1 00:00:04,320 --> 00:00:07,120 Speaker 1: Very pleased to be joined today by one of the 2 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: most astute commentators on Western civilization, American politics, global events, 3 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:20,079 Speaker 1: Canadian affairs, my former colleague David. From David Welcome, Hey, 4 00:00:20,079 --> 00:00:26,080 Speaker 1: thank you so much. We are celebrating a terrible anniversary tomorrow, 5 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:32,519 Speaker 1: the anniversary of Crystal Knocked in nineteen thirty eight. Crystal 6 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 1: Knocked occurred five years into Hitler's reign, which occurred ten 7 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 1: years after Hitler's real appearance in German culture at nineteen 8 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: twenty three. The Nazis take power in nineteen thirty three. 9 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 1: They immediately begin putting into law restrictions on Jewish life. 10 00:00:56,440 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 1: The professors are kicked out of the university, Folks are 11 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:04,760 Speaker 1: burning by may you have the Right Citizenship laws or 12 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:07,959 Speaker 1: passed in nineteen thirty five, where Jews can no longer 13 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:13,039 Speaker 1: be considered citizens, have no protections under the state, have 14 00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 1: no ability to work in professional services, whether it be 15 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 1: university professor or a teacher. And then there is the 16 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: assassination of a fairly minor Nazi Party official in Paris, 17 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 1: and the German pogram begins. And there's exactly one paper 18 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:39,200 Speaker 1: in America that captures it correctly. It's a Los Angeles Tribune, 19 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 1: and it says Jews, Jews will be annihilated in Germany. 20 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:51,120 Speaker 1: Democracies are their only hope. What are we watching in 21 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 1: the world in this country with the explosion of any Semitism? 22 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 1: Within living memory of Schindler's List, within living memory of 23 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 1: l Visel addressing indifference at the dawn of a new 24 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:14,000 Speaker 1: millennium at the White House, within the lifetimes of the 25 00:02:14,040 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 1: survivors of the camps. Where across America, whether it might 26 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: be in Florida or California or anywhere in between, there 27 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 1: are old men and women with tattoos on their arms. 28 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 1: We were supposed to never forget what has gone wrong, 29 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:30,400 Speaker 1: what has happened. 30 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 2: You know. 31 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 3: It's a curious coincidence in German history that November ninth, 32 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 3: the anniversary of the Crystal Knocht, was also the day 33 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:41,960 Speaker 3: in nineteen eighteen when the first German Republic was proclaimed, 34 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 3: or when the German Weimar Republic was proclaimed, And it 35 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 3: was the day in nineteen eighty nine when the Berlin 36 00:02:49,080 --> 00:02:54,200 Speaker 3: Wall opened and German democracy and unity were restored. The 37 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 3: Germans called November ninth the day of fate, and it's 38 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:06,119 Speaker 3: reminder that everything is about choices. Because this day, which 39 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 3: is also one of the most terrible in German history, 40 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:11,800 Speaker 3: is also one of the most inspiring in German history. 41 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:14,520 Speaker 3: And there are other other coincidences around the November ninth 42 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:19,920 Speaker 3: date as well. So as we see these terrible events 43 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 3: in the United States and other countries, I think we 44 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:28,880 Speaker 3: need to be mindful that history is about choices, that 45 00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:31,799 Speaker 3: it's always at any given moment, you can choose one 46 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 3: path or another path, and that it's always possible to 47 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:38,600 Speaker 3: make your November ninth the day that you remember for 48 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 3: the powerful and positive things in history, and not the 49 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 3: terrible and destructive ones. I think that that just put 50 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 3: reminds us that history isn't in our hands. It's not 51 00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 3: something that happens necessarily to us. It's something that we do. 52 00:03:56,600 --> 00:04:01,200 Speaker 1: I look back on that day, November ninth, ten, nineteen 53 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 1: eighty nine, as an astounding moment. At age nineteen, in 54 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 1: an instant, the world changed utterly completely. The Soviet Union 55 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 1: was gone. We grew up in an era and in 56 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 1: a culture where Patrick Swayzee was a gorilla commander in 57 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:27,160 Speaker 1: Colorado leading the fight back against the Cuban and Russian invasion. 58 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:31,040 Speaker 1: We had the Rambo culture of the nineteen eighties, where 59 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 1: Sylvester Stallone is going back to Vietnam to get our 60 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:40,039 Speaker 1: POW's out, and suddenly it's all at an end. The 61 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 1: war ends, and it begins this decade of optimism that 62 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 1: I'm now old enough at fifty three, when I talked 63 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 1: to younger people from a generation ago, it's hard to 64 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:58,720 Speaker 1: explain that sense of American optimism at the turn of 65 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 1: the millennium. Millennium, this packs Americana. How do you contextualize 66 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:10,880 Speaker 1: that moment twenty five years on? I tell a story 67 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 1: from my own life. I'm a little older than you. 68 00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:17,479 Speaker 1: My wife and I were married in nineteen eighty eight. 69 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 1: We took an extent. 70 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:21,479 Speaker 3: We didn't take much of a honeymoon at the time, 71 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:25,479 Speaker 3: so two years later we were both journalists when after 72 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:28,600 Speaker 3: the coming down of the Wall, we took an extended 73 00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:32,120 Speaker 3: leave from our jobs and traveled through the newly liberated 74 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 3: countries of Central Europe. We didn't go to Russia, but 75 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:38,279 Speaker 3: we were in almost all of the other countries that 76 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:40,040 Speaker 3: had become free and nine in eighty nine, and what 77 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 3: I remember most vividly was taking a night train across 78 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 3: a border. If I remember right, it was from Poland, 79 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 3: into what was then Czechoslovakia. We crossed in the middle 80 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 3: of the night, and my wife and I had booked 81 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:56,480 Speaker 3: an old fashioned sleeping compartment. The trains were all from 82 00:05:56,480 --> 00:05:58,760 Speaker 3: before World War Two, and in the middle of the 83 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:00,840 Speaker 3: night we suddenly heard on the door bang bang bang 84 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:03,280 Speaker 3: bang bang bang bang, like from a movie. Bang bang 85 00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 3: bang bang bang bang bang bang bang. So I opened 86 00:06:06,040 --> 00:06:11,360 Speaker 3: the door and presented my passport, my wife's, my new 87 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:15,440 Speaker 3: wife's and uh to the official who was wearing this 88 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 3: this suit and this this uniform man and of some 89 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:24,040 Speaker 3: polystyrene fabric with little paper epaulets, and he ate a 90 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 3: leather box with a stamp or swung around his neck. 91 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 3: I presented our two passports and said, here we are, 92 00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:32,840 Speaker 3: and he said, your wife must present herself. So for 93 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 3: goodness sake, it's the middle of the night, and you 94 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:38,160 Speaker 3: know she's not dressed. Uh just you know, I can 95 00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 3: open the door a crack, but here, he said, your 96 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 3: wife must present herself. And then he began getting very official, 97 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 3: and I just said to him, I presented my business 98 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:49,000 Speaker 3: card from my paper. I said, those days are over. 99 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:54,720 Speaker 3: And he looked suddenly completely deflated because he knew it too. 100 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:59,720 Speaker 3: Those days were over. Those days are back, he was 101 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 3: and I was wrong. Those days are back. 102 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 1: I'm reading the Washington Post this weekend, and like you, 103 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 1: I spend a fair amount of time in my day 104 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: reading over the weekends. I love reading books, I love 105 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:28,000 Speaker 1: reading newspapers, I love reading opinion pieces, and I'm always 106 00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 1: on the lookout for that thing that just captures the moment. 