1 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 1: Welcome to the favorite podcast from the Action Network. I 2 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:16,800 Speaker 1: am Chad Millman and I am going to be joined 3 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:19,759 Speaker 1: by my best friend in the world and the Professional 4 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: Better Simon Hunter. Boy, oh boy, did we get very 5 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:29,320 Speaker 1: lucky last week in our quest to win one million dollars. 6 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:32,479 Speaker 1: And by lucky, I mean Simon Hunter and I had 7 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:35,559 Speaker 1: a bit of a row this past Sunday morning and 8 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: it saved us. And by it, I mean I saved 9 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:45,599 Speaker 1: us from making some really bad decisions. My brother Simon 10 00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: say hello, hello people. Uh Simon, We're gonna get into it. 11 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 1: A reminder this season, Professional Better Simon Hunter is joining 12 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: the pod every week and together we have entered the 13 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 1: Draft Kings Pro Football pick Up National champ Beionship. We 14 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 1: will decide together what picks we are putting in and 15 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: before we get to the recap, and it is a 16 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 1: great recap. We are bringing back the cash fueled phrase 17 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:15,279 Speaker 1: that pays contest. From now through the end of the season, 18 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: we are giving a lucky listener one hundred dollars for 19 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:25,040 Speaker 1: every game we win each week, and and we are 20 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 1: giving an equal amount to the charity of the winner's choice. 21 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 1: These have been amazing, like such an outpouring of kindness. 22 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,920 Speaker 1: It's just wonderful to see. To be eligible, go review 23 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: the podcast using the phrase this week, Simon says, skip 24 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: and win. Skip and win. Simon says, skip and win. 25 00:01:46,240 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 1: Use that phrase when you review the podcast. If we 26 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: like it and we randomly choose it, meaning Matt Mitchell, 27 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 1: producer Extraordinary, randomly chooses it, you will win the money 28 00:01:57,640 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 1: and a charity of your choice will were the money. 29 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 1: One more reminder. Everything we discussed, every pick we make, 30 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 1: all the data we reference, It's all available in the 31 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: Action Network Gap. It's free, it's award winning. Go downloaded. Simon, dude, dude, 32 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:21,359 Speaker 1: We did not agree at all this past Sunday morning 33 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: at all. Ultimately, ultimately we decided to use we have 34 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 1: to in the Draft Kings contest to win a million 35 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 1: dollars five games every week. We have to use too 36 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,360 Speaker 1: bye weeks, and so we had not used any Bye weeks. 37 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 1: A lot of the people ahead of us have used 38 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:40,120 Speaker 1: by weeks, so we decided like this is going to 39 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: be one of our required bye weeks. Give me your 40 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 1: point of view on how this went down. I have 41 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:52,680 Speaker 1: a very specific perspective that makes me look like a hero. Uh, 42 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:55,800 Speaker 1: so basically we texted about the games we like, and 43 00:02:56,800 --> 00:02:59,679 Speaker 1: from my viewpoint, I already had a buy in the 44 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:01,119 Speaker 1: back of mind, like I was seeing them at before 45 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 1: the show. I didn't take Green Bay Thursday night because 46 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 1: I could just sense the way we were talking on 47 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 1: the show. We were both just like, we like this week, 48 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 1: but we need we have we have to use two 49 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 1: bye weeks. That's what people understand. Two bye weeks in 50 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 1: sixteen weeks, so we don't get a week seventeen. We 51 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 1: have the sixteen weeks to play it, so you have 52 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:20,600 Speaker 1: to use two bye weeks. So I didn't play Green Bay. 53 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 1: We uh talk Someday morning and yeah, basically you're on 54 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: um you like the Titans and you like the Cowboys, 55 00:03:29,160 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 1: and I was on the other side of both those, 56 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:33,240 Speaker 1: so in my mind, I was just like, I don't 57 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:35,400 Speaker 1: really want to put either of them in. He isn't 58 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 1: like my picks, and you were pretty much just like, yeah, like, 59 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 1: let's just do a bye And I was like, all right, well, 60 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: you can flip a coin and text me before the 61 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 1: picks lock at ten if you want to play, and 62 00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 1: we'll play him. If you want to take a bye, 63 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 1: we'll take a bye. Because in my mind, I'm a pro. 64 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:52,120 Speaker 1: If you come to me Someday morning and you say, 65 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 1: do you not love this slate, I'm always gonna love 66 00:03:54,160 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 1: this slate. I don't think I'm ever gonna lose. So 67 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: of course I was about it. But luckily my man 68 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 1: chat are only one and four week of the year. 69 00:04:02,200 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 1: He stepped in and told said, let's do the buye 70 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:06,880 Speaker 1: we can. Let's save us man crazy. We do you 71 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 1: do every every Sunday. You're like, dude, I love our pis. 72 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 1: I fucking love our pics Every Sunday. He texts me that, 73 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 1: so this Sunday you sent me. You sent me um again. 74 00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 1: Like for people who listen to the podcast, we will 75 00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:23,600 Speaker 1: go through the whole slate. For people who are new 76 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:25,920 Speaker 1: to the podcast, and we're getting more and more listeners 77 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 1: every week, um, So if you're new to the podcast, 78 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:30,840 Speaker 1: we will go through the whole slate. We will pinpoint 79 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: the games that we think we are going to like 80 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:36,679 Speaker 1: for this week. We'll usually end up with like five 81 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: to seven games and then come Sunday morning, like Simon 82 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 1: and I are texting back and forth based on injuries, 83 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:45,880 Speaker 1: how lines have moved, etcetera, etcetera. Etcetera. And so this 84 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:48,279 Speaker 1: was generally the lineup that we like. You texted me 85 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:50,800 Speaker 1: this Sunday morning. We were on Seattle minus two and 86 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:53,239 Speaker 1: a half, Indie plus two and a half, Carolina plus 87 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: ten and a half, Washington minus two and a half, 88 00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh minus thirteen and a half. That was generally the 89 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 1: reflection of what we talked about on Tuesday. We like 90 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,679 Speaker 1: the Chargers, but you switched out Joey Bosa. I'll fine 91 00:05:06,360 --> 00:05:10,000 Speaker 1: end up putting in the Chargers first Seattle because I 92 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:12,120 Speaker 1: just didn't like I didn't like the Seattle side. I 93 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 1: just had that in the competition. But like, that's actually 94 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:16,239 Speaker 1: that's why I had the Bills. That's why I switched 95 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: that out. That's right, So you, I texted back after 96 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 1: I got this, Should we skip? I love the Titans, 97 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:26,360 Speaker 1: I wrote the Cardinals and wait for it, the Cowboys. 98 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:29,920 Speaker 1: That's who I loved. And he's like, what the hell 99 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:33,719 Speaker 1: do you love about the cow Cowboys? Oh, Chad, that 100 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:37,160 Speaker 1: was like the most like, Oh, let me pat you 101 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:40,279 Speaker 1: on the head. You're such a silly boy. I'm a professional. 102 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 1: I know that you knew that some round pick was 103 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 1: gonna have the game of his life. I said, You're like, 104 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 1: I do love our picks because you always say that. Uh, 105 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 1: I'm like, you always love our picks. I wrote, how 106 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 1: about the Titans instead of the Steelers? The Titans, I 107 00:05:56,120 --> 00:06:00,680 Speaker 1: gave you another option, right, like two touched ounds on 108 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 1: the road with a QB who can't go downfield and 109 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 1: a team that underperforms when they are big face. You're like, 110 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:09,680 Speaker 1: I'm staying away from the Titans. I hate going against 111 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:15,000 Speaker 1: the Bears, I wrote back, I hate you. Also another 112 00:06:15,080 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 1: good call by me. The Titans got a fun recovery 113 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:19,880 Speaker 1: for a touchdown. That game would have been seventeen seventeen 114 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:22,280 Speaker 1: and the fourth. But yeah, I'm with you, man, it's 115 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 1: the Bears the right side. You're like, this is the 116 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 1: worst for the Cowboys. You're like, this is the worst 117 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:29,560 Speaker 1: team's number of wives I've ever looked at. I'm like, 118 00:06:30,120 --> 00:06:33,159 Speaker 1: I'm like, fine, you're a bully, but we gotta skip. 119 00:06:34,240 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: That was it, and we skipped, and I remember texting 120 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 1: you in the middle. I remember texting in the middle 121 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 1: like I don't know, like you're dancing on my grave. 