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Speaker 1: Ladies and gentlemen, It's bowl season.

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Speaker 2: It's the most wonderful time.

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Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 3: on Campus podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

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Speaker 3: Bowl Betting Preview, Part three. I'm stucky in joining me,

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Speaker 3: as always is Colin Wilson. I hope this cold is

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Speaker 3: not a sign of things that come for our picks.

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Speaker 3: But it's been a decent start for the podcast and bowls. Colin,

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Speaker 3: hope you're keep them warm and ready to get into

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Speaker 3: eleven bowls today, we're going to go from the Military

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Speaker 3: on December twenty eighth through December thirtieth. Wyoming, Ohio will

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Speaker 3: save the Orange.

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Speaker 2: Bowl for Part four, which will go all the way

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Speaker 2: through the college football playoff and New Year's Day.

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Speaker 3: So we got eleven games to cover, including your hogs. Colin,

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Speaker 3: stay warm.

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Speaker 1: As anybody staying ore in the nation. I don't think

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Speaker 1: so that Armed Forces Bowl, it looked miserable. I think

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Speaker 1: the one thing I'd like to throw out is like,

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Speaker 1: as much as you and I have handicapped these games,

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Speaker 1: the transfer portal and like the opting out is getting

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Speaker 1: a little bit crazy. Rusty Stots, the Center for Western

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Speaker 1: Kentucky was in the portal, but he played for Western Kentucky,

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Speaker 1: a big part of that offensive line. And then Siaka two.

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Speaker 3: Years in a row for Western Kentucky. A bunch of

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Speaker 3: portal guys end up playing in the Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and then Siaka Ika, the big defensive lineman that

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Speaker 1: was needed by Baylor to stop the triple option attack

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Speaker 1: of Air Force opted out the morning, like the Morning

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Speaker 1: of the Bull. This is a crapshoot here with who's

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Speaker 1: going to play in these games.

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Speaker 3: You hope that it eatens out. Sometimes you take the

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Speaker 3: number that you like, but sometimes it might depends on

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Speaker 3: your risk tolerance level. But we're going to get to

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Speaker 3: a couple games in this batch of bowls where there's

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Speaker 3: a lot of opt outs. There's been updates just from

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Speaker 3: this morning, so let's hop right into it. Let's kick

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Speaker 3: things off with the Military Bowl and then Annapolis, Maryland.

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Speaker 1: The Military Bowl. Ay muckets understand that.

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Speaker 3: Wednesday, December twenty eighth, two pm Eastern on ESPN, you

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Speaker 3: c F takes on Duke Duka three three and a

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Speaker 3: half point favorite here over under sixty two. I believe

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Speaker 3: UCF originally opened is a three point favor and this

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Speaker 3: line has swung the other way because I don't think

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Speaker 3: there's been any Duke opt outs or transfers, and UCF

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Speaker 3: has had a few. Their cornerback Devontae Brown, one of

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Speaker 3: their best linebackers, Jeremiah Jean Batiste, and their wide receiver

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Speaker 3: Ryan o'keef, who is also important in the run game,

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Speaker 3: and then Mikey Keene. But I think just said now

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Speaker 3: he's going to Fresno State. He's gone. So the biggest

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Speaker 3: question here, so obviously UCF, it's all right, They're going

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Speaker 3: to be missing a couple key players on both sides

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Speaker 3: of the ball, and look, they've been in bowls lately.

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Speaker 3: This is I think this is still important for Duke.

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Speaker 3: First time head coach. Really good year for the program.

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Speaker 3: Although they didn't beat him, they didn't a team that

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Speaker 3: made a Bowl until the final week against wake Forest,

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Speaker 3: so the schedule wasn't great. But I think that from

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Speaker 3: a motivational edge, from a opt out edge, at everything

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Speaker 3: favors Duke. There. I still would like UCF if I

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Speaker 3: knew John Reece Plumbley was one hundred percent healthy, which

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Speaker 3: we do not know, and you know he not only

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Speaker 3: does he need to be, you know he might play,

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Speaker 3: but I need to know that he can run, and

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Speaker 3: he can run at full strength, full speed, and there's

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Speaker 3: always the risk that with a hamstring that he could

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Speaker 3: tweak it at any point in time. So you know,

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Speaker 3: this line is creeped out a bit. There is a

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Speaker 3: lot of uncertainty with plumb Lee because if Plumblee can't go,

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Speaker 3: now there's no more Keen and you're down to your

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Speaker 3: third string quarterback. And I think Costianos who didn't fare

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Speaker 3: to on very limited action this year. So what do

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Speaker 3: you see here in the Military Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, things are going really well for Duke and you

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Speaker 1: can see it in the market this thing, which I mean,

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Speaker 1: if this was played during the regular season, you'd make

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Speaker 1: uc F a favorite by more than a little bit

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Speaker 1: more than a field goal. But now you're seeing this

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Speaker 1: heavy steam on Duke, and maybe for a good reason.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Mike Elko a pretty successful first year, eight

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Speaker 1: and four straight up and against the spread. He had

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Speaker 1: some big winners in the transfer portal already, He's got

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Speaker 1: four kids that were three stars, didn't lose any significant

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Speaker 1: players here, So there is a lot of steam behind

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Speaker 1: this Blue Devils football program. And with Duke, you have

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Speaker 1: to worry about the ground attack. Top twenty in line

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Speaker 1: yards and stuff right led by Jordan Waters averages three

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Speaker 1: point three yards after contact, and Jakes Moore is the

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Speaker 1: change of pace elusive back that's four point three yards

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Speaker 1: after contact. And then saying all that, there's Riley Leonard

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Speaker 1: who has seven und rushing yards a season, half of

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Speaker 1: them coming off scrambles. They extend drives like crazy, and

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Speaker 1: you know you see a defense severely struggles in creating

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Speaker 1: a pass rush. Now they lose their linebacker, Jemiah gene Baptist.

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Speaker 1: Defensive back Devonte Brown is in the portal. You know,

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Speaker 1: the new DC is Addison Williams, the defensive coordinator for

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Speaker 1: UCF took off. He's now the new Arkansas defensive coordinator.

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Speaker 1: That's Travis Williams there. And you mentioned Mikey Keane being gone.

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Speaker 1: It's all on John Rey's plumb Lee. You know, there

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Speaker 1: was back up Thomas Caslano's got some action versus Tulan

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Speaker 1: in the AC Championship game. But Plumbley's going to have

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Speaker 1: three weeks to fully recover, and anybody with a hamstring

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Speaker 1: it's generally three to four weeks. But we don't know

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Speaker 1: if he's going to take off. That's the big unknown.

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Speaker 1: If you see that, I mean, I am suggesting, yes,

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Speaker 1: take a Duke bet here. It is overinflated. It is

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Speaker 1: over sold in the market. You see John Reese plumb

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Speaker 1: Lee take off out of the tackle box and one

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Speaker 1: of the first like in the first drive, you may

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Speaker 1: want to start looking at your live options here. You

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Speaker 1: see just doesn't have the ability to stop the explosive

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Speaker 1: play on the ground defensively, Duke does. That's the big

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Speaker 1: thing in the advanced numbers here. Duke has a defense

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Speaker 1: again stop ground explosiveness. You have to have that. If

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Speaker 1: plumb Lee is healthy. Uh so that is the key

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Speaker 1: to this game. And I think Duke wins outright.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I would tend to agree. And we don't even

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Speaker 3: if like Plumby, maybe just says, look, let's this game

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Speaker 3: doesn't mean much. Just to sit out. That could happen

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Speaker 3: as well. I mean, he did say he's coming back

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Speaker 3: next season, but it's you know, the Military Bowl against Duke.

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Speaker 3: Mike Elko is one of the best defensive mine in

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Speaker 3: all of college football. Has got a month to prepare

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Speaker 3: for this UCF team that won't have an important piece

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Speaker 3: and their defense missing pieces. So yeah, I agree line

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Speaker 3: is inflated, but I would lean Duke here, and if

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Speaker 3: Plumbingley can't go or it's hampered, then I think dukeains

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Speaker 3: up blowing UCFL. All right, let's move on to our

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Speaker 3: second bowl game, one that I have much more conviction on,

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Speaker 3: and that's the AutoZone Liberty Bowl between Kansas and our Kansas.

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Speaker 1: The Liberty Bowl.

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Speaker 2: Never forgot what waterrill Just to be.

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Speaker 4: Tennessey, Jimmy MP it is emphisis caemy.

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Speaker 3: This is the Kansas Bowl between your boys and the Jayhawks.

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Speaker 3: Arkansas minus two to two and a half here over

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Speaker 3: under sixty nine. Nice. This game is in Memphis, Tennessee, Wednesday,

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Speaker 3: December twenty eighth, five point thirty Eastern on ESPN. Lot

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Speaker 3: of news here with Arkansas. I'll let you get to them.

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Speaker 3: All the opt outs, but a lot of defense. There's

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Speaker 3: a bunch on offense. Nothing really to report for Kansas,

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Speaker 3: who's in their first bowl game since forever, and I

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Speaker 3: think they'll be highly motivated. I love Lance Leopold as

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Speaker 3: a coach for preparation. These are two defenses that were

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Speaker 3: really poor during the year, but I trust the Kansas

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Speaker 3: offense more based on everyone that's opted out. And by

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Speaker 3: the way, this Kansas offense averaged six point nine yards

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Speaker 3: per play against a schedule of defenses that would have

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Speaker 3: given up five about five and a half against an

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Speaker 3: average FBS opponent. Their offense was excellent. A year you

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Speaker 3: might get Daniel starting all game. Their offense was just

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Speaker 3: as good with Jason Bean. I don't even think it

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Speaker 3: really matters. Daniels does bring an extra element of running

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Speaker 3: to the table, but look, I think that Kansas really

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Speaker 3: cares about this. This is one of my motivation monsters.

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Speaker 3: I had circled and in a battle of two bad defenses,

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Speaker 3: I'll take the team that doesn't have. You know, look,

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Speaker 3: you look at Arkansas defense. You're you're gonna talk. I'll

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Speaker 3: let you talk about some of the opt outs, but

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Speaker 3: they're gonna miss Drew Standers his pass rushing ability. Same

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Speaker 3: with Bumper Pool. That's massive. You know you already lost

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Speaker 3: Miles Slusher and then you know you have defensive tackle

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Speaker 3: that's out in Isaiah Nichols, and the offensive side, you're

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Speaker 3: missing your star center. You know, a couple key wide receivers,

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Speaker 3: a tight end. I mean it is there's a lot

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Speaker 3: of a lot of key pieces missing for Arkansas. I'm

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Speaker 3: not sure that the same motivation level will still will

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Speaker 3: be there as much as Kansas give me the Kansas

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Speaker 3: offense this matchup. They're gonna go up some points here,

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Speaker 3: but I think Kansas comes out on top. Do you disagree?

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Speaker 3: You're gonna You're gonna battle me with your hugs?

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Speaker 1: No, I mean I don't even recognize some of these

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Speaker 1: names that I've gotten my script here. I mean, this

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Speaker 1: is a defense optionable Bumberpool, Drew Sanders. You mentioned they're

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Speaker 1: not there at linebacker. That's a huge drop off to

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Speaker 1: what they have behind him. Defensive coordinator Barry Otam has gone.

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Speaker 1: He went to UNLV. I can't even wait for our

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Speaker 1: Mountain West preview to talk about how much I love

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Speaker 1: Bobby Patrino and whatever it is they pull in there.

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Speaker 1: But you know these names that I've got on this list,

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Speaker 1: Chris Pooh, Paul True freshman, Jordan cook Manny Powell, sophomore,

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Speaker 1: Jackson Woodward. These are your new linebackers. These are your

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Speaker 1: starters for this game. Two of those players have never

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Speaker 1: recorded a tackle. Paul and Crook have just a total

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Speaker 1: of sixteen. Arkansas's defensive backs they're also putting out freshmen.

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Speaker 1: All you hear from the practice reports are energetic, energetic, energetic.

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Speaker 1: They had no experience here, no coordinator to manage them.

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Speaker 1: And defensive tackle Isaiah Nichols, this was the guy that

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Speaker 1: was supposed to come in and replace John Ridgeway from

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Speaker 1: that great team Arkansas had last year. He had twelve

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Speaker 1: starts in the trench, he hit the portal. He's gone. So,

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Speaker 1: I mean, it is a complete scrap, like a blank

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Speaker 1: chalkboard with the Arkansas defense, and the youth movement continues

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Speaker 1: on the offense. Wide receiver Jaydon and Hazel's gone, Trey

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Speaker 1: Knox has gone, Key Tron Jackson Moore and Thompson. Who's

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Speaker 1: Katie Jefferson gonna throw to? I mean he has Matt

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Speaker 1: Landers the most experienced target after that is eight catches

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Speaker 1: by freshman Bryce Stevens. Center Ricky Stromberg, the big part

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Speaker 1: of that offensive line that we can back with Raheem Sanders,

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Speaker 1: he's gone. So you know, it's that.

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Speaker 3: The Kansas run defense is much better than their past defense. Look,

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Speaker 3: it's a bad defense all over, but their run defense

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Speaker 3: is a little better than their pass defense. And with

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Speaker 3: all the receivers options that are gone from Marktansas. That's

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Speaker 3: big because I assume Arkansas is gonna run it even

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Speaker 3: more now in this Bowl game, and Kansas can at

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Speaker 3: least battle a little bit, whereas their secondary is really poor.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, the Arkansas defense is an absolute shell of itself,

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Speaker 3: and Sanders is important. These are I mean Sanders could

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Speaker 3: go in the first round, and I think these are

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Speaker 3: massive losses.

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Speaker 1: Well, I think the other thing about Kansas the fact

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Speaker 1: that why can Kansas win this game offensively? They Pittman said,

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Speaker 1: the sence presser. They are scary as hell, heavy motion,

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Speaker 1: reverse counters, shotgun pistol. I mean, they have so many

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Speaker 1: different variations when you throw bean in the mix. The

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Speaker 1: fact that the guy can throw from anywhere, and Jaln

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Speaker 1: Daniels is fully healthy. Kansas is going to have things

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Speaker 1: that these new freshman linebackers that don't know how to

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Speaker 1: deal with motion and reverses encounters. Kansas is going to

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Speaker 1: score a ton of points. Arkansas can combat that. But

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Speaker 1: I have a feeling this is just I have an over.

