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Speaker 1: disclosures and disclaimers at CBO dot com slash us Underscore disclaimers.

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Speaker 2: Welcome in episode one eleven, Week seventeen NFL Gambling Show.

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Speaker 2: And if I sound a little sad because we were

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Speaker 2: so close to digging ourselves out of our season long

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Speaker 2: hold and then a week of you know what, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go ahead and say it. I think they were

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Speaker 2: all great picks. I do, I think, and I think

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Speaker 2: I can prove it to you. That's somehow despite going

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Speaker 2: one in four last week. I think the process was sound,

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Speaker 2: I think the logic was sound. I think we got

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Speaker 2: a little unlucky in some spots. So let's show you

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Speaker 2: last week if we could. It's a one and four

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Speaker 2: week and no they We're now six games under five

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Speaker 2: hundred on the season. So let's go through these five games.

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Speaker 2: Giants plus four, they lose by three on a sixty

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Speaker 2: one yard field goal. We cover, feeling good. Cleveland minus

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Speaker 2: ten or minus three? Pardon me? They were up ten

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Speaker 2: to nothing in the coldest NFL game in years, playing

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Speaker 2: a New Orleans team with an Andy Dalton Taysom Hill quarterback. Combo,

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Speaker 2: They're up ten to nothing at what moment in the game,

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Speaker 2: with four minutes left in the second quarter, I'm laying three.

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Speaker 2: They then let those dufuses in New Orleans score seventeen

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Speaker 2: consecutive points and they don't score again, so they don't cover. Fine,

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Speaker 2: so be it. It happens. Also, at some point there

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Speaker 2: might need to be a Deshaun Watson conversation had because

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Speaker 2: he once again the gas is terrible. Yeah, Vegas plus

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Speaker 2: two and a half at Pittsburgh. How's Vegas doing on

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Speaker 2: Christmas Eve night? Well, they're ahead ten to three, then

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Speaker 2: they're ahead ten to six with a minute left in

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Speaker 2: the game. I'm getting two and a half points. So

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Speaker 2: they of course allow a touchdown to lose by three.

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Speaker 2: After covering the entire game, I'm getting two and a half.

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Speaker 2: They were covering for fifty nine minutes and forty six

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Speaker 2: seconds of that football game didn't matter. They end up

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Speaker 2: losing by three Miami minus four. Well, they lose that

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Speaker 2: game out right, Nick, How can you feel good about that? Well,

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Speaker 2: they're up twenty to ten in that game, and then

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Speaker 2: Tua gets concussed. But no one knows he got concussed

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Speaker 2: until you saw him play in the fourth quarter when

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Speaker 2: he threw three picks, and all of a sudden, they

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Speaker 2: lose that game out right by six minutes. And then, lastly,

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Speaker 2: the one that you're gonna say is the least defensible

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Speaker 2: Chicago plus eight and a half against Buffalo, Nick, the Bills.

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Speaker 2: The Bills won by what they win by twenty one.

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Speaker 2: In that game, they won by twenty two. The Bears

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Speaker 2: were ahead at halftime. I'm catching eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: They're up ten to six at half time. They are

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Speaker 2: down eight with four minutes left. I'm getting eight and

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Speaker 2: a half. They lose the game by twenty two. Thames.

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Speaker 2: By the way, I also had them in a teaser,

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Speaker 2: getting them in the Demonse Bird Special ten point teaser

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Speaker 2: to plus eighteen and a half, and they of course,

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Speaker 2: somehow to not cover the eighteen and a half despite

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Speaker 2: being down by eight with four minutes left in a

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Speaker 2: game they led it half to So that's how you

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Speaker 2: go one in four America. We're not proud of it.

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Speaker 2: We're not happy with it. We're six games under five hundred.

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Speaker 2: We have never finished in NFL regular season below five hundred.

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Speaker 2: So that means this week we need to go four

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Speaker 2: and one at a minimum in order to make it

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Speaker 2: to war four and one. Four and one we finish

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Speaker 2: at five hundred. The other is in week eighteen. If

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Speaker 2: we just want to pick all sixteen games and try

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Speaker 2: to run it up that way, that is a reckless thing. However,

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Speaker 2: I would like to do one thing. I would as

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Speaker 2: we are now approaching week eighteen or week seventeen, I

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Speaker 2: would like to do one thing quickly before we get

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Speaker 2: to our picks this week. Talk about our preseason bets.

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Speaker 2: Baltimore over ten and a half. They're sitting at ten wins,

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Speaker 2: one more win. They hit the over Indy over nine

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Speaker 2: and a half, dead Jacksonville over six and a half,

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Speaker 2: already cashed, Kansas City over ten and a half, already

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Speaker 2: cashed New England under eight and a half looking great,

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Speaker 2: they would have to win out for us to lose

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Speaker 2: that bet. Giants under seven and a half dead, Sam, wait,

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Speaker 2: is it dead? Yeah, it's dead? Or hold on, is

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Speaker 2: the Giants bet dead? I think it is dead. Giants

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Speaker 2: bet dead? I said over seven the Giants right now,

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Speaker 2: yeah they have They're eight six and one though, So

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Speaker 2: the Giants bets dead. San Francisco over nine and a

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Speaker 2: half already cashed. Yeah, Tampa under eleven and a half

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Speaker 2: already cashed. So that means we lost Indy and the

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Speaker 2: Giants we have already won Jacksonville, Kansas City, San Francisco,

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Speaker 2: and Tampa, and Baltimore needs to win one more so

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Speaker 2: five and two on deck. There this bet here, which

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Speaker 2: looked dead at one point. Seattle, the Jets, Atlanta, and

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Speaker 2: New England all missed the playoffs. Seattle hanging on by

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Speaker 2: a thread, at Lana Out the Jets hanging on by

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Speaker 2: a thread. New England hanging on by a thread. So

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Speaker 2: if Detroit or Washington get the final playoff spot in

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Speaker 2: the NFC and in Miami can get it together the

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Speaker 2: final playoffs without the AFC, we win. Cleveland misses the

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Speaker 2: playoffs minus one seventy winner Denver misses the playoffs plus

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Speaker 2: one twenty winner New England misses the playoffs minus one

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Speaker 2: ninety eight. We'll see, but I feel good about it.

