1 00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 1: Fresh episode of Fish Bites. It is Eli Sussman here, 2 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: the managing editor of Fish Stripes, hosting a podcast for 3 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 1: one of the few times all year. He probably didn't 4 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 1: hear a lot of my voice during this twenty twenty 5 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: just concluded Miami Marlins season. Extremely successful season, making it 6 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 1: to the postseason for the first time in seventeen years, 7 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 1: and winning a series once that got there, all the 8 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 1: great individual stories that came out of that, and what 9 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 1: it means for the outlook of the franchise moving forward 10 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:43,839 Speaker 1: very exciting. I mean, I've been on top of it, 11 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 1: but I just haven't been doing a whole lot of 12 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:48,559 Speaker 1: the audio portion of it. Busy running all of the 13 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:52,280 Speaker 1: articles we have on fishtripes dot com, the video editing 14 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:55,320 Speaker 1: that we do, the social media presence I have my 15 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 1: fingers and all that, and it took a lot of time. 16 00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:00,280 Speaker 1: As you noticed, I shifted a lot of the podcasting 17 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:05,479 Speaker 1: responsibilities to our Marlins Barbecue duo of Red Garcia and 18 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:09,200 Speaker 1: Alex Contreras. They're going to be continuing with their podcasting 19 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 1: throughout this exciting twenty twenty twenty twenty one offseason coming up, 20 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 1: and I don't want to make excuses for myself, you know, 21 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 1: just busy with a lot of other things, and the 22 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 1: fact that I'm not great at multitasking. So when I'm 23 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:24,119 Speaker 1: watching every play of every game, and I'm pretty sure 24 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 1: I did, I went sixty for sixty list tuning into games, 25 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:30,400 Speaker 1: which is sometimes very hard to do over a full 26 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:33,399 Speaker 1: length season. So in that way, the shortened season was 27 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: somewhat of a blessing that you're more intimately following every 28 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:40,720 Speaker 1: pitch than ever before because there was extra pressure on 29 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:43,319 Speaker 1: every single moment of the season, and I'm just not 30 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 1: great at multitasking, Like even if it was some of 31 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 1: those ugly blowouts, and you know, we did have a 32 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:50,720 Speaker 1: handful of ugly bloods this season, as reflected in the 33 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: team's run differential. All the experts will tell you that 34 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 1: Marlins aren't any good because that lopsided run differential, But 35 00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: you know what I mean, no matter what was going 36 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 1: on in the game, I'm just not great at the 37 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 1: recording while I'm watching. And now I finally have the 38 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 1: time to get back to the recording. So hopefully about 39 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:11,240 Speaker 1: a new podcast episode from me every single week, both 40 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 1: myself individually, but also a whole lot of guests coming 41 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: up that I think you guys will be really engaged 42 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 1: with This is going to be a solo episode, and 43 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: I'm going to try to do better with them than 44 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 1: I did last offseason. If you remember when I started 45 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:28,080 Speaker 1: doing a lot podcasting one off season ago, some of 46 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 1: those episodes ran like fifty five to minutes an hour. 47 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,919 Speaker 1: Sometimes it went over an hour just talking with myself 48 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:38,679 Speaker 1: about a terrible Marlins team. And even though the team 49 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 1: is now more exciting now, I want to be a 50 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 1: little bit more condensed and concise with my analysis about 51 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 1: the team. And we're starting with a topic that I 52 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 1: think everybody loves, which is predicting what the team is 53 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 1: going to look like at the started next season. And 54 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:55,440 Speaker 1: if you've been following the Marlins over these last couple 55 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:58,399 Speaker 1: of years under new ownership, they're so unpredictable with their 56 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 1: transactions and with the timing of their transactions. So I'm 57 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 1: not here trying to guarantee any correct answers with this, 58 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 1: but from following everything that's going on, from reading everything 59 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:12,720 Speaker 1: that the key members of the organization have said, and 60 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 1: also reading between the lines of what they've said and 61 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 1: what they have not said, I feel like I have 62 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 1: a pretty good idea of what that opening Day twenty 63 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one lineup is going to look like. So 64 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 1: that's what this episode is going to be about, going 65 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 1: through my picks at the moment as of what are 66 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:30,959 Speaker 1: we in the second week of October, about five and 67 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 1: a half months away from the actual opening day. This 68 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 1: is my way too early prediction about what that opening 69 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 1: day lineup is going to look like on April first, 70 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one at Marlins Park against the Tampa Bay Rays. 71 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 1: And as things are going right now, Tampa Bay, if 72 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: they're not gonna be the reigning World Series champions, they're 73 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 1: going to be pretty close. They're in a great position 74 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 1: as things go right now, it will be a tough opponent. 75 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 1: And I'm gonna be making this prediction with the assumption 76 00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 1: that they're going to be using some right handed picture 77 00:03:59,040 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 1: to start the game with the raid is they're even 78 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 1: more unpredictably. You don't know how exactly they're going to 79 00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 1: stack up all those talented arms that they have. If 80 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 1: I'm under the impression right now, my guess would be 81 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 1: that Tyler Glass now gets that opening day assignment and 82 00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 1: makes the start. So my prediction is going to be 83 00:04:13,840 --> 00:04:16,159 Speaker 1: assuming with a right hander on the mound that the 84 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: Marlins are facing. For a very quick review, we look 85 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 1: back at opening Day twenty twenty July twenty fourth, a 86 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:29,280 Speaker 1: game that you guys probably remember. The team won very 87 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 1: convincingly against the Phillies. So just a review of where 88 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,680 Speaker 1: we've come from to start the twenty twenty season. This 89 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 1: was the opening day lineup. In center field, leading off 90 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:41,680 Speaker 1: Jonathan vr batting second at first base, heyesuss Agui Lar 91 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:45,560 Speaker 1: batting third. Playing left field was Corey Dickerson. In the 92 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:49,440 Speaker 1: cleanup spot in right field was my guy Harold Ramirez 93 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:54,680 Speaker 1: in the fifth spot at third base, Brian Anderson batting sixth. 94 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:59,839 Speaker 1: Designated hitter Garrett Cooper batting seventh, Second baseman Isan Diez 95 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 1: batting eighth, Starting catcher Francisco Cervelli and batting ninth was 96 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 1: shortstop Miguel Rojas. Starting pitcher Sandy Alcontra. As you guys 97 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:13,760 Speaker 1: probably remember very vividly, Sandy was dealing in that game, 98 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 1: an excellent performance, and Aguilar hit a home run I 99 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:19,480 Speaker 1: believe in that game as well. The team won that game. 100 00:05:19,880 --> 00:05:22,920 Speaker 1: This is one of those strange situations where we can guarantee, 101 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 1: we can guarantee that the opening day lineup next year 102 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 1: is going to be different than this past year, and 103 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:33,920 Speaker 1: that's because Francisco Cervelli has retired. He retired a couple 104 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:36,400 Speaker 1: weeks ago, right after the end of the regular season, 105 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:40,919 Speaker 1: citing putting his health above all his other priorities. Someone 106 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: that unfortunately suffered repeated concussions as a catcher, and unfortunately 107 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:48,320 Speaker 1: his career was cut short a little bit, even at 108 00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:50,840 Speaker 1: thirty four years old. He was performing so well when 109 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 1: he was actually healthy. And also, of course during the 110 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:58,000 Speaker 1: twenty twenty season, the Marlins traded Jonathan vr to Toronto 111 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:00,240 Speaker 1: during the year, and now he's going to be a 112 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:03,360 Speaker 1: free agent at the time that the Marlins, I would guess, 113 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 1: are extremely extremely unlikely to resign him, but you never know, 114 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:10,520 Speaker 1: he'll be available at a good value. So what's possible 115 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 1: in either case with Cervelli retiring, there's gonna have to 116 00:06:13,320 --> 00:06:16,120 Speaker 1: be some change to this lineup from one year to 117 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:19,240 Speaker 1: the next. And again, just to fast forward to put 118 00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:21,560 Speaker 1: this in full context, this is where they were on 119 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:24,839 Speaker 1: the final game of the twenty to twenty season, the 120 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 1: Game three of the National League Division Series against the Braves. 