107 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 1: And I've been critical of a lot of the journalism 108 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: over the last seven years, the business realities of the media, 109 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:45,880 Speaker 1: the billions that have been made in partnership with Donald Trump, 110 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 1: and the production of a reality show that's framed to 111 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 1: the American people's episodic television, where the previous day's events 112 00:07:55,760 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 1: are erased, today's events are offered without context, and tomorrow's 113 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:06,800 Speaker 1: are framed as impossible to know, when in fact, it's 114 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:13,320 Speaker 1: all part of one continuous, unfolding, worsening event in my view, 115 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:17,000 Speaker 1: that's been going on since twenty fifteen. So it's in 116 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:21,000 Speaker 1: that context. I'm reading the Washington Post this weekend, and 117 00:08:21,120 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 1: there it's just laid out. 118 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:24,679 Speaker 3: As fact. 119 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 1: No anonymous quotes. About seven paragraphs. It simply report as 120 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:37,520 Speaker 1: a fact matter Donald Trump's intentions on day one to 121 00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:47,240 Speaker 1: invoke the Insurrection Act to deploy the American military into 122 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 1: the American nation ostensibly against the American people, and his 123 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:58,880 Speaker 1: desire to prosecute and lock up political opponents. And I 124 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 1: read that, of course, astounded that I had, realizing, of 125 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 1: course every word of it is true, shocked that seven 126 00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 1: years on, it's really the first place I've read it 127 00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:18,480 Speaker 1: so dramatically stated in the drama in it is how 128 00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:23,920 Speaker 1: ordinary and understated The paragraphical formation in the language was 129 00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:32,439 Speaker 1: What do you think when you read that? Do you 130 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: take him seriously literally? I certainly do. And my question 131 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 1: is if that happens, the employs the Insurrection Act on 132 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:48,760 Speaker 1: January twentieth, with Stephen Miller by his side, and who 133 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 1: knows who else does the military file the order? What 134 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:58,679 Speaker 1: is the magnitude of the American constitutional crisis in that 135 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 1: in that moment, I certainly know I will be on 136 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:03,319 Speaker 1: the streets. 137 00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:07,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it'll look like Tel Aviv three months ago, 138 00:10:08,320 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 3: and not in just one city, but in many. As 139 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:13,559 Speaker 3: you say, people will be out. The attitude of the 140 00:10:13,559 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 3: military will become very important, and the question will be 141 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:20,640 Speaker 3: does Donald Trump have the capacity, the technical capacity, the 142 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:24,240 Speaker 3: legal authority to remake the military? So I have two 143 00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:28,199 Speaker 3: reactions when I read that story. The first is, like you, 144 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 3: I often speak in front of audiences and the question 145 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:34,199 Speaker 3: I am often asked is are you an optimist or 146 00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:39,400 Speaker 3: a pessimist? And I always refuse to answer that question, 147 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:42,920 Speaker 3: not because I'm scared to make a guess about the future, 148 00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:45,640 Speaker 3: although you know, we ought to be humble about that. 149 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:48,360 Speaker 3: But I said, but you know, when you ask that 150 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:51,040 Speaker 3: question optimism or pessimism, you treat the future as a 151 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:55,559 Speaker 3: thing that exists about which statements can be made. And 152 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 3: the whole point of the future is is it doesn't exist. 153 00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:00,200 Speaker 3: It's what we make. So when people ask what's going 154 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 3: to happen? I said, that's the wrong question. The right 155 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:04,840 Speaker 3: question is what are you going to do? What are 156 00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:08,200 Speaker 3: you going to do, sir man? What are you going 157 00:11:08,320 --> 00:11:10,640 Speaker 3: to do in this eventuality, on the way to this 158 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 3: eventuality and after this eventuality? And then the other thing 159 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:18,760 Speaker 3: I take from that is I think there are In 160 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 3: the first book I wrote about Donald Trump, I had 161 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:23,200 Speaker 3: a chapter which I said, this is strange thing about 162 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:25,600 Speaker 3: Donald Trump, which is their gifts from Donald Trump. There 163 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:28,360 Speaker 3: are things he's done for this country that in some 164 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:31,440 Speaker 3: ways make it better. Not things, maybe things we'd rather 165 00:11:31,480 --> 00:11:34,200 Speaker 3: have skipped. It's like you go through a serious disease, 166 00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:36,040 Speaker 3: and if you survive, you say I learned some things 167 00:11:36,040 --> 00:11:38,360 Speaker 3: from this experience. It would be better not to have known. 168 00:11:38,640 --> 00:11:42,079 Speaker 3: But my point is having gone through the disease, and 169 00:11:42,200 --> 00:11:43,719 Speaker 3: I wish I hadn't, but had I done so, I 170 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:45,640 Speaker 3: did come with some wisdom that I wouldn't have had 171 00:11:45,760 --> 00:11:47,920 Speaker 3: but for the disease. And one of the things. And 172 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:50,960 Speaker 3: since you open started with Germany, I think this whole experience, teacher, 173 00:11:51,040 --> 00:11:54,480 Speaker 3: is American. Some humility. There has for a long time 174 00:11:54,920 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 3: been an American attitude of Americans. Other countries suffer these things. 175 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:02,680 Speaker 3: America is exceptional, America is spared. There's something in the water, 176 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 3: there's something in the air. You know that we're different 177 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 3: from the common ruck of humanity. We don't face these things. 178 00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:11,680 Speaker 3: And Donald Trump was sent, perhaps by God, to teach 179 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 3: us a little humility. Say, you know what what other 180 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:18,960 Speaker 3: countries have done, You've done, and if whether how bad 181 00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:20,679 Speaker 3: that turns out to be, is also going to be 182 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:22,720 Speaker 3: a test for you in the way that other countries 183 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:27,240 Speaker 3: have been tested. So you know, don't be so superior 184 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:31,160 Speaker 3: towards those Germans and those French and those checks and 185 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:34,800 Speaker 3: those Hungarians. We all belong to the same humanity. We're 186 00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 3: all vulnerable to the same temptations, we all meet the 187 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:40,480 Speaker 3: same tests, and we all are evaluated not as nations, 188 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:43,000 Speaker 3: but one by one by one as to how we 189 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:43,840 Speaker 3: meet the test. 190 00:12:44,679 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 1: Perfectly said, and we want to come back to that 191 00:12:48,280 --> 00:12:51,280 Speaker 1: in a minute, but I wanted to because you raised 192 00:12:51,280 --> 00:12:56,240 Speaker 1: it up. I think you have a unique perspective on 193 00:12:56,440 --> 00:13:00,160 Speaker 1: the United States because you will always see it at 194 00:13:00,280 --> 00:13:04,599 Speaker 1: some level, or first saw it through Canadian eyes. And 195 00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:07,720 Speaker 1: you know a Canadian who has served at the highest 196 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:13,040 Speaker 1: level in a White House, who is as astute a 197 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:18,320 Speaker 1: student of American history and culture as any as any person. 198 00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 1: But you know we as someone who's married to a 199 00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:25,040 Speaker 1: Canadian now and spends a lot of time in Toronto, 200 00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 1: was in your neck of the woods in Edward County 201 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:34,199 Speaker 1: and on the Loyalist Parkway, and you read the story 202 00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 1: of the Loyalist Parkway. The Canadian history is these are 203 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:43,800 Speaker 1: the pioneers who escaped America in seventeen in seventeen eighty 204 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 1: three after Yorktown and came north, and the Queen dedicated 205 00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 1: the Parkway in nineteen eighty four, expand on this moment 206 00:13:56,640 --> 00:14:00,320 Speaker 1: through that Canadian prison. But I when I go to Canada, 207 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:07,559 Speaker 1: this is a dynamic, vibrant society, tremendous amount of immigration, 208 00:14:07,760 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 1: almost a buzz of energy. Uh in the airports when 209 00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:19,520 Speaker 1: you when you land and you come through customs. How 210 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 1: does a Canadian grow up in our generation looking at America, 211 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 1: come to America and seeing it today through that unique prism. 212 00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:34,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, first welcome, you know you you're spending a 213 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 3: lot of time in Canada and and your perspective on 214 00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:41,600 Speaker 3: Canada will be a way to enrich Canadian self understanding. 215 00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:42,960 Speaker 1: I grew up. 216 00:14:44,680 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 3: In a very provincial Toronto. It was that a much 217 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:51,040 Speaker 3: smaller city and it was then not yet the dynamic 218 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:52,400 Speaker 3: global center it is today. 219 00:14:53,400 --> 00:14:54,160 Speaker 2: And my. 220 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:59,080 Speaker 3: Parents are both Jewish, of course I'm Jewish. My father's 221 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 3: family have arrive in Canada in nineteen thirty just for 222 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 3: economic reasons. They couldn't make a living in Poland and 223 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 3: they were able to. 224 00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:06,240 Speaker 1: Get to Canada. 