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Speaker 1: My money down in this game is an over. I

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Speaker 1: would stop buying at sixty nine. I do think this

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Speaker 1: is a great live trading game. But I just this

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Speaker 1: Arkansas defense that they're rolling out is literally a bunch

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Speaker 1: of kids that just started shaving and have no experience whatsoever.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I love I don't mind the over I love Kansas.

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Speaker 3: And yet the misdirection is Kansas staff, what they scheme

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Speaker 3: up and one of the most that they have a

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Speaker 3: month now. And this is like a really important game

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Speaker 3: for the program. Right You're playing an SEC team in

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Speaker 3: a bowl game. This program is on the rise. You

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Speaker 3: can expect to kitch and sink here and they can

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Speaker 3: design someplace. And I think so, yeah, with all the misdirection,

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Speaker 3: with all those young young pieces on the Arkansas defense,

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Speaker 3: it's going to be really tough with the razorbacks. And

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Speaker 3: one of the I think things that makes the Kansas

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Speaker 3: offense so deadly besides the coaching and but they just

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Speaker 3: they don't take negative plays. It's you go back to

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Speaker 3: Buffalo days with Leopold. They never no sacks and just

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Speaker 3: they really stress like let's not take negative plays, stay

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Speaker 3: ahead of the chains. And then it's just a brilliantly

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Speaker 3: designed offense. But they don't rely on any one person.

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Speaker 3: I mean you look at their targets. You know, all

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Speaker 3: the pieces are really interchangeable. So it's a really tough

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Speaker 3: offense to prepare for. I think they're gonna have a

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Speaker 3: lot of wrinkles here, and the opt outs are going

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Speaker 3: to be too much for Arkansas. I will say this,

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Speaker 3: I took some plus four and some more plus three.

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Speaker 3: I still like it now. Now, if you this something,

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Speaker 3: just keep in mind. If you see a plus two

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Speaker 3: plus two and a half out there, and you might say, hey,

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Speaker 3: let me take the money line, disagree, I'd say take

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Speaker 3: the plus two plus two and a half. And the

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Speaker 3: reason for that is, Look, Kansas's defense is bad and

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Speaker 3: this could be a shootout. And if Arkansas or Kansas

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Speaker 3: ties the game late with a touchdown, you better believe

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Speaker 3: they're going for two. Right, They're not. And that's what

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Speaker 3: happens in all games. No one's gonna play for overtime

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Speaker 3: in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl. So when there's a this

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Speaker 3: is kind of one of my Bowl betting rules. When

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Speaker 3: you have a favorite of like one and a half

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Speaker 3: to two, take the money line. If you have an

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Speaker 3: underdog of you know, one and a half two two

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Speaker 3: and a half, take the points. Because of that, you're

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Speaker 3: not gonna no one's playing for overtime. Here at the

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Speaker 3: end of the game, if Kansas scores, you better believe

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Speaker 3: they're going for two. So I'd rather have those two

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Speaker 3: points in my pocket. But rock chalk, rock chalk. Oh yeah,

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Speaker 3: that's that's how I know, you know that they're gonna lose.

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Speaker 1: Listen, Pittman's focused on twenty twenty three. I'm focused on

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 3: I was pretty confident that you weren't gonna make a

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Speaker 3: strong case for Arkansas because I think that you would

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Speaker 3: be at the Liberty Bowl if you were going to

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Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to our third bowl game.

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Speaker 3: This is also on Wednesday, December twenty eighth, five point

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Speaker 3: thirty pm e ster on ESPN.

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Speaker 4: The Holiday Bowl.

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Speaker 3: North Carolina takes on Oregon. Oregon is a fourteen and

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Speaker 3: a half point favorite over under seventy four. This is

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Speaker 3: the San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl, obviously in

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Speaker 3: San Diego, California. Oregon no Kenny Dillingham calling plays the

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Speaker 3: offensive coordinator he left for Arizona State. Their opt outs,

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Speaker 3: they lose their top corner Christian Gonzalez, and then their

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Speaker 3: top defensive end DJ Johnson, unc opt outs their star

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Speaker 3: Wide receiver Josh Downs. UNC transfers basically their entire secondary.

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Speaker 3: So here's what they have coordinator changes, and now that

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Speaker 3: it's above fourteen, I'm tempted by UNC. My thinking is,

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Speaker 3: look Downs is out, that's big. But you have Drake

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Speaker 3: mad Wo said he's coming back, he's going to play here.

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Speaker 3: Their offense was able to put up points early in

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Speaker 3: the season without Josh Downs. Now they struggled down the

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Speaker 3: stretch because everyone just started dropping eight the Oregon. So

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Speaker 3: they have a month to you know, come up with

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Speaker 3: some solutions to that. But the Oregon passed these horrendous

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Speaker 3: Now they're gonna be without their top pass rusher, their

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Speaker 3: top corner. And what I keep asking myself is and

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Speaker 3: look that they should be able to score, so like

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Speaker 3: getting over fourteen, Like if they're down twenty one late,

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Speaker 3: then that's a blowout and then you can get a

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Speaker 3: touchdown the cover. I think it's starting to creep out

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Speaker 3: too much. But how bad is the UNC defense going

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Speaker 3: to be? You know, they lose to all their secondary

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Speaker 3: and like it's really talented guys, but they were awful

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Speaker 3: all year? Like can it get any worse? Can the

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Speaker 3: UNC defense possibly get any work? So has this line

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Speaker 3: gone too far? I'm starting to lean you and see

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Speaker 3: I don't feel great about it. I know you took

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Speaker 3: an early number on Oregon. Both quarterbacks going to player

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Speaker 3: bo Nicks is going to play bow next season. Then

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Speaker 3: full effect is UNC just a mass like this mass

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Speaker 3: exodus on defense just not a good sign of what's

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Speaker 3: going on with the program. What do you see here

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Speaker 3: with UNC Oregon?

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Speaker 1: I think the big problem that you have is like

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Speaker 1: Phil Longo leaving his offensive coordinator, we have not identified

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Speaker 1: who is calling plays for North Carolina. You know, Drake

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Speaker 1: May has turned down what I'm hearing. You know, Pat

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Speaker 1: and Ardoozy said five million dollars, So Drake May is

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Speaker 1: still going to be around. He doesn't have Josh downs.

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Speaker 1: Bryson Nesbit and Anton Green are next up one hundred

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Speaker 1: and ten total targets, but you know both are over

324
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Speaker 1: two yards per route run, so you would expect that

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Speaker 1: explosiveness to still be there in the passing game. So

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Speaker 1: what you're trying to do is handicap whether that backdoor

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Speaker 1: is going to be there, and the number is completely overinflated,

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Speaker 1: completely over, But you're depending on the defense to what

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Speaker 1: get some stops because if Oregon's gonna get ten possessions

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Speaker 1: in this game, they have a possibility of scoring seventy points.

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Speaker 1: So you're trying to assess whether or not UNC is

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Speaker 1: gonna get over fifty or over forty in this game.

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Speaker 1: Maybe better to take a team total than trying to

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Speaker 1: keep up with Orgon, who I think is going to

335
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Speaker 1: have gained every single available yard after kickoff. I don't

336
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Speaker 1: think they're gonna have any problems getting the scores in

337
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Speaker 1: And if bo Nicks is completely healthy from his ankle

338
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Speaker 1: issues and he is mobile on the ground, that's just

339
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Speaker 1: going to be way too much for North Carolina to

340
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Speaker 1: keep around. Un C is missing a lot on defense,

341
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Speaker 1: Tony Grimes, Storm Duck from the secondary. They had seventeen

342
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Speaker 1: forced in completions this season. That's nearly half of the

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Speaker 1: entire North Carolina total and forced in completion, so I

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Speaker 1: expect no resistance on that Oregon offense. If you think

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Speaker 1: North Carolina can keep up, I would suggest the team

346
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Speaker 1: total because you just don't know if the defense is

347
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Speaker 1: going to get any stops whatsoever. I think forty three

348
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Speaker 1: and a half is what I'm seeing on a team

349
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Speaker 1: total for Orgon, so it's hard not to see the

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Speaker 1: Ducks flirting with a fifty burger here. The over is

351
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Speaker 1: only in question because UNC's losing their best target in

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Speaker 1: Phil long Ago.

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Speaker 3: Any and yeah, and his Oregon just going to drop

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Speaker 3: eight like like people did the UNC in the last

355
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Speaker 3: couple of weeks and the UNC just was lost on offense,

356
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Speaker 3: which is a question. But what this Oregon d like

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Speaker 3: fourteen and a half in a bowl game is that

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Speaker 3: it just it makes it attempts me. And like the

359
00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:25,959
Speaker 3: UNC d' is not getting any stops, Like, yeah, they

360
00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:28,520
Speaker 3: lost their secondary, but I don't think they're getting any

361
00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:31,600
Speaker 3: stops anyway, So like I you don't even care about that.

362
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Speaker 1: They're one hundred and tenth in defensive finishing drives. I

363
00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:37,080
Speaker 1: mean there's and they're one hundred and twenty. They're outside

364
00:18:37,080 --> 00:18:38,159
Speaker 1: of the top of one hundred and a lot of

365
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Speaker 1: things that you need to be able to stop a

366
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Speaker 1: potent offense like U n C. I think the question

367
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Speaker 1: is is like, are you more safe with the team

368
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Speaker 1: total than you are trying to keep up with Bo Nicks,

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Speaker 1: who's starting his Heisman campaign here. I think maybe the

370
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Speaker 1: best bet in this is when we see some props

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Speaker 1: on Bo Nicks himself a rushing problem. If the hankle's healthy,

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Speaker 1: Hill eclips a rushing prop that may be depressed because

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Speaker 1: of what he did the last three games of the

374
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Speaker 1: season without mobility, So I would keep your eyes open

375
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Speaker 1: for that as well. Well.

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Speaker 3: Both Oregon missed well. Dix in particular, we've seen him

377
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Speaker 3: struggle in the sandwich in between Dillingham right like he

378
00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:15,359
Speaker 3: was at his best when he was with Dillingham before

379
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:17,960
Speaker 3: and then reunited. He's no longer there to call the

380
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:19,760
Speaker 3: plays any impact there.

381
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Speaker 1: Assistants Junior Adams and Drew meh Ringer are going to

382
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Speaker 1: call the plays here, and you know every analytic is

383
00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:29,040
Speaker 1: an Oregon's back pocket. You would think that those two

384
00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:31,080
Speaker 1: assistants are not going to veer far off from what

385
00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:34,239
Speaker 1: Kenney Dillingham was calling. I wouldn't suspect that they do

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00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:36,960
Speaker 1: anything different. And I'm not really sure that bo Nicks

387
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Speaker 1: is not calling his own plays at the line, which

388
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Speaker 1: I know has happened frequently this year for Oregon. So

389
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Speaker 1: I'm not sure how big of a loss Dillingham actually

390
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:47,359
Speaker 1: is in this one game scenario.

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Speaker 2: Okay, fair enough, all let's move on to the fourth

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Speaker 2: and final Bowl on Wednesday, December twenty eighth, and that's.

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Speaker 3: The tax Act Texas.

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Speaker 4: Bowl, the Texas Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Both in love and that's old Man's you'd be going

396
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Speaker 1: playing in Texas. You gotta have a bank.

397
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Speaker 3: Texas Tech and Ole Miss, al Miss three three and

398
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Speaker 3: a half point favorite over under sixty nine and a half.

399
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Speaker 3: This game we played nine pm Eastern on ESPN on

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Speaker 3: Wednesday Night News. First, Texas Tech portal or safety who

401
00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,600
Speaker 3: plays their star position, Pearson. It's in the portal one

402
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:29,680
Speaker 3: of their defensive linemen, kind of a depth piece, but

403
00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:33,720
Speaker 3: plays also an Tyree Wilson who is evenished second the

404
00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:38,520
Speaker 3: big twelve and sas he is hurt, so he's and

405
00:20:38,520 --> 00:20:40,639
Speaker 3: then he declared for the NFL Draft. He got hurt

406
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Speaker 3: in week eleven.

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Speaker 1: Ole Miss.

408
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Speaker 3: You know, they had a couple of guys in the

409
00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:47,480
Speaker 3: portal weren't really big contributors. The rest of the team

410
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Speaker 3: is in here. They have no one going and opting out.

411
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Speaker 3: They've no one really gone to the NFL where everything

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Speaker 3: I've read, both these teams are gonna care. Most of

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Speaker 3: the teams are gonna play like. I'm looking forward to

414
00:20:56,280 --> 00:21:00,440
Speaker 3: this game and I love the over. I think this

415
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:03,480
Speaker 3: is first of all, this is a trillion plays Bowl.

416
00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:06,280
Speaker 3: Both these teams want to run as many plays as possible.

417
00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:08,879
Speaker 3: You are gonna get just you want a lot of

418
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:12,359
Speaker 3: plays chances for points. And I think you're gonna have

419
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:15,000
Speaker 3: you know, some Lane Kiff and specials, and you're you're

420
00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:18,160
Speaker 3: gonna see a million fourth down attempts in this game,

421
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:22,360
Speaker 3: a million. And I think both offenses have major advantages now.

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00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:27,200
Speaker 3: Texas Tech offense struggled at times because of quarterback injuries,

423
00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:29,200
Speaker 3: but it looks like Baron Morton is healthy. Tyler Schuck

424
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:30,560
Speaker 3: it looks like he's going to get the start, but

425
00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 3: you could see some Morton and Chuck was hurt, and

426
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Speaker 3: you know he came back from Majory. He was rusty

427
00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:37,879
Speaker 3: as hell. You could see that in his first couple

428
00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:40,000
Speaker 3: of games back. But he can In his final game

429
00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:42,600
Speaker 3: of the season, he threw for four hundred and thirty

430
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:48,480
Speaker 3: yards against Oklahoma, and you know, his rushing stats started

431
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:51,240
Speaker 3: to bump up two. So I think he's fully healthy now,

432
00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 3: and you know he has a really talented arm. The

433
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:57,119
Speaker 3: Texas Tech offensive line is not great, which is kind

434
00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:59,160
Speaker 3: of held back their offense at times, but the Old

435
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 3: Miss defensive line is also really bad. Almost trended down

436
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:05,879
Speaker 3: second half of the season. Their defense is not that great.

437
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:09,280
Speaker 3: I think Texas Texas defense also can be had here.

