WEBVTT - Alphabet's Bond Sale Signals AI Confidence

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Tech is live from the heart of Silicon.

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<v Speaker 3>Valley with Ed Ludlow in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg Tech, coming off another megabond sale. Alphabet

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<v Speaker 4>looking to raise as much as twenty five billion dollars

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<v Speaker 4>from its latest offering, a deal that will test investor

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<v Speaker 4>appetite for AI related debts, plus a rough day for

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<v Speaker 4>Western Digital or WD. The storage giant slides after a

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<v Speaker 4>disappointing outlook despite the broader AI infrastructure boom, and Sequoia's

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<v Speaker 4>leaders Alfred Lynn and Pat Grady join us on the

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<v Speaker 4>future of the storied venture capital firm. It is a

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<v Speaker 4>debt day, That's what we're talking about. Today's big number

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<v Speaker 4>eighty nine point five billion dollars. That's how much Alphabet

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<v Speaker 4>debt has been sold globally since twenty twenty five. Looking

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<v Speaker 4>at shares of Alphabet, the Google parent in the equity market,

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<v Speaker 4>the stock is flat but had been under some pressure

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<v Speaker 4>in the last twenty four hours about a wave of departures.

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<v Speaker 4>Will bring you that story later on. I want to

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<v Speaker 4>zero in on AI debt and get more in Alphabet

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<v Speaker 4>with Robert Schiffman Bloomberg Intelligence Senior credit analyst. This is

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<v Speaker 4>a twenty five billion dollar dollar denominated offering.

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<v Speaker 5>Ten parts, right.

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<v Speaker 4>But it's the latest in a sequence of bond market activity.

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<v Speaker 4>You write borrowing fears question mark, answer your question mark.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, the answer right now is no. I think the

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<v Speaker 6>second quarter prints that we saw for the biggest hyperscalers

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<v Speaker 6>actually prove to people that all the money that they're

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<v Speaker 6>spending is being monetized and the confidence levels improved. You're

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<v Speaker 6>seeing that with share prices and you're seeing that with

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<v Speaker 6>bond prices. The demand for this deal, I think is

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<v Speaker 6>going to be substantial. Heard already was that the books

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<v Speaker 6>were at sixty five billion. I think they're only going

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<v Speaker 6>to issue twenty five billion dollars, so not raising its positive. Obviously,

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<v Speaker 6>their cost of capital is going up a little bit,

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<v Speaker 6>but after increasing their capex guidance by twenty billion just

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<v Speaker 6>a week or so ago, there shouldn't be a surprise

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<v Speaker 6>to anybody. And quite frankly, I think they're actually front

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<v Speaker 6>running a lot of next year's borrowing and this may

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<v Speaker 6>actually help technicals going into twenty twenty seven versus hurt them.

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<v Speaker 5>On a US dollar basis.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, alphabet it's forty two point five billion dollars

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<v Speaker 4>since twenty five Amazon's seventy seven billion dollars. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>you have done a really good job shift of explaining

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<v Speaker 4>to the blombog tech audience why it's different in here

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<v Speaker 4>and now to say that the dot com bubble, the

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<v Speaker 4>financial crisis, Like, what do the balance sheets of these

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<v Speaker 4>companies and their top line growth outlooks differ from that

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<v Speaker 4>period in history.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, these are real businesses that are generating cash, that

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<v Speaker 6>are just spending more money these days to make more

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<v Speaker 6>cash down the line. We're starting up with a tremendous

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<v Speaker 6>amount of balance sheet flexibility. I'll will be trade at

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<v Speaker 6>double A plus at S and P. They're one notch

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<v Speaker 6>away from the highest potential rating that you can have.

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<v Speaker 6>And the raider said this morning they have two hundred

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<v Speaker 6>billion dollars of net debt capacity within their current ratings.

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<v Speaker 6>That means just to fall a notch to mid mid

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<v Speaker 6>double A, they would have to issue another two hundred

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<v Speaker 6>billion dollars a debt and spend it. So I think

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<v Speaker 6>the flexibility that you see from we've set a time

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<v Speaker 6>and time again these amount rushmore of credits enables them

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<v Speaker 6>to borrow as much as they want. And the concerns

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<v Speaker 6>that people have been having that they're not going to

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<v Speaker 6>be able to fund themselves as Capex budgets go up

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<v Speaker 6>by fifty or one hundred percent next year, it's just

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<v Speaker 6>not true. They can borrow, they can raise the money.

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<v Speaker 6>The demand is there, the balance sheet flexibility is there,

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<v Speaker 6>and people are now getting paid for it versus two

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<v Speaker 6>or three years ago, when you've got basically no spread

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<v Speaker 6>to own any of these names.

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<v Speaker 4>Robert Schiffman, Bloomberg Intelligence, senior credit analysts, Thank you very much.

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<v Speaker 5>I mentioned that the news story for Google, which is.

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<v Speaker 4>Google is undergoing its biggest AI leadership shake up in years.

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<v Speaker 4>Longtime AI executive Jeff Dean is leaving to launch a

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<v Speaker 4>startup with several senior DeepMind researchers, while DeepMind CEO Demisasabs

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<v Speaker 4>is stepping back from day to day operations to become

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<v Speaker 4>chairman of deep Mind but also Alphabet's chief scientists. The

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<v Speaker 4>changes come as Google faces mounting pressure to keep pace

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<v Speaker 4>in the airas race, with investors basically questioning whether the

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<v Speaker 4>company can retain top talent and turn its AI research

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<v Speaker 4>into commercial success. That was the stock story of yesterday

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<v Speaker 4>let's stick with Alphabet. Joining us is Natie Gallager, Princeville

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<v Speaker 4>economist and director at Board. I want to go very

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<v Speaker 4>briefly back to Alphabet, going back.

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<v Speaker 5>To the bomb market.

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<v Speaker 4>What does that signal about where we are in a

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<v Speaker 4>capex cycle?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, it really signals that we'reking continuing to mature

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<v Speaker 1>in the capex cycle.

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<v Speaker 2>We have had the.

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<v Speaker 1>Hyper scalers, you know, largely following a similar playbook that's

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<v Speaker 1>to utilize internal cash flows, keep leverage low. Right, when

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<v Speaker 1>you do look at the balance sheets more holistically, solvency

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<v Speaker 1>really isn't an issue, and so I really see no

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<v Speaker 1>cause for concern when we talk about Alphabet specifically. They

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<v Speaker 1>just had their first quarter of negative cash flows since

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<v Speaker 1>they went to IPO in two thousand and four. So

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not surprised to.

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<v Speaker 7>See it.

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<v Speaker 4>The economists view of seeing companies of Alphabet scale, and

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<v Speaker 4>they're not unique in that respect entering negative free cash flow.

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<v Speaker 4>Does that go into the economic model?

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<v Speaker 2>Ye know it.

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<v Speaker 1>It speaks more holistically to the commitment of spending by

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<v Speaker 1>these hyper scalers on AI, right, and they're absolutely spending

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<v Speaker 1>with the belief that future cash flows are really going

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<v Speaker 1>to validate that level of spending. Now, you know, we've

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<v Speaker 1>talked about this before, but really the question becomes not,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, can they continue to do so It's very likely,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, they're in very strong positions balance sheet wise.

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<v Speaker 1>The real conversation is around the risk and what capital

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<v Speaker 1>misallocation looks like if the bet doesn't pay off.

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<v Speaker 4>I want to go back a little bit to Federal

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<v Speaker 4>Reserve Chair WASH's first meeting and press conference because he

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<v Speaker 4>discussed capex, the Capex boom and paraphrasing, but what he

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<v Speaker 4>said is that kapex boom is driving up prices of

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<v Speaker 4>AI infrastructure, right, That was his analysis. Is there an

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<v Speaker 4>inflationary impact elsewhere in the economy from what's happening in AI?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, there is a broader conversation happening right now.

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<v Speaker 1>How much of the economic growth we are experiencing is

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<v Speaker 1>it because of AI? And there's really you know, multiple

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<v Speaker 1>areas in the economy that this can come out. One

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<v Speaker 1>is capex by these companies directly. The other is actually

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<v Speaker 1>an asset price valuations. Right, so, think of all of

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<v Speaker 1>the gains that have really happened in the stock market

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<v Speaker 1>right now, very strong argument that that is in fact

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<v Speaker 1>inflationary because when people have more money, what do they

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<v Speaker 1>do They spend more money longer term. And Warsh has

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<v Speaker 1>come out and said this sort of historically, there's a

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<v Speaker 1>belief system that because AI increases productivity, it's actually disinflationary

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<v Speaker 1>in the long term, which is why as a Federal

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<v Speaker 1>Reserve chairman he's very or has shared comfort with having

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<v Speaker 1>a lower neutral rate in the future.

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<v Speaker 4>Every day was trying to understand the impact of AI

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<v Speaker 4>on the real economy, Like, if you look at labor

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<v Speaker 4>productivity where it runs now relative to pre pandemic, is

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<v Speaker 4>there any tangible evidence in front of you that AI

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<v Speaker 4>is in some way impacting that data.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's a great question because, I mean, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>when we talk about the overall implication of AI and

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<v Speaker 1>making it all worth it, right, we have to talk

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<v Speaker 1>about productivity. When we look at a pre pandemic sort

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<v Speaker 1>of productivity growth rate, average growth rate, we were at

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<v Speaker 1>about one point five percent pandemic. We've been closer to

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<v Speaker 1>two point five to two point seven five percent on

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<v Speaker 1>like an annualized basis.

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<v Speaker 2>Now on the front.

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<v Speaker 1>That looks really great, right, You get a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>people that are saying, hey, that's happening contemporaneously. With AI

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<v Speaker 1>story done right, we have the AI productivity story, But

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<v Speaker 1>what we actually can do is a lot better. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>we can look deeper and look at metrics like total

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<v Speaker 1>factor productivity utilization adjusted, and that helps us really tease out, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>out of productivity growth, how much of this is really

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<v Speaker 1>coming from innovation, and that on a four quarter basis

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<v Speaker 1>is trailing at aboutzero point seven percent, so that's essentially

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<v Speaker 1>flat quarter one twenty twenty six. The data is of

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<v Speaker 1>its delayed Quarter one twenty twenty six actually came in

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<v Speaker 1>negative two point seven six percent. Now there's contemporary contemporaneous

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<v Speaker 1>impacts with the straight of hormose closure, so we can't

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<v Speaker 1>perfectly extrapolate. But I share all of this to really

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<v Speaker 1>say that at this point in time, we don't have

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<v Speaker 1>the macro evidence that AI is meaningfully impacting productivity.

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<v Speaker 4>I appreciate that because I feel like it connects the

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<v Speaker 4>dots from the data points that a lot of the

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<v Speaker 4>software companies gave in earnings on how AI is actually

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<v Speaker 4>being used. Nacy Gallagher of Board, thank you very much. Indeed,

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<v Speaker 4>another big story, take a look at shares of SpaceX

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<v Speaker 4>which are behaving Interestingly, they're up three percent in the session.

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<v Speaker 4>There was a heavy decline yesterday. Reminder that they there

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<v Speaker 4>is a lock up expiration on around nine hundred million shares,

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<v Speaker 4>which was a complicated structure for lock up post IPO

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<v Speaker 4>from mid June. Right now, the stocks are hire three percent.