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Speaker 2: And then if you and then I also had a

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Speaker 2: division winner parlay, which isn't gonna hit because I had

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Speaker 2: Indy right. But then, don't forget America the fifty to

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Speaker 2: one that I gave out on our preseason gambling show

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Speaker 2: super Bowl exacta Chiefs Niners don't need a winner in it.

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Speaker 2: Just the Chiefs win the AFC Niners to win the NFC.

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Speaker 2: So our preseason bets are super profitable. Our in season

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Speaker 2: bets have been a disaster.

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Speaker 3: So so basically, what you're saying is you're better at

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Speaker 3: making bets with no data.

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Speaker 2: Know that that was insulting. What I'm saying is my

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Speaker 2: long term view of the season. Compiling all the offseason

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Speaker 2: data was spot on. My preseason, my week to week

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Speaker 2: view of the season. I've had some bad luck, but

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Speaker 2: this week we turned that sucker around because I liked

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Speaker 2: our bets. Last week I felt good about him. There

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Speaker 2: was none of those bets. I'm like, what am I thinking?

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Speaker 2: Watching those games? I felt good about him? Yeah, put

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Speaker 2: that graphic up there. I was right along. That's correct.

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Speaker 2: This week we start with an underdog that's gonna win outright,

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Speaker 2: the Dolphins getting two and a half at New England.

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Speaker 2: So here's the deal. I think Teddy Bridgewater is gonna

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Speaker 2: be fine. So Teddy Bridgewater has not had a real

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Speaker 2: opportunity yet with Miami. So here's been his three games

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Speaker 2: he's played with Miami. He came in mid game for

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Speaker 2: two when Tua got thrown to the turf against Cincinnati.

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Speaker 2: The next week, he was the listed starter. He lasted

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Speaker 2: less than one series. Then he got put in concussion

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Speaker 2: protocol so he didn't play. He threw one pass. The

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Speaker 2: next week, he was the backup to Skyler Thompson because

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Speaker 2: he had been in concussion protocol all week. Skyler then

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Speaker 2: got hurt. Teddy came in mid game, threw for three

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Speaker 2: hundred yards now also threw a couple of picks, and

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Speaker 2: they lost the game. But Teddy Bridgewater is yet to

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Speaker 2: get a full week of practice as the one and

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Speaker 2: get the full game. He's gonna get that this week.

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Speaker 2: The Patriots stink their quarterbacks awful, and I think that

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Speaker 2: in a weird way, with Tua struggling the way he

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Speaker 2: has the last month, Teddy is a tougher matchup for

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Speaker 2: the Belichick defense because I think Tua it was very

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Speaker 2: clear some things you could do to disrupt him. And

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Speaker 2: one other point that I don't think people fully consider

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Speaker 2: as far as how specifically difficult it is for Miami

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Speaker 2: to adjust on the fly to a quarterback change as

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Speaker 2: opposed to having a full week to do it. They're

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Speaker 2: starters left handed, so when Teddy came in mid game,

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Speaker 2: you have to flip all your protections, you have to

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Speaker 2: flip all your boot legs. You have to do everything

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Speaker 2: in a mirror left to right. Now they have a

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Speaker 2: full week practicing with it. Miami is gonna go to

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Speaker 2: the playoffs. They're not going to go eight and three

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Speaker 2: to out of the playoffs. They're gonna end New England season.

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Speaker 2: They're catching points. They're gonna win out right. Miami plus

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Speaker 2: two and a half love it.

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Speaker 3: So you've made it obvious that you trust Teddy Bridgewater more.

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Speaker 2: Than Mac Jones. Yes, no question, Oh yeah, no question.

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Speaker 3: Be known. You were three and zero picking AFC East

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Speaker 3: divisional games this year.

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Speaker 2: I didn't know that, but I like that. It makes

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Speaker 2: me feel good. I think a couple of those are

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Speaker 2: fading the Bills when they were laying big numbers against

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Speaker 2: the Dolphins of the jack Yeah, so Miami plus two

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Speaker 2: and a half next one is an odd game to

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Speaker 2: bet because this is a don't watch. This is a

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Speaker 2: how there's sixteen games this weekend? How dare you have

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Speaker 2: this on one of your screens? Arizona getting three and

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Speaker 2: a half at Atlanta? This is very, very simple. Why

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Speaker 2: I'm doing this. We're not gonnapend much time on it.

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Speaker 2: Desmond Ridder should not be favored by more than a

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Speaker 2: field goal against any team in the league. It's that simple.

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Speaker 2: I don't care that Arizona is starting Trace McSorley, I

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Speaker 2: don't Desmond Ridder. Have people watched Desmond Ridder? Have people

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Speaker 2: watched Atlanta? My guess the answer to that is no,

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Speaker 2: So Desmond Ridder. I just want to tell America what

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Speaker 2: Desmond Ridder has done since he took over for Marcus Mariota.

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Speaker 2: And then Mariota got very mad and left the team,

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Speaker 2: which is evidently in vogue now because Carr left the

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Speaker 2: Raiders after finding out he was being benched. So what's up.

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Speaker 3: We've already spent too much time on Raiders Cardinals.

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Speaker 2: Okay, we have not. I just want to tell America

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Speaker 2: what Desmond Ritter has done in his two football games.

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Speaker 2: He started against this or he played against the Saints.

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Speaker 2: He threw the ball twenty six times for ninety seven yards,

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Speaker 2: no touchdowns, no picks. He then played against Baltimore, he

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Speaker 2: threw the ball thirty three times or two hundred and

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Speaker 2: eighteen yards. Give him credit for that. That resulted in

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Speaker 2: a grand total of nine points all field goals. He's

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Speaker 2: yet to account for a touchdown while playing. He cannot

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Speaker 2: be a three and a half point favor He just

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Speaker 2: can't be. So we're taking the three and a half

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Speaker 2: with trace McSorley and the sad sac Arizona Cardinals.

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Speaker 3: So what these two quarterbacks that are playing in this game.

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Speaker 3: You don't see this at all as being a stay

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Speaker 3: away game. Well, I two terrible quarterbacks.

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Speaker 2: Sometimes you put it in the stay away category, but

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Speaker 2: not when you can get three and a half points.

201
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Speaker 2: They're just giving me three and a half points. Why

202
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Speaker 2: because Atlanta is gonna have some great home field advantage.

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Speaker 2: They're eliminated from the playoffs. Nobody thinks they're good. They're

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Speaker 2: not excited about anything. No, they're dead. They're officially eliminated.