438
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:13,680
Speaker 3: This is just as you're gonna see fourth downs. This

439
00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:16,000
Speaker 3: is like your prototypical bowl, and I think both teams

440
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:19,240
Speaker 3: will care. It'll be in Houston, Texans Texas. I don't

441
00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:23,960
Speaker 3: think I have to worry about whether, yeah, this is

442
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:26,600
Speaker 3: over for me. This is a fun bowl and I

443
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:31,280
Speaker 3: would lean taking the points with the Red Raiders. But yeah,

444
00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:34,880
Speaker 3: I'm gonna sit down the night of December twenty eighth

445
00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:38,720
Speaker 3: and just it's gonna be a blissful Well hopefully it

446
00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:42,400
Speaker 3: goes blissfully, but at first we have blissfully experienced of Hey,

447
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 3: I got over sixty nine and a half with these

448
00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:45,680
Speaker 3: two teams that are just gonna run as many plays

449
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:48,920
Speaker 3: as humanly possible. Let's have some fun. That's what I'm

450
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:52,159
Speaker 3: doing in the tax Ak Texas Bowl. What'd say you?

451
00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:56,040
Speaker 1: Is Texas Tech all the way? For me? There's Joey

452
00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:59,719
Speaker 1: Maguire is building steam in this program, not just with

453
00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:02,359
Speaker 1: how they finished this season, with what he's doing in

454
00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:05,840
Speaker 1: the poral, with what they are doing. From a recruiting standpoint,

455
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:07,960
Speaker 1: Texas Tech is going to be such a buy. In

456
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:10,840
Speaker 1: twenty twenty three, Uh, they finished top twenty five in

457
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 1: defensive rushing success right this season, they ranked top thirty

458
00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,840
Speaker 1: five in defensive finishing drives And that really doesn't do

459
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:19,480
Speaker 1: the Red Raiders justice because they finished ninth in red

460
00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:21,960
Speaker 1: zone d It doesn't even matter when a team crosses

461
00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:24,160
Speaker 1: the forty. Once they get past the twenty, Texas Tech

462
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:27,399
Speaker 1: has been great at stopping opponents. Forty three percent of

463
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,159
Speaker 1: opponent red zone attempts have ended in a touchdown. I

464
00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 1: mean they have been great at keeping six off the board.

465
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,320
Speaker 1: Losing Tyree Wilson was big from a pass rush perspective,

466
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:38,879
Speaker 1: but he was only the eighth best run defender in

467
00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:42,240
Speaker 1: PFF grading and of the eighty three tackles for loss,

468
00:23:42,280 --> 00:23:44,280
Speaker 1: Wilson had just fourteen of those. So there's still a

469
00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:46,880
Speaker 1: lot of talent outside of him on this Texas Tech

470
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:49,000
Speaker 1: defense and all miss you know, we've said this all

471
00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:51,199
Speaker 1: year long. It really increased how much they run the

472
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:55,240
Speaker 1: ball sixty two percent riding freshman quinch Shawn Judkins. Texas

473
00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:58,200
Speaker 1: Tech does give up explosive runs. They're outside the top

474
00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 1: one hundred. There's no denying that you can get a

475
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,440
Speaker 1: big explosive play, but at the same time they can't

476
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,720
Speaker 1: stop you with the line of scrimmage. Ole Miss finished

477
00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:08,439
Speaker 1: outside the top ninety in red zone efficiency. That is

478
00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:11,399
Speaker 1: a huge concern. Like Ole Miss can have these great drives,

479
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:14,119
Speaker 1: these great rushing, these chunk plays, but Texas Tech has

480
00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:17,120
Speaker 1: been so legit behind the twenty and that's where Old

481
00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:19,879
Speaker 1: Miss is floundered this year. So can ole Miss finish

482
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,320
Speaker 1: these drives and get points on the board A big,

483
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,000
Speaker 1: a big question now when you go to the other

484
00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,879
Speaker 1: side of the ball. In my opinion, it's the biggest

485
00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:31,639
Speaker 1: reason why Texas Tech will have no problem scoring points.

486
00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 1: It will no matter if it's Tyler Shug, no matter

487
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:37,320
Speaker 1: if it Bear Morton's healthy. Offensive coordinator Zach Kittley is

488
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:40,720
Speaker 1: going against Ole Miss defensive coordinator Maurice Crumb. These two

489
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,159
Speaker 1: were on the staff at Western Kentucky last season, and

490
00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 1: if you go when you read between the lines, whether

491
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:46,480
Speaker 1: you want to do message boards or you want to

492
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:49,600
Speaker 1: do pressers, Zach Kittley is going to have no problems

493
00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:53,240
Speaker 1: calling an offense against Maurice Crumb since he knows exactly

494
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:57,359
Speaker 1: everything the scheme that's ran, the blitz packages, the naming Convention.

495
00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:01,040
Speaker 1: Everything that old miss does on defense, Kitty, and that

496
00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:04,160
Speaker 1: has such huge advantage here. So you know, and Kiley's

497
00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:06,719
Speaker 1: two years removed from coaching in Houston for Houston Baptist

498
00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 1: with Bailey Zappy two years ago Bailey Zappi. And you know,

499
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:15,159
Speaker 1: Sulgar looks healthy. Nine scrambles his last two games. You know,

500
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:17,159
Speaker 1: he didn't play. He's only had six games, but you

501
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:18,960
Speaker 1: know he saved his best for the Oklahoma defense and

502
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:21,439
Speaker 1: the season finale he had four and thirty six passing yards.

503
00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 1: This is full steam ahead on the Red Raiders here,

504
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,440
Speaker 1: and they are a huge by team in twenty twenty three.

505
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:29,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, don't mind the Texas tech side, and I also

506
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 2: love the over Hopefully we can have some fun in

507
00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:35,320
Speaker 2: the Texas Bowl.

508
00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:36,880
Speaker 3: It'll be a fast track too.

509
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:39,399
Speaker 1: And don't think that anybody's letting up here because Joe

510
00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:41,680
Speaker 1: McGuire he wants to own the state of Texas and

511
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:44,440
Speaker 1: he always asks hiding. Yeah, I mean, there's no letton

512
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 1: off here and.

513
00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:48,120
Speaker 3: Lang Kiva doesn't know how le it off. So right, yeah,

514
00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:53,720
Speaker 3: all right, let's move on to Thursday, and let's start

515
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:56,960
Speaker 3: with the bad Boy Mower's Pin Stripe Bowl.

516
00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:06,240
Speaker 2: The Penn Stripe Bowl, spreading the news I'm leaving today.

517
00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:12,120
Speaker 2: I want to be a part of it.

518
00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:19,880
Speaker 3: New York, New York. Bad Boyer's Pinstripe Bowl. Feels weird

519
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:21,359
Speaker 3: to say that it should be the bad Boy Bowers

520
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 3: Guest Pro Bowl. Syracuse Minnesota Minnesota ten point favorite here

521
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:28,639
Speaker 3: over under forty two. This game will be played at

522
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:33,119
Speaker 3: Yankees Stadium in the Bronx two pm Eastern on ESPN

523
00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 3: Thursday afternoon. Syracuse opt outs their star tackle Matthew Bergron

524
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,479
Speaker 3: declared the NFL Draft he won't play, and running back

525
00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:43,520
Speaker 3: Sean Tucker, obviously one of the best backs in the country,

526
00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:48,440
Speaker 3: is also out. Transfer Portal their wide receiver Corney Jackson,

527
00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 3: defensive end Steve Linton, their starting quarterback Darien Chestin. They

528
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:56,720
Speaker 3: already lost one of their best cornerbacks on an injury

529
00:26:57,280 --> 00:27:02,359
Speaker 3: early in the season. They also offensive coordinator Robert and

530
00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:05,560
Speaker 3: he went to is gonna go to NC State quarterback

531
00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:09,879
Speaker 3: coach Jason Beck, who really highly respected. He'll takeover play calling.

532
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:14,040
Speaker 3: Don't think it's a huge transition there new defensive coordinator though.

533
00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:16,640
Speaker 3: They hired Rockey Long, but he won't be He won't

534
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:19,120
Speaker 3: come on until after the Bowl. So there's a lot

535
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:22,680
Speaker 3: of changes for Syracuse Minnesota. They do lose a safety

536
00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:27,160
Speaker 3: Michael Dixon and linebacker Brayln Oliver, two pretty important pieces

537
00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:31,920
Speaker 3: on that defense. You know, when I look at this game,

538
00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:36,480
Speaker 3: I just the Syracuse run defense all year was horrendous

539
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:39,120
Speaker 3: and so some of it's just by scheme the way

540
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 3: that they play, and that's not great against mill Ibraham

541
00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:49,199
Speaker 3: and this Minnesota offensive line. And if you look like

542
00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:52,400
Speaker 3: Syracuse outside the top hundred rush success rate EPA perush

543
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty fifth and stuff rate one hundred

544
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:56,680
Speaker 3: and seventeenth, in line yards one hundred and twenty fourth

545
00:27:56,680 --> 00:28:02,520
Speaker 3: in opportunity rate, Minnesota's offensive line basically top twenty across

546
00:28:02,560 --> 00:28:05,159
Speaker 3: the board in all those categories, and they run it

547
00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 3: at a top five eight nationally. The team wants to

548
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,240
Speaker 3: run the ball, run it some more, and run it again,

549
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:11,960
Speaker 3: so they should be able to move the ball on

550
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 3: the ground, which might end up being the difference. They

551
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,840
Speaker 3: also have big success rate differences on third and fourth

552
00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 3: downs on both sides of the ball. Two solid kickers

553
00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:24,320
Speaker 3: in this game for what it's worth, maybe whether worth

554
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,080
Speaker 3: looking into. But the question for me is what is Sarah?

555
00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 3: Because this total is forty two. I think Minnesota be

556
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:31,919
Speaker 3: able to move the ball on the ground. What does

557
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:34,600
Speaker 3: sarahcuse do They've been talking about, you know, Garattrud is

558
00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:38,920
Speaker 3: talking about how fun practices have been, how the offense

559
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:40,880
Speaker 3: is just hinting at it like they're gonna come out

560
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:42,440
Speaker 3: and air this out and maybe go fast.

561
00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 2: Now, man, Minnesota is a snail. They're going to run

562
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 2: the ball, and they are a snail snail, But Syracuse,

563
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:50,760
Speaker 2: they might come out in here and just got up tempo,

564
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:55,080
Speaker 2: start chucking the ball around. There's no Sean Tucker, so

565
00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:57,240
Speaker 2: you know, and I think Minnesota could the one maybe,

566
00:28:57,280 --> 00:29:01,600
Speaker 2: and look, Bowl totals when they're under forty five. Overs

567
00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 2: historically have been a great bet.

568
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:07,000
Speaker 3: Teams play a lot looser, and you know you'll see

569
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 3: trick plays, teams go for it more and fourth downs.

570
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 3: So maybe this is a you know, an over under

571
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,840
Speaker 3: the radar over. I mean, Minnesota overs are ugly, But

572
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:18,800
Speaker 3: what do you see here and what do you expect

573
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 3: most importantly from the Syracuse offense now that Sean Tucker

574
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 3: and their star tackle aren't there.

575
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:28,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you cannot undermestimate what Shawn Tucker was

576
00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:30,280
Speaker 1: to this offense with three hundred and twenty four rushing

577
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:33,560
Speaker 1: attempts this season. If you take his rushing attempts and

578
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:36,239
Speaker 1: you take Garrett Trader's thirty eight scrambles because you know,

579
00:29:36,320 --> 00:29:38,200
Speaker 1: scrambles are not designed. You don't know when they're going

580
00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:41,200
Speaker 1: to happen, that is seventy five percent of Syracuse's rushing attempts.

581
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:44,560
Speaker 1: Massive loss. Now you look back there and you say

582
00:29:44,640 --> 00:29:47,200
Speaker 1: LAKEI Tallen, he has explosive numbers. He can run the ball.

583
00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:48,960
Speaker 1: Go and look at his one hundred and eighty yards.

584
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:51,640
Speaker 1: One hundred and twelve of them came against Wagner, Right,

585
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 1: I mean the numbers that he has, the minimal ones

586
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 1: he has. It came from one game and the Minnesota

587
00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:58,600
Speaker 1: defense finished tenth in rushing success. Right, They're asolutely going

588
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 1: to shut down any attempts to run the ball. So

589
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:02,520
Speaker 1: I get it. I mean, Garri Strader may be given

590
00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:04,640
Speaker 1: away the game plan here, but you're gonna go out

591
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 1: for a Minnesota defense. I mean, they're excellent at defending

592
00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:11,000
Speaker 1: the pass also, but they lose their two key contributors

593
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:13,920
Speaker 1: at safety and Michael Dixon Steven Ortiz, they're both in

594
00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 1: the portal here. So Syracuse's That is one sneaky way

595
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:19,040
Speaker 1: that I would look at the over here, I think.

596
00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:25,280
Speaker 3: And also they haven't played the greatest schedule of passing

597
00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 3: offenses for what it's.

598
00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:29,160
Speaker 1: Worth, Yeah, yeah, And I mean I would project this

599
00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:30,720
Speaker 1: game to be forty nine, so I think I might

600
00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 1: be on the over by the time you and I

601
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:35,920
Speaker 1: get done talking about this. But I think another thing

602
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:38,400
Speaker 1: that you want to look at that I'm trying to

603
00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:42,400
Speaker 1: handicap as a relationship between Dino Babers and PJ. Fleck.

604
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:44,480
Speaker 1: You have to remember these were two Mac coaches that

605
00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 1: played against each other twenty fourteen twenty fifteen. They traded

606
00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 1: wins against each other the very next season when they

607
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:54,720
Speaker 1: had they had their current positions at Minnesota and Syracuse.

608
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:57,520
Speaker 1: They were both on ESPN Film room during the National Championship,

609
00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:00,880
Speaker 1: extremely chumming with each other. We had a zoom call

610
00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:03,720
Speaker 1: last week and it was nothing but respect and chummy

611
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:05,760
Speaker 1: with each other. There is a very good I mean PJ.

612
00:31:05,840 --> 00:31:08,400
Speaker 1: Fleck can rub people the wrong way, but his relationship

613
00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:10,840
Speaker 1: with Dino Babers is actually very healthy and very positive.

614
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:13,120
Speaker 1: So I'm not sure it's something where you know, because PJ.