225 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:10,520 Speaker 3: And because they did that, they lived almost all of 226 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 3: their relatives on both sides were murdered and my father, 227 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:16,080 Speaker 3: had his parents made a slightly different decision, he would 228 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:17,600 Speaker 3: have been murdered around the time of his tenth or 229 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:23,240 Speaker 3: eleventh birthday, So that was always in the air. It 230 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:26,080 Speaker 3: was never spoken about, it was always thought about. And 231 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:30,200 Speaker 3: I grew up understanding both that tragedy and also that 232 00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 3: Canada enjoyed this extraordinary security that it did as a 233 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 3: gift from the United States. Canadians didn't do it themselves, 234 00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:42,560 Speaker 3: and Canada, it has this strange interlocking relationship with the 235 00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 3: United States, where Canada lives, doesn't pay for its own defense, 236 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:51,000 Speaker 3: it doesn't pay really for even its own policing. It 237 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 3: borrows all of that from the United States, which is 238 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 3: projecting so much security that of course it includes Canada, 239 00:15:57,840 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 3: whether it intends to do so or not. But there 240 00:16:01,160 --> 00:16:03,200 Speaker 3: is also an experiment here, which is the countries had 241 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 3: very similar foundings. I mean the American Civil War, the 242 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:09,920 Speaker 3: American Revolution was also civil war. And the part of 243 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:12,560 Speaker 3: Ontario War I spent so much time now was settled, 244 00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:14,760 Speaker 3: as you said, by the losers in that civil war, 245 00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 3: who then got they were supposed to be compensated by 246 00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:20,040 Speaker 3: the new post revolutionary government. That never happened. So they 247 00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 3: got land grants from the British government instead on the 248 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:24,240 Speaker 3: other side of Lake Ontario, and they settled the area 249 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 3: where I now live or much leer. So there's been 250 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:31,160 Speaker 3: a long winning experiment was what if you take very 251 00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:34,920 Speaker 3: similar societies that share a long history of being part 252 00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 3: of one entity. You know, in seventeen fifty Boston had 253 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 3: a lot more in common with Halifax than Boston had 254 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 3: with any place in the American South. And by the way, 255 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:52,000 Speaker 3: places in the American South had a lot more common 256 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 3: with Barbados than they did with Boston. The one time 257 00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 3: George Washington traveled outside of Virginia before he became General 258 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 3: of the Armies, he went to Barbados. He had never 259 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:05,200 Speaker 3: been to Boston until the Revolution broke out. So you've 260 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:07,040 Speaker 3: done this experiment. What happens if you put slightly different 261 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:10,399 Speaker 3: institutions in place in these two countries. You know we 262 00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 3: were talking about growing up in the Reagan era. It's 263 00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:15,879 Speaker 3: it's if the United States had the Canadian constitution, Ronald 264 00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:18,000 Speaker 3: Reagan would never have been President of the United States, 265 00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:21,639 Speaker 3: would have been governed by Prime Minister Tip O'Neil. You 266 00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 3: know that the presidential system produces different results from a 267 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:27,920 Speaker 3: parliamentary system. And of course Canada doesn't have, or until 268 00:17:28,040 --> 00:17:30,840 Speaker 3: very recently did not have a formal Bill of rights. 269 00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 3: It only got one in the nineteen eighties, and it's 270 00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 3: a much and the role of the courts and of 271 00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:37,760 Speaker 3: legal rights are much more vague in Canada than the 272 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:40,480 Speaker 3: the United States. There's no gun. That's why there's you know, 273 00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:43,119 Speaker 3: there's no gun. There're guns in Canada, lots of them. All. 274 00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 3: My neighbors in rural Ontario have shotguns and long guns 275 00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:50,520 Speaker 3: to protect their their chickens. But you don't have a 276 00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 3: lot of handguns, and you don't have a lot of 277 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:54,760 Speaker 3: pretend military rifles. 278 00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:59,760 Speaker 1: McKenzie King, the Prime Minister of Canada, was a confidant 279 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 1: Franklin Roosevelts, and it was very cognizant that Roosevelt was 280 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:11,240 Speaker 1: the world's historical figure. He would spend weeks in residents 281 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:14,359 Speaker 1: at the White House like Churchill did. And they're talking 282 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:18,920 Speaker 1: late into the night, and Roosevelt is talking about the 283 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:23,920 Speaker 1: architecture of the world to come, his vision for the 284 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:28,920 Speaker 1: UN Declaration of Human Rights, his vision for the United Nations, 285 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:35,480 Speaker 1: the collective security agreements, decolonialization, the rights of self determination, 286 00:18:36,280 --> 00:18:41,680 Speaker 1: all of these things that become really the American led 287 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:49,720 Speaker 1: liberal world order. Small l and he says to King 288 00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 1: that his ambition is that nothing lasts forever, but he 289 00:18:56,119 --> 00:19:00,679 Speaker 1: hopes that this will endure for as long as everybody 290 00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:06,600 Speaker 1: is alive on the day that hopes it will last 291 00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:09,320 Speaker 1: for as long as everybody who is alive on the 292 00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:13,240 Speaker 1: day the war is won is still alive. And those 293 00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:18,920 Speaker 1: people are seventy eight years old now. And you look 294 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 1: at Donald Trump talking about coming back, and the very 295 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:27,280 Speaker 1: first thing he would do is withdrawal the United States 296 00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:33,480 Speaker 1: from NATO, which I'm not sure as a legal architecture 297 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 1: that he can formally do, but he can effectively do 298 00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:43,720 Speaker 1: through executive action in a number of different different ways. 299 00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:50,520 Speaker 1: I view that as a calamity for world peace, catastrophe, 300 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:56,080 Speaker 1: probably without precedent, and what comes behind it will. 301 00:19:55,880 --> 00:19:57,240 Speaker 3: Be will be chaos. 302 00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:00,640 Speaker 1: But when you think of what I just said about 303 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:05,960 Speaker 1: FDR and Mackenzie King, do you see the order of 304 00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:10,440 Speaker 1: the world that we grew up in, though it has 305 00:20:10,720 --> 00:20:15,840 Speaker 1: changed and shifted, its parameters have mutated, expanded and shrunk 306 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:20,520 Speaker 1: and grown. We've seen great power competition now rise again. 307 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:24,880 Speaker 1: But do you see the end of that world order 308 00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:29,720 Speaker 1: at hand? Or do you see it's evolving at hand? 309 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:35,520 Speaker 3: I'm I think something very powerful has been created. As 310 00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:38,400 Speaker 3: you say, it's changed a lot since nineteen forty five. 311 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:44,640 Speaker 3: But the central idea that Roosevelt had and people who 312 00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:51,199 Speaker 3: has supported him in many different countries, was before nineteen 313 00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:55,160 Speaker 3: thirty nine, strong countries had tried to find their security 314 00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:59,320 Speaker 3: through domination. Your France, your Germany, or the two strong 315 00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 3: countries on your you each try it. You do this 316 00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:05,119 Speaker 3: step ladder competition, each to gain military supremacy over the 317 00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 3: other and to find security through supremacy. And that explodes 318 00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:11,399 Speaker 3: in the First World War, and then it has a 319 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:17,440 Speaker 3: second blood bath in nineteen thirty nine. And the idea 320 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 3: of the new world that comes to being after nineteen 321 00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:21,920 Speaker 3: forty five is what if we find our security not 322 00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:26,600 Speaker 3: through supremacy and domination, but through cooperation. Your security becomes 323 00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:31,000 Speaker 3: my security, My security becomes your security. And that idea 324 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 3: is the foundation of institutions that become the European Union 325 00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 3: half a century later. That's the foundation of NATO. Donald 326 00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:42,600 Speaker 3: Trump always talked about it. It was some defect in 327 00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 3: the system that Germany would no longer have a big army, 328 00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:48,280 Speaker 3: in Japan would no longer have a big navy. No, no, no, 329 00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:53,280 Speaker 3: that was the plan. You guys, concentrate on what you 330 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 3: do best and we will concentrate on providing you more 331 00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:01,720 Speaker 3: security than you could ever get for your health for 332 00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:05,200 Speaker 3: very little money. So it's a great bargain for you. 333 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 3: But the bargain that the rest of the world gets 334 00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:10,880 Speaker 3: is we are spared the negative consequences that come from 335 00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:14,000 Speaker 3: your clamber after the security through domination that you are 336 00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:16,600 Speaker 3: never going to get on your own. And I think 337 00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:21,320 Speaker 3: that idea is now tested in the Ukraine War. That's 338 00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:25,360 Speaker 3: why that war is of such global significance because it's 339 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:28,399 Speaker 3: an example of a very large and potentially very important 340 00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:31,800 Speaker 3: country staking the lives of its people in its future 341 00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:32,959 Speaker 3: on joining this system. 