122 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:46,720 Speaker 1: I'm kind of rooting for all of our picks to 123 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:48,880 Speaker 1: fail just because it's a skip week and then I'd 124 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 1: feel bad if we had like done really well and 125 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:54,280 Speaker 1: that had been a week we skipped. Well, it's brutal 126 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 1: that Chargers on our big balls better the week he 127 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 1: had two shots in the end zone, and if he 128 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:02,359 Speaker 1: would have got there are those touchdowns. All the guys 129 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:07,239 Speaker 1: above us, every single one of them had Pittsburgh, Las 130 00:07:07,360 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 1: Vegas and the Patriots. So these dudes already would would 131 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 1: have been oh and three just off those three games 132 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 1: of Las Vegas would have just blown that game of 133 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 1: the Chargers. But we didn't talk about we were We 134 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 1: moved in a thirty fifth place during our bye week, 135 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 1: and then because so many people had taken the Patriots 136 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 1: last night, we jumped all the way to fifteen place. 137 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: So now we're just three back of a million dollar lead. 138 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:32,800 Speaker 1: It's pretty insane, it is. It is stunning. That is 139 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:36,400 Speaker 1: the craziest thing. With the last night, we have moved 140 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 1: up to top fifteen in the contest, which is just 141 00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 1: absurd out of it started. It's got eight hundred people 142 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 1: in it and we are top fifteen this late in 143 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:53,120 Speaker 1: the season. That is like last year. You know, you 144 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 1: worked with Darren Velle and I on we did the 145 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 1: west Gate Super contest, and we had last year, I 146 00:07:58,960 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: had the best year I've ever had. We had come 147 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:01,880 Speaker 1: we had come within like a game and a half 148 00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:06,120 Speaker 1: of finishing in the money. Yeah, we're like for the season. 149 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 1: We are top fifteen in this thing right now. And 150 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 1: you're right, we got our big balls better the week 151 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 1: coming up there, we got our hornets nest pick, we 152 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 1: got our survivor pick. By the way, we barely got 153 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:22,840 Speaker 1: out of there alive because didn't we choose the Steelers. 154 00:08:23,400 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 1: Chose the Steelers, And if the Patriots just would have 155 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: lost that game, of our sixteen thousand left have been 156 00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:34,120 Speaker 1: knocked out. Man, that was brutal, brutal come back when 157 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:38,200 Speaker 1: by the Patriots. But still we are top fifteen to 158 00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:42,079 Speaker 1: win a million dollars with six seven weeks left in 159 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 1: the year ten eleven, twelve, thirteen, fourteen, fifteen, seven weeks 160 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:47,840 Speaker 1: left in the year. We got one more bye week 161 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: and we are top fifteen thousand out of what was it, 162 00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 1: eight hundred thousand in the survivor pool. We are fucking crushing. 163 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:00,280 Speaker 1: It's a good year. It's been a good year. Oh 164 00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:02,040 Speaker 1: my god, Have you ever been happier? Have you ever 165 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:06,079 Speaker 1: had more fun? That's what I know it sucks being 166 00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 1: a pro buddy. I'm so straight line where it's like, 167 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 1: I'm really excited for us and especially the fans. Like 168 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 1: some of these guys have been betting with us since 169 00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:16,000 Speaker 1: week one and they're up like a lot of money. 170 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:18,960 Speaker 1: Like we've just been crushing it. It's stuff after coming 171 00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:20,800 Speaker 1: off a one on four week giving out this picks 172 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 1: to people. But that's just how it is. We're not 173 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 1: liars or scam artists. We're real. We're real people who 174 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:29,360 Speaker 1: are gonna have down weeks. And that was a bad week, 175 00:09:29,400 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: but I always say my history, I always have good 176 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:34,760 Speaker 1: bounce back week. So I'm really excited for this upcoming slate. 177 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:36,920 Speaker 1: Well listen, really only one of us had a bad 178 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 1: week because the other one was not committed to your picks. 179 00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 1: If we were only doing it based on my picks, 180 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:44,959 Speaker 1: we would have crushed. It's hard to be humble, Huh. 181 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:49,280 Speaker 1: Don't need to be what I'm saying, just when you're 182 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 1: winning people money, when you're giving away money to charity, 183 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 1: when you've got a podcast that is skyrock rocketing up 184 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:59,199 Speaker 1: the charts, when you become best friends with the professional 185 00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 1: better who's like a gift, when your other best friend 186 00:10:02,640 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 1: abandoned you to go be a suit at sports book, 187 00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:09,200 Speaker 1: Like I'm having the greatest year in my life, Like 188 00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:12,120 Speaker 1: you contame me where like I'm always loving these weeks 189 00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:14,160 Speaker 1: and you can step in and bringing like the reality, 190 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 1: like smack me in the face a little bit, like 191 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 1: come on, Like what do you wanna do here? Like 192 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:20,640 Speaker 1: we gotta make smart picks, not the sharpest picks. Where 193 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 1: these guys ahead of us. That's why I have so 194 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:25,280 Speaker 1: much confident right now. They're just they just keep picking 195 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 1: these chalk picks. Like the Cowboys aren't, like we talked 196 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:29,400 Speaker 1: about the time, they weren't gonna go oh and sixteen 197 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:31,559 Speaker 1: against the spread. The Jets aren't going oh and sixteen 198 00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:34,600 Speaker 1: against the spread. And hopefully these guys they don't listen 199 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 1: to this show and they just keep doing the same 200 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:38,319 Speaker 1: thing every week, picking against the Cowboys and Jets, because 201 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:41,079 Speaker 1: we'll keep gaining gaining on them if they keep doing that, 202 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:43,320 Speaker 1: because they're not gonna have five and o form one weeks, 203 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:48,320 Speaker 1: which that's worth shooting for, buddy, Top fifteen, baby, We're 204 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 1: going straight to the top number one. All right, Let's 205 00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 1: get to the games. Let's get to the games. Reminder 206 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 1: later in the show, we are going to reveal this 207 00:10:57,440 --> 00:10:59,959 Speaker 1: week's winner. I'm sad this week's winner is only winning 208 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:03,600 Speaker 1: hundred bucks. But you know what is gambling. It's not 209 00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 1: called guaranteeing. You know what I'm saying, all right? Colts 210 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:11,800 Speaker 1: Titans interesting one. I was a big backer of the 211 00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 1: Cult this past week. They did not show against the Ravens. 212 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:18,840 Speaker 1: The Ravens didn't look that good. The Culture just looked worse. 213 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:21,600 Speaker 1: I am a backer of the Titans. I think their 214 00:11:21,640 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 1: defense actually played really well and I think they're getting healthier. 