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Speaker 2: They're dead. No, Arizona plus three and a half is

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Speaker 2: the play. Next, we're gonna lay a big number. San

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Speaker 2: Francisco minus ten in Vegas. Big road number against Jared's

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Speaker 2: Sidham is very simple. In order for San Francisco to

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Speaker 2: cover ten points against the Jared Sidham Las Vegas Raiders,

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Speaker 2: they need to score fourteen points. The Raiders are not

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Speaker 2: scoring more than three points in this game. DeVante Adams

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Speaker 2: is furious about the car situation. He's made that very

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Speaker 2: clear this week. Josh Jacob is just devastated by what

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Speaker 2: the team has done. And Jacobs is a pending free agent,

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Speaker 2: and because he had such a bad game this past weekend,

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Speaker 2: the kind of long shot of Kajosh Jacobs rush for

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Speaker 2: two thousand yards. He went in this past week's game

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Speaker 2: with fifteen hundred. So it's like, ah, have a buck

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Speaker 2: fifty in each of the last two or it's the

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Speaker 2: last week and this week going to the final week,

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Speaker 2: be like, yeah, pop off a two hundred yard game,

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Speaker 2: you have two thousand yards. No, he had fifty yards.

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Speaker 2: So he's he's going to keep himself healthy. Devonte's upset

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Speaker 2: they're going to Jared Stidam. They're playing for draft positioning.

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Speaker 2: San Francisco, on the other hand, still faintly alive for

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Speaker 2: the one seed, definitely alive for the two seed, which

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Speaker 2: they really want. San Francisco is going to annihilate Jared's Stidham,

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Speaker 2: who's not an NFL quarterback. San Francisco minus ten to

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Speaker 2: play question.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, this is one of those games since Derek Carr

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Speaker 3: is being benched for Jared Stidham. Yeah, this is one

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Speaker 3: of those situations where you bet where you wish you

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Speaker 3: bet early in the week because it opened at minus

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Speaker 3: seven and he went down to minus ten.

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Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I missed the opportunity online value. There's no

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Speaker 2: question there. However, I think it is instructive that it

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Speaker 2: only went from seven to ten. That's why I love it.

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Speaker 2: Derek Carr might not be great, he is worth more

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Speaker 2: than three points than Jared Stidham. Jared Stidham's not an

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Speaker 2: NFL quarterback. He was drafted by the Patriots. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: pull up Jared Stidham's career numbers just so everyone understands

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Speaker 2: what I'm talking about here. The Raiders, I think they

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Speaker 2: are all in on either Brady or Garoppolo this offseason,

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Speaker 2: reunite with Josh McDaniels, and they're moving on from Carr

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Speaker 2: because they don't The reason they benched Car is they

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Speaker 2: don't want him to get hurt, and then they're on

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Speaker 2: the hook for his money. Jared Stidham in his career,

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Speaker 2: has thrown the ball sixty one times. In those sixty

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Speaker 2: one attempts, he has somehow managed to throw four interceptions.

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Speaker 2: That's one interception every fifteen pass attempts for this guy.

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Speaker 2: He's not an NFL player. He has thrown let mean,

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Speaker 2: thirteen total passes in the last two seasons. He's up

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Speaker 2: against the best defensive football all lay the ten points. Next,

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Speaker 2: another underdog that I think is gonna win out right.

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Speaker 2: Oh my god, I just dropping his computer. Minnesota plus

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Speaker 2: three and a half at green Bay. Why is there

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Speaker 2: all this steam on green Bay? Why is there so

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Speaker 2: much belief in green Bay? On Nick? They're hot? Are they?

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Speaker 2: They go ahead?

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Speaker 3: Rogers undefeated in December?

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Speaker 2: Okay, so let's talk about Okay, let's talk about Rogers

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Speaker 2: in December, because this is what I keep hearing. Oh,

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Speaker 2: green Bay is dangerous. Green Bay's hot streak is beating

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Speaker 2: the Bears, who right now would have the second pick

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Speaker 2: of the draft, beating the Rams, who would right now

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Speaker 2: have the sixth pick of the draft, and beating the

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Speaker 2: Dolphins in a game that Rogers didn't play that well

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Speaker 2: that to a melted down in We now think in

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Speaker 2: part because he had a concussion. Rogers in this three

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Speaker 2: game winning streak is actually playing worse than he was

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Speaker 2: playing in the previous dozen games. He has three touchdowns

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Speaker 2: and two picks and an eighty five rating and averaging

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Speaker 2: two hundred and ten yards per game. In this winning streak,

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Speaker 2: Minnesota is still live for the one seed. They much

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Speaker 2: like San Francisco, want to be the two seed if

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Speaker 2: they can't get to the one. And you're giving me

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Speaker 2: not You're not just giving me points, you're giving me

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Speaker 2: more than a field goal. What's up.

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Speaker 3: The Vikings are also zero and three against the spread

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Speaker 3: in the last three games.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but that's so. Here's the thing. Let me double check.

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Speaker 3: That Aaron Rodgers is gonna be playing with that chip

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Speaker 3: on his shoulder. You know, he's got a chance. There's

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Speaker 3: light at the end of the tunnel as far as

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Speaker 3: the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: So the Viking are zero and three against the spread,

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Speaker 2: but only one of those games was a loss. They

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Speaker 2: beat the Colts. They beat the Giants. Now, the Colts

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Speaker 2: game was weird, they're down thirty three. Nothing came storing

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Speaker 2: back Giants game they won by a field goal at

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Speaker 2: the gun, getting three and a half. They're the better team.

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Speaker 2: The backers have no way to guard Justin Jefferson. No way,

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Speaker 2: is it? So you like Green Bay? It's gonna be wondering.

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Speaker 3: I mean, what's what you just said. You said though

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Speaker 3: those three games they only lost one game? Yea, none

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Speaker 3: were losses. No, they lost to Troy one of them, right, Yeah,

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Speaker 3: I mean, so what you're saying is you want them

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Speaker 3: on the money line and not the minus three point

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Speaker 3: five three.

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Speaker 2: And a half. I'm getting played and a half. Sorry,

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Speaker 2: that's why I'm getting three and a half in this spot.

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Speaker 2: The Yeah, I wouldn't lay three and a half with Minnesota.

