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Speaker 3: All Right, Welcome in episode seventy six What's Right with
Speaker 3: Nick Right podcast and YouTube show, our week four NFL
Speaker 3: gambling show and listening to yours. How this works. We'll
Speaker 3: give you five picks a week, we give you one lock.
Speaker 3: We might give you some exotics. Demanse makes me an offer.
Speaker 3: Who more on that stuff later in the show. Because
Speaker 3: I actually lost the offer bet to you, uh so,
Speaker 3: I owe you fifty dollars we discussed on Thursday's pod.
Speaker 3: There's a lot a lot here. We break the games
Speaker 3: down into four categories. My picks, stay aways, be carefuls,
Speaker 3: and perfectly priced. Now the reason you would listen to
Speaker 3: me on this is theoretically, if I'm making you money,
Speaker 3: I'm giving out good picks. We can show you my
Speaker 3: record thus far. It's not great. We've been two and
Speaker 3: three every god for saken week. We give you one
Speaker 3: lock a week. In those five we've missed two in
Speaker 3: a row. But that's where the real frustration comes. Because
Speaker 3: two weeks ago our lock was Baltimore minus three and
Speaker 3: a half against Miami and they are up twenty one
Speaker 3: points in the fourth quarter and they blew it. You
Speaker 3: can start the clock, they blew it. And last week
Speaker 3: our lock with San Francisco minus one and a half,
Speaker 3: and that was as painful of a gambling loss for
Speaker 3: you and for me as I've ever had. Even when
Speaker 3: Denver took the lead, the bat was still very live.
Speaker 3: If San Francisco, if Jimmy g doesn't throw that last
Speaker 3: pick kick a field goal, win by two. So the
Speaker 3: reason I, while I'm sick to my stomach about it,
Speaker 3: the reason I don't I haven't questioned the process is
Speaker 3: this because we have told you to be Oh. And
Speaker 3: the teaser we gave out last week was it it
Speaker 3: was Philly, which covered Houston, which covered and the Chiefs
Speaker 3: who blew it, which is why teasers are But here's
Speaker 3: the thing. If you've been listening to us on this
Speaker 3: been three weeks of NFL gambling, you are down just
Speaker 3: three units plus the big six wins nine losses. We
Speaker 3: should be eight and seven and three and zero on
Speaker 3: the locks. Our two locks have been our two worst
Speaker 3: speeds of the year. We also got screwed in the
Speaker 3: Jacksonville game in week one, in Carolina game in week one,
Speaker 3: and we've only really gotten lucky once and that was
Speaker 3: the Arizona Vegas game. But the process is sound. We
Speaker 3: haven't had any true disasters. We just need one outstanding
Speaker 3: week five and oh might be too much. Four and
Speaker 3: one would be great to be back on track and
Speaker 3: to really after the first month of the season like
Speaker 3: teams in the NFL two and two after one month
Speaker 3: we can deal with. If we're around five hundred after
Speaker 3: a month, we can deal with it. So we are
Speaker 3: giving out five picks this week. They are as follows,
Speaker 3: and we will explain them as follows. The first one
Speaker 3: is you gotta wake up early to see this game
Speaker 3: Minnesota minus two and a half against New Orleans in London.
Speaker 3: Demons if you remember when you and I were guessing
Speaker 3: the lines on Sunday and you told me, I guess
Speaker 3: this line, and you told I think I said, because
Speaker 3: you said to me Minnesota at New Orleans and I said,
Speaker 3: I probably Minnesota by about three. You said, yeah, two
Speaker 3: and a half, and then we realized the game was
Speaker 3: in London. I don't understand how Minnesota is less than
Speaker 3: a field goal favorite on a neutral site against a
Speaker 3: New Orleans team that sucks. That stinks. Jameis Winston, as
Speaker 3: of today, is yet to practice this week. We'll see,
Speaker 3: Like we don't have the latest injury report for Thursday,
Speaker 3: but didn't practice on Wednesday. Dennis Allen consistently has shown
Speaker 3: throughout his career's not an NFL head coach. The skill
Speaker 3: position guys for the Saints are banged up. Minnesota, on
Speaker 3: the other hand, we know Kirk Cousin stinks at night. Well,
Speaker 3: now he gets to play at six in the morning.
Speaker 3: Well it's not really in the morning, but it's in London.
Speaker 3: We understand. I think Minnesota is a good team. I
Speaker 3: have no evidence whatsoever that New Orleans is a good team.
Speaker 3: New Orleans beat Atlanta by the skin of their teeth
Speaker 3: in Week one needed a sixteen point fourth quarter comeback.
Speaker 3: They then got bullied by Tampa and lost, I would say,
Speaker 3: convincingly to Carolina, a game that at one point was
Speaker 3: twenty two to seven against Carolina, which is not proven
Speaker 3: to be good. Yea, I think Minnesota is a good team.
Speaker 3: I think New Orleans is not a good team. I'm
Speaker 3: laying less than a field goal. I really like this game.
Speaker 3: Minnesota minus two and a half against New Orleans in London.
Speaker 3: That's pick one. I almost made it our lock of
Speaker 3: the week. I didn't quite do that, to be totally honest,
Speaker 3: because this isn't really sound logically, but it's the first
Speaker 3: it's the nine am start time or whatever it is.
Speaker 3: I don't want to risk losing my lock before the
Speaker 3: NFL actually gets going. I just put such a damper
Speaker 3: on my day. I don't want to risk it. All
Speaker 3: right now, we are yet to include a Chiefs game
Speaker 3: in any of our picks. However, if you remember our
Speaker 3: analysis so far in discussing the Chiefs games, we said
Speaker 3: in Week one we expect the Chiefs to be winning
Speaker 3: by double digits, but we didn't want to lay. I
Speaker 3: think it was six against Arizona because they won't quit
Speaker 3: the good backdoor cover. They didn't quit. They did score
Speaker 3: a bunch late. The Chiefs were just up by like
Speaker 3: thirty though, so the analysis was sound there. Week two,
Speaker 3: we said Kansas City minus three. We liked Kansas City
Speaker 3: minus three and a half or four against the Chargers.
