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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Wednesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Peroltz. You can follow me on Twitter as always

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Speaker 1: at sports Doc Matt. We're on Bettingpros dot com every

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Speaker 1: morning and we're always being brought to you by BETMGM.

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Speaker 1: Do you know what the theme of this week is

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Speaker 1: the moral of the story for this week. There's a

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Speaker 1: lesson here and the lesson is by the half a point.

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Speaker 1: The lesson is do not lay three and a half.

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Speaker 1: Don't lay six and a half either, But don't lay

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Speaker 1: three and a half. Buy it down to three, or

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Speaker 1: buy it up to seven, or buy it under to six.

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Speaker 1: But three and a half and six and a half

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Speaker 1: this week, those two numbers have been absolute death. Now,

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Speaker 1: look the Creighton game last night. I was concerned about it.

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Speaker 1: I told you it yesterday morning. I said it wasn't

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent confident with it, but I was gonna

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Speaker 1: go with it because I thought you and O would

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Speaker 1: not score. I was right about you and O. The

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Speaker 1: problem is is it Zagorowski got going and he started

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Speaker 1: hitting threes, and he had eleven assists and he was

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Speaker 1: just on and I thought that mac might coach McDermott

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Speaker 1: might pull up, but he didn't, so that one was

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Speaker 1: I was a little nervous about. I felt much better

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Speaker 1: about the Kansas bet. And look, when you're going cold,

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Speaker 1: when you're not having a good stretch and you're losing

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Speaker 1: college basketball games, and I'm now down to ten and

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Speaker 1: ten on the year personally college basketball wise on the podcast,

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Speaker 1: we are now ten and eight on the podcast for

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Speaker 1: our college basketball plays. But I lost two other bets today.

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Speaker 1: I actually, well personally, I'm eleven and eleven and ten personally,

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Speaker 1: so yeah, So I did win one personal bet. I

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Speaker 1: got the over on the UNLV game right, So I

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Speaker 1: got that bet right. But the Davidton loss was tough.

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Speaker 1: I had that on the money line. I was talking

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Speaker 1: about that game and discord Jet. I took David on

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Speaker 1: the money line. I took you know, v on the

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Speaker 1: over one and one there and then zero to two

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Speaker 1: on the podcast yesterday with the Creighton under not hitting,

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Speaker 1: and then Kansas. You've got three free throws at the

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Speaker 1: end of that game, You've got a three point lead,

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Speaker 1: with a three and a half point line and a

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Speaker 1: missed three rebound happens. No foul from Kentucky. What then

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Speaker 1: a dribble out and the clock goes off as we're

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Speaker 1: gonna get Brown's gonna dunk it to cover. He's on

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Speaker 1: his way to the rack to dunk it, and well,

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Speaker 1: I don't know if he would have shot it. If

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Speaker 1: there were seconds left, he may have doubled it out,

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Speaker 1: so he may not have gotten it. But it's the

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Speaker 1: missed free throws, it's the miss layups at the rim.

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Speaker 1: It's just things that you would expect to happen. This

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Speaker 1: is what's madness about it. This is gambling, right. This

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Speaker 1: is why it's so hard and why it's so difficult.

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Speaker 1: And if you had Kentucky at plus four plus four

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Speaker 1: and a half, or you know, if you had it

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Speaker 1: at plus three and got a push out of that game,

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Speaker 1: you know, take your winnings and go buy a buddy

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Speaker 1: of drink. Okay, go buy someone a bottle of wine,

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Speaker 1: Go buy them something and drop them off and say

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Speaker 1: this is for the gambling gods because I had no

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Speaker 1: right to this money. Okay, that's as lucky as lucky gets. Congrats, right,

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Speaker 1: you were on the right side. That's the right pick.

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Speaker 1: I mean, but miss free throws missed layups, no fouls there.

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Speaker 1: I mean, all those things have to hit for that

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Speaker 1: half a point hook to kill us. And that's just

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Speaker 1: where I am. So you know, that's just unfortunately, as

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Speaker 1: I said, you probably wanted to fade both those plays

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Speaker 1: last night. Hopefully you did because if you did, you

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Speaker 1: made money. And that's good because that's what we're here for.