121 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:30,360 Speaker 1: This lineup was the one that was shut out and 122 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 1: lost heading into the offseason on a sour note. It 123 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:36,920 Speaker 1: had a lot of similarities to opening day leadoff man 124 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:41,240 Speaker 1: in right field John Birdie batting second, left fielder Corey Dickerson. 125 00:06:41,480 --> 00:06:45,720 Speaker 1: Betting third was Aggie Lara playing first base. Cleanup was 126 00:06:46,360 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 1: Brian Anderson at third base. Batting fifth was Cooper the 127 00:06:50,320 --> 00:06:53,919 Speaker 1: designated hitter. Jazz Chisholm was a starting second baseman and 128 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 1: batting sixth in the lineup. Then it was Miguel Rojas. 129 00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:01,559 Speaker 1: Begneris Sierra was in the eighth spot in center field, 130 00:07:01,880 --> 00:07:06,039 Speaker 1: Chad Wallach the starting catcher batting ninth, and finally six 131 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 1: Oh Sanchez started that game on the mound. And once again, 132 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 1: you can't in this case, you can't totally guarantee that 133 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: the lineup is going to be different for opening Day 134 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,680 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one, but I think it's highly likely with 135 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 1: some of those players being shifted into different roles and 136 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 1: maybe some that get traded altogether. 137 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 2: So without further ado, we go to. 138 00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 1: My twenty twenty one opening day lineup prediction, way too 139 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:32,239 Speaker 1: early prediction. I reserved the right to update this prediction 140 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 1: as we get closer to the real thing. First, we'll 141 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: get out of the way the starting pitcher, which to 142 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: me is a pretty easy, pretty obvious choice. I wouldn't 143 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:43,240 Speaker 1: say it's an easy choice if I was in the 144 00:07:43,280 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 1: position of actually making the decision, but I believe it's 145 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 1: pretty clear that if Sandy el Contra is healthy in 146 00:07:50,200 --> 00:07:52,600 Speaker 1: April of twenty twenty one, that he's going to be 147 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 1: on the mound for opening Day. I'm someone that has 148 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 1: always been relatively low on Sandy at the time they 149 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 1: traded for him, at the time of his debut, even 150 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: at the time when he was named an All Star 151 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: midway through the twenty nineteen season, there was a lot 152 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 1: of concerns to me about his consistency, and he has 153 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 1: totally flipped that switch, I guess, starting in August of 154 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:18,200 Speaker 1: twenty nineteen, making about fifteen or sixteen starts combined between 155 00:08:18,240 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 1: the end of that year and then in the shortened 156 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:24,400 Speaker 1: twenty twenty season, and consistency has been the key for him. 157 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:27,760 Speaker 1: I mean, it's been really incredible how he has limited 158 00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 1: his walks. He didn't issue more than three walks in 159 00:08:30,960 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 1: any game during this past season, and also the length 160 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 1: that he is providing. He's a guy that you had 161 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:39,679 Speaker 1: very real concerns about his control and his pitch efficiency, 162 00:08:40,040 --> 00:08:42,320 Speaker 1: and he's put those concerns to bed with how he 163 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 1: performed at the end of twenty nineteen and then in 164 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:46,959 Speaker 1: this past twenty twenty season. 165 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 2: One two ohon he caught him. 166 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:52,280 Speaker 3: It was out there for Acuonya at ninety eight, but 167 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:56,240 Speaker 3: he could not connect big strikeout from Alcontra to leave 168 00:08:56,280 --> 00:08:57,559 Speaker 3: two stranded. 169 00:08:57,480 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 1: ERA of three even during this past year and during 170 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:03,560 Speaker 1: down the stretch those last couple of months of twenty 171 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 1: nineteen and ERA in the high twos, that if he's 172 00:09:07,240 --> 00:09:09,120 Speaker 1: going to keep the ball in the ballpark and he's 173 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:12,440 Speaker 1: gonna throw strikes the way his pitches move, he's gonna 174 00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:14,680 Speaker 1: avoid the barrel of the bat, he's going to generate 175 00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:17,320 Speaker 1: so many ground balls, and he's going to be a 176 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:20,320 Speaker 1: really effective pitcher. And even more so than that, you know, 177 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 1: you've been able to see the kind of the way 178 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 1: that his teammates feel about him, the way that his 179 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:28,160 Speaker 1: manager feels about him, and how he's grown into a 180 00:09:28,200 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: more mature, more confident player over these past couple of years. 181 00:09:32,600 --> 00:09:35,839 Speaker 1: And for that reason, he has distinguished himself as one 182 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: of the leaders of the team. And the way that 183 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 1: he's been performing so consistently, they're gonna give him that 184 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:44,040 Speaker 1: assignment once again. He was the opening day start in 185 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:47,160 Speaker 1: twenty twenty, and my prediction at this point is that 186 00:09:47,280 --> 00:09:49,760 Speaker 1: he's probably gonna be the guy for twenty twenty one, 187 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:54,319 Speaker 1: even though I feel very strongly about Pablo Pablo Lopez. 188 00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:58,080 Speaker 1: Even before Pablo had the results that met up with 189 00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 1: his pure ability and his I believed in him and 190 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 1: he really showed out last year. 191 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:03,800 Speaker 2: Six do Sanchez. 192 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 1: I still think the world of him and his potential, 193 00:10:06,559 --> 00:10:08,840 Speaker 1: but we're just focusing on the first game of the season, 194 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 1: and Sandy I expect to be on the mound for that. 195 00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 1: So now, going through the lineup one through nine in 196 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:18,439 Speaker 1: the leadoff spot for the Marlins next year, I expect 197 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:22,200 Speaker 1: to be center fielder Starling Marte. With all these players, 198 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:25,440 Speaker 1: I don't want to drown too many numbers into the podcast, 199 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:28,200 Speaker 1: so I'll just stick with some very simple stats, and 200 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 1: I'm going to tie the twenty nineteen and twenty twenty 201 00:10:30,840 --> 00:10:34,360 Speaker 1: seasons together because I know the most recent season is 202 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:37,320 Speaker 1: always fresh on our mind and it's always a key 203 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:40,680 Speaker 1: factor when trying to project what's going to happen next year. 204 00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 1: But it being such a shortened season, and given some 205 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:47,679 Speaker 1: of the really outlier performances we saw last year, I 206 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:50,440 Speaker 1: think the responsible thing to do is to refer to 207 00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 1: combined stats over the twenty nineteen and twenty twenty seasons 208 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:58,320 Speaker 1: when discussing these players, and I imagine the Marlins themselves 209 00:10:58,360 --> 00:11:00,520 Speaker 1: will tell you that that's going to be a pretty 210 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:03,559 Speaker 1: big factor going into this They're going to be combining 211 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 1: a larger sample size to get a more realistic feel 212 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 1: for these players. So over the last two seasons, Starling 213 00:11:09,960 --> 00:11:14,040 Speaker 1: Marte combined between the This is combined actually between three teams, 214 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:17,079 Speaker 1: between the Pirates, the Diamondbacks, and the Marlins. Two ninety 215 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:20,520 Speaker 1: one batting average, three p forty two on base for 216 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:24,839 Speaker 1: eighty one slugging a one to sixteen weighted runs created plus. 217 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:27,599 Speaker 1: So with weighted runs created plus one hundred is the 218 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:30,560 Speaker 1: league average adjusted for the league you're playing in, the 219 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 1: ballparks you're playing in, and relative to that sixteen percent 220 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:35,720 Speaker 1: better than the league average. 221 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:36,880 Speaker 2: With his bat alone. 222 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 1: And thirty five stolen bases dating back to the start 223 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:44,400 Speaker 1: of the twenty nineteen season, Starling was the key acquisition 224 00:11:44,440 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 1: they got at the trade deadline this past year. He 225 00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: is under contract for twoin twenty one, they'll have to 226 00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 1: pick up that club option for him, pay him twelve 227 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 1: point five million dollars, which will make him the highest 228 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:58,559 Speaker 1: paid hitter on the team ever since this rebuild started. 229 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:00,760 Speaker 1: I mean right when new ownership came in, they traded 230 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:04,280 Speaker 1: away the most expensive hitters on the payroll. You guys 231 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 1: remember that, and Marte isn't quite in gian Carlo Stanton territory. 