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Speaker 2: All their games are field goal games. But I'm getting

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Speaker 2: three and a half points. It's the right side. There

305
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Speaker 2: is way too much optimism about the Packers, who are

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Speaker 2: gonna lose this weekend and they're gonna realize they missed

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Speaker 2: a golden opportunity to play Jordan Love and finally the

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Speaker 2: aime of the year, I'm getting the better team at

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Speaker 2: home and a point Cincinnati plus one against Buffalo. Cincinnati

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Speaker 2: this year has been wildly undervalued by Vegas twelve and

311
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Speaker 2: three against the spread. Buffalo continues to be slightly overvalued

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Speaker 2: by Vegas seven and eight against the spread. We don't now.

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Speaker 2: I am a little nervous about the Liel Collins injury.

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati has not shown the ability to deal with rotating

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Speaker 2: offensive line pieces you saw at the beginning of the year.

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Speaker 2: With that said, Buffalo, no von Miller isn't going to

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Speaker 2: be able to take advantage of it as much as

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Speaker 2: I think certain teams would that. For Cincinnati, this is

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Speaker 2: this keeps them alive for the number one seed. Conversely,

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Speaker 2: if they lose, they might end up being the five seed,

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Speaker 2: not even winning their division. Buffalo has one game games

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Speaker 2: over the last six weeks, with the exception of one game,

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Speaker 2: despite the play of their quarterback Josh Allen once again

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Speaker 2: last week a couple picks less than two hundred yards

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Speaker 2: passing game in Cincinnati is the biggest Monday night football

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Speaker 2: game in the history of that stadium. Cincinnati is gonna

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Speaker 2: win outright. I'm getting point, getting one point, not getting

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Speaker 2: a lot of points, but I'm getting a point at home.

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Speaker 2: I would bet Cincinnati all the way to minus two

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Speaker 2: and a half. I'm getting them plus one. They're gonna win.

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Speaker 2: It also is gonna be so helpful for the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: when we wake up Tuesday morning and Cincinnati's beaten Buffalo.

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Speaker 2: Guess who's the one seed again? Uh? All the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: with and you know the Chiefs this week have Denver.

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Speaker 2: We'll talk about that game in a moment. And next

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Speaker 2: week you know who they have, Jared Sidham, All Jared Stidham.

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Speaker 2: So I am rooting for Cincinnati in this game. I

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Speaker 2: also think the smarter side Cincinnati plus.

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Speaker 3: One Bills have a lot to lose in this game.

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Speaker 3: Are you sure that the Bengals are going to be

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Speaker 3: able to overpower that force?

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Speaker 2: I think they're better than them. I think Cincinnati is

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Speaker 2: better than Buffalo. I think they've been better throughout the year.

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Speaker 2: Their quarterback's been better, I think the defense has been

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Speaker 2: more consistent. I like Cincinnati, and I understand this is

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Speaker 2: a massive game for both teams, either of these. I

347
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 2: don't think it's as big.

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Speaker 3: A I mean, I guess, well, the thing is is

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Speaker 3: it might be a little bit bigger for the Bills.

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Speaker 2: Well, listen, the Bills at the very least know their

351
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Speaker 2: worst case scenarios. They fall to the three line, They've

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Speaker 2: won their division. Cincinnati is only a game up on

353
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Speaker 2: Baltimore and has Baltimore in Week eighteen. Cincinnati absolutely could

354
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Speaker 2: fall to the five line if they lose this game.

355
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:53,399
Speaker 2: If things go awry for them, they so it's huge

356
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Speaker 2: for both teams. It's huge for Kansas City, who's not

357
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Speaker 2: even playing in it. We like Cincinnati plus one. So

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Speaker 2: if you want to know what a five and oh

359
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:01,520
Speaker 2: slate looks like, you know what, And you guys at

360
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:03,240
Speaker 2: the end of the show are gonna get me an offer.

361
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:05,960
Speaker 2: I don't even need an offer. I'm just gonna parlay

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00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:09,240
Speaker 2: all five twenty five to one, Miami plus two and

363
00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:10,680
Speaker 2: a half, and you know what, it's gonna be better

364
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 2: than twenty five to one because I'm putting Miami, Minnesota

365
00:22:13,800 --> 00:22:16,880
Speaker 2: in Cincinnati. I don't even need the points where we're

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00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:19,159
Speaker 2: putting them on the money line. Miami plus two and

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00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 2: a half, Arizona plus three and a half, San Francisco

368
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:24,920
Speaker 2: minus ten, Minnesota plus three and a half, and Cincinnati

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Speaker 2: plus one. Let's just find out real quick what that

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00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:32,520
Speaker 2: exact bet that I just described what that would pay.

371
00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:34,840
Speaker 2: And I'm not certain about Minnesota on the money line.

372
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Speaker 2: I might be squeamish on that, but let's just go

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Speaker 2: through it real quick. So what did I say. I

374
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 2: gotta find out Miami money line plus one thirty and

375
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Speaker 2: then we're doing San Francisco minus ten. We'll do Minnesota

376
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:51,359
Speaker 2: plus the points plus the three and a half, just

377
00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:55,760
Speaker 2: because Cincinnati on the money line, and there's one more

378
00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:59,240
Speaker 2: than I'm leaving Arizona. Oh, boring, the boring one where

379
00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:05,280
Speaker 2: Arizona getting three, Oh my god, thirty two forty to one,

380
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 2: thirty two to one, thirty two to one, Demontsy, you

381
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 2: and me, we're gonna we're putting that in there. Five

382
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 2: and oh week giving us a little breathing room going

383
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:21,760
Speaker 2: could be one game under five hundred going into week eighteen. Yeah,

384
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 2: save the season. Oh, this is a this is a

385
00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:27,080
Speaker 2: great week. It is a great week.

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Speaker 3: I'm rooting for you. It's uh.

387
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:30,879
Speaker 2: The offer hit last week and we didn't bet it.

388
00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:35,719
Speaker 2: It ended up hitting Lebron's over Lucas over the Jacks

389
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:39,440
Speaker 2: to win and the Chiefs to cover the offer hit

390
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 2: the plus twelve hundred. No, that was it. The Chiefs

391
00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:44,440
Speaker 2: won by fourteen.

392
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Speaker 3: I thought something with Luca had happen. Or Lebron.

393
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 2: No, Lebron scored thirty eight. On Christmas, Lucas scored scored

394
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:55,800
Speaker 2: thirty two. They all everything hit. The offer hit last week,

395
00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:58,199
Speaker 2: the third or fourth offered hit. A lot of them

396
00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:01,640
Speaker 2: have hit. All right. We have a massive slate this weekend.