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Speaker 1: So what happens when I'm losing, Well, I try to

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Speaker 1: one shrink my bets. Okay, I don't go and spread

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Speaker 1: out like crazy. I try to limit myself and limit

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Speaker 1: how much money I have into the market when I'm cold,

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Speaker 1: And that's where I am here. I'm ice cold, and

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Speaker 1: I try to bet the games in the sports that

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Speaker 1: I'm the best at. And I like where I am

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Speaker 1: with with NFL. I like where I am here today

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Speaker 1: with this Ravens in Steelers game. Now, that probably means

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna miss all three of the bets I've got

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Speaker 1: going tonight. But I do have three bets going really

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Speaker 1: this afternoon here, Okay, this is really weird. This is

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Speaker 1: typical twenty twenty. We have weather in Pittsburgh, a right,

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Speaker 1: we have snow, we have cold, so we have weather

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Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh. Not so much to matter in terms of

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Speaker 1: the total, but I do think it matters a little

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Speaker 1: bit in terms of the way the game's going to

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Speaker 1: be played. I also am curious to see what the

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Speaker 1: offense looks like and who is running the quarterback spot.

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Speaker 1: Who's playing quarterback for the Ravens. It looks like it's

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Speaker 1: going to be RG three Robert Griffin, iid, I'm fairly

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Speaker 1: confident of that. I don't know who's going to be

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Speaker 1: playing running back, however, so I think you gotta be

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Speaker 1: a little careful of that. However, I know Big Ben's playing,

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Speaker 1: and I know this is an angry Steelers team that

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Speaker 1: wants to put up some points, and I think that

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Speaker 1: they will be looking to put up some points here

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Speaker 1: today against their art rivals in the Baltimore Ravens. So

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Speaker 1: three plays coming at you here, And if you want

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Speaker 1: to get involved, you want to use some free wagering,

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Speaker 1: some free money from BEDMGM. That offer is still good.

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Speaker 1: Juice one hundred the promo code. You're going to bet

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Speaker 1: one dollar on a money line bet for either the

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Speaker 1: Steelers or the Ravens today. One dollar on the money

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Speaker 1: line is going to get you one hundred dollars in

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Speaker 1: free wagers if either team scores a touchdown here today

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Speaker 1: for Wednesday after noon, not even Wednesday Night. Wednesday after

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Speaker 1: noon football between the Ravens and the Steelers, Juice one

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Speaker 1: hundred for that promo code. This is available for new

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Speaker 1: users in Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, in West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: You must be physically located in those states of Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, or West Virginia. Go to bedemgm dot com

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Speaker 1: for terms of conditions. You must be twenty one years

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Speaker 1: or older and physically in those states I talked about.

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Speaker 1: Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem called one one hundred five

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Speaker 1: to two forty seven hundred in Colorado, one hundred gambler

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Speaker 1: in New Jersey, in West Virginia, or one hundred and

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Speaker 1: nine with it in Indiana. So before I get to

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Speaker 1: the three plays, let me tell you quickly we have

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Speaker 1: chosen the winner. They've not told me the winner yet.

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Speaker 1: I will pass that along to you guys as to

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Speaker 1: who won the Devonte Adams helmet and whether that person

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Speaker 1: hit a sub to the YouTube channel to win the

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Speaker 1: fifty buck gift card to Pristine auctions, so we'll give that.

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Speaker 1: We'll make that announcement once we get in contact with

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Speaker 1: the winner. I know last night they were drawing the name.

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Speaker 1: So we'll tell you who won the DeVante Adams helmet,

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Speaker 1: and I can tell you that at the end of December.

