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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that Action Boss.

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Speaker 3: All right, here we go throwing Joe. I'm saying it

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Speaker 3: to cash stop.

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Speaker 2: See most gamblers when they go to gamble, they go

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Speaker 2: to win. Oh god, that's incredible.

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Speaker 4: Big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 2: I like to make they all right. It's just the

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Speaker 2: ultimate kabin.

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Speaker 3: Wanna and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: What is up? Everybody? Welcome to The Action Network Podcast,

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Speaker 2: presented by bet MGM, the King of sports books. I'm

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Speaker 2: your host, Chris Raybaon, and this is your NFL Week

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Speaker 2: number fourteen betting preview. If you've been listening, you already

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Speaker 2: know we're gonna break it down off free sides, totals, teasers,

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Speaker 2: moneyline underdogs, and of course crack open our weekly Sunday

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Speaker 2: six pack up against the spread bets. We do it

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Speaker 2: with the help of my co host, the Prime Minister,

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Speaker 2: Degenerate Nation, Mister three and oh last week, stucky, good week, bro?

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Speaker 2: What's going on?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? It was kind of pizzied to get the full

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Speaker 3: sweep with the the Cardinals. Steelers totally yeah, like all

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Speaker 3: these weather delays, quarterback in all these other injuries, and

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Speaker 3: then I knew it was toast when the Steelers got

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Speaker 3: stopped at the one on fourth and goal and didn't

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Speaker 3: sneak the ball like the idiots that they are. Another

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Speaker 3: good week for the Pod. We were an overtime coin

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Speaker 3: flip away from getting out of looseive six and oh sweep.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, it's been a good year. I think we're

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Speaker 3: twenty one to eight and one over the past five weeks,

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Speaker 3: so a little over seventy two percent isn't bad. But

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Speaker 3: as I always say, who cares. We're on to next week,

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Speaker 3: so let's try to keep it rolling. Last week was

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Speaker 3: last week, This week was this week. Next week we'll

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Speaker 3: be next week.

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Speaker 2: I mean, we could leave last week in last week.

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Speaker 2: But unfortunately, when you talk about Tomlin, we're right back

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Speaker 2: to it because this Thursday Night game features another spot

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Speaker 2: with the Pittsburgh Steelers getting an egregious amount of points.

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Speaker 2: To be frank, it's.

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Speaker 1: Not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 1: Let's bet Thursday night football.

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Speaker 2: I get talking about your boy Mitch Bortles favored by

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Speaker 2: six six with a total of thirty. No less, I

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Speaker 2: guess we have to talk about this game. Where do

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Speaker 2: you want to start?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I really have no interest in this game. If

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Speaker 3: I was going to bet it. I would take to

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Speaker 3: the Patriots or nothing at this number. Eating the Steelers

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Speaker 3: with Mitch Bortle's to win by seven plus. That's a

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Speaker 3: tall task, but I mean a lot of uncertainty with

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Speaker 3: quarterbacks on each side. Was last week rock bottom for

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Speaker 3: the Patriots. I don't know. They didn't cover five and

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Speaker 3: a half in the game, they held a team to six.

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Speaker 2: That's the great line about asthmakers.

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Speaker 3: Got to be close to rock bottom, especially against the Chargers,

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Speaker 3: who find ways to lose games like that. It's not

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Speaker 3: gonna be a crazy weather game. It's hard. Yeah, I

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Speaker 3: can't remember the last time there was a totalist love

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Speaker 3: without crazy weather. Look, this is your typical Thursday night

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Speaker 3: trash game. I'm glad we're getting it out of the way.

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Speaker 3: I show a little bit of value in the Patriots.

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Speaker 3: I just don't want to put my money behind that

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Speaker 3: team on a short week right now. And I also

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Speaker 3: don't want to back the Steelers needing to win by

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Speaker 3: a touchdown or more. If you're going to watch this game,

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Speaker 3: I think that the Pats money line may be worth

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Speaker 3: some couch change, but this is a game I want

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Speaker 3: absolutely no part of the easiest just scratch off for

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Speaker 3: me of the week minus six total thirty on Thursday night. Nope,

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Speaker 3: we're on to Sunday. So I have no interest here.

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Speaker 2: Personally, think the Pats might be just on some you know,

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Speaker 2: forty chess tank but but you know, keeping everything close

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Speaker 2: with these, you know, holding the opponent to ten like

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Speaker 2: ten or less, but still losing so that you know,

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Speaker 2: they keep the three.

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Speaker 3: First attracted to Chicago Cardinals in nineteen forty eight.

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Speaker 2: So what you do is you kind of keep the

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Speaker 2: job and the franchise attractive because you're, hey, you got

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Speaker 2: this defense that we just get a quarterback, you know,

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Speaker 2: a couple of pieces around him, maybe you could do something.

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Speaker 2: So I don't know if they want to win games,

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Speaker 2: but I'm not going to have a bet on this

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Speaker 2: game either. We might go from the fifth NFL game

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Speaker 2: in league history with no punts to the first NFL

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Speaker 2: game and well not the first, but I mean, has

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Speaker 2: there ever been a scoreless tie in seventy minute over time?

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Speaker 3: It's weird because I actually know this. There's been seventy

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Speaker 3: plus games that have ended zero zero oh wow, by

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Speaker 3: but it has not happened post merger. Last time it

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Speaker 3: happened was nineteen twenty three. The reason I know this

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Speaker 3: is that I started to look up when the Jets

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Speaker 3: went up to nothing on the Falcons. I said, this

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Speaker 3: game could have to nothing.

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Speaker 2: I got one for you. Who led the league in

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Speaker 2: passing yardage in nineteen forty three, Samy Ball close Sid Luckman.

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Speaker 2: Sammy Ball was second.

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Speaker 3: I believe. Ah.

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Speaker 2: I know some people are listening to this spot because

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Speaker 2: they didn't want to be the Thursday night game. So UH,

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Speaker 2: if you're looking for some trends, Patriots, you know you

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Speaker 2: have tea a team an underdog coming off a shutout

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Speaker 2: forty five, twenty seven and three sixty three percent over

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Speaker 2: the last two decades. Road underdogs when the total is

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Speaker 2: thirty eight or less ninety one and sixty sixty percent

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Speaker 2: since two thousand and nine. UH, A non divisional game

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Speaker 2: where the road team is an underdog and the road

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Speaker 2: team is also on a five game or more straight

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Speaker 2: up losing streak seventy four forty six sixty two percent

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Speaker 2: over the last two decades. And then, of course, the

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Speaker 2: under under when the road team's coming off a shutout

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Speaker 2: is sixty one percent. The time underds are twenty seven

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Speaker 2: and twelve this year sixty nine percent. You have uh

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Speaker 2: new England unders this year nine and three seventy five percent,

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Speaker 2: Thursday Night unders forty year below, twenty four and seven

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Speaker 2: seventy seven percent, going all the way back to two

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Speaker 2: thousand and six, it doesn't happen. Doesn't happen very often.

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Speaker 2: So h Patriots and the under are the play, which

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Speaker 2: is part of the reason why I think, you know,

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Speaker 2: we don't want to play this. It's just let's get

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Speaker 2: out of here and move on to the week fourteen

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Speaker 2: Sunday six.

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Speaker 1: Pack Thursday for actions. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 2: All right, we are up to forty seven thirty and

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Speaker 2: one sixty one percent against the spread. We are six

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Speaker 2: pack picks on the year. You went three and oh

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Speaker 2: last week I went to and one. The Titans could

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Speaker 2: just keep their punter healthy, they mean, probably don't miss

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Speaker 2: the extra point might be a different story, but I mean,

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Speaker 2: how many bad beats We're gonna take a special team

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Speaker 2: this year? It's never ending. But can't play can't a play?

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Speaker 2: I mean sixty percent with you know a bunch of

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Speaker 2: bad beats? Is I think you know.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we're gonna have a cold streak. Maybe it's not

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Speaker 3: this year, maybe it's next year, and hopefully when we're

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Speaker 3: not seeing things clearly, the gods pay us back with

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Speaker 3: some undeserved covers. But on to week fourteen. We're at

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Speaker 3: Week fourteen.

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Speaker 2: Are you are at first?

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Speaker 3: For my first pick of the week fourteen Sunday six pack,

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Speaker 3: I'm going with the Cleveland Browns minus three, minus one

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Speaker 3: twenty right now at BETMGM great at there, it doesn't

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Speaker 3: really matter for the contest. Look, I know that this

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Speaker 3: the total super low. There's going to be some weather.

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Speaker 3: For what it's worth, I'm going to be here. I'm

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Speaker 3: going to be at this game. Going up to my

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Speaker 3: annual trip to visit my friend Scott and some other

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Speaker 3: friends up in Cleveland. I usually go for Ravens Browns,

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Speaker 3: which is always in December, but this year it wasn't

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Speaker 3: and I have too much going on to college football.

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Speaker 3: There's only one college football game this weekend going up there,

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Speaker 3: I said, look, let me pick another spot on the calendar.

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Speaker 3: This made sense. With only Army Navy Browns Jags, I

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Speaker 3: expected both teams of the playoff mixed. They are. I

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Speaker 3: didn't expect it to be most likely CJ. Bethard Verus

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Speaker 3: show Placco and torrential downpour and maybe twenty to thirty

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Speaker 3: miles an hour winds, so it might have picked one

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Speaker 3: of the world. At least it's not fat Steelers. At

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Speaker 3: least there's a bar behind where we're sitting where I'll

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Speaker 3: I'll be watching most of the other games, including the Ravens,

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Speaker 3: but I do have money on this game. I like

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Speaker 3: the Browns here for a number of reasons. One short

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Speaker 3: week for the Jags, a little bit of a factor

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Speaker 3: late in the year too. It's kind of a little

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Speaker 3: bit more detrimental, but the injerous they suffered. I don't

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Speaker 3: expect Trevor Lawrence play with that ankle spread. If he does,

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Speaker 3: good luck, he's gonna be other quarterbacks who have tried

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Speaker 3: to play with the high ankle spread. It has not

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Speaker 3: gone well. In a short week. I don't think he's

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Speaker 3: gonna play, and if he does, he's not mobile. That's

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Speaker 3: how teams have been beating the Browns a bit lately,

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Speaker 3: getting there moving their quarterback around. And that Trevor Lawrence.

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Speaker 3: I'd have it like a six point downgrade to CJ. Bethard,

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Speaker 3: But he wasn't the only injury Christian Kirk is now out.

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Speaker 3: Walker Little who was They already lost Cam Robinson, who's

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Speaker 3: on I R tackle Walker Little left tackle went out?