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<v Speaker 4>Will continue to track it coming up. We are still

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<v Speaker 4>in a thick of earnings, and this time it's all

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<v Speaker 4>about hardware WDCO earning.

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<v Speaker 5>Tan joins us. Next the s is Splimberg Tech.

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<v Speaker 4>Let's take a look at some of the storage stocks, Sandy, Seagate,

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<v Speaker 4>Western Digital differing performance Sandist to the downside, Seagate higher

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<v Speaker 4>on earnings performance. Western Digitals down nine percent at one

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<v Speaker 4>point in the session, have been down more than twenty

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<v Speaker 4>percent and on track for its biggest drop since the

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<v Speaker 4>year two thousand.

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<v Speaker 5>That has turned around somewhat.

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<v Speaker 4>Let's stay with WDWDCEO Irving ten joins US. Now we're

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<v Speaker 4>getting back to the AI hard disk drive story. Irving,

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<v Speaker 4>it's great to have you back on the show. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>like investors still believe in that story AI hard disk Drive.

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<v Speaker 4>Your stock is under some pressure. Just reflect on the

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<v Speaker 4>moment that you try to outline in this in this

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<v Speaker 4>earnings print.

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, well, first of all, thank you very much for

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<v Speaker 8>having me back. If you look at the results that

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<v Speaker 8>we delivered in Q fourth it's called twenty six, they

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<v Speaker 8>were very strong. We had over forty percent revenue growth,

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<v Speaker 8>grass margin was above fifty four percent, very strong cash

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<v Speaker 8>flow generation as well. If anything, probably the expectations were

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<v Speaker 8>very high in terms of the increased amount of exerbikes

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<v Speaker 8>that we could supply into the market. But if you

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<v Speaker 8>take a step back, really the fundamental for ongoing revenue growth, margin, expansion,

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<v Speaker 8>cash flow generation remain very strong. On the demand side,

0:11:07.760 --> 0:11:12.840
<v Speaker 8>demand from hyperscalarists, neo clouds, physical remans very robust, and

0:11:12.880 --> 0:11:16.200
<v Speaker 8>we continue to see over twenty five percent KEIG or

0:11:16.200 --> 0:11:21.080
<v Speaker 8>demand from a demand perspective over the next five years. Similarly,

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<v Speaker 8>on the supply side, we have a very robust roadmap

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<v Speaker 8>that we have put in place that will be able

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<v Speaker 8>to meet this demand. And so it's pretty much a

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<v Speaker 8>function of just quarterly transitions that we're going through.

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<v Speaker 4>I think what you're touching on there is, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>storage is distinct in many ways from what's happening in memory,

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<v Speaker 4>in some ways highly analogous. Right, there is a pricing

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<v Speaker 4>story there there is a demand outpacing supply story and

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<v Speaker 4>your industry facing the balancing act of expanding output manufacturing

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<v Speaker 4>capacity on a permanent basis or not.

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<v Speaker 5>How are you managing all of that?

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, So, first of all, thank you for highlighting that

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<v Speaker 8>it's a clear distinction between memory, which is like nan

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<v Speaker 8>and d RAM versus storage, right because memory and like computer,

0:12:11.280 --> 0:12:14.200
<v Speaker 8>is being recycled all the time for different workloads, but

0:12:14.280 --> 0:12:16.920
<v Speaker 8>the data that's being generated continues to be stored.

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<v Speaker 9>It isn't getting deleted.

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<v Speaker 8>So the amount of data storage requirements is just compounding

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<v Speaker 8>over time, which puts a lot of more demand on

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<v Speaker 8>our products on an ongoing basis. And how we're trying

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<v Speaker 8>to solve for that is really to technology. We're not

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<v Speaker 8>investing in increasing the number of drive units we're producing.

0:12:36.200 --> 0:12:39.440
<v Speaker 8>We continue to invest in technology to increase the amount

0:12:39.480 --> 0:12:42.080
<v Speaker 8>of hits and media that we produce because that's the

0:12:42.080 --> 0:12:46.520
<v Speaker 8>big driver of capacity in a drive. So we're currently

0:12:46.520 --> 0:12:48.920
<v Speaker 8>shipping a thirty two terer By hard Drive as on

0:12:49.000 --> 0:12:51.840
<v Speaker 8>top of the line drive, but starting this quarter will

0:12:51.840 --> 0:12:53.720
<v Speaker 8>be shipping a forty terrer byke Drive. So that's an

0:12:53.760 --> 0:12:57.360
<v Speaker 8>ability to drive over thirty percent capacity to customers without

0:12:57.400 --> 0:12:58.680
<v Speaker 8>adding any unit capacity.

0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:02.400
<v Speaker 4>Could you go into how that works, you know, bring

0:13:02.400 --> 0:13:06.640
<v Speaker 4>a forty terabyte drive to market, the engineering complexity of it,

0:13:07.440 --> 0:13:09.400
<v Speaker 4>and how much do the customers have to sort of

0:13:09.880 --> 0:13:14.280
<v Speaker 4>re architect their infrastructure to accommodate for that new generation

0:13:14.400 --> 0:13:15.760
<v Speaker 4>of HDD.

0:13:16.679 --> 0:13:17.760
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, well, hard drives.

0:13:18.240 --> 0:13:20.600
<v Speaker 8>Actually, as an engineer, I always use hard drives as

0:13:20.600 --> 0:13:23.040
<v Speaker 8>a model of engineering. We use tutors or the periodic

0:13:23.080 --> 0:13:26.439
<v Speaker 8>table in our product, so as we move from capacity

0:13:26.440 --> 0:13:29.480
<v Speaker 8>point to capacity point, there's a lot of re engineering

0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:31.960
<v Speaker 8>that goes on into the recipe of our media designs,

0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:34.760
<v Speaker 8>the recipe of our hit design. So it's quite an

0:13:34.800 --> 0:13:37.720
<v Speaker 8>engineering feed. Obviously, we have great teams that have years

0:13:37.720 --> 0:13:40.200
<v Speaker 8>of experience doing that. At the same time, we work

0:13:40.320 --> 0:13:43.120
<v Speaker 8>very closely with our customers to make sure we go

0:13:43.240 --> 0:13:47.760
<v Speaker 8>through very robust qualification processes because customers are very sensitive

0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:52.000
<v Speaker 8>to the quality and reliability of their data storage capability.

0:13:53.320 --> 0:13:57.480
<v Speaker 4>The other sort of highly analogous factor that's in front

0:13:57.480 --> 0:14:00.839
<v Speaker 4>of you is long term agreements with the memory market.

0:14:00.840 --> 0:14:03.480
<v Speaker 4>We see long term agreements coming in as well, so

0:14:03.559 --> 0:14:06.400
<v Speaker 4>you have these in place, like twenty twenty nine, twenty thirty,

0:14:06.440 --> 0:14:09.600
<v Speaker 4>twenty thirty one, how do you know how to price

0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:14.080
<v Speaker 4>an agreement today going that far into the future, It's.

0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:14.760
<v Speaker 9>A really good question.

0:14:14.800 --> 0:14:18.680
<v Speaker 8>We do have ltas in place locked in till twenty nine,

0:14:18.920 --> 0:14:21.640
<v Speaker 8>We have customer demand. Customers are coming us to put

0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:25.000
<v Speaker 8>ltas in place to support demand from twenty nine, thirty

0:14:25.320 --> 0:14:28.200
<v Speaker 8>and thirty one. They have really good visibility in terms

0:14:28.240 --> 0:14:31.000
<v Speaker 8>of the storage requirements that they need because they're looking

0:14:31.040 --> 0:14:33.880
<v Speaker 8>at their entire AI infrastructure stack, everything.

0:14:33.520 --> 0:14:35.680
<v Speaker 9>From GPUs, CPUs to.

0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:40.200
<v Speaker 8>HBMS to storage, and they realize you have to take

0:14:40.240 --> 0:14:42.960
<v Speaker 8>a much longer term time horizon in terms of how

0:14:42.960 --> 0:14:43.320
<v Speaker 8>they plan.

0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:45.120
<v Speaker 9>So we are working very closely with them.

0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:49.080
<v Speaker 8>We're definitely locking in the sort of exerbyte supply that

0:14:49.120 --> 0:14:51.240
<v Speaker 8>they need, but what we're working through with them is

0:14:51.280 --> 0:14:53.680
<v Speaker 8>still the commercial construct or how we would price something

0:14:53.960 --> 0:14:54.880
<v Speaker 8>further out into right.

0:14:55.880 --> 0:14:57.720
<v Speaker 5>So let me look at it another way.

0:14:57.920 --> 0:15:00.520
<v Speaker 4>Somebody comes to you and says, serving I'm a big

0:15:00.560 --> 0:15:03.160
<v Speaker 4>customer and I want to lock you in till twenty

0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:05.280
<v Speaker 4>thirty one. Why might you say no.

0:15:06.680 --> 0:15:08.960
<v Speaker 8>Well, what we were saying, ed is if you need

0:15:09.040 --> 0:15:11.880
<v Speaker 8>six hundred exobytes of storage in twenty thirty one, we

0:15:11.960 --> 0:15:14.920
<v Speaker 8>will deliver that to you. How we actually price it.

0:15:15.080 --> 0:15:17.200
<v Speaker 8>We're still in negotiations with them where we might have

0:15:17.240 --> 0:15:20.440
<v Speaker 8>a base price for a percentage of that volume, and

0:15:20.480 --> 0:15:23.680
<v Speaker 8>then atop tip pricing structure as we increase the capacity

0:15:23.760 --> 0:15:25.040
<v Speaker 8>we deliver to them.

0:15:25.480 --> 0:15:27.440
<v Speaker 4>I don't mean to trivialize this in any way, but

0:15:27.680 --> 0:15:30.480
<v Speaker 4>you know, like it's the hard dis drive moment, you know,

0:15:30.560 --> 0:15:33.760
<v Speaker 4>make hard dis drive great again. What's that been like

0:15:33.840 --> 0:15:37.160
<v Speaker 4>for you to put the technology at the forefront of

0:15:37.200 --> 0:15:38.280
<v Speaker 4>discussion at the moment?

0:15:39.400 --> 0:15:40.720
<v Speaker 9>Well, it's really exciting.

0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:43.080
<v Speaker 8>I mean, people thought that hard drives were a thing

0:15:43.080 --> 0:15:46.239
<v Speaker 8>of the past, but it's shown to be a fundamental

0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:49.360
<v Speaker 8>piece of the AI infrastructure. Steck with eighty percent of

0:15:49.480 --> 0:15:52.080
<v Speaker 8>all storage in the cloud, and AI is continuing to

0:15:52.160 --> 0:15:54.280
<v Speaker 8>recite and hard drives both today and going forward.

0:15:54.320 --> 0:15:55.680
<v Speaker 9>So it's a very exciting time for us.

0:15:56.160 --> 0:15:58.120
<v Speaker 8>It's a great challenge and I always tell my teams

0:15:58.120 --> 0:16:00.480
<v Speaker 8>there's a great responsibility that we have to deliver to

0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:03.200
<v Speaker 8>the industry to enable this once in a lifetime opportunity

0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:04.240
<v Speaker 8>that AI is creating.

0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:07.040
<v Speaker 5>So go back to the stock again.