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Speaker 1: The next football helmet to be given away is an

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Speaker 1: autographed helmet from Nick Chubb of the Cleveland Browns. If

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Speaker 1: you lost a lot of money on that Nick Chubb

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Speaker 1: going out of bound at the one yard line, maybe

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Speaker 1: you get that and you bash it with a sledgehammer.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe you take out your frustrations if

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Speaker 1: you win that Nick Chubb autographed helmet. But very cool

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Speaker 1: stuff coming down the pike. If you're a Browns fan,

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Speaker 1: this is a cool piece of memorabilia. Very cool. We're

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Speaker 1: over four hundred and fifty I think at my last

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Speaker 1: look for reviews on Apple podcasts, which is really cool

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Speaker 1: and I really appreciate that, guys, really good stuff. Well

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Speaker 1: what's also cool is it Spotify does that thing where

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Speaker 1: they send you what you've been listening to and like

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Speaker 1: the end of the year thing that they do, and

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Speaker 1: so many of you, guys, I'm not good, so many

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Speaker 1: I mean a bunch. I got a handful from you

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Speaker 1: guys who gave me dms showing me that The Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice was one of your most listened to podcasts for

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty. So I really do appreciate that. I appreciate

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Speaker 1: you guys listening, and I know so many of you

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Speaker 1: are on Apple podcasts. I mean, by our stats, it's

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Speaker 1: like ninety percent of the audience listens on Apple podcasts.

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Speaker 1: So if you do listen on Spotify, excuse me, that's

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Speaker 1: pretty cool. I appreciate you guys sharing that with me

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Speaker 1: for sure. Here, all right, let's talk about the Ravens

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Speaker 1: and the Steelers. The initial number here was three and

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Speaker 1: a half, then it went to four and a half,

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Speaker 1: and then the game got moved. It was supposed to

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Speaker 1: have been played on Thursday, then on Sunday, then on Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: and now on Wednesday. This game finally goes off. Dave

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Speaker 1: Sharepan and I with our team in the Westgate reboot

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Speaker 1: got screwed because we rolled the dice and the rule

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Speaker 1: was the game has to be played by the end

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Speaker 1: of Tuesday for it to count for Week twelve. It's

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Speaker 1: being played on a Wednesday, automatic loss, So we went

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Speaker 1: two and three. If we had gone three and two,

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Speaker 1: we would have been in the top ten, sixteen points

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Speaker 1: lead it. We have eleven points right now. We would

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Speaker 1: have had twelve points and that would have put us,

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Speaker 1: I think, like in six or seventh place in the

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Speaker 1: Westgate Reboots. So unfortunately we're a little bit off the

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Speaker 1: pace here. We're now five points behind because of it.

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Speaker 1: So one point missing one bet is a pretty big deal.

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Speaker 1: It's unfortunate, but those are the rules. But this game

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Speaker 1: is going to get played today, even with a positive test.

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Speaker 1: By the way, a player tested positive on Tuesday and

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Speaker 1: they're like, yeah, no problem, we're playing this game. Like what,

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Speaker 1: But this is where the NFL is. They want to

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Speaker 1: play this game. They're trying to get it in desperately.

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Speaker 1: They're moving everything around. Remember, not only will the Ravens

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Speaker 1: play on Wednesday, they'll play Tuesday night against the Cowboys

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Speaker 1: now for Tuesday Night football next week, So they'll play

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Speaker 1: Wednesday and they'll play Tuesday. It's just a COVID nightmare

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Speaker 1: mess for scheduling. But let's talk about this game here

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Speaker 1: for a little bit. Do I think ten points is

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Speaker 1: too big of a number for the Steelers to cover? No,

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Speaker 1: I do not. I think they can cover it. This

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Speaker 1: is the Black and Blue Division, This is a major rivalry,

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Speaker 1: and this is an angry bunch of guys going up

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Speaker 1: against each other. Both sides are really mad at each other. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we got COVID problems all over the place. Everything is

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Speaker 1: pointing towards Steelers winning by thirty. And with the way

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Speaker 1: that I'm going, you should probably bet the Steelers to

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Speaker 1: win by thirty. But I'm gonna go back to my

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Speaker 1: good old favorite bet here, same game teaser. You can

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Speaker 1: do it at bet MGM. They call it a same

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Speaker 1: game parlay, but same game teaser. I'm taking this total

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Speaker 1: and I'm teasing it from forty two and a half

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Speaker 1: down to thirty six and a half, and I'm taking

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Speaker 1: the over. I am taking the Ravens at plus ten

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Speaker 1: and I'm teasing it up to sixteen. So I'm crossing

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Speaker 1: ten and I'm crossing fourteen, and I'm going to expect