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Speaker 3: You know you lost your nose tackle Patacasi they lost

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Speaker 3: you know, Trey Hendon got hurt. Greg Gregory Junior. They

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Speaker 3: were needing in there. He got hurt. Andre Cisco got hurt,

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Speaker 3: came back in. The point is they had a ton

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Speaker 3: of injuries, impact ones, and what does that mean? You're

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Speaker 3: gonna get C. J. Benett in there. He's not the

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Speaker 3: worst backup in the world. Knows the system, but he's

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Speaker 3: not mobile. That's the biggest thing here. Bad offensive line

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Speaker 3: now against that Cleveland defensive line and that Cleveland defense

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Speaker 3: at home is I don't know. So what it is

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Speaker 3: is that the crowd, the noise they're allowing. I don't

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Speaker 3: think I've ever seen this biggest splits this late in year.

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Speaker 3: Ten points per game at home, thirty point seven on

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Speaker 3: the road. I mean ten is shocking. But for a

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Speaker 3: team that's allowed ten at home to allow thirty on

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Speaker 3: the road is also very shocking. But I mentioned all

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Speaker 3: the injuries for the Browns, excuse me, for the Jags.

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Speaker 3: The Browns will be much healthier this week. Goodwin potentially

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Speaker 3: could be back with Toman and Belks. I don't think

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Speaker 3: Cooper is gonna go with a concussion, although it seems

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Speaker 3: like more guys he saw a lave Go last week

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Speaker 3: are But what does that mean? I think it's gonna

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Speaker 3: be Joe Flacco could still be dtr but Flacco has

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Speaker 3: looked the best. I mean, he looked pretty decent. His

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Speaker 3: arm still looks good. He could throw the deep ball

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Speaker 3: you got, and he loves him He loves some himself

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Speaker 3: some more think Moore had two hundred and fifty are

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Speaker 3: yards last week, the most of any wide receiver in

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Speaker 3: any game this year. Deep balls with the wind, and

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Speaker 3: Flaco has been good in the wind throughout his career.

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Speaker 3: But deep balls in the win against this beat up

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Speaker 3: and bad secondary, What is that going to lead to?

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Speaker 3: Some pis that's the path to success for the Browns offense.

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Speaker 3: But most importantly, I just do not see. Assuming that

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Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence is out, which I'm pretty confident that he

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Speaker 3: will be, I don't know how the Jags will score

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Speaker 3: with Bethard without Kirk against this d line. Looks like

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Speaker 3: Denzel Ward's gonna be back, which is big he's kind

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Speaker 3: of the key to that defense allows him to do

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Speaker 3: so much. So yeah, give me the Browns laying a

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Speaker 3: field goal at home. I think they win, Like, let's

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Speaker 3: call it. I would lean under to you at this

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Speaker 3: low number, but I'll call it like they're gonna win.

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Speaker 3: Like seventeen to six is what I'm feeling. And for

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Speaker 3: what it's worth, this is pretty crazy because this is

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Speaker 3: against the close whether totals always get hit, you know,

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Speaker 3: they always get hit and they come down. This is

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Speaker 3: against the clothes NFL games with ten plus nine hour

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Speaker 3: wins at kickoff, which certainly will be eighteen five and

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Speaker 3: one to the under this year, going under by five

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Speaker 3: points per game last three seasons one hundred and ten

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Speaker 3: fifty five and one. It's insane. One of the most

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Speaker 3: efficient markets in the world. They just they don't go

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Speaker 3: low enough. This should be super low scoring. I just

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Speaker 3: trust the Browns defense more and I actually try, and

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Speaker 3: I trust the Browns offense more with the injuries that

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Speaker 3: the Jags have and CJ. Bethard at the helm. Give

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Speaker 3: me Cleveland minus three.

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Speaker 2: That seems to be the handicap with Cleveland. It's there

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Speaker 2: night and day, home and road and Obviously some injuries

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Speaker 2: contributed to that on defense, but it looks like they're

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Speaker 2: going to be healthy, at least defensively. Obviously, losing Cooper

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Speaker 2: not ideal, but TJ. Bethard with Calvin Ridley has already

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Speaker 2: been kind of touching go. This year has been struggling,

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Speaker 2: but Cleveland's defense is healthy and plays like it did

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Speaker 2: earlier in the year at home. The Jaguars probably aren't

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Speaker 2: getting into double digits. Like you said, it's going to

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Speaker 2: be like a thirteen to six type of situation. So

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Speaker 2: I can't knock get there and I would lean under

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Speaker 2: his well.

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Speaker 3: I could run on the field if me please. You

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Speaker 3: know on the podcast you joke about my recent Browns

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Speaker 3: Ravens bad luck and bad calls. I cashed like seven

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Speaker 3: straight bets in Cleveland going there, uh, betting the Ravens.

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Speaker 3: Flacco owned Cleveland and we would never lose there. So

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Speaker 3: I've had a lot of success backing Flacco in that

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Speaker 3: stadium in my life, so hopefully it works with him

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Speaker 3: on the other team.

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Speaker 2: For my first pick of the week, fourteen Sunday six

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Speaker 2: pack and the second overall, I'm going with the Carolina

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Speaker 2: Panthers plus five and a half at the New Orleans Saints.

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Speaker 3: And Whisperers back.

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Speaker 2: I'm a man of my word. I said it all year,

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Speaker 2: super down on his Panther team. I didn't bet on

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Speaker 2: him until they cashed my wind total under. They cashed

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Speaker 2: it at what the week after Thanksgiving? Bet him last

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Speaker 2: week they came through with the covering late. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I had a chance to win that game. But you know,

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Speaker 2: we can't expect, can't can't ask for too much here.

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Speaker 2: But now we're getting another one of these dead number

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Speaker 2: spreads that I think is too high against another one

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Speaker 2: of these shaky NFC South opponents and the Noir I

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Speaker 2: think we both agreed earlier in the year too that

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Speaker 2: this New Orleans Saint team was going to be overrated

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Speaker 2: just because they were playing in a bad division. But

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Speaker 2: you're starting to see the bottom come out of this

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Speaker 2: Saint team. I mean, there's drama, there's bickering, you know, internally,

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Speaker 2: there's guys tweeting things, the coaches getting more and more

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Speaker 2: fed up, and it's kind of losing his cool, you know,

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Speaker 2: with the media, and that's kind of what I expected

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Speaker 2: with the Saint team. But let's focus on on the field. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I said it last week the Panthers really and you

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Speaker 2: know the Panthers. I think an article came out and

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Speaker 2: the Athletic about how what you know all the things

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Speaker 2: that were going wrong with the Panthers. But I wouldn't

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Speaker 2: let that scare you away because we already knew the

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Speaker 2: Panthers were at rock bottom. Now the Saints might end

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Speaker 2: up there because they don't win this division where everyone

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Speaker 2: stinks it's gonna be a problem for them. But on defense,

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Speaker 2: the Panthers improving mentioned it last week, Yeah, healthier and

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Speaker 2: since Tobuye, this defense has been an above average unit

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Speaker 2: since the week seven by Carolina. Ninth in EPA per

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Speaker 2: play if you exclude turnovers, which you make a good point,

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Speaker 2: you know that that tends to create massive swings in

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Speaker 2: EPA also eighth and success rate New Orleans is, by

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Speaker 2: the way over that span twenty eight on defense. So

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Speaker 2: New Orleans, you know all that talk about, oh they

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Speaker 2: don't allow twenty points, Well, their defense not as healthy

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Speaker 2: and it's starting to get exposed. But I mean that's

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Speaker 2: obviously the bigger one. You also got Pete Werner's on

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Speaker 2: the any injury report Marcus made banged up. It wasn't

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Speaker 2: able to go last We've Malcolm Roache defensive tackle banged

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Speaker 2: up as well. But for the Panthers, and this, I

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Speaker 2: feel like this is deja who, because I feel like

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Speaker 2: we were sitting here last year talking about the same thing.

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Speaker 3: J C.

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Speaker 2: Horn missed most of the year. He only played in

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Speaker 2: two games. Their best quarterback and one of the better

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks in the league. He's back. He came back last week.

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Speaker 2: He was on a pitch count, but he didn't miss

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Speaker 2: a beat. Graded out he would be a top five

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Speaker 2: over a ninety grade from PFF in his first game back.

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Speaker 2: And remember he came back last year around mid season,

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Speaker 2: he missed a couple of games. Carolina immediately went seven

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Speaker 2: to three right after when when Horn came back. And yeah,

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Speaker 2: it was also the coach turnover and things like that,

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Speaker 2: but you know, Horn didn't help improve that defense, and

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Speaker 2: I think he's gonna do the same thing here because

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Speaker 2: the Saints right now, you know, Shaheeda is banged up.

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Speaker 2: So the Saints really have one guy on a perimeter

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Speaker 2: that you have to account for at the moment, and

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Speaker 2: that's Chris o'lave. I know your boy Len Bowden is

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Speaker 2: there as well. But realistically, you know, Chris o'lave is

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Speaker 2: the main threat over one hundred yards last week. Jacey

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Speaker 2: Horn does have the ability to you know, women him

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Speaker 2: and Caroline is now eight and four against the spread

323
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Speaker 2: in the last twelve games that jac Horn was active,

324
00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:24,399
Speaker 2: only been active for two this year and then also

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00:17:24,520 --> 00:17:27,760
Speaker 2: the last ten last year. And then now you're looking

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Speaker 2: at James Winston like we just start, well, we know

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Speaker 2: we love to faye Jameis Winston when he is a

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Speaker 2: favorite doesn't happen often, but it happens enough. And this

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Speaker 2: is a big one. I mean, we're talking about five

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Speaker 2: and a half points, anything more than a stield goal,

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Speaker 2: I mean ugly. But Jamis historically eight and nineteen against

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Speaker 2: the spread, is a favorite that is just thirty percent

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Speaker 2: and two poorly coached teams. The Saints might even be

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Speaker 2: more poorly coach. Now that you know Frank Reich is

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Speaker 2: out of the pitcher for the Panthers, Dennis Outen as

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Speaker 2: a favorite has happened even less than Jameis Winston has

337
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Speaker 2: been a favorite amazingly. But in his career, Dennis Allen

338
00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:12,320
Speaker 2: twenty two times has been a favorite. He's covered five

339
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Speaker 2: twenty four percent against the spread five sixteen and one,

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Speaker 2: failing to cover by an average of four point seven

341
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Speaker 2: points per game. This season, Saints have been favored ten times,

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Speaker 2: amazingly ten finds. The Saints have been a favorite, They've

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Speaker 2: covered once once once. There's only two teams with worse

344
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Speaker 2: against the spread records and the Panthers, the Patriots, and

345
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Speaker 2: the New Orleans Saints. So give me for the second

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Speaker 2: week in a row, Carolina against this god awful NFC South.

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Speaker 3: Little agree, No, no notes, DoD that's the sad all right.

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Speaker 3: For my second pick and the third overall of the

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Speaker 3: week fourteen Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Chicago

350
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Speaker 3: Bears plus three and a half against the Detroit Lions

351
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Speaker 3: to the well. I think this is the second time

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Speaker 3: that I played the Bears in the history of this podcast.

