WEBVTT - Building Vaccines to Counter Future Pandemics

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Charle Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanabek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>you the latest news from the world of business and finance,

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<v Speaker 1>plus technology, politics, economics, all furnessing the power of Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

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<v Speaker 1>analyst in more than one and twenty countries. You can

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<v Speaker 1>download Bloomberg Business Week and iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot Com.

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<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Let's get our daily check

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<v Speaker 1>on COVID. Dr Jacob B. Kraft is a biologist. He's

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<v Speaker 1>CEO and co founder the privately held biopharma company Strand Therapeutics,

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<v Speaker 1>and he joins us on the phone in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Jake,

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<v Speaker 1>nice to have you here with Tim and myself. How

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<v Speaker 1>are you doing, Jimmy L It's good to be here. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm doing fantastic. UM. You know I think that um.

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<v Speaker 1>It is a it is a it is a challenging bud,

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<v Speaker 1>a rewarding time to be in the bio sex sector.

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<v Speaker 1>Why so and tell us specifically about the work that

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<v Speaker 1>you guys are doing, because you're in this whole world

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<v Speaker 1>of something that we've all become, UM not quite an

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<v Speaker 1>expert on, but we know a lot more, and that

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<v Speaker 1>is messenger RNA. Yeah. So myself as a scientist that

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<v Speaker 1>I did my PhD and m I T focused on

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<v Speaker 1>messenger RNA therapeutics. Going back to u UM and really

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<v Speaker 1>even back then we were we were sitting around talking

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<v Speaker 1>about the potential of what this technology could do. UM. Luckily,

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<v Speaker 1>some some visionary people UM at DARTHA back then Dan

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<v Speaker 1>Lattendorf actually um AT at the DODS Research Division DARTHA

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<v Speaker 1>UM chose to start backing companies and research groups like

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<v Speaker 1>my own UM to begin researching this mrn A technology

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<v Speaker 1>as a as a therapeutic UM. That funded a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of Maderna's work. UM, that funded work that ended up

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<v Speaker 1>going into violent tech, and that funded the work that

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<v Speaker 1>ended up ultimately becoming my company Strand therapeutic UM. And

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<v Speaker 1>so it's it's a rewarding time really to see I

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<v Speaker 1>think the power of biotech innovation, I think the power

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<v Speaker 1>of this technology that those of us who are champions

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<v Speaker 1>of this of this field have been promising for a

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<v Speaker 1>long time, UM, and it's you know, it's rewarding to

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<v Speaker 1>UH in a in a year that has been just

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<v Speaker 1>absolutely awful. UH. I think it's it's the silver lining

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<v Speaker 1>to see, UM, just what can happen when private industry

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<v Speaker 1>along with the public UH and public funding can come

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<v Speaker 1>together UH and deploy these therapeutics. Jacob, can you talk

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit about what mRNA does to the human body,

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<v Speaker 1>because I think there has been a lot of questions

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<v Speaker 1>about it because it's it's perceived as being a new technology,

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<v Speaker 1>at least for use in humans, despite the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>it has been being researched for years. Absolutely. So the

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<v Speaker 1>first thing to to say is that m RNA is

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<v Speaker 1>a molecule that our bodies use all the time. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>So inside if your nucleus is your is where your

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<v Speaker 1>genome is kept, and that that's all made of d

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<v Speaker 1>N A UM and so on your you, You of

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<v Speaker 1>all of these genes, and those genes code for proteins

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<v Speaker 1>and protein is really what life is. It's what makes

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<v Speaker 1>up the substance of what we are, of what every

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<v Speaker 1>organism is. And in order for the DNA genes to

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<v Speaker 1>get out and become proteins out in your body. They

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<v Speaker 1>have to be sent on on this information molecule UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's what messenger RNA is. And so every day

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<v Speaker 1>your body is turning on genes by creating messenger RNA

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<v Speaker 1>from the DNA and using those messages to to actually

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<v Speaker 1>actuate themselves. What messenger RNA therapeutics are are just creating

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<v Speaker 1>that same messenger rna UM and using it to deliver

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<v Speaker 1>different sorts of of genes that are only temporary. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>This isn't this isn't genal modification. This actually never touches

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<v Speaker 1>any part of your of your DNA whatsoever. But you

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<v Speaker 1>can you can use these instructions, these messenger RNA instructions

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<v Speaker 1>to temporarily deliver instructions into the body, and that could

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<v Speaker 1>be used to create a vaccine. Right, that could be

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<v Speaker 1>used to help your body train up to to learn

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<v Speaker 1>what a virus might look like without actually delivering the

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<v Speaker 1>virus into the body. And in the broader field of

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<v Speaker 1>messenger RNA therapeutics, what my company Strand has been focused

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<v Speaker 1>on is further in that technology for the use in

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<v Speaker 1>fighting cancer, fighting rare diseases, fighting autoimmune diseases, UM, all

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<v Speaker 1>of that can be augmented in this much safer platform