397
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,600
Speaker 2: We haven't in stay aways, be careful's in perfectly priced.

398
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go through all of these. I'm gonna spend

399
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:11,359
Speaker 2: less time on why they're in each category for certain games,

400
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:13,480
Speaker 2: and more time on the actual game because we have

401
00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:15,879
Speaker 2: so many interesting games. We do that next What's Right

402
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:17,200
Speaker 2: Week seventeen Gambling Show.

403
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:27,199
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411
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Speaker 2: All right, welcome back in week seventeen. What's Right NFL

412
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,919
Speaker 2: Gambling Show. Here's our stay away category. There's four games.

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00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:02,760
Speaker 2: Some of these are super interesting games. The games are

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00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:06,800
Speaker 2: Cleveland at Washington, New Orleans at Philly, Jacksonville at Houston,

415
00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:10,359
Speaker 2: and Denver at Kansas City. So Cleveland at Washington is

416
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,959
Speaker 2: a stay away for a couple of reasons. One is

417
00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:20,360
Speaker 2: the Washington football team on the cusp of the postseason.

418
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 2: Switching to Carson Wentz is a very curious decision. Now, listen, Taylor,

419
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 2: Heineke's been bad, and I totally understand that, But then

420
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:34,080
Speaker 2: making a quarterback change at this moment for a guy

421
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:37,040
Speaker 2: who last year melted down at the end of the

422
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:40,399
Speaker 2: season for the Colts and cost them what should have

423
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:43,399
Speaker 2: been a lot for the playoffs is odd. I'm staying

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00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:49,359
Speaker 2: away from it, however, because I to me, Deshaun Watson

425
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:53,080
Speaker 2: right now, just from a football perspective, is one of

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00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 2: the most curious players in the league. He's been terrible,

427
00:25:57,040 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 2: really terrible in every game he's played it with the Browns.

428
00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 2: It's hard to believe he's just now this bad.

429
00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:07,720
Speaker 3: You're scared he's gonna turn it off at some point.

430
00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,840
Speaker 2: You've gotta think the rust is gonna come off now.

431
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:15,639
Speaker 2: Maybe the two years out of football and everything that, uh,

432
00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:19,840
Speaker 2: you know, he put himself through this offseason, maybe it's

433
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,560
Speaker 2: too much for him. But that's just stay away. The

434
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 2: two quarterbacks are such big question marks. I'm not getting

435
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:28,919
Speaker 2: enough points to love Cleveland there when Washington has to

436
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:31,639
Speaker 2: have the game. So I'm staying away. New Orleans at

437
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:35,720
Speaker 2: Philly is to stay away because of the unknown that

438
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:40,280
Speaker 2: Philly keeps being cagey, acting like Jalen Hurts might play.

439
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:44,680
Speaker 2: I don't know enough about the quarterback spot. Also, Philly,

440
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,200
Speaker 2: I want to see how they look without Wayne Johnson

441
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:53,000
Speaker 2: New Orleans. Technically, I'm still alive for the playoffs, but

442
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:57,560
Speaker 2: not really the six and a half. It's too much

443
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:00,840
Speaker 2: unknown for the Philly quarterback situation for me want to

444
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:02,879
Speaker 2: have anything to do. So even if Jalen.

445
00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:05,520
Speaker 3: Hurts isn't playing, Minsho just went toe to toe with

446
00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,479
Speaker 3: the Cowboys and had a pretty decent game. Yep, And

447
00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:10,480
Speaker 3: he's not even getting a full touchdown at home against

448
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 3: the Saints.

449
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's also just a weird spot for Philly, which

450
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:20,560
Speaker 2: is they they probably need to win one more game

451
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:23,960
Speaker 2: to lock up the one seed, but they know if

452
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,959
Speaker 2: they win, they don't have to win both. So are

453
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,720
Speaker 2: they going to be super cautious with the injuries this week?

454
00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:32,520
Speaker 2: Try to play every one in Week eighteen? Just too

455
00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 2: many unknowns. Maybe this is a game you can bet

456
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:39,600
Speaker 2: Sunday morning as we record this on Thursday. Not enough

457
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:44,919
Speaker 2: information for me. I'm staying away. Jacksonville at Houston, So Houston,

458
00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:50,240
Speaker 2: it's Jacksonville's laying four and a half. Houston shouldn't want

459
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,639
Speaker 2: to win this game because since they won last week,

460
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:56,119
Speaker 2: the number one pick is now in jeopardy. If they

461
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:58,680
Speaker 2: win one more, Chicago could take it from him. If

462
00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:04,879
Speaker 2: Chicago lose out and Houston wins one more. Also, Jacksonville's

463
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:08,760
Speaker 2: in a really weird spot because no matter what happens

464
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:14,040
Speaker 2: this week, Jacksonville wins or loses the division based on

465
00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:17,280
Speaker 2: their Week eighteen game against Tennessee. Even if they win

466
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:20,960
Speaker 2: this week and Tennessee loses this week, it's meaningless. If

467
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:24,199
Speaker 2: they lose this week and Tennessee wins this week it's meaningless.

468
00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:28,680
Speaker 2: So both of Tennessee and Jacksonville are playing semi meaningless

469
00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:31,640
Speaker 2: games this week because the division is gonna come down

470
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:34,960
Speaker 2: to Week eighteen. The only way this week matters is

471
00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:38,320
Speaker 2: if Tennessee Jacksonville in week eighteen is a tie, then

472
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:40,760
Speaker 2: what happens this week could matter. So that's not gonna happen.

473
00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:44,880
Speaker 2: So I don't know. I would imagine Jacksonville is gonna

474
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:50,280
Speaker 2: be uber conservative in this game. Anyone who is potentially

475
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:54,440
Speaker 2: dealing with a nagging anything is gonna sit out this week.

476
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:58,000
Speaker 2: That's what Tennessee's already doing with their guys. So I

477
00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 2: don't feel comfortable laying the four and a half point.

478
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 2: I also don't want to grab four and a half

479
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 2: points with Houston because Houston might have an edict from

480
00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:09,720
Speaker 2: management that we have to lose. We want Bryce Young,

481
00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 2: we want the number one pick, we don't want to win.

