1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:07,520 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:11,559 Speaker 2: Good morning. 3 00:00:11,600 --> 00:00:14,400 Speaker 1: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the 4 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:16,280 Speaker 1: stories we're following today. 5 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:19,200 Speaker 3: Here, and we begin with tensions escalating in the Middle East. 6 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,960 Speaker 3: An Egyptian soldier has been killed in a clash with 7 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:25,439 Speaker 3: Israeli troops at the Rafa border crossing in Gaza. The 8 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 3: death comes after an Israeli airstrike killed and estimated forty 9 00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 3: five Palestinians at a camp for displaced people in the territory. 10 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 3: We get more from Bloomberg Middle East anchor Jumana Bersecci. 11 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 4: But the big question for the international community is whether 12 00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:43,840 Speaker 4: or not what happened over the weekend constitutes a red 13 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:46,800 Speaker 4: line as far as the US are concerned, and whether 14 00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 4: actually it would lead to any impact on the shipment 15 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 4: of military equipment or even a pause of the military 16 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:56,120 Speaker 4: equipment that the US had promised to provide Israel with. 17 00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Jamani Barsati says Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Nittanyahu has 18 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 3: called the airstrike in Rafas Sunday a quote tragic mistake. 19 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:07,039 Speaker 1: Well, Nathan, Former President Donald Trump is taking a hardline 20 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 1: stance on pro Palestinian demonstrations on college campuses. According to 21 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 1: her report in The Washington Post, he told donors at 22 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:17,959 Speaker 1: a recent event in New York that he deports student protesters, 23 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 1: and he praised New York City police for clearing the 24 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 1: demonstration at Columbia University. Trump said he supports Israel's right 25 00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:27,399 Speaker 1: to continue its war on terror, but donors at the 26 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 1: gathering say he didn't mention Prime Minister net Yahoo that 27 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 1: you have not spoken in years. Trump has complained about 28 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:38,039 Speaker 1: net Yaho publicly after he acknowledged President Biden's win in 29 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:38,759 Speaker 1: twenty twenty. 30 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:39,080 Speaker 4: Well. 31 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:42,560 Speaker 3: Meanwhile, Karen closing arguments are expected today in Trump's criminal 32 00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:45,840 Speaker 3: hush money trial in New York. Bloomberg Zamy Morris as 33 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:46,400 Speaker 3: a preview. 34 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 5: Prosecutors will present their summations first as they try to 35 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 5: convince the jury that Donald Trump falsified business records. They 36 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 5: have to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Trump intentionally 37 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 5: made or directed others to make false entries in business records, 38 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:04,160 Speaker 5: did so with the intent to commit another underlying crime, 39 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 5: and sought to conceal the commission of that crime. Now, 40 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 5: the defense only has to sway one juror because the 41 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:13,800 Speaker 5: verdict has to be unanimous. If the jury deadlocks, the 42 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 5: judge can declare a mistrial. Judge Wan Mershaun said last 43 00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:20,079 Speaker 5: week he hopes the jury will get the case by tomorrow. 44 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 5: Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio. 45 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: All right, Amy, thanks. Back at the White House, the 46 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 1: Biden administration is unveiling a new approach to climate policy. 47 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 1: Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and other cabinet officials are recommending 48 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 1: that companies be allowed to use curbon credits to offset 49 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 1: some of their so called Scope three emissions, or those 50 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:42,800 Speaker 1: generated by their suppliers and customers. Carbon offsets have been 51 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:45,239 Speaker 1: criticized in the past. Some of the methods used to 52 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 1: calculate carbon dioxide taken out of the atmosphere have not 53 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:53,079 Speaker 1: fulfilled their claims. Secretary Yellen says voluntary carbon markets can 54 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 1: help unlock the power of private markets to reduce emissions, 55 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:59,399 Speaker 1: but only if we address existing challenges well. 56 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:02,800 Speaker 3: Turning to financial markets, Karen wall Street gets back to 57 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:05,639 Speaker 3: work following the long holiday week, and perhaps the biggest 58 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 3: market moving event of the week is going to come 59 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 3: on Friday. That's when we get the Federal reserves, favorite 60 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:13,240 Speaker 3: measure of underlying inflation. We get a preview now from 61 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Jeff Bellinger. 