615
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:15,160
Speaker 1: Fleck has been in bowls before there are two Previously

616
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 1: he's been in where he just ran it up, ran

617
00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:18,600
Speaker 1: it up as hard as he could, and so I

618
00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 1: think that's the question here. If Syracuse can't defend the

619
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 1: rush and Minnesota wants to grind the clock, it really

620
00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:25,720
Speaker 1: matters for the back door here. With a number that's

621
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:27,560
Speaker 1: hanging between seven and a half and nine and a half,

622
00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:29,360
Speaker 1: I don't think Fleck will run it up here, but

623
00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:32,520
Speaker 1: that's just looking at situations where he's been one on

624
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 1: one with Dino Babers over the past seven years. So

625
00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 1: I do like the over here. I think I think

626
00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 1: Minnesota absolutely is gonna be able to run all over

627
00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 1: Maybe a first half bet I think is more appropriate.

628
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:45,200
Speaker 1: I am a little bit worried about the safety's missing

629
00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:48,360
Speaker 1: for that Gophers defense, and that's exactly where Syracuse is

630
00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 1: going to go.

631
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,840
Speaker 3: So U yeah, in Minnesota also doesn't get any pressure.

632
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:55,080
Speaker 3: They're bottom ten and sacrate, and that has killed Syracuse

633
00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 3: all year because their offensive line is basically bottom ten

634
00:31:58,360 --> 00:32:01,160
Speaker 3: and sacrate. So maybe you'll finally have some time to

635
00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 3: throw because that is the one thing that Minnesota's defense

636
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,920
Speaker 3: does not do. They do not get any pressure. Do

637
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:08,200
Speaker 3: we expect Tanner Morgan to play for Minnesota.

638
00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 1: I mean that's I mean, the question is still out there.

639
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:12,640
Speaker 1: I mean there could be that morning opt out thing,

640
00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,080
Speaker 1: So definitely I would keep my ears open. I would

641
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:16,840
Speaker 1: buy Syracuse had ten if it was on the board

642
00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:19,040
Speaker 1: right now. No reason to act in a dead number.

643
00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:21,400
Speaker 1: And I do like the over, but you know, if

644
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 1: Tanner Morgan's not playing, then that really kind of makes

645
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 1: Minnesota one dimensional. So I don't know. I think more

646
00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:29,760
Speaker 1: I've talked to myself into I think it'll lay money

647
00:32:29,760 --> 00:32:31,440
Speaker 1: in on the over on this forty one and a half.

648
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:35,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't mind it either. I don't think the

649
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:38,000
Speaker 3: Minnesota quarterback matters that much in this case. I think

650
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:40,960
Speaker 3: they're just going to run it, yeah, at will and

651
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:44,000
Speaker 3: they're back up. The Greek kid for a name has

652
00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:46,680
Speaker 3: escapes me at the moment. He've had a really good

653
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:49,960
Speaker 3: game to close out the season, throwing the ball.

654
00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:52,400
Speaker 1: Syracuse finish one hundred and twenty fifth and defensive stuff, right,

655
00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 1: they can't stop the run. I mean, Minnesota's plan of

656
00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:58,040
Speaker 1: attack is out there, so it just matters if Syracuse

657
00:32:58,080 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 1: can combat by throwing straight at those safeties.

658
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 2: Yeap, All right, before we continue as a reminder. The

659
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:06,760
Speaker 2: Big Bets on Campus podcast is probably presented by bet MGM.

660
00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:09,480
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682
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684
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:19,360
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685
00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:22,400
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686
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:24,680
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688
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689
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690
00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:33,560
Speaker 2: and New York.

691
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:36,960
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to the cheese It Bowl,

692
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:39,240
Speaker 3: the cheese It Ball.

693
00:34:39,640 --> 00:34:42,799
Speaker 1: Who's ready to show who's the cheesy? How come here?

694
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:44,160
Speaker 1: The Cheesiest coming.

695
00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 2: Cheese Its official sponsor of the College Football It Way Off.

696
00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:53,640
Speaker 2: I'm filmed the cheesiest Oklahoma versus Florida State. Florida State

697
00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:55,480
Speaker 2: it's a nine nine and a half, but fivote over

698
00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:59,080
Speaker 2: under sixty six. This game's in Orlando, Florida, Thursday, December

699
00:34:59,120 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 2: twenty ninth, thirty Eastern or ESPN.

700
00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:05,360
Speaker 3: Oklahoma opt outs are major. Their star running back Eric

701
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:09,800
Speaker 3: Gray is out. Both starting tackles opted out as well,

702
00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:15,160
Speaker 3: and Harrison and Morris defensive lineman Jalen Redmond theo weese

703
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:18,600
Speaker 3: in the transfer portal. I don't think that that list

704
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:21,239
Speaker 3: is done. I don't think that there's any names that

705
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:26,520
Speaker 3: are impactful for Florida State. I think motivationally this favors

706
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:30,239
Speaker 3: Florida State, although Norvelle is zero and four against the

707
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:34,480
Speaker 3: spreading Bowls. But it's hard to see Oklahoma with some

708
00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:37,440
Speaker 3: of these opt outs and everything that I'm reading for

709
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:40,960
Speaker 3: Florida State keeping this close. I think this is noles

710
00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:41,400
Speaker 3: or nothing.

711
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:47,279
Speaker 1: Yeah. I think that. I drive by the Shusterman Center,

712
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:50,920
Speaker 1: which is University of Oklahoma's medical college here in Tulsa

713
00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:54,000
Speaker 1: every day, and the box of cheese It's is still

714
00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:56,640
Speaker 1: in the statues a little bowl there, so I think

715
00:35:56,680 --> 00:35:59,200
Speaker 1: that's and shaken through the storms and everything gets still there.

716
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,319
Speaker 1: Usually they feel that they with oranges and cotton, but

717
00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:05,000
Speaker 1: it's filled with cheese ites. Now listen, there's plenty of

718
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:08,400
Speaker 1: reasons for this. Florida State steam Jordan Travis is confirmed

719
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:10,760
Speaker 1: himself for not just for this Bowl, but for next season.

720
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:13,040
Speaker 1: I think that's had a trickle down effect on the roster.

721
00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 1: A lot of people are staying here. Oh u's losing

722
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:19,000
Speaker 1: lead running back Eric Gray. Both starting offensive tackles are

723
00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 1: out for Oklahoma. Those are monster losses. And the Sooners

724
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:24,960
Speaker 1: defense it just it never panned out. And we said

725
00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:26,880
Speaker 1: the Center a Big twelve preview back in the summer

726
00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:29,799
Speaker 1: that bread Venables defense has to have a leader at

727
00:36:29,800 --> 00:36:32,160
Speaker 1: linebacker to get the guys lined up to call the

728
00:36:32,200 --> 00:36:34,520
Speaker 1: right plays to whatever, to read the signals that are

729
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:36,520
Speaker 1: coming in from the sideline. And that's just a huge

730
00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:39,840
Speaker 1: problem with this defense. You know, Invinables has been quoted,

731
00:36:39,880 --> 00:36:42,400
Speaker 1: we just don't have the depth and so you know,

732
00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:45,799
Speaker 1: Oklahoma couldn't generate a pass rush. They did finish fifth

733
00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:47,800
Speaker 1: in tackles for a loss. I found that the most interesting,

734
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:50,360
Speaker 1: like no pass rush, but they were in everybody's backfield.

735
00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 1: Defensive tackle Ethan Downs finished the season with thirteen and

736
00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:56,080
Speaker 1: a half tackles for loss, and the Sooners also finished

737
00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:58,800
Speaker 1: top twenty and passes defensed, so they have havoc in

738
00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:01,360
Speaker 1: those places. But they just can't get any pressure on

739
00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:04,800
Speaker 1: the quarterback. And Oklahoma was just not good against rush explosives.

740
00:37:04,840 --> 00:37:07,400
Speaker 1: And that is a staple of the Florida State offense

741
00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:09,920
Speaker 1: is having big gains on the ground. And Trey Benson

742
00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:13,400
Speaker 1: is just an absolute video game numbers the entire season.

743
00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:15,879
Speaker 1: He's going to tear this OU defensive party average seven

744
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:19,160
Speaker 1: yards of carry, four point eight after contact, and he

745
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:23,719
Speaker 1: forced seventy seven missed tackles and by the way, forty

746
00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:25,359
Speaker 1: four of his one hundred and forty one carries were

747
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:28,799
Speaker 1: first downs. Guys, just a first down machine. And so

748
00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:31,440
Speaker 1: really the OU offense, even with other tackles, all they

749
00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:34,200
Speaker 1: are is the Dylan Gabriel Marvin Mim Show. So this

750
00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:37,239
Speaker 1: handicap comes down to whether the Seminals can stop that

751
00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:41,520
Speaker 1: passing connection. FSU defense was serviceable against the pass They

752
00:37:41,520 --> 00:37:43,719
Speaker 1: were inside the top forty in coverage and defending the

753
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:47,399
Speaker 1: big play, but the OU efficiency takes a huge drop

754
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:49,880
Speaker 1: in passing downs. They have not been able to do anything.

755
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:52,919
Speaker 3: And now you don't have your starting tackles against Jared

756
00:37:53,000 --> 00:37:54,240
Speaker 3: Vers and company.

757
00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:56,879
Speaker 1: And Florida State already had in the numbers a huge

758
00:37:56,880 --> 00:37:58,919
Speaker 1: advantage in third downs on both sides of the ball.

759
00:37:59,080 --> 00:38:00,959
Speaker 1: So this is a Florida State play all the way.

760
00:38:01,120 --> 00:38:03,320
Speaker 1: The higher that number gets, I think you'd played a

761
00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:06,719
Speaker 1: little bit lighter. But this is this is going to

762
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:09,400
Speaker 1: be a very limited offense which has had to support

763
00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:12,120
Speaker 1: a very terrible ou defense the entire season.

764
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:15,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Gray has been just a monster for them

765
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:19,160
Speaker 3: all year, probably one of the most underrated seasons by

766
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:22,319
Speaker 3: running back because Oklahoma struggled, but he's been great and

767
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:25,279
Speaker 3: he opted out along with her two starting tackles. This

768
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:26,960
Speaker 3: feels like a Florida State route.

769
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:29,959
Speaker 1: Maybe get a better number of the first half those stuck.

770
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:33,760
Speaker 1: I think, let me look at it, four and a half,

771
00:38:33,920 --> 00:38:35,040
Speaker 1: that's pretty doable.

772
00:38:35,600 --> 00:38:37,759
Speaker 3: Yeah. I don't mind first half, I don't mind full game.

773
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:42,040
Speaker 3: I think it's norms or nothing here. And like I said,

774
00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:43,960
Speaker 3: I don't think that that these are the last of

775
00:38:44,000 --> 00:38:45,839
Speaker 3: the opt outs for Oklahoma. I think you might get

776
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:48,279
Speaker 3: a few more. And from everything that I'm hearing and reading,

777
00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:52,520
Speaker 3: it's like Florida State cares about this game and everyone

778
00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:53,640
Speaker 3: is a full goal.

779
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:56,880
Speaker 1: Thennible's got to play roster space to get more recruits in,

780
00:38:57,080 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 1: you know. I mean they had a good little push

781
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:00,600
Speaker 1: d and recruiting got up into the top ten a

782
00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 1: lot of these these places that grade these teams, and

783
00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,080
Speaker 1: oh you popped up into the top ten, and Vinible

784
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:08,800
Speaker 1: has got to create space, so you might, yeah, I

785
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:10,480
Speaker 1: agree with you. I don't think the portal is done

786
00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:11,480
Speaker 1: for Oklahoma.

787
00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:14,120
Speaker 3: Yep. All right, Let's move on to the final game

788
00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:18,319
Speaker 3: on Thursday in prime time, the Elimo Bowl.

789
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:21,320
Speaker 4: That ben wherever they go.

790
00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:25,359
Speaker 2: Well remember the elm.

791
00:39:28,600 --> 00:39:31,320
Speaker 3: The Billero Alimo Bowl. This game that we played in

792
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:34,800
Speaker 3: the Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas, nine pm Eastern on ESPN

793
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:38,040
Speaker 3: between Washington and Texas. Texas four point favorite here over

794
00:39:38,120 --> 00:39:42,040
Speaker 3: under sixty seven and a half. Obviously, location favors Texas

795
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:45,560
Speaker 3: being in the state of Texas, but Texas has the

796
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:49,480
Speaker 3: more meaningful opt outs, including arguably the best running back

797
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:53,760
Speaker 3: in the country, v John Robinson, also running back Broshawn Johnson.

798
00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:56,239
Speaker 3: You know your third string running You're down to your

799
00:39:56,280 --> 00:39:58,279
Speaker 3: third string running back is like really small more a

800
00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:02,560
Speaker 3: your Bell Colliers gonna be a freshman or two. Also

801
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:07,160
Speaker 3: linebacker to Marian Overshown, and their depth at linebacker is

802
00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:11,840
Speaker 3: really weak. Washington, meanwhile, looks like everyone's gonna play. Michael

803
00:40:11,840 --> 00:40:14,800
Speaker 3: Penix wants to play in a bowl, gonna come back,

804
00:40:15,080 --> 00:40:17,680
Speaker 3: and they finished red hot. They finished as hot as

805
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 3: anyone in the country. Location favors Texas, but opt outs

806
00:40:21,040 --> 00:40:25,400
Speaker 3: favor Washington. I think motivation favors Washington, coaching favors Washington,

807
00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:28,680
Speaker 3: and then from a matchup perspective, the Texas run defense

808
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:31,919
Speaker 3: was great all year. Doesn't really matter here. Washington doesn't

809
00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:35,040
Speaker 3: run the ball, and yeah, Washington could throw the ball

810
00:40:35,040 --> 00:40:36,920
Speaker 3: in Texas here, I think a lot of success doing so.

811
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:39,200
Speaker 3: Now Washington, I mean, they're one of those past heavy

812
00:40:39,200 --> 00:40:43,080
Speaker 3: teams in the country. Now Washington's defense is also really bad.

813
00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:46,640
Speaker 3: But not having to go up against John Robinson will

814
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:49,640
Speaker 3: obviously help. I think Texas will obviously get their share

815
00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:52,160
Speaker 3: of points here unless and this is always a risk,

816
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:55,320
Speaker 3: because Michael Penis is way more consistent this year. The

817
00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:58,160
Speaker 3: quenures you have one of those queen ears vomit games,

818
00:40:58,520 --> 00:41:01,040
Speaker 3: So it's hard for me not. I haven't bet this yet,

819
00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:03,160
Speaker 3: and I'm hoping you if it's it's hard for me,

820
00:41:04,760 --> 00:41:06,840
Speaker 3: not to make a case and end up taking plus

821
00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:07,279
Speaker 3: four here.

