Speaker 1: Had one of those moments earlier this afternoon where someone
Speaker 1: sends me one of those things where someone on Twitter,
Speaker 1: whichever platform, has said something along the lines if I
Speaker 1: can't believe there are people out there who prefer college
Speaker 1: football to the NFL, and they were trying to get
Speaker 1: a rise out of me, and it almost never works,
Speaker 1: and it did not work today because my whole take
Speaker 1: on that is go live your life. Man. You don't
Speaker 1: have to understand the way I feel. I don't have
Speaker 1: to try and convince you the way I feel is right. However,
Speaker 1: someone asked us a question that I'm going to lead
Speaker 1: tonight's show with that is somewhat along those lines that
Speaker 1: I really feel passionate about. It is Sunday Night, June
Speaker 1: twenty eighth, The over Lord twenty twenty six, Jam Packed
Speaker 1: high a top just a saucy, steamy downtown Nowshville, Tennessee. Rivalries.
Speaker 1: Notice I didn't say the playoff rivalries, in my humble opinion,
Speaker 1: are what college football is built on. It makes college
Speaker 1: football great. Rivalries pre date any man made playoff infrastructure.
Speaker 1: And someone asked us a question about that, and I
Speaker 1: will lead tonight's show with that. I've got what Jesse
Speaker 1: f I five or six teams on the clock. We
Speaker 1: whittled it down from fifteen. So I'm going to discuss
Speaker 1: that tonight. There are some allegations flying around that you'll
Speaker 1: be happy to know are false about what I have
Speaker 1: alleged about Julian saying at Ohio State. You may have
Speaker 1: heard about them. They've been wandering around the internet, and
Speaker 1: so we will put some light on the truth on
Speaker 1: the show tonight. And we've got several big questions to
Speaker 1: ask about college football in the year of our lower
Speaker 1: twenty twenty six. It's a jam packed show, I said
Speaker 1: earlier today, and I mean it. This could pass from
Speaker 1: mid October. There are no game previews or game recaps,
Speaker 1: but otherwise you get what I'm saying. There's a lot
Speaker 1: to talk about tonight. They're watching us in Courtland, Alabama, Logan, Utah, Carmel, Indiana,
Speaker 1: and Play No Texas. Please make sure that you are
Speaker 1: subscribed to the channel. Many of you are, Thank you.
Speaker 1: Many of you think you are. It's really you that
Speaker 1: I'm trying to talk to the ones who think they
Speaker 1: are subscribed, but they're not subscribed, because clearly you want
Speaker 1: to be subscribed. So all you has to do is
Speaker 1: check and when it shows that you haven't, just click it.
Speaker 1: It's free, doesn't charge you anything. Nothing changes in your life.
Speaker 1: Our life just gets better. Let's get into the show tonight.
Speaker 1: Sometimes we lead with a topic, sometimes there's breaking news,
Speaker 1: but then every now and then we get hit with
Speaker 1: something like this. Daniel from Beautiful Naperville, Illinois. He said,
Speaker 1: a buddy of mine doesn't watch college football, and he
Speaker 1: was shocked when I said, I look forward to rivalries
Speaker 1: more than the college football playoff. Can you help me
Speaker 1: out here? Will you? And I feel the same way, Daniel,
Speaker 1: So if it helps, we have strengthen numbers. This occurs
Speaker 1: quite frequently to me because I have friends who are
Speaker 1: pro sports first, college sports. Second, I have friends that
Speaker 1: don't really watch college sports, acquaintances more so than friends.
Speaker 1: I don't know if I can call that kind of
Speaker 1: person a friend, But I digress. You apparently do have
Speaker 1: a friend here, Daniel, and he does not get you
Speaker 1: preferring rivalries over the playoff itself. Now, to some degree,
Speaker 1: any hardcore college football fan understands and picks up what
Speaker 1: you're putting down here. Rivalries are awesome. Rivalries are great. Now,
Speaker 1: look you got to be you got to be well
Speaker 1: on the extreme end of the spectrum to be like
Speaker 1: you and I, Daniel, where we look at rivalries. I
Speaker 1: prefer the rivalry games to the playoff games themselves. Yes,
Speaker 1: that's a little bit of an extreme point of view.
Speaker 1: And there are a lot of people who like they
Speaker 1: love rivalries, but they'll tell you and I whoa whoa
Speaker 1: whoa whoa who whoa. But even that group understands rivalries
Speaker 1: are awesome. But there's no need trying to explain something
Speaker 1: you have to live to understand. And I've come across
Speaker 1: this before. It's kind of why I introed the show
Speaker 1: tonight the way I did. I've come across the arduous
Speaker 1: task of trying to convey college football to an unwashed
Speaker 1: college football less person. It's really hard. If you've ever
Speaker 1: done this before, If you haven't, try it tomorrow at
Speaker 1: your place of business. Try it tomorrow. Maybe you're going
Speaker 1: to summer school, maybe you'll walk in a classroom tomorrow, whatever.
Speaker 1: But find someone who doesn't know anything about college football,
Speaker 1: maybe a pro sportsman, just you know, try and convince
Speaker 1: them that this right here, you know, the Iron Bowl
Speaker 1: the last week of November clean old fashioned hate in
Speaker 1: Atlanta or Athens between George and Georgia Tech. There's something
Speaker 1: about that that has a root system that runs deeper
Speaker 1: than the playoff. It makes no sense to them, but
Speaker 1: you can't explain it as the whole point. You've got
Speaker 1: to live it, and not everything is for everyone. In fact,
Speaker 1: that's the quote that I started to use. I wrote
Speaker 1: it down because I forget it. Some tis not everything
Speaker 1: has to mean everything to everyone. So let's say you
Speaker 1: live in Lancing, Michigan, not East Lancing, just regular and Lancing.
Speaker 1: Or let's say you live in Dayton, Ohio, and you've
Speaker 1: just grown up in the Ohio State Michigan rivalry. You've
Speaker 1: lived it your whole life. It's not a game that
Speaker 1: gets played. True it is, that's the face of it.
Speaker 1: But the rivalry is a year long lived experience. It's
Speaker 1: a lifelong lived experience. Now, there are some people not
Speaker 1: born into it that decide to become part of it,
Speaker 1: and you matter too. But there are families up there,
Speaker 1: their households full of people who have just been baptized
Speaker 1: into this from birth and it's their life. And so
Speaker 1: when you think about a successful season, if you're a
Speaker 1: Michigan fan, if you're an Ohio State fan, you get
Speaker 1: one thing in your mind before anything else. You think
Speaker 1: about the last Saturday in November. You think about the game.
Speaker 1: That's kind of how success for a million million years
Speaker 1: up until semi recently was defined in ann Arbor and Columbus,
Speaker 1: and winning that game's paramount. And there's a different feeling
Speaker 1: you get when you're talking about that game, respectfully than
Speaker 1: you get when you're talking about the Big Ten championship game,
Speaker 1: because that's a very very recent construct conference championship games
Speaker 1: only very recently have come along. The playoff only very
Speaker 1: recently has come along that right there, that's like ordained,
Speaker 1: that was in existence, you know, like on the fifth
Speaker 1: or sixth or seventh I can't I haven't read Genesis lately,
Speaker 1: but like I can't remember which day. But rivalries have
Speaker 1: just always been here. The playoff has not. And so
Speaker 1: you'll have to excuse people like me and Daniel when
Speaker 1: we look at this and we say the playoff's all
Speaker 1: well and good, we're four crown in a national champ
Speaker 1: But that thing that man made end of the season
Speaker 1: tournament does not make me feel the same as this
Speaker 1: tunnel shot right here, filmed by yours truly, by the way,
Speaker 1: three or four years ago. It's it's something that is
Speaker 1: hard to explain to people who are not of it,
Speaker 1: is my point. But also, you don't have to go
Speaker 1: like Ohio State Michigan when I say not everything has
Speaker 1: to mean everything to everyone. You can go down to
Speaker 1: Hattiesburg and talk to them about playing South Alabama or
Speaker 1: go down to Mobile and talk to South Alabama folks
Speaker 1: about playing Troy. That game means nothing the ninety nine
Speaker 1: point nine percent of the US population. It means nothing
Speaker 1: the ninety nine percent of the college football population. And
Speaker 1: that's totally fine because it does mean something to the
Speaker 1: people it's supposed to mean something to. And I've always
Speaker 1: had respect, you know, as growing up in the South.
Speaker 1: I've always had respect for the rivalries. I watched from
Speaker 1: a distance. Ohio State Michigan is it for me because
Speaker 1: I grew up down south and I just watched it
Speaker 1: from a distance. And now I get to go to
Speaker 1: that game. I've been to several of those games in
Speaker 1: the past five or six years. But I understand I'm
Speaker 1: walking into something sort of as a guest, because I
Speaker 1: can't really understand that because I haven't lived it. The
Speaker 1: consequences of that game. I will never ever forget this.
Speaker 1: The last time that they played in Columbus, it would
Speaker 1: have been twenty twenty four, right Jesse. They played in
Speaker 1: n Arbor last year, the twenty twenty four game, the
Speaker 1: one where they were favored by like three touchdowns and
Speaker 1: just inexplicably, Ohio State loses the game. Me and Canal
Speaker 1: were there for CBS and we were doing post game coverage.
Speaker 1: Stadiums totally empty, and it's like Gelby our camera guy
Speaker 1: at the time. He's set up with his back to
Speaker 1: the end zone. Me and Knell are standing in the
Speaker 1: end zone because no one's there, So we're filming on
Speaker 1: the field and Canell and I are facing the end
Speaker 1: zone so that the backdrop is like the stadium for
Speaker 1: the shot and stuff like that. Often our peripheral there
Speaker 1: are Ohio State kids coming back out of the locker
Speaker 1: room after everything's emptied out, and they're just coming out
Speaker 1: there and sitting on the field, balling their eyes out.
Speaker 1: No one's there, no one sees it. We didn't film it.
Speaker 1: I have no evidence of it, but I remember looking
Speaker 1: at that and saying, I've been around a lot of
Speaker 1: championship settings, and I've watched teams win, I've watched teams
Speaker 1: lose and it's emotional. But I've never seen that. Right there, guy,
Speaker 1: go in locker rooms because they have an open locker
Speaker 1: room policy for playoff games, so you can go in
Speaker 1: the locker rooms after playoff games, after national championship games.
Speaker 1: I've never seen a playoff game, a man made, manufactured
Speaker 1: postseason college football game, elicit the emotional response that losing
Speaker 1: the Ohio State and Michigan game lost. So I know,
Speaker 1: especially the younger you are, you tend to skew more
Speaker 1: towards respecting the rivalries. But like the playoff is the
Speaker 1: end all be all. But man, there's a portion of
Speaker 1: us that view the rivalries as the absolute bedrock of
Speaker 1: the sport because it predates the importance, the value of rivalries.
Speaker 1: It predates anything that has come after it, including the playoff.
Speaker 1: I know that doesn't make sense to anyone outside college football.
Speaker 1: That's okay. College football is one of one, so it
Speaker 1: shouldn't look like anything else, it shouldn't feel like anything else.
Speaker 1: These are dirty words I'm saying. I understand when it
Speaker 1: comes to certain people who have their hands on the
Speaker 1: proverbial wheel here, but it is the way it is.
Speaker 1: We welcome you in. We appreciate you guys so much.
Speaker 1: I had the wrong screen pull up over here there
Speaker 1: we go. I am looking at a clock. It says
Speaker 1: we have a few months left to go before the
Speaker 1: season starts. But that doesn't mean that teams aren't on it. Pras,
Speaker 1: here's a good endpoint for you, as Bradley is still
Speaker 1: somehow out of town, somehow, some way still out of town.
Speaker 1: If I asked you which teams are on the clock
Speaker 1: this year? First off, how would you define on the clock. Secondly,
Speaker 1: how would you fill in that blank? Which teams would
Speaker 1: you put on the clock? Cause I got five of them,
Speaker 1: but I could go double that, but I circled five
Speaker 1: of them because I have really specific thoughts about him.
Speaker 1: Clemson is pretty straightforward, and that's the first team that
Speaker 1: I put on the clock right now. Because there's there
Speaker 1: are these competing like worldviews right now. Actually it's not
Speaker 1: so much worldview versus worldview. There's the view the world
Speaker 1: has and then there's the view. Pretty much daboswenty has
Speaker 1: a majority of the college football public. Thus the worldview
Speaker 1: looks at Clemson, and they talk about the greatness in
Speaker 1: the past tense at least in terms of accomplishments, and
Speaker 1: they think that the new era of college football has
Speaker 1: somewhat passed Clemson by not so much that Clemson's incapable
Speaker 1: of riding on the front of that wave, it's just
Speaker 1: that they've kind of resisted it. And hey, that's okay
Speaker 1: because Dabbo's legacy has already long since been established. But
Speaker 1: you've probably seen the peak of Clemson under Dabbo, and
Speaker 1: they'll be relegated to making silver records instead of platinum
Speaker 1: records moving forward. That's how most people, to some degree feel.
Speaker 1: Dabo does not feel that way. We had him on
Speaker 1: the show last month. We sat down with him for
Speaker 1: well over an hour, and he articulated that he thinks
Speaker 1: last year was amp in the road. They've made the
Speaker 1: necessary changes. They're just getting started. Jesse just getting started.
Speaker 1: Dabos twenty seven year old, Dabos Swinny, just getting started.
Speaker 1: So twenty twelve through twenty twenty two, they had eleven
Speaker 1: straight ten win plus seasons, double digit win seasons, they
Speaker 1: won two national titles. They won seven ACC championships over
Speaker 1: the past three years. They've lost fourteen games, so clearly
Speaker 1: there's been a dip. Now it doesn't matter if they're
Speaker 1: still better than most of the ACC. As I said
Speaker 1: the other day, we do not measure Clemson football in
Speaker 1: the modern age against the rest of the ACC. You
Speaker 1: may measure them against Miami, but that's about the long
Speaker 1: and short of it. Because the standard in his defense
Speaker 1: that dabos Winny set at Clemson is well above and
Speaker 1: beyond whether you can go and take care of Syracuse
Speaker 1: or go take care of Wake Forest and the like.
Speaker 1: So I almost wonder if the ingredients that we see
Speaker 1: in play right now where it feels like, you know,
Speaker 1: you were a year after the expectations were the highest.
Speaker 1: I almost wonder if we don't get, you know, into
Speaker 1: the third quarter of the week one game against LSU
Speaker 1: and it's a dogfight down there in Baton Rouge and
Speaker 1: ESPN or ABC camera zoom in on Dabo Swinny and
Speaker 1: he looks as happy as can be. Almost wonder if
Speaker 1: we don't find ourselves having overthought the room come season
Speaker 1: and say, oh, we should have known it. Man should
Speaker 1: have known. Out of all the people that pulled this off,
Speaker 1: Dabo Swinny would be the one that pulls this off.
Speaker 1: I think they're on the clock. It's what I'll say.
Speaker 1: USC is certainly on the clock. This is no mystery.
Speaker 1: When USC hired Lincoln Riley, it was a bombshell because
Speaker 1: when USC hired Lincoln Riley, USC was searching and Lincoln
Speaker 1: Riley was the answer, or so it seemed. And it's
Speaker 1: easy to have the revisionist history. It's easy to Monday
Speaker 1: Morning quarterback this thing. But paper pop. Did you know
Speaker 1: that upon USC's hiring of Lincoln Riley, he had only
Speaker 1: finished outside the College Football Playoff Top six once in
Speaker 1: the last half decade. So they had won double digit
Speaker 1: games at Oklahoma four of the last five years. He
Speaker 1: was rolling. He was everything that USC needed, and USC
Speaker 1: was everything Lincoln Riley needed. And now they're entering year five.
Speaker 1: His best year was his first year. That's the one
Speaker 1: and only time he's won double digit games there. They
Speaker 1: have yet to finish in the top six in the
Speaker 1: College Football Playoff rankings, and they fase five of the
Speaker 1: top six in the Big Ten this year. To show
Speaker 1: me the schedule, press, Yeah, they I got an argument.
Speaker 1: It's not an argument, by the way. I gotten an
Speaker 1: argument with a guy in the YouTube comments section of
Speaker 1: all places don't hang out there very long. Yeah, he said,
Speaker 1: this is not a tough schedule, buddy, it's a tough schedule.
Speaker 1: They play Oregon, they play Washington, they go two Penn State.
Speaker 1: They've got three East Coast road games on this, They've
Speaker 1: got Ohio State, they go to Indiana. I would not
Speaker 1: just blame faintly overlook a trip across town at the
Speaker 1: end of the year, but that's to talk about in November.
Speaker 1: This is an extremely difficult schedule by anyone's estimation. It
Speaker 1: is now that concludes my thoughts on USC. However, it
Speaker 1: does not conclude the commentary on USC because Jesse reaches
Speaker 1: his ratchety little finger across the table and hands me
Speaker 1: this post it note. Because Jesse has something to say
Speaker 1: about the Lincoln Riiley tenure at USC, everyone with baited
Speaker 1: breath awaits what producer Jesse has to say about Lincoln Riley.
Speaker 1: Has the floor been raised? Yes, But people don't come
Speaker 1: to the Sistine Chapel to look at the floor. They
Speaker 1: want to see the beauty of the ceiling that brought
Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley to his knees upon hearing that. I can't
Speaker 1: imagine does he even make it to the season. So, yeah,
Speaker 1: USC is on the clock. Well done, Jesse. Texas is
Speaker 1: on a different kind of clock, but Texas is still
Speaker 1: on the clock. Define what it takes to win. I
Speaker 1: actually am not going to give you ten or fifteen
Speaker 1: seconds pregnant pause here. We'll probably get deemed an algorithm
Speaker 1: for that. But you could hit pause and you can
Speaker 1: just have this fund mental exercise of defining, like ABCD.
Speaker 1: You can go all the way to zee if you
Speaker 1: want to. But what does it take to win a
Speaker 1: national championship in modern day college football? And when you
Speaker 1: get done compiling your list, tell me what it is
Speaker 1: on that list Texas doesn't have, because I would argue
Speaker 1: they have everything, at least from an ingredient standpoint. Now,
Speaker 1: if you want to be a sarkater and you want
Speaker 1: to claim, well, they don't have the right chef in
Speaker 1: the kitchen, fair, I don't necessarily agree. But the point remains.
Speaker 1: I asked you about ingredients. I didn't ask you about
Speaker 1: the guy preparing the meal. Just do they have the ingredients?
Speaker 1: Clearly they've got the ingredients in the kitchen. So now
Speaker 1: it's up to Sark and his staff to prepare the meal.
Speaker 1: I don't think I could be higher on Texas. Not
Speaker 1: the first time I've said that on this show. Has
Speaker 1: it bitten me before? Yes, it's bitten me before. But
Speaker 1: I will remind everyone as the guy who wore a
Speaker 1: clown nose as an apology to Kurt Signetti last year,
Speaker 1: I can admit when I'm wrong, but can everyone else
Speaker 1: admit when I'm right? That's really what I'm looking for tonight,
Speaker 1: more so than anything. Remember last year, Jesse, when Texas
Speaker 1: went down to the swamp, Remember that lost nobody saw coming? Well,
Speaker 1: one show saw it coming. And not only that, not
Speaker 1: only that, not only did we beat pick Florida to
Speaker 1: beat Texas, then we picked Texas to beat Oh YOUU?
Speaker 1: So I think I had a better grip on Texas
Speaker 1: last year than Steve Sarkezan himself. And so you can
Speaker 1: take it to the bank when I say Texas is
Speaker 1: on the clock this year because paper, this stuff right
Speaker 1: here looks really good for Texas, it looks phenomenal for him.
Speaker 1: But as me Ma taught me time and time again,
Speaker 1: paper is not production. So paper didn't really matter. When
Speaker 1: they narrowly got past Mississippi State and Brandon Walker and
Speaker 1: Kentucky last year, and paper didn't matter against Ohio State,
Speaker 1: and paper didn't matter against Florida. But think about this,
Speaker 1: Think about how how thin the margins have been with Sark.
Speaker 1: Go to twenty twenty three, change that last drive, give
Speaker 1: me a final drive against Washington, or two years ago
Speaker 1: in the playoffs against Ohio State, they're down there inside
Speaker 1: the ten yard line, I believe. I mean, instead of
Speaker 1: that thing getting scooped and taken to the house by
Speaker 1: Jack Sorry, punch it in, give me a score there.
Speaker 1: Think about how different the history books, the recent history books,
Speaker 1: the Wikipedia page would look for Steve Sarkisian and instead,
Speaker 1: I mean, I got people roaming the streets in packs
Speaker 1: claiming Sark can't get it done. And Sark's not alone
Speaker 1: because Dan Lanning can't get it done either. Kirby, well,
Speaker 1: he used to be part of that group, but now
Speaker 1: he did get it done. Ryan Day was a part
Speaker 1: of that group and then he did get it done. So,
Speaker 1: like you know, we've long since discussed the difference between
Speaker 1: kennot and have not. But Sark in one score games
Speaker 1: at Texas is five and twelve against ranked opponents. Thank you, Jesse,
Speaker 1: You know that actually does matter because there are a
Speaker 1: couple of one score games against non ranked opponents last
Speaker 1: last week or last year. So sark five and twelve
Speaker 1: and one score games against ranked opponents at Texas. Their schedule,
Speaker 1: it could be argued is the toughest in the country
Speaker 1: this year. And if you don't think it's the toughest
Speaker 1: in the country, please don't go down the semantics road
Speaker 1: with me. Clearly it's really really difficult. And so clearly
Speaker 1: they're going to be in some one possession games this year.
Speaker 1: They could be as good as I think that they
Speaker 1: could possibly be. There'll still be in some dogfights this year.
Speaker 1: That means that Stat's got to get flipped on its ear,
Speaker 1: stay in the SEC for a second. Alabama on the clot.
Speaker 1: I think this is totally fair. They feel kind of
Speaker 1: like they're emerging from the Nick Sabe and shadow. By that,
Speaker 1: I mean this is the year where you'll turn them
Speaker 1: on now and moving forward, you'll turn Alabama on. And
Speaker 1: there's very very little remnant of Nick Saban. You got
Speaker 1: a player or two here and there, you've got a
Speaker 1: staffer or two here and there, but by and large,
Speaker 1: Nick Saban is now history. He's a legend, he's an icon,
Speaker 1: he's got a statue out front, the field's named after him.
Speaker 1: But nothing about the team that takes the field this
Speaker 1: fall will reflect anything other than Caylen Debor. So that's
Speaker 1: not a bad thing or a good thing. It's just
Speaker 1: a thing. It's just a reality. So then you go
Speaker 1: back to last year and people talk about it like
Speaker 1: this cataclysmic failure, and I have to remind him they
Speaker 1: played for a conference title, and they made the playoff
Speaker 1: and won a game in the playoffs, they fell short emphatically.
Speaker 1: And so being on the clock for me with Alabama
Speaker 1: really boils down to what did thirty eight to three
Speaker 1: do to you? Did that splattering against Indiana due to you?
Speaker 1: What kind of impact did it have? I like to
Speaker 1: think that whether they lost the thing by one or
Speaker 1: by five touchdowns, they would have understood their changes we
Speaker 1: have to make before next season. And they've left no
Speaker 1: stone unturned. They've made staff changes, they are going to
Speaker 1: totally overhaul that offensive line, brought in a couple of
Speaker 1: really good tailbacks from the high school ranks. You'll have
Speaker 1: a new starting quarterback there. But I've got to think
Speaker 1: every ounce of energy has been exhausted to try and
Speaker 1: not just resurrect the run game, the run game production
Speaker 1: on the ground works downstream of far more basic fundamental
Speaker 1: aspects of physicality, of toughness, of just like a baseline
Speaker 1: of it you've got to have. And they did what
Speaker 1: they did last year lacking that, which is a phenomenal
Speaker 1: testament to their level of execution, because remember they lost
Speaker 1: to Florida State early in the year and had to
Speaker 1: go on this extended run, which they did and ultimately
Speaker 1: they fall short in the playoffs. But dude, do you
Speaker 1: remember after Week one when they lost to Florida State.
Speaker 1: You remember what the talk was around that team. It
Speaker 1: wouldn't playoff, I can promise you that. But coming into
Speaker 1: this year, it like it's a it's a difficult schedule
Speaker 1: on the back end, but I think by SEC standards,
Speaker 1: this is about as manageable as schedule as you're gonna get.
Speaker 1: Because look at those first several games, East Carolina at
Speaker 1: Kentucky FSU, South Carolina at Mississippi State. I'm not overlooking
Speaker 1: any of them. I'm just saying, if you're breaking in
Speaker 1: a ton of new pieces and you're gonna play Georgia Tennessee,
Speaker 1: A and MLSU. You want those teams further down to schedule,
Speaker 1: and Bama got them. Sobama's on the clock, and then
Speaker 1: in much the same way Texas is on the clock.
Speaker 1: I'd say Notre Dames on the clock this year. These
Speaker 1: are not a pressure cooker, hot seat kind of on
Speaker 1: the clock conversations. Sark's not going anywhere, Marcus Freeman's not
Speaker 1: going anywhere. I just look at Notre Dame and I
Speaker 1: grew up in Georgia. Okay, so people there don't know
Speaker 1: a ton about sushi. One of the things we do
Speaker 1: know about sushi is if you get it and you
Speaker 1: eat it in a timely manner, if you consume it
Speaker 1: at the right time, it's phenomenal. Even in Georgia, it's phenomenal.
Speaker 1: But the problem with sushi is, can't let it sit
Speaker 1: there too long. Like there's a fine line between consuming
Speaker 1: it at its peak versus consuming it just a little
Speaker 1: bit later, and you can tell a massive difference. And
Speaker 1: that's kind of the ab scenario to me. When it
Speaker 1: comes to outcomes. Potentially for Notre Dame this year, they've
Speaker 1: got everything that you need to win a national title.
Speaker 1: I think they'll be right there in the mix. As
Speaker 1: far as I'm concerned, coming out of spring, I would
Speaker 1: have put them number one in the country, and they
Speaker 1: will enter the season like that, and they've got the
Speaker 1: most workable path imaginable, and they've got a great team theoretically.
Speaker 1: Imagine them going ten and two. Imagine that somehow going
Speaker 1: nine and three. I don't know how that would happen,
Speaker 1: but like, imagine if that's what happened this year, And
Speaker 1: I want you to imagine how quickly things would turn.
Speaker 1: Because see, this is not Ryan Day, this is not
Speaker 1: Kirby Smart, This is not a guy who already has
Speaker 1: the national championship on his resume. This is Marcus Freeman,
Speaker 1: a guy who most of us assume will have one
Speaker 1: or assume is very capable of winning one. But you
Speaker 1: only get so many shots at this, and Marcus Freeman,
Speaker 1: for all I know, may coach another fifteen years and
Speaker 1: never have a better shot than this team right here
Speaker 1: will give him. And imagine if you squander it. That's
Speaker 1: why I look at him as being on the clock
Speaker 1: because Notre Dame. Look, they're recruiting out out of this
Speaker 1: world right now, so like they're always going to give
Speaker 1: themselves a shot They'll always be within reach to varying degrees,
Speaker 1: but they're on the top run of the ladder this year.
Speaker 1: They only have to extend their arm all the way
Speaker 1: to be right there. You got to take advantage of
Speaker 1: these opportunities you make for yourself because you only get
Speaker 1: so many of them. Let's move on, by the way, Look,
Speaker 1: I want to work out a way, and maybe it's
Speaker 1: as simple as me moving the laptop up to this
Speaker 1: table that I have in front of me. But I
Speaker 1: know I don't interact with the live chat as much
Speaker 1: during the show. Ironically, I interact with the live chat
Speaker 1: more when we pre record the show and I'm watching
Speaker 1: it at home, swinging the band hammer in the live chat.
Speaker 1: Sometimes I interact more with it then than I do
Speaker 1: when we're live. But I do see you guys, like
Speaker 1: someone just checked in from Nebraska over there. I do
Speaker 1: see it. I appreciate it. Let's talk about pressure, and
Speaker 1: specifically a question that got presented to us Jerry from
Speaker 1: Press Country, Richmond, Virginia. After three straight years of not
Speaker 1: making it to the college football Playoff title game, will
Speaker 1: you argue more than any one team the entire SEC
Speaker 1: is under pressure this year? A lesser man would try
Speaker 1: and act like he's intellectually above the room here, and
Speaker 1: he would say no, But I am not that intellectually
Speaker 1: superior man, and I'm saying yes on a quick that conference.
Speaker 1: Let me put it this way, they should be feeling
Speaker 1: a ton of pressure now. I don't know if maybe
Speaker 1: collectively they've taken on the responsibility of upholding the good
Speaker 1: name of the SEC, but it should be personal to them.
Speaker 1: You know, this is a sport that still even in
Speaker 1: the portal and nil era offers SEC schools a ton
Speaker 1: of advantage relative to almost anybody else in this sport.
Speaker 1: And you're doing what with it at this point, just collectively,
Speaker 1: you're doing what with it at this point. So I
Speaker 1: would hope that it's personal because if you look at
Speaker 1: the Big Ten right now, the Big Ten functions as
Speaker 1: a well oiled machine. And I don't even just mean
Speaker 1: winning the national championships. I mean think about something as
Speaker 1: recent as like these arguments about playoff expansion. Now, I
Speaker 1: despise the Big ten stance on playoff expansion, Like at
Speaker 1: my core, I almost want to vomit when I hear it.
Speaker 1: But they're all in unison. It's like we're singing a cappella.
Speaker 1: It's a Church of Christ's Sunday morning, and everybody's singing
Speaker 1: from the same hymnal. And then you go across the street.
Speaker 1: I don't even know what denomination this is over here
Speaker 1: in sec country right now, but it sounds discombobulated. It
Speaker 1: sounds terrible. It sounds like you're working out the tuning
Speaker 1: before the service starts. And I got people in fighting,
Speaker 1: and I got folks complaining amongst themselves, and they're openly
Speaker 1: questioning leadership. And I can promise you behind the scenes
Speaker 1: they're questioning leadership because I get the calls every week,
Speaker 1: so I know how discombobulated it is behind the scenes.
Speaker 1: And then it just so happens coincidentally, the results on
Speaker 1: the field don't quite match up what they used to
Speaker 1: look like. That's probably coincidence, Like I said, though, it's
Speaker 1: probably nothing more to that. I recently have been tasked
Speaker 1: with fixing a baseball swing, and I don't want to
Speaker 1: get any more specific than that, but people come to me.
Speaker 1: You may not believe this, but people come to me,
Speaker 1: look at this swing, what's wrong with it? If you
Speaker 1: know anything about fixing a baseball swing, you kind of
Speaker 1: understand what's happened to the SEC recently. The SEC for
Speaker 1: a long time had all the advantage in the world,
Speaker 1: to the point where they could be lazy in certain
Speaker 1: aspects up to an including hiring and still get away
Speaker 1: with it because they just had rosters that were stacked
Speaker 1: three deep in some cases, especially in places like Tuscaloosa
Speaker 1: and Athens. And the point is, it's the same way
Speaker 1: as a kid who dominated Little League, you know, because
Speaker 1: he just had the Danny Almonte jeans, but he was
Speaker 1: legitimately twelve instead of sixteen, and so he just dominated
Speaker 1: smoked kids when he was eleven and twelve, and then
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, a couple of years later, he's
Speaker 1: trying to play high school baseball and he can't do it,
Speaker 1: and you're wondering, what's wrong with this, Well, what's wrong
Speaker 1: with it is he developed bad habits because he was
Speaker 1: so dominant for a long time, and there's a lot
Speaker 1: of wasted motion in his swing. And at a certain level,
Speaker 1: when you've got that much of a DNA advantage on
Speaker 1: the rest of the kids, you could afford to have
Speaker 1: wasted motion in your swing, you know, instead of hitting
Speaker 1: the ball out to the left field, it'll just go
Speaker 1: out the right center doesn't matter. Still counts the same
Speaker 1: in the score book. But then when the competition level increases,
Speaker 1: you have less room for wasted motion in your swing.
Speaker 1: So you can either do one of two things. You
Speaker 1: can either eliminate the wasted motion and make your swing
Speaker 1: more compact, or you strike out a whole bunch. And
Speaker 1: in the SEC for a long time you had massive
Speaker 1: like advantages over the rest of the sport, even the
Speaker 1: Big Ten. Due to reasons that we won't get into tonight,
Speaker 1: I don't think it really pays us dividends to go
Speaker 1: down those roads. But all of a sudden, it's not
Speaker 1: that you lost that ability, it's just that other people
Speaker 1: develop that ability. And the bottom line is the competitive
Speaker 1: balance really tightened up. The Big Ten never had wasted motion,
Speaker 1: is the point. They always had to walk on the
Speaker 1: razor's edge. You didn't. And so I think we're probably
Speaker 1: in a period of correction in the SEC right now,
Speaker 1: where a number of things that you could have gotten
Speaker 1: away with ten years ago you don't get away with now.
Speaker 1: And then congruent to that, you have the matter of
Speaker 1: understanding that it's never going back to the way it was,
Speaker 1: and so like it's not strictly relegated to the SEC.
Speaker 1: I just think in totality the league is learning this
Speaker 1: right now. It used to be and still is that
Speaker 1: you just go pay twelve million dollars for a head coach.
Speaker 1: And the thing I wonder is how much longer does
Speaker 1: the SEC as a collective look at the return on
Speaker 1: investment that you're getting from paying coaches ten plus million
Speaker 1: dollars a year, and then look outside the league and
Speaker 1: watch what others are doing with less resource wise and
Speaker 1: say to yourself, is this the direction we still want
Speaker 1: to go? Is this what we want the SEC to be?
Speaker 1: I just kind of wonder that because nothing magically says
Speaker 1: this has to correct itself. You know, you keep looking
Speaker 1: around and saying, oh, Big ten man three years, all right, Well,
Speaker 1: clearly it's got to swing back the SEC's way this year. No,
Speaker 1: it doesn't have to do anything. They could run off
Speaker 1: ten years of this in the Big ten. And by
Speaker 1: the way, if the Big Ten doesn't win it this year,
Speaker 1: what if it is Miami? What if is notre name, Like,
Speaker 1: there's no guarantee that there's any elite team in the
Speaker 1: SEC this year. There's no guarantee anyone's better than ten
Speaker 1: wins this year. There's no guarantee you'll have a team
Speaker 1: in the semi finals this year. But look, I said
Speaker 1: this after the semi finals wrapped last year because I
Speaker 1: was doing get up, and Greene asked, all right, now
Speaker 1: that old Miss has been eliminated, and we are sure
Speaker 1: that the SEC drought has continued, you know what's wrong
Speaker 1: with the SEC. I would have said the same things
Speaker 1: wrong with the SEC even if Elemiss would have won
Speaker 1: the game against Miami, Like a bounce of ball or
Speaker 1: an added play here or there doesn't really change the
Speaker 1: ten or fifty thousand foot view of the SEC. But yeah,
Speaker 1: I think it will ultimately end up. It will ultimately
Speaker 1: end up benefiting those who have their eyes open, and
Speaker 1: those who have their eyes closed will continue to fall
Speaker 1: further and further behind. I. After our show the other night,
Speaker 1: go over to our analytics, not on the YouTube channel,
Speaker 1: on paintstatematerial dot com. Jesse, we move some of those red,
Speaker 1: white and shoes shirts the other night, several of them,
Speaker 1: and so congratulations to those who have secured those bad
Speaker 1: boys long before July fourth, still available, by the way,
Speaker 1: But I just want to remind everyone. As I lean
Speaker 1: back and get out of the way and look at
Speaker 1: that shirt. Some are saying it's one of the best
Speaker 1: we've ever produced. Paintstatematerial dot com comments where you can
Speaker 1: go get that. It says America runs on Saturdays. Clearly
Speaker 1: that is not an opinion, that is a fact. And
Speaker 1: also clearly football is coming, and that shirt is also
Speaker 1: available there. We can just only fit one shirt on
Speaker 1: the monitor right now. So I appreciate you guys because
Speaker 1: we did bonkers numbers on that the other day. And
Speaker 1: it's for a good cause. Your wardrobe, It's for a
Speaker 1: very good cause. Let's continue. So we did this thing
Speaker 1: the other night, and press, this is not your endpoint.
Speaker 1: We did this thing the other night. You know what,
Speaker 1: pres this can be your endpoint because this can go
Speaker 1: in the video. I did this thing the other day, Jesse,
Speaker 1: was this your idea? Whose idea it was was irrelevant.
Speaker 1: I did this thing the other day where we threw
Speaker 1: out a tweet. I said, hey, just pretend you return
Speaker 1: from January twenty twenty seven. You got to see the
Speaker 1: whole season play out. What are the wildest headlines that
Speaker 1: will unfold this year? Just give me the future now,
Speaker 1: and I put it out there. I said, pretend that's
Speaker 1: you coming back from the future. Give me the wildest headline.
Speaker 1: It's going to happen this year. And somebody said the
Speaker 1: other day, how's this gonna be different than bold predictions?
Speaker 1: It's not first headline up, Kirby Smart steps down. Now.
Speaker 1: This would shock the world. This would be an earthquake.
Speaker 1: That would be a college football earthquake. I'm gonna say this.
Speaker 1: It's not about Kirby, but it's in general. I have
Speaker 1: actually expected something like this to happen for the last
Speaker 1: three years. I've expected a major head coach to just
Speaker 1: resign or like retire out of nowhere. And I thought
Speaker 1: it was gonna sound something like this. I thought it
Speaker 1: was gonna sound something like, I know I'm forty eight
Speaker 1: years old, or I know I'm fifty two years old,
Speaker 1: but i don't recognize the game right now, and so
Speaker 1: I'm gonna step aside. I think there's someone better to
Speaker 1: do the job, and I'm gonna spend some time on
Speaker 1: me and my family, and then that person would probably
Speaker 1: go do TV for a little while and then just
Speaker 1: wait it out and wait until college football becomes something
Speaker 1: you're comfortable with again and then you jump right back in.
Speaker 1: I've expected that to happen. It hasn't happened. In fact,
Speaker 1: ask yourself, like, what's the last major retirement We were
Speaker 1: trying to think about this today? And by retirement, I
Speaker 1: don't mean take a pro job. I mean just I'm
Speaker 1: stepping away. And unless there was one that we weren't
Speaker 1: thinking of, and there may be, we didn't spend a
Speaker 1: lot of time on it. I couldn't really think of one.
Speaker 1: But this, I gotta be honest with you. It would
Speaker 1: be a bombshell now, it would come out of nowhere.
Speaker 1: Saban was the last huge retirement, but like Nick, Saban
Speaker 1: was in his seventies, so it made sense that he
Speaker 1: was retiring, even though that was in and of itself
Speaker 1: a bombshell. But imagine Kirby, just after what figures to
Speaker 1: be some version of a good season this year, just
Speaker 1: saying yeah, I'm done, I'm done. Yeah. That would be
Speaker 1: a big one. And according to someone, that's gonna happen
Speaker 1: this year, next one, Kelly said, Josh Hoover wins the Heisman,
Speaker 1: leads Indiana to another sixteen and oh year. Okay, so
Speaker 1: I'm already of the opinion that you could argue last
Speaker 1: year's Indiana season was the greatest accomplishment in the history
Speaker 1: of college football. And even if you disagree, you would
Speaker 1: probably grant me that it belongs in the conversation. If
Speaker 1: they run that thing undefeated again, and they win a
Speaker 1: national title again and Signetti has another Heisman Trophy winning quarterback,
Speaker 1: it is the greatest story in the history of college football. Like,
Speaker 1: what compares to it. That's not recency bias, that's not
Speaker 1: prisoner of the moment. I don't even know what else
Speaker 1: would compare to it. But they would also have done
Speaker 1: that in a period of time where the Big Ten
Speaker 1: is the alpha conference in college football. It'd be one
Speaker 1: thing if they were doing Look, I'm not disrespecting Clemson
Speaker 1: at all, but when Clemson was making their run in
Speaker 1: the twenty teens, nobody felt like keeping up with them.
Speaker 1: No one was keeping pace. It was like Clemson and nothing. Again,
Speaker 1: all due respect to the ACC, Indiana is running this
Speaker 1: thing right as Ryan Day has Ohio State peaking, right
Speaker 1: as Dan Landing has Oregon loaded with talent. And if
Speaker 1: Indiana does that again, I would argue the best story
Speaker 1: in history college football. Then again, I would already argue,
Speaker 1: all things considered, that last year was and remember Kelly
Speaker 1: didn't just say they're going to repeat, she said undefeated.
Speaker 1: So even when you go look at the few examples
Speaker 1: we have of repeat national champs, Jesse, we didn't check this,
Speaker 1: but were there any back to back undefeateds? Bama didn't
Speaker 1: do that, Georgia didn't do that. A Nebraska eh maybe
Speaker 1: I don't know. Yes, So those were traditional powers no
Speaker 1: matter what. And Indiana is a recent next up, boy,
Speaker 1: this one. Just soak this one in for a second.
Speaker 1: Nick said his headline that he saw in January of
Speaker 1: twenty twenty seven that he has come back to bestow
Speaker 1: upon us all is Brian Kelly has been hired at USC. LABK.
Speaker 1: You talk about shirts that would move, LABK shirts would move.
Speaker 1: Now this is almost certainly not going to happen. But
Speaker 1: I would like to ask, in the event that the
Speaker 1: USC job comes open, there's always a list, and at
Speaker 1: a certain point, everyone's name's on the list. My sister's
Speaker 1: names on the list. At some point it's just several
Speaker 1: billion names down, but everybody's names on the list. How
Speaker 1: far down the list realistically do you think Brian Kelly's
Speaker 1: name would be if the US job came open. That's
Speaker 1: the question that we can all just ponder. But tell
Speaker 1: me that if you close your eyes long enough, you
Speaker 1: can't see Brian Kelly metamorphosizing himself into a presentable University
Speaker 1: of Southern California Trojans football coach. I'm thinking one, two,
Speaker 1: I'm thinking at least three buttons, undone chest hair, Hamburger meat.
Speaker 1: I think of recently purchased sunglasses. I think of a
Speaker 1: staged photo op of him on the beach. Look, I
Speaker 1: could see this. He adopted that Southern accent quick enough
Speaker 1: where I could see him. Brian Kelly could be a
Speaker 1: chameleon of a head coach. I think he could blend anywhere,
Speaker 1: and so I think he would be totally comfortable if
Speaker 1: given the opportunity here. But hey, look, when Lincoln Riley
Speaker 1: makes the playoff this year, a lot of people are
Speaker 1: going to feel very foolish that they wasted their That's
Speaker 1: not me predicting, and I'm just saying someone out there
Speaker 1: is predicting it. Jesse. It's only June, so we don't
Speaker 1: do predictions in June. But I hope Lincoln Riley's paying attention.
Speaker 1: You're talking about the sixteen chapel. Someone else has already
Speaker 1: hired Brian Kelly out there, and meanwhile, Leaguan Riley, he's
Speaker 1: got to be checking, like, do we get to play
Speaker 1: this season? Do I still get to defend my honor?
Speaker 1: Next up, Blake shocking name. Considering the headline here, Lsu
Speaker 1: wins the national title behind an elite defense, Well, this
Speaker 1: is not shocking to anyone who believes in American hero
Speaker 1: Blake Baker, who they almost lost. Remember, for a little
Speaker 1: while it looked like Baker may get what the two
Speaker 1: lane job I believe it was. And so Blake Baker's
Speaker 1: still there. And you know, if they were to win
Speaker 1: a national title this year, and they were to do
Speaker 1: it winning a game like thirteen to six or something
Speaker 1: like that, hey hey, color me unshocked, color me unsurprised.
Speaker 1: I believe in Blake Baker. And the good news is
Speaker 1: we will see them in action very early. They play
Speaker 1: Clemson in Week one, and you know, if you just
Speaker 1: start to look matchup wise, you start to look at
Speaker 1: the front that theoretically ls you could feel defensively, you
Speaker 1: look at the tackle situation, you look at the offensive line,
Speaker 1: situation potentially for Clemson, and then you add in prime
Speaker 1: time Saturday night Death Valley one hundred and thirteen degrees
Speaker 1: at kickoff, one hundred plus thousand people at full throat,
Speaker 1: we'll get to see that Blake Baker defense pretty early.
Speaker 1: But I don't. I mean, look, it is year one
Speaker 1: under Lane Kiffin. It is hard to win a national championship.
Speaker 1: But if they won one. Look, I'll put it this way,
Speaker 1: if they win one, defense is one thousand percent going
Speaker 1: to be a large part of the formula there. So
Speaker 1: if it's it's kind of down to all. Are they
Speaker 1: opportunistic but it was a high flying offense? Or are
Speaker 1: they just like stone in Folks thirteen to ten? I mean,
Speaker 1: are there a lot of those kind of wins on there?
Speaker 1: The last headline here put a smile ear to ear
Speaker 1: on my face. Arizona volunteer said, the nineties nostalgia strikes back. Nebraska,
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, Tennessee all make the playoff. I don't have
Speaker 1: any magic button in here, but I gotta be real,
Speaker 1: like if I had ten dollars in my pocket that
Speaker 1: I had to trade in exchange for pressing a magic
Speaker 1: button to make something happen, I would do that. I
Speaker 1: don't need ten dollars. I've already got ten dollars, but
Speaker 1: I would love to see Nebraska, Virginia Tech, and Tennessee
Speaker 1: in the playoff. What are you trying to say in there, Jesse?
Speaker 1: Oh oh, good grief. Okay, Well, I would love to
Speaker 1: wrap the show right now, but unfortunately I have to
Speaker 1: share with you that are listening on podcast a graphic
Speaker 1: that has just been put on the screen because someone
Speaker 1: mosied over the FanDuel and put this three leg parlay
Speaker 1: in Tennessee, Virginia Tech, Nebraska to make the playoff ten
Speaker 1: dollars wins forty nine hundred dollars basically, so it could happen.
Speaker 1: Is the point? Is the moral of the story there
Speaker 1: any one of these teams making the playoff, especially the
Speaker 1: latter two. Tennessee made it a couple of years ago.
Speaker 1: So if Hypel makes the playoff this year, that's just
Speaker 1: a solid job. That's a really good job. If James
Speaker 1: Franklin makes the playoff in year one at Virginia Tech,
Speaker 1: if Matt Rule makes the playoff in year four at Nebraska,
Speaker 1: if either one of those things happens, that's car wheel time,
Speaker 1: and I haven't done one. I don't think I've ever
Speaker 1: done one, but I would be willing to try. That
Speaker 1: would be hashtag good for the game. In my humble opinion,
Speaker 1: it would be very good for the game. So those
Speaker 1: are just some shocking headlines from this upcoming year that
Speaker 1: you might as well take to the bank. Because our
Speaker 1: people do many things, but they never lie. And you
Speaker 1: know what, Jesse, neither do I. Now I want you
Speaker 1: to remember that as we get into this next segment.
Speaker 1: Allegations happen all the time around here. Sometimes I address them,
Speaker 1: sometimes I don't. In fact, most times I don't. But
Speaker 1: I can't pretend I haven't seen this. Bryce said, I
Speaker 1: can't help but feel that when I'm listening to you,
Speaker 1: there is doubt in Ohio State, specifically Julian saying, did
Speaker 1: you really say he doesn't have any heart? Listening is
Speaker 1: not a dying art form, it's dead. Listening comprehension is dead.
Speaker 1: And here I go with the shock panels to the
Speaker 1: chest to try and resurrect the college football public against
Speaker 1: my better judgment here because I've gotten this few hundred
Speaker 1: times just over the past week. So Dylan asked the
Speaker 1: question that many have asked. In fact, Dylan's language was
Speaker 1: far less forceful than some people. I've seen it on
Speaker 1: Ohio State message boards. I've heard it on podcasts and
Speaker 1: shows up there, and it may shock you to find
Speaker 1: out it never happened. Press throw up the question one
Speaker 1: more time if you still have in there. I know
Speaker 1: this is testing you a little bit. He asked. Did
Speaker 1: I ever say that Julian saying doesn't have any heart? Well,
Speaker 1: that would be a very very bold thing to say. No,
Speaker 1: I didn't say that. Now. I'm normally quiet ninety five
Speaker 1: percent of the time. When I get feedback from coaches
Speaker 1: from other players, it happens constantly. Okay, coaches give you
Speaker 1: stuff constantly, a player, personnel, people recruiting people, other players.
Speaker 1: We've got a ton of players who watched the show,
Speaker 1: and you talk to them all the time because you're
Speaker 1: on campus all the time. Camp i plural of campus.
Speaker 1: Dms are always open, so you get a lot of stuff. Okay,
Speaker 1: a lot of times it's one offs. Then there are
Speaker 1: other times where fifteen people independently tell you a version
Speaker 1: of the same thing that makes your ear perk up
Speaker 1: a little bit more. But even when that happens, I
Speaker 1: normally stay quiet, firstly because you don't want to betray confidence.
Speaker 1: But secondly, even if you know you can keep everyone anonymous,
Speaker 1: Normally I keep my mouth shut, and the reason is
Speaker 1: because people hear what you don't say, and it happened here.
Speaker 1: So to make this make sense for those of you
Speaker 1: who have not heard this yet, in other words, for
Speaker 1: anyone interested in reality, I'm about to play you a
Speaker 1: clip that I assume is where all this was born from.
Speaker 1: And I'm just gonna ask you to do one thing.
Speaker 1: Most of you have two ears that work, and so
Speaker 1: I'm going to ask you to ignore the question that
Speaker 1: was presented here to start this segment, and I just
Speaker 1: want you to listen. Just start from scratch and just
Speaker 1: listen to this. This is from Crane and Cone do
Speaker 1: appearances with those guys every now and then. We're talking
Speaker 1: about Ohio State. The other day they asked me about
Speaker 1: Julian Saying, and I had this to say. When you
Speaker 1: talk to some other people around the sport, they don't
Speaker 1: question Julian Saying's physical ability, or if they do, it's
Speaker 1: really really whispered. They question more the toughness side. They
Speaker 1: questioned more the heart and desire side. Now, I don't
Speaker 1: ever look at a kid and say that because, like
Speaker 1: to me, I know what it takes to win a
Speaker 1: start in quarterback position at Ohio State, and so like,
Speaker 1: if you're good enough to do that, then I think
Speaker 1: you're willing to put your face in the fan more
Speaker 1: than most other people who would ever criticize you. However,
Speaker 1: I can't ignore that football people around the country have
Speaker 1: shared that feedback and what people took from that was
Speaker 1: Pace said Julian saying, ain't got no heart. Well, luckily
Speaker 1: I've got a microphone. I can tell you what I
Speaker 1: think about Julian saying, I think he was a really
Speaker 1: good quarterback last year. I think he's got a chance
Speaker 1: to be an elite quarterback this year. He was a
Speaker 1: first year starter last year. The Texas game, the Indiana game,
Speaker 1: the Miami game, like, those are the big games you've
Speaker 1: got to win at Ohio State, and those are games
Speaker 1: they have several of this year. And I'm very excited
Speaker 1: to watch him because he didn't play terribly, especially against
Speaker 1: Indiana and Miami. It wasn't that he was terrible, it
Speaker 1: wasn't anything like that. It's just you watched him in
Speaker 1: his performance in those games, and you said, all right,
Speaker 1: first year starter, second year starter. When I look at
Speaker 1: Ohio State schedule, I wonder against Texas, or I wonder
Speaker 1: against Indiana, or maybe in a playoff game, I wonder
Speaker 1: if there's a leveling up. That's all. I don't question
Speaker 1: his hard at all. That wasn't the message that I
Speaker 1: was delivering there. What I was doing was echoing sentiment
Speaker 1: that I thousand percent have gotten from several people in
Speaker 1: college football players and coaches, because they do question his heart, okay,
Speaker 1: And so I've heard that enough times to where I
Speaker 1: wrap it up in a ball. I'll throw it out there.
Speaker 1: And I liked Julian saying, And since I happened to
Speaker 1: be familiar with several folks at Ohio State, I didn't
Speaker 1: mind throwing that chum into water for him. I know
Speaker 1: that'll be used for good. But if anyone thinks I'm
Speaker 1: saying that about Julian saying you're high on bath salts,
Speaker 1: because I'm not saying that about him, but other people have.
Speaker 1: So if you go back again to like a former life,
Speaker 1: there have been some years where you look at Ohio
Speaker 1: State schedule and you say, man, there are two games.
Speaker 1: There's one game, there's three games whatever, and if we
Speaker 1: can get past those will be favored by double digits.
Speaker 1: In every other game this year. They go to play Texas,
Speaker 1: they go to play Iowa, they go to play Indiana
Speaker 1: and usc they got Oregon at home, they got Michigan
Speaker 1: at the end of the year. There are several other
Speaker 1: games in there that, if they don't take care of
Speaker 1: their own business, are technically losable. Quarterback has got to
Speaker 1: be a strength for that team this year, and it
Speaker 1: can't be someone that they hide and fortunately for them,
Speaker 1: like they'll have a really good ground game, they should
Speaker 1: have either a really really good defenses like the floor
Speaker 1: for Ohio State. But it'll come down to Julian saying
Speaker 1: at some point this year and I got actual a
Speaker 1: fair amount of confidence in him, but that sentiment's not
Speaker 1: reflected by everyone. So that's what I was sharing. So like,
Speaker 1: we could either live in a world where occasionally, when
Speaker 1: you get that kind of feedback, you share it, or
Speaker 1: if people just misquote it, at which point you just
Speaker 1: keep everything to yourself for the rest of your life.
Speaker 1: I would hope we can live in the former world
Speaker 1: instead of the latter. They're watching us in Greenwood Mississippi,
Speaker 1: Saint Paul, Minnesota, and Hendersonville, Tennessee. Thank you guys so
Speaker 1: much for watching. Okay, it's the end of June, so
Speaker 1: we're going on a little bit of a hiatus for July,
Speaker 1: and then when we come back to start August, camps
Speaker 1: are open and we don't even breathe until like December,
Speaker 1: and we'll probably do a more in depth version of
Speaker 1: what I'm about to do in August for several shows.
Speaker 1: But in the meantime, Prays here's a good endpoint for you.
Speaker 1: I just wanted to look at some of the biggest
Speaker 1: questions that I have as we sit here in late June,
Speaker 1: early July, depending on when you're watching about college football
Speaker 1: this year. Just kind of like where my mind's at.
Speaker 1: You can tell me where your mind's at. I'll look
Speaker 1: into comments, cause honestly, a lot of the things that
Speaker 1: you guys put into comments make me go I wish
Speaker 1: I would have thought about that. So you could, of course,
Speaker 1: look at the quarterback position this year, which of these
Speaker 1: returning quarterbacks makes a legitimate leap. Everybody who has a
Speaker 1: returning quarterback thinks they're going to make a quantum leap.
Speaker 1: History one thousand percent of the time says that is
Speaker 1: a lie that is not founded in reality. But someone
Speaker 1: or several someones on this list right here. It could
Speaker 1: be Julian saying. It could be Dante Moore, could be
Speaker 1: Marcel Reid. Maybe it's John Mattier healthy all year. Maybe
Speaker 1: it's Bryce Underwood under a new system. Someone or several
Speaker 1: of them are gonna make pretty sizeable leaps last year
Speaker 1: to this year. Arch Manning's on this list. Obviously CJ.
Speaker 1: Carrs on this list, And those will be the teams
Speaker 1: that are there at the end. And it's okay to
Speaker 1: have the expectation like Jade Mayava is on here, and
Speaker 1: if he's one of the guys that fits this description,
Speaker 1: then USC absolutely is a playoff contender. And if he's
Speaker 1: not in US, he's going to be looking for a
Speaker 1: new head coach. It's really as simple as that. So
Speaker 1: I look at the quarterback position. Hey, I look at
Speaker 1: Miami just to kind of zoom in on a team,
Speaker 1: and I wonder about Miami or my suspicions right about them,
Speaker 1: because I've thought ever since I went down there in
Speaker 1: the spring, I was around that team in the spring.
Speaker 1: I watched him practice I looked at him and I said,
Speaker 1: this team just played for a national championship, and I
Speaker 1: know that. I think they could be better this year.
Speaker 1: And that's tough because there's a much further way to
Speaker 1: fall than there is to climb from Miami as it
Speaker 1: relates to last year. But what I think is upgrade
Speaker 1: at the quarterback position. I look at what I think
Speaker 1: is upgrade at the wide receiver position. I think they're
Speaker 1: excellent at tail. I think they'll be excellent defensively, and
Speaker 1: that's even losing the guys they're losing defensively. I just
Speaker 1: think overall, like collectively, they'll be excellent defensively. If offensive
Speaker 1: line is your biggest question and Mario Cristobaual is your
Speaker 1: head coach and Alex Mirrabal is down there, I just
Speaker 1: refuse to believe they're going to trot out an inferior
Speaker 1: offensive line product week one to week twelve, and I
Speaker 1: think that team could be nasty, especially by November and
Speaker 1: maybe before them. I wonder if my suspicions correct there.
Speaker 1: I wonder how open the Big Twelve is. You know,
Speaker 1: Texas Tech is still the favorite by somewhat of a
Speaker 1: margin to win the Big twelve. They were the overwhelming
Speaker 1: favorite with Brennan Soersby and it's them and it's Brigham
Speaker 1: Young sort of one two, same way the conference stacked
Speaker 1: up last year. Utah's a little bit behind, there's a
Speaker 1: little tear drop, and then you got teams like Kansas State,
Speaker 1: you got teams like Houston TCU. But Houston plays at
Speaker 1: Texas Tech Week three. That's that same day that I
Speaker 1: believe LSU goes to Ole Miss. That's a really big
Speaker 1: day because that's the day to me that we'll start
Speaker 1: to find out what the shape of that conference looks like.
Speaker 1: And even if Houston goes to Lubbock and it's a dogfight,
Speaker 1: Texas Tech pulls it out. If that's the way Texas
Speaker 1: Tech's gonna have to win games this year, well then
Speaker 1: it's game on. It's the Big twelve that I know
Speaker 1: and love, and last year was not the Big twelve
Speaker 1: that I had known and loved for several years. I'd
Speaker 1: even dubbed it America's College Football Conference because it was
Speaker 1: basically like throwing darts at a board any given year
Speaker 1: blindfolded to find out who was gonna win the thing.
Speaker 1: Very unpredictable, very exciting, it was a land of endless opportunity.
Speaker 1: It was a land where you could finish dead last
Speaker 1: one year, make a tweak or two here and there,
Speaker 1: and boom, you win the conference the next year. That
Speaker 1: doesn't happen in the Big Ten, doesn't happen in the SEC,
Speaker 1: at least it typically doesn't happen like that. Kurt Signetty notwithstanding,
Speaker 1: and so Will Hammond health wise, is he ready to
Speaker 1: go early in the year, got to get those questions asked,
Speaker 1: even with Will Hammond, is this team really heading shoulders
Speaker 1: above the rest of the league or is it really
Speaker 1: really compacted? Because look, Texas Tech's going to be either
Speaker 1: the best or one of the very best teams in
Speaker 1: that league in all scenarios, I think, but the one
Speaker 1: where it's Texas Tech, you know, by a nose, is
Speaker 1: way different than Texas Tech and Suns, which is what
Speaker 1: it was last year. Do we have any failures to
Speaker 1: launch this year because last year we had several Last year,
Speaker 1: around this time, we were sitting around you and I
Speaker 1: were just talking as friends do in June to pass
Speaker 1: the time. And what did we know. We knew, Hey,
Speaker 1: Dabo's got his best team at Clemson in a while
Speaker 1: they're coming off a playoff appearance. K Klubnick's back. Everyone's back,
Speaker 1: got NFL talent on all three levels of the defense,
Speaker 1: which was true, by the way, And they're a preseason
Speaker 1: top five team. Good for Dabo and James Franklin. They
Speaker 1: were in the semi final last year, heartbreaking finish. Jesse
Speaker 1: was standing right there on the field in Miami. He
Speaker 1: watched it all happen. But that's okay because those players
Speaker 1: are back and they're hungry. And James Franklin is assuring
Speaker 1: us at Big ten media days that it's championship or
Speaker 1: bus for US and their preseason top five, and hey,
Speaker 1: don't overlook Brian Kelly at LSU because that's going to
Speaker 1: be a really good team this year too. And hey
Speaker 1: them BK and LSU go on the road in Week
Speaker 1: one and they beat Clemson, and so they're really off
Speaker 1: to the races because what could Brian Kelly not do.
Speaker 1: He couldn't win a road again, they couldn't win an opener.
Speaker 1: And then once LSU knocked that Domino down, that's top
Speaker 1: five team. And two of the three had job openings
Speaker 1: before Halloween or shortly thereafter. I can't remember the timeline,
Speaker 1: and the third one finished seven and six in Clemson.
Speaker 1: And so we had several failures to launch last year.
Speaker 1: And the thing about a failure to launch is almost
Speaker 1: no one would have believed those headlines had you printed
Speaker 1: them last June. Franklin's gonna be fired. No one's buying that.
Speaker 1: Even the biggest Penn State doubter probably would have only said, oh,
Speaker 1: they're gonna go nine to three this year. No one
Speaker 1: predicted what actually happened. No one really saw that coming
Speaker 1: with LSU and Brian Kelly Clemson. The bottom falls at
Speaker 1: what were they like one and two, one and three
Speaker 1: to start or something like that. So in Dabbo's own words,
Speaker 1: it was a miracle they won seven games. Are there
Speaker 1: any failures to launch this year? Those are the odds
Speaker 1: to win the national championship on your screen right now.
Speaker 1: Penn State was number two last year, Jesse, Is that right?
Speaker 1: All right? Notre name's number two this year? Like, what
Speaker 1: is the worst case for them? And then imagine it
Speaker 1: going worse than worst case? You defined whatever worst case
Speaker 1: is Oregon, like Dan Lanning, Miami, Mario Cristo Baul, like,
Speaker 1: just imagine the absolute and utter bottom falling out. That's
Speaker 1: the thing. You really can't until you see it happen.
Speaker 1: You really can't. But see, here's the thing. The SEC
Speaker 1: schedules have been like this. The Big Ten schedules are
Speaker 1: like this too, now where you don't just have one
Speaker 1: or two games to get up for. There are several
Speaker 1: teams that are inferior to you technically that could bite
Speaker 1: you if you don't play better than a B minus game,
Speaker 1: And if you play several of those B minus games,
Speaker 1: then you have a disaster on your hands. So I
Speaker 1: wonder about that. I wonder about Indiana and something I
Speaker 1: call the Roger Banister effect, which is a long time
Speaker 1: ago science. The medical community said it is impossible to
Speaker 1: run a sub four minute mile. I've mentioned this several
Speaker 1: times on the show. Then this kid named Roger Banister
Speaker 1: doesn't get the headline and he runs a sub four
Speaker 1: minute mile. Then a whole bunch of folks ran a
Speaker 1: sub four minute mile, and once upon a time, up
Speaker 1: until very recently, it was not possible to do anything
Speaker 1: remotely along the lines of what Kurtz Signetti has done
Speaker 1: at Indiana. But the thing is, now he's done it,
Speaker 1: and now everybody sees that technically anything can happen, especially
Speaker 1: in this era. And so I look from UCLA to
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, to Oklahoma State to Auburn, all these places
Speaker 1: that just pulled the new higher lever slash lever. Kansas
Speaker 1: State just hired a new head coach. Michigan just hired
Speaker 1: a new head coach. Pete Golding is the head coach
Speaker 1: at Old miss Imagine that headline this time last year.
Speaker 1: Do I want to say Ryan Silverfield at Arkansas? I get?
Speaker 1: Is that a bridge too far? It's still under construction.
Speaker 1: Now that's a little bit of a bridge too far.
Speaker 1: But you get my point. In this world where anything's possible,
Speaker 1: it's not just Indiana that's gonna find out anything's possible.
Speaker 1: Someone else is going to run that sub four minute mile.
Speaker 1: Bob Chesney at UCLA looks to be in very good condition,
Speaker 1: looks to be in very good ship. I can see
Speaker 1: him running that sub four minute mile or translation, I
Speaker 1: could see the USCU S game having stakes on it
Speaker 1: at the end of the year. No one is predicting
Speaker 1: it to have right now. I can see that sort
Speaker 1: of thing happening. And then, lastly, not to take a
Speaker 1: turn towards negative town here, but We did have several
Speaker 1: firings in season last year, and I just wonder if
Speaker 1: any of that repeats itself this year. The James Franklin thing.
Speaker 1: Remember Deshan Foster got fired at UCLA pretty early. Hugh
Speaker 1: Freeze gets let go, Mike Gundy an institution in Stillwater, jobless,
Speaker 1: Brian Kelly, he's working for CBS now of Sharon Moore.
Speaker 1: Now that was a little bit of a different circumstance.
Speaker 1: But Billy Napier got fired, Brent Pry got the ex
Speaker 1: Mark Stoops got fired. So many guys who had been
Speaker 1: around for a while got fired. You look at FSU
Speaker 1: this year, You look at USC We've already talked about that. Baylor,
Speaker 1: Dave Randa went and got dj Lagway. They opened with
Speaker 1: Auburn in Atlanta. Baylor and Auburn don't have stadiums on campus,
Speaker 1: or being told they do. Why would you play on
Speaker 1: a neutral site if you have a stadium anyway, South
Speaker 1: Carolina is there rumbling there if it starts off poorly. Wisconsin,
Speaker 1: if it starts off poorly, Look, man, half the country
Speaker 1: already thinks they know where Wisconsin's going to go once
Speaker 1: they do get rid of Luke fickle. So just some
Speaker 1: things I'm thinking about, just some of the big questions
Speaker 1: in college football this year, we move on. I have
Speaker 1: had a lot of fun telling the truth on the
Speaker 1: show lately. It's one of the new year's, New season's
Speaker 1: resolutions around here, Let's just tell the truth. So we
Speaker 1: try to tell the truth at least once per show
Speaker 1: about somebody or some team or some program. But I
Speaker 1: figured we could tell the truth tonight about an entire
Speaker 1: committee full of people, the truth about the college football
Speaker 1: playoff Committee. Now this ought to be fun because I'll
Speaker 1: give you guys plenty of room to cook down there
Speaker 1: in the comments. But I got to tell you, you and
Speaker 1: I are probably in lockstep when it comes to most
Speaker 1: of our opinions about the playoff committee, especially last year.
Speaker 1: Last year was a tire fire. However, I don't think
Speaker 1: I've talked about this a whole lot on the show,
Speaker 1: and this will be a minority opinion, and I will
Speaker 1: grant you that most of you will disagree with what
Speaker 1: I'm about to say. But I actually never have hated
Speaker 1: the human element, only because it's unique to college football
Speaker 1: and it's kind of one of those things that makes
Speaker 1: no sense to anyone else. It's like a language that
Speaker 1: only we speak. I don't know just the kind of
Speaker 1: the nuance and the imbalance, the weirdness that it gives
Speaker 1: college football. I've never hated it, but I understand why
Speaker 1: people would hate it, because it's this thing where you
Speaker 1: wish that you could enter a season with the path
Speaker 1: to the playoff clearly defined. And people who feel that way,
Speaker 1: I trust me. I understand the logic behind it. It's
Speaker 1: just that I've never cared about the playoff nearly as
Speaker 1: much as most of you, So I've never gotten myself
Speaker 1: overly worked up about the human element. But I did
Speaker 1: get myself worked up by those humans last year. So
Speaker 1: last year I thought was the worst job collectively that
Speaker 1: the College Football Playoff Committee has done on messaging in
Speaker 1: a long time. And I mentioned messaging for a specific reason,
Speaker 1: because there's been several times in the last decade plus
Speaker 1: of this College Football Playoff Committee experiment that I thought
Speaker 1: procedure is their problem, not the product. There have been
Speaker 1: years where ironically I've thought their rankings made sense, they
Speaker 1: just sucked at explaining them. Now. I got a couple
Speaker 1: of theories about why that is. But last year I
Speaker 1: think those folks believe it was just going to work
Speaker 1: itself out, and it didn't work itself out, and it
Speaker 1: made them look foolish. And I believe it was it
Speaker 1: Hunter Yrcheck Jesse that was the chair last year. Hunter
Speaker 1: Yrcheck's going on TV every Tuesday night and in five
Speaker 1: minutes with Rhys Davis, he's trying to sum up why
Speaker 1: they fuel the way they do, and it was so obvious,
Speaker 1: and I've long had this theory. My theory has always
Speaker 1: been computers do ninety five percent of the job for
Speaker 1: the committee, because no one in their right mind is
Speaker 1: claiming that they can watch all the games that they're
Speaker 1: supposed to be watching, and so I've always thought they
Speaker 1: loosely stuck with the BCS formula and that thing gets
Speaker 1: spat out in front of them, and they may make
Speaker 1: one or two little tweaks, but largely I've always thought
Speaker 1: the work was already done for the committee before the
Speaker 1: sun ever rises on Tuesday. And a lot of the
Speaker 1: supporting evidence of that is how poorly poorly a job
Speaker 1: they do it explaining their own rankings. If you were
Speaker 1: really like knee deep sleeves rolled up in those rankings,
Speaker 1: you'd be intimately familiar with the logic, and instead it's like, Hunter,
Speaker 1: your check saw those rankings five minutes before the rest
Speaker 1: of the world did. And they're trying to explain, like,
Speaker 1: why did you drop Miami all the way down to
Speaker 1: eighteen and Notre Dame's at ten? And of course we
Speaker 1: know how the season played out. Now, Miami starts at eighteen,
Speaker 1: Notre Dame starts at ten. Even though Miami's already beaten
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, neither one of them lost a game the
Speaker 1: rest of the year. They both play comparable schedules. Miami
Speaker 1: ends up in the playoff and Notre Dame does it.
Speaker 1: The only way you make that make sense is they
Speaker 1: thought it was going to work itself out and it didn't,
Speaker 1: and the explanations that they gave at the beginning of
Speaker 1: the process start to change and start to metamorphosize, and
Speaker 1: then we have to talk about something called comparative pools,
Speaker 1: and then we find out how the sausage is made
Speaker 1: or allegedly gets made. And really what happened is Miami
Speaker 1: wasn't supposed to be done losing, but Miami was done losing,
Speaker 1: and Miami turner season around, played their best football, and
Speaker 1: then the committee had to try and soften the blow
Speaker 1: as they explained to you why what was about to
Speaker 1: happen was going to happen. And it looked really, really bad.
Speaker 1: And again the irony of all ironies, like an Atlantis
Speaker 1: MORI set level irony for me is I thought they
Speaker 1: got the right teams in. I know some people thought
Speaker 1: Bama didn't belong in, like we all spoke our peace
Speaker 1: on that. I thought they got the right teams in,
Speaker 1: and yet their procedure sucked. It was horrible. So I
Speaker 1: do get why the powers that be feel the need
Speaker 1: to maintain this thing. A lot of you hate it,
Speaker 1: and I get why you hate it, and I hated
Speaker 1: the procedure of it all last year. But what they're
Speaker 1: thinking is, all right, the unspoken truth that we all
Speaker 1: understand about college football is this is not the NFL.
Speaker 1: So all conferences, like all divisions, they're not even roughly
Speaker 1: remotely equal. So we can't just write down on paper
Speaker 1: in the preseason. We know if you win this conference,
Speaker 1: you're gonna go, and we know if you win that
Speaker 1: conference you're gonna go. And we know that in the preseason.
Speaker 1: It's like the NFL In Major League baseball, it's like
Speaker 1: pro sports, you just shake the season and then let
Speaker 1: the tumblers fall into place. They look at college athletics
Speaker 1: and they say, ah, this thing's a little bit unique,
Speaker 1: so we may need to keep a hand on the wheel.
Speaker 1: And also you have a very very vested interest from
Speaker 1: certain powerful conferences that don't ever want to relinquish control.
Speaker 1: And you can think about that what you do. I've
Speaker 1: certainly got my thoughts about it, but I don't know,
Speaker 1: regardless of where they go with this format, that we're
Speaker 1: ever going to lose this part of it. Because losing
Speaker 1: this part of it defining the criteria that it takes
Speaker 1: to make the playoff and etching that in stone, I
Speaker 1: just don't think that's something that the SEC or the
Speaker 1: Big ten are interested in unless it greatly behooves them.
Speaker 1: And I'm not sure that they're going to get signed
Speaker 1: off from everyone else, even though technically they control the
Speaker 1: process now. So the truth about the committee is if
Speaker 1: they could just fix their procedure, that would solve a
Speaker 1: lot of the issue. And look, I gotta be honest
Speaker 1: with you. I've talked to those folks about this. I
Speaker 1: talked to them about it after last year. I mean
Speaker 1: they want an honest feedback. I gave him honest feedback.
Speaker 1: I said, you guys got to change the way that
Speaker 1: you articulate your thinking like that Tuesday Night show. If
Speaker 1: you're not going to scrap it and they're not going to,
Speaker 1: that message has got to be delivered either by a
Speaker 1: different person or it's got to be delivered differently, because
Speaker 1: that's really your achilles heel. Right now, It's not so
Speaker 1: much your rankings, and rankings are going to be debated
Speaker 1: no matter what. There is no perfect set of rankings
Speaker 1: because perfection would mean everyone agreeing with it, which is impossible.
Speaker 1: So don't chase that, but just chase putting out your
Speaker 1: rankings and then having logic based reasoning behind it. That way,
Speaker 1: even if I disagree with it, at least I know why.
Speaker 1: Right now, we don't even know why, and it drove
Speaker 1: people up a wall. Last year me included uh FanDuel
Speaker 1: is the exclusive odds provider of the show. As we
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Speaker 1: We end the show tonight with bold predictions, as we
Speaker 1: do every show Bold Predictions, and this is one of
Speaker 1: the boldest batches that we've had in a long time.
Speaker 1: Every prediction tonight rates nine point five or higher, which
Speaker 1: means all four of these will qualify for a childie
Speaker 1: of supremacy if any one of them hit first. Up
Speaker 1: Interesting Ringold Georgia. There's a quick trip in Ringold. No
Speaker 1: Big ten teams make it to the semifinals. What a thud?
Speaker 1: After that three year run, What a thud. So the
Speaker 1: last two seasons, the Big ten has had four of
Speaker 1: eight in the semi finals. Three of the top four
Speaker 1: teams in the odds to make the semi finals this
Speaker 1: year are Big ten teams, which, by the way, you
Speaker 1: could bet right now. You've got a fan duel and
Speaker 1: bet teams to make the semifinals. It's really an incredible
Speaker 1: selection of markets they have over there. The Big ten
Speaker 1: champ is almost certainly going to have a buy in
Speaker 1: the playoffs, So that means like that Big Ten Champions
Speaker 1: has got to win one game to make the semis.
Speaker 1: They'll probably maybe I have a second team with a buye,
Speaker 1: which means like last year, you got two teams that
Speaker 1: only need to win one game to make the semis.
Speaker 1: I just don't find this realistic. So I'm gonna make
Speaker 1: it a nine point five. But that qualifies as a
Speaker 1: chalice if this does happen, and the good question there,
Speaker 1: you can keep that up press the good question there.
Speaker 1: If there's no Big ten team in the semis, what
Speaker 1: does the semi look like? You may think, oh, man,
Speaker 1: the SEC must have they must have dominated. Dude, what if?
Speaker 1: What if a G six team made to run? What
Speaker 1: if I haven't been influenced by any guests that we
Speaker 1: may have in the control room in there? Whatsoever? Probably
Speaker 1: check Twitter later for a photo that disputes that. But
Speaker 1: uh yeah, probably a Notre Dame. Probably a Miami like
Speaker 1: I would guess a big ten less Semisa. That's also
Speaker 1: a bridge too far. Next up, this is from Tuscaloosa.
Speaker 1: Obama and Georgia will play each other three times regular
Speaker 1: season conference title game playoff. Well, that gets a nine
Speaker 1: point seventy five from me. We've yet to see this
Speaker 1: happen in the playoff era. That is the number two
Speaker 1: and number five teams in the SEC preseason odds. That
Speaker 1: has been the conference championship matchup three of the last
Speaker 1: five years. But understand this, they play in the regular season,
Speaker 1: so they're going to play once. Even if we do
Speaker 1: get that second matchup, and we did get it last year,
Speaker 1: they played twice last year, you've still got to get
Speaker 1: both of them in the playoff, which if they're in,
Speaker 1: if they're in Atlanta, stands to reason they got a
Speaker 1: good shot at being in the playoff. But then you
Speaker 1: got to have the brackets line up, and if they're
Speaker 1: not playing each other in the first round, you got
Speaker 1: to have them line up to where they would play
Speaker 1: each other before getting eliminated. And it's everything has to
Speaker 1: break right more so than anything. So making it to
Speaker 1: Atlanta both of them, that's step one, and it's step
Speaker 1: two is beyond their control roll and that is making
Speaker 1: sure the brackets line up right. So that's a nine
Speaker 1: point seventy five for me. Thirdly, we always love the
Speaker 1: geographical or the geography related bold predictions more college football
Speaker 1: from Wall, New Jersey. Not a single team from Texas
Speaker 1: makes the playoff. That's a nine point five because that
Speaker 1: means we got texas seventh best odds to make the playoff, right,
Speaker 1: or are those odds to win the title? Jesse, Your
Speaker 1: odds to make the playoff may make the playoff? Okay,
Speaker 1: So Texas and Texas Tech are tied with the seventh
Speaker 1: best odds to make the playoff. A and M just
Speaker 1: behind them ninth best odds to make the playoff SMUs twentieth,
Speaker 1: Houston's thirty third. I'm gonna come back to UTSA because
Speaker 1: there's a little caveat there. I gotta mention with them,
Speaker 1: TCUs thirty eighth, so North Texas is and their rice
Speaker 1: is in there. UTSA has the thirty fourth best odds
Speaker 1: to make the playoff, but those are the second best
Speaker 1: out of the G six. So you got to understand
Speaker 1: you're talking about some like premier teams like Texas Texas Tech,
Speaker 1: those are the favorites in their respective conferences. You're asking
Speaker 1: them to miss the thing entirely, and then you're also
Speaker 1: asking for A and M not to be the beneficiary
Speaker 1: of that, and you're asking for SMU not to make
Speaker 1: any noise in the ACC and you're asking for Texas
Speaker 1: Tech to fall off. But Houston wasn't the reason they
Speaker 1: fell off, or TCU or Baylor. So there's a lot
Speaker 1: that has to go right there. And then even if
Speaker 1: all that happens, what if UTSA screws you because they're
Speaker 1: the G six rep Because you've got to have at
Speaker 1: least one and so I find this one very difficult
Speaker 1: to fathom. Jesse, you wanted to go what nine point
Speaker 1: seventy five or you wanted to go nine two five.
Speaker 1: I think it's Boulder. I think it's a nine to
Speaker 1: five that's a good one. I like that one. And lastly, oh,
Speaker 1: this is controversial. Chuck from Bethlehem, PA. Who mister Carr
Speaker 1: up there, who you're not hearing, talked about a lot
Speaker 1: in quarterback conversations. But Tommy Carr replaces Bryce Underwood halfway
Speaker 1: through Michigan season a s QB one. Now, we took
Speaker 1: a liberty with this, and we're going to assume this
Speaker 1: is not because of injury. This is just Bryce Underwood's
Speaker 1: not good enough and Car you're in. Underwood, You're out.
Speaker 1: It's just a straight benching. That's a nine point five
Speaker 1: for me. Here's the reason it's not because we haven't
Speaker 1: had some misses in the past five or so years.
Speaker 1: When it comes to five star quarterbacks. We've seen several
Speaker 1: five star quarterbacks either just bust entirely or they play,
Speaker 1: but they never quite reached the level that their recruiting
Speaker 1: ranking would have led you to believe they'll reach. We've
Speaker 1: seen that happen Bryce Underwood this year. Think about the
Speaker 1: approach for Michigan, cause the approach is not an air
Speaker 1: rate approach to begin with. They're not asking them to
Speaker 1: sling it all over the field fifty times a game.
Speaker 1: You got to think it's going to be a run
Speaker 1: heavy approach, which anyway, and so even if he's imperfect,
Speaker 1: Like even if his play has only marginally improved, and
Speaker 1: I know there's been a lot of speculation and negative
Speaker 1: talk coming out of Spring, I'm gonna guess he improved somewhat, Okay,
Speaker 1: But even if he only marginally improves, his mobility fits
Speaker 1: what I think would be their run heavy approach this
Speaker 1: year way more than the alternative. So like, even if
Speaker 1: he's not showing these quantum leaps of improvement, he's got
Speaker 1: to be horrible for them to bench him. And that's
Speaker 1: a new staff, by the way, coming in. And we've
Speaker 1: seen this recently. You remember at Alabama when Debor came
Speaker 1: in and Milroe was a little bit up and down
Speaker 1: in year one, and as it turns out, he had
Speaker 1: Ty Simpson on his bench, but he never made the
Speaker 1: move because there is there is such a different dynamic
Speaker 1: in a year one coach coming in and making that
Speaker 1: move because you never know, like how attached is that
Speaker 1: locker room to that QB one? What does a new
Speaker 1: coach do to that locker room if he makes a
Speaker 1: move on QB one. For those reasons I make it
Speaker 1: a nine point five. We appreciate you guys watching it
Speaker 1: is man, it's about to be July. We got one
Speaker 1: more show before we take our several weeks break, and
Speaker 1: that show will be Tuesday night, and when we come back,
Speaker 1: campc will basically be open. What a wonderful time of year.
Speaker 1: I just ask, if you've got a wedding, make sure
Speaker 1: you get it out of the way, if you've got
Speaker 1: loved ones to see, if you've got a fairis to
Speaker 1: a tend to. This is the time of year God
Speaker 1: has given you. Get it out of the way now
Speaker 1: because there will be no loose ends. We don't leave
Speaker 1: loose ends around here. Once the season starts, we're in
Speaker 1: it and we're all in this together. Appreciate you guys
Speaker 1: for pres once again manning the wheel in there as
Speaker 1: Bradley is missing. He's on the back of milk Carton's
Speaker 1: in the kitchen right now. We appreciate that producer Jesse
Speaker 1: Mitch come up with a title for yourself. Have it
Speaker 1: to me Bye to Tuesday. I'm Josh Pate. Thanks so much,
Speaker 1: Take care. We'll see you Tuesday night. Until the nd
Speaker 1: God bless.
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