342 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 1: And it's a little bit what's at stake in the 343 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:37,800 Speaker 1: Middle East right now. 344 00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 3: Because among the people who reject the system, you know, 345 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:45,880 Speaker 3: the ideology that is espoused by Hamas is an important part. 346 00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:48,359 Speaker 3: I mean, there's a rejectionist block that has many ideas. 347 00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:51,639 Speaker 3: The Chinese rejected for their set of reasons, other countries 348 00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:56,119 Speaker 3: rejected for Theirs, these Islamic radical groups rejected for Theirs. 349 00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 3: And we're testing again and again can we extend this. 350 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,280 Speaker 3: And there were always big parts of the planet when 351 00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:05,000 Speaker 3: the system didn't operate. It never operated in Africa, it 352 00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 3: didn't really operate all that effectively or fairly in Latin America, 353 00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:15,480 Speaker 3: and it's been a challenge to apply to Asia, which 354 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:18,840 Speaker 3: is where's there's so many of these powerful states with 355 00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,879 Speaker 3: deep histories that are going to be very important factors 356 00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:25,800 Speaker 3: obviously in our time. But it's not just the American guarantee. 357 00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:30,480 Speaker 3: It's the American idea find security through cooperation and the 358 00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:34,320 Speaker 3: mutual sharing of security, not through domination and supremacy and 359 00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:37,440 Speaker 3: the race to impose your will on others. 360 00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:47,399 Speaker 1: What is the deficit of being able to communicate that 361 00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,960 Speaker 1: in the manner that you just have in a way 362 00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:57,399 Speaker 1: that the American people can understand that we are seeing 363 00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:02,640 Speaker 1: out of America only pro democracy party right now. 364 00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:07,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Americans do understand it at an intuitive level. 365 00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:13,440 Speaker 3: You know, when you watch in Ukraine an Israel, you 366 00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:15,480 Speaker 3: see the American reaction to that, you realize there are 367 00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:18,119 Speaker 3: two things in the American character that really explain how 368 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:24,520 Speaker 3: Americans react to every conflict, which is Americans hate bullies 369 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:30,439 Speaker 3: and Americans love winners. And so the America, I mean, 370 00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:34,760 Speaker 3: the American mind is like the kids in the is 371 00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:37,119 Speaker 3: the kid in the school yard who watches the bully 372 00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:41,760 Speaker 3: swagger in try to dominate a smaller kid, and then 373 00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:47,920 Speaker 3: the smaller kid musters whatever reserves of courage and bravado. 374 00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,639 Speaker 3: That kid has got any punches the billion the bully 375 00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:52,760 Speaker 3: in the nose, makes the nose bleed, and the bully 376 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:55,360 Speaker 3: runs away, and Americas that that kid is our hero. 377 00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:57,920 Speaker 3: That's the person we want to be with the Americas. 378 00:24:57,960 --> 00:24:59,680 Speaker 3: This is the teacher, I guess in this analogy, because 379 00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:01,680 Speaker 3: they're the wrongest presence in the whole school yard. But 380 00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 3: they're a little busy and distracted, and there are a 381 00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:05,800 Speaker 3: lot of rules about how governing how they can intervene 382 00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:08,520 Speaker 3: in the matter. But that's what the Ukrainians did, and 383 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:11,080 Speaker 3: that's what these reelies. They've always been outnumbered in a gun. 384 00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,240 Speaker 3: But and they get pushed and they push, push, and 385 00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:16,960 Speaker 3: then they push back and they push back with courage 386 00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:21,400 Speaker 3: and success. And so I think people and I think 387 00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:24,080 Speaker 3: people understand that the Ukrainians and the Israelis are fighting 388 00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:27,520 Speaker 3: for something bigger than themselves. They're they're they're fighting for 389 00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:32,680 Speaker 3: a world in which intimidation and bullying are repelled. And 390 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 3: Americans find that I think it speaks to them, not 391 00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,160 Speaker 3: in the abstract way I spoke a few minutes ago, 392 00:25:38,280 --> 00:25:41,119 Speaker 3: but in a deep psychological way, you. 393 00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:44,160 Speaker 1: Know, I will saying, you say that, it's so true, 394 00:25:44,280 --> 00:25:46,119 Speaker 1: and it just made me think of the movie The 395 00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:49,480 Speaker 1: Christmas Story with Ralphie and Farcas, Right. You know the 396 00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:53,040 Speaker 1: iconic scene, right, the bully and the puppy jacket, and 397 00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:57,159 Speaker 1: you know Ralphie hits him back defending his brother. It's 398 00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:04,159 Speaker 1: such an iconic aspect of the American character. Right, you 399 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:06,480 Speaker 1: know that you just that you just laid out there. 400 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:15,320 Speaker 1: Let let's turn to politics. Could you ever have imagined 401 00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:23,000 Speaker 1: at the beginning when Trump came down the escalator and 402 00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:29,159 Speaker 1: I say this to people, everybody had my position in 403 00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:34,480 Speaker 1: the Republican Party, what one hundred percent of every person 404 00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:41,679 Speaker 1: I knew. He's a disgrace, He's disgusting, he's maliced, he's awful, 405 00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:47,240 Speaker 1: he's terrible. Trump credits me with being the first person 406 00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:51,119 Speaker 1: to say on television he could win, would win, and 407 00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:57,080 Speaker 1: was winning at various at various stages, which obviously gave 408 00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:02,960 Speaker 1: me no pleasure, no pleasure in saying, how do you 409 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:11,439 Speaker 1: account for the fact that overwhelmingly every person we've almost 410 00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:20,280 Speaker 1: ever known in politics, not everyone, but an overwhelming number 411 00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:25,240 Speaker 1: in the Republican Party, whether they acknowledge who Trump is 412 00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:28,399 Speaker 1: in private or public? You know, I mean, in private 413 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:31,960 Speaker 1: doesn't matter, but in public they're behind. And how do 414 00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,159 Speaker 1: you account for that? Does it surprise you? 415 00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:37,560 Speaker 3: Well, I was less perceptive about his rise than you. 416 00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:41,119 Speaker 3: I remember very vividly on the Sunday night before the 417 00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:43,760 Speaker 3: Tuesday vote, my wife and I had a small dinner 418 00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:45,400 Speaker 3: with Andrew Sullivan, who I think is also a friend 419 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:49,840 Speaker 3: of yours. And Andrew, Andrew's a person of great mood, 420 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,600 Speaker 3: swings from optimism to pessimism, and he was on a 421 00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:55,840 Speaker 3: down swing that night, and he said, Trump's going to win. 422 00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:59,000 Speaker 3: Trump's going to win. And I should have listened to 423 00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:01,000 Speaker 3: Andrew had predicted that E was going to win, which 424 00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:05,920 Speaker 3: I also had thought would not happen, or had wanted 425 00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:07,960 Speaker 3: to believe would not happen. I suppose because I didn't 426 00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:10,720 Speaker 3: know enough about British politics. Make I never predicted. I 427 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,000 Speaker 3: didn't know enough, but I just it seemed so dumb. 428 00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:16,120 Speaker 3: How could they do it? But I was quite sure 429 00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:19,399 Speaker 3: that Trump wouldn't do it. And Andrew was on this 430 00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:25,800 Speaker 3: passionate explosion of passionate pessimism, and I remember just saying, 431 00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:28,960 Speaker 3: going through all the groups that were going to stan 432 00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:31,760 Speaker 3: unite against Donald Trump. I was being a little funny. 433 00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:35,360 Speaker 3: Women who own cookwear with French words on it, they're 434 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:40,160 Speaker 3: going to come out. But he was right, and I 435 00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:47,360 Speaker 3: was wrong. Most of the people who were our colleagues, partners, friends, 436 00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:50,240 Speaker 3: most but not all, did just as you say, and 437 00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:53,160 Speaker 3: in one way or another. And there were for a 438 00:28:53,280 --> 00:29:00,760 Speaker 3: variety of motives. Opportunism yes, negative partisanship yes in some cases, 439 00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:04,480 Speaker 3: vanity and arrogance that they thought they could steer this 440 00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:08,320 Speaker 3: this beast. I'm just reading right now, Mickay Coppins's excellent 441 00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:09,440 Speaker 3: book on Mitt Romney. 