232 00:12:08,679 --> 00:12:10,800 Speaker 1: But he's a pretty big investment that the team is making. 233 00:12:11,040 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 1: They're making that investment because he has a long major 234 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 1: league track record, a very good major league track record, 235 00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:18,240 Speaker 1: and he helps the offense in a lot of ways 236 00:12:18,559 --> 00:12:21,360 Speaker 1: in addition to playing one of the most important defensive 237 00:12:21,360 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 1: positions on the field, being in center field. That was 238 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:26,520 Speaker 1: such a huge question for the Marlins entering twenty twenty 239 00:12:26,920 --> 00:12:29,600 Speaker 1: and health permitting. You know, Startling did finish the year 240 00:12:29,640 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 1: with a fractured left pinky, but he has plenty of 241 00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 1: time for that to heal, and I expect him to 242 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 1: be at the top of the lineup to start next year. 243 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:41,000 Speaker 1: A guy that I was really excited for them to acquire, 244 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:43,520 Speaker 1: and the early returns for him were very positive. 245 00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:45,440 Speaker 2: Just had that ill timed injury. 246 00:12:47,000 --> 00:12:51,079 Speaker 4: And Marte puts a charge into one to right Harper's back. 247 00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:55,720 Speaker 4: Goodbye home run, starling Marte to the opposite field. 248 00:12:56,800 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 3: Yes, he's got that kind of power the other way 249 00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:01,559 Speaker 3: it might have been. The only question I had about 250 00:13:01,559 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 3: is Charlie Bartay's game, and we saw it earlier this 251 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:08,839 Speaker 3: series within long double basses, clearing double, game tying double 252 00:13:08,880 --> 00:13:09,720 Speaker 3: off the wall. 253 00:13:09,800 --> 00:13:10,800 Speaker 2: Let's take it another look. 254 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 3: At how much power he's got. 255 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 1: My goodness, batting seconds in my predicted lineup. Second baseman 256 00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:21,560 Speaker 1: Jazz Chisholm. His stats last year were pretty ugly during 257 00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:24,439 Speaker 1: the major league season. That goes with most of the 258 00:13:24,520 --> 00:13:27,480 Speaker 1: rookies that we saw debut for the Marlins. For Jazz, 259 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 1: he batted one sixty one, a two forty two on 260 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:33,480 Speaker 1: base percentage, a three to twenty one slugging, a fifty 261 00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:37,040 Speaker 1: six waited to runs created, plus who was striking out 262 00:13:37,400 --> 00:13:39,839 Speaker 1: thirty percent of the time. He did finish the year 263 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:42,400 Speaker 1: on a pretty encouraging note. The final game with the 264 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:45,040 Speaker 1: regular season against the Yankees, he had his best overall 265 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:48,160 Speaker 1: game on both sides of the ball. He nearly homered 266 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:49,600 Speaker 1: his first time up at the plate, and then he 267 00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:50,560 Speaker 1: actually did homer. 268 00:13:50,679 --> 00:13:52,000 Speaker 2: To write center his next time up. 269 00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:56,200 Speaker 1: Played great defense really for most of the time that 270 00:13:56,240 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 1: he was up this year, and that especially stands out 271 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:01,560 Speaker 1: because he spent almost all of that call up at 272 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 1: second base, which is somewhat of a foreign position for him. 273 00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:07,960 Speaker 1: Developed most of his minor league career as a shortstop, 274 00:14:08,320 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 1: and the only reason why I don't have him playing 275 00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:13,440 Speaker 1: spoiler alert, I have Miguel Rojas in the lineup at 276 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:16,760 Speaker 1: shortstop here coming up, and that's a reason why Jazz 277 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 1: I believe, at least for the start of next year, 278 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,560 Speaker 1: will be adopting this new position on the right side 279 00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 1: of the infield at second base. Even with the performance, 280 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:28,360 Speaker 1: there was some encouraging things to go along with it. 281 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 1: He was the victim of some bad luck. A two 282 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:34,360 Speaker 1: hundred batting average on balls and play the league average 283 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 1: is pretty close to three hundred for everybody else, and 284 00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 1: for someone that hits the ball as hard as he does, 285 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:42,720 Speaker 1: someone who runs as well as Jazz does, that number 286 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:44,360 Speaker 1: is going to come way up as he gets a 287 00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:49,040 Speaker 1: larger sample size under his belt. He's an electric player. 288 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 1: The Marlins did make a big investment in order to 289 00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: acquire him from the Diamondbacks, trading away Zach Allen, they're 290 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:57,920 Speaker 1: going to give him every chance to succeed. At this 291 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 1: time last year, we were talking about Isan as being 292 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:05,000 Speaker 1: that homegrown second basement of the future. Eson also struggled 293 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 1: in his debut as a rookie in twenty nineteen, but 294 00:15:08,560 --> 00:15:11,120 Speaker 1: the tools aren't quite the same as what Jazz has. 295 00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:13,760 Speaker 1: I think what already stands out for both guys, who, 296 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:16,520 Speaker 1: as I said, have have really not accomplished much of 297 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:18,840 Speaker 1: anything in the major leagues at this point is that 298 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:22,440 Speaker 1: Jazz has all the same raw power, but he had 299 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 1: so much more as a defender and as a base 300 00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: runner that Esan doesn't. 301 00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:28,360 Speaker 2: So those guys I. 302 00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 1: Would expect to both get their fair shot to compete 303 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:33,920 Speaker 1: in spring training. I just think Jazz is going to 304 00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 1: win that competition, and that he's going to have the 305 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:39,040 Speaker 1: path maybe not to play every single day to start 306 00:15:39,040 --> 00:15:40,720 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty one season, but he's going to be 307 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 1: playing a lot, and especially against right handed pitching. So 308 00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:46,320 Speaker 1: I expect him to be on the field, and I 309 00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:48,040 Speaker 1: also expect him to be high up in the lineup 310 00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 1: despite the lack of track record, just because of the 311 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:53,440 Speaker 1: tools that he has. And one thing that stuck out 312 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:56,440 Speaker 1: to me is that looking at the top of the lineup. 313 00:15:56,600 --> 00:15:59,560 Speaker 1: One thing that I know Don Mattingly puts a big 314 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:03,080 Speaker 1: emphasis on is working deep counts and working quality counts. 315 00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:05,920 Speaker 1: Despite the pretty lousy results that Jazz had in the 316 00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:09,240 Speaker 1: major leagues during the twenty twenty season, he was averaging 317 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:14,120 Speaker 1: four point twenty four pitches per plate appearance, a big number. Now, 318 00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:15,720 Speaker 1: to be fair, that number is always going to be 319 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 1: relatively high if you're striking out a lot, because it 320 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 1: does take a lot of pitches to strike out. But 321 00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 1: what Jazz did is he he did have a pretty 322 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:26,520 Speaker 1: patient approach. He only swung the first pitch about a 323 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: quarter of the time, and he despite the strikeouts, he 324 00:16:30,720 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 1: didn't really have this alarming issue of swinging and missing. 325 00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:37,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm pretty high on him. 326 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 1: I think the Marlins are high on him, and they're 327 00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:41,400 Speaker 1: going to give him an opportunity to get a whole 328 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:43,680 Speaker 1: lot of plate appearances from the very star of the season. 329 00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:47,240 Speaker 1: So number three in my predicted lineup for opening day 330 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:52,680 Speaker 1: designated hitter heyesus Aguilar arguably one of the most valuable 331 00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:55,080 Speaker 1: players on the whole team, mainly because. 332 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:55,840 Speaker 2: Of his availability. 333 00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:57,920 Speaker 1: He was only one of a few players that actually 334 00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:01,560 Speaker 1: stuck on the active roster for the entire season, survives 335 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:05,439 Speaker 1: the COVID outbreak, and he was pretty consistently great, especially 336 00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:06,800 Speaker 1: at the start of the year. He was a big 337 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:10,000 Speaker 1: run producer, and he really heated up again towards the 338 00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 1: end of the year as well. He was just a 339 00:17:12,040 --> 00:17:15,160 Speaker 1: really great find for this team as a waiver claim. 