Speaker 3: We wanted to stay away from. The Chiefs won by three.
Speaker 3: Week three, we included the Chiefs in the be careful
Speaker 3: area because it fell like a little too easy of
Speaker 3: a line. The colt stink the Chiefs are awesome? Why
Speaker 3: aren't they favored by a touchdown?
Speaker 2: Now?
Speaker 3: I didn't think the Chiefs could lose outright, but we
Speaker 3: had that one right as well. For the first time,
Speaker 3: we're including the Chiefs and one of our picks. They
Speaker 3: just have to beat the Bucks. I believe they will
Speaker 3: beat the Bucks. Kin City minus one.
Speaker 2: Is the play.
Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes. We've gone over it as the greatest September
Speaker 3: quarterback in league history. The Chiefs have a little bit
Speaker 3: of get back in them for this game because the
Speaker 3: Bucks did beat them in the Super Bowl, and the
Speaker 3: Chiefs blew that game last week. Tampa doesn't shouldn't feel
Speaker 3: like they blew that game last week. Tampa against Green Bay.
Speaker 3: Was lucky to be in the game at the end.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 3: Additional, Mahomes knows this might be the last time he
Speaker 3: ever plays Brady. In fact, unless both teams make the
Speaker 3: Super Bowl, or unless Brady changes teams, this will be
Speaker 3: the last time he ever plays Brady. You don't play
Speaker 3: the NFC team more than once every few years. This
Speaker 3: is going to be Mahomes's last shot at Brady, unless
Speaker 3: both teams make the super Bowl this year or Brady
Speaker 3: keeps playing longer. I don't think the Chiefs are going
Speaker 3: to have the kicking issues they had last week. I
Speaker 3: don't think the Chiefs are going to have the drop
Speaker 3: passes they had last week, the cowardly fourth down decisions
Speaker 3: they had last week. Tampa, on the other hand, I
Speaker 3: think is going to struggle.
Speaker 2: This game is going to be in October.
Speaker 4: Though.
Speaker 3: Oh, that's a good point.
Speaker 2: Patrick mahums the best September Rady quarterback.
Speaker 3: Okay, you know what, that's a fair point. I still
Speaker 3: like the Chiefs. You know what, you are correct, though,
Speaker 3: it will be in October. Well done, sir. The final
Speaker 3: September game was Bengals Dolphins. My apologies. That's a good point.
Speaker 3: I didn't realize it the day before my birthday. Actually,
Speaker 3: I don't think Kana City is going to have the
Speaker 3: cowardly fourth down issues that had had this past week.
Speaker 3: And I think Tampa, even with the weapons back, is
Speaker 3: going to struggle to score twenty one points. The Chiefs
Speaker 3: in Mahomes' career have lost twice ever when the defense
Speaker 3: allows less than twenty seven points. Oddly enough, both were
Speaker 3: to the Colts. One was last week. So can Tampa
Speaker 3: get to twenty seven? I don't think so. The Chiefs
Speaker 3: won't lose a back to back games where the defense
Speaker 3: plays well. I believe in Mahomes. I actually do believe
Speaker 3: in Tampa's well. But we said before the year the
Speaker 3: most brutal part of Tampa's schedule was this opening month.
Speaker 3: They're dealing with even more injuries than we thought. It
Speaker 3: then softens up greatly. If you remember, for the year,
Speaker 3: I said, if you gave me odds, I would bet
Speaker 3: Tampa under one and a half wins through four weeks.
Speaker 3: I love Tampa at under two wins through four weeks,
Speaker 3: knowing if they go two and two it's a push.
Speaker 3: I don't think Tampa's going three and one in the
Speaker 3: first month. I don't think Brady's just right yet. I
Speaker 3: do think the Chiefs offensive line bounces back. I like
Speaker 3: Kansa City minus one, all right, one more favorite, and
Speaker 3: I understand that underdogs are usually the sharper side of things.
Speaker 3: This one, however, I think it's gonna fall into a
Speaker 3: few of my rules.
Speaker 2: You gotta explain yourself a bit on this one.
Speaker 3: Okay, Las Vegas minus three at home against Denver, yep, Okay.
Speaker 2: Serious, any game that russ was due, it's this one
Speaker 2: against the Raiders.
Speaker 3: Why.
Speaker 2: I mean, the Raiders are ah and three, they're just
Speaker 2: not good. And then Russell Wilson, I feel like, given
Speaker 2: his history and with that one drive that he was himself,
Speaker 2: I think they we're going to see a lot more
Speaker 2: of that in the Raiders game.
Speaker 3: Okay, here's what I think. I don't think the Raiders
Speaker 3: are going to be four and thirteen, and they got
Speaker 3: to start winning games at some point. Okay, they're at home,
Speaker 3: they're desperate. Denver meanwhile, maybe feeling a little better about
Speaker 3: itself than it should being two and one when they're
Speaker 3: and not playing up to that level. Additionally, I said,
Speaker 3: until proven otherwise. Nathaniel Hackett is a must fade against
Speaker 3: a good coach. Now, I don't know that Josh McDaniels
Speaker 3: is a good coach, and I wouldn't love Denver at
Speaker 3: minus three and a half. And in fact, I think
Speaker 3: right now you can get them in some spots at
Speaker 3: minus two and a half. If I wanted to try
Speaker 3: to juice my numbers a bit, I would have. The
Speaker 3: producers have changed it, but we use the Fox Bet
Speaker 3: lines at the moment. The super contest locks our lines lock,
Speaker 3: so we got locked in at three. I think the
Speaker 3: Raiders win this game. The Denver offense has been absolutely brutal.