482
00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:15,320
Speaker 2: And so now what will be very interesting if that

483
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 2: is the case, is Houston the final week of the

484
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 2: year plays Indy. So what happens when one team that's

485
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:24,560
Speaker 2: trying to lose plays one team that's coached by Jeff Saturday.

486
00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 2: Who knows? It could be total Mayhem. But so to

487
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:30,240
Speaker 2: me that to stay away in that spot.

488
00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 3: So you've picked the prince that was promised time and

489
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:36,320
Speaker 3: time after again. You're one and six against the well,

490
00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:38,480
Speaker 3: they're one and six against the spread when you pick them.

491
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 3: I know now that Trevor Lawrence is dealing. You want

492
00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 3: to stay away from him, and you don't think that

493
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 3: he can snap his Textans. His Texans losing streak.

494
00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:48,560
Speaker 2: The four and a half is weird to me. I'm

495
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 2: just I don't know how much Jacksonville is gonna take

496
00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:55,200
Speaker 2: this game. Seriously. This is again a Sunday. What if

497
00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:58,920
Speaker 2: they all of a sudden have ten guys that were

498
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:02,680
Speaker 2: questionable that are aren't gonna play because they need to

499
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,800
Speaker 2: be healthy going into Week eighteen against Tennessee. So I'm

500
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:09,440
Speaker 2: just staying away. Last one's Denver at Kansas City. So

501
00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 2: Kansady has not been great at covering huge numbers. Furthermore,

502
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:20,680
Speaker 2: there is always no that is true, but I shouldn't

503
00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:25,720
Speaker 2: say always. There is always the possibility of the fired

504
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:31,240
Speaker 2: coach bounce that the team for a week gets invigorated

505
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 2: because the coach got fired. Now, I don't think that's

506
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 2: gonna happen with Denver because Russ is still there, and

507
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 2: I think the frustrations towards Russ and not to hack

508
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:45,280
Speaker 2: it as much, but I'm staying away from it.

509
00:30:45,600 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 3: Exactly what is just I mean, this isn't about the

510
00:30:47,800 --> 00:30:50,680
Speaker 3: bet or anything, but exactly what you just said about

511
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:53,920
Speaker 3: the fired coach bounce back is exactly what happens to

512
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:56,720
Speaker 3: me when I like play Madden and that pisses me

513
00:30:56,800 --> 00:30:58,680
Speaker 3: off and I get smacked and I get off of it.

514
00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 3: Then I get back on it, like a couple days

515
00:31:00,840 --> 00:31:03,000
Speaker 3: later or something, and then I just spank somebody.

516
00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:05,480
Speaker 2: I don't think that's the exact same thing, but I

517
00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 2: think it is the same thing.

518
00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:08,520
Speaker 3: I think that's like like I'm firing myself. I gotta

519
00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:09,040
Speaker 3: get off the game.

520
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:12,320
Speaker 2: Oh, I get it yourself to come back. I get it.

521
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 2: All right, there you go. All right, be careful. Category

522
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 2: three games Pittsburgh at Baltimore, Chicago at Detroit, Indie at

523
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:26,120
Speaker 2: the Giants. All Right, we're being careful with Pittsburgh at

524
00:31:26,120 --> 00:31:33,760
Speaker 2: Baltimore because it seems like they're daring you to bet

525
00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:36,560
Speaker 2: Baltimore because you don't have to lay the full three

526
00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 2: the two and a half points. Seems like they're like,

527
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 2: why don't you just take Baltimore. They need the game. Pittsburgh.

528
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:49,239
Speaker 2: I understand they're still technically alive for the playoffs, but

529
00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:54,080
Speaker 2: not really. Pittsburgh last week needed, uh, you know, an

530
00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:58,240
Speaker 2: end of game miracle to beat the Raiders. Now they're

531
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:02,600
Speaker 2: in Baltimore and they're only getting two and a half points.

532
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 2: I almost included Pittsburgh and the picks because this seems

533
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 2: so fishy. Baltimore also the question they need to get

534
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 2: Lamar back at some point before the postseason, and if

535
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:16,600
Speaker 2: they do, they could be dangerous. To me, this is

536
00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:20,680
Speaker 2: a I think the vast majority of the public is

537
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:23,680
Speaker 2: going to be on Baltimore because it's not the full three,

538
00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:25,040
Speaker 2: so I'm staying away from it.

539
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:28,240
Speaker 3: And also along with that, the Ravens have lost only

540
00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:31,160
Speaker 3: one game against the spread in December versus Tomlin in

541
00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:33,440
Speaker 3: the last decade. Seems like some free money.

542
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 2: See there you go. That's what I'm saying, Like I

543
00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 2: everyone's going to be on Baltimore. I'm not going to

544
00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:43,880
Speaker 2: be part of everyone. Chicago at Detroit. Detroit has to

545
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:48,120
Speaker 2: have the game, Detroit is in position to make the postseason.

546
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:52,360
Speaker 2: Chicago keeps getting blown out by people. Why is this

547
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:58,880
Speaker 2: not seven? Why is it Detroit minus just six when

548
00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 2: Chicago Those defense has been this terrible, Detroit at home,

549
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 2: that offense has been excellent. They need the game. Detroit

550
00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:11,040
Speaker 2: got embarrassed last week, so they're extra motivated they can

551
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,640
Speaker 2: sneak into the playoffs. Feels like a trap.

552
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:16,840
Speaker 3: Justin feels gonna have a field day. That's what they're saying. Well,

553
00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:18,120
Speaker 3: the only thing they could be saying.

554
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:21,160
Speaker 2: Here's the thing about that. I think the public is

555
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:24,760
Speaker 2: going to be all over Detroit because they are laying

556
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:29,840
Speaker 2: less than a touchdown. I think Detroit wins, but that line.

557
00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 2: I know this sounds dumb and it's not really accurate,

558
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 2: but I would almost feel better about it if it

559
00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:40,680
Speaker 2: were Detroit minus seven. Because it's Detroit minus six, it

560
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:44,120
Speaker 2: feels like a Vegas trap. We're staying away. And lastly,

561
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:47,600
Speaker 2: India the Giants a lot of the exact same logic there.