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Speaker 3: The first was two weeks ago against the Lines, and

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Speaker 3: again they should have won. I think they were up

355
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Speaker 3: twelve with four minutes to go in the game and

356
00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:16,760
Speaker 3: somehow lost. But good spot here Bears off of a

357
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Speaker 3: bye like line. Second straight road game, and whether it's

358
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Speaker 3: outdoors in December, what does that mean we get to

359
00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:27,600
Speaker 3: fade Jared Goff the Pumpkin Jared Goff everyone talks about

360
00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:29,639
Speaker 3: is great against the spread record. He's thirty and fifteen

361
00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:32,960
Speaker 3: against the spread indoors five hundred outdoors, and that doesn't

362
00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:36,960
Speaker 3: account for when there's conditions. Sixty four percent of his picks,

363
00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:40,120
Speaker 3: seventy five percent of his fumbles have come outdoors. He's

364
00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:42,960
Speaker 3: won and six against the spread outdoors. In December when

365
00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:45,880
Speaker 3: temperatures are less than fifty his teams are averaging fourteen

366
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:49,040
Speaker 3: points per game. Those are kind of the purple reasons

367
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Speaker 3: why I like this, but I also like what I'm

368
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Speaker 3: seeing on the field. For the Bears talked about this

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Speaker 3: two weeks together, playing much better of late, they should

370
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Speaker 3: have won in Detroit. However, let's just look at these

371
00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:02,840
Speaker 3: defenses since Week seven EPA per played Bears sixth, Lions

372
00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:09,520
Speaker 3: twenty ninth success rate Bears eighth, Lions thirty first. So

373
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Speaker 3: Bears by the way their offense top ten success right

374
00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:15,359
Speaker 3: over that stretch fields is progressing. The offensive line pieces

375
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:18,399
Speaker 3: are there, the defense got healthier in the secondary. I mean,

376
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Speaker 3: Jalen Johnson is playing out of his mind, can take

377
00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:23,960
Speaker 3: away a receiver on that end if Goff can get

378
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,639
Speaker 3: the ball there. But you added sweat, which can give

379
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:30,600
Speaker 3: you a little bit more pressure, and then the Bears

380
00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:33,879
Speaker 3: are basically fully healthy now and the lines are not.

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Speaker 3: I'd be shocked if Frank ragnow plays. That's huge to

382
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Speaker 3: their run game, and that's what they're gonna need here

383
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:43,240
Speaker 3: in these conditions. And I don't think people know how

384
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Speaker 3: big of the loss Alee McNeil is. I know that Hutchinson'

385
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:48,920
Speaker 3: is a household name. Alee McNeil is their best defender.

386
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Speaker 3: He's out. That's huge in the middle. That will allow

387
00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:55,120
Speaker 3: the Bears to run the ball. Alex Angelon he might

388
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:59,120
Speaker 3: still be out. Lions struggle with mobile quarterbacks. This defense

389
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:01,960
Speaker 3: is just bad. You lost your your biggest best piece

390
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,639
Speaker 3: in the middle. I love the way that the Bears

391
00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 3: are trending. Don't love the way that the Lions are trending.

392
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Speaker 3: Get catching over a field goal at home in a

393
00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:13,879
Speaker 3: division game with Pumpkin Gough all day, give me the Bears.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I love your point on Allie McNeil. I think

395
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:21,160
Speaker 2: it was Joe Buck and Aateman talking about that. Yeah,

396
00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:22,680
Speaker 2: the Bears were on Monday Night a couple of weeks

397
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:27,960
Speaker 2: ago against the Vikings and they were talking about that too.

398
00:21:28,040 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 2: How you know real ones. Know, Ellen McNeil is kind

399
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:34,800
Speaker 2: of the heart of that that lion d So if

400
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 2: he's out, that's that's a big loss for them.

401
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:38,880
Speaker 3: And right now you got your two center pieces.

402
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:41,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, on both sides of the trenches, right, you know,

403
00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 2: love the fate of the Jared Gosplits as well. I

404
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:47,360
Speaker 2: started the week you know, with Kerner on the fabio.

405
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:49,440
Speaker 2: You know, you know, we pick a quarterback with high

406
00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:50,879
Speaker 2: and low on and the guy I was low on

407
00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:53,600
Speaker 2: this week Jared Goff. You know, in my projection model,

408
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 2: I was kind of surprised for a second to you know,

409
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:58,920
Speaker 2: because he's averaging about five seven and a half yards

410
00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:00,360
Speaker 2: in a tent, about two hundred and seve tenty five

411
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:02,600
Speaker 2: yards per game, and my model to start the week

412
00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:04,639
Speaker 2: it had him at two hundred and fifty yards and

413
00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:08,200
Speaker 2: seven flat. And I'm like, wait, what's going on. I'm like, Oh,

414
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:12,639
Speaker 2: it's GoF outside this year alone indoor eight point one

415
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:17,120
Speaker 2: yards per attempt outdoor six point nine indoor, two point

416
00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:21,520
Speaker 2: three total touchdowns per game outdoor one total touchdown per game.

417
00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:27,040
Speaker 2: Career with Detroit indoor seven point four yards in attempt

418
00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:31,480
Speaker 2: outdoor six point nine indoor five point three percent touchdown

419
00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 2: percentage outdoor two point eight. This touchdown rate literally has

420
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:39,480
Speaker 2: gotten cut in half. I guess about when going indoor

421
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:41,760
Speaker 2: to outdoor, and I'm not even splitting it by you know,

422
00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:44,320
Speaker 2: I could you know, filter it out further and take

423
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 2: out yeah, right, Like this is just raw, you know,

424
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:51,720
Speaker 2: indoor outdoor splits. You're talking about wins that could get up.

425
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:54,200
Speaker 2: We're to twenty miles hour. You're talking about some rain here.

426
00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:56,920
Speaker 2: So I agree with this some small hands.

427
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:58,920
Speaker 3: He just throws into the ground. Like most every plot,

428
00:22:59,119 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 3: it's really sad to want.

429
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Speaker 2: For my second pick, fourth overall of the week, fourteen

430
00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:09,359
Speaker 2: Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Houston Texans minus

431
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 2: four at the New York Jets. And first I gotta

432
00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,480
Speaker 2: say four one out for my guy Tank Dell. I mean,

433
00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 2: just a devastating injury to lose a guy like that. Yeah,

434
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:23,920
Speaker 2: I mean, if the Texans just cannot get their top

435
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:27,960
Speaker 2: four wide outs healthy. But I gotta go. I gotta

436
00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 2: keep I think you've been doing it as well, you know,

437
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:32,560
Speaker 2: just gonna keep going back. We've both been kind of

438
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,480
Speaker 2: riding the Texans lately. I'm gonna keep going back to

439
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:37,879
Speaker 2: the well and fading his Jets team here, and the

440
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:40,840
Speaker 2: reason I'm doing it is actually a little bit different

441
00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:43,840
Speaker 2: than I think the reasons we've been backing the Texans

442
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:47,439
Speaker 2: in the past. So obviously, you know C. J. Stroud

443
00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:49,800
Speaker 2: is great. This Jet defense is also great. It's the

444
00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 2: top five defense. He lost his best receiver. Now Nico

445
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:55,040
Speaker 2: Collins has been bawling, and you know Brown's had some

446
00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:57,359
Speaker 2: big games. You still got Woods, you got some young guys.

447
00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 2: So you know, Texans offic is not sunk or anything,

448
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:06,040
Speaker 2: but Dall is a big loss obviously. But what I

449
00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 2: think is undervalued because you're always looking for, you know,

450
00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:11,920
Speaker 2: what is the market out accounting for when you're trying

451
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 2: to find an edge. I think now the biggest thing

452
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 2: that's undervalued is the Houston defense. And I think eventually

453
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:23,960
Speaker 2: we're like, Houston's gonna boat somebody out at some point.

454
00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:26,119
Speaker 2: We keep waiting for it, and they keep playing in

455
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:30,240
Speaker 2: these closed games, and I think it might happen this week,

456
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:32,679
Speaker 2: but not because of their offense. I think their offense.

457
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:34,760
Speaker 2: Their offense just has to be able to, you know,

458
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 2: take advantage of some short fields and you know, get

459
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:40,760
Speaker 2: get a few points on them. We get to double

460
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 2: digits if you can get to double digits. I don't

461
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:45,520
Speaker 2: know if the Jets are going to score more than

462
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:47,800
Speaker 2: a couple of field goals here, So the technic could

463
00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,679
Speaker 2: get to thirteen or so that might be enough. And

464
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:54,480
Speaker 2: here's why Houston's defense was pretty bad for a good

465
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:56,240
Speaker 2: part of the year. But we know they have a

466
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:59,560
Speaker 2: defensive head coach in Jamico Ryan, So you figure once

467
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:03,159
Speaker 2: guys got healthy, they would be able to turn around.

468
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:06,439
Speaker 2: And I think they're coming along because you looked at

469
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:11,200
Speaker 2: their cornerbacks now, all three of their starting corners grade

470
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:15,280
Speaker 2: out in the top twenty five at PFF among over

471
00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:19,600
Speaker 2: one hundred about one hundred and twenty qualifiers. Steven Nelson

472
00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:23,760
Speaker 2: is twenty fifth, Derek Stingley is seventeenth, and then Desmond King,

473
00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:27,639
Speaker 2: who they just re signed and reinserted into the lineup

474
00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:30,720
Speaker 2: in the slot. He would grade eighteenth if he had

475
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:33,359
Speaker 2: enough snaps to qualify. And it's not just a small

476
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:38,040
Speaker 2: sample thing because he was the number twenty cornerback last season,

477
00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:40,520
Speaker 2: so he kind of picked up where he left off.

478
00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 2: But Stingley's been really impressive. He came back four games ago. Yeah,

479
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 2: he came back four games ago. He's got a pick

480
00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 2: in each of his last three games four picks in total.

481
00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:54,119
Speaker 2: Over his last three games, he's allowing just fifty seven

482
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 2: percent of the passes into his coverage to be completed,

483
00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:05,040
Speaker 2: and he's broken up or intercepted just under thirty percent

484
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:09,400
Speaker 2: of the targets into his coverage. Now for the Jets

485
00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 2: team that it's getting, everything's getting worse for this Jet offense.

486
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:17,280
Speaker 2: I mean, you know, Garrett Wilson is their only receiver.

487
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:20,200
Speaker 2: But now you're they're trying to put some young guys

488
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:22,919
Speaker 2: in there, and they're like, Brownlie's got hurt. Then they

489
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 2: had to like reinsert Lizard after healthy scratching them. You know,

490
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:30,320
Speaker 2: if Brownie misses, you might you might have to bring

491
00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:33,160
Speaker 2: back Cobb to be active again. I think he has

492
00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:38,040
Speaker 2: three catches all year. So you know, cj Uzoma, you're

493
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:42,960
Speaker 2: you're blocking tight and went down your rookie aban of Canda,

494
00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:45,480
Speaker 2: who I thought was gonna get some some playing time.

