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Speaker 3: All Right, Welcome in episode seventy six What's Right with

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Speaker 3: Nick Right podcast and YouTube show, our week four NFL

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Speaker 3: gambling show and listening to yours. How this works. We'll

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Speaker 3: give you five picks a week, we give you one lock.

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Speaker 3: We might give you some exotics. Demanse makes me an offer.

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Speaker 3: Who more on that stuff later in the show. Because

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Speaker 3: I actually lost the offer bet to you, uh so,

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Speaker 3: I owe you fifty dollars we discussed on Thursday's pod.

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Speaker 3: There's a lot a lot here. We break the games

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Speaker 3: down into four categories. My picks, stay aways, be carefuls,

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Speaker 3: and perfectly priced. Now the reason you would listen to

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Speaker 3: me on this is theoretically, if I'm making you money,

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Speaker 3: I'm giving out good picks. We can show you my

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Speaker 3: record thus far. It's not great. We've been two and

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Speaker 3: three every god for saken week. We give you one

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Speaker 3: lock a week. In those five we've missed two in

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Speaker 3: a row. But that's where the real frustration comes. Because

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Speaker 3: two weeks ago our lock was Baltimore minus three and

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Speaker 3: a half against Miami and they are up twenty one

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Speaker 3: points in the fourth quarter and they blew it. You

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Speaker 3: can start the clock, they blew it. And last week

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Speaker 3: our lock with San Francisco minus one and a half,

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Speaker 3: and that was as painful of a gambling loss for

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Speaker 3: you and for me as I've ever had. Even when

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Speaker 3: Denver took the lead, the bat was still very live.

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Speaker 3: If San Francisco, if Jimmy g doesn't throw that last

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Speaker 3: pick kick a field goal, win by two. So the

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Speaker 3: reason I, while I'm sick to my stomach about it,

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Speaker 3: the reason I don't I haven't questioned the process is

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Speaker 3: this because we have told you to be Oh. And

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Speaker 3: the teaser we gave out last week was it it

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Speaker 3: was Philly, which covered Houston, which covered and the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: who blew it, which is why teasers are But here's

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Speaker 3: the thing. If you've been listening to us on this

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Speaker 3: been three weeks of NFL gambling, you are down just

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Speaker 3: three units plus the big six wins nine losses. We

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Speaker 3: should be eight and seven and three and zero on

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Speaker 3: the locks. Our two locks have been our two worst

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Speaker 3: speeds of the year. We also got screwed in the

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Speaker 3: Jacksonville game in week one, in Carolina game in week one,

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Speaker 3: and we've only really gotten lucky once and that was

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Speaker 3: the Arizona Vegas game. But the process is sound. We

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Speaker 3: haven't had any true disasters. We just need one outstanding

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Speaker 3: week five and oh might be too much. Four and

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Speaker 3: one would be great to be back on track and

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Speaker 3: to really after the first month of the season like

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Speaker 3: teams in the NFL two and two after one month

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Speaker 3: we can deal with. If we're around five hundred after

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Speaker 3: a month, we can deal with it. So we are

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Speaker 3: giving out five picks this week. They are as follows,

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Speaker 3: and we will explain them as follows. The first one

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Speaker 3: is you gotta wake up early to see this game

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Speaker 3: Minnesota minus two and a half against New Orleans in London.

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Speaker 3: Demons if you remember when you and I were guessing

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Speaker 3: the lines on Sunday and you told me, I guess

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Speaker 3: this line, and you told I think I said, because

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Speaker 3: you said to me Minnesota at New Orleans and I said,

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Speaker 3: I probably Minnesota by about three. You said, yeah, two

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Speaker 3: and a half, and then we realized the game was

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Speaker 3: in London. I don't understand how Minnesota is less than

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Speaker 3: a field goal favorite on a neutral site against a

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Speaker 3: New Orleans team that sucks. That stinks. Jameis Winston, as

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Speaker 3: of today, is yet to practice this week. We'll see,

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Speaker 3: Like we don't have the latest injury report for Thursday,

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Speaker 3: but didn't practice on Wednesday. Dennis Allen consistently has shown

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Speaker 3: throughout his career's not an NFL head coach. The skill

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Speaker 3: position guys for the Saints are banged up. Minnesota, on

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Speaker 3: the other hand, we know Kirk Cousin stinks at night. Well,

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Speaker 3: now he gets to play at six in the morning.

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Speaker 3: Well it's not really in the morning, but it's in London.

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Speaker 3: We understand. I think Minnesota is a good team. I

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Speaker 3: have no evidence whatsoever that New Orleans is a good team.

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Speaker 3: New Orleans beat Atlanta by the skin of their teeth

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Speaker 3: in Week one needed a sixteen point fourth quarter comeback.

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Speaker 3: They then got bullied by Tampa and lost, I would say,

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Speaker 3: convincingly to Carolina, a game that at one point was

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Speaker 3: twenty two to seven against Carolina, which is not proven

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Speaker 3: to be good. Yea, I think Minnesota is a good team.

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Speaker 3: I think New Orleans is not a good team. I'm

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Speaker 3: laying less than a field goal. I really like this game.

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Speaker 3: Minnesota minus two and a half against New Orleans in London.

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Speaker 3: That's pick one. I almost made it our lock of

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Speaker 3: the week. I didn't quite do that, to be totally honest,

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Speaker 3: because this isn't really sound logically, but it's the first

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Speaker 3: it's the nine am start time or whatever it is.

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Speaker 3: I don't want to risk losing my lock before the

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Speaker 3: NFL actually gets going. I just put such a damper

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Speaker 3: on my day. I don't want to risk it. All

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Speaker 3: right now, we are yet to include a Chiefs game

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Speaker 3: in any of our picks. However, if you remember our

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Speaker 3: analysis so far in discussing the Chiefs games, we said

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Speaker 3: in Week one we expect the Chiefs to be winning

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Speaker 3: by double digits, but we didn't want to lay. I

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Speaker 3: think it was six against Arizona because they won't quit

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Speaker 3: the good backdoor cover. They didn't quit. They did score

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Speaker 3: a bunch late. The Chiefs were just up by like

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Speaker 3: thirty though, so the analysis was sound there. Week two,

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Speaker 3: we said Kansas City minus three. We liked Kansas City

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Speaker 3: minus three and a half or four against the Chargers.

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Speaker 3: We wanted to stay away from. The Chiefs won by three.

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Speaker 3: Week three, we included the Chiefs in the be careful

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Speaker 3: area because it fell like a little too easy of

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Speaker 3: a line. The colt stink the Chiefs are awesome? Why

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Speaker 3: aren't they favored by a touchdown?

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Speaker 2: Now?

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Speaker 3: I didn't think the Chiefs could lose outright, but we

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Speaker 3: had that one right as well. For the first time,

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Speaker 3: we're including the Chiefs and one of our picks. They

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Speaker 3: just have to beat the Bucks. I believe they will

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Speaker 3: beat the Bucks. Kin City minus one.