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<v Speaker 1>than general engineering as well. So it just says we're

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<v Speaker 1>not touching the DNA helix or double helix, we're not

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<v Speaker 1>doing playing around with that. But what is it? And

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<v Speaker 1>unfortunately you have to come back and talk some more

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<v Speaker 1>because this is stuff we love to talk about. But

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<v Speaker 1>in a minute or so, what is it that we

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<v Speaker 1>don't know about messenger RNA that maybe puts people still

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<v Speaker 1>on edge a little bit? And again, just got about

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<v Speaker 1>fifty seconds. I think new technology is always, uh is

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<v Speaker 1>always can can be a little startling to to see

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<v Speaker 1>at first, especially when it's when it's run out um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, fairly fast in the public. Suye, I wouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>say that we have a lot left to learn about

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<v Speaker 1>um messenger RNA itself. Um, it's really I think right

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<v Speaker 1>now about giving vaccines in the arms of people to

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<v Speaker 1>make sure that we're not rolling the dice on you know,

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<v Speaker 1>what are the long terms effect of a COVID infection.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's a much more kind of serious thing,

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<v Speaker 1>um that we need to protect ourselves against getting these

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines out and really you know, continuing to invest in

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<v Speaker 1>technology like this so we can be protected from future

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<v Speaker 1>you know, pandemic outperak right or cancer, and I know

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<v Speaker 1>that's something we barely scratched the service, So I hope

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<v Speaker 1>you'll come back so we can continue this conversation. We've

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<v Speaker 1>been talking to Dr Jacob B. Kraft, to CEO and

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<v Speaker 1>co founder of Strand Therapeutics, with us on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>in Cambridge, Massachusetts. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

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<v Speaker 1>Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>It is, without a doubt the financial story of the week.

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<v Speaker 1>It will turn out to be one of the stories

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<v Speaker 1>of the year about the private investment firm that continues

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<v Speaker 1>to be at the center of one of the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>margin calls of all time. And a member of our

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News team that broke the story is Bloomberg News

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<v Speaker 1>Finance reporter Shrina Rajan. He's with us on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>in New York City reporting for Business Week along with

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week editor Joel Weber. He's on the access

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<v Speaker 1>line in Brooklyn. Joel, this is a story that we

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<v Speaker 1>are continually finding out more and more kind of every

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<v Speaker 1>hour about it. And one of the angles that Tree

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<v Speaker 1>is dealing with is kind of what was happening at

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<v Speaker 1>you know, some of the big banks, like Credit Sweets,

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<v Speaker 1>Like you had to wonder last week, what were the

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<v Speaker 1>phone calls and conversations that were going on among the

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<v Speaker 1>big Wall Street banks. Yeah, I think we've just all

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<v Speaker 1>been um in awe of the story. And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we we first start to trickle out Friday, and then

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<v Speaker 1>over the weekend Bloomberg News was just all over it.

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<v Speaker 1>Um And the most surprising part that has come from

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<v Speaker 1>Freeze letters reporting today that I saw was that the

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<v Speaker 1>banks were all talking about this this time last week,

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<v Speaker 1>So so sweet, kind of take us inside those conversations,

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<v Speaker 1>like how did they begin and how did they how

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<v Speaker 1>did they go? Oh, Joe, you're absolutely right. For all

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<v Speaker 1>of us and the outside, you really started trickling out

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<v Speaker 1>mid to late Friday, over the weekend, and of course

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<v Speaker 1>to the first days of this week. But for those

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<v Speaker 1>who have been dealing with Bill Huang and his family office,

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<v Speaker 1>they were starting to get worried and alarmed by the

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<v Speaker 1>middle of the week as some of his big positions

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<v Speaker 1>were moving in the other direction, and very soon by

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<v Speaker 1>the middle of the week, the banks did realize they

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<v Speaker 1>had a big problem on their hands. The Risk Department

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<v Speaker 1>that a number of Wall three banks, European banks, and

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<v Speaker 1>even Japanese banks were starting to get worried, so they

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<v Speaker 1>all decided to get together in an eastily arranged call

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<v Speaker 1>that included some of the top lawyers from all of

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<v Speaker 1>these firms, also included Bill Hong to find a solution,

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<v Speaker 1>to figure out how to untie and unwind these positions

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<v Speaker 1>in a tidy manner. From our reporting, we understand the

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<v Speaker 1>Cradles in fact, was the one that was pushing for

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<v Speaker 1>this idea of a stand still agreement, asking everyone to

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<v Speaker 1>cool down, back off for a little bit, let's see

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<v Speaker 1>how the price action moved and look at it again

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<v Speaker 1>on Monday, because they did not want to see an

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<v Speaker 1>immediate force liquidation. Well, the clearly regional agreement they were

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<v Speaker 1>all in it for themselves by Friday was clear because

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<v Speaker 1>they're all broken rank And now as we see the

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<v Speaker 1>consequence of that action, we see the big U, S Bank,

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<v Speaker 1>Long of Stanley, Government, sax Well Sago appear to have