62 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 6: The Fed's first line inflation gauge may be about to 63 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 6: show some modest relief from stubborn price pressures. Economists expect 64 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 6: the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index minus food and energy 65 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 6: to rise two tenths of a percent in April. That 66 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 6: would mark the smallest advance so far this year for 67 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 6: the measure, which provides a better snapshot of underlying inflation. 68 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 6: FED Chair Jay Powell and his colleagues have stressed the 69 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:42,440 Speaker 6: need for more evidence that inflation is on a sustained 70 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 6: path to their two percent goal before cutting the benchmark 71 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 6: interest rate. That rate has been at a two decade 72 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 6: high since July. Jeff Bellinger, Bloomberg Radio, all. 73 00:03:52,920 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 1: Right, Jeff, thanks so. We also continue to hear from 74 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 1: several FED officials this week. This morning in Tokyo, Cleveland, 75 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 1: FED President Loretta mess said the US Central Bank should 76 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: consider ways to better communicate to the public how economic 77 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 1: conditions will affect future policy decisions. Mester recommended two key changes, 78 00:04:10,600 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: adding more words to the Fed's post meeting policy statement 79 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 1: to describe how officials assess economic developments and potential risk 80 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 1: to the outlook and more detail to its quarterly summary 81 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:22,600 Speaker 1: of policy makers Economic Forecasts. 82 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 3: Well, here's a milestone, Karen. For the first time in 83 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 3: one hundred years, stock trades on Wall Street will have 84 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:30,400 Speaker 3: to settle in a single day. Shift to the system 85 00:04:30,440 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 3: known as T plus one will cut the time it 86 00:04:33,120 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 3: takes to complete every transaction in half. We get more 87 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:38,240 Speaker 3: from Bloomberg's Crity Gupta. 88 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 7: This needs to be a T plus five. This needs 89 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 7: to take five days to settle trades. And the reason 90 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:45,039 Speaker 7: back then that they had to kind of shrink the 91 00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:47,880 Speaker 7: time was because so many people were getting involved in 92 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 7: the stock market. It was called the Roaring twenties for 93 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:52,480 Speaker 7: a reason. Fast forward essentially later, you see the same 94 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:54,720 Speaker 7: kind of impulse to get involved in the stock market 95 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:56,159 Speaker 7: in twenty twenty one. And that's where all of this 96 00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:58,919 Speaker 7: comes from. The problem is there are some teething paints 97 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:00,160 Speaker 7: that come with it, and so when all a lot 98 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 7: of people are hitting their desks today, they're going to 99 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:03,719 Speaker 7: be saying, Okay, well, let's all kind of brace for 100 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 7: impact here, because there are liquidity concerns, there are staffing concerns, 101 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 7: there are technical glitches that can go wrong as they 102 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:10,840 Speaker 7: adopt the system, now. 103 00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:13,360 Speaker 3: Boomberg's Critty Gibda says this isn't the first time Wall 104 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 3: Street's gone through a transition like this, but industry pros 105 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 3: say it will be the most challenging. 106 00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:22,039 Speaker 1: Well, Nathan, the shine may be back on Apple and China. 107 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 1: iPhone staged a rebound last month, with shipment's rising fifty 108 00:05:25,600 --> 00:05:29,360 Speaker 1: two percent amid a flurry of discounts from retail partners. 109 00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:32,640 Speaker 1: Apple and its Chinese resellers have been cutting prices since 110 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:35,360 Speaker 1: it started a year, and those deals are extending into 111 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: this summer sales season. Shares of Apple are at more 112 00:05:38,040 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 1: than two percent in early trading. 