340 00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:17,720 Speaker 1: I mean, for all the intelligence that the Tampa Bay 341 00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:21,480 Speaker 1: Rays had, they just basically let this guy go. He's 342 00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:24,040 Speaker 1: going to be arbitration eligible again in twenty twenty one. 343 00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 1: He's going to get a significant rays. So this is 344 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:30,680 Speaker 1: where I guess there's some uncertainty. This is where I 345 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:34,240 Speaker 1: could be looking pretty silly having Aguilar in my projected lineup, 346 00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:38,160 Speaker 1: because I'm not entirely sure that he's going to be here. 347 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:41,680 Speaker 1: He's going to be earning a pretty significant race. I 348 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:45,080 Speaker 1: would guess somewhere in the five million dollar range is 349 00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:47,120 Speaker 1: how much his salary is going to be next year 350 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:50,439 Speaker 1: for a guy that did play every single day this 351 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:53,439 Speaker 1: past season. He doesn't necessarily have a big track record 352 00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:55,560 Speaker 1: of being an everyday player though, even when he's been 353 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:59,400 Speaker 1: successful with his previous teams, and there's only so many 354 00:17:59,440 --> 00:18:01,239 Speaker 1: players in the Marlins are going to put on their 355 00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:05,280 Speaker 1: roster that are first base DH only type of players. 356 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:08,679 Speaker 1: They love that defensive versatility. That's been a pretty common 357 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 1: reframe from all the decision makers with them. I could 358 00:18:13,320 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 1: see a scenario where they do sell high on Aguilar 359 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 1: coming off this year in order to address other needs 360 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:22,359 Speaker 1: on the team open up opportunities for other guys for 361 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 1: the time being, though, I think that is the safest bet, 362 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:27,679 Speaker 1: And even though he is due a raise, he's a 363 00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:30,399 Speaker 1: lot more efficient than some of these other veteran players 364 00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:33,920 Speaker 1: available in free agency, and I think ultimately the Marlins 365 00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 1: are going to stick with the guy who is so 366 00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 1: consistent for them and very important to their clubhouse culture 367 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:40,760 Speaker 1: as well. And just one season with the team, he 368 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 1: made an incredible impression as a guy in terms of 369 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:48,080 Speaker 1: dealing with his teammates, dealing with the media, keeping morale 370 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:53,720 Speaker 1: very high, and bringing just a great, infectious personality to 371 00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 1: this team. If it's I expect ultimately that they're going 372 00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:01,840 Speaker 1: to decide to keep him. Adding fourth in my predicted lineup, 373 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:06,840 Speaker 1: right behind Aguilar, Garrett Cooper starting at first base. It 374 00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 1: was one of the head scratching I guess it went 375 00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:12,320 Speaker 1: somewhat under the radar. I may have been one of 376 00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:15,480 Speaker 1: the only people paying attention to this is how frequently 377 00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:19,800 Speaker 1: Don Mattingly flip flopped Aguilar and Cooper between DH and 378 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,359 Speaker 1: first base. There didn't seem to be much rhyme or 379 00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 1: reason for it. I believe there was no point during 380 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,520 Speaker 1: the season when both were healthy that one of them 381 00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:32,639 Speaker 1: actually played first base more than two or three consecutive games. 382 00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:35,800 Speaker 1: It was constantly switching back and forth every single series 383 00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:37,919 Speaker 1: or even in the middle of series that they were 384 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:42,639 Speaker 1: switching between DH and first base. Statistically, I mean, Garrett 385 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:46,760 Speaker 1: Cooper appears to be the superior defensive player of them, 386 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:51,640 Speaker 1: aside from being taller, a little bit rangier, and he 387 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:56,320 Speaker 1: does statistically have a very good ability of scooping balls 388 00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:58,959 Speaker 1: in the dirt. I mean, aside from just reaching balls 389 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:02,000 Speaker 1: that are high above its head. He's he offers a 390 00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:05,440 Speaker 1: big catch radius, to use a football term, a big 391 00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 1: catch radius at first base in order to. 392 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:09,560 Speaker 2: Convert those outs on ground ball. 393 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:12,720 Speaker 1: So I would expect that he's gonna be playing more 394 00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 1: first base than Aguilar going forward. 395 00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:16,280 Speaker 2: That's just a guess. 396 00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:20,280 Speaker 1: And Cooper, oh, statistically, I need to get caught up 397 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,360 Speaker 1: on the stats from Aguilar over the past two seasons 398 00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:27,679 Speaker 1: really quick. Aguilar hit two point fifty one with a 399 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 1: three point thirty five on base a four to fourteen 400 00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:33,800 Speaker 1: slugging and a league average one hundred weighted runs created plus. 401 00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:37,840 Speaker 1: Since the start twenty nineteen with Garrett Cooper, he's been 402 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:40,439 Speaker 1: even better than that. Cooper since the start of the 403 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:43,560 Speaker 1: twenty nineteen season a two eighty one batting average, three 404 00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:47,000 Speaker 1: forty seven on base, four fifty nine slugging. That's a 405 00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 1: one sixteen WRC plus, exactly the same as Starling Marte, 406 00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:55,600 Speaker 1: a little bit less slugging than Marte. 407 00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:57,040 Speaker 2: But even more raw power. 408 00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:01,400 Speaker 1: If you've seen any considerable amount of Garrett Cooper played appearances, 409 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:03,879 Speaker 1: you know he's got huge pop. 410 00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:05,080 Speaker 2: He had some of the. 411 00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:07,880 Speaker 1: Longest home runs by any Marlins player over these past 412 00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:10,440 Speaker 1: couple of seasons, and he had one of the most 413 00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:13,359 Speaker 1: important home runs, really several of the most important home 414 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,399 Speaker 1: runs for the team this year. That home run to 415 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:19,879 Speaker 1: lead off the postseason clincher against the Yankees at Yankee 416 00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:24,240 Speaker 1: Stadium to put them ahead and ultimately made the difference 417 00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:27,760 Speaker 1: in that game. The home run at Wrigley Field, I 418 00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:30,040 Speaker 1: guess that was game It must have been Game two 419 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:33,399 Speaker 1: of the Wild Card series. That's the one that also 420 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:36,840 Speaker 1: made most of the difference in that clinching game for 421 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:40,240 Speaker 1: that series. He's not a fraid of the moment. He's 422 00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:44,280 Speaker 1: someone that has always been fueled by some of the 423 00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:47,840 Speaker 1: skepticism about him, the fact that he is a late bloomer. 424 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:49,920 Speaker 1: More or less, he's about to turn thirty years old. 425 00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:52,080 Speaker 1: He's gonna be thirty years old during this upcoming year. 426 00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:55,679 Speaker 1: He's almost as old as Aguilar is. So in the 427 00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 1: fact that he's had a lot of unlucky injuries, including 428 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,800 Speaker 1: most recently having catching COVID. I mean, that was pretty 429 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:04,359 Speaker 1: tough luck on him to take away a good chunk 430 00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 1: of his twenty twenty season because of that virus and 431 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:10,439 Speaker 1: how it's spread through the clubhouse. He's but when he 432 00:22:10,520 --> 00:22:13,000 Speaker 1: is on the field and when he's available to play, 433 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:16,600 Speaker 1: he is simply a great hitter, and his peripheral stats 434 00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:21,040 Speaker 1: back that up. His exivelocity, his peak exivelocity is the 435 00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:23,720 Speaker 1: highest on the team. When he really gets into the ball, 436 00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:26,640 Speaker 1: he hits it in a way that few other hitters 437 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:30,360 Speaker 1: in the entire league can hit. You simply can't teach that. 438 00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:33,199 Speaker 1: You can work out as much as you like, but 439 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,520 Speaker 1: there's some sort of natural gift that goes into being 440 00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:39,520 Speaker 1: able to simply crush the ball in such a way 441 00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:41,240 Speaker 1: that it will get out of any ballpark, and he 442 00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:44,480 Speaker 1: can do it to all fields. So he's another guy 443 00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:49,080 Speaker 1: like Aguilar because of some of his defensive limitations. It 444 00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:51,600 Speaker 1: was pretty telling that the Marlins didn't use him in 445 00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:54,439 Speaker 1: the outfield at any point during the twenty to twenty season. 