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<v Speaker 1>emerged from this largely unscathed. But that is not true

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<v Speaker 1>for an mm U of j which overnight told us

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<v Speaker 1>that their losses could be about three million mura Al

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<v Speaker 1>would says that has a two billion dollar claim without

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<v Speaker 1>actually saying what its actual hit could be from this,

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<v Speaker 1>and Credit Swift, which has still not provided a bigger

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<v Speaker 1>what estimates on that are heading into multibillion dollars And

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<v Speaker 1>that sort of starts to explain Swiss stance on that

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<v Speaker 1>faithful called Last Those Day tree. What what could have

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<v Speaker 1>been a tidier way to unwind this? You you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you said the banks were looking for a tidier way

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<v Speaker 1>to do this, But but how could these losses have

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<v Speaker 1>been prevent it when the stock started moving lower? No

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<v Speaker 1>to me, You're absolutely right. So we're still trying to

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<v Speaker 1>piece together that part of the puzzle. But one possibility

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<v Speaker 1>very well could be instead of the banks moving to

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<v Speaker 1>says collateral and force some sort of liquidation event, perhaps

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<v Speaker 1>the strategy was wait and see if the staff rebounds.

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<v Speaker 1>Perhaps the strategy was asking some of the banks who

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<v Speaker 1>had the potential to demand much more margin to give

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<v Speaker 1>some sort of margin holiday. It isn't clear what the

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<v Speaker 1>solution could have been, but what is clear is for

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<v Speaker 1>at least some of those participants on the call, the

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<v Speaker 1>idea that banks would move into the market by Friday

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<v Speaker 1>and do a rapid fire sale of a number of

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<v Speaker 1>these positions was going to be the worst case outcome,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's what they're dealing with now. So sweet, What

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<v Speaker 1>are the big unanswered questions that that remain Why in

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<v Speaker 1>the now the regulators investor than everyone on the outside

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<v Speaker 1>is trying to make sure. Is there more to come?

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<v Speaker 1>Are we going to see more blocks, chunky doc trades happening?

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<v Speaker 1>Is there a systemic risk? Is the market largely insulated

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<v Speaker 1>but without a doubt? As we moved fast this into

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<v Speaker 1>next weekend beyond in the weeks and months ahead, the

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<v Speaker 1>big question that will emerge from the saga, and really

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<v Speaker 1>the big focus point, will likely be around this concept

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<v Speaker 1>of unknown hidden leverage. How is it that someone could

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<v Speaker 1>build such concentrated positions in some fairly prominent names. These

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<v Speaker 1>are Chinese giants, US media conglomerates, and yet no one

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<v Speaker 1>knows about it. If you're in the cash equity market,

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<v Speaker 1>if you build a position that is larger than five percent,

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<v Speaker 1>that has to be regulatory filing, but appears in this

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<v Speaker 1>case he was using the swap lines with banks that

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<v Speaker 1>allowed him to avoid having to make any listing of

0:10:59.080 --> 0:11:01.280
<v Speaker 1>what peace position and would be so we are not

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<v Speaker 1>aware of any such disclosure. There's no outside money, so

0:11:05.080 --> 0:11:09.679
<v Speaker 1>he didn't even have the usual disclosures about the size

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<v Speaker 1>of the fund that we would get from every other

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<v Speaker 1>hedge fund. Right, but clearly was a big, big player

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<v Speaker 1>in the market, and estimates our ghost exploser could have

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<v Speaker 1>been good at the fifty sixty billion dollars. That seems

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<v Speaker 1>like a worry. That seems like an area where there

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<v Speaker 1>will be demands for are a lot more transparency. I

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<v Speaker 1>just want to know who's the bankers. Are their bankers

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<v Speaker 1>on this call that just parted themselves the Steffan because

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<v Speaker 1>we just started drink being poor? Just getta say, um, listen,

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<v Speaker 1>this story is far from over and I'm sure regulators

0:11:37.920 --> 0:11:39.440
<v Speaker 1>we know that they've been reaching out to the bank.

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<v Speaker 1>So incredible reporting by Street. Part of the team that

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<v Speaker 1>broke this story and has been on it from the

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<v Speaker 1>get go. Shri Nataraja and Financial portrap Bloomberg News on

0:11:47.880 --> 0:11:49.800
<v Speaker 1>the phone in New York City along with Joel Webber,

0:11:50.040 --> 0:11:52.640
<v Speaker 1>editor Rep Bloomberg Business Week on the remote access from Brooklyn. Right,

0:11:52.640 --> 0:11:54.760
<v Speaker 1>it was a banker right poor to drink it has

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<v Speaker 1>to be. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser

0:11:58.720 --> 0:12:03.040
<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Quick Take. Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio. Tough

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<v Speaker 1>story in our minds today, Tim, no doubt about it

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<v Speaker 1>President Biden's infrastructure plan. Yeah. Chris Condon is Federal Reserve