Speaker 3: I think DeVante Adams has a bounce back game after
Speaker 3: a couple quiet weeks, and I think the Raiders get
Speaker 3: to one and three.
Speaker 2: What's up if the Raiders don't bounce back this week?
Speaker 2: What's the narrative moving forward about the Raiders? Or yes,
Speaker 2: the Raiders that McDaniels is the wrong guy. Okay, I
Speaker 2: mean Derek Carr will catch some of it. But they
Speaker 2: were a playoff team last year. The playoff team. But
Speaker 2: think about that. Henry Ruggs had the tragedy, Gruden had
Speaker 2: the horrifying emails, They had a oh yeah, they got
Speaker 2: a bunch of bunch of stopped.
Speaker 3: Last year and they made the playoffs. Then they add
Speaker 3: Devanta Adams, they start ow owing four disaster. Additionally, the Raiders'
Speaker 3: biggest weakness for years has been they can't create a
Speaker 3: pass rush. Well, luckily, Russell Wilson creates one of his
Speaker 3: own by the way he handles himself in the pocket,
Speaker 3: he hurts his offensive line. I think the I think
Speaker 3: the general public is gonna love the Broncos on the
Speaker 3: money line and the Broncos plus the points. I like
Speaker 3: the Raiders at home. Laying the three points now to
Speaker 3: some dogs first few weeks is the type of game
Speaker 3: I wouldn't have bet, and I'd say to stay away
Speaker 3: because you know why, I just don't want to watch it.
Speaker 3: That's no way to make money. The Bears play the Giants.
Speaker 2: You bet on Chicago every week, No, I don't.
Speaker 3: This is the first time I bet on Chicago, first
Speaker 3: time I've bet against them. I bet against them in
Speaker 3: week one. Always Chicago has been involved. That that's fair
Speaker 3: because week one. Let me see who they've played each
Speaker 3: week and I'll explain it. So week one they were
Speaker 3: playing the Niners in the monsoon and that one, I
Speaker 3: went with the Niners. Week two, my lock, I had
Speaker 3: Green Bay and I went against them. So I've gone
Speaker 3: against Chicago every weekend. It's not that and now and
Speaker 3: then three I had Houston plus two and a half
Speaker 3: in a game that was stolen from me, absolute theft
Speaker 3: that that one didn't cover. These Chicago wins on a
Speaker 3: field goal at the gun after a terrible Davis Mills interception.
Speaker 3: This week, I'm going with the Bears. The Bears plus
Speaker 3: three against the Giants. Here's why. I know the Bears
Speaker 3: can run the ball.
Speaker 4: I know the.
Speaker 3: Bears are not going to ask Justin Fields to throw
Speaker 3: the football because they're one with him throwing twenty three passes.
Speaker 3: The Giants are on a short week. The Giants just
Speaker 3: lost Sterling Shepherd. You know, unfortunately for the season, Kenny
Speaker 3: Galladay has been a disaster. The Bears are just gonna say,
Speaker 3: we're gonna stop Saquon. Add to that, it's been two
Speaker 3: weeks since Daniel Jones fumbled. He's got one coming that much.
Speaker 3: You can guarantee that's me, Revin. If you hear the
Speaker 3: background noise, this is me, Revin, my engine to bet
Speaker 3: this bit game. This is a just a vintage grab
Speaker 3: the points game. I'm getting Chicago. I'm getting a full
Speaker 3: field goal. They absolutely could win the game out right.
Speaker 3: Whoever wins this game, by the way, is going to
Speaker 3: be the most fraudulent three to one in recent memories.
Speaker 3: I mean, these are two two and one teams that
Speaker 3: are just awful. But I'm getting the points. I don't
Speaker 3: think the Giants. I think the Giants fans are a
Speaker 3: little heartbroken from last week. I think the MetLife is
Speaker 3: not going to exactly be rocking for them. I like
Speaker 3: fading Daniel Jones. I don't know that Daniel Jones deserves
Speaker 3: to be a full field goal favorite over just about anybody. Also,
Speaker 3: when it comes to the Giants, I understand everyone loves
Speaker 3: the story of the Giants, or they did love the
Speaker 3: story of the Giants. Let me remind you what the
Speaker 3: Giants have done this year. In Week one, they play
Speaker 3: the Titans. It takes a last minute drive, plus a
Speaker 3: two point conversion, plus Randy Bullock missing a forty five
Speaker 3: yard field goal for them to want win. Week two,
Speaker 3: they beat Carolina at home on a fifty six yard
Speaker 3: field goal. Is the deciding play. That is, despite the
Speaker 3: fact that they won the turnover battle two to nothing.
Speaker 3: They beat Carolina nineteen sixteen, and week three they got
Speaker 3: beat by Cooper Rush in Dallas, so they're two to one.
Speaker 3: Yet they've been outscored on the season. They've shown no
Speaker 3: ability to beat a team by any significant margin. Both
Speaker 3: of their wins have come down to kicks in the
Speaker 3: final minutes. Chicago plus three and now my lock of
Speaker 3: the week, a team that is catching six and a
Speaker 3: half that I believe is going to win the game outright,
Speaker 3: and in fact, I even might have our first forget teaser,
Speaker 3: our first parlay of the week later.
Speaker 2: In the show.