822
00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:09,920
Speaker 1: Well, I might make a case that you're gonna take

823
00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:11,719
Speaker 1: money line, so let me try. I mean, there's no

824
00:41:11,920 --> 00:41:14,279
Speaker 1: Jeon Robinson or Roshawn Johnson. And what that means from

825
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:17,280
Speaker 1: a stat standpoint is you're taking away eighty eight percent

826
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:19,480
Speaker 1: of the first downs on the ground this season from

827
00:41:19,520 --> 00:41:22,279
Speaker 1: the Longhorns. I don't know how they're going to get

828
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:24,200
Speaker 1: to move the chains unless we got the Quinn you

829
00:41:24,239 --> 00:41:26,160
Speaker 1: were show. But what kind of quinn youwers? Are we getting?

830
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:28,920
Speaker 1: Hudson cards in the portal? There is zero depth at

831
00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:31,680
Speaker 1: quarterback here behind quinn Ewers. If he has a bad game,

832
00:41:32,160 --> 00:41:35,279
Speaker 1: there's just nothing they can do about it. Here you

833
00:41:35,360 --> 00:41:37,520
Speaker 1: were seem to get worse as the season went on.

834
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:40,320
Speaker 1: A seven to one TD to i in t ratio

835
00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:43,040
Speaker 1: during the OU and Iowa State games in the middle

836
00:41:43,080 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 1: of the season, final two games against Kansas and Baylor

837
00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:50,640
Speaker 1: just one TD and average depth of target depth from

838
00:41:50,640 --> 00:41:54,120
Speaker 1: eleven to five point seven in those two games. The

839
00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:57,080
Speaker 1: average the A dot really shocked me when I put

840
00:41:57,080 --> 00:42:01,440
Speaker 1: out quinn Ewrs's numbers ten eleven, average around eleven and

841
00:42:01,480 --> 00:42:04,640
Speaker 1: then the final two games five point seven. What's going on.

842
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:06,920
Speaker 1: There is there an injury? Can he not go downfield?

843
00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:09,360
Speaker 1: Has he been limited in putting a downfield? And that

844
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:12,880
Speaker 1: would make me extremely uncomfortable backing in Texas. Here, Washington

845
00:42:12,960 --> 00:42:16,240
Speaker 1: does have a top twenty five pass rush viewers didn't

846
00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:20,120
Speaker 1: have a single TD when he was under pressure this season,

847
00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:22,960
Speaker 1: he had double the turnover worthy plays. Then he'd had

848
00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:25,319
Speaker 1: big time throws when he had a crowded pocket. He

849
00:42:25,400 --> 00:42:27,839
Speaker 1: just can't handle pressure. Maybe it's a freshman thing. Maybe

850
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:29,640
Speaker 1: he's better next year, but that's going to be an

851
00:42:29,640 --> 00:42:32,200
Speaker 1: issue against Washington that does get pressure on the quarterback.

852
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:34,440
Speaker 1: Now on the other side of the ball, Yes, defensive

853
00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,200
Speaker 1: coordinator to Pete Kuitdakowski gets to go against his former

854
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:39,480
Speaker 1: program led by Michael PENNOCKX, who's going to be back

855
00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:42,920
Speaker 1: next year. The second leader leading tackler you mentioned to

856
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:47,160
Speaker 1: Mario an overshown is opted out. Linebacker jalb Ford is practicing,

857
00:42:47,160 --> 00:42:49,880
Speaker 1: but he's also on the opt out list, which you

858
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:51,680
Speaker 1: know gets warmer every day from what I hear, and

859
00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:54,840
Speaker 1: the Texas defense massively improved this season. But you already

860
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:58,440
Speaker 1: mentioned stopping the rush, getting pressure on the quarterback. That

861
00:42:58,600 --> 00:43:00,879
Speaker 1: is owt Texas was able to stay in the game

862
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:03,600
Speaker 1: and almost beat Alabama back in September. But it's just

863
00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:06,239
Speaker 1: not going to matter here. Their coverage is what comes

864
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:10,080
Speaker 1: into the handicap here against Washington sixty third. Very poor

865
00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:13,400
Speaker 1: marks from the linebackers that are now missing Damarian Overshown

866
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:15,120
Speaker 1: eighty fifth and style when he.

867
00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:18,760
Speaker 3: Was out this year, missed Haffer targeting a couple series

868
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:23,040
Speaker 3: for injury. Their backup Scott Burnt burnt bad, and they

869
00:43:23,040 --> 00:43:24,919
Speaker 3: don't have a lot of depth there. That's why they're

870
00:43:24,960 --> 00:43:29,200
Speaker 3: going after linebackers very hard in recruiting.

871
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:32,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, eighty fifth, in stopping the big play from the air.

872
00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:35,120
Speaker 1: Seeing see why you know Patterson and Kuitkowski are going

873
00:43:35,160 --> 00:43:37,400
Speaker 1: to going to the portal and recruiting to try to

874
00:43:37,400 --> 00:43:40,360
Speaker 1: fill these holes. It is I think what makes this stuck.

875
00:43:40,400 --> 00:43:41,880
Speaker 1: What I could sell you on to get you on

876
00:43:41,920 --> 00:43:45,640
Speaker 1: the Washington side. This is a zone based defense from Kodakowski.

877
00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:48,600
Speaker 1: Nearly seventy five percent of the snaps the season, Texas

878
00:43:48,640 --> 00:43:51,880
Speaker 1: has run zone coverage. Wide receiver rome O Dun's for

879
00:43:52,160 --> 00:43:56,360
Speaker 1: Washington sixth highest graded target in all of college football

880
00:43:56,760 --> 00:44:00,920
Speaker 1: against zone coverage. Michael PENNOCKX junior has killed zone coverage

881
00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:04,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be I'm already on Washington for the full game.

882
00:44:04,080 --> 00:44:06,720
Speaker 1: I'm going to bet first half money lie in this scenario,

883
00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:09,600
Speaker 1: I probably should take full game money line. Also, I

884
00:44:09,600 --> 00:44:12,440
Speaker 1: cannot get over how great Michael Pennick Junior is against

885
00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:14,400
Speaker 1: zone coverage, which is all Texas runs.

886
00:44:15,360 --> 00:44:16,680
Speaker 2: You pushed me over the edge. I'm gonna be on

887
00:44:16,719 --> 00:44:18,360
Speaker 2: Washington here. I'll at it here shortly.

888
00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:22,279
Speaker 3: And I think motivation wise too, It's like Texas had

889
00:44:22,320 --> 00:44:26,960
Speaker 3: aspirations of College wall playoff national title, which is why.

890
00:44:26,840 --> 00:44:28,520
Speaker 2: I think you've seen some of these opt outs, and

891
00:44:28,600 --> 00:44:31,480
Speaker 2: Washington last year was horrendous. They did a sniff of

892
00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:34,360
Speaker 2: a bowl. Now you get to play Texas in the

893
00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:36,520
Speaker 2: state of Texas. I think they're gonna be really up

894
00:44:36,520 --> 00:44:39,399
Speaker 2: for this, So yeah, I agree. And how Washington wants

895
00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:41,759
Speaker 2: to attack, that's how you can attack Texas. And then

896
00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:45,359
Speaker 2: obviously Texas is gonna be missing the best running back

897
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:48,600
Speaker 2: in college football, which is just massive because if you

898
00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:51,600
Speaker 2: look at down the stretch and Texas wins, it's when

899
00:44:51,640 --> 00:44:55,520
Speaker 2: Bjon Robinson went off. Yeah, it's all Husky's there and

900
00:44:55,680 --> 00:44:57,680
Speaker 2: enjoy that in primetime on Thursday night.

901
00:44:57,719 --> 00:45:02,120
Speaker 3: Let's move on to Friday to send thirtieth. Let's start

902
00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:04,280
Speaker 3: with the Duke's Mayo Bowl.

903
00:45:05,120 --> 00:45:10,920
Speaker 1: The Duke's Mayo Bowl. Yum, have a bite of this sandwich.

904
00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:15,520
Speaker 2: Fuck's not kill me.

905
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:18,680
Speaker 1: You are going to have to learn to like may Naise.

906
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:23,080
Speaker 3: No. Duke's Mayo Bowl noon Eastern ESPN between Maryland and

907
00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:25,719
Speaker 3: n C State n C State. That's his games are

908
00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 3: basically a pick over under forty seven. The game's in Charlotte,

909
00:45:29,080 --> 00:45:30,960
Speaker 3: North Carolina, so CE State will have a little bit

910
00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 3: of a home field or fan advantage. It look I

911
00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:39,640
Speaker 3: think Morris is gonna start. Jimore's gonna start Frensis State.

912
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:44,040
Speaker 3: It could be Ben Finley as well. Could see both

913
00:45:44,600 --> 00:45:47,880
Speaker 3: wide receiver Devin Carter also opted out Frenzie State, and

914
00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:50,760
Speaker 3: their center starts center Grank Gibson will miss with an injury.

915
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:53,120
Speaker 3: But Maryland's opt outs are way worse. I mean wide

916
00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:56,800
Speaker 3: receiver roukem Jarrett, wide receiver Dante Dimas, wide receiver Jacob

917
00:45:57,160 --> 00:46:02,160
Speaker 3: Copeland all opted out mass of losses for that passing attack,

918
00:46:02,200 --> 00:46:06,640
Speaker 3: and then also starting cornerback Deontay Banks. They're starting linebacker

919
00:46:06,640 --> 00:46:09,799
Speaker 3: Aman mccallaugh is transferring, so they're missing a lot of

920
00:46:09,920 --> 00:46:13,560
Speaker 3: key pieces. This handicapp is simple for me. I took

921
00:46:13,680 --> 00:46:17,360
Speaker 3: NC State, you know. I think that they're going to

922
00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:20,680
Speaker 3: be super motivated here after last year all they talked

923
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:25,000
Speaker 3: about was that Bowl that UCLA canceled on them for COVID,

924
00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:28,120
Speaker 3: and I think they're really going to care. I think

925
00:46:28,160 --> 00:46:32,839
Speaker 3: they have a coaching advantage and the defense will be

926
00:46:33,000 --> 00:46:34,720
Speaker 3: their defense will be the best unit on the field.

927
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:38,200
Speaker 3: I think that's ultimately a difference, especially when you take

928
00:46:38,239 --> 00:46:41,759
Speaker 3: into account the Maryland receivers, the production of receivers that

929
00:46:41,760 --> 00:46:44,520
Speaker 3: they're going to be missing. Give me NC State here

930
00:46:44,560 --> 00:46:45,719
Speaker 3: to pick. I think they win this game.

931
00:46:46,239 --> 00:46:49,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's kind of the conclusion I came to.

932
00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:51,320
Speaker 1: I haven't put any money down, but I think I

933
00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:54,680
Speaker 1: might hear during the podcast, Talli and Tagerola runs an offense,

934
00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:57,480
Speaker 1: it's forty ninth and third down conversions. That's going to

935
00:46:57,560 --> 00:47:00,600
Speaker 1: be tough to improve on that number or replicate that

936
00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:05,320
Speaker 1: number when you've lost Dante Dimas for Keem Jarrett Jacob Copeland,

937
00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:07,440
Speaker 1: three of the top five targets on the Maryland roster

938
00:47:07,840 --> 00:47:10,640
Speaker 1: wide receiver Jashawn Jones is still there. He's the next

939
00:47:10,680 --> 00:47:14,200
Speaker 1: biggest target share splits time between slot and wide out,

940
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:17,880
Speaker 1: but one point six yards per route run. He's not

941
00:47:18,000 --> 00:47:22,280
Speaker 1: explosive whatsoever. This is not really rakeem Jarrett and Dante

942
00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:26,400
Speaker 1: Demas type explosiveness. Now, the offensive line stays intact for Maryland.

943
00:47:26,600 --> 00:47:29,040
Speaker 1: They lost a blocking tight end, but there could be

944
00:47:29,080 --> 00:47:32,319
Speaker 1: about twenty plus rushing attempts from Rome and himby, but

945
00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:35,120
Speaker 1: there's just no explosiveness there either, less than three yards

946
00:47:35,120 --> 00:47:39,480
Speaker 1: after contact, not elusive, did not per you know, I mean,

947
00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:42,919
Speaker 1: just this is not the Maryland explosiveness that we're used

948
00:47:42,960 --> 00:47:45,640
Speaker 1: to with the players that are left. NC State defense

949
00:47:45,719 --> 00:47:47,919
Speaker 1: finish best in the nation and stuff right, top ten

950
00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:50,680
Speaker 1: unit and defensive rushing success rate. Not a lot of

951
00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:52,680
Speaker 1: first downs given up by the rush of the wolf Pack.

952
00:47:52,920 --> 00:47:55,200
Speaker 1: And as long as the linebackers the names that you

953
00:47:55,320 --> 00:47:57,080
Speaker 1: need to know, as long as they don't opt out

954
00:47:57,080 --> 00:48:00,799
Speaker 1: here Drake Thomas, Isaiah Moore edged down in Vanits it

955
00:48:00,880 --> 00:48:03,160
Speaker 1: was second on the team in pressures. As long as

956
00:48:03,200 --> 00:48:05,600
Speaker 1: those names are still on defense, to me, it's an

957
00:48:05,680 --> 00:48:09,040
Speaker 1: NC State play. Now the offense you mentioned MJ. Morris,

958
00:48:09,040 --> 00:48:11,239
Speaker 1: who you know, I bet on a few times this year.

959
00:48:11,640 --> 00:48:14,120
Speaker 1: They've just kind of been piecemealing the skill positions through

960
00:48:14,120 --> 00:48:16,279
Speaker 1: the second half of the season with all of the

961
00:48:16,280 --> 00:48:19,000
Speaker 1: injuries that they've had. Uh and you know the good

962
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:23,480
Speaker 1: news is Maryland doesn't generate a lick of havoc near

963
00:48:23,800 --> 00:48:26,480
Speaker 1: blast and pass rush. The NC State offensive line finished

964
00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:29,000
Speaker 1: top thirty in pass blocking. That is a huge advantage

965
00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:31,960
Speaker 1: whether it's Ben Finley or MJ. Morris. So for that reason,

966
00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:33,200
Speaker 1: wolf pack all the way here.