215 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:28,560 Speaker 1: I like a short week, short home favorite, show me 216 00:11:28,600 --> 00:11:33,160 Speaker 1: the Titans. Yeah, it's hard to fight you on this 217 00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 1: where last week the Colts, that felt like a good bet. 218 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 1: We had forty seven yards of total yards for Baltimore 219 00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:45,800 Speaker 1: in the first half, their only touchdown was a defensive touchdown, 220 00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:49,280 Speaker 1: and in the second half they only put up what 221 00:11:49,440 --> 00:11:52,960 Speaker 1: was a fourteen or seventeen points. But the Colts man 222 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:56,600 Speaker 1: Philip Rivers just looking cooked. That was such a bad 223 00:11:56,720 --> 00:12:01,400 Speaker 1: Rivers game. And coming into this week, like you just said, 224 00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:05,360 Speaker 1: a short, short home fav on Thursday night, this is 225 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:09,400 Speaker 1: this is typically time to take the Titans, and I 226 00:12:09,480 --> 00:12:11,760 Speaker 1: know what their defense is scary because they have one 227 00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:14,160 Speaker 1: of the worst secondaries in football and they've just lost 228 00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:18,440 Speaker 1: Clowney already to a d line that's awful. But in 229 00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:21,560 Speaker 1: my mind, it just seems like the Titans here they 230 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:23,480 Speaker 1: can put up points where I can't trust the Colts 231 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:26,559 Speaker 1: to put up points. So I'm with you. I'd back 232 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 1: the Titans in the spot money and bets coming in 233 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 1: and the Titans right now, Oh yeah, should this be? 234 00:12:33,640 --> 00:12:36,520 Speaker 1: Do we like this enough? You don't sound like all 235 00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:40,000 Speaker 1: that enthusiastic. Yeah, because it's a sharp it's a sharp 236 00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 1: side to take the Colds here. That's like a they 237 00:12:43,480 --> 00:12:46,719 Speaker 1: just got embarrassed at home playing against a team that 238 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 1: just wanted home in a game they really shouldn't have 239 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:51,719 Speaker 1: blown out. Like I know there the Bears are having 240 00:12:51,760 --> 00:12:55,120 Speaker 1: their offensive struggle. Uh, they're just terrible right now. But 241 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 1: the Titans, they didn't. They're just one of these teams 242 00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 1: where I don't trust him out to win the competition. 243 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 1: And just because the Colts, it's hard to know what 244 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:05,840 Speaker 1: rivers we're gonna get this week. If he just gives 245 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 1: them a half deeatcon game with this Colts defense, they 246 00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 1: should win this. But I'm not back in rivers this week. 247 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:12,839 Speaker 1: I'll take places, but I wouldn't put them in. Now, 248 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:19,199 Speaker 1: let's get to the early games. Right now, the Washington 249 00:13:19,280 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 1: football team visiting Detroit is off the board. It's the 250 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:29,560 Speaker 1: next game in the rotation. So let's let's move on 251 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:35,880 Speaker 1: to the Philadelphia Eagles, the fighting Philadelphia Eagles visiting the 252 00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:39,480 Speaker 1: New York Football Giants. Eagles are three and a half 253 00:13:39,480 --> 00:13:43,200 Speaker 1: point favorites on the road, getting all the money, so 254 00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:45,880 Speaker 1: the sharp side, and getting all the bets so the 255 00:13:45,920 --> 00:13:52,400 Speaker 1: public side. Yeah, it's it's the battle for the NFC East, 256 00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:55,560 Speaker 1: my friend, divisional game. Whoever wins this is probably gonna 257 00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 1: win this division. And when I'm looking at this, I 258 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:02,600 Speaker 1: see two teams are pretty much evenly matched. The Giants 259 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:05,000 Speaker 1: they have a good defense, the Eagles have a pretty 260 00:14:05,040 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 1: pretty banged up defense. But they're from four. Is just 261 00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:12,760 Speaker 1: really good for the Eagles, and it's hard to back 262 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 1: you do these teams. So in my mind, if I 263 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:17,320 Speaker 1: had this number at three, it's three and a half 264 00:14:17,360 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 1: of the Giants. Now, I'll take the three and a 265 00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 1: half of the Giants. But this feels like a field 266 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:25,320 Speaker 1: goal game and come off a bye week for the Eagles, 267 00:14:25,400 --> 00:14:26,920 Speaker 1: it's it's hard for me to want to put this 268 00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 1: in the competition taking the Giants, So I'm cool to 269 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 1: stay away from this one. Look, the problem with the 270 00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 1: Giants is Daniel Jones, and I'm just you will not 271 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 1: get me to bet on Daniel Jones because he's too 272 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:42,680 Speaker 1: much of a bet killer, do you know what I mean? 273 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 1: Like it throws every sort of metric that that we 274 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 1: believe in out the window because he will do all 275 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:57,120 Speaker 1: the things that we think are supposed to happen and 276 00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 1: then at the end of the game, hold the ball 277 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 1: too long, get sacked. Who hold the ball too long, 278 00:15:01,960 --> 00:15:04,360 Speaker 1: He'll throw an interception, Who'll hold the ball too long, 279 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 1: run out of the pocket, make a bad pass like 280 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 1: he If you're going to bet, you have to account 281 00:15:13,280 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 1: for some variations in luck, some variances in sort of 282 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 1: what you expect to happen. But he plays so far 283 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:25,120 Speaker 1: outside the lane of what you expect to happen because 284 00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: he's so unpredictable. There's there's managing unpredictability, and there is 285 00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:36,400 Speaker 1: like just walking into the gaping maw of unpredictability. And 286 00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:40,120 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones is that gaping maw. And right now of 287 00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:42,640 Speaker 1: Carson Wentz is putting pretty much a saying. That's why 288 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:44,600 Speaker 1: if you if you are taking the Eagles, I can't 289 00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:47,880 Speaker 1: follow you, because last week the Giants had three interceptions 290 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 1: and a Firmer recovery and won a game by three points. 291 00:15:51,160 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 1: So you're just seeing the Giants aren't consistent on offense. 292 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,640 Speaker 1: They can't put together drives and get third downs and 293 00:15:56,680 --> 00:16:00,080 Speaker 1: I needed So I'm with you. I'm happy away from 294 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,520 Speaker 1: this one. You know what, I don't hate here, and 295 00:16:02,560 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 1: this is gonna feel very anti sharp. I don't hate 296 00:16:08,400 --> 00:16:14,880 Speaker 1: the Packers. Is two touchdown favorites against the Jacks? Crazy? Yeah, 297 00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 1: I mean it's it. It's tough because like it's tough 298 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 1: for me to grade out this quarterback on the Jacks, 299 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:23,280 Speaker 1: Like I don't have much tape on him. I don't 300 00:16:23,280 --> 00:16:25,240 Speaker 1: have a lot of numbers on He played one one 301 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:27,800 Speaker 1: game against Houston, which we talked last week. I think 302 00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 1: Houston is just terrible. And fourteen points so many points though, 303 00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 1: and the Packers run d you can run on them. Uh, 304 00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 1: I wouldn't do it. I I'd probably take the Jacks here. 305 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 1: I got this at thirteen. The fact that fourteen still, 306 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 1: which is interesting, means to me that not a lot 307 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:49,560 Speaker 1: of people are hitting this game. It must be like 308 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:53,080 Speaker 1: a low number amount of money on this game, um, 309 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:55,240 Speaker 1: because that's just that's that's funny. They would just hanging 310 00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:57,280 Speaker 1: up four team then leave it there for two days, 311 00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:59,200 Speaker 1: So that's that must mean that they're they're getting enough 312 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:01,080 Speaker 1: even money on both sides that they're just like, you 313 00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:03,640 Speaker 1: know what, We'll just let the public play this out 314 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 1: as the week goes on because they know people are 315 00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:07,040 Speaker 1: gonna have this in teasers and things like that. So 316 00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:09,879 Speaker 1: that's an interesting number. Well, my friend, you're not wrong. 317 00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:12,879 Speaker 1: It is one of the least bet games on the board, 318 00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:15,960 Speaker 1: according to the Action Network app right now on Sunday. 319 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,920 Speaker 1: On Sunday afternoon, my fourteen year old son, who likes 320 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:21,919 Speaker 1: to troll me, said two things to me. He said, 321 00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:25,480 Speaker 1: as of right now, this is before two we started playing. 322 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:28,359 Speaker 1: As of right now, Jake ab Lowton is the best 323 00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:31,240 Speaker 1: rookie quarterback in the state of Florida. Then he said 324 00:17:31,280 --> 00:17:34,160 Speaker 1: to me, hey, Dad, you know you always feel bad 325 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:37,960 Speaker 1: that the Bears drafted Mitch Trobinsky over Patrick Mahomes and 326 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:43,199 Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson. But no, this Mitch Trobinski has more wins 327 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:47,359 Speaker 1: this year as a starter than Deshaun Watson. That is 328 00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:51,639 Speaker 1: actually factually true. From my standpoint, any quarterback that be 329 00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:53,680 Speaker 1: on the Bears right now, we'll be having a top front. 