446 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:58,720 Speaker 1: That maybe they are worried about his jury risk out there, 447 00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:03,119 Speaker 1: that he doesn't bring that defensive versatility. Then I'm not 448 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:05,080 Speaker 1: sure the Marlins are going to value him quite as 449 00:23:05,160 --> 00:23:08,360 Speaker 1: much as you would think on the surface, and there 450 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:11,560 Speaker 1: are other needs for the team to reach, But he 451 00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:14,200 Speaker 1: simply has some qualities that are hard that I mentioned 452 00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:17,680 Speaker 1: are hard to teach that even if their highly regarded 453 00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 1: prospects really pan out, they might not be able to 454 00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:24,600 Speaker 1: fully replace Cooper either. So when you have a good 455 00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:27,080 Speaker 1: thing that Cooper already brings to the table, and you 456 00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:29,960 Speaker 1: have team control over him for not just twenty twenty one, 457 00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:32,760 Speaker 1: but several years after that, I see no urgency to 458 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:35,000 Speaker 1: move him right now. He's going to hold down the 459 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:40,119 Speaker 1: heart of this lineup batting fifth. I predict that Brian 460 00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:44,320 Speaker 1: Anderson will be starting at third base yet again. This 461 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:47,119 Speaker 1: would be his fourth full season with the Marlins, with 462 00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:50,920 Speaker 1: an emphasis on full because he has been so durable 463 00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 1: for this team. He could have played all sixty games 464 00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:58,360 Speaker 1: of this shortened season if they didn't elect to give 465 00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:01,560 Speaker 1: him a rest. Right there towards the very ends, he's 466 00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:04,360 Speaker 1: he checks all the boxes that you want for an 467 00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:06,920 Speaker 1: everyday player, for a guy that you should be signing 468 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:10,440 Speaker 1: to a contract extension. Hopefully he does have that extension 469 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:14,200 Speaker 1: in place before the start of next season. His stats 470 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:17,720 Speaker 1: over the last couple of years, so this is excluding 471 00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:20,800 Speaker 1: his rookie year just twenty nineteen and twenty twenty a 472 00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:23,760 Speaker 1: two fifty nine batting average, three forty three on base 473 00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:28,359 Speaker 1: four sixty seven slugging a one seventeen WRC plus that 474 00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:31,480 Speaker 1: is higher than anybody else in this predicted lineup. 475 00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:32,320 Speaker 2: It's great. 476 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:34,600 Speaker 1: It's great, and especially for someone that is a plus 477 00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:37,919 Speaker 1: defender at third base, explains why he is such an 478 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:42,480 Speaker 1: important player to this team. 479 00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:46,720 Speaker 4: Right to third that might have gotten the bag, anderson 480 00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:51,000 Speaker 4: long throw got him it first. Wow, what a play 481 00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:55,399 Speaker 4: stop it Anderson to stick with it either took a 482 00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:59,200 Speaker 4: left turn or got the bag. But then a missile 483 00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:00,600 Speaker 4: throw across the diamond. 484 00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:04,479 Speaker 1: This is not to say that ba is a perfect player. 485 00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:05,639 Speaker 2: He isn't, you know. 486 00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:08,920 Speaker 1: He's never been a huge impact guy on the bases, 487 00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:12,040 Speaker 1: and his strikeout rate did take a bit of a 488 00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:16,359 Speaker 1: jump in during the twenty twenty year. Some struggles against 489 00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 1: breaking balls that he's going to have to remedy if 490 00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:19,919 Speaker 1: he's going to be a complete hitter, if he's going 491 00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:22,520 Speaker 1: to want to be a more consistent hitter. He wasn't 492 00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:25,360 Speaker 1: totally consistent during the twenty twenty season. They were very 493 00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:29,560 Speaker 1: high highs and some frustrating rough patches, including one right 494 00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:33,160 Speaker 1: at the start of the postseason that was very inconveniently timed. 495 00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:37,080 Speaker 1: That being said, I mean, he's a big piece of 496 00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:39,880 Speaker 1: the solution here. I don't see a scenario in which 497 00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 1: they trade him, and there's no other current challenger in 498 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:47,639 Speaker 1: the organization that I would think is more deserving of playing. 499 00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:49,280 Speaker 2: Every single day at third base. 500 00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 1: I'd like to see him hitting even higher in the lineup, 501 00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:56,520 Speaker 1: I guess, but in this situation, he's yet another right 502 00:25:56,560 --> 00:25:59,359 Speaker 1: handed hitter. So far, five players through the lineup, we 503 00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:04,680 Speaker 1: have Startling, Marte, Jazz, Chisholm, Hayesus Aguilar, Garrett Cooper, and 504 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:08,720 Speaker 1: Brian Anderson, and of those, only Jazz is left handed batter. 505 00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 1: I think that's another reason why you could see him 506 00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:13,720 Speaker 1: all the way up in the lineup despite the lack 507 00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:16,000 Speaker 1: of track record, because it is important in this day 508 00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:19,399 Speaker 1: and age, especially if the three batter rule remains in place, 509 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:23,800 Speaker 1: that if later in the game everybody needs to stay 510 00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:25,880 Speaker 1: in the game for several batters at a time, then 511 00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,800 Speaker 1: you want to be sure to mix in lefties and righty's. 512 00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:31,560 Speaker 1: There is somewhat of a strategic advantage to doing that. 513 00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:35,520 Speaker 1: So even though I believe that Anderson's performance merits batting 514 00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:37,919 Speaker 1: a little bit higher in the lineup, this is my 515 00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,440 Speaker 1: prediction that they're going to keep him at the number 516 00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:42,720 Speaker 1: five spot, which is where he spent most of this 517 00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:46,160 Speaker 1: past season in the number six spot for the Marlins. 518 00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:52,000 Speaker 1: Left fielder Corey Dickerson. My buddy arm Leyden, the host 519 00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:55,080 Speaker 1: of the Great Lockdown Marlins podcast, he's trying to find 520 00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:57,640 Speaker 1: some ways to trade Corey Dickerson during the off season. 521 00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:00,159 Speaker 1: He has one more year remaining on his contract to 522 00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:02,600 Speaker 1: with the Marlins after signing in free agency the year before, 523 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:05,679 Speaker 1: and it's a backloaded contract, so he's going to be 524 00:27:05,760 --> 00:27:09,000 Speaker 1: earning north of nine million dollars this coming year, which 525 00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,480 Speaker 1: is a significant amount of money to spend on someone 526 00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:15,240 Speaker 1: coming off a very disappointing season. But this is why, 527 00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:18,200 Speaker 1: again I think it's important to stretch out the sample 528 00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:21,840 Speaker 1: size a little bit more because twenty twenty isn't fully 529 00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:25,240 Speaker 1: representative of the skills that Dickerson can bring to the table. 530 00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 1: Over the last two seasons combined, he's played one hundred 531 00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:32,400 Speaker 1: and thirty total games, two eighty four batting average, three 532 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:36,320 Speaker 1: twenty eight on base four ninety six slugging for a 533 00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:40,399 Speaker 1: one thirteen weighted runs created, plus a lot of that 534 00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:43,480 Speaker 1: effectiveness coming when he was briefly with the Phillies in 535 00:27:43,520 --> 00:27:46,159 Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. So that explains why when you'll adjust the 536 00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:49,439 Speaker 1: league stats down a little bit, he's not quite at 537 00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:51,160 Speaker 1: the top of the heap when it comes to this. 538 00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:54,800 Speaker 1: For a lot of this past season, maddingly batted him 539 00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:56,320 Speaker 1: right near the top of the lineup, either at the 540 00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 1: leadoff spot or number two, dropping him down much lower, 541 00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,960 Speaker 1: or when they were facing left handers. In my estimation, 542 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:05,439 Speaker 1: I think he's still going to be playing a lot 543 00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:07,840 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one. He's going to be difficult to 544 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,199 Speaker 1: trade because as much as the Marlins are dealing with 545 00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:14,119 Speaker 1: some financial insecurity to do the lost revenue in twenty twenty, 546 00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:16,640 Speaker 1: you could say that for pretty much every single other 547 00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:18,399 Speaker 1: team as well. They're not going to be eager to 548 00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:22,359 Speaker 1: acquire Dickerson. There is a scenario, in my opinion, that 549 00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:23,879 Speaker 1: they would be able to trade him, they'd have to 550 00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,440 Speaker 1: eat some of the money, and they wouldn't be able 551 00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:28,959 Speaker 1: to expect much of anything back in return, essentially a 552 00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,760 Speaker 1: partial salary dump if they were so desperate to do so. 553 00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:35,959 Speaker 1: I'm cautiously optimistic that they're going to be more responsible 554 00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:39,760 Speaker 1: than that, that they understand despite all the intriguing outfield 555 00:28:39,800 --> 00:28:43,800 Speaker 1: prospects at the higher levels of this organization, you're entering 556 00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:47,840 Speaker 1: a season with pretty significant expectations for the team, and 557 00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:49,280 Speaker 1: if you want to put that team in the best 558 00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:51,760 Speaker 1: position to get off to a decent start and to 559 00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:55,240 Speaker 1: remain in contention for the entire year, then you do 560 00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:56,960 Speaker 1: that by putting in a guy that has a very 561 00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,400 Speaker 1: long track record and a very good offensive track record. 