495
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:48,080
Speaker 2: They played them in one game and I got to

496
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:50,159
Speaker 2: know what happened, and I guess they didn't like what

497
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:52,120
Speaker 2: they saw and they're like, oh hey, let's go give

498
00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:55,560
Speaker 2: more carries to Dalvin Cook. So now they gave nine

499
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,800
Speaker 2: carries to Dalvin Cook. Last week. That was their grand plan.

500
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:05,439
Speaker 2: Dalvin Cookie obviously washed. And this Houston defense is number

501
00:27:05,520 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 2: six in the league in fewest explosive runs alive. That's

502
00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:14,000
Speaker 2: really the only avenue that Jets have to success is

503
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:17,120
Speaker 2: getting one of those eighty yard Grease Hall big plays.

504
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:19,800
Speaker 2: Jets are on their ninth offensive line combination. I believe

505
00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:22,200
Speaker 2: it is they're giving up the second most pressures. And

506
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 2: another thing I think what's happening with this Houston defense

507
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:28,320
Speaker 2: is their pass rush is starting to come along as well.

508
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:32,239
Speaker 2: Will Anderson Junior number three overall pick now he's up

509
00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:35,520
Speaker 2: to a top fifteen edge rusher in terms of how

510
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:38,520
Speaker 2: he's grading out. He's top six among ed rushers and

511
00:27:38,600 --> 00:27:42,200
Speaker 2: quarterback hits. He's top eight in run stops. And greenerd

512
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:44,320
Speaker 2: on the other side, has also been playing really well.

513
00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 2: And yeah, Zach Wilson like reluctant to start, like in

514
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,520
Speaker 2: this could be literally the last chance he ever gets

515
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,800
Speaker 2: to start, and he's reluctant to start. I mean, is

516
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:55,240
Speaker 2: this Jets.

517
00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:57,240
Speaker 3: That's where this could get ugly because if then he

518
00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:59,719
Speaker 3: gets if he like throws a pick early, he obviously

519
00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:02,120
Speaker 3: knows conference already shake and then you're gonna get boozed and.

520
00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:04,680
Speaker 2: Then you're gonna get ripping. You're gonna get ripping or simeon.

521
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:07,639
Speaker 3: So Ripping might actually be worse than Wilson, which is

522
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 3: hard to do.

523
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:10,359
Speaker 2: I mean I think they are. So this line was

524
00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:15,000
Speaker 2: sitting around uh five and a half until Wilson got

525
00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:19,240
Speaker 2: ruled in and then it moved to four, which I mean,

526
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:22,200
Speaker 2: it's it sounds crazy, but it's not that agree. Just

527
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:25,720
Speaker 2: do we even get Zach Wilson for four quarters? Probably not?

528
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:30,120
Speaker 2: And you have the worst third down and red zone

529
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:33,200
Speaker 2: offense in the week, thirty second in both for the Jets, right,

530
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,440
Speaker 2: So that's Nathaniel Hackett in charge of the worst third

531
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:39,080
Speaker 2: down offense I think in some time too, like this

532
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:43,840
Speaker 2: is they're twenty yeah there, but what is this? Nathaniel

533
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:47,120
Speaker 2: Hackett worst third down offense this year with the Broncos

534
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:50,800
Speaker 2: last year worst third down offense. So you're talking about

535
00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 2: a stretch of you got fired with what two games reigning,

536
00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:57,960
Speaker 2: So you're talking about a stretch of twenty seven straight

537
00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 2: games and counting that the Jets offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett,

538
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 2: for some reason Aaron Rodgers loves, probably because he doesn't

539
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 2: do a goddamn thing unless the Rodgers do everything twenty

540
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 2: seven straight games. Nathaniel Hackett has led a historically futile

541
00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:20,680
Speaker 2: third down offense with two completely different quarterbacks, teams, coaching staffs,

542
00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:23,680
Speaker 2: offensive lines, and offense. He's like unbelieve and he might

543
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:26,960
Speaker 2: even be back. He might be back again next year.

544
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:29,560
Speaker 2: I don't think this Jet offense can score, and I

545
00:29:29,560 --> 00:29:32,960
Speaker 2: think the Houston defense is underrated. And Zach Wilson, as

546
00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:36,960
Speaker 2: an underdog of less than six points or as a favorite,

547
00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:41,600
Speaker 2: has failed to cover in eight of his last nine games.

548
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:44,080
Speaker 2: Even Texas min slot No.

549
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:45,719
Speaker 3: I have no real strong feel here, but I won

550
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,120
Speaker 3: no part of the Jets, so it's textan there's nothing

551
00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 3: for my third pick and the fifth overall of the

552
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 3: week fourteen Sunday six pack. I'm going with the Seattle

553
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 3: Seahawks plus ten and a half at the San Francisco

554
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 3: forty nine ers. Does that sound painful to you? Beating

555
00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:04,520
Speaker 3: the forty nine ers right now? Good? That's how I

556
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:06,600
Speaker 3: like to bet. The NFL A lot of times decides

557
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:08,040
Speaker 3: that don't gonna go on it. It hurts, you don't

558
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:10,320
Speaker 3: want to do it, but that's usually when you're buying

559
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:12,320
Speaker 3: low on a team or selling high, which is my

560
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:16,200
Speaker 3: overarching principle when I'm betting the NFL. I think this

561
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:17,480
Speaker 3: is the very peak of the market. On the forty

562
00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 3: nine ers, they're having some odds makers come out said

563
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 3: they're five or six points better than everyone else. We've

564
00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:25,360
Speaker 3: seen this story, I don't countless times over the past decade.

565
00:30:25,560 --> 00:30:28,600
Speaker 3: This team's unstoppable. It's the NFL still, this is the

566
00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:31,880
Speaker 3: divisional game still, and it's a great spot. You have

567
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:34,320
Speaker 3: the forty nine ers, they got their playoff revenge. They're

568
00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:37,320
Speaker 3: in Philly, They're coming across the country now riding high.

569
00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:41,280
Speaker 3: They're playing a Seattle team that's as extra rest playing

570
00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:43,800
Speaker 3: for their season. You're gonna get Seattle's best effort here.

571
00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 3: Classics sell high by low on both fronts. For what

572
00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:49,719
Speaker 3: it's worth. Pete Carroll, he doesn't get talked enough as

573
00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:51,440
Speaker 3: a dog, but he always gets his team up for

574
00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:54,440
Speaker 3: these spots. He promised everyone they're going to make the playoffs.

575
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:56,400
Speaker 3: He promised everyone that they're going to show up this week.

576
00:30:56,800 --> 00:30:59,680
Speaker 3: I trust that they will. Pete Carroll's a dog. Fifty

577
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,920
Speaker 3: third twenty three and three, sixty point two percent twenty

578
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:05,200
Speaker 3: and twelve in Division as an underdog. He's the second

579
00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:08,400
Speaker 3: most profitable coach by Mike Tomlin among one hundred and

580
00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 3: forty eight over the past twenty years division road dogs

581
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:15,240
Speaker 3: over ten points over the past twenty years, ninety four,

582
00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:19,400
Speaker 3: seventy four and three fifty six percent teams laying double

583
00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:23,400
Speaker 3: digits after four plus straight wins. Right, who wants to

584
00:31:23,400 --> 00:31:26,760
Speaker 3: fade these teams? They've won four straight. Now they're laying

585
00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:29,600
Speaker 3: double edits, presumably against a team that much betterans sixty

586
00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:31,360
Speaker 3: one to eighty and one against the spread forty three

587
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 3: point three percent of the past twenty years. All that

588
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 3: just to provide context to by low Sell high here, Yeah,

589
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 3: hold your nose. It's not the worst matchup for Gina Smith.

590
00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:43,560
Speaker 3: I don't think he was fully healthy in the first meeting.

591
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 3: But Hal san Fran likes to ply they don't blitz,

592
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:47,680
Speaker 3: they don't play a ton of man. I think you

593
00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:50,120
Speaker 3: get Seattle's best effort here. Forty nine ers might come

594
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:53,240
Speaker 3: out a little bit flat. I think it's a bit

595
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:56,000
Speaker 3: too many points in this divisional matchup. Give me Seattle.

596
00:31:57,280 --> 00:32:00,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's absolutely the correct spot for Seattle. I did

597
00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 2: think about it. I'm the only thing that makes me

598
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 2: a little bit, And I mean obviously, like you said,

599
00:32:04,360 --> 00:32:06,440
Speaker 2: you're gonna be an easy bet in these spots, is

600
00:32:06,520 --> 00:32:10,520
Speaker 2: I do think like in general, San Francisco just matches

601
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:14,640
Speaker 2: up very well with Seattle. You know, loved what I

602
00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:17,680
Speaker 2: saw out of Seattle to stay close with Dallas last week.

603
00:32:18,320 --> 00:32:21,680
Speaker 2: So they obviously shown they can hang with the elite teams.

604
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,560
Speaker 2: But now can they do it? Can they do it

605
00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 2: in this one, which they've really just never been close? Frankly,

606
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,280
Speaker 2: But I'll give you another Pete Carroll trend that's I

607
00:32:32,360 --> 00:32:36,880
Speaker 2: think even better than the ones you mentioned. Pete Carroll

608
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:40,760
Speaker 2: off a multi game losing streak in his career, twenty

609
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 2: one and five against the spread eighty one percent fifty

610
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:51,400
Speaker 2: four percent ROI. So this is absolutely absolutely a Seahawks spot.

611
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:53,880
Speaker 2: I mean, hey, you're getting the hook, so you could

612
00:32:53,920 --> 00:33:03,040
Speaker 2: get yeah, right, exactly exactly. For my third and final pick,

613
00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 2: the sixth overall of the week fourteen six Sunday six pack,

614
00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:11,040
Speaker 2: I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals plus one at home

615
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:15,440
Speaker 2: against the Indianapolis Colts. And this is just a It's

616
00:33:15,520 --> 00:33:17,720
Speaker 2: kind of one of those bets. It's almost like a

617
00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 2: moneyline dog bet in a way where there's just some

618
00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:25,000
Speaker 2: uncertainty here, and I'm getting, you know, a dog at

619
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:29,400
Speaker 2: home for two teams that I think are fairly evenly matched.

620
00:33:29,520 --> 00:33:33,360
Speaker 2: And the thing about Jake Browning starting for this Bengal team,

621
00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:38,800
Speaker 2: and he obviously showed well on Monday Night against the Jaguars.

622
00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:43,240
Speaker 2: I know Lawrence got hurt, but still a solid Jaguars squad.