967
00:48:33,920 --> 00:48:36,719
Speaker 3: I agree. All right, let's stay on Friday. Moved a

968
00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:40,040
Speaker 3: little later in the afternoon to PM Eastern on CBS.

969
00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:44,200
Speaker 3: This the Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl. They're great. I

970
00:48:44,200 --> 00:48:46,359
Speaker 3: don't know about if this game is going to be there.

971
00:48:46,480 --> 00:48:56,160
Speaker 1: Great the Sun Bowl shine as well while gaming.

972
00:48:57,760 --> 00:49:01,400
Speaker 2: In al Paso, Texas or pass those I like to

973
00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:03,160
Speaker 2: say between Pitt and UCLA.

974
00:49:03,200 --> 00:49:05,000
Speaker 3: U S is a four point favorite here over under

975
00:49:05,040 --> 00:49:07,920
Speaker 3: fifty four. This, by the way, this is this Bowl

976
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:10,640
Speaker 3: will always be near and dear to my heart. Because

977
00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:15,440
Speaker 3: I got married on a whim the night before New

978
00:49:15,480 --> 00:49:19,560
Speaker 3: Year's Eve in twenty nineteen. We said let's just get

979
00:49:19,560 --> 00:49:22,280
Speaker 3: married of the beach tomorrow. I was watching this Bowl

980
00:49:22,320 --> 00:49:25,239
Speaker 3: game with the the we got an efficient to come out.

981
00:49:25,560 --> 00:49:27,480
Speaker 3: I'm sitting there watching the Bowl game with the Efficient

982
00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:29,799
Speaker 3: talking with her. My wife's out of the beach and

983
00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:31,359
Speaker 3: I get a call like where are you?

984
00:49:31,400 --> 00:49:32,960
Speaker 2: And I'm sitting here watching this Bowl game and I

985
00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:35,000
Speaker 2: have money on it and I think it was Amazona

986
00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:36,160
Speaker 2: State was playing in it.

987
00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:38,239
Speaker 3: I went down and the only other people there were

988
00:49:38,360 --> 00:49:39,839
Speaker 3: my sister and brother in law.

989
00:49:39,880 --> 00:49:41,440
Speaker 2: And I told my brother in law was like, give me,

990
00:49:42,040 --> 00:49:43,880
Speaker 2: give me a nod, and I need to need an

991
00:49:43,920 --> 00:49:44,759
Speaker 2: update on this game.

992
00:49:44,800 --> 00:49:46,759
Speaker 3: Like this, I was paying attention to the Sun the

993
00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:50,240
Speaker 3: Sun Bowl Tony the Tiger Sun boll So.

994
00:49:50,120 --> 00:49:52,640
Speaker 2: This will always remind me of my marriage. Right, isn't

995
00:49:52,640 --> 00:49:55,320
Speaker 2: that a nice romantic story. This game will be playing

996
00:49:55,360 --> 00:49:57,560
Speaker 2: out Paso, Texas, out.

997
00:49:57,320 --> 00:49:59,800
Speaker 1: In the West Texas town of l Pass.

998
00:50:00,640 --> 00:50:02,520
Speaker 3: All right, this game confused as the hell out of me.

999
00:50:02,600 --> 00:50:04,960
Speaker 3: This game is very weird. Pitt is now going to

1000
00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:08,520
Speaker 3: be without eight of its best players. Their quarterback Kiden

1001
00:50:08,560 --> 00:50:12,800
Speaker 3: Slovas has gone uh. They're all the unanimous All American

1002
00:50:12,880 --> 00:50:16,680
Speaker 3: defensive tackle Kancy Is out. They're strong safety Brandon Hill out.

1003
00:50:17,160 --> 00:50:20,080
Speaker 3: These are all opt outs. Their offensive tackle, they're one

1004
00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:23,239
Speaker 3: of their other defensive ends. Their star middle linebackers first

1005
00:50:23,239 --> 00:50:27,319
Speaker 3: team all a CEC so about Dennis Uh? Their first

1006
00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:31,480
Speaker 3: team all A SEC running back, defensive end John Morgan

1007
00:50:31,560 --> 00:50:34,279
Speaker 3: another starter. These are all these are eight of their

1008
00:50:34,320 --> 00:50:38,080
Speaker 3: best players are out, including their quarterback, and they're you know,

1009
00:50:38,120 --> 00:50:40,240
Speaker 3: they're basically their whole defensive line, which is the strength

1010
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:42,759
Speaker 3: of the team. But this line is sitting at four.

1011
00:50:43,600 --> 00:50:47,399
Speaker 3: But so is dt are going to play? Is Jake

1012
00:50:47,440 --> 00:50:51,560
Speaker 3: Bobo going to play? Is Targeting gonna play? So I

1013
00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:51,880
Speaker 3: don't know.

1014
00:50:51,960 --> 00:50:54,200
Speaker 2: I mean, if this line is saying that they're not right,

1015
00:50:54,239 --> 00:50:58,120
Speaker 2: if the pit's entire team is out, this UCLA is

1016
00:50:58,160 --> 00:51:00,880
Speaker 2: a slammer if their entire team is played right, if

1017
00:51:00,880 --> 00:51:03,359
Speaker 2: this line's saying it's not but the mom is the word,

1018
00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:04,359
Speaker 2: but they're practicing.

1019
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:07,839
Speaker 3: I have no idea what to do with this game.

1020
00:51:10,600 --> 00:51:14,440
Speaker 1: I was pretty hot on the UCLA train in this

1021
00:51:14,520 --> 00:51:17,520
Speaker 1: game until so let's get to that. Until. I mean

1022
00:51:17,520 --> 00:51:19,600
Speaker 1: a lot of missing players for pitt You mentioned John Morgan,

1023
00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:21,800
Speaker 1: He's gonna be playing Arkansas next year on that defense,

1024
00:51:21,840 --> 00:51:25,359
Speaker 1: A huge pull for Sam Pittman in the portal even

1025
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:27,920
Speaker 1: all acc honorable mentioned safety Brandon Hill is not going

1026
00:51:28,000 --> 00:51:31,280
Speaker 1: to be there for pitt And yeah, if Servassi a Dennis.

1027
00:51:31,520 --> 00:51:33,359
Speaker 3: He's a lead of their defense, they're all then they're

1028
00:51:33,360 --> 00:51:35,120
Speaker 3: all American defensive tackles.

1029
00:51:34,719 --> 00:51:38,160
Speaker 1: Out desolately Alexandre, like, all this happened here, like within

1030
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:40,000
Speaker 1: the last what two days? You and I are recording this.

1031
00:51:40,120 --> 00:51:42,640
Speaker 1: So I mean, in total, I think eight of Pitt's

1032
00:51:42,680 --> 00:51:45,000
Speaker 1: best players and four captains are going to miss this game.

1033
00:51:45,200 --> 00:51:46,440
Speaker 3: Yea, well that's a huge loss.

1034
00:51:46,480 --> 00:51:49,120
Speaker 1: And so I'm thinking to myself, you know this early

1035
00:51:49,160 --> 00:51:51,359
Speaker 1: money that I got in on UCLA, I'm feeling good

1036
00:51:51,360 --> 00:51:53,560
Speaker 1: about it because I've got Zach charbag and I've got

1037
00:51:53,640 --> 00:51:58,359
Speaker 1: dtr oh wait on six On December sixteenth, DTR cut

1038
00:51:58,400 --> 00:52:01,880
Speaker 1: an interview about how his status, I mean his body language.

1039
00:52:01,880 --> 00:52:03,399
Speaker 1: He was asked flat out of his gonna opt out.

1040
00:52:03,400 --> 00:52:05,440
Speaker 1: His body language was out of control, like didn't want

1041
00:52:05,440 --> 00:52:07,400
Speaker 1: to face the camera. I had his head down and

1042
00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:09,360
Speaker 1: he goes and he says, it's still it's still to

1043
00:52:09,400 --> 00:52:12,279
Speaker 1: be determined. It's and my body is still nicked up,

1044
00:52:12,640 --> 00:52:15,239
Speaker 1: and I'm still figuring out between my agent and the

1045
00:52:15,280 --> 00:52:17,719
Speaker 1: coaching staff about what's best for me. And I'm like,

1046
00:52:17,800 --> 00:52:20,080
Speaker 1: holy shit, in no way DTR is playing if the

1047
00:52:20,080 --> 00:52:22,920
Speaker 1: agent and the coaches are having a conversation. I mean,

1048
00:52:22,920 --> 00:52:24,520
Speaker 1: I I just don't see him playing in this game.

1049
00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:26,400
Speaker 1: And That's when I was like, so I got on

1050
00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:28,400
Speaker 1: the action app put in a bet on you know,

1051
00:52:28,520 --> 00:52:30,359
Speaker 1: there was steam, So I put in a bet on Pitt,

1052
00:52:30,360 --> 00:52:32,319
Speaker 1: and I'm like, I don't want anything to do with this. Now.

1053
00:52:32,360 --> 00:52:35,560
Speaker 1: The UCLA offense at full participation would dominate this pit

1054
00:52:35,680 --> 00:52:39,400
Speaker 1: defense A second stringers and walk ons without a doubt DTR.

1055
00:52:39,560 --> 00:52:41,839
Speaker 1: We you know, I mean if without him we're onto

1056
00:52:41,880 --> 00:52:44,840
Speaker 1: Ethan Garber's we're on to chase Griffin someone from the

1057
00:52:44,880 --> 00:52:47,560
Speaker 1: practice squad to hand it off to Zach Charbonay. So

1058
00:52:47,760 --> 00:52:49,200
Speaker 1: with all of this noise.

1059
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:50,680
Speaker 3: Who also might not play?

1060
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:53,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, So I mean with all this noise we

1061
00:52:53,280 --> 00:52:56,120
Speaker 1: don't know about DTR and Sharbonay. We got Pitt just

1062
00:52:56,160 --> 00:52:57,360
Speaker 1: you know, dropping like flies.

1063
00:52:57,760 --> 00:52:59,760
Speaker 3: Jake Bobo too, he could be out you ever.

1064
00:53:00,640 --> 00:53:03,200
Speaker 1: First half under, first half on. That's it. I mean,

1065
00:53:03,239 --> 00:53:04,839
Speaker 1: there's just I think this is going to go on

1066
00:53:04,920 --> 00:53:07,680
Speaker 1: until we get to kick off with the frost of

1067
00:53:07,680 --> 00:53:10,520
Speaker 1: flakes and everything in the sun Bowl. First half under

1068
00:53:10,560 --> 00:53:12,279
Speaker 1: for me because I just don't see I don't see

1069
00:53:12,280 --> 00:53:15,040
Speaker 1: anything coming out of the pit offense. And you know,

1070
00:53:15,120 --> 00:53:17,520
Speaker 1: I and I don't see a DTR and Sharbona, which

1071
00:53:17,719 --> 00:53:19,720
Speaker 1: that DTR interview I was like, there's no way he's playing.

1072
00:53:20,000 --> 00:53:22,359
Speaker 1: So first half under for me, before I think it's

1073
00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:25,040
Speaker 1: twenty eight twenty seven and a half, I would go

1074
00:53:25,080 --> 00:53:25,560
Speaker 1: grab that.

1075
00:53:26,520 --> 00:53:28,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I think that the market someone knows

1076
00:53:28,440 --> 00:53:31,080
Speaker 3: that he's out, so I would agree with you. Tough

1077
00:53:31,080 --> 00:53:31,719
Speaker 3: ball to Cap.

1078
00:53:31,880 --> 00:53:34,960
Speaker 2: All Right, thet's move on to the later in the afternoon,

1079
00:53:35,120 --> 00:53:37,120
Speaker 2: we'll kick off another bowl game. We'll have two gone

1080
00:53:37,120 --> 00:53:39,879
Speaker 2: December thirtieth on Friday afternoon. This game's at three point

1081
00:53:39,880 --> 00:53:44,040
Speaker 2: thirty Eastern on CBS. It's the tax Slayer Gator Bowl

1082
00:53:44,080 --> 00:53:45,600
Speaker 2: between South Carolina and Notre Dame.

1083
00:53:46,160 --> 00:53:50,680
Speaker 1: The Gator bawl. Hell no, damn alligator bit my hand.

1084
00:53:50,800 --> 00:53:54,120
Speaker 2: Oh my god. Yeah, this game since jacksonvillth Florida, should

1085
00:53:54,160 --> 00:53:55,319
Speaker 2: get a really really good crowd.

1086
00:53:55,360 --> 00:53:58,359
Speaker 3: I think it's sold out. South Carolina Notre Dame name

1087
00:53:58,440 --> 00:54:00,120
Speaker 3: is a two point favoritere over under fifty one and

1088
00:54:00,160 --> 00:54:03,120
Speaker 3: a half. South Khana fans excited to beat a ball

1089
00:54:03,200 --> 00:54:06,520
Speaker 3: in Florida and Notre Dame fans will always travel well.

1090
00:54:06,920 --> 00:54:08,880
Speaker 3: But I don't know if the player some of the

1091
00:54:08,920 --> 00:54:11,279
Speaker 3: players are not. It's excited about this because Notre Dame

1092
00:54:11,320 --> 00:54:14,640
Speaker 3: the opt outs drew Pine their quarter starting quarterback, hit

1093
00:54:14,640 --> 00:54:18,000
Speaker 3: the transfer portal. Their best player tight end, Michael Meyer,

1094
00:54:18,840 --> 00:54:23,000
Speaker 3: he hit. He opted out. Their best pass rusher is

1095
00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:24,719
Speaker 3: going to go to the NFL. He opted out in

1096
00:54:24,800 --> 00:54:30,239
Speaker 3: Fosky I did. It's Those are three major pieces. Are

1097
00:54:30,239 --> 00:54:34,120
Speaker 3: you going to get some quarterback questions with Notre Dame

1098
00:54:34,160 --> 00:54:37,920
Speaker 3: their original starter Tyler Brookner. He was practicing recovering from injury.

1099
00:54:38,200 --> 00:54:40,600
Speaker 3: You also could go Steve Angela. They've been sharing snaps

1100
00:54:40,600 --> 00:54:43,239
Speaker 3: at quarterback, but obviously the loss of Michael Myers huge.

1101
00:54:43,640 --> 00:54:46,399
Speaker 3: Then you go to South Carolina. Their opt outs, their

1102
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:49,440
Speaker 3: top two corners, Camp Smith and Darius Rush. Their safety

1103
00:54:49,440 --> 00:54:52,719
Speaker 3: Devonnie Reid, although he was bad this year. They're out.