0:12:08.679 --> 0:12:11.400
<v Speaker 1>and US Economy reporter for Bloomberg News, joins us on

0:12:11.440 --> 0:12:14.120
<v Speaker 1>the phone from Virginia. Chris, it's great to have you

0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:16.360
<v Speaker 1>on the show. When we think about what the Biden

0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:20.120
<v Speaker 1>administration wants to do with its next phase right after

0:12:20.160 --> 0:12:23.400
<v Speaker 1>this COVID recovery package that was pushed through one point

0:12:23.480 --> 0:12:28.880
<v Speaker 1>nine trillion dollar plan, what is the priority for the president? Well, Tim,

0:12:28.920 --> 0:12:33.480
<v Speaker 1>I think there's two overarching motivations here. Number One, they

0:12:33.520 --> 0:12:36.920
<v Speaker 1>want to bring up the longer run rates of economic

0:12:37.000 --> 0:12:40.679
<v Speaker 1>growth in the U S which have been historically quite

0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:44.360
<v Speaker 1>disappointing for for ten or twenty years, you might say.

0:12:44.559 --> 0:12:48.560
<v Speaker 1>Also very much tied into this is they want to

0:12:48.640 --> 0:12:54.320
<v Speaker 1>engineer a more equal distribution of the benefits of that growth,

0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:58.840
<v Speaker 1>because we do see increasingly, over a number of decades,

0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:03.600
<v Speaker 1>a greater concentration wealth and income in this country at

0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:08.560
<v Speaker 1>the higher echelons of that distribution, and the Democrats really

0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 1>would like to attack that well. And before we get

0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:14.760
<v Speaker 1>into politics, Chris. Let's because this is something several I

0:13:14.760 --> 0:13:17.800
<v Speaker 1>would say heads of the Federal Reserve have certainly had

0:13:17.840 --> 0:13:20.440
<v Speaker 1>on their radar. Do you have and like, listen, there's

0:13:20.440 --> 0:13:23.280
<v Speaker 1>lots of statistics out there about the gaps in wealth

0:13:23.320 --> 0:13:26.240
<v Speaker 1>and gaps and income. Um. You lay out a couple

0:13:26.280 --> 0:13:28.600
<v Speaker 1>of statistics, can you just kind of remind us of

0:13:28.640 --> 0:13:30.680
<v Speaker 1>what they are? That just kind of sets the scene

0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:32.720
<v Speaker 1>of where we are and how bad it's got in

0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:38.000
<v Speaker 1>terms of the inequities, certainly the financial inequities in our society. Sure, sure,

0:13:38.040 --> 0:13:41.760
<v Speaker 1>I mean I would promise that just a little bit

0:13:41.840 --> 0:13:46.719
<v Speaker 1>by saying that there's all sorts of disputes over various statistics,

0:13:47.040 --> 0:13:49.440
<v Speaker 1>would you know one? But you know, if you just

0:13:49.559 --> 0:13:55.160
<v Speaker 1>look at basic um distributions of income and net worth,

0:13:55.200 --> 0:13:57.560
<v Speaker 1>here's a good example, and net worth of the top

0:13:57.600 --> 0:14:02.600
<v Speaker 1>ten of households in ninety eight nine, that was nine

0:14:02.640 --> 0:14:05.559
<v Speaker 1>point five excuse me, nine point four times as much

0:14:05.600 --> 0:14:08.720
<v Speaker 1>as the middle fifth. You know, if you divide everybody

0:14:08.800 --> 0:14:13.559
<v Speaker 1>up twenty percentage points each, that's nine point four times

0:14:13.559 --> 0:14:16.880
<v Speaker 1>as much. That by two seven grew to thirteen times,

0:14:17.320 --> 0:14:22.240
<v Speaker 1>and by two seventeen seventeen times, and that's before the

0:14:22.320 --> 0:14:27.040
<v Speaker 1>pandemic hit, and that of course has fallen disproportionately on

0:14:27.160 --> 0:14:30.440
<v Speaker 1>poor and middle income people. The rich suf financial assets

0:14:30.520 --> 0:14:32.920
<v Speaker 1>really greater for a while, but they have bounced back

0:14:33.640 --> 0:14:37.400
<v Speaker 1>uh and more since then, So those multiples will even

0:14:37.920 --> 0:14:42.200
<v Speaker 1>probably have grown even more since the onset of the pandemic.