562 00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:04,000 Speaker 1: I mean, this is for a whole separate conversation trying 563 00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:06,320 Speaker 1: to break down what exactly went wrong for Dickerson. It 564 00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:10,200 Speaker 1: could be as simple as as non baseball reasons that 565 00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:11,280 Speaker 1: really set him back. 566 00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 2: You don't want to read too much into. 567 00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 1: This tiny, tiny sample size, but it was disappointing, no 568 00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:20,280 Speaker 1: doubt about it, Just as much defensively as anything. For 569 00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:22,640 Speaker 1: a guy that recently won a Gold Glove in left 570 00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:26,240 Speaker 1: field to be a clear liability out there in twenty twenty, 571 00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:30,400 Speaker 1: that was a little discouraging. And if that continues, then 572 00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:32,880 Speaker 1: the Marlins are in a really tough spot. My best 573 00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:35,240 Speaker 1: guess is that they're gonna bet on a bounce back 574 00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,240 Speaker 1: from Dickerson in twenty twenty. 575 00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:40,200 Speaker 2: In twenty twenty one. They're not gonna necessarily. 576 00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:41,360 Speaker 1: Stick him at the top of the lineup, they're not 577 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:44,400 Speaker 1: gonna commit to playing him every single day, but he's 578 00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:47,280 Speaker 1: gonna have a big role on this team. And perhaps 579 00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,080 Speaker 1: if let's see, if I'm proven right batting sixth on 580 00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:53,320 Speaker 1: opening day next year in the number seven spot. Right 581 00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:57,920 Speaker 1: behind him starting in right field, Harold Ramirez hitting Harold 582 00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:02,480 Speaker 1: oh hitting Harold who we didn't get to see much of. 583 00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:03,200 Speaker 2: This past year. 584 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:06,560 Speaker 1: He's one of the first players who was testing positive 585 00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,320 Speaker 1: for COVID. As soon as he came back, he had 586 00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:13,840 Speaker 1: that scary looking hamstring injury that ended his year prematurely. Thankfully, 587 00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:16,800 Speaker 1: it was only a hamstring and not something structural, nothing 588 00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,840 Speaker 1: wrong with his ligaments as far as I know. He 589 00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:25,600 Speaker 1: didn't undergo surgery, but a significant injury nonetheless that he 590 00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:28,320 Speaker 1: should have plenty of time to recover from heading against 591 00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:31,640 Speaker 1: the offseason. As I mentioned earlier in the episode, he 592 00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:34,560 Speaker 1: was the cleanup hitter on opening day in twenty twenty. 593 00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:38,000 Speaker 1: He was pretty impressive in summer camp leading up to 594 00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:40,800 Speaker 1: the start off last season, and he of course had 595 00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:42,320 Speaker 1: that pretty exciting rookie year. 596 00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:44,840 Speaker 2: His overall stats. 597 00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 1: Since really these are now his career stats because he 598 00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:50,360 Speaker 1: just debuted in twenty nineteen, one hundred and twenty two games, 599 00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:53,400 Speaker 1: two seventy four banning average three to eleven on base 600 00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:57,560 Speaker 1: percentage for eleven slugging. That's a ninety one weighted runs 601 00:30:57,600 --> 00:31:00,120 Speaker 1: created plus. But I will point out much higher in 602 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:03,040 Speaker 1: high leverage situations with the game on the line, above 603 00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:05,800 Speaker 1: average ability at putting balls in play, but someone that 604 00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,000 Speaker 1: could use a lot more plate discipline as well and 605 00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:11,440 Speaker 1: more places at the plate to boost up that OBP. 606 00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:15,160 Speaker 1: Another guy, just like Dickerson, that has some questions about 607 00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:18,960 Speaker 1: his defense. He started let's see, well last year he 608 00:31:19,000 --> 00:31:22,640 Speaker 1: was in right field, but I imagine now that assuming that 609 00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:24,960 Speaker 1: the DH is going to be in the National League 610 00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:27,440 Speaker 1: moving forward, he's the guy that would get a considerable 611 00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:32,160 Speaker 1: that amount of his playing time over there, and I think, 612 00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:34,240 Speaker 1: more so than anybody else that we've mentioned, he's the 613 00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:38,240 Speaker 1: one that I most worry about being traded between now 614 00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:41,240 Speaker 1: and opening day. The Marlins have so many outfield options, 615 00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:44,479 Speaker 1: and they have guys that are more well rounded players 616 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:47,000 Speaker 1: coming up through the pipeline. As happy as I feel, 617 00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:49,960 Speaker 1: as a as much love as I have for Harold 618 00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:53,280 Speaker 1: only twenty six years old, someone that the team was 619 00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:56,320 Speaker 1: confident about taking it next step before he got injured. 620 00:31:57,960 --> 00:31:59,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, the reality is. 621 00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:01,280 Speaker 1: There's a bit of a roster crunch going on with 622 00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:03,560 Speaker 1: this team, and how many outfielders you can squeeze onto 623 00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:06,280 Speaker 1: the forty man roster at one time. You want to 624 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:09,480 Speaker 1: use those spots very valuably, and I wouldn't be shocked 625 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,760 Speaker 1: if he's on another team to start next season. Again, 626 00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:14,720 Speaker 1: my best guess is that they hold on to him 627 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:17,680 Speaker 1: just because what we saw from some of these outfield 628 00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 1: prospects in their tastes of the majors last year is 629 00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,720 Speaker 1: they didn't seem completely ready, especially not completely ready to 630 00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:26,240 Speaker 1: play every day. And that's why with Dickerson and with Harold, 631 00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:29,600 Speaker 1: they are good placeholders to have in place, because you 632 00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:31,240 Speaker 1: know when they are really on top of their game, 633 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:35,480 Speaker 1: they are fearsome hitters. And for a team that last 634 00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:39,360 Speaker 1: year was very mediocre offensively and one that especially towards 635 00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:41,560 Speaker 1: the end of the year, once you took Starling Mortea 636 00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:44,680 Speaker 1: the equation, they had a serious issue with the length 637 00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:47,960 Speaker 1: of their lineup that I think the simplest approach would 638 00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:51,080 Speaker 1: be to hold on, to hold on to those guys 639 00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:53,480 Speaker 1: and trust and their potential, and trust in the team 640 00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:55,080 Speaker 1: that you put together in the first place. 641 00:32:55,720 --> 00:32:56,560 Speaker 2: I gain's play. 642 00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:59,400 Speaker 1: How am I failed? Right now, I'm feel so good 643 00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:03,360 Speaker 1: moving to the number eight spot in my predicted opening 644 00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:06,840 Speaker 1: day lineup, we have the most familiar face of them all, 645 00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:11,360 Speaker 1: shortstop Miguel Rojas. Rojas took a nice step forward in 646 00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:13,680 Speaker 1: his game in twenty nineteen, and then when he was 647 00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:18,640 Speaker 1: healthy in twenty twenty, he was incredible. He was totally incredible, 648 00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:21,320 Speaker 1: in my opinion, the best position player that the team 649 00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:26,480 Speaker 1: had because of everything that he brought offensively, defensively, intangibly 650 00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:29,440 Speaker 1: all on the field off the field, he was such 651 00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:32,680 Speaker 1: a huge part of helping that team overachieve because of 652 00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:35,120 Speaker 1: what he did, and despite missing some time, he was 653 00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:39,160 Speaker 1: the first player that got back from being COVID positive. 654 00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:43,239 Speaker 1: His stats over the last two seasons one hundred and 655 00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:46,640 Speaker 1: seventy two games, a two eighty eight batting average, three 656 00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:50,080 Speaker 1: p forty four on base four to h three slugging. 657 00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:53,680 Speaker 1: That's a one poh one w RC plus red Rounds 658 00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:57,520 Speaker 1: league average, also with fourteen stolen bases added on to that, 659 00:33:57,560 --> 00:34:00,760 Speaker 1: despite the fact that he's not conventionally that of a speedster, 660 00:34:01,360 --> 00:34:03,640 Speaker 1: and you know what he does defensively, He's just been 661 00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:09,400 Speaker 1: extremely consistently good defensive players. Starred in some of the 662 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:13,000 Speaker 1: most iconic plays of this past season, including that air 663 00:34:13,080 --> 00:34:17,600 Speaker 1: Rojas throw during that opening series of the season, and 664 00:34:18,120 --> 00:34:20,279 Speaker 1: it was a great year, and especially if you look 665 00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:23,880 Speaker 1: at last year in particular, it's really you'd think that 666 00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:26,040 Speaker 1: he's one of the best overall shortstops in the league. 