113 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:41,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, we got to keep an eye on so called 114 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 3: meme stocks as well, Karen. They are back on the move. 115 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:47,520 Speaker 3: Game Stop and AMC Entertainment are two of the most 116 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:51,039 Speaker 3: actively traded stocks this morning. Shares of game Stop are 117 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 3: up nineteen and a half percent. The video game retailer 118 00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:57,720 Speaker 3: brought in nearly a billion dollars from a share sale program. 119 00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:00,600 Speaker 3: AMC is up five and a half percent. 120 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:05,560 Speaker 1: And it's time now for a look at some of 121 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:07,719 Speaker 1: the other stories making news in New York and around 122 00:06:07,760 --> 00:06:10,040 Speaker 1: the world. And for that were joined by Bloomberg's Michael 123 00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 1: Barr Michael, Good morning. 124 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 8: Good morning, Karen. A series of powerful storms in the 125 00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 8: central and southern US over the Memorial Day holiday weekend 126 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:21,040 Speaker 8: has killed at least twenty three people living, homes and 127 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 8: businesses destroyed, and power outages. In Valley View, Texas. This 128 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:28,840 Speaker 8: man says he was driving with his wife and took 129 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:30,080 Speaker 8: shelter at a gas station. 130 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:33,839 Speaker 3: It got so intense that I could feel every particle 131 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:37,880 Speaker 3: of dirt, sand, fiberglass, glass hitting my face. 132 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:43,840 Speaker 8: The destructive storms also caused deaths in Texas, Oklahoma, and Arkansas. 133 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 8: The big return home day for the holiday weekend was 134 00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 8: not an easy trip for some airline passengers who were 135 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 8: impacted by bad weather. In the northeast. La Guardia Airport 136 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 8: and Newark Liberty experienced the worst of canceled and delayed flights. 137 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 8: The TSA two point nine million people were screened at 138 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:06,440 Speaker 8: US airports on Friday, a single day record. Passengers on 139 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 8: board a Spirit Airlines flight who came close to a 140 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:13,119 Speaker 8: water landing and now sharing their stories the moments before 141 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 8: their safe return to Montego Bay Terminal in Jamaica, they 142 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 8: were having a frightening experience. This passenger says of the 143 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 8: fort Lauderdale, Florida bound flight first announced he would be 144 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 8: turning the plane back to Jamaica's airport to address a 145 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 8: maintenance issue, and then she heard the pilot again, and 146 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 8: when he. 147 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 5: Said prepare for emergency landing, I took my earbud out 148 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:38,240 Speaker 5: and I looked at the two people in my raw. 149 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:40,000 Speaker 8: I said, did he just say water landing? 150 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 2: And they said yeah. 151 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:46,119 Speaker 8: Everyone on board was provided with meal vouchers, hotel accommodations, 152 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:49,200 Speaker 8: and were rebooked. The search for three men who were 153 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 8: allegedly involved in the death of a soap star continues. 154 00:07:52,280 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 8: Los Angeles police say thirty seven year old Johnny wactor 155 00:07:55,920 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 8: who played Brando Corbett on ABC's General Hospital, I've interrupted 156 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 8: a possible car theft right before the gunshots early Saturday morning. 157 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 8: Fellow actor and friend Colin Flynn. 158 00:08:06,800 --> 00:08:11,080 Speaker 1: Donnie is just an unbelievable friend. He such a humble, loving, 159 00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:12,679 Speaker 1: passionate person. 160 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 2: He did tons of service to help other people. 161 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:19,240 Speaker 8: According to police, the suspects who got away with trying 162 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 8: to steal Wactors catalytic converter on his car. It's primary 163 00:08:23,400 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 8: runoff day in Texas. There are seven GOP congressional nominations 164 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:30,800 Speaker 8: up for grabs. Incumbent Republican Congressman Tony Gonzalez of San 165 00:08:30,800 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 8: Antonio is facing a fight for the party nomination against 166 00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:40,440 Speaker 8: Second Amendment activists YouTuber Brandon Herrera, known online as the 167 00:08:40,480 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 8: Ak Guy, Global News twenty four hours a day and 168 00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 8: whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News. Now, I'm 169 00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 8: Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Karen. 