0:14:42.280 --> 0:14:45.480
<v Speaker 1>And that's a good example, I think, um and that

0:14:45.600 --> 0:14:48.480
<v Speaker 1>really goes back over forty years, we've seen the deterioration

0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:51.040
<v Speaker 1>of that kind of both in net worth and in

0:14:51.320 --> 0:14:56.040
<v Speaker 1>average incomes across the board. So, Chris, let's now get

0:14:56.040 --> 0:14:58.560
<v Speaker 1>to the politics of this, because this is going to

0:14:58.640 --> 0:15:01.280
<v Speaker 1>be very political, even just the way the Democrats and

0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:05.280
<v Speaker 1>Republicans talk differently about inequality and inequity, using terms like

0:15:05.320 --> 0:15:09.560
<v Speaker 1>structural versus not structural? How does how does? How do

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:12.680
<v Speaker 1>Democrats and Republicans come to some sort of solution? And

0:15:12.680 --> 0:15:15.200
<v Speaker 1>and right now do they even see the same problems

0:15:15.200 --> 0:15:19.160
<v Speaker 1>out there? Well, it is a really good question. No,

0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:21.560
<v Speaker 1>they don't see the same problems. I mean, to a

0:15:21.600 --> 0:15:23.720
<v Speaker 1>certain exting, yes they do. First of all, we have

0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:26.600
<v Speaker 1>to say that in the United States, compared to what

0:15:26.720 --> 0:15:30.680
<v Speaker 1>they're developed economies, there is a much greater tolerance of inequality.

0:15:30.880 --> 0:15:33.520
<v Speaker 1>Americans have in our fabric, this idea that if you

0:15:33.560 --> 0:15:36.560
<v Speaker 1>work harder, you're smarter, you invent something, and you make

0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:41.800
<v Speaker 1>zillion bucks, good for you. Americans really have a problem

0:15:41.920 --> 0:15:46.080
<v Speaker 1>with is an inequality of opportunities. So if a kid

0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:50.479
<v Speaker 1>is smart but just can't get educational opportunities, work opportunities

0:15:50.480 --> 0:15:53.400
<v Speaker 1>because they come from a poor neighborhood and their schools

0:15:53.440 --> 0:15:59.440
<v Speaker 1>are crappy, their parents are connected, etcetera. If those things

0:16:00.440 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 1>deep in the inequalities, that's something that most Americans have

0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:07.000
<v Speaker 1>a serious barble with. Now, how do you address it? Economists,

0:16:07.000 --> 0:16:11.200
<v Speaker 1>I school on both sides of the philosophical I agree

0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:18.200
<v Speaker 1>that education and training absolutely deserve more resources and more attention,

0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:23.400
<v Speaker 1>um so as to create that more equal set of opportunities.

0:16:24.520 --> 0:16:26.680
<v Speaker 1>But it's not just more right, because it's not just

0:16:26.960 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 1>more of it, but the right one that kind of

0:16:30.280 --> 0:16:34.680
<v Speaker 1>opens the doors to opportunities. Right. Well, this is what

0:16:34.840 --> 0:16:38.720
<v Speaker 1>makes it such a complex issue. You know, one economist said,

0:16:38.760 --> 0:16:41.080
<v Speaker 1>it's not just a matter of throwing money at these things.

0:16:41.120 --> 0:16:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Are You know, if they were easy to solve, they

0:16:43.040 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 1>would have been solved decades ago. And there are loads

0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:49.000
<v Speaker 1>of theories about how we should go about Just one

0:16:49.040 --> 0:16:54.560
<v Speaker 1>example Biden wants to make community college tuition free. Conserner

0:16:54.600 --> 0:16:57.560
<v Speaker 1>economists say, hold on, you're getting it wrong here. You

0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:01.120
<v Speaker 1>have to incentivize the colleges by time eyeing the assistance

0:17:01.400 --> 0:17:04.479
<v Speaker 1>to the outcomes. I think it could getting degrees at

0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:07.679
<v Speaker 1>community college, are they getting jobs and good jobs? And

0:17:07.720 --> 0:17:10.560
<v Speaker 1>the ones that do that are should get more assistants

0:17:10.640 --> 0:17:15.120
<v Speaker 1>at schools at it um. So that's just one example, um.

0:17:15.200 --> 0:17:18.960
<v Speaker 1>And then, of course is the taxation issue. Massive disagreement

0:17:19.000 --> 0:17:24.000
<v Speaker 1>about this. Conservatives believe that wealth is being demonized in

0:17:24.080 --> 0:17:26.720
<v Speaker 1>the US UM and that it's kind of a cheap,

0:17:27.160 --> 0:17:31.000
<v Speaker 1>populous ploy to go after the rich and say they

0:17:31.040 --> 0:17:35.280
<v Speaker 1>must be taxed more. Liverpools will say, look, we've tried

0:17:36.040 --> 0:17:39.840
<v Speaker 1>to allow corporations and wealthy people to keep more of

0:17:39.880 --> 0:17:42.919
<v Speaker 1>their income under your theory that this would help the

0:17:43.000 --> 0:17:47.960
<v Speaker 1>overcomony more by investing job creating adventures, but hasn't really

0:17:48.080 --> 0:17:50.640
<v Speaker 1>quite worked out that way. Let's get them to pay

0:17:50.720 --> 0:17:56.760
<v Speaker 1>more a greater share and invest that in education, infrastructure,

0:17:57.240 --> 0:18:00.560
<v Speaker 1>which to the best of which has dispersed more rightly,

0:18:00.800 --> 0:18:03.800
<v Speaker 1>great healthcare, which can improve the quality of the labor