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Speaker 2: Is the play.

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Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes. We've gone over it as the greatest September

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Speaker 3: quarterback in league history. The Chiefs have a little bit

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Speaker 3: of get back in them for this game because the

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Speaker 3: Bucks did beat them in the Super Bowl, and the

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Speaker 3: Chiefs blew that game last week. Tampa doesn't shouldn't feel

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Speaker 3: like they blew that game last week. Tampa against Green Bay.

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Speaker 3: Was lucky to be in the game at the end.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Additional, Mahomes knows this might be the last time he

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Speaker 3: ever plays Brady. In fact, unless both teams make the

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Speaker 3: Super Bowl, or unless Brady changes teams, this will be

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Speaker 3: the last time he ever plays Brady. You don't play

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Speaker 3: the NFC team more than once every few years. This

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Speaker 3: is going to be Mahomes's last shot at Brady, unless

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Speaker 3: both teams make the super Bowl this year or Brady

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Speaker 3: keeps playing longer. I don't think the Chiefs are going

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Speaker 3: to have the kicking issues they had last week. I

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Speaker 3: don't think the Chiefs are going to have the drop

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Speaker 3: passes they had last week, the cowardly fourth down decisions

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Speaker 3: they had last week. Tampa, on the other hand, I

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Speaker 3: think is going to struggle.

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Speaker 2: This game is going to be in October.

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Speaker 4: Though.

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Speaker 3: Oh, that's a good point.

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Speaker 2: Patrick mahums the best September Rady quarterback.

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Speaker 3: Okay, you know what, that's a fair point. I still

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Speaker 3: like the Chiefs. You know what, you are correct, though,

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Speaker 3: it will be in October. Well done, sir. The final

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Speaker 3: September game was Bengals Dolphins. My apologies. That's a good point.

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Speaker 3: I didn't realize it the day before my birthday. Actually,

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Speaker 3: I don't think Kana City is going to have the

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Speaker 3: cowardly fourth down issues that had had this past week.

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Speaker 3: And I think Tampa, even with the weapons back, is

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Speaker 3: going to struggle to score twenty one points. The Chiefs

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Speaker 3: in Mahomes' career have lost twice ever when the defense

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Speaker 3: allows less than twenty seven points. Oddly enough, both were

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Speaker 3: to the Colts. One was last week. So can Tampa

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Speaker 3: get to twenty seven? I don't think so. The Chiefs

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Speaker 3: won't lose a back to back games where the defense

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Speaker 3: plays well. I believe in Mahomes. I actually do believe

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Speaker 3: in Tampa's well. But we said before the year the

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Speaker 3: most brutal part of Tampa's schedule was this opening month.

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Speaker 3: They're dealing with even more injuries than we thought. It

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Speaker 3: then softens up greatly. If you remember, for the year,

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Speaker 3: I said, if you gave me odds, I would bet

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Speaker 3: Tampa under one and a half wins through four weeks.

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Speaker 3: I love Tampa at under two wins through four weeks,

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Speaker 3: knowing if they go two and two it's a push.

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Speaker 3: I don't think Tampa's going three and one in the

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Speaker 3: first month. I don't think Brady's just right yet. I

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Speaker 3: do think the Chiefs offensive line bounces back. I like

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Speaker 3: Kansa City minus one, all right, one more favorite, and

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Speaker 3: I understand that underdogs are usually the sharper side of things.

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Speaker 3: This one, however, I think it's gonna fall into a

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Speaker 3: few of my rules.

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Speaker 2: You gotta explain yourself a bit on this one.

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Speaker 3: Okay, Las Vegas minus three at home against Denver, yep, Okay.

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Speaker 2: Serious, any game that russ was due, it's this one

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Speaker 2: against the Raiders.

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Speaker 3: Why.

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Speaker 2: I mean, the Raiders are ah and three, they're just

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Speaker 2: not good. And then Russell Wilson, I feel like, given

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Speaker 2: his history and with that one drive that he was himself,

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Speaker 2: I think they we're going to see a lot more

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Speaker 2: of that in the Raiders game.

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Speaker 3: Okay, here's what I think. I don't think the Raiders

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Speaker 3: are going to be four and thirteen, and they got

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Speaker 3: to start winning games at some point. Okay, they're at home,

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Speaker 3: they're desperate. Denver meanwhile, maybe feeling a little better about

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Speaker 3: itself than it should being two and one when they're

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Speaker 3: and not playing up to that level. Additionally, I said,

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Speaker 3: until proven otherwise. Nathaniel Hackett is a must fade against

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Speaker 3: a good coach. Now, I don't know that Josh McDaniels

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Speaker 3: is a good coach, and I wouldn't love Denver at

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Speaker 3: minus three and a half. And in fact, I think

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Speaker 3: right now you can get them in some spots at

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Speaker 3: minus two and a half. If I wanted to try

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Speaker 3: to juice my numbers a bit, I would have. The

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Speaker 3: producers have changed it, but we use the Fox Bet

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Speaker 3: lines at the moment. The super contest locks our lines lock,

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Speaker 3: so we got locked in at three. I think the

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Speaker 3: Raiders win this game. The Denver offense has been absolutely brutal.

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Speaker 3: I think DeVante Adams has a bounce back game after

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Speaker 3: a couple quiet weeks, and I think the Raiders get

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Speaker 3: to one and three.

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Speaker 2: What's up if the Raiders don't bounce back this week?

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Speaker 2: What's the narrative moving forward about the Raiders? Or yes,

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Speaker 2: the Raiders that McDaniels is the wrong guy. Okay, I

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Speaker 2: mean Derek Carr will catch some of it. But they

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Speaker 2: were a playoff team last year. The playoff team. But

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Speaker 2: think about that. Henry Ruggs had the tragedy, Gruden had

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Speaker 2: the horrifying emails, They had a oh yeah, they got

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Speaker 2: a bunch of bunch of stopped.

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Speaker 3: Last year and they made the playoffs. Then they add

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Speaker 3: Devanta Adams, they start ow owing four disaster. Additionally, the Raiders'

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Speaker 3: biggest weakness for years has been they can't create a

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Speaker 3: pass rush. Well, luckily, Russell Wilson creates one of his

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Speaker 3: own by the way he handles himself in the pocket,

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Speaker 3: he hurts his offensive line. I think the I think

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Speaker 3: the general public is gonna love the Broncos on the

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Speaker 3: money line and the Broncos plus the points. I like

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Speaker 3: the Raiders at home. Laying the three points now to

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Speaker 3: some dogs first few weeks is the type of game

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Speaker 3: I wouldn't have bet, and I'd say to stay away

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Speaker 3: because you know why, I just don't want to watch it.

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Speaker 3: That's no way to make money. The Bears play the Giants.

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Speaker 2: You bet on Chicago every week, No, I don't.