330 00:17:53,720 --> 00:17:55,440 Speaker 1: You guys might have one of the war cell phones 331 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:57,560 Speaker 1: of lines I've ever seen. Just so many injuries. It's 332 00:17:57,600 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 1: just brutal for Bears. We're down. We're down four. Guy, 333 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:05,960 Speaker 1: It's it's rough. It's bad. Yeah, it's totally bad. Buccaneers 334 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:09,119 Speaker 1: visiting the Panthers. This game opened at six in some places. 335 00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:11,600 Speaker 1: It's still at six in some places. It's down to 336 00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:13,800 Speaker 1: four and a half. Tremendous amount of mone not a 337 00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,320 Speaker 1: huge volume of bets, but a lot of money. I 338 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:19,000 Speaker 1: feel like John King there not a huge amount of 339 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:23,719 Speaker 1: volume coming in from this county right now, but still 340 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:28,160 Speaker 1: but still looking at the magic wall of the money 341 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 1: of the bets coming in on Carolina again, we gotta 342 00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:34,680 Speaker 1: count the bets. The bets are not in yet. We 343 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:37,280 Speaker 1: gotta count the bets. We're gonna have a change, But 344 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:41,000 Speaker 1: right now, this is what it looks like. That's pretty good. 345 00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:46,000 Speaker 1: I thought, oh chat, oh chat, not good. And this 346 00:18:46,080 --> 00:18:48,119 Speaker 1: is this is that's not your career, buddy, this is 347 00:18:48,119 --> 00:18:52,400 Speaker 1: your career. Yeah, you don't got it. That is fun. 348 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:56,600 Speaker 1: I nailed that. You felt like you landed that this amount. 349 00:18:57,119 --> 00:19:01,959 Speaker 1: I felt like I out a vision. I felt like 350 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:04,680 Speaker 1: I could connect this to something that everyone could understand. 351 00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,399 Speaker 1: People like that in podcasts like oh my god, you 352 00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:09,760 Speaker 1: know we're all talking about the same thing, John King, 353 00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:13,400 Speaker 1: like the Magic Wall. I think I knew of it. 354 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 1: I mean, if people in are re late, that's that 355 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:18,879 Speaker 1: was pretty good. If my mic wasn't connected to a 356 00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 1: metal arm right now, I drop it. Uh. From my 357 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:27,360 Speaker 1: viewpoint of this game, how do you not play the Panthers. 358 00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:29,600 Speaker 1: It's a public player of the week. Everyone's gonna come 359 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:32,520 Speaker 1: in on the Panthers. Buccaneers just had the worst game 360 00:19:32,560 --> 00:19:36,000 Speaker 1: of the year. The Panthers almost beat the Chiefs. Teddy 361 00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:38,080 Speaker 1: Bridgewater as a dog. We talked about all he does 362 00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:41,879 Speaker 1: is cover. I will be on the Buccaneers. It's I 363 00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:43,760 Speaker 1: don't have a choice. I have to take them here. 364 00:19:43,840 --> 00:19:47,200 Speaker 1: This is I think people are forgetting how great of 365 00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:49,160 Speaker 1: a team this Buccan years are. Yeah, they've had two 366 00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:53,639 Speaker 1: bad weeks in a row. Um, I just I don't know. 367 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,720 Speaker 1: I just love the Buccaneers. In this position where the 368 00:19:56,720 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 1: Panthers just lost McCaffrey they've played Saints really tough, they 369 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:06,360 Speaker 1: played the Chiefs really tough, and the number will keep 370 00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:08,520 Speaker 1: coming down that eventually we're gonna get really good value 371 00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:10,840 Speaker 1: on the Buccaneers. So in the competition, if this is 372 00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:14,080 Speaker 1: at four, I feel conquerable taking them bucks minus four. 373 00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:16,680 Speaker 1: I got this at five, so to me, it's a 374 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 1: good number. All right. I don't disagree with you. One 375 00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:21,960 Speaker 1: thing you said, how can you not be on the 376 00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:23,720 Speaker 1: Panthers and then you went to the box? You mean 377 00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:26,000 Speaker 1: like you're gonna be on the box. I agree with 378 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,600 Speaker 1: you here. It is the perfect spot to play the box. 379 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:30,560 Speaker 1: You're getting like, yeah, it feels like a trap with 380 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,959 Speaker 1: the pack. It's a it's a it's a bilow. The 381 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:35,960 Speaker 1: only thing that worries me about the boxes like their 382 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:41,480 Speaker 1: defense has not been the same since uh, you know, 383 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,920 Speaker 1: what is that how you say his name? I think 384 00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:47,560 Speaker 1: it's uh, maybe I'm wrong. Yeah, you're right, you're probably right, 385 00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:50,920 Speaker 1: but like I don't know how to say it, but um, 386 00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:53,320 Speaker 1: since he since he was injured, that defense hasn't been 387 00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:55,159 Speaker 1: the same. But I agree with you. The Box are 388 00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:57,919 Speaker 1: the right side here. All right, let's put it in 389 00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:02,360 Speaker 1: for now. It's in. I wrote it down, We're done. Uh, 390 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:06,400 Speaker 1: Texans at the Browns. Believe the Browns had to buy 391 00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:09,560 Speaker 1: this past week. They are three and a half point 392 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:13,600 Speaker 1: favorites over the Texans. I just this Texas team is 393 00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:18,159 Speaker 1: just bad. They're just really bad. Yeah, don't care for 394 00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 1: on the public side. The Texans can't stop the run. 395 00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:24,960 Speaker 1: The Browns love to run the ball. Happy to take 396 00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:27,119 Speaker 1: the Browns after a buyo, we could sitting down minus 397 00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:30,320 Speaker 1: three now, so it kind of it's kind of rough 398 00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:31,920 Speaker 1: be cause he lost that value of the minus two 399 00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 1: and a half and the Browns have let us down 400 00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:39,040 Speaker 1: multiple times on these extra extra points missed and stupid 401 00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:40,720 Speaker 1: things that they just hit the three. They don't cover 402 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:43,960 Speaker 1: these back doors. But I like the Browns this week. 403 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:47,120 Speaker 1: I'm cool taking the minus three. Well, right now, I'm 404 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:49,080 Speaker 1: seeing three and a half at a bunch of places, 405 00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:52,240 Speaker 1: so I've seen not doing it three and a half. 406 00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:54,560 Speaker 1: So I take the hook with them again. We'll not 407 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 1: take that. We will not be like baited by this hook. 408 00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:03,840 Speaker 1: So come on, bated by this hook. You're just trying 409 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:06,960 Speaker 1: to drop funs Now, Oh my god, what has happening? 410 00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:09,760 Speaker 1: I did it right there like on the fly. Dude, 411 00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:11,520 Speaker 1: chat is on the run in the high of highs 412 00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:17,199 Speaker 1: right now, look at you feeling my oats. Alright, so 413 00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,199 Speaker 1: we're gonna keep the Browns on the list if it 414 00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,359 Speaker 1: If it goes three and a half, they're off at three. 415 00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 1: Will consider them. Uh Broncos visiting the Raiders. Oh ship God, 416 00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 1: that happens so fast. That's the shortest. It's the smallest 417 00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:39,080 Speaker 1: early slate in a while. They were blessed three to one. 418 00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:43,040 Speaker 1: All right, that was a quick early slate. Let's let's 419 00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:47,040 Speaker 1: move into the lake games. Broncos visiting the Raiders. Uh, 420 00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:52,320 Speaker 1: Broncos five and a half, five at some places, underdogs, 421 00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:55,320 Speaker 1: five pounder five and a half underdogs. I don't think 422 00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:57,480 Speaker 1: that Drew lock is a very good quarterback? Am I wrong? 