442 00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:12,600 Speaker 1: Can't wait to can't wait to read it. It's really it's. 443 00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:16,120 Speaker 3: Really worthwhile, and because Romney's very honest about himself in 444 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:18,560 Speaker 3: a way that few politicians are ever able to be 445 00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:22,280 Speaker 3: at any stage in their life. And Romney's last temptation 446 00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:25,040 Speaker 3: is Trump offered him, or sort of offered him the 447 00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:29,240 Speaker 3: secretaryship of State in twenty six sixteen, and I think 448 00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:31,720 Speaker 3: in retrospect it was really a trap that the deal 449 00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:35,400 Speaker 3: was you retractor with your criticisms of me, and you 450 00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:37,480 Speaker 3: can be you can have this job. And then Trump 451 00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:39,640 Speaker 3: would have renegged on the deal, which Romney sort of 452 00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:43,080 Speaker 3: figured out, but he did take it very seriously, included 453 00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:46,480 Speaker 3: partly because both George W. Bush and Hillary Clinton telephoned 454 00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:49,680 Speaker 3: him to plead with him to take the job. You know, 455 00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:52,520 Speaker 3: that's that's you know, you got both those calls and 456 00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:54,080 Speaker 3: your Mitt Romney, you are going to take it pretty 457 00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:58,920 Speaker 3: seriously that that past president and former Democratic past Democratic 458 00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:01,719 Speaker 3: presidential nominee both say you have to do the country 459 00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:05,440 Speaker 3: needs you to do it. But the problem they had 460 00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:10,720 Speaker 3: was you can't. You can't control this piece. I wrote 461 00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:15,080 Speaker 3: a piece for The Atlantic in that transition period, and 462 00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:17,360 Speaker 3: it had begun as an email from a friend of 463 00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:19,360 Speaker 3: mine who'd been offered not Secretary of State, but a 464 00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:23,400 Speaker 3: medium important job, and I offered my advice as to 465 00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 3: what you should do. I said, look, if you've got 466 00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:27,640 Speaker 3: it expanded to the piece, if you're offered an independent 467 00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:31,720 Speaker 3: commission FCC something, if I Federal Communications Commission or something 468 00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 3: like that, yeah, of course you take it. You don't 469 00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:35,960 Speaker 3: answer to the president. You're doing your role for the public. 470 00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:39,400 Speaker 3: The answer is yes. If you're offered a military role 471 00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:43,360 Speaker 3: sentcom commanded, well then you must take it because you 472 00:30:43,480 --> 00:30:45,120 Speaker 3: have a duty to the country and these jobs have 473 00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:48,240 Speaker 3: to be done. But if you're offered anything where you 474 00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:52,520 Speaker 3: report to Donald Trump, just keep in mind the reason. 475 00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:56,120 Speaker 3: The only way you can justify taking this job is 476 00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:58,480 Speaker 3: if you are confident you will be able to say no. 477 00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:02,680 Speaker 3: And then bear in mind that if Trump shared your 478 00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 3: opinion of yourself, he wouldn't have offered you the job 479 00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:08,400 Speaker 3: in the first place. That the job his premise was, 480 00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:12,600 Speaker 3: I can bend this person. Because Trump has this feral ability, 481 00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:17,040 Speaker 3: like some kind of carnivorous beast to scent human weakness. 482 00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:19,560 Speaker 3: He's got some skills, and that's his greatest skill. He 483 00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 3: can he can see the person of integrity he just 484 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:28,600 Speaker 3: instinctively recoils from, and the person of with any crack, 485 00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:35,040 Speaker 3: any fission, where selfishness and cowardice and greed can trickle in. 486 00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:38,760 Speaker 3: Trump can see that and he finds those people. So 487 00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:42,760 Speaker 3: a lot of the people were led into the Trump 488 00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:45,680 Speaker 3: can't buy vanity by their overestimation of their own ability 489 00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,880 Speaker 3: to direct affairs. And I think in almost every case 490 00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:53,040 Speaker 3: they paid a terrible price for it, including very good 491 00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:55,680 Speaker 3: like the John Kelly's of this world. They paid a price. 492 00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,720 Speaker 1: Do you see any scenario where he is not the 493 00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:01,640 Speaker 1: public nominee at. 494 00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:06,720 Speaker 3: This point, it's a very far fatch scenario. The scenario 495 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:11,120 Speaker 3: I see is that the something in the judicial system 496 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:16,120 Speaker 3: happened so fast that sometime before Republicans are locked in 497 00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:19,600 Speaker 3: in the middle of February, there's some devastating legal event 498 00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:24,080 Speaker 3: that causes a shock in Iowa, New Hampshire. That's a 499 00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:27,320 Speaker 3: pretty improbable set off. Fact. It's now We're now almost 500 00:32:27,360 --> 00:32:28,960 Speaker 3: in the middle of November, and this has to happen 501 00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:31,360 Speaker 3: before the middle of February. So it just doesn't seem 502 00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:34,360 Speaker 3: that the court system works that way. But that could 503 00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:40,040 Speaker 3: do it. But clearly his opponents they don't have the instinct. 504 00:32:40,040 --> 00:32:44,160 Speaker 3: I mean, I thought there was this moment I'm going 505 00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:45,600 Speaker 3: to forget on the first time I saw it, where 506 00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:48,160 Speaker 3: Ron Desanders was asked, what's the difference between you and 507 00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:52,960 Speaker 3: Donald Trump? If there was any hope that Desandis was 508 00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:54,280 Speaker 3: going to win, he would have answered that question. The 509 00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:56,160 Speaker 3: difference between me and Donald Trump is that I will 510 00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:59,520 Speaker 3: not be in prison on election day twenty twenty four. Yeah, 511 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:03,280 Speaker 3: you know, damn it. Put your put your cards on 512 00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:06,040 Speaker 3: the table, stake your claim, say I'm going to be 513 00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:08,320 Speaker 3: a leader. I'm gonna look this guy in the eye 514 00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:10,200 Speaker 3: and tell him what I think of because if you're 515 00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:12,560 Speaker 3: too scared to do that, you just don't have what 516 00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:13,040 Speaker 3: it takes. 517 00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:20,760 Speaker 1: One hundred So when I look back on all of 518 00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:27,640 Speaker 1: the major political leaders of our lifetime, of our careers, 519 00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:32,480 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna, I'm gonna put Ronald Waggan in to 520 00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:36,640 Speaker 1: begin nineteen eighty. I'm gonna I'm gonna start this, but 521 00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:39,840 Speaker 1: we can go back to Jimmy Carter for the purposes 522 00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:45,360 Speaker 1: of the exercise. Who do you think of all the presidents, 523 00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:51,040 Speaker 1: of all the nominees would have been the toughest opponent 524 00:33:51,320 --> 00:33:54,200 Speaker 1: for Donald Trump to handle? I think I just think 525 00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:57,320 Speaker 1: there's one person who completely hands out. I think it's 526 00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:57,880 Speaker 1: George W. 527 00:33:58,080 --> 00:33:58,360 Speaker 3: Bush. 528 00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:01,720 Speaker 1: I don't Donald Trump would not have been able to 529 00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:02,320 Speaker 1: handle him. 530 00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:06,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's very that's very perceptive. 531 00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:09,720 Speaker 1: Political as a political candidate, and and Bush was always 532 00:34:09,880 --> 00:34:14,040 Speaker 1: underastimated as a political a great politician. Yeah. 533 00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:16,400 Speaker 3: He also had this kind of. 534 00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:25,640 Speaker 2: Sly subversive right and would hit him in the ego 535 00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:30,600 Speaker 2: every day. Yeah, yeah, he just uh he he was 536 00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:32,880 Speaker 2: very good with people were full of themselves and. 537 00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:37,359 Speaker 3: I are. Yeah, that's a that's a that's very good 538 00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:44,200 Speaker 3: because I think, uh, Reagan. Reagan would have protracted contrasted 539 00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:50,080 Speaker 3: Reagan's goodness of character, I guess, but but I don't 540 00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:52,320 Speaker 3: know that Reagan would be able cope with the onslaught 541 00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:56,799 Speaker 3: that he had in a Trump Reagan contest. Whereas, as 542 00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:58,400 Speaker 3: you said, George W that's very interesting. 543 00:34:58,440 --> 00:34:59,279 Speaker 1: I think you're right. 544 00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:00,200 Speaker 3: I think you're completely right. 