0:18:04.160 --> 0:18:07.560
<v Speaker 1>about you. So again, as you say, care a huge

0:18:07.680 --> 0:18:11.320
<v Speaker 1>philosophical difference on this um and we're not like to

0:18:11.359 --> 0:18:14.480
<v Speaker 1>see those difference in just solved. We're going to see

0:18:14.480 --> 0:18:18.040
<v Speaker 1>one side pushed through legislation. Hey Chris, justin fifteen seconds,

0:18:18.040 --> 0:18:20.359
<v Speaker 1>is there a chance that Biden can do this with

0:18:20.480 --> 0:18:23.480
<v Speaker 1>getting any Republican support unlike what he did at the

0:18:23.480 --> 0:18:27.280
<v Speaker 1>one point nine trillion dollar stimulus package relief package. I

0:18:27.320 --> 0:18:30.560
<v Speaker 1>do not believe. No, not such a large package. If

0:18:30.560 --> 0:18:33.040
<v Speaker 1>they broke off one piece here, they're like a pure

0:18:33.359 --> 0:18:37.520
<v Speaker 1>surface transit infrastructure piece that could get maybe some Republican

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:42.520
<v Speaker 1>proposal support, but highly skeptically. Well, we're gonna hear more

0:18:42.560 --> 0:18:45.320
<v Speaker 1>from the President on all of this starting tomorrow, at

0:18:45.400 --> 0:18:47.520
<v Speaker 1>least we expect to. Hey Chris Connan, thank you so

0:18:47.600 --> 0:18:49.639
<v Speaker 1>much for breaking it down. He is Federal Reserve and

0:18:49.760 --> 0:18:53.080
<v Speaker 1>US Economy reporter at Bloomberg News joining us on the

0:18:53.080 --> 0:18:56.080
<v Speaker 1>phone from Virginiam. A little bit bomb that this might

0:18:56.119 --> 0:18:59.000
<v Speaker 1>not go through, especially the infrastructure part. Yeah, Like, like

0:18:59.160 --> 0:19:01.159
<v Speaker 1>Chris said, there's a agreement on sort of what the

0:19:01.200 --> 0:19:04.520
<v Speaker 1>problem is, just not on the way to attack it.

0:19:04.560 --> 0:19:10.639
<v Speaker 1>I'm broad mac a journal Yeah, but you let me

0:19:10.760 --> 0:19:15.159
<v Speaker 1>drive Oh no, no, no, no, who's going to drive home? Honey, please,

0:19:15.240 --> 0:19:18.640
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the right rivel let me. I want to drive,

0:19:21.400 --> 0:19:34.480
<v Speaker 1>just drive baby, the questions trying. This is the drive

0:19:34.560 --> 0:19:38.040
<v Speaker 1>to the globe commune. Thanks, we'll drive us to dawn

0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:41.639
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. All right, folks, just about nine and

0:19:41.640 --> 0:19:44.280
<v Speaker 1>a half minutes, nine minutes, ten minutes left in today's

0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:47.000
<v Speaker 1>trading session. Let's get to it with Iria Rothberg, co

0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:50.280
<v Speaker 1>portfolio manager and managing member of broad Run Investment Management,

0:19:50.320 --> 0:19:52.920
<v Speaker 1>that is a subadvisor to the Hennessy Focus Fund, which,

0:19:52.960 --> 0:19:56.040
<v Speaker 1>by the way, uh is that more than so far

0:19:56.080 --> 0:19:58.639
<v Speaker 1>this year, putting it into the nine percentile according to

0:19:58.800 --> 0:20:01.880
<v Speaker 1>our data. And he joins us on the phone from Virginia.

0:20:01.920 --> 0:20:03.800
<v Speaker 1>Are good to have you here on Bloomberg. How are you?

0:20:04.680 --> 0:20:09.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm doing well. How are you Carol? Doing okay? Doing okay? Um,

0:20:09.400 --> 0:20:11.040
<v Speaker 1>why don't you start abroad before we kind of dig

0:20:11.040 --> 0:20:14.080
<v Speaker 1>a bit into your market, into your fund and it's holding.

0:20:14.359 --> 0:20:17.760
<v Speaker 1>How do you see this market environment right now? This

0:20:17.840 --> 0:20:21.840
<v Speaker 1>is an interesting market environments. There are certainly um pockets

0:20:21.960 --> 0:20:25.399
<v Speaker 1>of exuberance in the market, particularly in high growth and

0:20:25.480 --> 0:20:29.560
<v Speaker 1>concept companies. It seems like in this low interest rate,

0:20:29.720 --> 0:20:33.640
<v Speaker 1>low growth environment of the pandemic that investors are looking

0:20:33.680 --> 0:20:36.200
<v Speaker 1>to find the next Amazon, They're looking to buy lottery tickets.

0:20:36.200 --> 0:20:39.280
<v Speaker 1>Everybody's looking for the next trillion dollar market cap company.