170 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:55,559 Speaker 1: All right, Michael Barr, thank you time now for the 171 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Sports Update with John Stashauer. John, good morning, Good. 172 00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:02,080 Speaker 9: Morning, Karen. Celtics. Not only could I really should have 173 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:05,840 Speaker 9: lost games one and three versus Indiana, the Pacers had 174 00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 9: late leads in both. In Game four, also close was 175 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 9: tied in the final minute. 176 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 1: Jayleb stops out of time, troubles to the middle of 177 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:13,600 Speaker 1: the floor, jump pass. 178 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 6: Out of the corner Derek White for three. 179 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 4: Got it. 180 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 9: Derek White from the right corner. 181 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 6: As David Boston a one oh five one oh two. 182 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 9: League on ninety eight five sports iuve in Boston. That 183 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:27,079 Speaker 9: was the final. Celtics finished the sweep advance to the 184 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 9: NBA Finals, where the twenty third time looks like they'll 185 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 9: played Dallas. The Mats are up three zip on Minnesota 186 00:09:32,920 --> 00:09:35,839 Speaker 9: Game four. Tonight, the basketball world remembering Hall of famer 187 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 9: Bill Walton, passed away from cancer went healthy one of 188 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 9: the greatest ever nineteen seventy three NCAA Championship game with UCLA, 189 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:47,240 Speaker 9: he scored forty four points, shot twenty one of twenty two. 190 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:49,480 Speaker 9: Four years later led Portland to the NBA title and 191 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 9: that game a long run of foot injuries, but in 192 00:09:51,600 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 9: nineteen eighty six he helped the Celtics to the championship, 193 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:57,560 Speaker 9: and then despite a lifelong stuttering problem, Walton became a 194 00:09:57,559 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 9: broadcaster and safe to say, there's never been another one 195 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:03,040 Speaker 9: like and Bill Walton, who estimated that he had attended 196 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 9: over eight fifty Grateful Dead concerts, it was seventy one. 197 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:09,440 Speaker 9: No One at tennis history has dominated a tournament like 198 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:12,920 Speaker 9: rockfielded out the French Open, but the fourteen time champion, 199 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 9: now thirty seven, is battled injuries, nearing retirement, and since 200 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:19,000 Speaker 9: he was unseated, he had to face Sasha asze Verev 201 00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:21,680 Speaker 9: in the opening round of doll lost in straight sets. 202 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 9: Stanley Cup Playoffs, Dallas came from two goals down to 203 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:26,840 Speaker 9: win five to three, and Edmonton's Stars lead the series 204 00:10:26,880 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 9: two to one Rangers, bringing two to one lead the 205 00:10:28,960 --> 00:10:32,080 Speaker 9: game four tonight at Florida. For the last five Ranger 206 00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 9: winnings are coming overtime. Mets and Dodgers reigned down so 207 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 9: a straight doubleheader today at City Field, starting the four 208 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:40,120 Speaker 9: Yankee starter a series at the Angels Orioles fifth straight 209 00:10:40,160 --> 00:10:42,920 Speaker 9: win eleven three over the Red Sox. Nationals beat the 210 00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 9: Braves eight to four. Giants beat the Phillies eight to four. 211 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 9: Angel Hernandez has ended his umpiring career after thirty three seasons. 212 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:53,800 Speaker 9: His reputation was that he was baseball's worst umpire. John 213 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 9: Stashedward Bloomberg Sports Kenny. 214 00:10:55,600 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 10: Nava coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, 215 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 10: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 216 00:11:05,520 --> 00:11:08,959 Speaker 10: Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 217 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:12,120 Speaker 3: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Weel we are heading into 218 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 3: a holiday shortened trading week this morning with a lot 219 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 3: of investor focus on what's coming. At the end of 220 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:21,600 Speaker 3: this week. The feds preferred reading on inflation could give 221 00:11:21,679 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 3: more of a clue on the path for interest rates 222 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:26,440 Speaker 3: for the next rest of this year. For more, we 223 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 3: are joined in our Bloomberg Interactive Brokers Studio by Lori Calvacina, 224 00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 