1104
00:54:52,960 --> 00:54:56,960
Speaker 3: Defensive tackle Zach Pickens. They're starting right tackle. Who's really good.

1105
00:54:57,040 --> 00:54:59,839
Speaker 3: Dylan Wantam, he's out. Marshawn Lloyd their best running back,

1106
00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:02,560
Speaker 3: he's out there running back. Slash tight end Jean bell

1107
00:55:02,640 --> 00:55:04,839
Speaker 3: Or you'll be their best offense butter he's out. Tight

1108
00:55:04,960 --> 00:55:09,440
Speaker 3: ends Austin Stagner, starting tight end, he's out. Josh van

1109
00:55:09,560 --> 00:55:13,759
Speaker 3: Is suffered an injury. Their wide receiver, he's out. So

1110
00:55:13,960 --> 00:55:17,560
Speaker 3: I mean that's a lot of pieces. Yeah, Christian Bale

1111
00:55:17,600 --> 00:55:21,520
Speaker 3: Smith R J Rodderk, another defensive back. So South Carolina

1112
00:55:21,560 --> 00:55:23,319
Speaker 3: did finish the season they beat They were the first

1113
00:55:23,320 --> 00:55:25,200
Speaker 3: team ever I think they'd beat two top ten teams.

1114
00:55:25,200 --> 00:55:28,000
Speaker 3: They won His twenty three and fourteen point underdogs against

1115
00:55:28,000 --> 00:55:33,040
Speaker 3: Tennessee and Clemson and Shane Bieber. For what it's worth,

1116
00:55:33,719 --> 00:55:35,600
Speaker 3: he's four to zer against the spread with extra time

1117
00:55:35,719 --> 00:55:39,279
Speaker 3: repair covering by twenty four points per game. He has

1118
00:55:39,320 --> 00:55:44,919
Speaker 3: four outright wins as three four, thirteen and seventeen point

1119
00:55:45,000 --> 00:55:50,040
Speaker 3: underdogs won them all. So we're unsure who's gonna call

1120
00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:53,400
Speaker 3: plays for South Carolina. That's another thing. Their offensive coordinator's gone.

1121
00:55:54,520 --> 00:55:56,400
Speaker 3: So I played South caron a plus three and a half.

1122
00:55:56,440 --> 00:55:58,360
Speaker 3: Another thing to their name has been bad. As a

1123
00:55:58,360 --> 00:56:00,000
Speaker 3: favorite all the year. Michael Meyer is a huge loss

1124
00:56:00,040 --> 00:56:03,920
Speaker 3: the quarterback question of Notre Dame in South Krohinta, by

1125
00:56:03,920 --> 00:56:05,920
Speaker 3: the way, is the best special teams in the country

1126
00:56:06,080 --> 00:56:08,120
Speaker 3: by far, and that is one of some games this year.

1127
00:56:08,160 --> 00:56:10,719
Speaker 3: Could win this game. But I am now worried with

1128
00:56:10,800 --> 00:56:12,840
Speaker 3: all these opt outs on the South kind of defense,

1129
00:56:13,640 --> 00:56:16,640
Speaker 3: and the South kind of defense is very bad against

1130
00:56:16,680 --> 00:56:18,479
Speaker 3: the run. Is Notre Dame is going to be able

1131
00:56:18,480 --> 00:56:23,000
Speaker 3: to line up here hand it off? You know, and

1132
00:56:23,200 --> 00:56:27,279
Speaker 3: run down their throats and their the tough kind of

1133
00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:29,960
Speaker 3: defense one hundred and twenty fifth in line yards one

1134
00:56:30,040 --> 00:56:33,000
Speaker 3: hundred and thirty first and passing down sacrate. That is

1135
00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:35,880
Speaker 3: not good against this Notre Dame offensive line. So I

1136
00:56:35,920 --> 00:56:39,640
Speaker 3: took three and a half with South Carolina. Originally, this

1137
00:56:39,680 --> 00:56:41,680
Speaker 3: is pre this is the risk you take. This is

1138
00:56:41,760 --> 00:56:44,200
Speaker 3: when Meyer was opted. I knew Meyer is going to

1139
00:56:44,239 --> 00:56:47,919
Speaker 3: opt out and Pine hit the transfer portal. But now

1140
00:56:47,960 --> 00:56:51,960
Speaker 3: you have this flood of South Carolina transfers. I'm tempted

1141
00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:54,200
Speaker 3: to come back for a little bit on Notre Dame,

1142
00:56:54,520 --> 00:56:57,320
Speaker 3: hopefully and maybe this ends three. Because I am nowhere

1143
00:56:57,320 --> 00:56:59,640
Speaker 3: close as confident in South Carolina. I just keep thinking

1144
00:56:59,640 --> 00:57:02,560
Speaker 3: that Note ends to come out here and just run

1145
00:57:02,600 --> 00:57:06,320
Speaker 3: down their throat all game. What are your thoughts here exactly?

1146
00:57:06,640 --> 00:57:10,920
Speaker 1: We mentioned so many variables in this game, with so

1147
00:57:10,960 --> 00:57:13,840
Speaker 1: many missing players, but what we did not mention stuck

1148
00:57:14,520 --> 00:57:16,960
Speaker 1: was the Notre Dame offensive line and running backs that

1149
00:57:17,080 --> 00:57:21,240
Speaker 1: is intact, that is stable, and that group dominated the

1150
00:57:21,240 --> 00:57:23,760
Speaker 1: second half of the schedule. Arodric Estimate came on strong

1151
00:57:23,800 --> 00:57:25,920
Speaker 1: at the end of the season. Logan Diggs was a

1152
00:57:25,960 --> 00:57:29,840
Speaker 1: consistent fifteen to twenty carries per game. This Notre Dame

1153
00:57:29,880 --> 00:57:31,959
Speaker 1: ground attack can put it on you if you can't

1154
00:57:32,000 --> 00:57:36,080
Speaker 1: defend it. In South Carolina finished bottom five nationally in

1155
00:57:36,280 --> 00:57:41,280
Speaker 1: the trifecta of rush defense stats, rushing success rate, lineyard stuff. Right,

1156
00:57:41,480 --> 00:57:44,400
Speaker 1: South Carolina doesn't have it, and now they're missing a

1157
00:57:44,520 --> 00:57:46,640
Speaker 1: ton of production on the defensive side of the ball.

1158
00:57:47,040 --> 00:57:49,200
Speaker 1: Notre Dame in the under are the look with the

1159
00:57:49,200 --> 00:57:52,000
Speaker 1: Irish ground game, the South Carolina lack of playmakers on

1160
00:57:52,040 --> 00:57:55,960
Speaker 1: the outside at this tip ball drill that Spencer Ratler

1161
00:57:56,000 --> 00:57:57,680
Speaker 1: has been able to run on offense, it's just not

1162
00:57:57,760 --> 00:58:00,240
Speaker 1: going to be there. That's how they won those underdogs.

1163
00:58:00,280 --> 00:58:02,600
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, I see two and a half

1164
00:58:02,720 --> 00:58:05,280
Speaker 1: is on the board. Probably see if I could catch

1165
00:58:05,360 --> 00:58:08,360
Speaker 1: a cheap money line. I think really what I would

1166
00:58:08,440 --> 00:58:11,240
Speaker 1: like is to see if Tyler Buckner is not healthy,

1167
00:58:11,720 --> 00:58:14,640
Speaker 1: he's called out, I get further South Carolina steam in

1168
00:58:14,680 --> 00:58:17,280
Speaker 1: a better money line number, when really it's just gonna

1169
00:58:17,280 --> 00:58:19,720
Speaker 1: be handing the ball off. I don't think it's gonna

1170
00:58:19,720 --> 00:58:21,360
Speaker 1: be any passing game from Notre Dame whatsoever.

1171
00:58:22,520 --> 00:58:24,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would agree, Yeah, I'm probably gonna get off this.

1172
00:58:24,640 --> 00:58:26,280
Speaker 3: Maybe I'll take the money lot and then hope for

1173
00:58:26,360 --> 00:58:28,960
Speaker 3: a because I have three and a half, and hope

1174
00:58:29,000 --> 00:58:31,760
Speaker 3: that it Notre Dame by three. And then sometimes these

1175
00:58:31,760 --> 00:58:35,160
Speaker 3: Bowl games you might go for two, one or two. Yeah,

1176
00:58:35,200 --> 00:58:36,560
Speaker 3: I think I'm gonna end up buying off because I

1177
00:58:36,640 --> 00:58:38,240
Speaker 3: just think that's what it's gonna end up being. Notre

1178
00:58:38,320 --> 00:58:40,720
Speaker 3: Dame running the ball and these South Carolina opt outs

1179
00:58:40,760 --> 00:58:42,720
Speaker 3: are big, and then you know they're starting right tackles out. Now,

1180
00:58:42,760 --> 00:58:45,840
Speaker 3: your best running back, your tight ends. Their tight ends

1181
00:58:45,880 --> 00:58:48,120
Speaker 3: were so big Jeam Dell was what they would use

1182
00:58:48,160 --> 00:58:50,400
Speaker 3: him all over. Both their tight ends are out, your

1183
00:58:50,480 --> 00:58:53,920
Speaker 3: right tackle, your star running back, the receivers out. It's bad.

1184
00:58:54,600 --> 00:58:56,360
Speaker 3: So I have a lot of respect for Beamer, but

1185
00:58:56,800 --> 00:58:58,200
Speaker 3: this is gonna be a lot to overcome.

1186
00:58:58,400 --> 00:59:00,960
Speaker 1: It should be an undergame, too. I'm surprised I've not

1187
00:59:00,960 --> 00:59:03,360
Speaker 1: seen the market go on the under unless I mean,

1188
00:59:03,400 --> 00:59:05,520
Speaker 1: South Carolina is not going to give a huge explosive runs,

1189
00:59:05,560 --> 00:59:07,920
Speaker 1: and that's really not Notre Dame's game. Notre Dame is

1190
00:59:07,920 --> 00:59:09,680
Speaker 1: more more about moving the chains with the runs. So

1191
00:59:09,840 --> 00:59:12,600
Speaker 1: I would think the under would would catch some catch

1192
00:59:12,640 --> 00:59:14,840
Speaker 1: some market movement here leading up to the game.

1193
00:59:15,240 --> 00:59:18,240
Speaker 3: I would agree, all right, let's close up here with

1194
00:59:18,320 --> 00:59:23,440
Speaker 3: one final bowl on our Part three preview, Wyoming taking

1195
00:59:23,440 --> 00:59:26,760
Speaker 3: on Ohio, Ohio one point favorite here over under forty three.

1196
00:59:26,800 --> 00:59:30,720
Speaker 3: This is the Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl in Tucson, Arizona.

1197
00:59:31,440 --> 00:59:36,840
Speaker 1: The Arizona Bowl. You do not want to see a

1198
00:59:36,920 --> 00:59:40,000
Speaker 1: kid with this type of display.

1199
00:59:40,320 --> 00:59:42,880
Speaker 3: This game is Friday, December thirtieth, four to thirty Eastern

1200
00:59:43,080 --> 00:59:47,080
Speaker 3: on Barstool, Ohio. I mean, look, their star quarterback is

1201
00:59:47,120 --> 00:59:49,280
Speaker 3: already one of the most productive quarterbacks in the country

1202
00:59:49,280 --> 00:59:52,160
Speaker 3: this year. Credits work is out for the year. That's

1203
00:59:52,200 --> 00:59:55,360
Speaker 3: it for the Ohio News. As now, Wyoming News is crazy.

1204
00:59:55,720 --> 00:59:59,080
Speaker 3: Their top four backs are think are out top four

1205
00:59:59,480 --> 01:00:01,560
Speaker 3: if swam and brash at the portal and then they're

1206
01:00:01,560 --> 01:00:04,680
Speaker 3: a third and four string are hurt. They're you know,

1207
01:00:05,200 --> 01:00:06,960
Speaker 3: count de Glinton got hurt early in the year of

1208
01:00:07,000 --> 01:00:10,120
Speaker 3: their corner he's in the portal. There are other best

1209
01:00:10,160 --> 01:00:13,120
Speaker 3: corner Campstone, He's in the portal. Their best edge rusher

1210
01:00:13,120 --> 01:00:16,280
Speaker 3: on Motosha, he's in the portal. Their only best good receiver,

1211
01:00:16,440 --> 01:00:19,240
Speaker 3: Josh Cobbs is in the portal, and I mean he

1212
01:00:19,320 --> 01:00:22,600
Speaker 3: had like thirty five catches. The next receiver had like twenty.

1213
01:00:23,720 --> 01:00:26,760
Speaker 3: They're starting defensive tackle Cole god Bout missed the past

1214
01:00:26,760 --> 01:00:31,320
Speaker 3: six games. He's out, and look, Wyoming can't throw the

1215
01:00:31,360 --> 01:00:33,920
Speaker 3: ball at all. Now they're gonna be down Cobs Ohias

1216
01:00:33,960 --> 01:00:36,320
Speaker 3: Rundy has been solid and improved as the year went on,

1217
01:00:38,120 --> 01:00:40,720
Speaker 3: so I don't know how Wyoming's going to move the ball.

1218
01:00:41,800 --> 01:00:43,440
Speaker 3: And then look, they're missing a lot of key pieces

1219
01:00:43,480 --> 01:00:47,000
Speaker 3: on defense, but Ohio has their backup quarterback. The only

1220
01:00:47,000 --> 01:00:49,120
Speaker 3: team both teams at Wyoming beat was Utah State with

1221
01:00:49,160 --> 01:00:51,160
Speaker 3: their four string quarterback and then just air Force, So

1222
01:00:51,200 --> 01:00:53,880
Speaker 3: they match up well with their other wins for pretty

1223
01:00:53,880 --> 01:00:56,520
Speaker 3: poverty and they are four and one to one possession games.