667 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:28,480 Speaker 1: Just to pump the brakes on that a little bit, 668 00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:31,799 Speaker 1: I stretch out the sample size and point out that, yeah, 669 00:34:31,840 --> 00:34:34,560 Speaker 1: I don't know how much of that power was legit 670 00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,880 Speaker 1: The contact skills are legit someone that has a twelve 671 00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:41,400 Speaker 1: percent strikeout rate over those last two years combined, and 672 00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:43,640 Speaker 1: he was drawing more walks this past year, which proved 673 00:34:43,680 --> 00:34:46,319 Speaker 1: to be an extremely valuable part of it. He did 674 00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:48,719 Speaker 1: hit near the top of the lineup on occasion, but 675 00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:52,080 Speaker 1: I agree with what was usually the case putting him 676 00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:57,000 Speaker 1: in the bottom third of this because ultimately not enough 677 00:34:57,239 --> 00:35:01,759 Speaker 1: really hard quality contact at the moment, and because he's 678 00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:05,520 Speaker 1: not quite the same speed demon that Starling Marte or 679 00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:08,560 Speaker 1: Jazz Chisholm is. I don't think he could justify giving 680 00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:11,480 Speaker 1: him more plate appearances than anybody else in the lineup. 681 00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:14,680 Speaker 1: But he is gonna be pretty much see every day 682 00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:17,799 Speaker 1: shortstop going forward as long as his performance continues to 683 00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:20,560 Speaker 1: justify it. This will be his age thirty two season 684 00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:24,120 Speaker 1: coming up. I think realistically you should brace yourself for 685 00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:26,279 Speaker 1: the fact that there will be some regression from where 686 00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:30,279 Speaker 1: he was last year, and I mean hopefully it's a 687 00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:34,040 Speaker 1: graceful decline. I think either way, he's really good value 688 00:35:34,200 --> 00:35:36,520 Speaker 1: for what The Marlins have him under contract for about 689 00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:38,520 Speaker 1: five million dollars, and then they have a club option 690 00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:41,920 Speaker 1: for him in twenty twenty two that health permitting, I 691 00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,239 Speaker 1: think they're extremely likely to pick up. He is someone that, 692 00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:47,720 Speaker 1: more so than any other player, you'd love to see 693 00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:49,920 Speaker 1: the team find a way to keep him forever for 694 00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:52,000 Speaker 1: the rest of his career in some capacity because he 695 00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:54,960 Speaker 1: brings so much to the table, and at least for 696 00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:56,680 Speaker 1: the start of the year, I think he's pretty much 697 00:35:56,760 --> 00:36:01,080 Speaker 1: unchallenged as the starting shortstop on the Marlin. To review 698 00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:04,560 Speaker 1: where we are almost all the way through this lineup. 699 00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:08,120 Speaker 1: The opening day starter for twenty twenty one, in my estimation, 700 00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:11,520 Speaker 1: is going to be Sandy al Contra, followed by in 701 00:36:11,560 --> 00:36:16,200 Speaker 1: the lineup, centerfielder Starling Marte, second basement Jazz Chisholm dh 702 00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:20,880 Speaker 1: Esus Aguilar, first baseman Garrett Cooper, third baseman Brian Anderson, 703 00:36:21,120 --> 00:36:25,920 Speaker 1: left fielder Corey Dickerson, right fielder hitting Harold Ramirez, shortstop 704 00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:26,920 Speaker 1: Miguel Rojas. 705 00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:29,040 Speaker 2: And that brings us to the number nine spot. 706 00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:31,239 Speaker 1: As you could already figure out in your head, that's 707 00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:33,080 Speaker 1: gonna be our catcher. And this is gonna be my 708 00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:36,600 Speaker 1: one significant outside edition. I wouldn't call him a big 709 00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:40,760 Speaker 1: addition because he is, in a literal sense an undersized player, 710 00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:43,799 Speaker 1: but I think it's clear. It was clear to me 711 00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:46,560 Speaker 1: frankly in the middle of the season that the Marlins 712 00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:48,960 Speaker 1: would need to go outside their organization to get a 713 00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:53,480 Speaker 1: new catcher for twenty twenty one. Just the production has 714 00:36:53,560 --> 00:36:56,719 Speaker 1: not been all that good. It hasn't been much better 715 00:36:56,760 --> 00:36:58,960 Speaker 1: than replacement level, and towards the end of the year 716 00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:03,080 Speaker 1: they were leaning so heavy on Chadwallack. With respect to Chadwalack, 717 00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:06,160 Speaker 1: I think he's still in the organization moving forward, but 718 00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:09,040 Speaker 1: not a guy that you want getting the lion's share 719 00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:11,920 Speaker 1: of your starting opportunities, no matter what you think he 720 00:37:12,040 --> 00:37:16,120 Speaker 1: brings in the intangible aspects of the game. My expectation 721 00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:19,719 Speaker 1: is that batting ninth next year on opening Day at 722 00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:24,640 Speaker 1: catcher will be Christian Vasquez, currently of the Boston Red Sox. 723 00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:29,880 Speaker 1: Vasquez is quietly one of the best catchers in baseball. 724 00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:32,799 Speaker 1: I've been doing this thing, combining stats over the last 725 00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:35,399 Speaker 1: two seasons for all these players we've been going through, 726 00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:39,320 Speaker 1: and these are the stats for Christian Vasquez. One hundred 727 00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:42,239 Speaker 1: and eighty five games played, one eighty five over the 728 00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:45,880 Speaker 1: last two years, which is a big total for a catcher, 729 00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:50,800 Speaker 1: batting two seventy eight three twenty seven on base percentage 730 00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:54,520 Speaker 1: for seventy two slugging even in hitter friendly Fenway Park. 731 00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:58,279 Speaker 1: That is a one TOZH five weighted runs created plus 732 00:37:58,360 --> 00:38:01,960 Speaker 1: better than league average thirty home runs since the start 733 00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:02,760 Speaker 1: of twenty nineteen. 734 00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:05,840 Speaker 2: At the catcher position, He's not JT. Real Muto. 735 00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:09,560 Speaker 1: He's not quite as toolsy as Jorge al farrow is. 736 00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:13,080 Speaker 1: But since the start of twenty nineteen, according to Fangrafts, 737 00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:16,960 Speaker 1: he has produced four point nine wins above replacement. That 738 00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:20,319 Speaker 1: is more than Rojas, That is more than BA, that 739 00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:23,120 Speaker 1: is more than Startling. He's been more valuable than any 740 00:38:23,120 --> 00:38:25,120 Speaker 1: of them, at least in that one metric. 741 00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:28,720 Speaker 5: I need to continue a big consistem on my heading, 742 00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:31,800 Speaker 5: on my catching. I don't know my defense they are always, 743 00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:36,479 Speaker 5: but my offense needs to try to do my best. 744 00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:39,280 Speaker 1: Who has a two win and that doesn't even include 745 00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:42,359 Speaker 1: his twenty eighteen season where he was a big part 746 00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:46,840 Speaker 1: of their World Series championship team. I expect the Marlins 747 00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:50,600 Speaker 1: to acquire a catcher and he's he's on a much 748 00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:53,080 Speaker 1: better value than some of these free agents out there, 749 00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:55,799 Speaker 1: whether it's real Muto, whether it's James McCann. I know 750 00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:58,520 Speaker 1: a lot of people have mentioned James McCann because he's 751 00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:01,080 Speaker 1: been hitting even better than Vasque has over the past 752 00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:03,879 Speaker 1: couple of years. But Vesquez is just such a well 753 00:39:03,960 --> 00:39:08,279 Speaker 1: rounded player, and he's shown that with a team that 754 00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:10,920 Speaker 1: obviously had a huge drop off in twenty twenty. The 755 00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:13,400 Speaker 1: Marlins were much better than the Red Sox. He was 756 00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:17,200 Speaker 1: pinned with one of the worst pitching staffs in all 757 00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:20,279 Speaker 1: Baseball I think, frankly, the worst pitching staff in all 758 00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:22,480 Speaker 1: of baseball, so that must have been a rough experience 759 00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:26,040 Speaker 1: for him and the Red Sox. They're not quite as 760 00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:28,799 Speaker 1: bad as their twenty twenty record would indicate, but they 761 00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:32,040 Speaker 1: are in a rebuild and they are looking to shed 762 00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:34,440 Speaker 1: some money. The Marlins, I don't think are going to 763 00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:36,560 Speaker 1: make that huge, splashy trade to get a J. D. 764 00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:41,560 Speaker 1: Martinez or a Xander Bogarts or anybody of that money 765 00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:44,320 Speaker 1: at this moment, but I think they would be willing 766 00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:47,480 Speaker 1: to roll the dice on Christian Vasquez because, frankly, it's 767 00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:50,560 Speaker 1: not that much of a dice to roll. I mean, 768 00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:53,640 Speaker 1: he's been really good for the past couple years, a 769 00:39:53,640 --> 00:39:57,640 Speaker 1: pretty significant upgrade over who they had throws out would 770 00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:01,080 Speaker 1: be bass dealers at an extremely high rate, and. 771 00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:02,760 Speaker 2: He works well with pitchers. 772 00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:05,600 Speaker 1: I mean that's the one that's really the one quality 773 00:40:05,640 --> 00:40:07,960 Speaker 1: that the Marlin cited in Chad Wall because they liked 774 00:40:08,520 --> 00:40:11,160 Speaker 1: the chemistry he had with pitchers and his feel for 775 00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:14,120 Speaker 1: which pitch to call at which moment. Vasquez has worked 776 00:40:14,120 --> 00:40:15,799 Speaker 1: with some of the best in the world. He's worked 777 00:40:15,840 --> 00:40:19,120 Speaker 1: with Chris Sale, He's worked with David Price, He's worked 778 00:40:19,120 --> 00:40:23,399 Speaker 1: with not this past year, but if you look back 779 00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:26,359 Speaker 1: to very recent history, the Red Sox have had some 780 00:40:26,600 --> 00:40:30,239 Speaker 1: key pitchers who have performed very well when paired with Vasquez. 