3: head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, Lourd, 225 00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:37,000 Speaker 3: good morning. Always great to speak with you. So is 226 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:39,160 Speaker 3: it all about the PCE at the end of the 227 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:41,599 Speaker 3: week or is there something else that investors should be 228 00:11:41,640 --> 00:11:42,880 Speaker 3: watching out for this week? 229 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:45,240 Speaker 11: Well, thanks for having me as always, Nathan. And look, 230 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 11: you know there it feels like kind of a lightish 231 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 11: week on the economic date. I think we've got a 232 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 11: consumer sentiment reading we'll keep an eye on. But I 233 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 11: do think you're right. I think it's all about inflation, 234 00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:56,240 Speaker 11: you know, in my meetings and I was on the 235 00:11:56,320 --> 00:11:59,079 Speaker 11: road again last week at all you know, centers around 236 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:01,080 Speaker 11: this debate over when is the Fed going to move? 237 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:05,199 Speaker 11: When should they move? But really that is the debate 238 00:12:05,240 --> 00:12:06,960 Speaker 11: and at all hinges on the inflation readings. 239 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 3: Now we got even more clues just this morning on 240 00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:13,320 Speaker 3: a competing network from Minneapolis FED President Neil Keshkari saying 241 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 3: that he's seeing inflation move sideways and he's still not 242 00:12:17,520 --> 00:12:20,120 Speaker 3: in a hurry to cut interest rates. I mean, is 243 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:24,000 Speaker 3: that the message that that Fed officials are putting out here? 244 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 3: Is there sort of consolidation around that. 245 00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:29,559 Speaker 11: So look, I go back to the FED presser a 246 00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:32,160 Speaker 11: couple of weeks ago, and what I heard was the 247 00:12:32,200 --> 00:12:35,439 Speaker 11: case being made for no hikes, not necessarily more cuts, 248 00:12:35,440 --> 00:12:37,079 Speaker 11: And I think there was a little bit of confusion 249 00:12:37,160 --> 00:12:40,480 Speaker 11: initially in the investment community, and I think we're sort of, 250 00:12:40,559 --> 00:12:42,600 Speaker 11: in my mind at least, just sort of circling back 251 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:46,360 Speaker 11: to that initial message that was put out. I will say, Nathan, 252 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:48,360 Speaker 11: as I talked to investors last week, and I was 253 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:52,120 Speaker 11: really mostly talking to long only investors, not hedge funds. 254 00:12:52,679 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 11: So maybe there's a little bit of a difference in 255 00:12:54,360 --> 00:12:57,720 Speaker 11: sentiment between those two communities in recent weeks. But for 256 00:12:57,760 --> 00:12:59,680 Speaker 11: the most part, the folks I was talking to last 257 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:02,120 Speaker 11: week's said, Okay, you know what, if the FED doesn't 258 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:05,080 Speaker 11: cut and the economy stays strong and we're trying to 259 00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:08,559 Speaker 11: keep the inflation genie in the bottle, that's okay. There 260 00:13:08,600 --> 00:13:11,040 Speaker 11: wasn't really a lot of consternation on the idea that 261 00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:13,480 Speaker 11: we might not get any cuts this year from the 262 00:13:13,480 --> 00:13:15,679 Speaker 11: investors I spoke with last week at least. 263 00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 3: Is that a sentiment that you share that we could 264 00:13:19,800 --> 00:13:22,160 Speaker 3: see more of a rally even if we do remain 265 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:24,000 Speaker 3: in a higher for longer rate environment. 266 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:26,880 Speaker 11: So I generally think that the market is fine and 267 00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:29,680 Speaker 11: I think that valuations can stay fine. Where we are. 268 00:13:29,760 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 11: You know, we are at my price target of fifty 269 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:34,840 Speaker 11: three hundred. You know, we haven't done sort of the 270 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:37,439 Speaker 11: big second half outlook. We haven't done a twenty twenty 271 00:13:37,480 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 11: five outlook yet, but we do think based on sort 272 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:42,640 Speaker 11: of the messaging of where you know, the economy is 273 00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 11: likely to be this year, what the FED is likely 274 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:46,640 Speaker 11: to do or not do this year, and where inflation 275 00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:49,480 Speaker 11: is likely to end up, we seem fairly valued. And 276 00:13:49,520 --> 00:13:51,319 Speaker 11: I know that's a little bit of a boring message, 277 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,080 Speaker 11: but we do feel a little bit stuck in neutral 278 00:13:53,120 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 11: for the moment. I will say I am not in 279 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:58,720 Speaker 11: the bearish camp. We do have few strategists who are 280 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:01,079 Speaker 11: still sitting over there, and we do think that we're 281 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 11: sort of midway through a recovery that begin off recession 282 00:14:04,200 --> 00:14:07,200 Speaker 11: like conditions in twenty twenty two. But sometimes we do 283 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:08,720 Speaker 11: get a little bit stuck in the market. And that's 284 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:09,800 Speaker 11: how I'm feeling at the moment. 