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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: The season wages on to week six and we'll get

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Speaker 1: you set for the occasion where their early picks and

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Speaker 1: line movement predictions. I'm your host of SETH Wilcock, and

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Speaker 1: as always I'm joined by a man who is starting

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Speaker 1: to once again see the field pretty dang well. He's

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Speaker 1: Scott bet to Total Bogman Boggs. How are you doing

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Speaker 1: today and coming off that lethal slate over the weekend.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, doing better. We're seeing the field a lot better.

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Speaker 2: I should have taken some of my Friday bets, man, Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I was right on everything. My buddy hit me up,

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Speaker 2: he was like, you got anything for Friday? And I said,

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Speaker 2: I think QVA FSCU is a trap. I think ASU

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Speaker 2: TC used too close, and I don't like Houston on

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Speaker 2: the road. And I was right on all of those.

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Speaker 2: I mean, obviously the middle one I wasn't taking either

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Speaker 2: way because it was too close. But it was a

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Speaker 2: trap for Florida State and Houston did not beat Oregon

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Speaker 2: State against the spread. So interesting Friday night, which of

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Speaker 2: course let into okay Saturday for me. The Longhorns were

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Speaker 2: off so didn't have to worry about them, and I finished.

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Speaker 2: I believe seven and four, seven and three, so strong

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Speaker 2: weekend for me. I like that, But I know obviously

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Speaker 2: you did get hit with a extreme the worst beat

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Speaker 2: I've ever seen. I'll be honest, it's one of the

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Speaker 2: worst I've ever seen in my life.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll get into it when we get to the recap. First,

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Speaker 1: I do want to shout out to everyone who continues

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Speaker 1: to make us part of their weekly rotation by tuning

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Speaker 1: in either on the BEG pros YouTube channel or the

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Speaker 1: audio feed the Easiest Freeway Sports. Please give this video

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Speaker 1: a thumbs up if you enjoyed this type of content.

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Speaker 1: Also make sure you're subscribing to the channel if you're new,

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Speaker 1: so you don't miss a second of CFB betting coverage

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Speaker 1: this season. And before we get a first look of

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Speaker 1: what's to come, let's recap what we just witnessed. In

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Speaker 1: Week five, Virginia knocks off number eight Florida State forty

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Speaker 1: six thirty eight in overtime in what's being called the

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Speaker 1: fastest field storming in history. On Friday night Arizona State.

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Speaker 1: They old serve twenty seven to twenty four against number

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Speaker 1: twenty four TCU number twenty three Illinois. They bounce back

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Speaker 1: thirty four thirty two over number twenty one USC Number

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Speaker 1: thirteen Ole miss gets a big win for Lane Kiffin

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Speaker 1: over number four LSU twenty four nineteen, Number sixteen Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M Defense College Station sixteen to ten over Auburn.

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Speaker 1: Number one at Ohio State walks out of Washington with

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Speaker 1: the win and cover twenty four to six. Number eleven

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Speaker 1: Indiana beats Iowa twenty to fifteen with an ending that betters,

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Speaker 1: including myself, may never forget. And then number fifteen Tennessee

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Speaker 1: gets out of Starksville a live forty one thirty four

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Speaker 1: over Mississippi State in overtime. Number six Oregon wins twenty

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Speaker 1: to thirty four against number three Penn State in an

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Speaker 1: overtime whiteout game and Happy Valley, And then number seventeen

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Speaker 1: Alabama drops Number five Georgia twenty four to twenty one.

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Speaker 1: Who were the betting risers and followers for you over

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Speaker 1: the weekend?

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Speaker 2: Bugs, I was so annoyed that we had so many

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Speaker 2: points in the first half of Georgia and Alabama and

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Speaker 2: then just someone turned the hose off in the second half.

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Speaker 2: We got one touchdown and that was it. So that

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Speaker 2: one really aggravated me out of this group of bets. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: Penn State and Oregon was a tough one going into

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Speaker 2: overtime that came could have gone either way, So apologies

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Speaker 2: to you, sorry for your loss in that one. Of course,

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Speaker 2: Illinois bounce back big. I mean I kind of thought

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Speaker 2: that that, yeah, yeah, that might have been a loss

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Speaker 2: that could have kept them down for a week or two.

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Speaker 2: But they bowed up at home and won. Ohio State

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Speaker 2: didn't score like we thought maybe they could, but they

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Speaker 2: did not let Washington move the ball at all. So

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Speaker 2: twenty four to six was an interesting game.

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Speaker 3: There.

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Speaker 1: Defense I've ever seen in my entire life.

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Speaker 2: It's really good. Texas was really good last year too,

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Speaker 2: but they ailed Texas in that first game too. This

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Speaker 2: is a strong defensive squad from Ohio State. Obviously, Bama

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Speaker 2: and Georgia was close down to the wire. Just Georgia

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Speaker 2: could not move the ball in the second half. Stockton

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Speaker 2: only had one hundred and thirty yards passing. Yeah, that

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Speaker 2: was a tough one at LSU. I mean, we continue

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Speaker 2: to talk about how bad Clemson it is in how

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Speaker 2: not impressive that win was in week one now and

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Speaker 2: that continues in this loss to Ole Miss. This was

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Speaker 2: a tough road game and everything, but I mean LSU

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Speaker 2: was just a young.

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Speaker 1: Quarterback who was supposed to be the backup coming in

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Speaker 1: the season two nonetheless.

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Speaker 2: Right right, Just a bad look for them that game

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Speaker 2: went under, which is all I cared about. But not

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Speaker 2: a good look for LSU right now. And neus Meyer

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Speaker 2: is dropping like a sinking like a stone in draft

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Speaker 2: stock right now. It's rough.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely my picks. I was two and three on the

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Speaker 1: weekend Penn State. They killed me in multiple ways, my pride.

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Speaker 1: It was tough getting out of bed Sunday morning. I

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Speaker 1: also had the over twenty four and a half team totals,

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Speaker 1: So as long as like Drew Aller didn't make a

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Speaker 1: big mistake there in overtime the second overtime, I was

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Speaker 1: sitting pretty at least hitting that total. And you know,

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Speaker 1: I think he continues to make mistakes because of two

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Speaker 1: reasons bogs. Like one, we wasted that entire twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: two season with him sitting behind Sean Clifford. And then

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Speaker 1: also like we put a bunch of cupcakes on the

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Speaker 1: non can this year, so that did not help him

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Speaker 1: get ready for this performance. So that's stunk. And let's

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Speaker 1: also talk about let's talk about Indiana because sig Signetti,

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Speaker 1: he let the boys from back home down. He knew that,

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Speaker 1: you know, everyone from this side of the state Western

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Speaker 1: PA would be back on the sig Signetti SIGs inside.

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Speaker 1: I had the lighter last week and he let us down. Man,

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Speaker 1: because while they were really in control of that game,

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Speaker 1: it felt like for a portion of it, especially at

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Speaker 1: the end, we saw Fernando Mendozo run forty plus yards

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Speaker 1: backwards into a safety when he did not need to,

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Speaker 1: when he could have just taken a couple steps back,

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Speaker 1: chucked it, got rid of the game. That could have

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Speaker 1: punted it at a bounds of would have ended the game.

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Speaker 1: Or he runs back and when time expired he's still

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Speaker 1: on the twenty yard line. But you know, I saw

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Speaker 1: a lot of people tweeting out, like I know the

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Speaker 1: line was eight and a half for this game, but

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Speaker 1: some sad sorry you know s B went out and

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Speaker 1: had a six and a half ticket. That was me.

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Speaker 1: It was for the parlay of the week. You and

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Speaker 1: Terrell texted me and both said great job with the

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Speaker 1: in the middle. Uh taking that teaser on that bet

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Speaker 1: Bogs and.

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Speaker 2: Terrell said that and I and after I saw that,

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Speaker 2: but I went no way. I think WTF was what

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Speaker 2: I had text you, uh when that happened. That was

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Speaker 2: I've lost a lot of bets on weird stuff before,

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Speaker 2: you know. Certainly I've seen the Dbacks lose on a

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Speaker 2: walk off bulk, you know, like I lost a I

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Speaker 2: lost the game in a similar fashion to this with

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Speaker 2: Florida State when they called a fumble, you know, a

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Speaker 2: forward pass, a fumble and the team scooped it up

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Speaker 2: and ran it in. Should have never counted. Ball was

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Speaker 2: clearly a forward pass, uh, you know, but they don't

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Speaker 2: go back and reviewed. It's the end of the game.

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Speaker 2: People come onto the field, they don't care. So that

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Speaker 2: was kind of what happened here. It was like he

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Speaker 2: could have just like you said yesterday, he could have

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Speaker 2: just gone down at the three, same result, you know,

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Speaker 2: just different score. It doesn't happen. But he ran all

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Speaker 2: the way back in the end zone, took the safety,

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Speaker 2: and honestly, I feel like maybe for the betting purposes,

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Speaker 2: so that can't happen. Maybe those shouldn't count of safeties anymore.

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Speaker 2: If you're doing that to end the game. Maybe there

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Speaker 2: should just be no points at it. I don't know. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's it's a gross look in a terrible beat. And sorry, man,

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Speaker 2: that's one. Let's light it on fire. Let's never talk

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Speaker 2: about it again.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you know what I mean. I thought we were

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Speaker 1: finally gonna get it to the window, man, the first

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Speaker 1: parlay of the week to come through with the kid,

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Speaker 1: and man, just didn't happen. But that's all right. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna keep swinging because that's what we do here at

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Speaker 1: betting pros. And what do you say, man, should we

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Speaker 1: go ahead and turn the page then and get right

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Speaker 1: into week six?

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Speaker 2: Let's turn that page. Let's go all right, let's.

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Speaker 1: Get wide open here in ann Arbor where the twentieth

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Speaker 1: ranked Michigan Wolverines they're laying sixteen and a half points

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Speaker 1: against the Wisconsin Badgers. Wisconsin has dropped to two and

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Speaker 1: two straight up and ats so far this season. After

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Speaker 1: a twenty seven to ten devastating loss to Maryland in

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Speaker 1: Week four. Quarterback Billy Edwards Junior. He was once again

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Speaker 1: banged up in that game after just three passing attempts.

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin now sits one hundred and fifteenth in total offense.

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Speaker 1: They also sit twenty third in total defense, first against

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Speaker 1: the run. Michigan meanwhile three and one straight up two

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Speaker 1: and two ats this season also comes in off the

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Speaker 1: buy after winning and covering in linking back in Week four. Currently,

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Speaker 1: they lead the Big Ten in rushing with their Big

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Speaker 1: Ten leading rusher Justice Hayines and number one overall recruit

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Speaker 1: Bryce Underwood at quarterback. Wolverine's overall forty fifth in total offense,

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Speaker 1: eighth in rushing, twenty fifth in total defense. These two teams, though,

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Speaker 1: have not played since twenty twenty one. So Buggs, will

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Speaker 1: you have a play in this game? And where does

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Speaker 1: this sixteen and a half point line move? I'm off

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Speaker 1: it as of now due to Michigan's strength lining up

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Speaker 1: against Wisconsin's number one overall rushing defense.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so they have the number one on overall rushing defense.

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Speaker 2: That's great. They haven't played a great rushing offense yet.

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Speaker 2: Even Alabama hasn't been running the ball.

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Speaker 1: They know JM.

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Speaker 2: Miller in that game yet, right, and we see Maryland

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Speaker 2: and how they're working. They're passing a little bit more

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Speaker 2: as well. So they haven't played a really strong rushing

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Speaker 2: offense yet. To me, I'm with the BP projections here

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Speaker 2: that are on the side of Michigan. I think they

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Speaker 2: can do this, and I mean Fickle is on the

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Speaker 2: hot seat here. There might not be another win on

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Speaker 2: this schedule for Wisconsin's brutal It's this game against Michigan

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Speaker 2: at Michigan, then the rest of the schedule Iowa, Ohio State, Oregon, Washington, Indiana, Illinois,

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Speaker 2: and they finished with a maybe win against Minnesota and

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Speaker 2: that's on the road. They're looking down the barrel of

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Speaker 2: a long season. I think you know changes are going

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Speaker 2: to be made here pretty quickly. They're already on the

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Speaker 2: backup quarterback. I think this is a good spot to

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Speaker 2: get Underwood going to make you defense look good as well.

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Speaker 2: This is a good confidence building spot for Michigan coming

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Speaker 2: off of bye week. I know Wisco is coming off

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Speaker 2: of bye week here two, but I don't care. I

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Speaker 2: lay the points to give them Michigan.

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Speaker 1: Oh wow, Wow, the rare Michigan back from Scott Vagman.

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Speaker 1: You gotta love it. Gotta love it. Before we keep

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Speaker 1: it moving into some more game picks and previews. Today's

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Speaker 1: show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor

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Speaker 1: lot of football this time of year on betting pros,

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Speaker 1: but postseason baseball is also here, and every swing could

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Speaker 1: In Athens, the number thirteen Georgia Bulldogs are favored by

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Speaker 1: twenty and a half to twenty one and a half

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Speaker 1: points against the Kentucky Wildcats. UK is two and two

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Speaker 1: straight up and ats coming off a thirty five to

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Speaker 1: thirteen road loss to South Carolina Cutter Bowlie. He is

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Speaker 1: expected to be back under center here Big Zach Kyle

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Speaker 1: Zada back on the bench either way, though, this is

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Speaker 1: still the ninety seventh ranked total offense, one hundred and

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Speaker 1: third team in total defense as well. Georgia meanwhile three

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Speaker 1: and one straight up but zero to four bogs ats

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Speaker 1: this season, coming off a twenty four to twenty one

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Speaker 1: loss to Alabama home. Kirby Smarts Boys are forty eighth

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Speaker 1: in total defense, thirty eighth in total offense, and just

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Speaker 1: absolutely astrocious through the air this season as well. Georgia

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Speaker 1: hasn't lost to Kentucky since two thousand and nine, but

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Speaker 1: they did fail to cover last year, winning thirteen to

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Speaker 1: twelve in a thriller in Lexington. So Boggs is twenty

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Speaker 1: and a half twenty one and a half half points

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Speaker 1: too much for you?

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Speaker 2: I mean maybe I don't know, Like, do you want

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Speaker 2: to pick either one of these teams? Though I've heard

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Speaker 2: combined one and seven against.

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Speaker 1: The Yeah, I'm personally on it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, So I don't think I really liked this game. Plus,

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Speaker 2: you know you talked about it. What we saw last year,

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Speaker 2: and I think that's why you we've already seen the

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Speaker 2: total move down a couple points already, is because people

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Speaker 2: remember this. This was a low scoring scrap in Kentucky

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Speaker 2: last season. So Kentucky bows up on Georgia. Georgia tends

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Speaker 2: to play down to a team once a year as well.

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Speaker 2: I don't know that it's going to be here. The

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Speaker 2: under is probably the safest play. Both teams are playing

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Speaker 2: at a middling pace. Kentucky is struggling on offensive here,

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Speaker 2: specifically with the quarterback position. Obviously, Calsada was awful, Bowlie

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Speaker 2: has not been good. They had two hundred and thirty

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Speaker 2: two total yards against South Carolina last week. So maybe

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Speaker 2: under thirteen and a half for Kentucky is it play

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Speaker 2: or under I think it's thirty four and a half

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Speaker 2: for Georgia. I think both of those are what I

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Speaker 2: would like here. Maybe even the under on the total already,

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Speaker 2: even though it's coming down already and it's already kind

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Speaker 2: of bumping up against our projections, So maybe pick a

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Speaker 2: team to go under and take that.

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Speaker 1: Did you see Danny Canell's tweet about the SEC quarterbacks bogs?

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Speaker 2: No, what do you say?

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Speaker 1: He said something along the lines like, here's my SECQB rankings.

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Speaker 1: He ranks a couple of the quarterbacks and it was

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Speaker 1: like mid mid plus, mid minus, mid minus and at

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Speaker 1: the very bottom sixteenth overall last in the conference. Whoever's

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Speaker 1: playing for Kentucky at QB, so not.

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Speaker 2: A bad not a bad way to rank guys in

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Speaker 2: the SEC this year is whoever the starter is a

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Speaker 2: Kentucky is rough, so it is it is real bad

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Speaker 2: for the Blue there. So yeah, give me the under

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Speaker 2: on Kentucky total. That would be my one play here.

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's keep it moving where the skyline Chili and

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Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Bearcats await. The number fourteen Iowa State Cyclones

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Speaker 1: at noon on Saturday, ISU moved to five and zero

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Speaker 1: straight up four to one ATS in a week five

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Speaker 1: with a win and cover over Arizona. Rock O Beck

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Speaker 1: has the boys buzz and right now seventy second in

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Speaker 1: total offense thirty six in total defense as well, since

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Speaker 1: he three and one straight up and ATS. They're coming

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Speaker 1: off a thirty seven to thirty four loss at Kansas

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Speaker 1: last week, a game that included eighty one total points

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Speaker 1: twelve hundred combined yards of offense. Red shirt junior quarterback

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Speaker 1: Brendon Sorosby. He's been terrific man, combining for fourteen touchdowns

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Speaker 1: just one I int for the kid as well. He's

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Speaker 1: also third in passing efficiency and second in completion percentage

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Speaker 1: among Big twelve quarterbacks right now. Overall, the Bearcats seventeenth

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Speaker 1: to total offense, sixty fifth in total defense Iowa State.

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Speaker 1: They have won the past two meetings between these two

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Speaker 1: teams over the past two seasons, covering both times. However, Bogs,

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Speaker 1: this is a one and a half line in favor

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Speaker 1: of the side Clones. Kind of feels trappy, kind of

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Speaker 1: feels too good to be true. So any plays for

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Speaker 1: you in this game, any thoughts on where this line

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Speaker 1: could head?

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Speaker 2: Give me the Bearcats on the money line first of all,

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Speaker 2: give me it for the brand number one, so that

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Speaker 2: I control Trell with just right in Rocko backed on

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Speaker 2: the Wednesday show. That's going to be enjoyable. But Iowa

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Speaker 2: State has beat since he ended the dirt two years

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Speaker 2: and row thirty four to seventeen last year, thirty to

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Speaker 2: ten in twenty twenty three, but since he just went

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Speaker 2: into Lawrence and beat the Jayhawks's four and a half

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Speaker 2: point underdogs and their other tough game was in Kansas

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Speaker 2: City against Nebraska, and they could have had a shot

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Speaker 2: at that game as well. Iowa State has been bipolar.

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Speaker 2: Even in the first game that they played, the first

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Speaker 2: and second half were completely different. They also beat good

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Speaker 2: Iowa team they won by eight as twenty and a

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Speaker 2: half point favorites on the road against Archie State and

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Speaker 2: then SmackDown Arizona. I think they might be a different

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Speaker 2: team on the road. Even in Ireland. We saw them

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Speaker 2: reel bad in the first half, real good in the

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Speaker 2: second half. Again, and this team is bipolar. Since he's

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Speaker 2: been fairly consistent throughout this year, the offense is really good.

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Speaker 2: I think that's the thing I'm relying on. They're playing

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Speaker 2: at home. Iowa State has been up and down. Give

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Speaker 2: me since he on the money line here with the

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Speaker 2: spread being right where it is and again get to smirk,

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Speaker 2: control trail a little bit. Yeah, we're going to enjoy that.

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Speaker 2: On Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I said thirty seven to thirty four loss at

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Speaker 1: Kansas that was a win, as you pointed out, So

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Speaker 1: I mean this is one as a new or better

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Speaker 1: I would often I feel like jump on Iowa State

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Speaker 1: and be like, there's no way that a top fifteen

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Speaker 1: ranked team should be just laying a point or two

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Speaker 1: against an unranked team here in Cincinnati. But I do

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Speaker 1: like your handicap there, and I don't want to invest

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Speaker 1: in Iowa State. What do you think of the over though,

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Speaker 1: because again, these are two offenses that I really trust,

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Speaker 1: veterans signal callers that can put up a lot of points.

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Speaker 1: I don't think either one of their defenses is necessarily elite,

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Speaker 1: So I'm thinking I might get on in the over here.

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Speaker 1: Any thought process from you on that.

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Speaker 2: No, I don't hate it. I'll say like teams, specifically

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Speaker 2: with Iowa State being bipolar, like, which offense shows up

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Speaker 2: like that is my That's my question for Iowa State.

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Speaker 2: That's why I will take CINCI, though, is because I

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Speaker 2: just don't know if Iowa State's offense is gonna show

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Speaker 2: up on the road here. So I don't know that

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Speaker 2: I would mess with the total. But I understand your logic,

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Speaker 2: like you know, both these offenses are ahead of the

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Speaker 2: defenses here, and the strength of Cincinnati is the offense.

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Speaker 2: If they're gonna win, they're gonna have to put up points.

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Speaker 2: So I like the idea. I just don't know if

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Speaker 2: I would take it, that's all.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I understand. I mean Arkansas State on the road,

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Speaker 1: they didn't perform well offensively. Iowa that's always a you know,

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Speaker 1: pretty close, tight, low scoring game. They didn't perform well

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Speaker 1: on the road there either, So I kind.

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Speaker 2: Of understand that the road game was Dublin, right right? Who knows?

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Also in the NOONSLAGH is a little game between

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Speaker 1: the Clemson Tires and Bill Belichick's North Carolina tar Heels.

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Speaker 1: I think if game Day was lining things up at

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Speaker 1: the beginning of the season, they're hoping potentially come here. However, Clemson,

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Speaker 1: they began the season as an ap ranked top five program,

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Speaker 1: only to drop three of their first four games outright

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Speaker 1: to the likes of LSU, Georgia Tech, and Syracuse. The

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00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:10,880
Speaker 1: Tigers triggerman kde Klubnik, he has regressed in a big

388
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:14,359
Speaker 1: way this season, just six passing tds to four interceptions,

389
00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:17,800
Speaker 1: putting their offense eighty fifth in the country in total yards.

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00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:20,840
Speaker 1: UNC we know, we all remember they got embarrassed in

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Speaker 1: their opener against TCU forty eight to fourteen. Things got

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00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:26,840
Speaker 1: away from them after that scripted drive, and things have

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00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:28,680
Speaker 1: not got much better for him either. They currently sit

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00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:31,719
Speaker 1: two and two straight up one in three ats, losing

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00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:35,600
Speaker 1: last time out thirty four to nine against UCF. Their

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00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 1: quarterback situation has turned into a bit of a controversy

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00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:42,320
Speaker 1: as well here Go Lopez and Max Johnson. Neither of

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Speaker 1: them have looked particularly effective this season. Their Steve Bilichick

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00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:49,320
Speaker 1: coach defense as well, is ranked fifty ninth in the country,

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Speaker 1: but their offense one hundred and thirty second bugs out

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Speaker 1: of one hundred and thirty six teams averagers two hundred

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Speaker 1: and sixty six yards per game. Is this a matchup

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Speaker 1: that you feel we should staying away from because for me,

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00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:04,480
Speaker 1: it feels like two washed up high school athletes scrapping

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00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,720
Speaker 1: at the bar in the parking lot after three Miller lights.

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Speaker 2: Like.

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Speaker 1: So that being said, like I'm really not interested in

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Speaker 1: watching this game, But at the same time, thirteen and

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Speaker 1: a half and fourteen and a half does feel like

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Speaker 1: a pretty big line here, man.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, does it? I don't know, man. I think North

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Speaker 2: Carolina is garbage right now, like as bad as Clemson is. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: North Carolina is a circus show right now. So I

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00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,639
Speaker 2: think coming off of bye week that Clemson is going

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Speaker 2: to be able to come in here and smack around

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Speaker 2: North Carolina. That's what should happen, but it hasn't. So

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Speaker 2: I hate this game. You know, I what I'm prepping

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Speaker 2: for this game. I'm looking back and I'm going we

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Speaker 2: couldn't have chosen anything else, and we pushed another game

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Speaker 2: out to put this game in, and this game still sucks.

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Speaker 2: So I don't like this one.

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Speaker 1: A brand game, it's a brand game here.

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Speaker 2: Yes, we have to talk about it. Let me say that. Yes,

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Speaker 2: I'm going to probably take the team total under on

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Speaker 2: Clemson until it doesn't pay, So don't make it a

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Speaker 2: big bet, make it half a unit or whatever. But

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Speaker 2: it's hit all the time. Clemson is not putting up

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Speaker 2: points right now. That should change against UNC, but as

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Speaker 2: you mentioned, it's more of the offense being bad. Now

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Speaker 2: we do worry about setting up short fields for Clemson

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Speaker 2: and all of that. So again, it's not my favorite bet.

432
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:32,199
Speaker 2: But if I'm picking anything in this game, I'm going

433
00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:34,880
Speaker 2: to go under team total on Clemson. I believe it's

434
00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:39,320
Speaker 2: thirty four and a half right now, so ye, look,

435
00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:43,040
Speaker 2: they're bad. You know it's actually thirty and a half,

436
00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:47,640
Speaker 2: so still high for what Clemson has been doing this year.

437
00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,480
Speaker 2: So they struggled against Troy. I think the North Carolina

438
00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:53,719
Speaker 2: defense can give them some trouble. And if you do

439
00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:56,320
Speaker 2: get a bow up game from North Carolina, it's going

440
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:58,360
Speaker 2: to be closer than the spread too, So I hate

441
00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:01,359
Speaker 2: the spread. Just get me under thirty and a half

442
00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:04,120
Speaker 2: for Clemson until we see that offense look better.

443
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 1: Okay. We've also got a top twenty five matchup in TUSCALUSA,

444
00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:11,160
Speaker 1: where the tenth ranked Alabama Crimson Tied are laying ten

445
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,480
Speaker 1: and a half two eleven and a half points on

446
00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:17,240
Speaker 1: the sixteenth ranked Vanderbilt Commodores. Vandy picked up its fifth

447
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:20,560
Speaker 1: straight win of the season against Utah State on Sunday,

448
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:23,000
Speaker 1: but actually failed to cover for the first time by

449
00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:26,639
Speaker 1: just a single point. Digo Pavia currently leads the SEC

450
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:30,680
Speaker 1: in passing touchdowns and passing efficiency as well. The Comedies

451
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:34,399
Speaker 1: are therefore fourteenth and total offense twelfth in a total

452
00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:37,920
Speaker 1: defense as well. To boot and after an embarrassing loss

453
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 1: to Florida State to open things up, Bama has rallied

454
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:43,919
Speaker 1: back very nicely, three straight wins, three straight covers, including

455
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,680
Speaker 1: last week winning twenty four to twenty one in Athens

456
00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:50,159
Speaker 1: against Georgia. Their triggerman ty Simpson. He has come on

457
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:54,520
Speaker 1: quickly here, totaling thirteen touchdowns no interceptions. The tighter currently

458
00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:57,720
Speaker 1: thirty seventh in total offense nineteenth in total defense. But

459
00:22:57,840 --> 00:23:00,359
Speaker 1: they have had, at the same time, the seventh toughest

460
00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:03,320
Speaker 1: strength to schedule this season, so playing good opponents. Everyone

461
00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:06,280
Speaker 1: remembers Vandy's forty to thirty five upset in this matchup.

462
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 1: I think a year ago it resulted in that goalpost

463
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,719
Speaker 1: making its way down into the river, So could we

464
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:14,560
Speaker 1: see something similar this year? Bogs? And does this current

465
00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:16,080
Speaker 1: line make sense to you?

466
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,280
Speaker 2: Look, I'll say this, I wasn't the biggest on Vandy

467
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:23,600
Speaker 2: coming in. I even bet against them, I believe week two,

468
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:26,159
Speaker 2: But they've made the money the last two weeks in

469
00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:29,160
Speaker 2: a row. I really like what this Vandy team is doing.

470
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 2: And I think we have a fresh memory of this

471
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 2: team beating Alabama straight up. But I think what we're

472
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,919
Speaker 2: forgetting is that the last three weeks of Bama have

473
00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 2: been a let's shake off this Florida State and loss

474
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:45,960
Speaker 2: and start looking good. And by the way, you weren't

475
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:48,639
Speaker 2: looking past Vandy when you get beat and it's the

476
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 2: most embarrassing thing that happen to your school in years

477
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 2: and years. I think that you're not shaking that off.

478
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:58,320
Speaker 2: You get them at home here as well. I'm gonna

479
00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:01,800
Speaker 2: be on the Alabama side, but I think the public

480
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:06,960
Speaker 2: loves to fade Alabama, you know, specifically, because they've been

481
00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:09,639
Speaker 2: good for years and they aren't. They're coming off a

482
00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:11,639
Speaker 2: big win. A lot of people are gonna tell you

483
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:14,920
Speaker 2: about a letdown spot. I don't think that's a possibility,

484
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:19,600
Speaker 2: because again, Alabama remembers what Vanderbilt did to them last year.

485
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:23,640
Speaker 2: So I think you see a focused Alabama team come

486
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,240
Speaker 2: in here, and if they are focused and if they

487
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:29,160
Speaker 2: are rolling downhill, they just went to Georgia and beat them.

488
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:31,200
Speaker 2: I don't think Vandy's gonna come in and challenge them.

489
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:34,680
Speaker 2: So to me, I'm gonna lay the points and take

490
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:39,040
Speaker 2: Bama at home. But I think the public might funnel

491
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:42,200
Speaker 2: money towards Vandy because there's a fun team and they're

492
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:45,200
Speaker 2: really good. Right now, this line, this line is kind

493
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,000
Speaker 2: of yeah, this line is kind of right where it

494
00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:50,040
Speaker 2: should be. So wait see which way it goes. If

495
00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:52,879
Speaker 2: it goes up over two touchdowns, I'll take Vandy on

496
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 2: two touchdowns, But if it comes back below double digits,

497
00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:59,960
Speaker 2: give me Alabama all day. So I think Bama's gon

498
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:02,199
Speaker 2: to win this game. I think we saw their offense

499
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:04,600
Speaker 2: put it on Georgia a little bit. Georgia's defense is down.

500
00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:06,920
Speaker 2: I understand that, but I still think they're better than Mandy.

501
00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 2: So yeah, give me Bama. I'll lay the points, but

502
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:11,879
Speaker 2: I want this one to come back down a little bit.

503
00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and shift to the swamp for another

504
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:19,080
Speaker 1: sec banger with the ninth rank Texas Longhorns laying six

505
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 1: and a half points on the Florida Gators. Currently, Texas

506
00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:23,760
Speaker 1: is three and one straight up, but only one in

507
00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:27,000
Speaker 1: three ats this season, and it's only cover came in

508
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,440
Speaker 1: Week four against sam Houston State, maybe the worst FBS

509
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:33,240
Speaker 1: team in the country right now, and while it certainly

510
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 1: hasn't been the start to the season we would think

511
00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:39,000
Speaker 1: that arch Manning could provide. He has still combined for

512
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:42,240
Speaker 1: fourteen total touchdowns three interceptions, and he has had to

513
00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:43,960
Speaker 1: kind of pick up the workload on the ground game

514
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,639
Speaker 1: as well Trey Wiser CJ. Baxter. They've been both dealing

515
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 1: with some injuries. Texas currently forty first in total offense,

516
00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 1: fourth in total defense, though Florida they fail off the

517
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:55,919
Speaker 1: wagon in Week two, they lost to UCF as eighteen

518
00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:58,440
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites at home. They've not gone

519
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:01,040
Speaker 1: back on that wagon either. They've dropped two more straight

520
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:04,400
Speaker 1: up and ats and baton rouge in South Beach. Their

521
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:08,720
Speaker 1: sophomore quarterback DJ Lagway currently leads the SEC in interceptions

522
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:11,600
Speaker 1: with six and has the offense ranked one hundred and

523
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:15,120
Speaker 1: thirteenth in the country. However, their defense still charting as

524
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:18,359
Speaker 1: a top twenty five unit as well. So Boggs is

525
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:21,160
Speaker 1: Texas at this key number of six and a half

526
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:23,960
Speaker 1: a gift from the gambling gods? And should we be

527
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:24,960
Speaker 1: all in on it this week?

528
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:29,680
Speaker 2: I mean, I don't hate saying that and taking the Longhorns,

529
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:33,960
Speaker 2: because Florida has looked rough, specifically on offense to start

530
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:36,840
Speaker 2: the season, So I don't know how you could possibly

531
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:40,359
Speaker 2: trust the Gators at all. But how can you trust

532
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 2: Texas right now? The one part game they played against

533
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,000
Speaker 2: Alis State and it's all cupcakes since they haven't had

534
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:49,240
Speaker 2: a tough game here and they've been stacking Arch's stats

535
00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:51,920
Speaker 2: on the backs of some bad opponents. So I don't

536
00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 2: really trust the Texas offense either, even.

537
00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:55,880
Speaker 1: If they got the running backs back.

538
00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:58,359
Speaker 2: Yes, even if they got the running backs back, it

539
00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:01,919
Speaker 2: just hasn't like Arch. It all starts with him. He

540
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:05,440
Speaker 2: still has happy feet, he still has the weird delivery

541
00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:09,280
Speaker 2: on some of those. He's making better decisions with the

542
00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:11,159
Speaker 2: ball the last couple of weeks, and they're coming off

543
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:12,880
Speaker 2: of buy so like I think they'll have a good

544
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,480
Speaker 2: game plan coming in here. I do think Texas wins

545
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:18,840
Speaker 2: this game. I think they could easily beat this spread.

546
00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:21,560
Speaker 2: I think Florida knows there is sinking ship. I think

547
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 2: Napier's gone pretty quickly here as well. So like with Florida,

548
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:31,320
Speaker 2: I don't trust their offense at all, even a little bit,

549
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:34,520
Speaker 2: and I know Texas defense is elite. So to me

550
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:39,040
Speaker 2: give me the team total under on Florida in this game.

551
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,200
Speaker 2: I believe it is seventeen and a half. Just give

552
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:44,000
Speaker 2: me the under on Florida because I don't think they're

553
00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:45,320
Speaker 2: gonna be able to move the ball very well. I

554
00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:47,560
Speaker 2: don't think they're gonna score a lot of points. And

555
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:49,439
Speaker 2: I think Texas is going to want to control the

556
00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:52,880
Speaker 2: clock here and have possession because the offense hasn't looked great.

557
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:55,920
Speaker 2: So keep your defense fresh. You know you can't afford

558
00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 2: to make some mistakes because the Florida offense has been bad,

559
00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:01,359
Speaker 2: but lackwate in point can bow up. So I think

560
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:04,119
Speaker 2: it's going to be a control of the clock. The

561
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:08,119
Speaker 2: spread is probably not enough, like BP even shows that

562
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:11,320
Speaker 2: it is not enough here, but you know, Florida's coming

563
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,159
Speaker 2: off of buye here too, So I think that this

564
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:16,200
Speaker 2: is this is gonna be a better game than people expect.

565
00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:17,800
Speaker 2: I think it to be a little higher scoring than

566
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:21,719
Speaker 2: people expect, but not for Florida. That offense looks pathetic

567
00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:24,240
Speaker 2: right now and they just have nothing. So give me

568
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:26,360
Speaker 2: the underteam total in Florida at seventeen and a half.

569
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:29,200
Speaker 1: Okay, I think I'll probably be rolling with for Texas

570
00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:31,439
Speaker 1: Longhorns here ats this week. I think that's probably one

571
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 1: of my favorite plays so far, at least in these

572
00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:36,960
Speaker 1: big games that we're talking about today. So let's keep

573
00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,360
Speaker 1: it moving here where it will be happen in h

574
00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,640
Speaker 1: Town at seven pm Eastern time on Saturday night as

575
00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 1: the eleventh ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders. They do battle

576
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:49,120
Speaker 1: against the undefeated Houston Cougars and Tech is four to

577
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 1: oh ats and straight up. This season, their thick pockets

578
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 1: have proved to be worthwhile. This season for Joey maguire.

579
00:28:56,120 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 1: His team ranked second in total offense twelfth in total

580
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 1: defense as well. Baron Mooreton he has been sensational. He

581
00:29:02,280 --> 00:29:04,640
Speaker 1: is quite the cast of pass catchers as well, including

582
00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:07,920
Speaker 1: Caleb Douglas and Cole Eachan. We currently have no update

583
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 1: though whether it'll be Morton or Will Hammond under center,

584
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:13,520
Speaker 1: after the sophomore had to finish things off for Tech

585
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:17,200
Speaker 1: against Utah. Houston also undefeated straight up this season, they

586
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 1: did drop their first game ats last week with a

587
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 1: twenty seven to twenty four win at Oregon State Texas

588
00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:26,160
Speaker 1: A and M transfer Connor Wigman. He's looked pretty solid,

589
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 1: but I think that really this offense truly runs behind

590
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:32,280
Speaker 1: Rice transfer RB Dean Connors, who's fifth in the Big

591
00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:35,000
Speaker 1: Twelve in rushing right now three hundred and twenty four

592
00:29:35,080 --> 00:29:38,520
Speaker 1: yards for him. The Cougs currently ranked seventy six in

593
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:41,960
Speaker 1: total offense, sixteenth until defense, but they faced the one

594
00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:45,400
Speaker 1: hundredth ranked strength of schedule thus far. So bogs with

595
00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:47,719
Speaker 1: out an update on the quarterback situation. Do you have

596
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:50,200
Speaker 1: an early pick and where do you see this eleven

597
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:52,480
Speaker 1: and a half to twelve and a half point line moving?

598
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:55,840
Speaker 2: I mean I think it's gonna funnel towards Texas Tech.

599
00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:59,920
Speaker 2: We saw Texas Tech going to Utah and smoke the utes, right,

600
00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 2: so I don't think a road test in Houston is

601
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:04,920
Speaker 2: going to be much for them to really have to

602
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:08,560
Speaker 2: deal with. So I think we're gonna see this funnel

603
00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:14,000
Speaker 2: towards Texas Tech, and I think it should. Right. The

604
00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:17,520
Speaker 2: roster strength is pretty good for Houston. It's much improved

605
00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 2: from last year. They're thirty nine. They're a top fifty

606
00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 2: team in the country, but text is twelve. They're a

607
00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:27,200
Speaker 2: top fifteen team in the country right now. They're the

608
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:31,920
Speaker 2: number one graded defense according to PFF. They've been smacking

609
00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:36,000
Speaker 2: people around, and it's the front seven of defense that

610
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:38,920
Speaker 2: worries me for Houston here. I think Connor Weagman's been

611
00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 2: having a great year. I think this Houston offense has

612
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 2: been great running the ball specifically, But again, your number

613
00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 2: one graded run defense in the country right now is

614
00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 2: Texas Tech. It's how they beat Utah as well. So

615
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,920
Speaker 2: I think if you're facing a team that's not as

616
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,480
Speaker 2: good as Utah, you're on the road again with not

617
00:30:57,520 --> 00:30:59,640
Speaker 2: as good a crowd as Utah. I think this is

618
00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:03,760
Speaker 2: a tall task for Texas Tech here. You know, any

619
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 2: given Saturday, all that, I get it, but I see

620
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:09,280
Speaker 2: Tech kind of running away with this, so I would

621
00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 2: lay the points and take the Raiders.

622
00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 1: Okay, So Bogs is saying things aren't gonna get that

623
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:16,600
Speaker 1: weird in each town this weekend, so I appreciate that.

624
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:19,480
Speaker 1: Let's get to Tallahassee where the number three Miami Hurricanes

625
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:21,640
Speaker 1: they come into town as four and a half point

626
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:25,800
Speaker 1: favorites against the number eighteen Florida State Seminoles. The Canes

627
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:28,960
Speaker 1: four to zh straight up, batting seventy five percent ats

628
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:31,760
Speaker 1: this season as well, with wins and covers against Notre Dame,

629
00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 1: USF and Florida, it appears that Mario Christobal has found

630
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:39,080
Speaker 1: a pretty nice replacement for cam Ward Carson Beck currently

631
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:42,760
Speaker 1: leads the conference in the acc and completion percentage seventy

632
00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 1: three point two percent, and despite playing the sixteenth toughest

633
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:49,160
Speaker 1: strength to schedule, Miami is still ranking twenty ninth in

634
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:53,840
Speaker 1: total offense, thirteenth in total defense, and FSU's fairytale season

635
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,720
Speaker 1: it caught a roadbump by way of a forty six

636
00:31:56,880 --> 00:32:00,160
Speaker 1: thirty eight upset in Charlottesville Friday night at the hand

637
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:03,440
Speaker 1: of the Virginia Cavaliers. Still, they're three and one straight

638
00:32:03,520 --> 00:32:07,480
Speaker 1: up and ats this season. Quarterback Tommy Castellanos currently leads

639
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 1: the conference in yards per attempt and quarterback rating, so

640
00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:12,720
Speaker 1: when he is dropping back and passing, it's going for

641
00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:16,800
Speaker 1: a mile. Their offense is averaging a country high six

642
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 1: hundred yards per game, but their eighteenth ranked to all

643
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 1: defense allows four hundred and forty total yards two Chandler

644
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:26,680
Speaker 1: Morrison Company. Last week? Can they rebound from that? Boggs?

645
00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:28,760
Speaker 1: We saw a lot of different numbers being offered earlier

646
00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 1: in the week. The books did not know what to

647
00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:32,640
Speaker 1: do with this game. Currently settled at four and a

648
00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:35,400
Speaker 1: half points, does that stay put throughout the rest of

649
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:37,880
Speaker 1: the week or does we maybe get a little action

650
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:38,880
Speaker 1: going one way or the other.

651
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 2: I gotta say, I don't know which way this is

652
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 2: gonna go.

653
00:32:41,840 --> 00:32:43,760
Speaker 1: Right it's been flipping all day, man.

654
00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:47,880
Speaker 2: I would think that if you're just the basic better

655
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:52,360
Speaker 2: and you're doing trends right, our ranked team getting points

656
00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:56,440
Speaker 2: at home, that's my first instinct is I think it

657
00:32:56,600 --> 00:33:00,200
Speaker 2: flows towards Florida State if it does anything so right now, now,

658
00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:02,600
Speaker 2: if I want, if I feel the Seminoles and I

659
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 2: do because I think this is, you know, they looked

660
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:09,640
Speaker 2: ahead past Virginia to this game. I think that's a

661
00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:11,960
Speaker 2: part of the reason why they lost to Virginia. But

662
00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:14,880
Speaker 2: the other thing was they couldn't stop this rushing attack

663
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:17,080
Speaker 2: from Chandler Morris. He'd pull it down and run it

664
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,480
Speaker 2: specifically near the goal, and he had three rushing touchdowns.

665
00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:22,960
Speaker 2: Carson Beck does not offer that same dynamic ability.

666
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:23,320
Speaker 1: Right.

667
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 2: I think this defense got beat on the back end,

668
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 2: and that's a dangerous thing against Miami. And the thing

669
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 2: that concerns me more for Florida State in this game,

670
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 2: and I think I do think I would have Miami

671
00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:37,800
Speaker 2: by closer to a field goal.

672
00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 1: Right.

673
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:43,480
Speaker 2: Is the defense the front seven of this Miami team.

674
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:46,480
Speaker 2: But I also I don't know that they have faced

675
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 2: a team like Florida State yet. We saw Florida State

676
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:52,120
Speaker 2: push around Alabama, Right, So I think that's going to

677
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:55,840
Speaker 2: be a much more intense matchup. And I don't think

678
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 2: it's going to flow one way or the other on

679
00:33:57,720 --> 00:33:59,960
Speaker 2: every play. Now, a big play can break that either way.

680
00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:02,560
Speaker 2: Ruben Bain can get in there, yeah, wreck the whole

681
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 2: game for Miami. But also Florida State has made some

682
00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:10,800
Speaker 2: massive plays on offense, So this one is very coin flippy.

683
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:12,920
Speaker 2: Interesting to see what the weather's going to look like

684
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:15,319
Speaker 2: by the time we get there as well, so we'll

685
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,799
Speaker 2: have to pay attention to all those little factors. But

686
00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 2: as it stands right now, Florida State getting points at home,

687
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:24,640
Speaker 2: that's where I would lean, and I think that's where

688
00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:26,520
Speaker 2: the public is going to go with this one is

689
00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:29,360
Speaker 2: going to be to take points for a home ranked team.

690
00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:32,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, it was super interesting, man. We actually saw our

691
00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:34,399
Speaker 1: friends over at hard Rock Bet open up this line

692
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:36,600
Speaker 1: Florida State plus six and a half, and then that

693
00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:38,920
Speaker 1: shrunk quickly. We saw some three and a half out

694
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 1: there as well, So it has settled in there at

695
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:42,840
Speaker 1: four and a half. You're kind of expecting it to

696
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:45,960
Speaker 1: potentially stay around that way and maybe jump on Florida

697
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:49,000
Speaker 1: State by the top time Saturday gets here. So like that,

698
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:52,439
Speaker 1: and wouldn't you know, man, we've got another night game

699
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,400
Speaker 1: in Columbus actually with the top ranked Ohio State Buckeyes.

700
00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:57,799
Speaker 1: They're favored by twenty three and a half twenty four

701
00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:00,200
Speaker 1: and a half points depending where you're looking. Again, the

702
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:03,960
Speaker 1: Minnesota Golden Gophers and PJ Flex football team here They're

703
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:05,759
Speaker 1: three and one straight up, but just one in three

704
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:09,240
Speaker 1: ats this season. They failed to cover as favorites against

705
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:12,920
Speaker 1: Buffalo cal and most recently, Rutgers. Their top running back

706
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:15,960
Speaker 1: Darius Taylor, he has missed the last two games.

707
00:35:16,080 --> 00:35:18,400
Speaker 2: Thought it was gonna come back this week and he didn't.

708
00:35:18,640 --> 00:35:20,239
Speaker 1: I know, I played him in CFF and I got

709
00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 1: a big fat zero for him. But thankfully I had

710
00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:26,359
Speaker 1: some reinforcements that got me over the hump there. But yeah,

711
00:35:26,680 --> 00:35:28,640
Speaker 1: Drake Lindsay's been back there and kind of just had

712
00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:31,200
Speaker 1: to really fend for himself. They luckily do have the

713
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:35,399
Speaker 1: ninth ranked total defense as well Ohio State. They are

714
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:39,040
Speaker 1: back after a really long trip out specific Northwest where

715
00:35:39,080 --> 00:35:42,200
Speaker 1: they won twenty four to six against Washington. It was

716
00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:44,640
Speaker 1: their third cover of the season and their third time

717
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,359
Speaker 1: playing to the under as well. And for everyone who

718
00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:50,200
Speaker 1: is you know Papuin on Julian saying and saying that

719
00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:52,920
Speaker 1: he can't lead this team to a national championship. Why

720
00:35:53,080 --> 00:35:54,840
Speaker 1: to tell you, but this guy is currently leading the

721
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 1: nation and completion percentage seventy eight point eight percent. Keep

722
00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:00,319
Speaker 1: in mind, in week one we saw some prety bad

723
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:03,799
Speaker 1: drops from Jeremiah Smith and company. As well, and they

724
00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:06,200
Speaker 1: have a lethal triple headed monster in the backfield. To

725
00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:09,040
Speaker 1: begin the season, it was all CJ. Donaldson, James Peoples

726
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:12,680
Speaker 1: as well, and now Davis Guy Bo Jackson, who is

727
00:36:12,800 --> 00:36:15,000
Speaker 1: just absolutely plotting out there as well.

728
00:36:15,040 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 2: So five star, five star, five star. Yeah, it's Ohio State.

729
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:23,200
Speaker 1: Yeah. Their defense currently ranked eighth and total defense allowing

730
00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:25,560
Speaker 1: just two total touchdowns this season. I said it earlier,

731
00:36:25,560 --> 00:36:28,040
Speaker 1: but I think that goal line defense, even though they

732
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,440
Speaker 1: replaced a ton of people up front, there is the

733
00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:32,200
Speaker 1: best I've ever seen in a two year stretch for

734
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:36,200
Speaker 1: any team, NFL pros, you name it, bugs. I feel

735
00:36:36,200 --> 00:36:38,239
Speaker 1: like there's a play here. I'm just not sure what

736
00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:40,920
Speaker 1: it is with such a big line. What do you think?

737
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:42,040
Speaker 1: Do you have any leans? Early?

738
00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:46,960
Speaker 2: I think Ohio State beats the Gophers into the dirt, man.

739
00:36:47,040 --> 00:36:50,160
Speaker 2: I think, yeah, they're at home. It's a good d

740
00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:56,880
Speaker 2: They just allowed seven sacks to Rutgers Minnesota. Did Darius

741
00:36:56,920 --> 00:37:01,600
Speaker 2: Taylor hopefully he missed to play in this game. Man,

742
00:37:01,840 --> 00:37:05,280
Speaker 2: I just don't trust anything going on with the Gophers

743
00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 2: offense right now. So to me, I don't like that

744
00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:11,239
Speaker 2: it's twenty four and a half points. I think that's

745
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:14,719
Speaker 2: too many or twenty three and a half. Like if

746
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 2: it gets under twenty one, okay, I would like that.

747
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:22,160
Speaker 2: Maybe allt line it down to that. I also don't

748
00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:24,799
Speaker 2: really like Ohio State to put up a bunch of

749
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:27,640
Speaker 2: points because they got play at a slow pace. Yeah, right,

750
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:29,960
Speaker 2: so the over is not in play here. I think,

751
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:33,399
Speaker 2: if anything, I like it's the under in this game.

752
00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:35,680
Speaker 1: What about an under team total maybe from Minnesota. I

753
00:37:35,680 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 1: saw it right around eleven and a half, ten and

754
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:38,800
Speaker 1: a half some places.

755
00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:42,400
Speaker 2: Under team total for Minnesota. Yeah, I've seen it at

756
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:43,120
Speaker 2: nine and a half.

757
00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:45,720
Speaker 1: Now, oh so okay, okay, that's tough.

758
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:47,520
Speaker 2: But if I can get it at eleven and a half,

759
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:49,000
Speaker 2: I think I would do it. I just don't know

760
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:51,279
Speaker 2: if they score at all in this game. If there's

761
00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:54,000
Speaker 2: no Darius Salor, that definitely gonna have a real hard

762
00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:56,439
Speaker 2: time scoring points. Now. You know, you could trip into

763
00:37:56,440 --> 00:37:58,919
Speaker 2: a fumble six or a pick six or something like that,

764
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:01,480
Speaker 2: which is annoying, but I think I might risk it.

765
00:38:01,600 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 2: Ohio State defense is playing on another level right now.

766
00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:07,400
Speaker 1: You know, everyone was talking about Caleb Downs being potentially

767
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:10,160
Speaker 1: the best safety, cornerback in the league. Whatever you want

768
00:38:10,200 --> 00:38:12,520
Speaker 1: to linebacker, who's kind of playing all over the place

769
00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:15,279
Speaker 1: right now, but just everyone. They have continued to just

770
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:19,640
Speaker 1: filter in five star guys and it's been sensational. So yeah,

771
00:38:19,680 --> 00:38:21,080
Speaker 1: if I could even get at that eleven and a half,

772
00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:22,640
Speaker 1: maybe being find a boost later in the week for

773
00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:24,480
Speaker 1: this game, and maybe I can get up closer to

774
00:38:24,520 --> 00:38:26,160
Speaker 1: thirteen and a half, I think that would be potentially

775
00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:27,960
Speaker 1: a good play for a defense. It's only allowed two

776
00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:31,000
Speaker 1: touchdowns this year, one being I think Texas, right Texas,

777
00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:34,440
Speaker 1: I definitely scored a touchdown in Ohio. I think Ohio

778
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:35,680
Speaker 1: might have scored one as well.

779
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:37,919
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think that was thirty eight to seven

780
00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:39,520
Speaker 2: because I had over forty five and a half.

781
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:42,560
Speaker 1: Okay, okay, yeah, okay, let's go ahead, Bogs. Let's round

782
00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:45,439
Speaker 1: up the program in your favorite place in the entire land.

783
00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:47,719
Speaker 1: It's college Station, where the six rank Texas A and

784
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:50,360
Speaker 1: m Aggie's. They are fourteen and a half point favorites

785
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:53,960
Speaker 1: against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, and the Bulldogs are just

786
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:57,839
Speaker 1: one of six unbeaten teams ATS this season, with their

787
00:38:57,880 --> 00:39:01,799
Speaker 1: only outright loss coming last week against Tennessee in overtime,

788
00:39:02,080 --> 00:39:04,720
Speaker 1: I'll add as well, and their fiftieth in total offense

789
00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:07,319
Speaker 1: thirty third in total defense, but all their games this

790
00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:09,279
Speaker 1: season have come at home in front of the cow

791
00:39:09,320 --> 00:39:12,640
Speaker 1: bells as well. A and m undefeated straight up, but

792
00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:16,240
Speaker 1: just one in three ats this season, most recently failing

793
00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:20,080
Speaker 1: to cover against Auburn last week. This is a big playoffense, though,

794
00:39:20,160 --> 00:39:22,520
Speaker 1: led by quarterback Marcel Reid. He's got some really nice

795
00:39:22,520 --> 00:39:26,880
Speaker 1: wide receivers Mario Cravy, Kevin Concepcion transferring in as well.

796
00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:29,640
Speaker 1: They're ranked twenty third in total offense to thirty fifth

797
00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 1: in total defense, doing so against the third toughest strength

798
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:36,239
Speaker 1: of schedule. So Boggs, things are certainly looking up for

799
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:39,520
Speaker 1: the Aggies right now. But can the Bulldogs defend their streak?

800
00:39:39,680 --> 00:39:42,040
Speaker 1: Right now? At two touchdowns? Feels like a really really

801
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:42,920
Speaker 1: good value.

802
00:39:43,200 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like it. Give me the Bulldogs until they lose,

803
00:39:46,120 --> 00:39:48,360
Speaker 2: right until they lose against the spread. I know they

804
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:49,000
Speaker 2: lost the game.

805
00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:50,680
Speaker 1: Do you know the other five team? You want to

806
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:52,800
Speaker 1: take a guess of the other five team's currently undefeated?

807
00:39:52,920 --> 00:39:54,719
Speaker 2: I don't even want to guess who are they?

808
00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:56,719
Speaker 1: Okay, Well, so it's a bunch of G five teams

809
00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:59,680
Speaker 1: that you're probably not gonna guess, but currently undefeated against

810
00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:04,280
Speaker 1: the Mississippi State, Texas Tech. There you go, Memphis, James Madison,

811
00:40:04,520 --> 00:40:06,200
Speaker 1: Louisiana Tech, and Utah.

812
00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 2: State Louisiana Tech. I should have known because they've been

813
00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:11,640
Speaker 2: they've been good. They've had a couple of really good

814
00:40:11,640 --> 00:40:14,720
Speaker 2: ones there. But yeah, it's an interesting list for sure,

815
00:40:15,360 --> 00:40:18,239
Speaker 2: and I might have a completely different take here right

816
00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:20,560
Speaker 2: by the time we get to wednesdate. But I do

817
00:40:20,640 --> 00:40:23,960
Speaker 2: feel like this A and M team, they just do

818
00:40:24,160 --> 00:40:25,879
Speaker 2: the opposite of what I think they're gonna do every

819
00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:26,399
Speaker 2: single week.

820
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:27,879
Speaker 1: So I think there.

821
00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:30,560
Speaker 2: I feel like they should play a little bit better

822
00:40:30,600 --> 00:40:34,759
Speaker 2: against Mississippi State because Mississippi State tends to pass the ball.

823
00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:36,800
Speaker 2: But they've been running so well this year, and I

824
00:40:36,840 --> 00:40:38,360
Speaker 2: think they're going to be able to run against A

825
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:40,160
Speaker 2: and M. A and hasn't been able to stop anybody

826
00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:42,719
Speaker 2: running yet, So I like them to stay in this

827
00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:47,359
Speaker 2: game with that run game of Bothwell and Boots. So yeah,

828
00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:49,759
Speaker 2: gim me give me the dogs again and I'll take

829
00:40:49,800 --> 00:40:51,640
Speaker 2: the points. And I think you're right. I think this

830
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:53,040
Speaker 2: might shrink up, so get it now.

831
00:40:53,320 --> 00:40:54,880
Speaker 1: So you think that fourteen and a half if you

832
00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:57,840
Speaker 1: want that over two touchdowns for Mississippi State's probably grabbing

833
00:40:57,840 --> 00:40:58,280
Speaker 1: it now.

834
00:40:58,120 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 2: Then I think you might need to be I think,

835
00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:02,960
Speaker 2: and I think a lot of people know that Mississippi

836
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:05,640
Speaker 2: State is five and zero against the spread, and people

837
00:41:05,680 --> 00:41:08,120
Speaker 2: are paying attention to them. They've been winning a lot

838
00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:09,200
Speaker 2: of people money this year.

839
00:41:09,440 --> 00:41:11,960
Speaker 1: Do you think it's like part of that's the environment though, Bogs?

840
00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:12,720
Speaker 1: Do you think part.

841
00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:15,399
Speaker 2: Definitely could be. That's why it's not my favorite bet.

842
00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:17,799
Speaker 2: It will not be my favorite bet. Let's hope they

843
00:41:17,800 --> 00:41:19,880
Speaker 2: turned this into a business trip. It doesn't happen all

844
00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:22,640
Speaker 2: the time, but this has been a good squad so far.

845
00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:24,960
Speaker 2: That's another rowdy place to play there at least used

846
00:41:25,000 --> 00:41:29,640
Speaker 2: to noise. We know that. So this should be a

847
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 2: nice a nice environment for them. And I think maybe

848
00:41:32,680 --> 00:41:35,520
Speaker 2: the Mississippi State fans will come to College Station.

849
00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:38,480
Speaker 1: We'll see, Yeah, be fun man, Well, that will do

850
00:41:38,520 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 1: it for us. On this Early Picks episode of the

851
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:43,920
Speaker 1: Betting Pros College Football Show, still to come later this

852
00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:46,960
Speaker 1: week and every week right here on the VP YouTube

853
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:50,680
Speaker 1: channel and audio feed, our picks and Predictions episode with

854
00:41:50,800 --> 00:41:54,480
Speaker 1: Terrell Furman, Junior Bog's best bets and our parlay picks.

855
00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:56,600
Speaker 1: I'm getting one this week. I'm getting it. I'm back

856
00:41:56,600 --> 00:41:58,960
Speaker 1: for Revet Baby. Let us not down in the comments

857
00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:01,839
Speaker 1: below your favorite picks, and while you're here, make sure

858
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:04,480
Speaker 1: you're smashing that like button and subscribing to the channel.

859
00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:07,080
Speaker 1: If you're new for Scott Bogman, I'm Seth Wilcock take

860
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