Speaker 3: Jacksonville plus six and a half at Philly. Jacksonville is
Speaker 3: one defensive laps away from being three and up. Week two,
Speaker 3: they played the Colts, who are not good but not horrific,
Speaker 3: and blanked them twenty four to nothing. Week three, they
Speaker 3: played the Chargers and kicked the shit out of them. Philly, meanwhile,
Speaker 3: absolutely has looked very impressive. However, they've only played one
Speaker 3: team I truly believe in, and that team was Minnesota
Speaker 3: and it was on Monday Night, which is Kirk Cousins kryptonite.
Speaker 3: Week one, Philly played Detroit. Week three, Philly played Washington.
Speaker 3: Philly also the last two weeks has done something odd,
Speaker 3: jumped out to huge leads and then done nothing. Twenty
Speaker 3: four to seven was the halftime score against Minnesota, the
Speaker 3: final score twenty four to seven. Twenty four to nothing
Speaker 3: was the halftime score against Washington, final score twenty four
Speaker 3: to eight. So Philly has scored by the way. They
Speaker 3: all scored twenty four points in the first half of
Speaker 3: Week one, but they added fourteen more. Philly has not
Speaker 3: been a great second half team. Jacksonville I think will
Speaker 3: win this game out right. I would be shocked if
Speaker 3: they get blown out. This line opened at seven, and
Speaker 3: I told you Betty with it back before you retired
Speaker 3: from betting that betting Jacksonville plus seven was the move
Speaker 3: because it was gonna move a bit towards Jacksonville. It
Speaker 3: dated six and a half. Trevor Lawrence is the real
Speaker 3: fing deal. I like Jaleen Herds played great. Trevor Lawrence
Speaker 3: is better than him. Jacksonville's defense, with the number one
Speaker 3: pick of the draft Walker, he has been outstanding. They
Speaker 3: have a totally revamped defense. Doug Peterson has been good.
Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence has been outstanding. That last two weeks they
Speaker 3: have won by a combined fifty two points. Philly also
Speaker 3: is a very good team, but they are not a
Speaker 3: juggernaut despite their record.
Speaker 2: What's up?
Speaker 3: What's the what's the well? Do you have a Are
Speaker 3: we good or no?
Speaker 2: No? No, no.
Speaker 3: I didn't know if you were gonna have an issue
Speaker 3: with my field, with my pick here your eyes.
Speaker 2: No. I like Philly the I don't like them like
Speaker 2: on this line, but I like Philly.
Speaker 3: I think Philly is a good team, and I think
Speaker 3: right now I laughed at people before the year that
Speaker 3: were saying the Eagles could be the one seed in
Speaker 3: the NFC. I was wrong. I think they will be
Speaker 3: the one seed in the NFC. Here's the other reason
Speaker 3: why I like Jacksonville. Here. Whether Philly will admit it
Speaker 3: or not, they know they don't need this game. Listen
Speaker 3: to what Philly has the rest of the way. I'll
Speaker 3: read you all their games at Arizona, Okay, A little
Speaker 3: tough home for Dallas, home for Pittsburgh at Houston, home
Speaker 3: for Washington at Indy, a little tough home for green Bay,
Speaker 3: very tough home for Tennessee at the Giants, at the Bears,
Speaker 3: at the Cowboys, home for New Orleans home for the Giants.
Speaker 3: They have four semi They have three semi two semi
Speaker 3: tough games, the Packers game and the Jags game. Every
Speaker 3: other game they play one of the worst teams in
Speaker 3: the league. I like Jacksonville. I believe in Trevor Lawrence.
Speaker 3: It's my lock of the week. So there's my five picks.
Speaker 3: Minnesota minus two and a half, Kent City minus one,
Speaker 3: Vegas minus three, Chicago plus three, and Jacksonville plus six
Speaker 3: and a half. We are going four and one at
Speaker 3: a minimum, we are getting the lock. At a minimum,
Speaker 3: five and zero could be on deck. If next week
Speaker 3: I come back here and we're two and three again,
Speaker 3: we gotta start the process over.
Speaker 2: I think we got to switch seats at that point
Speaker 2: in the Gambling Show.
Speaker 3: Oh oh, that's also by the way, We're gonna go
Speaker 3: through the rest of the slate quickly. In the B
Speaker 3: block and the Sea block will give you our survivor pick,
Speaker 3: which is the one thing we've done well in the
Speaker 3: nation where eighty percent of people have lost their survivor picks. Already,
Speaker 3: we've given you three winners, and Demons is gonna pick
Speaker 3: his three favorite bets of the week and We're gonna
Speaker 3: start tracking that as well to see if at the
Speaker 3: end of the season he would have been profitable if
Speaker 3: he didn't retire from gambling. All that coming up next
Speaker 3: What's Right.
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Speaker 3: All right, welcome back in What's Right? Nick Wright, Episode
Speaker 3: number seventy six, Week four NFL Gambling Show. Just gave
Speaker 3: you our five picks. We'll give you the exotics and
Speaker 3: the survivor pick and everything later in the show, but
Speaker 3: right now, we're going to go through the other eleven
Speaker 3: games on the slate in what category they're and we're
Speaker 3: gonna start with the stay aways. Demonse what's the first one?
Speaker 2: Uh? New England at green Bay? Green Bay favored by
Speaker 2: nine and a half.
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a stay away for a number of reasons.
Speaker 3: One is the Patriots are pretending like Mac Jones might play,
Speaker 3: He's not gonna play.
Speaker 2: Okay.
Speaker 3: Now, do I believe green Bay has the ability to
Speaker 3: just kick the crap out of the Patriots? Of course
Speaker 3: I do, but I ain't the Patriots. If Hoyer's the quarterback,
Speaker 3: the game plan might be ball control, run the ball,
Speaker 3: punt fest and I could see a scenario where this
Speaker 3: the Patriots never have a chance to win the game,
Speaker 3: but are also it's a ten point game ish the
Speaker 3: whole way and they So it's a stay away because
Speaker 3: with Hoyer, I think there is a real possibility the
Speaker 3: Patriots plays such a conservative ball control style that it's
Speaker 3: tough for the Packers to score the If you're gonna
Speaker 3: lay ten, you want to believe the team can get
Speaker 3: to at least twenty seven, and I'm not certain the
Speaker 3: Patriots style of play is gonna allow that. I love
Speaker 3: the Packers are if you haven't left in your Survivor contest,
Speaker 3: this is the week to use them. They are no
Speaker 3: doubt winner, but it's a stay away from me. What's
Speaker 3: the next one?