623
00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:49,719
Speaker 2: But there's a fair chance that Browning is better than

624
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:55,880
Speaker 2: Gardner bench. And if that's the case, then this Bengal

625
00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:58,719
Speaker 2: team is even more undervalue than you know, a point

626
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:03,000
Speaker 2: or two because so far it's obviously a small sample,

627
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:06,160
Speaker 2: and we've seen these backup quarterbacks slam out, which could

628
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 2: be true of Minshew as well. But uh, you know,

629
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,799
Speaker 2: Minshew top five and turnover worthy play rate brow five

630
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:15,800
Speaker 2: point two percent, Browning three point one percent, on target

631
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:22,440
Speaker 2: percentage Minshew's seventy three, Browning eighty two percent uh under

632
00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:26,839
Speaker 2: pressure Minshew passer rating sixty eight, Browning passer rating under

633
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:30,840
Speaker 2: pressure ninety nine. I could keep going, look at weapons,

634
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:35,640
Speaker 2: Michael Pittman having an amazing year, but Jamar Chase still

635
00:34:35,640 --> 00:34:38,520
Speaker 2: better than Michael Pittman. T Higgins better than now at

636
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:43,200
Speaker 2: Pierce give probably give Josh Downs the edge over Boyd,

637
00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 2: but joh Dawns has been a little banged up as

638
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 2: of late. You're missing Jonathan Taylor in this spot. He

639
00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:52,439
Speaker 2: just had surgery on his thumb, while the Bengals may

640
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:56,680
Speaker 2: have found something with their rookie Chase brown to take

641
00:34:56,719 --> 00:34:59,239
Speaker 2: some of the pressure off Mixing. You ran nine times

642
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:03,239
Speaker 2: for sixty one yard in his first extended action. The

643
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:07,360
Speaker 2: Bengals defense is not good, but again, you have a

644
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:12,120
Speaker 2: turnover where a turnover pron quarterback, you're at home. You're

645
00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 2: going against a turno pron quarterback. You're at home. You

646
00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:18,160
Speaker 2: have better weapons and you probably have the better quarterback.

647
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:21,880
Speaker 2: And you know, the Coats get Grover Stewart back. That

648
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:24,560
Speaker 2: should help their run defense. But again, you know, it's

649
00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 2: not a major thing against the Bengals, but I think

650
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 2: brown does give them some explosiveness to kind of combat

651
00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:34,640
Speaker 2: that Colt's defense. And beyond that, it's just a very

652
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 2: mediocre coach team and a Bengals team that actually, you know,

653
00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:43,080
Speaker 2: offensively does have a pretty explosive supporting cast. If Browning

654
00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 2: can continue doing what he does and you know, completing

655
00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:50,879
Speaker 2: thirty two out of thirty seven passes, So I'm gonna

656
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:54,000
Speaker 2: take my chances here because I do think that the

657
00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:58,120
Speaker 2: market might be, you know, overrating this Coats team. Really

658
00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:03,560
Speaker 2: lucky to extend that winning streak to four games with

659
00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:06,839
Speaker 2: the Titans, you know, blowing the lead, the punter getting hurt,

660
00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:09,800
Speaker 2: which probably cost them that extra point, which could have,

661
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:13,200
Speaker 2: you know, prevented the game from going to overtime in

662
00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:15,560
Speaker 2: the first place. So, you know, this four game winning streak,

663
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:17,799
Speaker 2: Let's just look at who the Panthers, I mean, let's

664
00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:20,840
Speaker 2: look at who the coaches have beat, the Carolina Panthers

665
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:23,200
Speaker 2: where it would have been a tie game if not

666
00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:25,719
Speaker 2: for two Bryce Young Pitts sixes. They won twenty seven

667
00:36:25,719 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 2: to thirteen. They beat the Patriots ten to six. Should

668
00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:31,520
Speaker 2: have lost that game if Matt Jones literally didn't trip

669
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:34,200
Speaker 2: over himself and throw a pick when there was a

670
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:37,160
Speaker 2: wide open man in the end zone, one of the

671
00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:40,200
Speaker 2: worst picks you'll ever see of all time, unforced error.

672
00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 2: You beat Then they beat the Bucks twenty seven twenty

673
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:48,520
Speaker 2: Bucks have been banged up on defense, and then they

674
00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 2: get lucky against the Titans and come back in overtime

675
00:36:52,360 --> 00:36:53,759
Speaker 2: and win. At the end of that game, when the

676
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 2: Titans punter goes down and they screw up an extra point.

677
00:36:57,600 --> 00:37:00,799
Speaker 2: So I give the Coats props for you do them

678
00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:03,640
Speaker 2: taking care of business. But I'm not impressed with this

679
00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:06,839
Speaker 2: coach team in the slightest And I think there might

680
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:09,640
Speaker 2: be some unrealized upside for Browning here, might be able

681
00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:11,520
Speaker 2: to go on like a two to three game kind

682
00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:14,360
Speaker 2: of Josh Dobbs like streak with these kind of with

683
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:17,319
Speaker 2: these weapons before he comes back down to Earth. So

684
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:20,359
Speaker 2: I want to kind of catch that, you know, catch

685
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:22,319
Speaker 2: that while I still can. He's averaging over eight yards

686
00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:26,160
Speaker 2: in the temp right now, give me the Bengals a

687
00:37:26,280 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 2: short home dogs.

688
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:31,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, culture frauds. Yeah, So I'm looking to fade them

689
00:37:31,840 --> 00:37:33,440
Speaker 3: the rest away. All more on this game later.

690
00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:38,480
Speaker 2: All right, that's gonna wrap our Week fourteen six pack.

691
00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:42,960
Speaker 2: Stut has the Browns minus three, Bears plus three and

692
00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:46,040
Speaker 2: a half, Seahawks plus ten and a half, Panthers plus

693
00:37:46,120 --> 00:37:50,320
Speaker 2: five and a half, Texans minus four, and Bengals plus

694
00:37:50,360 --> 00:37:53,960
Speaker 2: one and a half. Some interesting quarterbacks. You have Flacco

695
00:37:54,880 --> 00:37:57,680
Speaker 2: Fields and Gino, so I mean, not the best, but

696
00:37:57,719 --> 00:38:00,360
Speaker 2: not the worst. And then I have the two the

697
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:03,200
Speaker 2: two top two picks, Bryce Young and Stroud, and then

698
00:38:03,239 --> 00:38:06,160
Speaker 2: the wild card Jake Browning. So that is gonna wrap

699
00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 2: it for the week. Fourteen, Sunday, sixth pat Next up

700
00:38:09,600 --> 00:38:12,440
Speaker 2: is a coach is pep talk. You keep playing the

701
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:14,279
Speaker 2: way you're playing, We're gonna get an ass feed again

702
00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:19,040
Speaker 2: to night, and don't stopped right now. This week's pep

703
00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:23,040
Speaker 2: talk comes to us from an actual coaches pep talk.

704
00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:27,880
Speaker 2: This is former Buffalo bill Head coach Lou Sabin, captain

705
00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:31,800
Speaker 2: in the locker room way back in nineteen seventy four.

706
00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:35,400
Speaker 2: We're gonna dedicate this one to the Carolina Panthers.

707
00:38:35,880 --> 00:38:40,600
Speaker 4: Were at the crossroads and no question about that. But

708
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 4: it's not the end of the world. I just want

709
00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:45,040
Speaker 4: us to do a job that we're capable of doing.

710
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 4: If we die, we die together. You can get it done.

711
00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:53,520
Speaker 4: You can get it done. What's more, you gotta get

712
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:53,879
Speaker 4: it done.

713
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 3: Let's go.

714
00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:58,160
Speaker 2: If we die, we die. But we're riding with them.

715
00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:01,320
Speaker 2: Second week in a row. The best of luck to

716
00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:05,920
Speaker 2: Bryce Young and Brian Burns. Trying not to punch somebody

717
00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:07,919
Speaker 2: this time. And let's get this, let's get this cover.

718
00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:11,880
Speaker 2: Now it's time for our favorite total of the week.

719
00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:16,160
Speaker 2: All right, So last week, uh Fifford Arizona did not

720
00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:20,799
Speaker 2: get there for us New England Chargers was not even

721
00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:25,280
Speaker 2: a sweat. So this week, interestingly, don't know if we've

722
00:39:25,280 --> 00:39:28,919
Speaker 2: done this before, but uh, we're just going to kind

723
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:31,600
Speaker 2: of rot ride like either but we're both getting a

724
00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:33,719
Speaker 2: point or neither of us are getting a point because

725
00:39:33,719 --> 00:39:36,680
Speaker 2: we both like the same total and.

726
00:39:37,160 --> 00:39:39,560
Speaker 3: We only like one total exactly.

727
00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:43,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a wonky week. Everyone's looking at the bed

728
00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:45,880
Speaker 2: unders and take all these you know, no touchdowns and

729
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:48,360
Speaker 2: under seven and a half point, all these at lines.

730
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:50,879
Speaker 2: But I mean, come on, like the market is trying

731
00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:53,640
Speaker 2: to gold you into this. Uh you know it's it's

732
00:39:53,719 --> 00:39:57,239
Speaker 2: we're and we're also recording this four days out. We

733
00:39:57,320 --> 00:40:02,680
Speaker 2: don't know the true for kid, right, so what we're doing.

734
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:04,160
Speaker 2: I think we're kind of on the same page here

735
00:40:04,160 --> 00:40:06,960
Speaker 2: and I'll let you break it down more. But it's

736
00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:11,960
Speaker 2: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Atlanta Falcons over thirty nine and

737
00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:16,359
Speaker 2: a half. From my perspective, I like it because number one,

738
00:40:16,480 --> 00:40:19,640
Speaker 2: it's indoors and you're getting a low total. Uh, you

739
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:24,120
Speaker 2: have a Falcon squad that plays a lot better. Desmond

740
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:27,640
Speaker 2: Ritter plays a lot better at home. I believe only

741
00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:33,440
Speaker 2: one of his home starts has landed below thirty nine,

742
00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:35,239
Speaker 2: So shop around see if you can get the you know,

743
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:39,279
Speaker 2: the thirty nine flat that would obviously help. But you know,

744
00:40:39,560 --> 00:40:42,120
Speaker 2: Ritter is just for whatever reason he's and this is

745
00:40:42,160 --> 00:40:44,439
Speaker 2: going back to what was in college, high school, even

746
00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:49,640
Speaker 2: he's just always been better at home. But with the Falcons,

747
00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:54,759
Speaker 2: you've had a let's see, what did you have? You

748
00:40:54,840 --> 00:40:56,719
Speaker 2: had you had you had to land on thirty nine

749
00:40:56,760 --> 00:40:59,320
Speaker 2: flat against the Saints, but that you know, the kicker

750
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:02,120
Speaker 2: missed a couple field goes there, so that should have

751
00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:10,200
Speaker 2: been well over Atlanta, Washington in Atlanta got to forty. Atlanta, Minnesota, Yeah, Atlanta,

752
00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:14,960
Speaker 2: Minnesota was in the fifties. Atlanta, Houston got to forty.