0:16:07.080 --> 0:16:09.240
<v Speaker 4>It's down about eight or nine percent right now, was

0:16:09.280 --> 0:16:12.240
<v Speaker 4>down twenty one percent, its biggest drop on paper since

0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:15.240
<v Speaker 4>December of two thousand a lot of the analysts are

0:16:15.240 --> 0:16:18.880
<v Speaker 4>talking about your comparison against Seagate, what Seagate's doing on

0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:21.920
<v Speaker 4>margin expansion, et cetera. You know, how would you answer

0:16:21.960 --> 0:16:25.400
<v Speaker 4>those those analyst reports on how you are performing relative

0:16:25.440 --> 0:16:26.120
<v Speaker 4>to your peer.

0:16:27.080 --> 0:16:30.520
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, as I mentioned in the beginning, there'll always be

0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:34.720
<v Speaker 8>quarter to quarter variations at you know, we were the

0:16:34.720 --> 0:16:36.840
<v Speaker 8>first album one out for thirty two terabyte.

0:16:36.840 --> 0:16:37.760
<v Speaker 9>We gain on them.

0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:40.240
<v Speaker 8>They have a new platform coming out, so they're a

0:16:40.240 --> 0:16:42.360
<v Speaker 8>bit of hit in terms of the exobyte storage they

0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:45.360
<v Speaker 8>can deliver that drives cross margin expansion. We have the

0:16:45.400 --> 0:16:48.400
<v Speaker 8>forty terabyte coming out in Q three of our fiscal

0:16:48.480 --> 0:16:50.840
<v Speaker 8>year and we expect it by that period of time. Sorry,

0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:53.280
<v Speaker 8>we have a forty terabyte out right now. It's going

0:16:53.320 --> 0:16:55.480
<v Speaker 8>to cross fifty percent of all the bits with ship

0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:57.760
<v Speaker 8>by fiscal Q three and that will.

0:16:57.520 --> 0:16:59.600
<v Speaker 9>Give us another driver of exobitte growth.

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:03.160
<v Speaker 8>So this constant evolution of technology and the transition points

0:17:03.160 --> 0:17:06.960
<v Speaker 8>that we introduce them will result in some time shifts

0:17:07.000 --> 0:17:08.600
<v Speaker 8>in terms of results and performance.

0:17:08.760 --> 0:17:12.520
<v Speaker 5>Right w dco eving ten back on Bloomberg Tech, Thank

0:17:12.520 --> 0:17:13.080
<v Speaker 5>you very much.

0:17:13.119 --> 0:17:15.320
<v Speaker 4>Indeed, Okay, coming up, we're going to stay with earnings

0:17:15.359 --> 0:17:18.560
<v Speaker 4>and it's Figma, Pigma CEO didn't Field joins us this

0:17:18.600 --> 0:17:19.600
<v Speaker 4>is Bloomberg Tech.

0:17:29.359 --> 0:17:32.359
<v Speaker 10>Time now for talking tech, I'm your hira anand first up.

0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:35.600
<v Speaker 10>Deep Zeek says it prints a quote significant price hike

0:17:35.680 --> 0:17:38.919
<v Speaker 10>for its AI products. While the changes weren't specified, the

0:17:38.920 --> 0:17:42.359
<v Speaker 10>announcement is an unusual shift from the Chinese AI companies

0:17:42.520 --> 0:17:47.159
<v Speaker 10>that haven't emphasized low cost models. Plus Metta's recently released

0:17:47.280 --> 0:17:50.800
<v Speaker 10>muse Spark one point one breached an outside firm system

0:17:51.240 --> 0:17:55.879
<v Speaker 10>and access the intranet drink cybersecurity testing. This comes just

0:17:56.040 --> 0:18:00.600
<v Speaker 10>days after similar incidents from models by Open Ai and Anthropic,

0:18:01.400 --> 0:18:05.199
<v Speaker 10>and Pigma CEO decided to forfeit forty six million dollars

0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:08.160
<v Speaker 10>in company stock awards in an effort to ease investor

0:18:08.200 --> 0:18:13.119
<v Speaker 10>concerns over AI. Dylan Field made the forfeiture voluntarily and

0:18:13.160 --> 0:18:16.720
<v Speaker 10>no replacement awards were issued. Looking forward to the interview.

0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:19.119
<v Speaker 5>Ed Yeah, thank you, Hira, Let's stick with Figma.

0:18:19.200 --> 0:18:21.639
<v Speaker 4>It comes as the company reported it's second quarter sales

0:18:21.640 --> 0:18:25.280
<v Speaker 4>and profits that exceeded analyst expectations. Shares are on track

0:18:25.480 --> 0:18:28.520
<v Speaker 4>for their biggest drops since September, down seventeen percent or so.

0:18:28.800 --> 0:18:30.960
<v Speaker 4>A lot of that is the guide for the third

0:18:31.040 --> 0:18:34.040
<v Speaker 4>court of the current period. Figma CEO Dylan Field is

0:18:34.080 --> 0:18:38.080
<v Speaker 4>with us. I think, you know, beyond the numbers themselves, Dylan,

0:18:38.560 --> 0:18:41.840
<v Speaker 4>someone are looking at this and saying, well, there's lots

0:18:41.880 --> 0:18:46.360
<v Speaker 4>of new Figma products. Is Dylan being conservative in guiding

0:18:46.400 --> 0:18:48.879
<v Speaker 4>how those new products are showing up in the in

0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:50.080
<v Speaker 4>the latter part of this year.

0:18:51.800 --> 0:18:53.679
<v Speaker 5>Well, first of all, going to see you again and

0:18:53.720 --> 0:18:54.600
<v Speaker 5>thanks for having me on.

0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:59.520
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I mean, I think that as we look at

0:19:00.119 --> 0:19:05.520
<v Speaker 11>forecasting in general, our guidance does not always price in

0:19:06.520 --> 0:19:09.400
<v Speaker 11>potential upside of efforts that have not proven themselves yet,

0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:14.159
<v Speaker 11>and we tried to make sure that we guide based

0:19:14.240 --> 0:19:17.040
<v Speaker 11>on what we can observe and what we did observe.

0:19:17.080 --> 0:19:21.360
<v Speaker 11>This quarter was very strong revenue growth year over year,

0:19:21.440 --> 0:19:24.239
<v Speaker 11>revenue grew by forty eight percent, and this is our

0:19:24.240 --> 0:19:28.439
<v Speaker 11>third consecutive quarter of accelerated growth. It's also our first

0:19:28.520 --> 0:19:32.800
<v Speaker 11>full quarter of IU modernization, and our NDR was about

0:19:32.840 --> 0:19:37.320
<v Speaker 11>one thirty six percent. So overall, we felt very strong

0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:41.600
<v Speaker 11>and we are very much investing for what's ahead.

0:19:43.359 --> 0:19:47.240
<v Speaker 4>How are the customers behaving, like, what's the story in

0:19:47.280 --> 0:19:49.440
<v Speaker 4>the fields that you sell your software into?

0:19:49.520 --> 0:19:54.919
<v Speaker 11>Dylan, Yeah, I would say that customers have been on

0:19:55.000 --> 0:19:57.359
<v Speaker 11>definitely a journey as they look to figure out how

0:19:57.400 --> 0:20:01.439
<v Speaker 11>do we integrate AI into the workflow. And some of

0:20:01.440 --> 0:20:06.240
<v Speaker 11>those customers that journey, they really understood where they're at

0:20:06.280 --> 0:20:09.720
<v Speaker 11>and what they're doing even end of last year and

0:20:09.760 --> 0:20:13.080
<v Speaker 11>we're doubling down on Figma. Then others, I think, have

0:20:13.320 --> 0:20:16.760
<v Speaker 11>those maybe the early adopters, others have been working through

0:20:16.800 --> 0:20:21.560
<v Speaker 11>that process of figuring it out throughout the last six months,

0:20:22.119 --> 0:20:25.320
<v Speaker 11>and they're also coming back to double down on Figma fully.

0:20:25.880 --> 0:20:28.920
<v Speaker 11>And I think that as workflows change, what we're trying

0:20:28.960 --> 0:20:31.080
<v Speaker 11>to do is meet customers where they are.

0:20:31.680 --> 0:20:33.560
<v Speaker 5>So what we see.

0:20:33.320 --> 0:20:37.560
<v Speaker 11>Our customers sometimes starting with design, sometimes starting in code,

0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:40.320
<v Speaker 11>and with our MCP, they can pull their work into Figma,

0:20:40.800 --> 0:20:43.159
<v Speaker 11>or they can read from Figma to go build and

0:20:43.200 --> 0:20:45.879
<v Speaker 11>more of that will be fully encompassed in the Figma

0:20:45.960 --> 0:20:47.840
<v Speaker 11>workflow with our agents in the future.

0:20:48.880 --> 0:20:51.080
<v Speaker 4>Dylan, A lot of people today are reading the story

0:20:51.200 --> 0:20:54.679
<v Speaker 4>Pigma CEO four fits forty six million dollars in stock

0:20:55.119 --> 0:20:56.320
<v Speaker 4>after share decline.

0:20:56.840 --> 0:20:58.000
<v Speaker 5>What was your thinking on that?

0:21:00.000 --> 0:21:03.880
<v Speaker 11>I did a while back, so it wasn't linked to yesterday,

0:21:05.200 --> 0:21:07.320
<v Speaker 11>but yeah, I mean, look, dilution is something that I

0:21:07.359 --> 0:21:11.679
<v Speaker 11>feel just like our shareholders feel and given that this

0:21:11.760 --> 0:21:15.119
<v Speaker 11>is an investment period right now, that felt like the

0:21:15.240 --> 0:21:18.880
<v Speaker 11>thing that made sense to do. And yeah, I mean

0:21:18.920 --> 0:21:21.520
<v Speaker 11>mostly I've just been My entire head is in how

0:21:21.560 --> 0:21:23.240
<v Speaker 11>do we invest for the future because we have so

0:21:23.400 --> 0:21:24.640
<v Speaker 11>much we can grow right now?

0:21:25.119 --> 0:21:29.560
<v Speaker 4>Is still trying to bail firms? Yes, we just have

0:21:29.720 --> 0:21:31.960
<v Speaker 4>thirty seconds, Cinema. What are you most focused on building

0:21:32.040 --> 0:21:32.480
<v Speaker 4>right now?

0:21:33.680 --> 0:21:35.280
<v Speaker 5>I'm focused on a few things.

0:21:35.560 --> 0:21:38.679
<v Speaker 11>First, our Figma Agent, making it so you can we

0:21:38.720 --> 0:21:42.359
<v Speaker 11>already have this out, but gain that to monetization, and

0:21:42.520 --> 0:21:44.840
<v Speaker 11>also making it so that we're able to serve customer

0:21:44.840 --> 0:21:48.000
<v Speaker 11>needs and workflows better. Also focused on code layers, bringing

0:21:48.000 --> 0:21:50.680
<v Speaker 11>code into the canvas and making it so that as

0:21:50.720 --> 0:21:54.639
<v Speaker 11>code becomes more of a commodity. Design is the operating

0:21:55.400 --> 0:21:58.879
<v Speaker 11>level and layer that you're able to work in in

0:21:59.000 --> 0:22:01.639
<v Speaker 11>order to find with your team is doing and able

0:22:01.680 --> 0:22:04.520
<v Speaker 11>to make it. Said, people build a great software from there,

0:22:05.560 --> 0:22:07.800
<v Speaker 11>and I think that if we can capture that and

0:22:07.920 --> 0:22:10.640
<v Speaker 11>make us the Figma Agent can support these worflows, then

0:22:10.640 --> 0:22:12.720
<v Speaker 11>you'll be able to build out from the design layer.