545 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:04,160 Speaker 1: Isn't a time you opt out a restrictive health insurance 546 00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:07,399 Speaker 1: plan to let crowd health help fit your healthcare needs? 547 00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:12,399 Speaker 1: Get started today for just fifty dollars per month. Use 548 00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:17,520 Speaker 1: code warning to get the healthcare you deserve. Crowdhealth is 549 00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:22,759 Speaker 1: not insurance. Learn more at join crowdhealth dot com. That's 550 00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:29,279 Speaker 1: joined crowdhealth dot com Code Warning. Well, you look at 551 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:35,200 Speaker 1: politically right now, and obviously I'm in I'm involved in 552 00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:41,960 Speaker 1: a Democratic primary with as a volunteer, helped a friend 553 00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 1: get started in a campaign, and I think the Biden 554 00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:50,280 Speaker 1: team needs to get out and start running laps around 555 00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:54,399 Speaker 1: the around the track politically as a matter of emergency. 556 00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:59,720 Speaker 1: But Joe Biden is losing this race to Donald Trump. 557 00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:08,320 Speaker 1: The elections last night, and the results have nothing to 558 00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:13,000 Speaker 1: do with President Biden. They do have some to do 559 00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:17,640 Speaker 1: with the issues. You do see in Kentucky, a Democratic 560 00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:22,359 Speaker 1: governor with an ability to connect in the eastern part 561 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:27,080 Speaker 1: of the state. In Appalachia where really the opioid crisis 562 00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:32,160 Speaker 1: in the country began, Pike County, Hazard County, a lot 563 00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:35,480 Speaker 1: of coal mining countries, places where where Trump won by 564 00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:38,960 Speaker 1: where Trump won by forty points. You look at the 565 00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:45,520 Speaker 1: Mississippi race with Presley, where Democratic candidate was knocking on 566 00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:49,200 Speaker 1: the knocking on the door down there. But when you 567 00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:54,120 Speaker 1: get inside the Washington mix, you know, the blue and 568 00:36:54,200 --> 00:37:01,080 Speaker 1: the red and Washington in this moment, I as a 569 00:37:01,280 --> 00:37:04,360 Speaker 1: general proposition, you know, I think Biden has been a 570 00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:09,680 Speaker 1: good president. But I think politically, you know, there are 571 00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:14,920 Speaker 1: two things that are just self evident. The extremism is hotter, 572 00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:21,120 Speaker 1: it's better funded, it's better organized, and it's coming for 573 00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:30,680 Speaker 1: power A and b those has been effective governing, I think, 574 00:37:31,280 --> 00:37:35,120 Speaker 1: and I think that fifty years from now people will 575 00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:38,920 Speaker 1: look back at the Biden presidency from an infrastructure perspective 576 00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:42,240 Speaker 1: in a way that I mean look back at Eisenhower's 577 00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:46,400 Speaker 1: presidency and building so much of the infrastructure in the 578 00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:51,759 Speaker 1: latter half of the twentieth century. But just objectively, they 579 00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:56,680 Speaker 1: have not been able to withstand the sixty foot incoming 580 00:37:56,840 --> 00:38:03,600 Speaker 1: wave of malice profit and a BS conspiracy theories that 581 00:38:04,040 --> 00:38:10,480 Speaker 1: is commanded against them in a billion dollar entertainment industry 582 00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:15,120 Speaker 1: or a malice industry, however you want to think about 583 00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:20,279 Speaker 1: it and the ability to deal with that and to 584 00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:24,320 Speaker 1: fight through that, it'd be on top of that wave 585 00:38:24,560 --> 00:38:27,640 Speaker 1: as opposed to under it on a daily basis. Is 586 00:38:27,640 --> 00:38:30,840 Speaker 1: it going to be essential to the defense of American 587 00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:37,239 Speaker 1: democracy and the republic one year literally over the next year, 588 00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:41,080 Speaker 1: you know, through one year from now today? How do 589 00:38:41,200 --> 00:38:44,239 Speaker 1: you see that? Because because you're an exquisite communicator. 590 00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:46,880 Speaker 3: Well, look, you're talking to the guy who tried to 591 00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:49,920 Speaker 3: take who tried to reassure Andrew Sullivan in twenty sixteen, 592 00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:53,160 Speaker 3: And I'm talking to someone who's run major campaigns and 593 00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,000 Speaker 3: I never have. So I'm going to be very humble 594 00:38:55,040 --> 00:38:58,080 Speaker 3: about what I'm about to say because I'm speaking from 595 00:38:58,120 --> 00:39:00,279 Speaker 3: a not a great track record and against somebody with 596 00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:03,160 Speaker 3: a lot of experience. First, I think that whether Trump 597 00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:06,279 Speaker 3: himself gets this, the people around him know. Trump's going 598 00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:08,560 Speaker 3: to get forty six percent of the vote. That's it. 599 00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:12,120 Speaker 3: That's what's there for him. And twenty twenty four is 600 00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:15,680 Speaker 3: probably going to be a lower turnout election than twenty 601 00:39:15,760 --> 00:39:20,080 Speaker 3: twenty and Biden's people basically, Biden has the support of 602 00:39:20,080 --> 00:39:22,000 Speaker 3: the people are most likely to show up and the 603 00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:23,839 Speaker 3: people who are least likely to show up, and Trump 604 00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:26,160 Speaker 3: has the support of the people were somewhat in the middle. 605 00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:28,440 Speaker 3: And so they are going to be some very complex 606 00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:31,560 Speaker 3: mathematics there. But Trump understands he's got forty six percent 607 00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:34,080 Speaker 3: of the vote, or the people around him do. Their 608 00:39:34,120 --> 00:39:37,520 Speaker 3: only hope against Biden is to splinter the Democratic coalition, 609 00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:39,880 Speaker 3: which is always more facile than the Republican coalition. And 610 00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:43,600 Speaker 3: so you know, they're standing up Cornell West to peel 611 00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:46,680 Speaker 3: off in an effort to peel off some voters on 612 00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:50,200 Speaker 3: the left. They're standing up Robert Kennedy to try to 613 00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:52,960 Speaker 3: peel off some wacky voters of which there are many 614 00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:55,239 Speaker 3: in the United States. We're all related to them. They're 615 00:39:55,600 --> 00:39:57,480 Speaker 3: going to try to stand up Joe Manchin or somebody 616 00:39:57,560 --> 00:39:59,239 Speaker 3: like that to try to peel away the. 617 00:39:59,280 --> 00:40:03,520 Speaker 1: Suburban that's real, the no labels, the no labels effort, 618 00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:06,480 Speaker 1: or do you think it's all smoked, smoke and mirrors. 619 00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:10,239 Speaker 1: I mean, because it costs eighty million dollars. If you're 620 00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:13,279 Speaker 1: an independent effort to get on the ballot, and they're 621 00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:15,279 Speaker 1: either they're either going to get on or they're not. 622 00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:19,200 Speaker 1: But there's no evidence of action, only of talk. And 623 00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:22,719 Speaker 1: I just know, how do you assess that? Is it real? 624 00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,400 Speaker 3: I don't assess it. I'm you know, I know the 625 00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:27,960 Speaker 3: people involved, and I personally like them a lot, So 626 00:40:28,160 --> 00:40:32,200 Speaker 3: I'm hopeful that it's it's some other things are going on, 627 00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:33,839 Speaker 3: and I want to say, no labels. It has done 628 00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:37,080 Speaker 3: over the past decades some really good work in Congress, 629 00:40:37,680 --> 00:40:40,400 Speaker 3: and I hope everybody will involved say that should be 630 00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:42,760 Speaker 3: our legacy, that the excellent work we've done in Congress. 631 00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:44,879 Speaker 3: They were crucial to the passing of the infrastructure bill, 632 00:40:44,960 --> 00:40:47,400 Speaker 3: as you said just a minute ago. And this we 633 00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:50,440 Speaker 3: don't need, we don't need to muddy this record. But 634 00:40:51,920 --> 00:40:54,360 Speaker 3: Joe Manchin, I think, is thinking about it, whether it 635 00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:57,400 Speaker 3: no labels, is his vehicle or not, and all of 636 00:40:57,440 --> 00:40:59,799 Speaker 3: these things, and if you're a Trump person, you have everything. 637 00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:02,560 Speaker 3: Let's just try to find some way that Biden. Look 638 00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:06,760 Speaker 3: that Biden spans the vote, spans the coalition from Bernie 639 00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:12,399 Speaker 3: Sanders to Anne Romney. Let's so can we detach any 640 00:41:12,560 --> 00:41:15,320 Speaker 3: parts of this weird, big coalition from any of the 641 00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:17,279 Speaker 3: other parts, and if we can detach a point here 642 00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:19,600 Speaker 3: and a point there, then Trump's forty six percent of 643 00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:21,799 Speaker 3: the vote that becomes a winning hand as it did 644 00:41:21,840 --> 00:41:23,840 Speaker 3: in twenty sixteen, and not a losing hand when he 645 00:41:23,880 --> 00:41:27,360 Speaker 3: got slightly more of the vote in twenty twenty. So 646 00:41:27,680 --> 00:41:31,560 Speaker 3: I worry about those things, but I basically think that 647 00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:36,560 Speaker 3: the polling on Biden to date has been They asked 648 00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:40,279 Speaker 3: the question what do you think of the dentist? And 649 00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:43,000 Speaker 3: America said, don't love it? I don't love it. Okay, 650 00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:46,000 Speaker 3: what do you think of gum disease? Like it a 651 00:41:46,040 --> 00:41:49,759 Speaker 3: lot less? In a contest between the dentist and the 652 00:41:49,800 --> 00:41:55,000 Speaker 3: gum disease, which do you choose? People say, well, that's 653 00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:57,520 Speaker 3: the choice. I'm going to go for the dentist every time. 654 00:41:58,120 --> 00:42:00,239 Speaker 3: You know. I was out for lunch a little while 655 00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:04,520 Speaker 3: ago with a friend from w Bush days. We served together. 