Speaker 2: Oh, we got Arizona at Carolina, with Carolina favored by one.
Speaker 2: He's very strange.
Speaker 3: Why is that strange? Tell me?
Speaker 2: Tell me. I could see how a lot of people
Speaker 2: aren't going to stay away from that.
Speaker 3: Why what side do you like on it?
Speaker 2: Arizona.
Speaker 3: Arizona's been so bad, man, I get it. But this
Speaker 3: is to me a stay away because Carolina's offense has
Speaker 3: looked absolutely abysmal. Baker's not been good. Arizona. It seems
Speaker 3: like everybody hates each other. I have no feel. I
Speaker 3: know what Carolina does well. They play good defense. I
Speaker 3: know what they don't do well, everything on the offensive
Speaker 3: side of the ball. Sorry Baker side from Christian McCaffery. Arizona,
Speaker 3: on the other hand, for like fifteen minutes this season
Speaker 3: looked super dynamic and exciting, and every other part of
Speaker 3: this season has looked absolutely blah and terrible. If I
Speaker 3: had to pick a side, it would be Carolina. But
Speaker 3: this is just to be a vintage stay away because
Speaker 3: you don't know any given week what you're going to
Speaker 3: get from either of these teams. All right, next, go ahead?
Speaker 3: Did you want to say something.
Speaker 2: No, no, no, it's fine, Okay, Jets Pittsburgh's favorite by
Speaker 2: three and a half.
Speaker 3: Yeah, So I'm not laying more than a field goal
Speaker 3: with Mitch Trubisky, and I'm never ever betting on either
Speaker 3: Joe Flacco or It's probably gonna be Zack Wilson. By
Speaker 3: the time this comes out, people might know Zack Wilson,
Speaker 3: but Zack Wilson is Zach Wilson in his first game back.
Speaker 3: Is the reason we created stayaways because we have no no,
Speaker 3: and that's not a knock on Zach, but you have
Speaker 3: no idea how healthy he actually is, what he's gonna
Speaker 3: look like. So you can't bet the Jets. You can't
Speaker 3: bet the Jets getting you know, less than four points.
Speaker 3: And I'm certainly not going to lay more than a
Speaker 3: field goal with I might have said Jacoby Brisett, but Mitchell. Okay,
Speaker 3: I'm not laying more than a field goal with Mitch Trubisky.
Speaker 3: So that's a vintage stay away all right now. To
Speaker 3: be careful. Be careful is the category where it seems
Speaker 3: like they're trying to bait you into one side go ahead.
Speaker 2: We got Miami at Cincinnati with Cincinnati favored by four points.
Speaker 3: Okay, this started off when it was Cincinnati. It was
Speaker 3: Cincinnati minus two and a half, and now all the
Speaker 3: money has moved to Cincinnati minus. Just on the Cincinnati
Speaker 3: side where Cincinnati minus four. This is a be careful
Speaker 3: because I do think Cincinnati is gonna win, but I
Speaker 3: actually think Cincinnati has become too trendy of a pick.
Speaker 3: I think everyone wants like, Oh, I know everyone's saying
Speaker 3: what I think is true, which is I know Miami
Speaker 3: is three and oz and Cincinnatis one and two. But
Speaker 3: I like Cincinnati in this spot at four points. Be
Speaker 3: careful at two and a half where it opened. Loved Cincinnati.
Speaker 3: Now you got to lay four. That would such a
Speaker 3: critical number to be crossing over that three Dolphins?
Speaker 2: Are those boys? Man? Well?
Speaker 3: And you love the Dolphins in this spot. I think
Speaker 3: they're gonna be one of your picks. And by the
Speaker 3: way we're talking about this now everyone will have known
Speaker 3: at this point what has happened, but we can still
Speaker 3: include it because we're doing it before the game. Four
Speaker 3: is too much, and I can't go with Miami because
Speaker 3: I think since I's gonna win out right, So if
Speaker 3: I take Miami plus the points, like you, if you
Speaker 3: take an underdog that's less than a touchdown, you want
Speaker 3: to believe they can win the game out right. I
Speaker 3: don't think they will, and I think too much of
Speaker 3: the public is on Cincinnati, which is also the money
Speaker 3: line side. I'm on, just be careful. I wouldn't bet it.
Speaker 3: And thankfully, by the time you guys are hearing this,
Speaker 3: you will have not been able to take this advice
Speaker 3: because the game will have happened. You will have either
Speaker 3: bet it or not.
Speaker 2: Next Oh, we got Atlanta at home versus Cleveland and
Speaker 2: they are one and a half point underdogs. All right,
Speaker 2: Atlanta is one and a half point underdogs. Yeah, okay,
Speaker 2: you got it right. Oh okay, no, no, I thought so.
Speaker 3: You said exactly right. Uh So, here's the deal. Everyone
Speaker 3: in the world is gonna take Cleveland. Cleveland should be
Speaker 3: three and up. They've been running all over everyone.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Nick Chubb, are they going to be able to
Speaker 2: stop the run?
Speaker 3: Yeah? Everybody's going to be on Cleveland. Ye careful, now,
Speaker 3: gotta be careful now, guys, Atlanta runs the ball exceptionally well.