0:22:13.240 --> 0:22:16.040
<v Speaker 11>And from there, I think there's so much that's possible,

0:22:16.280 --> 0:22:18.640
<v Speaker 11>and you can really have designers steering.

0:22:20.119 --> 0:22:23.680
<v Speaker 4>Pigma CEO didn't feel back on Bloomberg Tech. Appreciate your time,

0:22:23.760 --> 0:22:26.119
<v Speaker 4>Thank you very much. Indeed, coming up in the show,

0:22:26.240 --> 0:22:30.760
<v Speaker 4>Sequoia partners Alfred Lynn and Pat Brady, the firm's latest leaders,

0:22:30.800 --> 0:22:33.480
<v Speaker 4>the new titles of co stewards, join us. We're going

0:22:33.520 --> 0:22:36.000
<v Speaker 4>to discuss what's changing at the firm, what the tech

0:22:36.080 --> 0:22:40.359
<v Speaker 4>companies of tomorrow are, and what the future holds. This

0:22:40.480 --> 0:23:05.400
<v Speaker 4>is Bloomberg Tech. Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. Last November,

0:23:05.600 --> 0:23:09.080
<v Speaker 4>longtime Sequoia partners Alfred Lin and Pac Grady became the

0:23:09.119 --> 0:23:12.479
<v Speaker 4>firm's co stewards. For more than fifty years, the Silicon

0:23:12.560 --> 0:23:15.200
<v Speaker 4>Valley firm has back some of the biggest winners in technology,

0:23:15.240 --> 0:23:18.880
<v Speaker 4>from Apple and Google to Nvidia. Today it manages more

0:23:18.920 --> 0:23:22.320
<v Speaker 4>than eighty billion dollars, but as detailed in Bloomberg Business Week,

0:23:22.320 --> 0:23:25.199
<v Speaker 4>it recently raised another ten billion across its growth and

0:23:25.280 --> 0:23:28.879
<v Speaker 4>expansion funds. Since then, the Sequoia partners have made a

0:23:29.080 --> 0:23:32.720
<v Speaker 4>risk the franchise investment in Nanthropic, They've returned to investing

0:23:32.920 --> 0:23:36.040
<v Speaker 4>in chips, and continue to hold onto one of the

0:23:36.080 --> 0:23:40.240
<v Speaker 4>firm's greatest investments, SpaceX. With us now on Bloomberg Tech

0:23:40.640 --> 0:23:43.439
<v Speaker 4>Alfred Lin and Pac Grady to discuss what's changing as

0:23:43.480 --> 0:23:46.920
<v Speaker 4>Sequoia the technology companies of tomorrow. I want to start

0:23:46.960 --> 0:23:50.399
<v Speaker 4>with our Sequoia. You published what reads to me is

0:23:50.400 --> 0:23:54.359
<v Speaker 4>like a mission statement. It outlines principles of the firms

0:23:54.400 --> 0:23:56.840
<v Speaker 4>held for quite a long time, and I think some

0:23:56.960 --> 0:24:00.600
<v Speaker 4>new ones that you are trying to m for size.

0:24:00.920 --> 0:24:01.960
<v Speaker 5>Alfred, is that fair?

0:24:02.560 --> 0:24:04.200
<v Speaker 2>Well, First of all, thank you for having us.

0:24:04.280 --> 0:24:06.440
<v Speaker 3>It's really fun to be here with my CoA Stewart,

0:24:06.480 --> 0:24:07.719
<v Speaker 3>and we get to do this together.

0:24:07.840 --> 0:24:09.600
<v Speaker 2>And it's because it's our Sequoia.

0:24:09.760 --> 0:24:10.080
<v Speaker 7>It's not.

0:24:10.359 --> 0:24:14.560
<v Speaker 3>It was never done Sequoia when he named it Sequoia Capital,

0:24:14.760 --> 0:24:18.159
<v Speaker 3>and it wasn't any fifty four years ago, and so

0:24:18.680 --> 0:24:21.080
<v Speaker 3>Pat and I wanted to make sure that everybody at

0:24:21.119 --> 0:24:23.040
<v Speaker 3>Sequoia thought of it as our Sequoia.

0:24:23.160 --> 0:24:25.520
<v Speaker 2>That's principal number one. Principal number two.

0:24:25.840 --> 0:24:28.359
<v Speaker 3>If you take care of the founders, you will they'll

0:24:28.400 --> 0:24:31.479
<v Speaker 3>do right by our LPs. We do right by LP's,

0:24:31.520 --> 0:24:34.359
<v Speaker 3>we'll do right by Sequoia. We do right by Sequoia.

0:24:34.440 --> 0:24:35.760
<v Speaker 3>We can take care of the team and then we

0:24:35.800 --> 0:24:39.399
<v Speaker 3>can take care of every single person at Sequoia. That

0:24:39.480 --> 0:24:42.199
<v Speaker 3>is principle. That is a principle that has been at

0:24:42.240 --> 0:24:45.320
<v Speaker 3>Sequoia for a long, long period of time. And also,

0:24:45.520 --> 0:24:48.240
<v Speaker 3>we are only as good as our next investment. And

0:24:48.280 --> 0:24:52.639
<v Speaker 3>that is not a risk your franchise. It is what

0:24:52.800 --> 0:24:53.359
<v Speaker 3>makes us.

0:24:53.240 --> 0:24:55.040
<v Speaker 5>To quo the smile.

0:24:55.080 --> 0:24:58.040
<v Speaker 4>When I read out the line, we will get into

0:24:58.080 --> 0:25:01.960
<v Speaker 4>how that manifests. I mean they it's a close steward title.

0:25:02.240 --> 0:25:05.720
<v Speaker 4>You regard yourselves as partners as part of a partnership.

0:25:06.080 --> 0:25:10.240
<v Speaker 4>You are not managing partners. Correct you, As Sean McGuire

0:25:10.960 --> 0:25:14.439
<v Speaker 4>outlined me in a telephone call, you know, you reject

0:25:14.520 --> 0:25:16.560
<v Speaker 4>the notion that your boss is you are partners in

0:25:16.600 --> 0:25:18.760
<v Speaker 4>a partnership, but to lots of people that like, how

0:25:18.800 --> 0:25:19.320
<v Speaker 4>would that work?

0:25:19.560 --> 0:25:21.239
<v Speaker 7>Well, so we first off on this boss thing.

0:25:21.280 --> 0:25:23.080
<v Speaker 12>We had a funny conversation with one of our partners

0:25:23.119 --> 0:25:25.280
<v Speaker 12>a couple of years ago. We're here, referred to somebody

0:25:25.320 --> 0:25:28.080
<v Speaker 12>as a supervisor, Like, you're a supervisor? What are you

0:25:28.080 --> 0:25:30.240
<v Speaker 12>talking about? He's like, well, here's my boss, he's my supervisor.

0:25:30.359 --> 0:25:33.080
<v Speaker 12>Like no, no, no, no, no, this is a partnership. The

0:25:33.119 --> 0:25:34.760
<v Speaker 12>only way that we're going to bring out the best

0:25:34.880 --> 0:25:36.840
<v Speaker 12>in all of our partners is if it feels like

0:25:36.880 --> 0:25:39.840
<v Speaker 12>a real partnership. So one of those principles that you

0:25:39.920 --> 0:25:42.960
<v Speaker 12>mentioned with with our sequoia is this idea that influence

0:25:43.040 --> 0:25:46.680
<v Speaker 12>should be awarded to expertise and reason and not too

0:25:46.720 --> 0:25:49.840
<v Speaker 12>tenure in hierarchy. And what that means practically is, in

0:25:49.880 --> 0:25:52.440
<v Speaker 12>any given conversation, if we're going to make an investment decision,

0:25:53.040 --> 0:25:55.760
<v Speaker 12>Alfred and I might have less of they say, than

0:25:55.800 --> 0:25:59.280
<v Speaker 12>our other partners like Sean or Andrew or Sonya or

0:25:59.359 --> 0:26:02.320
<v Speaker 12>David or kind because they might actually have more expertise

0:26:02.359 --> 0:26:04.320
<v Speaker 12>on a particular topic than I do. In fact, they

0:26:04.320 --> 0:26:06.800
<v Speaker 12>have more expertise on most topics than we do. And

0:26:06.880 --> 0:26:08.800
<v Speaker 12>so this idea that influencer go to the people with

0:26:08.840 --> 0:26:11.359
<v Speaker 12>the expertise, not that people who happen to have been

0:26:11.400 --> 0:26:12.920
<v Speaker 12>around for a long time. That's what makes it a

0:26:12.960 --> 0:26:14.880
<v Speaker 12>partnership and that's what allows us to play at our best.

0:26:14.920 --> 0:26:16.000
<v Speaker 5>There's no tie breaker.

0:26:16.080 --> 0:26:19.280
<v Speaker 4>Essentially that you two get awarded you participate under the

0:26:19.280 --> 0:26:20.920
<v Speaker 4>same rules as the rest of the partnership.

0:26:21.080 --> 0:26:23.440
<v Speaker 5>Correct, I mean this with full respect.

0:26:23.800 --> 0:26:27.200
<v Speaker 4>What does the term co steward communicate that any other

0:26:27.280 --> 0:26:28.040
<v Speaker 4>title doesn't?

0:26:28.160 --> 0:26:28.600
<v Speaker 5>You know why?

0:26:29.880 --> 0:26:31.679
<v Speaker 4>I think you both don't want to get bogged down

0:26:31.720 --> 0:26:35.880
<v Speaker 4>in administrative duties. You want to participate in the partnership.

0:26:36.160 --> 0:26:37.600
<v Speaker 3>That's part of the reason why it gets to do

0:26:37.640 --> 0:26:40.480
<v Speaker 3>this together, there's no and part of that is we

0:26:41.160 --> 0:26:44.359
<v Speaker 3>are partners across the board and we get to help

0:26:44.480 --> 0:26:48.960
<v Speaker 3>lead the organization. In part of leading the organization has

0:26:48.960 --> 0:26:52.240
<v Speaker 3>to deal with making sure that we have structure and

0:26:52.760 --> 0:26:55.480
<v Speaker 3>we signed SEC documents. A lot of it is administrative

0:26:55.520 --> 0:26:57.560
<v Speaker 3>and we get to split that so that both of

0:26:57.640 --> 0:26:58.480
<v Speaker 3>us can stay on the field.

0:26:58.520 --> 0:27:00.040
<v Speaker 12>I try to make sure that Alfred signs all the

0:27:00.080 --> 0:27:01.440
<v Speaker 12>SEC documents.

0:27:02.640 --> 0:27:05.040
<v Speaker 2>But literally that this is the part that is really

0:27:05.080 --> 0:27:06.679
<v Speaker 2>good about this. This is a partnership.

0:27:06.960 --> 0:27:10.640
<v Speaker 3>We want to show the value of partnership and we

0:27:10.680 --> 0:27:13.640
<v Speaker 3>wanted to be a team effort and not everybody has

0:27:13.680 --> 0:27:14.240
<v Speaker 3>to do everything.

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:15.480
<v Speaker 7>And this idea of stewardship.