423 00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:02,960 Speaker 1: You're not wrong. He's he seems like he needs three 424 00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,399 Speaker 1: quarters to wake up, and then when he does wake up, 425 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:08,880 Speaker 1: he's incredible because he has so many good weapons around him, 426 00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:11,200 Speaker 1: like to his receiving corps, his tight end. They're all 427 00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:14,760 Speaker 1: just studs. And in my mind, this feels like another 428 00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:16,679 Speaker 1: game that's gonna probably en up being a shootout in 429 00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:21,600 Speaker 1: a divisional game. Uh. I don't I don't want to. 430 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,160 Speaker 1: I don't want to go against the Raiders again though, 431 00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:24,600 Speaker 1: so it's hard from me here, but like I have 432 00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:27,320 Speaker 1: to take the Broncos five points. That's a lot of 433 00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:31,439 Speaker 1: points in a divisional game with two teams that I 434 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:35,680 Speaker 1: just don't think either team really has a huge advantage 435 00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:37,480 Speaker 1: of the other one. The Raiders have some injuries, they 436 00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:41,880 Speaker 1: have some guys still on COVID list. The Broncos they 437 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:45,400 Speaker 1: just play a weird style. We're like we were just saying, 438 00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,280 Speaker 1: they get down big and then they fight back when 439 00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:50,400 Speaker 1: there's no time left, and and in my mind, if 440 00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:52,360 Speaker 1: this is gonna be a shootout, I have to take 441 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:55,320 Speaker 1: the Broncos here at the plus five. Well, right now 442 00:23:55,440 --> 00:24:00,440 Speaker 1: we're getting u the bets and again very low volume 443 00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:04,240 Speaker 1: of the money on the Raiders. So what that tells 444 00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:06,159 Speaker 1: me is there's also an opportunity for the line to 445 00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 1: go up a little bit more. And also, like last week, 446 00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:12,640 Speaker 1: the Raiders had a big win, a high profile win. 447 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:14,679 Speaker 1: They are a team that is getting more and more 448 00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:18,320 Speaker 1: attention because Derek Carr is having such a good year. Um, 449 00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:22,480 Speaker 1: but their defense is a dumpster fire and like that 450 00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:26,760 Speaker 1: Broncos Russian game it with Philip Lindsay, it can be 451 00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:30,639 Speaker 1: very good at times, So I don't hate the Broncos here, 452 00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:34,200 Speaker 1: I just like, I just hate betting them. They make me. Yeah, 453 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:35,360 Speaker 1: I don't want to put it in. I don't feel 454 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:39,159 Speaker 1: like sweating Broncos, Like do you really want to sweat 455 00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:42,440 Speaker 1: Drew Lock? Like we're gonna be down twenty and nothing 456 00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:46,000 Speaker 1: a halftime. It's like, great for another miracle. Here's what 457 00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 1: I want to avoid. It's six fifteen on Sunday night. 458 00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 1: I've been sitting on the couch with my fourteen year 459 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:58,000 Speaker 1: old for you know, five straight hours. It's almost dinner time, 460 00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:02,439 Speaker 1: and my wife is like, hey, deal with dinner. So 461 00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:04,520 Speaker 1: I go into the kitchen. I turn on the TV 462 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:07,800 Speaker 1: in the kitchen and I'm watching the Broncos flail away 463 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:10,120 Speaker 1: and I've got to send you a text that says 464 00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:13,399 Speaker 1: fucking Broncos. And then they got to come back, and 465 00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:16,800 Speaker 1: I gotta do with you coming back at me because 466 00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:20,240 Speaker 1: I'm giving you a hard time. Yeah, that's true. That 467 00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:24,879 Speaker 1: would definitely happen. It's true. Meanwhile, we got the Chargers 468 00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,679 Speaker 1: visiting to the Dolphins, and like that feels like an 469 00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:32,800 Speaker 1: interesting matchup. All of a sudden, Please help me, I 470 00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:35,600 Speaker 1: can't Why can't I not stop betting the Chargers. I 471 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:38,320 Speaker 1: want to bet the Chargers too. It feels like they 472 00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:39,760 Speaker 1: feel like the Browns to me. I want to bet 473 00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:42,240 Speaker 1: them every single week. How do you have this game 474 00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:44,959 Speaker 1: power rated right now? So I think you're like I 475 00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:46,919 Speaker 1: had this as you're getting good value on Miami. I 476 00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:48,960 Speaker 1: had this had minus three, so two and a half 477 00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:52,560 Speaker 1: that's good value on Miami. But it feels too easy, 478 00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:54,600 Speaker 1: Like it feels like Vegas is laying a trap for 479 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:56,280 Speaker 1: me where it's like two, I just had the game 480 00:25:56,320 --> 00:26:00,479 Speaker 1: of his life played so well against Vera Zone on 481 00:26:00,520 --> 00:26:04,440 Speaker 1: the road, coming home two straight wins for the Dolphins, 482 00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 1: playing a Chargers team who just two straight games historical 483 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,199 Speaker 1: fashion losses. It's it's so hard for me not to 484 00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:16,159 Speaker 1: take the Chargers here. But in our pickful it's like 485 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:17,920 Speaker 1: do we do we want to take a rookie QB 486 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 1: on the road here and like hope for the best 487 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:22,400 Speaker 1: because like I just said, I don't think we're getting 488 00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,000 Speaker 1: good value that's in the two and a half. Like 489 00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:26,760 Speaker 1: if it's at three, I'd feel comfortable taking the Chargers. 490 00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:28,920 Speaker 1: But a two and a half, I feel like Miami 491 00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:31,159 Speaker 1: used the right side. You know what this game is 492 00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:34,200 Speaker 1: right here? This game is at hornets Nest. I'm walking 493 00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:36,919 Speaker 1: to a fucking hornets nest. All right, I'll be my companion. 494 00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:39,640 Speaker 1: You think it's the Hornet's not play of the week, Chargers, 495 00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:42,639 Speaker 1: it's the hornets Nest play of the week. It is. 496 00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:45,480 Speaker 1: It is like a hard game to handicap. I don't 497 00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:47,440 Speaker 1: look at Justin Herbert right now. It's sort of a 498 00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:50,040 Speaker 1: rookie quarterback who struggle on the road, especially in an 499 00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:53,320 Speaker 1: empty stadium. He just seems like he gets it and 500 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:57,399 Speaker 1: he's super comfortable. He makes really good throws in tight windows. 501 00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:01,360 Speaker 1: He throws a beautiful deep ball. My my concern here 502 00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:04,720 Speaker 1: is Briant floor Is is clearly a great coach, because 503 00:27:05,520 --> 00:27:09,959 Speaker 1: the one vulnerability that the Dolphins had last week defensively 504 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:13,200 Speaker 1: was against Kyler Murray on third down because they play 505 00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:16,240 Speaker 1: so much man, they would leave huge running lanes open, 506 00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:17,960 Speaker 1: and Kyler Murray did beat them for a lot of 507 00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:20,760 Speaker 1: third down conversions with his feet. But the Dolphins just 508 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,160 Speaker 1: they don't stop playing. That's the sign of a great 509 00:27:24,160 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 1: coach like and and He's got these guys playing like 510 00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:28,360 Speaker 1: a level that I think is above where they are. 511 00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:31,000 Speaker 1: And to is clearly a guy who makes them more 512 00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:34,720 Speaker 1: athletic and more potent offensively. So how do you not 513 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:36,439 Speaker 1: pet the Dolphins at minus two and a half if 514 00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:39,399 Speaker 1: you have them power rated at three? Right, you're you're 515 00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:41,479 Speaker 1: right too. It's like such a huge coach in advantage 516 00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:44,040 Speaker 1: we've just seen from Anthony lenn at the end of 517 00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:46,720 Speaker 1: the first half, he settled for three points where he 518 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 1: could have easily scored a touchdown on Oakland. He makes 519 00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 1: these little mental especially into the game, to the Chargers, 520 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:54,840 Speaker 1: they are just wasting all this time. Like, I'm with you, 521 00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:57,480 Speaker 1: you can put the Dolphins in if it stays on 522 00:27:57,560 --> 00:27:59,399 Speaker 1: my soon a half, Like I gotta trust the numbers 523 00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:01,119 Speaker 1: and said this this, this is the right time to 524 00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:04,840 Speaker 1: take them here again. Yeah, it just feels like you 525 00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:06,960 Speaker 1: can't go against the Dolphins right now. Remember last week 526 00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:09,720 Speaker 1: last week we love the Dolphins when when that game 527 00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:12,280 Speaker 1: posted against the Cardinals, and over the course of the week, 528 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:13,880 Speaker 1: like I kind of got talked out of it by 529 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,760 Speaker 1: listening to so many people, and it turns out we 530 00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:20,359 Speaker 1: were right. Our instincts are right. Yeah, alright, Buffalo Bills, 531 00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:24,120 Speaker 1: we were both like way wrong on last week. Um no, 532 00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:27,480 Speaker 1: that's not true. We like the Bills and bad weather. Uh, 533 00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:31,679 Speaker 1: and then ultimately like we like the Seahawks, but we 534 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:34,240 Speaker 1: ended up not putting in the contest. Uh, they are 535 00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:36,560 Speaker 1: visiting the Cardinals. They are two and a half point 536 00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:42,720 Speaker 1: dogs on the road. Situational play like I had to 537 00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:46,360 Speaker 1: send minus three for the Cardinals. I know that people 538 00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 1: are right the