753
00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:18,920
Speaker 2: Atlanta Green Bay got to forty nine. The Panthers were

754
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:21,880
Speaker 2: the one that didn't. Atlanta Tampa Bay at the end

755
00:41:21,920 --> 00:41:26,480
Speaker 2: of last year got to forty seven, and Ritters' first

756
00:41:26,520 --> 00:41:29,200
Speaker 2: home start also got to thirty nine. So thirty nine

757
00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:33,319
Speaker 2: is kind of the floor. More so then I think

758
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:35,760
Speaker 2: the median when the Falcons are at home. The Bucks

759
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:39,439
Speaker 2: defense has been a bottom five unit since their Week

760
00:41:39,520 --> 00:41:42,480
Speaker 2: five by We've talked about this last week. A lot

761
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:45,080
Speaker 2: of guys probably aren't healthy you know, guys did return

762
00:41:45,120 --> 00:41:47,880
Speaker 2: to practice. I think David is back to practice, but

763
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:51,240
Speaker 2: I don't think the you know, Carlton Davis and Jamel

764
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:54,000
Speaker 2: Dean are fully healthy even if they're on the field,

765
00:41:54,120 --> 00:41:56,879
Speaker 2: and the Bucks lost a ton of linebackers. Falcons also

766
00:41:56,960 --> 00:42:00,600
Speaker 2: lost a j Torell in the concussion protocol, so he

767
00:42:01,360 --> 00:42:04,600
Speaker 2: is very iffy. Most most guys aren't playing when they

768
00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:08,160
Speaker 2: get it on the protocol. You got Mike Evans, you

769
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:11,719
Speaker 2: got b John Robinson starting to come into his own.

770
00:42:12,560 --> 00:42:17,600
Speaker 2: Offenses are healthy for the most part, and the Falcon

771
00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:22,880
Speaker 2: defenses also in DVA a bottom eight unit. So a

772
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:26,279
Speaker 2: lot to like here with the over in this one.

773
00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:27,879
Speaker 2: What do you seeing in this one?

774
00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:31,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, it is way too low. Indoor game when the

775
00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:34,840
Speaker 3: stoot he's better on this year. Outdoors it was sixteen

776
00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:37,799
Speaker 3: to thirteen, but there were seven hundred and thirty total

777
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:41,200
Speaker 3: yards of offense. Ritter riderd a bunch. The teams went

778
00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:43,799
Speaker 3: one of seven in the red zone with five turnovers.

779
00:42:44,120 --> 00:42:45,839
Speaker 3: There should have been I mean they should have scored

780
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:46,680
Speaker 3: at least forty points in the.

781
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:49,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, I remember Baker missing like a wide open touchdown

782
00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:52,960
Speaker 2: at one point. Yeah, I mean Falcons fumbled right at

783
00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:55,200
Speaker 2: like the one inch line to fumble the touchdown.

784
00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:58,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, twice, there's two fumbles at the one. The Falcons

785
00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 3: aver aged six point three yard for play in that game.

786
00:43:01,320 --> 00:43:04,680
Speaker 3: The Bucks average five point one. As you mentioned, Terrell's done,

787
00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:06,839
Speaker 3: Nate Lammon's probably heard, He's been pretty good for them.

788
00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:08,960
Speaker 3: Grady Jarrett's out for the year. He missing some key

789
00:43:09,000 --> 00:43:12,520
Speaker 3: pieces down that defense. The Bucks d is atrocious. I

790
00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:14,640
Speaker 3: mean it is. I don't know what's going on. Outside

791
00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:22,960
Speaker 3: of vite Veya and oh my god, Winfield, no one

792
00:43:23,040 --> 00:43:25,760
Speaker 3: is playing well. And I actually think that Devin White's

793
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:29,680
Speaker 3: going to come back this week, which is a disaster.

794
00:43:30,280 --> 00:43:34,320
Speaker 3: He's not keeping sign He's been arguably the worst linebacker

795
00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:38,080
Speaker 3: in the NFL, and Todd Bowles won't sit him. I mean,

796
00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:41,840
Speaker 3: last week, I would argue that JJ Russell, practice squad

797
00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:45,399
Speaker 3: player replaced him at a better game than Devin White

798
00:43:45,400 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 3: has had all year, and he's horrendously He's been horrendous

799
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:50,279
Speaker 3: gets the run. I think it's actually going to hurt

800
00:43:50,320 --> 00:43:53,520
Speaker 3: them when he comes back. But there's also so and

801
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:56,239
Speaker 3: the Falcons play the fast Bucks middle of the road.

802
00:43:56,760 --> 00:44:00,200
Speaker 3: There's also some regression here that should help both all fence.

803
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:04,919
Speaker 3: Is Atlanta's defense thirty three percent opponent third down conversion rate,

804
00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:09,120
Speaker 3: that's number two thirty in the league. No, thirty seven

805
00:44:09,200 --> 00:44:11,759
Speaker 3: percent red zone touchdown percentage, that's number one in the league.

806
00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:15,280
Speaker 3: This isn't a top two defense. Uh. And then Tampa's

807
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:18,160
Speaker 3: also the Tampa's d's fourth in red zone touchdown percentage,

808
00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:20,680
Speaker 3: and both offenses have been unlucky in the red zone

809
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:22,839
Speaker 3: if you look at some advanced metrics. So I think

810
00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:25,560
Speaker 3: this is the game where a lot of potential worthies

811
00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:28,240
Speaker 3: any red zone trip it's going to turn into sevens

812
00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:30,839
Speaker 3: instead of threes. Yeah, I like you over here.

813
00:44:31,719 --> 00:44:34,719
Speaker 2: Now it's time for our favorite teaser of week.

814
00:44:34,680 --> 00:44:40,160
Speaker 1: Forty oh yeah, six point teasers.

815
00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:46,200
Speaker 2: Don't don't change, don't tease me.

816
00:44:52,120 --> 00:44:52,160
Speaker 3: Like.

817
00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:54,799
Speaker 2: This is one of those weeks where the latest kind

818
00:44:54,840 --> 00:44:57,040
Speaker 2: of a little bit cut and drive for us. I

819
00:44:57,040 --> 00:45:01,960
Speaker 2: think we're going with the same teazer as well, Ravens

820
00:45:02,000 --> 00:45:05,040
Speaker 2: teasing them down from seven to one and the Bills

821
00:45:05,080 --> 00:45:07,760
Speaker 2: up from two and a half to eight and a half.

822
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:09,560
Speaker 2: So talk about those two.

823
00:45:10,120 --> 00:45:13,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, classic teasers here teasing through three and seven. Yeah,

824
00:45:13,800 --> 00:45:16,600
Speaker 3: I think Ravens at home off the buy in whether

825
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:20,160
Speaker 3: the better run defense against the Finesse Rams. Team is

826
00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:23,200
Speaker 3: the side hardball generally very good off the buy as well.

827
00:45:23,600 --> 00:45:26,759
Speaker 3: I think the Rams are just outclassed here. They've had

828
00:45:26,800 --> 00:45:28,640
Speaker 3: a good season, but I mean all their wins have

829
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:32,719
Speaker 3: come against like the Cardinals and the Seahawks and then

830
00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:35,520
Speaker 3: the backup Rounds last week. This is still a bad

831
00:45:35,640 --> 00:45:38,480
Speaker 3: d Ravens. I think, come out focus, get it done

832
00:45:38,520 --> 00:45:41,239
Speaker 3: at home, better built for the conditions that you'll see

833
00:45:41,239 --> 00:45:44,000
Speaker 3: there with the Rams coming across the country as well.

834
00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:46,640
Speaker 3: And then the Bills. Yeah, I think that I played

835
00:45:46,640 --> 00:45:48,680
Speaker 3: some Bills Super Bowl to a fifty to one, which

836
00:45:48,680 --> 00:45:51,960
Speaker 3: should be a fun sweat small bet, and sometimes I'd

837
00:45:51,960 --> 00:45:53,840
Speaker 3: put a bet in because I mean, if the Bills

838
00:45:53,840 --> 00:45:55,799
Speaker 3: get into the playoffs, and I think they do from

839
00:45:55,800 --> 00:45:58,120
Speaker 3: everything that I've been looking at, but I would love

840
00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:00,480
Speaker 3: the fifty one in my pocket. What so part of

841
00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:02,959
Speaker 3: it as a small bet is entertainment value. I'm gonna

842
00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:05,640
Speaker 3: get a sweat out of rooting for the playoff race

843
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:08,040
Speaker 3: for the every game like I can even now, I

844
00:46:08,080 --> 00:46:10,360
Speaker 3: even care about the Steelers Patriots now rooting for the

845
00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:13,920
Speaker 3: Steelers to lose. But Bill's off of by here. I

846
00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:17,080
Speaker 3: don't trust the Chiefs offense to win with margin. Right now,

847
00:46:17,560 --> 00:46:22,160
Speaker 3: they're broken, Bills are right there with them, happily take

848
00:46:22,400 --> 00:46:25,200
Speaker 3: Josh Allen and this Bill's team in a desperation spot

849
00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:28,439
Speaker 3: off the bye. I think they went out right, So

850
00:46:29,280 --> 00:46:31,759
Speaker 3: I wanted to get three and a half. Market was

851
00:46:31,840 --> 00:46:34,080
Speaker 3: never gonna let it get there. So yeah, Bill's Ravens.

852
00:46:34,360 --> 00:46:36,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was just about to say, we know how

853
00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:40,440
Speaker 2: this script goes with Bill's Chiefs. The Bills go to

854
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:44,200
Speaker 2: Kansas City in the regular season and win and then

855
00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:46,640
Speaker 2: losing heartbreaking fashion in the playoffs. That's that's just how

856
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:50,040
Speaker 2: it goes with those Chiefs. So this I'm pretty sure.

857
00:46:50,520 --> 00:46:52,560
Speaker 3: By the way, I've ever paided Mahomes as a field

858
00:46:52,560 --> 00:46:58,200
Speaker 3: goal favored or or below. It's against the Bills multiple times.

859
00:46:58,520 --> 00:47:02,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, And speaking of which, let's we'll go to our

860
00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:05,560
Speaker 2: moneyline dog in a minute. But Ravens down to one,

861
00:47:05,800 --> 00:47:08,799
Speaker 2: Bills up to eight and a half, going with our

862
00:47:08,840 --> 00:47:12,160
Speaker 2: teaser going, both of us are going with our for

863
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:15,200
Speaker 2: our teaser and as a reminder of the Action Network

864
00:47:15,239 --> 00:47:18,560
Speaker 2: podcast is presented by Bett mgm use bonus code Action

865
00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:23,040
Speaker 2: act Ion when signing up to get up to fifteen

866
00:47:23,200 --> 00:47:26,680
Speaker 2: hundred dollars paid back in bonus bets if your first

867
00:47:26,719 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 2: bet loses. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

868
00:47:35,640 --> 00:47:41,840
Speaker 2: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

869
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:44,000
Speaker 2: Terms of conditions applied must be twenty one or older.

870
00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:47,839
Speaker 2: Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler. Now it's time

871
00:47:48,120 --> 00:47:51,640
Speaker 2: for our underdog moneyline.