0:27:15.480 --> 0:27:17.800
<v Speaker 12>If you go back to the original generational transition, which

0:27:17.840 --> 0:27:19.760
<v Speaker 12>was in Don Valentine and handed the firm off to

0:27:19.800 --> 0:27:22.960
<v Speaker 12>Dougleyoni and Michael Morritz in the late nineties, the standard

0:27:23.000 --> 0:27:25.120
<v Speaker 12>at the time was to have the younger partners buy

0:27:25.160 --> 0:27:27.480
<v Speaker 12>out the departing generation.

0:27:27.720 --> 0:27:27.880
<v Speaker 9>Right.

0:27:28.320 --> 0:27:31.879
<v Speaker 12>Don instead gave it to them for free and said,

0:27:32.000 --> 0:27:34.359
<v Speaker 12>your only job is to leave it better than you

0:27:34.440 --> 0:27:36.760
<v Speaker 12>got it. And so that's become a very core part

0:27:36.800 --> 0:27:39.560
<v Speaker 12>of the sequa continue that tradition, yes, this idea, that

0:27:40.080 --> 0:27:43.359
<v Speaker 12>stewarding it for the next generation as opposed to there's

0:27:43.359 --> 0:27:45.879
<v Speaker 12>no concept of ownership at Sequoia. All of the partners

0:27:45.920 --> 0:27:48.320
<v Speaker 12>own the partnership together. Our job is to make it great.

0:27:48.520 --> 0:27:51.200
<v Speaker 4>We're sitting here talking, but you know you're eight months

0:27:51.240 --> 0:27:55.520
<v Speaker 4>in essentially as co stewards. But in that time quite

0:27:55.520 --> 0:27:57.560
<v Speaker 4>a lot of things have happened. I want to get

0:27:57.600 --> 0:28:01.159
<v Speaker 4>to what you've you've enacted or chained that's different in

0:28:01.200 --> 0:28:03.600
<v Speaker 4>that eight month period to the history of the firm.

0:28:03.640 --> 0:28:06.199
<v Speaker 4>And one of the things outlined in the Business Week

0:28:06.600 --> 0:28:11.960
<v Speaker 4>article is if you are a partner that is interested

0:28:11.960 --> 0:28:15.639
<v Speaker 4>in an investment, you can propose it anytime through a

0:28:15.720 --> 0:28:18.600
<v Speaker 4>various meeting mechanism. So traditionally in Silicon Valley venture firms

0:28:18.600 --> 0:28:21.000
<v Speaker 4>you have your Monday morning meetings. You guys have said

0:28:21.040 --> 0:28:22.960
<v Speaker 4>basically seven days a week anytime.

0:28:25.320 --> 0:28:26.520
<v Speaker 5>Wellt's talk about it's.

0:28:26.320 --> 0:28:28.520
<v Speaker 2>Talk about like being a customer of SUS.

0:28:28.800 --> 0:28:30.920
<v Speaker 5>We are through your customers exactly.

0:28:30.640 --> 0:28:33.760
<v Speaker 3>It's founders, and so we should work on the founder's

0:28:33.800 --> 0:28:38.200
<v Speaker 3>time frame. If the founder wants to make a raise

0:28:38.240 --> 0:28:41.520
<v Speaker 3>of fundraising, they have a timeline we should abide by

0:28:41.560 --> 0:28:44.680
<v Speaker 3>their timeline, not the other way around, right, And this

0:28:44.840 --> 0:28:47.720
<v Speaker 3>notion that we get to like have every decision happen

0:28:47.800 --> 0:28:50.719
<v Speaker 3>on a Monday is kind of a little backwards. Are

0:28:50.760 --> 0:28:54.240
<v Speaker 3>we the customer to the founders where the founders are customers?

0:28:54.520 --> 0:28:56.400
<v Speaker 3>And for us, we want to make sure we want

0:28:56.440 --> 0:28:59.040
<v Speaker 3>to send a clear message that the founders are our

0:28:59.080 --> 0:29:00.680
<v Speaker 3>customers and work smurts us.

0:29:01.000 --> 0:29:03.680
<v Speaker 12>And there's a second concept here, which is outlier founders

0:29:03.720 --> 0:29:06.560
<v Speaker 12>want to work with outlier people. And so our partner

0:29:06.640 --> 0:29:09.080
<v Speaker 12>Rubb has this idea of playing free. You know, everybody

0:29:09.080 --> 0:29:12.880
<v Speaker 12>should play free. And we don't want Luciano or Andrew

0:29:12.960 --> 0:29:15.440
<v Speaker 12>or Constantine or Sean or David or Sony. We don't

0:29:15.480 --> 0:29:18.560
<v Speaker 12>want them to become another Alfred or to become another path.

0:29:18.640 --> 0:29:21.000
<v Speaker 7>We want them to be the best version of themselves.

0:29:21.440 --> 0:29:23.320
<v Speaker 12>And the only way we can do that is if

0:29:23.440 --> 0:29:25.360
<v Speaker 12>they feel like they can play free, like they have

0:29:25.520 --> 0:29:28.360
<v Speaker 12>rope to just go at one hundred percent velocity all

0:29:28.360 --> 0:29:30.240
<v Speaker 12>the time. And then our job is to help enable

0:29:30.280 --> 0:29:31.680
<v Speaker 12>them not to get in the way.

0:29:31.720 --> 0:29:32.120
<v Speaker 7>And so we.

0:29:32.400 --> 0:29:35.880
<v Speaker 12>Are tight on principles, and we are tight on values.

0:29:36.280 --> 0:29:37.800
<v Speaker 12>We're very flexible on process.

0:29:37.880 --> 0:29:41.720
<v Speaker 4>So some people that might sound chaotic, just it literally is.

0:29:41.840 --> 0:29:45.080
<v Speaker 4>How does it work mechanically? Somebody will send a WhatsApp

0:29:45.120 --> 0:29:46.840
<v Speaker 4>to the rest of the partner saying, guys, got a

0:29:46.840 --> 0:29:48.720
<v Speaker 4>great up. We have to meet now and talk about it.

0:29:49.000 --> 0:29:49.600
<v Speaker 4>And what happens.

0:29:49.600 --> 0:29:51.760
<v Speaker 12>A couple of days ago, an email came out recommending

0:29:51.760 --> 0:29:54.720
<v Speaker 12>an investment, controversial investment. We go into a document. There's

0:29:54.760 --> 0:29:56.840
<v Speaker 12>a lot of commentary in the document. Here's what's good,

0:29:56.880 --> 0:29:58.640
<v Speaker 12>here's what's bad. Here's what I like, Here's what I

0:29:58.680 --> 0:30:01.000
<v Speaker 12>don't like. What are we going to do? We had

0:30:01.000 --> 0:30:03.000
<v Speaker 12>six people on Red Eyes to New York a couple

0:30:03.000 --> 0:30:03.560
<v Speaker 12>of nights ago.

0:30:03.880 --> 0:30:07.960
<v Speaker 5>We spend next week. This this a week day, and I'm.

0:30:07.720 --> 0:30:10.080
<v Speaker 12>Back Tuesday night. We had six people on Red Eyes

0:30:10.120 --> 0:30:11.920
<v Speaker 12>to New York. Randomly were on five different planes. I

0:30:11.920 --> 0:30:13.520
<v Speaker 12>don't know why we took five different planes to get

0:30:13.520 --> 0:30:13.880
<v Speaker 12>to New York.

0:30:13.960 --> 0:30:15.560
<v Speaker 5>But he was a spur of the moment decision.

0:30:15.600 --> 0:30:16.880
<v Speaker 12>It was a spur of the moment thing. We spent

0:30:16.960 --> 0:30:19.400
<v Speaker 12>two hours of the company yesterday morning. Yesterday afternoon we

0:30:19.440 --> 0:30:22.880
<v Speaker 12>signed a term sheet. So gag tackle get everybody in.

0:30:22.800 --> 0:30:24.800
<v Speaker 5>Front of Juicy bound to ask you which company? Oh,

0:30:24.800 --> 0:30:26.560
<v Speaker 5>I know, I'm sure you would, but yeah, and the

0:30:26.600 --> 0:30:27.760
<v Speaker 5>answer is I don't comment.

0:30:28.440 --> 0:30:31.400
<v Speaker 12>Company probably a monster, probably one that's going to be huge.

0:30:31.680 --> 0:30:34.360
<v Speaker 5>Was it a big check? As in the stakes? Will hi?

0:30:34.960 --> 0:30:35.520
<v Speaker 2>Come on now?

0:30:36.000 --> 0:30:40.280
<v Speaker 12>Hang on our jobs the smallest possible dollars for the

0:30:40.400 --> 0:30:42.000
<v Speaker 12>largest possible or there is so much.

0:30:42.000 --> 0:30:44.720
<v Speaker 3>Job is to put small dollars some work and make

0:30:44.760 --> 0:30:45.719
<v Speaker 3>them large dollars.

0:30:45.760 --> 0:30:47.240
<v Speaker 4>There is some case studies we're going to get to

0:30:47.240 --> 0:30:50.040
<v Speaker 4>you later in this conversation that would say slightly otherwise,

0:30:50.200 --> 0:30:50.880
<v Speaker 4>let me ask you this.

0:30:52.400 --> 0:30:53.880
<v Speaker 5>Let me say ask you this.

0:30:53.960 --> 0:30:55.440
<v Speaker 7>We could do the big dollars if we have to.

0:30:55.840 --> 0:30:59.520
<v Speaker 4>Conviction over consensus. So in lots of partnerships, be there

0:30:59.520 --> 0:31:02.640
<v Speaker 4>aventure firm or law firm. You know you vote, yeah,

0:31:02.760 --> 0:31:06.600
<v Speaker 4>your structure is very different. Things are not achieved by consensus.

0:31:07.320 --> 0:31:08.120
<v Speaker 4>How does it work?

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:08.800
<v Speaker 5>We vote?

0:31:08.920 --> 0:31:12.680
<v Speaker 3>But the point about conviction is that it's unique conviction

0:31:13.440 --> 0:31:18.000
<v Speaker 3>to be committed for a company for a long period

0:31:18.040 --> 0:31:23.320
<v Speaker 3>of time. We love building companies and helping founders build companies.

0:31:23.480 --> 0:31:26.360
<v Speaker 3>We want to be an early believer and compound with

0:31:26.400 --> 0:31:29.160
<v Speaker 3>them into the future. And that requires real conviction by

0:31:29.240 --> 0:31:32.240
<v Speaker 3>the person who has the most expertise. And so when

0:31:32.280 --> 0:31:35.480
<v Speaker 3>we debate, we are trying to get to truth. We

0:31:35.520 --> 0:31:40.360
<v Speaker 3>are a truth seeking organization, and there's much better conversation

0:31:40.440 --> 0:31:43.600
<v Speaker 3>where there's a debate than when everybody is oh, yeah,

0:31:43.920 --> 0:31:47.120
<v Speaker 3>I agree, and then it's it's usually a met investment.

0:31:47.360 --> 0:31:48.760
<v Speaker 12>And let me give you an example on that stage.

0:31:48.840 --> 0:31:52.480
<v Speaker 12>Twenty nineteen. Okay, twenty nineteen, Shah Maguire joins Sequoia Capital. Yes,

0:31:52.560 --> 0:31:56.280
<v Speaker 12>he joins the early stage team. Okay, twenty nineteen, Zoom

0:31:56.280 --> 0:31:58.160
<v Speaker 12>had just gone public. We just got into business with

0:31:58.200 --> 0:31:59.160
<v Speaker 12>Dylan Field of Figma.