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Speaker 1: them to keep the game relatively close within fourteen. This

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Speaker 1: is a really hard game to bet, right, and I've

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Speaker 1: gone back and forth. I thought about teasing the Steelers

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Speaker 1: down to four and taking the over. I did, but

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Speaker 1: there are people out there that are just saying, look out,

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Speaker 1: really weird things are happening. Everyone's going to be on

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Speaker 1: the Steelers. Everyone says, this is Pittsburgh's night. They're going

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Speaker 1: to destroy the Ravens. The Ravens are done. But this

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Speaker 1: is a prideful football team that has their entire season

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Speaker 1: unraveling right in front of their eyes. And if they

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Speaker 1: lay an egg here and they don't play well, boy,

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Speaker 1: oh boy, it's a six and five start now, and

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Speaker 1: it's a team that really is up against it to

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Speaker 1: make the postseason. They don't have the tiebreaker against the Titans,

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Speaker 1: they don't have the tiebreaker against the Patriots. This is

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Speaker 1: a huge game for the Ravens. So for that reason,

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Speaker 1: I think they keep it close within two touchdowns. Ravens

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Speaker 1: plus sixteen, huge number, plus sixteen, and then we're taking

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Speaker 1: the total and pulling it down to thirty six and

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Speaker 1: a half, and we're taking the over. Look, the Steelers

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Speaker 1: might get there themselves, right, I mean, all we really

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Speaker 1: need is seventeen fourteen points, if you will, from the Ravens,

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Speaker 1: and we get there with the over. Now, can they

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Speaker 1: keep it within fifteen sixteen points? That's the other worry here.

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Speaker 1: But you know, if you tell me you're gonna fade

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Speaker 1: this bet or not make this play and just take

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Speaker 1: the Steelers minus ten. Okay, I'm not gonna I'm just

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Speaker 1: telling you what I'm betting. Okay, So do this with

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Speaker 1: what you want. We've ever seen this a Wednesday game

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Speaker 1: in a big divisional matchup like this. Pittsburgh's got weather

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Speaker 1: on the tai on the ground already, so there's some

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Speaker 1: concerns there about how this game's gonna go. Both teams

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Speaker 1: may run the football. People like the under a lot here,

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Speaker 1: but thirty six and a half I just think it's

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Speaker 1: a really low number for the offenses that are going

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Speaker 1: to be out here, even with RG three playing quarterback

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Speaker 1: for the Ravens. So teasing it to up to sixteen

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Speaker 1: and then the under the total down to thirty six

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Speaker 1: and a half and taking the over two prop bets

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Speaker 1: talk about both at a half a unit. Let's start

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Speaker 1: about talking about Robert Griffin the third. According to the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros prop bet cheat sheet, this is one of

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Speaker 1: the favorite bets of the night. All Right, you may

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Speaker 1: not agree with this, but the number two bet of

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Speaker 1: the night is Robert Griffin passing yardage over the projected

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Speaker 1: one seventy and a half that he currently has shop

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Speaker 1: around find the best number here for RG three, but

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Speaker 1: the projected total it's about one hundred and ninety one

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Speaker 1: yards for RG three. That gives you about twenty five

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Speaker 1: yards of value on the projection here. It's the number

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Speaker 1: two best prop going tonight. According to the prop bet

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet, the number one is Gus Edwards, the running

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Speaker 1: back for the Ravens. Here's the problem. I don't know

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Speaker 1: who's playing running back, So if you have mark Ingram

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Speaker 1: available or JK. Dobbins available, that Edwards props out the window.

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Speaker 1: The reason why that Edwards prop is number one here

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Speaker 1: at the time of taping is because it's under the

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Speaker 1: assumption that both backs aren't playing. If one does play

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Speaker 1: or both plays, I don't know how many carries Gus

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Speaker 1: Edwards is gonna get at all. So that's why I'm

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Speaker 1: going here and taking RG three first. Prop bet. RG

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Speaker 1: three overpassing numbers of one hundred one seventy and a

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Speaker 1: half at minus one twelve at DraftKings for passing. Look

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Speaker 1: he is he was a starting quarterback in this league. Okay,

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Speaker 1: he can throw the football. He may not be great.