781 00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:33,200 Speaker 1: The reason why he's attainable to the Marlins is his 782 00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:37,799 Speaker 1: contract is a pretty desirable one. Two more years to go, well, 783 00:40:37,840 --> 00:40:40,840 Speaker 1: really one more guaranteed year at about six and a 784 00:40:40,840 --> 00:40:43,640 Speaker 1: half million dollars and then a club option for twenty 785 00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:47,520 Speaker 1: twenty two in the low seven million dollar range. That's 786 00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:50,239 Speaker 1: an extremely good value if you think that player can 787 00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:54,239 Speaker 1: be your primary catcher. And he's been across the board. 788 00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:57,160 Speaker 1: He's been easily a top ten catcher in baseball, and 789 00:40:57,280 --> 00:40:59,120 Speaker 1: he has a very strong case for being a top 790 00:40:59,200 --> 00:41:04,440 Speaker 1: five in baseball right now. He's someone that you know 791 00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:07,040 Speaker 1: eventually he's gonna have some sort of dip, but he's 792 00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:09,080 Speaker 1: only thirty years old at the moment. He just turned 793 00:41:09,080 --> 00:41:14,759 Speaker 1: thirty in August, and he's he's just a pretty clear 794 00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:16,799 Speaker 1: upgrade for this team over who they had. And the 795 00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:18,839 Speaker 1: Marlins are in a position where they have all these 796 00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:22,040 Speaker 1: surplus players that are either on their forty men roster 797 00:41:22,200 --> 00:41:25,440 Speaker 1: or about to receive spots, and for the Red Sox 798 00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:27,960 Speaker 1: team that is in a rebuild, they're gonna be looking 799 00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:31,400 Speaker 1: for I would guess multiple prospects in this trade, but 800 00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:35,680 Speaker 1: at least one, you know, top thirty organizational type. The 801 00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:39,359 Speaker 1: Marlins have a surplus in that area, it's not much 802 00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:42,440 Speaker 1: of a sweat for them to send. I'm not gonna 803 00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:44,840 Speaker 1: name particular guys at this moment, and we'll work that 804 00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:47,680 Speaker 1: out in another piece of content, either another pot episode 805 00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:50,200 Speaker 1: or another article. But the Marlins had the kind of 806 00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:53,799 Speaker 1: players that are pretty much major league ready but not 807 00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:57,799 Speaker 1: super duper high upside that they're a bit expendable at 808 00:41:57,800 --> 00:42:00,439 Speaker 1: this stage for a team that had a win record 809 00:42:00,560 --> 00:42:04,600 Speaker 1: last year two games over five hundred and I don't 810 00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:07,680 Speaker 1: know what the internal expectations are for the Marlins at 811 00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:11,080 Speaker 1: this moment, but externally, I imagine a lot of you guys 812 00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:14,280 Speaker 1: will be expecting the team to take another step forward. 813 00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:17,760 Speaker 1: Or at least at least maintain the level of performance 814 00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:20,160 Speaker 1: that they had heading into twenty twenty one. You want 815 00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:22,960 Speaker 1: them to be a competitive team, a team that, if 816 00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:25,880 Speaker 1: the playoffs remain expanded, that will challenge for that kind 817 00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:28,120 Speaker 1: of spot, and that means they need to make some 818 00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:32,240 Speaker 1: clear upgrades. I can't just count on internal improvement, which 819 00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:34,920 Speaker 1: I've already stated I feel really good about. I feel 820 00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:38,960 Speaker 1: really good about Jazzism taking that next step about Corey 821 00:42:38,960 --> 00:42:43,120 Speaker 1: Dickerson bouncing back about Harold being really effective if he's healthy. 822 00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:45,799 Speaker 1: And that's not to mention all these other prospects that 823 00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:49,759 Speaker 1: would get opportunities as the twenty twenty one season goes on. Hey, 824 00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:53,560 Speaker 1: sus Sanchez, I think could supplant Harold as the right 825 00:42:53,600 --> 00:42:57,120 Speaker 1: fielder as the season goes on. Laywin Diaz Laywin Diaz 826 00:42:57,640 --> 00:43:00,319 Speaker 1: is one of the best hitters I've seen at the 827 00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:02,839 Speaker 1: minor league level, and see there was so much hype 828 00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:05,920 Speaker 1: for him heading into his debut last year. The results 829 00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:08,680 Speaker 1: were not there at all. But for what he is 830 00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:11,520 Speaker 1: as an overall prospect, I wouldn't be a surprised if 831 00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:13,719 Speaker 1: he takes over as the everyday first baseman for the 832 00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:16,160 Speaker 1: Marlins at some point during the twenty to twenty one season. 833 00:43:16,600 --> 00:43:20,480 Speaker 1: There's good reason to believe that this team has enough 834 00:43:20,560 --> 00:43:24,600 Speaker 1: talent internally to make that big jump offensively, because that's 835 00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:27,160 Speaker 1: what held them back ultimately last year. That's what held 836 00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:30,520 Speaker 1: them back from being a truly great team, is that 837 00:43:30,680 --> 00:43:32,480 Speaker 1: they just did not hit for a lot of power 838 00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:36,560 Speaker 1: and they did not consistently show enough patience at the plate. 839 00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:40,480 Speaker 1: They have the players in this organization that conceivably could 840 00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:43,759 Speaker 1: do that, with the exception of the catching position. The 841 00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,440 Speaker 1: catcher is one of the thinnest positions in the organization 842 00:43:46,480 --> 00:43:49,600 Speaker 1: at all levels, especially at the major league level and 843 00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:53,080 Speaker 1: at Triple A at the moment, and that's why I 844 00:43:53,120 --> 00:43:55,160 Speaker 1: think they're going to find a way to upgrade, and 845 00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:58,799 Speaker 1: Christian Vasquez is my pick for them to acquire and 846 00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:01,440 Speaker 1: to be in the starting life lineup come the twenty 847 00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:04,960 Speaker 1: twenty one season. So a full review for you to 848 00:44:05,000 --> 00:44:06,640 Speaker 1: get your hands on, and I'm going to be laying 849 00:44:06,640 --> 00:44:09,400 Speaker 1: this out on Twitter and of course on fish strips 850 00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:13,160 Speaker 1: dot com. My prediction for twenty twenty one opening day 851 00:44:13,200 --> 00:44:16,200 Speaker 1: lineup San Diel Contra on the mound and in a 852 00:44:16,200 --> 00:44:21,040 Speaker 1: batting order of Starling Marte Jazz Chisholm, Heesuss Aguilar, Garrett Cooper, 853 00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:27,880 Speaker 1: Brian Anderson, Corey Dickerson, Harold Ramirez, Miguel Rojas, and Christian Vazquez. 854 00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:30,960 Speaker 1: So I'd love to get your predictions as well. I 855 00:44:31,040 --> 00:44:33,360 Speaker 1: can almost guarantee that we're all going to be off 856 00:44:33,440 --> 00:44:36,360 Speaker 1: in one way or another because of how unpredictable this 857 00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:39,960 Speaker 1: game is, how unpredictable this front office is, and of 858 00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:43,640 Speaker 1: course with the pandemic and the effects of the pandemic, 859 00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:46,799 Speaker 1: we don't know exactly how that's going to change the 860 00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:48,840 Speaker 1: whole landscape of baseball. 861 00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:50,640 Speaker 2: Business during this offseason. 862 00:44:51,520 --> 00:44:54,080 Speaker 1: This is such a fun offseason for the team after 863 00:44:54,239 --> 00:44:58,080 Speaker 1: what was unequivocally a successful twenty twenty, and there are 864 00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:01,560 Speaker 1: an infinite number avenues that they can go to try 865 00:45:01,560 --> 00:45:03,120 Speaker 1: to improve for next year. 866 00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:05,040 Speaker 2: So I hope to see them do more. 867 00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:07,520 Speaker 1: I'll leave you on this that I want to see 868 00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:10,520 Speaker 1: the team do even more, spend even more than I'm 869 00:45:10,560 --> 00:45:12,640 Speaker 1: laying out right here. They're going to have that new 870 00:45:12,680 --> 00:45:15,840 Speaker 1: local TV deal kicking in. It was already reported the 871 00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:19,480 Speaker 1: new national extension on their television deal for all major 872 00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:22,520 Speaker 1: League teams to benefit from from Turner Sports. That's going 873 00:45:22,560 --> 00:45:25,839 Speaker 1: to infuse some more cash in the coming years. Hope 874 00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:30,080 Speaker 1: they could sell naming rights to Marlins Park. As I'm 875 00:45:30,120 --> 00:45:33,720 Speaker 1: recording this, the Marlins are also trying to sell tickets 876 00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:36,480 Speaker 1: to attend games in twenty twenty one, based on the 877 00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:41,319 Speaker 1: schedule that has already been released. It's in everybody's best 878 00:45:41,360 --> 00:45:44,040 Speaker 1: judgment to determine whether or not you're comfortable doing that. 879 00:45:44,120 --> 00:45:46,960 Speaker 1: And it's still get to be fully determined what kind 880 00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:50,080 Speaker 1: of capacity that the park will have for those games 881 00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:54,200 Speaker 1: until we get this this pandemic fully behind us. It 882 00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:57,760 Speaker 1: is not behind us yet. Please wear your masks, people, 883 00:45:57,880 --> 00:46:01,040 Speaker 1: especially when you're in the ballpark. But that being said, 884 00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:04,319 Speaker 1: people taking them up on that offer, that'll be even 885 00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:07,000 Speaker 1: more revenue that you'd like to see them put back 886 00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:09,960 Speaker 1: into the team. So I'd be pleasantly surprised if they 887 00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:13,839 Speaker 1: make a bolder move than this. But for the time being, 888 00:46:13,960 --> 00:46:16,520 Speaker 1: my expectations is that more or less a lot of 889 00:46:16,520 --> 00:46:18,600 Speaker 1: this lineup will look the same as it did in 890 00:46:18,640 --> 00:46:21,080 Speaker 1: twenty twenty and they're just going to bank on some 891 00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:26,200 Speaker 1: improvements from year to year. And if there is any improvement, man, 892 00:46:26,760 --> 00:46:29,200 Speaker 1: the bandwagon is going to keep filling up even more 893 00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:31,960 Speaker 1: and more. It's an exciting time to be covering the marlins. 894 00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:34,239 Speaker 1: I thank you guys again for tuning in. 895 00:46:35,000 --> 00:46:53,000 Speaker 2: Go Fish,