13:09.080 --> 1:13:12.920
<v Speaker 1>podcast at Bloomberg dot net. Sign up from my Daily

1:13:12.960 --> 1:13:16.320
<v Speaker 1>reading list at Ridholts dot com, follow me on Twitter

1:13:16.439 --> 1:13:18.920
<v Speaker 1>at rid Halts. I would be remiss if I did

1:13:19.000 --> 1:13:21.880
<v Speaker 1>not thank the crack team that helps put these conversations

1:13:21.920 --> 1:13:26.960
<v Speaker 1>together each week. Sebastian Escobar is my audio engineer, Paris

1:13:26.960 --> 1:13:31.040
<v Speaker 1>Wald is my producer, Attica val Bron is our project manager.

1:13:31.400 --> 1:13:34.879
<v Speaker 1>Sean Russo is my head of research. I'm Barry Ridholts.

1:13:35.080 --> 1:13:38.639
<v Speaker 1>You've been listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio.