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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Friday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me because all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk met and we are broadcasting

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Speaker 1: from my study here in my home because all of

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Speaker 1: my stuff, the equipment is down at Resorts World where

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Speaker 1: you may or may not have seen me do our

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Speaker 1: first ever college basketball live stream with me, myself and

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Speaker 1: Terrell Furman. Hopefully you guys will tune in next week

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Speaker 1: if you missed it. Every Thursday at five thirty Eastern time,

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Speaker 1: Terrell and I will get going. I was on the

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Speaker 1: strip today. I'm back at home, but all of my equipment,

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Speaker 1: lighting and whatnot, that's all down there still, so we're

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Speaker 1: kind of upstairs here in the study doing it from

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Speaker 1: a different location. But third straight winning day, third straight day,

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Speaker 1: we win point nine units, we get Notre Dame. More

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Speaker 1: on that here. In just one second, laying one and

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Speaker 1: a half, they went by three first half under comes

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Speaker 1: in the game went over. So that was a good

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Speaker 1: dodge to avoid the under or the over for the game.

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Speaker 1: But take the under. The Oregon Ducks come in for

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Speaker 1: us with college basketball from the live stream. But UVM

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Speaker 1: and UMass Lowell goes under hit one thirty not over

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Speaker 1: one thirty six, got that wrong, and the vegat's old

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Speaker 1: nights got shut out for nothing. So their streak, their

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Speaker 1: hot streak when it came to the puck line, came

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Speaker 1: to a halting stop last night. But we get three

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Speaker 1: and two up point nine units on the day. So

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Speaker 1: point nine point nine point nine for Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Three consecutive winning days for us here on the Daily Juice.

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Speaker 1: Now to recap last night quickly, James Franklin, you just

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Speaker 1: can't trust the guy. It was his fault. But Drew

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Speaker 1: Aller throwing the football. I'm watching the game with a

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Speaker 1: die hard Penn State fan. My co on BVB is

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Speaker 1: a dire Penn State fan. I looked at him and said,

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Speaker 1: what are they doing to play for overtime? Run the football?

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Speaker 1: Go to ot? Like what are you doing trying? He said, no,

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Speaker 1: be aggressive and I said, I just agree with you.

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Speaker 1: It's Drew Aller. And then on the broadcast that they're saying,

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Speaker 1: you know, Drew Aller tonight has been He's very protective

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Speaker 1: above the football, Like, what are you talking about? Drew

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Speaker 1: Aller threw two picks. He was bailed out by the

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Speaker 1: officials both times, one time on a hold in one

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Speaker 1: time on a pass interference call that I couldn't believe

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Speaker 1: was made. The referees did not call a single holding

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Speaker 1: penalty on the offensive line in the entire game. The

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Speaker 1: entire game, like what I talked about it on the podcast.

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Speaker 1: But like I thought, the offense, in particularly the wide

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Speaker 1: receivers for Penn State just weren't good enough. Not a

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Speaker 1: single completion to the wide receivers for Penn State in

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Speaker 1: that game, not one. And yet Drew Aller threw an

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Speaker 1: interception that he will be remembered for forever. That was

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Speaker 1: an awful throw in an awful moment in his coaching

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Speaker 1: staff never should have had him do that. But he

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Speaker 1: also never should have thrown that ball. That was crazy,

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Speaker 1: running left, throwing right game on the line. I mean,

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Speaker 1: that's why Drew Aller is going back to college and

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Speaker 1: not going out in the pros. That's what I was

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Speaker 1: worried about him under pressure, cannot be trusted. James Franklin

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Speaker 1: didn't lose that game, but he's snake bitten. You just

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Speaker 1: can't back the guy. That's why I didn't first half

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Speaker 1: under nerves defense. Very similar thing is going to happen

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Speaker 1: tonight with Ohio State in Texas. Let's talk about this

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Speaker 1: big game, the other semi final, who will face Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame to win the national Championship. A reminder, we are

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Speaker 1: on Ohio State at plus one ten to win it all.

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Speaker 1: So since we have that ticket with plus one ten

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Speaker 1: Ohio State, I think it gives us a little bit

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Speaker 1: of a hedge opportunity to potentially even hit him both

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Speaker 1: where Ohio State wins this game tonight, but Texas covers

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Speaker 1: the six point line, I think texas Is defense is

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Speaker 1: good enough to keep them in the football game. Now

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Speaker 1: we look at the numbers for the Cotton Bowl, which

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Speaker 1: whether unfortunately will keep both fan bases from really having

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Speaker 1: a gigantic presence. The game should be sold out in full,

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Speaker 1: but the weather in Arlington will definitely be a factor

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Speaker 1: in terms of getting to the game, not for the

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Speaker 1: game the games of Dome. But Ohio State is eight

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Speaker 1: and six ats. Texas is eight and seven ats. Texas

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Speaker 1: against the SEC this year was not good. There are

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Speaker 1: three and six against the number Ohios State against the

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Speaker 1: Big Ten, they were six and four but you look

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Speaker 1: at this, this is the first time that Texas will

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Speaker 1: be a dog this year. They've never been given points.