Dolls like the road teams. This year, 539 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:52,320 Speaker 1: I've have really been what like doing well, especially covering um. 540 00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:55,880 Speaker 1: The home fill advantage has really been dead. But in 541 00:28:55,960 --> 00:29:00,200 Speaker 1: my mind, we got a Cardinals team here who that's 542 00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:02,240 Speaker 1: a really tough loss. It's gonna be a tough week 543 00:29:02,280 --> 00:29:04,760 Speaker 1: of practice, and this is kind of game where if 544 00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:06,920 Speaker 1: they're legit this year, they're gonna bounce back and beat 545 00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:09,560 Speaker 1: the Bills. Because the Bills just came off arguably the 546 00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:12,480 Speaker 1: most perfect game they played all year against the Seahawks. Now, 547 00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:16,880 Speaker 1: long travel, out of conference game, it just feels like 548 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:18,920 Speaker 1: a smart play here on the Cardinal. So I'm happy 549 00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:21,440 Speaker 1: to take the money is too. I love the Cardinals here. 550 00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:25,400 Speaker 1: I like for all the sort of back and forth 551 00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 1: we have about the Chargers in the Dolphins, I think 552 00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:31,200 Speaker 1: the Cardinals like are the exact right spot. Let's do it, 553 00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:32,960 Speaker 1: Let's put them in, all right? So right, now we 554 00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:38,720 Speaker 1: like the Bucks and we like the Cardinals, and that's 555 00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:41,080 Speaker 1: it so far. We kind of like the Browns, we 556 00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 1: kind of like Miami. But you know, Bengal Steelers, Bengals 557 00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:51,080 Speaker 1: plus seven on the road at Pittsburgh. Big balls better 558 00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:56,160 Speaker 1: the week. I got a bigger balls better that week. 559 00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:57,719 Speaker 1: But we can make it that. Yeah, we can make 560 00:29:57,760 --> 00:29:59,360 Speaker 1: it this one if you want. No, no, no, I 561 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:00,640 Speaker 1: want to hear what you're gonna say. But I do 562 00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:04,680 Speaker 1: like the Bengals here. I think the Steelers have just 563 00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:08,080 Speaker 1: sort of they've been uncovered, and Joe Burrow I think 564 00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:12,480 Speaker 1: only gets better like every single week. So I like 565 00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:16,160 Speaker 1: the Bengals here. Yeah, And I'm with you on the 566 00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,160 Speaker 1: numbers too big probably for this game. Now we have 567 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,040 Speaker 1: all this news of all this COVID stuff going on 568 00:30:21,080 --> 00:30:24,280 Speaker 1: with Pittsburgh, and we've seen how COVID's affected teams. Like 569 00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:26,880 Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford, he didn't even have it, but he was 570 00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,360 Speaker 1: just self isolating away from his team for like three 571 00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:31,920 Speaker 1: or four days by himself, and he came out and 572 00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:34,240 Speaker 1: he just laid a complete egg against the Vikings. And 573 00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:37,840 Speaker 1: looking at this, if this number stays at seven, I'd 574 00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:41,400 Speaker 1: feel comfortable taking uh, Burrow on the road here, all 575 00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:44,200 Speaker 1: he does is cover. He's so due for regression that 576 00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:46,000 Speaker 1: that's that's the only thing that's giving me policed here. 577 00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:48,000 Speaker 1: It's like, when is the regression going to come? Because 578 00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:50,320 Speaker 1: all rookies sat a wall. Eventually, no rookie goes to 579 00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 1: the whole season flawless. And in a divisional game here, 580 00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:56,800 Speaker 1: I would take the seven, but if it dips below 581 00:30:56,920 --> 00:30:59,800 Speaker 1: plus seven, I would not take sin. See what do 582 00:30:59,840 --> 00:31:02,520 Speaker 1: you have it power rated at? I have it at 583 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:05,880 Speaker 1: minus six, So I think that you're getting good value 584 00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:08,320 Speaker 1: still at six and a half of the Bengals, But 585 00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:10,520 Speaker 1: I just feel better with the seven. Just the way 586 00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:12,560 Speaker 1: that they play. It just feels like I could see 587 00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:15,520 Speaker 1: them being down fourteen and get the back door like 588 00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:18,200 Speaker 1: push from the seven. So I feel better with the seven. 589 00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:22,080 Speaker 1: I totally agree. H And who knows this game might 590 00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:26,040 Speaker 1: come off the board, like if the Steelers continue exactly um, 591 00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:29,760 Speaker 1: so you never know. The Seahawks got we got a 592 00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:33,120 Speaker 1: lot of late games this week. We're so blessed man, 593 00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:38,080 Speaker 1: so nice, right, the Seahawks visiting the Rams. Seahawks two 594 00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:45,480 Speaker 1: point dogs on the road in Los Angeles? Who don't 595 00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:47,520 Speaker 1: think you just bet it you just take the rain 596 00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:51,680 Speaker 1: so you don't even think about it. It's why easy 597 00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:56,120 Speaker 1: play where you have a divisional game divisional teams off 598 00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:58,720 Speaker 1: of bye week. I know the Seahawks just got destroyed 599 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,920 Speaker 1: on the road, but we talked about it early in 600 00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 1: the year when we were talking m vps and why 601 00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:06,240 Speaker 1: I thought it was a bad bet to take Russell Wilson. 602 00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:10,040 Speaker 1: He'sn't too part of a division. Too many tough games 603 00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:13,600 Speaker 1: and what has it been now? Seven turnovers the last 604 00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:17,400 Speaker 1: two games for Russ. We're patrick my homes. He's touchdowns 605 00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:21,200 Speaker 1: in one year exception. So it's like Russ has kind 606 00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:23,680 Speaker 1: of run into it where there's too much on his shoulders. 607 00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:28,320 Speaker 1: And in my mind this Rams situation, it's a really, 608 00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:31,200 Speaker 1: really well coached team that can run the ball playing 609 00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:35,120 Speaker 1: a Seahawks team that cannot stop the run. So Russ 610 00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:37,040 Speaker 1: might get me in the end here. I know he's 611 00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:39,520 Speaker 1: got the plus two, but in my mind this this 612 00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:42,720 Speaker 1: should be a field goal for the Rams. So if 613 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:44,360 Speaker 1: this day is under three, I'm more than happy to 614 00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:47,680 Speaker 1: take the Rams here. I like it is that a BBB, 615 00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:53,040 Speaker 1: it's not almost there? All right? Well, right now, this 616 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:57,200 Speaker 1: is a classic pros Joe's game. Because the bets are 617 00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:01,080 Speaker 1: coming in. It's a it's a decent amount of volume. Um, 618 00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:05,520 Speaker 1: it's of the bets are coming in on Seattle, but 619 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:10,040 Speaker 1: the money, so we've got some significant split here. I'm 620 00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:12,360 Speaker 1: with you. I like this game all right. Now we're 621 00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:17,760 Speaker 1: starting now, We're starting now the now, the bets are 622 00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:21,720 Speaker 1: getting counted. Now, we're getting closer than being able to 623 00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:25,000 Speaker 1: call it. The forty Niners are visiting the Saints. It 624 00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:27,040 Speaker 1: opened it six and a half, it's now at plus 625 00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:29,200 Speaker 1: nine and a half. You are begging me to take 626 00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:33,440 Speaker 1: the Niners here, big ball of the week, my big 627 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:41,640 Speaker 1: ball better the week. The Saints coming off the most 628 00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:44,720 Speaker 1: dominating game of the season, according to d v O, 629 00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 1: a San Francisco blown out at home on a Thursday night, 630 00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 1: coming across country to play the Saints. Public is gonna tease, 631 00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:56,920 Speaker 1: they're gonna money line, all of everything on the Saints here. 632 00:33:57,520 --> 00:34:00,320 Speaker 1: This is a great matchup for the forty Niners. The 633 00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:02,920 Speaker 1: fact that it's, like you just said, nine and a half, ten, 634 00:34:03,560 --> 00:34:06,440 Speaker 1: I love it. Anything above seven and a half, I'm 635 00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:08,440 Speaker 1: more than happy to take on the forty Niners. So 636 00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,560 Speaker 1: this is this is everything game for four Nighters their 637 00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:13,680 Speaker 1: season pretty much. They need to win this one because 638 00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:16,880 Speaker 1: they're upcoming games are just even even harder than this. 639 00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:19,160 Speaker 1: So not that I'm calling my shot. I got the 640 00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:21,560 Speaker 1: forty nine winning this outright, So I like the forty 641 00:34:22,160 --> 00:34:25,480 Speaker 1: big whoa whoa, Yeah, you have the you have the 642 00:34:25,520 --> 00:34:28,560 Speaker 1: forty niners running this outright. The money line price on 643 00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:30,640 