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Speaker 3: This is the first time I bet on Chicago, first

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Speaker 3: time I've bet against them. I bet against them in

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Speaker 3: week one. Always Chicago has been involved. That that's fair

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Speaker 3: because week one. Let me see who they've played each

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Speaker 3: week and I'll explain it. So week one they were

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Speaker 3: playing the Niners in the monsoon and that one, I

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Speaker 3: went with the Niners. Week two, my lock, I had

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Speaker 3: Green Bay and I went against them. So I've gone

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Speaker 3: against Chicago every weekend. It's not that and now and

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Speaker 3: then three I had Houston plus two and a half

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Speaker 3: in a game that was stolen from me, absolute theft

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Speaker 3: that that one didn't cover. These Chicago wins on a

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Speaker 3: field goal at the gun after a terrible Davis Mills interception.

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Speaker 3: This week, I'm going with the Bears. The Bears plus

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Speaker 3: three against the Giants. Here's why. I know the Bears

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Speaker 3: can run the ball.

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Speaker 4: I know the.

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Speaker 3: Bears are not going to ask Justin Fields to throw

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Speaker 3: the football because they're one with him throwing twenty three passes.

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Speaker 3: The Giants are on a short week. The Giants just

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Speaker 3: lost Sterling Shepherd. You know, unfortunately for the season, Kenny

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Speaker 3: Galladay has been a disaster. The Bears are just gonna say,

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Speaker 3: we're gonna stop Saquon. Add to that, it's been two

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Speaker 3: weeks since Daniel Jones fumbled. He's got one coming that much.

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Speaker 3: You can guarantee that's me, Revin. If you hear the

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Speaker 3: background noise, this is me, Revin, my engine to bet

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Speaker 3: this bit game. This is a just a vintage grab

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Speaker 3: the points game. I'm getting Chicago. I'm getting a full

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Speaker 3: field goal. They absolutely could win the game out right.

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Speaker 3: Whoever wins this game, by the way, is going to

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Speaker 3: be the most fraudulent three to one in recent memories.

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Speaker 3: I mean, these are two two and one teams that

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Speaker 3: are just awful. But I'm getting the points. I don't

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Speaker 3: think the Giants. I think the Giants fans are a

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Speaker 3: little heartbroken from last week. I think the MetLife is

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Speaker 3: not going to exactly be rocking for them. I like

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Speaker 3: fading Daniel Jones. I don't know that Daniel Jones deserves

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Speaker 3: to be a full field goal favorite over just about anybody. Also,

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Speaker 3: when it comes to the Giants, I understand everyone loves

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Speaker 3: the story of the Giants, or they did love the

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Speaker 3: story of the Giants. Let me remind you what the

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Speaker 3: Giants have done this year. In Week one, they play

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Speaker 3: the Titans. It takes a last minute drive, plus a

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Speaker 3: two point conversion, plus Randy Bullock missing a forty five

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Speaker 3: yard field goal for them to want win. Week two,

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Speaker 3: they beat Carolina at home on a fifty six yard

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Speaker 3: field goal. Is the deciding play. That is, despite the

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Speaker 3: fact that they won the turnover battle two to nothing.

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Speaker 3: They beat Carolina nineteen sixteen, and week three they got

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Speaker 3: beat by Cooper Rush in Dallas, so they're two to one.

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Speaker 3: Yet they've been outscored on the season. They've shown no

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Speaker 3: ability to beat a team by any significant margin. Both

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Speaker 3: of their wins have come down to kicks in the

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Speaker 3: final minutes. Chicago plus three and now my lock of

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Speaker 3: the week, a team that is catching six and a

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Speaker 3: half that I believe is going to win the game outright,

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Speaker 3: and in fact, I even might have our first forget teaser,

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Speaker 3: our first parlay of the week later.

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Speaker 2: In the show.

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Speaker 3: Jacksonville plus six and a half at Philly. Jacksonville is

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Speaker 3: one defensive laps away from being three and up. Week two,

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Speaker 3: they played the Colts, who are not good but not horrific,

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Speaker 3: and blanked them twenty four to nothing. Week three, they

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Speaker 3: played the Chargers and kicked the shit out of them. Philly, meanwhile,

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Speaker 3: absolutely has looked very impressive. However, they've only played one

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Speaker 3: team I truly believe in, and that team was Minnesota

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Speaker 3: and it was on Monday Night, which is Kirk Cousins kryptonite.

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Speaker 3: Week one, Philly played Detroit. Week three, Philly played Washington.

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Speaker 3: Philly also the last two weeks has done something odd,

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Speaker 3: jumped out to huge leads and then done nothing. Twenty

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Speaker 3: four to seven was the halftime score against Minnesota, the

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Speaker 3: final score twenty four to seven. Twenty four to nothing

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Speaker 3: was the halftime score against Washington, final score twenty four

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Speaker 3: to eight. So Philly has scored by the way. They

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Speaker 3: all scored twenty four points in the first half of

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Speaker 3: Week one, but they added fourteen more. Philly has not

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Speaker 3: been a great second half team. Jacksonville I think will

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Speaker 3: win this game out right. I would be shocked if

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Speaker 3: they get blown out. This line opened at seven, and

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Speaker 3: I told you Betty with it back before you retired

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Speaker 3: from betting that betting Jacksonville plus seven was the move

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Speaker 3: because it was gonna move a bit towards Jacksonville. It

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Speaker 3: dated six and a half. Trevor Lawrence is the real

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Speaker 3: fing deal. I like Jaleen Herds played great. Trevor Lawrence

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Speaker 3: is better than him. Jacksonville's defense, with the number one

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Speaker 3: pick of the draft Walker, he has been outstanding. They

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Speaker 3: have a totally revamped defense. Doug Peterson has been good.

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Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence has been outstanding. That last two weeks they

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Speaker 3: have won by a combined fifty two points. Philly also

318
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Speaker 3: is a very good team, but they are not a

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Speaker 3: juggernaut despite their record.

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Speaker 2: What's up?

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Speaker 3: What's the what's the well? Do you have a Are

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Speaker 3: we good or no?

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Speaker 2: No? No, no.

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Speaker 3: I didn't know if you were gonna have an issue

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Speaker 3: with my field, with my pick here your eyes.

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Speaker 2: No. I like Philly the I don't like them like

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Speaker 2: on this line, but I like Philly.

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Speaker 3: I think Philly is a good team, and I think

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Speaker 3: right now I laughed at people before the year that

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Speaker 3: were saying the Eagles could be the one seed in

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Speaker 3: the NFC. I was wrong. I think they will be

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Speaker 3: the one seed in the NFC. Here's the other reason

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Speaker 3: why I like Jacksonville. Here. Whether Philly will admit it

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Speaker 3: or not, they know they don't need this game. Listen

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Speaker 3: to what Philly has the rest of the way. I'll

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Speaker 3: read you all their games at Arizona, Okay, A little

337
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Speaker 3: tough home for Dallas, home for Pittsburgh at Houston, home

338
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:20,359
Speaker 3: for Washington at Indy, a little tough home for green Bay,

339
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Speaker 3: very tough home for Tennessee at the Giants, at the Bears,

340
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Speaker 3: at the Cowboys, home for New Orleans home for the Giants.