Speaker 3: Cleveland is still starting. Jacoby Brissett. The entire gambling public
Speaker 3: is going to be laying points on the road with
Speaker 3: Jacoby Brissett. I'd be shocked if Miles Garrett plays. He's
Speaker 3: in this terrible car accident. Cleveland is has looked awesome.
Speaker 3: There's going to be a game where Jacoby looks terrible. Atlanta, meanwhile,
Speaker 3: is feeling like, did we save our season with that
Speaker 3: win against Seattle? Are we alive now? Do I feel
Speaker 3: good enough to bet Atlanta? I don't, But I think
Speaker 3: there's going to be a game where the Action Network
Speaker 3: it's out eighty two percent of the handles on Cleveland
Speaker 3: minus less than a field goal. Be very, very careful.
Speaker 2: Next, we got Baltimore at home versus Buffalo and they
Speaker 2: are three point underdogs.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Baltimore's three point underdogs. Here's why I say be careful.
Speaker 3: People are gonna look at what Tua did to the
Speaker 3: Baltimore secondary. Buffalo coming off that terrible loss. Buffalo is
Speaker 3: still on the top of everyone's power rankings, and they
Speaker 3: are going to be hammering the Bills. Everyone's going to
Speaker 3: be on the Bills. I actually do think the Bills
Speaker 3: are gonna win this game. Wow, why are you shocked
Speaker 3: by that?
Speaker 2: I mean the overrated Bills versus your guy Lamar and
Speaker 2: the Ravens.
Speaker 3: Well, the Ravens defense has been brutal. It's been simply brutal.
Speaker 3: And I mean they let Mac Jones throw for three
Speaker 3: hundred yards now they picked him off a bunch. The
Speaker 3: Ravens defense against Buffalo scares me. But that three points
Speaker 3: I don't know about it, and I know the whole
Speaker 3: world's going to be on Buffalo, and something just tells me,
Speaker 3: even though I like that somehow, and I know it's
Speaker 3: only a one or two point win. You know what
Speaker 3: I could see happening in this game. I'm not predicting this,
Speaker 3: but I want to put it out there in case
Speaker 3: it does. I could see this being a game that
Speaker 3: is decided on a failed two point conversion by Baltimore
Speaker 3: and Buffalo wins but doesn't cover they finally get their
Speaker 3: close win. I see a lot of I know the
Speaker 3: whole world's going to be on Buffalo. I also would
Speaker 3: be on Buffalo. Something uneasy in my stomach about this game.
Speaker 3: Just be careful and if you feel like you must
Speaker 3: better side, keep in mind this will be one of
Speaker 3: the only times you ever get Baltimore at home getting
Speaker 3: a whole field goal. The smart money would be on Baltimore.
Speaker 3: I think the public's going to be on Buffalo. Be
Speaker 3: careful here.
Speaker 2: Next one h we got the Rams at San Francisco.
Speaker 2: San Francisco is favored by one and a half. Okay.
Speaker 3: The reason I say be careful is I think I
Speaker 3: can't imagine anyone betting San Francisco here. Yeah, the Rams
Speaker 3: after the Week one hiccup have looked good. They are
Speaker 3: laying less than a field goal, and they are going
Speaker 3: to be the super public side. However, last year's NFC
Speaker 3: championship came notwithstanding Kyle Shanahan has owned McVeigh. I think
Speaker 3: the Niners have an outstanding defense, but they don't have
Speaker 3: Trent Williams. It's the best player on their team. So
Speaker 3: for all these reasons, the public is going to be
Speaker 3: on the Rams. History says it's the Niners.
Speaker 2: Is that left tackle still going to be injured?
Speaker 3: That's why I said the best player. Oh okay, that's
Speaker 3: what I'm talking about Trent Williams. Yeah, no, he's not
Speaker 3: going to be playing, at least I dont think he's
Speaker 3: gonna be playing. As a recording of this, I don't
Speaker 3: wouldn't have it in me to bet on Jimmy g
Speaker 3: with no Trent Williams playing points against Aaron definite, which
Speaker 3: one the Rams side of it? Yes, see, this is
Speaker 3: why you gotta be careful, demon Zay says, definitely one
Speaker 3: of his picks. This is what I'm talking about, that
Speaker 3: the square better is going to be all over the Rams.
Speaker 3: I might create the be careful category based on I
Speaker 3: might just text you and text our group and see
Speaker 3: what side you love. All right, we'll very quickly go
Speaker 3: through perfectly priced.
Speaker 2: Go ahead. We got Washington at Dallas with Dallas favored
Speaker 2: by three points.
Speaker 3: That's exactly what it should be, I mean, doubtless. And
Speaker 3: they're both mediocre teams, both with below average quarterbacks. Dallas
Speaker 3: is at home, Dallas has a great defense. If I
Speaker 3: had to bet a side here, it would be Dallas
Speaker 3: purely because Carson Wentz has got sacked nine times by Philly.
Speaker 3: What's DeMarcus Lawrence and Michael Parson's gonna do? But Dallas
Speaker 3: is on a short week. That that line's exactly right.
Speaker 2: Next, uh, Seattle at Detroit in Detroit's favor by four.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I almost included Detroit in my picks. Okay,
Speaker 3: but then I thought about it, and I was like, Okay,
Speaker 3: Detroit hadn't been favored in a game in years until
Speaker 3: a couple of weeks ago. Now they're favored by more
Speaker 3: than a field goal. Feels a little rich. Gino hasn't
Speaker 3: played terribly this year. The Detroit defense is not great.
Speaker 3: I expect Detroit to win. I expect it to be
Speaker 3: a one score game. You've got to give them. You
Speaker 3: can't call it a field goal game because you can't
Speaker 3: say Detroit and Seattle are the same quality team. They're not.
Speaker 3: Detroit's better price. Just right next, all.