Speaker 1: this greame right now. And by the way, when I 644 00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:32,640 Speaker 1: yelled big Balls better the week, I yelled it so 645 00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:35,160 Speaker 1: loud and my dog ran upstairs. I just want you 646 00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:41,560 Speaker 1: to know that the money line price on this greame 647 00:34:41,680 --> 00:34:46,200 Speaker 1: right now h three, up from two thirty five, so 648 00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:49,640 Speaker 1: it's it's getting up there. But I like it. No 649 00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,080 Speaker 1: one believes in them, man, No, no one believes the 650 00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:54,919 Speaker 1: forty nine. They're they're they're leaving, they're leaving them for dead, 651 00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:57,279 Speaker 1: and they're gonna get guys back this week, though. I 652 00:34:57,320 --> 00:34:58,960 Speaker 1: think they're gonna get right. And this is this is 653 00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:03,480 Speaker 1: a good situation play for I'm in. I love it. 654 00:35:03,560 --> 00:35:07,600 Speaker 1: I love it. Let's freaking do it. Big ball is 655 00:35:07,640 --> 00:35:11,799 Speaker 1: better the week, my friend, This Ravens team is not 656 00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:13,959 Speaker 1: very good right now to me, and there are seven 657 00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:16,359 Speaker 1: point favorites on the road against the Patriots. I mean, 658 00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:19,759 Speaker 1: this is a unless you feel strongly it's kind of 659 00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:22,520 Speaker 1: a past for me. Yeah, like the Ravens if they 660 00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:25,120 Speaker 1: stay at seven. Um, I'm seeing some books seven and 661 00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:27,160 Speaker 1: a half now. As long as it stays seven, I 662 00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:30,440 Speaker 1: put them in because in my mind, Patriots are one 663 00:35:30,440 --> 00:35:33,319 Speaker 1: of the worst defenses against the run. We know what 664 00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:35,719 Speaker 1: the Ravens like to do, like to run it. I'm 665 00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:39,080 Speaker 1: with you, they have not looked right and it's scary 666 00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:42,600 Speaker 1: that it's as big of a number. But I can't 667 00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:45,440 Speaker 1: back this Patriots defense. They just don't have the bodies 668 00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:47,920 Speaker 1: to stop a kind of offense like this with the Ravens. 669 00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:50,920 Speaker 1: So to me, it's a get right game for the Ravens. 670 00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:53,440 Speaker 1: I know it's back to back road games, but as 671 00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:55,600 Speaker 1: long as it's seven and under, I'm happy to take 672 00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:59,480 Speaker 1: the Ravens here. Okay, I'll put it on the list. Um. 673 00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:01,759 Speaker 1: And now all of a sudden got like we've got 674 00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:05,160 Speaker 1: a really full list, um, which is cool. We've got 675 00:36:05,160 --> 00:36:07,920 Speaker 1: a full list, even with lines that that are questionable. 676 00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:09,960 Speaker 1: I think we're gonna tear a couple off right away. 677 00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:12,759 Speaker 1: Last game of the night, last game of the week. 678 00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:14,640 Speaker 1: It's the last game of the slate the Monday night game, 679 00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:20,120 Speaker 1: the Minnesota Vikings visiting the dreadful of Chicago Bears. Depending 680 00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:22,360 Speaker 1: on where you look at draft Kings. Right now, the 681 00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:26,320 Speaker 1: Vikings are three point road favorites. This is another pros 682 00:36:26,400 --> 00:36:28,480 Speaker 1: Joe's right now. And it's a decent amount of volume 683 00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:31,600 Speaker 1: on this game. Sixty percent of the bets coming in 684 00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:36,480 Speaker 1: on Minnesota, but sevent of the money coming in on Chicago. 685 00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:41,160 Speaker 1: And I love the Bears, but I am a little 686 00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:42,920 Speaker 1: worried where I just read you guys just lost your 687 00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:47,440 Speaker 1: best run defender on the D line and one of 688 00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:50,480 Speaker 1: these injuries catch up to the Bears, like we just 689 00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:54,360 Speaker 1: talked about, they have lost four offensive linemen. Now, Montgomery 690 00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:56,960 Speaker 1: is not a good running back. Nick Foles doesn't have 691 00:36:56,960 --> 00:36:58,680 Speaker 1: the time to take deep shots and that's what he's 692 00:36:58,719 --> 00:37:03,440 Speaker 1: best at is the long ball. And the Vikings have 693 00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:06,960 Speaker 1: just been mowing down people the Dalvin Cook run game, 694 00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:09,040 Speaker 1: like people are talking about him for m VP right now. 695 00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:11,880 Speaker 1: This this guy is next level. I don't want to 696 00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:14,359 Speaker 1: get in front of it. It's probably the pro play 697 00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:16,399 Speaker 1: to take the Bears here, but in my mind, if 698 00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:18,040 Speaker 1: it's just two and a half, I'll fall in the 699 00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:21,000 Speaker 1: trap and I'll take the Vikings and just rely on 700 00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:23,520 Speaker 1: not not because I know the reason it's like this 701 00:37:23,600 --> 00:37:27,760 Speaker 1: is that Kirk Cousins. These are the games he falls apart. 702 00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:30,120 Speaker 1: Like I feel like every time in history, once everyone 703 00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:33,120 Speaker 1: starts believing the Vikings and Kirk Cousins in our primetime game, 704 00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:36,759 Speaker 1: they lose by twenty. But I can't do it. I 705 00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:39,239 Speaker 1: cannot take the Bears shot. I'll take the Vikings and 706 00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:42,560 Speaker 1: this run Hall phones. Yeah, I think I agree with you. 707 00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:46,080 Speaker 1: It's the Bears are completely the right side. I don't 708 00:37:46,120 --> 00:37:49,440 Speaker 1: think I don't think they're the right side enough that 709 00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:51,360 Speaker 1: I want to put him in our top five. I 710 00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:54,560 Speaker 1: think we got better options there, but who knows, Like 711 00:37:54,600 --> 00:37:58,680 Speaker 1: come Sunday morning, like things could change and there's injuries, 712 00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:01,120 Speaker 1: there's COVID, there's line moves, and all of a sudden, 713 00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:03,840 Speaker 1: that Monday Night game is looking pretty good. And I 714 00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,320 Speaker 1: can tell you that Monday Night game is going to 715 00:38:06,440 --> 00:38:08,920 Speaker 1: have everybody on the Vikings. So if we're looking to 716 00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:10,759 Speaker 1: make a move in the contest, and now we've got 717 00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:13,839 Speaker 1: to start thinking like game theory and ship like that, 718 00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:20,000 Speaker 1: Like people aren't going to have the Bears. Yeah, everyone's 719 00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:21,839 Speaker 1: gonna happen like that's how I mean, Minnesota, they're gonna 720 00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:23,880 Speaker 1: be and everyone's to use it. Everyone parlays that's just 721 00:38:25,040 --> 00:38:28,839 Speaker 1: a classic Monday night lineup, but it's it's too hard 722 00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:31,200 Speaker 1: for men. And I don't like we haven't been doing 723 00:38:31,200 --> 00:38:33,080 Speaker 1: Monday night games because I like that we're just done 724 00:38:33,120 --> 00:38:36,200 Speaker 1: on Sundays. It's been nice where we're just done, se 725 00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:37,960 Speaker 1: stress and have a whole another day to wait to 726 00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:40,000 Speaker 1: see if they're gonna be five and oh three and two, 727 00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:42,359 Speaker 1: two and three. Like that's just too too much. Oh yeah, 728 00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:45,760 Speaker 1: I'm with you. Let's just stay away, stay away, completely agree. Uh, 729 00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:49,040 Speaker 1: we've got to choose a survivor before I get to 730 00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:52,319 Speaker 1: the winner of the pod. And I read I got 731 00:38:52,320 --> 00:39:00,880 Speaker 1: an idea. Oh god, what's the idea? Cleveland Browns. We 732 00:39:00,960 --> 00:39:04,200 Speaker 1: already used the Browns. Thank god we used Yeah, we 733 00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:10,480 Speaker 1: used them on that Thursday night. Oh that's right. The Bengals. Um, 734 00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:13,160 Speaker 1: we haven't used the Packers yet. This is the week 735 00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:15,600 Speaker 1: you have to use the Packers. They have hard divisional 736 00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:18,399 Speaker 1: games coming up. Let's just get rid of them. Let's 737 00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:20,960 Speaker 1: just take Green Band. If we somehow lose to a 738 00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:24,040 Speaker 1: six round rookie QB, that's that's the way it's meant 739 00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:25,719 Speaker 1: the bit. That's the way it goes. That's the way 740 00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:28,480 Speaker 1: it goes for people that have, like a lot of 741 00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:31,440 Speaker 1: people complaining we don't do too because they have other 742 00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:36,560 Speaker 1: ones like they haven't they've used teams that we haven't used. Um, 743 00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:38,840 Speaker 1: the easiest options on the board are going to be 744 00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:41,560 Speaker 1: the Ravens. I know, I just like the four downers moneyline, 745 00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:43,399 Speaker 1: but the Saints. This is a week we haven't used 746 00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:48,160 Speaker 1: them yet, they might not get easier matchups. And Nick mullins, Um, 747 00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:50,359 Speaker 1: in my mind, there's only two I would switch in 748 00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,920 Speaker 1: unless if you didn't already use green Bay because green Bay, 749 00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:55,799 Speaker 1: in my mind, this is the best week to play them. 750 00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:58,840 Speaker 1: So I almost use them last week. Luckily we didn't. 751 00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:00,640 Speaker 1: We saved them for this week, so we gotta use 752 00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:03,600 Speaker 1: them this week. All right, let's go with the Packers. God, 753 00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:07,800 Speaker 1: I love You've I've fallen in love with the forty niners. 