341
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Speaker 3: They have four semi They have three semi two semi

342
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Speaker 3: tough games, the Packers game and the Jags game. Every

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Speaker 3: other game they play one of the worst teams in

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Speaker 3: the league. I like Jacksonville. I believe in Trevor Lawrence.

345
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Speaker 3: It's my lock of the week. So there's my five picks.

346
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Speaker 3: Minnesota minus two and a half, Kent City minus one,

347
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Speaker 3: Vegas minus three, Chicago plus three, and Jacksonville plus six

348
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Speaker 3: and a half. We are going four and one at

349
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Speaker 3: a minimum, we are getting the lock. At a minimum,

350
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Speaker 3: five and zero could be on deck. If next week

351
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Speaker 3: I come back here and we're two and three again,

352
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Speaker 3: we gotta start the process over.

353
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Speaker 2: I think we got to switch seats at that point

354
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Speaker 2: in the Gambling Show.

355
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Speaker 3: Oh oh, that's also by the way, We're gonna go

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Speaker 3: through the rest of the slate quickly. In the B

357
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Speaker 3: block and the Sea block will give you our survivor pick,

358
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Speaker 3: which is the one thing we've done well in the

359
00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:24,760
Speaker 3: nation where eighty percent of people have lost their survivor picks. Already,

360
00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:28,000
Speaker 3: we've given you three winners, and Demons is gonna pick

361
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:30,960
Speaker 3: his three favorite bets of the week and We're gonna

362
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:33,280
Speaker 3: start tracking that as well to see if at the

363
00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:35,480
Speaker 3: end of the season he would have been profitable if

364
00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:38,120
Speaker 3: he didn't retire from gambling. All that coming up next

365
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:40,120
Speaker 3: What's Right.

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00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:48,399
Speaker 4: This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the

367
00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:51,800
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368
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370
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372
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Speaker 3: All right, welcome back in What's Right? Nick Wright, Episode

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Speaker 3: number seventy six, Week four NFL Gambling Show. Just gave

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Speaker 3: you our five picks. We'll give you the exotics and

377
00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:26,119
Speaker 3: the survivor pick and everything later in the show, but

378
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,360
Speaker 3: right now, we're going to go through the other eleven

379
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Speaker 3: games on the slate in what category they're and we're

380
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Speaker 3: gonna start with the stay aways. Demonse what's the first one?

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Speaker 2: Uh? New England at green Bay? Green Bay favored by

382
00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:38,240
Speaker 2: nine and a half.

383
00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:41,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a stay away for a number of reasons.

384
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Speaker 3: One is the Patriots are pretending like Mac Jones might play,

385
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Speaker 3: He's not gonna play.

386
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Speaker 2: Okay.

387
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Speaker 3: Now, do I believe green Bay has the ability to

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Speaker 3: just kick the crap out of the Patriots? Of course

389
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Speaker 3: I do, but I ain't the Patriots. If Hoyer's the quarterback,

390
00:21:56,000 --> 00:22:01,520
Speaker 3: the game plan might be ball control, run the ball,

391
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:07,679
Speaker 3: punt fest and I could see a scenario where this

392
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Speaker 3: the Patriots never have a chance to win the game,

393
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Speaker 3: but are also it's a ten point game ish the

394
00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:19,920
Speaker 3: whole way and they So it's a stay away because

395
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Speaker 3: with Hoyer, I think there is a real possibility the

396
00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:29,440
Speaker 3: Patriots plays such a conservative ball control style that it's

397
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Speaker 3: tough for the Packers to score the If you're gonna

398
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Speaker 3: lay ten, you want to believe the team can get

399
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Speaker 3: to at least twenty seven, and I'm not certain the

400
00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:41,600
Speaker 3: Patriots style of play is gonna allow that. I love

401
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:44,440
Speaker 3: the Packers are if you haven't left in your Survivor contest,

402
00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:46,600
Speaker 3: this is the week to use them. They are no

403
00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:49,000
Speaker 3: doubt winner, but it's a stay away from me. What's

404
00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:49,679
Speaker 3: the next one?

405
00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:53,280
Speaker 2: Oh, we got Arizona at Carolina, with Carolina favored by one.

406
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 2: He's very strange.

407
00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:56,199
Speaker 3: Why is that strange? Tell me?

408
00:22:57,800 --> 00:22:59,880
Speaker 2: Tell me. I could see how a lot of people

409
00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:01,159
Speaker 2: aren't going to stay away from that.

410
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Speaker 3: Why what side do you like on it?

411
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Speaker 2: Arizona.

412
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Speaker 3: Arizona's been so bad, man, I get it. But this

413
00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 3: is to me a stay away because Carolina's offense has

414
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:18,200
Speaker 3: looked absolutely abysmal. Baker's not been good. Arizona. It seems

415
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,639
Speaker 3: like everybody hates each other. I have no feel. I

416
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:24,679
Speaker 3: know what Carolina does well. They play good defense. I

417
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:27,080
Speaker 3: know what they don't do well, everything on the offensive

418
00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:30,359
Speaker 3: side of the ball. Sorry Baker side from Christian McCaffery. Arizona,

419
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:33,280
Speaker 3: on the other hand, for like fifteen minutes this season

420
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:37,439
Speaker 3: looked super dynamic and exciting, and every other part of

421
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:42,520
Speaker 3: this season has looked absolutely blah and terrible. If I

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Speaker 3: had to pick a side, it would be Carolina. But

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Speaker 3: this is just to be a vintage stay away because

424
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:52,800
Speaker 3: you don't know any given week what you're going to

425
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Speaker 3: get from either of these teams. All right, next, go ahead?

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Speaker 3: Did you want to say something.

427
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:01,440
Speaker 2: No, no, no, it's fine, Okay, Jets Pittsburgh's favorite by

428
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Speaker 2: three and a half.

429
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Speaker 3: Yeah, So I'm not laying more than a field goal

430
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Speaker 3: with Mitch Trubisky, and I'm never ever betting on either

431
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Speaker 3: Joe Flacco or It's probably gonna be Zack Wilson. By

432
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Speaker 3: the time this comes out, people might know Zack Wilson,

433
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Speaker 3: but Zack Wilson is Zach Wilson in his first game back.

434
00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:23,399
Speaker 3: Is the reason we created stayaways because we have no no,

435
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,119
Speaker 3: and that's not a knock on Zach, but you have

436
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:29,280
Speaker 3: no idea how healthy he actually is, what he's gonna

437
00:24:29,280 --> 00:24:32,840
Speaker 3: look like. So you can't bet the Jets. You can't

438
00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:35,800
Speaker 3: bet the Jets getting you know, less than four points.