285 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 3: Well, it does seem as though the bearish camp is 286 00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 3: getting lighter and lighter by the day, and not a 287 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 3: whole lot of bears left at least embong prominent voices. 288 00:14:19,360 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 3: Could that potentially be a conturing indicator if we have 289 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 3: potentially too much polishness in the market right now? 290 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 11: You know, it's a great point, Nathan. And as someone 291 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:30,200 Speaker 11: who's been knocking around the equity strategy world for you know, 292 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:32,240 Speaker 11: I think it's been like twenty three twenty four years 293 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:35,240 Speaker 11: since I made my way into the first strategy job 294 00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:38,960 Speaker 11: as a peon, mind you, but the reality is that 295 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 11: is something we do tend to learn. When you tend 296 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:43,240 Speaker 11: to see strategists, you know, sort of rush to you know, 297 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:46,080 Speaker 11: kind of all raise their targets in a market that's 298 00:14:46,120 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 11: been rallying and surprising expectations, it makes you want to 299 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 11: stop and pause and reflect and be very very careful. 300 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:53,320 Speaker 11: And I'm not saying that they're all wrong. We do 301 00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 11: talk about our valuation work as more of a compass, 302 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:58,840 Speaker 11: not a GPS I. You know, we do generally side, 303 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:01,080 Speaker 11: you know, with the bulls over the b and these scenarios. 304 00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 11: But I do think when we just look at data, 305 00:15:03,400 --> 00:15:06,360 Speaker 11: we look at AAII, we look at CFTC, you know, 306 00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:09,040 Speaker 11: sort of hard weekly data points that we continue to get, 307 00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:11,760 Speaker 11: they're still showing us sort of either at froth on 308 00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 11: the CFTC data or on the cusp of being frothy 309 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:16,880 Speaker 11: again on the AAII data. So I do think this 310 00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:18,560 Speaker 11: is a good time to maybe just sit and think 311 00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:19,239 Speaker 11: a little. 312 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 3: Got about a minute left. If we're sitting and thinking 313 00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 3: on the S and P five hundred level, does that 314 00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 3: carry through into broader indexes like the Russell two thousand. 315 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 11: So the Russell two thousand is weakening again and we're 316 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:34,960 Speaker 11: retesting those lows that we've made a couple times over 317 00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 11: the past years relative to the S and P. And 318 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 11: I think that's really because small caps are caught up 319 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:42,720 Speaker 11: in FED cut optimism and it's been kind of sucked 320 00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:44,720 Speaker 11: out of the market again. That's pressured that part of 321 00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:46,880 Speaker 11: the market. There's a lot of interesting stuff in terms 322 00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 11: of relative valuation positioning looks interesting, but at the end 323 00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:51,600 Speaker 11: of the day, we need the confidence that the fed 324 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 11: cuts are coming to get that part of the market 325 00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 11: working again. 326 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:57,320 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg day Break Today, your morning brief on 327 00:15:57,400 --> 00:16:00,120 Speaker 2: the stories making news from Wall Street to washing to 328 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 2: nan beyond. 329 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 1: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 330 00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:07,720 Speaker 1: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify and anywhere else you 331 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:08,960 Speaker 1: get your podcasts. 332 00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:11,760 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 333 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 2: am Wall Street Time, on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 334 00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:17,920 Speaker 2: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine one in Washington, Bloomberg 335 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:20,960 Speaker 2: one oh sixty one in Boston, and Bloomberg nine sixty 336 00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 2: in San Francisco. 337 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 1: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 338 00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:30,400 Speaker 1: Amazon Alexa devices. 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