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Speaker 1: Ohio State equally was never given points. But you look

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Speaker 1: at some of the numbers, the shorter numbers. They were

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Speaker 1: three and a half point favorites against Oregon on the road,

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Speaker 1: they lost the game. They were three point favorites against

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Speaker 1: Penn State, but they won the game by seven. They

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Speaker 1: were two and a half point favorites against Oregon. They

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Speaker 1: won by twenty in the last game. And that's why

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Speaker 1: this number is so high. I think this number is

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Speaker 1: a bit inflated. I think Texas will give up points,

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Speaker 1: but I also think Ohio State will give up points

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Speaker 1: as well. I do think this game has the potential

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Speaker 1: potential to go over. It's fifty three. It's a high total.

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Speaker 1: I just think Texas defense is good enough to keep

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Speaker 1: them in the football game. I think this is going

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Speaker 1: to be a tighter game than people think, and I

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Speaker 1: think the back door might be open as well. It

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Speaker 1: could be a ten point lead here for Ohio State

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Speaker 1: and Texas scores on a last second touchdown to cover

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Speaker 1: the six because we have the plus one ten for

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Speaker 1: one unit. Either one of these teams will beat Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame to win the National Championship. So it's a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a delayed type of situation where if you

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Speaker 1: know Ohio State wins and wins by ten, we're good.

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Speaker 1: You know we'll get this back in the National Championship

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Speaker 1: game with Ohio State at plus one ten to win it.

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Speaker 1: So we won't need to do much for the National

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Speaker 1: champion game. But for this game, I think Texas has

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Speaker 1: the potential with their offense as long as Quinn Yours

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Speaker 1: doesn't turn the football over that I think they'll be

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Speaker 1: able to score. I mean, look, they were laying thirteen

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Speaker 1: and a half to Arizona State. They didn't win the game.

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Speaker 1: They didn't cover. They won the game, but they didn't cover,

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Speaker 1: but they scored thirty nine points. Texas has scored thirty

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Speaker 1: nine and thirty eight points in both of these playoffs.

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Speaker 1: On the other side, Ohio State has scored forty one

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Speaker 1: in forty two points. Their defense given up seventeen and

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Speaker 1: twenty one. The seventeen against Tennessee was at home on

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Speaker 1: a neutral against Oregon in a rematch game, and now

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Speaker 1: here it's Ohio State versus Texas. Out of the SEC

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Speaker 1: with a defense that should be able to hang around

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Speaker 1: and keep it somewhat close. I mean, you look at

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Speaker 1: this total of fifty three for Texas, it's one of

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Speaker 1: the higher totals they've had in recent memory. You got

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Speaker 1: to go back to a game against Arkansas on the

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Speaker 1: road where we see it higher than fifty three at

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Speaker 1: fifty six and a half. That game went under by

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Speaker 1: twenty six and nine half points. So here's what I'm doing.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the dog. I'm taking Texas at plus six.

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Speaker 1: But just like last night, I think these defenses will

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Speaker 1: have a lot to say in the first half. Now,

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Speaker 1: the game might loosen up as we get to the

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Speaker 1: second half, but in the first half, I think this

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Speaker 1: is gonna be a lower scoring game. I think this

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Speaker 1: is gonna be a rock fight. I don't think it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be as bad as we saw in the first

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Speaker 1: game last night was ten to nothing at the break.

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Speaker 1: I don't think are ten to three at the break. Rather,

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Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna be that bad. But I

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Speaker 1: do think it's gonna go under. I do think we're

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Speaker 1: gonna play the under in the first half under twenty

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Speaker 1: six and a half. It opened at twenty seven has

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Speaker 1: been bet down to twenty seven, and I think we're

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Speaker 1: gonna play it again. I think nerves come into play here.

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Speaker 1: I know it's Jerry's world. Offense should be the name

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Speaker 1: of the game. But in the first half, I just

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Speaker 1: think this game is going to be a lower scoring

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Speaker 1: game early and then much like last night, it opens

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Speaker 1: up after the nerves. If you want to play first quarter,

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Speaker 1: first quarter under probably is a good play as well

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Speaker 1: if you want if you don't want to play the

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Speaker 1: full half. I do think the second half, second quarter,

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Speaker 1: we'll see some offense, so we might be sweating this.