439
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:40,280
Speaker 3: And I'm certainly not going to lay more than a

440
00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:44,639
Speaker 3: field goal with I might have said Jacoby Brisett, but Mitchell. Okay,

441
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:46,920
Speaker 3: I'm not laying more than a field goal with Mitch Trubisky.

442
00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:48,960
Speaker 3: So that's a vintage stay away all right now. To

443
00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:52,399
Speaker 3: be careful. Be careful is the category where it seems

444
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:55,159
Speaker 3: like they're trying to bait you into one side go ahead.

445
00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:59,000
Speaker 2: We got Miami at Cincinnati with Cincinnati favored by four points.

446
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 3: Okay, this started off when it was Cincinnati. It was

447
00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:08,040
Speaker 3: Cincinnati minus two and a half, and now all the

448
00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 3: money has moved to Cincinnati minus. Just on the Cincinnati

449
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 3: side where Cincinnati minus four. This is a be careful

450
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:20,440
Speaker 3: because I do think Cincinnati is gonna win, but I

451
00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 3: actually think Cincinnati has become too trendy of a pick.

452
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:28,520
Speaker 3: I think everyone wants like, Oh, I know everyone's saying

453
00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,080
Speaker 3: what I think is true, which is I know Miami

454
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,199
Speaker 3: is three and oz and Cincinnatis one and two. But

455
00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 3: I like Cincinnati in this spot at four points. Be

456
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:42,040
Speaker 3: careful at two and a half where it opened. Loved Cincinnati.

457
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:46,119
Speaker 3: Now you got to lay four. That would such a

458
00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,840
Speaker 3: critical number to be crossing over that three Dolphins?

459
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:50,080
Speaker 2: Are those boys? Man? Well?

460
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 3: And you love the Dolphins in this spot. I think

461
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:57,639
Speaker 3: they're gonna be one of your picks. And by the

462
00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:01,480
Speaker 3: way we're talking about this now everyone will have known

463
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:03,960
Speaker 3: at this point what has happened, but we can still

464
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:07,560
Speaker 3: include it because we're doing it before the game. Four

465
00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:11,760
Speaker 3: is too much, and I can't go with Miami because

466
00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:14,119
Speaker 3: I think since I's gonna win out right, So if

467
00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:16,679
Speaker 3: I take Miami plus the points, like you, if you

468
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:18,960
Speaker 3: take an underdog that's less than a touchdown, you want

469
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 3: to believe they can win the game out right. I

470
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:22,720
Speaker 3: don't think they will, and I think too much of

471
00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:26,200
Speaker 3: the public is on Cincinnati, which is also the money

472
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 3: line side. I'm on, just be careful. I wouldn't bet it.

473
00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 3: And thankfully, by the time you guys are hearing this,

474
00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:32,560
Speaker 3: you will have not been able to take this advice

475
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:34,680
Speaker 3: because the game will have happened. You will have either

476
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:35,199
Speaker 3: bet it or not.

477
00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 2: Next Oh, we got Atlanta at home versus Cleveland and

478
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 2: they are one and a half point underdogs. All right,

479
00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:44,399
Speaker 2: Atlanta is one and a half point underdogs. Yeah, okay,

480
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:46,639
Speaker 2: you got it right. Oh okay, no, no, I thought so.

481
00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 3: You said exactly right. Uh So, here's the deal. Everyone

482
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:57,080
Speaker 3: in the world is gonna take Cleveland. Cleveland should be

483
00:26:57,080 --> 00:27:00,840
Speaker 3: three and up. They've been running all over everyone.

484
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, Nick Chubb, are they going to be able to

485
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:03,200
Speaker 2: stop the run?

486
00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:07,360
Speaker 3: Yeah? Everybody's going to be on Cleveland. Ye careful, now,

487
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:14,200
Speaker 3: gotta be careful now, guys, Atlanta runs the ball exceptionally well.

488
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:24,719
Speaker 3: Cleveland is still starting. Jacoby Brissett. The entire gambling public

489
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:28,840
Speaker 3: is going to be laying points on the road with

490
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:33,280
Speaker 3: Jacoby Brissett. I'd be shocked if Miles Garrett plays. He's

491
00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:39,880
Speaker 3: in this terrible car accident. Cleveland is has looked awesome.

492
00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:45,960
Speaker 3: There's going to be a game where Jacoby looks terrible. Atlanta, meanwhile,

493
00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:49,359
Speaker 3: is feeling like, did we save our season with that

494
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:54,040
Speaker 3: win against Seattle? Are we alive now? Do I feel

495
00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:57,360
Speaker 3: good enough to bet Atlanta? I don't, But I think

496
00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:59,720
Speaker 3: there's going to be a game where the Action Network

497
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,760
Speaker 3: it's out eighty two percent of the handles on Cleveland

498
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:06,400
Speaker 3: minus less than a field goal. Be very, very careful.

499
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:10,560
Speaker 2: Next, we got Baltimore at home versus Buffalo and they

500
00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:12,280
Speaker 2: are three point underdogs.

501
00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:16,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, Baltimore's three point underdogs. Here's why I say be careful.

502
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 3: People are gonna look at what Tua did to the

503
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:28,399
Speaker 3: Baltimore secondary. Buffalo coming off that terrible loss. Buffalo is

504
00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:31,240
Speaker 3: still on the top of everyone's power rankings, and they

505
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:35,280
Speaker 3: are going to be hammering the Bills. Everyone's going to

506
00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:38,200
Speaker 3: be on the Bills. I actually do think the Bills

507
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:41,400
Speaker 3: are gonna win this game. Wow, why are you shocked

508
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:41,760
Speaker 3: by that?

509
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:44,640
Speaker 2: I mean the overrated Bills versus your guy Lamar and

510
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:45,760
Speaker 2: the Ravens.

511
00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 3: Well, the Ravens defense has been brutal. It's been simply brutal.

512
00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:51,560
Speaker 3: And I mean they let Mac Jones throw for three

513
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:55,080
Speaker 3: hundred yards now they picked him off a bunch. The

514
00:28:55,160 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 3: Ravens defense against Buffalo scares me. But that three points

515
00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:04,000
Speaker 3: I don't know about it, and I know the whole

516
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:08,680
Speaker 3: world's going to be on Buffalo, and something just tells me,

517
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 3: even though I like that somehow, and I know it's

518
00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:17,600
Speaker 3: only a one or two point win. You know what

519
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:20,880
Speaker 3: I could see happening in this game. I'm not predicting this,

520
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:22,600
Speaker 3: but I want to put it out there in case

521
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:26,400
Speaker 3: it does. I could see this being a game that

522
00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:29,560
Speaker 3: is decided on a failed two point conversion by Baltimore

523
00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 3: and Buffalo wins but doesn't cover they finally get their

524
00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 3: close win. I see a lot of I know the

525
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:39,440
Speaker 3: whole world's going to be on Buffalo. I also would

526
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:43,400
Speaker 3: be on Buffalo. Something uneasy in my stomach about this game.