656 00:42:05,120 --> 00:42:06,920 Speaker 3: I won't give any more clues because I don't want 657 00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:10,279 Speaker 3: to embarrass him. But he really he's known Biden for 658 00:42:10,360 --> 00:42:12,320 Speaker 3: a long time and he really doesn't like him, and 659 00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:14,440 Speaker 3: not for just the reasons that are out there, for 660 00:42:14,520 --> 00:42:17,760 Speaker 3: a lot of reasons that are based on sound personal 661 00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:20,640 Speaker 3: experience of uh, and I'm not saying this is fair unfair. 662 00:42:20,920 --> 00:42:26,040 Speaker 1: Timothy breeds contempt in politics like a few other businesses. 663 00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:31,040 Speaker 3: So he went on for some time about Biden's many 664 00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:33,839 Speaker 3: character flaws, as he had had a good view of them, 665 00:42:35,000 --> 00:42:38,040 Speaker 3: and when he finally wound himself down, I said, but 666 00:42:38,080 --> 00:42:42,160 Speaker 3: you're still going to vote for him, right, he said, obviously, right? 667 00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:50,600 Speaker 1: Right? I mean right, I but it's not inconceivable right 668 00:42:50,719 --> 00:42:54,560 Speaker 1: when you when you look out right now in the country, 669 00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:58,160 Speaker 1: because I because with Trump, this is how I explain this. 670 00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:07,360 Speaker 1: Trump a philosopher of fuck youism, and when you lower 671 00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:12,440 Speaker 1: the bar and faith has collapsed, and trust has collapsed 672 00:43:12,480 --> 00:43:16,279 Speaker 1: in every institution. And sixty percent of the country living 673 00:43:16,360 --> 00:43:20,240 Speaker 1: paycheck to paycheck, and forty percent don't have four hundred dollars. 674 00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:23,920 Speaker 1: There is no expectation. So we don't throw tick or 675 00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:27,680 Speaker 1: tape parades for our politicians who did what they said 676 00:43:27,760 --> 00:43:31,200 Speaker 1: in the last election. That's why people voted for them, 677 00:43:31,320 --> 00:43:33,920 Speaker 1: right the election. If you're going to run it on 678 00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:37,279 Speaker 1: what you did last sticks you in the past, not 679 00:43:37,480 --> 00:43:41,520 Speaker 1: in the future, which is a bigger problem structurally, right 680 00:43:41,680 --> 00:43:46,320 Speaker 1: for an eighty two year old candidate, But you have 681 00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:50,840 Speaker 1: a vast segment of the population, right that that feels abused, 682 00:43:51,080 --> 00:43:56,400 Speaker 1: right by a power class in the country, political power class, 683 00:43:56,719 --> 00:44:00,960 Speaker 1: media power class, corporate power class. A lot of people 684 00:44:01,160 --> 00:44:06,319 Speaker 1: relate to politics as the Democratic Parties their HR department 685 00:44:06,440 --> 00:44:11,719 Speaker 1: at their workplace, or the Democratic Parties the line I'm 686 00:44:11,840 --> 00:44:14,920 Speaker 1: standing on right, trying to get something done in a 687 00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:19,680 Speaker 1: local government office, right, it's the party of government, right, stickiness, 688 00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:26,320 Speaker 1: a lot of them, condescension and so when you evisery 689 00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:31,360 Speaker 1: standards and you don't really have any expectation that anyone's 690 00:44:31,400 --> 00:44:34,640 Speaker 1: going to do everything, you know, how does Trump do 691 00:44:34,880 --> 00:44:37,920 Speaker 1: delivering the fuck you to the people you're angry at 692 00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:43,520 Speaker 1: these screaming NonStop, you know, in ever increasing crescendos for 693 00:44:43,760 --> 00:44:50,440 Speaker 1: seven years, and that give some satisfaction. Now, the problem 694 00:44:50,520 --> 00:44:54,040 Speaker 1: with that is the guy who delivers the fu for 695 00:44:54,200 --> 00:44:59,640 Speaker 1: you isn't delivering better health care for you, more prosperity 696 00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:02,560 Speaker 1: for you, more security for you, a better life for 697 00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:06,120 Speaker 1: your kids. They're just giving you an FU, right. I mean, 698 00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:10,560 Speaker 1: it's like a big back, right. It It tastes good occasionally, 699 00:45:10,680 --> 00:45:12,840 Speaker 1: I guess, but you know, in the end, it's poison 700 00:45:13,520 --> 00:45:16,239 Speaker 1: and so and so. But that's who the guy is 701 00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:22,280 Speaker 1: he's not understood as such, and one of the great mysteries, 702 00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:25,839 Speaker 1: like to me as somebody grew up in New Jersey, right, 703 00:45:25,920 --> 00:45:28,800 Speaker 1: you just you sit and you watch with just astonishment, 704 00:45:29,040 --> 00:45:32,560 Speaker 1: right that this person who kind of was present in 705 00:45:32,640 --> 00:45:36,960 Speaker 1: your life from you know, nineteen eighty four on, is somehow, 706 00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:40,680 Speaker 1: you know, on the precipice of becoming America's first and 707 00:45:40,800 --> 00:45:43,960 Speaker 1: most deranged dictator. It's a it is. It is the 708 00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:47,839 Speaker 1: one thing at fourteen I would not have guessed surveying 709 00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:51,600 Speaker 1: all the figures in the cultural landscape of mid eighties America. 710 00:45:51,680 --> 00:45:56,200 Speaker 3: It's astonishing, right, So I'm I'm just going to keep 711 00:45:56,480 --> 00:45:59,640 Speaker 3: betting that as much as people enjoy the spectato of 712 00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:04,200 Speaker 3: fuck you, I just I just went. Twenty sixteen, Trump 713 00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:06,080 Speaker 3: lost the popular vote, but was able to eke it 714 00:46:06,120 --> 00:46:09,279 Speaker 3: out in the electoral college with Russian help and the 715 00:46:09,320 --> 00:46:11,640 Speaker 3: help of Jill Stein and a few others. Then he 716 00:46:11,680 --> 00:46:14,479 Speaker 3: lost the House in twenty eighteen. Then he lost both 717 00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:16,919 Speaker 3: the popular vote and the electoral college in twenty twenty. 718 00:46:17,120 --> 00:46:19,080 Speaker 3: Then he threw away the Senate in twenty twenty one. 719 00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:22,240 Speaker 3: Then he converted the red wave of twenty twenty two into. 720 00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:25,040 Speaker 1: A five vote. 721 00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:27,160 Speaker 3: Majority in the House of Representatives and just have it 722 00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:30,759 Speaker 3: down the ballot, losing four state chambers in twenty twenty two, 723 00:46:30,840 --> 00:46:36,400 Speaker 3: and then this election in twenty twenty three, where you know, Virginia, 724 00:46:36,520 --> 00:46:40,440 Speaker 3: very independent swing state went Democratic at a time when 725 00:46:40,480 --> 00:46:43,600 Speaker 3: you would not maybe have expected that to happen. Democratic 726 00:46:43,640 --> 00:46:48,440 Speaker 3: governor survives in Kentucky, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court expands its 727 00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:51,399 Speaker 3: Democratic majority. I just think the warning signs are out 728 00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:54,279 Speaker 3: there that people say, ha ha ha, I'm enjoying the 729 00:46:54,320 --> 00:46:58,320 Speaker 3: show or not. But in the end, most you know, 730 00:46:58,640 --> 00:47:00,480 Speaker 3: most of the time, people do the response when they 731 00:47:00,560 --> 00:47:03,520 Speaker 3: need the brakes fixed, Uh, they don't go to the 732 00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:08,359 Speaker 3: loudest guy, you know what. Uh When when they when 733 00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:10,799 Speaker 3: their computer eats their photographs and they have to get 734 00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:13,560 Speaker 3: the photographs reconstituted, they don't go to the fuck you guy. 735 00:47:13,680 --> 00:47:15,960 Speaker 3: They go to the guy who can reconstitute the photographs. 736 00:47:16,160 --> 00:47:19,120 Speaker 3: And most people, you know, we live lives of responsibility 737 00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:22,640 Speaker 3: and we want things to work, and we sort of 738 00:47:22,680 --> 00:47:24,600 Speaker 3: get that Trump's not that guy. 739 00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:28,239 Speaker 1: It's one of the great astonishments of the age, right, 740 00:47:28,360 --> 00:47:32,520 Speaker 1: which is you try to understand, right if the commanding 741 00:47:32,640 --> 00:47:37,400 Speaker 1: officer of the gerald Ford Steaming in the Eastern Mediterranean 742 00:47:37,560 --> 00:47:42,160 Speaker 1: acted like Donald Trump. You know, for any contiguous period 743 00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:46,759 Speaker 1: over eleven seconds, Right, he'd be immediately relieved of commands. Right, 744 00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:54,160 Speaker 1: I mean any person in a position of responsibility. Yet 745 00:47:55,280 --> 00:48:00,200 Speaker 1: we have a person who, beyond any doubt, and even 746 00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:05,960 Speaker 1: even during the follow on presidency, I think, has remained 747 00:48:06,040 --> 00:48:11,879 Speaker 1: the undisputed leading cultural figure in the United States. Now, 748 00:48:12,680 --> 00:48:16,400 Speaker 1: you know, for seven years, and that's a long time, 749 00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:21,040 Speaker 1: and it's done terrible, terrible, terrible damage like a like 750 00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:24,319 Speaker 1: a like a flesh eating necrosis to the. 751 00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:29,399 Speaker 3: Let mean one more damage that your military, your your 752 00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:32,520 Speaker 3: scenario about Trump trying to seize power, and you asked 753 00:48:32,520 --> 00:48:33,920 Speaker 3: at the beginning of the question the military, will the 754 00:48:33,960 --> 00:48:36,680 Speaker 3: military obey him? One of the consequences, one of the 755 00:48:36,719 --> 00:48:38,640 Speaker 3: possible outcomes here is that Donald Trump doesn't destroy the 756 00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:42,600 Speaker 3: United States. He destroys the United States presidency, which is 757 00:48:43,200 --> 00:48:45,719 Speaker 3: one of the things that I wanted about my It's 758 00:48:45,760 --> 00:48:47,560 Speaker 3: both a funny but also a little scary story, the 759 00:48:47,600 --> 00:48:48,920 Speaker 3: story of the military. 760 00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:49,920 Speaker 1: Parade that Donald Trump wanted. 