0:31:59.160 --> 0:31:59.800
<v Speaker 7>Who I know, I guess.

0:31:59.800 --> 0:32:04.800
<v Speaker 12>Just on the combined market caps of Tesla and Nvidia

0:32:05.080 --> 0:32:08.080
<v Speaker 12>were approximately the same as the market cap of Salesforce.

0:32:08.520 --> 0:32:10.720
<v Speaker 12>So to set the stage in twenty nineteen, the thing

0:32:10.760 --> 0:32:14.040
<v Speaker 12>on the menu was software. Yes, software was consensus. We

0:32:14.080 --> 0:32:17.160
<v Speaker 12>love software, every we love software. Sean, a brand new

0:32:17.200 --> 0:32:19.920
<v Speaker 12>early stage investor, shows up and says, I think we

0:32:19.920 --> 0:32:23.760
<v Speaker 12>should invest in a rocket company at twenty billion. We

0:32:23.880 --> 0:32:27.360
<v Speaker 12>thought that was insane, but Sean had conviction. He had

0:32:27.360 --> 0:32:29.120
<v Speaker 12>done the work. He painted the picture. This is pre

0:32:29.240 --> 0:32:31.320
<v Speaker 12>star Link, right, This is when it was a launch

0:32:31.360 --> 0:32:33.160
<v Speaker 12>company and the main customer was the government.

0:32:33.520 --> 0:32:33.720
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:32:34.120 --> 0:32:36.160
<v Speaker 12>Sean painted the picture of what this thing had a

0:32:36.200 --> 0:32:38.200
<v Speaker 12>chance to become, and it's become one of the best

0:32:38.200 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 12>investments talking about SpaceX, and so that was that was SpaceX. Yeah,

0:32:41.440 --> 0:32:43.240
<v Speaker 12>so that was that was conviction at work. That was

0:32:43.240 --> 0:32:43.880
<v Speaker 12>twenty nineteen.

0:32:43.920 --> 0:32:45.520
<v Speaker 4>But what I'm trying to get to is the idea

0:32:45.560 --> 0:32:48.600
<v Speaker 4>that in any number of voting partners, the majority might

0:32:48.680 --> 0:32:51.840
<v Speaker 4>say I have a lower conviction, I have a four.

0:32:51.960 --> 0:32:53.320
<v Speaker 5>You guys don't on a scale zerias ten.

0:32:53.400 --> 0:32:56.440
<v Speaker 4>You don't count five, but just two might say we

0:32:56.480 --> 0:32:57.840
<v Speaker 4>are eight, soor we had nine.

0:32:58.040 --> 0:32:59.800
<v Speaker 2>We love those kinds of investines, and you.

0:32:59.760 --> 0:33:00.880
<v Speaker 5>Do with the investments.

0:33:00.920 --> 0:33:03.480
<v Speaker 12>We've been recording the data since twenty fourteen, so we

0:33:03.560 --> 0:33:06.520
<v Speaker 12>now have twelve thirteen years of data on this. And

0:33:06.560 --> 0:33:10.320
<v Speaker 12>we thought that contentious investments would actually be the best investments.

0:33:10.320 --> 0:33:12.400
<v Speaker 12>And it turns out it actually doesn't matter whether it's

0:33:12.440 --> 0:33:16.160
<v Speaker 12>contentious or consensus. Yes, all that matters is presence of conviction.

0:33:16.560 --> 0:33:18.360
<v Speaker 4>I want to get to Sean because it's outlined in

0:33:18.400 --> 0:33:20.760
<v Speaker 4>the BusinessWeek article, and Sean has been on this program

0:33:20.800 --> 0:33:23.480
<v Speaker 4>and I've spoken to him somewhat regularly.

0:33:23.560 --> 0:33:27.480
<v Speaker 5>Right. The idea is that.

0:33:26.120 --> 0:33:32.240
<v Speaker 4>Sean has made, let's say, in cendiury posts on social media.

0:33:33.520 --> 0:33:36.600
<v Speaker 4>He has said things that are divisive, but you regard

0:33:36.720 --> 0:33:39.920
<v Speaker 4>him as being unique, right. He has a unique background

0:33:40.360 --> 0:33:46.360
<v Speaker 4>and set of interests that you believe put Sequoya into

0:33:46.720 --> 0:33:49.160
<v Speaker 4>opportunities that you would not otherwise have. I don't want

0:33:49.160 --> 0:33:51.400
<v Speaker 4>to speak on your behalf, but you know, let's talk

0:33:51.440 --> 0:33:51.960
<v Speaker 4>about that.

0:33:52.880 --> 0:33:55.040
<v Speaker 3>I think we should just talk about the balance sheet

0:33:55.240 --> 0:33:56.720
<v Speaker 3>of Sharan like a lots of.

0:33:56.680 --> 0:33:59.080
<v Speaker 2>The balance sheet of Sean, the positives and negatives.

0:33:59.080 --> 0:34:01.719
<v Speaker 3>I see you just about a bunch of negatives, and

0:34:01.760 --> 0:34:04.000
<v Speaker 3>I just want to make sure that people understand the pauses.

0:34:04.280 --> 0:34:08.640
<v Speaker 3>The guys was one of the top ten counter strike

0:34:08.960 --> 0:34:11.160
<v Speaker 3>gamers when he was in high school. He was a

0:34:11.239 --> 0:34:14.480
<v Speaker 3>day trader in high school. He then went and got

0:34:14.480 --> 0:34:19.640
<v Speaker 3>a PhD in physics in quantum theory. Much if you

0:34:19.719 --> 0:34:23.000
<v Speaker 3>took regard physics is hard, quantum theory is one of

0:34:23.040 --> 0:34:26.360
<v Speaker 3>the hardest. He when he joined Sequoia, he put together

0:34:26.520 --> 0:34:30.120
<v Speaker 3>a hardware manifesto. He led us into hardware. He led

0:34:30.200 --> 0:34:32.839
<v Speaker 3>us into SpaceX with a lot of conviction and a lot

0:34:32.840 --> 0:34:35.960
<v Speaker 3>of courage because there was there was votes by GPS

0:34:36.000 --> 0:34:38.759
<v Speaker 3>that was a one on scale of ton it was

0:34:38.800 --> 0:34:39.640
<v Speaker 3>a one, and he.

0:34:39.640 --> 0:34:42.680
<v Speaker 2>Kept pushing and pushing him. He was a ten out

0:34:42.719 --> 0:34:42.960
<v Speaker 2>of ten.

0:34:43.480 --> 0:34:45.640
<v Speaker 7>And that has to be the zero or attend okay,

0:34:45.920 --> 0:34:46.879
<v Speaker 7>really binary.

0:34:46.680 --> 0:34:50.400
<v Speaker 3>Very binary person. And so you know, in terms of conviction,

0:34:50.520 --> 0:34:53.880
<v Speaker 3>he has strong conviction. He's been right a lot. He

0:34:53.880 --> 0:34:56.440
<v Speaker 3>helped let us into crypto. And I don't want to

0:34:56.480 --> 0:34:59.279
<v Speaker 3>talk just about the negatives because I think people need

0:34:59.280 --> 0:35:00.480
<v Speaker 3>to understand the.

0:35:00.160 --> 0:35:02.359
<v Speaker 4>SpaceX is one of the biggest returns that this firm

0:35:02.760 --> 0:35:03.360
<v Speaker 4>in its history.

0:35:03.440 --> 0:35:04.759
<v Speaker 12>And I also go back to the thing we're talking

0:35:04.800 --> 0:35:06.879
<v Speaker 12>about earlier. We want everybody to become the best version

0:35:06.880 --> 0:35:10.800
<v Speaker 12>of themselves. Now again, we are strict on values and principles,

0:35:10.880 --> 0:35:12.560
<v Speaker 12>and so we need to believe that when people behave

0:35:12.600 --> 0:35:15.840
<v Speaker 12>they're doing so with the best possible intentions, and they're

0:35:15.880 --> 0:35:19.000
<v Speaker 12>doing so with a standard of excellence that we expect

0:35:19.040 --> 0:35:21.319
<v Speaker 12>of all of our partners. If they are doing that,

0:35:21.400 --> 0:35:23.880
<v Speaker 12>and if we happen to agree or disagree with the output,

0:35:24.160 --> 0:35:26.239
<v Speaker 12>the agreement of the disagreement doesn't necessarily matter.

0:35:26.320 --> 0:35:27.760
<v Speaker 7>It's the inputs that we tend to focus.

0:35:27.800 --> 0:35:29.400
<v Speaker 4>I would say for the record that you know Sean

0:35:29.440 --> 0:35:32.040
<v Speaker 4>told me that he would not work anywhere else, and

0:35:32.120 --> 0:35:34.280
<v Speaker 4>you know he believes in the principles that you outlined.

0:35:34.320 --> 0:35:37.480
<v Speaker 4>Also that you know his belief is that his intentions

0:35:37.880 --> 0:35:41.799
<v Speaker 4>were never to have a net harmful effect on the.

0:35:41.800 --> 0:35:45.600
<v Speaker 3>First His intentions are always pure, and that's another thing

0:35:45.640 --> 0:35:48.239
<v Speaker 3>I was going to mention. But he also has great courage.

0:35:48.680 --> 0:35:49.360
<v Speaker 2>There's conviction.

0:35:49.560 --> 0:35:52.799
<v Speaker 3>There's people with conviction and they don't have courage, and yeah,

0:35:52.840 --> 0:35:54.640
<v Speaker 3>you can talk all day long and then you don't

0:35:54.719 --> 0:35:56.640
<v Speaker 3>sort of make the investment when you push.

0:35:56.560 --> 0:35:58.879
<v Speaker 4>The discourage look like, what's the action that you're looking

0:35:58.920 --> 0:35:59.919
<v Speaker 4>for the partners to take.

0:36:00.280 --> 0:36:02.279
<v Speaker 3>If you have a GP and you're not a GP

0:36:02.480 --> 0:36:04.560
<v Speaker 3>and there's a vote of a one by a GP,

0:36:04.760 --> 0:36:08.200
<v Speaker 3>but you still keep pushing forward, that is courage. You're

0:36:08.239 --> 0:36:11.840
<v Speaker 3>willing to get fired for something that you believe is

0:36:11.880 --> 0:36:13.960
<v Speaker 3>going to be a great investment and that turns out

0:36:14.000 --> 0:36:16.600
<v Speaker 3>to be one of the best investments that's in Sequiah history.

0:36:16.760 --> 0:36:18.279
<v Speaker 12>We have a list that we keep of all the

0:36:18.320 --> 0:36:20.560
<v Speaker 12>different failure modes that we can run into on investments,

0:36:20.600 --> 0:36:22.360
<v Speaker 12>and there are forty or fifty of them, one of

0:36:22.360 --> 0:36:25.879
<v Speaker 12>which is called wimpy sponsor. Wimpy sponsor is you say

0:36:25.920 --> 0:36:28.520
<v Speaker 12>you love something and then you get a know and

0:36:28.560 --> 0:36:29.320
<v Speaker 12>you just go away.

0:36:29.719 --> 0:36:30.400
<v Speaker 7>You just won't.