527
00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:48,840
Speaker 3: Just be careful and if you feel like you must

528
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 3: better side, keep in mind this will be one of

529
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:58,720
Speaker 3: the only times you ever get Baltimore at home getting

530
00:29:58,760 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 3: a whole field goal. The smart money would be on Baltimore.

531
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:05,640
Speaker 3: I think the public's going to be on Buffalo. Be

532
00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:06,320
Speaker 3: careful here.

533
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:10,760
Speaker 2: Next one h we got the Rams at San Francisco.

534
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:13,400
Speaker 2: San Francisco is favored by one and a half. Okay.

535
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,959
Speaker 3: The reason I say be careful is I think I

536
00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:21,040
Speaker 3: can't imagine anyone betting San Francisco here. Yeah, the Rams

537
00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:25,040
Speaker 3: after the Week one hiccup have looked good. They are

538
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:28,480
Speaker 3: laying less than a field goal, and they are going

539
00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 3: to be the super public side. However, last year's NFC

540
00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 3: championship came notwithstanding Kyle Shanahan has owned McVeigh. I think

541
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:43,560
Speaker 3: the Niners have an outstanding defense, but they don't have

542
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:46,280
Speaker 3: Trent Williams. It's the best player on their team. So

543
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:48,720
Speaker 3: for all these reasons, the public is going to be

544
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 3: on the Rams. History says it's the Niners.

545
00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:53,680
Speaker 2: Is that left tackle still going to be injured?

546
00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:55,600
Speaker 3: That's why I said the best player. Oh okay, that's

547
00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:58,239
Speaker 3: what I'm talking about Trent Williams. Yeah, no, he's not

548
00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:00,680
Speaker 3: going to be playing, at least I dont think he's

549
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:04,160
Speaker 3: gonna be playing. As a recording of this, I don't

550
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 3: wouldn't have it in me to bet on Jimmy g

551
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:13,480
Speaker 3: with no Trent Williams playing points against Aaron definite, which

552
00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:16,240
Speaker 3: one the Rams side of it? Yes, see, this is

553
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 3: why you gotta be careful, demon Zay says, definitely one

554
00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 3: of his picks. This is what I'm talking about, that

555
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:26,440
Speaker 3: the square better is going to be all over the Rams.

556
00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 3: I might create the be careful category based on I

557
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:34,960
Speaker 3: might just text you and text our group and see

558
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:37,040
Speaker 3: what side you love. All right, we'll very quickly go

559
00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 3: through perfectly priced.

560
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 2: Go ahead. We got Washington at Dallas with Dallas favored

561
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:42,040
Speaker 2: by three points.

562
00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:44,400
Speaker 3: That's exactly what it should be, I mean, doubtless. And

563
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:48,880
Speaker 3: they're both mediocre teams, both with below average quarterbacks. Dallas

564
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 3: is at home, Dallas has a great defense. If I

565
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 3: had to bet a side here, it would be Dallas

566
00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:56,800
Speaker 3: purely because Carson Wentz has got sacked nine times by Philly.

567
00:31:57,080 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 3: What's DeMarcus Lawrence and Michael Parson's gonna do? But Dallas

568
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,640
Speaker 3: is on a short week. That that line's exactly right.

569
00:32:02,680 --> 00:32:06,160
Speaker 2: Next, uh, Seattle at Detroit in Detroit's favor by four.

570
00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:10,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I almost included Detroit in my picks. Okay,

571
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:12,840
Speaker 3: but then I thought about it, and I was like, Okay,

572
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:16,480
Speaker 3: Detroit hadn't been favored in a game in years until

573
00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:18,760
Speaker 3: a couple of weeks ago. Now they're favored by more

574
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:23,000
Speaker 3: than a field goal. Feels a little rich. Gino hasn't

575
00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:25,920
Speaker 3: played terribly this year. The Detroit defense is not great.

576
00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 3: I expect Detroit to win. I expect it to be

577
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:31,400
Speaker 3: a one score game. You've got to give them. You

578
00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:33,440
Speaker 3: can't call it a field goal game because you can't

579
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 3: say Detroit and Seattle are the same quality team. They're not.

580
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:38,480
Speaker 3: Detroit's better price. Just right next, all.

581
00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:42,000
Speaker 2: Right, Houston's five point underdogs at home against the Chargers.

582
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:47,280
Speaker 3: Yeah. The reason I know this is perfectly priced is well,

583
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:49,560
Speaker 3: I shouldn't say the reason I know it's perfectly priced.

584
00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:52,920
Speaker 3: The Chargers should be seven and a half point favorites

585
00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:58,760
Speaker 3: in this spot. But no Rashawon Slater, no Joey Bosa

586
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,840
Speaker 3: banged up Justin Herbert. That's got to be worth about

587
00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:05,640
Speaker 3: three points, and so they should be seven and a

588
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:08,600
Speaker 3: half or eight point favorites. Those injuries knock it down

589
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 3: at least a field goal. Expect the Chargers to win.

590
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:15,000
Speaker 3: The Chargers are gonna be a popular suicide pick this week.

591
00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 3: If you don't have a Green Bay available to you.

592
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:19,880
Speaker 3: But I don't think you can favor the Chargers by

593
00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:22,240
Speaker 3: a full touchdown with those guys missing.

594
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:26,080
Speaker 2: Okay, all right, Next one, Indianapolis favored by three and

595
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:28,160
Speaker 2: a half points at home versus Tennessee.

596
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:32,560
Speaker 3: Okay, at two and a half, this would be in

597
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 3: my picks.

598
00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:36,120
Speaker 2: Okay, three and a half those just right.

599
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 3: Indy's not gonna beat anybody resoundingly right now. The offensive

600
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 3: line hasn't been good. There might be in a bit

601
00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:47,000
Speaker 3: of an emotional letdown after the Chiefs. The Titans, on

602
00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 3: the other hand, stink, But I expect this to be

603
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:55,680
Speaker 3: a low scoring, fast running game, centric three point four

604
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,080
Speaker 3: point game, three and a half points, exactly right.

605
00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,920
Speaker 2: So we got Dallas, Detroit, Houston in Indianapolis here. Should

606
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:04,680
Speaker 2: we just rename the perfectly priced to games that Nick

607
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 2: does not want to watch? No, I've been looking at

608
00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:08,120
Speaker 2: these games, man.

609
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:11,560
Speaker 3: This week it happened, except yeah, this week it happened

610
00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:14,520
Speaker 3: to except for what. Well, I'm interested in seeing how

611
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:15,279
Speaker 3: the Chargers look.

612
00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:17,680
Speaker 2: Oh of course, yeah, yeah, idea, seeing.