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Speaker 1: He may not be outstanding. But he can throw the ball. Okay,

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Speaker 1: he can throw the ball and he can move it.

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Speaker 1: He can get us two hundred yards through the air,

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Speaker 1: and he may be behind. He may be a better

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Speaker 1: passer than Lamar Jackson right now, though you know, Lamar

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Speaker 1: has been awful throwing the football, So maybe it's a

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Speaker 1: different dynamic, different dimension. But I'm gonna go RG three overpassing.

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Speaker 1: Go with the prop bet cheat sheet here, going with

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Speaker 1: over the passing number for RG three won seventy and

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Speaker 1: a half at minus one twelve. Also at DraftKings at

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Speaker 1: minus one twelve. Let's talk about Deontae Johnson, the receiver

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Speaker 1: for the Pittsburgh Steelers. This dude is averaging about sixty

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Speaker 1: yards a game, which is pretty much where his number

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Speaker 1: is seven and a half right now for receiving. The

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Speaker 1: Ravens pass defense is okay, kind of middle of the pack,

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Speaker 1: outside of the top ten. Johnson's been doing some good things.

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Speaker 1: Five of his last nine games he's been averaging more

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Speaker 1: than fifty nine and a half yards receiving. Against the Jaguars,

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Speaker 1: he had one hundred and eleven against the Bengals, one

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Speaker 1: hundred and sixteen against the Cowboys, seventy seven against the Titans.

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Speaker 1: He at eighty Broncos ninety two. Right now, he's had

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Speaker 1: games the Texans zip negative two against the Eagles Ravens.

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Speaker 1: Last time he played the Ravens six yards, So there's

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Speaker 1: some concerns there, right, only targeting three times in that game.

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Speaker 1: But over the last three weeks he has been targeted

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Speaker 1: quite a bit. And I think when you talk about

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Speaker 1: the receiving corps here, I think the Ravens are gonna

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Speaker 1: key in on the other receivers, and thus I think

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Speaker 1: Deontay Johnson's gonna be available. Chase Claypool clearly is gonna

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Speaker 1: get a ton of attention, right we know this. They're

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Speaker 1: gonna be paying attention to him in the red zone.

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Speaker 1: Juju Smith Schuster obviously paying attention big time to where

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Speaker 1: he's gonna be. So those are the two big weapons.

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Speaker 1: And then I think Deontay Johnson comes in behind and

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Speaker 1: he gets a bunch of targets and a bunch of yards.

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Speaker 1: Here today for the Pittsburgh Steelers, we need three four

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Speaker 1: catches and we should get there. It's number seven on

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Speaker 1: the prop bet Cheat Sheep, but I like it a lot.

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Speaker 1: Deontay Johnson to go over fifty seven and a half

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Speaker 1: yards receiving at DraftKings at minus one twelve. So are

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Speaker 1: three plays going here for a Wednesday. I'm not betting

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Speaker 1: college basketball. I know there's big games. I may get

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Speaker 1: involved on my own, but not for the podcast record.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna I'm not betting college basketball today. I'll

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Speaker 1: be on the Discord chat. I'll be talking about it.

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Speaker 1: Maybe i'll tell you about a play I've made or what.

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Speaker 1: But I'm not touching the Illinois Baylor game, organ Zaga

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia. I'm just I'm not going to give

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Speaker 1: those out because I'm just so cold right now in

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Speaker 1: college basketball. So we're gonna pause it for the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast and just do football here today with three

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Speaker 1: plays going once again, we're doing the same game Teaser

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Speaker 1: Baltimore plus sixteen thirty six and a half, teasing it down,

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Speaker 1: taking the over, and we're going Deontay Johnson over fifty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half yards receiving RG three over one

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Speaker 1: hundred and seventy and a half yards zero point two

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Speaker 1: to five units on the two prop bets in one

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Speaker 1: full unit in play at minus one twenty five for

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Speaker 1: the same game teaser. My name is Matt Parolt. Follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every single morning,

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Speaker 1: it's the Daily Juice podcast right here on bettingpros dot Com,

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Speaker 1: presented by BETEMGM