872
00:47:51,680 --> 00:48:00,200
Speaker 5: Harley turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

873
00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:01,800
Speaker 5: the money line parlay.

874
00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:04,600
Speaker 3: Let's go back to one of your picks. Let's go

875
00:48:04,600 --> 00:48:09,400
Speaker 3: the Bengals. Small dog here, Browning Nation. It's really just

876
00:48:09,440 --> 00:48:12,840
Speaker 3: a fit of the colts, so a frond laying points

877
00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:15,279
Speaker 3: on the road there as they should not be. I

878
00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:18,799
Speaker 3: think that the Bengals are dumb for winning, but it's

879
00:48:18,800 --> 00:48:21,080
Speaker 3: too early. You can't just purposely lose. But it's gonna

880
00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:23,280
Speaker 3: hurt them next year, and the cults are a fraud,

881
00:48:23,320 --> 00:48:24,239
Speaker 3: So I think the Bengals win.

882
00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:26,680
Speaker 2: I mean, hey, Browning keeps averaging over eight yards in

883
00:48:26,680 --> 00:48:29,239
Speaker 2: a tent with the mess of the AFC A all

884
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:33,000
Speaker 2: of a sudden, they probably have some confidence, so they're

885
00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:36,719
Speaker 2: you know, they're probably back into it, so can't knock it.

886
00:48:36,880 --> 00:48:39,600
Speaker 3: But yeah, they win there right back in the mist

887
00:48:39,680 --> 00:48:41,360
Speaker 3: and they're not gonna win anything. It's by point, but

888
00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:42,600
Speaker 3: they could get to the playoffs.

889
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:46,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know what the tweeting. I think the

890
00:48:46,120 --> 00:48:49,040
Speaker 2: Bills and the Raiders for me, but let's go Raiders here,

891
00:48:49,160 --> 00:48:52,600
Speaker 2: just because it's kind of an interesting spot, you know, Vikings.

892
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:56,239
Speaker 2: I think every you know, everyone's hype justin Jefferson looks

893
00:48:56,280 --> 00:48:59,440
Speaker 2: like he's gonna make a return. Dobbs will have him

894
00:48:59,440 --> 00:49:04,200
Speaker 2: for the first time. But you're talking about a team

895
00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:08,960
Speaker 2: on the road laying three points that was thinking about

896
00:49:08,960 --> 00:49:13,680
Speaker 2: benching its quarterback. Uh. And on the other side, I

897
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:15,960
Speaker 2: like what I've seen out of Antonio Pierce. I mean,

898
00:49:16,080 --> 00:49:19,879
Speaker 2: his two losses are two the Dolphins and the Chiefs.

899
00:49:19,920 --> 00:49:22,520
Speaker 2: Not really anything to be ashamed of there. I think,

900
00:49:22,719 --> 00:49:25,479
Speaker 2: you know, that coaching staff has made some positive changes,

901
00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:28,080
Speaker 2: getting the right guys on the field, you know, getting

902
00:49:28,080 --> 00:49:30,720
Speaker 2: rentfro Back involved in the offense. I think they're little,

903
00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:34,960
Speaker 2: hard nosed, physical, more gritty. Max Crosby was like the

904
00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:37,560
Speaker 2: same week Slayton did it. So two guys played through

905
00:49:37,560 --> 00:49:39,359
Speaker 2: doubtful tags. A couple of weeks ago, but the first

906
00:49:39,360 --> 00:49:44,560
Speaker 2: time in ages that's happened. So I do think the Raiders,

907
00:49:45,000 --> 00:49:49,200
Speaker 2: they're without McDaniel, they they have enough talent. Christ Connor

908
00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:53,200
Speaker 2: wasn't terrible or exactly like. These are two mediocre teams,

909
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:56,160
Speaker 2: and one of them because they've been on a little

910
00:49:56,160 --> 00:49:58,279
Speaker 2: bit more of a streak, you know, waying three on

911
00:49:58,320 --> 00:50:01,759
Speaker 2: the road. I don't can't, I cannot get there. So

912
00:50:02,160 --> 00:50:05,440
Speaker 2: same thing for the money line plus one thirty. I'm

913
00:50:05,480 --> 00:50:09,520
Speaker 2: going with the Vegas Raiders. Parlay those two together. Since

914
00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:14,440
Speaker 2: the minus one oh five and the Raiders plus one

915
00:50:14,480 --> 00:50:18,400
Speaker 2: thirty we get parlay odds of plus three forty nine,

916
00:50:18,520 --> 00:50:21,920
Speaker 2: so about three and a half to one payout on those.

917
00:50:22,080 --> 00:50:25,479
Speaker 2: Now it's time for the best of the rest. Games

918
00:50:25,520 --> 00:50:28,480
Speaker 2: we haven't covered in any other segment, but are still,

919
00:50:28,520 --> 00:50:31,600
Speaker 2: as they say, meaningful to some.

920
00:50:33,280 --> 00:50:35,680
Speaker 1: That's gonna be a touchdown, but that may be meaningful

921
00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:38,440
Speaker 1: to some of you, you know what I mean.

922
00:50:39,120 --> 00:50:40,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with I agree with your Raiders. By

923
00:50:40,560 --> 00:50:42,640
Speaker 3: the way, I was about to change my money line

924
00:50:42,680 --> 00:50:45,399
Speaker 3: pick to Raiders because when we were texting each other,

925
00:50:45,920 --> 00:50:48,200
Speaker 3: and then as I was about to text, you texted Raiders.

926
00:50:48,200 --> 00:50:49,880
Speaker 3: So I was OK. Right, we have the Raiders covered

927
00:50:50,160 --> 00:50:50,480
Speaker 3: all right.

928
00:50:50,480 --> 00:50:56,319
Speaker 2: First up, we got Denver going to so far take

929
00:50:56,400 --> 00:51:01,200
Speaker 2: on the Los Angeles Chargers. Chargers favored by three. The

930
00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:06,000
Speaker 2: total is forty four. I am pretty much in line

931
00:51:06,040 --> 00:51:09,440
Speaker 2: with the market on this. You know, Chargers in the

932
00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:12,359
Speaker 2: spot like this, Three is usually the perfect spread because

933
00:51:12,360 --> 00:51:14,480
Speaker 2: they're either gonna it's either gonna winit exactly on three,

934
00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:16,959
Speaker 2: whether they're gonna, you know, find a way to lose

935
00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:19,279
Speaker 2: by three or win by three. It's usually how it

936
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:22,000
Speaker 2: goes in these games. Unless you know, sometimes wonkiness will

937
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:24,359
Speaker 2: happen with the Staley going for two or something like that.

938
00:51:24,440 --> 00:51:27,839
Speaker 2: But I think this line is about right. But uh, yeah,

939
00:51:27,960 --> 00:51:29,239
Speaker 2: I'm in line with the market on this one.

940
00:51:29,320 --> 00:51:31,920
Speaker 3: What do you think? Yeah, I lean Chargers that want

941
00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:34,360
Speaker 3: to fade the Broncos. I like some of the changes

942
00:51:34,360 --> 00:51:36,719
Speaker 3: that Staley's made recently on defense. I mean, look, I

943
00:51:36,760 --> 00:51:38,439
Speaker 3: know that they shut out the Pats, but they were

944
00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:42,040
Speaker 3: fairly feisty against Baltimore. Made some changes in the secondary,

945
00:51:42,239 --> 00:51:45,279
Speaker 3: some schematic changes. I'm to see what that looks like

946
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:48,280
Speaker 3: again this week. But they don't run the ideal defense

947
00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:52,040
Speaker 3: to play, you know, to just completely take away Russell Wilson,

948
00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:53,360
Speaker 3: and then I'm worried about a couple of match with

949
00:51:53,400 --> 00:51:55,799
Speaker 3: things like Deverish able to run it on them, and

950
00:51:55,800 --> 00:51:58,799
Speaker 3: that kind of sets everything else up. And then if

951
00:51:58,840 --> 00:52:02,560
Speaker 3: you just have to certain take away Keenan Allen, what

952
00:52:02,560 --> 00:52:05,399
Speaker 3: do the charters have left? Right? So pass?

953
00:52:05,800 --> 00:52:09,200
Speaker 2: And then the big one we have the Eagles at

954
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:12,640
Speaker 2: the Cowboys. Cowboys at betam GM are minus three minus

955
00:52:12,640 --> 00:52:15,480
Speaker 2: win twenty five. They are minus three and a half

956
00:52:15,520 --> 00:52:19,799
Speaker 2: at many other spots. The total is fifty two. Eagles

957
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:23,120
Speaker 2: still one of the two luckiest teams in the league,

958
00:52:23,120 --> 00:52:28,080
Speaker 2: along with the Pittsburgh Steelers. I ween Dallas here. Dallas

959
00:52:28,080 --> 00:52:30,080
Speaker 2: has been a lot better at home. It's a revenge spot.

960
00:52:30,520 --> 00:52:32,680
Speaker 2: And you know, the Eagles could talk all they want

961
00:52:32,680 --> 00:52:34,520
Speaker 2: to talk, they could sign all the Shack winners they

962
00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:38,120
Speaker 2: want to sign. But I still think this Eagle team

963
00:52:38,200 --> 00:52:41,000
Speaker 2: has had some flaws and that's what we're kind of seeing.

964
00:52:41,560 --> 00:52:45,239
Speaker 2: You know, we've finally saw it come out against the

965
00:52:45,719 --> 00:52:48,879
Speaker 2: forty nine Ers. So i'd ween Cowboys here. But don't

966
00:52:48,880 --> 00:52:51,319
Speaker 2: love Wayne three and the hook. You know, Eagles still

967
00:52:51,360 --> 00:52:54,440
Speaker 2: have kind of have that voodoo. But what are you thinking?

968
00:52:55,400 --> 00:52:57,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like Dallas. I want to play Dallas here.

969
00:52:57,680 --> 00:52:59,839
Speaker 3: I didn't want to lay it either. I'm money lined

970
00:53:00,040 --> 00:53:04,000
Speaker 3: Dallas with the Dolphins. The Dolphins are a free piece

971
00:53:04,320 --> 00:53:08,400
Speaker 3: on Monday night. But yeah, look if you could get

972
00:53:08,440 --> 00:53:11,960
Speaker 3: Dallas god Ter back, which would help. But how will

973
00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:15,000
Speaker 3: this game go any differently for the Dallas offense than

974
00:53:15,040 --> 00:53:18,400
Speaker 3: it did in the first time round. I don't see

975
00:53:18,440 --> 00:53:21,440
Speaker 3: how Dallas shouldn't just move the ball at will with

976
00:53:21,480 --> 00:53:24,160
Speaker 3: their tight ends. With Ceedee Lamb in the slot, Ceedel

977
00:53:24,360 --> 00:53:26,160
Speaker 3: could have two hundred yards. Now you're on a fast

978
00:53:26,200 --> 00:53:29,240
Speaker 3: track perfect weather, where Dallas offense has just been humming.