Speaker 2: Right, Houston's five point underdogs at home against the Chargers.
Speaker 3: Yeah. The reason I know this is perfectly priced is well,
Speaker 3: I shouldn't say the reason I know it's perfectly priced.
Speaker 3: The Chargers should be seven and a half point favorites
Speaker 3: in this spot. But no Rashawon Slater, no Joey Bosa
Speaker 3: banged up Justin Herbert. That's got to be worth about
Speaker 3: three points, and so they should be seven and a
Speaker 3: half or eight point favorites. Those injuries knock it down
Speaker 3: at least a field goal. Expect the Chargers to win.
Speaker 3: The Chargers are gonna be a popular suicide pick this week.
Speaker 3: If you don't have a Green Bay available to you.
Speaker 3: But I don't think you can favor the Chargers by
Speaker 3: a full touchdown with those guys missing.
Speaker 2: Okay, all right, Next one, Indianapolis favored by three and
Speaker 2: a half points at home versus Tennessee.
Speaker 3: Okay, at two and a half, this would be in
Speaker 3: my picks.
Speaker 2: Okay, three and a half those just right.
Speaker 3: Indy's not gonna beat anybody resoundingly right now. The offensive
Speaker 3: line hasn't been good. There might be in a bit
Speaker 3: of an emotional letdown after the Chiefs. The Titans, on
Speaker 3: the other hand, stink, But I expect this to be
Speaker 3: a low scoring, fast running game, centric three point four
Speaker 3: point game, three and a half points, exactly right.
Speaker 2: So we got Dallas, Detroit, Houston in Indianapolis here. Should
Speaker 2: we just rename the perfectly priced to games that Nick
Speaker 2: does not want to watch? No, I've been looking at
Speaker 2: these games, man.
Speaker 3: This week it happened, except yeah, this week it happened
Speaker 3: to except for what. Well, I'm interested in seeing how
Speaker 3: the Chargers look.
Speaker 2: Oh of course, yeah, yeah, idea, seeing.
Speaker 3: How the Chargers look. And you know, I have a
Speaker 3: lot of money writing on Indie being decent this year. Okay,
Speaker 3: so I'm a little interested in that as well. But
Speaker 3: this week the perfect I think the perfectly priced games
Speaker 3: do coincide a bit with some of the worst games
Speaker 3: of the week. That's fine, all right, demand's picks, my
Speaker 3: survivor pick. I've got a parlay for you this week,
Speaker 3: and Demandy's gotten offer. We do all that and we
Speaker 3: wrap the show next Welcome back in What's Right? Nick Right?
Speaker 3: Final segment, Episode seventy six, Week four Gambling Show. All right,
Speaker 3: so we already gave you our five picks of the week.
Speaker 3: I'm just going to reiterate them real quick. Minnesota minus
Speaker 3: two and a half in London against New Orleans, Ken
Speaker 3: City minus one at Tampa. We don't yet know if
Speaker 3: that game's actually going to be at Tampa. We think
Speaker 3: it is. It could be moved to Minneapolis, but as
Speaker 3: of recording, it's still going to be at Tampa. Las
Speaker 3: Vegas mines three against Denver, Chicago getting three against the Giants,
Speaker 3: and Jacksonville getting six and a half against Philly. The
Speaker 3: lock of the week is Jacksonville getting six and a
Speaker 3: half at Philly. That is also going to be our
Speaker 3: first parlay. We are money line, so just to win.
Speaker 3: I already have put it in actually a money line parlay,
Speaker 3: and this could be dead by the time people hear this.
Speaker 3: Put it in Monday evening Jacksonville money line, Cincinnati money
Speaker 3: line that pays. Let me see exactly what I got
Speaker 3: it at, cause I got Cincinnati at minus one ninety
Speaker 3: Jacksonville at plus two to twenty. That play pays plus
Speaker 3: four eighty five, So one hundred bucks when four and
Speaker 3: eighty five bucks or however you do it. That's our
Speaker 3: first parlay of the year. It will go on the Ledger.
Speaker 3: I think Cincinnati by the time you will have heard
Speaker 3: this will have won. I think the last remaining undefeated
Speaker 3: team will be Philly, and I think by Sunday evening
Speaker 3: there will be zero remaining undefeated teams. It is that
Speaker 3: that's the parlay Cincinnati and Jacksonville. So that is our
Speaker 3: one exotic this week. We now also have to love
Speaker 3: that graphic. We now have to give you out our
Speaker 3: Survivor pick. Week one, Survivor we gave you was Baltimore Alive.
Speaker 3: Week two, we gave you was Green Bay Alive. Week
Speaker 3: three we gave you was Minnesota Alive. This week, the
Speaker 3: Survivor pick is the chargers. Do I feel great about it?
Speaker 3: I don't. This is a week you really want to
Speaker 3: have Green Bay available to you. Chargers are on the
Speaker 3: road and they're banged up Houston. On the other hand,
Speaker 3: I don't think it's actually trying to win. I think
Speaker 3: the Chargers, now, if just for our purposes, that's locked in. Obviously,
Speaker 3: if justin Herbert all of a sudden isn't playing, you
Speaker 3: can change it by Sunday morning. The chargers of the
Speaker 3: pick all right, uh is there? So what are we
Speaker 3: doing here? Demon say, how do you want to do it?
Speaker 3: What are you? What are we doing next?
Speaker 2: Are we doing the exotics? Yeah? Oh yeah, you get
Speaker 2: You gave me a lesson last week in these teaser things. Yeah,
Speaker 2: let's see if I got it right. Yeah. What do
Speaker 2: you think of me doing a three teamer Jackson plus
Speaker 2: sixty and a half points, Casey plus nine points? Yeah,
Speaker 2: and the Packers just to win and at that line
Speaker 2: six hundred wins five hundred minus one twenty. Sorry, so
Speaker 2: six hundred wins five hundred. What do you think about that?
Speaker 3: I mean, that's a really good teaser. Yeah, I mean
Speaker 3: that's a really good teaser. I mean, you're not supposed
Speaker 3: to cross the zero on the Kansas City thing. What
Speaker 3: a three team ten pointer? Oh boy, and you're here's
Speaker 3: the here's the problem with that one. I'm just gonna
Speaker 3: be honest. You're getting no teaser value on Jacksonville, not
Speaker 3: enough at least like it's It's the thing with ten
Speaker 3: point teasers is they always look good because you get
Speaker 3: to move the lines ten points. But I get with Jacksonville.
Speaker 3: You'd love it even more if they're plus seven and
Speaker 3: a half. And so the ten point teaser it crosses
Speaker 3: all the way to plus seventeen and a half. But
Speaker 3: the Packers just win the Chiefs to keep it within
Speaker 3: a score Jacksonville not to get blown out. All right,
Speaker 3: you might have sold me on that one. I gotta
Speaker 3: think about it, and I gotta see all the lines move.
Speaker 3: But I like that one a lot. That's a good teaser.
Speaker 3: That's a really good teaser. Do you know before we
Speaker 3: get to the offer, do you know what your three
Speaker 3: picks are gonna be?
Speaker 2: Yet? Yes? All right?
Speaker 3: What listen, we have to add these to our ledger
Speaker 3: and we'll keep the score. We'll add Demonte's score sheet
Speaker 3: to it. What are your three picks this week?
Speaker 2: Uh so. My three picks are first of all that
Speaker 2: I'm bopping off you on one of them. I like
Speaker 2: the Minnesota versus New Orleans Minnesota and a half. I've
Speaker 2: got to go with that one.
Speaker 4: Ye.
Speaker 2: My other one is Miami at Cincinnati.
Speaker 3: You're taking Miami plus the four yep.
Speaker 2: I honestly want the original line when it was when
Speaker 2: I looked at it last week.
Speaker 3: No you don't.
Speaker 2: It was more than your oh wait, yeah, yeah, yeah,
Speaker 2: I love that. And then the.
Speaker 3: Rams, the Rams plus one and a half exactly, so
Speaker 3: Demanse's Yeah, two of them are the exact side. I
Speaker 3: said people that the square better is gonna want to bet.
Speaker 2: I'm there with him, and one is my pick, yep. Okay,
Speaker 2: all right.
Speaker 3: The way this is gonna work is these are all
Speaker 3: since Demanse is retired from NFL betting, These are all
Speaker 3: one hundred dollars wagers. I am going to keep them
Speaker 3: in a ledger, and if Demanse is profitable at the
Speaker 3: end of the year, I'm going to pay out what
Speaker 3: the profit would have been. So you're getting a total
Speaker 3: gambling free roll to learn that you would not be profiting.
Speaker 3: I'm also getting a free roll because I am not
Speaker 3: concerned at all that you are long term profitable. Okay,
Speaker 3: all right, what's the offer this week?
Speaker 2: All right, so last week you accepted an offer for
Speaker 2: me and you lost.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it was looking good though when the Chiefs it
Speaker 3: was the Giants were the last undefeated team, and that
Speaker 3: bet was very live. You were nervous. But yeah, I
Speaker 3: owe you fifty dollars, which is why we did double
Speaker 3: or nothing on something.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we did the double or nothing on.
Speaker 3: Uh the it was Oh, it was the it was
Speaker 3: Thursday night game. Yeah I have Yeah, we did it
Speaker 3: on due so we'll yeah, okay, sweet, same thing, so
Speaker 3: we'll people will have known what happened. Oh, there's the
Speaker 3: fifty dollars. Look at the new graphic instead of holding
Speaker 3: the phone. Okay, go ahead, love it.
Speaker 2: We're three weeks in and you've yet to have a
Speaker 2: winning week, winning week on your picks. But I think
Speaker 2: you're due to go on five.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 2: I'm making a five game parlay, fading all of your picks.
Speaker 2: So this means.
Speaker 3: You're gonna have New Orleans, Tampa, Denver, the Giants and
Speaker 3: Philly all.
Speaker 2: To cover exactly.
Speaker 3: It's twenty all right, I've got no I'm not taking
Speaker 3: that offer, that's stupid. Take it off the screen. I
Speaker 3: have something more interesting.
Speaker 2: Okay.
Speaker 3: I will bet you one hundred bucks that I go
Speaker 3: five and oh before I go oh and five.
Speaker 2: Hmm.
Speaker 3: That's the offer to you.
Speaker 2: I don't want to take that either.
Speaker 3: You don't want to take it. No, I'll bet you
Speaker 3: two hundred dollars to one hundred dollars. I'll give you
Speaker 3: two to one that I go five and oh at
Speaker 3: some point before I go oh on five. I'm not
Speaker 3: going on five. If I go on five, I'm retiring
Speaker 3: the show.
Speaker 2: They just shame the change the show, all right, So yeah,
Speaker 2: I'll take it.
Speaker 3: That's a deal.
Speaker 2: It's a deal.
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, that's that's the deal. You're not going
Speaker 3: so in five twenty five to one, fading all my picks.
Speaker 3: That's stupid.
Speaker 2: Amen, that's stupid.
Speaker 3: And you don't even believe in it. Be you liked.
Speaker 3: There's no pattern. I've never gone on in five. We've
Speaker 3: going two and three every week. I don't like these
Speaker 3: bad vibes from you. I'm also late for television. I've
Speaker 3: got to go. There's The Gambling Show, episode seventy six.
Speaker 3: What's right with Nick?
Speaker 4: Right,