613
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:19,239
Speaker 3: How the Chargers look. And you know, I have a

614
00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:22,319
Speaker 3: lot of money writing on Indie being decent this year. Okay,

615
00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:24,520
Speaker 3: so I'm a little interested in that as well. But

616
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 3: this week the perfect I think the perfectly priced games

617
00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:29,919
Speaker 3: do coincide a bit with some of the worst games

618
00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,759
Speaker 3: of the week. That's fine, all right, demand's picks, my

619
00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:35,760
Speaker 3: survivor pick. I've got a parlay for you this week,

620
00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:37,759
Speaker 3: and Demandy's gotten offer. We do all that and we

621
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 3: wrap the show next Welcome back in What's Right? Nick Right?

622
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:50,279
Speaker 3: Final segment, Episode seventy six, Week four Gambling Show. All right,

623
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:52,399
Speaker 3: so we already gave you our five picks of the week.

624
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 3: I'm just going to reiterate them real quick. Minnesota minus

625
00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:57,160
Speaker 3: two and a half in London against New Orleans, Ken

626
00:34:57,200 --> 00:35:01,040
Speaker 3: City minus one at Tampa. We don't yet know if

627
00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:03,439
Speaker 3: that game's actually going to be at Tampa. We think

628
00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 3: it is. It could be moved to Minneapolis, but as

629
00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:08,359
Speaker 3: of recording, it's still going to be at Tampa. Las

630
00:35:08,440 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 3: Vegas mines three against Denver, Chicago getting three against the Giants,

631
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:14,840
Speaker 3: and Jacksonville getting six and a half against Philly. The

632
00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 3: lock of the week is Jacksonville getting six and a

633
00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:21,520
Speaker 3: half at Philly. That is also going to be our

634
00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:28,120
Speaker 3: first parlay. We are money line, so just to win.

635
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:32,960
Speaker 3: I already have put it in actually a money line parlay,

636
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:35,960
Speaker 3: and this could be dead by the time people hear this.

637
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:46,680
Speaker 3: Put it in Monday evening Jacksonville money line, Cincinnati money

638
00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:50,520
Speaker 3: line that pays. Let me see exactly what I got

639
00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:54,480
Speaker 3: it at, cause I got Cincinnati at minus one ninety

640
00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 3: Jacksonville at plus two to twenty. That play pays plus

641
00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 3: four eighty five, So one hundred bucks when four and

642
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:04,560
Speaker 3: eighty five bucks or however you do it. That's our

643
00:36:04,600 --> 00:36:08,040
Speaker 3: first parlay of the year. It will go on the Ledger.

644
00:36:09,080 --> 00:36:11,120
Speaker 3: I think Cincinnati by the time you will have heard

645
00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 3: this will have won. I think the last remaining undefeated

646
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:16,360
Speaker 3: team will be Philly, and I think by Sunday evening

647
00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:19,520
Speaker 3: there will be zero remaining undefeated teams. It is that

648
00:36:19,520 --> 00:36:23,799
Speaker 3: that's the parlay Cincinnati and Jacksonville. So that is our

649
00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:26,759
Speaker 3: one exotic this week. We now also have to love

650
00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:28,799
Speaker 3: that graphic. We now have to give you out our

651
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:35,320
Speaker 3: Survivor pick. Week one, Survivor we gave you was Baltimore Alive.

652
00:36:35,680 --> 00:36:38,799
Speaker 3: Week two, we gave you was Green Bay Alive. Week

653
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:43,160
Speaker 3: three we gave you was Minnesota Alive. This week, the

654
00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:46,600
Speaker 3: Survivor pick is the chargers. Do I feel great about it?

655
00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:49,120
Speaker 3: I don't. This is a week you really want to

656
00:36:49,160 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 3: have Green Bay available to you. Chargers are on the

657
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:54,799
Speaker 3: road and they're banged up Houston. On the other hand,

658
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:57,839
Speaker 3: I don't think it's actually trying to win. I think

659
00:36:57,880 --> 00:37:04,920
Speaker 3: the Chargers, now, if just for our purposes, that's locked in. Obviously,

660
00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:07,319
Speaker 3: if justin Herbert all of a sudden isn't playing, you

661
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:10,040
Speaker 3: can change it by Sunday morning. The chargers of the

662
00:37:10,080 --> 00:37:13,680
Speaker 3: pick all right, uh is there? So what are we

663
00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:15,319
Speaker 3: doing here? Demon say, how do you want to do it?

664
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:18,280
Speaker 3: What are you? What are we doing next?

665
00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:20,879
Speaker 2: Are we doing the exotics? Yeah? Oh yeah, you get

666
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:23,200
Speaker 2: You gave me a lesson last week in these teaser things. Yeah,

667
00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:25,279
Speaker 2: let's see if I got it right. Yeah. What do

668
00:37:25,320 --> 00:37:28,120
Speaker 2: you think of me doing a three teamer Jackson plus

669
00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:31,920
Speaker 2: sixty and a half points, Casey plus nine points? Yeah,

670
00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:35,760
Speaker 2: and the Packers just to win and at that line

671
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:39,360
Speaker 2: six hundred wins five hundred minus one twenty. Sorry, so

672
00:37:39,360 --> 00:37:41,239
Speaker 2: six hundred wins five hundred. What do you think about that?

673
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:48,560
Speaker 3: I mean, that's a really good teaser. Yeah, I mean

674
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:52,720
Speaker 3: that's a really good teaser. I mean, you're not supposed

675
00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:57,960
Speaker 3: to cross the zero on the Kansas City thing. What

676
00:37:58,120 --> 00:38:02,359
Speaker 3: a three team ten pointer? Oh boy, and you're here's

677
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:04,759
Speaker 3: the here's the problem with that one. I'm just gonna

678
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:09,200
Speaker 3: be honest. You're getting no teaser value on Jacksonville, not

679
00:38:09,440 --> 00:38:13,560
Speaker 3: enough at least like it's It's the thing with ten

680
00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:16,040
Speaker 3: point teasers is they always look good because you get

681
00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:21,600
Speaker 3: to move the lines ten points. But I get with Jacksonville.

682
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:25,800
Speaker 3: You'd love it even more if they're plus seven and

683
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:28,520
Speaker 3: a half. And so the ten point teaser it crosses

684
00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:30,880
Speaker 3: all the way to plus seventeen and a half. But

685
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:33,680
Speaker 3: the Packers just win the Chiefs to keep it within

686
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 3: a score Jacksonville not to get blown out. All right,

687
00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 3: you might have sold me on that one. I gotta

688
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:42,000
Speaker 3: think about it, and I gotta see all the lines move.

689
00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:45,040
Speaker 3: But I like that one a lot. That's a good teaser.

690
00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:48,200
Speaker 3: That's a really good teaser. Do you know before we

691
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:50,040
Speaker 3: get to the offer, do you know what your three

692
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:50,799
Speaker 3: picks are gonna be?