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Speaker 1: You know. It might be you know, fourteen to ten

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Speaker 1: with a last second drive coming and we're gonna pray

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Speaker 1: for a missed field goal or no field goal whatsoever,

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Speaker 1: and maybe it lands on twenty seven. That's what it

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Speaker 1: opened at, was twenty seven. The first move was to

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Speaker 1: bett under, so that was twenty six and a half.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna keep the same bet from last night.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna play the under first half under twenty six

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Speaker 1: and a half for Texas and Ohio State. We're taking

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Speaker 1: Texas plus six in the game as a hedge off

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Speaker 1: of the Ohio State to win the National Championship future,

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Speaker 1: which gives us a chance to hit them both. Ohio

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Speaker 1: State wins by one to five, and we're good. Just

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Speaker 1: got Ohio State to win. Ohio State loses, we lose

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Speaker 1: that future, we win the plus six, we come up

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Speaker 1: flat there. It's a one unit play, So I think

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Speaker 1: it's a good strategy. We have a shot hitting them

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Speaker 1: both with Ohio State winning, just not covering, and then

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Speaker 1: we wind up getting and then we wind up getting

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Speaker 1: ourselves into in Ohio State if they win that tickets

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Speaker 1: alive for plus one ten wouldn't be a huge profit

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Speaker 1: if it could be profitable. If Ohio State goes and wins,

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Speaker 1: they're going to be eight or eight and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorites if Ohio State wins. If it's the Texas Longhorns,

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Speaker 1: they're probably two and a half or three point favorites

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Speaker 1: against the Irish in the National Championship Game. But I'll

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Speaker 1: take the points Texas plus six for one point one

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Speaker 1: units first half under twenty six and a half for

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Speaker 1: one point one units. Now one college basketball bet to

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Speaker 1: give you guys here. Minnesota is on the road at Wisconsin.

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Speaker 1: We backed Minnesota at home against Ohio State in their

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Speaker 1: last game and they covered double overtime. They covered nearly

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Speaker 1: won the game outright, but they covered two and one

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Speaker 1: Minnesota this year on the road ats Okay, can they

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Speaker 1: cover two games in a row. I think they can.

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Speaker 1: They're catching thirteen and a half points on the road

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Speaker 1: at Wisconsin. Wisconsin is nine and six eight on the year.

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Speaker 1: It's a fourteen point win according to kempom. However, four

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Speaker 1: and five mark for Wisconsin ats at home. And when

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Speaker 1: you look at the big numbers at home against Detroit

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Speaker 1: they were laying twenty nine. They won by twenty three.

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Speaker 1: Against Chicago State, they were laying thirty three and a half.

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Speaker 1: They won by twenty one. Against Texas Pay and Pat American,

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Speaker 1: they were laying twenty one. They won by three. Against

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Speaker 1: Montana State, they were laying seventeen. They won by twelve.

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Speaker 1: They're zero to four at home. When it comes to

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Speaker 1: big spreads, and this one is a big spread at

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Speaker 1: thirteen and a half after covering against Ohio State, I

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Speaker 1: know you got to go on the road and it's rough,

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Speaker 1: but they were catching nine and a half at Indiana.

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Speaker 1: They lost by fifteen, so that would cover the thirteen

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Speaker 1: and a half points, but just haven't played many road games.

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Speaker 1: This is the second road game of the year from

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Speaker 1: Minnesota after four straight home games two and two on

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Speaker 1: that four game Homesta and I think they can keep

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Speaker 1: the game relatively close. I think Wisconsin gives a lot

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Speaker 1: of points totals one forty two and a half. Wisconsin

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Speaker 1: is eleven and four to the over on the year.

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Speaker 1: Minnesota's one and two or two and one to the

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Speaker 1: under this year on the road, but four and oh

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Speaker 1: in Big Ten play to the over. This game goes over.

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Speaker 1: I think Minnesota has a good shot to keep this

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Speaker 1: game within thirteen and a half points. I'll take the

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Speaker 1: points Gophers plus thirteen and a half on the road

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Speaker 1: against Wisconsin. So our plays for us here today on

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Speaker 1: a Friday, Ohio States to win the national championship. We

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Speaker 1: got that ticket over arching, so let's play Texas plus

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Speaker 1: six as a hedge off of it at mis one

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Speaker 1: ten first half under in the game twenty six and

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Speaker 1: a half. We're going under for Texas and Ohio State

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Speaker 1: in the semi finals and Minnesota on the road, catching

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Speaker 1: thirteen and a half on the road at a minute

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Speaker 1: at Wisconsin for one point one units. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parol. You guys can follow me because all of

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Speaker 1: my socials pores talk map every morning. It is the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast