1 00:00:12,360 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: Welcome into the Monday morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast. 2 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Matt Paroltz here on Bettingpros dot Com, 3 00:00:17,480 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: always being brought to you by bet MGM, and unfortunately 4 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:22,920 Speaker 1: we do not have well the offer above me if 5 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:25,840 Speaker 1: you're watching on YouTube, because there is no YouTube video. 6 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on with my computer, but 7 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 1: maybe just got tired of me losing wagers and just 8 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 1: decided to stop working. Because my computer will record audio, 9 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:37,559 Speaker 1: but it will not record video for whatever reason. So 10 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:40,160 Speaker 1: for I don't know, this is we had a pretty 11 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 1: good run going for video portion of the Daily Juice. 12 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 1: But if you're used to watching the Daily Juice, I apologize. 13 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:48,839 Speaker 1: There's no video for the Daily Juice today here on 14 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:50,960 Speaker 1: a Monday, because I got to go get my Apple 15 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 1: computer fixed. So hopefully I'll be able to fix it 16 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: for tomorrow and get back to the video portion of this. 17 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 1: But I don't really know what it was working. Literally 18 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 1: when I got to the hotel in San Diego, I 19 00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 1: had set it up and then we went to dinner, 20 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 1: and when I came back, trying to tape it now 21 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 1: doesn't work. So luckily I can record the podcast. But 22 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: on audio, but I cannot use it unfortunately for video, 23 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:12,480 Speaker 1: so it's a little bit of a bummer here. So 24 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:15,080 Speaker 1: we're used to having both available for you guys, but 25 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:17,880 Speaker 1: just going to have you know, maybe it's a good thing. 26 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 1: I don't know, given where we are what's been going 27 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 1: on for the bets. So yesterday was just a train wreck, 28 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:26,119 Speaker 1: and it was an zero to two day in baseball, 29 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 1: and I'm still stuck having to bet baseball for well 30 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 1: the month of July. If I could stop betting baseball, 31 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 1: I never bet baseball again. I probably would, And look, 32 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:39,399 Speaker 1: I don't knock anybody who bets baseball, who enjoys betting baseball. 33 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 1: But you know, Friday it was a fourteen and oh run. 34 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 1: People in Discord Channel were arguing with me as to 35 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 1: like that wasn't the case, and I showed you, you know, Okay, 36 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 1: different books may have had different closing numbers, but for 37 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 1: the most part, it was a very bad night for 38 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 1: the sports books, with favorites coming through going fourteen and 39 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 1: o by the Vegas closing lines. So I'm sure maybe 40 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 1: your local books or where you live may have a 41 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: different number, but for us in Vegas, that was a 42 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: fourteen and oh Friday, and then Saturday was a little wonky, 43 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 1: and then Sunday was kind of crazy. I mean, you 44 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 1: had a three run home run late in that game 45 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 1: for the White Sox. They lose six to five. They 46 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 1: went down six to two to the Tigers, and then 47 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: they almost came back and won that. And then the 48 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 1: Rays were leading two to one going into the ninth 49 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:19,959 Speaker 1: and they scored a bunch of runs to beat the 50 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 1: Blue Jays, and I knew I was dead in the water. 51 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 1: When you know, DraftKings and FanDuel, they put out their 52 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:28,079 Speaker 1: information and I'm sitting at a winery and I get 53 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:29,959 Speaker 1: this email from DraftKings and I go ahead and open 54 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: up the email from DraftKings, and it stated that ninety 55 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 1: one percent of the money was on the White Sox 56 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 1: and seventy eight I believe percent of the money was 57 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:39,520 Speaker 1: on the Blue Jays. And you guys know me, I 58 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 1: hate being on the public side, in the public, in 59 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 1: particular with baseball. When you start betting with the public 60 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,160 Speaker 1: on baseball, you're in deep trouble. And it was I 61 00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:49,639 Speaker 1: knew I was toad before the games even were half over. 62 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 1: I knew I was in serious, serious trouble with both 63 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: those baseball bets. And you know, somebody made a point 64 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: to me that I've taken really to heart today and said, Matt, 65 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:01,800 Speaker 1: I'm just trying to be you know, constructive criticism, but 66 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:03,399 Speaker 1: like it felt like you were trying to get too 67 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:06,800 Speaker 1: easy bets to come in. And that's true, and so 68 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 1: kind of where I'm at now is I don't really 69 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:13,959 Speaker 1: care anymore. I think I was trying to be too cute. 70 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 1: I think I was starting to be too fine, and 71 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:17,800 Speaker 1: I can't do any worse than what I have done 72 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,720 Speaker 1: over the last couple of weeks. So like, I'm just 73 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 1: going to go back to betting the things and betting 74 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 1: the way that I want to bet and trying to 75 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 1: be so perfect with it. And I think I got 76 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,400 Speaker 1: a little bit too much inside of my head. And 77 00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 1: maybe the vacation helps, and maybe getting away from it 78 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 1: and being able to kind of, you know, look at 79 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 1: it from afar and go all right, what am I 80 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 1: doing wrong? What is not working? And what has been struggling? 81 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: What have I struggled with? Well, part of it is confidence, 82 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: and part of it is just not seeing the board 83 00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 1: very well, and another one is just recognizing a weakness 84 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 1: that I've got and I have a huge weakness with baseball, 85 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 1: and baseball betting is a grind. It is a constant. 86 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 1: You have to be betting it every day. The variance 87 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 1: is so incredible that if you're constantly trying to pick 88 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 1: and choose and find the right spot here and there, 89 00:03:57,840 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: it just doesn't work. And that's just not a bet 90 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 1: that I am. And part of the problem is I 91 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:04,960 Speaker 1: have never done this. I have never bet every single 92 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 1: day during the month of June and July. I've never 93 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 1: ever done this. I have always had, you know, spot 94 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 1: betting here and there. But for the most part, I've 95 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: taken these two months off and then in August I'll 96 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:19,480 Speaker 1: come back and I'll bet futures. And so like I'm now, 97 00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:23,800 Speaker 1: I've made college football future wagers. I've made NFL future wagers. 98 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:26,760 Speaker 1: We've talked already with three NFL future bets I've made. 99 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:28,800 Speaker 1: I've got college football bets. I'm gonna give you, guys. 100 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:30,279 Speaker 1: I don't want to use them up. Just you know. 101 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 1: I planned on doing that during the vacation, but not 102 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:35,599 Speaker 1: here on a Monday, because we still have the Stanley 103 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 1: Cup Finals going on. So because we have the Cup finals, 104 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 1: I want to bet the Cup Finals, and I want 105 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 1: to bet the NBA Finals, and I want to have 106 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 1: player props and do those things and kind of hang 107 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 1: on to the college football when there really is nothing 108 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:51,039 Speaker 1: going on. And I really do hate the board for baseball. 109 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 1: But baseball is tough. It's an absolute grind, and I'm weak, 110 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:57,880 Speaker 1: and it's I think it's pretty clear that you know, 111 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 1: my baseball betting is not good. Much better in football. 112 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: I'm much better in college basketball. I'm much better with 113 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 1: the UFC. We all have our strengths, we all have 114 00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 1: our weaknesses, but the variance in baseball is the big 115 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 1: problem in the thing that I'm struggling the most with. 116 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 1: So you know, obviously I need to get better and 117 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:14,839 Speaker 1: I need to get back onto the grind. But today 118 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:17,599 Speaker 1: we're gonna have two bets on Game four of the 119 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:21,479 Speaker 1: Stanley Cup Finals, and I'm just firing on what I 120 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:24,239 Speaker 1: think and I'm not gonna overthink it. I'm not gonna 121 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:27,080 Speaker 1: get too cute. I'm just coming out here and i'm 122 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:29,679 Speaker 1: still ice cold. So I'm still coming and only betting 123 00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 1: one unit a day until this thing turns around. But 124 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:33,839 Speaker 1: I feel like I'm approaching this with a better attitude, 125 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:37,159 Speaker 1: in a better angle, and I think I'm gonna watch 126 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:40,159 Speaker 1: and feel more confident even if I miss. I feel 127 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 1: like I'm gonna be on the right side for these 128 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: two bets that I'm going to make. Okay, So the 129 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:47,000 Speaker 1: first bet today it's going to be, oh, by the 130 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 1: way soccer. Before I do that soccer bet, I've hit 131 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 1: my last two soccer bets, and look, I'm not going 132 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:55,600 Speaker 1: to be giving you guys, you know, a great wager, 133 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: except that I think England advances today to the finals 134 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:01,360 Speaker 1: over Denmark. So if you want to use that bet 135 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,840 Speaker 1: MGM twenty five dollars roll, you can, or bet Denmark 136 00:06:04,839 --> 00:06:06,640 Speaker 1: for that matter, because it's plus money and then you 137 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:09,559 Speaker 1: get your money back. But I think the right play 138 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 1: is England to advance. It's anywhere from I was two 139 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,480 Speaker 1: fifty to my two seventy five, depending on what you're 140 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:17,600 Speaker 1: looking at it from a book perspective. I don't bet 141 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:20,040 Speaker 1: soccer like you guys know, but I would bet if 142 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: I'm picking and I have got Spain right and then 143 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 1: I got Denmark right. I'm picking England to advance over 144 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:29,080 Speaker 1: Denmark at Euro twenty twenty. There's my soccer bet for 145 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 1: the day. If you want a soccer bet take England 146 00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 1: to advance for whatever reason, I'm hitting nothing but my 147 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 1: soccer bets. I'm picking my soccer bets right. But again 148 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 1: it was mine one seventy five and mins three thirty three. 149 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:42,680 Speaker 1: Here this is mines two fifty or so for England 150 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:46,760 Speaker 1: to advance. So PK's extra time doesn't matter, just to win. 151 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 1: Because soccer betting is so ridiculous, they break it up 152 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:51,160 Speaker 1: into all different ways because they want to take your 153 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:53,480 Speaker 1: money and not have you just say, okay, who wins 154 00:06:53,720 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 1: straight money line. Nope, You've got to get all exotic 155 00:06:56,600 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 1: and have it beyond the qualifying bet. That's what most 156 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:05,360 Speaker 1: books to qualify, that's the wager. So we're qualifying England 157 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 1: to move on here today for Euro twenty twenty. Okay. 158 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 1: So let's get to some a couple bets here for 159 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:17,120 Speaker 1: the for the NHL, for the Semlic Cup finals. Okay. 160 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 1: So when we've seen this Lightning team play against Montreal, 161 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 1: I don't think you can say the Canadians have had 162 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 1: any business being on the ice. It has been an 163 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:33,680 Speaker 1: absolute mismatch in every form. It's been a mismatch. I 164 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 1: know people are saying that Montreal has had high scoring opportunities, 165 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 1: and the Canadians should have won one of the three games, 166 00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 1: and unfortunately they did not. I just disagree. I think 167 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 1: it's a mismatch. It was a mismatch going in. I 168 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 1: don't think Vegas could have done better. All right, So 169 00:07:49,040 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 1: I've seen people who are Montreal Canadian fans say the 170 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 1: only ones who were saying ha ha, I told you 171 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:57,680 Speaker 1: Montreal is gonna get curb stomped, or Vegas fans or 172 00:07:57,720 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 1: their Carolina Hurricane fans or whatever, you know. I don't 173 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 1: believe that. I think Vegas would have lost to Tampa. 174 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 1: I don't think tamp Vegas would have won the Cup. 175 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 1: Watching that team, they roll out so many talented lines, 176 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:13,560 Speaker 1: Vascalsi's playing so well. They're physical, they're big, they're fast, 177 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:15,640 Speaker 1: they're great with the puck. Their power play is the 178 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 1: best in hockey. It's just so deadly, and they're so 179 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:22,960 Speaker 1: good at capitalizing on opportunities, and they've got a goaltender 180 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 1: that's going to keep them in every single game no 181 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 1: matter what ends up happening. I don't think Montreal wins tonight. 182 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:30,960 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna take the mis one fifty. I'm taking 183 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:34,960 Speaker 1: money line here for Tampa Bay to win here and 184 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:37,200 Speaker 1: get a victory. And here's a couple of things, and 185 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 1: these bets are kind of correlated here a little bit. 186 00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 1: You might say it's Montreal in the under, right, that 187 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: would make sense that Montreal five goals, Montreal's finally going 188 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:49,959 Speaker 1: to wind up keeping it close, and maybe they do. Okay, 189 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 1: So maybe I'm wrong here, but I think the under 190 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:56,360 Speaker 1: is the play here, even though it's five. The reason 191 00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:58,839 Speaker 1: why in the two closeout games, and I get it, 192 00:08:58,880 --> 00:09:01,199 Speaker 1: they're game sevens and they're different. This is a game four. 193 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:04,680 Speaker 1: But in close out games where Montreal had a chance 194 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:08,319 Speaker 1: to sorry to Tampa had a chance to advance, they 195 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 1: won the game two nothing over Carolina and one nothing 196 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:14,760 Speaker 1: over the New York Islanders. Okay, so the under has 197 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:17,800 Speaker 1: come in and Vassilevski has pitched a shutout in those 198 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 1: you know, crucial hockey games, those winner take all type 199 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 1: poppy games. I'm not saying this is winner take all, 200 00:09:22,920 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 1: but this is cup take all. Okay, win tonight, you 201 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:29,720 Speaker 1: win the Cup? All right? Or you could say, Matt, 202 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: you're wrong about Montreal, and maybe it's a little bit 203 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 1: of a hedge on this with Montreal. Who Montreal is 204 00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: gonna win this game. Does anyone think Montreal wins by 205 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:42,680 Speaker 1: scoring more than you know, three goals? I don't, So 206 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:44,720 Speaker 1: it's a three to two win. So we're pushing on 207 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: the five right. Or it's a win for Tampa Bay 208 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:50,680 Speaker 1: Lightning they win the Cup. It's a four to nothing, 209 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 1: three nothing, two nothing victory or two to one win 210 00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:56,240 Speaker 1: in some form or fashion like that. So that's why 211 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 1: I think the under is the right play here. No 212 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 1: matter who wins the game, I think the the under 213 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: is the right play just because if you go back 214 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:05,079 Speaker 1: to what has happened in the previous games, where a crucial, 215 00:10:05,400 --> 00:10:09,080 Speaker 1: much very important hockey games, you know, the close out games, 216 00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 1: Vaskalleski has been incredible, or Montreal plays really well, Montreal wins, 217 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:17,200 Speaker 1: and the under also is to play, and it's plus money. 218 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:19,040 Speaker 1: I got it at plus one ten. You can get 219 00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:20,840 Speaker 1: a plus one twenty depending on what book you've got 220 00:10:20,880 --> 00:10:23,160 Speaker 1: it at, So it's plus money on top of that. 221 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:25,440 Speaker 1: So not only are you playing Montreal on the under 222 00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:27,280 Speaker 1: if you disagree with me on that, or you played 223 00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 1: Tampa laying the mice one fifty, in some ways you're 224 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:33,480 Speaker 1: hedging back off of the under. You're hedging back here 225 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 1: and saying, okay, we're off of the Tampa money line. 226 00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 1: You're hedging with the under because if Montreal wins, more 227 00:10:39,200 --> 00:10:40,959 Speaker 1: likely than not, the under is coming in as well. 228 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:43,560 Speaker 1: So that's kind of that's how I'm approaching this game 229 00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:46,960 Speaker 1: coming up here tonight. I'm taking Tampa Bay on the 230 00:10:46,960 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 1: money line and I'm taking the under five goals here. 231 00:10:50,679 --> 00:10:53,200 Speaker 1: We could get a push. It's very possible here. You know, 232 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 1: I like banging the total when it's five my five 233 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:58,600 Speaker 1: and over bet. You could say, well, wait a minute, Matt, 234 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:00,199 Speaker 1: why don't you did bet five and over? Like you've 235 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:02,440 Speaker 1: been betting for a long time, all season long, and 236 00:11:02,679 --> 00:11:06,520 Speaker 1: you know generally game you know, game fours, close out games, 237 00:11:06,640 --> 00:11:08,439 Speaker 1: you pull the goaltender. So they're going to pull the 238 00:11:08,440 --> 00:11:12,199 Speaker 1: goaltender early. Yeah, that could happen. But here's the one 239 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:15,640 Speaker 1: thing again. You go back to the games where Vassilevski's 240 00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:18,199 Speaker 1: played so well, if they're up one nothing, you pull 241 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:20,600 Speaker 1: the goaltender. Okay, they get one goal, it's two nothing, 242 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:22,720 Speaker 1: and another goal it's three nothing. Okay, it's not that 243 00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:24,840 Speaker 1: big of a deal, right. I Mean, we didn't see 244 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:28,200 Speaker 1: when the Islanders pulled their goaltender in Game seven when 245 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:31,040 Speaker 1: they were down one nothing, no goals were scored, right, 246 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: So it's not a guarantee you're getting an open net 247 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:37,160 Speaker 1: goal even though you're pulling goaltenders. So just you know 248 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 1: that old old adage, game seven's always go over. It 249 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:44,160 Speaker 1: hasn't happened for the Lightning in their last two or 250 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:46,320 Speaker 1: limitating games always going over. It didn't happen in the 251 00:11:46,360 --> 00:11:48,559 Speaker 1: last two times in this postseason for the temp of 252 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 1: the Lightning. So I think Tampa is the better team. 253 00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:54,959 Speaker 1: Tampa beats Montreal, they sweep them, they went in four. 254 00:11:55,480 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 1: But then I also like the under five as well 255 00:11:57,640 --> 00:12:00,640 Speaker 1: at plus money as well, at plus five fade away. 256 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 1: If you want take Montreal on the over. It's kind 257 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 1: of how I've been going. If you want, I don't 258 00:12:04,800 --> 00:12:07,679 Speaker 1: mind it. But this is where the for me, this 259 00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:10,640 Speaker 1: is how I feel. I'm this is a bet I'm 260 00:12:10,679 --> 00:12:13,760 Speaker 1: comfortable with. I like these two sides. I like these wagers. 261 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:16,280 Speaker 1: This makes sense to me a lot to go ahead 262 00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 1: and jump on this, and I think you'll see other 263 00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 1: people on you know, Montreal. But again, if Montreal wins, 264 00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:23,120 Speaker 1: I still think the under is going to come in. 265 00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 1: You get plus money and so if you go one 266 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,559 Speaker 1: in one on this, Montreal wins, the under comes in. 267 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:31,240 Speaker 1: We're one in one plus money and you're making money 268 00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:33,120 Speaker 1: on this. It's a little bit, but it's a one 269 00:12:33,120 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: in one day, but it's a profitable day because of 270 00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:36,959 Speaker 1: where you are with the plus money on the under. 271 00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:39,199 Speaker 1: So again, watch it be like a six to one 272 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:42,079 Speaker 1: game in Montreal wins. And I'm dead wrong. Possible, very 273 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 1: very possible. But I just I think the under is 274 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 1: the better play, and I think Tampa wins at mius 275 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:49,640 Speaker 1: one fifty. I don't need to play around with anything else. 276 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:52,679 Speaker 1: Just take the money line mius one fifty Tampa to 277 00:12:52,760 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 1: win and under five at plus one ten. You may 278 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 1: get better numbers. You may get plus one twenty or 279 00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:01,080 Speaker 1: more on the under five US coming up here for 280 00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 1: the game, just giving off where Tampa Bay has been 281 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:05,439 Speaker 1: in their two previous series when it comes to big 282 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:07,840 Speaker 1: games like this, and I think Tampa wants to win now. 283 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:09,959 Speaker 1: They don't want to go home. They'll want to play around. 284 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:12,440 Speaker 1: Just win it, bring the Cup back to Tampa and 285 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:14,840 Speaker 1: go off and celebrate, all right. So I apologize for 286 00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:18,800 Speaker 1: not having any any video and only audio for this 287 00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:21,160 Speaker 1: edition of the Deal Juice Podcast. We're in San Diego 288 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:23,240 Speaker 1: now and hopefully'll get this fixed with an Apple Bar 289 00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 1: appointment in the morning. Someone's supposed to be calling me 290 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 1: from Apple to hopefully get my camera fixed, so hopefully 291 00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:31,320 Speaker 1: we'll get video back coming for tomorrow's Daily Juice Podcast, 292 00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:33,199 Speaker 1: but just for the audio. Kind of a throwback to 293 00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:34,760 Speaker 1: the old school as we used to be here with 294 00:13:34,960 --> 00:13:37,880 Speaker 1: just audio for the Daily Juice Podcast again England. To 295 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:42,400 Speaker 1: advance is the soccer play official bets Tampa minus one 296 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:44,600 Speaker 1: point fifty on the money line half a unit and 297 00:13:44,640 --> 00:13:47,680 Speaker 1: the under five tonight for the Stanley Cup under five 298 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 1: at plus one ten for the Stanley Cup Finals. My 299 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:53,360 Speaker 1: name is Matt Paroltic. Can follow me on Twitter at 300 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:57,320 Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. Every single morning it's the Daily Juice Podcast. 301 00:13:57,720 --> 00:13:59,719 Speaker 1: Hopefully you had a fun fourth of July. We'll talk 302 00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 1: to you more for another edition of the Deal Juice 303 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:14,840 Speaker 1: Podcast here on vettingpros dot com.