979
00:53:30,280 --> 00:53:33,719
Speaker 3: I don't see how this Dallas Philly's gonna put up

980
00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:36,839
Speaker 3: its points. But I don't look, the Dallas offensive line

981
00:53:36,880 --> 00:53:39,440
Speaker 3: can handle the Eagles defensive lines we saw in the

982
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:43,440
Speaker 3: first meeting, and then the Philly can't cover them. So

983
00:53:44,840 --> 00:53:46,960
Speaker 3: I think the Dallas defense will make a few more plays.

984
00:53:47,280 --> 00:53:50,719
Speaker 3: The Eagles offense is still out of rhythm, and I

985
00:53:50,760 --> 00:53:52,920
Speaker 3: think what puts it over the top for me? And

986
00:53:52,960 --> 00:53:56,280
Speaker 3: by the way, the Eagles but they got last week

987
00:53:57,000 --> 00:53:59,960
Speaker 3: they were out gained by one hundred and twenty three yards. Again,

988
00:54:00,160 --> 00:54:02,000
Speaker 3: it's a fifth straight game they've been out gained by

989
00:54:02,040 --> 00:54:05,000
Speaker 3: one hundred plus yards ten win, ten and two team

990
00:54:05,080 --> 00:54:09,960
Speaker 3: with a plus forty point differential, this team should be

991
00:54:10,320 --> 00:54:15,919
Speaker 3: closer to eight and five, eight and four, seven even

992
00:54:15,960 --> 00:54:18,839
Speaker 3: seven and five and ten and two. But the other

993
00:54:18,880 --> 00:54:22,480
Speaker 3: thing is the spot you mentioned the revenge Dallas extended

994
00:54:22,520 --> 00:54:27,560
Speaker 3: rest last played on Thursday night. The Eagles have played

995
00:54:28,239 --> 00:54:33,960
Speaker 3: the Cowboys in a thriller, you know. Then they had

996
00:54:34,000 --> 00:54:38,200
Speaker 3: their bye week, but huge game. Chiefs get their super

997
00:54:38,200 --> 00:54:42,960
Speaker 3: Bowl revens, short week, Bill's ot next week forty nine

998
00:54:43,040 --> 00:54:47,040
Speaker 3: ers playoff re match. That's just big game after big

999
00:54:47,080 --> 00:54:50,000
Speaker 3: game after big game at their big game, and Dallas

1000
00:54:50,080 --> 00:54:51,680
Speaker 3: had a lot of blowouts, and like they're gonna be

1001
00:54:51,719 --> 00:54:54,440
Speaker 3: much more well rested and just and they also have

1002
00:54:54,560 --> 00:54:56,880
Speaker 3: just in more a couple more days to prepare and

1003
00:54:56,920 --> 00:54:59,200
Speaker 3: rest for us. So great spot for Dallas.

1004
00:54:59,719 --> 00:55:00,239
Speaker 2: I don't love.

1005
00:55:00,320 --> 00:55:01,719
Speaker 3: I make it right around three and a half, So

1006
00:55:01,760 --> 00:55:03,480
Speaker 3: don't love lane three and a half. If you want

1007
00:55:03,480 --> 00:55:05,640
Speaker 3: to look for it live, look at this game. By

1008
00:55:05,680 --> 00:55:08,400
Speaker 3: the way, total fifty two and a half looks like

1009
00:55:08,440 --> 00:55:15,680
Speaker 3: an alien this season. Actually lean over, but I'm I'm

1010
00:55:15,719 --> 00:55:17,719
Speaker 3: close to market. I make it fifty two, but I

1011
00:55:18,480 --> 00:55:20,320
Speaker 3: think I just might be low because the scoring environments.

1012
00:55:20,520 --> 00:55:23,200
Speaker 3: I don't see how there's many stops in this game

1013
00:55:23,280 --> 00:55:25,520
Speaker 3: unless Dallash's vomits on itself like it did in the

1014
00:55:25,560 --> 00:55:28,799
Speaker 3: first meeting in the red zone. But yeah, I think

1015
00:55:28,840 --> 00:55:31,040
Speaker 3: Dallas wins. I think Dallas the side. I money lined it.

1016
00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:35,359
Speaker 2: With Miami, Yeah, I mean at that, you know, I might,

1017
00:55:35,560 --> 00:55:37,879
Speaker 2: I might just money line it just you know, I mean,

1018
00:55:37,960 --> 00:55:40,800
Speaker 2: I agree, I think Miami is probably a free piece,

1019
00:55:40,840 --> 00:55:43,200
Speaker 2: but I don't I don't actually buy the money line,

1020
00:55:44,480 --> 00:55:47,359
Speaker 2: you know, just taking it straight up here. But either

1021
00:55:48,239 --> 00:55:50,239
Speaker 2: and the only thing with the total, because I was

1022
00:55:50,280 --> 00:55:54,359
Speaker 2: thinking over too, But I know Philadelphia did mention, you know,

1023
00:55:54,880 --> 00:55:56,759
Speaker 2: they want to get back to the run, and that's

1024
00:55:56,840 --> 00:55:59,120
Speaker 2: kind of code for we need to shorten the game.

1025
00:55:59,160 --> 00:56:01,640
Speaker 2: Because if you look at Phillies defense, you mentioned they

1026
00:56:01,640 --> 00:56:05,200
Speaker 2: got out gained by you know, one hundred plus yards,

1027
00:56:05,280 --> 00:56:10,520
Speaker 2: but look at the yardage totals. So Philadelphia, starting in

1028
00:56:11,320 --> 00:56:14,680
Speaker 2: week eight, they played the Commanders, they give up four

1029
00:56:14,719 --> 00:56:18,160
Speaker 2: hundred and seventy two total yards. Then they played the Cowboys,

1030
00:56:18,280 --> 00:56:21,879
Speaker 2: four hundred and six Chiefs, three thirty six Bills, five

1031
00:56:22,000 --> 00:56:25,920
Speaker 2: oh five Niners, four fifty six Eagles are given up

1032
00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:29,239
Speaker 2: over four hundred yards of offense on average over their

1033
00:56:29,280 --> 00:56:33,120
Speaker 2: past five games. So I am pretty sure that the

1034
00:56:33,160 --> 00:56:36,680
Speaker 2: Eagles are gonna try their darndest to go on those

1035
00:56:36,800 --> 00:56:40,239
Speaker 2: patented you know, eighteen play drives that end with the

1036
00:56:40,280 --> 00:56:43,240
Speaker 2: toush push and try to shorten a game. That doesn't

1037
00:56:43,239 --> 00:56:45,399
Speaker 2: mean Dallas won't win. I still think Dallas as the edge,

1038
00:56:45,440 --> 00:56:47,400
Speaker 2: but yeah, could he could see the game shortened so

1039
00:56:47,400 --> 00:56:48,560
Speaker 2: that that would be my only concern.

1040
00:56:48,680 --> 00:56:50,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, Philadelphias, and it's a super.

1041
00:56:51,480 --> 00:56:55,040
Speaker 2: Yeah right in Philadelphia's bleeding yardage and it ended up

1042
00:56:55,080 --> 00:56:57,399
Speaker 2: fifty one last time. Should have been over last time,

1043
00:56:57,400 --> 00:56:59,759
Speaker 2: but that last the first one was probably the over

1044
00:56:59,800 --> 00:57:03,680
Speaker 2: one game, although Dallas fast track. It probably will come

1045
00:57:03,760 --> 00:57:06,279
Speaker 2: down to, you know, who gets the ball first. You

1046
00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:07,160
Speaker 2: know you can maybe.

1047
00:57:07,480 --> 00:57:09,520
Speaker 3: Zone is there a zone field or touchdown?

1048
00:57:09,600 --> 00:57:13,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, weirdness, But overall, I'm sure both teams are

1049
00:57:13,840 --> 00:57:15,879
Speaker 2: going to go for it and instead of kicking field

1050
00:57:15,880 --> 00:57:18,480
Speaker 2: goals too, because yeah, you know, look at the look

1051
00:57:18,520 --> 00:57:21,120
Speaker 2: at these offense, especially Dallas. So yeah, that's how I'm film,

1052
00:57:21,160 --> 00:57:23,360
Speaker 2: But yeah, I might I might be on Dallas in

1053
00:57:23,440 --> 00:57:27,240
Speaker 2: some way somehow because I still think Philadelphia has uh

1054
00:57:27,600 --> 00:57:31,560
Speaker 2: you know, ways to drop uh still like they are

1055
00:57:31,680 --> 00:57:34,120
Speaker 2: like you said, what is it. Yeah, their patagon and

1056
00:57:34,200 --> 00:57:38,400
Speaker 2: win total is six point nine, so it's essentially yeah,

1057
00:57:38,440 --> 00:57:41,280
Speaker 2: seven and five. They're seven and five team. And again

1058
00:57:41,480 --> 00:57:43,680
Speaker 2: for all the Philly fans not knocking them, you know

1059
00:57:43,840 --> 00:57:46,480
Speaker 2: you can stack wins and get that home field. More

1060
00:57:46,520 --> 00:57:49,120
Speaker 2: power to you. But it's looking if you right now.

1061
00:57:49,320 --> 00:57:52,360
Speaker 3: You shouldn't care. You just the only goal the regular season,

1062
00:57:52,560 --> 00:57:55,200
Speaker 3: get your wins, get the one seed, and then be

1063
00:57:55,320 --> 00:57:58,240
Speaker 3: healthy for the playoffs. Yeah, but I think that they

1064
00:57:58,280 --> 00:57:58,640
Speaker 3: lose this.

1065
00:57:58,640 --> 00:58:01,400
Speaker 2: Game, that's going to do it for us. On the

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Speaker 2: week fourteen Action Network podcast, you can hear more of me, well,

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00:58:06,560 --> 00:58:09,360
Speaker 2: my guy Kerner this week, talk of fantasy dfs, all

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00:58:09,400 --> 00:58:11,960
Speaker 2: that good stuff on the Fantasy Flexpod. Check out the

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00:58:12,000 --> 00:58:15,760
Speaker 2: Action Network discord server as well. Wink in the episode

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00:58:15,800 --> 00:58:19,920
Speaker 2: description and stuck. Of course, we'll be talking college football

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00:58:19,960 --> 00:58:25,000
Speaker 2: over on Big Bets on Campus podcast Friday morning. You

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00:58:25,040 --> 00:58:28,840
Speaker 2: can find stuff on at Stuckey two. I'm at Chris

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00:58:28,920 --> 00:58:31,800
Speaker 2: Raybond threat those same handles on a free award winning

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Speaker 2: Action Network app. And so next time let's get thish money.

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Speaker 3: That's ope.

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Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly if you or

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00:58:47,720 --> 00:58:49,720
Speaker 5: someone you care about has a gambling problem.

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Speaker 1: Help Us available twenty four to seven at one eight

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Speaker 1: hundred Gambler