0:36:30.600 --> 0:36:32.560
<v Speaker 12>You probably didn't love it. If you got one no

0:36:32.680 --> 0:36:34.680
<v Speaker 12>and you went away. If you actually love it. You're

0:36:34.680 --> 0:36:36.520
<v Speaker 12>going to keep pushing and keep pushing, and keep pushing

0:36:36.520 --> 0:36:37.680
<v Speaker 12>and keep pushing and keep pushing.

0:36:37.719 --> 0:36:38.719
<v Speaker 7>And that's what courage looks like.

0:36:38.760 --> 0:36:40.480
<v Speaker 4>I want to get some of the investments you have made.

0:36:40.480 --> 0:36:42.160
<v Speaker 4>So what we're going to do is take a quick break.

0:36:42.360 --> 0:36:45.000
<v Speaker 4>We'll be right back with Scoy Partners, Alfred Lyne and

0:36:45.040 --> 0:36:47.440
<v Speaker 4>Pat Brady, and we'll talk about the big one, which

0:36:47.480 --> 0:36:48.200
<v Speaker 4>was anthropic.

0:36:48.600 --> 0:36:49.520
<v Speaker 5>This is blon bag Tech.

0:37:01.360 --> 0:37:03.960
<v Speaker 4>We're back with Sequoiet Partners and CoA Stewards Alfred Lynn

0:37:04.040 --> 0:37:06.680
<v Speaker 4>and Pat Grady. I'd like to talk about the anthropic investment.

0:37:06.920 --> 0:37:10.400
<v Speaker 4>It's detailed in the BusinessWeek article, but essentially it was

0:37:10.440 --> 0:37:15.840
<v Speaker 4>something a bit new. It was an example of risk

0:37:16.840 --> 0:37:20.880
<v Speaker 4>or franchise risk or risking the franchise. Where should we

0:37:20.920 --> 0:37:25.560
<v Speaker 4>start with what happened? I mean, you were, along with

0:37:25.840 --> 0:37:28.960
<v Speaker 4>Sonya right at the sponsor on that opportunity.

0:37:28.800 --> 0:37:32.440
<v Speaker 3>So there have been multiple sponsors of this. We work

0:37:32.480 --> 0:37:35.200
<v Speaker 3>as a team. There are no multiple sponsors on the company.

0:37:35.600 --> 0:37:39.160
<v Speaker 3>Ravi had sponsored it for a period one round, Sonya

0:37:39.200 --> 0:37:42.319
<v Speaker 3>had sponsored it with him for another round, and then

0:37:42.480 --> 0:37:45.800
<v Speaker 3>we kept passing. Part of it was because we wanted

0:37:45.840 --> 0:37:49.560
<v Speaker 3>to sort of be We were early investors in open Ai,

0:37:49.920 --> 0:37:52.560
<v Speaker 3>and we thought, well, we can invest in both, and

0:37:52.960 --> 0:37:56.240
<v Speaker 3>for a period of time that was our mode until

0:37:56.280 --> 0:37:59.080
<v Speaker 3>we checked with all of our founders and they were

0:37:59.160 --> 0:38:00.719
<v Speaker 3>using both companies.

0:38:00.320 --> 0:38:03.040
<v Speaker 5>And they were using the technologies of both.

0:38:02.800 --> 0:38:05.000
<v Speaker 7>Both for different things exactly.

0:38:05.680 --> 0:38:10.160
<v Speaker 3>And so obviously open Ai started with the consumer app

0:38:10.200 --> 0:38:14.759
<v Speaker 3>and finding information and Anthropic had cloud code and it

0:38:14.880 --> 0:38:16.600
<v Speaker 3>was much much more focused on coding.

0:38:17.040 --> 0:38:19.600
<v Speaker 2>And so over time we got greater and greater conviction.

0:38:19.280 --> 0:38:23.640
<v Speaker 3>Our own our own engineering team was telling us how

0:38:23.680 --> 0:38:24.440
<v Speaker 3>good the.

0:38:24.280 --> 0:38:25.720
<v Speaker 2>Clock co product was working.

0:38:26.400 --> 0:38:28.840
<v Speaker 3>So we gained more and more conviction over time that

0:38:28.920 --> 0:38:33.240
<v Speaker 3>we should make an investment in Anthropic on this billion

0:38:33.280 --> 0:38:35.760
<v Speaker 3>dollar round, this last round that we made an investment.

0:38:36.840 --> 0:38:39.760
<v Speaker 3>It came together because we had just been following the company,

0:38:39.800 --> 0:38:43.360
<v Speaker 3>and three months before we had made an investment in

0:38:43.640 --> 0:38:44.120
<v Speaker 3>the company.

0:38:44.160 --> 0:38:47.360
<v Speaker 5>That was January of this year, yes, yeah.

0:38:46.800 --> 0:38:50.480
<v Speaker 3>It was actually November and then it was closing, yeah,

0:38:50.880 --> 0:38:53.560
<v Speaker 3>And so we've been following the company. The revenue ramp

0:38:53.560 --> 0:38:56.279
<v Speaker 3>continues to grow up, and we decided that we're going

0:38:56.320 --> 0:38:59.319
<v Speaker 3>to make a fairly large investment in this round.

0:39:00.120 --> 0:39:02.319
<v Speaker 5>Investment initially was a billion but.

0:39:02.360 --> 0:39:07.520
<v Speaker 3>That ideagional recommendation by Sonya and I that we invest

0:39:07.560 --> 0:39:10.440
<v Speaker 3>a billion, and we were like, where we're going to

0:39:10.480 --> 0:39:14.000
<v Speaker 3>get the money, Well, we have plenty of places we

0:39:14.040 --> 0:39:19.680
<v Speaker 3>can invest from, right, And I was pleasantly surprised, first

0:39:19.760 --> 0:39:22.880
<v Speaker 3>with a call from Sean and then a call from Pat,

0:39:22.920 --> 0:39:25.880
<v Speaker 3>and then in the in the room, we started with

0:39:25.920 --> 0:39:29.080
<v Speaker 3>a number that I thought was like, huh, interesting, where

0:39:29.080 --> 0:39:30.640
<v Speaker 3>we're going to get that number from?

0:39:30.800 --> 0:39:30.960
<v Speaker 9>Right?

0:39:31.040 --> 0:39:33.239
<v Speaker 2>And the number started at five billion.

0:39:33.560 --> 0:39:36.759
<v Speaker 4>And then you work backwards, then, yes, to come in

0:39:36.800 --> 0:39:41.240
<v Speaker 4>and explain your takeout on the events that transpired.

0:39:41.120 --> 0:39:45.040
<v Speaker 12>Well, I mean the simple, the simple explanation for the

0:39:45.080 --> 0:39:48.360
<v Speaker 12>investment is, this is the tectonic shift of our lifetime.

0:39:48.760 --> 0:39:50.960
<v Speaker 12>In a perfect world, we would have backed the Tropic

0:39:51.000 --> 0:39:53.640
<v Speaker 12>many years ago. We didn't, and so the best thing

0:39:53.680 --> 0:39:55.000
<v Speaker 12>we can do now is to come in at the

0:39:55.040 --> 0:39:57.600
<v Speaker 12>most scale that we can muster. And so five billion

0:39:57.680 --> 0:40:00.000
<v Speaker 12>was kind of a theoretical number mentioned to be provocative.

0:40:00.480 --> 0:40:02.440
<v Speaker 12>We ended up in two and a half because we

0:40:02.480 --> 0:40:04.480
<v Speaker 12>can't really do a five billion across all of our

0:40:04.480 --> 0:40:06.239
<v Speaker 12>different funds, and so two and a half is kind

0:40:06.239 --> 0:40:07.120
<v Speaker 12>of the most we can do.

0:40:07.239 --> 0:40:09.080
<v Speaker 4>And that's sort of how is it fair to go

0:40:09.120 --> 0:40:10.719
<v Speaker 4>as far as to say, like how much money can

0:40:10.760 --> 0:40:12.879
<v Speaker 4>we deploy without putting the firm at risk.

0:40:13.600 --> 0:40:15.879
<v Speaker 12>That was part of the conversation. Two and a half

0:40:16.000 --> 0:40:18.120
<v Speaker 12>or five would be comfortable numbers as far as that goes.

0:40:18.160 --> 0:40:21.360
<v Speaker 12>But one thing we've never done SPVs. We're not in

0:40:21.400 --> 0:40:23.680
<v Speaker 12>this SPV business where you speak for something I think

0:40:23.719 --> 0:40:24.000
<v Speaker 12>we have.

0:40:24.040 --> 0:40:25.239
<v Speaker 5>Not time today to talk about it.

0:40:25.320 --> 0:40:26.880
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, so we don't do that stuff.

0:40:26.920 --> 0:40:28.319
<v Speaker 12>And so two and a half billion was what we

0:40:28.320 --> 0:40:30.880
<v Speaker 12>could do out of the core funds committed capital.

0:40:31.760 --> 0:40:35.120
<v Speaker 4>Let me ask you this or give some background growth

0:40:35.560 --> 0:40:40.239
<v Speaker 4>early stage. Since twenty seventeen, you've led the growth co led,

0:40:40.280 --> 0:40:44.520
<v Speaker 4>you've co led early stage, but you SaaS consumer. But

0:40:44.560 --> 0:40:47.360
<v Speaker 4>there's a lot of overlap, right, you have made significant

0:40:47.400 --> 0:40:50.720
<v Speaker 4>growth stage investments and join boards. You've made early stage investments,

0:40:50.719 --> 0:40:53.440
<v Speaker 4>particularly in AI. Just talk a little bit about how

0:40:53.440 --> 0:40:56.480
<v Speaker 4>the two of you see that progressing, you know, forward looking.

0:40:57.400 --> 0:40:59.640
<v Speaker 3>I think it's very very simple, which is like, if

0:40:59.680 --> 0:41:02.000
<v Speaker 3>you in this business long period of time, you know

0:41:02.040 --> 0:41:04.560
<v Speaker 3>what a good early stage investment looks like. You know

0:41:04.640 --> 0:41:07.520
<v Speaker 3>what a good growth investment looks like. So Pat has

0:41:07.640 --> 0:41:10.560
<v Speaker 3>been traditionally a growth investor. He made the early investment

0:41:10.560 --> 0:41:15.239
<v Speaker 3>in Harvey. I've I've seen how early stage companies grow

0:41:15.320 --> 0:41:19.720
<v Speaker 3>and advocated for growth investments in Airbnb and DoorDash when.

0:41:19.600 --> 0:41:22.680
<v Speaker 2>They grew up, and over time.

0:41:22.760 --> 0:41:25.160
<v Speaker 3>I think if you've been in this business long enough,

0:41:25.200 --> 0:41:28.040
<v Speaker 3>you'll make both early investments and growth in that. Since

0:41:28.040 --> 0:41:32.080
<v Speaker 3>we have Constantine that champion Citadel Securities and Waymo, we have,

0:41:32.280 --> 0:41:35.120
<v Speaker 3>we talked about Sean, we have, we have David that

0:41:35.239 --> 0:41:41.160
<v Speaker 3>is invested in a neo lab that's relatively early. We

0:41:41.239 --> 0:41:43.880
<v Speaker 3>have Sonya who's recently sort of flew with me to

0:41:44.600 --> 0:41:48.680
<v Speaker 3>uh to London to advocate for the investment in Flable.

0:41:49.120 --> 0:41:53.320
<v Speaker 3>So these are this Our team is much more fluid,

0:41:53.480 --> 0:41:56.200
<v Speaker 3>and we don't just going back to like most of

0:41:56.280 --> 0:41:57.600
<v Speaker 3>our partners don't like being.