562
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:52,760
Speaker 2: These are two teams that gotta win, Giants win, and

563
00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 2: they're in the playoffs. They're playing two awful teams that

564
00:33:55,760 --> 00:34:00,480
Speaker 2: are on long losing streaks. Why are they not laying

565
00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:04,920
Speaker 2: the full seven? These are potential playoff teams at home

566
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:08,720
Speaker 2: and gotta have it games. Why are they not laying

567
00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:12,720
Speaker 2: the full seven because for the Giants, the Giants should

568
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:16,160
Speaker 2: make the playoffs. But if they lose this week, next

569
00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:21,120
Speaker 2: week they have Philly, and so are the it is

570
00:34:21,520 --> 00:34:24,040
Speaker 2: they do have Philly next week, right, I know it's

571
00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 2: a divisional game. I'm almost certain it's Giants Philly in

572
00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 2: week eighteen. Yet it is. And so the Giants know

573
00:34:30,560 --> 00:34:34,319
Speaker 2: that this is our spot to lock into the playoffs

574
00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:38,120
Speaker 2: and they could potentially give themselves a mini buy if

575
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 2: they don't care about their playoff seed. They just win

576
00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:43,279
Speaker 2: this week, We're locked into the playoffs, can rest in

577
00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:48,680
Speaker 2: week eighteen. It feels trappy, So we're we're staying away.

578
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 2: And now lastly, Gabe's saying we need a new category.

579
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:55,959
Speaker 2: Nick overthinks, all right, let's just watch make a little

580
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 2: note of this that Nick says the public is going

581
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:02,000
Speaker 2: to be on to Troy and the Giants and the

582
00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:04,760
Speaker 2: line should be seven in their six. And it feels trappy.

583
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:07,960
Speaker 2: And let's see what happened in those games, all right, Last,

584
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:13,280
Speaker 2: perfectly priced Carolina at Tampa. Tampa will play a bad

585
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:16,160
Speaker 2: football game. It will be an ugly football game, and

586
00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:19,040
Speaker 2: they will win by a field goal. They'll force Sam

587
00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:22,000
Speaker 2: Darnold into a bad turnover. They'll win by a field goal.

588
00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 2: It's perfectly priced. Jets at Seahawks. The Jets with Mike

589
00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:32,920
Speaker 2: White are a good team. The Seahawks look totally incompetent

590
00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:37,319
Speaker 2: against Kansas City. If it wasn't and I know you

591
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,960
Speaker 2: don't care about travel the way I do, if it

592
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:42,719
Speaker 2: wasn't the Jets having to go all the way to Seattle,

593
00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:45,200
Speaker 2: it would be Jets probably minus two and a half

594
00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 2: or minus three. Instead, it's Jets minus one and a half.

595
00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:51,680
Speaker 2: That to me is exactly right. I could see Seattle

596
00:35:51,719 --> 00:35:54,800
Speaker 2: winning this game at home. The Jets should win this game.

597
00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:57,560
Speaker 2: It's kind of an elimination game for either of these

598
00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:01,000
Speaker 2: teams playoff wise. That the line is exactly right in my.

599
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 3: Mind, Seahawks being home dogs versus the Jets is kind

600
00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 3: of crazy. So we're saying that Mike White is here

601
00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:08,040
Speaker 3: now and Gino is right here.

602
00:36:08,080 --> 00:36:10,960
Speaker 2: Well, I think the Jets overall rosters better. I like

603
00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:13,719
Speaker 2: the Jets roster, and the Jets next year with Derek

604
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:16,600
Speaker 2: Carr are going to be dangerous. I think Derek Carr

605
00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:18,520
Speaker 2: is gonna go to the Jets. I think they're gonna

606
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:20,920
Speaker 2: paying a lot of money is gonna go to the Jets,

607
00:36:21,120 --> 00:36:24,840
Speaker 2: and then last one Rams at the Chargers. Chargers laying

608
00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:27,800
Speaker 2: six and a half. The Chargers in a weird spot

609
00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:31,120
Speaker 2: because they have locked up a playoff spot, but the

610
00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:34,840
Speaker 2: five seed is valuable because the five seed means you

611
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:39,000
Speaker 2: go to Jacksonville in round one as opposed to playing Buffalo,

612
00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:42,440
Speaker 2: Cincinnati or Kansas City. Who would be the two of

613
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:44,000
Speaker 2: those teams are gonna be the two and the three,

614
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:47,080
Speaker 2: So the Chargers should take care of business. The Rams

615
00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 2: are a little frisky with Baker a little bit. Six

616
00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:52,759
Speaker 2: and a half minus seven feels right. So there are

617
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:55,399
Speaker 2: the games for this weekend. All right, we will give

618
00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:57,960
Speaker 2: you the right move. I already gave you guys the

619
00:36:58,040 --> 00:37:01,319
Speaker 2: offer thirty two to one, already locked in. We'll do

620
00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:04,640
Speaker 2: all that. Wrap up the show. Week seventeen Gambling Show

621
00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:13,320
Speaker 2: Next What's right? All right? Welcome back in Week seventeen

622
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:16,759
Speaker 2: Gambling Show. Our five picks this week Miami plus two

623
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:19,360
Speaker 2: and a half at New England, Arizona plus three and

624
00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:24,200
Speaker 2: a half at Atlanta, San Francisco minus ten at Vegas, Minnesota,

625
00:37:24,239 --> 00:37:27,080
Speaker 2: plus three and a half at Green Bay and Cincinnati

626
00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:31,440
Speaker 2: plus one against Buffalo. Our lock of the week. The

627
00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:35,680
Speaker 2: right move is Miami getting points in New England. Miami

628
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:38,760
Speaker 2: and Teddy Bridgewater are going to lock up a playoff spot,

629
00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:43,120
Speaker 2: eliminate New England and end everything for that the AFC.

630
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:45,600
Speaker 2: I guess it won't technically end everything to the AFC

631
00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 2: seven seed. I don't think they officially clinched with a

632
00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 2: win this week, but they they actually might clinch with

633
00:37:51,080 --> 00:37:53,040
Speaker 2: a win this week. They definitely clinched with a win

634
00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:56,319
Speaker 2: this week if other things happen. You know what, let

635
00:37:56,400 --> 00:37:58,080
Speaker 2: me I want to get this exactly right. I don't

636
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:00,520
Speaker 2: want to give the audience bad information. Let me just

637
00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:04,080
Speaker 2: go ahead and check. Either way, that's our pick. But Miami,

638
00:38:04,280 --> 00:38:07,320
Speaker 2: if they win this week, is it one hundred percent

639
00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:09,680
Speaker 2: lock during the playoffs, No, they need a cut. I

640
00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:12,319
Speaker 2: think they need the Jets to lose as well and

641
00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:15,000
Speaker 2: they be called one hundred percent lock to make the playoffs.