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:43.679
<v Speaker 1>And as a consequence, you see people routinely paying thirty

0:20:43.920 --> 0:20:46.639
<v Speaker 1>thirty five times sales for businesses with negative twenty year

0:20:46.680 --> 0:20:49.719
<v Speaker 1>negative thirty percent but don margin. And you know, at

0:20:49.720 --> 0:20:53.280
<v Speaker 1>the same time, the market overall is perfectly reasonably valued,

0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:56.639
<v Speaker 1>with the sprading at about twenty two times Ford earnings

0:20:56.640 --> 0:20:59.560
<v Speaker 1>since arts portfolio trading at a discount training at about

0:20:59.600 --> 0:21:03.359
<v Speaker 1>seven times for earnings, where we see even better growth

0:21:03.440 --> 0:21:05.720
<v Speaker 1>in the market. So you know, we think it's possible

0:21:05.760 --> 0:21:11.159
<v Speaker 1>to find really compelling investment opportunities UM, improven businesses with

0:21:11.240 --> 0:21:15.399
<v Speaker 1>long growth runways, UM, just not in the hot names

0:21:15.520 --> 0:21:19.160
<v Speaker 1>or hot sectors that you talked about UM on TV

0:21:19.280 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 1>every day. Let's talk about some of those, IRA, because

0:21:21.840 --> 0:21:24.280
<v Speaker 1>I know one of your picks is restoration Hardware. Why

0:21:24.280 --> 0:21:28.560
<v Speaker 1>are you seeing opportunity there? Sure to understand Restoration Hardware,

0:21:28.560 --> 0:21:31.920
<v Speaker 1>you really need to understand It's chairman and CEO, Gary Friedman,

0:21:32.720 --> 0:21:35.800
<v Speaker 1>was about of the company, and uh, I through rewind

0:21:35.840 --> 0:21:40.040
<v Speaker 1>the clock about twenty years. Restoration Hardware Hardware was a

0:21:40.119 --> 0:21:44.119
<v Speaker 1>nearly bankrupt company before UM Gary came in and turned

0:21:44.119 --> 0:21:47.560
<v Speaker 1>things around. And today, you know, our age is really

0:21:47.560 --> 0:21:52.240
<v Speaker 1>the leading UH luxury home furnishings brand in the United States,

0:21:52.280 --> 0:21:54.200
<v Speaker 1>and we think over time that will become the leading

0:21:54.200 --> 0:21:58.760
<v Speaker 1>brand globally. UM. They're really climbing the luxury mountains, mountains mountains.

0:21:58.800 --> 0:22:00.960
<v Speaker 1>You know, as I mentioned, twenty years ago, they had

0:22:01.000 --> 0:22:03.679
<v Speaker 1>a m they had a box of laundry detergent on

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:06.280
<v Speaker 1>the front of their catalog. And today, you know, if

0:22:06.280 --> 0:22:09.560
<v Speaker 1>you walk into their New York design gallery ninety thousand

0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:13.600
<v Speaker 1>square feed, six levels, you know, a rooftop restaurant. UM.

0:22:14.280 --> 0:22:17.919
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's quite a different experience. UM. And you know,

0:22:19.400 --> 0:22:23.119
<v Speaker 1>sorry two, they're going to be expanding into England and

0:22:23.200 --> 0:22:27.000
<v Speaker 1>into Paris and taking this successful concept globally. And so

0:22:27.040 --> 0:22:28.840
<v Speaker 1>we think they're in the early inning. It's about a

0:22:28.880 --> 0:22:31.800
<v Speaker 1>three billion dollars a company with about three billion dollars

0:22:31.800 --> 0:22:34.560
<v Speaker 1>of revenue today. We think over time they can eclipse

0:22:35.480 --> 0:22:39.600
<v Speaker 1>of revenue. So UM, very very exciting concept with a

0:22:39.680 --> 0:22:42.359
<v Speaker 1>talented management team. It's a very different company. You know,

0:22:42.400 --> 0:22:46.000
<v Speaker 1>if you go back, you're absolutely right, very very different company. UH.

0:22:46.040 --> 0:22:48.560
<v Speaker 1>And you do think obviously playing into that luxury space.

0:22:48.600 --> 0:22:51.080
<v Speaker 1>And especially over the last year, we're seeing everybody just

0:22:51.160 --> 0:22:53.880
<v Speaker 1>kind of ramp up their plans for their home. They're

0:22:53.920 --> 0:22:56.720
<v Speaker 1>just kind of tapping into something and so that globally

0:22:57.040 --> 0:23:00.800
<v Speaker 1>means a lot of growth for them. Sure, and UM,

0:23:00.920 --> 0:23:03.119
<v Speaker 1>existing home turnover is very strong right now. How the

0:23:03.240 --> 0:23:06.600
<v Speaker 1>demands very strong, UM, particularly in a million dollar plus home,

0:23:06.760 --> 0:23:09.840
<v Speaker 1>which you know, their target market, their their target customer