0:41:57.400 --> 0:41:59.600
<v Speaker 2>Put in a box. We don't want none of us

0:41:59.600 --> 0:41:59.960
<v Speaker 2>want to be.

0:42:00.239 --> 0:42:03.080
<v Speaker 4>You also regard the partner's sorry, Pats to interrupt you

0:42:03.160 --> 0:42:06.239
<v Speaker 4>to say that these partners, if you stack them up

0:42:06.239 --> 0:42:08.759
<v Speaker 4>against any venture firm in the world, they would be

0:42:08.760 --> 0:42:11.799
<v Speaker 4>in the top ten of the list of partners all

0:42:11.800 --> 0:42:12.200
<v Speaker 4>the time.

0:42:12.680 --> 0:42:14.800
<v Speaker 12>I genuinely believe that we have the best partners in

0:42:14.840 --> 0:42:16.520
<v Speaker 12>the world. If Alfroma got hit by a bus and

0:42:16.560 --> 0:42:18.520
<v Speaker 12>we'd be fine. If whoever came next got hit by

0:42:18.520 --> 0:42:22.240
<v Speaker 12>a bus, we'd still be fine, right, But this idea

0:42:22.560 --> 0:42:24.479
<v Speaker 12>of being able to go beyond early in the growth

0:42:24.520 --> 0:42:26.800
<v Speaker 12>growth in an early consumer in the enterprise, enterprise and

0:42:26.840 --> 0:42:29.040
<v Speaker 12>a consumer. I think one of the things you realize

0:42:29.120 --> 0:42:31.319
<v Speaker 12>over time is that there are two core primitives in

0:42:31.360 --> 0:42:35.520
<v Speaker 12>our business. It's people on markets. And if you develop

0:42:35.560 --> 0:42:38.319
<v Speaker 12>a good understanding of what outlier potential looks like in

0:42:38.360 --> 0:42:41.200
<v Speaker 12>a person, and if you develop a good understanding of

0:42:41.239 --> 0:42:43.120
<v Speaker 12>where a market has a chance to go, over time,

0:42:43.840 --> 0:42:46.879
<v Speaker 12>those two ingredients kind of transcend the stage at which

0:42:46.880 --> 0:42:49.239
<v Speaker 12>you happen to intersect that company. And so that's what

0:42:49.280 --> 0:42:51.640
<v Speaker 12>we see out of the folks on our at Sequoia.

0:42:51.840 --> 0:42:53.480
<v Speaker 12>You know, as they progress, they can kind of go

0:42:53.520 --> 0:42:54.240
<v Speaker 12>across stages.

0:42:54.400 --> 0:42:55.120
<v Speaker 5>I have to ask you both.

0:42:55.160 --> 0:42:57.920
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg reported this week that Sequoia was one of the

0:42:57.960 --> 0:43:02.480
<v Speaker 4>firms approached by Situational NS as they tried in the

0:43:02.520 --> 0:43:05.319
<v Speaker 4>reporting to offload some private stakes. You know, we've seen

0:43:05.320 --> 0:43:08.600
<v Speaker 4>what's happened in public markets. An opportunity to comment on

0:43:08.640 --> 0:43:10.520
<v Speaker 4>that and how you see the situation, it.

0:43:10.440 --> 0:43:14.360
<v Speaker 12>Would be delighted to comment on that. We were aware

0:43:14.360 --> 0:43:20.160
<v Speaker 12>of that situation, and it has been reported that we

0:43:20.160 --> 0:43:22.600
<v Speaker 12>were talking with them about the anthropic stake. You know,

0:43:22.800 --> 0:43:25.360
<v Speaker 12>King Griffin showed up with what was a better solution

0:43:25.680 --> 0:43:28.040
<v Speaker 12>for Leopold at that moment in time, then he went

0:43:28.080 --> 0:43:31.560
<v Speaker 12>with the better solution. I think that our observation is

0:43:31.600 --> 0:43:35.200
<v Speaker 12>that there is this game on the field over the

0:43:35.280 --> 0:43:38.160
<v Speaker 12>last couple of years investing the AI supply chain, Leopold

0:43:38.239 --> 0:43:40.400
<v Speaker 12>is one of the first people to recognize that that

0:43:40.480 --> 0:43:42.719
<v Speaker 12>was the game on the field, and on balance, he

0:43:42.760 --> 0:43:45.400
<v Speaker 12>played it pretty darn well. And so our suspicion is

0:43:45.400 --> 0:43:47.160
<v Speaker 12>that he's going to be a fixture in Silicon Valley

0:43:47.200 --> 0:43:48.000
<v Speaker 12>for a long time to come.

0:43:48.360 --> 0:43:51.120
<v Speaker 4>I wanted to get to the ballot case study we've

0:43:51.160 --> 0:43:53.920
<v Speaker 4>so it's been about short on ahead.

0:43:53.760 --> 0:43:54.960
<v Speaker 2>On situation awareness.

0:43:55.000 --> 0:43:56.960
<v Speaker 3>He did just wire four hundred million dollars to a

0:43:57.000 --> 0:43:58.480
<v Speaker 3>company that we invested in, so.

0:43:58.560 --> 0:44:00.520
<v Speaker 4>Oh could you we actually report did on the four

0:44:00.600 --> 0:44:03.040
<v Speaker 4>hundred minion, but I haven't got clue the company.

0:44:02.760 --> 0:44:04.480
<v Speaker 2>Is Yeah, no comment on that.

0:44:04.520 --> 0:44:06.240
<v Speaker 7>But he's not a good one.

0:44:06.480 --> 0:44:09.919
<v Speaker 2>He's not. He's going to be. He's really good. He's

0:44:09.960 --> 0:44:10.560
<v Speaker 2>going to be around.

0:44:10.600 --> 0:44:12.880
<v Speaker 4>We just have sadly two and a half minutes. I

0:44:13.160 --> 0:44:16.759
<v Speaker 4>found what happened with valo Atonics really interesting. Again, we're

0:44:16.760 --> 0:44:18.800
<v Speaker 4>going over history, but which you just kind of explain

0:44:18.920 --> 0:44:22.680
<v Speaker 4>how that happened. Sean was the sponsor, he made a

0:44:22.719 --> 0:44:23.880
<v Speaker 4>really big proposal.

0:44:24.239 --> 0:44:26.400
<v Speaker 12>Then what happened, Well, we have a partner named Liam

0:44:26.480 --> 0:44:29.080
<v Speaker 12>Corgan who joined us just six months or so ago.

0:44:30.160 --> 0:44:33.520
<v Speaker 12>Liam physics undergrad at Harvard, happens to be an Olympic

0:44:33.520 --> 0:44:37.040
<v Speaker 12>gold medalist, but he actually came from the nuclear industry

0:44:37.080 --> 0:44:40.440
<v Speaker 12>before joining Sequoia. And so we have this person in Liam,

0:44:40.880 --> 0:44:43.520
<v Speaker 12>who understands the market to a great degree of detail.

0:44:43.880 --> 0:44:46.080
<v Speaker 12>And then we have this partner in Sean Physics PhD.

0:44:46.400 --> 0:44:50.200
<v Speaker 12>As Alfred mentioned, who deeply, deeply, deeply understands the technology.

0:44:50.520 --> 0:44:52.759
<v Speaker 12>So the two of them together were working on this investment.

0:44:53.280 --> 0:44:56.960
<v Speaker 12>And generally speaking, things that have multiple layers of technical

0:44:57.040 --> 0:45:00.439
<v Speaker 12>risk remaining with a business model that is many years

0:45:00.480 --> 0:45:03.960
<v Speaker 12>in the future, those are scary investments, right, and so

0:45:04.480 --> 0:45:06.799
<v Speaker 12>we're happy to take risk, but usually we do so

0:45:06.960 --> 0:45:09.960
<v Speaker 12>with smaller check sizes. And so when the recommendation came

0:45:09.960 --> 0:45:12.319
<v Speaker 12>out for a three hundred million dollars investment, you know,

0:45:12.680 --> 0:45:15.239
<v Speaker 12>some eyes popped out of some skulls and I said, boy,

0:45:15.280 --> 0:45:17.120
<v Speaker 12>that seems like a lot of money for a company

0:45:17.160 --> 0:45:19.840
<v Speaker 12>with this much risk in it. But Shawn and Liam

0:45:20.160 --> 0:45:22.040
<v Speaker 12>made the case. We decided to get on a plane.

0:45:22.120 --> 0:45:24.000
<v Speaker 4>We went to you go on a plane Outfred, you

0:45:24.000 --> 0:45:27.080
<v Speaker 4>were in New York, right security coordinating.

0:45:27.160 --> 0:45:28.560
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, a few of us got on a plane. We

0:45:28.600 --> 0:45:30.359
<v Speaker 12>went to visit them. We spent the whole day with them.

0:45:30.400 --> 0:45:32.319
<v Speaker 12>We got to know Isaiah and his team. Isaiah is

0:45:32.320 --> 0:45:35.400
<v Speaker 12>truly a one of one force of nature, exceptional founder

0:45:35.400 --> 0:45:37.600
<v Speaker 12>who are now delighted to be in business with. I

0:45:37.600 --> 0:45:40.080
<v Speaker 12>think we started to appreciate exactly how many of the

0:45:40.120 --> 0:45:43.520
<v Speaker 12>different pieces they've put together, how novel their approaches, and

0:45:43.560 --> 0:45:46.160
<v Speaker 12>how well they're executing. And at the end of the day,

0:45:46.160 --> 0:45:48.239
<v Speaker 12>like Shawn and Liam, we think they are right and

0:45:48.280 --> 0:45:49.200
<v Speaker 12>we rode with their conviction.

0:45:49.280 --> 0:45:51.040
<v Speaker 4>We have that she thirty seconds and I'm sorry to

0:45:51.080 --> 0:45:53.520
<v Speaker 4>do this to you, but let's end it with your

0:45:53.520 --> 0:45:54.440
<v Speaker 4>White Swan memo.

0:45:54.600 --> 0:45:56.680
<v Speaker 5>What the tides would be a p to west one.

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<v Speaker 3>I just think that there is a lot of negativity

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<v Speaker 3>around AI and it's really just misplaced. So if we

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<v Speaker 3>have a teconic shift in AI, we have a technic

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<v Speaker 3>shift in hardware, tectonicish shifts and sammis, we have a

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<v Speaker 3>tectonic shift and industrialization of America the future is very bright,

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<v Speaker 3>and if I had to write a memo today, it

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<v Speaker 3>would be a white Swan memo, not a Black Swan memo.

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<v Speaker 4>Sequoia Partners, Alfred Lynn, Pat Grady, thank you both very much.

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<v Speaker 4>Thank you for sending conversation. That's it for this edition

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<v Speaker 4>of Bloomberg Tech. One last look at shares of Google

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<v Speaker 4>Alphabet drew about one hundred and fifteen billion dollars of

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<v Speaker 4>orders for a twenty five billion dollar debt offering. There's

0:46:34.320 --> 0:46:36.839
<v Speaker 4>also the background of those departures we covered twenty four

0:46:36.840 --> 0:46:39.279
<v Speaker 4>hours ago. Recap all of that on the podcast You

0:46:39.320 --> 0:46:41.960
<v Speaker 4>know where to find it, Beautiful day here in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 5>This is Wimberg Tech