642
00:38:15,080 --> 00:38:15,920
Speaker 2: Let me see if that's right.

643
00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:16,480
Speaker 1: Yep.

644
00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:19,480
Speaker 2: If Miami wins and the Jets lose, Miami's lock for

645
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:22,600
Speaker 2: the playoffs. If Miami wins and the Jets win, the

646
00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:26,680
Speaker 2: winner of Jets Miami in Week eighteen goes to the playoffs.

647
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 2: So either way, Miami gets this win, they eliminate the Patriots.

648
00:38:31,160 --> 00:38:33,560
Speaker 2: That's our right move. We do not have a teaser

649
00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:36,360
Speaker 2: for you this week. They are not great teaser lines

650
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:40,400
Speaker 2: this week. We don't love any of them. Our exotic

651
00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:45,520
Speaker 2: of the week, however, that I'm giving you is Miami

652
00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:48,320
Speaker 2: on the money line, Arizona plus three and a half,

653
00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:51,880
Speaker 2: San Francisco minus ten, Minnesota plus three and a half,

654
00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:54,799
Speaker 2: and Cincinnati on the money line. It pays thirty two

655
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:57,799
Speaker 2: to one. Demons, you have an offer for me that

656
00:38:57,880 --> 00:38:59,520
Speaker 2: you would like to make. Go right ahead.

657
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:01,240
Speaker 3: The Dolphins on the graphic.

658
00:39:01,560 --> 00:39:03,319
Speaker 2: Oh I didn't even see that. Oh they put they

659
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:05,760
Speaker 2: added all our picks there. I like that. That's cool.

660
00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:06,280
Speaker 2: Go ahead.

661
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:08,439
Speaker 3: The Chiefs are playing the Broncos, and I'm pretty sure

662
00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:11,799
Speaker 3: Mahlmes is about to put on a show. So how

663
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 3: about Mahomes to be the first touchdown score and Mahomes

664
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:16,800
Speaker 3: to be the last touchdown score?

665
00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:18,360
Speaker 2: Okay, I hate this bet.

666
00:39:20,120 --> 00:39:24,719
Speaker 3: All in all plus twenty five to twenty five.

667
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:29,160
Speaker 2: Two hundred fifty five to one. So I wouldn't hate

668
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:33,520
Speaker 2: that bet if they were playing a better team against

669
00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:37,680
Speaker 2: the Broncos, Mahomes is gonna run the ball almost none.

670
00:39:37,800 --> 00:39:40,240
Speaker 2: I think it's just gonna try to stay healthy going

671
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:44,360
Speaker 2: into the postseason. I'm gonna give you one little gambling

672
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:49,360
Speaker 2: note here, that same guy being the first and last

673
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:56,359
Speaker 2: touchdown scorer. The people I think think of it as

674
00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:59,520
Speaker 2: a bet that you would make in like, oh, this

675
00:39:59,520 --> 00:40:02,680
Speaker 2: guy's gonna score a bunch of touchdowns. That's not the

676
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:05,879
Speaker 2: way to win that specific type of bet. The way

677
00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 2: to win that specific type of bet is finding any

678
00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:14,399
Speaker 2: time saying no is to find a bad weather, low

679
00:40:14,600 --> 00:40:18,120
Speaker 2: scoring type of game where you think there's only gonna

680
00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:21,360
Speaker 2: be one touchdown scored the whole game, because then the

681
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:23,360
Speaker 2: guy who scores the first is the guy who scores

682
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:26,120
Speaker 2: the last. So a game that you think is gonna

683
00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:30,839
Speaker 2: be twelve to ten and trying to nail who that

684
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:34,439
Speaker 2: one touchdown scorer is not a game that you think

685
00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:36,680
Speaker 2: is gonna have a bunch of touchdowns and you're just

686
00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:41,040
Speaker 2: gonna hit the exact again, a guy to scored the

687
00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:44,520
Speaker 2: first and last touchdowns incredibly difficult bet to hit. But

688
00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:47,480
Speaker 2: the through line to hit it is if you think

689
00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:49,520
Speaker 2: there's only gonna be one touchdown score in the game,

690
00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:52,480
Speaker 2: and then the guy who scores the first is the

691
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:54,880
Speaker 2: guy who scores the last. That's the way to do it.

692
00:40:55,080 --> 00:40:57,840
Speaker 2: I'm not taking your offer. I like my offer better

693
00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:00,399
Speaker 2: at thirty two and a half to one was we're

694
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:02,560
Speaker 2: gonna hit that and then we're gonna hit our fifty

695
00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:06,560
Speaker 2: to one preseason Chiefs Niners, super Bowl. Bet we're gonna

696
00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:08,839
Speaker 2: be rolling in money five and Oero week on deck.

697
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:11,439
Speaker 2: We'll talk to you guys on Monday. Sorry, by the way,

698
00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:14,719
Speaker 2: that we didn't ever show this past Monday. I had

699
00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:20,040
Speaker 2: to fill in for Colin Television obligations took precedent. My apologies.

700
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:22,160
Speaker 2: We'll be back on Monday no matter what. Talk to

701
00:41:22,160 --> 00:43:57,120
Speaker 2: you guys then. Happy New Year. Hey, it's Niggart. Thank

702
00:43:57,160 --> 00:43:59,640
Speaker 2: you so much for watching. Please do us a favorite.

703
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:03,239
Speaker 2: Click subscribe. It helps my ego and Demansey's got a

704
00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:06,600
Speaker 2: financial bonus writing on a number of YouTube subscribers, so

705
00:44:06,719 --> 00:44:09,120
Speaker 2: help him out. And also click the bell. I don't

706
00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:10,560
Speaker 2: know what the bell does, but they tell me to

707
00:44:10,600 --> 00:44:13,560
Speaker 2: tell you to click the bell. And your audio listeners,

708
00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:16,759
Speaker 2: people that have commute strives, whatever it is, subscribe to

709
00:44:16,800 --> 00:44:20,279
Speaker 2: the podcast as well. Wherever you get the podcast, same show,

710
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:22,440
Speaker 2: just you know, just in your ears instead of through

711
00:44:22,480 --> 00:44:24,480
Speaker 2: your eyes. All that. Check it out appreciate show,