0:23:09.880 --> 0:23:13.280
<v Speaker 1>has north of two hundred fifty dollars housefold income. You know,

0:23:13.359 --> 0:23:16.119
<v Speaker 1>the rule of some is people spend about ten of

0:23:16.160 --> 0:23:19.800
<v Speaker 1>their homes purchase price on the furniture. UM. And you know,

0:23:19.800 --> 0:23:21.440
<v Speaker 1>if you're buying a five million dollar home in two

0:23:21.440 --> 0:23:22.840
<v Speaker 1>and a half million dollar home, that's a lot of

0:23:22.840 --> 0:23:25.720
<v Speaker 1>business for restoration, hardware. And people have been moving out

0:23:25.720 --> 0:23:28.280
<v Speaker 1>of cities and and and there's been a robust second

0:23:28.320 --> 0:23:32.199
<v Speaker 1>home market in the suburbs in beach locations, and that

0:23:32.240 --> 0:23:35.000
<v Speaker 1>all has been very good for them. But you know,

0:23:35.160 --> 0:23:37.240
<v Speaker 1>I think what's the most important here is that they've

0:23:37.240 --> 0:23:40.160
<v Speaker 1>built this luxury brand and it's continuing to grow. They're

0:23:40.160 --> 0:23:42.879
<v Speaker 1>gonna invest a hundred and five million dollars and build

0:23:42.880 --> 0:23:46.600
<v Speaker 1>out really um, you know, a whole suite of solutions

0:23:46.600 --> 0:23:48.960
<v Speaker 1>in the Aspen, Colorado market. They will have an r

0:23:49.119 --> 0:23:51.679
<v Speaker 1>H guest house, which is a little bit more private

0:23:51.720 --> 0:23:55.840
<v Speaker 1>than a hotel concept. They'll have their traditional furniture design gallery.

0:23:55.840 --> 0:23:59.119
<v Speaker 1>They're gonna have spas in the restaurant and you know,

0:23:59.200 --> 0:24:03.080
<v Speaker 1>all this the brand even more aspirational and that gives

0:24:03.080 --> 0:24:06.200
<v Speaker 1>them pricing power. So again they're in the early innings here.

0:24:06.400 --> 0:24:08.960
<v Speaker 1>Love me some English wing back chairs. Just gonna say,

0:24:09.160 --> 0:24:10.920
<v Speaker 1>if you ever walk in one of these galleries, it's

0:24:10.920 --> 0:24:12.399
<v Speaker 1>just like, can I just move in? Can I just

0:24:12.480 --> 0:24:14.720
<v Speaker 1>move in? Hey? CarMax is another one that you like.

0:24:14.880 --> 0:24:17.000
<v Speaker 1>KMX is the tick or what's what's your take on there?

0:24:17.000 --> 0:24:20.240
<v Speaker 1>We've only got about forty seconds, which is and the

0:24:20.320 --> 0:24:24.920
<v Speaker 1>stocks up, so it's already had quite a run. They

0:24:25.040 --> 0:24:28.880
<v Speaker 1>revolutionized the car buying experience about twenty five years ago

0:24:29.000 --> 0:24:31.080
<v Speaker 1>with the no haggle, big box format, and they're about

0:24:31.119 --> 0:24:34.520
<v Speaker 1>to revolutionize in again with their omni channel concept, which

0:24:34.560 --> 0:24:37.240
<v Speaker 1>has been rolled out nationally and you know, they're starting

0:24:37.240 --> 0:24:40.600
<v Speaker 1>to put advertising dollars, you know, really behind it where um,

0:24:40.640 --> 0:24:42.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, you can buy a car from the comfort

0:24:42.800 --> 0:24:44.880
<v Speaker 1>of your living room sofa, you can arrange for your

0:24:44.920 --> 0:24:48.720
<v Speaker 1>trade in, you can arrange financing, and they're really the

0:24:48.760 --> 0:24:51.320
<v Speaker 1>only one ones that will allow you to do as

0:24:51.359 --> 0:24:55.000
<v Speaker 1>much or as little of the transaction on store, in

0:24:55.080 --> 0:24:58.800
<v Speaker 1>store or online if you'd like. And um, we think

0:24:58.840 --> 0:25:01.760
<v Speaker 1>that this is gonna for them tremendous market share games.

0:25:02.000 --> 0:25:04.320
<v Speaker 1>There will be a cost efficiencies as well, and it

0:25:04.359 --> 0:25:07.040
<v Speaker 1>trades at a reasonable multiple about twenty times for so

0:25:07.080 --> 0:25:08.919
<v Speaker 1>you only have to leave actually to go drive the

0:25:09.000 --> 0:25:13.800
<v Speaker 1>car ultimately to drive to restoration hardware exactly and pick

0:25:13.840 --> 0:25:17.040
<v Speaker 1>up one of those English green back chairs. All right, alright,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. Ira Rothberg, He's portfolio manager of

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<v Speaker 1>at Hennessey Funds, on the phone in Virginia. Thanks for

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<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

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