693
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:52,279
Speaker 2: Yet? Yes? All right?

694
00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 3: What listen, we have to add these to our ledger

695
00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 3: and we'll keep the score. We'll add Demonte's score sheet

696
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:01,000
Speaker 3: to it. What are your three picks this week?

697
00:39:01,560 --> 00:39:03,840
Speaker 2: Uh so. My three picks are first of all that

698
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:07,799
Speaker 2: I'm bopping off you on one of them. I like

699
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:11,359
Speaker 2: the Minnesota versus New Orleans Minnesota and a half. I've

700
00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:12,239
Speaker 2: got to go with that one.

701
00:39:12,400 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 4: Ye.

702
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 2: My other one is Miami at Cincinnati.

703
00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:17,680
Speaker 3: You're taking Miami plus the four yep.

704
00:39:18,120 --> 00:39:20,279
Speaker 2: I honestly want the original line when it was when

705
00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:21,680
Speaker 2: I looked at it last week.

706
00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:22,279
Speaker 3: No you don't.

707
00:39:22,800 --> 00:39:26,000
Speaker 2: It was more than your oh wait, yeah, yeah, yeah,

708
00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:27,640
Speaker 2: I love that. And then the.

709
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:30,360
Speaker 3: Rams, the Rams plus one and a half exactly, so

710
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:36,600
Speaker 3: Demanse's Yeah, two of them are the exact side. I

711
00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:39,000
Speaker 3: said people that the square better is gonna want to bet.

712
00:39:39,080 --> 00:39:42,160
Speaker 2: I'm there with him, and one is my pick, yep. Okay,

713
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:42,640
Speaker 2: all right.

714
00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:45,320
Speaker 3: The way this is gonna work is these are all

715
00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:48,880
Speaker 3: since Demanse is retired from NFL betting, These are all

716
00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:52,879
Speaker 3: one hundred dollars wagers. I am going to keep them

717
00:39:52,880 --> 00:39:56,560
Speaker 3: in a ledger, and if Demanse is profitable at the

718
00:39:56,680 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 3: end of the year, I'm going to pay out what

719
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:01,720
Speaker 3: the profit would have been. So you're getting a total

720
00:40:01,800 --> 00:40:05,120
Speaker 3: gambling free roll to learn that you would not be profiting.

721
00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:07,600
Speaker 3: I'm also getting a free roll because I am not

722
00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:11,600
Speaker 3: concerned at all that you are long term profitable. Okay,

723
00:40:11,600 --> 00:40:13,360
Speaker 3: all right, what's the offer this week?

724
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:15,719
Speaker 2: All right, so last week you accepted an offer for

725
00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:16,800
Speaker 2: me and you lost.

726
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, it was looking good though when the Chiefs it

727
00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:22,440
Speaker 3: was the Giants were the last undefeated team, and that

728
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:25,040
Speaker 3: bet was very live. You were nervous. But yeah, I

729
00:40:25,080 --> 00:40:28,120
Speaker 3: owe you fifty dollars, which is why we did double

730
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:29,400
Speaker 3: or nothing on something.

731
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:32,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, we did the double or nothing on.

732
00:40:32,640 --> 00:40:36,480
Speaker 3: Uh the it was Oh, it was the it was

733
00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:40,880
Speaker 3: Thursday night game. Yeah I have Yeah, we did it

734
00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:43,759
Speaker 3: on due so we'll yeah, okay, sweet, same thing, so

735
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:45,600
Speaker 3: we'll people will have known what happened. Oh, there's the

736
00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:47,839
Speaker 3: fifty dollars. Look at the new graphic instead of holding

737
00:40:47,840 --> 00:40:49,200
Speaker 3: the phone. Okay, go ahead, love it.

738
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:51,680
Speaker 2: We're three weeks in and you've yet to have a

739
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:54,759
Speaker 2: winning week, winning week on your picks. But I think

740
00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:56,759
Speaker 2: you're due to go on five.

741
00:40:57,239 --> 00:40:57,399
Speaker 1: Uh.

742
00:40:57,480 --> 00:41:00,759
Speaker 2: I'm making a five game parlay, fading all of your picks.

743
00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:02,319
Speaker 2: So this means.

744
00:41:03,640 --> 00:41:05,960
Speaker 3: You're gonna have New Orleans, Tampa, Denver, the Giants and

745
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:06,600
Speaker 3: Philly all.

746
00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:07,920
Speaker 2: To cover exactly.

747
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:11,600
Speaker 3: It's twenty all right, I've got no I'm not taking

748
00:41:11,640 --> 00:41:14,160
Speaker 3: that offer, that's stupid. Take it off the screen. I

749
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:15,400
Speaker 3: have something more interesting.

750
00:41:15,680 --> 00:41:18,879
Speaker 2: Okay.

751
00:41:19,560 --> 00:41:25,839
Speaker 3: I will bet you one hundred bucks that I go

752
00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:29,359
Speaker 3: five and oh before I go oh and five.

753
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:31,800
Speaker 2: Hmm.

754
00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:34,200
Speaker 3: That's the offer to you.

755
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:36,279
Speaker 2: I don't want to take that either.

756
00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:39,600
Speaker 3: You don't want to take it. No, I'll bet you

757
00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:44,719
Speaker 3: two hundred dollars to one hundred dollars. I'll give you

758
00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 3: two to one that I go five and oh at

759
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:50,080
Speaker 3: some point before I go oh on five. I'm not

760
00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:52,840
Speaker 3: going on five. If I go on five, I'm retiring

761
00:41:52,840 --> 00:41:53,160
Speaker 3: the show.

762
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:57,080
Speaker 2: They just shame the change the show, all right, So yeah,

763
00:41:57,120 --> 00:41:57,680
Speaker 2: I'll take it.

764
00:41:57,719 --> 00:41:58,239
Speaker 3: That's a deal.

765
00:41:58,520 --> 00:41:59,120
Speaker 2: It's a deal.

766
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,920
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, that's that's the deal. You're not going

767
00:42:02,040 --> 00:42:05,120
Speaker 3: so in five twenty five to one, fading all my picks.

768
00:42:05,160 --> 00:42:05,800
Speaker 3: That's stupid.

769
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:07,200
Speaker 2: Amen, that's stupid.

770
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:09,839
Speaker 3: And you don't even believe in it. Be you liked.

771
00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:12,200
Speaker 3: There's no pattern. I've never gone on in five. We've

772
00:42:12,200 --> 00:42:14,200
Speaker 3: going two and three every week. I don't like these

773
00:42:14,239 --> 00:42:17,160
Speaker 3: bad vibes from you. I'm also late for television. I've

774
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:19,799
Speaker 3: got to go. There's The Gambling Show, episode seventy six.

775
00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:20,480
Speaker 3: What's right with Nick?

776
00:42:20,560 --> 00:42:23,239
Speaker 4: Right,