761 00:48:50,880 --> 00:48:53,080 Speaker 3: So he goes to France in July of twenty seventeen, 762 00:48:53,160 --> 00:48:55,799 Speaker 3: they have the big French parade, and it's something that's 763 00:48:55,840 --> 00:48:58,120 Speaker 3: in their culture. That isn't an and he says, I 764 00:48:58,200 --> 00:49:00,320 Speaker 3: want one of these, and he said, tell us the 765 00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:04,200 Speaker 3: military do it for me. That's French military culture. We 766 00:49:04,360 --> 00:49:08,560 Speaker 3: don't do that stuff for two reasons. One is that 767 00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:13,080 Speaker 3: our soldiers are heavily work professionals, and if they have 768 00:49:13,280 --> 00:49:15,839 Speaker 3: time for a stupid parade, they have time to spend 769 00:49:15,920 --> 00:49:17,640 Speaker 3: that time with their families. We're not going to ask 770 00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:20,680 Speaker 3: them to do a pointless task. And second, it's political, 771 00:49:20,800 --> 00:49:22,800 Speaker 3: and we stay very far away from all of that. 772 00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:24,759 Speaker 3: So the story of the next three years is the 773 00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:27,880 Speaker 3: military generating one excuse after another as to why it 774 00:49:27,960 --> 00:49:32,080 Speaker 3: can't give them its parade. And my favorite part of 775 00:49:32,120 --> 00:49:35,120 Speaker 3: this long running story was they say, well, if we 776 00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:37,480 Speaker 3: put military vehicles on the streets of Washington C. They 777 00:49:37,480 --> 00:49:40,839 Speaker 3: will destroy the asphalt, and Washington d c. Will bill 778 00:49:40,960 --> 00:49:43,440 Speaker 3: us and it will cost eighty million dollars, and we 779 00:49:43,480 --> 00:49:45,520 Speaker 3: don't have the eighty million dollar line in our budget, 780 00:49:45,560 --> 00:49:48,400 Speaker 3: so we can't do it. So Trump then gets somebody 781 00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:50,480 Speaker 3: to write do a paper that says it won't cost 782 00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:53,040 Speaker 3: eighty million dollars, it will cost eight million dollars at most. 783 00:49:53,239 --> 00:49:55,239 Speaker 3: And the military then leaks to the Washington Post the 784 00:49:55,320 --> 00:49:57,360 Speaker 3: eighty million dollar study that says, no, it won't be 785 00:49:57,400 --> 00:49:59,160 Speaker 3: eight million, it'll be eighty and we don't have budget, 786 00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:01,239 Speaker 3: we can't show up the and they just didn't want 787 00:50:01,280 --> 00:50:03,160 Speaker 3: to do it, and they finally and they found ways, 788 00:50:03,640 --> 00:50:06,759 Speaker 3: and finally he ended up getting a jet fly pass, 789 00:50:06,880 --> 00:50:07,760 Speaker 3: but not the parade. 790 00:50:09,640 --> 00:50:13,719 Speaker 1: Okay, ha ha ha an incredible story, get completely continue. 791 00:50:14,239 --> 00:50:17,440 Speaker 3: But on the other hand, it's kind of ominous that 792 00:50:17,520 --> 00:50:19,279 Speaker 3: if the president of the United States, the commander in 793 00:50:19,360 --> 00:50:21,880 Speaker 3: chief of the US military says give me a parade, 794 00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:26,520 Speaker 3: the military says, you know, uh, well, we'll need three 795 00:50:26,760 --> 00:50:30,319 Speaker 3: and a half years of planning just past the next 796 00:50:30,400 --> 00:50:33,640 Speaker 3: election or to deliver that. We're not going to do it, sir, 797 00:50:33,760 --> 00:50:35,560 Speaker 3: We're not going to do it like they have to 798 00:50:35,640 --> 00:50:37,440 Speaker 3: do it. But they didn't do it. And and that 799 00:50:37,600 --> 00:50:40,000 Speaker 3: was a funny example. But in the second term there 800 00:50:40,040 --> 00:50:42,640 Speaker 3: are going to be more serious examples. You know what 801 00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:45,920 Speaker 3: if the you know you're asking me can't. One of 802 00:50:45,960 --> 00:50:49,200 Speaker 3: the greatest crises in Canadian constitutional history happened during the 803 00:50:49,280 --> 00:50:52,640 Speaker 3: Cuban missile crisis. So the Prime Minister of Canada at 804 00:50:52,640 --> 00:50:55,640 Speaker 3: the times, a man named John Diefenbaker, who had come 805 00:50:55,680 --> 00:50:59,040 Speaker 3: in as a very flamboyant figure, but who went mentally 806 00:50:59,040 --> 00:51:04,440 Speaker 3: ill as probably became paranoid in a manic depressive and 807 00:51:04,520 --> 00:51:07,440 Speaker 3: he developed this intense loathing of John F. Kennedy. And 808 00:51:08,080 --> 00:51:10,040 Speaker 3: during the Human Missile Crisis, the order went out to 809 00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:13,160 Speaker 3: harden North American airspaces. In those days, you're worried about 810 00:51:13,160 --> 00:51:15,120 Speaker 3: the manned bomber that is going to come. Not missiles, 811 00:51:15,160 --> 00:51:17,239 Speaker 3: but the Soviets are going to send mad bombers over 812 00:51:17,320 --> 00:51:20,239 Speaker 3: the North Pole. And Canadian airspace is absolutely integral to 813 00:51:20,320 --> 00:51:23,120 Speaker 3: the defense of the United States. And Deefenbaker refuses to 814 00:51:23,160 --> 00:51:29,200 Speaker 3: put Canadian forces on alert basically out of spite, and 815 00:51:29,280 --> 00:51:31,440 Speaker 3: the Canadian forces to say, but wait a moment. Canada 816 00:51:31,560 --> 00:51:35,120 Speaker 3: ratified the North American Air Defense Treaty. We are integrating 817 00:51:35,200 --> 00:51:38,520 Speaker 3: these North American units. And my chain of command, my 818 00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:42,360 Speaker 3: immediate officer, is the commander in chief in Colorado Springs. 819 00:51:43,200 --> 00:51:45,399 Speaker 3: That's the order I take. And the Prime Minister can't 820 00:51:45,480 --> 00:51:48,399 Speaker 3: cut into that chain of command and override the order 821 00:51:48,560 --> 00:51:50,040 Speaker 3: because there are treaties and things like that. And the 822 00:51:50,080 --> 00:51:54,160 Speaker 3: military went on alert anyway and ignored the Prime Minister. 823 00:51:54,640 --> 00:51:57,080 Speaker 3: This is a huge deal. There's an election in the 824 00:51:57,160 --> 00:51:59,560 Speaker 3: next year, which Defenbaker then lost, in which the Canadian 825 00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:04,000 Speaker 3: public were ratified the military's in fact disobedience of a 826 00:52:04,040 --> 00:52:06,440 Speaker 3: superior order on the grounds that their argument was it 827 00:52:06,520 --> 00:52:09,000 Speaker 3: was unlawful. There there was a treaty and they had obligations. 828 00:52:10,920 --> 00:52:12,600 Speaker 3: But that's the kind of crisis that is going to 829 00:52:12,640 --> 00:52:14,920 Speaker 3: happen again and again and again, that the military is 830 00:52:14,960 --> 00:52:17,160 Speaker 3: going to find a Trump orders and some contradicts an 831 00:52:17,200 --> 00:52:20,520 Speaker 3: existing treaty that the President has not formally canceled, the 832 00:52:20,640 --> 00:52:22,920 Speaker 3: contradicts some other law. We're not going to do it. 833 00:52:23,040 --> 00:52:25,960 Speaker 3: And you can't just invoke the Insurrection Act and send 834 00:52:26,040 --> 00:52:30,280 Speaker 3: which is written in what seventeen ninety two and override 835 00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:33,879 Speaker 3: every law since then about civilian military relationships. 836 00:52:34,080 --> 00:52:35,080 Speaker 1: No, we're not going to do it. 837 00:52:35,120 --> 00:52:36,640 Speaker 3: We're gonna find ways not to do it. But that's 838 00:52:36,680 --> 00:52:37,200 Speaker 3: scary too. 839 00:52:38,680 --> 00:52:42,160 Speaker 1: The last, the last story I wanted I wanted to 840 00:52:42,320 --> 00:52:44,960 Speaker 1: share the viewers talk about for a minute, because you 841 00:52:45,160 --> 00:52:48,239 Speaker 1: you might be the only guest that will ever be 842 00:52:48,440 --> 00:52:50,960 Speaker 1: on the warning who will know where this place is. 843 00:52:51,280 --> 00:52:57,920 Speaker 1: It's Chalk River, Ontario, where the Canadian Nuclear reactor was, 844 00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:01,920 Speaker 1: where the town facility that played an important part of 845 00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:07,120 Speaker 1: the Manhattan Project, and So this summer I drove from 846 00:53:07,239 --> 00:53:12,080 Speaker 1: Santa Barbara up into Nelson, British Columbia, one of the 847 00:53:12,120 --> 00:53:16,640 Speaker 1: great mountain towns in North America, with my seventeen year 848 00:53:16,680 --> 00:53:20,360 Speaker 1: old son. We kind of came through the cooton As, 849 00:53:20,600 --> 00:53:26,719 Speaker 1: this beautiful region of British Columbia to Waterton, Alberta, which 850 00:53:26,840 --> 00:53:30,359 Speaker 1: is the Canadian side of Glacier. The Peace Park. Drove 851 00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:35,279 Speaker 1: across Montana, through Michigan and then up through the Upper 852 00:53:35,360 --> 00:53:41,480 Speaker 1: Peninsula back up into Ontario. And as we're driving they 853 00:53:41,520 --> 00:53:44,680 Speaker 1: would get up to Chalk River. I say to my son, 854 00:53:44,880 --> 00:53:47,839 Speaker 1: you know anything about Chalk River? You ever heard about? 855 00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:50,640 Speaker 1: And of course he hadn't, and I told him the 856 00:53:50,800 --> 00:53:55,720 Speaker 1: story of the nuclear meltdown that occurred there in nineteen 857 00:53:55,880 --> 00:53:59,800 Speaker 1: fifty six. And there was one guy in the world 858 00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:07,480 Speaker 1: who was deemed competent enough, prepared enough, technically proficient enough 859 00:54:08,200 --> 00:54:11,719 Speaker 1: to be able to go into that reactor, to lead 860 00:54:11,800 --> 00:54:15,480 Speaker 1: a team into that reactor and deal with the meltdown. 861 00:54:15,560 --> 00:54:19,880 Speaker 1: And that was, of course, twenty six year old Lieutenant 862 00:54:20,560 --> 00:54:24,320 Speaker 1: James Earl Carter of the United States Navy, an American 863 00:54:24,440 --> 00:54:28,080 Speaker 1: president in his one hundredth year. Do you think about 864 00:54:28,880 --> 00:54:32,280 Speaker 1: that man who was in a different party than ours, 865 00:54:32,400 --> 00:54:35,440 Speaker 1: and that part of his story, it's an incredible one, 866 00:54:35,560 --> 00:54:39,799 Speaker 1: and you kind of appreciate that generation who's he graduated 867 00:54:39,840 --> 00:54:44,400 Speaker 1: from Annapolis in nineteen forty six, George Herbert Walker Bush 868 00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:48,400 Speaker 1: born in the same year, literally one hundred years Agoeen 869 00:54:48,719 --> 00:54:53,200 Speaker 1: nineteen twenty four. These were the youngest pilots in the navy, right, 870 00:54:53,280 --> 00:54:56,800 Speaker 1: These were the young officers, you know, who fought in 871 00:54:56,880 --> 00:54:59,640 Speaker 1: the last year of the Second World War and began 872 00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:05,600 Speaker 1: the post war era the very very end of their lifetimes. 873 00:55:05,960 --> 00:55:09,920 Speaker 1: And here we sit under a grave threat. And I 874 00:55:10,080 --> 00:55:12,960 Speaker 1: just wanted to if you have any last words or 875 00:55:13,800 --> 00:55:17,000 Speaker 1: any of this very last word, thank you for doing this. 876 00:55:17,520 --> 00:55:19,759 Speaker 3: I have a last word on that, which is, I'm 877 00:55:19,920 --> 00:55:24,400 Speaker 3: very allergic to these concepts of one generation being different 878 00:55:24,560 --> 00:55:27,160 Speaker 3: or special. And I have the person I'm going to 879 00:55:27,200 --> 00:55:29,440 Speaker 3: site from my authority for rejecting this is Abraham Lincoln. 880 00:55:30,160 --> 00:55:32,320 Speaker 3: So on the night that Lincoln is re elected in 881 00:55:32,400 --> 00:55:37,400 Speaker 3: eighteen sixty four, a big band of supporters froms and 882 00:55:37,480 --> 00:55:39,759 Speaker 3: goes to the White House to serenade him, which is 883 00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:42,000 Speaker 3: how you what you did in those days. There's no 884 00:55:42,040 --> 00:55:44,560 Speaker 3: Truman balcony. So Lincoln come when he comes out to 885 00:55:44,640 --> 00:55:47,080 Speaker 3: greet them. He's on the main floor of the White House, 886 00:55:47,120 --> 00:55:50,479 Speaker 3: and there everyone's cheering in its raucous And you would, 887 00:55:50,840 --> 00:55:54,680 Speaker 3: given how close that election was, how nearly Lincoln loss, 888 00:55:54,719 --> 00:55:56,480 Speaker 3: that you would forgive him for taking a little bit 889 00:55:56,480 --> 00:55:58,880 Speaker 3: of a victory lap. But no, no, the ultimate debbie 890 00:55:58,920 --> 00:56:02,800 Speaker 3: down or an American is, does not do that. Instead, 891 00:56:02,840 --> 00:56:05,719 Speaker 3: he reads them a prepared statement, and there's one paragraph 892 00:56:05,800 --> 00:56:09,200 Speaker 3: from it that I think resonates through the years. He says, 893 00:56:09,840 --> 00:56:12,359 Speaker 3: in any and I can quote it, not quite forbade him, 894 00:56:12,360 --> 00:56:14,360 Speaker 3: but this is more or less said in any future 895 00:56:15,120 --> 00:56:18,799 Speaker 3: national trial, Compared to the men of this we shall 896 00:56:18,840 --> 00:56:21,759 Speaker 3: have as many wise and as many foolish, as many 897 00:56:21,840 --> 00:56:25,160 Speaker 3: brave and as many cowardly, as many noble and as 898 00:56:25,200 --> 00:56:29,680 Speaker 3: many silly. Human nature will not change. So let us 899 00:56:29,680 --> 00:56:32,400 Speaker 3: study the events of this time not as wrongs to 900 00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:35,880 Speaker 3: be avenged, but as philosophy to learn wisdom from. 901 00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:40,160 Speaker 1: What a perfect way to add in this conversation, David, 902 00:56:40,200 --> 00:56:41,160 Speaker 1: from what a pleasure. 903 00:56:41,280 --> 00:56:43,480 Speaker 3: Thank you for your time, Thanks for allowing me on