1224
01:00:57,040 --> 01:00:59,120
Speaker 3: But Ohio the only wins outside the MAC, which I

1225
01:00:59,120 --> 01:01:02,000
Speaker 3: thought was weak this year was Fordham and fau In

1226
01:01:02,520 --> 01:01:06,720
Speaker 3: by like six points total in shootouts. So I don't

1227
01:01:06,720 --> 01:01:09,160
Speaker 3: know what to make of this game. I kind of

1228
01:01:09,240 --> 01:01:12,520
Speaker 3: lean under, but I just take on under in these

1229
01:01:13,240 --> 01:01:17,000
Speaker 3: low totals and bowls and Craig Bowl as the name suggests,

1230
01:01:17,000 --> 01:01:19,400
Speaker 3: as he owns bowls. He's I think eleven to three

1231
01:01:19,400 --> 01:01:22,680
Speaker 3: against his bread and bowl games. I'm struggling with this

1232
01:01:22,720 --> 01:01:24,600
Speaker 3: one because I wanted to fade the Mac, but Ohio

1233
01:01:24,640 --> 01:01:26,200
Speaker 3: is one team I believed in and that their defense

1234
01:01:26,200 --> 01:01:30,280
Speaker 3: started improved. And the Wyoming losses are significant and they

1235
01:01:30,320 --> 01:01:32,600
Speaker 3: can't throw the ball. You lost your top receiver and

1236
01:01:32,600 --> 01:01:36,480
Speaker 3: now you're down your top four running backs, Like, yeah,

1237
01:01:36,640 --> 01:01:38,120
Speaker 3: what makes sense of this one?

1238
01:01:38,840 --> 01:01:42,560
Speaker 1: Well? First off, Craig Bowl is an unbelievable coach, especially

1239
01:01:42,640 --> 01:01:45,240
Speaker 1: getting something out of nothing. This is a team that

1240
01:01:45,280 --> 01:01:47,440
Speaker 1: we've met on earlier this season when they've been depleted

1241
01:01:47,480 --> 01:01:50,800
Speaker 1: with injuries and they find a way to win. And

1242
01:01:50,840 --> 01:01:51,640
Speaker 1: you know, I think.

1243
01:01:51,480 --> 01:01:55,040
Speaker 2: They lost by three so Boise State in a game

1244
01:01:55,880 --> 01:02:00,880
Speaker 2: where their quarterback went three of six team it was

1245
01:02:00,880 --> 01:02:03,160
Speaker 2: like their four string quarterback. I think when three is

1246
01:02:03,240 --> 01:02:07,240
Speaker 2: sixteen for thirty yards and three picks and they lost

1247
01:02:07,640 --> 01:02:08,560
Speaker 2: twenty to seventeen.

1248
01:02:09,280 --> 01:02:11,920
Speaker 1: This is like some Zach Wilson Thursday Night football numbers

1249
01:02:11,920 --> 01:02:15,440
Speaker 1: that we got going on here. Listen, as I get

1250
01:02:15,440 --> 01:02:18,160
Speaker 1: into this, I have to throw it out there as

1251
01:02:18,200 --> 01:02:20,080
Speaker 1: we're recording this, the Mountain West is four and one

1252
01:02:20,120 --> 01:02:21,800
Speaker 1: in the bowls. I thought we were going to be

1253
01:02:21,800 --> 01:02:23,720
Speaker 1: hating on the Mountain West and the bowlseason because of

1254
01:02:23,760 --> 01:02:27,000
Speaker 1: how poor half that league is. Yep, they're four to one,

1255
01:02:27,240 --> 01:02:29,640
Speaker 1: and you know, I think that you take that into

1256
01:02:29,680 --> 01:02:31,800
Speaker 1: account and realize what Wyoming was able to do in

1257
01:02:31,800 --> 01:02:34,840
Speaker 1: that conference. As far as the Ohio quarterback, c J.

1258
01:02:34,960 --> 01:02:37,040
Speaker 1: Harris is going to be the quarterback again, this I mean,

1259
01:02:37,040 --> 01:02:39,000
Speaker 1: this is stuck team. This Ohio team is stuck team.

1260
01:02:39,320 --> 01:02:41,640
Speaker 1: But we know he is not a scrambler. He was

1261
01:02:41,720 --> 01:02:44,040
Speaker 1: lit up by the Toledo defense in the Max Championship

1262
01:02:44,080 --> 01:02:47,680
Speaker 1: game for four turnover worthy plays. And you know, Wyoming

1263
01:02:47,760 --> 01:02:49,760
Speaker 1: finished with much better numbers against the pass than they

1264
01:02:49,760 --> 01:02:51,560
Speaker 1: did against the rush. They were top twenty five in

1265
01:02:51,680 --> 01:02:56,560
Speaker 1: limiting explosiveness in standard downs and that's where I think

1266
01:02:56,560 --> 01:02:58,680
Speaker 1: Wyoming is gonna have a huge advantage on defense, not

1267
01:02:58,720 --> 01:03:01,680
Speaker 1: just against c J. Harris, but Sierra Bangura becomes the

1268
01:03:01,720 --> 01:03:05,040
Speaker 1: most important piece to the Ohio offense. And Ben Gera

1269
01:03:05,120 --> 01:03:06,959
Speaker 1: was shut down for the final two games against Bowling

1270
01:03:07,000 --> 01:03:10,240
Speaker 1: Green and Toledo. From an average yards per carry perspective,

1271
01:03:10,280 --> 01:03:13,160
Speaker 1: he returned from injury, he just wasn't the same. So

1272
01:03:13,240 --> 01:03:16,640
Speaker 1: I'm not sure Ohio has anything offensively to get some

1273
01:03:16,680 --> 01:03:18,440
Speaker 1: points up on the board. You go to the other

1274
01:03:18,480 --> 01:03:20,360
Speaker 1: side of the ball. Wyoming the heavy rush team, but

1275
01:03:20,400 --> 01:03:23,720
Speaker 1: we tied his swim. Every single running back I believe

1276
01:03:23,840 --> 01:03:27,200
Speaker 1: is off the board. Here. All that's left after injury

1277
01:03:27,240 --> 01:03:30,840
Speaker 1: and portal twenty five designed run attempts from quarterback Andrew Peasley.

1278
01:03:31,040 --> 01:03:34,000
Speaker 1: That's it. That's all we have from a running perspective.

1279
01:03:34,240 --> 01:03:36,080
Speaker 3: So there's only good receivers out.

1280
01:03:36,760 --> 01:03:39,200
Speaker 1: Yes, there's not a single rushing attempt on the current

1281
01:03:39,600 --> 01:03:43,680
Speaker 1: running back depth chart. And listen, Ohio cannot defend the pass.

1282
01:03:43,720 --> 01:03:45,479
Speaker 1: They're outside the top one hund and everything. So maybe

1283
01:03:45,480 --> 01:03:47,600
Speaker 1: Peasley is throwing here, but.

1284
01:03:47,560 --> 01:03:49,480
Speaker 3: To who and they can't throw. I mean, Wyoming was

1285
01:03:49,480 --> 01:03:51,240
Speaker 3: a bottom five passing offense and.

1286
01:03:51,200 --> 01:03:54,200
Speaker 1: Peasley hasn't thrown a touchdown pass since Week six. Right,

1287
01:03:54,320 --> 01:03:57,560
Speaker 1: I was realized, like, oh my god. I think there's

1288
01:03:57,600 --> 01:03:59,640
Speaker 1: a little bit of blind faith, and Craig Bowl is

1289
01:03:59,640 --> 01:04:01,640
Speaker 1: a little bit to blind faith in the Mountain West.

1290
01:04:01,960 --> 01:04:04,480
Speaker 1: But I think that this is a win. A first

1291
01:04:04,560 --> 01:04:07,160
Speaker 1: half under has to be in play here. That number

1292
01:04:07,240 --> 01:04:08,680
Speaker 1: is crumbling. I think you got to get that in

1293
01:04:08,680 --> 01:04:11,720
Speaker 1: the market early if you can. I played Wyoming and

1294
01:04:12,240 --> 01:04:13,840
Speaker 1: I did that before all these opt outs on the

1295
01:04:13,880 --> 01:04:16,600
Speaker 1: running back depth start. But I'm sticking with it. You know,

1296
01:04:16,600 --> 01:04:18,240
Speaker 1: it's a little bit of blind faith, but hey, there's

1297
01:04:18,280 --> 01:04:21,120
Speaker 1: no way we are not betting on every single Bowl

1298
01:04:21,160 --> 01:04:23,360
Speaker 1: and bowl season. So that's definitely the way we're going.

1299
01:04:24,120 --> 01:04:27,320
Speaker 3: If you don't bet on a bowl the bowl even exists,

1300
01:04:28,520 --> 01:04:30,760
Speaker 3: I'm gonna bet the under. We haven't talked about unders enough.

1301
01:04:30,920 --> 01:04:33,840
Speaker 3: I hate going under these low totals, but I'm doing

1302
01:04:33,880 --> 01:04:38,160
Speaker 3: it here. I'm going under. Yeah, under forty three. I'm

1303
01:04:38,240 --> 01:04:38,880
Speaker 3: locking it in.

1304
01:04:39,360 --> 01:04:39,800
Speaker 1: All right.

1305
01:04:40,200 --> 01:04:42,920
Speaker 3: That's eleven bowls covered in a little over an hour,

1306
01:04:43,720 --> 01:04:47,880
Speaker 3: and Part four will be coming out this Wednesday, December

1307
01:04:47,920 --> 01:04:51,760
Speaker 3: twenty eighth. We will cover the Orange Bowl, which is

1308
01:04:51,840 --> 01:04:55,320
Speaker 3: on Friday night, December thirtieth, and then we'll cover the

1309
01:04:55,320 --> 01:04:57,840
Speaker 3: rest of the weekend, including the College Wall playoff into

1310
01:04:58,000 --> 01:05:00,840
Speaker 3: the New Year's Day Bowls. Just the rest of the

1311
01:05:00,840 --> 01:05:04,120
Speaker 3: slate can't wait for that. We have one final order

1312
01:05:04,160 --> 01:05:07,640
Speaker 3: of business today, that's just our favorite bet from this

1313
01:05:07,840 --> 01:05:11,680
Speaker 3: batch of bowls. I will start things off. I'm going

1314
01:05:11,720 --> 01:05:13,840
Speaker 3: to go with Kansas can be Kansas plus the points

1315
01:05:14,200 --> 01:05:17,560
Speaker 3: against Arkansas. I think all the Arkansas opt outs are

1316
01:05:17,640 --> 01:05:20,240
Speaker 3: going to catch up to them. Here should be a

1317
01:05:20,280 --> 01:05:22,240
Speaker 3: high scoring game. Markantsall. We will get its fair share

1318
01:05:22,240 --> 01:05:25,080
Speaker 3: of points, but I think the Kansas offense and all

1319
01:05:25,080 --> 01:05:28,040
Speaker 3: of that misdirection, I'm going to trust Lance Leopold here

1320
01:05:28,040 --> 01:05:31,280
Speaker 3: in a very motivated Kansas team. On top of all that,

1321
01:05:31,480 --> 01:05:34,800
Speaker 3: Colin's not going to the Bowl, which is all the

1322
01:05:34,840 --> 01:05:38,840
Speaker 3: signal you need about his confidence at Arkansas. Here, Colm,

1323
01:05:38,880 --> 01:05:40,680
Speaker 3: where are you going for your favorite bet?

1324
01:05:41,040 --> 01:05:44,280
Speaker 1: I'm going to go to the Alamo Bole at Washington, Texas,

1325
01:05:44,280 --> 01:05:46,400
Speaker 1: I'm going to take the Huskies here. I've backed a

1326
01:05:46,440 --> 01:05:48,480
Speaker 1: lot of first year coaches in these bowl games. I'm

1327
01:05:48,480 --> 01:05:51,240
Speaker 1: not stopping here with Kayln da bore No, Jeon Robinson

1328
01:05:51,280 --> 01:05:54,120
Speaker 1: and Roshawn Johnson running for Texas here, They're gonna have

1329
01:05:54,120 --> 01:05:56,200
Speaker 1: to lean on Quinn Youwers's arm. I'm not sure that's

1330
01:05:56,200 --> 01:06:00,000
Speaker 1: a great idea. Washington is going to have no resistance

1331
01:06:00,080 --> 01:06:04,440
Speaker 1: and running their offense here. This Texas defense runs zone coverage.

1332
01:06:04,720 --> 01:06:10,640
Speaker 1: Michael Pennis Junior Washington. Their wide receivers absolutely obliterate zone coverage.

1333
01:06:10,800 --> 01:06:13,440
Speaker 1: Gimme Washington, give me the Huskies first half, money line,

1334
01:06:13,560 --> 01:06:16,560
Speaker 1: give me the points while before it crumbles down below three.

1335
01:06:17,080 --> 01:06:18,880
Speaker 1: Maybe they win this outright. I'm sure we can get

1336
01:06:18,880 --> 01:06:20,720
Speaker 1: some money on that too. But I love Washington here.

1337
01:06:20,920 --> 01:06:22,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, and plus the strength of the Texas defense they

1338
01:06:23,080 --> 01:06:26,440
Speaker 3: run defense. What doesn't really matter here against Washington one

1339
01:06:26,440 --> 01:06:30,280
Speaker 3: of the most past heavy teams in the country. I'll

1340
01:06:30,280 --> 01:06:33,000
Speaker 3: be adding the Huskies with you, all right. That'll do

1341
01:06:33,040 --> 01:06:35,600
Speaker 3: it for us. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, Subscribe,

1342
01:06:35,640 --> 01:06:38,560
Speaker 3: Tell friend, telling enemy. Thanks to Colin as always for

1343
01:06:38,640 --> 01:06:40,640
Speaker 3: joining me. Thanks to all of you for tuning in.

1344
01:06:41,080 --> 01:06:46,479
Speaker 3: I hope you have a great holiday season. Remember Part

1345
01:06:46,560 --> 01:06:50,160
Speaker 3: four is coming college football playoff. Still a lot of

1346
01:06:50,160 --> 01:06:53,400
Speaker 3: money to be made. Let's close out bowl season strong.

1347
01:06:53,600 --> 01:06:56,520
Speaker 3: Good luck on all of your wagers and we will

1348
01:06:56,560 --> 01:06:57,600
Speaker 3: catch all next time.

1349
01:06:57,720 --> 01:06:59,720
Speaker 1: Cheers, peace out, good stuff.

1350
01:07:00,560 --> 01:07:07,640
Speaker 4: Squandercle Time is the most squanercle time call the most

1351
01:07:07,720 --> 01:07:28,000
Speaker 4: squandercle time of the.

1352
01:07:20,080 --> 01:07:23,240
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1353
01:07:23,560 --> 01:07:26,160
Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1354
01:07:26,360 --> 01:07:28,720
Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1355
01:07:28,800 --> 01:07:29,520
Speaker 3: hundred Gambler