754 00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:13,320 Speaker 1: Bet forty niners on the money line. That is just 755 00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:15,560 Speaker 1: it's our big balls better the week, don't d D 756 00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:21,120 Speaker 1: don't put the balls better the week. This is where 757 00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:23,480 Speaker 1: we're gonna recap it right now. We like the Bucks 758 00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:25,520 Speaker 1: minus four and a half We're hoping the line drops 759 00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:27,600 Speaker 1: even more, but I think that's a pretty solid bet 760 00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:30,280 Speaker 1: in the contest. We're taking the Browns out, We're taking 761 00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:34,280 Speaker 1: the Broncos out. We we were split on the Fins 762 00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:37,279 Speaker 1: and the Chargers right now, the Fins minus two and 763 00:40:37,320 --> 00:40:39,759 Speaker 1: a half. I would say that's on the docket for 764 00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:42,960 Speaker 1: a conversation and a text exchange where you try to 765 00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:46,160 Speaker 1: bullying me on Sunday. Uh. We both like the Cards 766 00:40:46,280 --> 00:40:49,680 Speaker 1: a lot at minus two and a half as far 767 00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:52,040 Speaker 1: as I can tell. We like the Bengals as long 768 00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:54,520 Speaker 1: as we can get it at seven. We love the 769 00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:58,200 Speaker 1: Rams at minus two. We love the Niners of plus ten. 770 00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:02,160 Speaker 1: So right now I think it's and down to um, 771 00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:06,120 Speaker 1: the Cards and the Bengals on Sunday. Cars Miami and 772 00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:10,160 Speaker 1: Bengals on Sunday. Those are the three that we will 773 00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:12,879 Speaker 1: be debating because right now we love the Niners, love 774 00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:17,160 Speaker 1: the Rams, love the Bucks. We'll choose two from those three. Yeah, 775 00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:19,640 Speaker 1: we're just all in on the NFC West pretty much 776 00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:21,600 Speaker 1: this week. That's what it sounds like. Well, look, we 777 00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:23,680 Speaker 1: have the Ravens too. We have the Ravens of minus seven. 778 00:41:23,680 --> 00:41:26,920 Speaker 1: So let's say, like we can choose two from those 779 00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:29,840 Speaker 1: four right, Yeah, I like that. Well, so we'll figure 780 00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:31,560 Speaker 1: that out some then more, and we'll obviously tweet everything 781 00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:34,719 Speaker 1: out that we finalize. Follow Simon Hunter in the Action 782 00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:38,160 Speaker 1: Network Gap by noon on Sunday, I have I've put 783 00:41:38,200 --> 00:41:40,400 Speaker 1: all the picks into the app. I've shared them on 784 00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:43,640 Speaker 1: Twitter and I tag Simon. I tagged the Favorites pod, 785 00:41:43,960 --> 00:41:46,239 Speaker 1: so you can follow it that way. But if you're 786 00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:49,480 Speaker 1: looking for early lines right now, we like the Bucks 787 00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:52,240 Speaker 1: minus four and a half, Miami minus two and a half. 788 00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:54,440 Speaker 1: We like the Cars minus two and a half, Bengals 789 00:41:54,440 --> 00:41:56,400 Speaker 1: plus seven, as long as you can still get seven 790 00:41:56,840 --> 00:42:01,600 Speaker 1: Rams minus two Niners plus ten Ravens my seven niners 791 00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:03,520 Speaker 1: on the money line as well. Yeah, and it was 792 00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:05,480 Speaker 1: fun too, where like on thinking I'm up to a 793 00:42:05,520 --> 00:42:08,200 Speaker 1: thousand blocked, i might only have like four thousand followers, 794 00:42:08,200 --> 00:42:10,600 Speaker 1: but I'm up to a thousand people blocked, and it's 795 00:42:10,600 --> 00:42:12,880 Speaker 1: just hilarious seeing these people make a Burner account just 796 00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:14,839 Speaker 1: to follow me. Again, I'm like the one person they 797 00:42:14,880 --> 00:42:16,840 Speaker 1: follow on that Burnier account just to see the picks 798 00:42:17,120 --> 00:42:19,520 Speaker 1: because they hate they hate to love us, you know, Chad, 799 00:42:19,680 --> 00:42:21,320 Speaker 1: they still want the info even though you want to 800 00:42:21,360 --> 00:42:24,640 Speaker 1: bad mouth us and as Taylor Swift one said, hater's 801 00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:27,080 Speaker 1: gonna hate. Well, I'm not paid to be on Twitter 802 00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:29,279 Speaker 1: like you and Darren Rebel, So if like some some 803 00:42:29,480 --> 00:42:31,839 Speaker 1: nerds from his parents base's gonna come at me, It's 804 00:42:31,880 --> 00:42:34,040 Speaker 1: just like, I'm not evenna respond, bro, I'll just block 805 00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:37,480 Speaker 1: follow me on your Yeah, And it's just hilarious to me. 806 00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:39,640 Speaker 1: It's like this dude thinks he's gonna like talk ship. 807 00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:41,759 Speaker 1: All of a sudden, he's just blocked all right, making 808 00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:45,800 Speaker 1: new account. All right. Listen. Last week we asked fans 809 00:42:45,800 --> 00:42:48,359 Speaker 1: to rate and review the podcast. Those who did and 810 00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:52,080 Speaker 1: use the winning phrase in their review were eligible to 811 00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:55,600 Speaker 1: win up to five hundred dollars. Didn't happen, unfortunately, but 812 00:42:55,680 --> 00:42:58,080 Speaker 1: we did have loads of loads of reviews. Thank you 813 00:42:58,120 --> 00:43:02,840 Speaker 1: to everybody. In a second, we will reveal the winner, 814 00:43:03,560 --> 00:43:05,640 Speaker 1: but first we are bringing back the phrase to pay 815 00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:07,440 Speaker 1: is contest from now through the end of the season. 816 00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:11,080 Speaker 1: The winner will earn one hundred dollars. For every win 817 00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:15,879 Speaker 1: Simon and I have in this week's contest, we will 818 00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:19,600 Speaker 1: match that number with the donation to the winner's favorite charity. 819 00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:22,160 Speaker 1: So far, we've given away like a thousand bucks to charity. 820 00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:25,160 Speaker 1: In addition to giving away money to winners, go rate 821 00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:29,400 Speaker 1: and review the podcast using the phrase Simon says, skip 822 00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:34,400 Speaker 1: and win, and Matt Mitchell, producer Extraordinaire, will randomly choose 823 00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:37,680 Speaker 1: the winner to get that cash. The winner of last 824 00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:41,160 Speaker 1: week's contests winning a hundred dollars. I'm sorry, brother, I'm 825 00:43:41,160 --> 00:43:44,040 Speaker 1: sorry it wasn't more. I appreciate listen to the podcast. 826 00:43:44,120 --> 00:43:46,200 Speaker 1: You're gonna get a hundred dollars. Your favorite charity is 827 00:43:46,200 --> 00:43:50,239 Speaker 1: gonna get a hundred dollars. Brian Hines. Brian Hines, what 828 00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:52,360 Speaker 1: did you have to say? Simon says, we love winning. 829 00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,680 Speaker 1: I just started betting this year in the NFL and 830 00:43:55,760 --> 00:43:59,880 Speaker 1: on sports in general. Everywhere I've looked for insights and information, 831 00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:03,280 Speaker 1: I've usually found it hidden behind some kind of paywall. Luckily, 832 00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:07,840 Speaker 1: I discovered the two purest NFL betting aficionados on the planet, 833 00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:11,799 Speaker 1: with a dynamic duo of Chad and Simon. Not only 834 00:44:11,840 --> 00:44:13,840 Speaker 1: do they give away expert picks with the data to 835 00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:17,120 Speaker 1: back it up, but the insight and overall thought process 836 00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:19,239 Speaker 1: of bet in the NFL that comes with it is 837 00:44:19,360 --> 00:44:22,640 Speaker 1: priceless and has helped shape my own process. At the 838 00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:24,400 Speaker 1: end of the day. That's what these guys are all about. 839 00:44:24,520 --> 00:44:27,520 Speaker 1: Making better is better. On top of all the knowledge 840 00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:31,239 Speaker 1: dropped weekly on this podcast, the dynamic between Chad and 841 00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:33,600 Speaker 1: Simon will make you feel like you've known these guys 842 00:44:33,600 --> 00:44:38,680 Speaker 1: your whole life. Brian, that's fucking beautiful. As a college student, 843 00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:40,680 Speaker 1: I'm here to pull a Matt Mitchell and say where 844 00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:44,680 Speaker 1: can I apply for an internship? Simon says, we love winning, 845 00:44:44,680 --> 00:44:49,880 Speaker 1: and I hope you do too. Yeah, the kid appreciates 846 00:44:49,920 --> 00:44:52,000 Speaker 1: the free winners chat. That's all we give here, just 847 00:44:52,080 --> 00:44:55,840 Speaker 1: free winners. I wish we had had more winners this 848 00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:58,000 Speaker 1: past week. So this fucking college student get more than 849 00:44:58,040 --> 00:45:01,239 Speaker 1: a hundred dollars. A hundred dollars I could live off 850 00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:03,560 Speaker 1: that in college for like three months. I was gonna say, 851 00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:05,320 Speaker 1: for for a kid in college, a hundred hollars just 852 00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:08,279 Speaker 1: like a thousand. Yeah, bro, just pick up floaters and 853 00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:12,000 Speaker 1: drink those. That is the most philly thing you've ever said. 854 00:45:12,440 --> 00:45:16,120 Speaker 1: This has been the favorite podcast from the Ashtion Network. 855 00:45:16,160 --> 00:45:19,200 Speaker 1: I am Chadnillman. He has signed a Hunter downloaded from Apple, 856 00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:22,759 Speaker 1: from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts. Until next time, 857 00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:23,799 Speaker 1: I love you,